The Breakdown - Early Signs of Crypto Bipartisanship in Congress
Episode Date: March 13, 2025Congress has followed the Senate in their vote to repeal a damaging IRS crypto broker rule, and has done so by an even bigger supermajority than the Senate vote. NLW argues that this shows an emerging... strand of common-sense bipartisanship around crypto in Washington. Sponsored by: Ledger Ledger, the world leader in digital asset security, proudly sponsors The Breakdown podcast. Celebrating 10 years of protecting over 20% of the world’s crypto, Ledger ensures the security of your assets. For the best self-custody solution in the space, buy a LEDGER™ device and secure your crypto today. Buy now on Ledger.com. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW
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Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.
It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.
What's going on, guys? It is Wednesday, March 12th, and today we are talking about the House
voting to repeal an IRS reporting rule in a further sign of progress being made for crypto in
Washington. Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe
to it, give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation,
come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash
breakdown pod. All right, friends, well, not much has moved in markets. Chaos Watch 2025 continues
a pace. And so instead of digging more into that and trying to get in the head of what our
president is thinking and whatever strategy there may be there and what it means for Bitcoin and
crypto, instead we're going to look at stuff that we can actually understand, whereas has been the
case for the past several weeks, serious progress is being made.
specifically, the House has voted to repeal a controversial IRS reporting rule.
The Tuesday vote was the counterpart to a Senate vote that passed last week.
Now, as a reminder, this was the rule that required Defi platforms to report user profits to
the IRS in a similar way to a stock brokerage.
Of course, defy platforms don't have any of the information required, so the rule implied
KYC, which itself implied a complete overhaul of Defi systems.
And that's at best.
More realistically, the rule seemed to be intended as a backdoor way to ban Defi in the U.S.
due to compliance being impossible.
Due to a procedural quirk, the resolution will need to go back to the Senate before it can be
signed by the president, but for all intents and purposes, the rule has been repealed.
Now, removing this rule is extremely important.
I don't want to understate that point.
The rule had major privacy and constitutional issues, and its removal is being heavily
cheered in defy circles.
Still, for us and our purposes, arguably the more important point is that these votes were not
close at all, each passing with a bipartisan supermajority.
Last week's Senate vote passed 70 to 28, with 18 Democrats crossing the floor.
That vote demonstrated enough crypto support in the Senate to defeat the filibuster
and gave hope that crypto legislation has a pathway through a bitterly divided Congress.
Tuesday's House vote passed by an even more significant margin.
292 representatives voted for the bill, including every Republican and 76 Democrats.
That's compared to 131 Democrats that were opposed.
Ron Hammond, the Senior Director of Government Relations at the Blockchain Association, wrote,
Most bipartisan crypto House vote yet. Jake Jivinsky, the chief legal officer at Varian Fund,
commented, 76 congressional Democrats voted yes. The anti-crypto army is defeated.
One subplot is that only eight of 16 Democrat members of the House Financial Services Committee
voted to repeal the rule, which could mean that crypto bills in the future will still
have a tough time getting through at the committee stage. However, this resolution could have passed
without bipartisan support, so Democrats voting in favor were doing it purely to signal their
position on the issue. Moving legislation,
through Congress is difficult at the best of times. And glancing around at the acrimony on display in
Washington at the moment, it's clear that this is far from the best of times. Still, this vote demonstrates
that there is no appetite for getting in the way of passing sensible crypto policy. Kristen Smith,
CEO of Blockchain Association, called this another encouraging sign of a new era for crypto in
Washington. She added, true bipartisanship is at times rare in Washington, but today is a signal that
there is agreement on both sides of the aisle that the American defy and crypto industry deserves to
grow and thrive here in America. More simply, Taylor Barr, the head of government affairs at the
digital chamber commented, this is what a pro-crypto-counters looks like. The next piece of legislation
that Congress will tackle cover stablecoin policy, and it seems like momentum is building. The House
Financial Services Committee debated the bill in a hearing on Tuesday. The committee heard from
experts in the industry, including the CEOs of Stripe and Paxos, as well as the head of digital assets
at BNYMellon. During the hearing, Representative Bill Heisinga said, there is a moment for us here in
Congress now to act, and as legislators, it's ultimately up to us to provide the regulatory clarity
needed to ensure that the U.S. dollar remains the dominant reserve currency, and I believe
stable coins can do that. Pro-Crypto Democrat Richie Torres had even more pointed commentary, stating
the proper legislative response to the automobile is not to ban it, it's not to sabotage it,
it's to regulate it, it's to make it safer. And as far as I'm concerned, the proper role
of Congress is not to sabotage digital asset transactions, but to make them safer, to strike a
careful balance between financial stability and innovation. Democrat ranking member Maxine Waters used
her time to criticize Trump's meme coin rather than engage in the policy discussion at hand,
which to some extent is an admission of failure, or at least an admission that you don't really
have any strong opposition to the thing that's actually being debated. Over in the Senate,
another updated version of a stable coin bill has been introduced, with co-sponsor Senator Kirsten Jilibrand
writing, the updated version of the Genius Act makes significant improvements to a number of important
provisions, including consumer protections, authorized stablecoin issuers, risk mitigation,
state pathways, insolvency, transparency, and more.
Dom Kwok, the founder of Web3 Learning Platform EasyA, read the updates and noted very tough
compliance rules for foreign issuers.
He commented, most foreign issuers will find these standards hard to meet, giving U.S.
issued stablecoins a competitive advantage.
I think whatever you think of this one way or another, it seems very in keeping with
the tenor in times in Washington right now for that advantage to be met it out.
The Senate version of the bill will go to a markup hearing on Thursday.
This will allow amendments to be debated on and certify the bill for a floor vote.
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In February, Senate Banking Committee Chair Tim Scott declared that he expected both
stablecoin legislation and the market structure bill to pass by May. That timeline seemed ambitious,
but it looks like at least the Stablecoin bill is moving through Congress at a meaningful pace.
So perhaps the crypto agenda will actually be squared away by the summer.
Ron Hammond at the Blockchain Association took the opportunity to have a little fun with the names
of the twin bills. He commented,
The House hearing today showed that most of the Democrats and all the Republicans largely support
the measures in the Stable Act. That same bipartisan spirit will likely be reflected in
Thursday's Senate banking markup of the Genius Act. This will set the stage for a comprehensive
vote on the combined product, the Stable Genius Act, sometime in the next two to three months.
The legislation doesn't end there, however.
Cynthia Lovis has reintroduced her Bitcoin bill.
Appearing in a Bitcoin Policy Institute conference in D.C., Lema said,
the momentum is in our hands and we need to make this happen.
Thankfully, President Trump is with us and the opportunities are boundless.
The bill was first introduced in July 2024 following the Bitcoin conference
and directs the government to buy a million Bitcoin over the next five years.
It purports to have a budget-neutral funding mechanism,
something that was required in the executive order that established the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Specifically, the bill calls for the Treasury to deploy excess funds from the exchange
stabilization fund, as well as to revalue the gold reserve and reinvest the paper markup.
The goal of the reserve, as stated in the bill, is to hold Bitcoin for 30 years and then use
the price appreciation to pay down the national debt. Luma said that she was, quote,
proud to reintroduce the landmark legislation that codifies President Trump's bold vision to
establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve. She continued, by transforming the president's visionary
executive action into enduring law, we can ensure that our nation will harness the full
potential of digital innovation to address the national debt while maintaining our competitive
edge in the global economy. Together, we are not just adapting to the future, we are actively
shaping it, writing the next chapter in America's proud history of financial innovation, and
securing lasting prosperity for all our citizens. The bill has five co-sponsors in the Senate,
all Republican. Nick Bejik has introduced a companion bill in the House and already managed
to gather six co-sponsors as well. Far be it for me to go out on limb and actually handicap the
chances of this bill goes anywhere, but the market seems to be pricing the odds right now at right
around zero. And that seems like a bit of an oversight. Former hedge funder James LeVish tweeted,
I think it takes longer than many hope, but I do think it has a solid chance of passing with
this Congress, eventually, and perhaps with concessions through committees. One of the big things
that could shift the Overton window is if the administration starts buying Bitcoin purely based
on executive order. As we all know from onboarding Bitcoin newbies, it's far easier to make
your second Bitcoin purchase than your first. David Bailey, the CEO of Bitcoin magazine,
commented, implementation of the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve EO is far tighter than the market
anticipates. Timeline measured in days and weeks, not months or years. Also appearing at the event on
Monday was Tether CEO, Paulo Arduino. He underscored that purely the announcement of the
strategic reserve has been impactful, commenting, the fact that the U.S. government has acknowledged
the importance of Bitcoin is incredible. I think that every other country should follow. He continued
saying that he believes that there will be a, quote, strategy that will not be too public to acquire
bitcoins, then there will be a holy shit moment for every other country thinking, I'm late,
I don't have enough Bitcoin. And then the next financial reset will be in Bitcoin.
Now, moving across the pond, EU officials are apparently getting concerned that Trump's support of
crypto could undermine European monetary sovereignty.
Following a Eurogroup meeting on Monday, the European Stability Mechanisms Managing Director
Pierre Grimenga said, the U.S. administration is favorable towards cryptocurrencies and especially
dollar-denominated stablecoins, which may raise certain concerns in Europe.
The specific concern is that permissive U.S. regulations could lead foreign tech giants to
launch global payment systems using U.S. dollar stablecoins, disrupting Europe's monetary
autonomy and financial stability. Unless you think, no, no, no, that's just Europe being concerned.
This is basically exactly the point that these Congress people are making when they say that this
is going to increase U.S. dollar hegemony. Referencing prior statements from the ECB about crypto and
pointing out the irony, Jonathan Gallia wrote, imagine your monetary sovereignty and financial
stability being threatened by fake internet money. This fear of the euro losing relevance seems to be
driving a push to launch the European CBDC. Earlier this week, ECB president Christine Lagarde announced,
quote, the European Union is looking to launch the digital euro by October this year.
Now, at this point, the digital euro has not been all that well received and still requires
legislation to be passed in the European Parliament. LaGarde attempted to address criticism,
adding, we are working to ensure that the digital euro coexist with cash, addressing privacy
concerns by making it pseudonymous in cash like in nature.
Interestingly, when mentioning the stakeholders that need convincing, LaGard mentioned
various lawmaking bodies but neglected to include the European people.
Last month, the ECB's target two payment clearance system had a major outage.
making banks unable to settle payments for the better part of a day. Lawmaker Marcus Ferber of the
European People's Party commented,
The instance is a blow to the ECB's credibility. People will ask legitimate questions how the ECB
will be able to run a digital euro when they cannot even keep their day-to-day operations running
smoothly. Lots of interesting things going on in the policy direction, just a couple last little
market stories to wrap up. Weak market action since February is starting to show up in the data,
with Robin Hood reporting a 29% drop in crypto trading volume from the prior month.
Interestingly, the data shows the platform's crypto volume to be far less sticky than stocks.
Their equity trading volume is down only 1% month over month.
Part of this is likely reversion to the mean after a hot month in January around the inauguration,
but it's another data point suggesting crypto markets are taking a moment to cool off.
Derivatives trading venues are also a ghost town as futures open interest collapses.
CryptoQuant data shows open interest for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures dropping by around
1.3 billion over the past week.
That's around a third of positions from venues that CryptoQuant tracks, leading their
analyst to comment, the partial market reset has been completed. Good news is that this reduction
and leverage in the system could make violent downside moves less likely in the short term.
Ultimately, like I keep saying, you got to look past the markets to see the good that's
happening, but once you do, it's not hard to find. I will keep you posted about everything that's
going on, good, bad, and otherwise, but for now, that is going to do it for today's breakdown.
Appreciate you listening as always, and until next time, be safe and take care of each other.
Peace.
