The Breakdown - The Five Most Important Stories in an Absolutely BANGER Bitcoin Week

Episode Date: January 25, 2025

From $TRUMP to the inauguration to executive orders on crypto to the SEC rocking a pro-crypto stance, it was a BIG week. NLW and Scott Melker break it all down. Sponsored by: Ledn Need liquidity wi...thout selling your Bitcoin? For 6+ years, Ledn has been the trusted choice for Bitcoin-backed lending. With transparency, security, and trust at our core, we help you access your BTC’s wealth while HODLing. Discover what your Bitcoin can do at ledn.io/borrowing. Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https://pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW

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Starting point is 00:00:04 Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. What's going on, guys? It is Friday, January 24th, and that means it's time for the Friday 5. Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, come join us on the Breakers Discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod. All right, friends, back with another Friday 5. and this probably has to be maybe our most active engaged Friday 5 and I don't know how long.
Starting point is 00:00:44 This kind of makes sense given that it was inauguration week, but boy, that it's a liver. We've got new SEC policy, executive order stuff, political prisoners freed, you name it, it's here. So without any further ado, let's dive in. Man, I don't know even where to start. Yesterday we were like, what are the top five stories? And every 20 minutes, the chat changed. And I realized this morning that the Trump and Melania coins weren't even on the list, and we have never discussed those because it started last Friday night.
Starting point is 00:01:12 It's wild. I think, you know, probably if we had thought about it, we would have anticipated that maybe the first week after inauguration would be a big one, but it has certainly delivered and then some. And in so many different ways. But let's start from the beginning, I guess, because I think that this was sort of the first hint that Donald Trump was going to actually deliver on promises for the crypto and Bitcoin community, as discussed.
Starting point is 00:01:35 Ross Albrecht was freeze. Trump Parton's in prison Silk Road founder Ross Albrick. Here was his post on truth social. You guys can read it for yourself. But listen, this was extremely important to the Bitcoin community. For those who don't remember, Ross obviously got two life sentences plus 40 years for his involvement in Silk Road. Early Bitcoiner, many feel who took the fall for the entire industry at that time, still spent over 11 years in jail. he is free. This is really, really significant. Yeah, I mean, listen, there were a couple different categories of people who thought Ross should be freed in some way. The first were that the principle of the thing that he was trying to do
Starting point is 00:02:20 should be legal, right? There's sort of a hardcore libertarian bent that just thinks that markets are supposed to be free. And when people come together, they should be able to trade whatever they want. There's also a lot of folks, and I say this is the more mainstream, you know, Free Ross opinion that the sentence was totally disproportionate to what he was actually convicted of. And you'll often see, or you would often see when people were debating this, you know, accusations around, you know, him putting out hits on people and things like that. But the important thing to remember is that those weren't the charges that he was actually convicted of all, right? Also, later, a couple of the people involved in the case were
Starting point is 00:02:54 disciplined and arrested for things they did. It was just a shady thing the whole time through. And so there was, it's very hard to justify, I think, the, the amount. of the sentence. And that's what made it feel so political to people, right? It was the first time that in the context of this new Bitcoin space, that the government, you know, to many people it felt like the government really exerted what they could do, right? The power to just sort of throw someone, you know, lock someone up and throw away the key. And so there's a whole lot of meaning imbued in this. The second piece of why I think this is so significant to people is that, to your point, Scott, it was the first of the campaign promises.
Starting point is 00:03:32 that Trump made largely related to this community that he came through on. And so it was a big, big moment for a lot of folks when that, when that was actually signed. Yeah, I mean, if you take a look at the sentences given to Mexican cartel leaders, they were nothing compared to what Ross got. And those were actually about moving directly billions of dollars in drugs and directly murdering people. Yeah. So it was very hard to defend the sentence, even if you thought he was guilty of all of the
Starting point is 00:04:02 things that he was accused of. But regardless, he's out. I'm really curious to see what he does next, right? I mean, I think it was sort of a pipe dream that he would be here. He was a very early bitpointer. I wonder if he'll build something. I wonder if we're going to see him on Rogan. You know, where where we're definitely going to do the podcast tour. There's no doubt about that. I mean, I just can't wait to talk to. We got to get him on the show, man. That would be absolutely incredible. So, you know, that was the first order of business. And then it left the crypto community a little bit aghast that we didn't immediately get an executive order or a strategic Bitcoin reserve or any of the things that were promised in the first one or two days. But we did finally
Starting point is 00:04:44 get it yesterday. So let's talk about the executive order because, man, this one confused a lot of people. There's so much to unpack. Trump signs executive actions related to cryptocurrency, AI. Eleanor Territ did a great job of unpacking the key points here. But we can can sort of just summarize, I think, a lot of action on CBDCs, which I think people really, really are happy about, that we effectively should never see a CBDC in this country. Operation choke point, 2.0 being looked into and an end. I mean, there's so much to unpack here, and maybe we should talk about all that first and then get to what it looks like for a strategic reserve. I think that a lot of the controversy surrounding this has to do with two totally different
Starting point is 00:05:32 ways of thinking about what the goal of this was. I think that Bitcoiners and crypto folks more broadly wanted individual executive orders dealing with a specific set of issues that matter to them, right? An executive order on a strategic Bitcoin reserve, an executive order on Operation Chokepoint 2.0, an executive order on, you know, whatever, you name it, right? It's a set of issues that are distinct for them. First thing this did is it bunches it all together, right? This is this sort of placeholder, everything in the digital assets, crypto and whatever space executive order. And it does very much feel to me like a placeholder executive order that's more a declaration of intent than it is specific policy, right? There's two types of executive orders,
Starting point is 00:06:17 very broadly speaking and reductively speaking. There are those who have some specific action that they mandate that's got to happen, right? JFK assassination without being released. That is a very specific direct thing. It says you go figure out how to make this happen, but it's happening. The other type of executive order, which frankly is a lot more common, is the, hey, we're going to deal with this thing, executive order. But, you know, we're going to take some time to figure it out. Right. If you look at the Biden executive order on AI last year, it was 180 pages of them researching and discovering and exploring and things like that. And that's what this is, right? This is an executive order that, again, articulates a bunch of different areas that they want to dig into, but doesn't commit to specific
Starting point is 00:06:56 policies in most cases. And I think that was sort of part one of the disappointment. The other thing that's starting to become really clear to me that is not necessarily super pleasing for the crypto industry is that it seems pretty clear that the administration views crypto and AI and future tech stuff all as one big lump of their constituency. They are not distinguishing or differentiating between the AI lobby and the crypto lobby. and the AI lobby has a hell of a lot more money and is a much bigger deal to them. It's very clear because on day one of the presidency, we got a $500 billion announcement with Matsiyoshi Sun and Sam Altman and Larry Ellison there.
Starting point is 00:07:36 And it's not that I think that the administration cares any less about crypto than we thought. It's just that the stakes in terms of the policy of bringing, you know, business back to American stuff, there's clearly a bigger emphasis there because there's bigger dollars being spent. A half trillion dollars in infrastructure spend is just was waiting to be announced there, right? And so the frustrating thing for the crypto community is that if the White House is lumping those things in together, there's always going to be kind of a jostling and attention of, you know, who gets the most kind of presence and attention at any given time. And I think that the crypto industry, understandably, wanted their issues to be front and center. But my guess is that
Starting point is 00:08:13 the way that the Trump administration sees it is that they had a set of executive actions to do in the first couple days, that it were inclusive of both of those things, not really thinking about the fact that the constituencies are totally different. And so I think that they feel like they checked all the boxes for the first couple of days. But that's including all of the AI stuff they did, which is a whole separate set of executive orders. So that's my read. I could be completely wrong, but that's what it feels like to me. David Sachs was named the White House AI and Cryptozar. We didn't get a Cryptozar. We got an AI and Cryptozar. I'm not saying that's a negative thing, by the way, but it just sort of echoes the point that you're making that these are definitely
Starting point is 00:08:49 being lumped together. I think you can take it a further step and say that, People were very frustrated, at least a certain sect of crypto people, that Bitcoin was not differentiated from crypto, right? So you obviously got this language about a strategic stockpile, which sort of alludes to holding all of the tokens and not selling them, but maybe not going as far as a reserve, which many people think would mean actually buying these assets and adding them. I can tell you anecdotally, I heard from multiple people, and I set Twitter accidentally on fire by saying this yesterday. but XRP likely to be a very large part of that.
Starting point is 00:09:25 I saw some very reliable chat groups of Bitcoin Maximilists who were saying one thing on Twitter and coping very hard in the background in these chats. Brad Garlinghouse has been in the White House aggressively and even sub-tweeted Pierre Rochard about the Bitcoin Strategic Reserve basically alluding to the fact that it would be crypto assets and it would be included. There's a lot going on here. But to my knowledge, the government doesn't yet hold XRP. So that was sort of another wrinkle because it's not, I think, on the list of tokens that they at least hold, you know, a million dollars worth of.
Starting point is 00:09:57 But the bottom line here is this left everyone saying, okay, what is a crypto strategic stockpile? Is that a reserve? Is that just Bitcoin? What does it include? And then, even to echo your further point, this sounded a lot more like the type of executive order we got from Biden even on crypto. Take 30 days, 60 days, 180 days with these sort of benchmarks. take a look at this, make recommendations, let me do. And then I have to share this as the final one at the end of all of that that was the kicker,
Starting point is 00:10:27 is that David Sachs went on an interview with Fox Business said, yeah, we're going to evaluate that. We've not decided to do it yet. We need to study that about the strategic stockpile. So no commitment at all from the White House to actually do it as of now. So I have a whole slew of thoughts on this. First of all, sorry to bust everyone's bubble. This is the appropriate way to make policy.
Starting point is 00:10:48 The appropriate way to make policy is not during the transition team to figure out what you're going to do with something this significant. It's to actually take the time to figure out if it's the right decision. Everyone can like, you know, it doesn't need to happen in, you know, the next 30 days for it to be a meaningful step. Everyone wants it to happen as fast as possible. But our level of conviction in this space is not the same as everywhere else. By the way, one thing that, like, hasn't been talked very much about is that the crypto community and even the Bitcoin community is not unanimously for this, right? Like Nick Carter has been screaming from a mountain, as he often has to do, that we shouldn't be for a strategic Bitcoin Reserve. You know, he would waded into the lions then a Bitcoin magazine to actually write an op-ed for that.
Starting point is 00:11:30 And whether you agree with him or disagree, we should encourage that sort of thinking. So one, I don't think it's a problem that they're actually going to debate the damn thing, you know, from a policy perspective. Two, I think that when it comes to the sort of XRP being included thing, there's a few ways to look at this. First of all, I think that the cynical take on the Trump administration for people who don't like him is that it's just going to be a Gryptor's paradise where it's like everything's going to go to the highest bidder. XRP is always the highest bidder when it comes to Washington policy. They play the game. They play it all the way. And of course, they're going to be in there advocating for themselves.
Starting point is 00:12:06 By the way, we weren't that angry about XRP doing that when it was them fighting against unjust rules in their battle against the SEC, right? So it's just part of the situation. Second, I think that there's a broader point. which is not even a cynical take on the Trump administration, which is that it's very clear that Trump and the people around him are not died in the world Bitcoiners to the exclusion of other things. What they are is America first reclaiming crypto and digital assets for America. I mean, he said it to the W.E.F.
Starting point is 00:12:37 I'm sure we'll talk about it in a minute that, you know, he wants to make America the crypto capital of the world. I don't think he's really thinking about, you know, getting as granular as specific assets, even if he appreciates it, even if people, around him appreciate what makes Bitcoin different. America has a voracious appetite. It wants all the crypto assets, right?
Starting point is 00:12:54 And I think it's fine for Bitcoiners to advocate for the strong kind of Bitcoin placement and what makes it different. I'm pretty much in that camp. But I don't think it's discontinuous with Trump's kind of general policies to want all of it to be included. So that's the second thing. Third thing is, boy, is this nature healing when the Bitcoiners can hate on XRP again. Because we had a very weird two-year period where we all had to be happy, happy bedfellows of just like, you know,
Starting point is 00:13:23 Ryan Selkis and Brad Garlinghouse hugging in their fight against Gary Gensler. This is a positive sign that we get to all be angry and have internecine warfare again. At Masari, Maynette a few years ago, we did a dunk tank and I was somehow convinced to host this thing. And Garlinghouse and Selkis came up as literal best friends to dunk each other in the tank. I was holding the joke on Twitter as I was holding Garling House's balls while he was throwing them at Ryan Salkus. Eventually, he ran up there and dunked it and they hugged it out, soaking wet. You know, that that's the best example you can give of everybody being kumbaya for that period. But that also, I think, speaks to a bigger issue we're going to have, which is that we had a common enemy,
Starting point is 00:14:06 so to speak, and Gary Gensler and Elizabeth Warren and the Biden White House of many's opinion. And the crypto lobby came together and pooled all of their funds to make. make sure that Trump won, now we're going to have a very disjointed lobby where people go for their self-interest and do not view the entire industry as a whole. Yep. I mean, and this is, by the way, this is not a crypto phenomenon. You can see it in every part of the sort of Trump coalition is going through some version of this right now.
Starting point is 00:14:32 You know, it's like there's the Elon and anti-Elon forces. There's, you know, I mean, again, it's all of the, this is a very natural thing that happens, especially in the immediate wake of winning. Everyone's jockeying for position now. everyone's once again, you know, out for their own thing. It's not pleasant necessarily. And I think that there's a lot to be said for trying to overcome that to still be able to speak with singular voices on issues of import. But it would be unrealistic, I think, to assume that it's going to be any different than this way. If you've been around Bitcoin for long enough, you've heard
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Starting point is 00:15:40 That's LEDN.com.I.O. Please visit leaden.io slash legal for product terms and disclosures. Product availability varies by jurisdiction. So this is sort of a non-story at this point, but Bitcoin makes me to move after Trump's new crypto executive order lacks concrete strategic reserve plan. There was this sentiment that if we got any mention at any point of a strategic reserve, that the market was going to go straight to 500,000. But I think the amount of vagary around it and the way that it was structured, guaranteed
Starting point is 00:16:09 that that didn't happen. I don't think that's a bad thing necessarily. but it does make for a story that the market was just all over the place. I mean, yesterday was perhaps the most nonsensical day I've ever seen in the news cycle, because many may have not seen, but I mean, I guess I can just show you now that we had Senator Lummis in the morning at 916 a.m. Here say big things are coming with a Bitcoin B, right? And so immediately the market went from 101 to 106, something like that,
Starting point is 00:16:37 because everyone assumed this was going to be an executive order on a strategic reserve. we launched an emergency spaces for the announcement at like 25,000 people live only for it to be like big news for her. Yeah. I'm the chair of this. It's big news. It is big news.
Starting point is 00:16:53 But like when you present it with the Bitcoin B here on Twitter, you're, you know, and she rocked the price. It went all the way back down. Then Trump comes on TV, which we'll get to and says, you know, the U.S. will be the world capital of artificial intelligence. Bitcoin goes way back up. Then we get his conversation with El Salvador.
Starting point is 00:17:10 then we get the executive order, then we get David Sacks take on it. I mean, just literally the most insane day. But let's talk about Lammis because as much as the way she kind of did an announcement of an announcement in Justin Sun's style and it was a disappointment, it's actually huge that she will chair this new panel, the Senate panel on digital assets, a subcommittee of the Senate Financial, and that she will be talking about a Bitcoin-specific strategic reserve and will be the one who likely can actually get these things on the floor,
Starting point is 00:17:42 decide what gets voted on. This really matters. And perhaps this is why the executive order was less specific because we already know that Lumas has this on the table and we'll be pushing for it. How is he even clear in Nashville when he came up short in his speech of staying strategic reserve and then Lummis raced out on stage to present the bill? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:18:01 I mean, listen, Cynthia Lummis is exactly who we want advocating for this because two things. One, she is an extremely dyed in the world Bitcoiner as opposed to what I was just saying before when it comes to, you know, Trump and most of the folks around him, you know, specifically Bitcoin. But two, she also is a political animal who's proven herself good at getting things done. You know, if you take her as opposed to someone like Elizabeth Warren, who's a rabid, rabid ideologue who never actually gets anything done, and you see the type of things that, that Lomas gets together with, I mean, at this point, I still think, think her and Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's bill is the most comprehensive attempt that I've seen
Starting point is 00:18:43 to actually head on address the real thorny issues, you know, whatever. Stablecoin regime, who regulate, you know, who has regulatory oversight of Bitcoin. Like all that stuff's table stakes and easy compared to the real big question, which is like, are these things friggin securities or not? And how are we going to let them function? And that bill went directly at that. She went out and recruited a senator from New York on the opposite side of the aisle to figure it out together.
Starting point is 00:19:06 she's someone who basically is going to both advocate for Bitcoin and also know the right sort of points of compromise to get something broader done. So I think it's very bullish not only because the thing exists, but I think she's the right person for it. Yeah, and I think that they can let her spearhead that fight without having to take it head on from the White House, which, by the way, is the way, as you said, this should happen.
Starting point is 00:19:26 We actually want lawmakers passing laws and not just directives from the White House because they'll stig. Yep. So I'm very encouraged that this will actually, actually be on the docket and be something that we'll be talking about for a very long time. I don't think we really even need to go back to him saying that the U.S. will be the world capital of artificial intelligence unless we just want to talk about the fact that he basically dunked
Starting point is 00:19:48 all over the world economic forum in their own house and said all the things the globalists would never want to hear. There's so much dunking. My favorite moment of dunking personally, as someone who was debanked by Bank of America last year, it was when the Bank of America CEO said that they didn't debank people and he said, yes, you did. that was that was that's that's that's what i did it to my family dude i know i wanted to send him the post the pdfs of the of the note that i got anyway yeah he was definitely out there bullying he there was no lack of uh offense in in that speech and so to hear crypto mentioned and that was
Starting point is 00:20:20 the first time he had said anything about crypto or bitcoin since actually becoming president to say it in that forum i think was meaningful and then obviously followed by the executive order and And by the way, I forgot probably the biggest and most important story of the day, which also happened yesterday, which, and we'll talk about Hester Perce in general. Bye-bye, Sab 121.21. It's not been fun. SETC.gov, staff accounting bulletin number 122, Sab 122, following up Sab 121. You got to love that. But what's crazy here is that this was supposed to be one of the executive orders that everybody was so excited about. And the SEC just went ahead and took care of it themselves. And for those that don't remember, Sab 121,
Starting point is 00:21:01 we reviewed it a million times, effectively said that banks couldn't custody Bitcoin. They had to put it on the balance sheet as a liability rather than an asset. So let's say you want to custody a billion dollars of Bitcoin for someone. You had to somehow find a billion dollars cash for the other side of the balance sheet. This actually led to Coinbase getting all of the custody for the ETFs indirectly, which pissed the banks off. And more importantly, this was overturned bipartisan by both Congress and the Senate and then vetoed by President Biden.
Starting point is 00:21:30 And so a lot of people viewing this as by far the biggest news of yesterday that just got washed out by everything that happened before it. And of course, just to tell you more about that, SEC launches Crypto Task Force led by CryptoMomomhester Perth. So this happened the day before, basically. And they're saying that crypto is going to get a lot of attention and probably more clear regulation from the SEC. And we know that she believes in Safe Harbor and that all these things are not, you know, unregistered securities. A lot to unpack with Perth in the SEC. Yeah, I mean, listen, one of the things we've talked about over the last couple weeks is that we're in this transition moment between all these things that could be excited and what actually is. And this week was a good example of markets being sort of wildly all over the place based on trying to figure out what was real and what wasn't, you know, what promises were going to be kept, what weren't, which things we had to be patient and wait for.
Starting point is 00:22:23 And it's interesting, I think, that you sort of see all of the beginning of the week being the big blustery executive orders and then leading into. to these actually more subtle but more probably significant things. SEC actually creating this task force, SEC repealing 121. This is the sort of business end of this stick where things are actually going to get done. And I think that the more that our stories on this show end up needing to be SAB 121 being repealed versus what Trump happened to say to the WDWEF probably indicates it's better for the industry as a whole. Yeah, news not conjecture.
Starting point is 00:22:56 This is fact. This is happening. and a lot pointing to this being the sort of greatest obstacle to the true institutionalization of Bitcoin and the opening of the full suite of financial services like lending and yield that exists across the board. It's kind of interesting, you know, that if you look even at options trading activity, Bitcoin is a fraction of what happens on even an average stock, a Tesla or something like that. And you look at the way that people use their portfolios, especially wealthy people,
Starting point is 00:23:27 to leverage it for loans. Imagine Bitcoin being in your swab portfolio and just being another asset that you can total up to take a loan against. That's the things that are coming once you have this safe custody and banks participating. State Street, Bank of New York, Melon, Goldman, they all want to be able to hold your Bitcoin and make a hell of a lot of money, you know, around those financial services. Yep. I mean, listen, I think that one of the interesting questions that we'll just have to wait and see is how much, you know, which banks and financial institutions are out there just waiting for the rules to officially allow them in like this, which are sufficiently freaked out by Operation Chokepoint 2.0 that they're going to need to see some amount of time,
Starting point is 00:24:11 you know, and more clarity than this even before they wait in. You know, I think that, I think that we once again run the risk of assuming that as these things sort of turn around, there's going to be a flood, and I don't think it's going to work exactly like that, but we're firmly now in the clearing off the path for these folks to come in, and, you know, the markets will do the rest of the work, creating the incentives for folks to actually come join the party. Yeah, I mean, just something I overlooked when talking about the executive order, because you mentioned Operation Choke Point 2.0, Caitlin Long was very quick to point out that
Starting point is 00:24:47 in that executive order, he listed all of these agencies that had to take a look and would be participating and none of them were the bank oversight committees, FDIC, etc. She saw that as a clear FU to Operation Choke Point 2.0 and to the banks, and they're not really getting much feedback here as to how crypto is going to shake out in the United States. So SAB 121 and the end of Operation Choke Point 2.0 and clarity on that, you really couldn't ask for more short of literally a Bitcoin strategic reserve. Yep. I mean, listen, I think I think the the dust settles, people will feel like this was a very good week. And my guess is that, you know, rocks aside, I think what are we sitting at right now, 105,000? I think the price reflects it,
Starting point is 00:25:32 right? Yeah. It didn't go to 150, but 105 is a really decent price for Bitcoin at the moment. And this is one you pointed out to me that actually I hadn't really noticed. How to Buy Crypto mentions a Bitcoin jump on social media web searches indicating potential retail interest. If you dive in more, actually, searches outside of Bitcoin-specific and crypto and Solana and such are really skyrocketing. Now, I would argue that Bitcoin itself is not going to be searched as heavily on Google as previous cycles because it's become a part of the vernacular. And I think everybody at least has a basic understanding.
Starting point is 00:26:07 People look at what is Bitcoin Google search? How many people need to really Google that now versus, you know, four years ago or eight years ago? But still, it's a very clear indication that retail might finally be coming, which is exactly what's supposed to start at this point in the cycle. Yep, you're seeing it in the app downloads. You're seeing it. All the indicators are now pointing in this direction, for sure. Yeah, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:26:29 Sort of one of our other honorable mentions that I had here, because if we're talking about people being confused and words that are being used, well, we had Michael Saylor, the crypto renaissance has officially begun, which just yet again, freaking people out. Why is he saying crypto? So it's just really funny. Yeah, I made peace with that fight quite a while ago. But listen, again, I really do think it's nature healing to be able to care about crap like that again.
Starting point is 00:26:59 That was all the stories, but we kind of have to talk at least a little bit about Trump and Melania. I was just pulling up the Melania chart as we, yeah, as we were doing this. So that one didn't do none too good, so to speak. But I think Trump's still sitting at about $35, right, which puts it at a $35 billion-ish fully diluted value. I mean, $35 billion printed in overnight by the 48 hours away from being president of the United States seems like a worthy story to at least give an honorable mention at this point. I mean, let me ask you. So now that it's been a week, how do you think the opinions have changed, right? Because in the immediate hours following the thing, I would say it was kind of roughly,
Starting point is 00:27:41 divided between, oh my God, I just made life-changing money. Oh, my God, I missed life-changing money. Oh, my God, this is the world's greatest grift. Or, oh, my God, this is going to totally blow up in the window, Overton window on meme coins and signal a new era, right? I think even John Wu had a great tweet that was like, Perspective 1, this is an unbelievable black eye on the field. Opinion 2, this is going to totally change the path to everything becoming tokenized and basically saying, if you find yourself in one, see how fast you can get to two. How do you think attitudes have changed now? Is everyone just calcified in their opinions?
Starting point is 00:28:16 Are people less freaked out, more freaked out, less excited, more excited? Where do you think the industry stands? Well, first of all, I think as his team probably knew what happened, it's being washed out in the news cycle. And as big of a story as it was and as passion as people were, it's just kind of becoming a thing not to talk about anymore. Hence why it wasn't even on our top five list. Listen, I take part of everything you said there personally.
Starting point is 00:28:39 that it's where we're settling in. I think most people understand it was a cash grab and a grift. Besides like hardcore trumpers, there's very few people, even in crypto, who are like, yeah, this was a great idea. Great idea for him, but great idea for the industry, right? My first take was not great for humanity, very good for crypto, and I pretty much stick with that. I think if they hadn't have launched Melania, whoever did that, and however that was done,
Starting point is 00:29:02 the sentiment would be different because I think that leaned much harder towards gratuitous cash grab and also effectively had. half the price of Trump. So then the argument at that point became, well, look how many people just lost money, which I don't really know the case. I haven't dug into that. But I think that right now, people have gone back to being really excited about the governor being off and it being all systems go for the crypto industry.
Starting point is 00:29:28 And the fact that if the president's launching a mean coin, that's a very good signal, that that is going to be the fact. So I think, you know, people forgive him. They knew that it would get washed out in the cycle. and he would be forgiven. He's probably going to make billions of dollars on this with time. But I do think it's a signal that people are safe to come back to the U.S. and go nuts and crypto. I think that it very clearly draws the line between NFTs and meme coins as community affinity tokens, right? You know, because meme coins have always sort of been like the latter day version of, you know,
Starting point is 00:30:04 this is a thing that organizes this community that happens to have financial stakes in the same way that NFTs were. But, I mean, this is that on steroids, right? So it'll be interesting to see how it shapes the way that we think about meme coins going forward. I agree, though. It certainly says it's open season. So, you know, enjoy our stuff. Saps on that in that Fox business interview very clearly said, you know, NFTs and meme tokens are collectibles, right?
Starting point is 00:30:28 And that's obviously parroting the narrative that if you give a disclaimer, which Trump did on the website, you know, this is not meant for investment purposes. This is to support Trump. And then you get to call it a collectible. But I would make the argument that there's not a single person on this planet that bought that thing without the expectation of profit and just bought it because they liked, you know, to support. But listen, the law is the law.
Starting point is 00:30:51 Regulation is going to be regulation. Disclamers are disclaimers. I have no problem with people participating as they see fit. But I mean, just being honest, like this is obviously something that people are aggressively trading for profit because it's being promoted by the strongest, most powerful man in the free world. It's somewhere in that gray area between collectible and security. I think it's a great reminder to those who would be opponents of crypto that the appropriate way to try to build guardrails around this field is not the endlessly replaceable regulation
Starting point is 00:31:26 by enforcement regime of Gary Gensler because that man hadn't even, the door hadn't closed on his ass leaving the building before everything that he cared about was utterly an unfathom undone. And would that have been the same if he had actually taken the time to engage and build laws where these sort of things? Like, no. But instead, he spent all of his time going after Coinbase for some crap, you know? So I hope he feels good about his legacy because it doesn't exist anymore. And to your point, I mean, it was annihilated in a tweet. Like that one tweet in the launch of a meme coin and it exposed everything that was wrong with the entire previous administration in SEC. So if that's what we get out of it.
Starting point is 00:32:06 it, I'm here for it. If the silver lining of this grift has to be that Gary Gensler is crying somewhere in a corner, I'm here for it. I hope they send him a ledger that has a bunch of Trump on it. If I could, Melania. Just go. Trump, sorry, there you go. All right, guys, what a week to try to unpack. I can't even imagine we'll have another week like that. But you never know. We'll see you next Friday. Guys, of course, follow NLW, listen to the breakdown. Did you talk about the meme coin every day? Just on Tuesday, I think. You did better than me. He's a real professional. All right, guys, that's all we got for you today.
Starting point is 00:32:40 We will see you next week. Thanks, ma'am. Bye.

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