The Breakdown - The Thanksgiving Family Crypto Conversation
Episode Date: November 24, 2024A reading and discussion inspired by https://www.coindesk.com/opinion/2024/11/22/how-to-talk-about-crypto-with-your-family-this-thanksgiving/ Enjoying this content? SUBSCRIBE to the Podcast: https:/.../pod.link/1438693620 Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/nathanielwhittemorecrypto Subscribe to the newsletter: https://breakdown.beehiiv.com/ Join the discussion: https://discord.gg/VrKRrfKCz8 Follow on Twitter: NLW: https://twitter.com/nlw Breakdown: https://twitter.com/BreakdownNLW
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Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW.
It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world.
What's going on, guys? It is Sunday, November 24th, and that means it's time for Long Read Sunday.
Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it,
give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation,
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All right, friends. Well, this is going to do.
to be a fun one. One of the things that always marks crypto is what you want to say to your family
about it at Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving was famously part of the big run-up in 2017. People talking
about Bitcoin led to their friends and family going out and buying Bitcoin, which led to the 20K
top, which was for so long, the marker that we used to signify what a return to success for Bitcoin
would be. This year, we have Bitcoin at, at the time of recording, very nearly $100,000. And so we
turn to coin market caps Jonathan Isaac for his take on how to talk about crypto with your family
this Thanksgiving. I'm going to turn it over to an AI version of me to read his essay, and then I
will come back and discuss. How to Talk About Crypto with your family this Thanksgiving.
With Bitcoin eyeing $100,000 and peanut the squirrel grabbing headlines with 3,000% gains,
crypto is firmly back on the menu this holiday season. Family debates about Bitcoin,
meme coins, and The Dog Thing Elon tweets about will no doubt live in
up the dinner table, and you, as the designated crypto expert, will need some talking points to
win over the normies. Crypto is libertarian lunacy. Trump's candidacy and victory sparked the latest
crypto bull run, and many now associate it with the worst excesses of MAGA and Elon's dogg's
trolling. For your left-leaning relatives, seeing crypto champion so hard by the new Republican
administration will do little to help your case. If your true blue cousin won't buy Bitcoin because
of its red and orange connections, switch to the facts instead. Point out that Bitcoin is a currency
that can be used by people of all creeds, making it inherently non-political and a movement
that can unite us all. Reference Jason Mayer's book, a progressives case for Bitcoin, which
unpacks many misconceptions about Bitcoin and underscores its origins as a protest against
too big to fail banks, its ability to help poor and marginalized communities, and its
potential to create a sustainable environment. While policies may drive price action, crypto itself
should never be a partisan issue. Crypto is a meme coin casino. Somewhere between the deviled eggs and
the turkey, the next battle.
you'll face will be meme coins. With top-performing coins like Peepi, Doge, and Shib, and newcomers
like peanut delivering explosive returns, Auntie Cynthia's heard about the meme coin craze and she's
got some opinions to share. While Popcat, Bonk, and Mudang capture culture and community in ways that make
insiders smile, the flip side is making our industry look a little delulu. When trying to get
pension funds and family offices to allocate to crypto, it's hard to argue the virtues of fart coin,
no matter how many Brussels you've eaten. The meme coin craze is fun, but shouldn't overshadow the
real power of crypto to bring better, more efficient, more effective financial services to the world.
It's simple. For the 1.4 billion people shut out of the traditional financial system,
crypto is a better way to store value, access lending, and build wealth, empowering them to
take control of their financial futures. Also, when it comes down to it,
meme coins are an incredibly innovative new form of expression and financial participation that can
provide a sense of community and belonging missing from much of the polarizing social discourse on
centralized platforms.
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Cryptos are no different from stocks.
The launch of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs this year has some saying that crypto is just another
payday for Wall Street suits.
While folks like Black Rock's Larry Fink may help onboard more boomers to crypto, they're missing
the point.
Cryptocurrencies are the antithesis of stocks and other tradfai assets administered and held
by centralized custodians.
Digital assets are yours to own.
They are decentralized, unseasable, peer-to-peer, require no centralized authority,
and often have additional utility beyond a means of exchange and store of value.
The decentralized finance defy sector has opened up myriad opportunities and leveled the
playing field for everyday individuals to access sophisticated financial instruments,
secure a decent APY, or take out a permissionless loan.
No one can take your crypto from you if it's stored correctly under your control or halt
trading to prevent you from claiming your funds.
It's entirely different from traditional finance.
Crypto is a risky investment.
Many people who got curious about crypto during the last bull cycle
immediately crashed into one of the biggest financial frauds in U.S. history, and those who got tired of
waiting for prices to rise sold their assets at a less than ideal time. Everyone knows someone's
cousin, niece, or nephew who lost everything in crypto, especially NFTs. But for those who bought and
held Bitcoin, at least, their patience was duly rewarded. BTC has yielded an average of
671% annually since 2013, making it the best-performing asset of our time. Just look at El Salvador's
success. President Nayib Bukala's bet on Bitcoin in 20,
2021 drew its fair share of criticism, but the small Central American country's Bitcoin holdings
have now soared to over $500 million, yielding more than 100% ROI.
Not only that, but his approval ratings are hovering around 90%, and the homicide rate is now
lower than in the U.S.
Another small country to make it big on Bitcoin is the Kingdom of Bhutan whose Bitcoin
holdings now equate to over $1 billion.
Does that seem risky to you?
Crypto isn't real.
Of course, no Thanksgiving dinner would be complete without the old adage that
that crypto isn't real. Some folks just can't get around not being able to put Bitcoin in their
pocket, arguing that it isn't backed by anything, unlike the dollar which comes with the full
faith and credit of the U.S. government. Cold hard facts are your friend for this one.
Point to the powerful network of miners behind Bitcoin, the $3 trillion crypto market cap,
the ETF providers, the institutions, politicians, and nation states. Talk about Bitcoin's
cap supply of $21 million and reinforce that. Unlike the dollar which has lost 92% of its
purchasing power since 1933, no more.
will ever be mined and can never dilute the value of your holdings. Bitcoin's limited supply makes it
much more akin to gold as a scarce asset and optimal store of value, compared to the out-of-control
money printing machine behind the greenback diluting the value of your savings. Wonder why the
cost of everything from ham and eggs to house prices and the turkey on the table have gone up?
Inflation is an ongoing tax on the people and Bitcoin provides a compelling solution. Or,
to put it in words that Uncle Dave would agree with, Bitcoin offers a hedge against many of the risks
inherent to the traditional fiat financial system. If after all that, your family remains in a
movable object, take heart. It's better to have tried and failed than never to have tried at all.
And grandma, asking about crypto again, is the clearest top signal you can get.
All right. Back to Real NLW here. I just want to take a moment to talk about each of these
different categories in terms of my perspective on them. I think Jonathan did a great job, but I have
takes too. First of all, in this idea of it being libertarian lunacy, there is almost no way to avoid
that this is going to be part of the conversation.
Given that this 100K is so associated with the Trump win,
given that Elon named his agency Doge,
it could be a tenuous and testy time
for the progressives and Dems in your family.
And I think Jonathan is exactly right
that the best solve for this
is to come back to the fundamentals
of what a decentralized, non-controllable asset really means
for people who historically have not had power, financial, or otherwise.
Crypto might have gotten nominally political
during this election cycle and during Operation Choke Point 2.0 before it, but there is much for
progressives to champion in terms of what it might mean for underserved audiences.
Point being, I wouldn't see the point. I make sure that that group knows they have a place
in this crazy tent as well. Next up, Crypto is a meme coin casino. I don't really have much on this one.
Maybe like Jonathan suggests, you double down here on the message of what Bitcoin can do for the
world. Maybe you claim your Bitcoin maxi status. Or maybe you put it.
point out that in truly free markets, there's going to be some chaotic, weird things, and ultimately,
as long as investors have good information, there are adults who get to make their own financial
decisions. You could also point out that there's so much that's serious in the world, that letting
people have some ridiculous fun isn't necessarily the worst thing. On the idea of crypto being no
different from stocks, Jonathan's argument is basically to remind people that the distribution of power
in crypto is very different, even if Wall Street is now involved. The place that I would take that is
even farther. Just as much as crypto has had to adapt to Wall Street, Wall Street has had to
adapt to crypto as well. Yes, you can get exposure to crypto in products that are familiar and
comfortable for you, but nothing about the fundamental underlying nature of the assets and the
technology that powers them has been changed or conceded to make that happen. Crypto as a risky
investment, first of all, you can point out that it depends on what time scale you're talking,
but second, you can also acknowledge that it is a risky investment and that lots of things in the
crypto space are not going to yield rewards. Net-net, I think that fewer people coming in because they think
they're going to get rich is probably a good thing for the industry. Lastly, when it comes to this
idea that crypto isn't real, on this one, I'm not really sure you have to say much at all.
The market cap is $3 trillion. The price of Bitcoin and asset, which has been predicted to die
thousands of times, is at nearly $100,000. And after a full frontal assault from the U.S.
government, the industry is stronger than ever. If that's not real, I don't know what reality is.
That is going to do it for this pre-Thanksgiving episode of LRS.
We will have shows this week, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, so don't you worry about that.
But until next time, be safe and take care of each other.
Peace.
