The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge - Encore Presentation - "Justin Trudeau On The Ropes." The Book

Episode Date: May 22, 2024

Today an encore presentation of an episode that originally aired on May 7th. This is publication day for Paul Wells and his new book (or is it an essay?) "Justin Trudeau - On The Ropes". The well-kno...wn national columnist takes a hard look at the man who has been part of the Canadian landscape as a political leader for a dozen years now. What's the real story behind his leadership? Today a conversation with the author. 

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 And hello there, Peter Mansbridge here. Welcome to Encore Wednesdays. Our guest this week, Paul Wells. This from just a couple of weeks ago, his new book on Justin Trudeau. It's called On the Ropes. Hope you enjoy it. And hello there, welcome to Tuesday. Looking forward to today's program, as I look forward to every day's program, I gotta say that. But this will be interesting. When you host a podcast or a broadcast, you're constantly bombarded with ideas of what you can use your time to do. You get ideas from listeners, you get ideas from book publishers, certainly.
Starting point is 00:00:56 And a lot of the ideas that come to me, no matter where they come from, are about, in fact, books. You know, I'll get a letter from a listener saying, I just read this fabulous book. It's by so-and-so. It's called this. And you should really, you should get that author on the program. And I appreciate that. And sometimes I'm able to follow it up.
Starting point is 00:01:19 I mean, usually what I do with books is, if it is of particular interest to me, I know this is kind of selfish, but if it's of particular interest to me, I'll follow through. I'll get a copy of the book. I'll read it. My kind of rule of thumb on books is if I'm not really hooked
Starting point is 00:01:44 in the first 50 pages, I'm usually out of there. And I know that's unfair to some authors who say the best part of the book is, you know, the last half, what have you. Um, but that, that's kind of my rule of thumb. I have a pile of books. People send books to me, drop books off, send manuscripts all the time. And I'll be honest, I don't get a chance to read them all. So I read the ones that are of particular interest to me. I can remember, is it almost two years ago now? A fellow named Ronnie McKenzie sent me a manuscript
Starting point is 00:02:34 on a book he was writing about Bomber Command, the Second World War operation based in Britain that ran the air war, the bomber end of the air war against Nazi Germany. And he wrote about how his kind of life was the same as mine in the sense we both had fathers who'd flown in bomber command, flown Lancasters. And we were intrigued by their story,
Starting point is 00:03:17 and we both had the same experience that a lot of veterans' kids had had, where it was awfully hard to get your father to talk about the experience, especially those who were in the air war. And anyway, he decided he was going to really push hard to find out as much as he could about Bomber Command and the operations of Bomber Command, and he did so. And he wrote this book. He sent me the manuscript, you know, digitally. And I, you know, had it there, and I thought, you know, I'll get around to doing this.
Starting point is 00:03:55 It's kind of a hobby book by this fellow, and I'm sure it's well-intended, but I'm really busy. It was in the middle of the pandemic. Anyway, I was on an overseas flight, and I said, I'm going to take it with me, and I'll give it a try and see what this book's like. Well, it was a page-turner for me. It was fantastic.
Starting point is 00:04:19 I mean, I thought I knew a fair amount about Bomber Command, Sir Arthur Harris, Bomber Harris, the controversy surrounding Bomber Command. I thought I knew a lot of that. But I learned so much just on that flight. And so I wrote back and I said, you've got a winner here. Roddy, this is a terrific book.
Starting point is 00:04:44 Anybody who wants to know anything about air operations in the Second World War as it related to the bombing of Nazi Germany has got to read this book. Well, it turns out that his book has become this sensation in veterans groups and bomber command organizations around the world, in Britain, and certainly in Canada and the United States. So congratulations to him. It just shows what one person can do with a vision and caring about the story that he's trying to tell, he or she is trying to tell.
Starting point is 00:05:35 So anyway, if you're in the least bit interested, any good bookstore has got Bomber Command in it now. It's done extremely well. I think it's in the second or third or maybe fourth printing. I'm not sure how many. But It's done extremely well. I think it's in the second or third or maybe fourth printing. I'm not sure how many, but it's done extremely well. Anyway, my point here is to say, I get a lot of books come my way and a lot of suggestions from publishers. You know, you've got to read this book and you know, I can arrange it for your author, the author of this book to be on your program. Well, it's never hard. It's never hard to get an author on the program if you're going to give them a little space. But, you know, I do other things other than books.
Starting point is 00:06:17 But every once in a while, I'll do a book. Which brings me to today, because I've been anxiously waiting this one. Paul Wells is one of my favorite writers on politics in Canada. He's one of Canada's most experienced political journalists. As they say at the publisher, after many years at Maclean's, National Post, and the Gazette, he now publishes a subscription newsletter at paulwells.substack.com. He's a frequent commentator on both French and English language radio and television. He's also the author of An Emergency in Ottawa. It's about the convoy. So when I heard that he's got this new book
Starting point is 00:07:10 on Trudeau, on Justin Trudeau, I thought I got to get him, got to get him on the program. It's published today is day one of the book. I read it over the weekend. And, you know, as I'll tell Paul, I learned a lot. And I thought I knew. I thought I already knew a lot, having covered Prime Minister Trudeau. From his election as a liberal leader right through to his election as Prime Minister and in the three elections that he's running as leader and as prime minister. So, enough from me.
Starting point is 00:07:56 Let's get to Paul and his thoughts on his book. I think you'll find it more than a little bit interesting. Probably if you're in the slightest bit interested in the story of Justin Trudeau and where we stand these days, then I'm sure you're probably going to want to grab a copy of the book. Here we go, my conversation with Paul Wills. So, Paul, let's start with the question, book or essay? Because your publisher calls it a book.
Starting point is 00:08:31 He called it an essay. I mean, it is, you know, 100, 110 pages, whatever, sort of in that. But how do you regard it? How do you look at it? I call it an essay. In France, we wouldn't have this problem because in France, people all the time write books at very
Starting point is 00:08:52 short lengths, rants, all the way back to Jacques Hughes. This is part of a periodical series called Sutherland Quarterly. Each issue is capped at 100 pages. I don't get 103 pages. i tried a year ago when i wrote about the commission of inquiry into the the freedom convoy and uh uh ken white my publisher said nope um um so you have to it's a weird middle distance run i mean it's a weird middle distance run. I mean, it's, uh, longer than all, but the very longest pieces
Starting point is 00:09:28 that I wrote for McLean's. Um, and it's a quarter of the length of the big book that I wrote about Stephen Harper a decade ago. And, um, it, it turns out that turning in an argument at that length is a real challenge, but God help me, I've started to like it. Well, I think readers might like it too, because it's a comfortable length for you to sit down and read it. Okay, I have a number of specific questions based on things you wrote, but I want to start off in a general way, because you're a guy who's followed Justin Trudeau for basically the whole time he's been in Parliament. You've interviewed him. You've moderated a debate.
Starting point is 00:10:16 You've been in scrums. You've done it all with him at one point or another. So going into this project, did anything surprise you about what you learned about him? Yes, it was in the nature of being reminded of stuff that I might not have thought about in a while or that I might not have thought the same way at the time. And specifically, I was struck very much
Starting point is 00:10:45 looking back at the way he talked and the way his campaign published its material in 2015 when he went from third place to a comfortable majority by how much he ran as a moderate. There's a minute I sure hadn't remembered in the debate that I moderated where he goes after Stephen Harper for bringing down eight consecutive deficit budgets. And in hindsight, not only does that show amazing gall, but it suggests that his thinking
Starting point is 00:11:18 changed at some point between running for prime minister and having been prime minister in a while. And he seriously underplayed his climate policy. He didn't hide it, but he made sure that it occupied much less space than his economic policy. The economic policy was really only nudges and tweaks from what the Harper government had been doing. And so the centerpiece, the thing they still wish that we would spend more time talking about
Starting point is 00:11:52 is the Canada child benefit. It was essentially an extension of a child benefit that the Harper government had brought in. And so on and so on. So that helped to orient really the whole argument of the book is that he didn't run in 2019 and 2021 as the guy that he ran as in 2015. So why? And then I seek to answer that. Want to give us a hint on the answer? I mean, I don't want to prevent people from reading the essay, but you tease us that way.
Starting point is 00:12:27 I mean, I'll tell you, it's fun trying to market a 100-page book because I've got friends in several news outlets who've been wanting excerpts. I'm like, I can't give away a lot of excerpts because they're not something for people to read. but um um basically it's that canadian politics had already been polarizing it had already been shifting in such a way that um supporters of each main stream in our politics leftish and rightish um had been growing in the conviction that the other side was beyond the pale and that had already been happening uh before trudeau came along and it continued when he was office so that the center that i think by temperament he he was sure he would he'd be fine uh pitching for the center but what he saw was that the center was crumbling. And so he sought out some other territory, which is oppositional to the conservatives. And so he
Starting point is 00:13:33 worked within that creeping polarization in our politics, which is due to a lot of things. And eventually, starting basically with the 21 campaign, he started to nudge that polarization along. You know, it's funny because when you're left reading this essay and you remind yourself, well, you know, he's pushed government and governing to the left, but in doing so, he's pushed the country to the right uh well because any incumbent is pretty sure that the people will never be so dumb as to support the other side right i mean i've seen this you know we played in a lot of films and we've seen this happen before. I remember I was when Ernie Eves was the short live conservative premier between Mike Harris and the Abyss.
Starting point is 00:14:34 I was becoming quite critical of Ernie Eves and and Ontario conservatives at the time would would buttonhole me at conventions and so on and say, oh, yeah, I'm sure you're having fun, Paul, whatever. But come on, Premier Dalton McGinty? Like, that's never going to happen. And then he handed their teeth to them. And similarly, I mean, Trudeau is increasingly, as he's had a very difficult year, he's just slamming away on that button that says look at who i'm running against and because he he himself can't imagine that anyone would support that and um but you're right uh at some point the technique that got him here threatens to not work any longer and and that might be what we're seeing now.
Starting point is 00:15:25 And, and then all the people like people could have voted for, you know, roly poly jolly Aaron O'Toole three years ago, but, but he said Aaron O'Toole was the worst possible outcome. So now who's, who's there left to vote for except Pierre Poilier? I mean,
Starting point is 00:15:45 if you've, if like some Canadians, you've just given up on Justin Trudeau. Um, you call the book, Justin Trudeau on the ropes. Um, and you know, we can all have our, uh, imagine what the signal is in the title, but it's also a pointing back in history because 2012 was the year of the boxing match, you know, just before he became leader, just after he'd won his seat in the house. And I guess what I find fascinating about the way you write it is it's basically suggesting that if anyone else has forgotten it, he's not one of them.
Starting point is 00:16:30 He remembers it. It means something to him and it means something to him now because he was counting out in that fight. I am, I am told that he, um, it's not every day. It's not,
Starting point is 00:16:43 he doesn't mention the boxing match until people are sick of hearing about it but every once in a while he says you know i've been counted out before i have been mocked laughed at dismissed bet against and i won anyway and uh in his memoir of common ground from 2014 which is like the uh stephen hawking Brief History of the Universe. It's the book that's on every bookshelf in Ottawa, but no one's actually ever cracked it. In the memoir, he says, I won for reasons that are applicable to politics. I prepared, I trained, I strategized, and the other person just thought they could win on brute force and and and so he carries that thought around with him is that like so this is a book that's critical of Justin Trudeau
Starting point is 00:17:34 but not dismissive of him not mocking of him and um the title says Justin Trudeau on the ropes the the the big thing I want people to keep in mind about that is he kind of likes being on the ropes. The big thing I want people to keep in mind about that is he kind of likes being on the ropes. He kind of feels like he's at a position of maximum potential when he's on the ropes. Do you really believe that? Do you really think he feels that way? But he's also not an idiot. Like he knows that when you're on the ropes, the next thing that can happen is that you get knocked out and uh even when he was giving interviews around that boxing match he said look i could lose but so what everyone when everyone expects you to lose it's no shame to lose and it's more powerful if you win anyway and uh and he's also uh i mean i'd
Starting point is 00:18:19 say this in so many words he's not a fool in that he understands that politics isn't actually boxing but we have metaphors i have so much of my writing is based on things i think about music uh everyone carries around a metaphor that seems a little weird to everyone else and his thing is this boxing which i should emphasize i don't lean on heavily in the book i'm not going to make people sick of the boxing metaphor um do you think it plays into the story that we're all kind of covering now, which is, can he win again? Should he try again? Is he going to quit or not? Do you think that memory of that match plays into what's happening now?
Starting point is 00:19:08 Yeah, I think, I think very much as a sub theme like i don't think uh again i like they don't there's not a whiteboard somewhere that says you know split down the middle it says boxing polyev and then you know compare and contrast it's not that um uh literal um but another thing i get into uh is that people have been looking at him and assuming they know what's going to happen to him literally since the day he was born he was pierre and margaret trudeau's christmas miracle baby in 1970 71 he was on every front page in the in the country or the fact of him was on the Trudeau's Christmas miracle baby in 1970, 71. He was on every front page in the country, or the fact of him was on the front page of every paper in the country the next day.
Starting point is 00:19:52 And I mean, growing up in high school, and he writes about this again in his memoir, at McGill as a bar bouncer, a whistler, as a teacher in Vancouverouver he's known that people are going to look at him when he walks in the room and he knows that a lot of them are going to look at him and say what a tool i mean before before he'd done anything there were some people who were going to think that and there are some people who are going to say well he's you know isn't he dreamy. Isn't he fantastic? And so, he's more comfortable with the fact of being the center of attention than any of us can imagine. Even you, Peter. And it factors into his thinking and, and, and the, uh, that sort of two-step the, I know what everyone's thinking, but I know what I can do is inherent in that sort
Starting point is 00:20:53 of situation. You hinted at earlier in this conversation about not delivering necessarily on some of the things that he promised. I mean, we all remember the electoral reform promise, and you talk about it in there. You do point out that there were more than a few things that, in fact, he did deliver on out of that 2015 campaign. But some things were left bare in the cupboard.
Starting point is 00:21:20 And one of them that I find interesting about, because you talk about it not necessarily as a broken promise, but as a broken kind of ideal that this guy could represent. And that was the sense that this was going to be a very different kind of governing from the center, from the prime minister's office. In fact, he even said to me in an interview during that campaign in 2015 that his father had made a mistake by having far too much control in the PMO and there was no way he was going to let that happen. Well, in fact, when you see what happened fairly quickly, he kind staff from his choice or his office's choice on them,
Starting point is 00:22:08 as opposed to them picking their own chief of staff. And then the whole issue with Jody Wilson-Raybould and how that played out. Was that, talk to me about how that has affected governing, his style of governing. So step one is to explain it. Because one thing I always try and do is be empathetic with the people that I write about at length. I assume that they're doing their best. And with Justin Trudeau, that's not a difficult assumption to make.
Starting point is 00:22:44 So why the hell did he centralize so quickly? And the answer is because the Liberal Party that he led rose from the wreckage of a Liberal Party that had had its worst decade since Confederation. Three increasingly devastating defeats, ending with Michael Ignatieff and the party slipping to third place. So when they jumped from third to first, they came to office with a lot of people who didn't know politics,
Starting point is 00:23:11 people who'd done impressive things out in the real world, but who didn't know where the bathrooms were in the center block and didn't know which way to face when they were talking to the speaker and what happens after first reading of a bill that they might be championing and so on and so on. And so it's arguably only natural. It's certainly understandable that you put all these people on short leashes and you make sure that there's a sort of central coordinating capacity.
Starting point is 00:23:40 And so they did quite remarkable things. They did trust-building exercises like you might do at a weekend getaway for the Dunder Mifflin Company. I covered a caucus retreat, all the MPs. And there was a scavenger hunt where they had to go around finding the answers to clues. Which member of the caucus used to be a singer in a boy band. It was a guy from the West Island of Montreal whose name escapes.
Starting point is 00:24:10 And, you know, so the stuff you do when you're in middle school to solidify the team. And then just about the time they might have gotten enough confidence to relax a bit, the world started to get weird. Trump, Brexit, a more overtly belligerent China, and so on and so on. And so very quickly, emergency measures become permanent measures, and a tactical choice becomes an attitude towards how you deal with dissent. And I think that's what happened with this group. You know, you mentioned Trump because it's interesting. You tell an anecdote, and I guess it's not really an anecdote, but it's a little slice of history that you've come up with somehow, that he was one of the first to notice Trump in terms of his potential.
Starting point is 00:25:04 And he kind of equated it with himself and the ability to read the public mood. Yeah. It's a slice. It's a slice of history I did by burning an off the record agreement that was eight years old. And I figured the statute of limitations, he came to the back of the plane as he was flying back from his big meeting with Obama at the beginning of 2016. And he chatted with the press. And I thought it was such a good story, I could use it because it's eight
Starting point is 00:25:32 years ago. And what's he going to do? Not give me an interview? He hasn't given me an interview in several years anyway. And what he said was, so remember the timing, it was less than a year since he himself had been elected, and it was before Trump was elected, but Trump was starting to sort of come on strong. And what he said was, you could make an argument that I won in our election because I had the best understanding of the popular mood and what the nation was thinking and of the people in the field for the 2016 election which at that point was like nine months away uh you could make an argument that trump has the best understanding of where americans are at uh which i found
Starting point is 00:26:21 there's these moments when trudeau was like astonishingly clear-eyed. You know, there is a tendency to write the guy off as a bit of a goof. And I've never felt that. There's moments when he seems to be the guy in the room who understands things better than most people, including he was starting to think that not only that Trump would win, but that in a weird way, Trump might deserve to win. It's funny that he had that feeling about him in 2016 before he achieved the presidency, compared with the way we watched him deal with Trump and how that relationship kind of dissolved over time. Reading the public mood or not, you know, because it got pretty ugly.
Starting point is 00:27:16 Yeah, not nearly as ugly as it could have got. I count the management of the Trump presidency as, by and large, one of his victories because there was no extended trade war. There was no complete freezing out. Trump's ambassador to Ottawa was always welcome and part of the discourse, and the same with Canada's ambassador in Washington. And they saved NAFTA.
Starting point is 00:27:53 And they saved NAFTA so completely that there has been no attempt by Trudeau to go back to Biden and say, can we fix, you know, like that was a stopgap, but can we, can we, you know, make it the great trade deal it could be? No one feels that need. And if some of the, you know, if Peter Navarro got mad at Christopher Freeland or Trump made some intemperate scrum statements, or some people on the Trudeau side were sometimes pretty snide and dismissive of Trump. That's human nature, but they managed to pretty completely
Starting point is 00:28:33 contain the potential damage despite the fact that none of them liked one another. I don't want to use all your book up here in this conversation, as you mentioned earlier, but there's so many great little nuggets in there. There's a term that's going to come as probably news to some people, but I want you to talk about it for a second, because you mentioned polarization a few moments ago, but in the book you talk about effective polarization. Yeah. I just got lucky there.
Starting point is 00:29:09 I am affiliated with the Munk School at the University of Toronto, as are you. And I was at one of their conferences, and a couple of political scientists were talking about effective polarization the way other people might talk about TikTok. They weren't announcing a discovery. It was just part of the discourse. And I finally figured out what it is. Affective polarization, that is the polarization of affect or emotion, is the way supporters of a political party think about the other political party or political stream. And so it's distant from policy polarization where conservatives might have one view about the climate and liberals might have another view. And it's more, how would you feel if somebody who supported the other party became your next door neighbor
Starting point is 00:29:58 or married your kid? And what we've seen in several countries but not all the countries where this has been studied is that it's been increasing over time very much in the United States less in Germany and less here than in the United States but still quite considerably so the gap in perceptions between liberals and conservatives has essentially doubled since Brian Mulroney was prime minister. And it's been doubling kind of in a straight line. And so I heard this conversation about effective polarization only three weeks before I had to turn in the manuscript of this essay. And I thought, well, I'm going to hang my hat off of that. And so the third chapter is substantially, and it's what got excerpted in The Globe on the weekend. It's an examination of effective polarization in the context of Canadian politics and in the
Starting point is 00:31:01 context of Trudeau's tactical choices. You know, it makes the challenge of going after your opponent all that much more, well, challenging. Well, you talk about it in terms of one of the flip-flops, if you want to call it that, of Justin Trudeau is he talked in 2015 about, I don't go for personal attacks. I don't do that, and we're not going to do that. That didn't last long. Well, so he would repeat that today.
Starting point is 00:31:35 I mean, he would insist that he doesn't do personal attacks. And, you know, like, so he doesn't, and he would interpret that as, he never badmouths Pierre Poilier's personal life life or he never says, well, you know, he's been putting on weight or anything like that, you know, but he can't talk about really any issue without putting it in the context of, you know, there's another side and you have to bear in mind that if I don't get my way, then you're going to get thrown to those wolves. And then in another moment that I kind of obsess over that most people have forgotten, at the 2018 Liberal Convention, David Axelrod, who was Obama's chief strategist for the 2008 election and the 2012 reelect, came up and, you know, one-on-one session with Jerry Butts in front of the convention crowd, with Justin Trudeau sitting in the front row, said, that's what you have to do in a reelect.
Starting point is 00:32:39 You can't run on hope twice. You have to run on hope to introduce yourself. And then when you're in the context of reelection and hard choices and disappointing results, you have to say, look, it's us or the other guys. And let me tell you about the other guys. And that gave them, because every Canadian politician would like to be an American politician and every Canadian liberal imagines themselves in an episode of the West Wing. Having David Axelrod come up and give them permission to polarize was all that they needed. And they have taken his advice and run with it. I love Axelrod because he always makes politics sound so simple when we know it's not simple. But through a little anecdote like that, that's pretty simple.
Starting point is 00:33:33 Yeah. And look, honestly, in the heat of an election campaign, especially one that happens a few months after the snc lavalin episode which was um which shook canadians faith in that government to an extent that i still don't think they understand honestly i have a hard time understanding it the snc lavalin thing was a little technical and yet people were uh not happy so coming out of that context, and then in the context of a campaign where he's revealed to have worn blackface repeatedly through his young adulthood, to some extent,
Starting point is 00:34:12 who would advise him to run on hope in that context? You would have to run on contrast. And so, again, there's very little in the book where I... Except for the blackface thing, which was just weird. There's very few episodes where I look at what he's done and say, well, how dare he? Or how could he possibly have done that? I think my job is to propose plausible explanations for why he did the things he's done.
Starting point is 00:34:40 And I don't find it very difficult. Running on increasing polarization in the 2010s and 2020s, to me, is a perfectly reasonable reaction to the political landscape. I think it's had unfortunate consequences, but to me, it's not a mystery why he's done it. Let me wrap it up with this one. You make a point in the book that you're not making predictions, and I hear you on that. But give me a sense of what you think we're likely to be looking at over the next year. Not what's going to happen, but the kind of tone of our politics,
Starting point is 00:35:23 assuming he's sticking around. What do you think this next year is going to look like? So last Tuesday when Pierre Poiliev called him wacko in the House of Commons and got kicked out of the Commons and the whole caucus went with them. And the prime minister was calling Pauli a spineless lackey of the hard right in America. That will be forgotten. Not personal, of course.
Starting point is 00:35:56 No, no, no, no, no, no, no. Fine-looking lackey. That'll be forgotten by election day because we'll have seen much worse. I hope that more journalists will engage a discussion of Aliev's policy proposals and the analysis that they stem from, which is eccentric, and I disagree with a lot of it, but to me it's not empty sloganeering. To me, it's a guy who's been thinking and strategizing
Starting point is 00:36:38 and planning for some time. And I hope we don't get into the kind of arid, in or out speculation that we did sometimes during the Kretchen-Martin wars. There were people on the Hill who the only thing they were interested in was the date of Kretchen's departure, which was the least interesting question you could imagine, right? And that's, there's a bunch of reasons why I wrote this thing, but one of them was whatever else he deserves, Justin Trudeau deserves some serious evaluation. And the same could be, I mean, I know there's a biography of Pierre Polyev coming out soon. The same can be said for anyone who aspires to leadership roles in our country. So I just
Starting point is 00:37:31 decided I would do my bit. Well, and we're glad you did. It's a thoughtful read. It's an interesting read and it makes you think, which is always a good uh a good thing for uh us to do uh with our listeners and readers etc etc uh paul always good to talk to you thanks so much for doing this really good to see you peter thanks so much paul wells and uh some thoughts on his new book which is out today you can find it uh'm sure, by either going online or going into your store, your favorite bookstore. It is called Justin Trudeau, On the Ropes. Go for it.
Starting point is 00:38:18 All right. We're going to take a quick break and come back with an end bit. We haven't had one of those in a while, but we have time for one and it's a fascinating one. So we'll do that right after this. And welcome back. You're listening to The Bridge, the Tuesday episode, right here on SiriusXM, Channel 167, Canada Talks, or on your favorite podcast platform.
Starting point is 00:38:55 Okay. Here's the headline in the Business Insider on MSN.com. One of the world's biggest cities is sinking, so officials are spending $35 billion to build a new capital. You know where that is? You've heard of Jakarta, I assume, capital of Indonesia. That's the city we're talking about. Indonesia plans to relocate its capital from Jakarta
Starting point is 00:39:28 to the new city of Nusantara. The new city will cost $35 billion, won't be finished until 2045, so another two decades. But you guessed it, the climate crisis, you know, the thing that some people say doesn't exist. That's why the problem exists here. The climate crisis has prompted the move with Jakarta at risk of sinking due to rising sea levels. Jakarta is on the northwest coast of Java at the mouth of the Chewang River. It's Indonesia's capital and its biggest city. It's home to some 10.6 million people, about 30 million in the metropolitan area.
Starting point is 00:40:19 It's also sinking with about 40% of the area now below sea level. The Indonesian government plans to move the capital to Nusantara, a new city being built on the eastern coast of Borneo, about 870 miles north of Jakarta. As we said, it's going to cost about $35 billion, won't be finished until 2045. However, about 6,000 government workers are expected to move there in time for the next president's inauguration this October. The decision is not without precedent. Brazil shifted from Rio de Janeiro to Brasilia in 1960, while Abuja replaced Lagos as Nigeria's capital in 1991. But this is the first time that the climate crisis has played a role
Starting point is 00:41:13 in the process. In recent years, rising sea levels have made Jakarta the world's fastest sinking megacity, which sparked the Indonesian government's decision to move the capital. You can find a lot more on msn.com and the Business Insider, and it gives a closer look at the new city. But isn't that incredible? A 20-year program.
Starting point is 00:41:46 Well, if they say today it's going to cost $35 billion, you know. You know, if it's anything like our estimates, it's going to be a lot more than that by the time they finish in 20 years, in 2045. And moving everybody. Like it's quite something. I'm sure there'll be some great time-lapse photography on that. Or whatever has replaced it by then. Because of AI and all things like that.
Starting point is 00:42:17 And that was our Encore Wednesday episode with Paul Wells, the author of the new book, Justin Trudeau on the Ropes.

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