The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge - Good Talk -- So Much For The Honeymoon - Encore
Episode Date: May 19, 2025An encore of some Liberals who thought they should be in cabinet aren't, and they aren't happy either. ...
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And hello there, Peter Mansbridge here.
You're just moments away from the latest episode of the bridge.
And this on this holiday Monday is an encore episode.
We'll go back a couple of days to Friday's good talk.
Hope you enjoy it.
And hello there, Peter Mansbridge here, along with Chantelle Bear and Rob Russo.
You are up for your Friday good talk session. And hello there, Peter Mansbridge here along with Chantelle Bair and Rob Russo.
You are up for your Friday Good Talk session.
Lots of politics to talk about this week.
As always, I guess.
So let's get to it.
You know, if there's one thing I always hesitate in discussions, it's about days where cabinet
shuffles or cabinet announcements are made,
because these are the kind of days where we get all excited. It's a classic sort of
inside the Ottawa bubble story, no matter where you happen to be.
But often it's dealing with people who you never hear again about after the budget or after the
cabinet shuffle is announced or cabinet announcements are made.
And then you hear from some people who didn't get in,
who were kind of a little bit upset that they didn't get in
or they didn't get the portfolio they wanted,
et cetera, et cetera.
So it's been one of those kind of weeks
around the cabinet story.
There are real stories on the cabinet,
but first of all, you know,
the kind of fallout from cabinet,
is it any more than normal?
Is it just your normal sort of cabinet fallout stories?
Because it's clear there are some people who are not happy.
Chantelle, when you look at it, what do you see?
I think the first person who will never tell you that he's not happy but is probably not totally happy with cabinet is called Mark Carney, who has just been taught over the past few weeks since the election.
The difference between a new government and a legacy government. government allows you to pick and choose, restrict the number of chairs around the table
and move on. A legacy government comes with its load of baggage like it or not. You're
not starting from scratch. You don't get to do what you want. In Mr. Carney's case, he
had gotten some new people elected, but he was also dealing with the government. It's been in office for a decade.
That's got proven players, but also people who had expectations.
And so he ends up with the cabinet. Call it.
We've all seen junior ministers, ministers of state, secretary of states.
That's what you do when you're desperately trying to keep the number
manageable around the cabinet table without
having too many people feel let down.
So that's one.
I think if Mark Carney had come brought the party to government after a spell in opposition,
the cabinet would not stand at 20 something plus just enough to get into the range of
40. It's awkward to think that
there are people who were appointed by Mark Carney to cabinet for the first time who suddenly are not
in cabinet anymore. The government wasn't even defeated. Think of, I'll just name one Nate Erskine
Smith, who did, with good reason, he would have been a hypocrite to not to
say that he felt let down. He was appointed Minister of Housing. And then he wasn't. So he
was a minister for the duration of the election campaign. It's not that he was even shifted. He's
not in cabinet anymore. It goes a long way also to, and I'm not sure that I
approve of that, but to show how cabinet has become even more
about representation, rather than performance over the past
few decades. It's not just gender parity. I'm always
amazed when people say that some talent was left on the bench because
women were appointed because it seems to suggest that everyone who was ever appointed to cabinet
who is a man had the competence to be in cabinet. That's not been my experience looking at cabinets
of the past. Regional representation always mattered. But now you start hiving off and that's
the second reason for all those secretary of states,
junior ministers call them what you want. People, groups were unhappy that there was not a specific
minister devoted to women and LGBT rights. I've seen over the past week groups saying, why do we not have a dedicated person for
Canadians with disabilities, et cetera.
I do not think that having people on the outer ring of the actual cabinet with those titles
will make a significant difference to those files.
I'm curious about what the Secretary of State for Nature does,
versus the man, Heritage Minister, called something else now, I think Canadian identity in charge of
parks versus the Minister of the Environment. And the list goes on. So yes, there are people who
probably feel that they ran under the, you know, the understanding that they probably would be
in cabinet since they still were and were left out. And on the other hand, you have
people who had decided not to run and then changed their minds as the polls turned, who
ended up, I'm talking about you, Sean Fraser here, and Anita Anandand who ended up getting big jobs in this cabinet. So bottom line though,
every single liberal MP should be thankful that Mark Carney exists because they would be
fighting for jobs as opposition critics if he hadn't come on the scene to bring them to victory
and that does earn him a pass from caucus unrest
for quite a while.
Fighting for opposition,
critic roles or fighting for a job outside of Ottawa.
That's right.
Brushing up their CVs is what they would be doing.
A lot of them.
Yeah.
So how deep is the, I don't want to call it unrest,
but there seems to be some grumbling out there, Rob.
No, there are some bruised feelings.
And I think part of the reason that there are bruised
feelings, and this is something that Mr. Kearney is going
to have to work on, he's going to have to develop caucus
management skills that he's not used to using.
He didn't need those in the positions that he's been in.
And we've talked about
how people say he doesn't suffer fools. That's one thing. But it's another thing when you're
asking people to give up time with their family, often give up lucrative careers to come and
work for him and work for the government of Canada, you've got to
acknowledge that and you've got to give them some sort of task to do.
If not a task, then at least recognize that they're human beings.
So the bruised feelings that I'm hearing about are from people who hoped to get into cabinet,
might have expected to get into cabinet,
in one case actually was told they were going to get
into cabinet after being left out of the election cabinet,
and then didn't hear anything from Mr. Carney
or from the people around him.
They sat around the last weekend waiting for the call
to come to say that they were in.
When it didn't, they reached out themselves.
They checked their phone to make sure it wasn't on silent.
And then they reached out themselves only to be told,
no, you didn't make the cut.
And caucus management is going to be an important thing.
The government is going to have to make some very, very difficult decisions.
Chantal is right. Opportunism paid.
Anita Anand and Sean Fraser, after 15 minutes with your family, your opportunism paid.
You decided to come back when the wind was at the back of Mark Carney.
It I also found that it paid to be somebody who tormented Justin Trudeau at one time or another.
Wayne Long tormented Trudeau for years.
He gets a spot as a as a minister of state, not as a minister of Secretary of State.
And we have to draw a distinction there. It's an important distinction.
the minister, the secretary of state. And we have to draw a distinction there.
It's an important distinction.
Joel Lightbound was a sharp critic of Mr. Trudeau's
after the 2021 election, accused him of practicing
the politics of division by using vaccine mandates
to wedge Aaron O'Toole, and was a smart, talented guy
from Quebec City
who was left out as a result.
And actually I think,
didn't wanna be a parliamentary sector anymore after that.
The person who tormented Justin Trudeau the most
in the last year probably of his time in office
was Christa Freeland.
And she gets to stay as well.
So a Trudeau tormentor, you're gonna do alright. It is
what I would call a corpulent cabinet. Justin Trudeau's first council of ministers, I believe,
was 31 people, and this is far more than that. Stephen Harper's was 29. Chautelle is right that this is a government
that's long in its tooth.
In terms of the party in office,
it's not the same as them.
But the history is one of cabinet inflation.
When prime ministers come in and name their first cabinet,
the first one is usually the smallest,
and then it goes up from there.
So it'll be interesting if Mr. Carney keeps that habit.
It does tell us about his priorities, though.
And it does tell us about his vulnerabilities.
I'm led to believe that he's acknowledged
that he is not as comfortable on the ground in Quebec
as his predecessor was.
And that's one of the reasons why you see Guilbeault, Joliet, Champagne, not just in cabinet,
but there I look at the they announced the priorities and planning committee that the
people who really do steer government on a day by day kind of minute by minute basis,
all three of them are there. Dominique
LeBlanc is there as well. So they're there in part because Mr. Carney acknowledges that he might not
get Quebec as well as he should, and he needs help on the ground in Quebec.
Can I ask, let me ask one question on that though, and maybe it's best to Chantal.
Can I ask, let me ask one question on that though, and maybe it's best to Chantal.
I think a lot of us expected, I think you expected, that a certain former Quebec finance minister was going to get in cabinet.
I did not.
You did not?
No, I did not. I understand, and there was, to be fair, a rather widespread expectation
in media circles in Quebec in particular that he would be Carlos
Letao is a former finance minister from Philippe Couillard's government. I didn't want for some of
the names that Rob has just mentioned. No, Mr. Carney was not going to unseat from cabinet.
François-Philippe Champagne, Stephen Guilbeault, or Melanie Jolie to make room for Carlos Letaillot
is elected in the Montreal area, the larger Montreal area.
So he doesn't bring the regions of Quebec to the table in the way that Joel Lightbaum
does in Quebec City.
But also, I know memories are
short in politics. But if we are saying that Mr. Letao was the
Minister of Finance of a political success story in
Quebec, we're rewriting history. This is a liberal government
under Philippe Cuyah that was thrown out of office, in large
part because of its finance, finance policies, and
what became known as austerity on the part of the government,
whether that resulted in a good balance sheet or not, it was not
handled in a way that allowed the that government to build the
consensus. So I, I would have been surprised if, if Mr. Letao had been in cabinet, in a cabinet
that seeks to achieve gender parity, by the way, and where Mr. Trudeau's successor, who was appointed
to cabinet, Michelle is also someone who stands, represents a community, but also
brings both diversity and more gender parity to cabinet. So I'm not, no, if, you know, there was
a tendency that to think Mark Carney is a banker, and maybe that would be his instinct, by the way,
let's have a boys club. And if that's what you're building, then you're going to bring in Carlos Sitao, because it's
the total boys club reflex.
Guy with the business credential, a guy, he looks.
And by the way, I think I want to say this because I've watched some of the interviews
that Mr. Karney has been giving and some of his
scrums over the campaign. He is going to have to fight the fact that he seems to be quicker to
impatience with questions when questioned by female reporters than by male reporters,
and that's not going to grow well on him. No, we watch what that did to Poliev. So,
we'll be watching that one. Let me bring up another
name and Rob, you answer this one because it's kind of the other side of the fence.
Somebody who did get in and there are great expectations of this person. I always remember
what Chantello said for a number of years. Careful with giving big priority and big portfolio to
somebody with zero political experience because
it can backfire and we've seen that in the past. But this time around, someone who's getting a lot
of profile is Tim Hodgson, who I think most people have never heard of outside of the,
you know, sort of the A class of the economic club, um,
knowing who he is, but tell us about him and why he may be important. He's, he's the new energy minister, right?
That's right. Um, and, and I'm told he's one of the very few that,
um, uh, Mr. Kearney trusts implicitly. Uh, they've known each other a long time.
They go, they go back to Goldman Sachs. They worked at Goldman Sachs together.
Mr. Carney thought enough of him to bring him in
as a senior advisor to him
when he was at the Bank of Canada.
Everybody's heard that he could be tough on people
when he was at the Bank of England and Bank of Canada.
They called his dismissal,
sometimes they called it being tasered, right?
It seems Mr. Hodgson either never got tasered or survived them and thrived under them.
Former president of Hydro One, and again, that means he knows the energy file.
While he was at Hydro One, made deals with indigenous groups in northern Ontario, which is going to be
critical if you're going to do energy infrastructure in this country.
He is confident and speaks the language of business and speaks the language of deals.
Also has been on the boards of energy companies in Western Canada as well.
So what are the priorities of this government?
The priorities are going to be national prosperity and national unity.
And both of those have a Trump theme running through them because Mr. Trump threatens both
of them as far as I'm concerned.
And I think Mr. Hodgson is going to reassure people, who have people in Alberta who get very upset
about what Stephen Gilbo says about pipelines.
I tend to remind them that Mr. Gilbo was there in 2018
and 19 saying the same thing,
that there was no future for pipelines,
and yet the government went out and bought a pipeline.
So it doesn't really matter what Mr. Gilbo thinks
about the pipelines, if we can discern anything from that.
What really matters is what the first minister,
the prime minister thinks about pipelines.
And I think he said in interviews again this week,
we're building pipelines.
We're building pipelines until we're not,
but I did not hear him say we're gonna be buying
and financing pipelines.
I think he was saying, I'm open
to business cases that are made by private companies presenting
pipeline projects. So I guess the basic point that Gilbo was
making was there may not be much of a business case for this. So
I'm waiting to see
those business proposals because I am not hearing the prime
minister saying we are going to be investing billions of taxpayer
money to build new pipelines at out of taxpayers pockets. But to
go back to the person you mentioned, I don't know, Mr.
Rochston, I never heard of him before he ran.
But I do hear Rob and I have heard that, that he is one of the few persons that Mark Carney is
about to trust in. And what struck me about that is how few people that Mark Carney trusts he has
brought along with him to this center of government called the prime minister's office.
I am still waiting, that may come later today, I don't know, for a confirmation or announcement of who the chief of staff is going to be. And, you know, look back at the prime ministers we've
covered. They all brought people inside that very important inner palace that had been along with them along the way.
Jean Chrétien and Jean Pelletier, they used to be schoolmates before Mr. Pelletier became the chief of staff,
former mayor of Quebec City. Ray Novak with Stephen Harper, Gerald Gutz and Katie Talford with Justin Trudeau.
Goldenberg and Chrétennes is another example.
Yes.
And so you look at this and you think, so who are these people?
Yes, Gerald Butts and the Janice Cheyette, the former clerk of the government, did help
Mr. Carney get where he is.
But so far, my understanding is that neither of them are staying. So how will this PMO
operate absent that very important relationship between
Mr. Carney and some of the principles in the PMO is very
much an open question. And it may get resolved over the next
few days.
But at this point, we have not had confirmation
that the former minister Mendicino
is staying in the role, but we have
had no announcement of whoever it is that
is taking that pivotal role.
I hate to say it to the Secretary of State
who were appointed this week, but that person
will matter a lot more than any of them every
day of the week.
And I think that a lot of Canadians don't understand that.
That role is so pivotal in the operation of government and the operation of the prime
minister's office.
And so obviously he's going to take his time.
I know for a fact that you're right that Jerry Butz won't be taking it because I got an email
from Jerry yesterday saying it's time to get back to doing the more Butts conversations on the bridge because I'm out of
there now. I'm gone. I'm back to my normal life. Anyway, we'll see who it is because it is an
incredibly important role. Can I just say one thing about it though?
Sure. Some of the people he's talked to about taking the role, who declined the role, suggests to me,
as a reflection of something that Chantel said earlier,
Mark Carney is going to be his own chief of staff
in many, many ways.
He's talking to people who he does not have
a lifelong relationship with.
Mulroney did the same thing.
Think of Bazin and others that he brought in with him.
He's talking to the kinds of people
who he will expect to be running an operation,
but the expectation is on this file,
and I think on other files.
Like he is not expecting Dominic LeBlanc
with all of his skills
to be the guy who makes the deal with Donald Trump.
He expects himself to be the guy who makes the deal with Donald Trump. He expects himself to be the guy who makes that deal. So he isn't looking for that bond, that connection,
in the people he's reaching out to, which is a departure. It is a departure for a prime minister.
It's also not a recipe for success, by the way, to be your own finance minister or your own prime minister,
as you are, your own chief of staff.
You need to run a minority parliament, something
that seems to have slipped the prime minister's mind
over the past few days.
That is a reality.
Parliament does exist.
I was watching this week Mr. Carney do this gimmick
that we had seen before.
I call that a gimmick, to be signing off.
First, it was the carbon tax, which he vanished by signing off in a photo op. Now it's tax cuts.
Well, sorry, but that's meaningless. That is not what happens in real life. If he wants that job,
he needs to go to that other place south It's out of the border where the president can do that. But no prime minister
can sign off on stuff that requires legislation without
gathering parliament and getting a true two houses of parliament,
not one, neither of which he totally controls. So he will
need if the meaning of all this is he doesn't like pushback and he knows best.
Let's see where we are in six months.
Right or six weeks.
You know, I always remember in 1979, Clark's people saying we're going to govern like we have a majority.
They didn't have a majority and they were gone in whatever it was, nine months, as a result of
governing like they had a majority, trying to anyway. So, you know, it's why I've asked a couple
of times over the past few weeks of you guys this question about is he capable of allowing others to
make decisions? And I'm sure to a degree he is, but it's clear in these opening steps of this
government that he's the prime minister is going to want to show a control that we haven't seen
before. It'll be interesting on the Hodgson front whether that's different because of their
long- time relationship.
But things are- There might be another front and it's an interesting one.
Our former colleague, Evan Solomon,
was given a department, AI, completely new department.
Great appointment.
Good appointment.
Yeah, no bureaucracy, nothing.
So they're gonna have to create
an entirely new government department.
Yet.
We'll see how fast that grows.
Yeah.
But I find it interesting because we
mentioned Mr. Hodgson's longtime relationship.
Well, Evan has a long time relationship
with Mark Carney as well.
It's gotten Evan into trouble.
But obviously, it didn't affect their personal relationship.
But there is going to be pressure on Evan
because artificial intelligence is something
that the prime minister really cares about.
He believes that it's going to help him restructure,
if not transform the Canadian economy,
particularly because of the energy requirements
of artificial intelligence.
It's enormous.
And our access to clean and plentiful power
is going to be put at Canada, he believes,
in a very advantageous position
when it comes to artificial intelligence.
Well, Evan is gonna have Mark Carney's confidence,
but he's also gonna have Mark Carney right on his shoulder
because this is something
that the prime minister has written about, cares about. Evan is also going to have to make nice with a lot of cabinet ministers because this
issue goes right across the spectrum of responsibilities. I mean, you would think
that this would be something the industry minister would be involved in, but no, separate.
Procurement, defense, AI is in all of these issues.
It's going to be huge.
It'll be interesting to see how much room Evan has to room.
I'm curious, can you run a new government department
just on AI rather than set up a new bureaucracy?
Let's see that.
Yeah, we will see that.
But I'll give some credit to where credit's due. Let's see that. Yeah, we will see that.
But I'll give some credit to where credit's due.
Evan is not a stupid person on this file.
He's smart. He's been smart on the tech side for a long time,
long before he got into kind of frontline journalism.
So it'll be interesting to see how he does.
Has he had issues in the past? Yes, he has. But I looked at that
appointment and I thought, I circled that one when the list came out thinking that's a smart
appointment. That's if you're going to put Evan Solomon in cabinet, that's where he should be.
Anyway. You guys have made me depressed now because you're both again insisting that whatever is the
prime minister's fancy is what's going to matter.
And the last thing we need is more control from the center and ministers who aren't allowed to
actually get out of the shadow of the Prime Minister to get stuff done.
I think Evan might be given enough rope to lead. I'm assuming Hodgson will as well. But I think we're very cognizant of that, Chantel.
I, for one, have been saying that for the last couple
of weeks, given Carney's background.
It's great that, yes, except you need to square that circle.
You've been talking about someone
who is the energy minister, who's
well-connected in energy circles, who knows the file,
who knows who is well-known in Ontario. And at the same time, you've been talking about the prime circles, who knows the file, who is well-known in Ontario.
And at the same time, you've been talking about the Prime Minister who's not totally
great at reading Quebec.
Well, guess what?
If there is one file that stands to bring Quebec and Alberta in even greater opposition,
forget what Premier Legault has been saying,
the things he's been saying on pipelines this week. Premier Legault at this point
is probably the least popular leader in the National Assembly. So go try to sell something.
So maybe at some point someone is going to have to square the circle between a minister who
enjoys the trust of the
prime minister on energy and a prime minister who doesn't feel confident about how he sees
the lay of the land in Quebec because otherwise the two of them together will basically walk
into a very solid wall. Okay. Noted. We have taken note of that and I'll get right to my book on
squaring circles or circling squares right after this. We're going to take a quick break. I want
to come back. There's something else that happened this week, actually in the last 24 hours or so,
that may have a huge impact on the situation in Alberta and as it relates to Ottawa as well.
We'll do that right after this.
And welcome back. Peter Mansbridge here, along with Chantelle Bair and Rob Russo. It's Friday.
It's Good Talk. You're listening on SiriusXM, Channel 167, Canada Talks are on your favorite podcast platform,
or you're watching us on our YouTube channel.
Okay, we're all aware of the attempts
at a referendum in Alberta on secession.
And the fact that the Premier of Alberta
has not said no to this idea,
in fact, I don't think encouraged it is the right phrase, but certainly seems to be suggesting that
she's going to allow this to happen. There was a very interesting comment made yesterday that really has an impact on the energy discussions that are about to take place
and about the succession question. And it came from Nancy Southern, who is the CEO of Atco and
is a huge player in Alberta and in the Alberta energy story. And she said she is seeing the first indications of resistance from investors,
especially foreign investors, to do something in Alberta, whether it's pipelines or whatever it
may be, as a result of this secession talk. And that's been the sort of first, I don't know whether concrete's the right word, but
the first indication that there is a problem here, a potential problem for Alberta by allowing
this to push forward.
What's your readly honest, and I use the word bracing by design.
I think all of us came of age during the discussion over the future of Quebec, the future of Canada.
And we all know that there was an independence premium, whether it was on the dollar or whether it was in
terms of higher taxes in Quebec and even somebody like Jacques Barrizo used to say all the time
when he was asked about the increased cost of independence.
He had a wonderful phrase that I'd like to quote, ça coûterait toujours plus d'être
un Québécois.
It's always going to cost you more to be a Quebecer.
In other words, he tried to turn it into a virtue.
What Nancy Southern is trying to do
is to warn you that there is a cost, that there
is a cost to this, and the cost is already being born.
I think that that's true in terms of the tariff discussion
across the country as well, which brings me to Honda,
which should bring us to whether or not the government should
have a budget.
But I think everybody needs to understand that this kind of talk will exert a price, exact a price.
And she's paying attention to that. These are big players in natural gas, from what I understand,
that are beginning to leave money on the sidelines.
We talked about unleashing the furies.
Daniel Smith says she believes in Canada, she wants Canada to work, but she did lower
the threshold to make it easier for the question of Canada and the question of Alberta's future
to be brought forward. Both what Atko is saying and what Honda is saying,
I think underlines the need, if not presents an opportunity,
even if you thought of it as a political opportunity,
for a government that does believe it's in a crisis
or heading towards a crisis to actually tell Canadians
what the current state is, what the stakes are for the future of our economy
and the future of our country,
and then prepare the population,
prepare people for some of the changes,
some of the sacrifices even.
Yes, I would use the word sacrifice
that we're gonna have to make if things go pear-shaped, whether
it's through tariffs or through a referendum on independence in Alberta.
I think that Nancy Southern is issuing a clarion call.
She is a beacon.
And we all, like I said, we've all come of age as reporters, you know, 40, 50 years of a discussion over
independence in Quebec, and we all saw that the cost that that exacted.
And I would even say on Quebec, there were great minds, great minds were consumed with
this issue that might have been consumed in other ways.
So it's a warning, it's a warning that should be heeded and also an opportunity for the government
that I think should have at least brought in
an economic statement, not a budget.
I understand budgets take a long time.
And I remind people that Stephen Harper took nine months
to bring in his first budget.
But this is an opportunity that missed
in terms of the economic statement.
Chantelle.
Yeah, by comparison to anything that's been coming out of the government of Alberta, as
a session, Jack Peggizzo was an adult and these are kids playing with matches.
Jack Peggizzo devoted, and he had a very solid mind on policy, devoted his entire life to thinking about this and how it
could work. I remember doing one of his not blasts, but one of his last interviews for my book on the
1995 referendum and being struck by how there would not be another person who had all of the credentials that Jacques Peguizot brought to the mix of
Quebec secession. And so every time you watch what's happening
in Alberta, from Quebec, you're thinking, people, you are about
to take all the pain from this for an un-serious proposition. It makes no sense to me, and I think a Quebec PQ leader who came to the fore and told Quebecers that we need to secede because we want plastic straws to be back, would be rightly disqualified from leading a Quebec to secession for lack of seriousness.
So I'm not too sure what the real end game is, but I think it's like the kid's version of a serious
novel, the way it's handled in Alberta. Not only that, if you're really committed to sovereignty,
then you need to have a party that is committed to it with the talents to bring it about.
And that's not been happening. On the budget, I'm like Rob, completely agnostic about budget
timing. I have never seen a government come to office and show up with a serious budget,
a serious budget, not a placeholder within six weeks of being elected. I am more mystified by the notion that we should next fall not have a proper budget,
the government having had time to assess the lay of the land, where tariffs are going,
to present what is a serious budget. I'm also agnostic about the economic statement
because everything I've seen come out of the Quebec budget is barely two months old and it's
already completely outdated. I'm not sure how long the Ontario budget that was brought in yesterday
is going to stand the test of reality. So I'm not big on that. But I do believe that we should get a budget
next fall. And I think they left the door open by saying it would be a robust fiscal
update to evolve to a full-fledged budget. And I think there is a benefit to having a
budget that is a real one. That if we had one between now and July 1st,
it would be a placeholder.
And I don't think we have time
or the government should be devoting its energy to that.
I am curious though to see how much Mr. Carney believes
he can accomplish in parliament without bypassing debate
between now and the summer.
Because they're coming back on the 27th,
really, with the Trump speech.
So no legislation can really be presented for another week
after that.
We're in June at this point.
And like it or not, the people who
are going to be sitting in the House of Commons are
kind of exhausted. And the civil service machine does need time to translate the prime minister's
wishes into solid policy, no matter what he thinks. Now, I was watching, I was up this week,
so I had too much time to watch stuff from the outside. But I was watching Mark Gurley when
you signed off on those tax cuts that kind of fake photo op. I
was thinking back to Paul Martin. Paul Martin came from
the business world. And one day, I remember him explaining to me
that the biggest transition was that the way it works in the corporate
world, you sign off on this and it happens.
And the way it works in politics, the biggest difference is the need to build consensus.
You may be at the top of the pyramid, but that doesn't mean you can get stuff done without
building understanding and consensus first within your team, second
within your caucus, third within the House of Commons, in this case, and Parliament,
including the Senate.
I'm not too sure that Mark Carney, intellectually, I'm sure he understands that.
I'm not too sure that in practice he has yet to figure out that he cannot know, you know, whoever was saying
the government is going to be run more like a corporation. Sorry, it's not. And yes, the
owners of Canada did speak to Mr. Carney over the past two months, but they did not give him the
key to a coroner office to run Canada like a corporation. You know, it's interesting thinking back to Paul Martin,
because one of the knocks on Paul Martin was it took him far too long to make decisions.
That search for consensus at times hurt him big time.
So anyway, there were maybe that's the two extremes of trying to find where the proper middle ground
is.
Before we take our last break, the fact that the King is giving the throne speech, does
that mean anything more than ceremonial symbolism stuff or could it actually drive a certain
agenda?
Rob?
Yeah.
I mean, that was a message to Donald Trump, is who it was.
And I understand I'm not much of a monarchist.
I like our constitutional system.
It can't be changed.
There's no way we're ever going to change it.
Not much of a monarchist.
But I do think that if we're going to be stuck with the monarchy and the royal family,
that we might as well deploy it to our advantage from time to time.
And I think that this is a shot at a guy who has a fixation, almost a fetishness about the royal family and Donald Trump, and we might as well remind him that the king has a connection
to Canada as a sovereign country.
We should, and it sounds like Mr. Carney is going to do this based on an interview that
he gave to Sky this week, we should remind His Royal Highness from time to time as well
that he is the King of Canada and as such has some
responsibilities, Mr. Carney expressed some irritation at the fact that
that
The King gave a second state visit to President Trump who was delighted by it and perhaps we could use
The King to remind Donald Trump that Canada is a sovereign country
the King to remind Donald Trump that Canada is a sovereign country that isn't interested for now. We have to look and see what happens with Alberta. I am concerned about that, but isn't interested.
And Pete Hoekstra actually said that that whole debate is over now. But if we're stuck with the
royal family, let's use it to our advantage. Hoekstra is the new US ambassador to Canada.
And I'd offer you the opportunity, Chantelle,
but I know that you...
That I'm so happy.
I was there the last time when Queen Elizabeth delivered
that tron speech, so I maybe will not rush
to Parliament Hill for this one.
But what Rob explained, actually, the one place where this invitation to the King was
bound to make waves with Quebec and the Parts Québécois and the Bloc both tried hard to
make it an issue.
The Bloc will set out to turn on speech, my understanding is they usually do.
So no news there.
But what Rob explained is basically the kind of spirit that I've
seen in letters of the editor in Quebec about this invitation at
this particular time. With the added comment, that is very
widespread here, at least, we will have someone who can read
the French sections without mangling the language
entirely, which is a recurrent comment on the current governor's general's apparent inability
to master even basic French. I was a monarchist, I have been a monarchist all my life and all my professional life too,
until the current monarch sucked up to Donald Trump in such a fashion on terms of his offering
him a second state visit to the UK and his fumbling totally of the Canada situation so
far.
I would like to think that when when Mark
Carney met the King whenever it was a month or so ago in Buckingham Palace
that he made it very clear to him what would have to happen in that speech that
he gives in Ottawa. So I you know I'll listen. Short of standing on his head
spitting wooden nickels of sovereignty Canadian wooden nickels. I don't know whether I can be convinced.
I think he fumbled a ball, but we'll see. Okay.
We're going to take our final break,
come back and ask you if there's anything new to refer to report on the
parapoly of conservative front. That's right after this.
And welcome back final segment of good talk for this week. Chantelle and Rob are here.
I'm Peter Mansbridge.
Glad to have you with us.
Okay.
Pierre Poliev making rounds outside the parliament buildings where he doesn't have an office
anymore, at least at the moment until there's a by-election opportunity for him. He attacked
Carney over the cabinet choices and made a number of other statements. Anything to report on the
conservative front on this week from either one of you who'd like to start on that, Chantal?
It's early days. I think Mr. Playev,
but looking at his news conference,
post-cabinet news conference,
is not quite adjusted to the reality
that the campaign is over
and that his words ring, although at this point,
there is no audience outside his base for a replay of the
election campaign, best hits of Piapaljev that he will need to reinvent himself and he's not there.
I know a number of MPs were concerned that that news conference seemed to feature Kapladev not being
able to move off his usual persona. So it will take a while. I don't think his leadership is safe,
but that doesn't mean that it's in danger anytime soon. This parliament,
unless the government really fumbles it and the NDP gets very suicidal, is going to last
at least 18 months. An alert can happen, but as far as winning back his caucus, I don't think that's even begun to happen in the case
of Mr. Poiliev.
So the same people are around him.
The same tone comes true on social media.
I'm not going to quote some of the stuff I saw from people in his office, but if they
worked for a large scale media, they would be asked to pipe down and use more
appropriate language. So at this point, he seems to be more into isolating himself
inside that I'm the best and you don't understand how good I was to you than
really building new bridges. Rob?
building new bridges. Hmm, Rob?
I've yet to see suggestions that there is serious
introspection going on.
I think that that's required beyond, you know, we
almost won and we built a new coalition.
You still lost four in a row.
Are you talking about him or about the party in general?
Both.
I mean, he still leads the party.
He still controls the National Council.
And so I await that they say that a more serious sort
of post-mortem is coming.
I wait to see that.
There are times when he sounds like he has learned a lesson,
where he says things like, when the government proposes things that are right for the country,
we will support them.
That's a responsible thing for an opposition leader in his position.
At this moment in our history, particularly facing the threat we face to our economy from
the South, that's a responsible thing for an opposition leader to say.
And the next part is perfectly normal too, where he says, we're very irresponsible, we will oppose
them. And he also said, steal our ideas, keep stealing our
ideas. He's not wrong about that. The liberals stole a lot of
their ideas. The tone though, isn't there. Not just from him,
but from from others, some of the some of the pitbulls have been given a longer leash again
and I don't expect a loyal opposition to do anything but but oppose but you would think that
they would take as Chantel said arrest from campaign tactics and and begin the period of
introspection there is some danger danger. It looks like the,
I would expect the by-election will be in early August. That, that he, I don't think the seat
will be able to be resigned in Crowfoot until the middle of June. And then the clock starts. And that,
I think that makes early August the time of the by-election for Mr. Polyaev.
But the Alberta independence issue will dog him.
And if those people in Alberta who were serious about independence were organized and clever,
they might run a candidate against them, because there is significant support, my Alberta friends tell me,
in that part of the province for Alberta independence. That could represent a danger to Mr. Poiliev,
and that would bear watching as well. And you do understand that anyone who aspires to be
a Prime Minister of Canada cannot play footsie with the referendum politics in Alberta. And
in the case of Mr. Poiliev, I would be even wearier of playing footsie with the issue to make sure he
wins his seat hands down. Because Jason Kenney has taken
such a clear position of standing up for Canada. And I do
see Jason Kenny as someone who others could see as a successor to Pierre Poilé. So there is no room for games here,
no room for I understand the grievances, so I understand why there could be a referendum
on independence. No future prime minister can be gray on the issue of national unity.
He would clearly be vulnerable on that front, but he's not vulnerable in a by-election on that front.
You don't know that. Nonetheless, if the independent supporters actually got organized and ran a candidate
against him, I mean, look, let's not forget Deb Gray, right? I mean, she was not an independent supporter,
but she was supposed to be an insurgent running an insurgent
campaign, right?
She'll set 21 long standing liberal seat. After after each
failed, the block wasn't even, you know, a real thing. And
she'll set one that by-election.
So if you have the right writing, and this is one of those writings, it's not an Edmonton
or a Calgary writing, you should not want to be taking chances on this issue.
Not only that, you will be asked repeatedly to take a stand on this issue.
You can't go to Alberta.
It would be like running in Quebec
and not having a position on federalism versus sovereignty.
Can't happen.
Okay, we've only got a minute left here.
What's the next big step for Carney
coming up in this next month or so?
When you look ahead, what are you looking at?
Well, Pete Hoekstra said, the new ambassador said
that he thinks that Lutnick and him and Mr. Kearney
and Dominic LeBlanc could go to a Tim Hortons
and conclude a new security and economic pact in a day.
That tells me that the Americans are waiting
for some sort of indication of where this goes next,
or we are as well.
As I think I said last week,
I think we've laid down conditions as to the next step.
So I wanna know, and I think Canadian people wanna know,
where we're going with that.
What kind of risk the economy is at, where the tariff issue is going to be while we're having
these discussions as well. I think that's where we're going next. Quick last word from you,
Chantelle. I'm more into things that are actually going to happen. So the First Minister's Conference,
going to happen. So the First Minister's Conference, I believe, will matter, face to face meeting. And I believe the G7 will be a landmark appointment for Mr. Carney on the world stage. I'm not sensing that there is a rush on the part of Canada to go to a Tim Hortons to negotiate on the back of an envelope with the signature of someone who does not recognize his own writing a few months later, a new arrangement
with the United States.
And it's not even a roll up the rim to win time either, so another reason not to go there.
And okay, thank you both as always, Chantel, Hebert and Rob Russo for a good talk this week.
I'm Peter Mansbridge, thanks for listening.
And that was today's Encore edition of The Bridge.
We'll be back with our latest new edition tomorrow.