The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge - The Bridge: Encore Presentation - The Moore-Butts Conversation #2 — Canada’s Position On The World Stage.
Episode Date: August 22, 2022Today an encore presentation of an episode that originally aired on April 25th. If there are two guys who can "bring it" in a non-partisan conversation about Canadian politics it’s these two. One Co...nservative, one Liberal. Today's topic is Canada on the world stage - is there a common approach and should there be a common approach no matter who is in power?
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The following is an encore presentation of The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge, first aired on April 25th.
And hello there, Peter Mansbridge here. You are just moments away from the latest episode of The Bridge.
They're back! James Moore, Jerry Butts, right here on The Bridge. And hello there once again. I know it's Monday.
I know for most of the last couple of years, Mondays has been COVID Monday on the bridge.
Not today, and not every Monday into the future. After listening to many of you over these past, well, really, weeks and last couple of months,
you said, you know what?
It's still out there.
I know it's still out there.
But as governments have moved away from restrictions,
you're kind of on your own to make your decisions about the kind of life you're going to lead and whether that's in Canada or over
here in the United Kingdom where I am again this week.
That's pretty much the way it's been. People are making up their decisions
on their own about how they want to see
life go forward. As I said,
COVID is still there.
It's still a part of our lives.
But we're making decisions on an individual basis.
And while we won't abandon this subject, we will stay with it on occasion.
We're going to move away from the regular Mondays on this topic.
And today, to kick start a new kind of era of Mondays,
a special opportunity for us. It was a couple of months ago we put together the former Conservative
Cabinet Minister James Moore and the former Liberal Principal Secretary to Justin Trudeau,
Gerry Butts, to have a discussion about politics, really, about Canada, about politics,
and about the possibilities of a non-partisan approach on some things
towards the way our politics unfolds.
It was very successful. A lot of you wrote in.
So we're going to try it again today on a particular subject.
We're going to look at Canada's place on the world stage, how we're seen,
how the different two main parties approach Canada's position on the world stage,
and how that is seen, not only at home, but abroad. So that's coming up in a moment. Let me
remind you who these two guys are. James Moore was a member of parliament for 15 years, from 2000 to 2015.
He was in the Stephen Harper cabinet in a number of key positions.
He was Minister of Canadian Heritage at one point.
He was the Secretary of State.
He was the Minister of Industry.
Currently, he's a Senior Business Advisor to the international law firm of Denton's and a Public Policy Advisor to the global public relations firm Edelman's.
Jerry Butts, 2015-2019 Principal Secretary to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
From 2008-2012, he was the President and CEO of the World Wildlife Fund of Canada.
And 2003 to 2008, he was principal secretary to the Premier of Ontario.
Currently, he's the vice chairman of the Eurasia Group.
So both of these guys have a lot of experience.
They've known each other for some time.
They've fought the political fight, obviously,
coming from different sides of the parliamentary aisle, if you wish,
the liberals and the conservatives.
But they have respect for each other, clearly,
and their conversations show that.
But the whole idea of these conversations is to try and be constructive about the world that's unfolding before us, the world of politics that's unfolding before us.
So we're going to take a break and then we're going to go uninterrupted on this question of Canada's position on the world stage with Jerry Butts and James Moore, right after this.
And you're back listening to The Bridge.
I'm Peter Mansbridge.
You're listening on either Sirius XM Canada, Channel 167, Canada Talks, or on your favorite podcast platform.
Here we go with our discussion then with James Moore and Jerry Butts.
Let's get started with a pretty basic question, really.
And Jerry, I'll throw it at you to get things going.
We tend to consider ourselves a middle power.
Is that an accurate reflection of how the world
sees us and what does that actually mean uh no it's not an accurate reflection of how the world
sees us i think that germany is middle power right and um we are more uh i'm not sure i would
ascribe a hierarchical status to us but i think when we pick our spots and focus on our issues and stick with them over time, we can make a real difference.
But the sense that we're a reservoir of latent power that's akin to a major European state, I think, is an artifact of the past.
James, you agree with that?
Yeah, I think that's well put.
It's hard to do hierarchical.
You know, someone once described Canada
as the quiet, thoughtful person in the back of the room
who when they speak, people listen to them.
But you don't speak that often
in order to reserve that capital.
Maybe that's true in some elements of our capacity
and our sort of historic moral authority.
But, you know, people also, measuring sticks have been brought out in terms of what capacity and our sort of historic moral authority. But, you know, people also,
you know, measuring sticks have been brought out in terms of what Canada and other countries are
offering into the world. Donald Trump did this with a 2% of GDP on defense spending. Other
countries do this and other institutions and NGOs do this in terms of your contribution to climate
change or your contribution to other global interests. And so when you think about Canada, we're at 1.4% of GDP
on defense spending thereabouts. And that presumes that the current government is going to spend all
of the $8 billion that they booked now for defense spending. But as Andrew Leslie points out,
there's 12 billion that disappeared off the books in the previous seven years. And also to
conservatives who get strident about that, Stephen Harper didn't spend 2% of GDP when we were in government, and we were in Afghanistan at the time. So it's kind of
a, you know, it's an it's a number whose whose virtues still need to be defended. And then on
the humanitarian aid side, in the foreign aid side, Canada's we're at the very bottom of the
pack, I think the bottom, second from the bottom or third from the bottom of the 29 OECD countries
when it comes to foreign aid spending. So isada middle power well you have those that data set that
says no and then on top of that you have incidents like you know the trucker protest in downtown
ottawa where we can't secure wellington street in front of the prime minister's office for a month
that's not exactly the reputational building exercise in terms of our capacity to contribute
to the war in afghanistan or other things in terms of our moral authority to be seen as a strong power in
the world it's interesting you make the point about the um the failures or the the lack of
hitting the numbers on on on both the last two governments and so let me phrase this next question
in light of that you know in the past decade so, we've seen both a liberal government and a conservative government.
Has the world seen a dramatically different Canada in terms of its place, not just on the world stage, but in terms of its foreign policy, the way it conducts foreign affairs?
Are they fundamentally different, the way those two governments operated?
Jerry?
It's a good question.
It really depends on the issue, Peter.
I think on climate change, certainly very different.
I think in its approach to important multilateral institutions like NATO, not so different.
I'm not sure there would have been much of a difference in policies between the liberal and the conservative party had either one of them been in power in
Afghanistan, for instance.
So I think that there are really important areas where there is cross-partisan
overlap in foreign policy and other areas where there's less
overlap. All that said, I think that the foreign policy environment has changed dramatically from
the one that we were accustomed to. You know, I often say to clients of Eurasia Group that the
world that you all learned about in grad school and business school where barriers to trade were inexorably and inevitably
going to fall. We're going to see growing globalization
and the progress that comes along with that. That world is dead, right?
So we're in a very different re-regionalizing
de-globalizing world and that's going to call for
a very different kind of foreign policy.
James.
Yeah,
I think that's true.
I think the differences between,
you know,
it was differences of emphasis and priority,
I suppose,
between prime ministers Trudeau and Harper,
but those fundamental key,
key relationships like the United States,
take president Trump,
for example,
you know,
I don't,
I don't know that.
Please.
I don't know that prime minister Harper and our government would have handled things significantly differently,
which speaks to the NAFTA Council that Jerry was instrumental in building with Chrystia Freeland, that there's a Canadian consensus on those kinds of things. When you have
one in four Canadian jobs dependent on trade access to the United States.
I think there's consensus and alignment there.
However, I think a lot of the Canada's back rhetoric,
the welcoming parade at the Foreign Affairs Department when Prime Minister Trudeau went in there just after he was sworn in as Prime Minister, that Canada is going to take on the world
and be this positive force of influence.
I think in a lot of ways, Prime Minister Trudeau was mugged by reality, and it was mugged by China and the two Michaels and
the realities of that relationship. And we forget that, you know, I think this is relatively well
known that Minister François-Philippe Champagne, Foreign Affairs Minister, I think, or Trade
Minister at the time, was set to announce the beginnings of formal free trade conversations
with China along the lines of what had been done in Australia.
It was going to be a longer burn, but we were actually in the doorstep of looking at a formal
FTA or some kind of investment deal with China. Of course, that's all been scuttled because of
the reality of things and then the reality of Donald Trump and the threats to our trade
relationships. I think very quickly, sort of the altruistic, aspirational tone of Justin
Trudeau got squared very quickly
with the realities of domestic politics and people who are a lot stronger than we are who are a lot
more assertive than we are and we're a lot more strategic and cagey than we are in terms of how
they approach foreign affairs but you know no prime minister uh you know present candidates
and future candidates should ever you know shrug away from having a robust understanding
of foreign policy but how important it is for canada in terms of our security our economy
our opportunities and obligations in the world but also frankly how few canadians really care about it
um you know canada we are a founding member of the un we're the only country in the world who
can say this founding member of the un founding member of NATO partners in NAFTA access
to the CPTPP as a full partner access to the Canada Europe free trade agreement members of
the five eyes like we are and then you add on top of that all the cultural associations in our
cultural lineage and are certainly in our multicultural large cities and the opportunities
that presents us in India and China and all across Asia in terms of our trade access and opportunities
like Canada is truly a global country in every context more so I would argue than any other India and China and all across Asia in terms of our trade access and opportunities.
Like Canada is truly a global country in every context, more so, I would argue, than any other country in the world.
And yet when it comes to politics and how people cast their votes, you will knock on
500,000 doors before you find the first voter who will say, I was thinking about voting
for you guys, but I want to hear about your commitment to 2% of GDP on defense spending.
Like you will not find that person. You will find a lot of people in the prairie provinces
who are anxious about whether or not we're meeting our commitment to Ukraine. But that's
a cultural alignment. That's a family alignment. But it's not a strategic alignment for Canada
and the world. So our foreign policy is very much sort of small pre-provincial cultural,
our cultural associations, rather than a geopolitical strategic
imperative for canada so as a prime minister you have this massive obligation in terms of g20 and
all those are all those engagements that i described but then on top of that you have to
make engagements in the world understanding that obligation and opportunity but the engagements
in the world in terms of your return and retail politics are very culturally significant, but very focused into communities largely along familial, ethnic, and community and cultural and immigration lines.
You were nodding away on that, Jerry.
And do me a favor when you expand on that now, but move in a little closer to your microphone because we're
for some we're missing you a bit but go ahead expand on on what james just said there
yeah sure i think what james is describing is um you know a well-accepted view that
canadian foreign policy is seen through the lens of the diaspora communities of people in Canada.
And I think that that's certainly true.
And it's probably at the macro level to the detriment of the independence of the country's foreign policy.
I think, though, that and this would, I think, expand on the point that James was making where the foreign policy context has changed most dramatically.
I described that view of declobalization.
But what that really means is a radically shifting view of China.
And rightly so, that the answer to the growth problems that Western liberal democracies
had in the 90s was basically to access the chinese market in the first decade
of this century and the theory was that as the chinese middle class grew it would demand
political rights that were commensurate with its economic uh prosperity and the truth is
almost everybody believed that in the 90s right that was a was a cross party bedrock belief, whether you compare the Labour and Conservative parties in Britain, the Democratic and Republican parties in the United States, certainly across the spectrum in Germany, France, and I would say equally so Canada. wrong that the China we're dealing with now is more repressive, not less repressive. It's
facilitated by unprecedented advancements in surveillance technology that allows it to be
more autocratic rather than less so as the country gets wealthier and wealthier because
a vicious cycle has developed where they're able to develop innovative technologies that allow
the government to
concentrate power and to stay in power and of course this is all um uh put in hyperdrive
by the current leader uh xi jinping whose tendencies are all in that direction anyway so
i think we're dealing with a very different beast of china than most people expected
we would.
Let's remember when we first started having these conversations about opening an economic relationship with China back in the late 90s.
The Canadian economy was larger than the economy of China.
And it's truly remarkable how much that's changed in the last 20 years.
So in the international context, I think that's been big
sea change, Peter. And then I'd be interested in how James approaches this. But I also think,
you know, if you're a leader of a major democratic country, on foreign policy,
this is a bit reductive, but for the sake of brevity, I'll say it this way. There are kind
of two groups of people you listen to in the government.
One is the economic policy apparatus, your deputy minister of finance,
your deputy minister of trade, your economic advisors,
your ministers in those portfolios.
And then on the other side, you're dealing with the national security people
who are in our context in DND and the National Security
Advisor, all of the people who worry about
the traditional threats to, and not so traditional on the cyber front,
threats to Canadian national security. And for a very long
time, the former group had been winning that argument. They'd been
saying, if you want
to expand the economy, you got to deal with China. And throughout that entire period, the national
security people have been saying, you folks are chasing the filthy lucre, and you're dreaming in
technicolor about who these people are. They're going to steal our stuff. They want to take our
place geopolitically. And they don't have the long-term national interests
of the country at heart.
This is not a win-win-win situation.
They see it as a zero-sum game,
and your economic advisors are naive about who they are.
And I think that has changed dramatically in the United States.
It's changed dramatically in the United Kingdom.
And the national security people now have prevalence in that conversation.
And that will have an impact on policy moving forward in every democratic country.
I think that's right.
You know, when we were in government, I remember being chastised by, one of my former titles
was Secretary of State for the Asia-Pacific Gateway.
That doesn't exist anymore.
And Asia-Pacific Gateway is code for China because we already have a mature relationship with Japan and South Korea.
South Korea, now we have a free trade agreement with and so on.
And Vietnam was not exactly the emerging economy at the time, which now strongly is.
So, you know, David Emerson was the Minister for Foreign Affairs or for International Trade and the Asia Pacific Gateway.
It was in his title.
I was the Secretary of State and yada yada.
Because we were being chastised. People were putting up books like called chindia
about the importance of engagement in asia and i remember in question period being you know when
liberals would get up and say you know what how can this government abandon the opportunities of
china why isn't the prime minister going to china where isn't stephen harper in china where and then
we would stand up and i remember the note that was prepared by the department bragging about how many times Jerry Ritz, the agriculture minister, had been there, how many times I had been there.
And super defensive. No, no, we get it. We get it. None of that would be said today because of the shift in the context, as I think Jerry rightly describes it.
And it's not only because the politics has changed, but it's also because there have now been someprofile private sectors, as Jerry talks about, the growth of the Chinese economy.
And I think Uber is probably maybe the highest-profile example that we've had in at least recent years, certainly from the tech sector.
Largely, the tech sector has been so aggressive about the opportunities in China.
My God, you've got 1.4 billion people.
And imagine this emerging middle class where you've got 400 million Chinese who live along the coast, who have middle class quality of life and lifestyles and the rest of the country.
And, you know, when you go 300 kilometers in and more into the into the western part of China, that they have a lower quality of life.
But when China becomes a truly middle class country, my God, the first mover advantage when we get there in the tech sector is that we've got to go to China.
I got to go to China. So Uber goes to China and they get again, as I say, get mugged by reality of things, which is the Chinese government doesn't really
want foreign companies coming into China, doing really well, supplanting domestic companies that
might have the aspiration to do that or making the Chinese government look weak because they
couldn't provide this unless an American company or a Canadian company came in and provided this
good, thereby sort of deflating the jingoistic
nationalistic aspirations of the chinese government so foreign companies could come
into china and do well on textiles and lower profile things but higher profile things like
moving people around with uber uber goes in dumps hundreds of millions of dollars to try to
establish themselves in china china was never going to let them succeed and certainly never going to allow them to succeed and then patriate that capital back
to the United States as though they've conquered China economically and then taken their money back
to the United States to disperse to their shareholders. It was never going to happen.
And so because of those incidents, and Uber is a high profile one, but there have been others as
well, that people then start getting cagey about exactly what does this Chinese government want?
They want stability. They want to avoid conflict and rebellion internally.
They have all of these geopolitical imperatives because of their border situation in the region that they operate in. And they want foreign capital to come into China, but not too much,
not supplant the narrative that Xi Jinping is trying to establish. So it's a very challenged
relationship. And I think people have sort of woken up to the new reality of things that you do business with China, but recognize
what you're dealing with in terms of an opportunity is that it's very limited. It's going to have to
be low profile. And the Chinese government is not going to allow countries and their high profile
brands to come in and allow China and the Chinese government to look weak to its own people.
And they're very anxious about that.
All right. I want to move the conversation a little bit here away from China now,
but still on the international front and how we're seen in the discussion point at a time of high tension internationally.
And obviously right now it's it's ukraine but in a situation like that how important is it that canada is seen to be speaking with one voice
um that you know i'm not talking about a coalition government anymore so then we're
we're already seeing in the agreement with the uh the liberals and the ndp
but in terms of how the country is seen at a time of high international tension should it be seen to
be speaking with one voice uh and if so how does that play out um jerry you start i i think in most
cases that is absolutely true peter and it was most recently and most vividly true in the NAFTA negotiations that it's funny to spend a lot of time talking about China, but in the business community, and in civil society, thinking about our relationship with the United States as we do thinking about our relationship with the rest of the world, which, relatively speaking, is rounding here.
Thus endeth the sermon.
Let me answer your question. I think when it comes to a direct apprehended threat to our fissures and Canadian domestic policy,
politics to further its own national interest.
It's really, really important that the effort that James was a key part of in the NAFTA Council
deliberately set about creating a broad consensus that was, if not blind, almost allergic to partisan concerns
around that table so that we could present ourselves as a unified country when it came to
the economic and more of an economic relationship with the United States. I think that was tremendously valuable in the NAFTA negotiations.
With the Ukraine situation, with the Russia-Ukraine war,
I think we have been a valuable member of NATO,
not in spite of our diaspora politics in Canada, but because of them.
And we certainly, I don't think I'm betraying any
state secrets when I say this, we used to hear this repeatedly from Chancellor Merkel, that
Canada was one of the only countries around the NATO and G20 tables that understood the Ukraine
situation, how important it was that there was a partner around that table that had a depth of field on the topic,
because we could talk to other NATO partners about it in a way that they didn't necessarily understand from a cultural perspective.
And I think that remains a source of Canada's unique value in this current conflict that we, you know, 1.3 million Canadians of Ukrainian descent,
including me proudly on my mother's side,
we get this issue in a way that is easy to misdiagnose if you don't have
those sorts of cultural sensitivities between Russia and Ukraine.
James?
Yeah, all that is true and and uh
you know i'll give a hotter example as well um 9-11 happens you know um 2002 was mostly about
afghanistan uh and and so on shifting to 2003 then of course was the shift towards iraq prime
minister krechian decided for a number of reasons i think eddie goldenberg talks about it clearly
in the first chapter of his book about how it was effectively,
I would say there's a surrender of our independent foreign policy to say if the UN Security Council didn't have a second vote on the authorization of force in Iraq and Canada, wouldn't go.
But that was Prime Minister Chrétien's choice.
That was his foreign policy.
And then Stephen Harper, official opposition leader of the Conservative conservative party was in favor of joining our traditional coalition partners certainly in the anglosphere in supporting the the
war to remove saddam hussein for power in iraq prime minister krechia stood up famously in that
one moment in question period and said we there has not been a second resolution therefore canada
will not go will not participate in the iraq war and the concern was i remember we sat there and it was what it was there was standing ovation from liberals new democrats
in the bloc quebecois um i can say there's probably some relief amongst conservatives
that that was the case because we were probably going into a change election in 04 or sooner and
you know you can imagine some of the thinking that was going on there but it was what it was
and conservatives at that point shut up and as as the early sort of
months of the iraq war went militarily in the americans and the coalition's favor a lot of
conservatives sort of grumbled that you know we should have been part of this my god the americans
are going to take it out on us that we're not there to help in case this goes bad in the rebuild
but it was it was never publicly discussed you didn't have the foreign affairs critic for the
for the conservative party going into Washington and going down to,
and talking to the, to the Bush Cheney White House and saying,
just so you know, if we come into government, we'll help. No, no, there,
there was a Canadian consensus and there was no public discussion and no
public disagreement about it. And I think that's important. And, you know,
and when Stephen Harper and we were in government,
whether it was in Libya or some other engagements or Justin Trudeau,
that's only a 250 person engagement in Mali, you know, there there's some early stages debate, but, or Justin Trudeau, that's only a 250-person engagement in Mali.
There's some early stages debate, but once Canada's engaged,
Canada's engaged, and we stand by the Maple Leaf, and we do so proudly.
And I think that's very important.
We can have disagreements on the market.
Can you tell me why it is important?
Because it's not important, clearly, on a number of domestic issues, where where the disagreements take place and then sometimes
they get out of hand but sometimes they're quite constructive but on the foreign side the foreign
policy side well the when the military is engaged the canadian military is small proud tough fierce
um but morale is enormously important it keeps getting i remember multiple chiefs of defense
staff are running us which is in part why you know the human resources challenges i'll put it diplomatically in the canadian forces
is so important that it gets squared away and dealt with effectively but certainly when canadian
soldiers lives are on the line in the field of battle or percent possibly so that there has to
be an alignment and because wars wars abroad are more often lost at home than they are lost abroad because of the collapse
of domestic support. And even if something is relatively small, as our engagement in Mali,
as I said, 250 Canadian soldiers, or something as massive and longstanding as a decades long
engagement in Afghanistan, you know, people over there know and they because they talk to their
families constantly, they're not sort of isolated on a mission they they know what's being said back home and it matters and so if there's
plus political disagreement at home that can certainly spread itself like wildfire amongst
people who are serving in the forces even though they are entirely professional and they are mission
focused um you know domestic alignment and solidarity behind troops when they're in theater
and engaged in important missions uh is is unknown um also i
would say as well with those kind of riskier elements of foreign policy prime minister
did something that was very wise that i think other prime ministers should think about when
we get into in the future and into some other conflicts which is after 9-11 prime minister
swore jack layton and stockwell day uh into the priv Privy Council and made them Privy counselors and, and, and made them made available to them documents
surrounding the 9-11 attacks, the engagement with the United States,
the decision whether or not to put air marshals on planes,
our approach to national security,
the establishment of the department of public safety,
what we were doing in terms of border security in alignment with the United
States, some of the stuff that was pretty touchy and sensitive at the time,
but there's a lot of information that had to be fed in in order
to create all this continental apparatus of security but jean-claude said it's very important
actually that stock will they and as official opposition leader and jack layton as leader of
the ndp and who are traditionally opposed to these kinds of things and alignments with the united
states that it's not that they can't have a difference of opinion but if they start asking
questions publicly in question period or doing
scrums on this, we can't quite have that question asked yet.
The public has a right to know it's important that the media asks these
questions. We will get to it. It is, it matters,
but in this very sensitive and difficult time,
when you have over 2000 dead Americans who have been attacked in their second
Pearl Harbor,
when we're trying to work cooperatively with the United States and the
president of the United States says we are for us, you're against us.
We need to have those discussions within Canada, but we need to do so in a way that's actually
responsible.
So we need to inform the opposition leaders in a way that they otherwise wouldn't be.
So we're going to swear them in as privy councillors and make available to them the documents and
the intelligence reports that we have so that they can be better informed, so they can think
about how they want to think about these issues.
Because A, they may perform government one day but b they might ask questions that will put canada at risk in terms of our
relationship with the united states or worse put us at risk in terms of our security obligations
and keeping canadians safe so the swearing in to the of the leaders of the opposition as privy
counselors well i think was it was a very wise move by minister creighton that probably paved
the way to such solidarity of canadian alignment after 911, before the Iraq war, in that two-year, year-and-a-half window period
where we did have an alignment of national interests with the United States in terms of
peace and security. You've both been in government, albeit from different roles,
but you've also both been engaged in the past couple of years in in
two big global strategic firms if you will what have you learned in your new vantage point
about canada's place in the world which perhaps you didn't know when you were in government jerry
well i think i have had whatever illusions um positive illusions and james alluded to
some of those earlier uh about canada's outsized importance in world affairs
those scales have dropped from my eyes i think it's uh uh it's a bit shocking frankly how
little canada factors into the conversation in particular in the American finance and business community.
There are investors who have the interest in Canada, you would say, pay special attention to what's going on here.
But for the most part, Canada is definitely another country in the United States.
It's not the focus of concern whatsoever.
I think that we have managed to end up on the periphery of some really important debates like
the energy transition, for instance, which is something that I spent a lot of time on,
largely because we've had a stop and go approach to our own domestic policy on the front over the
past 25 years that has not helped. But mostly mostly I think what I've learned through experience that I kind of intimated
while in government is that Canadians I never like to say anything negative about our place
in the world but I think most Canadians believe we occupy a larger place than we do. Do you think they do?
Because usually, isn't it a kind of a common criticism of ourselves, really,
that we talk a good game about how important we are,
but really deep down we know nobody's listening to us,
that we're not a player.
But we do, Matt.
I think part of what infects our rhetoric, right,
is that
we share a media market with the united states uh english language you know partner and american
dialogue rhetoric and and partisan affiliations you know drive that this conversation and so
so we're we're infected by the rhetoric and infected by the heat and the passion about
these issues because but the scale of consequences isn't the same nor the
scale of the scale of obligation to your question though what i've learned in the private sector is
uh versus being in government is just how transactional things are uh and and and the
and the time focus like you know people sort of people do often look at in certain transactions
they look at governments as like okay well who's the minister are they engaged are they smart or
is their office effective?
Do they care about our issues?
Do they matter?
Is there likely to be a shuffle?
Is the prime minister going to run again?
Are they going to win again?
Is it going to be a majority or minority?
Okay, if it's a minority, so on average, that's 18 months.
So we're going to close our agreement.
But then it'll probably be the same minister.
Like, it's a very transactional sort of look at the government.
It's not idealistic.
It's not ideological for the most part. It's just sort of, you know, if you're building a home, you have a land
assembly and you want to build some homes in Vancouver. It's like, who's the mayor? Who's
the city council? What's the city planner or city manager? Are they a good guy? Are they smart? Are
they good? Okay. Are they helpful? Will they talk to us? Can we talk to me sort of, you know,
can we engage with them? Will they be reasonable with us um and and for a lot of large certainly transactions it's very much in that
mode right okay so you know so this is going to expire are they going to renew that or how's
their approach is the deputy minister are they engaged okay is there is there somebody in there
who we can talk to and get so it's that's very much how i think um so the private sector looks
at all governments they don't they see red. They see blue. People have their biases and assumptions about governments. But I think the the the approach more than anything else is just a very sort of matter of fact, transactional approach to things.
And because firms have their obligation, they have a fiduciary obligation when it comes to return for investors and to manage things responsibly, be accountable to their boards of directors and drive to drive to mission.
And, you know, alignment with foreign directors and drive to drive to mission. And,
you know, alignment with foreign policy is not always clear and simple. The big, you know,
caveat or asterisk I would slap next to that is when moments like, you know, the invasion of Ukraine happened, then then then steps in this massive, you know, alignment of the private
sector. And if anything else, you know, frankly, more more than noises of the private sector and if anything else you know frankly more more than
noises of the eu or the alignment to the eu uh but the private sector shift against russia and
the pulling out of russia um has been massively consequential because of the the scale of the of
the clarity of the right and wrong that's that's at play i think that's a really interesting point
and it's something we could spend a whole show on, by the way. But I just add one thing, Peter, which I think is a really important thing.
It might even supersede what I said initially.
And that is how technology is developed in a way that facilitates the participation in other countries' politics. think of it mostly as Facebook groups and anonymous trolls on Twitter and shady cross-border
fundraising for truckers or fake truckers, depending on your perspective on things. But
I think that we have been slow to appreciate kind of the caricature was the Russians participating
in the American electoral process in 2015. But I'm way more concerned about American participation in Canadian electoral processes
than I am about the Russians.
And the technology has facilitated it in a way that it's very difficult to monitor
and it's very difficult to regulate.
Unless Barack Obama is endorsing Justin Trudeau.
Well, he didn't do that anonymously as a troll on Twitter.
But are you suggesting that our, I don't know whether it's CSIS or whoever it is,
is behind the curve on being able to deal with stuff like this in terms of the way other people do it?
Oh, I'm not suggesting it, Peter.
I'm not suggesting it.
I'm saying it. Absolutely convincing. I'm not suggesting it. I'm absolutely
convincing it.
And why is that?
Because it's not their focus
and they're outmatched on the
technology by private
sector platforms that are facilitating it.
Yeah, and also
it's pretty hard to stop these things, right? As we once described, it's like, you know, it's porous, it's digital, it's pretty hard to stop these things right as we once described it's like you
know it's porous it's digital it's everywhere it's constant it's it's sort of like somebody
goes to the witness stand in a trial and they say and they say something and then the judge
turns the jury says pretend you didn't hear that he said that he saw it you know like
the jury heard it you can't tell the jury to unhear something they've heard and
so so administering these things when when it it's digital, it's constant is,
is, is near damn near impossible, right? As some George will says,
it's like cobwebs trying to lasso a locomotive, but isn't going to work.
You know, the,
if the energy of people want to engage in Canadian foreign policy and,
or sorry, if, if foreign actors want to engage in Canadian domestic policy,
it's pretty easy to do.
So it's pretty easy to set up websites and memes and structures that
are fully engaged. Justin Trudeau, be blunt about this,
Justin Trudeau has become a meme and a target for people who hate
woke politics, who think that he's a symbol of a shift to
the softening of America and the softening and the
weakening of America and the softening and the, and the weakening of America and all that. And he's, he, he is a, he's a,
he's a target rich environment.
When you look at the sweep of things that he said over the course of his
political career, it's not that Justin Trudeau has a long,
has a sort of a habitual, you know,
constant habit of getting himself in trouble for saying things that inflame
his opponents, but it's just, he's been in politics now for a long time.
He's been a public national figure since 2008 in a leadership position now for
almost a decade, a three-term prime minister.
And just over the course of this week of time,
you're going to accumulate enough evidence that people are going to think the
worst of you. Stephen Harper, the same problem,
I'm already in the same problem. It is what it is. And so, you know,
with actors who want to sort of elevate you and, you know, he's, you
know, people now just say Justin Trudeau when you watch Sean Hannity and you listen to American
talk shows in the United States that he has become a punching bag and people want to affect
change.
And so it's pretty easy to throw up a, you know, a social media account and spread memes
and be pretty aggressive and nasty about it.
You know, it's, you know, it's pretty hard to stop.
Well, it gets back to a conversation we had the last time we spoke,
which is the kind of rapid metastasization of tribal formation in politics.
And the platform technology facilitates that.
Trudeau has become, to the American right, another cultural indicator,
right? That if you are in any way predisposed to be positive about Justin Trudeau, you don't belong
in our community. And the repetition of that message, of course, bleeds across the border
to the conservative community. And it's one of the reasons, that symbiosis is one of the reasons why
I think the conservative messaging on Trudeau has gotten ever more aggressive and hardened over time because it's all part of that media and communications feedback ecosystem.
And the same thing is true, by the way.
It was true, by the way, for Stephen Harper on the left in Canada.
But it's just that the technology wasn't as developed as it is now.
They split the atom.
Facebook and Google split the atom when it came to community formation through the delivery
of advertising programs in 2013, 2014, 2015.
And that has created a hyperactive community formation mechanism, if I can put it diplomatically, online, where
in the United States, these two broad groups of people don't talk to each other, and they
don't really live in the same country psychologically, which is something that I think we need to
constantly vigilantly guard against happening here.
Gentlemen, it's been a good discussion.
We could go on for a lot longer,
but I think we're going to let that sink in
to the different things that you've given us here.
And I think what I'd like to do with our next conversation,
whenever we have it in another month or so,
is to take a look at the whole leadership process
in terms of how we pick our leaders,
who becomes leadership potential and how they become leadership potential in Canada,
and whether the system is a good one or not.
I mean, in our lifetimes and more so in mine,
we've seen a number of different ways that leaders have been picked
and I'm not sure what the right one is anymore.
So I think we can have that conversation,
especially in light of what we're witnessing
already going on these days in the Conservative Party
and who knows, may witness it at some point
in the next couple of years in the Liberal Party as well.
Okay, we're going to leave it at that.
Jerry in Ottawa, James in beautiful British Columbia, thank you both so much.
And we'll talk again soon.
Lovely. Always a pleasure, Peter.
Nice to see you both. Take care.
Yeah.
I loved listening to those two guys.
I think they offer a lot in terms of food for thought for all of us.
Conservative James Moore, liberal Jerry Butts.
We've gone a little longer than normal today,
but I think it was worth the conversation.
I hope you do too.
I'm Peter Mansbridge.
Thanks so much for listening to The Bridge today.
You've been listening to an encore presentation of The Bridge with Peter Mansbridge,
first aired on April 25th.