The Bulwark Podcast - David French: It's a Cult

Episode Date: November 28, 2023

Don't underestimate the power of the belief that Trump is part of a prophecy for many evangelicals. And don't underestimate the general lack of knowledge about Trump's corruption. Plus, putting pressu...re only on Israel does Hamas' work for them. David French joins Charlie Sykes.

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Starting point is 00:00:30 This message comes from BetterHelp. Can you think of a time when you didn't feel like you could be yourself? Like you were hiding behind a mask? At work, in social settings, around your family? BetterHelp Online Therapy is convenient, flexible, and can help you learn to be your authentic self, so you can stop hiding. Because masks should be for Halloween fun, not for your emotions. Take off the mask with BetterHelp. Visit Better Charlie Sacks. There is a lot to talk about today, including loads of, I'm saying, disturbing polling news about the presidential race, which we will get to in a moment. But we have so much ground to cover, so many things that I
Starting point is 00:01:21 wanted to bounce off our guest today, David French, opinion columnist for the New York Times. Welcome back to the podcast, David. How are you? I'm good. Thanks so much for having me back, Charlie. I always enjoy joining you. I made a list of things that I wanted to ask David French about. I want to start off with this passage from Tim Alberta's book about the split among evangelicals,
Starting point is 00:01:43 something you have written about, spoken about extensively. And there's this one scene that really is kind of haunting. He recounts his father's funeral. His dad had passed away, and they go back with the family to the house. And they're sort of, you know, in this moment where the church ladies are, you know, taking care of everyone. And he's really feeling this is what the church is all about. And he said, you know, most of the folks at our church were humble, kind-hearted Christians like these women. And just then, he writes, one of them walked over and handed me an envelope. It had been left at the church, she said. My name was scrawled across it. I opened the envelope. Inside was a full page-long handwritten
Starting point is 00:02:26 screed. It was from a longtime Cornerstone elder, someone my dad had called a friend, a man who had mentored me in the youth group and had known me for most of my life. He had composed this note on the occasion of my father's death to express just how disappointed he was in me. I was part of an evil plot, the man wrote, to undermine God's ordained leader of the United States. My criticisms of President Trump were tantamount to treason against both God and country, and I should be ashamed of myself. However, there was still hope. Jesus forgives, and so could this man. If I use my journalism skills to investigate the deep state, he wrote, uncovering the shadowy cabal that was
Starting point is 00:03:10 supposedly sabotaging Trump's presidency, then I would be restored. He said he was praying for me. I felt sick. Silently, I passed the letter to my wife. She scanned it without expression. Then she flung the piece of paper into the air, and with a shriek that made the church ladies jump out of their cardigans, cried out, what the hell is wrong with these people? David, do you have an answer to that question? Oh, man, Charlie, I have some answers. I have some answers. I have encountered sentiments like that quite a bit. Yes, I know. A ton, including personal confrontations at church, you know, where people- At church.
Starting point is 00:03:51 At church, where people express sentiments similar to that to me directly at church. Not so much now that we go to a different church, but used to be, I would sometimes have to almost brace myself for the possibility every time I went to church. It was not that these encounters would happen every time, but they would happen often enough that I had to sort of get in a mindset when I went to church that I might have an unpleasant encounter today. And there are a few common threads that I've seen in the kind of people within Christianity who will act like that. And one of them is a lot of these people are heavily influenced by prophecies. And when I say prophecies, you should see me as saying that with air quotes, prophecies. In other words, people who purport to be prophets, who are describing what they believe God's plan to be for this country.
Starting point is 00:04:47 And Donald Trump is part of God's plan. Donald J. Trump. Yes. God's redeemed. Yeah. Now, this is something that, you know, even to this day, you know, we're now eight years, more than eight years past Trump coming down the escalator. So even now, even mostly through a decade of dealing with this,
Starting point is 00:05:07 we still don't fully understand how much of this is motivated by what you would call Pentecostal slash charismatic Christianity or religious movements very adjacent to this. And Pentecostal and charismatic Christianity believes in the existence, the present existence of spiritual gifts like prophecy, like healing, like tongues. is people become more dedicated to their leaders and to sort of the prophet or apostle who they have followed than they are to even really understanding scripture. I mean, literally, the prophet or the apostle is the main person who opens up the scripture for them, who interprets the scripture for them. And so what we saw at the beginning of the Trump era was really widespread prophetic utterances within Pentecostalism essentially saying, this is God's man to save the country. But it's even deeper than that,
Starting point is 00:06:11 Charlie. It's even deeper because what's even deeper about it, and I'm going to use a term that our mutual friend Renee DiResta came up with, which I think is brilliant. It's called a bespoke reality. So what is a bespoke reality? So a bespoke reality is essentially when you become so immersed in your political mindset or your religious mindset, curating what you read, curating who you pay attention to, curating who you listen to. And then then of course all of this gets algorithmically reinforced when you go online because all of these preferences get expressed in your online activity so much so that you live essentially when within a hermetically sealed epistemological environment it's a cult i mean how is this different than a cult? Oh, it's very, very, very similar to a cult. It's very similar. And both in these hermetically
Starting point is 00:07:09 sealed environments, there's sort of two ways they're sealed. One is the way they view the world. America's on the verge of catastrophe where, you know, it's six minutes to midnight, everything is falling apart. That's one part of the sort of the bespoke reality. And then the other part is here comes the savior. Here comes the person as unlikely as it is a real estate developer, reality TV star to come in to save the day. And in weird ways, the very unlikeliness of Trump, the very extraordinary sort of lack of qualifications of Trump or all of his, what they would call sort of his being rough around the edges, only reinforced the prophecy because this is an unlikely hero. It's an unlikely savior. So you have this incredible catastrophe, unlikely hero, and then everyone who's not participating in this movement then therefore becomes part of the enemy. So, we've talked about this before, but in this view, God has ordained Donald Trump to save us.
Starting point is 00:08:12 So, what is God thinking, do they think? Why Donald Trump and he is coming to do what? To save us from the immigrants, the gays, the what? Yes to all, Charlie. Yes to all. Save us from it all. No, but again, even the very unlikeliness of Trump, the very weirdness of Trump, becomes in its own way a reinforcement of the prophecy because under what circumstances would this normally arise, Charlie?
Starting point is 00:08:44 This is so unusual. There must be divine intervention. Yeah. So, I mean, this is cult-like behavior, and one would hope that the church, broadly speaking, would have an immune system to protect it against this cultic attitude. You actually have the tradition, you have the scripture, you have the value system. What happened? How did the immune system break down in such a large portion of the church? The general answer to that is, I think, number one, the church has done spiritual formation in the world of politics extremely poorly. It actually has done spiritual formation in the world of politics differently than the way it's done it in almost
Starting point is 00:09:32 any other area. So I'll give you, just to sort of make it concrete, let's say you're talking to a Christian businessman and their business is failing. That means their personal finances are in shambles. They may have to move out of their dream home. They might have to take their kids out of a good school. Their marriage is under strain. But you go to a Christian businessman, even in that point of crisis, and you say, you know what will pull you out of this? It's a little light consumer fraud. Well, the Christian businessman who's had any kind of spiritual formation would say, no, God's going to protect my family.
Starting point is 00:10:09 I'm not going to engage in consumer fraud because we've got this emergency. Let's say I pose to someone and says, well, okay, you don't want to get your hands dirty. But here you can hire someone. You don't have to lie, but you can hire someone and they will lie for you. The Christian businessman would say, no, I don't get excused from sin by delegating it to somebody else, right? And so you can start to see some of the parallels here. In business, Christians are not taught that the ends justify the means, that even an emergency justifies lies or cruelty. So we do save our lowest possible standards for politics.
Starting point is 00:10:41 Yes. They think of politics as being separate from all of this. There's a discontinuity of some sort. Well, the formation for years and years and years has been Christians are concerned about these issues. So, a Christian involvement around politics isn't a match of virtuous ends and virtuous means. It is Christians seek to pursue these issues. They're pro-life, they're pro-religious liberty, but there isn't any real discussion for Christian young people, especially growing up in churches, in youth groups, in Christian colleges, about how to operate as a Christian in the political context. Just almost none. They're taught emergency
Starting point is 00:11:26 and then these policy solutions, and you're electing a president, not a pastor. And so, that one sentence has sort of justified sweeping under the rug of enormous amounts of corruption. Okay. So, this is not the entire church. It's not all evangelicals. I mean, there is a split even among conservative evangelicals. And I want to play for you an interesting clip because one of the most influential evangelical leaders in Iowa is a pastor named Bob Vander Plaats, who has endorsed Rhonda Sanders as opposed to Donald Trump. And, of course, Donald Trump being Donald Trump has lashed out and attacked this very, very well-known evangelical leader. And I think it was over the weekend. He basically is laying it all out and makes a critique of Donald Trump that I want to play. Part of this is political, and then it goes to the issue of character and morality. So let's just play this. And again, keep in mind that Bob Vander Plaats
Starting point is 00:12:22 is a big player in evangelical politics in Iowa, and evangelicals are very, very influential and important in Iowa Republican circles. Let's play this. And what you're seeing from the former president is character being revealed. Character being revealed, first of all, of Governor Reynolds and what he did by cutting a video against her. Two of the most popular governors and the most results producing governors in the country the governor of florida ron de santis the governor of iowa kim reynolds and you completely throw them under the bus and you call them names and that just because they don't bow the knee to you yeah that's not leadership the number one hurdle for donald
Starting point is 00:13:02 trump is i've never met a dad or a mom or a grandpa or a grandma who have told me they want their son or daughter or grandchild to grow up to be like him. That's a big deal. Trump deserved to lose my endorsement. Matter of fact, I've never endorsed him. But he proved he was not worthy of the endorsement of me, of the ministry, and by extension, the broader body. And I believe Iowa will rise up. I believe Iowa will send a message on January 15, because I think they're seeing it through this as well. This is smoke and mirrors. This is not leadership our country needs. Okay, so what are we hearing here? This is clearly an evangelical who's willing to call
Starting point is 00:13:43 out Donald Trump on the issue of character. And that point he makes that he's never met a parent or a grandparent that wants to use Donald Trump as a role model for their own children. I would think that would be a much more powerful and resonant message than maybe it's been so far. What do you think? Nope. Nope, Charlie. I say nope for a couple of reasons. One, because nothing, nothing he said was new. And in fact, when he talked about what was really making him angry, notice the massive amount of corruption he left out. I mean, this is on the scale, saying mean things to Kim Reynolds, it doesn't even measure compared to impeachment one, impeachment two.
Starting point is 00:14:30 Sedition, insurrection, violation of the Espionage Act, racketeering, paying off porn stars. We have seen this in some folks like a Jenna Ellis, for example, who all of a sudden, wow, Donald Trump's not a good guy. Okay. Hello. Okay. Hello. Welcome. You know, look, I don't want to be one of these people who's sort of like, as they're walking down to the front of the church to repent for past sins, to like swat them with the church program and say, why didn't you come sooner? No, we have to welcome all folks to this cause, obviously. And I welcome his moral clarity in this moment, absolutely without
Starting point is 00:15:06 reservation. But there are a couple of factors here, Charlie. Nothing he said is new. Every evangelical critic of Trump has made this point for eight years. So nothing he said breaks new ground. Number two, every political cycle, some of the activists in these early states kind of have their moment in the sun. And a lot of people come from outside the state and they go, oh, I'm talking to this person who's extremely influential. Right. Now, I'm not saying he has no influence.
Starting point is 00:15:37 But one of the things that we learned in the Trump era is how little influence the various kinds of GOP activist gatekeepers have. Almost none. Trump did not ride their wave into the presidency. He rode his own wave. And then the last thing, and this is really important, I think, for your listeners to understand, and that is you and I, your listeners, are extremely up to date on all of the terrible things that Trump has done. We know them all. We can cite them chapter and verse. You move one inch out of our own sort of political reality, and you start to talk to folks who are in MAGA America, they will know only the smallest fraction about Trump. The smallest fraction. They live in, again, this bespoke
Starting point is 00:16:26 reality. And one of the ways this bespoke reality is maintained is by gatekeeping. And so how much will the big universe of MAGA media cover Bob Vander Plaats? To the extent that they do, it'll be in the most negative way possible. So a lot of really profoundly negative events or terrible things that Trump says or does, to this day, his supporters don't know about it. This message comes from BetterHelp. Can you think of a time when you didn't feel like you could be yourself? Like you were hiding behind a mask at work and social settings around your family? BetterHelp online therapy is convenient, flexible, and can help you learn to be your authentic self. So you can stop hiding.
Starting point is 00:17:12 Because masks should be for Halloween fun, not for your emotions. Take off the mask with BetterHelp. Visit BetterHelp.com today to get 10% off your first month. That's BetterHelp, H-E-L-P, dot com. This message comes from BetterHelp. Can you think of a time when you didn't feel like you could be yourself? Like you were hiding behind a mask? BetterHelp online therapy is convenient, flexible, and can help you learn to be your authentic self so you can stop hiding. Because masks should be for Halloween fun, not for your emotions. Take off
Starting point is 00:17:46 the mask with BetterHelp. Visit BetterHelp.com today to get 10% off your first month. That's BetterHelp, H-E-L-P dot com. Okay, so let's switch gears completely. I want to come back to that when we talk about where we're at in the polls and Trump's rise and Joe Biden's fade. But I wanted to get your, as a lawyer, your take on this, speaking of the things and Trump's rise and Joe Biden's fade. But I wanted to get your, as a lawyer, your take on this, speaking of the things that Trump is saying here. AP has a very disturbing story. Trump hints at expanded role for the military within the U.S. I think he's more than hinting it. He is talking about how urban areas are crime dens. And he says that he was stopped from invoking the Insurrection
Starting point is 00:18:26 Act and sending in active army units into the cities. He said, the next time I'm not waiting, one of the things I did was let them run it. And we're going to show how bad a job they do. Well, we did that. We don't have to wait any longer. The AP says Trump has not spelled out precisely how he might use the military during a second term, although he and his advisors have suggested that they have wide latitude to call up units while deploying the military regularly within the country's borders would be a departure from tradition. The former president has already signaled an aggressive agenda if he wins from mass deportations to travel bans, etc. And then it talks about the Insurrection Act. This is what I wanted to ask you about. This is a law first crafted in the nation's infancy, gives Trump as commander-in-chief
Starting point is 00:19:11 almost unfettered power to send in the military. The Insurrection Act allows presidents to call on reserve or active duty military units to respond to unrest in the states, an authority, David, that is not reviewable by the courts. One of its few guardrails merely requires the president to request the participants disperse. The principal constraint on the president's use of the Insurrection Act is basically political. The presidents don't want to be the guy who sent tanks rolling down Main Street, said a national security expert with the Brennan Center. There's not much really in the law to stay the president's hands. OK, so is that your read of this?
Starting point is 00:19:56 That Trump 2.0 will have figured out I have this weapon. I can deploy the military domestically. And the only restraint is really political. And the fact is that politically, Donald Trump probably doesn't think this is a negative to send the tanks into the streets. Yeah. So unfortunately, that analysis is pretty much correct. I mean-
Starting point is 00:20:18 It is. Yeah, it's pretty much correct. Now, there's basically three instances in which the president can call out the troops. Number one is probably not going to be a factor, and that's on the request of, say, the state legislature or the governor of a state. Now, I could imagine a red state governor doing that, but many of these big blue cities are also in big blue states, and you would not have the governor and the legislature asking for it. But there are other parts that don't require on the governor or legislature to say anything at all. So for example, it says, whenever the president considers, now that's your key language, whenever the president considers that unlawful obstructions, combinations, or assemblages,
Starting point is 00:21:01 or rebellions against the authority of the United States make it impracticable to enforce the laws of the United States in any state by the ordinary course of judicial proceedings, he may call into federal service such of the militia of any state and use such of the armed services as he considers necessary to enforce those laws. But this is not revealable by the courts. I mean, this is a unilateral power that he has. I mean, the court may choose to say this is non-justiciable. In other words, what the statute itself says, whenever the president considers. So this is very poor drafting. And so we're looking here at a terrible, sad irony, Charlie, because this is a post-Civil War act that's obviously designed to deal with any future insurrections or rebellions akin to
Starting point is 00:21:54 the Civil War. The closest we have come to that is January 6th, right? The closest we've come to an actual, say, coup against the United States government since the Civil War is January 6th, right? The closest we've come to an actual, say, coup against the United States government since the Civil War is January 6th. And there's actually provisions to deal with that, which is the Section 3 of the 14th Amendment, which should tell us that Trump is ineligible to be president. Here's the sad irony. He may escape entirely the actual consequences of post-Civil War measures designed to keep people like him out of office and then seize the reins and seize control over broad post-Civil War statutes that give him the authority to deploy the military. And this is where we are. And Charlie, I don't
Starting point is 00:22:40 want to pollute your feed by promoting my own podcast, but on my legal podcast, please do, Advisory Opinions with Sarah Isger. We have talked about the persistent problem of terrible congressional drafting for years. This is a more than decades-long problem. If you go back to, example, the Electoral Count Act before it was amended. It was an unbelievable mess. Total cluster. You know, if you talk about going back to the Muslim ban litigation, Trump relied on an extremely broad, poorly drafted statute. Supreme Court couldn't redraft the statute. It was terribly drafted by Congress. This is as well. And what both the statute enabling the president
Starting point is 00:23:26 in the Muslim ban cases and this statute, what they share in common is Congress essentially placing in the office of the presidency an enormous amount of trust. These statutes were written as if the president was presumptively trustworthy. And that's bad drafting. That's bad statute making. That's bad law making to draft statutes placing trust in the character of a president. Do not do that. Now, the sad thing is, Charlie, we don't have a Congress right now that can revise that statute because a lot of members of the MAGA Congress would be happy for him to invoke the Insurrection Act. They want him to do that, to wield the full power of the state against protesters. And now, to be clear, opposing the Insurrection Act is not
Starting point is 00:24:18 supporting violent riots, but you can deal with rioting short of the 101st Airborne. To your point here, and I think this is something that a lot of people have not come to grips with because we've gotten tangled up in the, is Donald Trump a fascist? Is he not a fascist? Should we use the word fascist? The reality is that there's a large number of Americans that like the idea of the strong man, of the man of action, of the man who will, in fact, impose discipline and order. And that Donald Trump has kind of tapped into that, that he kind of understands that whatever you call it, that there is an appetite for the man of action who is going to sweep aside the ineffectual norms of a liberal
Starting point is 00:25:07 democracy, who will in fact deal with the vermin within society, who will deal with the people who are poisoning the blood, that this in fact is not disqualifying. I think there's a lot of people in our world who think that if you point this out, people will go, oh my God, this is terrible. This man is a fascist. When a lot of Americans are going, you know, I actually like the idea of the wall. I want to restrict immigration. I do think that the greatest enemy, you know, threat to America is fellow Americans. And so let's not dance around this moment. I'm looking at the A.B. Stoddard's piece in the Bulwark this morning. We are about to descend into some dystopic rank punditry. As President Joe Biden continues to lose support, former President Donald Trump has never had more. It's not just because of
Starting point is 00:25:53 inflation and age. Many disillusioned Biden voters say they will not vote next year. Trump is also winning converts. A lot can change in a year, but the electorate is shifting and the anti-MAGA coalition is splintering. Trump now leads Biden in national polling and swing state polling. Biden's overall approval hovers around 39 percent, nowhere near what is required for an incumbent to win. A new Democracy Corps battleground survey released Monday shows Biden down five points to Trump in battleground states, six points down when accounting for independent
Starting point is 00:26:25 candidates. The poll found that voters don't want to hear about job growth, dipping inflation, rising GDP, or the recession has been averted. So let's talk about this moment we're at, where Donald Trump, despite more than 90 felony indictments, despite the fact that on a daily basis says something that is deranged and demented, is rising in the polls and now appears poised to go for a second term. David, what is happening? Have people just tuned out a lot of this? Have Americans become bored? Has this become just something that is baked in that, okay, Trump is Trump and he's all this stuff and that we're not scared? I mean, what is this moment? How do you process this
Starting point is 00:27:11 moment? It's a multi-factor analysis, Charlie. So number one, again, I have to circle back to something I said earlier. You and I and your listeners are not representative Americans in our knowledge of Donald Trump. We know a lot more about Donald Trump's wrongdoing than the vast majority of Americans. So vast majority of Americans don't know chapter and verse of who he is or what he's done. And people say, how can that be possible? You'll never lose money betting against the civic knowledge of the American people. Okay, but people do know at least enough to know that there's something problematic about Donald Trump.
Starting point is 00:27:51 They know that he's facing this. And they either don't care or, I mean, some of them don't know, but obviously some of them know and they do not care. Or they think that this is more of a reason to support him. Right. So a big chunk of people believe this is just weaponized Justice Department. So this is all cooked up banana Republic stuff. So it makes them want to support him more to defy this weaponized DOJ.
Starting point is 00:28:17 So you've got a chunk of people there. Then you have a chunk of people who don't know what to think about it. But for the time being, they're sort of labeling it under the category of it's just politics, or they're not plugged in. They're not thinking about it very much at all. And it doesn't affect them, right? It's not, it doesn't affect my life in any way. Exactly. What does this have to do with inflation? What does this have to do with war in Europe or Israel? And so then part of it is huge chunk of Americans don't have a full understanding of Donald Trump's corruption. As hard as that is to believe, it's true.
Starting point is 00:28:48 Okay. Another thing is, frankly, Charlie, you got a lot of pre-pandemic nostalgia. People remember the time before the pandemic as being peaceful and prosperous. Rightly so. It was peaceful and prosperous. And they've given Donald Trump a pass for the pandemic. Yeah, they have. Which to me is inexplicable because a lot of people have confronted me and they said,
Starting point is 00:29:11 before the pandemic, the country was doing pretty well. And I'd say, I had a lot of problems with some of Trump's directions, but yeah, it was prosperous. We were peaceful. And then the pandemic. And I said, well, hold on. Don't we judge presidents by how they handle crises? Isn't that really the ultimate judge of a president is how they handle a crisis? And you can't say, well, a crisis came up and we're not going to judge how he responded to that. That's exactly how you judge a president. A crisis came up and he, except for the vaccine, which he's now kind of flirts with sometimes and sometimes keeps at arm's length.
Starting point is 00:29:48 I mean, he was a miserable leader during that time, just a miserable leader. And so this sort of idea that, well, Trump was a good president prior to the vaccine, even if you grant that, which I do not, but even if you grant that, he flopped in handling a giant crisis. And yet he's given a total pass for that. And then the final factor is, and I just wish Democrats would listen to this instead of doing what they so often do. And I'm talking about partisan Democrats. When you point out that people don't like their candidates, they will say it's your fault and they'll yell at you until your morale improves. I know you've experienced this, Charlie.
Starting point is 00:30:34 I've experienced this. You point out issues that are real issues and the response isn't, oh yeah, Joe Biden needs to do better or Or, yeah, I see that as a problem. It's I don't want to hear another word about Joe Biden's age. I don't want to hear about inflation. I don't want to hear about crime. I don't want to hear about immigration. I don't want to hear about any of these things. These are non-issues because and this is what Rui Teixeira has called the I think the Fox News fallacy that if if the right wing thinks something is an issue, there then becomes
Starting point is 00:31:04 this, you know, counterweight say that, OK, we can't treat thinks something is an issue, there then becomes this counterweight to say that, okay, we can't treat urban crime as an issue. We cannot treat the immigration issue as a crisis. We can't acknowledge weaknesses in the economy, right? We have to pretend that these things just do not matter. And if we don't talk about them, or if we engage in better messaging, that somehow they'll be fixed, right? Right. And then we don't talk about them, or if we engage in better messaging, that somehow they'll be fixed, right? Right. And then they run around happily shooting the messengers who tell them, hey, this is a problem. This is a problem. This is a problem. No, how dare you? And then Hillary Clinton loses. And they're like, how did this happen? I don't know, guys, maybe you ran the
Starting point is 00:31:43 second least popular politician in the history of favorability polling for president of the United States and then tried to claim that the people who didn't like her were just misogynists. That doesn't work. Heckling people out of positions you do not like does not work. And this is part of that online poison that we see that seeps into both movements. It's a weakness with MAGA. It's a weakness with MAGA. It's one of the reasons why they've underperformed election after election after election is because they've adopted the bully
Starting point is 00:32:14 slash heckle approach to politics, which is, if you say something we don't like, we're going to make your life miserable and call that winning until they lost winnable election after winnable election. The Democrats are prone to do that as well. They have been better about it since 2016. I'm really worried about 2024, that there's a lot of people who are back into heckle mode. It does feel like kind of a flashback, doesn't it? Do you feel a little bit of a 2016 PTSD? Because I sure do. It really is starting to have echo. I mean, it's like the zombie of 2016 is crawling its way out of the grave. Many of the same mistakes are being made. And those mistakes include, how dare you raise this or that problem with our candidate
Starting point is 00:32:59 when the other guy is Donald Trump? Right. Well, okay. Look, I've been Debra Trump forever. I understand where you're coming from, but you have to win an election. And that means persuading people. That means offering what they view as better alternatives
Starting point is 00:33:18 because that's the key. They have to view it as better alternatives. So you have to go out and reach people who are either leaning towards Trump right now or have thrown their hands up in the air about both of them and reach them and greet them and meet them on their own terms and pull them in. You don't yell at them.
Starting point is 00:33:39 That's Twitter behavior. And Twitter behavior doesn't work offline. It doesn't work. Who would imagine that denial is not a viable strategy and that heckling does not actually raise morale? I mean, these are radical ideas. Landlord telling you to just put on another sweater when your apartment is below 21 degrees? Are they suggesting you can just put a bucket under a leak in your ceiling? That's not good enough. Your Toronto apartment should be safe and well-maintained.
Starting point is 00:34:06 If it isn't and your landlord isn't responding to maintenance requests, RentSafeTO can help. Learn more at toronto.ca slash RentSafeTO. Okay, so in the time we have left, I wanted to talk to you about a really remarkable thing that you wrote in your newsletter, and this is the Times newsletter. I now we're switching gears completely to talk about what's going on with Israel and Hamas. We could talk about the upsurge in anti-Semitism. Actually, let's do that briefly here. I don't think of myself as a naive person. And I don't think of myself as overly
Starting point is 00:34:39 hypersensitive about this. But I am genuinely shocked by the spike in anti-Semitism. And I'm sorry for the people who don't like to hear the words both sides. I am shocked by the left-wing anti-Semitism and the inability of many progressives to cope with that. And I shouldn't be shocked, but the virulence of the right's sort of ancient anti-Semitism, the way that that has come up at the same time. It's a remarkable moment that we're in, and you've written about this rather extensively. A lot of people get mad at me when I use the term horseshoe theory, Charlie. That was in the back of my mind there.
Starting point is 00:35:17 Yeah. But I'm going to keep saying it because it's true. And one of the tenets of horseshoe theory is that when opposing sides become increasingly radical, they become more like each other. So sort of the paradigmatic example of horseshoe theory would be pre-World War II Europe when you would have the red shirts and the brown shirts fighting each other in the city streets. Now, the brown shirts, the fascists, and the red shirts, the communists saw an awful lot of difference between those two movements or they wouldn't have been fighting each other tooth and nail. So that's the source of the real anger you get. How dare you compare us to the people we've sworn blood oaths to destroy?
Starting point is 00:35:54 But what was similar about fascism and communism is both the means of their combat and essentially the miserable illiberalism that would result from either one of their victories. Okay. And so what you see here in the United States at the moment, thankfully, we don't have full-scale red shirt, brown shirt combat in streets. We've seen elements of it already. But what you're seeing are two essentially illiberal movements that employ many common tactics, and the more radical they get, have common underlying belief systems. Even if one illiberal movement's idea of solving the problem is maybe more socialist than the other ones, than the, you know, sort of the authoritarian capitalism of the other movement, that doesn't mean that they aren't quite similar in many respects. And conspiracy thinking goes along with radicalism and anti-Semitism goes with conspiracy theories.
Starting point is 00:36:54 These things just kind of follow each other. The more radical a person gets, the more prone they are to conspiracy theories. The more prone you are to conspiracy theories, the more prone you are to anti-Semitism. And I hadn't really seen that just constant omnipresent connection between conspiracy theories and anti-Semitism until a number of folks who are scholars in this area had begun to point it out. And once you see that, and a lot of listeners are saying, duh, David, everybody's known that who studied anti-Semitism. I've not been a scholar of anti-Semitism in my life.
Starting point is 00:37:29 But you now see when conspiracy theories rise, anti-Semitism rises right along with it. And so what are some of the hallmarks of the modern illiberal right? Yeah, of course, it's illiberal. It's also extremely conspiracy focused, extremely. And so even though some of these individuals who've said pretty blatantly anti-Semitic things in the last month, even though two, three, four years ago, you might say to that same person, do you believe this? And they'd go, no, are you kidding me? That's antisemitic stuff. More time down the rabbit hole, their little bespoke reality, more time down that rabbit hole, and the more prone they are to conspiracies, and the more prone you are to
Starting point is 00:38:15 conspiracies, the more antisemitism rears its ancient ugly head. And Charlie, these pop culture figures in American right-wing infotainment, like a Tucker Carlson, like an Elon Musk, like a Charlie Kirk, so many others, they are extraordinarily conspiratorial. So none of this, none of this should surprise us. No. And of course, they have to keep turning the dial up on the conspiracy theory. Okay. So I want to get back to your newsletter. You wrote there should be more public pressure on Hamas. And you start out this newsletter noting that when you were deployed in Iraq in the summer of 2008, there was a wave of suicide bombings in province north of Baghdad.
Starting point is 00:38:55 The bombings were hitting cafes, medical clinics, and weddings. And there was an intelligence tip that one of the leaders of the suicide bombing cell was operating out of a hospital. Your unit had to search every square inch of the building, and you were the unit JAG officer, and you were asked beforehand to review the request to send troops to go into the hospital. Now, obviously, they're asking, is this going to be legal? Because there might be collateral damage. If you go into this hospital and search room by room, there might be a firefight in the middle of a hospital full of sick and wounded civilians. So talk to me a little bit about that, because these are incredibly difficult decisions. And of course, Israel is wrestling with this, you know, under the glare of, you know, international criticism
Starting point is 00:39:39 for the way that they are handling hospitals in Gaza and going after Hamas, which has embedded itself in the civilian population. Yeah. So let's just sort of break this down step by step under the laws of war. Under the laws of war, a hospital is a protected place. So typically if you have two combatants who are fighting each other and they are both complying, they're treaty partners, they've both signed on to all the relevant treaties regarding the law of armed conflict. They abide by customary international law. They're not going to blow up hospitals. Hospitals are protected. It's one of the reasons why you see, for example, medics will wear a Red Cross armband often when they know they're confronting a complying party, an enemy force that complies with the laws of war. You're not supposed to shoot medics. You're not supposed to shoot down medevac choppers, things like that. However, if a protected person or a protected place shifts its function or combines functions. So for example, if a medevac chopper starts shooting rockets at the ground, right, then you can take aim at that chopper. If someone opens a command post or stores munitions in a hospital, then the hospital
Starting point is 00:40:52 starts to lose its protected status. Now, what's important about this, Charlie, is not entirely, it's not the case that sort of you can say, well, we have intelligence that there is a hospital employee who's running a suicide bombing ring out of the hospital, which is what our intelligence indicated. Therefore, we can drop a bomb on the hospital. No, no. Other rules still apply because you want to apply by the rule of proportionality. Can you drop a bomb on a building that contains maybe hundreds of people to kill one person, that's disproportionate. Or distinction, which requires you to distinguish between military and civilian targets. If there's
Starting point is 00:41:30 one military target in a building full of civilians, how do you distinguish between that one military target? So I said yes to the raid. I said the raid was fine because with intelligence indicating that someone's operating a military operation out of a hospital, that meant that the hospital lost some of its protection. But no one asked to bomb it. No one tried to bomb it. No one asked to bomb it. No one asked to go in with guns blazing because other elements of the laws of war. And so we complied at each stage. We had a careful review to determine whether it was okay to go in the hospital. Then we planned how we were going to do it carefully to make sure that we did it with
Starting point is 00:42:09 minimal disruption to medical services. And we did it with minimal disruption. And unfortunately, slash fortunately, he wasn't there. Unfortunately, because we wanted to catch him. Fortunately, because the last thing we wanted was a firefight in the hallways, we later caught him at his home once we found out where he lived. But that's sort of the step-by-step process. Is it a protected object? If yes, hands off. But if the other side uses it for military purposes, then it also becomes a military target or a military object. You said you shared this Iraq war story to ask readers about their reaction. Do you have greater horror at the thought of heavily armed Americans pouring into an active hospital or at the thought that a terrorist was coordinating a wave of violence while
Starting point is 00:42:57 sheltering among civilians in a site ordinarily protected from harm? And this is the dilemma. So, and the IDF has to deal with that on a regular basis. So let's talk about your argument that world pressure should be focusing on Hamas, because it does seem as if most of the protests and a lot of the pearl clutching is putting pressure on Israel to have a ceasefire or to not do this, as opposed to the pressure on Hamas. So talk to me about what kind of pressure the world should be putting on Hamas right now. Well, you know, look, we've seen what kind of pressure.
Starting point is 00:43:31 Take all the hundreds of thousands in the streets protesting Israel, flip that around and have hundreds of thousands protesting Hamas, release hostages now, lay down your arms. Now, that doesn't mean that grants Israel a permission structure to engage in lawless armed combat. Israel under all circumstances is bound by the laws of armed conflict. However, what you have to understand and what listeners have to understand is all of that pressure you're seeing placed on Israel, Hamas depends on that. That is an indispensable element of the Hamas strategy. So, Hamas does a couple of things that these protests are, yeah, even as well-meaning as somebody might be seeing all the civilian death in Gaza. And look, I look at that civilian death in Gaza and it is horrific. All of us should recoil
Starting point is 00:44:26 at this. It is. But let's remember a couple of things. One, Hamas violated the laws of war when it launched an aggressive attack on Israel that included intentional attacks on civilians. Hamas violated the laws of war when it took civilian hostages. Hamas violates the laws of war when it embeds in the civilian population and hides amongst civilians. All of those things are violations of the laws of war. Israel, by contrast, is responding according to its right under the laws of armed conflict to defend itself against aggressive attack. So the only party here operating under the umbrella of legal right is Israel. Everything Hamas has done has been illegal. So why, if one party is
Starting point is 00:45:15 lawless, the other party is responding according to its legal rights, why is all of the pressure on Israel? Part of this is the asymmetry that you're describing here, where Israel is actually vulnerable to public opinion, to this world pressure, because it is part of the community of nations. It is part of this legal infrastructure. It has to respond to public opinion in that way, in a way that Hamas does not, because Hamas is a terrorist organization. What would they care about 100,000 people turning up in downtown Chicago or Los Angeles or New York or London or Paris? Why protest against Hamas since they don't care? They're not going to respond. All they'll care about is if the Iranians, for example, pull the plug on them.
Starting point is 00:46:07 Yeah, but I will tell you this. What all those protests do is they tell Hamas its strategy is working. Yeah, that's right. So we have to zoom out a little bit here. Because what Hamas is trying to do here is not just kill Israelis. It's not just to destroy the Jewish state. Of course, that's its ultimate aim. That's not just to destroy the Jewish state. Of course, that's ultimate aim. That's its ultimate aim. But it's trying to separate Israel from and isolate Israel from the world community. Exactly. And so all of the protests are demonstrations that it's working. So it wants
Starting point is 00:46:41 to put Israel in an untenable position. And the untenable position is, well, if we let Hamas continue to survive in the Gaza Strip, then our civilians are at risk of mass murder, okay? If we remove Hamas from the Gaza Strip, then we'll face the scorn of the world and be isolated in the world and be left more vulnerable within the world. So they're trying to put Israel in an absolute no-win position. Let us live, and Hamas can live to kill again. Drive us out of Gaza, and Israel will have lost something perhaps just as valuable, the ability to have relationships with neighboring Arab countries, the ability to be a full neighboring Arab countries, the ability to
Starting point is 00:47:25 be a full part of the international community. And if it can't defeat Hamas, that weakens Israel. But if it does defeat Hamas, yet isolates Israel, that weakens Israel. And so that's what Hamas is trying to do. And flipping and putting the pressure on Hamas, at the very least, Charlie, even if Hamas won't lay down its arms, will say Israel will not suffer consequences in isolation from the international community for responding under the laws of war to an aggressive mass slaughter of its own civilians. It's hard to see what the end game here is that is positive, though. It's hard. Again, it's important to remind people that Hamas is not in favor of the peace process, is not in favor of a two-state solution, that Hamas is committed to wiping out Israel and the Jewish population from the river to the sea. And I don't know how you negotiate. I don't know how you come up with a peaceful solution. That's,
Starting point is 00:48:24 I think, a problem for the people who are, you know, putting pressure on Israel saying, you need to have a ceasefire, and then what happens? And then you negotiate with Hamas, and then you come up with some way of living with Hamas? Because I think that what October 7th proved is that there is no coexistence, there is no formula, there is no peace process that is going to enable Israel to live side by no moral distinctions between Hamas and ISIS. And so my view is you cannot coexist with ISIS. Now, what follows is going to be messy and difficult and uncertain. But one thing you do know is you cannot coexist with ISIS.
Starting point is 00:49:21 The best book written about the fall of the caliphate is called They Will Have to Die Now. And it's by my Times colleague. He's on the news side, James Verini. And what Iraq realized before it went into Mosul, so the battle for Mosul was the biggest battle of the anti-ISIS war. What Iraq realizes, you just cannot coexist with ISIS. You cannot. And so we went in with our Iraqi allies. Our Iraqi allies took the vast bulk of the ground fighting burden. We provided air and artillery support. And we went in and methodically over nine months cleared ISIS out of Mosul. And it was terrible, Charlie. It was horrible. There was nothing neat or clean about it. It took place outside of the attention of the world, but the best estimates were more than 10,000 civilian
Starting point is 00:50:12 casualties, roughly 10,000 Iraqi security forces casualties, unknown numbers of thousands of ISIS fighters, but there was no option but to clear ISIS out of Mosul and then start over. And I think that Israel is in that same position. I don't think they credibly have a meaningful, now they may choose a ceasefire and then to fortify, fortify, fortify, but then you just go back to the incredibly unstable situation you had before October 7th, where Israel has to have constant, constant vigilance. Hamas just has to get lucky once or twice, and it can inflict massive amounts of damage on Israeli life. And so I don't see how it is a wise or prudent option for Israel to choose to leave Hamas in control of the Gaza Strip, as awful as that is. I agree. I just don't see that as viable
Starting point is 00:51:05 in any possible scenario. David French, thank you so much for coming back on the podcast. David, of course, is an opinion columnist for the New York Times, co-host of the Advisory Opinions podcast. It's always a pleasure to talk with you, David. Charlie, it's always great to chat with you. And thank you all for listening to today's Bulwark podcast. I'm Charlie Sykes. We'll be back tomorrow and we'll do this all over again. The Bulwark Podcast is produced by Katie Cooper and engineered and edited by Jason Brown. Landlord telling you to just put on another sweater when your apartment is below 21 degrees? Are they suggesting you can just put a bucket under a leak in your ceiling? That's not good enough.
Starting point is 00:51:58 Your Toronto apartment should be safe and well-maintained. If it isn't and your landlord isn't responding to maintenance requests, RentSafeTO can help. Learn more at toronto.ca slash RentSafeTO.

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