The Bulwark Podcast - Jonathan Chait: A Scary Clown
Episode Date: November 27, 2024Pete Hegseth may have a winning Fox & Friends smile, but his desire to shoot protesters, commit war crimes, and purge non-MAGA leaders from the military lines up with Trump's views—and is probab...ly the reason why he was nominated for defense secretary. Plus, Republicans won without offering a middle-class economic agenda, and the ties between the Democrats' loss and the party's busy-body language police. Jonathan Chait joins Tim Miller. show notes Chait's piece on Pete Hegseth Tim's Thanksgiving playlist
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello and welcome to the Bollard Podcast.
I'm your host, Tim Miller, coming at you from my husband's childhood bedroom because it's
Thanksgiving week.
Happy Thanksgiving to everyone.
And I'm here today with a friend that I do not want to talk about college football with.
His name is Jonathan Shate.
He's a staff writer now at The Atlantic,
writing about American politics.
He was previously at New York Magazine.
How you doing, man?
I'm doing great, Tim.
Absolutely great.
Really?
Yeah.
Just based on your family or the country
or Michigan's recruiting.
You know, all the above.
Well, not the country.
Two of the three. Two out of three ain't bad, Tim.
Two out of three ain't bad. That is for sure. Well, thank you for coming with us on Thanksgiving
Eve. You wrote about something of great interest to me, which is Pete Hegseth. I'm obsessed with
Pete Hegseth and this choice. I found it very strange. I don't find it strange, actually,
but I found it very misguided that everybody spent their
focus on Matt Gaetz when Pete Hegseth was obviously the most absurd and ludicrous choice
and dangerous choice, frankly.
And so I want to spend the second half of the podcast on Pete Hegseth.
We got to do Democratic stuff first, if that's okay.
The Harris campaign leadership team, Steph Cutter, David Plouffe, General
Mally Dillon, Quentin Foulkes did an interview with Dan Pfeiffer of
Ponte of America yesterday.
It was very lengthy.
So I don't expect everybody to have listened.
I want to pull out two points from their conversation that I particularly
wanted to get your take on.
The first one was something that Plouffe was talking about.
The numbers he gave was that the country shifted eight points to the right.
He called it negative eight points in non-battleground states and negative
three points in swing states.
I've seen other analysis that put it at five and two, but whichever
number you want to use, clearly the country moved more towards Trump in
places where the campaign wasn't waged.
So to me, there are like two ways you can look at that.
Like on the one hand, the campaign wasn't as bad as everybody makes it out to be
and that the campaign strategies worked to some degree.
The other way to look at it is that the Democratic brand is worse than it seems, actually.
Because in places where the campaign wasn't waged, they got absolutely slaughtered by somebody that, you know,
attempted a coup and is a
total ass clown.
So I guess open-ended question on how you see that.
Yeah.
I mean, multi-causality, I think, is the word you have to keep in mind when analyzing the
cause of this defeat.
There are factors within their control.
There are factors that are outside of their control.
If you want to hear my take on it, it's going to go through a few steps.
I think you have to begin with the fact that global inflation made every incumbent party super unpopular across the world, including in every incumbent party that stood for reelection
in a democracy lost. I don't think losing was totally inevitable. I think if they ran a perfect
campaign, they could have won, but they only ran a good campaign and not
a perfect campaign.
So that to me is the big picture.
But the mistakes they made started with, I think, a failure to appreciate how unpopular
Joe Biden was.
I think the Democrats had really been trying to psych themselves up into seeing Joe Biden
as being the new Roosevelt and this guy who's accomplished more than any Democratic president since Roosevelt or Lyndon Johnson or whatever. And I think they actually
internalized this message and this prevented them from seeing that Joe Biden was perceived
by the country as Jimmy Carter. They saw him as a totally failed president. And so they stuck with Biden too long.
They accepted his excuses for his performance for too long.
And when they finally got slapped into reality, they said, well, why don't we just pick Joe
Biden as the vice president?
That makes the most sense to us.
Not thinking like you want to get as far away from this presidency as you possibly can,
which I think was actually the correct choice.
So I think Harris took a lot of steps in that direction, but she didn't take enough steps
in that direction.
And she also never convincingly repudiated her left-wing stances from 2019.
So she stopped talking about the stuff she was talking about four years before, and she
was talking differently than Joe Biden,
but she never really said
what she would do differently than Joe Biden.
And she never really said why she was thinking differently
than she was in 2019.
And so I think she made a lot of good choices
and had a lot of good messages,
but she just couldn't quite cut those ties
to her previous campaign and to her administration.
I think because she was coming from a place of conviction, which is ironic because I think
people think of her as a totally plastic individual, but I think she just genuinely likes Joe Biden,
agrees with what they did, doesn't really have a huge problem with the things she said
in 2019, even if they weren't her deepest beliefs, and just couldn't quite be cynical
enough to say, no, I don't believe any of that stuff in Joe Biden was wrong about X,
Y, and Z.
You know, there was a lot of complaints about that section of the interview also where,
you know, the team was kind of giving excuses for why she didn't distance from Biden more.
And as somebody that's been in those rooms, like they made some points that made sense
to me, like, you know, like, okay, let's say we had said that, you know, Kamala Harris
thought that we overspent on the second stimulus bill, right?
Or let's say that we thought that we should have addressed immigration
more aggressively earlier.
Well, there's no evidence that she did that actually.
Right.
And so then the next questions come, you have to, you know, Democrats get
graded on a different curve that New York Times reporters and political are filing up were like, well, did she say that in a meeting, you know, Democrats get graded on a different curve, the New York Times reporters and Politico are filing up, we're like, well, did she say that in a meeting?
You know, is there any evidence that she actually, like, and so you end up getting wrapped around
this axle where like she didn't actually distance. That's too, it's too naive. I mean, you're the
cynical political operator here, clearly, I'm sure you're, you've already thought of the answer that
popped into my head when I heard that, which is like, what about the private meeting she had with Joe Biden, where she told Joe
individually, Joe, I'm worried that we're spending too much and there's going to be
inflation. Joe, I'm worried about the immigration. Now, publicly, I'm going to back you, but
here are my private concerns that are registering just between the two of us and won't be recorded
anywhere. What about those meetings, Tim?
Are you ready for the problem with that answer,
which they don't wanna say on this podcast,
which is the true problem,
which is the Joe Biden problem extended deeper
than the fact that people didn't like his record.
It was that personally, he was defensive and prickly
about all this, and Joe Biden was not gonna let her
off the hook to do that.
Like there was no, like Joe Biden needed to have the moment where he, when he picked her,
where they had a call where he was like, Kamala, whatever he called her.
I'm sure he had some folks he named, he called her young lady.
You need to just do what you need to do.
And if that means throwing the old man under the bus, you throw the old man out of the
bus and no worries here. And he did not do that. He did the opposite. The
team was prickly and did not like any evidence of distancing. So I think that he made it
hard on her to do that too.
That's a pretty devastating indictment of Joe Biden.
I just don't see any other way to analyze it. There's not been any piece of evidence
to the contrary. Democrats don't want to say it. I'm free to say it. There's not been any piece of evidence to the contrary. Democrats don't
want to say it. I'm free to say it. There's not been a single leak that Joe Biden, you
know what I mean? We would know if Joe Biden was doing that. And we see with our eyes the
opposite that both him and Jill are sensitive about all of this.
But that's true. But I suppose the more forgiving interpretation is that he genuinely believed
all the stuff that everyone was telling him for four years, right? You're the new Roosevelt. You've accomplished more than anybody in history.
Like he internalized that. So, you know, I think it was just impossible for him to get into the
headspace of I'm Jimmy Carter and the candidate needs to get as far away from me as possible.
That is true. I think that is a more generous and accurate interpretation of his perspective.
So I guess just back to the original question, my other thought is, as I was
listening to that is to me, all of the autopsy stuff that focuses on tactics.
Is basically wrong.
If you come to the fundamental, you know, if you just focus on that fundamental stat
that Harris did three to 5% worse in places where they didn't
campaign. Right. Like that the campaign tactics worked, the democratic brand was at fault. And
so whether it was just inflation, whether it was just Joe Biden, whether it was something more
fundamental about how people see Democrats, like the only way to actually change the result was to
change one of those more fundamental
things and all of the other stuff is nitpicking.
Well, that's right.
I mean, there are different ways of saying the same thing, but right.
They put her in the game in the fourth quarter when she was down by 17 points and they lost
by six.
So you could say, Hey, she came back.
She did a lot better than when we're starting, but also they needed a plan to score three touchdowns and they didn't quite get there.
Okay.
Back to the football analogy.
I know for people who didn't understand the intro, the number one high school player in
the country was supposed to go to LSU and Michigan stole him right out from under us,
gave him $10 million.
Yeah.
And in sports, you need villains.
It's important.
Yeah.
And so I'm glad that I have a villain and it's Jonathan Jait's new
quarterback coming in next year. I really hope you face points. Thank you. No, Michigan's been
losing recruits to SEC players because of the money in the paper bag for decades. Then finally,
they legalized this so we can go to our network of billionaires. Suddenly, Jim Bob's auto dealership
in Baton Rouge is no longer dominating the financial space and recruiting and we could just tap Larry Ellison's
fortune and Jim Bob is just cursing angrily. Bryce Underwood, I'm cursing Bryce Underwood
underneath my breath. The other thing from the interview, Quinton Foulkes, who was there as
part of the transition, he was Raphael Warnock's campaign manager in 22, was senior on Biden's team and then stuck around after the switch as
almost all the senior people did.
He made this point and I think that there was a lot of subtext here and I'm hoping to
talk to him about it, but in the meantime, I want to get your take.
Let's listen to what he said to Dan Pfeiffer.
Jen said earlier that this isn't the problem of 107 day campaign to solve.
It's a party problem.
Republicans don't make Trump apologize.
And Stephanie said, we don't have to mimic it, but I think that there are a lot of times where if
you're in the democratic party and you step out of line, you get punished for it.
And that was what I was trying to say.
Thank you for being more direct.
You get punished for it by your own party.
Republicans do not do that.
They stay in mind.
Kamala Harris' comments in the 2019 primary, the reason why even that was being discussed
is because of interest-based politics.
I mean, we put out an ad with a cuss word in it and the amount of feedback that we got
was insane.
That's true. Some of that is just typical staff annoyance, right? an ad with a cuss word in it and the amount of feedback that we got was insane.
Some of that is like just typical staff annoyance, right?
Uh, I complain to my colleagues when I feel like I get unfair, negative
feedback about the brilliant work I do on this podcast.
So some of it is that, but I think that there's something deeper there.
The democratic candidates, like, and it relates to this authenticity question,
it's hard actually for Democratic candidates to go on a podcast and talk for two hours
and be themselves because they're forced to be more cautious because they're worried about
backlash from within their own coalition. That if they say one word out of step, that
they're going to get slapped down. Or if they give a policy position that's not in vogue
on Twitter or TikTok that day,
that they're gonna get dunked on.
And that Republicans don't have to,
Trump in particular doesn't have to worry about that.
And the Democrats do, and it's affecting the ability
for candidates to message effectively.
Is that how you heard it?
I heard a blending of two different ideas, which to me run in different directions.
One is the idea that the Democratic Party has a lot of interest groups and pressure
groups that police the language of phrasing of their candidates to an excessive degree
and make it impossible for them to just to communicate in normal human language terms.
That I think is a legitimate true complaint.
I think that's something that needs to be fixed.
I also thought I understood that as a reference to the different kind of media ecosystems
that the two parties operate in, where Democrats need the New York Times to write stories about
them that make them seem like decent people.
If the New York Times writes a terrible story about Kamala Harris, it's a problem for Kamala
Harris.
Donald Trump doesn't have that problem because the conservative news ecosystem is never going
to write a terrible story about him.
As he said, he could shoot somebody on Fifth Avenue.
That is a different kind of problem with different kind of ramifications.
I mean, yes, having critical news coverage makes
it harder for Democrats to win, but it also allows them to identify and correct errors. So,
fundamentally, it allows them to sort of get the poisons out of their system, whereas the Republicans
are in the sealed media echo chamber where the poisons just recirculate and get more toxic over time.
So in the short run, it helps Republicans win elections, but this culture of total cult-like
discipline just makes them unable to govern or think clearly about reality.
So I think, you know, I wouldn't trade the Democrats' problem for the Republicans'
problem in terms of the accountability they have to media.
The media question is so complicated, right?
Because then they complain about the media stuff a lot
in this interview and how there just is an imbalance
and that's true, right?
And as you point out, sometimes that imbalance
works out to Democrats' favor
because it's important to not to be outside of a bubble.
Other times, I think particularly in this election,
it worked to their disfavor.
And I think particularly so because of just, like, there was just nothing new under the
sun to say about Donald Trump.
And so some of the stuff, like some of the mainstream media stuff that trickles down
and hurt some Republicans didn't really hurt him in the same way that it hurts other Republicans.
I think that that language policing thing is important.
And it is important to take away for the Democrats because I think it's important for the whole
brand that like the way that people consume media now.
I did an interview for YouTube with Cameron Caskey, who was one of the March
for our Lives kids, and he's just like the way my friends consume media, like we
expect politicians to talk to us, like everybody talks to us on Instagram and
TikTok and like, and, and you can't do that if you're always looking over your
shoulder about the fact that everything that you say is going to be policed and it makes you come off as
inauthentic. It makes you come off as phony.
And that I think has to be fixed before 2028.
I don't exactly know how to fix it either because it's a bottom up problem.
Like the Republicans have their own bottom up problem,
which is that their voters are crazy. That's a bigger bottom up problem.
But the Democrats bottom up problem,
which is that their voters demand total fealty to right speak. That's also a problem. I don't
really know how to fix it. Yeah. No, I mean, I think the Democratic Party becoming more and
more reliant on college-educated voters has changed the culture in a lot of ways. And one of those
ways is just a kind of obsession with the power of language to frame choices.
And I feel like people apply this to the media.
You know, like these constant campaigns to get the New York Times to use the word lie
when they're clearly saying Donald Trump said something that isn't true.
Like you know, it's just important it has to have the word lie instead of like Donald
Trump made this obviously false claim that will rebut in the next six paragraphs.
Yeah.
There's one other autopsy thing I want to talk about to you, which was a coincidence.
So you've joined the Atlantic again recently, as I mentioned, we love the Atlantic.
I keep asking Jeffrey Goldberg to give me like some residuals on all the Atlantic subscriptions
that I've been bringing him, but that hasn't happened.
But your last article for the Atlantic,
I don't know if you noticed this, it comes up.
And it was from 2012 after the Romney loss.
And it was about Josh Barrow, who's like me, a lapsed Republican.
I don't know what you want to call him, apostate, apostate, center-right thinker.
And I want to pull one paragraph from it because I just think it's telling in two ways.
And you were writing about Barrow and
Barrow said
Mini profile. It was a mini problem in the profile
You're writing about him
The trouble is not simply that Republicans lack the imagination to come up with ideas to get higher wages more jobs and affordable health care to
The middle class it's that there is no set of policies that is both acceptable to conservatives and likely to achieve these goals.
The GOP's choice to advocate low taxes for the rich rather than fund any kind of scheme
to provide healthcare for the uninsured was no mere oversight, but a conscious decision,
he later wrote, one that inevitably followed from the party's dogmatic attachment to market
outcomes and dictates of its donor base.
The pro-middle class conservative project he pronounced is doomed.
I found that so interesting because on the one hand, he continues to be right.
They have not actually offered any new pro-middle class economic agenda items, really, that are meaningfully different from back then.
But they've been able to get those voters by doing something completely different, you know, through
economic nationalism and Trump celebrity and et cetera, et cetera.
I'm interested in your take on both those things.
Am I, am I correct in how the Republicans successfully got middle class
voters and isn't it telling about this autopsy project that you can like have
that you can write this very correct, sensible analysis of how the
Republicans failed,
and yet they can succeed in a totally different way that we never would have expected in the fall
and the winter of 2012. I mean, I think concrete questions of distribution are an advantage for
the Democratic Party and have been an advantage for the Democratic Party for the long time, right?
The Democrats want to tax the rich at higher rates.
That's popular.
They want to spend more on retirement programs
than the Republicans do.
That's also popular.
But that's just not the only issue set upon which elections
are based.
In 2012, it was the main one.
Obama was very good at making that the main question
of the election.
Who's going to tax the rich more or less?
Who's going to let government spend more or less, who's going to, you know, let government spend more or less on Medicare.
But those questions just faded into the background in subsequent elections.
So elections were decided on issues where Republicans are in stronger position.
But Republicans didn't actually change.
No, they didn't change.
Not at all.
If you look at the 2012 autopsy and you're like, okay, there were multiple ways that
you could change.
Like, you know, I was as a social squish was like Republicans should reach out more to,
you know, soften on immigration and reach out more to the suburbs and do better with
socially moderate suburban voters.
That was one.
Barrow is offering that Republicans should try to come up with, you know, break some
of their economic fealty to upper class tax cuts and reach out to working class voters, you know, with a more populous economic agenda.
Right.
The Republicans did neither of those things and yet still succeeded.
Let me, let me amend my previous statement.
Okay.
They did change their message in a crucial way, right?
Donald Trump attacked Paul Ryan for wanting to cut Medicare and Social Security and said,
I'm not going to do that.
So he really distanced himself from that image that the Republican Party had built.
Now I don't think his actual approach to governing changed very much, but his message and his
profile did.
And so I mean, I think a lot of people saw Donald Trump as being more moderate than Mitt
Romney. I mean, I think that actually showed up in survey data.
He had a more moderate image, and I think that's why.
I mean, the area where most people saw the Republican Party's extremes on fiscal policy
in Donald Trump was talking much more like a Democrat.
He was, you know, he even said at times in 2016 he would make the rich pay higher taxes.
Now, he did the opposite, but he talked about it and that worked.
Of course, the fact that he did the opposite is one reason why he lost in 2020 after winning
in 2016.
He didn't follow through on his promise and that was among the things that hurt him.
But he wins in 2024 doing even better with working class voters.
I guess what I'm trying to get at is that like at this moment,
there are these ways where you've where everyone is like, put projecting their own ideological
agenda onto what needs to happen. And it's like the Democrats do need to figure out a
way to do better with working in middle class voters. But the sense that there is necessarily
a policy answer to that is like, maybe maybe there's a policy answer to that. It's like, maybe, maybe there's a policy answer to that.
Maybe there's a different policy switch, but also like the Republicans did it
without really making meaningful.
So I guess your point is that they changed how they talked about
Medicare and social security.
I guess that's true, but that's like, yeah.
Yeah.
So, I mean, maybe the Democrats need to have a candidate that can do that and
fake it, but they didn't, I guess my book, Republicans didn't really change their policies in any
meaningful way and made huge gains with working class voters because the brand, they had approved
brand with working class voters because of other issues and ways that they-
They didn't change how they governed, but they really did under, like, I think Trump
did understand to an extent that this was like why Mitt Romney lost. He was seen as basically having economic plans that were contrary to the interest of what
most people wanted, and he messaged very differently about that.
And that was a smart choice.
So I think ditching your most toxic policies can work if you can make it work.
Now the problem was for Republicans that their party's conservative movement apparatus
was all based on disciplining people on policies before Trump.
And so it was really difficult for a conservative to come along in the Republican Party and
say, I'm going to be more moderate on fiscal policy, because then you'd be a squish, you'd
be a rhino, right?
They would kill you on Fox News over
that and you could never get the nomination. Trump found other ways to prove to Republicans
that he was not a squish, he was the opposite of a rhino. He was a fighter, right? Democrats hated
him while making those heresies on the fiscal policy be palatable to the base. All right,
so John Chait's path forward for the Democrats ditching the most toxic policy positions good and then identifying a demagogue
Who can signal to the base that they are extreme and very superficial ways and get gained such loyalty with Democratic voters
That they have the ability to separate themselves on policy. Is that the path forward?
I don't know who can do that exactly.
But Bill Clinton doesn't have any eligibility left, does he?
He's pretty old.
Yeah, maybe Hassan Abiy, the Twitch streamer.
I don't know what that left to look for potential candidates for that.
Hey guys, you know, I've been in the market for a new pair of pants.
It's not dress pants and not jeans
Everybody's casual in new orleans for starter, but the whole world is getting casual
You know, but you're going to meetings and sometimes you feel like you gotta have a step above a jean
But you know, I don't want to put on my fancy slacks
And i've turned to a new brand called public rec
Public recs daymaker pants are here to make sure
you stay comfy and classy this season.
They almost feel like sweats,
but they look like tailored pants.
They're super stretchy with an elastic waistband
so you can rock them any time.
I got a pair of brown Public Rec pants
because I've been in the market for,
you know, kind of having a more autumnal,
Al Gore type palette to my outfits.
For years, I was just black and gray and blue, black and gray and blue.
I feel like, I don't know, something spoke to me in 2024. Maybe it should have been a warning sign
that I wanted to look like Al Gore before the election. But something spoke to me about those
earth tones. I tried these brown pants
and you might have noticed me wearing them at that live event in Pittsburgh. I think I was looking
pretty sharp. Usually when you order comfortable pants you only get to pick from small, medium,
or large or extra large. But with the Daymaker pants from Public Rec you get to select the exact
width and length you need. So whether you're 30 30 by 32 or a 44 by 36, you can find perfect fitting pants.
Stop suffering in regular pants and give the gift of comfort this holiday season for a
limited time only.
Our listeners get 20% off when you use code THEBULLWORK at checkout.
That's 20% off with code THEBULLWORK at publicrec.com.
After you purchase, they'll ask you where you heard about them.
Please support our show and tell them we sent you say goodbye to pants that put
up a fight because when comfort meets style, you've found public rec.
Your latest article since the Hexeth one, which is up today.
Moderation is not the same thing as surrender is the headline.
You write about how you can follow that mindset under the
rubric of trans issues. We've been talking about trans issues about as much as I can
handle over the past three weeks. So you're welcome. You're welcome to speak to that.
But I want you to take the same thesis and apply it to another issue for me as well,
because I've been watching the brewing fight over sanctuary cities that is coming
and i think that is going to be a real pickle for democrats which is if the federal government and
you know tom homen and steven miller are like sorry no such thing as sanctuary cities we're
going to deport people from denver oakland or wherever and where they actually really kind of
do it performatively really more than have a real effort to deport a lot of people from those cities
But they do it to pick the fight and so I guess on both of those issues
I'm wondering the chate answer for how do you how do you not surrender while also?
doing smart politics
it's a tough one because
You know, you know this policy is going to cause a lot of horrible
cruelty in people's lives. But I think just as a matter of political legitimacy,
the federal government does have the right to enforce immigration laws. And if someone is here
contrary to the law, I feel like the federal government has a right to deport them.
It's more of a practical question of how much disruption they're willing to tolerate in
the enforcement of those rules.
But this isn't a situation like Donald Trump ordering the Defense Department to fire on
innocent protesters or ginning up cases against his political enemies.
That's a legitimate, straightforward function of the federal government, and it shouldn't
be states and cities that are mainly tasked with enforcing these laws.
It should be the federal government.
I don't think Democrats would want a situation where Democrats won the election and Republican cities or states or localities were just defying
an area under the control of the federal government.
So I think the procedural ground on which Democrats are standing here seems kind of
shaky.
I also think politically that this, if executed in anything like the way Trump says, is going to backfire.
It's going to be massively disruptive.
It's going to put a lot of industries like construction into chaos.
Agriculture, you've already got industries begging Trump for exceptions to this.
So I mean, you don't want to just say like, let him do what he wants to do.
Let him, you know, hurt as many people as he wants to hurt, and then wait for political profit.
But I think you have to understand that he is proposing a course of action that's likely
to backfire politically.
As the Bullock wrote, maybe this is like an approach to Trump. Instead of having people stop Trump from doing the things he wants to do, which
allows him to have the double benefit of the dramatic announcement, liberals
going crazy and then nothing bad happens.
And then it just feels like the boy who cries wolf to the public.
You actually have the wolf eating some sheep.
Now I'm not one of those sheep, so it's easy for me to say, but
I think as you understand the political leverage points, that's the dynamic that springs to my mind. I think it's a really tough one. I put you on the spot, so it's a decent answer. I think that the
thesis, which I agree with, of the top line, which is maybe a different way to put moderation is not
the same as surrender, is that fighting smart is not the same as surrender. Like choosing winning political battles is not the same as
surrender. Right. And I think that across all of these issues, trans gender rights, immigration,
even the issues that are the that are unfavorable for the Democrats in the macro, there are examples
of fights where the Democrats are on the winning side
and choosing those and elevating those during the next two years before the midterms is
probably going to be the judicious move. But that's tough to do because there's not like
a Democratic boss that gets to tell every Democratic mayor, you know, don't pick this
fight. This one isn't a judicious one. You know, pick a different fight, you
know, so it's tough to manage.
Right. And Chicago seems to be the place where the Trump administration is most focused on
this, on this immigration fight. And Brandon Johnson is going to relish that. Brandon Johnson
has run the city schools into the ground, right? He's basically like, you know, put
the teachers unions in charge of the school system. His approval rating is 15%.
There's nothing he would love more than a huge fight with the Trump
administration to get the liberals who are disgusted with his, with his
leadership of the schools back on side.
So I think, you know, it's going to work out well for Brandon Johnson and for
Donald Trump to have this fight, but it may not work out well for the democratic party.
It's 15% not good.
Are you trying to get a little, are you trying to get a little higher?
I'm not a math major, Tim.
Help me out.
Yeah, well, you did.
Good.
But you know, it's interesting, you know, your taste buds change and my whole life,
I never really liked mushrooms.
It's not a mushroom man to not consume any mushroom related food items.
And then my daughter like tried mushrooms
at a restaurant and liked them
and wanted me to cook them for her.
And so all of a sudden I started tasting mushrooms.
I was like, you know what, what the hell is I doing?
I love mushrooms.
I love the funny kind of mushrooms.
I love the tasty kind of mushrooms.
I love white mushrooms.
I love all of them.
And what I've come to learn thanks to this new sponsor
is I also like mushroom
coffee alternatives. As the chilly days of fall roll in and the holiday rush begins,
it's easy to forget about taking care of yourself. Enter mud water, a soothing yet energizing coffee
alternative that helps you stay sharp and balanced through the busiest time of year. Made from a blend
of chai, cacao, calming adaptogens like Lion's Mane, Reishi, and Chaga,
Mudwater gives you a natural boost without the crash of coffee jitters. I also really like Lion's
Mane, I've discovered. Mudwater is your holiday self-care ritual in a cup. Packed with antioxidants
and wellness benefits that nourish your body while keeping you centered and clear headed through the
chaos of the season.
Hitlock, here you go.
Every single ingredient in Mudwaters products
are 100% USDA certified organic, non-GMO.
There's also zero sugar, no sweeteners added,
making it a clean and wholesome choice
on your wellness journey.
That 3 p.m. cup of coffee.
You know, all of us start to have issues with that
as you get into middle age and older.
It gives you the jitters, makes it harder to sleep at night.
This can be a good alternative to that.
Switching to mud water can help you say goodbye to those sleepless nights but give you the
energy you need during that post lunch lull.
Using mud water is as easy as cozying up on a crisp fall afternoon.
Head to mudwater.com and grab your starter kit.
For a limited time only, our listeners get 25% off
your entire order at mudwtr.com forward slash the bulwark.
That's 25% off your order at mudwtr.com forward slash
the bulwark, only for a limited time.
After you purchase, they ask you where you heard about them.
Please support our show and tell them we sent you this fall, nourish your body
and your mind with mud water, a perfect addition to your self care routine.
PDAXX has written four books.
You read three of them because you're not fine the fourth or was it
you just use your brain could only take three.
He wrote five books.
I deemed only three of them relevant because one of them came when he was like a bushy
neocon and he since completely repudiated all those views.
So I didn't need to like read all the beliefs he no longer holds.
And one of them were just a bunch of war stories, which I also thought wouldn't tell you a whole
lot.
But the other thing, there are three books I found very pertinent to his worldview and
his descent into crankery.
Yeah.
So there are a few elements of these books I want to talk about that I think are mockable
and alarming at the same time.
We have to hold both of those ideas in our head at the same time.
He is both a clown and a scary clown.
There are a lot of scary clowns out there.
And so he might be their leader. So among the three books, give us your top takeaway holistically reading the Pete Hegseth oof, though, I mean, his
ghost writers oof, but you know, anyway.
Two of those books feel like they were primarily written by him. I mean, the language sounds
like it, but there were a lot of interesting themes. The number one theme I got is that the distinction in his mind between the mentality you use
in fighting overseas enemies like Al-Qaeda and in fighting domestic political enemies
like the Democratic Party has narrowed to the point of almost nonexistence.
He has come to see the Democratic Party as an enemy.
He constantly applies metaphors that are sometimes not even metaphors of military
fighting to this domestic political struggle, which he sees as completely existential.
He's convinced the left, which he means basically anyone to the left of Donald Trump, is going
to destroy the country unless they are destroyed by the forces of Trump.
Now I feel like he's in a position to advance that project.
Give me some specific examples of that that he talks about.
So the first book that I looked at, it's called American Crusade.
And that's basically, he uses the metaphor of the Crusades,
which I don't find is especially inspiring historical episode,
but he does find an inspiring historical episode.
And he basically calls his supporters to launch the equivalent of a crusade here in the United
States of America.
The crusades were bad for the Jews, bad for the Muslims.
He chillingly expresses some quick regrets about what happened to the Jews during the
crusades.
He does not have any regrets about what happened to the Jews during the crusades. He does not have any
regrets about what happened to the Muslims during the crusades. And that's the central metaphor
he constructs for domestic policy, a crusade. It doesn't seem like he likes the Muslims that much.
That message really didn't trickle down to Dearborn apparently in the protest.
No, absolutely.
The folks that have pivoted to voting for Donald Trump, but he doesn't seem to be a huge fan of Muslims.
Right, I mean, that's, I think, one of many problems
that comes through.
He is this, you know, a traditional kind of,
you know, conservative philosemite
in a way that feels almost uncomfortable for Jews sometimes.
Like, you know, the Jews are our little buddies
in the war against the Muslims.
And, you know, the Jews are our little buddies in the war against the Muslims. And you know, the role of the Jews is to control the complete, you know, Holy Land until they're
destroyed in a fiery Holocaust when, you know, the world ends.
And you know, it's not the worst thing that can be said about the Jews, but it's also
not the best.
The other thing in American Crusade that I pulled out here that is relevant to our domestic
concerns, our American crusade
is not about literal swords and our fight is not with guns. Yet.
Yes. Italicized.
Italicized. Yet.
Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. There are a lot of lines like that where he's basically using a military
metaphor and then he goes right up to the line of saying, well, actually,
this isn't just a metaphor. This is how we're going to do it. But that's the overall mentality,
the overall approach where he's just got this completely hysterical analysis of the American
left and its control of all the institutions and sees this as a fight to the death and
doesn't see the possibility of America basically surviving
with people holding views he finds objectionable over the long run.
He sees the need to essentially exterminate that opposition politically, and sometimes
it's not totally clear he only means politically.
So there's just this like bloodlust that comes through the rhetoric he applies to domestic
political conflict that's uncomfortable.
His most recent book is, among other things, just a straight up defense of war crimes.
He basically objects to military law as it pertains to treatment of enemy combatants,
enemy detainees.
He's a big advocate for war criminals.
Yeah.
He loves the war criminals. He talked about how in the military, the judge advocate general was called Jagoffs, and he
has multiple lines in his last book where he just in total objects to the idea that
the military should have to follow rules.
He basically says, the enemy doesn't follow any rules and we need to be more ruthless
than the enemy doesn't follow any rules and we need to be more ruthless than the enemy. So his basic idea of fighting al-Qaeda is we need to be, al-Qaeda needs to be
the ones who's being held to the higher standard. We need to go lower than al-Qaeda in our self
regulation. That's a whole other area that's incredibly disturbing and I think totally
disqualifying for his defense secretary. Yeah. I mean, and among the many problems, again, having a book where you're
maligning as Jagoffs, like a whole category of people that is going to be
reporting to you and working for you and between women in combat and army
lawyers, like there is going to be like hundreds of thousands of people that
are under his remit that he has said shouldn't be there,
essentially.
Yeah.
He puts scare quotes around phrases like international rights.
He just completely objects to the whole idea of the rules of war.
He just doesn't think that that stuff has any legitimacy whatsoever.
And also, I think also pertinent to how he would conduct himself in this job, he wants
to purge the military of anyone who basically disagrees with him about social policy, diversity,
which I think is more or less a code for getting rid of anyone who's not a Republican from
the military leadership, which is also something that Trump is very interested in.
So I think people saw Pete Hegseth and said, Oh, Trump is
appointing the guy he sees on television and likes. But I think there's actually a real commonality
of agenda that drove this, this decision. You have more of a calm sometimes in some of my
colleagues at the bulwark, including JVL. Yeah, I want to represent JVL here. Like if you, you think
about the potential dangers ahead of a Trump term, right?
Like the worst case outcome, essentially, I mean, I guess nuclear annihilation is the
worst case outcome, but like in the top three or four of the worst case foreseeable outcomes
is having a military that becomes completely beholden to him and his extrajudicial demands, whatever they may be,
whatever they may be at age 82 when he is of declining mental faculties and losing his grip on power
and having a military that has been shed of anyone that is going to object to those sorts of things.
And like, Haigsef feels like exactly the type of person that you would want to be Secretary
of Defense in that worst case scenario.
Precisely.
No, Pete Hegseth is begging Donald Trump to purge the military, commit war crimes, and
to use the military to crush any kind of domestic protest that embarrasses or discomforts Trump.
And I think you have to even think this through
to the next step is what happens when some of these steps
start to happen?
I mean, I feel like the whole conservative movement,
even the anti-anti Trumpers, are pretty much behind
this unitary executive theory, right?
So like they're saying now, oh, don't worry,
the military will stop them.
But they don't think the military
should be able to stop him.
They think the federal government should be under the complete control of the president,
or at least they think that when the president's a Republican.
So I don't really see any intellectual basis for them to resist these moves for him to
just fire generals on the basis of politics in order the military to do things that he
wants them to do that have been outside its
traditional purview.
Pete So, sometimes, like, when you actually read the full three books, you know, which
you did, versus just kind of like glancing at the worst quotes, you get a, you know,
you get a more full perspective on like, how much this guy seems brash, and how much of
this was, this was for the book jacket. to you when you think about that worst-case scenario
The person that you somewhat got to know over the course of those three books. Like how do you judge?
How do you assess how much Pete Hegg Seth?
Seems to be willing to go along or interested in going along with Donald Trump's worst impulses
You know what kept flashing in my mind is
General Ripper and dr. Strangelove.
I want to bring in the third book that we did discuss, which is about the American education
system, because in some ways, this is the most deranged of the three books. He argues that the
entire American education system, so just to pull back, you've had a lot of complaints about
the education system from the right.
And some of those complaints, I think, have real legitimacy, right, when they talk about
the 1619 Project and Howard Zinn and weird left-wing theories in the classroom.
Some of that stuff is real, and some of that stuff, I understand what they're saying.
He's saying the American education system is communist, and he's not talking about things
that have happened in the last five years.
He's talking about things that have gone on since the 19th century.
He says the whole structure of American education, the creation of social sciences, the very
way the schools are structured are a plot to soften up the American public for communism.
I can't tell you how far from reality this is, but it really did feel like I'm listening
to General Ripper and Dr.
Strange Glove talk about, you know, our precious bodily fluids in the communist conspiracy. So he
really does think he equates Marxism with the entire, not only the entire American left, but
almost every American institution that isn't directly controlled by the Republican Party
and sees this vast sinister plot to completely destroy the United States
of America that's been moving at an accelerated rate and has to be eradicated.
That's the worldview you get from these books.
So he's really a guy who's gone very, very far off the rails in five, I mean, he was
very, very conservative a few years ago and he's gone significantly to the right since
then. So we have somebody with no qualifications and no leadership experience who is consumed
with a deep paranoia and is borderline bloodthirsty to take out his domestic enemies.
Is that a fair assessment of what you saw?
Yeah.
That's the picture.
That's great. It's pretty
chilling. Yeah. That's basically a worst-case scenario for Secretary of
Defense. I liked in that book you pulled out one quote which I liked because it
also speaks to his dumbness. Here's a sentence from the book. Let that sink in.
The manner in which we study politics, history, and economics in American
schools today is the product of Marxists. It's just like, it's like a high school Republican
like writing at a sixth grade level with Twitter brain, like assessing the American education
system.
Now this book, this book, the education book was co-written with some kind of right-wing
conservative education
Christian school specialist.
And it seemed to be that like, Hexeth, almost like the way Trump reads his speeches and
then comments on his speeches, because he's encountering the words for the first time.
It's like, whoa, it's so true.
It's amazing.
He's sort of doing that where he's encountering this passage written by his co-authors.
Like, wow, can you believe it?
I had to read that again to believe it myself.
It's crazy, but it must be true because my name is on this book.
Pete Slauson It's like, let that sink in. Smart man just told me something about Marxism. I'm
still sinking in myself. The defenders of Hegseth have pointed to the book, which we've talked about
some, but I want to go to one element of it, the war on lawyers as the rationale for him being Secretary of Defense, right?
That he has assessed the failures within the Defense Department, mostly related to DEI
and the way that they're letting the lawyers run the show.
And he's done a deep dive on that and he's proposed reforms and he wrote a bestselling
book about those reforms and that
is what undergirds the rationale for him being secretary of defense. Are there serious elements
to the proposed reforms or is the entire book written at a weekend Fox and Friends host level?
It's the latter and that's why I challenged you when you said his ghostwriter wrote the book. No,
I mean it reads like just a bunch of Fox News monologues strung together.
It reads exactly like he talks on television and at that level of thought.
There's no plan, there's no detail here.
It's just a bunch of diatribes against the woke military, against DEI, unqualified women
and minorities who are being raised levels above Pete Hegseth, when of course Pete Hegseth is the most unqualified promotion in the history of the Defense Department.
Pete Slauson I do struggle with that. I do struggle with marrying the two thoughts
that the biggest problem with the military is that it's no longer a meritocracy and we're letting
too many woke transgender black people into leadership roles. at the same time the solution to that is
to put somebody wildly unqualified with absolutely no merit into the top role at
the department. Right well because he doesn't see qualifications the same way
you do. He sees Pete Hegseth as uniquely qualified by virtue of his own grit and
determination and I also think he, in some ways, equates qualifications with whiteness and maleness
in some implicit way.
Now, he does take pains to say at many points in this book,
I knew this black soldier and that Latino soldier,
and they were good soldiers, and they weren't the walk ones.
They weren't the diversity hires.
But he also is, among other things,
a complete egomaniac who can't stop
talking about his own manliness and his own grit and how he overcame all terrible odds and everything he did and dragged himself
up from the bottom and by his own pure merit.
So I think the idea that Pete Hexeth is not a merit hire is incomprehensible to Pete Hexeth.
The egomania is something that's interesting.
My father, I was talking to this about my father over the weekend, and that was his observation, because he's like more conservative and not like
is not going to be as offended maybe by some of the ideological elements or some of the specific
statements of Higgsoth. But it's like, you know, he was like, if you somehow became president,
and you were like, hey, I want you to make me the Treasury Secretary.
My dad is like, I would not accept the role. You have to have some level of...
You have to be totally psychotic to think you can run the Defense Department after being
a weekend talk show host. Okay. The last thing on this point is, you know who is aware of this,
it's Pete Hegseth, my colleague Sam Stein. I had an item about this over the weekend. This was when
Pete Hegseth was running Concern Vets for America, an AstroTurf group. He said this, I've got a glimpse inside their campaign.
They're probably assembling some generals right now to bring into a room to brief Donald
Trump about some of these particular nuances, because at the end of the day, foreign policy
and national security is not about TV shows. It's a complex web of relationships. I could
literally beat Hegseth, criticized Donald Trump in 2016 for caring too much about what
TV show hosts think.
And here we are.
So that's the sadness of our life.
Yeah, no, he used to be a, he used to be a neo conservative anti-Trump-er and there's
almost like this struggle session he, he conducts in his book where he beats himself up for,
for having been fooled by the elites into hating Donald Trump.
And he really confesses error and repents for his anti-Trumpism.
Well, that's the fastest way to the cabinet these days, being on TV and
repenting for your anti-Trump sins.
There's hope for you, Tim.
The path is there.
There is hope for me.
I say this to Democrats sometimes.
I was like, if there's one thing that you could learn from Trump about accepting apostates
and accepting people that disagree, if I put on a red hat right now at the end of this
podcast and I was like, I've told you, Jonathan Chape, Trump is the best, except for Sac Def,
except for ever no women in the military.
I'm on the crusade.
I'm in now.
Hell yeah.
I could conceivably be the spokesperson for the Defense Department.
Liberals are always looking for heretics and conservatives are always looking for converts.
Michael Kinsley once wrote that and it's still true.
Yeah, there's a lesson there. Okay. Everyone have a wonderful Thanksgiving. If you missed it,
yesterday I did a mailbag on how to deal with Thanksgiving family members that might be a
struggle. Hopefully my wisdom was helpful for some people and take it
as it is. If not, if that wisdom of how to deal with your family isn't helpful, I've put in the
show notes for you, my Thanksgiving playlist. I do not accept Christmas music before December,
so I've made a Thanksgiving playlist for everyone that you can enjoy while you are digesting your
stuffing and cranberry sauce. Thank you so much to Jonathan Chait everybody else
We're taking the week off unless who the hell knows unless I don't know something happens that makes me come back and
Until then I'll see you guys on Monday
Have a wonderful holiday. Peace. Thank you
Papa says a blessing they're cutting up some turkey, and gobbling some dressing
My aunt's praising Palin, my niece loves Obama
My uncle came to dinner, wearing his pajamas
Thank God for the filter that enables some distance
From screaming and crying and the needs of assistance
You wonder why I drink and curse the holidays
Blessed be my family 300 miles away It's a bad, of Jesus I'm thankful
For a body sat down and let the big toss of drink fall
The love of your mama and the love of my two
It's a giving is over and Christmas is soon
It's a thanksgiving, Jesus I'm fast
And the bullets sent down the enemy, they've caused the train to fall
I love you mama and I love my team
Thanksgiving is over and Christmas is soon
Thanksgiving is over and Christmas is here. Let's give it over and Christmas is here.
Let's give it over and Christmas is here.