The Bulwark Podcast - S2 Ep1024: Anne Applebaum: Everything Is a Game to Trump
Episode Date: April 18, 2025Sen. Van Hollen showed that Congress actually does have agency, and a federal judge finally scorched the administration in crystal-clear language about how it's violating the essence of our constituti...onal republic. But the White House is just treating the whole Abrego Garcia affair like it's a joke. Meanwhile, Trump is elevating his own businesses over the nation's, and is quickly adopting the kleptocratic models of Russia and China—while overlooking the fact that the Chinese have maintained a functional and competent government. Plus, children all over the world are going to die because Elon wants our money to go to his companies, and Marco signaled that the big talker who promised to end the Russia-Ukraine war in 24 hours is ready to give up and walk away. Anne Applebaum joins Tim Miller for the weekend pod. show notes Anne's recent piece, "Kleptocracy, Inc." The Atlantic on Trump ending lifesaving humanitarian aid JVL's Triad on the mindset of ICE agents Tim's playlist
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello and welcome to the Bulldog podcast. I'm your host, Tim Miller, delighted to be
here with a staff writer at the Atlantic. Her books include Autocracy, Inc. Twilight
of Democracy and the Pulitzer Prize winning Gulag, A History. It's Ann Applebaum. Let's
do it, Ann. How you doing?
I'm well. I'm well. How are you? Well enough anyway. Yeah.
Well enough. I'm doing well enough here in my personal life. Given all the gulag news out there,
I thought, I was talking to Katie, and I was like, we better get Anne Applebaum on. Who better to
have than the author of Gulag, a history? And we had a minor minor maybe positive green shoot late Thursday night when Chris
Van Hollen got to meet with Kilmar Abrego Garcia, possibly the first person, first known
person to actually get out of Sokote, the El Salvadoran prison that people have been
discussing as a gulag.
So I was wondering what you thought about that news, the fact that Chris Holland was successful in that advocacy, and then
we can kind of get into the details.
So I worried a little bit about why they let out Abrego Garcia to meet Chris Van Hollen.
I mean, clearly, well, one of the reasons was to show he wasn't dead, which people were
beginning to wonder. But it also, the way it was staged, you know, it was meant to say,
look, this guy is absolutely fine. There's nothing wrong with him. He was wearing clean clothes.
He was in some kind of restaurant looking setting. It was clearly designed to show that nothing all
that bad is happening. So I worried about that aspect of it. Obviously, the fact, you know,
US Senator is willing to go there and put his reputation on the line and make an effort
to save an innocent person from a horrific and pointless fate is fantastic.
I think it's gestures like these that will remind people that Congress has agency and
senators can do things.
I'm pleased that he did it.
I mean, of course, what matters now is what happens next.
Does the administration listen to the Supreme Court, which has demanded that
this prisoner be sent home?
Is there movement on the other people who were unfairly and without due process sent
to El Salvador?
I mean, the thing that worries me the most about the situation, I mean, since we're talking
about Gulag, is that Sosote, if that's how we're pronouncing it, which curiously
the word Gulag is an abbreviation.
It means main camp administration.
It's an acronym.
Wait, it's an acronym for what?
Main camp administration in Russian.
Camp administration.
Oh, that's interesting.
I didn't know that.
It means main camp administration.
And Sosot is also an acronym. And these are names given to institutions
that have unclear powers
and exist outside of the rule of law.
And Sussote, from our point of view,
is doubly outside the rule of law
because it's outside of our country.
So it's outside of our legal jurisdiction.
It exists according to the unclear laws
of some other country.
The fact that we're taking people out of our country and moving them to this lawless place,
it's perhaps easier to sympathize with Abrego Garcia because he's innocent and he's the
father of an autistic child and he's never broken the law and he's married to a U.S.
citizen and so on.
But really, even the ugliest and most unpleasant people who were sent into this lawless zone,
that was a grave violation of the spirit of our Constitution.
What a rule of law society is designed to be is one where there aren't exceptions, there
aren't emergencies, there aren't gray areas and gray zone.
We have some already in our system, but this is an expansion of that.
And it really is profoundly disturbing.
And for that reason alone, it's really right that Senator Van Hollen went there to make
that point.
Yeah.
Do you worry at all about the propaganda side of it with the taking them out?
I guess that's the thing that I don't.
It's hard for me to process.
So why did they do it?
There's the positive way to look at that, which is that he responded to
pressure, you know, Van Hollen is there.
I've pointed out that a press conference that El Salvador is a party to this
international covenant on civil and political rights.
And as part of being that covenant, they, it's required of them that they give
these prisoners access to, to an attorney or, you know, to outside access.
So on the one hand, that's good.
On the other hand, they do this weird thing where they like put these
pretend margaritas up in the picture.
And then Bukele is like retweeting people who are talking about how it
was all part of a troll and they, they're going to reveal that
Abrego Garcia is, you know, a bad MS-13 guy and the Democrats are going to look like they're sucking up to MS-13.
I guess I just don't, I think about kind of how this works in other countries.
It's hard for me to kind of wrap my head around whether we think that Bukele did this from position of weakness,
like in response to pressure, or whether it was like a propaganda tool.
Oh, I mean, it was certainly a propaganda tool.
And everything is about how it's packaged
and how it's sold.
Probably it matters as much inside El Salvador
as it does in the US.
This will be an effort to portray the prisons
as nice places and the regime is fair,
and maybe, as you say, also to somehow smear
this particular man.
That doesn't mean that we are, we meaning the broader American community of people who
still care about due process and the rule of law, we Democrats and Republicans and members
of the legal establishment can't also use this incident as a way of making our points.
And so I hope that we, I hope we find a way to do it.
But yeah, I mean, you know, when you're dealing with a regime like that, like everything is
a game and everything is a trick and everything, you know, will be somehow used to attack you.
It's important maybe that Americans start to learn that propaganda is not just words,
you know, or images, you know, propaganda is not just words or images.
Propaganda is also actions.
You can seek to make a political point through doing things, through staging events, through
executive orders, or through singling people out.
Regimes like that of Bukele are adept at creating situations that are designed to have a particular
effect.
And so paying attention to that and understanding it, you know, is part of what has to be the
response.
Are there any other lessons or comparisons, you know, that you can think of, you know,
as just, to me, obviously, this is like a little bit of a testing ground for the Trump
administration, right?
Like they're putting the toe in the water to kind of see what they can get away with. I have to imagine like this
slow walking, you know, towards, you know, the type of place where, you know, you're sending more and
more people to prison camps such as this. There've got to be parallels, right? I don't know. I'm just
wondering, like, as you've been watching this play out, has it struck any memories from the research you were doing for the book?
Dr. Debra R. McNeil The gulag was also something that developed
very slowly, and it began with justifications. These were labor camps. People who had committed
some minor crime or some offense or were a problem for the state were going to be made
useful to the state. So there was a whole ideology about labor and work and how these people were working
off their crimes or their misdemeanors and they were contributing to the construction
of socialism.
And that was the slow buildup to it.
But of course, as time went on and as it expanded, the faster it expanded, there were a couple
moments when it went very fast, you
know, in the 1930s. And then again, after the war, when it went very fast, then all kinds of people
were accidentally locked up and random people were denounced by their next door neighbors who
wanted their apartments or, you know, people would denounce their bosses at work so that they would get their job. You know, the ugliest part of human nature was on show as, as the
denunciations got wider and wider.
And, you know, we're not at that stage yet, but there is a logic like that,
that once it's okay to send a random person out of the country to a zone of
lawlessness, once you can't get them back or you can't get the Venezuelan
hairdresser back or even that you've sent a bunch of Venezuelans who's, you know, none
of whose status we really know anything about. I mean, were they really illegal? Did they
really commit crimes? And we have very little knowledge of that.
And at least one, not the, and we know obviously there's no accusation of lawlessness for
André, the makeup artist you referenced,. But there's at least another one, the Miami Herald was reporting that was legal, that
went through the legal refugee process, went to the third country, went to Columbia, then
came to Florida, right?
So in some of these cases, we know they weren't even illegal.
Once you've made the established that it's okay to do that under whatever ideology or
explanation or justification, then if you can do it for one person, why
can't you do it for 10 people or 100 people or 1,000 people?
And that was the logic.
That was how the Soviet gulag expanded.
Of course it was part of a much bigger system of fear and repression that we don't have
yet.
So I don't want to make a direct comparison.
They aren't exactly the same thing yet.
But yeah, there is a logic to them pushing
for this one person to be punished unjustly,
because then that gives them effective permission
to punish anybody unjustly.
And that is exactly how it works.
I mean, there's also something similar in that
a lot of the most notorious camps of the gulag
were far away and nobody saw them.
And you could live your life in Moscow or in, I don't know,
Novosibirsk, and you could go through your day and you
wouldn't be aware that there was this great injustice
happening somewhere else inside your country.
And the El Salvador camps serve that function in a way too.
I mean, they, you know, are we bothered walking down the street
in Washington, D.C., or Minneapolis or Dallas, Texas,
thinking about people who've been unjustly shipped to a foreign prison? We don't see it. It's not part
of our daily life. That's another way in which you can see how these monstrous prisons function
and why they're able to function. Then the third thing I would say, we haven't really had this
national conversation
yet, but at some point it's going to be important to ask, who are these people doing the arresting
and putting these people, you know, unjustly away?
Are they cops or are they immigration officials who are stopping students who may or may not
have student visa problems, you know, on the street and bundling them away into cars. Because no dictatorship, it's never the work of a
single man or even, you know, even a few people. There's always a, there's an
apparatus that wants to do it, that's motivated to do it, that has reasons why
it thinks those things are just. They're the ones who, some of the justification
is for them as well. So it's not just that they're saying ones who, some of the justification is for them as well. So, it's not just that they're saying, Garcia, Abrego Garcia is, you know, is a vicious criminal. It's not just
for us, it's also for the people who are doing the arresting. And the corruption of those bodies,
of those institutions, the people organizing deportations, is also going to be an important
part of the story down the road. Yeah, JVL wrote about the mindset of the ICE agents doing the arresting in his newsletter
earlier this week.
I'll put a link in the show notes for people because that's a starting point for a conversation
that we do need to have.
I want to just really quickly go to your point about the logic of sending a break of Garcia
in these Venezuelans to Cicada and what we heard yesterday on the Fourth Circuit from Judge Wilkinson,
as a Reagan appointee, conservative judge who essentially uprated the administration for not
responding to the court order to facilitate the return of Abrego Garcia.
And he wrote this, it is difficult in some cases to get to the very heart of the matter,
but in this case it's not hard at all.
The government is asserting a right to stash away residents of this country in foreign
prisons without the semblance of due process that is the foundation of our constitutional
order.
Further, it claims in essence that because it has rid itself of custody, there's nothing
that can be done.
This should be shocking not only to judges, but to the intuitive sense of liberty that
Americans far removed
from courthouses still hold dear.
Extremely blunt from a Reagan appointee judge there.
And this is the kind of statement that we've been waiting for.
I mean, this is what the courts should be doing.
They should be making it absolutely as clear as possible why this is a violation of, it's
not just the law, it's the essence of our constitutional republic.
A rule of law, it's older than American democracy.
I mean, preceding the Declaration of Independence
and preceding the Constitution,
there were courts in colonial America,
there were arguments about independence of judges.
One of the reasons for the American Revolution
was the fear that judges were being
influenced by the king. Colonists wanted independent judges. They wanted also separation of powers.
Those arguments have been around for, as I said, longer than the United States itself.
The rule of law is a very deep part of how the U.S. became prosperous, how we remain a unified republic, how we became one of the
leaders in the world, how we came to be widely admired, at least by some people some of the
time, how we came to be so influential, why so many people imitated us.
I mean, it wasn't just democracy.
I mean, actually, the flaws of our electoral system are pretty clear to everybody else,
especially to people who live in parliamentary democracies
and have somewhat more civilized politics than we do.
But the advantages of the separation of powers
and the rule of law is clear,
even in countries that aren't democracies.
So I think the judge, by drawing everyone's attention
to this really basic point, has done us a huge favor.
And the more, I would say the more that the judiciary
can speak in plain English
and not use complicated legal language,
the more they will get through to Americans.
I mean, I think Americans have this basic sense.
We have this, this is a free country.
There are things that we say about ourselves
that I think some of this is so much in violation of the basic self-definition of who we are that it goes beyond partisanship,
I hope, and goes beyond polarization.
So I hope that some of these incidents can get people to realize how dangerous this usurpation
of power has been.
Yeah.
Speaking before the declaration, I was struck by this from the Magna Carta 1215 the other day. No free man shall be seized in prison, dispossessed, outlawed, exiled,
or ruined in any way except by the lawful judgment of his peers and the law of the land.
And this is pretty old material.
Julie It's pretty old material. And those ideas,
which were English ideas, you know, are the basis of our legal system too, some, you know, long time ago.
I want to go to your most recent article for the Atlantic, Kleptocracy, Inc.
You write, American government, American foreign policy, and American trade policy are slowly
being transformed, not to benefit Americans, but to benefit the president, his family,
and his friends.
Only voters can stop them.
Give people kind of just a top line summary of what you wrote
about. So in a way, this is the same issue. This is also about the rule of law. And more specifically,
it's about people who have political power, also using that political power to enrich themselves.
You know, to be clear, wealthy people have been very influential in America forever, and probably
they always will be like they are in every country. And people have been very influential in America forever, and probably
they always will be like they are in every country.
There have been other examples of corruption in the past.
But I don't know of another administration where there were so many people who had double
interests.
The president himself, on the day that the stock market was crashing, Friday, April the
4th, instead of going to
Wall Street to find out what was going on, he went to his personal golf course and to
his club in Florida, where a golf tournament was taking place that is sponsored by companies
from Saudi Arabia.
One of the people in attendance was the head of the Saudi Sovereign Wealth Fund.
Several other Saudi companies were on the list of sponsors, including Aramco, which
is the Saudi oil company.
TikTok was one of the sponsors of this golf tournament.
These are companies that have a direct interest in US foreign policy and are directly interested
in influencing Donald Trump.
In effect, their sponsorship is a form of payment.
They're paying him, they're supporting his course, they're supporting his club.
That's unthinkable in any other administration, that there would be so much blatant abuse.
The genesis of that article though is that I started trying to pull together some of
these things, both Trump's family, Trump himself, but also other people in the administration, and other instances
of people trying to buy influence or get out of court cases or get out of other tangles
with the government through financial influence or financial relationships with the Trump
family or with Donald Trump.
As well as this of what the Trump administration is doing to loosen all the laws against fraud
and against corruption that we have in our system.
And the list is astonishingly long.
There are dozens and dozens of instances already, and we're only three months into the administration.
It starts in December when the Trump family announces a big investment in Saudi Arabia.
It continues with the Trump family's cryptocurrency business, which in effect, almost anybody
can be an investor in that business.
That's again a way to pay the Trump family.
There's already one instance of somebody who is a major investor having a piece of civil
litigation against him lifted or suspended.
We don't know whether there was a quid pro quo, but it certainly looks like there could
have been.
So nobody's made any effort to avoid that.
Elon Musk's conflicts of interest.
I mean, Musk is responsible for firing people at government agencies who were responsible
for regulating his companies.
And he has a presence also in government agencies that are able to subsidize his companies or buy things from his companies. And he has a presence also in government agencies that are able to subsidize his companies
or buy things from his companies, you know, whether it's Starlink or whether it's the state
department, I think is buying armored Teslas. That's a grotesque conflict of interest of a kind
that we, I also can't think of a contemporary precedent. Again, rich people, influential,
they, they get laws passed, you passed, they lobby for things and so
on.
But to actually have the owner of major companies that have major interests, have been heavily
subsidized by the US government, personally going into government agencies and firing
people and making policy there, I can't think of anything like that.
That is oligarchy of a kind you see in autocratic states.
That's Russian style oligarchy.
Once again, it is a profound challenge to the rule of law, to the assumption that democracy
needs transparency and accountability, and that people who are acting in the public interest
should be acting in the interest of Americans and not in their personal financial
interests.
I mean, when Musk has people fired at the transportation safety regulatory bodies, is
that because it's good for Americans or because it's good for Tesla?
And if it's just good for Tesla, then that's a catastrophe for Americans.
And sooner or later, there will be repercussions and we will be less safe and we will be more
badly regulated and our taxpayers' money will be wasted on Musk's companies.
I feel that partly because some of this stuff sounds complicated.
I mean, there's a thing called the Corporate Transparency Act, which they've announced
they're not going to enforce, which requires people to reveal owners of shell companies,
to reveal who they really are. These are anonymous companies that are
often used to hide stolen money or to escape paying taxes. You know, those
sound like those are complicated big words and they, you know,
kleptocracy can be a complicated thing to describe, but to me this should cause,
you know, as in aggregate, I, almost more outrage than anything else.
If there's a way that opponents of this administration can explain it to people, your money is being
taken and used to enrich people around Trump, and your policy has been stolen and it's been
captured by people who are using it to enrich themselves or pursue their own interests.
I mean, this is about as fundamental a violation of what government is for, I mean, forget about
democracy, as anything that we've seen. I mean, and in a way, combined with the illegal deportations,
they both show this scorn for the rule of law and this scorn for any kind of basic responsibility that government
officials should have to the people who elected them.
Yeah.
I'm actually doing a deeper dive later this afternoon just on the crypto element of this.
There's this great substack article by Molly White.
I'm going to interview Molly so people can get that on YouTube or in our Bullwork Takes
feed.
But I wanted to ask you about just kind of looking back about the opposition
here. Because I do think reflecting back on the first term, this issue is maybe the biggest
failure of the institutions and the oppositions and the opposition, right? Like the idea of the
emoluments clause like became kind of like a joke, honestly, during the first term, people would like
roll your eyes when you talked about it. But like like there was a test drive of all this stuff in the first term. Like Trump was
doing things that were totally unprecedented in the first term as far as enriching himself
and his family. It was just kind of small ball stuff compared to what you just laid out.
And so are there any lessons that can be learned from that? You know, like the idea that the
Democrats had controlled Congress for two years during the Trump first
term and didn't really do meaningful investigations on this, as compared to what Republicans did
against the Hillary Clinton server or Benghazi, to me, seems like just a huge mistake in retrospect.
Yeah, no, I think you're absolutely right.
Partly because it was stuff like people staying in Trump's hotels, it was some pretty distant connections. It didn't feel,
it's not as grotesque and egregious as it is now. It was underrated. But maybe the lesson here is,
once again, to bring back to the illegal deportations. I mean, if you don't begin
to react when the law is broken, and when you're referring
to the Emoluments Clause of the Constitution, which says that American leaders can't take
money in any form from foreigners or from foreign governments, which Trump now blatantly does,
when those things aren't enforced when they're broken, then that makes it much easier for
somebody to push. You open the door, a crack, and then it can be burst open, you know, it can be burst open at a later point.
I mean, this gets to a point that I don't have an answer to this.
Maybe you have thoughts.
During Trump's first term, a lot of people complained that, I don't know, that people
talking about democracy or people talking about law breaking were hysterical and they
were exaggerating.
And they were, you know, there was Trump derange were exaggerating and they were, you know,
there was Trump derangement syndrome and they weren't, you know, they were overreacting to stuff
that Trump was doing. You know, I never knew quite whether that was right or not. I mean, it's true
that if you speak at a very high pitch the whole time, then people stop listening to you. So there
was something, there's something right about that. On the other hand, it certainly looks in retrospect,
like we underreacted. We underreacted
to the corruption. We underreacted to the beginnings of oligarchy. We certainly underreacted
to January the 6th and a whole series of violations after that. And that people are only beginning
to see that now, you know, years later is tragic. I mean, now it's a little late. I
mean, now the horse is out of the barn, you know, whatever metaphor you want to use.
I mean, no, my only thought on that is 100% agree. I don't know how to fix that. The image
I always bring up whenever people talk about overreacting is if you went back and showed
a front page of the newspaper the day after January 6th to anyone in January of 2015,
they would say,
that is impossible, that is insane.
There's no way that could happen here, right?
And so then how can you convince the people
that would have had that view in January 2015
to act that way, you know, how they might have,
you know, in January 2021 or 2025, and I don't,
it's like human instinct, human, I guess more of a psychological
than a political question, humans are adaptable.
And I guess maybe there's a lesson here from the other article that you wrote that I want
to reference, which is this America's future is hungry.
And I don't know if there are ways that we can learn from that to, you know, put some
limitations in now.
I mean, one such example is right on this point.
That was, I guess, Orban was forcing people to stay at
His son-in-law's hotel. It's just a direct comparison to what we're seeing here
But you know what else you know since maybe we're a little bit behind on the timeline
You know happened there that might be a useful lesson
So actually what happened in Hungary is a little different from what's happening here. What happened in Hungary was a very slow attack on institutions.
It was over a long period of time, and it's more the boiling the frog theory.
You keep turning up the heat a little bit, and the frog doesn't notice and doesn't notice
until finally it's dead.
It was hard to pinpoint the moment when Hungary stopped being a democracy. You know, it
was a small, lots and lots of small changes over a long period of time. Orban was able to change
the constitution. He kept manipulating it. He undermined the judiciary. There was a slow process
of taking over the media, which he mostly did through business groups who were close to him.
I mean, it's not like there was censorship. Instead, companies would
begin to have a lot of financial trouble, and then somebody would take them over and
shut them down. It was rather that system. And until we got to a point where it was suddenly
almost impossible to unseat him, he controlled all the media in the country. He controlled
95% of the public conversation. He took over the universities. He took over all the cultural
institutions.
All that stuff happened one by one.
Actually what's happening here in the United States is much faster.
It's going much faster.
The Doge group of the engineers going into the Treasury Department and cutting off the
payment system and deciding what they will and won't fund.
I think it's just Musk's personal decision, or maybe some of these kids' personal
decision about what they're going to fund or what they're not going to fund.
I mean, I don't even know if Trump is fully aware of all these things.
I mean, that kind of thing didn't happen in Hungary.
So this is much faster, much more violent, metaphorically violent, but much rapider.
But of course, it's going in the same direction.
The point I wanted to make in that article was that it's true that the decline of democracy
in Hungary has got a lot of attention and people have written about it.
The right has often pointed to Orbán as a kind of model.
There's a lot of admiration in particular for what he did to universities.
He did something that we're about to find very familiar, which was saying, if you have
a gender studies program or some other program that the government doesn't like,
then we're going to cut off your funding.
I think that's where that idea came from.
So quite a lot of stuff they did is widely admired
in sort of MAGA world by different parts of advance.
I think it's a particular admirer
of some of these tactics.
Not that many people look at what happened in the meantime
to the Hungarian economy or
Hungarian people.
And the answer is that Hungary is, depending on which measure you use, is either the poorest
country in the European Union or maybe the second poorest.
Sometimes it's the third poorest.
It's gone way down the charts.
It has very poor productivity.
Large numbers of people leave the country. Hospital system and medical system in very poor productivity. Large numbers of people leave the country.
Hospital system and medical system in very poor shape.
Educational system in very bad shape.
By one measure after the next, I mean, if you just look at charts, you find that Hungary
is now at or near the bottom of almost everything in Europe.
There's even one that someone pointed me out.
I was in Budapest a couple months ago, which is the Heritage Foundation has a measure of, it's a measure of governance and it puts
Hungary at the bottom of the measure of governance and government accountability because Hungary
is so corrupt.
That must be somebody in the back of the heritage building.
They don't even realize the guy is still back there.
He's been there since 1983.
It's like, we got to fire this guy that's coming up with a bad metric here.
It's some kind of index they do.
And Hungary ranks near the bottom in Europe.
And the point is that all these measures, these kind of flamboyant transformation of
the state into being the arm of the ruling party and the end of free media and the suppression of statistics.
The government uses fake statistics and there's always a fake report at the beginning of the
year about how great the economy is and they don't tell people the truth.
All that kind of stuff, it's had an enormous effect on people's lives and Hungarians are
poorer than their neighbors.
By some measures, they're poorer than Romanians, which is one of their historic rivals, which annoys them in particular. But
it's also a really profoundly corrupt country. Something like, depending how you count, like 20
to 30 percent of Hungarian companies are in effect part of this group of companies who are reliant on,
who have special arrangements with the government. They prosper because they get access to lucrative government contracts.
And so the hotel that you read about where Orbán's son-in-law owns, he owns a bunch
of stuff actually, but the hotel that they were trying to get dignitaries to stay in,
that's just one tiny piece of it.
The son-in-law has had lucrative procurement contracts, all kinds of special relationships
with the state, but he's not the only one.
Those companies are this huge weight on the Hungarian economy.
They're a big chunk of it.
They drag it down.
They aren't productive.
They exist, and they're managed in order to please the ruling party.
In that sense, they're kind of like Soviet companies used to be.
And it's been a disaster for the economy.
And the point is, is that authoritarianism makes you poor.
This is a problem with the link.
There's like, and I don't know how to do this, is another like political challenge, right?
Where the remaining Wall Street Journal Republican types that are out there, they haven't accepted
the reality of how far
down the path we are towards the authoritarianism element of it. And they think that is, as
you were mentioning earlier, like TDS or hyperbolic. And since they don't accept the premise, you
know, I don't feel like they have pushed back as hard as maybe they would have against the economic punishment that is coming
as part of that.
And this is why I was kind of on the side of hoping that he does as big of tariffs as
possible because the more pain that happens, the more maybe that will shake some of these
money guys from their slumber.
But I don't know.
They're related in that sense.
It's also true that in some ways, an economic crisis or a recession,
that's one of the best things that could happen by comparison to the other things that could happen
because of our destruction of state institutions. I mean, what about a cyber attack that takes out
the electricity grid or something? I'm just making this up. I don't know whether that's
possible or not. But, you know, when you eliminate regulators and when you eliminate, when you attack pieces of the
security state, then you're putting yourself at risk. And so a recession might be the wake-up call.
I mean, I think part of the problem also is that people are misled by China. And so China is an
authoritarian state that did very well economically over many years.
The reasons for that, when you look at it, essentially it was because the Chinese adopted
some practices of free markets because they let entrepreneurs function, because they sought
to maintain elements of a fair bureaucracy.
I think Francis Fukuyama used to write about this, about how the Chinese had a functional
state, which was part of why they were able to grow so fast.
If you look around the world at just about almost any other dictatorship, if you look
at Venezuela, which was the richest country in South America and is now the poorest thanks
to dictatorship, if you look at Hungary, which was one of the most promising countries in
Central Europe and is now either the poorest or the second poorest, if you look at Hungary, which was one of the most promising countries in central Europe and is now one of either the poorest or the second poorest
If you look at a country like I don't know
I mean when you think about Turkey, you know, Zimbabwe
most autocratic states have been are poor and in sometimes even desperate and even the ones that are successful you have to ask how much more
Successful they would be if they had real rule of law, you
know, if they had freer markets or freer speech and, you know, better exchange of ideas.
Authoritarianism is a huge cost on the economy.
You know, it costs money.
It drags you down.
It creates uncertainty.
I mean, who wants to invest in the United States in a situation in which the tariffs
might be one thing one day and one thing another day.
And maybe, you know, if you're a, I don't know, your European company wants to build something in America,
you want to bring over your German manager. Well, what? He's going to have visa problems because
now we're attacking foreigners and we take away their cell phones at the border.
Once you disturb or you create the idea that the US is an unstable and unpredictable place,
that's a disaster
for long-term economic growth and for investment and for planning and for everything else that
you need to make people prosperous.
And we've seen that.
You can look around the world over and over and over and over again in authoritarian countries.
They destroy their citizens' futures by leaving aside the rule of law.
You mentioned China.
Yesterday, we were on Nicole Wallace together, and you kind of alluded to the fact that there
are some similarities with what's happening with the universities to, or some maybe echoes
of the cultural revolution in China.
Afternoon Cable News isn't really the best place to explore those kind of metaphors at
length.
So I was like, I was listening to you and I was like, I want to hear more about that.
So luckily we're together today.
So I would like to hear more about that comparison.
Again, it's like, you know, I don't want to push it too far.
I mean, we don't have, we're not using mass violence and so on.
We haven't, we're not sending intellectuals to concentration camps or not yet.
But what was the Cultural Revolution? The Cultural Revolution
was an attempt to get rid of a layer of what the radical part of the Chinese Communist Party thought
were backward-looking elites. And those were professors, they were civil servants, they were
older people who had some kind of status, and they were hauled before student groups who shouted
at them and demanded that they resign, and in some cases could arrange for them to be
sent to, I don't know, cut trees in outer Mongolia.
But the point was that it was a revolution against the existing culture, against the
cultural institutions, universities, museums, everybody who had some kind of educational
rank or status.
And this attack on American universities and on science more broadly has a whiff of that.
You know, what they were asking Harvard to do was something Harvard could never have
accepted.
You know, it was, we want control over your admissions process, over what courses you
teach, over who you hire, over decisions the
faculty makes.
No university can accept that.
Columbia tried to accept some of it, and they still didn't get their federal money.
Even accepting some of it meant there was a further demand for more.
It becomes pretty clear when you look at this stuff that the point is not... It's certainly
not about antisemitism or whatever fake story they give.
The point is they want to destroy all these institutions and they are cutting funding.
And by the way, most federal funding for universities doesn't go to like gender studies or even
like history or whatever you think it goes to.
It goes to scientific research. It goes to biochemical research. It goes to scientific research,
it goes to biochemical research,
it goes to medical research,
it goes to the physics departments.
I mean, the vast bulk of federal research funding
goes to things that we all care about
that make our lives better,
that create the products that America
then sells around the world.
And the fact that they're going for that,
they're destroying those people and that layer of society,
means they really want to destroy the essence
of what makes America work now.
And they wanna replace it with something else.
And I genuinely don't know what they think will replace it,
because it isn't like there's some other group
of MAGA scientists who can replace the Harvard scientists
and do the same thing.
And colleges are though, and they did this a little bit in Florida, not to, again, we're
straining the metaphor a little bit to talk about what Ron DeSantis did as like a cultural
revolution, but they had the new college in Florida. They put Christopher Ruffo, who is this,
you know, who's at a conservative think tank, who's like a social media gadfly, like ends up, I forget what his job is, but like a top job, like running a university in Florida and, you know, instituting, you
know, more and whatever, conservative, traditionalist values. So like that's, that would be one prime
example. There's probably, no, there's not really an NIH version of that, but there certainly
is for the universities.
Yeah. I mean, as I recall, and I read about this a year or two ago, so I don't know whether
it's still true, one of the only ways they could change the nature of that college was
to bring in a lot of athletes. Again, it wasn't like there was this other group of great intellectuals
who'd been repressed by this, the fake censorship complex that they imagine exists. Instead,
what they had to do was fill the university with people
who play baseball.
Pete That's a cultural revolution of a sort.
Julie That's a cultural revolution. I mean, it's the replacement of people who think with,
they're looking to find people who think differently, but what they'll end up doing,
which is by the way, exactly what happened in China, is just destroying everything and
then realizing a few years later that they need to bring everybody back again.
I want to talk a little bit about Africa. I've given a short shrift on the pod just because there's so much happening, but
there's that Atlantic article
yesterday or maybe Wednesday that said the headline ominous headline in three months half of them will be dead.
That's about how the Trump administration has quietly doubled down in its plan to stop sending emergency food to millions of children who are starving in Somalia and other countries.
There was also an NPR article I saw earlier this week about Zambia and how it was 12 Zambians
sharing their stories about how HIV drugs are running out.
It was this horrifying image from like a church in Zambia where half of the congregants didn't
show up because
they were sick because their HIV medicine was running out.
Really horrible story.
So I saw you shared the Atlantic story on Blue Sky.
I wonder if you have any kind of thoughts about the global ramifications.
So as it happens, I have just been to Africa.
I was in Sudan.
I haven't written about it yet, so won't talk about it extensively.
But I have to say one of the most kind of moving moments for me, I was at a hospital
in Khartoum, outside of Khartoum rather, and it was a children's pediatric hospital and
there was a very young, attractive doctor there.
And he was talking about there's a feeding supplement, a nutritional supplement called
Plumpy Nut, which is made in the US.
It's made in two factories in Georgia and in Rhode Island.
And it's one of the things that USAID has been buying from these factories and shipping
to Africa, and not just Africa, all over the world, wherever there are malnourished children.
And there are malnourished children in Sudan because of the Civil War.
He'd heard that USAID was being cut because of wastefulness.
And he said to me, I just want to assure Americans that we're not wasting any of it.
I keep track of exactly how much of it there is.
All of it makes its way to these children who are on the brink of starvation.
The idea that a doctor in a hospital like that in a war zone was having to justify to
an American that he was using their, we're talking about probably
a few dollars worth of stuff.
He was justifying that was, to me, so tragic and so moving.
The way in which USAID was destroyed, it's a catastrophe all over the planet.
It's not even just the food being cut off, it's also the logistics, so the delivery of the food.
So the United States was supplying something like 40% of all humanitarian
aid in the world, which is a high number, but the US was also doing a lot of the
logistics, so physical delivery, trucking, but management, monitoring, surveying.
I mean, how many people are starving in this part of the world or that part of the world?
And there's somebody has to know that
before you can deliver the aid.
And a lot of those programs,
which were USAID funded programs have been cut.
And the ramifications and the echoes,
I think are gonna be with us for years and years and years.
I mean, it just, people will absolutely begin to die
because of these decisions that Elon Musk made.
You know, he says he's feeding USAID into the woodchipper
and isn't that great.
You know, well, the effect is going to be children dying,
people being sick, lifelines and systems that worked
for people falling apart.
It's one of the most tragic and catastrophic things
that we've done so far.
Just horrifying.
It's like for what?
We're also harming the people at the Plumpy Nut Factory in Georgia.
The whole thing is just so maddening.
Since we've been on, Marco Rubio, we've been talking about the Russia-Ukraine War, and
I want to kind of end.
I want to end with a fun thing, but so we'll end with a fun thing, the penultimate topic.
Marco, speaking about the Russia-Ukraine war.
Let's listen.
So we came here yesterday to sort of begin to talk about more specific outlines of what
it might take to end the war, to try to figure out very soon, and I'm talking about a matter
of days, not a matter of weeks, whether or not this is the war that can be ended.
If it can, we're prepared to do whatever we can to facilitate
that and make sure that it ends in a durable and just way. If it's not possible, if we're
so far apart that this is not going to happen, then I think the president is probably at
a point where he's going to say, well, we're done. We'll do what we can on the margins.
We'll be ready to help whenever you're ready to have peace. But we're not going to continue
with this endeavor
for weeks and months on end.
Pretty shocking.
Marco Rubio setting the stage for abandoning Ukraine there
in a matter of days, maybe even.
I don't know if you have any thoughts on that.
I know I'm dropping it on you live here.
Well, no, I did know about it.
And I know that the Europeans with whom Rubio met
don't know what it means.
And what does it mean to say we're dropping it, we're just not doing it anymore?
It's a mystery.
Does it mean they won't give Ukraine access to satellite information?
Does it mean they're not speaking to Putin anymore?
It's very, very unclear.
I mean, the only thing I would say is that the idea that it's not doable and they've
tried really hard is it's laughable.
This war continues because the Russians remain on the offensive.
By the way, they've started a new offensive in Northeast Ukraine.
So they are continuing to push forward.
They had still never recognized the right of Ukraine to exist as a sovereign state.
So they have never agreed to a ceasefire.
They have never stopped fighting.
They've never acknowledged that Ukraine can come out of this war and remain an independent
country, which has to be the fundamental requirement of Ukraine, apart from where the border is
going to be and everything else. And this administration has put no pressure on Russia.
On the contrary, it has given the Russians the impression that they're about to do lots
of deals with them and there are all kinds of arrangements are going to be made and people are going to start
making money.
And so until they have put pressure on the Russians, then they haven't done anything.
There hasn't been a negotiation.
There hasn't been a strategy.
There's just been the president shouting about how he wants to end the war, shouting at Zelensky,
waving his hands in the air, and nothing.
They've done nothing.
The idea that they've worked really hard on it and now they're blaming everybody else
for failing to achieve anything, it's ridiculous.
They've never even been able to enunciate what the ask is of Russia across multiple
people.
Trump and Rubio, Wyckoff, anytime the reporter asks this, what are you asking for them to
concede? They don't. they have nothing. They say nothing. I think
they're just hoping that Trump's friendship with Putin and the supposed great economic
deal we're going to do with them would be enough for Russia to just stop their conquest of Ukraine.
I know it was just gullible and extreme.
Trump has an imaginary idea that he has a deep relationship with Putin, but it exists
in his head.
It's not in reality.
I know guys like this.
He doesn't have real friendships.
He doesn't have any actual friends.
This is how he thinks Putin is a friend.
Anyway, okay, we're going to end with this.
Last time we talked, you mentioned the book, The Captive Mind, Emile Oshu is a Polish book
about the totalitarianism coming into Poland.
I mean, Bill Kristol discussed this a little length a couple of weeks ago about how the
thing that really struck me from that book was he was talking about how we in the West
have a lack of imagination about how bad things could get among the things that struck me
when I read it.
This time my request for you is, you know, we're always, we're so serious.
You have to have an escape, right? Ann Applebaum must have a Rosé and must read like trashy romance novels or watch a TV show
or there must be, there must be some type of escape for you.
And I thought maybe you could make a recommendation for the listeners also looking for an escape.
I mean, lots of my real escapes are to do with walking in pretty places and going outside.
You know, I mean, that's the-
That's good.
Do you have a favorite walk?
Favorite pretty place?
It depends where I am.
I mean, in Washington, there's the Billy Goat Trail.
In Warsaw, there's the kind of central park in the middle of town, Wojnicki Park.
I have a house in Polish countryside and we ride bikes a lot there.
I mean, that's
really what I do when I want to switch off-
Is there Polish alcohol at the house in the countryside? Is there-
So I am not a big vodka drinker, but there are other kinds of European alcohol. We have
no tariffs in Poland that prevent the import of French wine.
No tariffs preventing the French red wine from making it. The Billy Goat Trail is great.
I did the Billy Goat Trail a couple of times, hungover when I was in Washington.
It's very manageable for our DMV listeners and maybe you'll see an apple bomb out there.
And thank you so much.
This has been so educational and helpful and I hope you'll come back soon.
Thanks a lot.
Everybody else, we'll see you back here on Monday with Bill Kristol.
Have a wonderful Easter weekend.
We'll talk to you soon.
Peace.
Should they at any time become a clear and present danger initiated by the radical elements threatening the operation of the government of the United States of America, members of Bill Kristol. Have a wonderful Easter weekend. We'll talk to you soon. Peace. Ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, ay, They comin' with the sticks and the drums The money make the band sound great
What's your rate?
I'd rather do the flight than wear a cape
RIP to STP the great
SMG we got it out the crate
Ring a bell and make a lay
Like what it do, Bob?
This a war zone, send them to the gulag The They coming with the sticks and the drums. The money make the band sound great.
The Bullork podcast is produced by Katie Cooper with audio engineering and editing by Jason
Brown.