The Canadian Investor - Portfolio Rules, Hedging Strategies, and Leveraging a Weak Loonie

Episode Date: January 9, 2025

In this episode, we tackle listener questions on portfolio allocation, diversification, and investment strategies. Simon and Dan share their personal approaches to asset, sector, and geographical weig...htings, emphasizing the importance of individualizing your portfolio to fit your goals, risk tolerance, and financial situation. Tickers of Stocks/ETFs discussed: XYLD, SPY, VSP.TO, ZUE.TO, VFV.TO, VOO, XAW.TO Check out our portfolio by going to Jointci.com Our Website Canadian Investor Podcast Network Twitter: @cdn_investing Simon’s twitter: @Fiat_Iceberg Braden’s twitter: @BradoCapital Dan’s Twitter: @stocktrades_ca Want to learn more about Real Estate Investing? Check out the Canadian Real Estate Investor Podcast! Apple Podcast - The Canadian Real Estate Investor  Spotify - The Canadian Real Estate Investor  Web player - The Canadian Real Estate Investor Asset Allocation ETFs | BMO Global Asset Management Sign up for Finchat.io for free to get easy access to global stock coverage and powerful AI investing tools. Register for EQ Bank, the seamless digital banking experience with better rates and no nonsense.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

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Starting point is 00:01:13 This is the Canadian investor where you take control of your own portfolio and gain the confidence you need to succeed in the markets. Hosted by Brayden Dennis and Simon Bélanger. Welcome back to the Canadian Investor Podcast. I'm here with Dan Kent. We are back for our first episode of the new year. So, happy new year to everyone, to Dan as well, to you too. Yeah, happy new year.
Starting point is 00:01:39 Yeah, happy new year. So we decided to do a mailbag episode today. So we had a lot of questions come in by email, Twitter, also Blossom. So some fun questions kind of all over the place. It'll be fun to discuss that mainly because it's a bit more quiet on the investment front, on financial and news fronts. So we decided it was just a good opportunity to answer some questions. Of course, there's the big political news that came yesterday recording this on the 7th so yesterday with Trudeau announcing that he was stepping down so I feel like that's what most people were probably paying attention to yesterday and probably for the next
Starting point is 00:02:17 few days what happens there but enough of that anything else you want to add before we get started? No that's about it I mean there's not much going on right now. I think we have Eritrea in a few days, which I imagine will go over next week, but that's about it on the on the Canadian side of things. I think they report on January 9th and yeah it's it's really quiet right now. Yeah, aside from soft choice being acquired on the 31st. A day before the... Yeah, a day before the bold predictions from last year, but Braden and I already talked about that, so we don bold predictions from last year, but Brayden and I already talked about that, so we don't need to discuss it, but I will tell them again, you know, props
Starting point is 00:02:50 on the bold prediction. It's pretty hard to get them right, right? Oh yeah, mine, I think with the Canadian dollar, might be in danger already because it's creeping back up to 70 cents now. We'll see, we'll see. There's still what? It's a long way. 358 days left to the year.
Starting point is 00:03:09 So I think there's time. There's time. But let's start. We have quite a few questions. So the first one, Dan, you'll lead this one. So it's a question from Le Bib on Blossom. So would like to know if any of you have rules for assets, sector, geography, and company size, of course, when investing, I think, probably referring mostly to equities, but he's saying
Starting point is 00:03:35 assets, right? I kind of figured so. Yeah. Yeah. Well, I think, yeah, I think when he says assets, he kind of means equity, fixed income, or they kind of mean equity fixed income. But I mean to answer this the one of the most important things to know from you know this perspective is my allocations may not be right for you and your friend's allocations may not be right for you. I mean it all depends on the individual. I mean I know plenty of people who It all depends on the individual. I mean, I know plenty of people who run large, all equity portfolios and they own, you know, six to eight companies.
Starting point is 00:04:10 And they're completely fine with that. While the thought of me doing that, you know, having most of my liquid assets, which would be, you know, in equities right now, tied up in six to eight companies, that would make me fairly nervous. So I do own, I believe right now I own 25, maybe a little bit more, give or take 25.
Starting point is 00:04:28 I mean, and in that- And just to add to what you're saying, like none of this will be financial advice or investment advice. So this is just our take on it. And of course, mostly, usually we'll kind of do it as, I'll talk about after that, what I do in terms of, asset allocation, sectors, geography, and
Starting point is 00:04:46 so on. So this is more what we would do. So don't take this as investment advice. Yeah, there's so many things from a risk tolerance perspective, a taxation perspective, things like that that can make this... Everybody's individual portfolio will need to be structured, you know, towards them. So I mean, this question is strictly focused on what Simone and I do personally. So I try to limit equity exposure, any single exposure to about 5% of my portfolio, and
Starting point is 00:05:18 I limit any particular sector exposure to 20%. So like a prime example with this, a prime example for this would be at the end of 2024, I ended up trimming back a few financial holdings because I had a ton of financial stocks just off the top of my head. I can think Royal Bank, National, Equitable, Intac Financial, Berkshire, all that, Brookfield. So my financial sector had ballooned in my portfolio. So I did trim some of that back. I mean, some people don't rebalance. I tend to rebalance once a year. And then from a geographical standpoint, I own about 55% US
Starting point is 00:05:54 stocks, 45% Canadian. However, the bulk of my Canadian equities are primarily US operators. I own very few stocks whose majority revenue is generated in Canada. I mean right off the top my head I can think of probably Telus would be one of the only ones that I own that don't doesn't have a ton of Exposure south of the border. I don't really have any sort of strict limitations on company size either At this point in time around 15% of my portfolio of small caps I would imagine that would be on the high side of things. If I were to just take a guess. However, if I found more opportunities, I would simply add them. I
Starting point is 00:06:29 would be fully comfortable with a higher level of my portfolio in small caps. But I mean, the bulk of it is larger mega cap US stocks or cryptocurrency. So out of my 10 largest holdings, seven of them are US equities. one of them would be my Bitcoin ETF, and two of them are Canadian stocks. So as someone who easily has multiple decades of accumulation left, I am all equity. And I do believe there's quite a few Canadians that are exposed heavily,
Starting point is 00:07:00 sometimes to their detriment to Canadian equities. I mean, obviously, we account for, I believe it's around 2% of the global economy in terms of GDP output. Yet, you know, I've seen numerous Canadians sometimes, you know, multi six figure or even second seven figure portfolios just allocated solely to Canada. As a result, you know, they're heavily exposed to industries like financials, utilities, energy, all of which are pretty heavy, cyclical,
Starting point is 00:07:26 and is one of the main reasons the S&P 500 has done so much better than the TSX over the long term. Obviously they have high level tech, whereas we don't as well, which has driven a ton of the results. And again, as you had mentioned at the start, too many people rely on generic information in this regard, your risk tolerance, your financial goals, your time horizon, your tax situation, all that type of stuff can change this drastically. No, exactly. So I think essentially like it's it's a bit, I guess, for me, it's somewhat different because you primarily invest in equities, right? For me, it's a bit more diversified if you look at kind of asset classes,
Starting point is 00:08:05 although I do have some concentration in that one specific asset class. So I do have kind of the way I look at it, my framework without that being like rules per se. So I have like a target weighting. I have talked about this before. Last year I did talk about this. So I'm looking for equities to be four to 50% of my portfolio. Bitcoin 20 to 40%. The range is so big for Bitcoin mainly because of the volatility. So I don't want to put, you know, I want it to be between 22 and 25% because then if I decide, you know what, I need to trim if it gets above that or add if it gets below.
Starting point is 00:08:45 I mean, Bitcoin is so volatile that I'm going to constantly be playing with that position. That's not what I want to do. Now I also have fixed income. I call it fixed income, but it is short-term Treasury bills mostly, US Treasury bills. So that's my cash and cash equivalent, but it does generate income. My target waiting for that is 15 to 20 percent and the last two here so precious metals, mostly gold, I've had a little bit of silver as well but it's mostly gold, 5 to 10 percent and then Ethereum which is another cryptocurrency 2 to 5 percent.
Starting point is 00:09:20 Again Ethereum is something I've hold for a long time. I don't have the same conviction as Bitcoin so that's why it is lower. But again, it is a pretty big range. Two to five may not sound like it, but for a smaller allocation, it's a pretty big range here. That's the reason behind it. Now, I'm flexible in my approach. I don't want to be too rigid, but from a geographical perspective,
Starting point is 00:09:45 I do try to limit my exposure to Canada. My main reason here is I don't, I do not want to be too heavily weighted towards Canada since my income comes primarily from Canada. Same for my wife. So our household income is mostly dependent on the Canadian economy. So I wouldn't want our portfolio to be also vastly dependent on the Canadian economy. So I wouldn't want our portfolio to be also vastly dependent on the Canadian economy. And I think that's something we've talked, we actually have talked about that in the past multiple times. But I think that's something a lot of people forget is they have their income very dependent on the Canadian economy. And then their portfolios like 80% Canadian stocks that are, you know, financials or companies that do a lot of business in Canada. Yeah. I think that the one thing that a lot of people might mix up is, you know,
Starting point is 00:10:31 there's a lot of Canadian stocks that don't operate a lot in Canada. So I mean, it's not just Canadian stocks in general. It would be, you know, Canadian stocks that are heavily focused in Canada. Yeah. Like Canadian T Empire is a good example. Yeah, exactly. That's like a pure play Canadian stock or the telecoms, things like that. But then you look at I'm trying to think of a company, even the banks, to a certain extent.
Starting point is 00:10:58 But yeah, Canadian stocks does not generally mean, you know, Canadian economy. Or the and the opposite side Shopify right I don't know their revenue breakdown but I'm gonna assume that Canada is quite a small portion of their revenues because they've grown so much outside of Canada. But so for that reason I have exposure to equities outside of Canada in big part because I have 20% of my portfolio in the XAW ETF so it's all-world excluding Canada. Still heavily weighted towards the US, but not as much, definitely a lot less than an
Starting point is 00:11:31 S&P 500. So yes, you do have the weighting towards the big names because the US is still, I think I'm just going on memory around 60% of the holdings, maybe 70% and the rest is the rest of the holdings, maybe 70% and the rest is the rest of the world. But the fact that it's only 20% of my portfolio on one hand also allows me to not be too concentrated in that, you know, the MAG 7 for example. In terms of sector, I don't have any specific rules regarding that. I tend to be look at things on definitely on contrarian basis a lot of the time. So I like to look for
Starting point is 00:12:05 sectors that are out of favor and look for some good companies in those sector but I use individual holdings oftentimes to get more exposure to a specific sector and those two that come to mind is oil and gas so I own Termaline and Canadian Natural Resources so I can probably I'm just going on top of my head like these two companies are probably a bigger portion of my portfolio than an Apple through my index funds just for context here. And my rules are more quality and valuation based so I'll be very reluctant to invest in companies that are not profitable. So that will probably remove a big chunk of the micro and small cap
Starting point is 00:12:43 companies although I do know there is a micro and small cap companies although I do know there's a lot of small cap companies that are profitable but especially the micro cap it's not as often and definitely you know you don't the level of profitability is not as common for small cap companies than larger companies but I have no issues investing in them whether it's small cap mid cap large cap mega caps if there are solid businesses and I think there's a high probability of them achieving good returns going forward on a medium to long term basis. Yeah, well said.
Starting point is 00:13:14 I mean, it's like I said at the start, I mean, you're 20 to 40% Bitcoin and that's a prime example of how allocations are, you know, specific to the individual because I personally would never would never be you know have that high allocation of Bitcoin. I know. And that's why it's so like individual specific like I I would be so nervous with that high I mean I I have it I think it's like 7% now it was at 10 and I had to trim it back because I was like getting worried which I mean looks bad in hindsight, but. Yeah. Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:13:47 Every time Bitcoin drops, uh, you know, 10% dance, then gets a cold. So I gotta be safe. As do it yourself investors, we want to keep our fees low. That's why Simone and I have been using Questrade as our online broker for so many years now. Questrade is Canada's number one rated online broker by money sense and with them you can buy all North American ETFs. Not just a few select ones, all commission free so that you can choose the ETFs that you want. And they charge no annual RSP or TFSA account fees. They have an award-winning customer service team with real people that are want and they charge no annual RSP or TFSA account fees.
Starting point is 00:14:28 They have an award winning customer service team with real people that are ready to help if you have questions along the way. As a customer myself, I've been impressed with Questrade's customer service. Whenever I call or email, every support rep is very knowledgeable and they get exactly what I need done quickly. Switch for free today and keep more of your money. done quickly. Switch for free today and keep more of your money. Visit QuestTrade.com for details. That is QuestTrade.com.
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Starting point is 00:16:58 That is airbnb.ca forward slash host. So the next one here is a listener question from Drew on Twitter. I did answer Drew kind of short form, but I thought it was a really good question because I think sometimes people will confuse that a little bit. So I kind of rephrased the question, but say someone bought VO, which is a US listed S&P 500 ETF. So US listed, US dollar, when the conversion rate from USD to CAD favored the Canadian dollar much more than it does right now,
Starting point is 00:17:32 so the Canadian dollar was much stronger than it is currently trading, would it make sense to sell VO, then put the proceeds to a CAD denominated S&P 500 ETF? So essentially, if you believe that CAD will strengthen against the US dollar, it would not make sense to do this unless it is a Canadian hedge S&P 500 ETF. Something like VFV which is not hedge,
Starting point is 00:17:59 although it will be denominated in Canadian dollar, it will benefit from a weaker Canadian dollar versus USD. So your return will be boosted by that because that's because the underlying assets are still US dollar based or US dollar denominated assets. So essentially what VFB does versus VO is that it converts it to CAD automatically for you versus VO, you just have to do the calculation with whatever the exchange rate is right now, and then you do the calculation manually. So that's essentially the only difference.
Starting point is 00:18:33 So I would say if that's what you were thinking of doing, then no, that would not make sense. That would make no sense at all. But if you're looking to take advantage of a straightening Canadian dollar and want to stay invested in the S&P 500, then what you'd have to do is look at something like a Canadian hedge version of an S&P 500, whether it's a ZUE from BMO ETF or VSP from Vanguard. I think BlackRock also has one. With the hedge versions, if the Canadian dollar straightened, then you would
Starting point is 00:19:04 have minimized, you would minimize the downward pressure that if the Canadian dollar is strained in, then you would have minimized, you would minimize the downward pressure that a stronger Canadian dollar would have on your US denominated assets for your returns. I know it's a little bit confusing, but let me give an example here. So say you have a $100 Canadian worth of an S&P 500 ETF. The S&P 500 ETF is flat for the year when thinking about it in US dollars only. So it's traded in the US, you're thinking about it in US dollar. Let's just say you're an American for the fun of it.
Starting point is 00:19:34 Now say $1 USD was $1.44 Canadian at the beginning of the year and at the end of the year the Canadian dollar strengthened significantly and went to $1 USD to $1.35 Canadian. Now despite, and I'm just, you know, when Dan talked earlier, he was just kind of talking the opposite sense. So he was converting a Canadian dollar to the US dollar. So that's why people may be a little bit confused here with the exchange rate. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:20:04 Now, despite the S&P 500 being flat for the year, in Canadian dollar, your $100 is now worth $93.75 because the US dollar weakened during the year. Now, if you have the Canadian hedge version, then your $100 will be worth $100. I say about $100 because it's impossible to hedge perfectly with these types of ETFs so keep that in mind. There is also fees usually and they'll have slightly higher fees because of the hedging that they put in place but yes the hedging would allow you to kind of essentially it zeros out or tries to zero out the currency effects but that would be a way to do it if you're thinking of that the Canadian dollar would straighten.
Starting point is 00:20:47 Yeah, that would be pretty much the reasoning for doing this is you, you know, if you bought it high, it's fallen now and now you believe the Canadian dollar will rise. That's when you would want to go back and buy that hedged Canadian fund. I mean, it's pretty much a play on the, on the currencies overall, because with, with unhedged ETFs, you own the currency and you own the underlying holdings, whereas with a hedge ETF, you just own the underlying holdings. They will be able to, you know, offset those currencies, currency fluctuations to, to a certain degree. Like you said, outside of fees, and it's not perfect in every regard either.
Starting point is 00:21:28 But yeah, you ultimately, if you're going unhedged, you would benefit from a falling Canadian dollar, whereas if you were going hedged, you would technically benefit from a rising, a strengthening Canadian dollar. I mean, you wouldn't have any sort of financial benefit, you would just be prevented from the foreign exchange loss. Yeah. Yeah. And look, at the end of the day,
Starting point is 00:21:49 when the underlying assets are in another currency, you're going to have currency fluctuations unless you buy the hedge version. And again, it's not perfect. And to go back to the initial question, the last thing I would be very careful and Of course, you know this again, it's not investment advice, but the last thing I would be careful here is If you have a vo you know you have it in u.s. Dollars so if you're looking to purchase something like via V or one of the hedge version like ZUE or VSP,
Starting point is 00:22:25 well, these are all Canadian dollar denominated ETF. So you are going to have to convert your USD to Canadian dollar, depending on the fees that you pay, like you could pay a decent amount in fees in conversion fee. So keep that in mind, if you keep going back and forth, there's Norbert's Gambit that can help you save on that. But even with that, you'll pay some small fees depending on the sums that you're doing.
Starting point is 00:22:49 So, you know, it's always something to keep in mind because you will have to pay fees when you start converting. So it will eat into your return, even if you make the right call in terms of where the currency goes. Yeah, exactly. Like we have if you're with a platform like WellSimple, let's say for example, I think it's one and a half percent that you would pay, you know, to get that US dollars into Canadian. So it all depends. I mean, I did it with the Bitcoin ETF I owned, but that's because the fees were, you know,
Starting point is 00:23:20 I almost saved in a year, calendar year, the fees, as it would cost me to currency convert So I mean it's very hard to predict, you know currency fluctuations So it's the idea the premise of it is right if you believe that the Canadian dollar will strengthen That is technically what you would do to benefit from that strengthening, but it's it's never guaranteed Yeah to benefit from that strengthening, but it's never guaranteed. Yeah. And also at that point, sometimes too, it's just like, if you want to really start trading based on currency, I mean, trading current, like FX trading is not easy to do.
Starting point is 00:23:55 Like just keep that in mind. Like there are so many variables that will impact currencies. So anyways, just kind of, you know, just a disclaimer because it's not something I venture into I just have My conviction is that I have more conviction the US dollar than a Canadian dollar. That's it. That's my conviction It's worked out well for me to have more be more heavily weighted in US dollar in general But if the Canadian dollar goes up by this year, that's fine. I'm fine with that. It's okay. Like I don't, it's not, I'm not going to be chasing that. I prefer, I will keep my money, most of my money
Starting point is 00:24:32 and what I have the most conviction in. Yeah, that's well put. Do you want to move to the CDR one? Cause that actually like, it plays in well with this type of question as well, because the CDRs could become more popular if the Canadian dollar does get weaker. But this was a question from... And by the way, CDRs are Canadian depository receipts for those. So I'm sure you'll explain how it goes. So have at it. Yeah. Yeah. They're effectively like in a nutshell, they're a way to own US stocks in Canadian dollars. So they're operated by CIBC and I believe they trade on the NEO exchange. Yeah, or I think now it's like it got bought by something else.
Starting point is 00:25:13 I think it got bought by CBOE. It did. Yeah. Okay. But I think they still trade under the ticker like.NE. Okay. I think. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:25:23 But I'm not 100% sure. It depends on your brokerage, but so effectively what they'll do is they'll hold the stocks in trust. And then these all, they started out trading at like $20 a unit or something like that. So effectively you own a fractional share or a whole share, whatever, of the U US stock trading in Canadian dollars. So the decision to buy them versus a US stock can come down to a combination of things. So the first one would be, again, as we talked about above, would be your overall thoughts on the trajectory of the dollar. So ultimately, these CDRs, I guess I should mention they're hedged. So they don't charge any sort of fee for the CDR itself, but there is a 0.6% hedging fee, maximum hedging fee that can be charged per year. So
Starting point is 00:26:15 some years you won't be charged this because it doesn't cost that much to hedge, whereas some years you will be charged that point, that full 0.6 six will which will just be reflected in the total return of the fund But they are hedged. So Ultimately you head yourself you hedge to protect yourself from a strengthening US dollar strengthening Canadian dollar Sorry, because a weakening Canadian dollar only benefits you if we're talking in Canadian dollar terms So let's say I'm just gonna bring a company. I know that has a CDR Starbucks. I know they have a CDR. So if you owned Starbucks in US dollars, you would benefit on a Canadian dollar basis if the dollar weakened. Whereas if you owned the CDR, you would benefit if the Canadian dollar strengthened. So I mean
Starting point is 00:27:00 it does sound like this type of hedging. It's very confusing, like just trying to read this and digest it all. But ultimately, if you bought U.S. dollars at 70 cents, you would benefit on a Canadian dollar basis if the Canadian dollar fell to 65 cents. But you'd be negatively impacted if it went to 75 cents. So with hedging, it's kind of the reverse. You would benefit if the dollar went to 75 cents because you wouldn't have that foreign exchange loss. And you'd be in a worse position if the dollar fell to 65
Starting point is 00:27:32 cents because you wouldn't realize the FX gain. So it's kind of swapped it. I mean, you wouldn't have lost any dollars on an absolute basis, just not gain the dollars as if you were on hedge. So from that standpoint, if you don't like the fluctuations of the currency, you could certainly buy a CDR. I mean, I do believe however, though, a lot of people own these as they view it as more convenient and don't take in a lot of these factors. They
Starting point is 00:27:55 either don't want to pay the currency conversion fees, or they just don't like the idea of exchanging their Canadian dollars for less money. The difficulty here is... Or I guess one as well is because the price, the actual like price per share is much lower than the US shares they're representing. So for those who don't have fractional trading and have smaller amounts to invest, it can make sense there too. Yeah, I didn't even think of that. But yeah, that's another element of it. Flowing in money, just dollar bills everywhere. I didn't even think of that. No, I'm on fractional trading.
Starting point is 00:28:32 No, no, I know. Yeah. But yeah, I mean, I think a lot of people, I don't know why, but they don't like exchanging to US dollars. And there could be a valid reason for this as well. But I think a lot of people just You know, they don't like to pay the fees They don't like having you know less dollar value, even though the currency is stronger. I mean right now it is
Starting point is 00:28:54 But you are paying 0.6 percent maximum Maximum per year to own these funds and that does allow you to be hedged and you know, it does even out those currency fluctuations but over the long term the fluctuations have kind of you know, effectively evened out over the long term. So if you owned one of these for the long term you might have ended up paying that 0.6% fee every single year for effectively nothing. If you if you bought it today and 10 years down the line, the dollar was at 70 cents.
Starting point is 00:29:28 I mean, you've paid that fee to possibly mitigate your volatility over that 10 year period, but effectively you're at the exact same spot you were. So this would be the main downside. However, there definitely is some situations where they would provide some upside. So the first would be that, you know, if you're a Canadian retiree and one that utilizes
Starting point is 00:29:48 the Canadian dollar as your main form of currency, in this case, buying US stocks can be a bit of a nuisance because I mean, if you're never using the US dollars, if you're not a snowbird, you never go down to the US, you're constantly converting that US dollar dividend. Prime example, I'll use Starbucks again. If you own the US stock, you would get US dollar dividends. Whereas example, I'll use Starbucks again. If you own the US stock, you would get US dollar dividends. Whereas if you own the CDR, it would be Canadian dollar dividends.
Starting point is 00:30:10 So you would have to convert that back to Canadian dollars, whether it would be those dividends or sold capital gains, which that can cost you fees as well. Again, with the CDRs, the currency is Canadian. There's no need to convert and all the Canadian dividends paid out to you. So in that situation, it kind of makes sense. And as a retiree, you probably wouldn't want to be exposed to the currency fluctuations either. So hedging makes a bit more sense, in my opinion, when your time horizon is shorter. And then the second reason would be the situation where right now is the Canadian dollar is at abnormal lows. I mean, sub 70 cents is pretty, you know, it's pretty rare. With the resignation of Trudeau, obviously,
Starting point is 00:30:52 we're seeing the dollar pop a bit, but when the dollar does get to abnormal lows, buying US dollars at that point may not really fit in with the currency fluctuations tend to even out over the long term situation. So hedging yourself to a rising Canadian dollar can certainly make sense. I mean if the Canadian dollar was at 65 cents one could argue that it might not be the best opportunity to buy US dollars and you might buy these CDRs because if the Canadian dollar were to rise you would be kind of sheltered from that. So I mean in a single, in a single sentence, it depends. A lot of people criticize these products because of the fees and because of, you know, it's easy to criticize these as the dollar's gone on, like a, what?
Starting point is 00:31:32 We're on like a two and a half year slide of the Canadian dollar, which ultimately, if you held the CDRs throughout that period, you've lost quite a bit on FX gains. So it's easier to criticize them now, but if the dollar rises over the next couple years, then they tend to look like they have some value. No, I think nothing more to add there. As do-it-yourself investors, we want to keep our fees low.
Starting point is 00:32:01 That's why Simone and I have been using Questrade as our online broker for so many years now. Questrade is Canada's number one rated online broker by MoneySense, and with them, you can buy all North American ETFs, not just a few select ones, all commission free, so that you can choose the ETFs that you want. And they charge no annual RSP or TFSA account fees.
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Starting point is 00:33:37 and join the community today. I'm on there. I encourage you go on there and follow me. Search me up. Some of the YouTubers and influencers and podcasters that you might know, I bet you they're go on there and follow me, search me up. Some of the YouTubers and influencers and podcasters that you might know, I bet you they're already on there. People are just on there talking, sharing their investment ideas and using the analytics tools.
Starting point is 00:33:52 So go ahead, blossom social in the App Store and I'll see you there. Here on the show, we talk about companies with strong two-sided networks make for the best products. I'm gonna spend this coming February and March in an Airbnb in South Florida for a combination of work and vacation and realized, hey, my place could be a great Airbnb
Starting point is 00:34:20 while I'm away. Since it's just gonna be sitting empty, it could make some extra income. But there are still so many people who don't even think about hosting on Airbnb or think it's a lot of work to get started. But now it is easier than ever with Airbnb's new co-host network. You can hire a local quality co-host to take care of your home and guests. It's a win-win since you make some extra money hosting on Airbnb Now we'll go on for a question from Matthew J. So Matthew sent us a question saying that he's recently been in a relationship with a friend of his
Starting point is 00:34:46 and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his
Starting point is 00:35:02 and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his and he's been working with a friend of his Now we'll go on for a question from Matthew J. So Matthew sent us a question saying that he's recently reduced his holdings from 60 to 30 and aims to further reduce the number of holdings to be more concentrated. He wants to know if we have any recommendation on how to approach that. Of course again I'll have said it a few times but it's not investment advice but I will go over on what I did.
Starting point is 00:35:27 So I did last year, reduce some of my holdings to get that essentially closer to 10 to 15. I had over 20 holdings and for me it was just too much to manage. So the thing for me is just looking at my life. I have a busy life. I mean between my Family the podcast my work staying active I just don't have massive amount of time to keep up with tons of individual companies. Of course, we'll do earnings You know, we'll talk about companies, but you know, it's one thing to research a company at one point in time Versus trying to stay on top on a regular
Starting point is 00:36:05 basis. So for me, it made sense to do a hybrid approach between individual company and some index ETFs, although I'm not against having some actively managed ETFs if I find some that are reasonable in fees and kind of offer what I'm holding. Now it's more than that then I just end up following some company essentially you know not as closely if I end up having too many holdings. Then I looked at the holdings by percentage of my portfolio so that's how I started. So I went you know all my holdings I have a
Starting point is 00:36:40 spreadsheet, I joined TCI viewers, I've seen that spreadsheet where we track our portfolio. So I went biggest to smallest holding and then I decided that anything below 1% I needed to be willing to add to that name in the near future. If not, then I went ahead and sold it. So that removed a few names from my portfolio right there. If you have 30 names, clearly there's probably going to be some that are smaller positions than others because I you know You're in probably probably don't have three point zero five percent. Whatever it is per holding, right? So it's it's something to to keep in mind now
Starting point is 00:37:17 I after that I was just reviewing the names I had and ensuring that I still had conviction in the companies that I owned going forward. I reviewed them one by one and I sold a few companies because after reviewing them I just didn't have the same conviction. So another thing to consider here that wasn't as applicable to me since I use a hybrid approach with stocks and ETF is how much concentration you want in a single holding. So of course like I mentioned earlier question I do have a lot of concentration in Bitcoin, but for stocks, I don't have that much concentration. The only one that I really do are the index ETFs that I have, but those are pretty well
Starting point is 00:37:58 diversified. Aside from that, I have around like four or 5%. I think my biggest holding if I'm going on memory here. So that's something that you'll want to establish and like Dan mentioned for a previous question you know it will depend some people are fine with higher concentrations some people are not so it really depends on you what you're comfortable with and just understand that the more concentrated you are the higher the risk is because, you know, with all other things being equal.
Starting point is 00:38:28 But you know, a lot of people will kind of push back when I say these type of things, but you know, take Costco, for example. I think most people can agree that Costco is a fantastic business. But if you have 100% of your worth in Costco, I don't care how good Costco is, I'm sorry, but that's super risky. That is just risky because if there's an unforeseen event that happens that impacts Costco negatively, then you are like you're all in on that name itself. So I think it's always important to remember that because sometimes people will say, you
Starting point is 00:39:03 know what, I'm fine with having like a whole lot of concentration in this one or two, one name or two names because, you know, nothing bad will ever happen to these companies. Bad things can happen. Anything can happen. Yeah, anything can happen. And the more concentrated you are, the higher the risk is. Yeah, that's well said. I mean, I think 60 is definitely something
Starting point is 00:39:27 you probably need to look to reduce. Yeah, exactly. I couldn't even imagine. Like I own around 30 holdings, but this is 99% of the holdings that I own, we cover over on our platform. So I'm covering them every single quarter, keeping tabs on them all the time.
Starting point is 00:39:47 And I also do this 40, 50 hours a week. And that's a lot, 30 is a lot doing it that much. So I mean, 60 would just be, you just can't keep up with that. And they keep in mind a lot of people like this, for you it's your job, right? But people wouldn't be, like it won't be their job. So it's not job right but people yeah be like it won't be their job so if you have a if you have a nine to five I would I would say it is almost
Starting point is 00:40:11 impossible for you to keep up accurately and like you know yeah on 30 equities that would be a lot so I mean yeah you and I believe they did I'd have to look up the studies but like in terms of diversification, I think once you get over 20 or 25 holdings, like statistically, it doesn't really make that much of a difference the more you go up. I think it can actually make things worse. I mean, I would have to look up that study. Well, you all almost end up like being close to the index, right? Like I think that's what ends up happening.
Starting point is 00:40:42 So yeah, you diversify, I think is that. Diversify. Yeah, that's what they say. But no, I think we'll move on to the next one, because this will be a long one where we have both some notes and we have two more questions to go. So this one is a question from Jason, and then we'll take the lead. So you want to, you want me to read it? Is that easier? Sure, you read it and I'll discuss. So, okay. So Jason says, I've been listening to the podcast for a couple months, show suggestion are these high yield dividend ETFs from Harvest, Hamilton and others. How safe are these? My concern is not, none of these ETFs have been through a bear market. I do not see how they are sustainable
Starting point is 00:41:26 in periods of weakness. I would love to hear your thoughts on this subject. So have at it, Dan. Yeah, so I'll say the number one reason most of them haven't been through a bear market is because most fund managers are creating these funds just based on the passive income craze we've seen post pandemic and there
Starting point is 00:41:45 hasn't really been too many bear markets outside of 2022 outside the pandemic so yeah a lot of these funds you won't find really that's gone up and with the pandemic on the the passive income yeah oh yes yeah if you look at like uh something like google trends yeah you look at passive income it's skyrocketed okay okay and i mean it's, I think it was maybe a huge thing, you know, when a lot of people like lockdown mode lost their jobs maybe, like the the income generation from, you know, equities or high yielding funds, you know. I don't exactly know the reason on it but I can tell you right now, pre-pandemic, pre-pandemic this type of stuff was not even close to as prevalent as it is now.
Starting point is 00:42:27 If you're going to be logged down in your home, you might as well make some money while you're at it. Yeah, exactly. I mean, in terms of the safety of the funds, that would largely depend on the individual and the fund itself. I mean, volatility, again, if you look at your Bitcoin allocation, you're comfortable with that volatility, where somebody else might not be. So I mean, in terms of that, it's hard to say. The one thing again, as I mentioned is fund managers will create funds based on where the capital
Starting point is 00:42:53 is flowing right now. And with that big craze, passive income, high yield, all that type of stuff, that is where the money is flowing. And as a result, managers, you know, they're even having to get a bit creative when it comes to how they get the yield. So I mean, initially it was, you know, covered calls, things like that. But now you're seeing leverage. Now you're seeing covered calls combined with leverage because many of these funds, people have been like, okay,
Starting point is 00:43:19 well the covered calls cap the upside of the fund. Well, let's just add a little leverage in there to try and offset that. So I mean, it's crazy the amount of stuff that's coming out. I mean, people are, sorry, funds right now are starting to develop at the money call options, selling at the money call options in order to generate premiums. So obviously, well, I don't wanna get too big
Starting point is 00:43:41 into how options work, but at the money is going to generate a substantially higher premium than one that is way out of the money because it has a higher chance of getting essentially executed and you losing your shares. So, I mean, in general covered calls, they cap your upside while pretty much providing zero downside potential. However, during bear markets, they can provide some buffer because of the premiums generated.
Starting point is 00:44:04 The difficulty here is most of these are actively managed. They do involve fund managers, you know, making decisions as with most humans. I mean, errors, miscalculations are common and you can end up with fund managers completely botching the covered call selling during a bear market and making the situation even worse. The one fund I've talked about quite a bit was the Bitcoin Yield ETF. It provided next to no downside protection during the drawdown in Bitcoin and now it's underperformed
Starting point is 00:44:30 quite a bit to the upside. The thing about an ETF is it can theoretically pay out whatever distribution they want. A stock can as well, but a stock situation is much more obvious when they're paying out more you know more than they are earning So if they're earning four dollars a share but paying out a six dollar dividend It's fairly obvious on the surface that it's unaffordable but with a fund they can maintain higher yields for much longer as they can they can pretty much pay a Distribution out of the net assets of the fund itself if it can't cover it through something else So ultimately, you know
Starting point is 00:45:03 This will result in the erosion of the net asset value and can pretty much be a recipe for disastrous performance over the long term. So if a fund is promising you a 12% yield, they're going to have to make that up through capital gains, dividends from the underlying holdings, interest income, covered call income, et cetera. If they don't do that, the money has to come from somewhere and it's probably going to be a return of capital, which will come out of the assets of the fund. So not in all cases, but in most cases. So these large distributions are often marketed
Starting point is 00:45:37 by many influencers, passive income craze, gigantic post pandemic. It's kind of a one in the hand is better than two in the Bush situation. So as in you can get income now and don't have to worry about the unpredictable markets. But the thing is, I mean, we have, there's nothing really all that unpredictable about the markets over the long term. I mean, we have a hundred plus years of proof that, you know, the markets do provide long term returns. So as someone with a long term time horizon, if your worries are that you'll panic and make mistakes, you know, you're there's a proof that the markets do provide longterm returns. So as someone with a longterm time horizon,
Starting point is 00:46:08 if your worries are that you'll panic and make mistakes during down markets and invest in yield based funds because of this, I mean, you should consider, you know, probably seeking out the help of a professional that could maybe help you out, you know, kind of reduce that volatility, things like that, you know, avoid you from panicking. Yes, you pay fees. You do pay fees, but structuring your portfolio and a lot of these funds can end up
Starting point is 00:46:30 costing you significantly more than the fees to a manager. So one prime example of this would be XYLD. So this is a popular S&P 500 covered call ETF that has underperformed the S&P 500 by 6.2% annually for 11 years. So I mean to give you an idea of how bad this is, $100,000 invested in the S&P 500 in mid-13 which would have been when XYLD was inception, it's now $470,000 whereas $100,000 in000 in XYLD is now 246,000. So that's a difference of around $225,000
Starting point is 00:47:09 over a 11 year time period. And it's important to keep in mind, you would have to have reinvested the dividends in order to get those returns as well. So you wouldn't have benefited from any sort of passive income stream. If you had spent the dividends, you'd have around $106,000. So it's appreciated $6,000
Starting point is 00:47:27 in underlying price over the course of 11 years. Whereas with the SPY- Well, just to add to that, right? So I'm sharing my screen for Joint TCI here, and what I'm showing is XYLD, the one you just mentioned, versus SPY, which is just a regular SMP 500 ETF. And the last five years, SPY has returned, let's just say, well, I was gonna say 100%, but let's be fair, 98%. Pretty close. Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:47:53 And then the XYLD 34%. So I think just to prove your point here. Yeah, it's crazy. And I've met a lot of people, again, they buy these funds because they're scared of, you know, that's the number one thing I see is, you know, like we don't know what the market's gonna do over the next two or three years.
Starting point is 00:48:12 You know, why not get the income now? I mean, yeah, you don't know what it's gonna do over the next two or three years, but if you're a 20 or 30 year old with multiple decades left in your investing horizon, why do you care what the market is going to do over the next two or three years? You're buying for the long term. I see plenty of people like this age structuring their portfolios to generate as much PAD-y,
Starting point is 00:48:38 they call it, like passive annual dividend income. And I mean, I just think in a couple of decades, you know, when their portfolios have underperformed, you know, a broader benchmark by a couple percent annually, and they've kind of realized they might have costed themselves, you know, hundreds of thousands of dollars in returns and, you know, chances are, you know, potentially years of their retirement, they will have some significant regret. And I mean, as there are some solid funds, like I know plenty of these funds that have actually done quite well. That generate income, they generate value,
Starting point is 00:49:08 but the majority of them will lead to long-term underperformance. For someone with a long time horizon, and I'm comparing this to just buying a broad-based index fund, something like that. Yeah, yeah, and I mean, look, at the end of the day, fund managers, whether it's Bay Street, Wall Street, not all of them, I think, we're very happy to have BMO ETFs
Starting point is 00:49:32 as sponsors, just because we think they offer some great options for ETFs for Canadians. Their fees are very competitive, usually amongst the lowest, if not the lowest, so I think that's something that's great to see. But a lot of fund managers will actually see where the demand is and they'll offer products to cater to that demand whether the products are good or not. So one thing's for sure is, and I'm generalizing here, so again, I just want to make sure not everyone's in that same bucket but a lot of the time if you Wall Street start seeing
Starting point is 00:50:09 that certain products and high demand and generate good fees they will create these products because they make money on fees they don't care whether you make or not like you make money or lose money at the end of the day they don't care they still get paid. Well, look at Look at like private credit private equity like all that kind of stuff that's popping up now the fees in that area are huge Yeah, are you obviously if they have less asset on their management? Usually the fees are percentage of the asset So clearly it's gonna be you know lower on the dollar basis But again, they won't be affected as much.
Starting point is 00:50:45 Now, I think a lot of people just have trouble dealing or that there's the fear of a big drawdown. I think that's what driving a lot of this. And of course, when you start looking at just generating income at all costs, it comes with trade offs like you just mentioned, right? Sure, you can get the income, but at the end of the day you're gonna lack the total returns in most of the scenario and the vast majority of the scenarios like we've seen personally I like to look at things from a total returns perspective I know
Starting point is 00:51:17 you're the same and if I wanted to just invest in income generating stocks I would focus on dividend stocks and more specifically dividend stocks that have a growing business even if it's closed growth because you know a lot of dividend paying companies are more mature businesses so it's kind of typical to see slower growth. A low payout ratio which just means a dividend that is sustainable compared to the profits, whatever profit metric you're using, whether you're losing using EBITDA, net income, free cash flow, whatever it is, you want this dividend to be sustainable, manageable debt, and a growing dividend. I think these would be the things that I would put a lot of emphasis on if I wanted to just build a portfolio that provides income. This is not what I'm doing,
Starting point is 00:52:03 so let's just be clear, but this is what I would do if I wanted to go that way. And I think with that approach, you have better prospect of achieving total returns that are at least pretty close to the index and still getting that income. But I think a lot of people get into the issue that a strategy like this, what will it give you? Like 3% yield, something like that. If you're looking for quality dividend stocks, you're not getting 7%, 8%, 9%. You're probably getting 3% if you want to be diversified and not be too concentrated in certain sectors. Yeah, it's I mean the saying goes there's no free lunch and finance. I mean if you want a 12% yield you're probably paying something for that yield whether or not you realize that you know over the next year or two or whether you realize that after owning the fund for 10 or 15 years like people
Starting point is 00:53:00 who have owned xyld probably have been over the last 11 years here. You know, you have a 6% underperformance of the broader index, which is like 6% annually is gigantic. That is massive. Yeah. And one thing too, I think to keep in mind is you can buy covered calls too, right? With whole things that you have. I mean, the one thing you need to make sure is whenever you buy options, they're in lots of 100. So one option contract will be for 100 shares. So keep that in mind. A lot of people may not be able to do that, but if you're later in life and you want to generate income, you could create a strategy
Starting point is 00:53:43 of covered calls that you actually manage yourself. You can have it just on certain stocks. You don't have to have it on your whole portfolio. It does give you a whole lot more flexibility if you're willing to take the time, understand how they work, understand when options may be more attractive for selling a covered call option so you get a bigger premium depending on how the market is and so on.
Starting point is 00:54:08 So that's something that you could do. Now I think to prevent or maybe not prevent but if big drawdowns are the primary concern then I think what you know is at least for me from my perspective and I think for a lot of people is just thinking about potential hedges. Because the last five years, I mean, or since 2009, right? We've seen more and more people saying just be like 100% equity. Well, the problem with that, and I think that's kind of a result of the bull market and how well equities have done over that time period. But the problem with that is, yes, if there's a correction in a 100% in equities or say 100% time period. But the problem with that is yes, if there's a
Starting point is 00:54:45 correction in a 100% in equities or say 100% in the S&P 500, it goes down 30%, you'll be down 30%. So if you only have the index, obviously if you have each individual holdings, maybe you'll do better, maybe you'll be down 20%, maybe you'll do worse, you'll be down 40%. It really depends on what holdings you have. But a hedge, clearly it's like for those not familiar, we've talked about hedge quite a bit. It's almost like getting insurance against an asset that you would hold. So a hedge for you know the Canadian dollar is getting insurance on the Canadian dollar going one way or the other. Now an easy hedge to have would be as simple having some fixed income in your portfolio as a percentage.
Starting point is 00:55:27 Now I talked about me, I have currently about like 13, 12, 13% of cash which is in short-term treasury bills, so qualifies as fixed income, generates about 4%, my target is 15 to 20% and with that it will act as a hedge to my portfolio with the rest so if everything else goes down, you know, the cash portion will actually stay stable and that's going to give me a hedge and make sure my portfolio doesn't go down as much as it could have if it was all concentrated in one asset type or just Bitcoin and, you know, and equities. Another option would be to buy put options. So you talked about covered call or call options, but you could buy put option on certain stocks or ETFs. So a put gives you the
Starting point is 00:56:12 right but not the obligation to sell a stock or an ETF at a predetermined price, which is a strike price for a period of time. There is a cost to those put option called the option premium. So the premium cost will vary based on the strike price, the time left on the option, and the market demand for those. And like I said earlier, option contracts come in units of 100. So you need to be able to, you know, one put option to basically fully hedge your position. Like you could do it that way. So an example here is I'll just kind of put some numbers behind it. So say the only thing you own is an S&P 500 ETF and the value of your portfolio is $100,000.
Starting point is 00:57:03 The ETF you have is currently trading at $100 per share. And say you pay a dollar per share and buy a put option that gives you the right to sell your shares for $95 at any time in the next six months. So in this situation, you've put a hedge on on your whole portfolio and you're essentially capping your downside at $6 a share or 6%.
Starting point is 00:57:27 That's because the $95 is $5 less than the current price, but you also factor in the dollar premium that you paid because that dollar premium will eat into your return. So I think it's really important for people to remember that. Now, you're also reducing your upside here because of that $1 premium, but for a lot of people it's a small price to pay because essentially you're capping your downside to just 6% from the current price. So essentially you're capping your downside at a share that's currently trading $100 per share to let's just say $94 if you factor in the premium.
Starting point is 00:58:03 So you'll never go down below that because you also always have the option to sell at that $95 So that is the way to put a hedge on if you're really scared of drawdowns if you learn about put options again Sometimes the prices for these premiums are more attractive than other the put call ratio is what we call So it is something to consider if you're willing to put the time in, but there's different ways to put hedges on where you don't have to worry as much if there's a big market correction. Yeah. And I guess the one thing I'll say about put options is the difficulty is in the
Starting point is 00:58:39 Canadian market, the options market kind of sucks. There's not much, I mean, there is options activity on some things, but for the most part, there's not going to be, so the spreads are going to be really wide, the prices are not going to be that good. So, but for US holdings, I mean, obviously, you have to research it. You have to be well versed in it. Selling covered calls is one of the safer option strategies out of all of them. Most of them are quite risky, but I mean, yeah, I
Starting point is 00:59:10 sell covered calls the odd time on my holdings, not too often because I mean, a lot of people, you'll see a lot of people kind of market covered calls as like the guaranteed way, risk-free way to earn income. You are selling something, you're giving up something when you're giving up something when you do sell a covered call,
Starting point is 00:59:26 and that would be the upside. There is a cost to them. I mean, there's no, it doesn't seem like it costs you anything because you're collecting the premium and whatever, if you have to sell off your holdings, you have to sell them off, but I mean, you can sell them off at lower than market value. So I mean, there is a cost to to them anybody who tells you that it's
Starting point is 00:59:46 just a free way to generate income is probably trying to sell you something but yeah yeah there's it's it's a very complex way to generate income and a lot of people do just opt for these funds because of you know the complexities of it but as as I said there's no free lunch. You're paying, you're paying for it. And if the income, if you're like, if you want the income, whatever, that's completely up to you.
Starting point is 01:00:16 But you do just have to understand that there is, you are paying for it in some way. Yeah, and if you're not comfortable too with like put call option strategies, but you don't wanna it in some way. Yeah, and if you're not comfortable too, with like put call options strategies, but you don't wanna go in one of these funds, then you can look for a financial advisor that, you know, will do these things for you. Not every one of them will be able to do it.
Starting point is 01:00:36 They may not have the knowledge or the experience to do so. But if you look and you find one and you ask them, look, I need, I wanna stay invested in equities, but I would like to put some hedges in place, like put options, like I just mentioned, or I'd like to generate more income through some covered calls, you know, can you help me do that? Obviously they'll charge you a fee to do that, to manage for you. But if they're good and they know what they're doing, that would be another way. If that's not something you want to learn.
Starting point is 01:01:03 But again, if you're willing to put the time, the work in, these are all things that are available to retail investors. So they're all available in your brokerage. You just have to make sure you understand what you're doing. And you know, it's not, you're not gonna know, it's gonna take time. I'm just gonna say that. But there are ways to prevent to kind of make sure that you protect the downside or a little Cap your downside is probably the best way to do it to say it. Yep. I got nothing else to add So last question here Dan. I'm sure you'll want to add a little bit to it We're not running too long on time. So we'll we'll have time. This one won't be too long. So a question from Manohar and I do
Starting point is 01:01:45 apologize if I'm mispronouncing your name so he's about five years away from retirement currently has an RSP portfolio invested in 75-25 equity bond allocation it has returned 3% per year over the last four years and wants to know if we have better ideas again Again, non-investment advice. I'll just say a few things here. He didn't specify whether he's selecting investment himself or if he's working with an advisor. Having said that, there are some all-in-one funds that incorporate similar asset mix. There's quite a few 60-40 ones and some that are closer to 80-20, so probably closer to what he
Starting point is 01:02:26 has here. The reality is that 3% per year over the last four years is a pretty poor performance for a 7525 portfolio. For example ZGRO which is the BMO growth ETF has a 8020 allocation and has had annualized returns of 9.46% over the last five years. Blackrock's XGRO, which is also 80-20, was almost identical here to ZGRO. So ZBAL from BMO, which is 60-40, had annualized return of a bit more than 7%, which is better than what Manohar was saying. Without knowing what he has invested in specifically, I'd say, you know, just with the information we have, I think it's safe to say that the returns have been at least suboptimal. Any comments on that before I kind of keep going here? Yeah, I would just like if you would look at that return, you would think it would have
Starting point is 01:03:23 been a 25.75. Yeah. From low like that. Yeah, I mean, I was surprised if you would look at that return, you would think it would have been a 25.75 from low like that. Yeah, I mean, I was surprised when I saw the figure. Yeah. Because I kind of figured, like, even strictly if that portfolio was 100% Canadian, like say, XIU and an aggregate bond fund, like ZAG or something, it would still have returned more than 3% annually
Starting point is 01:03:44 over the last four years. So I mean, it's really hard to know without actually knowing like what is in it. No, that's it. So without more information, that's why I wanted to preface this because it was more of a, it's a general question that gets harder for us to, you know, to give an answer that's pertinent if we don't have all the information. But what's next is kind of what the next steps for you. I would say, first, I would say, understand what you are invested in and why it returned only 3% per year over the last four years. Maybe there's a valid reason that we're not thinking about. I think that's the first thing I would do. Are you okay with continuing this approach? Or would you like a new approach? Three, decide what you'd like the asset mix to be. Typically, you want to have more fixed income as you get closer to retirement. So that's the
Starting point is 01:04:32 kind of typical rule of thumb that because you want to have a bigger portion of your portfolio in less volatile assets and I say fixed income personally, I'm not a big believer in bonds, but again, there's other fixed income like I mentioned before, you know, I had treasury bill which are just basically short term bonds. So that's probably the easiest way to say it. For here, you'll have to decide if you want an all in one option like some of them that I just mentioned, or if you want something where you may want to build your own with choosing between a mix of equity ETFs and bond ETFs to achieve the desired allocation.
Starting point is 01:05:12 So that's something you'll have to decide for yourself as well. Ask yourself how diversified do you want to be? What percentage of equity versus bond do you want? Pick the right ETF to achieve the diversification you want. And I'm sticking to ETFs Just because the question kind of makes me think that He's invested in funds of some sort not specific companies or individual holdings. Keep in mind an S&P 500 ETF if that's something people are looking at not just for this question here
Starting point is 01:05:42 More than 35% is in the top eight names. So if you're just picking the S&P 500 ETF thinking that you know what I want an 80-20 portfolio, 80% stocks, 20% bonds, and I'm gonna put the 80% in the S&P 500, I hate to tell you but you're not that diversified with 35% the top eight names. A lot of people tend to forget that. Do you want more diversification from a geographical standpoint or industry standpoint? And for fixed income, like I kind of touched on earlier, do you want shorter-dated fixed income, longer-dated bonds, corporate bonds, government bonds, or a mix of all the above? Obviously, the longer-dated they are, the more interest risk that you will have that you will be taking on, especially when you're talking about ETFs.
Starting point is 01:06:30 So these are all things that I would consider that I think are important to consider. Again, we can't answer this question for you. This is personal. That's something you'll have to decide. But these are all questions I would ask myself if I were in this situation. Yeah, like I would definitely be starting to ask questions. I mean, because if we look at inflation, I mean, that return is effectively a negative real return over the last four years. Oh, no doubt. Considering the S&P 500 is almost a, what, a double over the last five years here. I mean, you definitely got to start asking questions, especially if your money is with somebody else. You definitely got to ask them, why is this
Starting point is 01:07:12 performing like it is? Unless it was just like an error in the question and maybe it's a different asset mix, but I just find it hard to believe unless it's individual stocks and it's been a lot of poor individual stocks, Like if this is say 75- I've seen it before. Yeah. Oh yeah. I've seen this before. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:07:31 I'm not surprised. I had a friend of mine who asked me to look at their allocation. They're a couple mid 40s, so a few years older than me. And it was, I think they had probably similar return. One of the big fund companies in Canada. I won't throw them under the bus, but big big fund companies in Canada, I won't throw them under the bus, but big mutual fund companies in Canada. And I can believe on the Fersi Asset mix that they were put in, which I don't think was really good for where they're at in their life career and
Starting point is 01:07:58 how far they're like 20 years away from retirement. But they were also like paying close to 2% fees. And I think that was one of the big parts why the returns were so low and pretty close to that. And to me, that's alarming because again, like you mentioned, the real returns are likely negative. And for those who are new, real returns, and I think you mentioned it quickly, is just looking at the...
Starting point is 01:08:23 It's basically inflation adjusted returns. That like the best way to put it so after inflation as you wicks the you know factoring inflation as your purchasing power increase stayed the same or decrease and this situation it likely has decreased decreased yeah especially you know considering how much inflation there's been over the last few years. Yeah, I don't know. It's tough to say without knowing what the fund is like, but it's, you definitely need to start asking questions.
Starting point is 01:08:52 That's for sure. No, exactly. So I think we'll, we'll leave it at this. We went a little bit longer than usual, but that's okay. We had some good questions. I think a really good question. I think it'll help a lot of people. Just also like figure out what questions to ask if you're, you know, the covered call ETF questions. I think just people
Starting point is 01:09:13 making sure they look at, you know, the different ETFs and not just a yield. I think that's really important. I think a lot of people just fall for the high yield, so that's important. But I think it was fun to do this and next week we'll be back with a regular news and earnings episode. It'll be fun trying to get back into the new year. I think it was a fun episode to do. Anything else you want to add before we let people go? No, that's it. Thanks for listening everybody. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week. The Canadian Investor podcast should not be construed as investment or financial advice. Thanks for listening. We'll see you next week.

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