The Comedy Cellar: Live from the Table - John Spencer on Gaza: Wrestling With the Unbearable Questions of War

Episode Date: September 26, 2025

Impossible choices haunt every war. John Spencer, executive director of the Urban Warfare Institute, joins Live from the Table to confront the hardest questions raised by Israel’s war against Hamas.... How are civilian deaths justified in war? Can Israel defeat Hamas ? What does it mean to fight an enemy that will not protect its own people? Is Israel held to a different standard than other nations Difficult questions, no easy answers.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This is live from the table, the official podcast of the world-famous comedy seller, available wherever you get your podcast, and in particular available on YouTube for that multimedia experience. Dan Natterman here, along with Nome Dorman, the owner of the comedy seller, and political pundit making a name for himself, a bit of a name for himself. A little bit, a little... On Twitter slash X, I call it Twitter, and we'll die on that hill. Perry Al-Ashan brand is with us. Hello. And we have with us, John Spencer, Chair of War Studies at the Madison Policy Forum, Executive Director of Urban Warfare.
Starting point is 00:00:39 And, yes, and former Army officer as well. Yes. Translated into how many languages? You're talking about my manual I wrote for Ukraine that's translated in 16 different languages, the mini manual for the Urban Defender. So, translated into 16 languages. And he was cited by Benjamin Nessiou, in one of his speeches as being one of his speeches as being, And what one of the people that Nessin Yahoo learns from? Yes, he's actually quoted me a lot, but there's one speech that mattered the most to, I guess, everybody was when he addressed Congress.
Starting point is 00:01:11 Yeah. He brought my research in. You also might remember John Spencer from his clash with Dave Smith on Pierce Morgan, I believe it was. All right. And Medi Hassan. So, go ahead, Medi Hassan. So, John, you know, I told you. I'd like to have you on, and I want to, you know, us to, I want to ask some tougher questions because I think that actually people do, look, people do better when they get tougher questions.
Starting point is 00:01:43 Like, you know, and I know you're not afraid of tough questions as long as they're in good faith. But before we get into that, since it's recent, what is your take on this recognition of the Palestinian state and what will be the consequences to the war and to Israel long term? It's a good question. I mean, as a war researcher, somebody who taught strategy, understands the framework of nations, then you quickly know that this is just performative politics has no meaning. Even if you know the history of the United Nations, a general assembly vote versus a security council vote. But when it's very a historical, when you say, I am recognizing a state. Well, what's the borders of the state?
Starting point is 00:02:27 Who are the population of the state? who's the government of the state? Can the state now make agreements with anybody? All the definitions of the Monroe Doctrine or the doctrine, which a state can become a state, isn't present. So these nations are actually performably designating an idea a state. But what are the consequences of giving Hamas what appears to be a kind of victory of injecting them
Starting point is 00:02:55 with something they can point to and say, Listen, look what we accomplished. A boss over there couldn't have accomplished that. Right. And didn't, right? And how many times he was offered Arafat, Abbas, I mean, they were offered a Palestinian state. Gaza was de facto an autonomous area after 2005, 2007. It definitely rewards terrorism while you can give a speech how it doesn't.
Starting point is 00:03:22 And in my, you know, eighth grader could say, yeah, but it does. Right. And this gets to the. ramifications if you allowed Hamas to win, if you allowed October 7th to be Palestinian Independence Day. You can tell me that's not what they're saying, but by sheer just recent history, this happened on October 7th. Now you want to throw away the 50 plus years of work that every U.S. President and everybody who's ever tried to create a Palestinian state have done, just say, well, because of October 7th and everything that's happened since then, you're right. You're saying, and the Hamas is saying that they'll celebrate. October 7th, as their independence day, and you will increase the cycle of violence in that
Starting point is 00:04:03 area. You won't give peace to anybody, not to the Palestinians, and definitely not to Israelis. I mean, I believe I know the answer to this, but just to be sure, I believe that everyone at this table would like the Palestinians to have a state along the lines of the deals that were discussed to Camp David and with Abbas and Almert if they would want it. But what this seems to me is that the party that has sworn they will never, ever accept a state side by side with Israel that wants from the river to the sea, they are now the recipients of this recognition. So why would they ever want to pursue the compromise state, which was the Oslo dream? Right. I mean, it's almost insanity in so many levels to discuss it the way it's being discussed.
Starting point is 00:04:57 alone from how it works in any other part of the world. So we can just start designating states in other people's countries because part of this is the lines and all of this agreement. No, no, we're going to say today we're recognizing the Palestinian state that we don't know where it is. You're 100% right. That's not what Hamas says they want. They want a state.
Starting point is 00:05:20 They don't want a state where Israel is not a part of it. They want Jerusalem as the capital. They don't want Israel to exist. and they said, thank you, and if all of these countries, which you know that it's not what they want, you know, it's for their domestic political concerns, if they would just say, we agree on a path to a Palestinian state with these reasonable conditions. Isn't that what France said, essentially, we want a state that's next to Israel, you know, in peace? No, they actually said before they made their announcement that if Israel would stop the war in Gaza,
Starting point is 00:05:55 than they wouldn't make their declaration of recognizing the Palestinian state. So BS, but in their speech, McCrone's speech, he said, he wanted all these things. This gets you back to what we were talking about before the show of. Most people say, like, of course Hamas has to not be a part of this, has to lay down their weapons, give the hostas back. But then they rushed this decision of, we're going to have this big performative Palestinian state and not address the Hamas question. Yeah, I mean, maybe this is infantile, but another thing you could imagine them saying is
Starting point is 00:06:24 if you release the hostages and take safe passage out of Gaza, we will recognize a Palestinian state. Like if you're going to recognize the Palestinian state, at least put those conditions on it. Yeah, but even then you're, like you said, you're giving a boss, a pass at everything he said no to. Like, do you recognize that Israel should exist and that you want to live in coexist?
Starting point is 00:06:45 No, I can't say that. Do you recognize you don't want to, the Palestinian people can't have the right of return back to Israel? I can't say that. You know, I can't say that. Do you want to give up the pay for slave program? Well, I will, but I really won't. Or actually update the charter.
Starting point is 00:07:00 I don't believe they even actually updated the charter to no longer call for the destruction of Israel. Which went Hamas or a PLO? PLO. I don't think they actually did. They've watered it down, but this is the insanity of even having the conversation. And I'm as an American, very happy that the United States isn't playing this silly game of this is just stupid to discuss. What role does the PLO currently play because we hear about the Palestinian Authority and we hear about Hamas? And I don't hear as much about the PLO as I used to back in the old days.
Starting point is 00:07:28 They transferred to the Palestinian Authority. PLO is the Palestinian Authority. But there was one election for the Palestinian Authority. One election for Hamas. And there hasn't been one for decades since. But if you held a vote today, this is to include in Judea, Maria, what they call the West Bank and Gaza, Hamas would be the ruler of both. If you voted and you gave people this, you know, what other people might want to say, like, oh, yeah, you've got to give them self-determination. Well, they would vote for Hamas today, they being polling, and you know I don't, with some of our passwords with like people like PayPal, the polling doesn't matter to me as much, but you can't give something that doesn't exist state status.
Starting point is 00:08:13 All right. So that's that. So let me ask you some deeper question. Now, you have risked your life for your country. You have lost dear friends, I'm assuming, in wartime. And you were prepared yourself to die, which is a whole aspect of manliness in a way. I mean, I have another way to put it.
Starting point is 00:08:42 And bravery that, you know, I wish I had an understanding of that. I feel almost, you know, inadequate in a certain way because I can't really identify with that. Her husband, he didn't fight in a war, but, you know, he fought in a war. Oh, he fought in a war? My partner, George, fought in a war. And he lost very close friends as well. Yeah. And I don't know how to process in a way.
Starting point is 00:09:11 Maybe it's unprocessable. the loss of life of the soldiers and also the terrible loss of life of the Palestinian people and I have trouble with the question of how many of their lives can we
Starting point is 00:09:35 rest our heads and feel that what I say we I mean Israel that we be behaved morally, how much of that depends on the outcome, meaning that the people who fought for South Korea had a death toll associated with their fight, that they can say, well, in retrospect, look at this country, and the people who fought for North Korea have a death tall and say, well, we sacrifice all these lives for this, and we don't know what that's going to be yet.
Starting point is 00:10:07 Darrell and some of the others would make the same point about World War II. Yes. So it's all very philosophical, but these are the weightiest issues of all. We don't really spend much time talking about them. So without any clear question, how do these things all go through your mind and how do you weigh them and weight them such that you feel that this is the position you support, despite all the loss of life? Having been there, having risked your life. Yeah, it's a deep question. Yeah. My own military service, right, 25 years. And thank you, and not that I do that makes me have a more authoritative voice than somebody else. I've, of course, seen the realities of war. You will agree that you're more manly than no. I also taught war at West Point. I taught strategy.
Starting point is 00:10:58 I taught the history of war, the theories of war, the creation of nations, the evolutions of our societies and the great wars and those awful events. I understand the evolutions of the laws of war. going fine we recognize that wars will happen they shouldn't happen matter of fact we've actually uh war of aggression is a war crime by today's i understand the context of the evolutions of this awful human experience that is war which is death and destruction um i do believe even if you go back to theologians theologians you know st equine as just war theory like war is necessary because there are evil people that rise up who have evil intentions. And we have now what we call the global international order.
Starting point is 00:11:49 Most people won't even acknowledge it on we have what we call nations. We have a framework of nations, Westphilian. So when I view it, I have a very, you know, what we call with depth and context of analyzing what war are we talking about. What are the reasons that both sides are fighting? is it a just cause self-defense of course is one of the few causes that most people agree that is a just reason in which to fight for your freedom not to be subjugated you could get to other things the grand strategy so you ask a deep question like that i'm going to give you a lot of please kind of like professor elements of it my character though does come out in my research of course i do believe in right wrong evil good but i always try to be as analytical and objective to look we can talk about like you know i had this wasn't a debate um with dave smiths about the morality of war like he thinks he's the first you know person to ever think
Starting point is 00:12:51 about the morality of death and in war and what is intentional what are the actual just war theory as in when you can you start a war and when can you how do you fight a war like let's acknowledge all the work that's been done before and yes any killing is bad but under the framework in which the entire world literally the entire world has agreed to these are how wars are fought when they are fought how they will be fought when they are fought so when i look at when i make my positions of a certain situation and i you know i i didn't start studying war on october 7th or with israel i study war around the world i try not to make i'm a human so i have like that's wrong you know like the stealing of babies out of
Starting point is 00:13:38 of the Ukraine and giving them to Russian parents, I personally, as a father, view that as very wrong, but I look at it at an objective analytical person. It's listed as a war crime on the genocide charter to do that. So that's a fact. Like, I'm not giving my opinion or my personal beliefs. I'm trying to be analytical about it. There's a place for both. There's a place for your personal beliefs and a place for the application of the law. Right. And then some of the people that have popped up since October 7th can't separate those and that's to me a novice observer of war i can acknowledge the awful death and destruction in war but then i can separate my personal beliefs of right and wrong to this is how we as human beings and governments and nations
Starting point is 00:14:28 say it will work what's right what's wrong what's a war crime when other people will intervene based on this, especially post-war War II, right? We did awful things in World War II, and we can talk about those. And I tried to have that conversation with the Pape guy. Like, yes, I acknowledge that we did things in World War II that we say we will not do today, although there are nations like Russia, Syria, Yemen, Sudan,
Starting point is 00:14:50 where they don't follow these rules that we created after World War II. And that's a part of the conversation. I try to do it as objective as possible, but I do have my own views that have been shaped on, right and wrong. I will not say that's wrong, but I acknowledge that it is what we agreed to is right and wrong, as in we as in societies. But once we, I think that the easiest thing, I mean, even the people who hate Israel claim to acknowledge that Hamas is awful. Even Omar Bartov said that Hamas needs to be defeated. But then the question is, what's the price tag? And does any
Starting point is 00:15:32 price tag justified by the fact that Hamas is evil. And are you haunted by that? I mean, I'm more and more scared that Hamas just never going to surrender, that they're going to kill X number of innocent people, and we can get to what that number is, and that they will have nothing really to show for it. that they couldn't have had a year ago. And then all these extra deaths will be hard to justify, I mean, it's ex post facto, it's Monday morning quarterbacking,
Starting point is 00:16:15 but that's what we'll have to be engaged in. And it'll be right to do so, because many people warned that that was where it might be heading. I think I have a little bit of a curse of knowledge, right? So I know if this is the context we want to talk about, the war against Hamas and Gaza. I come with all of these case studies how anybody else has dealt with this similar dilemmas of this evil, irreconcilable power that wants to see its population killed,
Starting point is 00:16:47 although there is some uniqueness to that human sacrifice strategy that Hamas employs that other militaries, not the Nazis. You should talk about that, yeah. Yeah, not the Nazis, not the Imperial Japan, not any, even ISIS didn't say. and develop a strategy in which the goal is to get their own population killed. That's the goal of Hamas. They've stated it and they do it by how they've created Gaza, the tunnels, and the strategy they use.
Starting point is 00:17:16 But I come at a question about, like, what's too much with a long view of everything that's come before, right? All these, I do a lot of comparative analysis. So I can take the awful number, whatever the number is, and compare it to not what we're to, but recent things. you know the yemen war the sudan war korean war like i can compare and go so what do you say about this like well that's different that's not israel and this gets to you know i've been very vocal as
Starting point is 00:17:45 there is a double standard in war and then there's an israeli standard but yes if you want to talk about the very human aspect of the cost this is where there's a real famous quote by a real famous military historian about the good intentions on the road to destruction. So everybody, this is the, you know, when you, you know, I've had this conversation with everybody from CNN to Pierce Morgan about, well, we all agree that Hamas should go, but not this way. Like, okay, I can tell you how it's ever worked in the past. And this is the good intention
Starting point is 00:18:30 factor here. It's like everybody wants, will say that they want Hamas to go and that Israel has the right to defend itself to try to get his hostages back. There are a couple other historical events with hostages. But it's the good intention thing here, right? From the
Starting point is 00:18:47 people that don't know anything about the history of war, military strategy, how Israel could do this, even if it wasn't Israel, right? Their good intentions have caused more human suffering. In God, Gaza specifically, the United States would have ended this, of course, a lot quicker and done it a lot differently because they can't.
Starting point is 00:19:08 But because of this Israeli standard to include the Egypt thing that you know I talk about, how Egypt closed its borders and said not one civilian unless they have pay me a lot of money gets out of Gaza. You've got to stay in that combat zone. It's very a historical from the history of war even during World War II, let alone after War II. and that should be the international protest that there is only one country right now who has the sole ability to reduce this human suffering in Gaza and that's Egypt
Starting point is 00:19:40 and because I also though can say that and say I agree in the rules of nation states you can't force a nation to do anything of course a lot of people want to force Israel to do something but I can't force Egypt to create a humanitarian zone in the Sinai Desert that would save you can move every two million people could be moved with ease
Starting point is 00:20:00 I fought in a neighborhood of Baghdad of two million but there's one country that can do that but it's all this good intentions that has led to protracting this war this is not in scale it's a very big military the Hamas military of like 40,000 you know the tunnels the rockets and everything
Starting point is 00:20:16 that's not that big of a challenge in the grander scheme for a military like the idea to deal with but if you factor in well the population has to stay there and every number will be counted as a civilian and the world will air the photo to every civilian around the world
Starting point is 00:20:32 who doesn't know any better has never seen a war, doesn't know what a war looks like, doesn't know what happened a few years ago in this or that location. What is too much? This gets you to, okay, for civilian death, we can have that conversation.
Starting point is 00:20:48 For a nation's right of survival. You know, this is the recent IPC report about there is no genoceless, in Gaza, but the claim of genocide said that October 7th wasn't an existential threat to Israel. That's not factual. I mean, just by the sheer number of people that invaded Israel and held portions of southern Israel with the intention of Hezboa joining in, the West Bank joining in, Iran joining in. That was as an existential threat as it comes. And when you talk about, okay, what's too much? How much is the survival of Israel worth to Israel? A lot.
Starting point is 00:21:26 Does that mean they don't have the right to defend themselves? Well, I mean, you know, I'm asking these questions because they're incredibly difficult. And although I may sound corny asking them, I sometimes think about them, you know. But I could definitely answer from the other end of the telescope, which is that, you know, let's leave existential aside for a second. It's just very apparent to me that the United States of America would not tolerate rockets coming into Manhattan Islands once would be enough and definitely not. as a chronic problem that we just live with forever. It was just even if, and obviously it wouldn't be existential to the United States of America, but it would be something that we're just not going to tolerate.
Starting point is 00:22:08 And nations have a right to do these things. I don't think existential has ever been the standard of what you needed to. Right. Even ISIS. You know, ISIS was an evil that populated and was unique because it was an evil terrorist organization that took ground inside of other countries and held ground. It was actually unique to al-Qaeda. and all these others. And 50 nations, if not more, joined in the fight to defeat ISIS.
Starting point is 00:22:32 Right. And how many nations have joined Israel in the fight against Tamas? Well, they didn't join, and they also immediately backed off the clear moral and legal rules of war. I mean, the Geneva Conventions are legal, but they are based on morality. and the fact that that almost that a tremendous number of the deaths of the innocent Palestinians happened as a result of,
Starting point is 00:23:03 as you say, Hamas's strategy. The world was supposed to be outraged with Hamas. The law is very clear that this is Hamas' war crime. But instead, they immediately, they couldn't stand the sight of what their own considered rules of war implied.
Starting point is 00:23:25 And I confess to having similar cowardice or whatever words you want to put on it, because it's just too terrible to see it. And there is this appearance that Israel is killing people in a pain. And you made your point and just protect the war, the wall better next time, and kick the can down the road. But I feel, I know you agree, but not everybody does, that they really can't. kick the can down the road because technology is moving at such a rapid pace and what we saw with Operation Spider's Web where they just swarmed Russia with drones that drones cost them less
Starting point is 00:24:04 than a thousand dollars each five years from now to be less than a couple hundred dollars each and Israel will not be able to defend against that and uh or uranium for a dirty bomb or any of the things that are coming down the pipeline if Israel does not take care of this it will be a existential, if not next year, in 10 years. And they can't take that risk. So it's, you know, it's a bind. I'm pretty big on, I'm really big on definitions, and you know that, like genocide, war, crime, all this stuff. Insanity, by definition, is trying the same thing and hoping for a different outcome. Yeah. The kick that can, leave them over there, just leave us alone strategy, has been tried in Israel. Yeah. And that's what created Hamas. It's so upsetting. So let me ask you this question then.
Starting point is 00:24:50 Do you believe that Israel has done absolutely everything that it could to separate the civilians from the fighters? Like, couldn't they have just, you know, it wouldn't be perfect, taking every woman and child and sent them all to the beach or something like that? Was there anything they could have done to better protect the obvious innocent people or less threatening people? so in you know if i'm working in the pentagon to teaching strategy you know you can create alternatives that aren't reasonable feasible suitable sustainable like we had these acronyms you know it's military guys the only alternative i have heard from i don't believe it would work um as in politically uh or even to actualize is to move the Practically, logistically, yeah.
Starting point is 00:25:50 To move the civilians out of Gaza and put them in Israel. So have you reticor mentioned that? And I went on this podcast to talk to him about it. And he's like, okay, I didn't think that through. One is that just militarily to create a camp in, let's say, the Negev, then you'd have to guard that with a certain number of troops while you're fighting a seven front war. You're talking thousands of soldiers. but it's a democracy so after October 7th
Starting point is 00:26:20 you think the Israel society would say yes I agree take our 10,000 soldiers leave them permanently employed and create this camp that would look and sound a lot like a concentration camp
Starting point is 00:26:36 just not a work camp of all the civilians but then who makes the decision which civilian is not Hamas right do they sign something it's just practically from guarding it but again I believe in this nation state
Starting point is 00:26:51 nations have rights so what they must do what they should do morally what they should do is moving to say a million and a half civilians into the NDAGev would the international community support the payment for that because that was around a three billion
Starting point is 00:27:07 dollar estimate of what it would cost to do that well I mean are you finished out of me no no because this is when they have to build the city is Essentially, you're talking millions of people. Correct. It's a huge undertaking. You could do it, but then you have to secure it.
Starting point is 00:27:22 So now you have Israeli securing Palestinian civilians, and what happens in the first attack? And there's some history there of even against the Gaza wall, the fence. When the first event happens there, what happens? It's just a nightmare, let alone if the society would agree that they should be doing it after October 7th. Because as you know, as many civilians crossed the border on October 7th, seventh to do awful things in southern Israel, as did Hamas. All right, so these are the reason you think
Starting point is 00:27:51 it wouldn't have worked, but the record also has to show that they didn't even try. They didn't suggest it. And because it's not feasible in my, from a society. And you think that's the reason that? I personally, but also practically, right, as somebody who has guarded
Starting point is 00:28:07 prisoners. Like, you know, would the international community have stepped in and say, you can't, you can't do that? Yeah, well, also, I mean, I would say we we have the hindsight of seeing that the war is still going on after two years. And, like, you know, maybe if they had known this was going to be the outcome of the strategy that they did adopt, maybe they would have considered what you suggest, even if it might have been hard to do. But I don't think, you know, I think there was an excess of optimism in terms of what the Israeli army thought they could accomplish.
Starting point is 00:28:41 They didn't expect to be fighting for two years and still be knee-deep in it like they are now. It's also worth noting that several of the hostages were held by, quote, unquote, civilians, such as doctors and journalists. I mean, Hamas not that longer released this hostage video of this guy digging his own grave, and the world barely reacted to it. I know Jewish people, I tell them, no, I didn't see that. You'd think this would be, you know, as least as well-known as Jimmy Kimmel's monologue. But it's not. And this tells us something very big. And, yeah, I don't know what point I want to make about that.
Starting point is 00:29:29 But it's just remarkable to me that Hamas, it's very unusual that the power that's keeping the hostages and the power that's making him dig his own grave is the one that wants to amplify it and make sure everybody knows about it. And because, I guess because, but this is what's dangerous, they don't want Israel to stop. I mean, I asked somebody the other day, well, why doesn't Hamas release the hostages? I mean, normally, somebody doesn't release the hostages because the hostages are, the kidnapper doesn't release it because you're going to kill me if I release the hostage.
Starting point is 00:30:04 But no, they know very well Israel is going to kill them anyway, right? Yeah. So, and they also know that if they release the hostages, it's much more likely that Israel will lose its resolve in the war because he's, Israeli public was already teetering on wanting to end the war. And if all the hostages were released, we can imagine that the Israeli public would say no more. Hamas knows that. They gain nothing by keeping the hostages, as I can understand it, except that it provokes Israel to keep the war going. So you have both sides wanting the same thing, which is a very dangerous dynamic.
Starting point is 00:30:37 Israel wants to keep the war going, and Hamas wants to keep the war going. Why does Israel want to keep the war going? Because they want to defeat Hamas. And Amos wants to keep the war going because they feel they're winning. Yeah. It's a, it's a, there is, again, I like to do a historical right. So even the moving the enemy's population into your own territory that's on fire would be a historical, never happened in war.
Starting point is 00:31:02 And I wouldn't expect any nation to do that. There's no nation that's ever been the Egypt of the world and saying, not through us. By the way, you know that Egypt once put poison, Coleman told me this, put poison gas into the tunnels to prevent their, from being used from Gaza. Imagine if Israel put poison gas in the... Yeah, they put sewage water and seawater along. They actually kicked out 50,000 Palestinians
Starting point is 00:31:26 on their side of the wall as well. And that's 2017. And nobody cared. Very few people made international news. The ideal that you're right, so this is a problem, and you've argued with these people, is that I don't like when people aren't factually
Starting point is 00:31:45 about what Hamas wants. Hamas, like you said, doesn't want to give the hostages up because they believe it is not the best strategy to achieve their goal, which isn't coexistence, it isn't self-determination, it isn't better living conditions
Starting point is 00:32:01 for their people. It is solely, by their statement, since October 7th, the destruction of Israel and the death of all the Jewish people. No matter what happens, they say... They say the death of all the Jewish people? That's the original charter
Starting point is 00:32:14 that they then... updated they didn't make a new charter absolutely but then their statements have been absolutely and this is the statements again you can't it's almost like they're irrational because they're not saying things that even somebody smart who wanted to win this war would say like i want to i want to do october 7th over and over again until i get the job done not that they want a two-state solution and this is the point when mccrone did it Hamas made a statement like thank you but just to be clear france we want jerusalem as our capital we want Israel as our state.
Starting point is 00:32:47 When people you talk to that are some of them good intention, people just naive about the way of the world, and they want the world to work differently than it does, they impose their beliefs on Hamas, this idea of their freedom fighters. They don't say that.
Starting point is 00:33:05 Right. And that they are trying to improve the conditions of the Palestinian people, right? The whole open-air prisons and all that stuff. No, no, no. That's not what they say. That's not what they've done since 2007. I mean, there are billionaires in Qatar, millionaires in Gaza, 90% of the population barely could get food
Starting point is 00:33:22 before the war. If you knew everything you know today on October 7, 2023, what would your strategy have been and how would it have been different from the one that Israel undertook? Knowing everything
Starting point is 00:33:38 we know today. That's a really interesting question because you can't talk about it, just as Gaza because, you know, the northern battle against a much larger enemy that actually had an existential power it would have caused tens of thousands of Israeli lives. I couldn't
Starting point is 00:33:54 have predicted the war. As a strategist for achieving the goals in Gaza, I would have done it differently. There is an Israeli way of fighting because they don't have a military, a standing military. They have a reserve
Starting point is 00:34:10 rotational force. So they can say that they fought this war for two years and they have rotating people because they have to go back into the economy. They have to go back into their jobs. You would have one, I would have
Starting point is 00:34:27 asked, although I know they did, about Egypt would have been a part of my information operation strategy every day. The fact that they are the sole people that can get the people out of harm's way. And I would have deployed maximum amount of force and never left the Gaza
Starting point is 00:34:42 strip. But I also acknowledge that Israel, the hostages, have factored into the protraction of this war. Every time Israel has stopped, it was for a good reason, and I probably would make the same decision, but as a strategist, you don't take your foot off the neck of the enemy
Starting point is 00:34:59 because that's the relief he wants to try to achieve their goals. I would not have rotated the idea of forces out like they have. But they have also, I understand all of this in the context, of having to fight Hezbollah, having to fight Iran, having to deal with a lot of other situations, the Syria, the fall of Syria during all this time, is that this little nation
Starting point is 00:35:26 fighting all these wars by itself has done the unthinkable had I not known everything I've known since October 7th in defending itself and defeating all of these enemies to include Hamas's military in a very unique way. I actually teach the Israel way as a part of one of my courses about how do you attack urban areas and one of the ways is this Israeli way of in, attack the military out, in out, that is unique
Starting point is 00:35:55 that the U.S. military wouldn't do that way. We would go in and we would clear the enemy and then we'd hold his ground. It would lose its ground. It would lose what it values most. The hostas have factored into that but also the Israeli capabilities. How many soldiers can they mobilize
Starting point is 00:36:11 and keep mobilized two years relatively speaking and I had to have this with a very close friend of mine before a war a war of this goal is a relatively short amount of time and Israeli doesn't want to hear that this is the longest war they've ever fought since their existence by far by far yeah but from a long view of war with a goal of removing something from power it's a short amount of time in order to achieve that goal of removing Hamas from power you have the hoshes of course but just to remove that and do clear of militarized capability two years is actually a relatively short short amount of time is it short considering the small
Starting point is 00:36:54 size of Gaza would you still say it's short so the small size but the scale of the enemy and the radicalization of the people so this is the ideal again a fact is a radicalization of this the population of Gaza from birth right I don't know if you've seen the Palestinian Sesame Street the books in the school that factors in how do you achieve the goal of removing a political power you're right though if it was the U.S. military
Starting point is 00:37:21 and we were to approach the conditions of we wouldn't have the capability that Israel does in some sense but we would have the capability to keep 100,000 troops deployed into Gaza nonstop until the job was done
Starting point is 00:37:37 and it could be done faster yes but there's always context what what happens if um what happens if they don't surrender they just never you know like like the japanese might never have surrendered if not for the atom bomb what what will israel do i can't tell you what israel will do it's a democracy and that's been my concern for a long time now and i don't know if we've ever talked to that like you said society gets to make a decision on we're done right like we don't believe the cost of pursuing go is worth continuing this.
Starting point is 00:38:13 And there are people in Israel, and I'm sure you've listened to, that want it over. They're weary. And even this is from a strategic perspective, just to be sure, Hamas has never said, if you stop, I'll just give you all your hostages back. That deal has never been offered by Hamas. Even behind the, you know. It's always, you have to release. Correct.
Starting point is 00:38:38 Our prisoners. To do certain things. to stay out of Gaza. You have to guarantee. You have to send in this type of aid. I mean, during the last ceasefire, 42 days, which again gets to this false claim of famine and starvation as well, during the last ceasefire, I don't know if you look closely at what the requirements that Hamas made to release just was a 20, 30, 40 hostages. They required 25,000 trucks of aid. They required one million, all the people that were in humanitarian zones in southern Gaza to be pushed back into northern Gaza
Starting point is 00:39:11 so that part of their strategy to win the war was to force those civilians back into there and like you said, the release of hundreds of convicted some involved in October they took some of the October 7th there always comes the deal names off of it but convicted killers, rapists
Starting point is 00:39:28 you name it. They've never said, well if you, we'll just give you your hostages back. Not that I as a war strategist would say that that is a reason to end the war. You want to end the war so you have peace, right? You want to make So Hamas knows that they can never do this again or anybody like Hamas and that you want to remove this threat that tells you every day
Starting point is 00:39:49 that it wants to destroy you from your border. And this is the proximity that most analysts aren't even genuine about. Like I've stood in places like Farazza and you can see Gaza two football fields away. And you can see civilians during the last ceasefire where there weren't supposed to be right there. That threat is existential. This is what's so difficult for me to comprehend because what's happened to Hamas and to Gaza, I believe would be enough to demonstrate that you can never do this again to any previous war fighting entity in history. And there they don't seem to, there seems to be nothing that can convince them.
Starting point is 00:40:35 Maybe it's, I don't want to be bigoted about this. I, maybe it's because they believe everybody's a martyr. I hope I don't have like a shallow understanding of their mentality, but that certainly seems to be what they often say. And that if every death is fine with them, how do you ever demonstrate to them? They can never do it again. Go ahead. I wanted to answer your question, though, because it's historically from a war perspective.
Starting point is 00:40:58 Of course, war is an act of force to compel your enemy to do your will. In this case, it would be to release the hostage and surrender. it is not it wouldn't be accurate to say that wars aren't one if the other side doesn't acknowledge that they've been defeated although if you look at war one versus war two that was a big problem and you want the other side like the japanese unilateral surrender to acknowledge that they've been defeated i wouldn't say that's always happened in war iS didn't do that and many other really situations where the enemy you're fighting doesn't acknowledge they're defeated so then you get to power you can take somebody's power without them giving it to you.
Starting point is 00:41:35 So in a situation like this, in Gaza, you have to factor in the radicalization of the population. You could still achieve Israel's three goals without Hamas surrendering because you weaken its power so much so that something else can exist. And this is where I actually agree with some of the Arab nation plans and everybody if they would just get to like, well, how do we get Hamas out? Because they actually have plans for after, right, the multinational security force and all these things if you wanted the Palestinian Authority,
Starting point is 00:42:05 which is just a terrorist organization, but you would actually say, like, that's winning if Hamas is not in power. But you have to weaken its power, and only Israel can do that to the point that anything else could survive in its place. So you could right now progress forward like Israel is doing until Hamas has lost its sanctuaries, which is what it's had since October 7th. It's had a sanctuary in Gaza City in the central camps.
Starting point is 00:42:30 You've removed that. And then you remove its power to the point that anything else could survive. Because there are Hamas-free zones in southern Gaza right now. I'm not saying those are good guys, but there are clans, a Bedouin clan, that supposedly has nefarious backgrounds who are running Hamas-free zones in southern Gaza. You can still defeat Hamas without its surrendering. And then, so what is post-war look like then? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:42:55 Who runs Gaza? I mean asked that question of very high leadership as well. is like, well, there's nobody raising their hand, right? So this is the idea of like Egypt or Saudi Arabia, sending troops into Gaza to be a part of some peacekeeping force. Now there's European countries saying they might. I can say it's very likely that that won't happen until there is a certain level of security achieved by Israel.
Starting point is 00:43:23 Like nobody's coming to save Israel in this perspective, not that they're asking for anybody. They're asking for people to stop stopping them in the progression of a justly executed war trying to protect the civilians. And oh, by the way, if you would just get the civilians out of harm's way, this would go very quickly. Who secures it, though, is a great question. But as soon as one of those people die, right? So, like, if Egypt's not going to do it, but let's say an Arab nation force goes in there.
Starting point is 00:43:53 And Hamas still has power. And if it would attack and kill those, that would go away really quickly. and we'd be back at start at zero. It reminds me of, and then actually I can bring it back to where we started. It reminds me of these philosophy games about playing chicken where two people are driving towards each other and who's going to drive out of the, move out of the way first. And some famous philosopher said that, well, the best way to win chicken is to yank the steering wheel out of the column
Starting point is 00:44:22 and, you know, I guess, and the pedals too, so that the guy driving towards you, understands you have no way of stopping the car. And once he realizes you have no way of stopping the car or steering out of the way, he'll have to pull off the road. Hamas is doing a good impression of that driver that is not going to stop. They are playing chicken with Israel. And I think, actually, Haviv actually said this. And Israel's made the mistake of thinking that's what this aid debacle. Yeah. Which I don't know how you feel about it. But this was, Haviv put it this way, is that Israel thought it could play chicken with Hamas over power. Palestinian lives, how did that turn out? Because Hamas is driving that carstra and they do
Starting point is 00:45:02 nothing is going to stop them. And it's just a very pessimistic outlook, except I'm wondering if this recognition of the Palestinian state, if in some way, if there's a unintended consequence here potentially, whereas the European nations begin to put their fingerprints on the conflict in a more over way, that they're now somehow more responsible to what's going on there. And like, we recognized your state with Hamas in charge. Okay, England, okay, France. Hamas is still there. You just want to be a spectator now?
Starting point is 00:45:41 Or are you going, because obviously the one answer would be is if there would be some concerted effort of the world to impose their will rather than, you know, just mouthing off about it? yeah this is the marco rather than ostracizing israel go ahead the secretary rubio comment like none of this is helpful is actually the opposite of help this doesn't help achieve peace this hardens hamas's will because it thinks it's going to get and war is a contest of will and you're absolutely right to frame that and anytime there's been daylight between the world and israel especially the united states because it is such a force and a member of the union security council all that Hamas truly believes it can win.
Starting point is 00:46:26 If you took that away from Hamas and all these countries made that clear and then said, but we won a path towards a Palestinian state after this, that would be completely different. But by just saying, because Israel won't stop in achieving, trying to achieve the goal of the destruction of Hamas, we're going to designate a Palestinian state. And they create more will. And I agree with Marco Rubio. Call that out every time to include tangible examples. examples of like when there was a hostage deal that I don't agree you should be dealing with
Starting point is 00:46:57 them at all but I understand why and something like this happens Hamas walks away from the table where it changes his terms. Does Hamas think that the fall of Israel is imminent? What exactly are they hoping for at this point? They are hoping no they and Israel has actually shown its strength since October 7th where the Islamic regime in Iran who is the head of all of this has been weakened and its ring of fire turned on upside down. Now it has a ring of power around it. But Hamas thinks it can survive. It doesn't matter of the cost
Starting point is 00:47:33 and be able to say that they did October 7th and survived it as a political organization. And they will get, you call it street cred, but you can call it actual political power from being the terrorist organization that did October 7 and survived Israel's response to it. And they cross the terrorist world
Starting point is 00:47:54 will be viewed. They'll make statues out of these guys, just like they have statues in Judea and Samaria for terrorists. They'll make statues out from Yayaasin Mawar and Haniyah and all these guys as the great people who did October 7th and survived it and Hamas maintains power in Gaza. That's really one of their
Starting point is 00:48:11 prerequisites, it's just to keep power over the people and that gets you to the humanitarian aid and all these things that they use. But their their bar of victory from a war personal glory. It's just the bar analysts of winning versus losing, although that's a terrible
Starting point is 00:48:27 framework in war. Hamas wins that they survive. It was that their goal from the outset or their goal has now changed given the ferocity of Israel's response? The goal from the outside was the destruction of Israel. I firmly believe that. Based on their coordinations with Hezbollah, Iran, and others.
Starting point is 00:48:42 And what about Qatar? What about what about what just happened in Qatar, which seems to be something that nobody's really talking about that seemed to initially have been, like, a major move. Political theater. Political theater? I mean, a week ago, the United States did an airstrike to kill an ISIS leader in Syria.
Starting point is 00:49:04 Nobody said a word. No. I said a word. I'm proud of that. I'm killing terrorists. They have a goal of destruction of Israel, destruction of the United States, all of this. the theater was the the aghast that israel did it right when i think they're aghast is that katar it's a very large conversation has given the hamas leadership sanctuary of course for so long
Starting point is 00:49:30 and that they're billionaires living in luxury while they're people they don't care about they say this not me are living the way they're living even before october seven but especially after october seven i mean there's also the theater of all the propaganda with the hostages, right? They just released the pictures of all 48 hostages, and under each one, they put the name Ron Arad, who was, I believe, in Israeli Air Force
Starting point is 00:49:58 member who disappeared in 1988, never to be found. And they said that this is the fate of all the 48 hostages. Yeah. Well, I mean, I'm more pessimistic than I was coming in. I wish there was a a good outcome to be had because, first of all, I want a good outcome for the Palestinian
Starting point is 00:50:20 people. I want a good outcome for the Israelis. Number one, number two, because I'm emotionally attached to Israel, of course, I feel that only a good outcome can help Israel recover its place in the world. Memories are short when an outcome is good. Memories are short when there is a victory. I mean, our whole beating ourselves over the head about Iraq is. only because there's not a great outcome to show for it. It's not because of the war.
Starting point is 00:50:48 If Iraq was a bustling democracy now and a strong ally of the America, nobody would be saying boo about whether or not we found WMD, because the outcome would speak for itself. But bad outcomes, what's the expression?
Starting point is 00:51:08 Success has so many parents and failure as an orphan, right? So everybody would be happy. a success. Why are you more pessimistic now? Yeah. You mean you give you some positives about Israel? He did say that victory was possible, even if if Hamas doesn't surrender, right? Can be defeated?
Starting point is 00:51:29 I just don't, I'm pessimistic. But one last question. You've had a lot of fights with people about the ratio of combatants to fighters. Yeah. And you've been very, very, very, confident. And every time I hear you speak, I say, oh, God, I hope John is not out over his skis because my private fear is twofold. First of all, it's that, well, it's not two fault, but I have two thoughts. First of all, is that why would we think we'd have a good ratio comparatively to other wars when Hamas can, I think, always manage to put a tremendous number of civilians between itself and any target that Israel has to hit. So they control the ratio in a way which would imply that it would have to be a worse ratio than other conflicts where the enemy actually wanted its civilians to survive. That's number one. And number two, I always felt like even if you want to say that stuff,
Starting point is 00:52:39 we should still focus on the fact I think the ratio is better than any other war. to the extent that it's not, this is a result of Hamas's strategy, not Israel's failure to give due care to the task it's faced with. Because let's say you say the ratio is like 50-50, and you'll talk about that in a second. If it was 80-20, civilians and fighters, I'd say if 50-50 is realistic and it's actually 80-20,
Starting point is 00:53:10 that extra 30% is to be put at the blame of Hamas and only Hamas, not Israel, but that's the argument I'm more comfortable with. I'm sure you had an agreement from my John. Why are you so confident that this ratio is on the lower end while people like Matthew Cockerel are so confident that it's one of the worst ratios ever? I'm so confident because in God I trust all others bring data. And like you, I'll challenge people on the data in which they're using to make their position.
Starting point is 00:53:41 Of course, I've been studying this just urban. battles for over a decade. I've written books. I've written case studies. I know how hard it is to find the number when I'm writing a case study about a war that happened 10 years ago. I initially started, and this is where these jokers, I don't name names, I attack veracity of statements, tried to argue against me, although I was bringing the data, showing that in a battle, let's say like the battle of Massul, where the ratio was this. I can tell you as a a person who has studied talking about war, studying war before October 7, that nobody's ever been asked during a war, what's your civilian-to-combatant ratio?
Starting point is 00:54:25 So that's one of the reasons I was so confident is because, one, I had done all these case studies, and like, here you go, here's the numbers of recent history. But I also knew that this is all a false argument because it's not how war works, right? It's just not how war works. And I, but I, if I wanted to, they want to play their statistical warfare, right, and say that the number that I'm generating means this. No, one, your number is highly, um, controversial and unlikely. And I've never studied a battle or war in history where you could have a number in real time with accuracy, just objective accuracy. But you have, you have, you have nefarious intentions that I, I know from your other statements.
Starting point is 00:55:12 Let me give you an example. an apple to an orange right I'm somewhat consider myself an academic and I know that if you compare an apple to an orange it's not a good argument to make so if in the beginning
Starting point is 00:55:24 when people were saying that the number was like 10,000 it was so bad I compared the opening moments of October 7th to battles in recent history and said this is what we know years later was the ratio
Starting point is 00:55:40 of civilians versus combatants but and i would caveat that with i'm but this is not how war works these numbers lies damn lies and statistics isn't how it works and the example i gave is that you're comparing a battle in gaza the numbers whatever number you got how are you got it from whoever you got the number from from hamas to a war like well that's a battle that's a war you know 20 million civilians or 20 million soldiers die in war too 50 million civilians. 200,000 civilians die in the Iraq war.
Starting point is 00:56:15 Nobody knows how many combatants really died. All these battles in which there is no number, but of the available numbers, and if we want to play this game, yes, the number ratio in Gaza, despite the context, like you said, of Hamas trying to get civilians killed, this is where I don't believe that person's numbers,
Starting point is 00:56:36 but I believe this person's numbers. And at the time I wrote the article that they love to use, this is what Israel is saying how many combatants they had killed this is what Hamas is saying how many civilians everybody that they list although the list is terrible say and then the ratio was x y and z right one to one one to two it's not how war works at all so I'm very confident in the numbers but I'm also very aware of how the other person is generating their number like the guy you mentioned uses this other guy named spaggots numbers right who wrote an article so i made this statement it's not a mistake because it's a fact that the united nations because i was arguing in the united nations for years in urban warfare was saying that 90% of the casualties of modern wars that happen in urban areas are civilians so that's the one the nine this guy spaggett wrote a whole article how that's a false number my number like i didn't say it was my number i know it's a false number i'm saying
Starting point is 00:57:39 And here's the 10 times since 2020 that the United Nations Secondary General, the Red Cross, a civic, have used 90% of the casualties of wars that happen in urban areas are civilians. I didn't say I use it. I know it's, I know where it comes from from like an air war study with a gerrymander information. And now Spaget, same guy, is doing that in Gaza saying, well, we called everybody in this area and asked that they lost any family members. and 100% of the people we're saying because those people we asked said that they weren't involved in Hamas and we take that and then we extrapolated
Starting point is 00:58:20 across the Gaza Strip and that's where we come up with our higher numbers than that Hamas is like that's not how this works that's not how the number works the ratio is not like you said even if the number wasn't low historically although it is and then you have the aggregating factor
Starting point is 00:58:38 right so they aggregate any number they can find in gaza and then disaggregate a number from another event in history to compare it against so the the civilian to combatant ratio in the battle of rafa is so low that nobody will ever use it because israel killed so few civilians that is probably like a hundred to one civilian right right but they don't want to use that they want to take northern in Gaza in November of 2023 when there were 40,000 Hamas launching 4,000 rockets and Israel, and then there's a number
Starting point is 00:59:10 being produced. But how, it's all disingenuous gnome that the numbers, if you want to use the numbers, I'll use the numbers against people. I know this is not how any of the law of war works. There's no number that says, okay, you hit 50,000 is genocide.
Starting point is 00:59:26 There's no number that said, look, your ratio is disproportionate so you've got to stop. It's not illegal. It's not how this works. I mean, in the Korean War, and you might have heard me say this, the Korean War went for 37 months. Most people, like you said at the beginning, viewed as a just war for the South Korean people. Two million civilians die, researchers say, after years after the war, two million civilians died in that war.
Starting point is 00:59:53 It's a 37-month war. That's 54,000 civilians dying a month every month of the war. If we did the numbers that way, but it's not how it works. works. Who killed the civilians? How did they die? So I can say factually that, yes, Israel has a low civilian to combatant ratio in these battles of the war compared to these battles in previous modern history. But what I can say with even stronger conviction is that there's not one bit of evidence saying that Israel has targeted civilians in the war. Yes, yes. Well, I mean, on a macro level, I'm sure there's some sick soldier who's done something horrible.
Starting point is 01:00:32 Right. And not just one or two, probably, but whatever. I mean, that's the human condition. But even the Biden administration, who wasn't a fan many times, where they put out the correct number of civilian casualties in Gaza is zero, which is, that's wrong. Yeah. I mean, so listen, I've said on the show before,
Starting point is 01:00:54 but it's really important, I think, for people listening to think about it. Operation Pied Piper, which was right when England knew that the Germans were coming, when the Blitz was coming, they evacuated, I think, a million and a half people out of London and the environs in a week or 10 days or something like that. They got all their children and women out of harm's way because they knew a war was coming. When Hamas knew the war was coming, they urged everybody to stay in place. And from that, everything else became predictable. And to this day, and this also obviously has a tremendous bearing on this whole genocide argument, to this day, all Hamas would have to do is properly evacuate its non-combatants to an area of Gaza, put a red ribbon around them and say, these are our civilians, now we're going to fight you over here, and that would be the end of the civilian. deaths and that would be, but of course, that would be the end of Hamas, which is why
Starting point is 01:02:03 they won't do it. And the world simply is impotent. The world does not call on Hamas to shielded civilians. The world does not. Call on Hamas to let them use the tunnels. It just blames Israel for the
Starting point is 01:02:18 outcome of Hamas's strategy. They won't even name them. The United Nations make statements they won't even name Hamas. And you're right, they won't criticize Hamas. Hamas hasn't just not evacuated. It is putting out written guidance and published it that if a civilian evacuates, he'll face severe consequences to include death. All two million civilians in Gaza could fit in Hamasas' 300 miles of tunnels with ease. And back to what we said earlier, not one is, but the world, you've never heard a world leader say that.
Starting point is 01:02:48 Why? Why do you think that's the case? Is it just because it's Israel and people hate Jews? I'd be remiss not to ask you that question I believe by a series of deduction and studying many wars to include wars I'm studying right now in other parts of the world that there is no other answer but anti-Semitism
Starting point is 01:03:11 thank you because using Natanzaronsky's double standard I can validate I've written articles with at least 10 double standards applied only to Israel in a war like this or in a war in general the de-legitimizing Israel's right to defend itself. And then the demonization of Israeli leaders, IDF soldiers, everybody,
Starting point is 01:03:37 that's the definition of at the heart of that, whatever position you have, is anti-Semitism. And I have done that, and I didn't start there on October 7th. On October 7th, having studied, Israel was like, okay, Israel has to fight a different way. And then as the statements keep coming out and it keep coming out, and the position is like, you can't, you can do it, not that way. And if you're trying to do it that way, you have evil intention. It's like, no, he publicly said his fight is not with the people. It's with Hamas. The three Ds, it's
Starting point is 01:04:04 anti-Semitism. Well, I mean, I don't know. I don't know if I agree. Certainly the kind of rampant disposition of so much of the world towards having negative feelings about the Jews is the is the petri dish that this all grows in. But We're also seeing something like yet another moral panic that we saw during Me Too, that we saw during BLM, where there's tremendous social pressure to have a particular view of this and a tremendous lack of people being informed about it, tremendous lack of, tremendous susceptibility to half-baked information, misinformation, disinformation. that I would not want to accuse everybody who feels a certain way about this war of feeling that way because they don't like Jews. I don't think that's the essence of truth right now. But without anti-Semitism, this bacteria may probably would have never grown as it did.
Starting point is 01:05:16 But it's taken on a life of its own. They don't care about any other war in the entire world. Did you see what just happened with Greta and her flannel? lotilla today that they people were saying well we want no part of this because there's a gay guy on the boat and we do not believe that that's okay and but it's become a virtue signaling it's become yeah moral panic has become trendy because people like to hate the jews well that could have been what set it off so we're also talking about the holy land we're talking about an area that people are very much interested in look how people know nothing perio look how a concept like believe all
Starting point is 01:05:53 women, which was absurd on its face. No, that's not absurd. No, I'm just kidding. That's fine. You had people mouthing this all over the country and people like me, afraid to even be caught on my podcast saying what I'm saying. Now, that's ridiculous. Many of us
Starting point is 01:06:09 thought it was ridiculous. It was a social, moral panic, a social panic, tremendous pressure. People were saying things they didn't believe. Malcolm Gladwell comes on a few weeks ago and says, I have to admit, I was cowed when I said that trans women ought to be able to compete
Starting point is 01:06:25 against cis women in sports. I uttered a lot of howlers. He never made it clear whether he actually had come to actually believe what he was saying or not. I think he did believe what he was saying. Point is I don't think Malcolm Gladwell was coming from any place of bigotry
Starting point is 01:06:41 one way or another. Human psychology is so deep. It's so interesting. We're so weak where we blow like feathers. Look what's happening on the right now with all these conspiracy theories. Tucker now Megan Kelly is, you know, giving safe harbor to Candice Owens, who talks about Israel assassinating Charlie Kirk. I would never would have thought I lived to see the day.
Starting point is 01:07:04 Do you think Trump's defense of Israel is based on where he thinks the electorate is? Listen, or his own conviction? I'm going to say about Donald Trump, and this is probably going to be the most offensive thing anybody's ever heard me say. Donald Trump is doing terrible things in many ways with, you First Amendment and all tariffs, you name it. I just want to say as a Jewish person, he is a singular figure right now in modern Jewish history. He is the little Dutch boy with his finger in the dike on the left and the fingers dike on the right. And he is holding back the deluge from both directions.
Starting point is 01:07:44 This guy is the best friend that the Jewish people have ever had in my lifetime. He does not give a shit what anybody says. knows that Mag is turning against it. He knows that the Levin is turning about it. He has not budged. He took out Iran. Whatever else you want to say about him, if this
Starting point is 01:08:04 issue is important to you, then you have to give this guy another look because there is no other politician in either party anywhere who I don't think you could expect 50% of the support
Starting point is 01:08:21 for Jewish issues that you're getting from Donald Trump. Not a single Democrat, and I hate to say it, maybe not a single Republican, maybe Marco Rubio, maybe Marco Rubio, if he has the, but he's still a politician, and already we see Andrew Cuomo backtracking. I don't know if, who has been a pretty good friend of the Jews. I didn't even know if Marker Rubio, if he were a politician under the pressure that Donald Trump is under, if he wouldn't start double talking, whatever it is. In this case, Donald... Where is this coming from it? You think just his personal conviction is that strong? Yes. You know, I will say about myself, I always thought Donald Trump that this whole thing. Donald Trump has no convictions. I always thought that was bullshit. I've been saying that for almost 10 years already. He says a lot of stuff he doesn't really care about. But the things he does care about, he's been more consistent about, including the things we disagree with them, like tariffs and trade deficits. These are the things he's been saying 10, 15, 20 years. He does believe them when we had people like, I don't want to say the names who were saying, I think he's
Starting point is 01:09:21 transactional, he's going to throw Israel under the buses. I remember I saying? I say, I don't think he will. I think he's, he is a friend to the Israelis. Richie Torres. Yeah, Richie Torres, well, we'll see. But Donald Trump, listen, if I had to ask you a question, which president has spent less time looking at polls than any president in the last
Starting point is 01:09:43 hundred years? What do you think it would be? Do you imagine Donald Trump looking at the polls on issues? No. Again, it's his flaw. quite often. But in this particular issue, I thank God for Donald Trump. That's all. I can't even imagine what this would all look like without him. That's how I feel about it. Prove me wrongs. Podcastaccommonistaw.com. John's like, you disagree with that take about Donald Trump? Oh, I do war. I don't do politics. Okay. I agree with you. I just released up on my own
Starting point is 01:10:15 podcast, an interview with the Mossad chief about the Israel raid into Tehran to get the nuclear archive that was proof that Israel was developing a bomb. And yes, the United States has been facilitating the development. And President Trump said, not on my watch, tried everything politically feasible possible, and it made a decision that I don't know if anybody else that would have made that decision. Barack Obama, you know, 15 years ago was quaking in his boots at the very thought of even threatening that Iran that we might drop a bomb on them, right? When Iran was much less of a threat than they were now. Now looking back on it, I wonder if he said to himself,
Starting point is 01:10:56 why didn't I just do that? It was nothing. They collapsed in two seconds. No, risky, giant risk. So you've got to give, like you said, give the person credit for the amount of risk taken not just politically, but even geopolitically. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:11:09 I'm okay with Trump on this issue. I do not like him on 20 other things. But this is, you know, and I don't know if I've said this to you before, I've said it on the show. Jews are always accused of, you know, dual loyalty, as if no other ethnic group is concerned, like as if Serbs don't care what happens in Serbia, right? But, and of course, I do care what happens in Israel. But this is different right now because for the first time,
Starting point is 01:11:38 Jewish parents of American citizens, of American Jewish citizens, understand that their children's lives as Jews in America is affected in a very real way by what's happening in this war in Israel. And for the first time, my concern in this war is not just about, I hope Israel is okay. It's very much about, and I think about all the time, how my children are going to experience being a Jewish citizen in America. Already, they sense, we're Jews, we're, you know, our dads is Israeli, and we're kind of maybe, you know, a lot of people think that's a bad thing.
Starting point is 01:12:19 some of the parents might make me uncomfortable about that. They read it loud and clear. So in this sense, I'm happy for my president, Donald Trump, who was looking after me as an American, not after Israel, me as an American so I can live my life as a Jewish person with my children in a particular way, the United States of America. That's how I feel about it. Okay.
Starting point is 01:12:43 Anyway, John Spencer, I'm very proud to know you. Very, very proud that with your busy schedule, you fit time in to come and do our podcast. Our friends are downstairs in the olive trees. You want to come down now and kick back. Podcasts atcombeyshal.com, the Urban Warfare Institute. John Spencer, thank you very much, sir.

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