The Daily Signal - Victor Davis Hanson: How Trump Forced China’s Hand

Episode Date: November 3, 2025

President Donald Trump just forced China into its most vulnerable position in decades. Trump wrapped up a weeklong trip to Asia and, after years of tension and economic warfare, negotiated a sweep...ing deal with Beijing. Victor Davis Hanson breaks down the specifics of the deal—including China’s promise to stop the flow of fentanyl to Mexico—how this breakthrough happened, and what this means for the future of U.S.-China relations on today’s episode of “Victor Davis Hanson: In a Few Words.” “ [China] sized up the domestic renaissance here at home—low inflation, basically 3% or below, 3%, probably, at the end of the year of GDP, stock market record levels, vast new investments—and they said: You know what? The United States is back. And the foreign—the atmosphere is very different. “Neutrals will probably join them. And their friends are emboldened. So, they've got new alliances. NATO is stronger than it's ever been. So, you add all of that up and the Chinese said to themselves the following: I think it's time to cut a deal. Not that we're gonna give up on trying to erode and subvert the United States.” (0:00) Trump and Xi's Deal (0:46) Why Now? (3:24) The Left's Weakness (6:39) U.S. Domestic Renaissance (8:50) China's Calculated Pause (9:54) The Future of US-China Relations 👉Don’t miss out on Victor’s latest short videos by subscribing to The Daily Signal today. You’ll be notified every time a new piece of content drops: ⁠https://www.youtube.com/dailysignal?sub_confirmation=1⁠  👉Want more VDH? Watch Victor’s weekly, hour-long podcast, “Victor Davis Hanson: In His Own Words,” now! Subscribe to his YouTube channel, and enabling notification:  ⁠https://www.youtube.com/@victordavishanson7273?sub_confirmation=1⁠  👉More exclusive content are available on Victor’s website: ⁠https://victorhanson.com⁠   👉The Daily Signal cannot continue to tell stories, like this one, without the support of our viewers: ⁠https://secured.dailysignal.com/⁠  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 At Desjardin, we speak business. We speak equipment modernization. We're fluent in data digitization and expansion into foreign markets. And we can talk all day about streamlining manufacturing processes. Because at Desjardin business, we speak the same language you do. Business. So join the more than 400,000 Canadian entrepreneurs who already count on us. And contact Desjardin today.
Starting point is 00:00:25 We'd love to talk. Business. Donald Trump and Xi, Jing Ping, the leader of China, have had a trade deal, a diplomatic deal, a very multifaceted deal. The left is already criticizing Trump by saying that he came down on tariffs.
Starting point is 00:00:44 I think that's nonsense. China will probably have the highest tariffs still leveled on it somewhere between 37 and 47%. The biggest deal was that they promised to stop sending raw fentanyl to Mexico and laundering Mexican money from the cartels. That's very important if we can get that death told down. It would be a stunning achievement.
Starting point is 00:01:06 In some ways, Donald Trump, if he could stop the 70,000 deaths per year, 600,000 since China started this, he would save more lives than anybody in American history. So the question is, why is China now starting to deal? Hello, this is Victor Davis-Hanson for the Daily Searle. signal. There's been a big news story coming out that Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, the leader of China, have had a trade deal, a diplomatic deal, a very multifaceted deal. The left is already criticizing Trump by saying that he came down on tariffs or he didn't get as many soybean sales. I think that's
Starting point is 00:02:00 nonsense. China will probably have the highest tariff still leveled on it somewhere between 37 and 47% that it's ever had with the United States. More importantly, they are going to lift their restrictions on rare earth, mineral sales. We needed that, but that's going to be irrelevant in five or six years because whether we're opening domestic mines here in the West or whether Australia is opening them, the West is going to make that irrelevant very quickly. We just need a short-term pause. The biggest deal was that they promised to stop sending raw fentanyl to Mexico and laundering Mexican money from the cartels.
Starting point is 00:02:50 That's very important if we can enforce it, because there have been more people killed since we started counting fentanyl. deaths in the United States, some 600,000, and all of our foreign wars combined, almost as many people were killed in the civil, from fentanyl that were killed in the civil war. And that was directly, China was directly responsible for that. And if they can stop sending these cartels fentanyl, which they then manufacture into pills or other drugs that look like prescription drugs, or they hide the, lethality of the fentanyl product, and we can get that death toll down. It would be a stunning
Starting point is 00:03:36 achievement. In some ways, Donald Trump, if he could stop the 70,000 deaths per year, 600,000 since China started this, he would save more lives than anybody in American history. So the question is, why is China now starting to deal? I think their paradigm, which they had before, that a weak president, like Barack Obama or Joe Biden on the one hand or a naive Republican president or candidate like Romney McCain and maybe the Bush's the latter felt that if you open China up you had joint partnerships, you didn't worry about trade imbalances
Starting point is 00:04:20 or Chinese mercantilism, everybody would get affluent and they would become democratize, and China would be a liberal. That's not going to happen. They used that money affluence to build up their military, to oppress dissent, and to tighten down on their war against us and the Western general. The left, of course, a projected weakness. They didn't want to negotiate with Biden after, I mean, why negotiate with him when you can take him to the cleaners?
Starting point is 00:04:52 They knew that if Donald Trump had been present, He would have shot that balloon that trebors the length of the United States on day one. He knows that if Marco Rubio had gone to Alaska and was dressed down by the Chinese, he would have screamed back at them and walked out, not like the Biden diplomatic team that took a beating in Anchorage, Alaska, the second month of their tenure in 2021. So the left had projected weakness after the Ukraine war, the Middle East War, the Kabul-schedaddle, etc.
Starting point is 00:05:30 And so then the Chinese said to themselves, is our paradigm working? We talk about green energy, Paris Peace Accord, and these stupid Westerners, they invest in the subsidized, inefficient, expensive, wind and solar way we build coal and oil and nuclear plants. This is a great thing. And all of a sudden they think,
Starting point is 00:05:53 this crazy, unpredictable, dangerous, volatile Trump is stopping that, and now he's going to make efficient energy the way we do. And then they thought, well, it's good to have open borders. We'll send some of our citizens across you. You in the United States are becoming like a drug-ridden, borderless, illegal migration, vast numbers of illegal aliens, socialist economy like Europe. And we can handle Europe easily. And now all of a sudden the border is closed. We're deporting illegal aliens. We're going after the cartels. And China says, wow, this is unnerving.
Starting point is 00:06:33 And then more importantly, we're getting rid of DEI. China love DEI. They use their propaganda to promote that at any call. They saw that as the same as their own ideological era when Mao used DEI, ideology instead of meritocracy, and ruined the economy. And they said to themselves, we don't want to do that. though they're ideological themselves, they felt they have less ideological constraints than they did under Mao, and they wished that we had more even of these race, gender, sexual orientation, DEI, and now they see it going.
Starting point is 00:07:09 So when they look at the United States and they say, wow, they're meeting their military recruitment, they're producing the greatest amount of nuclear coal, oil, and natural gas energy in the history, history of the world, their military has all of these sophisticated technologies. Silicon Valley is no longer hate Trump left wing. They've got people like David Sachs or even Mark Zuckerberg and Jeff Bezos. They're all now on the team and they're all free to innovate and invest. And now he's got $15 trillion, supposedly a foreign investment coming in the United States. We can't bully Japan, South Korea, Australia, the Philippines, Taiwan anymore because we don't know what Trump will do. And now they think Trump will protect them
Starting point is 00:08:02 and they're re-arming at a fanatical rate, Japan especially. How did this happen? When we look over to our clients, we lost our foothold in Iran. Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah, they may come back, but they're neutered. And Russia, we're giving stuff to Russia, but Russia is. is tied down. They've lost their toehold in the Middle East. The Assad kleptocracy is gone. And they've lost a million people. We've been on the wrong side. And now maybe Putin might be in political trouble. Now we buy oil, the Chinese say, as does India, but now there might be a secondary boycott. So what I'm getting at is they sized up the domestic renaissance here at home, Low inflation, basically three or below percent, three percent probably at the end of the year of GDP,
Starting point is 00:08:56 stock market record levels, vast new investments. And they said, you know what, the United States is back. And the foreign, the atmosphere is very different. Neutrals will probably join them, and their friends are emboldened. So they've got new alliances. NATO is stronger than it's ever been. So you add all of that up, and the Chinese said to themselves, falling. I think it's time to cut a deal. Not that we're going to give up on trying to
Starting point is 00:09:25 erode and subvert the United States. That's our long-term goal is to make its foreign presence analogous to the British Empire around 1955, just to shatter it with our Belt and Road and all these other initiatives from the Panama Canal to the Spratley Islands, from Diane Feinstein's chauffeur to Eric Swalwell's intern. We're going to try to subvert it. But For right now, the next three years, we're going to pause and try to cut a deal because we're losing with this guy. In seven years, in three years, seven years, 11 years, maybe we'll get another Biden or Obama. Or maybe we'll get somebody in the right who believes that they can send all of the corporations and all of their technology and invest in China. But for right now, it's wiser to cut a deal.
Starting point is 00:10:20 And Trump is basically saying to China, then we're back, and you're not going to win. Not yet. Not yet. Thank you very much. This is Victor Davis Hansen for The Daily Signal. Thank you for tuning in to the Daily Signal. Please like, share, and subscribe to be notified for more content like this. You can also check out my own website at victorhansan.com and subscribe for exclusive.
Starting point is 00:10:49 features in addition.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.