The Daily Signal - Victor Davis Hanson: NATO Has Become a One-Way Street

Episode Date: October 16, 2026

Tensions between the United States and its European NATO allies are raising questions about the future of the alliance. From restrictions on U.S. military operations against Iran to unequal defense spending and security commitments, the growing divide highlights the challenges of maintaining a shared defense partnership. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸The Counterrevolution: The Fall and Rise of Donald Trump and the MAGA MovementThe Daily Signal, the proud producers of “Victor Davis Hanson: In a Few Words,” has a special limited time offer:    With a monthly donation $14, you’ll become BOTH a Signal Elite Supporter AND receive a copy of “The Counterrevolution: The Fall and Rise of Donald Trump and the MAGA Movement”Click here to order: https://secured.dailysignal.com/support-daily-signal-today/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=youtube&ut… Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Welcome to the Daily Signal podcast, where we provide intelligence for the intelligent. Now, without further ado, here's today's take. Uh, hold music. Not exactly what you want to hear when a pipe just burst in your basement is flooding. And your vinyl collection is getting soaked. And your cat just floated by on a sofa cushion? That's why intact insurance answers 2 million claim calls per year within 20 seconds. It's their way of going the extra mile to help.

So instead of hearing this lovely, track over and over and over. You'll hear this in seconds. Hello, intact insurance. Now that's music to your ears. The threats that face Europe are not going to threaten the United States. And the threats that face the United States, we don't count on NATO partners volunteering to go to Taiwan or to protect us from a Chinese missile. The Europeans are making that harder and harder to sell to the American people because it's a one-way street. When we need you to protect Europe, you better be there.

When you need us just to let us use your airspace, you can't even do that. Hello, this is Victor Davis-Hansson for the Daily Signal. Our on-and-off relationship with our European allies and friends is in another low spot. There's a lot of developments that have been going on that I don't think they quite, appreciate, have created a loss of confidence in the United States about the reliability of our NATO allies. And this transcends the earlier existential problem that all of our NATO allies, 32, had over 20 years promised, but reified that and ratified it the last 15 years. They would spend 2% of GDP on defense. And as you remember in 2016,

after the election, and Donald Trump remarked as he was going to enter office in 2017 that all but six of them had not met their requirements. And after all this bullying, all this acrimony, now almost all of them, I think with one exception, have made the 2%. But now we're into another series of crises. The former head of German intelligence was just found out in his retirement. I think he's 80, that he was a traitor, and that he had been selling or trafficking in secrets that involved German and NATO security to existential enemies like China and maybe Russia.

And then we had a, that creates a lack of confidence in the security that we have with the Germans. And Britain, remember, we have a dual-use base, an RAF and a U.S. Air Force base in the United Kingdom, and the idea, of course, is forward deployment. So if we would get into a crisis with China, with Russia, over Ukraine, almost anywhere in the world, we would have maybe 11 of our $320 million B-1 bombers that have capability to carry nuclear weapons and huge payloads, but they would be based and safe in this airport, air base,

that was patrolled by our allies, the British. Now we learn that some terrorists had a dry run where they got very close to this base and were in the process of filming it and doing reconnaissance work. And we learned two things from the British government, Prime Minister Burnham. Number one, they were trained by or in the service to Iran,

the greatest terrorist threat in the world. And number two, they were let out on bail. How can you say that the most dangerous terrorists that we've seen in the UK, there are actually scouting out ways to destroy an American bomber fleet is from Iran, or at least influenced by Iran, or hired by Iran, but then let them out on bail. And then we get to the recent argument from our allies that they want nothing to do with the Iran war. They understand that the Strait of Ramos and Iran's oil and the oil of the Gulf are critical to their oil needs. And they understand that the wealth of the Gulf states is essential for them to export commodities.

And they understand the principle that Iran is a dangerous country. And for 50 years, they have said in a course with us that it should not and will not be nuclear, although neither they nor the American presidents, seven of them have done anything about it. So we go and try to stop that threat. France then immediately says that this was not an approved UN war, and they cannot use French airspace to use American assets, not NATO assets, American assets, over their airspace. The UK says you cannot use the Diego Garcia base,

which is critical in the Indian Ocean, for operations in the Middle East, long-distance operation. Italy says you cannot use your dual-use space with us in Sicily to land aircraft to go after Iran. Spain says you're not going to use our base. You're not going to even get near our airspace. Switzerland and Austria are neutral, but they're pro-U.S. And if their push came to show, they wouldn't be able to avoid a European continental war. And they would seek protection from whom?

Probably us. They said nobody gets near our airspace. None of these European countries said, we will help the U.S. Navy patrol the strait of our moves to ensure that it's open and global commerce is uninterrupted. Okay. And of course, we have our Canadian friends who said, last year we may or may not have met her 2%,

but for the last 15 years we won't spend 2%. But, of course, we expect to be under the nuclear umbrella as we have been of the United States, and we expect if there was ever an existential threat to the North American continent, you would not distinguish Canadian from American interest, even though we're not armed or not capable with 79, 45-year-old jets, given your 4,000 or 5,000.

So I could go on, but you get the impression that it's, again, a reminder that it's a one-way street. Remember the argument that our European friends are using to us. They are saying, you're a NATO power and you're pledged to protect the North American space. Of course, we've never, only once after 9-11, and that was sort of symbolic.

Some NATO planes helped us after 9-11 to make sure there were not terrorists in our skies. But generally, the threats that face Europe are not going to threaten the United States and the threats that face the United States, we don't count on NATO partners volunteering to go to Taiwan or to protect us from a Chinese missile. So it's a one-way street.

And so we have made the argument that in the Mediterranean and the Middle East, which are the backyards of Europe, it's essential that Iran not get a nuclear weapon for their protection and ours, and we are willing to handle that problem. We're not asking NATO. We're not asking individual countries to bomb Iran or to send weapons. None of that. All we ask is can we use our NATO assets, the use of our bases and your airspace to cut the travel time, the distance from our bases to Iran. And we don't have to go all the way from the United States. And they said, no, you cannot do that. And so we are saying, well, Ukraine is threatened by Russia, but Russia's army does not threaten us. There's no way in the world the Russian army is ever going to run the United States.

It is going to overrun Ukraine, maybe, maybe the Baltic states, maybe some of the Scandinavian states, maybe the European states, but it's not going to ever endanger us. We have a strategic problem with Russia, and we handle that on our own. with our nuclear deterrent, submarines, land base, and bombers. So let's get this straight Europe. You are saying to us that when we have a shared threat, and it's in your neighborhood and it's of interest to us, that you will not help, but you're going to go beyond that, but you will not even lend your airspace to help us.

And at the same time, you're saying as the NATO big guy in the alliance, that you expect us to guarantee your safety and to arm the Ukrainians to the teeth and to deter the Russians from invading further and closer into Europe, even though we know, according to your logic, they're not threatening us at all. Now, the truth of the matter is, if Ukraine is overrun and Russia goes into the Baltic states or Europe, we will probably come, as is our obligations under NATO. But the Europeans are making that harder and harder to sell to the American people because it's a one-way street.

When we need you to protect Europe, you better be there. When you need us not to protect us from a nuclear weapon from Iran, not to join us in battle, just to let us use your airspace, you can't even do that. And we had to be on coup and crude and scream and yell to make you protect yourself with a meager 2% investment of GDP and defense. I know you're going to say to us, we have open borders. with immigrants. We made bad decisions about our green energy. We ward on fossil fuels. We have certain culture that results in a 1.3 continental-wide fertility rate that's unsustainable. We have immigrant populations that do not want to assimilate, and we have a socialist paradigm that's

not sustainable, so we can't help you. You can't help. At least you could say this is not working. This is not working and we want to make reforms in our economy or energy or immigration so we can free up capital to fulfill our partnership and we want it 50-50. When you need us, we're there. And when we need you, you're there. And if it doesn't happen that way, then the NATO paradigm is not sustainable. It will not work for the Europeans to deny us just the use of the airspace to deal with a common threat and then expect us to risk our key cities in any potential nuclear standoff with Russia. Because that's what would happen to protect the integrity of Europe. If we couldn't do it with traditional forces, it would ultimately be a standoff to use American

deterrence to protect Europe. And that would entail our danger to protect your continent. And so, yes, we can be crude. Yes, we can yell and scream. But ultimately, Ultimately, this remains an asymmetrical and thus on sustainable relationship. Thank you very much. This is Victor Davis-Hansson for The Daily Signal. Thank you for tuning in to The Daily Signal. Please like, share, and subscribe to be notified for more content like this. You can also check out my own website at victorhansen.com

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