The Dan Bongino Show - Ep. 586 What Really Happened Yesterday
Episode Date: November 8, 2017In this episode - Why did Virginia Republicans run a Bush campaign in the Trump era? https://pjmedia.com/jchristianadams/gillespies-virginia-loss-messages-2004-tactics-1996/amp/  Here’s a brief ex...planation of why Socialism will always fail. http://dailysignal.com/2017/11/08/free-market-beats-government-planning-every-time/  Did the Democrats, and the Russians, set up the Trump team? https://legalinsurrection.com/2017/11/russian-lawyer-meeting-with-fusion-gps-beforeafter-don-jr-mtg-probably-just-coincidence/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+LegalInsurrection+%28Le%C2%B7gal+In%C2%B7sur%C2%B7rec%C2%B7tion%29  Churches are uniquely vulnerable to attack. Please check out this short piece on the topic. https://www.crtv.com/video/churchgoers-are-soft-targets-for-any-evil-doer-with-a-gun-we-have-to-change-that--capitol-hill-brief   Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
get ready to hear the truth about america on a show that's not immune to the facts with your
host dan bongino all right welcome to the dan bongino show producer joe how are you today i
am all set ready to go dan all right do not panic folks do not panic get off the ledge if you are on
the ledge now on your iphone listening to podcast, God forbid, slowly step back.
A wind gust may accidentally blow you off.
Relax.
Everybody take it easy.
It was a bad night.
No question.
For those of you saying, what the heck is Dan talking about?
Last night was election night in the off-off cycle elections.
As I said a couple of days off-off-cycle elections.
As I said a couple days ago,
off-cycle elections are generally referred to as midterms.
These are like off-off-cycle elections in odd years,
which Virginia, New Jersey, and a couple places in Maryland,
a couple local elections,
sometimes you have these off-off-cycle elections.
They're very odd elections that can have very odd results.
But listen, the Democrats won big last night, and we shouldn't put lipstick on that pig.
But what we're going to talk about today, what we do on this show, what I'm always very proud of, is we're going to talk about things like facts and the data and what actually happened.
So hopefully we can learn some lessons from it, Joe, and not whine and gripe and moan.
and not whine and gripe and moan.
And I think the Democrats,
you know, as they often do,
are going to take all the wrong lessons from their victories last night.
Now, let me give you a summation
of what happened last night
and what I think is important
and what I think is, frankly,
in large cases, irrelevant.
There's a lot of chatter
about the Virginia governor's race.
That's not a surprise to me. So's what happened yes it was ugly for republicans
democrats won the virginia governor's race lieutenant governor's race the attorney general
spot the new jersey governor's race this is not an exhaustive list by the way but the things i
think matter uh one control of the state of was State Senate. They won at least 14 seats in the House of Delegates in Virginia.
This one, put an asterisk in your head on this one,
because I'm going to talk about this.
They won two red districts in the Georgia State House.
That's a big deal.
I think that's a bigger deal than any of this.
The Manchester mayor spot,
they won the first Dems since 2003.
And a referendum in Maine on Medicaid, the Medicaid expansion passed,
which is definitely a bad night for Republicans all around, no question about it.
Now, that Georgia, two red districts going to Georgia, the state of Georgia.
I didn't say that wrong.
Two historically very red districts went to the Democrats last night.
That, to me, is a really bad sign.
Now, what happened?
First, let's do kind of like some good,
bad, indifferent, and ugly, okay?
Don't panic.
Here's number one reason.
Here's the first reason not to panic.
Trump is the fifth president now
in his first election afterwards,
significant election afterwards,
to lose the governorship in Virginia and New Jersey.
So to be clear, Trump is a Republican.
This is obviously the first election in those races
since Trump's been elected in his first term, right?
Trump, our Trump's party, the Republicans, we lost last night.
Northam won in Virginia and Murphy won in New Jersey.
Joe, this is the fifth time in a row this has happened.
Okay, you think I'm making this up?
2009, Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie, who was in office in 2009 for his first term,
first election, off-off cycle election?
Barack Obama.
What was Bob McDonnell?
A Republican.
What was Chris Christie?
A Republican.
2001, Mark Warner and Jim McGreevy won.
Both Democrats.
Who was in office?
George W. Bush, his first off-off cycle election.
You want to go back even further?
1993, who was in office for his first off-cycle election?
Bill Clinton, who won?
George Allen and Christy Todd Whitman in the governorships,
both Republicans in the states.
And then we had Wilder and Florio in 89.
Folks, this is with, what's your call?
With George H.W., sorry.
This is the fifth time this has happened.
So let's not go crazy here.
Let's not act like something, I'm not saying, let me just be clear here,
because I hate when people do this and they don't admit their faults,
especially the Democrats who do this all the time.
I'm not saying it wasn't a bad night.
I opened up the show being crystal clear.
This was ugly last night.
It took a pretty bad beating.
What I'm simply trying to say to you is pretty bad beatings in off-off-cycle elections are
not at all uncommon.
Matter of fact, they are the rule, not the exception.
It's happened the last five times.
Everybody chill out.
Chill. Chill.
Chill.
Okay.
Why did it happen?
I know, Joe.
Everybody, like,
you get all these maniacs,
like that Rick Wilson guy
who is the most virulent,
cancerous, anti-Trumper maniac
I've ever seen in my life on Twitter.
He's, like, celebrating this. Like, this guy's supposed to be a Republican. Ah, he life on Twitter. He's like celebrating this.
Like, this guy's supposed to be a Republican.
Ah, he's great.
That guy's lost his mind.
I don't think he ever had a mind, but whatever mind he had left, he lost.
Everybody needs to take a chill pill here.
Here's what happened.
Turnout on the Democrat side was really, really high.
Here are the numbers.
The Democrat who won in Virginia North
won 97% of Democrats,
while Gillespie, the Republican,
won 96% of Republicans.
So you say, well,
that seems pretty fair on both sides.
If the Democrat won 97% of the Dems
and Gillespie won 96% of the Republicans,
almost the same number, Joe,
well, what happened?
Well, Dems were 41% of turnout folks republicans were only 31 percent and there was a 16 percent bump in turnout overall
from the last gubernatorial election in other words democrats showed up because they're really
pissed off now folks those are the facts okay i'm just giving you the numbers out but nothing i'm
saying here is speculation i'm pulling a rick wilson on you i'm just telling are the facts, okay? I'm just giving you the numbers. Nothing I'm saying here is speculation. I'm not pulling a Rick Wilson on you.
I'm just telling you the facts.
Democrats are really angry at Donald Trump.
This isn't groundbreaking material.
It's nothing new here.
This isn't some political earthquake
or as I heard someone say,
it's a tsunami of...
Tsunami of what?
This is a tsunami of stupidity out there on Twitter
with these people commenting about things they don't know.
Democrats are angry. Yes, this isn't news. They're angry at Trump. This is not news.
The opposing party is typically angry the first year of an election when they lose the White House.
Now, Gillespie did not do as poorly as people are painting him out to be but he had some significant faults and I want to pile on Edgar like I said about Edgar Gillespie I've met him
before he's a very nice guy he's not my particular brand of politics but he's a very nice and pleasant
guy so I don't want to pile on the guy day after but you know this is politics I've lost elections
it sucks I've lost a couple times man it really really sucks. And it doesn't do no good to ignore what happened.
What do you call it?
Gillespie got annihilated in the suburbs, folks.
He got absolutely destroyed.
He got wrecked in Northern Virginia, big time.
Now, he did okay in rural Virginia,
but he got just destroyed by heavy turnout in Northern Virginia,
which is populated, Joe, by, as you well know, government employees and a largely liberal population.
Northern Virginia is almost entirely Democratic right now.
So the turnout there was heavy.
I just gave you the numbers before.
You can rewind the podcast and listen to them yourself
if you want to take notes.
Now, I will put articles in the show notes,
including a fantastic article in PJ Media
by J. Christian Adams, which covers a lot of what Gillespie did wrong in the show notes
today.
Thank you to everyone who's subscribing.
The subscriber list is just blown up.
Bongino.com, I will send you these articles.
But here's the problem, folks, as I see it.
Let me make one quick point, too too while we're on the topic of northern
virginia and these big city clusters big city clusters of democrat voters work on the state
level but it will never work nationally it won't because why joe when you have a state like virginia
where the population is centered in northern virginia populated by government commuters who
commute into dc from. from Northern Virginia,
government employees who are overwhelmingly Democrat, right?
There are simply not enough bodies
that live outside of these population centers,
these big city-type areas and these urban clusters.
There are not enough bodies to offset at a state level, Joseph,
a state level, to offset those votes.
Therefore, at the state level, a state like Virginia is going to offset those votes. Therefore, at the state level,
a state like Virginia is going to stay persistently blue,
in my opinion, for a very long time.
Virginia is not a swing state anymore.
It's a blue state.
It's not a deep blue state,
but it is unquestionably a blue state.
It's not a swing state.
Don't make that mistake again.
Now, that works at the state level.
The problem at the national level, as we saw from Trump losing the popular vote but winning the election, is it leads to a lot of wasted votes.
And it leads to a problem on the national level that's got a fork, Joe.
It's twofold.
Number one, in the electoral college, this is not a sustainable strategy.
It doesn't matter if you win the state of Virginia by 10,000 votes or 100,000 votes.
You know what?
You get the exact same number of electoral college votes in the presidency.
It doesn't matter where your voters live in the state.
You see the point I'm making, Joe?
Sure.
Now, that certainly matters in Virginia.
If the governor wins, if the governor's race, the Democrat wins the race by 100,000 votes, it matters.
It doesn't matter in a national election.
That should be obvious by what happened in the electoral college.
If Hillary was running for governor of California, she would have done very well.
She wasn't.
She was running for a national spot where regional voting patterns matter.
Because there are, Joe, shocking to no intelligent person, regional issues.
We have a system of federalism for a reason we don't want california voters telling wisconsin dairy farmers
what to do you don't like it go live in a monarchy we live in a constitutional republic that respects
federalism so this is the talk you off the ledge part don't worry so much about this at the national
level because number one it's not a winning strategy for the electoral college in the long to talk you off the ledge part. Don't worry so much about this at the national level
because number one,
it's not a winning strategy
for the electoral college
in the long run
to cater exclusively
to liberals in big cities.
Works well in New York.
It's working well in Virginia.
It's working well in Illinois
and California.
But it ain't working well
anywhere else.
Secondly,
it's also a piss poor strategy
for trying to maintain majorities
in the House of Representatives.
The House of Representatives
at the federal level,
I'm not talking about
House of Delegates or state,
I'm talking about the federal level,
you're a congressman.
Why?
Because when you have
urban clusters of voters
and each congressional district
has about 700,000 people.
So let's say Joe,
a state has three congressional districts,
right?
Roughly 700,000 people each.
All right.
So the state has say 20,
21,000 total voters.
I folks,
I get just play with the math for a minute.
Excuse me.
Yeah.
So 2.1 million,
right?
Voters seven is three congressional districts, 2.1 million voters, right?
Okay.
The problem with the Democrat strategy of appealing to liberals in big cities now is,
and I'm going to use a dramatic example, but it'll make the point more salient,
is if seven, say you have a state now with three congressional districts,
700,000 voters, 2.1 million.
Let's say everybody votes, right?
The problem with being clustered in cities is, let's say one of those districts, Joe,
has 700,000 Democrats and no Republicans.
That doesn't matter at the state level.
Great.
They still vote at the state level, and they'll offset the other people.
I see what you mean.
But it certainly matters for
the congressional elections because what you have a ton of wasted votes because if there are 2.1
million people in the state and let's say half of them are democrats and half of republicans that
would mean there are 1 million democrats and roughly 1 million republicans right pretty simple
math if 700 000 of those democrats live in one congressional
district in a state that's half and half they lose two of three seats right you see where i'm going
with this because all of them live in one district they all live in the city there's only 300 000
more spread across the entire state the democrats by strictly appealing and engaging in a far left radical
form of leftist politics, wage floors, hiking minimum wage, you know, quote, free college,
Joe, which is only free to the people who go there. Not everybody else paying for the taxpayers.
Obamacare, high taxes, men in the women's room, all of this social agenda, late term abortion.
Men in the women's room, all of this social agenda, late-term abortion.
This may work for you in the city, but it is not a long-term strategy for success. So again, I'm asking everybody out there, cool out for just a second.
It is completely unsurprising that they won at a state level in a blue state.
Not only is it unsurprising, it is the historical pattern.
Now, it was a bad night.
We did lose House of Delegate seats,
and this is why I'm concerned.
To dial it back to the beginning
when I told you to put an asterisk next to something.
The Georgia districts, the state house districts,
that were red, that does not explain that away.
So you may say, okay, great okay great well what are you gonna leave us
in suspense tell us what does well that's what i'm here for took i put a listen i got up early
to put this show together for you all today because this matters and i know you're gonna
see a lot of panic on twitter i want to be able to explain it for you so let me just get wrap up
point number one first reasons not to panic it was a state election in two blue states where
governors won from the party that dominates the state.
It's not surprising.
It's the historical pattern.
The Democrats are clustered in cities.
The cities matter in state elections.
It doesn't matter as much in national elections.
They had high turnout.
They're angry.
No surprise.
Now, all right, you get what I'm saying?
So that's why don't jump off the bridge yet.
Don't jump off the bridge ever, but definitely don't do it because of that.
By the way, Caveman Joe was a huge hit yesterday.
Oh, was he?
Yes.
At some point in the future, we may have to bring him.
I'm serious.
I got like five emails about Caveman Joe.
It was totally unintended.
So we may have to bring him back at some point
and add him to your list of characters, right?
All right.
Now, here's a reason why we should panic.
Obviously, the Georgia race should not have been a loss
and the Virginia House of Delegates wipeout.
Or as it was said to me by a prominent Democrat insider in an email, it was a bloodbath in Virginia.
Here's what explains this way.
And here's a problem we're having now.
Anger is a real thing, folks.
OK, it's not a joke.
Anger does motivate people to vote.
I'm not I don't mean that in a bad way even though i'm
talking about democrats right now which usually surprises people get angry when they lose races
they feel like they're under attack their ideology is under attack their way of life is under attack
this works for both parties this is not exclusively a democrat phenomenon oh democrats are
republicans were angry after obama won and we started the tea party and we won elections too
matter of fact we took back the house of Representatives. Anger is a very real thing in a very real world and it
is a very real motivator to action. Now, Democrats are angry about Trump.
But Joe, what was the offsetting legislative accomplishments that made people's lives
better enough that it muted some of the anger on the Democrat side, number one, and number two, got passionate Republicans out there to vote?
And the answer is nothing.
Zippo.
If you're going to analyze this election appropriately and properly, I want you to envision four separate boxes of people, four silos.
All right? Passionate
Democrats,
loose Democrats. I mean loose.
I mean that they're loosely tied to the party.
Loose Republicans. I don't call them
moderates because I just call them, they're loose. They're loosely
tied to the party. They'll go either way.
Loose Republicans and passionate
Republicans.
Now to win an election, you need 51%.
You need 50 plus one.
What is motivating Democrats?
You have passionate Democrats voting because they hate Trump.
That's it.
They hate Trump.
They hate everything he stands for.
They don't even know most of what he stands for.
They just hate Trump.
They're going to show up no matter what.
What is that? 20, 22, 23% based on some Gall some gallop polling doesn't matter say it's a quarter of voters
they're gonna show up you now have loosely affiliated democrats who joke don't like trump
either but they don't like trump enough to show up and vote against him if they had something positive
to vote for.
Think of the Reagan Democrats.
Reagan won in 1984
in one of the biggest landslides
in electoral history
despite the fact that the media
painted him the same way
they're painting Trump.
Dumb, stupid.
Reagan won every state
but Minnesota
in his re-election
where Mondale was his home.
He only won that state
and he won by just 3,000 votes, Mondale was the only one that state by anyone by just 3000 votes.
Mondale was home state.
Reagan won reelection because those moderate Democrats,
loose Democrats,
I should say is a better way to say it,
who are loosely affiliated to the party.
Joe loose Democrats were not angry enough to vote against Reagan.
Why?
Because everybody was doing great.
The economy was roaring.
Folks, again, this is not speculation.
This actually happened.
Reagan won re-election,
one of the biggest landslides
in presidential election history.
He lost one state.
One state.
And he barely lost that.
Now, loosely affiliated Republicans,
they may not like Trump either. They may not like Reaganagan you're seeing it now with the never trump crowd but the economy was rip-roaring due to the a lot of things
like the reagan tax cuts and the general uh you know uh deregulatory push and the general push
towards conservative values from from the uh you know from the carter years although to be fair carter
had a bit of a deregulatory agenda as well but this led to explosive economic growth and a massive
re-election you know it's morning in america again and loosely affiliated republicans said
yeah this is my guy i may not like him but this is certainly my bag of donuts because my wallet's
fatter and then passionate republicans showed up because Reagan was generally a
conservative on a number of issues.
What do we have now?
What?
No,
no,
seriously.
What do we have now?
You have Trump.
I'm going to argue pushing the most conservative agenda we've seen since
Reagan.
I'm not,
I'm not an acolyte to anyone,
whatever.
I don't care.
I'm not really,
I have been fair on both sides on this, I think.
But where has he gone wrong?
A massive deregulatory agenda.
A sound immigration policy.
Relatively.
Still got some work to do there.
Not so great on trade.
Sounds so far on taxes.
Although his tax bill has a lot of problems.
At least we're getting something done.
A lot of problems. And I've discussed them in prior shows.
You can listen to that.
We can fix this, and there's still work going on, and that's why I'm not willing to throw in the towel yet.
Conservative Supreme Court justices, conservative appellate court justices, conservative circuit court judges.
Again, a deregulatory agenda second to none.
I talked about the Federal Register the other day shrinking dramatically under Trump.
But
the GOP establishment can't get
this done.
Trump wants tax cuts.
Trump wanted Obamacare to go away and they can't
do it. So Joe, you
have passionate Republicans saying
well what am I voting for? I'd volunteer
for these idiots and nothing's happening.
You have moderate Republicans,
loosely tied Republicans to the party,
saying, well, you know what?
I'm kind of tired of this.
I mean, my wallet's getting lighter.
Things ain't that great right now.
No tax cuts.
Whatever, I'll go either way.
You have loosely affiliated Democrats saying,
hate Trump, and they just vote against them.
And then you have passionate Democrats saying,
I really hate Trump. I'm going to show up.
How are you going to win an election like that?
Folks, you will never win as a Republican party
by doubling down on the entitlement state
and redistribution and trying to give away
more stuff than the Democrats.
Let me sum this up,
because I got a couple other things I want to get to.
Here's the lesson for the GOP out of this.
Again, based on the data and the facts I just gave you.
You damn well better get off your asses and do something.
And you better do something quick.
Because I'm telling you right now, if the message you took from this is Trump sucks, you got the really wrong message.
Because they said the exact same thing about Reagan.
By the way, you think this is unprecedented?
Hold on.
I had something.
Let me show you.
This is a tweet from Byron York.
Byron York tweet.
Reagan in his first term midterm, because you can say, oh, midterms are going to be
ugly.
We're going to lose all these seats.
Reagan lost 26 seats in 82.
Clinton lost 52 seats in 94.
Obama lost 63 seats in 2010
again you're going to tell me what a bloodbath is going to be
it's been a bloodbath for the last 40 years
get something done
the only people that managed to hold on
or not get wiped out in their first midterm
was HW because his popularity was high.
How do you get your popularity high, Joe?
You pass something as a party.
Gosh.
Do something.
Do something.
Anything.
Get something done.
Well, not anything, but do something on the tax.
I know I've railed against just doing something,
so I shouldn't say that.
But do something on taxes and get rid of Obamacare.
What is hard about this?
I'm telling you right now, the message that's going to come out of these swingy districts,
I know it.
I've lived in them.
I ran in one.
It's going to be, oh, you need to distance yourself from Trump.
I'm telling you that is entirely the wrong message from this.
The message you should be taking is you have nothing to run on.
Nothing.
Because you've done nothing.
That's the message.
Wouldn't you rather go down fighting?
Are you even interested in that?
Or are you just going to be suckers and whip dogs?
Oh, we lost.
It's a bloodbath.
Get over yourselves.
Man.
Read that piece, by the way, by Christian Adams at PJ Media
about running a Bush campaign in the Trump era.
It's amazing.
It'll be in the show notes today.
Sorry about sending it out late last night, by the way, the show notes.
My daughter manages that, actually, and I had to take her over to jujitsu
because I got to leave on a trip tomorrow.
So my mother-in-law is coming by and everything.
So I got a lot going on.
I'm headed up to Maryland to help out a few folks.
I'm still an activist at heart, folks.
I never let that go.
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Okie doke.
A couple other stories.
Where do I go?
Oh!
Oh!
Oh.
Yeah.
Gosh, it's Phil Murphy.
Did you see him jump?
The guy who won the... I'm just watching Fox.
I got it on the background.
The guy who won the New Jersey governor's race.
By the way, he was a hardcore Bernie Sanders guy.
Good luck with that in New Jersey.
You know what?
Before I get to this thing, I do have a story I want to get back to.
It's about Obamacare.
Forgive me, but this is a doozy.
You know I hate talking about Obamacare, but it's like the gift that keeps on giving.
Before I get to that, folks,
what part of voting in New Jersey are you not getting?
You know, here's one promising note, too,
from these elections.
Liberalism will inevitably eat itself.
It is a forest fire.
Liberalism is a cannibal.
It eats its own species.
Liberalism won't survive because liberalism can't survive
because of very basic rules
of arithmetic and mathematics.
You cannot spend other people's money forever without forcefully taking it from them, to
which at some point they will object.
Now, the problem liberals have is liberals are motivated by anger to vote frequently.
They're motivated by anger for all kinds of things.
They love playing the victim and they love voting against other people, but they rarely
vote for what they believe in themselves.
The radical left will, but most loosely tied people to the Democrat Party won't.
Now, they're angry now at Trump, but eventually liberalism bites them in the butt.
We've seen it all over the country.
Giuliani in New York, Hogan in Maryland, Ehrlich in Maryland, Rauner in Illinois, where Republicans get elected in these states.
Now, the reason I'm bringing this up, I just saw this guy.
This is what reminded me of this.
Murphy, who won the Democrat, who's a hardcore redistributionist.
He's a Goldman Sachs guy, too, which is kind of ironic.
He gets up on the stage.
He makes this big leap like he's happy.
It's great.
He won the governorship.
He should be happy.
He's the governor-elect in New Jersey, right?
Folks, New Jersey's collapsing. I i mean what part of math don't you
get new jersey's collapsing their pension fund is near completely bankrupt i just read a report on
zero hedge another email list i i recommend about maui maui the pension fund is broke they're
completely broke mismanagement of government finances by
and I'm being completely candid
here folks, by liberal policies
not liberal politicians
only.
You see the distinction I made there Joe? Yeah.
Chris Christie was a Republican.
I'm not saying Republicans have had
no blame in this. Please don't get me wrong.
I'm saying liberal
Republicans can follow liberal game plans too.
They do it all the time to my chagrin.
Liberal policies in effect
will eventually cannibalize liberals themselves.
You know, I saw another story this morning
covering what happened.
Maryland, by the way, was a wipeout.
Maryland got wrecked.
The Annapolis, you see this show?
It happened in Maryland.
The Frederick City Mayor,
what's his name? Randy McClement. He lost. he was a Republican yeah Mike Panalides was the Republican
Mayor of Annapolis he lost you know they lost in wipeouts by the way they got crushed they lost
aldermen spots um they lost uh council spots they just got smoked um they got crushed yesterday the
Republicans in Maryland which is a bad sign by the way for larry hogan but
conveniently joe in the same piece by a liberal democratic writer i read about republicans fleeing
i mean excuse me people fleeing from montgomery county into frederick city to overturn elections
now that may not mean anything to you but maryland people it means a lot frederick county
used to be mountain maryland it's becoming urbanized now lot frederick county used to be mountain maryland it's becoming
urbanized now but frederick county used to believe used to be reliably red used to be a blood red
county in maryland frederick county is just north of montgomery county which is the one of the
bluest county counties in the history of humankind it is about as blue as mao's china right joe am i making this up no that was blue
man montgomery county it is as blue it is i don't think there's a republican's left standing in
republic in montgomery county now why is frederick frederick's uh county turning blue because people
are moving out of montgomery county because they're liberals and they're ruining the place
taxes are through the roof and people don't want to pay them so now they move up to frederick and what are they doing frederick joe they vote
democrat yeah this is what's happening democrats don't but they're motivated purely by anger not
by their own issues because they don't stay where they vote for policies to be implemented they vote
for them and then leave you don't't believe me? You know what?
The article's not up at Conservative Review anymore,
which really upsets me, by the way.
But I wrote an article.
It may pop up on one of your Google searches somewhere.
But it was called Florida and Texas win again.
And I did an analysis, with the help of my friend Jim Pettit,
of IRS data, of people taking their salary,
their report to the IRS, Joe, and leaving,
moving out of a state. We did a whole show on this, remember, they report to the IRS, Joe, and leaving, moving out of a state.
We did a whole show on this, remember, a while ago?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
This was a long time ago, about a year ago.
Yeah.
And I showed you through IRS data
that if Democrat policies are so popular, liberal policies,
why are people evacuating those states en masse?
Not one at a time, Joe.
Tens of thousands of people evacuating New York,
New Jersey, California, Illinois, Connecticut.
It's universal across liberal states.
And where are they going?
Florida, Texas, Nevada.
I mean, states that have generally more Republican-leaning policies on taxes.
states that have generally more Republican-leaning policies on taxes.
I mean, if your policies are so popular,
why are people leaving counties and states where your policies are actually enacted?
This is, again, another long-term talk-you-off-the-ledge moment.
It stinks because we're going to have to deal with liberalism in the short term,
especially in Virginia now.
By the way, folks, I think it's time to get out of Virginia.
I'm serious.
Virginia's turning into Maryland light.
It really is. I got a lot of friends
up there, but that place is lost.
I'm sorry.
It's time to get out.
If you're there, you got to fight. I fought in Maryland.
If you can't leave, you never give up
the fight, but I'm telling you,
the logistics there aren't working very well.
But they don't vote for
their own policies, folks.
They vote with their feet.
They leave.
And then they bring their crap somewhere else.
Okay, this is the story I was telling you about Obamacare.
Sorry about that little...
But I saw this guy jump on stage celebrating,
and I'm like, what is he celebrating?
He's bankrupt.
His state is totally bankrupt.
Now he's threatening to bankrupt it even quicker.
Oh, hey, that's great.
All right.
So, article in the wall street journal today uh pretty
fascinating about john koskinen the irs commissioner who has got to be one of the most uh reviled men
in america this is the the guy who i mean he legitimately looks like dr evil just look him
up koskinen he's the guy who has stonewalled every investigation into the ir targeting conservative groups, which, by the way, they just paid a massive penalty on and had to apologize for because they now acknowledge it happened.
Despite Obama saying it wasn't a sliver of corruption in the IRS.
Really?
Why did they just pay a $3 million fine that acknowledging there was more than a sliver of corruption?
Because there was.
Now, this is the doozy.
So Koskinen, he's headed out the door.
He's going to leave now.
Right before he leaves, he thinks he's sticking it to you. This guy seems like a particularly vindictive fellow. He's walking out the door, Joe, and he has given the double-barreled middle finger to America. What did he do? The IRS has not enforced the employer mandate through the IRS.
What is the employer mandate?
If you are an employer out there with 50 or more employees, you have to buy Obamacare
compliant plans for your employees.
You're tracking, Joe?
Yeah.
Now, there are tens of thousands of companies that haven't done that.
They either don't have the finances, they don't have the money, they just don't have
the capability to buy those plans, and they are employers with 51, 100, it doesn't matter, 50 or more, okay?
Now, the IRS under Obama was relatively hesitant to do anything about it.
So they didn't do it.
To be candid, Joe, they didn't do anything.
If you didn't buy the Obamacare-compliant plans,
you were still in violation of the law, Obamacare,
but nothing really happened. Now, Kos were still in violation of the law, Obamacare, but nothing really happened.
Now Koskinen's headed out the door
and as a big mm you to America,
he is now mandated that the IRS send letters
to all these businesses
and the estimates now are tens of thousands of businesses.
One of you listening is going to get this letter.
Email me when you get it,
which is going to say you owe probably tens of thousands of dollars in fines right now.
The estimates to cost a small business show is an astonishing $13 billion.
Now, you may say, what's the good news, Dan?
That sounds like horrible news.
No, I don't think so, folks.
I don't.
I'll tell you why.
You were going to get hammered with this anyway.
And I don't wish, obviously, evil on anyone.
But until America understands what Obamacare really is,
there is absolutely no way to get rid of it.
I think this is good news.
I think Koskinen's letters, when they start arriving in tens of thousands of small businesses across America,
and these companies find out they have a 10 and 15,000,
$20,000 bill they have to pay and they don't have it.
And they walk into their employees and say, Hey fellas, ladies,
I got bad news. If something doesn't change quick,
we're going to have to start talking pay cuts or layoffs.
You know what's going to happen? This folks keep in mind. You may say, well,
Dan, are're wishing evil for
a political point. Folks, it was
going to happen.
This was going to happen either now
or next year. This is the law.
This is what Obamacare is.
What, you didn't know?
What's going to happen, Joe?
Now, all of a sudden, people
are going to be pressured to call their legislators
and go, hey, listen,
Daddy-O, I just got a bill for 20 grand. You want me firing Now, all of a sudden, people are going to be pressured to call their legislators and go, hey, listen, daddy, oh.
I just got a bill for 20 grand.
You want me firing people in your district?
Now, all of a sudden, maybe these phony fake fraud rhinos who don't want to do squat about Obamacare.
Maybe now if they realize they're going to lose their seats because of pressure from local businesses.
Maybe now they'll turn around and do something now that the costs of Obamacare, Joe, are actually real.
Make sense what I'm saying?
Yeah, wake up call, baby.
You're damn right it's a wake up call.
Folks, this was going to happen.
Rip the Band-Aid off.
Realize right now the law that is in effect.
Realize it and get rid of it.
And then maybe the fines will go away.
But make no mistake, you're going to pay. Under Obamacare, you're either going to pay now or you're going to pay. But make no mistake, you're going to pay.
Under Obamacare, you're either going to pay now or you're going to pay later.
But, oh, you're going to pay.
And we're all going to get hurt.
All right.
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That's how confident. I give out my own email, Daniel at Bongino, because I know people will
send me good stuff. I send them right on to Miles, by the way. All right. Let's see. Oh,
this is a great article I read. I'll close out with this one. Daily Signal has a really terrific piece by Walter Williams. You know that throughout the week I've been talking about the 100 year anniversary of the communist revolution and how communism is by any reasonable objective fact based measure the greatest catastrophe in human history. I mean that, folks. The greatest catastrophe in human history.
As a emailer eloquently cited to me yesterday,
he said, you know, you got the numbers wrong.
He said, you said 65 million dead.
It's actually closer to 100 million.
And he's right.
I read another piece that confirmed that.
65 million may be the war dead and the direct impact,
but the indirect impact of communism, Joe,
is about 100 million dead,
which makes it by far the greatest catastrophe
in human history.
So there have been a number
of really high quality articles out this week that I saw.
And I've been trying to pick through a couple
that I can put in the show notes every day.
And I found one today that's simple, short, sweet,
and really, really good,
written by Walter Williams, who is just the genius.
I have the world of respect for Walter Williams.
It's at the Daily Signal.
Again, I'll put it in the show notes.
Here's the gist of the piece.
And it's the central flaw, the core flaw in socialism and communism, and frankly, even big government liberalism today.
And that is the knowledge problem, Joe.
And that is the knowledge problem, Joe. The whole core of communism and socialism was the idea that government bureaucrats and Joe, really smart people can plan an economy better than free markets can. In sock industry because everybody should have socks and we're just going to plan how many socks
because we're going to look at the data and we're going to figure out how many socks we all need
and that's going to be the better way to allocate scarce resources well what's the core problem with
that the core problem that is inescapable folks folks, is the knowledge problem. One sock expert is never going to replace the knowledge of 300 million Americans that wear socks.
Now, Williams gives a fantastic analogy I hadn't thought of.
And again, it's a short piece, so please read it.
He says, let's look at the traffic light situation in the United States.
This is brilliant.
He says, there are roughly, what's the number?
100 million traffic signals in the United States.
I didn't know that.
That's a lot.
So it's in the piece there.
He said, that seems like a pretty simple problem, right?
He goes, let's not even.
So his point is, Joe, let's give the socialists an easy one.
Let's not even make it hard, right?
Forget about something like health care.
Wink, wink, nod wink not not the government's already
trying to man that's unbelievably complicated let's give them something simple like traffic
signals there are two ways to manage traffic signals you can manage it locally with a bunch
of free people deciding where traffic signals go when they need them how long they should be
timed right joe all right Or you can have a federal
central government planner
or a group of planners, say a
traffic light bureau of 20 people
that can plan every traffic signal
across the United States. Come on, this can't be that hard.
Right, Joe? Yeah.
Yeah, I know. See,
by the tone of your voice, I get you're sensing
my sarcasm here. Folks, do you
realize how important, this is a simple issue like traffic signals.
But it's only simple for you.
It's not simple for the bureaucrats in D.C.
And I thought about this.
There's a traffic signal.
When you come out of my neighborhood, you make a right, you go down this long road,
there's a traffic signal at the end.
The traffic signal is timed differently for different times of the day because the school gets out.
The traffic signal is timed differently also because there's crossing guards at that intersection.
The traffic signal has a turning lane.
The traffic signal...
Now, what I'm getting at is how did we know to time the we being us, the locals who voted for people?
We did this locally, right?
How did we know and push the locals to time that traffic signal
for certain times of the day?
Well, you use that road.
Because we use that road and our kids go to school there.
That's why.
Do you really think a bureaucrat in Washington, D.C.
has any knowledge whatsoever about the traffic signal on your corner and the unique traffic circumstances there?
Do you think he has any idea?
He has none.
There's a knowledge problem there.
This guy, and do you see how the knowledge problem, here's the first fork of the knowledge problem, Joe.
The first fork of the knowledge problem is he's not local he has no knowledge you see what i'm saying there's a knowledge vacuum he doesn't
know anything but there's another fork to the knowledge problem the other fork is the opposite
saying what do you mean he has too much knowledge what are you saying and you just said he has no
knowledge no no no no he has too much knowledge. It's just the wrong kind.
The guy on the bureaucratic traffic signal board in Washington,
the new socialist government of Washington, D.C.,
he has studied traffic signals his entire life, Joe.
He has read every book on traffic signals, on roundabouts, on timing, everything,
on the color they should be, on how bright they should be,
on if they should turn off at night, if they should blink red, if they should stay red. He knows everything in the
world about traffic signals. He has all the knowledge contained in all the books on traffic
signals out there. What's the problem? He still doesn't know jack squat about the traffic signal
on your corner. He don't know anything. He doesn't know when your
kids get out of school. He doesn't know what the traffic flow is. He doesn't know. What is he going
to commission a study on every corner in America? He doesn't know. He has knowledge. He has the
wrong kind of knowledge. The right knowledge are the people on the ground who say, hey, listen,
that traffic signal, that needs to be a little longer during the day to are the people on the ground who say, Hey, listen, that traffic signal.
That needs to be a little longer during the day to let the traffic flow.
So parents can pick up their kids.
That's the right kind of knowledge.
It matters.
Read the piece though.
It's really,
really good.
He gives another example too,
about apples.
How do you like them apples?
Which is really,
really smart,
really good about the knowledge problem there too.
So go check it out.
I don't,
I'll be available up on Bongino.com. I understand
if you don't want to subscribe to the email list. I get it. I get
a lot of emails too, but I promise we don't spam
you. We don't sell your email list. Matter of fact, I just got
a solicitation the other day and we turned
that down. So don't worry about that.
But go to my website,
Bongino.com. Subscribe to the email list. I'll send
you these articles. They're really, really good.
Alright folks, thanks again for tuning in. I'll see you
all tomorrow.