The Dan Bongino Show - Ep. 690 Economic Warning Signs?

Episode Date: April 3, 2018

Summary: In this episode I address the importance of combatting liberal identity politics and the warning signs on the horizons with regard to the economy.    News Picks: No, the Reagan tax cuts did... not cause the deficits.   Is a trade war brewing?    The liberals have now moved on “Christian privilege.”   Is artificial intelligence going to be watching you in the workplace?   Trump’s EPA pick makes a solid move for the auto industry.   Liberals love attacking inanimate statues.   Copyright CRTV. All rights reserved. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 get ready to hear the truth about america on a show that's not immune to the facts with your host dan bongino all right welcome to the dan bongino show producer joe how are you on this fine tuesday i'm doing well daniel thank you very much oh man thank you for the feedback on yesterday's show appreciate it was very newsy yep um. But it was a Monday, and I know we got through a lot of stories yesterday, and it was kind of a different format, I think, than other shows. But I thought they were all worth talking about, even if in some abbreviated format. You know, usually I'd like to dig deeper than other shows out there on the stories. But yesterday was critical. We got all that stuff out there. I've got a lot of interesting stuff for you today as well.
Starting point is 00:00:46 I don't want you to miss today's show or a second of it because all the stories are interesting. Also, thank you to everyone who's been going to our new section on our website, Debunk This with Matt Palumbo on Bungino.com. Yeah. We'll be picking some debunking and I will get into that today too.
Starting point is 00:01:02 Matt did a great piece on debunking the myth that the Reagan tax cuts caused the deficit. So I'll be talking about that a little bit because it's entirely relevant to the conversation going on today. And I got a lot of other stuff, too. All right. Today's show brought to you by our buddies at Quip. Let me tell you something. This is the greatest toothbrush ever.
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Starting point is 00:02:26 Tooth case. I think't travel with that thing. You need a separate tooth case. Tooth case? I think I just made something up. You need a tooth case for your, a suitcase for your toothbrush. You do. Not this one. Not this one. And guiding pulses alert you when you switch, went to switch sides, making brushing the right amount of time effortless. Excuse me.
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Starting point is 00:03:57 Think Quip. Buy Quip. This thing is good. You will not be disappointed. Mouth feels great this morning. All right. So last night, I was reading Taleb's new book, Nicholas Taleb's new book, Skin in the Game.
Starting point is 00:04:10 Yeah, yeah. And he was talking about group identity. Don't worry. Don't be like, what the hell? Listen, this is important stuff. He was talking about group identity, and there was a piece in there, actually a quote by the Graham brothers, Jeff and Vince Graham, where he talks about scale-free political universalism. What the heck are you talking about?
Starting point is 00:04:38 He makes this terrific point that I think summarizes the essence of federal government intervention. And I think this matters now because we're seeing this more with liberal far-left radical activism, the imposition of global rules on the entire country, the whole essence of federalism, folks, the whole essence of it was that different states were going to have different agendas based on different needs. You had agricultural states, industrial states, states with ports, states with a landlocked, states with a lot of farmland, states with not a lot of farmland, states with mountains, states without mountains. This all matters, folks. Mountains could be natural geographic dividers that provide an economic trouble, basically, for free commerce. I mean, it's a barrier that'd be hard
Starting point is 00:05:25 to get through. But, you know, before the invention of blasting powder and the ability to create roads through them, different states had different needs. The whole principle of federalism was the federal government was going to limit itself and that the rest of those rights would be delegated to the states. Now, the problem we're seeing now, especially with regards to a lot of these current debates, and I'm going to get to a few of them in a minute. These are important stories going on right now. Trade wars, the EPA scrapping, the EPA is in the process of scrapping one of the fuel mandates for cars Obama put into effect.
Starting point is 00:06:01 These were all rules designed to go national that are having selectively different impacts in different areas of the country. One of the points Taleb makes, and he points out about political universalism, in other words, the idea simply that rules should apply everywhere globally on a mass scale, it's probably a better way to say it, is that people don't think that way. it's probably a better way to say it is that people don't think that way there are specific size groups where people think differently dependent on the size of the group
Starting point is 00:06:31 and I remember listening to an econ talk episode I'm pretty sure it was with Mike Munger where he did an unbelievable episode on this how the identity of the group and the size of the group matters to how people think I'll sum it up for you this will make all the sense in the world after I read this quote from Taleb's new book.
Starting point is 00:06:49 He's talking about the saying by Jeff and Vince Graham. It says like this. It goes like this. I am at the Fed level libertarian, at the state level Republican, at the local level Democrat, and at the family and friends level, a socialist. In other words, the rules that apply within our family, you're the father, you're the mother, you are the monarch, or you are the queen, your rules matter. It's not a democracy in your home, right? It's not. No. What you say goes. I mean, Joe has little Joe. I have Amelia and Isabel. And what I say goes because I know best. We're not voting on it. It's not a constitutional republic. It's not a representative
Starting point is 00:07:29 government. It is essentially a monarchy or in some respects socialism. I own the means of production in my house. You are not allowed to take possession of those means of production. And I will distribute the goods as i see fit
Starting point is 00:07:46 as a socialist government would folks i'm not advocating for socialism i mean don't be ridiculous but it's an interesting point that he's making here that the size of the group and the identity and makeup of the group matters but because in fact you family, the rules within your family apply within your family. And for many of you work quite well within your family does not mean those rules are transferable at a larger scale, scaling up universally to the entire collective United States. That's the problem we're having right now. I read this last night and I was like, man, this is such a great point when it comes to the gun control debate right now. I was like, man, this is such a great point when it comes to the gun control debate right now.
Starting point is 00:08:29 This is an unbelievably good point. It's a great point when it comes to tariffs, when it comes to EPA fuel mandates. How they are trying to impose the left a set of universal principles upon everyone. Universal principles of universal background checks, a ban on what they call assault rifles, which is a meaningless term they made up, with no respect whatsoever for the size of the group. Maybe there's a small group of farmers in Iowa somewhere who have completely different needs for an AR-15 style rifle than someone who lives in Los Angeles.
Starting point is 00:09:14 Imposing upon him your idea of what the rules should be completely disregards the size of the group and the needs of that group by imposing your needs upon him. You now understand why the essence of the Bill of Rights was to limit the power of a federal government? Because the federal government disregards the size of the group because whatever
Starting point is 00:09:35 the federal government does applies to everyone, regardless of the size of the group. You live in the United States, it happens. Does this make sense, Joe? Yeah. it's a wonderful point and munger who is a very libertarian by the way did a great piece on this how the size of the group matters how there are some groups and some uh you know he gives examples where some people who can cooperate with each other through some set of imposed collective identity basically the socialist ideal but they do it voluntarily. Whether it's fishermen fishing some part of the sea that all know each other, they don't want to overfish that part.
Starting point is 00:10:12 We're talking about small groups, right? But when you expand the rules to this bigger and bigger and bigger group, including the entire United States, and you ignore things like subsidiarity, local control, that all goes out the window. And why am I bringing this up? Because it breeds resentment. It breeds resentment. Resentment breeds action. I think
Starting point is 00:10:33 you can attribute the election of Donald Trump to a number of factors. I don't want to oversimplify this like a lot of people tend to do. But I think without question, one of those factors that drove people to the polls was an anger at the imposition of rules at the local level. I mean, at the federal level, that did not apply at the local level, whether it's an attack on their firearm rights, regulations like the waters of the United States rule, you know, the farmers who were like, wait, I have a pond in my backyard. And now some bureaucrat from DC's flying out to, you know, to Iowa farm country to tell me what to do with the water in my backyard. Pound sand. I'm voting for someone else. It's a really great book, by the way. I love it. I'm almost done with
Starting point is 00:11:18 it. I'm getting to Jordan Peterson's book next. But I just thought it was a really terrific point and it's worth discussing folks that maybe it's time for the federal government to start to recognize that a soft secession is already going on because listen i i'm not talking for the media matters idiots that thank you for listening to my show and promoting it you dopes. I appreciate it. But this is already happening. And the irony, Joe, is this soft secession breeded by this resentment of collective rules imposed upon small groups of people that, Joe, ironically, may have found
Starting point is 00:11:57 some of those rules palatable voluntarily. May have. They may have said, you know what? Here's what we're going to do with the farmland. We're going to reduce pesticides on our farmland because your pesticides spraying over onto my property. So Farmer Jones, this is Farmer Bob. Can we work a deal out that you stop using over spraying or over seeding or whatever it may be? It's not the rules that are bothering.
Starting point is 00:12:22 It's the imposition of the rules by DC bureaucrats who have no respect for the size of the group at all. People act differently in small groups than they do collectively. The size of the group matters. That resentment is driving people crazy. You know, it reminds me also of another point I brought up a while back
Starting point is 00:12:43 that I forget who I heard talking about. They said we make great partisans, but terrible ideologues. How, you know, we'll vote for a party label with very little idea behind the ideology sometimes. And I think the ideology here gets lost because people just want to vote for what's not happening now sometimes. And this resentment is being ginned up because people feel like rules are being imposed upon them that they don't want. It was a really amazing, amazing point. And it's the size of the group matters. Subsidiarity matters, folks. Accountability goes out the window and representation goes out the window. accountability goes out the window and representation goes out the window. You know, think about it. If I live in Martin County, Florida, you want the rules to be, and the people who are accountable to you, at the lowest level of management possible.
Starting point is 00:13:37 You know, I live in Palm City. You want it to happen in Palm City. That way, your vote matters because there's fewer people voting. I mean, obviously, your impact on a Palm City election and your impact on a federal government election are far different, right, Joe? Right. You're talking about one of 330 million people versus one of, gosh, I don't even know how many people live in Palm City, but it sure as hell ain't 330 million. Your vote matters more there. also you're being so that creates accountability amongst people who want to do things to you create new rules and spend your money but secondly it creates a representation issue as well where what the ideas that are represented in palm city by the electorate have a chance to fail
Starting point is 00:14:17 or have a chance to succeed and aren't imposed upon the entire country meaning if they fail in palm city the rest of the country can take heed and not do it. But that's not what's happening now. You have a growing, expansive federal government imposing rules upon the entire country where they may not apply, and you can't escape the failure, and the failure gets hidden by a compliant media, vis-a-vis Obamacare, where different states and localities could have found entirely different healthcare solutions
Starting point is 00:14:47 instead had a federal solution imposed upon them. Great point. Yeah, man. I like that last point, yeah. They all could have found a different way to do it. Who knows? You know, Okeechobee County, Florida could have found a terrific healthcare solution
Starting point is 00:15:01 that everyone would have, hey, look at what's happening. Instead, that's not what happened. Everybody got forced, got Obamacare shoved down their throats. It's failed collectively and the media continues to cover. Completely disregarding the size of the group.
Starting point is 00:15:13 I bring it up today, Joe, because we're kind of seeing this now. And there were two stories, sorry for the intro there, but I think it matters and it sets up where I wanted to go. All right. There are two stories that busted out into the media cycle yesterday one i'm going to give you the good
Starting point is 00:15:31 news and the bad news let me start with the bad news first the bad news is as i predicted a trade war is breaking out folks i get it i'm expecting the emails that's fine it's your show i appreciate your feedback um but again if you don't want to hear ideas you disagree with, that's fine, but the show may not be for you and that's okay too. I don't like it, but that's fine. Your choice. I warned everyone with the tariffs that there was potential for a trade war. A trade war is a tax war. I hope you all understand that. It's a tax war. That's what a trade war is. A tariff is a tax.
Starting point is 00:16:10 Everybody gets that, right? A tariff is a tax imposed upon foreign imports into the country. And vice versa when exports leave the country somewhere else. A trade war is a tax war. A trade war is a tax war. My problem with the tariffs imposed upon steel was it was going to reignite a trade war and a sense of mercantilism that we had hoped had been long exhausted. I get the downsides. I'll talk to that in a minute.
Starting point is 00:16:43 So take it easy. I'm not China's not our friend. I entirely understand that China has been devastating to trade by their intellectual property theft, government procurement practices, a number of nonsensical things are doing that are really damaging global trade, cheap garbage they produce and ship out potential espionage. They're not our friend. Points entirely stipulated. But make no mistake, a tariff war, trade war, is a tax war. So what's happening now is we impose these steel tariffs and aluminum tariffs, and the Chinese have now responded in kind by imposing tariffs on, and just to be clear, to give you a sense of scale here, because scale matters, the tariffs are small. They're only imposing tariffs on about two to three percent of our exports to China, but the Chinese folks are doing it to damage President Trump. What do I mean by that? Just pay close attention here. They're picking markets in select swing states and congressional districts that are going to do real damage to President Trump's chances of reelection. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:17:59 Now, one of them, I'll pick one example. There are many. And I have a story at Bongino dot com at the show notes. Please subscribe to my email list. I'll send them to you from the Washington Examiner, which discusses Wisconsin ginseng. You may say, oh, you know what? So what? They're taxing Wisconsin ginseng. No, no, no. Don't think small here. they're taxing ginseng from Wisconsin into China for a very specific reason. One of the counties in Wisconsin that produces ginseng is a swingy type county that helped President Trump win Wisconsin. If this tariff on ginseng attacks, to be clear, on Wisconsin ginseng supporters who sell their ginseng to China, if this tax shuts down their ginseng market or cuts it in half or even cuts 25% off their sales, this is going to be very damaging to the local economy.
Starting point is 00:19:03 The Chinese are not our friends, but they are not stupid. No. They are selectively picking products, Joe. Farm products, ag products. They are picking pork products that are going to damage ag communities that Trump won. Folks, this was the most obvious penalty from the start. I was wondering how they were deciding on what to to throw this punitive tax brother yeah this was not random okay they did this on purpose now this is an opening salvo now i get it i know what a lot of you are thinking right now
Starting point is 00:19:38 screw the chinese let's get them back. Screw their trade policy. Guys, a tax war is not winnable. It's not. You are going to bankrupt prosperous U.S. farmers in swingy districts. Eventually, there's going to be a political backlash. How we win from that, I don't understand. I get it. A lot of you are Trump supporters, so obviously I am.
Starting point is 00:20:10 I support the president. But this is not a good idea. They're threatening next, by the way, to start to tax major. Remember, I told you there's only 2% of exports. The next step is going to be airplane manufacturers sorry, gosh I slept good last night until I'm stumbling over basic words
Starting point is 00:20:33 airplane manufacturers soybean production major league exporters into China we are talking about thousands of jobs, not hundreds of jobs in swinging congressional districts. Folks, this is going to, I took a big note here.
Starting point is 00:20:57 This is going to alienate Trump country. Now, James Freeman, who is a really good writer at the Wall Street Journal has a piece today where he quotes another journal piece and I want you to understand why I'm so worried about this I like the president I support him I want to see him re-elected I would not be talking on my show knowing there's going to be at least 100 emails telling me what an idiot i am today which is okay it's your show i get it i would not be doing this if i didn't believe that this was genuinely a bad idea here's a here's a quote from freeman's piece today u.s factories reported robust demand for their products in March, but say rising prices for materials tied to new tariffs, i.e. taxes,
Starting point is 00:21:48 threaten to slow the industry's expansion. The Institute for Supply Management said Monday its index of factory activity settled at 59.3 in March, down slightly from 60.8 the prior month. Any reading above 50 indicates rising activity as measured by factors such as product sales hiring and production the latest reading was below economists expectations guys i i the sky's not falling i'm not trying to be chicken little the trump tax cuts were a brilliant idea his
Starting point is 00:22:19 slashing of government red tape has been amazing. His appointments to the courts, even despite Democrat obstruction, have been terrific and admirable. I'm simply trying to suggest to you that the evidence that these tariffs are working is nowhere. We are getting isolated successes to be expected in industries that benefit from the taxes. Of course, if we make Chinese steel and aluminum more expensive, steel and aluminum industries are going to pick up. The question is, why is the stock market down everywhere else? Why is factory growth expectation down? And why are we then telling farmers in Wisconsin,
Starting point is 00:22:56 you have to pay for this? Ginseng farmers, pork farmers. Do you understand this is zero-sum? The Bush administration tried steel tariffs. They got rid of them. They got rid of them almost immediately because it wound up costing hundreds of thousands of jobs. A tariff war is a tax war. That is all it is. Now the Chinese are going to raise taxes on their stuff. So we're going to raise taxes back, and they're going to raise taxes back. And they're going to raise taxes back.
Starting point is 00:23:25 Who do you think's paying the taxes? You! Can I read that again to you? I'm sorry. I just want you to understand this, what's going on here. This is U.S. factories. These are you. This is you, folks.
Starting point is 00:23:39 Your jobs. The problem with their growth, they are citing this. I'm not making this up they're saying rising prices for materials tied to new tariffs are slowing the industry's expansion i that's not my opinion that's a survey of u.s factories why would you think i'd be making this up i i know it's coming but that's's fine. We are alienating people. The economy, we had a, what, 500-point drop yesterday plus in the stock market? These professional financial types discount future, that's what stock prices are, discounted values of future earnings.
Starting point is 00:24:24 It's like a reverse interest rate. You think a company's going to grow at 8%? That's how you discount the stock and the price of the stock today. If you think a company's going to grow by half as much, the stock is worth less money. That's why people sold yesterday. This is not helping.
Starting point is 00:24:43 Now, China, they are not our friend. And the threat of tariffs, at least, has had some effect, at least in renegotiating some of the rules with the South Koreans. It's been marginally impactful. We've gotten, we received a quota hike in the number of cars, even though we're not close to that quota. But I'll take it. But the imposition so far has unquestionably not helped. Now, a couple of things here. Some of you said to me, listen, they're selling us cheap steel. It's garbage. Ladies and gentlemen, we're buying it. Do you understand that?
Starting point is 00:25:28 The Chinese are selling cheap steel. We're buying it. Just don't buy it. I don't know any other way to say it. I'm not absolving them of responsibility for producing garbage stuff. I'm just telling you, I got, how many emails did I receive? Probably 20 or 30 from people saying, but the stuff they're selling us is cheap.
Starting point is 00:25:51 Why are we buying it? They're not forcing it on us. Just don't buy it. I mean, no one talks about that any other way. Hey, these cars are crappy. We should,
Starting point is 00:26:04 you know, we should, we should all be forced not to. People don't buy them then. We're buying it. This is not some government diktat. It's a free market where people are buying the cheap stuff. Products made in China sell because despite the assertions of a lot of the emails I've received from people, which I understand about how they prefer made in America stuff, the hard economic reality on the ground, the hard truth, Joseph, is that the made in China stuff sells because it's cheaper.
Starting point is 00:26:44 Yes. Yes. Yeah. If people wanted more expensive stuff, made in China junk and steel wouldn't sell. How do you dispute that? The only reason the Chinese are an international competitor is because they're producing cheaper stuff. If you don't like it, don't buy it. But people aren't doing that. They are buying it. That is not what's happening.
Starting point is 00:27:14 Secondly, you're right. China is not our friend. Their intellectual property theft from our companies and the way they procure stuff where they force the government to buy made in China stuff has been disastrous for international trade. The stuff they produce is cheap. A lot of it is junk. We had the Chinese drywall here in Florida that nearly shut down the housing market.
Starting point is 00:27:39 It is garbage. In the case of the Chinese drywall it resulted in lawsuits we have a legal system for that thankfully that shut that down here in florida and provided some remedies a lot of companies now will not buy chinese drywall at all yeah had the chinese pet beef jerky that was uh killing dogs is that right i mean oh yeah When there's some chemical in it or something? Yeah. Now, we have a legal system that thankfully penalizes companies like this and requires some monetary remuneration later on. But folks, the way to handle IP and GP theft and government procurement and intellectual property theft is to impose the same rules they imposed upon us upon them. All right, you want intellectual property?
Starting point is 00:28:31 In other words, Microsoft goes to China and you have to give us your trade secrets? Okay, your Chinese companies that do business in the United States, they have to do the same thing. I have no problem with that. Free trade is not stealing our intellectual property. Free trade is not mandating intellectual property. Free trade is not mandating government procurement for made in China when they have such a
Starting point is 00:28:50 big budget. Impose the same rules upon them. But my point is imposing these new tariffs had the most predictable response in human history. There was going to be a tax war. Now, folks, you are paying these taxes. You. It is not... I don't know who you thought was going to pay a tax war. Now, folks, you are paying these taxes.
Starting point is 00:29:05 You. It is not... I don't know who you thought was going to pay this stuff. Companies are paying now higher prices for stuff that's tariffed. And exporters that export to China and sell stuff overseas are now selling less stuff
Starting point is 00:29:22 because their prices are higher because foreign governments are retaliating i this bothers me because i really really think this president is on the verge of doing some great things but this is a bad call it's a bad call and the evidence is overwhelming all right now i'm going to get to some good news because i don't want to leave you in a bad call. And the evidence is overwhelming. All right. Now I'm going to get to some good news because I don't want to leave you in a bad mood. And I know I'm going to get some emails on it.
Starting point is 00:29:51 And that's okay. Again, the show is for you. Before I get to that, today's show also brought to you by my buddies at iTarget. The iTarget Pro firearms training system is one of the best systems out there. I get a lot of great feedback on this. You know, competitive shooters, people who do this for a living, dry fire, meaning practicing with a safely unloaded weapon, their trigger pull, their trigger control, their sight alignment, they dry fire 10 times more than they live fire. The range is great, but it's expensive. I know, I go a lot. It costs a lot of money. You got to
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Starting point is 00:31:38 I got people who can't put this thing down, by the way. Itargetpro.com, promo code Dan, my first name, Dan, for 10% off. Itargetpro.com, promo code Dan, my first name, Dan, for 10% off. iTargetPro.com, promo code Dan. This is a terrific system. Thanks for all your feedback on it. Okay, now the good news. And I'm going to tie this into my opening in a minute here. I just want to get to the good news here first, because it's important. Trump continues his deregulatory push and his wiping out and cleansing of government red tape, which has been unprecedented. He has really taken the reins off the economy. And I think outside of this tariff thing that's unfolding quite poorly right now, everything else is going very well.
Starting point is 00:32:20 He, this was a nervy move, Joe. I haven't seen a move that takes, you know, you get what I'm saying? Cajones like this in a while. Scott Pruitt, who is the EPA administrator, who's involved in a little imbroglio gallon requirements for the fleet, for a fleet of cars. They were supposed to have an unrealistic 54 miles per gallon average by 2025. Now, why is this important? It seems like a wonky story. It's not.
Starting point is 00:32:59 The automobile industry is key. Automobile industry is key. It is a bedrock, keystone American business that employs a lot of people, generates a lot of revenue, generates a lot of ad revenue, generates a lot of marketing, a lot of production, a lot of manufacturing, a lot of management, a lot of consulting. It is a critical US industry, the automobile industry. They've unquestionably had some struggles. Now, when you talk to automobile industry insiders that aren't interested in politics and are interested in the business of building automobiles, they will tell you that this
Starting point is 00:33:37 fleet standard has been devastating, especially to U.S. car makers. Why? Why is that? Because, folks, one thing we build with the best of them, and, you know, we have some problems. I mean, you know about my Tahoe, which you said that, but I love my Ford Raptor. My Ford Raptor is B.A., man.
Starting point is 00:33:58 Bad. It is awesome. One of the things we build, as well as anyone, is we build trucks. And we build damn good trucks. The F-150, the Silverado, the Ram. We build good trucks. They have their issues.
Starting point is 00:34:13 I get it. I know I get a few emails from people. But I love my Raptor. I know a lot of people love their trucks. We build them. We build them good. They've got some issues. We're working on it.
Starting point is 00:34:21 But the American truck is great. And it's the envy of foreign car makers now the nice part about the american truck is that the profit margins on american trucks are quite high matter of fact joseph if u.s lawmaker if u.s automakers had their say and lawmakers got out of the way we would probably build 90 trucks and suvs and 10 small cars probably just for fleets. Because that's where the revenue is. That's what a normal business would do. They would build things that produce, Joe, this is a shocker,
Starting point is 00:34:52 revenue. Crazy how that works. That would be money. Yeah, we should put that in a mug too. That would be money. That reminds me, I've got to mention that too. Now, what Obama did in another one of his genius little moves and i say that not quality not meaning qualitatively good he imposed an unrealistic fleet miles per gallon average
Starting point is 00:35:13 meaning this trucks and suvs as you well know do not traditionally get good miles per gallon on a good day my raptor gets about 18 miles a gallon. So what the Democrats and some Republicans, candidly, that played along over the years, they imposed these fleet standards. And these fleet standards mean that the average across the entire fleet has to be 54 miles per gallon by 2025. That was the new Obama push. Well, Joe, if you have a bunch of cars that are trucks
Starting point is 00:35:40 that are doing 15 to 20 miles a gallon, what does that mean? It means you got to produce a whole bunch of little tin can pieces of crap that get 7,000 miles per gallon that nobody in the United States wants. People don't want them. Now, showing you the complete impotency of the federal government to get anything right and their complete lack of candor and knowledge, federal government to get anything right and their complete lack of candor and knowledge, their prediction by today, excuse me, their prediction for today's market on the distribution of the types of cars was that we would have by now, Joe, two-thirds cars and one-third
Starting point is 00:36:19 trucks. The actual breakdown is the opposite. Two-thirds of us trucks and SUVvs and one-third of us have cars right now by doing that the obama administration is trying to dictate your behavior was pruitt is looking to scrap this thing which is beautiful because it would allow american car makers to this is crazy joe to produce cars and uh and trucks american the american people actually want to buy which would earn them money which would allow them to pay higher wages this would be a major boon for the american economy but what's going on here california added again
Starting point is 00:36:58 as i said this is the point i wanted to get to before i intentionally um skipped over because i didn't want to get, didn't want to beat myself to the punch where I was talking about the soft secession. I know the Media Matters types. They're going to say, oh, soft secession. This crazy podcast. What is he talking about?
Starting point is 00:37:14 A civil war? No, that's what you're talking about because you guys are just looney tunes. There are already states, liberal states, that are soft seceding from the United States now. Why do I say that?
Starting point is 00:37:26 Because California, Joe, that got a waiver from the Obama administration to produce its own fleet standards, which, of course, are the 54 miles per gallon, California got a waiver to do its own thing. You may say, well, what's the problem with that? Well, the problem with that is New York and Pennsylvania joined them, and that's a third of the U.S. car market. So now you have two completely different sets of standards now, because California is now saying, you can dump the 54 miles a gallon fleet average, but we're going to keep it. Which would mean what? Car companies have to produce two completely different sets of cars. That's right.
Starting point is 00:38:03 They'd have to stop selling SUVs by a certain point in California so they don't mix up the standard. So the car companies are like, what the hell you want us to do now? There's already a soft secession going on amongst liberal states. You have liberal states with marijuana laws. Listen, I don't agree with them, but it is federal law and there's a way to change it. You already have a soft secession being led by liberal states, immigration laws. Now, we're not going to follow those.
Starting point is 00:38:33 And yet, any time the soft secessions mentioned, you get places like Media Matters who conveniently, oh, you conservatives are stoking the flames of division. We're not doing anything. We're pointing out what you guys are doing in liberal states. Suing Trump for everything he does. Trump sneezed this morning. I'm suing Kleenex. This is what they do.
Starting point is 00:38:54 They've already seceded. California has already said we're not following federal immigration law. And by the way, we're going to create our own car standard. Now, I understand a lot of you will say, dan i thought you believed in federalism i thought you believed in the idea that the states should be able to do their own thing they should but not in matters that interstate that affect dramatically interstate commerce we can't have a country if you don't have some set of at least common collective tort laws courts a common currency you can't have california saying we're going to create the federal reserve note of california the state reserve note of california better said it doesn't work that way
Starting point is 00:39:39 there is some collective identity that does matter. It's a problem I have with the immigration crisis now. There's a culture, there's a collective identity. We don't give people time to adjust to it. And we're constantly seeing an influx of new people into the country here illegally. You lose that. And what you do is you get tribalism that takes effect. This is why I brought this up.
Starting point is 00:40:12 People act differently and there should be different standards for different levels of the group. County, city, state, local, federal. As we get to those federal levels, the rules that bind everyone, these should be rules where there is mass consensus. We need an army to defend the country. Pretty much general mass consensus on that. A common currency. So if I travel to New York, I don't have to stop in a bank and exchange Florida dollars for New York dollars.
Starting point is 00:40:37 Everybody pretty much gets that. Some system of roads. I mean, you don't want a $7,000 toll to have to get into Georgia from Florida. Does this make sense? Those are rules at the federal level, at the hierarchical federal level, that should require everybody to obey. Contract law.
Starting point is 00:41:01 A driver's license should be generally acknowledged. You shouldn't have to get 49 state driver's licenses if you live in Florida. Yours and 49 more. Or in Obama's case it's 51 more because he thought there was 52 states. I know he did. I'm just messing with you deep in that dopey speech.
Starting point is 00:41:17 But still, you get my point. But those rules should be limited. But they want it both ways. They want the rules should be limited. But they want it both ways. They want the rules to be limited and exceptions and carve-outs for them, liberals. But then, in other circumstances, when it comes to health care, education, and other things, they want a Department of Education. They want Obamacare. They want it all national.
Starting point is 00:41:41 They don't want to follow immigration laws, but they want to make sure everybody else follows Obamacare. Why? Because it aligns with the liberal ethos of control. California knows exactly what they're doing. They know right now that if they sue the federal government over these EPA standards and get a carve out for themselves for their own miles per gallon, that because of the size of California, they will get to impose their will on others. This is not federalism. It is reverse federalism. Disguise this federalism. Oh, look, states' rights. No, no, that's not what you're doing.
Starting point is 00:42:12 You know exactly what you're doing. You understand the power of your market, and you are trying to get California to impose a de facto market standard because of the size of your market on the rest of the country. Because you don't understand hierarchical needs and group size.
Starting point is 00:42:31 You don't. Or you're ignoring it in your efforts to gain control. That's what liberals want, control of your money, your healthcare, and your kids. So the good and the bad. The bad news is the tariffs
Starting point is 00:42:42 are going to backfire badly. The good news is they're still going forward. And I should have left it off with this because it's important. Scott Pruitt is fighting this. I believe California will lose this case if it goes to the courts. They'll sue to impose their own mileage standard. But I believe they will lose. I think they're going to lose badly as well. All right. Today's show also brought to you by our buddies at Freedom
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Starting point is 00:44:37 Freedom for school.com. Don't forget to tell them the Dan Bongino show sent. You can't recommend these guys highly enough. Okay. Tell them the Dan Bongino show sent you. Can't recommend these guys highly enough. Okay. Another article I found deeply disturbing,
Starting point is 00:44:50 and I want to get into some of the wise stuff about it, is George Washington University, Joe, is having a class or some kind of symposium on Christian privilege now. Here we go. First it was white privilege. Now it's Christian privilege. They're moving on rapidly to other privileges soon. What is it?
Starting point is 00:45:07 Able-bodied privilege. They have all these privileges now. This is another fascinating, not recent development, but a development that's taken on a new head of steam after the statues war. You know, the liberal effort to pull down statues. I got more on that in a second, too. But it's an interesting interesting piece i'll have up at the show notes spongino.com um from college i was a college fix so go check it out if you subscribe to my email list again we'll email it right to you but the class joe is meant to attack christian privilege because they quote christians that is receive unmerited perks from institutions and
Starting point is 00:45:45 systems all across the country do you understand what the heck is going on here what the heck is going on ladies and gentlemen the left is out of ideas entirely out of ideas they are completely fully in 100 on the imposition of collective identities on people. By the way, there has been no more damaging phenomenon throughout human history than the labeling of groups by collective identity and the targeting of those groups subsequent to making, I mean, think about it. You know, the Jews in Hitler's Germany. I mean, it goes, the Armenians, the list goes on and on and on
Starting point is 00:46:26 of groups that have been given a collective identity. In other words, your individual characteristics, good, bad, or indifferent, or irrelevant, it is the fact that you are, and name the identity, you are white, you are Christian, you are Armenian, you are black, you're Hispanic. There has been no more damaging phenomenon.
Starting point is 00:46:43 I mean, Jim Crow laws, slavery, throughout human history, the use of skin color as an identifier, nothing. There is nothing more tragic or disgusting than the use of non-character related identifiers to impose a group identity on people. And the irony of this is liberals who champion themselves as advocates of civil rights are moving us back in time to the use of collective identity as a demarcation point for the value of a human being on this planet. It's absolutely incredible. That is the 30,000 foot umbrella view of what's going on that you liberals simply cannot refute. liberals simply cannot refute you claim to be champions of civil rights as you entirely diminish the value of an individual and you value that person man or woman based exclusively on a collective identity that may have little to do with how that person actually values himself
Starting point is 00:47:40 and in most cases does in other words i know for a fact uh joe doesn't wake up in the morning and say well i what are you scottish uh french english english yeah armacost did you wake up in the morning ever and go i am a white scotsman or a friend i mean is it i thought ever even even occur to you it has this is not never no i mean it doesn't affect your actions and no it doesn't of course joe goes to work every day and does his thing. Well, that's due to my white Christian privilege, Dan. Yeah, I don't have to think about it, babe. Well, you may have to take this class at George Washington University. Now, this is the strategy. Yeah. Because the left is entirely out of ideas in the political arena or the ideas they have are universally unpopular. political arena or the ideas they have are universally unpopular. Hike your taxes, take your healthcare, expand failing public schools. They know this. They understand that these ideas are universally unpopular. They have to get you to vote for them. Now, they can't get you to vote for them because I just told you their ideas are not popular. Because their ideas are not popular,
Starting point is 00:48:41 they don't get you to vote for them. They get you to vote against the other guy. Genius strategy. Yeah. In other words, the world is a horrible place. You're all victims. I'm not going to tell you what our ideas are, but I will tell you this. We'll protect you against those other guys and they really hate you, those Republicans. Now, I've mentioned this before. It's not new to regular listeners of the show, but it's getting worse, folks. And it's getting worse because the world is getting better. You may say, well, that doesn't make any sense. What are you talking about? As economic conditions around the world improve, as the stain of racism ebbs, doesn't disappear, never will.
Starting point is 00:49:29 But folks, any idiot who tells you the country's in the same place it was during slavery in the Jim Crow era is seriously a moron or a liberal. I don't know which one sometimes. There are still heavy pockets of people, sadly, all over the world. I mean, especially outside of the United States, but within the United States as well, there's some people who just can't get that out of their head and we should make every effort to combat the scourge of it but anyone who tells you that the trajectory is not upwards and that the the the stain of racism is not receding it's just simply lying to you or manipulating you or is really dumb. There is no fourth option.
Starting point is 00:50:11 As the world gets better, as economic conditions generally improve around the world, we're seeing, and these are unquestioned metrics, poverty rates, average income per day. It's going up. It's not perfect. There's still famine. There are still countries that have broken governmental systems. There's still tyranny, no question. But as the world, we've seen the number of democracies get better. The number of people who have a say in the vote. The condition of women around the world. Not perfect, but getting better. As that improves, the left in the, specifically in the United States, which is the greatest country on earth, the wealthiest and the most prosperous, as conditions improve, the left and radical liberals will constantly need
Starting point is 00:50:53 to stoke resentment. Why? Because as I told you, the left can't get you to vote for them. Their ideas poll universally unpopular. But they keep getting elected in power because they've managed to firmly attach themselves to the resentment strategy. And the resentment strategy is this. The Republicans are racists. The Republicans are transphobes, homophobes, Islamophobes, phobophobic, istaphobes, and therefore we will protect you against them.
Starting point is 00:51:26 phobophobic istaphobes and therefore we will protect you against them going back to the beginning of the show where i told you this idea about group size and how we make great partisans but terrible ideologues we attach ourselves to political parties without understanding their ideology because many of us sadly not many of the listeners to this show but people fall prey to the there i'm going to protect you against them mentality. Well, who are they? Oh, they're the racists. Well, are they really conservatives? No, they're not, but that doesn't matter.
Starting point is 00:51:54 We're going to protect you against them. Well, you know, the Republicans, what do they stand for? I told you about knocking on doors in Prince George's County. Prince George's County, Maryland. A largely minority black county in maryland where you knock on the door and you would be if you knew nothing about politics you would expect given the democratic bent of the county people would be pro-choice high taxes big government they're not they're not knock on the doors i did but why do the people in those neighborhoods vote Democrat? Because we make great partisans, but terrible ideologues.
Starting point is 00:52:28 We have been gaslit by the media, told a lie for so long that the Democrats are the protectors of the little guy, minority rights and other things, despite any evidence that that's actually the case. Despite what I just told you, that the Democrats are actually fostering resentment and group identity. They're actually doing the inverse, that people believe it and they align with the partisan label completely ignoring the ideology behind it now that's important you understand that in relationship to my statement that as things get better group identity politics and fostering collective identity
Starting point is 00:53:02 resentment is going to get worse because the Democrats, Joe, have to constantly search out new fights. Now, first it was white privilege. Now you're white. There's a privilege to being white. Folks, I can't dispute that there may in fact be privileges everywhere. There may be a privilege to white. There may be a privilege to being born into a middle or upper class family. There may be a privilege to being born outside of a city. There may be a privilege to be born inside a middle or upper class family. There may be a privilege to being born outside of a city.
Starting point is 00:53:26 There may be a privilege to be born inside of a city, depending on its wealth. Privileges exist everywhere. The problem with the left is, and I gave this example once on the show in the past, the way we should be handling this as a society. as a society, we should be saying, okay, how do we get people who are struggling right now, who are not in that, quote, privileged class, up to those same standards? How do we improve struggling black schools, struggling Hispanic schools? How do we improve the job market in communities that are struggling? How do we do? That's not what liberals do. What liberals want to do to stoke resentment is not help people who
Starting point is 00:54:11 are not, quote, privileged. They want to get you to resent the people they claim are privileged to stoke resentment because they will be the warriors for your cause against them. because they will be the warriors for your cause against them. But in a country of growing prosperity and increasing racial harmony, it gets more and more difficult to stoke resentment that generally, generally isn't there. Now does this make sense, their increasing search for new causes, Joe? Sure. White privilege.
Starting point is 00:54:46 Now it's Christian privilege. I have an article in PJ Media. This is a must read. It's at my show notes. Check them out at the website. An article from PJ Media. They're now attacking statues of presidents. Did you hear this story, Joe?
Starting point is 00:55:00 Arcata. What is it, California? Arcata. They want to pull down a statue of President McKinley. Yeah, yeah. Because of McKinley's treatment of the Native Americans. Yeah. This will never stop. It will never stop until you recognize what's going on. It is an imposition of a collective identity. The collective identity in this case is Native Americans. The idea is the Republicans and conservatives hate you. How do we get you to believe that? We have to find a new
Starting point is 00:55:30 fight because it's not true. Of course it's nonsense. But how do we find and discover a new fight in an increasingly prosperous country? I got it. Statues. Statues! First it was Confederate statues, then it'll be presidential statues. Next thing it's going to be any statue, liberals, anything't matter it's going to be statues made from uh you know
Starting point is 00:55:50 a concrete that was produced pre-1950 because it was produced in a jim crow state they will you laugh it will never stop i took a note here liberals will never stop the search for new points of division to stoke resentment because resentment is all they have. It is their entire bedrock political ideology is the imposition of a collective identity. Native Americans, trans, gay, black, Hispanic, not individual identity, dad, mom, family member, soccer coach, employee. None of that matters to them. It's collective identity because their policies suck. Their policies suck so bad that they have to impose a collective identity and then convince
Starting point is 00:56:38 that group and the members of it that they've put you in that other people hate you and that they will protect you. They will constantly search for new flashpoints to do this. It will never, ever stop. Now, does yesterday's show on the culture war make more sense? How we and kudos to Fox News for fighting back against this coordinated attack against the Ingram showdown. Fox News has said no, no, no more. And you should applaud them for it. She is back on the air on Monday.
Starting point is 00:57:16 Jack Abernathy released a statement yesterday and damn it, good for him. God bless him. We are done. This will stop when the majority of the population that realizes that this stuff is crap that it's identity politics and the stoking of resentment when they firmly reject it when they reject it through gestures like this companies boycott we boycott right back hollywood celebrities attack us we never see their movies academics in college want to get into pro-trump rants in a chemistry class? You record it, put it out in the media for everyone to see. They suspend you, we fight the suspension.
Starting point is 00:57:51 Remember what I told you from the Roman poet's greatest line ever. The enemy is not vanquished until they consider themselves so. We are not vanquished and we never will be. We fight everywhere. They fight a 30- never will be we fight everywhere they fight a 30 front war we fight on every single front it's not going to stop until we stop it all right folks i appreciate uh all your attention hey let me get to one last thing are we doing on time here yeah we're good we got a few minutes sorry um so uh mattumbo, my resident debunker in chief, who is now writing for my website, Bongino.com, has a really great piece up about the Reagan tax cuts. It is important because there is talk of doubling down on the Trump tax cuts, which were terrific, and I applaud
Starting point is 00:58:35 the GOP for doing that. But there's talk about making the income tax side of it permanent, even lowering the rates a little more, which I think would be a great idea. The argument will come up, as it always does, and that's why Matt does this stuff. And by the way, if you have a question for us to debunk, there's an email on my website. Send it to us. I'll send it over to Matt. If it's a good one, we will debunk it for you. Any liberal talking points you don't like, we will happily take on if they're good.
Starting point is 00:58:59 But Matt makes two key points in this. The Reagan deficits were not caused by tax cuts. The piece is pretty detailed. It's not very long. It's very readable, but it's terrific. They were caused by defense spending, number one. There was an increase in defense spending to combat the threat from the Soviet menace. There's no question about that.
Starting point is 00:59:16 So it was on the government spending side. There was some increased spending. But also inflation. How inflation was tamed during the Reagan years due to volcker's policies at the federal reserve when inflation was tamed people's incomes not not real incomes nominal incomes right that's a difference in other words joe makes fifty thousand dollars and it buys ten bars of gold that's preferable to jo Joe making $100,000 which only buys one bar of gold. You see the difference, right?
Starting point is 00:59:47 Now, when inflation was high, wages went up. But not real wages, Joe. Just nominal wages because money was worth less. What did that do? That pushed people in the Carter years into higher income tax brackets who effectively weren't making more money.
Starting point is 01:00:02 So Joe was making that $100,000 but it only bought one bar of gold, whereas $50,000 bought 10. And now Joe's being taxed at a higher rate, even though he's really not making more money. So when Reagan tamed inflation, people did not go into those higher tax brackets, Joe, but their money bought more.
Starting point is 01:00:20 And by not going into those higher tax brackets, Matt points out in incredibly easy-to-read fashion how the government eventually lost a little bit of money because they didn't take more of your money because your money bought more, and you didn't move into those non-inflation-adjusted tax brackets. It's a great point. Read the piece.
Starting point is 01:00:38 I think you're really going to like it. We appreciate your feedback on it, and we're going to start the contest soon. I've been reading all of your emails. I have them all. So if you sent in a submission in the past, I have no fear. You don't have to resend it. But send us your emails about how you're dancing out there.
Starting point is 01:00:54 People are sending me emails about, and it can be, listen, I'm going to pick six winners. I'm going to give you a free signed book and a free copy of Brian Kilmeade's excellent book, Andrew Jackson and the Battle of New Orleans. Anything. You're in the gym. You change the channel from CNN to Fox News. That's good. I like it.
Starting point is 01:01:11 I love it. But I'm going to pick six winners. You know, some people have really bold ones. Some people were, you know, I had a guy in work who had had enough and finally stood up for himself at the lunch table and work and told his fellow employers how he felt. So obviously, let's keep it. I don't want to get anybody fired or anything like that. But I'm going to pick the six best emails of stories of people dancing out there. Let's start a movement. And I'll send you an autographed book and a copy of Kill Me's book, Andrew Jackson, The Battle of New Orleans, which is really good. Pick it up if you get the chance. But we'll get on that soon. So I'm going
Starting point is 01:01:44 to go through them and we'll get them out. I'll just email you back and I'll get your address and we'll send them off. Hey, thanks for tuning in, folks. I really appreciate it. I hope you liked the show today. And again, send me your feedback on tariffs. I know some of you are going to disagree and that's fine. I really hope not to lose you though. You matter to me and I'm just telling you the truth and I think the truth matters. All right. Talk to you soon.

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