The Dan Bongino Show - The Bongino Brief - The "Obamaha" Problem

Episode Date: April 6, 2024

How likely is a 269-269 electoral vote split? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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and to see how Birch Gold can help you convert an existing IRA or 401k into a tax-sheltered IRA in gold. Text DAN to 989898 now. Performance may vary. Consult with your tax attorney or financial professional before making an investment decision. Message and data rates apply. Dan Bongino. Welcome to the Bongino Brief. I'm Dan Bongino. Folks, there are only two states in the union that don't have winner-take-all presidential election electoral vote tallies. There are liberals watching, so I know conservatives, you know this. There are liberals watching who are quite slow, so I need to explain this, okay?

48 states use a very simple model. You vote in Florida, Donald Trump wins Florida because he gets more votes. Donald Trump gets Florida's electoral votes. It's very simple. It's a great system. It's the least worst system, I should say. No system is great, okay? Pretty good, effective system.

For some reason, Maine and Nebraska have chosen to go another route where they break it up differently. Now, this is described beautifully in a piece Charlie sent me last night. Folks, pay really close attention because if this happens, you're going to be like, damn, I heard it there first because we've been talking about Obama for a long time. Look at this newsweek article. Is this in a newsletter, fellas?

Bongino.com slash newsletter. You need to read the whole thing. It's by Natalie Venegas, okay? How a Republican state could cost Donald Trump the election. A Republican state? You mean a Democrat? No, no, a Republican state. Nebraska, a very, very Republican state.

They know no but two states made in Nebraska. Electoral votes are winner take all. The candidate who wins a popular vote receives the state's votes. Pretty simple process. However, there are two states, Maine and Nebraska, electoral votes are winner take all. The candidate who wins a popular vote receives the state's votes. Pretty simple process. However, there are two states, Maine and Nebraska, that use the congressional district method, which allows them to allocate two electoral votes to the state popular vote winner, and then one electoral vote to the popular vote winner in each congressional district. One electoral vote could be a big deal.

Why? Because as a note in part two of this, while candidates need 270 electoral votes to win under a scenario where Biden, which is a possible scenario, under a scenario where Biden only wins the three northern swing states and other uncontested blue states, a loss in Nebraska's second district could result in a 200 to 69 to 269 tie. What if I've been warning you about why they want RFK out of the race. Can you imagine if Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s entrance into the race causes a, say, Trump win in Nebraska's 2nd District that causes a 269-269 tie that then causes the race to get kicked over to the house of representatives

where because a bunch of swampy republicans left the house of republicans would be excuse me the house of representatives would be run by hakeem jeffries who would then decide the state delegations would decide to be clear but the house would be run by by Hakeem Jeffries if they win in the next Congress because of the power of incumbency? Can you imagine that? Now, ladies and gentlemen, before anybody tells me, oh, that's impossible, that's never going to happen.

Folks, I was told a lot of things were going to happen. I was told in 2016, Donald Trump's chances of winning the presidential election are, quote, approaching zero in a Washington Post article written by Aaron Blake and Chris Eliza. You can still read it yourself.

It's still there. Now, how worried, how worried are people about this scenario? Where does the Dan Bongino show go when we want to find out what the liberals are worried about? Anyone in the room know? Anyone? Any of you guys know? The cheat sheet's right there. Playbook.

Political playbook, which is the left-wing Bible. I read it every morning because I love to see what they're worried about. Oh, and look, right at the top of the left-wing Bible this morning, on the email they all read, political playbook. It could shake up the presidential election. What? Obama-ha. They What? Obama-ha. They call it Obama-ha because Obama won Omaha, Nebraska,

that congressional district. They know for President Joe Biden, it would take away what is currently his easiest path to 270, win the blue wall states, Michigan. He could win that. We should not. I don't want to hear any talk of a red wave. You got to take that to a different show.

We're not doing that here. It is very possible Biden could win that. We should not. I don't want to hear any talk of a red wave. You got to take that to a different show. We're not doing that here. It is very possible Biden could win Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. And then all he has to do is win that one electoral vote from Metro Omaha, which has been won by the Democrats quite often, hence the term Obama. Ladies and gentlemen, read this playbook thing. not because I want to give Politico any clicks, but you can tell what the left are going to do because they always announce it every morning on their emails and their email list there every single morning. It's the top story. If this was no big deal and they weren't freaking out about it, then why is it leading their stories? I got a video coming up in a second of another Democrat insider.

You know Jim Messina? He was basically the architect of Obama's reelection effort. Jim Messina is a noted Democrats insider with a vast network of connections. I'm going to show you in a second how worried they are about this. But this is not a new problem.

The fact that Nebraska, for some reason, has decided to break up its electoral votes this way instead of giving them all to Donald Trump, which they should do. 48 states do it that way. And to be fair there, the Republicans and Governor Jim Pillen are pushing for this now. But it's by no means close to done. And it may get squashed before the election. More in a minute, but first, it's a very common sense reason gold is pushing to all-time highs. Actually, there's several reasons. The cost of goods continues to rise despite interest rate controls by the Fed. The national debt continues to skyrocket now above $34 trillion. It's causing

a lot of people to wonder if the House of C cards are going to come crashing down. He also got a presidential election year. Massive implications for the future of the country. He got a lot of uncertainty and instability out there. That's why a lot of Americans are turning to Birch Gold Group. I've been a customer for a while. Have you diversified your savings yet? Help secure a portion of your savings with gold from Birch Gold like I have many times. Text Dan to 989898. Get your free info kit. You'll learn how to convert an existing IRA or 401k into a tax-sheltered IRA in gold, and it doesn't cost you a penny out of pocket.

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You heard it here first, man. This is how long this has been going on. Look at this ABC News article. It's by Jake Tapper. The most important part of this article is the date. February 28, 2012. 2012. 2012. This is 12 years ago. Tapper notes, hey, scoff if you like, but the campaign did this in 2008 and won Nebraska's second congressional district. The Obama campaign jokingly referred to the strategy in the city as Obama. No one

outside the state really noticed that Nebraska split its electoral votes given Obama's electoral landslide. But what started out as a just-in-case measure actually proved itself as achievable. How likely is a 269-269 electoral vote split? Not as unlikely as you might think. Look at these permutations, folks. There's like five, six different likely ways we could get to 269, 269. But Dan, if no one gets to 270, nobody wins. Exactly. It goes to the House. Now you see why these swampy Republicans are leaving early? Here, Tapper, he's not wrong here, by the way. He says, let's assume an election where the battleground states are from west to east. Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa where the battleground states are from West to East,

Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Missouri, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, Virginia, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire. Let's give all in the GOP except for Florida, Michigan, and North Carolina. There you go. 269, 269. He says, how about Obama wins Wisconsin, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, New Mexico. 269, 269. Ohio, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, New Mexico. 269, 269. So Obama might come in handy. Ladies and gentlemen, the Democrats, as always, are way ahead of the Republicans on tactics. If it wasn't for Charlie and a couple other people bringing attention to this issue and the author of that Newsweek piece, I promise you a lot of Republicans wouldn't have done jack about this. Now, I want you to watch this clip because there's nothing worse than Democrat bellyaching.

Oh, look, poor me. The Republicans are going to destroy democracy again. You've earned the double-barreled middle finger. What has two thumbs that thinks they get the two-barreled middle finger? This one to you guys because I don't care what you guys have to say. The Democrats out there, the party of

Twinkies, Fannie Willis, Andy Weissman, Peter Strzok, Jim Comey, Joe Biden, Derek Farland, the a guy know the attorney general and name only. I'm really not interested in your lectures on democracy, not even a little bit like a big fat donut. Sorry, don't care. But watch when Republicans simply propose the idea of changing Nebraska to just get in line with the rest of the United States. This is not some radical far right theory. Literally 48 states do it this way. You win the popular vote in the state, you get the electoral votes. It's not hard.

There's nothing even remotely radical about this. Now, however, trying to remove a presidential candidate who's the presumptive nominee from the ballot and steal the election before it's even happened, that's radical. But notice, the shithead Democrats, the absolute garbage, full diaper Democrats, have no problem with that at all. But that Nebraska is looking to just get in line with the rest of the country and vote the way the citizens of the state, not a particular region of the state,

but the state want, there's a meltdown. I usually don't use entire clips here, but this is about a minute and 10. It's worth your time. This has turned into such a big deal with RFK in the race because they're now afraid Trump could actually win that second district due to RFK siphoning votes off that they are freaking out about a 269, 269 scenario that gets kicked to the house. They won't say that, that that's the RFK thing.

They'll hint at it. But that's why Messina in this clip is losing his marbles. Check this out. There has thrown his support behind an effort that would no longer allocate the electoral votes by congressional district, because right now it's five votes there. Technically, Republicans get four and President Biden, Democrats get the one from Omaha. If that changes and we don't know that it will, it's the state legislature is going to look at it. But if that changes, that takes away Biden's best path to win. Because

if you get, if he wins Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, but loses the other swing states and no longer picks up the one in Nebraska, 269, that leads playbook this morning, the alarm among Democrats that this is possible. What do you think? I think this is what the modern Republican Party has become. They're now changing the rules in the middle, trying to benefit themselves. This is the hell that Donald Trump hath wrought. In the middle of this, changing the rules 200 days before the election is ridiculous. I think you're right. I think there are real simulation problems. When you look at the map that one electoral vote really matters in the combination of other things then you need another state

and so the easiest pathway to victory has always been the midwestern three states combined with nebraska something tells me they're not going to get away with it this easy and there will be a national outcry if you're trying to change the rules here but it looks like you know folks listen i you know the show's for you it's always been for you i hope you understand that everything i do i do because the show is for you that'll make more sense in the long run the language portion of the show i do try to kind of get a lid on but there are moments like this you just want to so badly dump an f-bomb on this guy. There's going to be a national outcry. Bro, are you for real? This is the same party that is pushed in multiple states to actually remove the

presumptive GOP nominee from the ballot. And just to be clear, we're taking advice from this asshole. There's going to be a national, and here's the funny thing, chatsters, you know, this is true too. There are some swampy Republicans, the biggest, oh, you know, I want to say the word so bad, worst bags in the world who will be like, hey, man, I don't know if we should do that in Nebraska. People get upset. People get upset. They're raiding people's houses. You got a bunch of people in a gulag in Washington, D.C.

You got Navarro and Bannon doing potential jail. Navarro's in jail. You got Bannon being charged. You had the president being spied on. We're worried about a national outcry? Someone should play that clip over and over and go, yes, please, outcry nationally.

How many shits do you think I give about your national outcry? Anybody have a guess? Anyone in the chat have a guess about how many shits we should all give here? The answer is zero. Zero shits. Good.

Zero. Someone wrote two. Is that an official number? We should get to it. The number's zero. Yeah, exactly. Someone was probably talking about answering a totally different question. That, somebody's exactly. So what was probably talking about answering a totally different question?

That's a good, that's a zero, zero, zero, zero shits folks. When I say, listen, some of it annoys about 10% of the audience,

but it's okay. I can't please everyone. When I say cutesy time is over. This is what I mean. The Dan Bongino Show. If you'd like to hear more, subscribe to The Dan Bongino Show wherever you get your podcasts.