The Dan Bongino Show - The First Story Is Almost Always Wrong (Ep 2215)
Episode Date: March 26, 2024In this episode, I cover the Baltimore Key Bridge accident and how the first story is almost always wrong. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices...
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get ready to hear the truth about america on a show that's not immune to the facts with your
host dan bongino oh my gosh if there was ever a time to apply the evergreen generational bongino
rule it's the last few days as always do not accept the first version of events as fact or truth
or what the liberals say, your truth.
There's no your truth.
There's only truth, correct?
Like something happened or it didn't.
Your truth is like some liberal bullshit.
So throw that out the window.
But we've got this disaster in Baltimore, an area, unfortunately,
I say unfortunately because I have a real emotional tie.
It's been hard.
I'm very familiar with that bridge.
And my gosh, what a tragedy in Baltimore.
But please, don't jump to any conclusions on this thing.
You know the rule.
Discuss the story all you want, but give it about 24 to 72 hours before you draw a firm conclusion.
Because I promise you, there's going to be so many different facts that are going to come in.
And a lot of people in the new clickbait media, social media ecosystem,
where they profit off engagement, I mean, literally profit.
If you click on their tweet or watch their video, they make money.
It's in a lot of people's best interest.
And this is a bipartisan thing to say crazy stuff.
Don't fall into that because some of these people do this
and destroy your credibility in the process. They take you down this road knowing you're going to engage with
them. They're cashing in. And then all of a sudden they tell you a few days later, oh, my bad. I was
just kidding. And you're left out there like, hey, look, you promoted that. So be really careful.
Russia, this, a lot going on. Big show today, a lot to talk about.
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All right.
Big show today here.
We're going to play the Baltimore video.
What happened?
If you're just getting up and watching my show, I'm happy to have you here. Unfortunately, it's under, again, a cloud of really horrible bad news. The Francis Scott Key Bridge, a bridge I've driven over hundreds of times when I was a Maryland resident for over 12 years. It's a long bridge. It's an older bridge. I can't believe it's not there anymore. I woke up this morning, went to bed, obviously at, you know,
nine o'clock last night.
This happened at 1 a.m.
And if you'll play, this video may be tough for some to watch,
but it's important you see it because there are a lot of theories going on
out there about what happened.
And what's that?
There we go.
So you'll see this cargo ship.
This is, as you can tell by the speed of the cars,
maybe sped up a little bit, you can tell.
But these cars, I mean, think about it.
If you were one of those tractor trailers, you just made it.
It winds up hitting the support structure on the bridge,
and sadly and tragically, the entire bridge comes down.
Now, there are a couple things to notice about this video.
And again, be very
cautious about drawing any, look, look, you see the lights go out. So obviously there's some sort
of power interruption. Now, again, I'm not jumping any conclusions either way. Was that power
interruption intentional? Was it a cyber attack? Was it just human error? Was it a mechanical
failure? These are all possibilities.
And until someone tells me otherwise, I consider myself an investigative reporter. Don't ever call
me a journalist. I'll be insulted. And until I'm told otherwise, backed up by evidence,
I'm going to withhold my opinion. You'll notice on this thing, sadly, there goes the entire bridge.
Just a horrible, horrible situation.
Apparently six people still missing.
But folks, the Bongino rule here, a couple of things.
If this was some kind of, say, cyber attack on the ship, which I see is unlikely but not impossible.
I just want to be clear on that. It seems strange that you would do such an attack at, you know, one o'clock in the morning, one o'clock in
the morning where traffic on this bridge was, thank the Lord, light, or you would have had
probably 25 to 50 casualties. Okay. It just seems unlikely to me. I've seen some of that
traveling around or some talk of a, maybe a, you know, black swan event on this folks. I just be
very careful. You know, remember Occam's this. Folks, I just be very careful.
You know, remember Occam's Razor.
When given all possible explanations for a situation like this tragic crash into the bridge, okay,
always accept the one that requires,
it's often termed keep it simple, stupid,
but there's a more elaborate way to say it
and it makes more sense sometimes.
Occam's Razor, always accept the explanation
that requires you to assume the least.
If you're assuming this was a cyber attack, right,
you have to assume a lot.
Like, why would they do it at 1 o'clock in the morning, number one?
How did they get a hold of this ship, secondly?
Also, there seems to be a bunch of human error involved here as well,
one of them being if they knew they had lost power,
which you can see they have, because if you watch the video again, you'll notice the power goes out.
There's apparently a minute or so or a couple minutes. There are some questions here like,
why didn't they stop traffic on the bridge or evacuate the bridge? So there are a lot of open
questions here. Sadly, tragically, people died. But having said
that, working strictly on Occam's razor, I would say hold off. There's a lot to assume. It very
well could have been some cyber attack, but I see that in all the possible scenarios as the most
unlikely, however, not impossible. They may have had some type of just absolute mechanical failure.
And obviously, this is going to be the kind of thing
we're going to want to know about in the future
because, folks, this thing was piloted.
It turns out when you enter that area,
that whole Chesapeake Bay, border Baltimore area,
the river, that area in there, which, again,
I'm very familiar with.
I lived there forever.
There are very experienced people in that channel there
who were piloting this ship.
So it's not like these were rookies and people who were unfamiliar with the water.
So to me, it's one of two scenarios. I say that and I'm going to move on.
It's either some kind of cyber attack or some kind of major mechanical or human failure. And we'll
see in the coming days. But don't accept anybody's explanation as fact unless they're going to back it up with
receipts.
I'm not doing that.
I'm not going to do some bullshit hysterical show where everybody gets roped in cyber.
I don't know that.
If I don't know what I'm going to tell you, it's called investigative reporting.
Everyone in the media should try it sometimes rather than doing the Leslie Stahl.
One other story, in addition to what happened the last few days,
last night, Sean P. Diddy Combs,
who I saw one time on the Long Island Expressway,
I think he had a Prowler.
He was driving down the LIE near Lafrak City,
and he was in the center lane next to me in a Prowler with,
remember the old Plymouth Prowler?
Do you remember that, Tony?
You were a car guy? The Plymouth Prowler? Do you remember that, Tony? You were a car guy?
The Plymouth Prowler.
He had one with the top rolled down, and he was blasting some music or whatever.
There was a search warrant at his home.
Folks, this is another one of those stories.
The search warrant is about sex trafficking.
Apparently, of course, everybody's innocent until proven guilty.
I actually believe that.
I'm just going to say, again, be cautious about that story too.
Seems awfully weird that a guy with that kind of profile, if those charges,
you know, if that's going on in mass, like why all of a sudden now?
Is it just, again, just give that to Bongino rule too.
We know there had to be some PC to swear it off to a judge,
but I would call a TO and let that story brew for a couple days
before you jump out.
I'm seeing stuff all over social media on that.
All right, getting to what I wanted to talk about today.
This is the most important lesson you're going to have this week,
maybe this month, possibly this year.
Folks, you know, I've screwed up a lot in my life,
wrote a whole book about all my failures because I'm proud of them.
Not because I failed. I'm proud because after those failures, got up, dusted off the elbows,
the knees, the ankles, my ass from falling on my back. And I got up and did something different.
I was like, okay, I failed. What did I do? Let me do something different. But the greatest gift,
one of the greatest gifts you can ever have is absolutely incompetent enemies.
you can ever have is absolutely incompetent enemies. The gift of stupid enemies is a gift that just keeps on giving. I'm not kidding. It's not a talking point. It's not some title to my
podcast to rope you in. It is absolutely true. Brother Leo, who was a guidance counselor,
the Marist brothers were in my high school. God rest his soul. He was a great man. He used to say
all the time, Dan, real men
walk alone. You are going to have enemies in your life. You understand why? Because life's a
competition. Everybody get that? If you're under 18 and listening, if you're over 18, you already
know this, and I'm not going to lecture you about your life. Who the hell am I to do that? If you're
under 18, I want you to understand this. Life's a competition. Everything. If you don't understand
that, that everything's a competition,
then take a seat because you're going to get your ass kicked in life.
But Dan, I'm a songwriter.
That's not a competition, really.
How many hours in a day?
24.
How many people are up in a day?
I don't know.
It depends.
Maybe 18, maybe 20 if they're not great sleepers.
What do you think they're doing with their time?
Reading a newspaper, watching TikTok.
Oh, so even as a songwriter,
you're competing for their time with other people.
It's a competition, brothers and sisters.
If you don't like it,
there's a seat in the corner right there.
Go sit in it.
He's like, no, there's not.
No, it's in the other room.
We moved in.
I'm serious.
In a competition, you are always going to have enemy. The best gift you can ever have is to have stupid enemies. And my gosh,
Donald J. Trump has been blessed with the dumbest enemies I have ever seen. I mean,
dumb, like strategically dumb, intellectually dumb, tactically dumb, just absolute morons. Let's go to videotape.
What did I tell you about? Guy, if you don't remember the conversation, I know you'll tell
me straight, but do you remember when this first started, the lawfare? The first step was the raid
of Mar-a-Lago and then the Twinkies case up in New York. Do you remember me using the John Gotti
analogy? Do you remember it all? Okay. I'll say it again. So if you're a P1 listener,
you may remember this. I grew up in New York. John Gotti ran a crime family. He ran the mob
in New York at a Howard beach in downtown Manhattan. Okay. He was a very powerful mobster.
Most of you know who he is. A lot of people warn the federal government, don't go after Gotti till
this case is wrapped up. Because if he wins this case
and comes out of that courtroom
going like this,
you're just going to make this guy
like a cult hero in New York.
I'm not making any jokes.
I'm just telling you
this is what a lot of people
in law enforcement
were worried about at the time.
Okay.
And I warned you
that Donald Trump
is going to come out of court one day
because he shows up everywhere
because he knows the power of what?
What are campaigns, snapshots and soundbites, amigos?
I said Donald Trump is going to come out of a courtroom because he's smart.
He's smart.
He shows up.
Why does he show up?
Because he understands because he's a New Yorker to the power.
And I'm not comparing Trump to a mobster at all.
I'm simply telling you there was an iconic image of John Gotti when he beat the government,
coming out of court with his hands up, that got all over the paper, and they did a fireworks
festival for him down at Howard Beach because they made a martyr out of him. Not judging,
just telling you how it works. And I said, if you're not going to bring a buttoned up case
against Trump, you're going to get your ass kicked. And yesterday, Letitia James got her ass kicked big time. And so did that goofball
judge, the creepy gym dude. Here is the New York appeals court ruling where they basically stayed
everything, every meaning you can't do most of what you wanted to do. Seize this, do that. It
wasn't a great day. He still has a $175 million bond to post,
but it's, you know, it's what, about 40% of the bond for $450 million he was supposed to post.
So folks, again, I'll take, you know, the, I don't want to make the perfect the enemy of the good,
but Donald Trump understands the power of the soundbite better than anything. I'm going to get to that in a second by showing you some video.
But man, the gift of stupid enemies, ladies and gentlemen.
I want to show you because I always bring receipts too.
I warned you idiots on the left.
There's the appeals court ruling, if you care to read it, by the way.
That's from our friend Viva Lafray.
So they basically stayed everything.
But damn, what evidence do you have this is backfiring in their face? Polls? That's from our friend Viva Lafray. So they basically stayed everything.
But damn, what evidence do you have this is backfiring in their face?
Polls?
What evidence does anyone have?
What we have is polls.
Why are polls what we have?
Anybody know?
Because a freaking election hasn't happened yet.
All you have is polls.
Decision desk, HQ.
Donald Trump's average favorability rating concerning his 2024 candidacy has turned positive for the first time since we began tracking.
This is great.
Always bring the receipts, baby.
You think Decision't that HQ?
Is it like a pro-Trump outlet?
Liberals, I mean, when do you get it?
How much of an ass kicking you?
Does that hurt after a while?
How many times is this guy going to kick you in the balls?
What you said on there when I said kick in the balls, I thought you were going to send me a signal. How many times are you going to kick you in the balls? What you said on there when I said kick in the balls,
I thought you were going to send me a signal.
How many times are you going to get kicked in the nuts?
Remember, you're not arguing with these people either.
For those people out there who think, oh, you know,
why are we even wasting our time with the left?
They're crazy.
You're correct.
You're not arguing with them.
You're arguing with them because there's a third person listening.
And the third person listening right now, because you've argued with
the crazy left, that's not going to change. The third person listening is changing. How do I know
that? Because I just produced the receipt for you with Decision Desk HQ about Trump's favorability
rating. Receipts matter. Look at this.
So Guy's out there playing Dungeons and Dragons.
By the way, it was not a great performance.
Guy comes back happy, finishing 45th.
I don't know.
I'm not happy about the performance.
I'm very sorry.
45th out of 450, I think we have to take the L on that.
But he just told you.
Met some guy, big Biden guy.
I saw Guy Benson tweet something too.
One of his friends who happens to be Jewish is like, I'm done with Biden.
He's like, the guy's like, I don't even like Trump.
I just can't stand Joe Biden.
You guys on the left, I don't know when you're going to get it.
I don't know when you're going to get it.
It's flesh and blood, but I'm messing with him.
It's not, that's his game.
It's not just his dreams.
You got to do better than 45th.
I'm sorry.
Watch this MSNBC guest.
This may be the longest I want without playing a video clip,
but it's important I discuss that with you.
You are not arguing with liberal idiots.
You are, but you aren't.
You're arguing for the third party listening on Twitter and Truth,
which had a big day today under DJT, the stock price.
Watch this MSNBC guest absolutely lose his marbles over Trump's bond
that he had opposed being reduced.
They're more upset that they couldn't do video of them seizing Trump Tower yesterday.
It's not even about the bond.
They wanted a chain on the front of Trump Tower so they could lock it.
That's what they wanted.
But I want you to pay very close attention to this one line. This guy was a justice official in New York. He is supposed to
be a nonpartisan actor. This BS, this BS artist. He says, hey, man, I don't care what the process
is. Holy shit, dude. Your job as a as a as a attorney general, assistant attorney general in New York was the process.
This is how crazy these people are. You're not arguing with them. You're arguing for the third person.
Watch this. Honestly, this is so infuriating. I don't even know what to do.
I don't even know if I care what the process is that these judges are arriving at.
Whatever it is, it's flawed. I can tell you that much.
I mean, David put it well.
This is a different process for this person.
It is a different process,
just not in the way you think it was.
No person in modern American history
has been prosecuted under this ridiculous statute for fraud
where there's no victim and no fraud,
according to the banks he did the business with.
So, again, these people are nuts.
He doesn't care what the process is.
What did that, did Chiron say he was the assistant attorney general in New York?
His literal job is the process, and he doesn't care.
Why?
Because he's a freaking lunatic.
That's why.
You're not arguing with this guy.
These people are straight-up communists, all of them.
They abide by a different set of rules,
which is whatever rules they make up for any given day.
You got me?
You're arguing for the third person,
and that's why Decision Desk has Trump's favorability rating positive.
It doesn't matter.
They're lunatics.
You're not going to change their mind.
I want you to watch this. It was actually from yesterday's show, but I wanted to put it in
today's show. We didn't get to it yesterday. This is Kara Swisher. It's a different cut than the one
you saw yesterday. She's a left winger. She has a very popular podcast. I want you to watch here
again how she's talking to Bill Maher. This clip is super important. This one and the Joe Rogan one
I got later. If you ever want to understand the gift of Trump's dumb enemies,
watch this clip.
Nothing they do they ever ingest, take in, and learn from.
Trump's approval rating in his polls continue to go up.
A normal person, chatsters, would do what?
A normal person, correct, would say, this shit isn't
working. Let's try something different. Not the left. I want you to watch this because this is
so indicative of the craziness you're dealing with. Why you'll never stop these people.
Trump's polls continue to go up. What do they attribute it to? Not to their bullshit. They
attribute it to, oh, this has got to be just Trump's luck. Oh yeah, he's very lucky. He's
under like 22 bullshit investigations for another such luck. Watch this. This guy is the luckiest guy in the
world. But Trump social, I mean, excuse me, Trump's fault is Trump social, but true social
just got permission to go public. Right. And so he's he's it's his stake because it's a meme stock,
a little like GameStop is worth worth $3.5 billion right now
and could go higher if people bid it up.
He definitely made a deal with the devil.
Something.
Because he always lucks out on everything.
He has the best enemies.
Look at Michael Avenatti.
Look at Fonny Willis now in Georgia.
The best enemies.
It helps him so much.
And Merrick Garland fucked it all up.
He's dithered.
Now we're probably not even going to see any of the trials.
He just always locks his way into everything.
You see how Swisher and Maher just completely,
completely have this wall up,
completely avoiding any responsibility for what's happened.
If you grew up in New York and watched the John Gotti effect,
where the boss of a crime family became like this cult hero in New York,
you understand exactly what's happening.
And I'm not comparing Trump to this mob guy at all.
I'm just speaking of the psychology of this martyr effect that is very real.
They're just too stupid to figure it out
and so thirsty for his political blood
that they just can't stop.
And when they're confronted with polls,
favorability ratings, what do they do?
Oh, it's his luck.
Oh yeah, it's lucky, so lucky.
$175 million bond for a crime you didn't commit.
It's just luck.
What a bunch of morons.
I'm going to take a quick break.
I'm going to show you.
You know, Lawrence Tribe, this left-wing lunatic lawyer,
this guy's a lawyer.
And again, like the other lawyer I showed you before,
just a total meltdown, no self-reflection whatsoever at all.
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All right, look at his tweet.
This guy, again, is a lawyer.
Lawrence Tribe.
He's a lawyer.
This guy, his whole job, like the other guy I showed you on MSNBC,
that lunatic, his whole job is what?
Process. Understanding process. That's what the law is. Okay you on MSNBC, that lunatic, his whole job is what? Process.
Understanding process.
That's what the law is.
Okay? When you're a doctor and a surgeon, your job is what?
To cut people and fix them.
Your job isn't to do psychological experiments on them, okay?
This guy doesn't get it.
He's a lefty, so therefore he's a nut.
The New York appellate court's unexplained reduction to $175 million in a bond,
this is a travesty of justice.
Let's hope public disgust with this preferential treatment will come back to bite Trump politically.
Bro, the only person whose ass is getting bit politically is you.
That's you.
You're the only one.
You're a lawyer.
Are you oblivious to facts and receipts?
Folks, listen, this show isn't one of these kind of sarcastic,
dopey, entertaining only shows.
I'm trying to put you all at ease.
Because a lot of people are getting really, really upset on the right,
and you should be.
The lawfare.
Again, I just want you to know this is a great country,
and not everyone is crazy.
And Trump, the more they do, the better chance we have of winning.
I want you to understand from a strict tactical perspective,
this shit is going to get like,
it's going to absolutely blow up in their face
what oh of course you could does he have pronouns too i mean and he's got the i love he's got the
scales of justice too that's freaking hilarious but travis steve just gonna bite me in the ass
now getting back to what i discussed in the beginning of the show i i yeah i'm like the
king of receipts here i I've been telling you forever
campaigns, politics, and you forget campaigns, politics in general, which includes campaigns
are only two things. If you don't understand that the show is not for you. No offense. I understand,
but we can't, we can't be friends. It's kind of like Gretchen for me and girls. We can't be
friends. We can't be friends anymore. I'm sorry. It's only snapshots and soundbites.
If you think different, it's TED Talks, 22-page papers.
You're in the wrong space.
Who is the absolute king of soundbites?
Is it Lawrence Tribe?
Is it Kara Swisher?
Is it Bill Maher?
Negativo, it is Donald J. Trump.
Why does Donald Trump go to court?
Because he's a tactical genius.
He knows every single camera around the world is going to be in court,
and he's going to have the opportunity to produce what?
Ssss.
Soundbite.
And I got to tell you, of all Donald Trump's soundbites,
this one about cash, this may be the king. They ask him how he's going to post
this collateral. This is short, but man, this is glorious. Watch this. yes you still believe campaigns are anything other than snapshots and soundbites politics
snapshots and soundbites you still, snapshots and soundbites. You still believe? That's all anybody played yesterday.
That's all anybody played because he's the king of soundbites.
You know what that reminded me?
I grew up in Queens and Wu-Tang.
Remember Cream?
Cash rules everything around me.
That's what that reminded me of.
Now you understand why white voters, non-white voters,
suburban voters are even flipping over. Young
kids are flipping over. Lawrence Tribe, he'll never get that. Thank God for stupid enemies.
Donald Trump's power too with the soundbite. It's unmatched, folks. I've never seen anything like
it. The guy comes up with this stuff out of nowhere. I know this wasn't planned,
but I'm encouraging his team again to run with this because this made its way all over social
media too. What is it? It's a soundbite. He's asked about the 472 trials he's undergoing for
various fake crimes they all made up. And how does he reframe them yesterday? And this what,
crimes they all made up. And how does he reframe them yesterday in this, what, 20 second or so soundbite? He calls them the Biden trials. Genius. Take a look.
I don't know that you're going to have the trial. I don't know how you can have a trial like this
in the middle of an election, a presidential election. And this is, again, this is a Biden
trial. These are all Biden trials because Colangelo worked for Biden. Can you imagine they take a guy out of DOJ
and they put him into the attorney general's office and then into the Manhattan DA's office
to go after Trump. These are all Biden trials. So I don't know that you're going to have
it. I think we're going to get some court rulings. Yeah.
Don't refer to them as anything else from now on. They're Biden trials. That's all they are.
That's all they are. Because why? Because Donald Trump is the king of the soundbite.
Listen, man, I showed you the Roger Scare video many times. F around and find out. They're finding
out. I'm not telling you any of this is good news. There's nothing so good news about a fake conviction and $175 million bond.
However, if you are going
to play weaponized
lawfare and weaponized
politics, then at least do
it. If you're going to try to kill the king, then
you better not freaking miss. And
you just keep missing
every time.
It's like,
the guy,
parry,
down,
duck,
elbows.
He said,
they're just amateurs on the other side.
They're sophisticated political operatives,
but they're amateurs against this guy.
He just keeps kicking their ass.
I keep bringing to you the receipts.
If Donald Trump was going down in the polls, folks,
this show would be stupid, wouldn't it?
It would just be conjecture and I'd be making it up.
Evidence doesn't matter to these people, though.
And this is the gift we have
because it does matter to the third party.
Evidence doesn't matter.
There is no amount of arguing you're going to do with the wackadoodle left
that is ever going to change your mind.
This exchange, I'm going to get this, I'm going to take a quick break,
but this exchange on the Joe Rogan show, I mean, it's about a minute and 30,
which is a little, I usually try to keep it to a minute, but it's worth it,
is probably the most telling exchange in the Trump era you're ever going to see.
is probably the most telling exchange in the Trump era you're ever going to see.
You're going to see Joe Rogan confront this, I think, NYU social psychologist guy,
so a smart guy, confront him with the actual video, what Trump says.
And the guy's still convinced he heard something different.
Forget it. You're not talking to him.
You're talking to the third party. Watch this exchange coming up coming up quick break and last break and we'll be right back a great day begins with a great night's
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All right, back to the show.
I want you to watch this exchange,
because it makes my point about why it's worth debating these people.
This might seem like a useless exchange between Joe Rogan and this NYU social psychologist.
It's not because millions of Rogan's audience is freaking enormous.
It's probably eight to 10 million listeners on any given day and in video on demand later.
The guy cannot be convinced.
Even when he's shown the video of the bloodbath gate thing,
he can't be convinced.
You know how many young kids saw this and were?
And then look at this guy and go, who's the crazy one here?
Watch this.
He was talking about China building plants.
He's talking about all these things and saying that if he doesn't get elected, it's going to be a bloodbath. It's going to be a mess. I don't think he's – I mean I think he would elaborate on that if he was saying there will be violence. I don't think that's what he's saying. I think he's saying destruction of asides. So he was talking about the economy, that's true.
And then he said, if I'm not elected, and then he makes an aside about what would happen
to the country if he... So look, we might disagree on this.
We might disagree, surely disagree on our priors...
It's surely the wrong way to say it.
Surely.
We both agree on that.
It's an unfortunate term to use.
For him to... Yes, that's right.
But it doesn't sound to me as though the media took that one out of context.
Well, I just rewatched a longer video on closed captioning.
The video we watched cuts it off right after he says bloodbath.
Oh, let's see. If I don't get elected, it's going to be a bloodbath for the whole,
that's going to be the least of it.
It's going to be a bloodbath for the country.
That'll be the least of it.
But they're not going to sell those cars.
They're building massive factories. A friend of mine, all he does is build car manufacturing plants.
Okay, so he's back on the economy.
Yeah, he was talking about the economy.
But the aside was not about the economy. The aside was him making one of these typical
asides about how important he is. All right, Joe, I think we're not going to settle this.
No, you're not going to settle it because there's absolutely no amount of evidence whatsoever.
This guy is going to accept that Trump was talking about what he was talking about,
including witnessing in the videotape of Trump talking about the car industry before and after the comment.
It doesn't matter. It doesn't matter.
Listen, a lot of people want to just get this off.
I even saw a couple of conservatives and I don't take instructions on what to talk about from anyone, by the way,
especially other influencers.
I don't care your politics.
All of us, we're not going to talk.
You don't tell me what to talk about.
This bloodbath story is hilarious.
It is the greatest gift we have ever had
because normal people see it for what it is.
They see it for insanity.
You can watch the speech yourself.
No one believes you.
And yet, no, we're just not going to agree.
Yeah, I know.
I know.
The third party's watching, folks.
That's why the poll numbers are changing.
You think they don't see this?
Watch this MSNBC clip.
Here, this is supposed to be, again, mainstream liberal journalism.
We know it's crazy. The third party knows it's crazy. Here's this guy supposed to be, again, mainstream liberal journalism. We know it's crazy.
The third party knows it's crazy.
Here's this guy, Jonathan Capehart.
Again, no evidence whatsoever.
Trump committed fraud.
There were any victims at all.
There's none.
It's a conviction on what?
Nothing.
Zero.
Here he is.
He would love to see Trump's assets taken.
You think this appeals to normal people?
They do because they just can't
get enough of themselves. Watch this. No, take the properties. If he's if any of us at the table
were in that situation, we would be in serious trouble. And, you know, it would be within the
right of the attorney general to say, you know, we're going to take your golf club or we're going
to take your we're going to take your tower club or we're going to take your tower.
And, you know, quite honestly,
I would love to see the AG,
the New York Attorney General, do that because then it would be like the most tangible sign
for the nation, the world, and for Donald Trump
that you have been held accountable.
The gift of stupid enemies.
The gift of stupid enemies.
And by the way, that includes the swamp GOP.
For our $102,000, $22,000, don't go anywhere, by the way.
My theory about why the Republicans are resigning from Congress,
now you're going to hear it from other people.
I got that coming up from Chad Pergram, who's a very, very inside baseball guy.
I got that coming up.
Don't go anywhere.
But I got a couple more of these.
The gift of dumb enemies.
I want you to listen to this.
This is Fannie Willis, who just got busted down in Georgia
doing the shh, shh, shh, shh with her boyfriend
in a humiliating trial for another case that should have never been brought.
You think this appeals to the third party?
Here she is.
No regrets whatsoever.
She could have come out and said, listen, I exercised some bad judgment,
but ultimately I believe in what I'm doing.
Donald Trump violated the law, and I want to prosec believe in what I'm doing. Donald Trump violated
the law and I want to prosecute him. I'm not telling you that's true. I'm telling you how
a normal person would do it if he wanted to appeal to the third party, not Fannie Willis,
because they're stupid. Thank you for stupid enemies. Listen to this.
I don't feel like my reputation needs to be reclaimed. Let's say it for the record. I'm
not embarrassed by anything I've done.
You know, I guess my greatest crime is I had a relationship with a man, but that's not something that I find embarrassing in any way. And I know that I have not done anything that's illegal.
No, my team's been continuing to work. And I think the media and especially organizations like
your own, I've been paying attention. All while that was going on, we were writing responsive
briefs. We were still doing the case in the way that it needed to be done. I don't feel like we've
been slowed down at all. I do think that there are efforts to slow down this train, but the train is
coming. Thank you. Fannie Willis, keep it up. Keep that train coming. Keep it coming. Keep it coming.
As I keep posting the polls of favorability ratings going up, keep it coming. Now, a guy I am definitely not a huge fan of. This is how you know you've lost
the argument. Frank Luntz, who I think we can all agree is about, there's no one swampier than this
guy. No one wants to see, I think, Trump lose worse than this cat, right? Here's Frank Luntz
on a liberal network trying to tell them, listen, idiots, this is the last one in this cat, right? Here's Frank Luntz on a liberal network trying to tell them,
listen, idiots, this is the last one in this genre, but it's important to leave it as
the swampiest guy around. You guys are feeding the Trump political machine.
Are you this stupid? Luntz, the king of the swamp. Watch this.
Folks in the Biden campaign are already starting to refer to Donald Trump as broke Don,
which is interesting. And then there is the possibility that the New York attorney general,
Letitia James, would have to start or would start seizing assets, maybe even buildings.
How do you think that would play? I want you to remember this moment.
And don't forget it. If the New York Attorney General starts to take his homes away,
starts to seize his assets, it's all going to be on camera. Pundits are going to sit there and
scream about this. This man cannot be elected. You're going to create the greatest victimhood
of 2024 and you're going to elect Donald Trump. If they take his stuff, he's going to say that this is proof that the federal government and the establishment and the swamp in Washington and all the politicians across the country and the attorneys generals and all of this, that this is a conspiracy to deny him the presidency.
He's going to go up in the polls just like he went up every single time they indicted him imagine on cnn being and still going they can't stop they can't stop folks on a serious note
um you know that i've been through a lot lately obviously but you know life goes on and it's not
a sob story we all go through a lot of stuff every day you know whatever get
through it but i gotta tell you i know donald trump a little differently it's not a name dropping
thing because i really don't care about that and i don't think you do either but donald trump's just
a different guy i've told you stories you know 5 10 15 times when i was going through stuff in my
life and i get a call from Trump.
He's typically the only one.
That's just the kind of guy he is.
But in case you think I'm making this up because I'm a Trump supporter, I'm trying to get him elected or something.
Dana White is not a particularly political guy.
He runs the UFC, but he likes Donald Trump.
They have a relationship going back to Atlantic City when they had a tough time finding a
venue for the UFC.
This is decades ago, 20 years ago. And Donald Trump said to Dana, I'll take care of you. Come
do it at the Trump Taj Mahal, which I went to. I went to one of those events. And Dana White is the
most loyal guy out there. He was on a podcast, about a minute cut, but this is a great, great
cut about who Donald Trump really is. He talks about the only time he's ever seen Donald Trump beat up. And let me just tell
you, I can attest to this. All this crap
they're doing, the lawfare, the Twinkies
case, the Fannie Lewis case,
the Letitia James case,
all this crap, whenever you talk
to them, folks, you would never guess
this guy's the subject of a weaponized
police state investigation because he never acts like it.
Except for this one
time he spoke to dana
check this out i'll call him on the phone as a friend and be like hey you good how you doing
unfazed unfazed like nothing's going on and he'll start talking to me about this and that and all
this other shit one time there's only been one time i've to me about this and that and all this other shit. One time. There's only been one time.
I've never talked about this publicly.
But one time I called him and he was not good.
He was a mess.
And I've never heard him like that.
And I've never seen him like that when Ivana died.
The only time I've ever seen him fucked up. Obviously, as soon as I heard it, I reached out and
I have never. Look at all the stuff that's gone on with Trump, all the bad stuff that they say,
they're trying to attack him, they're trying to ruin him, unfazed. I called him that day and he
was, that's the first time I've ever seen that guy busted up and not good.
Hat tip, Lex Friedman's podcast on that.
But yeah, man, folks, that's exactly who he is.
All right, I wanted to get to something different,
shifting gears here a minute.
I've been warning you over and over
and hat tip to a bunch of my friends on social media,
one on podcasts and everything.
They're calling this the Bongino theory.
It's not my theory.
It's just something I picked up by
reading the newspapers, reading the online outlets. It's not a particularly complicated one either.
Why are Republican swamp members of Congress leaving, but leaving at strategic times? The
answer is very clear. It's for a number of reasons. And I told you those reasons yesterday.
The swamp GOP wants to stop Donald Trump from being president. So they're leaving so they can turn the gavel over to Democrat Hakeem Jeffries.
Republicans are doing that. Yes. That's why they're leaving at strategic times like Mike
Gallagher and others. Right. And a couple, you know, people have been messaging me, oh,
tell Gallagher to stay and all this other stuff. The guy's a phony, a fake and a fraud.
If he wants to be known for that for the rest of his life, then you do what you want. I'm not trying to talk these
losers into anything. They want to turn this house over to Speaker Hakeem Jeffries. They want to make
sure in a new Congress where there's a Democrat incumbent, where they have an advantage, that if
they pick the president in a three-way race, no one gets to 270, that Speaker Hakeem Jeffries is
in charge. That's the second reason. And Speaker Hakeem Jeffries is in charge.
That's the second reason.
And the third reason swampy Republicans are leaving
is so Democrats can pass a bill about insurrectionists
to try to prevent Trump from taking a seat in the White House.
If that's hard for you to believe
that they're trying to turn this over,
don't take it from me that this is a possibility.
Take it from Chad Pergram. Why?
He's a straight news reporter. This is not an opinion thing, but his Twitter feed is absolutely
gold on this because nobody, I know this guy from Fox. We're not close friends or anything.
Nobody knows more about Congress than this guy. You think I'm making this up that the house could
change hands? He's at Chad Per pergram i strongly encourage you to follow him
you'll get the straight news on it he talks about exactly how speaker hakeem jeffries could take the
gavel before election day in case you think this is some crazy damn bongino thing he notes there's
a special election in new york that democrats are expected to hold that seat. So that would be a net pickup of one.
That's coming up.
So he goes that he says here, excuse me, that means the House would have 431 members, but
216 Republicans and 214 Democrats.
Republicans may secure, he notes, a little breathing room after a May 21st California
election to succeed Kevin McCarthy.
That will likely go the GOP's way.
But he notes Fox is told other Republicans are fed up
and could leave before the end of Congress.
Some are just exasperated.
Oh, you're exasperated?
Keep that up.
Keep that up.
Tony, some are exasperated.
Can you imagine this?
You're an HVAC guy installing your HVAC system in the 90-degree Florida heat,
and these wussbag chump losers are, oh, we're exasperated.
Shut up.
Get your ass, your nuts, your ankles, and your shoulders to work
and go to work, you freaking lazy bums.
You're exasperated?
What?
You're exasperated?
My mom died last week.
I was back to work on Monday.
Get your ass to work.
You know, it's others don't want to face reporters,
peppering them in the halls with questions about President Trump.
Oh, horrible job.
How do you guys do it?
How do you think the local electrician, how do you think he feels?
We got a shout-out, by the way, for Local 98 in Philly,
the electricians up there.
They reached out to Producer Jim.
How do you think they feel, the electricians?
They feel busted in their ass.
They got to leave their work boots outside,
all their chemicals and shit.
They're breathing in all day, installing wires and bills.
How do you think they feel?
Oh my gosh, I got to take a question in the hallway?
I'm leaving my job.
Oh, I want to say something so bad.
Guy said it right.
Guy nailed it.
Guy said, surely they're definitely not paid enough for this awful job they have.
Folks, can you imagine how horrible this is?
You got to have your ass kicked all day for $200,000,
kissed all day for $200,000 a year while people come up and,
oh, Mrs. Lobby is so-and-so.
Can I talk to you?
Oh, so horrible.
Oh, you got to go to a chicken dinner once in a while,
give a speech while people kiss your ass.
It's so terrible. Again, you think this can't happen? dinner once in a while, give a speech while people kiss your ass. It's so terrible.
Again, you think this can't happen?
Here's the second part of his tweets.
By the way, this is five tweets and two screens.
I'm trying to make it easy for you.
This is why House Democratic Caucus Chairman Pete Aguilar, a Democrat, characterized House Minority Leader Jeffries as the leader of the Congress last week.
What?
He notes his title may not be Speaker of the House, said Aguilar,
but he has the votes and he has the confidence of a significant portion of members.
Pergram leaves us with this.
But if a few more Republicans step down at this rate,
Hakeem Jeffries could be Speaker of the House before it's all over.
Of course, if you're a P1 listener, you knew this three weeks ago.
But I thought it was a conspiracy theory.
Yes, Chad Pergram, noted conspiracy theorist at Fox.
Guy can't play it any straighter.
You think it's crazy?
They're stepping down to do this to you.
Because the job is hard.
They have to take questions in the hallway.
They're exasperated.
Exasperated.
Imagine you, right?
You're out there in the winter in Wisconsin,
campaigning for Mike Gallagher.
Wisconsin winners.
I'm not from Wisconsin.
Anybody in the chat from Wisconsin?
Simple yes will do.
Is it cold in the winter?
Tony, you ever been in Wisconsin?
I've been from Michigan.
Is Michigan kind of the same general reason?
Is it cold in the winter?
Yeah, yeah, hell yeah.
You're knocking on doors to get
Mike Gallagher elected and he's leaving because he's exasperated or he doesn't want to take
questions. Or I love the, Oh, it's for family. Really family. Like I said, I just lost my mama
from back to work on Monday. Why? Because that's what you do. You go back to work. What's your,
I'm just saying, what's your excuse? What's, what's your thing? You realize, Guy, you remember this story from a couple weeks ago?
Who was the guy?
Do you remember they wheeled in for a vote?
Folks, you remember this?
They wheeled this dude in from the hospital.
You remember the story, right?
Am I crazy?
They wheeled him in a wheelchair.
The dude, they brought him in from the hospital in a wheelchair.
The Democrats to vote.
Because why?
You don't have to like him, but you damn well better respect them or you will get your
ass kicked, okay?
The Democrats will wheel a dude in from the hospital.
I think it was Al Green for a freaking vote, but Republicans are leaving early.
It was Al Green, right?
Thank you.
He just, Al Green,
recovering from abdominal surgery.
Democrats?
This is what they did.
Right in the wheelchair.
Rolled them right in.
There it is.
Rushed the Capitol for impeachment vote in scrubs.
In scrubs.
And what are these wussbag, chump, coward losers
doing on our side?
I'm exasperated.
I don't want to take questions in the hallway.
Folks, I don't like the Democrats.
You better respect them.
No, no, you better respect them.
That's balls.
Yes, it is.
In scrubs.
You will always lose. Yes, it is. In scrubs. You will always lose.
That shit is evil.
But make no mistake, you better damn well respect it.
They rolled him in there in scrubs, dude.
Scrubs.
In a wheelchair.
And Mike Gallagher's leaving because they're exasperated.
Take questions.
Folks, this is no time for BS, man.
You better be really careful in the coming weeks
because I'm very convinced and have been for a long time
that before this election, and I pray and I hope'm, I'm, I pray and I hope,
and I pray every night, father, thank you for the opportunities you put in front of me,
the roof over my head, the food in my stomach. I, uh, listen, man, I, I, the microphone you've
given me, I thank him every night and I pray this doesn't happen. But if there was ever a
situation of a liminy snickets and a series of unfortunate events. If there was ever going to be a black swan event, this is going to be the time.
I am getting a little bit concerned right now because I don't want to be dramatic.
About Vladimir Putin and the rhetoric after that tragic terror attack in Moscow.
I don't know who did it.
It's OK in the media to tell your listeners you don't know, especially when you don't know who did it. It's okay in the media to tell your listeners you don't know,
especially when you don't know.
ISIS-K is supposedly taking responsibility.
Who started this thing?
Who financed it?
How did they get as far as they did in the Russian police state?
These are all open questions.
But Vladimir Putin, as I said to you yesterday,
using the opportunity to blame the Ukrainians and now hinting this morning with U.S. intelligence assistance, while the French were just threatened by Vladimir Putin for putting, you know, are threatening to put French troops on Russian soil, whatever.
Russian soil, whatever. This is all getting really ugly really fast.
Thanks to producer Jim for the translation.
I want you to listen to this. I want
you to be very careful in the coming weeks.
No matter how many legitimate beefs
we have with what Ukraine
may have been up to with the funding and some
internal corruption,
if you're hands down trusting this guy,
you're out of your mind.
This guy will do anything right now,
and I'm getting very concerned. Listen
to this. Using various channels, the USA is trying to convince its satellites and other countries
that according to their intelligence, there's no Kiev traces in the Moscow terror attack.
That the bloody attack was carried out by Islam followers, members of ISIS,
the bloody attack was carried out by Islam followers, members of ISIS, an organization banned in Russia. We know by whose hands this crime against Russia and its people was committed.
We want to know who ordered it.
Be careful here. There are a number of scenarios it could be true. Just apply the Bongino rule.
I'm just going to tell you right now, if U.S. intelligence legitimately knew this was an ISIS K-op and gave it to Moscow,
if, if, then it's in Vladimir Putin's interest to frame this as a U.S. intel operation with Ukraine,
or else he looks dumb or weak.
Dumb for ignoring the threat or weak for letting it happen.
Just be cautious and be very cautious because this could happen here.
We have an open border.
Biden has allowed it.
You have no idea who's here.
Is it four, five, six guys, depending on the level of planning and who was into it,
pulled this attack off and killed over 100 people in Moscow.
You don't think there are people here now?
I want you to listen.
It's about 20 seconds.
Here's this army colonel, clearly was in the intel space saying, hey, man, listen, this absolutely could happen here.
Take a look.
Last year, right around this time last year, we submitted to Congress, it's public, it's on the Center Armed Services Committee
website, that ISIS-Korazon, the outward-facing element of ISIS, could attack and wanted to attack
inside of Eastern Europe in the beginning part of 2024, and then inside the United States by the
end of 2024. So they have aims to attack inside the United States.
They have global aims.
And we believe the intelligence was leading
that they would have the capability
by the end of this calendar year.
Folks, we got an open border.
I assure you Russia's borders, although vast, are not open. We have an open
border. We have no idea who's here. Marco Rubio, who according to multiple folks, by the way,
not friends, I haven't spoken to anyone personally, but I've seen it just kind of strolling around,
is apparently in one of the finalists for the VP selection. I don't know how true that is or not,
but Marco Rubio is our
senator down here from Florida. He had a couple of comments on exactly this. Who the hell is here
right now, folks? This could happen any minute. Is this going to be? Listen to this and ask
yourself, is this going to be the black swan before the election? We all better pray it isn't.
But the chances are sadly greater than they should be because of Biden's open border policies.
Watch this. Look, think about it this way. If you're ISIS, you want to attack the United States.
You say we've got to get 10 people in there to do an attack. Well, it's easy.
Let's just send them across the southern border. We already traffic people for money.
Let's just stick 10 of them in there with fake passports.
These guys can buy you can buy passports like dozens of countries that you can buy a document that says you're so and so.
And it's an official government document you bribe somebody for.
Now you're inside of America. And it only took four people to do what they did in Moscow.
We've had nine million something people that have entered this country unlawfully and illegally.
It only takes four to do this kind of carnage.
Folks, I want you to be very careful in the coming days and weeks.
OK, I'm begging you. Be very, very
cautious about the information warfare going on right now, okay? Yes, many things can be true at
the same time, okay? Vladimir Putin and the war over there in Ukraine, we can keep an eye on where
American dollars and American weapons go and be skeptical of certain funding decisions, and that's fine.
But I want you to be very, very careful. There are only two intelligence services that are really
at the tip of the spear in running disinformation campaigns. That's us and the Russians.
So be very careful. If something happens here,
accepting the first story is typically accepting the first line of bullshit.
And remember, the left will use anything to try and prop up their guys.
I wouldn't be surprised if there's an attack in the United States and the left.
Sadly, this is one of those things you're going to have to mark down, folks.
Sadly, the left winds up blaming Vladimir Putin, even though, say, it was an attack at the border
by someone who crossed illegally
and he had nothing to do with it.
There is an information war going on right now.
Be very cautious.
And by the way, I'd like to debunk
another so-called conspiracy theory.
Remember the conspiracy theory that
it's not like liberals are arguing
for illegal immigrants to vote.
Look at this.
Look at this. Look at this.
We'll end the show with this one.
New York Post.
New York City Council asked the state's highest court to allow non-citizens to vote in local elections.
Oh, my gosh.
Look at that.
Another conspiracy theory goes down.
Dan Bongino, we're like 1,000 for 1,000 on conspiracy theories.
It's so crazy.
But the public benefit.
There is no public,
the only public benefit is they get more liberals elected.
Read this in the newsletter,
Bongino.com slash newsletter.
Send it to your friends who are like,
we're not arguing for illegals to vote.
Really, what's the headline about?
You think they made that up?
You think they made that up?
All right, folks, thanks again for tuning in.
I really appreciate it.
Please download the Rumble app and take a look.
You know, Donald Trump's stock for True Social went public today under the ticker DJT.
So it's going to make him a very wealthy guy with True Social, which is an amazing platform.
Congratulations to Devin Nunes, Donald Trump, and the entire team over there that made this day possible.
Good luck with that, guys.
Download the Rumble app.
Watch my show every day at 11 a.m. Join us
in the live chat earlier than that. Just
set up an account. It's free. Rumble.com
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I'll see you in the radio show in a little bit. Back here
tomorrow.
You just heard the Dan
Bongino Show.