The Dan Bongino Show - This Explains Everything (Ep. 2591)

Episode Date: September 9, 2026

In this episode, I remember the traumatic 9/11 terrorist attacks and how they shaped President Trump and his present policies. 1776 Live Club: No purchase necessary. Must be 18+ legal resident of (50) U.S. or D.C. Ends 12/18/26. See rules at https://Bongino.com/1776. Void where prohibited. Find the video podcast of The Dan Bongino Show exclusively on Rumble at https://Rumble.com/bongino As Social Security fund runs dry, some Republicans say it’s time to raise taxes https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2026/09/08/social-security-fund-runs-dry-some-republicans-say-its-time-raise-taxes/ Socialism and the Dumbest Generation https://www.wsj.com/opinion/socialism-and-the-dumbest-generation-687024bf Federal Workforce Down 11.2% Since Trump Took Office https://www.breitbart.com/economy/2026/09/04/federal-workforce-down-11-2-since-trump-took-office/ Sponsors: Helix Sleep - https://helixsleep.com/dan Patriot Mobile - https://patriotmobile.com/bongino - code: bongino American Financing - https://americanfinancing.net/bongino - NMLS 182334, nmlsconsumeraccess.org. APR for rates in the 5s start at 6.327% for well qualified borrowers. Call 888-994-7600 for details about credit costs and terms. Visit AmericanFinancing.net/Bongino. Average savings based on borrowers who save over $199.99 DeleteMe - https://joindeleteme.com/bongino - code: bongino Ethos - https://ethos.com/bongino Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

All America all the time. Sit down, buckle up, and get ready for The Dan Bongino Show. Folks, I really can't believe it's been 25 years. And when I say I can't believe it, I say that because I really can't believe it. It's hard for me to process that it's been 25 years since 9-11. And these two events are going to be forever tied together in my mind, not just because obviously the dates, you know, our good friend Charlie being murdered on 9-10 last year. But I was headed to the 9-11 ceremony as your FBI deputy director to recognize the sacrifices made by so many American heroes and patriots who died on that day and others who died later as well.

I was headed there when obviously the day prior I'm sitting there in my office watching. on screen, you know, was it Sandra Smith at Fox as this went down, put her head in her hand, and no one could believe it. It's just these events are forever going to be tied together for me, even though they happened, you know, two decades plus apart. It was just horrifying. And the vivid snapshots from that day, I think everyone who was alive and sentient when that happened, even if you were a little kid, six or seven, but you know, childhood amnesia was over and you remember you just, it was pre-9-11 and post-9-11, like nothing was. the same. Nothing. And they're not, the, the memories are so vivid and tattooed on my brain that when I

think about it, I remember, you know, like even the smells in the air as you drove into New York, because we were out in Long Island on that day. I was a young agent with the Secret Service. I've got Captain Seth Cashel coming on later. I'm going to talk about that. I've also got a powerful tribute outside the White House that tunnel that towers put on, which I can't thank him. because we can never forget this. You know, I've heard people say over and over, you know, the farther we get from 9-11, the closer we get to like a 9-10-type thinking

before 9-11 happened. And that was the week I met Paula, too. It's just like the event was just so jarring and scarring in my life with many of you. I've got that. I've got a lot more. And also what it's like when a commander-in-chief doesn't act. Because Donald Trump has acted.

You may not like it. In a republic, you have the freedom and the liberty to disagree with the commander-in-chief does with your vote when you put him in power, that's your right. But I just want you to remember that history remembers quite poorly, presidents and commanders in chief, commanders and chief, who failed to act that led to things like 9-11. It's not happening on his watch, not this president.

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Ding, ding. Folks, we can never forget because if we do forget and we detach ourselves from the horror of that day, we're going to make the same mistakes over again. We're going to continue to, I hate the term, kick the can down the road

because I think it's an oddly overused cliche and it's just worn out. However, it's easier for some presidents without the backbone of President Trump to say, well, I don't want to have, have to make that decision because it's going to affect me politically right now. I am going to kick that thing down the road. Let the next guy do it and hope history doesn't blame me.

Well, that's a failure's way out of it because history will blame you, I promise. When the rose-colored glasses of the left-wing media disappear and the full story's written about 9-11, I promise you, Bill Clinton's failure to act in many different scenarios is going to be looked at harshly by historians. Again, when they get the pro-democrat, Democrat rose-colored glasses are off. President Trump is not going to make that mistake. I'll show it to you what receipts coming up in a minute. He also had direct experience with 9-11.

I want to play this for you first. There was a tunnel to towers put in just an amazing, powerful tribute outside the White House. This is the kind of thing, you know, the folks, the faces matter. Sometimes, you know, we see the names and it doesn't always hit you like a picture. We're human visual creatures, man. these people were all these heroes. These heroes were running, running, running towards this apocalyptic disaster when everyone else was understandably running away.

Look at all their faces. These are dads, uncles, baseball coaches, best friends, their spouses. Again, it's just hard to believe it's been 25 years. I just can't get out of my head, you know, when I was, a young police officer in the emergency services truck seven that used to turn out out of the seven five precinct i worked in they lost so many guys that they that's their new york and mypd swat team and i just used to think to myself often it was almost haunting like how many guys i walked by in the parking lot of seven five precinct and esu truck seven that are no longer with us

i must have passed them over and over and over again they're no longer here and then you've got Just destructive. I mean, you've got this thing with Mamdami. Like, did this guy do this on purpose? So Mamdani is signing this 9-11 proclamation, and he has a pen. And he decides to pass off the pen. Is this on purpose? Mom, look at this in New York Post.

Mom, Donnie hands a symbolic 9-11 pen to a lawyer who once represented an al-Qaeda terrorist. You know, again, this isn't like 9-10 thinking. This is just like I saw what happened on 9-11, and I care so little. I didn't even think to do my homework or I did on who I handed this 9-11 pen to. He's like, it's crazy coincidence, right? Mamdami should not show his face anywhere near the 9-11 Memorial. Folks, I was up there last year. Ken, we went to the 9-11 Memorial and Cash and I got right back on the plane and flew

out to the site where Charlie was murdered to get an on-scene update of what was going on with the investigation. And folks, I'm going to tell you're sitting there at that 9-11 or standing there at that 9-11 Memorial where we were right at a tent, right, and you're listening to the names. It, as you see the families come up. And some of these, the folks up there are older now. They're in their 30s. They were little kids when this happened. And you can't get over it. Just like every story and they don't get to say a lot because there's so many names, if it's, there's one thing I recommend you do before you pass from God's wonderful earth he gave us. I would suggest you go there for that.

And for everyone, you know, crapping on Donald Trump about national security decisions he's made as the commander in chief. Listen, I get it. As I've said many times, I said it on yesterday's show and I meant it, that there's a healthy debate about allocating our troops to combat who could come back, you know, injured, dead, mentally scarred. That is a good thing that us as a party and us as U.S. citizens scrutinize all those decisions. But President Trump has to make level 10 decisions every day. I've told you about level 10 decisions often. Their decisions, no one else has had the capability to make because there's a bad decision and a worse decision. And what does it do? It gets kicked up the chain.

I had level 10 decisions. When I couldn't figure out, I gave him to cash. He then gave him to the AG. couldn't figure the math they gave him the chief of staff the chief of staff couldn't figure it out it went to president trump's desk can you imagine the level 10 decisions he's thinking about but i just encourage you to keep in mind the context by which he's making these decisions about iran nuclear powers russia and elsewhere he's not going to let another 9-11 happen here not on his watch because he was down there on 9-11 and as a new yorker i remember this well he went down and he he understood the obviously the gravity the situation and just wanted to do whatever he could to provide a hand to the rescue workers who were down there. In case you missed it, he put this house yesterday. This is how much this kind

of scarred him moving forward. And I think it's a lot of the bedrock about why he makes the national security decisions. He does now. Check this out. Do you know how they're reacting to this? Because emotionally, this must be so incredibly difficult. Well, there are a lot of them, but they've never seen bodies like this. The bodies all over. I mean the great thing is when they find somebody that's alive like the five firemen that they just found a little while ago. So that's the great thing and that's what they're all striving for. But generally speaking, that's not what the case. That's not the case.

So they are working very, very hard, but it's a very depressing situation for these folks. As you walked around and as you saw the piles of rubble, there are thousands of families out there who are hoping that someone might be in a pocket somewhere still alive, still breathing, waiting to be dug up. As you assess that damage from your perspective, do you believe that's possible? Well, I would certainly not want to be the one to say it's not possible. Certainly it's a tough situation, but you can't give up hope because there's always hope. I mean, the five men, I'm sure their families thought that they probably were gone and now they walk in the door, a couple of them walked away after they were dug out. So there probably are some more people in there and therefore you can't give up hope. It was a very depressing scene, but I'll tell you what, you really

can take heart. These firemen and policemen and the construction workers equally, the courage they have is unbelievable. I mean, they're working, digging out and lifting up steel, and above them, you have 55-story buildings that are very possibly going to be pouring down on them any minute, and they're working like nothing's wrong. I mean, they're amazing. Folks, this was obviously a scarring and jarring moment for all of us. None of us were the same and went through it. I can just tell you, being in New York, the experience was really traumatic for a lot of people, not just because of the proximity to the attack,

but if you lived in New York, and I used to drive into Manhattan all the time for work, we had a field office, a Secret Service office in Seven World Trade Center, which collapsed, obviously, that day as well. We had the 9th and 10th floor. But when I would drive to work, if you came down the east side or west side highway,

me typically on the east side of Manhattan, Manhattan runs north-south, so there's highways on both sides. It's just shaped, you know, like a cylinder, basically, with thin ends at the top. When you would come down the east side highway coming in from Long Island, Brooklyn, or Queens where I would come from, you couldn't miss the World Trade Center.

It was impossible to miss. You could see it from the bridge. And when you came down the east side highway, obviously as you get closer, the buildings would get bigger and bigger and bigger, just, you know, obviously a matter of just common sense perspective. I say that because when I drove in, in there, I think it was the next day after the buildings had come down. And you couldn't get that

close because downtown was a mess. It was like you lost someone special almost. I know they were buildings, but you drove into Manhattan and it was just this big, empty hole in the skyline. That's what the president's talking about before he was the president. People were never the same after that. And regardless of what you think about the president as a national security official who worked for him in the honor of a lifetime, I can tell you something, if you think he's going to screw around and he's sitting there and doesn't have American priorities first when it comes to national security, you're out of your mind. Here's just a quick 30 seconds about what he said yesterday. Right outside the White House, they had a presentation right about the time we were on the air yesterday,

so I didn't get to see a lie, but he was President Trump on the precious memory of these precious families that lost souls that day on 9-11. Check this out. On 9-11, nearly 3,000 precious souls were stolen from us, killed by evil terrorists at the World Trade Center, the Pentagon, and on flight 93. All of these years later, we gather on another Tuesday morning in September to reaffirm the sacred vow. We made a quarter of a century ago.

We will never forget. We say it and we mean it. We will never forget. Those we lost and we will never forget the immortal heroes of September 11th, 2001. It scarred the man. I've heard it right from him. Scard the man. Folks, history won't be kind to presidents who don't take the action.

President Trump said it took when it comes to Iran and elsewhere, when he had the body of intelligence in front of him he had. I was there. I saw it. I know if you're going to accuse me of being some global interventionist, and warmonger, you're just full of crap, just beat feet out of here. There's no evidence at all. I actually ran for office on a different platform. I'm telling you, having seen the portfolio of intelligence about what was possible

and what they were looking at doing, if he would have sat there and punted the football, kicked the can down, or whatever the hell you want to say, and something were to happen in two or three years, I promise you the very same people critiquing him over taking action against Iran's nuclear program, be the first one to blame him if there was a freaking mushroom cloud over New York City. Being the commander-in-chief is hard. There's a tendency, again, sometimes are people in leadership, I've said often,

to want to over-explain yourself, and you can't. Those who believe and trust it in your leadership don't need an explanation, those who hate you and aren't looking for an explanation anyway because they want to criticize you, nothing you say will matter. You have to make really hard decisions that you can't always explain. I don't know the feeling like he does,

but I do know the feeling. And it happens. Now, on this show, I'm going to give you both sides because we are involved in a national security crisis right now in Iran and elsewhere. Yes, there has been a bump in oil crisis. The New York Post covered it yesterday. There's no doubt about that while we reestablished control in the strait

and we defang the Iranian regime. There's no question about that. That was not a politically appetizing decision. It was clearly a level 10 decision from President Trump, who was definitely told a couple of times, like, hey, if we do this, you know, although we'll be hopefully mitigating a massive 9-11-like crisis from happening in the future, it may not, it will cost you possibly electorally by gas prices going up temporarily.

And he understood that. But I'm here to give you both sides. If that's the only thing you're voting on and not the commander in chief's decision and reason and judgment to act when he did, for Intel, I'm telling you, was not great at all. if that's the only thing then there's nothing I can do to help you. However, if you have an open mind and you've found my show, the Ambogino show here, whether on radio or podcast, because you feel like we give a reasoned analysis of both sides of a problem.

Here's the other side. I just gave you the downside. There's others as well. We've lost people. That's the biggest downside of all. You know, the gas prices are far distant second to that. But Will Chamberlain interviewed a great guest on some of the things that have come out of this Iran decision by President Trump

to mitigate another 9-11 like crisis from happening in the United States, even though it was not politically palatable to many people. And he did it anyway. Because of, you see how I set this whole thing up, because he saw 9-11. He was there at the site. You saw the video. It deeply impacted him.

Here's Richard Goldberg with Will Chamberlain discussing what came out of the Iran word. Now you listen to this. I put the portfolio of information in front. front of you, you decide if you support or not. I'm not here to tell you how to think. I'm only here to give you the facts. Check this out. What does that mean? It means he's taken out their infrastructure to produce fissile material, the enrichment sites, the ability to create 90% weapons-grade uranium, the ability to race quickly to a nuclear bomb between U.S. and Israeli targeting the actual knowledge base to build that bomb, people who were working on weaponization,

as far as nuclear scientists are indeed labs, and then the entire supply chain of how you go from digging up raw uranium, milling it and converting it into a usable form for enrichment, all of those pieces along the way, upstream, midstream, destroyed or heavily degraded as well. So the nuclear program itself set back by years. Now, there are residual sites you talk about and material buried in certain places that are talked about, but they were at the one yard line from an ability to race across the nuclear threshold. They're not on the field anymore.

Show is called Counterweight with Will Chamberlain. I like Will. Counterweight's a good way to look at it. We should always wait our decisions based on this fact and that fact, put them together and process and output. But, you know, doing the NPC thing that a lot of doom and gloomers want to put out there, I'm not doing that. I'm never doing on that show.

I'm never doing it on the show, period. End the story. There's no one's ever going to convince me into, you know, falling for adjut, prop, propaganda, a lot of it financed by foreign governments, ever. I'm going to look at the information, apply the Bongino rule, take 24 to 72 hours to process it and produce an output. Folks, with the sad anniversary of Charlie's death coming up to, reminded me that history is not only not going to be kind to presidents, commanders in chief who do not, who do not act because they're worried more about politics

than a mushroom cloud over D.C. or New York. But they will not be kind to the anti-anti-communist crowd either and not be kind to us if we let them win. I'll show you what I mean coming up next with regards to a protest over Charlie. We've reached seriously peak insanity with this adjutop online. It's got people between Lindsay Clancy, Charlie, and elsewhere. It's got people going crazy.

Some of this stuff I think, when you get, when you grow, a little bit older, are you ever going to look back and say, gosh, I actually tweeted that? I think you will. Quick break, I'll show you what I mean with a Newsweek story coming up next day. Everyday expenses keep climbing high credit card interest isn't making life any easier. If your budget's feeling squeezed lately, there's a smarter way to take back control. If you're a homeowner, your home equity is your best financial tool. American financing can help you consolidate high interest credit card debt so you have some breathing room.

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Thanks to delete me. Check them out. I want to place one last video first from an administration that tells you hard truths when they understand the politics are not great. I thought, you know, some of these folks out there who are the doom and gloom cloud, some of them tell you they're America first. But yet when we see America first things, like Americans getting rid of a Venezuelan dictator and taking a stake in oil that could lower gas prices for Americans,

they object to that too. Like, which one is it? Here's Rubio talking about what's happening right now in Venezuela, where we're unquestionably, if we get control and custody of some of these oil reserves, would benefit Americans, the American economy, and you get some people who are still complaining about it. Which one is it?

We America first or not? Check this out. The U.S. governments, interested in extracting resources, or descending... No, well, what I would say to anyone who's concerned that the U.S. is doing something negative towards the Western Hemisphere as regards to energy is those oil fields, the way once dominated by China and Russia and Iran, by the way, Iran also had some concessions,

and they're no longer there. So I think they're much better off partnering with the United States. They will benefit greatly from it. These fields were in many cases nonproductive. In essence, the Chinese and Russian companies held these fields but never turned them into anything. These fields are going to be productive, and they're going to generate royalties and revenues for the Venezuelan people, eventually through a democratically elected government, hopefully sooner rather than later and directly benefit the people Venezuela as opposed to going into

the pocket of some corrupt government official or in the hands of American and Venezuela adversaries, really. Now, I have no objections to that. Justin, any objections? So either China or Russia get the oil and Venezuelan communists who like to kill us, murder us, put people in jail, or we get the oil and assist them and assist them, the Venezuelans, and building back their own economy so we don't have a global adversary in our atmosphere. I don't understand what the downside is. What do you want us to read to Mesop's fables at night, too?

I mean, the world is full of level 10 decisions. Give the oil to China and Russia or Venezuelan commies, or do something at home and act and take on the political consequences of a tough decision. I'm with them on that one. What's not America first about that? Folks, the lens of history, again, isn't kind to people who fail to act. It may be palatable now.

You may save yourself in a midterm by making. making cheap decisions that are not the right ones, the easy ones and not the right ones, but long term, when those glasses come off and people look at it, with their eyes wide open, clockwork orange style, they look back and they say, that guy sucked and wasn't a leader if they don't do the right thing.

I'm not letting that happen. And we are definitely not letting the Democrat Socialists and the now far-left radical Democrats take over our government in these midterms. Now, we are going to get out there and we're going to vote. I don't know what we're going to do. I can't predict the future polling is all over the place.

All I'm telling you is the guaranteed way to lose is to not show up and not bring 10 people with you. This is what we're fighting. We are fighting the anti-anti-communists. For those of you who are P-1s in my show, you know this term, P-1 listeners. If not, I'm going to explain it to you now because it's critical you get this, because I get this question all the time. You know, Dan, I don't understand the Democrats, socialists, the liberals, the progressives. They'll go and, you know, ally themselves with Iran. They'll throw gays off buildings. I thought they were big gay rights activists. They are not. They are anti-anti-communists. You are the anti-communists. You are the anti-communists.

You hate communism, correct? I'm an anti-communist. Justin's an anti-communist. The left needs to get you out of the way to take power. They don't care about immigrants, illegal immigrants, gay, lesbian, transgender, LGBTQI, but they don't care about any of that. They just care about getting people out of the way or obstacles to them obtaining and abusing power. Therefore, David Horowitz, God rest his soul,

Harowitz wrote this book, Unholy Alliance, and he talks about often this concept of the anti-anti-communist. how the left are just anti-communist. They're just against you if you're in their way fighting communism. That's it. That's how you get stories like this in Newsweek. Like what kind of sick mind do you have to come up with? On the anniversary of an American patriot,

Charlie Kirk being brutally murdered, facing protests, we will not stand for this? We'll not stand for what? A memorial marking the one-year anniversary, the assassination of Charlie Kirk at the school where he was killed, the sparked opposition with students organizing a protest against the event? A young man went on college campuses where he knew, he knew, he would be outnumbered by hecklers and screamers and libs and progressives and commies.

25 to 1 went out there and said, talk to me, talk to me. Let me hear what you have to say. and he was shot and killed for it. And you've got a bunch of people protesting a memorial. Folks were at a dangerous inflection point. We've got real fights coming up yesterday. Yesterday I covered on the show.

Very important topic. We've got a focus, man. But people are all over the place. There's people out there engaging in full-blown propaganda campaigns. I don't know if they're paid for it. I don't know if they're just doing it because they hate America and want to be nihilist. But we've got a focus right now or this kind of lunacy that cement is going to try and we're going to have a hard time jack hammering it up.

You want to see what this stuff looks like, by the way? Abolishing private property if we let the concrete harden and the DSA starts taking power, the Democrat Socialists of America back in this election. You like private property? I showed you yesterday in the Wall Street Journal article where private property owning a cell phone in a house polls very well amongst youngsters. So why would you vote for the Democrat Socialists of America? Let me make it easy for you.

You probably understand Airbnb, right? So you're claiming to be a socialist. you're going to vote for the socialist. Here's what it looks like on the mild end. When you lose, you don't necessarily lose your private property, but you lose your private property rights. The Democrat Socialists of America that have infected your party that we're fighting against want to take your property to.

This is what it looks like on the milder end, when you even lose your right to that property through progressive liberal laws that benefit non-property owners over other people. This is this horror story about an Airbnb that aired in one of the local news stations. You for this? Your property would be next. You don't smart up.

Check this out. Airbnb guest refused to leave her town home in Hermosa Beach. That weeks-long rental became a weeks-long nightmare for the homeowner. He just refused to leave. Weissman is talking about this guy. Do you think it's fair that you're staying here and not paying? Yeah. It's really fair.

Lamarck was living in Weissman's Hermosa Beach Town Home, which he originally booked for a month through Airbnb. Weissman says after paying for 48 days, though, he refused to leave and he stopped paying. It's squatting. It's definitely squatting. Once you allow someone to remain in occupancy for 30 days, they establish tenancy rights. And then you have to use the civil litigation process to remove the person. Real estate attorney Daniel Bornstein says that process in California can take six months or even longer in some cases. And as the days dragged on, she says her costs piled up.

A six-month eviction process would equal more than $70,000 in lost rental income. This is going to devastate me if he ends up staying, you know, for any length of time. Plus, she stals to pay her mortgage and property taxes during that time and all the attorney fees related to eviction. They haven't even stolen this lady's house, Justin. But they've de facto stolen it because she hasn't right switch. She can't live there. She's paying the bills for someone else to live there. How could you possibly support this?

When it kicks you in the nads, you won't support it. That's the problem with this stuff, is they want to get in office and do this, and they're giving you a bunch of noise, not signal. When they tell you the signal about what they're going to do, people in polls go, well, I don't want that. I want to own house. You don't own that house. The squatter does.

This is just the beginning. Wait till you have no property rights at all. Folks, and to watch your heroes on the left, this is what we're fighting against. It's a critical election. We've got to get people focused and ready for the fights ahead. The primary contender for the next presidential election, one of them is going to be Gavin Newsom, the governor of California, where insanity like this persists where property rights, de facto property rights, got thrown out the window a long time ago.

How do you own your property if you're not allowed to live in it? You got to pay for someone else. The answer is you don't. It's neo-socialism. Here's coverage on Gavin Newsom, who I'm going to show you, clip coming up after this, actually with Charlie, where Gavin Newsom, hair gel, this is what it looks like when everything is noise and no signal, where they just tell you things to cloud your judgment, whatever they think you want to hear, left-wing politicians, whatever they think, everybody

should have a free job. Fat Barney, sharing is caring. Everybody should get a job. Everybody should be paid, $500,000 a year. They don't mention anything about merit or effort. They tell you dumb stuff. They believe it will appeal to suckers because it's all noise. Gavin Newsom, after the election, when Donald Trump won in a rout over Kamala Harris, tried to take a pivot to the right, even though he's a natural-born communist, because he thought he could lie to people and pull the wool over the rise. I'll show you that coming up in a second. But here he is now pivoting again back to, well, the DSA, Democrat Socialists of America.

It's like a big tent party. Well, who's in the tent matters? You don't want to invite Freddie Kruger in the damn tent. Who's in the tent matters? This guy is a phony of fake and a fraud, and regardless of what you think about President Trump, at least he tells you how he really feels and makes politically unpalatable decisions,

even when he knows the politics aren't great. Here is the other side of that coin. A total fraud to tell you anything, because he thinks you're a sucker if you're going to vote for him. Check this out. Governor Gavin Newsom of California says he's not alarmed by the rise of socialism when asked if Democrats should distance themselves from the DSA.

Newsom said, quote, no, I'm for a big ten. party. It's where a lot of the energy in the party is. So why would you ever dismiss that? I bet you it took him 45 minutes to say that quote. It doesn't get any clearer than that, Joe, does it? 20 seconds to you. Word. Yeah, word economy is not Gavin Newson's friend. And he's the ultimate weather-vane politician. Wherever the winds are blowing, Gavin's going to take that splashy sailboat rhetorically and go along for the ride. Whatever gets the most votes, this shapeshifter who really, really, really wants to run for president and is going to, has been running for the last six years. he'll adapt to whatever movement, we'll get him over the finish line.

If he's going to embrace the socialist movement, all right, I guess he's for abolishing prisons, abolishing the Department of War, the Senate, the presidency, believes the government should run all aspects of health care. That's where we are at this point. That's Gavin Newsom. Get elected and worry about everything later. I love to paint contrasts on the show because politics are contrast. It's not good enough to tell people this is what I'm about. You have to contrast it with this is what my opponent's about and make the contrast work. Put the diamond on a black background. It looks that much more shiny. The contrast matters. Compare what Rubio said before about Venezuelan oil fields, clearly,

crisply, concisely explaining how, listen, I get none of this is ever going to be pretty. However, we have a choice. China, Russia, take the oil and use it to build a military machine to put a mushroom cloud over Washington, D.C., or potentially attack Taiwan and cause World War III, or we can take it. I get it. None of this is cute. However, this is how it has to be. Contrast that with how Gavin Newsom constantly licks his finger with Joe Contra Croma weather vein. He's absolutely right and changes his mind depending on a day of the week it is. Is that what you want?

He was Gavin Newsom with Charlie after the election. Talking about the term Latinx. Hat-Tip Mays Moore for this great clip. Latin. Remember Latinx? Latinx. Nobody uses that term Latinx. Really?

Nobody uses that term. He's never heard it before? Uh, hat tip Maze more for this one. You sure about that? You want to retract that one, Gavin? Check this out. One person ever in my office has ever used the word Latinx. So can we finally put that to bed?

Yeah, what did that even? No more Latinx, everybody. Well, it just didn't even know where it came from. I'm like, what are people talking about? Impactful this has been on the Latinx community. Latinx community politicians that are banning not assault rifles, but the word Latinx. Nothing I dislike more than the politician that sits there. in lies to you. And we all just sit there rolling our eyes going, give me a break.

Folks, the reason commie socialists and the doom and gloom black pillar crowd want to create distrust in everything and everyone all the time is because we can get people to distrust everyone. You can fill that vacuum with any piece of false information because people become really desperate for truth at that point. There is a tactic and a strategy behind this that's fairly obvious when you've seen it over the decade plus I've been involved with politics, activism and as a candidate myself. people will believe in anything when you break them down and you break any attachment to true north when everyone's lying to them all the time and even people are telling they'll ignore people even when the truth is right in front of them that's what they want to do they want to create such

mistrust amongst everybody out there you see the doomers doing this too that anyone will believe anything you'll fill that vacuum with garbage that's how you get insanity like this i i got to tell you I said last week covering the Lindsay Clancy trial that resulted in a mistrial, that this is one of the first times I've been involved in political commentary, true crime commentary, where I genuinely don't understand whatever the other side. I just don't get it. My suspicions on this case is, again,

there's such a vacuum of credibility out there with all the propaganda and garbage that people will fall for anything. Hat tip, I saw this on End Wokeness. This is a video that's been going around with, this is one of the most disturbing things I've ever seen. If you missed it on X, it's a video of people showing pictures of what appears to be their kids.

Me Too, Lindsay? Like, folks, I'm really sorry, but if this is your significant other with your kids out there, hmm. Now you may say, well, Dan, it's an exaggeration. It's not like anyone's going to do something to their child because they're heavily invested in the Lindsay Clancy case and are searching for some truth in their empty lives. Really?

Here was a Fox News report from the other day about exactly what I just said. Check this out. An Illinois mother accused of murdering her two-year-old son. Prosecutors say Corey Walsh was very invested in the Lindsay Clancy murder trial before her son's death. So this comes as Clancy's defense attorney is speaking out for the first time after the triple murder case was ruled a mistrial last week. Another sad case in which police say have charged a mother with killer and your own child. This one in Frankfurt, Illinois. And there is a connection, as you mentioned, with the Lindsay Clancy case.

Apologies up front. The details here are horrible. There's no way around it. A neighbor reported coming in the house and finding two-year-old Barrett, who had the nickname Bear, hanging from a rafter in the basement of the house. She called 911, attempted CPR, but that little boy was already cold. She found the mother upstairs in a bloody tub with a knife. According to the affidavit, the defendant had cuts to her wrists and thighs.

The defendant told officers she did this to her baby because he was the devil and the Antichrist. It connects to the Clancy case because according to the affidavit, Walsh had been following the Clancy case and had been actively discussing the case via a group message with her friends up until 1230 p.m. September 1st, 2026 and at three and a half hours before the scene was discovered. Folks, again, we always bring receipts. I warned you about this. How once the Overton window is moved on what's perceived to be acceptable human behavior, there are going to be people who move with it.

We were at a really dangerous point. There are real fights coming up. We've really got to focus and just drown out the noise like I discussed yesterday. Focus like a laser on signal right now because we cannot afford to lose this country and go down this path of insanity anymore. I'm going to take a quick break and show you what it looks like when Truth hits you. It's a clip from a little bit ago,

but it's worth your time to show you what it looks like when Truth slams Democrats right in the face. And then one of them will have to use a little a couple of the Olinsky rules on them as well. You see what I mean coming up. Last break. Recently my wife and I were sitting at the kitchen table going over our finances in the future,

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Ethos. Get your free quote at ethos.com slash bonjino. ETHOS.com slash Bongino. Application times may vary. rates may vary thanks ethos we appreciate it is what i'm talking about again you know i i use the olinsky rules against the democrats often i'm going to get to that in a second but i saw this surface yesterday on x again and it just like gavanusum who will lie to your face about latinx latinx whatever stupid terms they make up in euphemisms the democrats will lie to your face about what they represent

even know what they represent is on video digital recording and all you have to do is ask them about Do you guys remember this? This is one of our greatest hits. This was Lawrence Jones and Fox and Friends interviewing Democrat Senator Shaheen. And he asked her a question. I've never seen that happen. I've never just like Gavin Newsom. I've never heard anyone use the term Latinx.

Here's you, Gavin, using the term Latinx. I love it when it's just slams them right in the chops. Check this out. I haven't heard anybody in my party saying that illegal immigrants should get access to the health insurance marketplace. I'm so glad you said that. Actually, I have some tape of your Democratic Party members saying this on the debate stage. So they've all said, and let's play the clip. A lot of you have been talking tonight about these government health care plans that you've proposed in one form or another.

This is a show of hands question, and hold them up for a moment so people can see. Raise your hand if your government plan would provide coverage for undocumented immigrants. Senator, that's literally every member of your party from moderate, to more progressive that have said that in the past. That's only every single person running for president on stage, raising their hand in the Democrat side. These people lie to your face. Do you want Rubio?

Do you want Trump? Do you want truth tellers who make level 10 decisions as commander in chief, as national security advisor, as a member of the cabinet, as secretary of state? Or do you want people like Gavin? Neuism and Gene Shaheen, who are just going to lie to your face and have your Airbnb turned into a squatterhouse because they lied to you about what private property means and doesn't. Don't be a sucker for this, man.

Sometimes we have to use a little humor to highlight the stupidity of all these dumb ideas. I saw this yesterday, and I don't know about you guys, but when I first saw it, for a second, I thought, is this real? The only reason I thought it was real, it's a guy using humor to highlight the stupidity of Mom Dami's government-run grocery stores. However, government-run grocery stores are such a freaking stupid idea that for a second, I thought,

well, this could be true. And I thought, nah, no way he just started. There's no way they built this thing already. However, this is just to be open and honest, it is humor. However, it's an excellent use of humor to highlight this stupidity of a communist, a grocery store in the middle of New York City.

Check this out. I want to check out Momdani's $30 million in New York City owned grocery store. The first thing I noticed is the aesthetic. Very bare, very minimalist, and very mom-doney. I love how limited the selection is. Not too many choices means that I'm not going to get overwhelmed with options. And for a non-binary, neurodivergent, polyamorous person experiencing whiteness, that's a huge plus. This place reminds me of like a Soviet Union-era Whole Foods. I did find some fun things like cornboil seasoning

and frosted flakes that vaguely resembled smooth testicles, but they were out of my price range. So I just ended up getting a box of jello. And it was great because I was able to pay with my oppression and racial equity cards. Democracy wins again. Who is that? L. Stay statement, L.E. statement on Instagram. Genius. Folks, the humor works. Why does the humor work?

Why are jokes funny? Jokes are typically funny that have some basis in reality with some hyperbole exaggeration and the side of humor served. They're usually that much funnier. That's exactly what a government grocery store is going to look like while Mamdami does the platitude thing. We're going to get cheaper groceries for everyone. Well, how are you going to do that, bro?

How are you going to figure out how to deliver cheaper groceries rather than people who run grocery stores for a living? The answer is you're just going to steal taxpayer money to do. Why not tell people the truth? Because like Gavin Newsom and Gene Sheehan, you can't. All you have is noise. When people see the signal for what it is, they're going to be repulsed. They're going to vomit on site. So you have to lie to them.

Contrast that again with Trump and Rubio. They how to deliver the hard news. They had a lead. They can't always explain why every decision was made in the national security space because there were sources and there are live military actions going on right now. They can't expose. But you want this as an alternative? And throw the polling out the window.

I've got Captain Seth Keschel coming up next. He has a really fantastic X account. If you want to discuss how elections are rigged, the easiest way to rig. the problems with mail-in balloting. You want to discuss why faith and fidelity in the system is disappearing. This is your guy. He's done an exhaustive amount of homework on it. But one of the things we're going to get into, too, is what went wrong with polling?

Now, there's all this polling out there now. The election's happening right now. Again, early voting starts so early now. Forget November election day. The election's on right now for the midterms. We can't lose to the Jeheans and the Newsoms and the others and the, you know, the commie socialist, mom dynies with his stupid-ass freaking you know communist grocery store BS and the polling out there suggesting that you could you should stay home because we're getting killed in this election

they said the same thing before the trump kamala harris election check this out i just saw this surface yesterday from the washington post november 4th 2024 this is right before the election it sounds like the same op going on now where people are trying to tell you stay home don't vote you Republicans are all going to get your butts kicked. Analysis by Aaron Blake. The final New York Times-Cena College swing state polls show late deciding voters breaking for Kamalaurs. They broke for Kamalaurs. Who would have known?

Who would have known? Among those who said they had decided in the last few days, Harris led by 16 points, 58% to 42%. Justin, how did that work out? It did not. It did, Andy. You weren't even here. How did that work out? Andy's saying that's two thumbs down on Yelp.

That pollster, they definitely didn't nail that one. Folks, throw the polls out. I'm going to get into it with Seth Cashel about the exact problems with the polls. I don't know what is it. Cell phones, whatever it is. The polls just throw them out. I would estimate probably half the polls you see are garbage polls paid for by candidates who don't want bad news, who just seek out a poll company who's going to give them a biased result.

It's kind of like why, you know, major left-wing newspapers don't want to write anything positive about Donald Trump, they know the subscriptions are going to cancel. I thought they were into being journalists. They're not into being journalists. They're into collecting paychecks, cut the crap. I'm not knocking all posters, but some won't give bad results and have garbage models. One thing that we're really, I think, excelling at

is we're building a big coalition going forward that the Democrats are just missing out. And one component of it I've seen really flourishing and flowering is to make America healthy again. You know I love this. I'm into like facts. We've tried to incorporate into the show frequently make America healthy again moments. I think they're great for everybody.

I love it. I saw this the other day. Jasmine sent it over. You know we're big coffee drinkers. We love our blackout coffee. Big fans on the show, as you can imagine. Coffee changes your gut microbiome, even decaf Rachel Ann Melagrido at Epic Times. Folks, you have the microbiome.

You have these gut. bacteria. Bacteria bad. Well, some bacteria are bad, but some bacteria in your microbiome are actually really helpful. That's why some people, they do, you know, yogurt, kefir, others, they do probiotics. So it turns out habitual coffee drinkers have distinctly different gut microbiome profiles from those who do not drink coffee. Fascinating. I did not know this. I had not seen this before. Thank you, Jasmine. She's not even a producer for sending this over. Certain bacteria become more abundant among coffee drinkers, including crypto-backer. Caterium, Kurtum, and Eggersela, Egerthella.

They sound like graffiti names from 1980s New York, both involved in digestive processes such as recycling bile acids that help digest fats. Here's two cheers. Big foamy figure, one figure thumbs up for coffee. I love me some coffee. You know, we love blackout. They found higher levels of several coffee-related metabolites,

including parazanthine, known to have neuroprotective and antioxidant effects. not even going to try to pronounce it. And another compound associated with anti-inflammatory activity and a lower risk of Parkinson's disease. Again, two to ten shears for coffee. We love our coffee. I drink a ton of it every single day. I love it. All right, without further ado, getting to our guests today. I'm really looking forward to this. Captain Seth Cashel, he's fantastic. He's a great election analyst. I strongly encourage you to find him on X. Don't miss this interview. Check this out. Welcome to the show, a guy I follow on X, really great insights on elections, what's wrong with elections, what could be right with elections if we could fix it.

Also some really good thoughts I saw in his ex account on a tweet I saw about 9-11 that bothered me too. I want to welcome to the show. Captain Seth Keschel, sir, welcome to the show. Thanks for your time today. And it's great to be on with you. Glad to see you. Yeah, you as well. I've followed your work for a long time.

you're a really, really good, you know, and prognosticator when it comes to elections and tamping down a lot of kind of doomerism out there we've seen. But before we get to elections and what could be rigging elections and the problems with elections that you've covered with books and other things, you had a post-up I want to put up on the screen

responding to someone about 9-11. Obviously the 25th anniversary of that abomination of a day, just horrifying for all of us who live through it. There was a post-up by futuristic Fudge, John. and it said, people born pre-9-11 have such a weird, worshipful attitude about it. You know, and you responded accurately so. It completely changed the American century. It was the largest terror attack ever in our country.

People were leaping to their deaths rather than being consumed by flames. We still haven't recovered our footing. It was terrible. And everyone who was old enough to remember it will never forget it. Go to 9-11 Museum in New York City. It will hit you. Sir, I feel the exact same way. I was a young Secret Service agent just outside of New York and Long Island when it went down.

You know, my brother was down there, worked for the New York City Fire Department. As an EMT, we couldn't find them that day. I mean, there were, if you lived through that, your life is essentially pre-9-11 and post-9-11. That is like the demarcation point where every single thing changed. I can't believe that people who even look back at the archival footage may not live to do it, don't understand that. Well, you know, if you look at a fourth turning mindset, that was my generation's, pivotal event. You know, other generations

look back at the Challenger, then you've got JFK, and before that you have Pearl Harbor. This is definitely a generational thing that happened, and it was something that lunged our country. Really, we went teetering into the 21st century. And we're still trying to recover our footing.

We had two wars that resulted largely from what happened in 9-11. And I think that in some of that, were justified for wanting to go out and find. Now, of course, the two wars that we fought wound up being like your standard counter-insurgency throughout history. Lots to be desired, and those are the teachable lessons that we look at with the Iran conflict. Nobody wants to put boots on the ground in a

country that is 2x the population of Iraq and four times the geographic size. So when I looked at that tweet, I took the guy's bio, he didn't seem to be somebody that was against us, but he was 20 years old. And this is somebody that was born five years after 9-11. So of course, he's not going to understand it. But for those of us who lived it, we'll never forget it. Yeah. I just remember going home and driving out to, I was living all the way out and seldom in Long Island and driving 40, 50 miles back, you know, from the city at that point. And the highways were empty. I mean, you remember there's no one on the road.

The only people on the road were cops and cops leaving work. That was it. I mean, by the end of the night, the roads were completely desolate. And, you know, I thought, you know, gosh, I'll never see anything like that again. Unfortunately, we had COVID where roads were empty too, but for different reasons. But yeah, I thought that was really insightful. I saw you comment on your ex account too before we get to the elections, material about the Lindsay Clancy trial,

this is, I think, the reverse scenario where I don't understand how people don't understand us if we live through 9-11. I know you can just watch the footage of what happened. It was obviously horrifying. But the Lindsay Clancy trial, I don't understand that either. I'm having a hard time getting my arms around the idea that there is a group of people that are not, it's not small either. I get their feedback on the show and messages that's support.

this woman. I mean, the facts of the matter of not changed at all. They're not in dispute. It's only the way that either legally or morally in your head, you try to justify away, the killing of three innocent children. This is, I think America is having a moment with this case, too. Well, none of it checks out. This is to essentially say that if you were a man and you are enraged about somebody bumping into your wife on a crowded street that you should go kill that person, you know, or that now we can just excuse rape as a product of testosterone. So this is clearly something where we've lost all basis in reality. This woman, in a premeditated act, sent her husband far away to grab food, searched up about everything she could find about strangling children with exercise bans,

and then carried out the act. So clearly there has to be some sort of justice delivered here. And however, we wound up with a 9 to 3 female jury. That's another problem. But the impact of social media and TikTok and endless scrolling on these jurors definitely created we had one guy that wanted to find her guilty you know that's that's a 91.7 percent wanted her off the hook I think 91.7 percent of America wants this woman to hang in public we're talking to captain seff cash will give him a follow on X got a great account if you're looking for election coverage Seth one of the things I initially I think that attracted me to your account is your coverage of the problems we're having with elections over the last few election cycles. These problems are fairly

obvious unless you're playing the whole, you know, I don't, the Sergeant Schultz, I don't see nothing, I don't hear nothing, I don't know nothing. When you mail out, mail in or mail in or mail out ballots, probably a better way to say, you mail out a bunch of ballots to a bunch of people who may or may not have requested them, you lose this intermediary middleman that was a source of maybe uncovering a fraud. You lose the election, you know, the election staff where you have to show up, either show an idea, or even if you don't show an idea,

at least it has to be a person. And if that person were to come back twice to vote again, that election, you know, official right there might say, hey, you were just here before. That's not the case with a mailbox where you can make repeated visits to a mailbox who is not going to recognize you. It's not an AI mailbox. It's not going to know anything.

And then when you combine that with ballot harvesting, and you basically deputize a lot of people to go and harvest or collect these ballots who may not have an interest in election security at all. They may in fact have an interest in election in security. You got a real problem. Well, Dan, I think that looking beyond our borders explains a lot about what the rest of the world believes

about the way America is now conducting elections. 34 out of 47 European countries, all but ban mail-in voting. Some of those that allow it, allow it for citizens living overseas, which is not a large number of people. You can look at the German elections this weekend. Results were beginning to change as mail-in ballots were coming in because Germany does allow some mail-in voting.

Now, as far as our country goes, the problem starts with voter registration. Automatic voter registration started to find its way into our elections in 2015 and 2016, starting in the West Coast. By the time the 2020 election rolled around 20 states ran automatic voter registration, usually through the DMV. Joe Biden won or won 18 out of those 20 states, 243 electoral votes to nine. Now, moving into the 2024 election, Trump managed to pull a couple of them back, and he won't up winning all but five electoral votes not under automatic voter registration.

So we can see the tip of the iceberg with that in New Jersey, with Governor Cheryl sort of letting it hang out their 6,600 non-citizens register. But that doesn't account for people that have moved within the state. state to a different address, moved out of state, people who are deceased, or the real Democrat go-to, which is people that completely don't exist at all. Now, when you create the reservoir of fictional registrations, then you can send out the mail-in ballots. Universal mail-in voting states send them out like the fountains of Bellagio. Then you've got like here in Arizona where you have a permanent mail-in voting list in the largest counties. Then you have the early

voting period in Pennsylvania. That's 49 days for people to go collect these ballots. I ran some studies that suggest that for a pretty small price tag, you could farm up 100,000 ballots in Orange County, California. So when you look at the decisive house races this year, there are about four races in California that are on the periphery of being in play. The way that they can make sure they're not in play is by exercising the power of changing the laws of elections. So what it has been, essentially, is the changing of laws in the states that have created quasi-elections, and therefore we're no longer getting votes or collecting ballots like coupons at a grocery. grocery store. Yeah. Listen, I agree. This is, you know, that we've been so successful and stable for so long. I mean, not relative to, you know, other empires, but relative to a unique constitutional

republic. It's been obviously 250 years that I think we take for granted the fact that the Constitution is, it's a wonderful document. I love the way our founders put it together and they're both horizontal and vertical breakdown and separation of powers and checks and balances. However, it's, Seth, as you know, it's just a document. It's all it is. It doesn't have any, like, X-Men-like superpowers, where if you disobey, you're going to be vaporized right away. It doesn't work that way.

The Constitution and the Republic only functions because people believe in and have fidelity to the system and its governing laws and documents. It can all break down and has many times throughout human history. If we don't believe that our elections are free and fair and are in, accurate determinant of the people's voice and who won, the rest of the stuff is all for not. Like, you can't keep a republic going in multiple election cycles. You know, you may get away with it once or twice. I wish it didn't happen. But over 10 or 15 years, if people just give up and don't believe the results are real anymore. Well, that's one of the first stages

to work the collapse of the republic is when people no longer believe that the, well, election results or the system of electing leaders are credible and trustworthy. You can look at. You can look at a back at a number of elections, that in election, corruption is not something that is new. It's something we know a lot more about, but you can trace America's election problems all the way back to the 19th century with Boss Tweed, who happens to have a caricature on the cover of my book. But they've been trying to rig elections in this country. It's a bipartisan sport. It's mostly a Democrat hobby, but you can find a mail-in ballot scheme to steal the election of 1864 from President Abraham Lincoln with the mail-in ballots of soldiers from New York, who had

individual mail-in ballots rather than a company, essentially a score sheet signed by the commanding officer. You can go all the way through issues that have happened in the 20th century. You can move into even Republicans committing election fraud with mail-in ballots in North Carolina in 2018. So I encourage people before they jump on any bandwagon about what people have to say about elections to go look at the facts. Our elections are extremely vulnerable, and we've operated on the social contract of, well, that's not something that should be happening in America. And now what is happening now, especially with the Constitution, we have states that are running corrupt corrupt elections using the elections clause, which states the state legislatures have the authority to determine the time, place, and manner of elections. But what

they're doing is essentially morphing elections to whatever they say an election is. It's going to be eight weeks long, or it's going to be mail-in ballots are mandatory for everybody regardless of how you feel about it. And then when the federal government tries to come in and say, hey, these are federal elections. You're trying to use the federal mail of service. Then the states are running behind into courts and they're judge shopping and they're delaying this process, trying to, of courts like they did last time, wait out the Trump administration for an administration who's going to be a little more understanding of what they're trying to do.

And what they're trying to do is create elections that are no longer about vote getting, but ballot collection. We're talking to Captain Seth Keschel. Give him a follow on X. Definitely worth your time. I'm glad you brought up that point about this. extended early voting election as well, because, you know, having run for office myself, it works like an incumbent protection plan. You know, incumbents in office are typically going to have either

a money advantage or they're going to have more supporters, especially on the Democrat side. When I say, I don't mean more supporters and vote. I mean like more supporters out there gripping and grinning for them. They'll get, you know, sometimes unions in their, in their court. Sometimes you'll have teachers, unions and others. It's really hard as a new and upcoming candidate to go out there for a month and have people at polling locations handing out, you know, your literature, hey, you know, vote for Dan, whatever. It's really difficult to do that. And having these election periods, typically what they'll do is the incumbent will schedule of debate two days before the election, knowing, you know, 40, 50 percent of people already voted. I think it's a big scam. I'm glad you

brought that up. Let me move into a different direction on the elections as well. Seth, I got to ask you kind of a big global umbrella quote. What the hell is wrong with polling? I mean, the polling just seems to be all over the place. And it's a bipartisan fiasco. You obviously had the polling all over the map in 2016. You know, Washington Post wrote an article, Donald Trump's chances of winning or approaching zero. Obviously, that didn't work out. I put a tweet up before we got to you on the show today from the Washington Post from back with the Kamala Harris Trump election, where they predicted these swing voters were all breaking for Kamala. That obviously turned out to be crap. But then just recently, we even see with the Abdul al-Sayed polling in Michigan, the Democrat Senate can.

that he obviously a Democrat primary. The polling was completely out of whack. He was supposed to win by something like 10 points and barely got by. Is it cell phones? I mean, what's going on with the polling? Well, there's a lot of issues with polling. And I know a few people that when I get critical of polling, I always feel a little bit bad, you know,

not being on a personal level trying to trash somebody's craft. However, polling is a lot different than it was when it was more accurate 40 years ago. Part of it has to do with how people. people reach voters. A great example would be Wisconsin. Wisconsin is notoriously hard to poll because the most conservative faction of that state, especially in the Trump era, lives in these vast hinterlands in the northern portions of the state. Much more difficult to track down voters. It's hard to screen for likely voters based on a candidate who's going to pull people out of the North Woods to vote for the first time in 30 years. So that's difficult to measure turnout.

Then you've got other people that are more likely to answer polls if it was a landline-based poll, or then you have an internet-based poll that may not reach enough senior citizens. And then you have the problem with sponsorship because polling is expensive. All right. So then you've got the sponsor who's going to want to run a poll for his candidate. Make sure you don't show him too far down. That would be like your internal polling. This is why you have polls that show Democrats that are within, you know,

tie in the South Dakota Senate race, which is completely insane because rather than looking at polling, you can look at candidate behaviors. Like when Anne Seltzer ran a Harris plus three poll in Iowa, Everyone knew it was wrong because if it were true, Harris would have gone there. She could have completely cut off Trump's direct path into the 270-plus electoral vote range. So you have that. Then you have straight up corruption. You know, every once in a while, you think Republicans would just happen to win elections.

But even in red years, like a Biden as president midterm or 2024, you find all the polling, favoring Democrats. You can look at races where the same pollster would find. Donald Trump is going to lose Arizona, but he's going to win. Nevada. Well, somebody like me is going to go back into the open source intelligence and look at the two states, which have both been in the union since 1912, Nevada back in the 1800s, but both have been states since 1912. And we've had red Arizona and red Nevada in a presidential election. We've had blue Arizona and blue Nevada. We've had red Arizona and blue Nevada, but we've never had red Nevada and blue Arizona. So I can spot polls that are bad just looking at things like that. And the final problem of polling, even when they're done by honest people, is that they're no longer precise. So when you look at a poll and they say we have a three point margin of error, well, 3% in Pennsylvania is about 220,000 votes. That's a lot of votes. Trump's winning margin in Pennsylvania. It's a ballot count now, but it was still 120,000.

So that doesn't help me a lot. That's why I use voter registration by party, but it's really only useful for presidential elections to predict trend. So I think that that really epitomizes the issues. And on the topic of Pennsylvania, Pennsylvania and Ohio are cousins. politically. Kamala Harris had fewer votes in Ohio than John Kerry had in 2004, but she had almost as many ballots as Joe Biden did in Pennsylvania. That's because they loosened the mail-in-ballot laws, which has now no excuse mail-in voting thanks to Act 77, which was helped along the way by the Republican Party, which can't get out of its way. Yeah, I mean, we really, I wish this SAVE Act would have

made more progress. It's just devastating. It would have gone a long way to reestablishing election credibility in the eyes of skeptics out there who are just looking for free and fair elections. I don't want anybody cheating. Not Republicans, not Democrats, not Greens. I don't care who you are, MAGA or elsewhere. I don't want anybody, anybody cheating in elections. Let me ask you this. I saw this on your ex-feet as well. We're talking to Captain Seth Keschel, really insightful election commentary. I strongly encourage you to check it out, his ex-account. Also check out his book. The book is the book title set, The American War on Election Corruption, Seth Keschel, A E-S-H-E-L.

Make sure you check that out wherever you get your books. You see the picture up on the screen now. A screen now, excuse me. Wave elections. I've made this argument to supporters of the show often in both directions. During the Biden midterm election, there was a lot of talk you remember as well. Everything was red wave. We're going to win 70 seats or whatever.

I saw some, you know, really, I think, destructive hyperbole because red wave talk, if you're a Republican, doesn't do you any good. Because if you really believe we're going to win all these seats and it's going to be a route, people are just going to stay home because they don't think their vote is necessary. And if you don't believe it, why are you saying it? So it doesn't matter. Like we should treat every election like a 50-50 fight right there. However, seeing the same conversation breakout on the Democrat side now,

who seems to believe that they seem to believe this Trump midterm, Trump 47 midterm, is going to be really good for the blue wave. But with gerrymandering and others, the math just doesn't work like it did during the Tea Party era and earlier where you would have 30, 40, 50 seat shifts. It's just not there anymore. The gerrymandering and the cutting up of districts have made that really difficult. Well, that's what people are not getting about this. Nobody really knows what the generic ballot is going to be. You find some crazy polls that have it at D plus 11, D plus 12. And then you'll find one like you had Harvard Harris X, which was R plus two last week. I'm not buying that either.

You know, I go even keel when it comes to polling when they're good for me. I throw it out when they're bad for me, I ignore it too. I think that the cross tabs sometimes can tell you some stuff, like you can see a stronger Latino vote share. Usually it helps disqualify polls. But when you look at generic ballot, this is not 2014. You know, this is not, this is not 2018. The seats are largely cut to reflect the current presidential trends anymore. And my, my worksheet for House races, I have 389 seats out of 435, so 89% of the seats. I have is decidedly red or decidedly blue. It would take a wave of some sort to make any of those predictions wrong,

and we're not going to have a red wave this year. 20 out of 23 midterm since 1934, the president's party loses seats in the House. So it could be a blue wave, possibly. It could also be a reverse 2022, where the Dems are struggling to get a majority if they can get it at all. But when we look at the way that this breaks down, 89% of house seats appear to be safe one side or the other.

Then I have another 22 seats that I call leaners, where I think I can sniff out who's going to win the race, but an upset could happen. And only six of those are Republican. So when I get through the safe and leaners, my current map is a 202, or it's 208 Republican and 203 Democrat. I'm pausing on that Missouri 5 seat, which I think the Supreme Court is going to reverse back to the GOP. But that's 208 to 203 Republican, and that leaves 24 seats to the side of all, which I sent over to your producers before our show here. Yeah, we have it up on the screen now. You're bullish on, you got a couple in Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, Texas, neutral. And the bearish, bearish would be 232. So we obviously hope, you know, that doesn't happen. But there are the seats up there. Captain Seth Keschel, thank you so much for your time. I really appreciate it. I strongly encourage the audience to check out Seth Keschel's book right there up on the screen right now. You can check it out. You can also give him a follow on X. The book is called The American War and election corruption.

Seth, thanks a lot for your time. We really appreciate it. We'd love to have you back. Well, thanks so much, Dan. Glad to help out. Glad to come back on with you. So best luck to you. Yes, sir.

Thanks a lot. Seth Cashel, folks. Be sure to check out, Sean, coming up at 1 o'clock, rumble.com slash Sean, Farris'n-Farish's new show, kicking butt, taking names. He's doing fantastic. Haley, every day at noon, rumble.com

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I will see you back here tomorrow. Hey there. I'm Vince. I'm Haley Karinia. I'm Sean Farish. Host of Vince. Host of scrolling with Haley. Host of Sean Farish Live.

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