The Dan Le Batard Show with Stugotz - Climbing Mt. Lombardi with Geoff Schwartz

Episode Date: August 22, 2025

Didya hear about the woman in West Virginia who framed the Pittsburgh Steelers tattoo she had taken off her dead husband’s arm? Now that’s what I call having some skin in the game. Pelts on the wa...ll. Yes, as the Lincoln-driving philosopher Matthew McConaughey taught us, Time is a flat circle. You know what’s also a circle? A ring. Coaches are fond of saying “No one can ever take away that ring.” But of course, those rings can and have been taken, sold, or lost. Still, the spirit of the point stands: Time waits for no man, but our deeds are etched into history. How we stack up that particular moment in time - versus all the moments in time - is where things get murky and therefore make for enjoyable debate fodder with a beer in your hand. That's why in this episode of Football America! we dive into the teams that will miss the playoffs with DLS Family Tony Calatayud and the Super Fuentes Brothers, and then climb Mt. Lombardi with the pride of Autzen Stadium, former Duck and NFL lineman Geoff Schwartz. Objective Bradley is back with the news, too! Oh, and if you're thinking about the tattoo of the Steeler helmet just a word of caution... the hypocycloids go on the right, yinz. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This winter, take a trip to Tampa on Porter Airlines. Enjoy the warm Tampa Bay temperatures and warm Porter hospitality on your way there. All Porter fairs include beer, wine, and snacks, and free fast-streaming Wi-Fi on planes with no middle seats. And your Tampa Bay vacation includes good times, relaxation, and great Gulf Coast weather. Visit FlyPorter.com and actually enjoy economy. Hey, did you hear about the woman in West Virginia who framed the Pittsburgh Steelers tattoo she had taken off her dead husband's arm? Now, that's what I call having some skin in the game. Yeah, as the Lincoln driving philosopher McCona Hay taught us, time is a flat circle.
Starting point is 00:00:43 You know what else is a circle? A ring. And coaches are fond of saying no one can ever take away that ring. But of course, those rings can and have been taken, sold, or lost. Still, the spirit of the point stands. Time waits for no man, but our deeds are etched into history. How we stack up that particular moment in time versus all the other moments in time is where things get murky and therefore makes it enjoyable for debate fodder with a beer in your hand. It's funny then how some debates around goats and their positional derivations have a period at the end instead of an ellipses. Confirmation to the Supreme Court is a lifetime appointment, as is apparently my timeless job with the Steelers.
Starting point is 00:01:22 And since roughly 1983, we haven't attempted to improve mobile coffee cup technology, even though there can't be a single human. human being who's actually satisfied with drinking out of that little hole in the plastic lid, then in its free time spews the hot liquid all over the car's cup holder. Anywho, some things are eternal, other things are worthy of an update. It wasn't that long ago baseball was the national pastime. Boxing and horse racing were baseball's only competition for our affection, but that time's come and gone. The combined audience for all three is now dwarfed by a Giants Titans pre-season game.
Starting point is 00:01:56 Diamonds may be forever, but James Bond, or at least the actors who've played James Bond, are not. When Joe Montana retired, we all understood he was the greatest quarterback of all time. Then came Tom Brady. If the Chiefs had beaten Philly back in February, Mahomes' The Goat Talk would be all the rage. But Casey didn't win, and now that moment is lost, like tears in the rain. But since time is a circle, every new season brings with one ring to rule them all. And with that, a fresh chance for the debating to resume. Now, of course, no matter what happens, you won't get a ring.
Starting point is 00:02:31 That's for the players. What you do get is the memory. So here comes another season for you to witness, so you can contribute to the eternal conversation. Or you can scissor off your loved one's skin. But be forewarned. It's not like the cold hard fact, and more accurately here, the cold hard flesh is necessarily any better.
Starting point is 00:02:49 That tattoo of the steeler helmet has the logo on the wrong side. The hypercycloids go in their right side, the ends. Personally, I think she's well within her rights to sue the tattoo artists. Yoe and double yoi. Start the show. Hi and hello, my fellow football Americans. Today's episode of Football America is presented by Draft Kings. Draft Kings, the crown is yours. And in honor of episode three, the player who wears the crown is the NFL's all-time best.
Starting point is 00:03:21 Number three is, I guess Russell Wilson, there really aren't very many other good options unless you want to go with Jan Stennerud. I do think Rich Carlos, the barefoot kicker, who's most remembered for missing the overtime kick in Cleveland that did send the Broncos to the Super Bowl. It would have hit the upright if those uprights extended a little bit further there. I'm certainly not going to go with Trent Richardson. Meantime, week three or week minus three of my weekly Super Bowl, 60 pick. I'm sticking with the Bills versus the Niners. There's no reason to change it just yet. Got you covered coast to coast as meaningful football draws ever closer.
Starting point is 00:03:58 Jeff Schwartz is coming at us in Carolina. Ten day Tony's in Miami with the Fenthes brothers. Who, as usual, have the con. Dave Damashek here in L.A. Right now, though, to New York. It's objective Bradley with the news. Thanks, Dave. We're minutes away from what NFL playoff seatings are as teams climb Mount Lombardi.
Starting point is 00:04:18 But first, the football. week began with some big quarterback announcements. The Indianapolis Colts named Daniel Jones as their starter, while Cleveland Browns announced 40-year-old Joe Flacco as its top dog check. You think these decisions elevate them as Super Bowl contenders? No, no, I do not. And in fact, it may well hamstring them for upcoming Super Bowl appearances. Yeah, certainly the Browns are out of it. You know, I have to keep my powder dry here, though. Like you said, we're about to, along with Jeff Schwartz to announce the seeds one through seven in both the AFC and NFC, which would tip which teams I think are not going to go to the playoffs. Instead, 10-day Tony's here. Help us out. And then
Starting point is 00:04:59 we'll hear from the Fuentes' too. How are you, 10-day Tony? You excited for football? Happy football season, pal. It's great to be here, Dave. I do have one question. Does Bradley always dress like that? Obviously, this is my first time on Football America. Does he wear the vest with the Okay. Yeah, well, he's the news man, man. Okay, no, no, just make it sure. I didn't know if the vest was something. Look, you're here to represent one region of fandom. Bradley has no team. That's perfect for us. He's black and white, right down the middle. So now that we have that settled, are we making jokes here? I would like you to crack wise at your convenience. I'm just saying like Super Bowl contenders for the Colts and for the Browns, bringing up two quarterbacks that were Joe Flacco kind of 40 years old,
Starting point is 00:05:46 if last time I checked. He's a Super Bowl champion? Sure. Yeah. 2012, right? Last time I checked. And Daniel Dimes on his second team now that has already given up on him. Now getting another crack with a team that's kind of okay. It's like, very, professional. Daniel Dimes. Not Danny, Daniel Dimes. Oh, no, no. We're going to Indiana Jones, fellas. I don't know if you missed the update. That's the good one. Indiana Jones. I love that. Wow. Okay, I'm back in. Even though you guys know I have a little MVP flyer on Daniel Jones. Now the first step is complete. We got Anthony Richardson out of the way. Danny, Daniel, Jones. What is it? You called him Daniel Dimes. Did I? He's got to earn Danny.
Starting point is 00:06:24 Indiana Jones. Can he crack the whip and take the Colts to the playoffs? Listen, easy to be cynical about the Browns. But if you want to, 10-day Tony, I want to start the annual exercise. I'm going to sit it out this year and defer to you guys. I want to cobble together this time of the year. It is way easier to make a case for the teams that are going to make the playoffs than to identify the teams that absolutely positively are not. And you say, oh, obviously I know the Browns. Good luck getting to three or four. Start us off here, 10-day, Tony.
Starting point is 00:06:56 Name a team that you know is not going to make the playoffs this year. I know for a fact that the New Orleans Saints are not going to make the playoffs this year. Tyler Shuck, it's going to take a lot for them to overcome even a weak division. Tyler Shuck, we still don't know what he is, hasn't taken NFL snap yet. I do like Kellan Moore as an offensive guru there. I just don't think that Tyler Shuck is going to be good enough or play early enough to actually make a difference. Okay, there we go.
Starting point is 00:07:24 We're off and running. I think that's a good, pretty safe bet that the New Orleans Saints aren't going to make their way into the postseason. Who's next? Let's go to Mike. Mike, can you add to that list? I'm going to go a not too obvious route, but still pretty honest. I'm going to say the Las Vegas Raiders.
Starting point is 00:07:42 and not because they're going to be a terrible team, but I think they're in a very strong division. You got the AFC champion chiefs, the rising chargers, and the tough out Denver Broncos. So I'm going to say the Las Vegas Raiders are already eliminated from the playoffs. I'm not weighing in because, again, if I say too much,
Starting point is 00:08:00 then it will tip what I'm about to say when we get Jeff Schwartz on the line. So I want you guys to settle this amongst yourselves. Are we in agreement so far, Fuentes Brothers and 10-day Tony? are we right so far Saints, Raiders both watching the playoffs
Starting point is 00:08:16 along with the rest of us from home I'm good with it I mean have we excluded the Browns from this like can I not pick the Browns? You can throw the Browns? That's the easiest one to take them all If you got five quarterbacks you don't got one. Amen. My issue with the Raiders, I like
Starting point is 00:08:32 what the Raiders are doing. It's just like Mike said they're in a really tough division but I like Gino Smith, Chip Kelly Ascenti, P. Carroll like I like the things that Brock Bowers. I like what they're doing there. If they were like in the AFC South, I think there would be a for sure playoff team, but the
Starting point is 00:08:47 AFC West has studs. Who your neighbors are is everything in the NFL and whether or not you can win the division or overcoming. Those are six games out of 17, obviously significant what division you inhabit. Okay, up to three now. This is sort of
Starting point is 00:09:04 like name that tune in reverse. Let's see how many teams we can name before we no longer are singing the right song here. Tony, you're next. I'm going to take the New York Jets. I think they're in rebuilding mode. New coaches. I think quarterback is not ready yet. I think Justin Fields is below average. Their personnel is kind of in flux. They're going to trade Brees Hall. They're going to keep them. They want to play three running backs. Like, what is that going to do to the continuity
Starting point is 00:09:32 of the offense? Gary Wilson, I like, but who's going to be throwing the ball? Justin Field. So, I'm going to take the Jets as a team not to make the playoffs. They're super intriguing. I will, spoiler alerted here and say, I do not have the Jets making the playoffs. I feel like, I feel comfy saying that no one anticipated me saying that in the first place. Mike, build on that. I think the Jets are right. The Raiders out of the groups, out of the team's name so far, that's the one I feel like a most suspect. Yeah, well, I'm going to stay.
Starting point is 00:10:04 I'm going to stay on the East Coast, New York State of Mind, the New York Giants. While we do like what Jackson Dart is doing in the preseason, you got the Super Bowl, champions, the Washington commanders, and the maybe good this year, hopefully Dallas Cowboys. So New York Giants, just like the AFC West, in the NFC East, they are the odd man. I will say one thing about the Giants, that
Starting point is 00:10:23 defensive line is serious. Other than that, the rest of the team is awful, but that defensive line is going to make life hell for quarterbacks. I've said it a thousand times, I'll say it for the thousand and first. They're just not going to be in a situation. The area of strength for them is going to be pass rush.
Starting point is 00:10:39 How often in second halves are they going to be up on teams, though. That's when you really take advantage of having a difference making pass rush. Gino, you're next now. Okay, so we're five through, and I feel fairly comfortable that you guys are right so far. Okay, I think Mike Ryan's going to hate me on this one, but I think it's way too early for the Titans. Cam Ward is going to change things, but I think they're going to lose a lot of games 31 to 35. Defense is just not there yet. They might have the quarterback fixed. That offense is probably going to throw a lot. I don't think they got the defense. Yeah, a ton of holes in Tennessee.
Starting point is 00:11:10 Tony, that kind of feels like what we saw a year ago in Foxborough, kind of the perfect thing if you're a Titans fan. Are there Titans fans? I mean, are there real ones that like Nashville based? Dozens of them. Dozens of them for sure. That's the sense I get. Yeah, that I think you're about right on that number.
Starting point is 00:11:32 But Tony, I think you have to have some level of amnesia to declare that the Titans have no chance at the postseason after watching what the commies just did. They were a punchline. They got the answer at QB, and then we're in the title game. Fala, easy peasy. Their skill position players basically stayed the same. They added Austin Echler. They added Cliff Kingsbury, who hissed in Arizona.
Starting point is 00:11:56 We didn't really have any faith in him directing Kyler Murray's offense was looked stagnant and completely cut off vertically. And then you just insert Jaden Daniels like, oh, wow, he's an MVP candidate. And this team's going to be good for the next 15 years. that happened. So for me, it's like, even though I hesitate saying Tennessee's not going to make the playoffs, I'm going to go with, which you know there, I think they miss. Can I just say that conveniently we're all cowards, NFC North untouched, NFC West untouched? Well, listen, I'm going to go last three and then we move on to the next news story. Bradley's all dressed up. I don't want to
Starting point is 00:12:28 waste it on just one story. Quickly, Tony, let's do three more. Let's see if we can do nine total here, and then we'll check back as the season rolls along to see how accurate you guys are. Tony, you better be on a rocket because we're running out of time. This one is, this one's not going to be sexy. Carolina, even though everybody likes Bryce Young this year, they're done. Atlanta, I love Michael Panics, they're done. Let me go to, let me go to the AFC North, and I'm very sorry, Dave. Pittsburgh, not making the playoffs there either.
Starting point is 00:12:57 So Pittsburgh, Atlanta, Carolina. Mike cut off his mic, please. That's enough out of him. I thought we gave him a nice introduction and we were being friendly. with him and everything, and then he went and did that. I don't understand the attack. Bradley, give us one more story. Would you please, we have Jeff Schwartz waiting.
Starting point is 00:13:15 The Dallas Cowboys, still America's team? You know, if we can elect a new American idol every year, surely we can elect a new America's team every year. The Cowboys have treated it like a, like, you know, some sort of PR thing rather than the truth, or I think the rest of America regards it as some empty, uh, title that they've attached to themselves. Very quickly, Tony, who are the true nominees, the true candidates for America's team 2025? Let's go Detroit, Buffalo, San Francisco. Gino, you want to throw one into the mix there? I think we owe it to the Cowboys to at least
Starting point is 00:13:54 include them in there. It would be overly cynical to just cut them out of this. It makes me feel icky, but the Chiefs, just because we are where we are. Let's move on. It's time to ascend Mount Lombardi. All right. I'm over the moon about this one. Jeff Schwartz is smarter than you. Now available on the Football America YouTube page. We're better for it coast to coast. He is my main man. That's why his jersey hangs for all of time on the digital Wall of Fame back in old studio 66. It's Jeff Schwartz. What's happening, fella? How are you and happy football season? Happy ball season to you. I am excited to be here, excited to be on with you.
Starting point is 00:14:39 I was told beforehand by you and others that this is only 20 minutes. We're allowed to talk for 20 whole minutes because typically in the past, we have scheduled 20 minutes and it has been a little more in that. So I'm hoping that we can be concise today and not upset our new bosses here and make this a very concise podcast between the both of us. Yeah, Dan Lebitard dispatches when it's time to record, he dispatches a couple of his minions. They're just off camera. They have a hook that they use to pull me off. Like I say, important work to do here, and it is this. The 17 games that are about to kick off in the NFL are all appetizer or d'oeuvre to the main event.
Starting point is 00:15:25 That is the playoffs, it's about climbing Mount Lombardi. So set in your brain, if you will, the idea that there is. is a mountain you ever watch prices right way back in the yes the alpine climber oh yeah guy and he'd see how high up he can get imagine football teams now inhabiting that personification of the mountain climber let's see how high they can go and we'll start it off in the nfc this is really all that matters all the noise all the talk it's about if you get in and then where you're going to be seated it is real important even in the age now of only one team getting a buy and not having to play in the wild card round.
Starting point is 00:16:05 It still is 50% of the teams who get that one seat advancing to the Super Bowl, and over the course of this millennium, the percentages must higher for the teams that have a buy. So, okay, critically important. Let's start it off in the NFC, and we'll do it with the reigning number one-seeded lions, some not small changes, much buzzed about. Both coordinators now have moved on to other areas in Football America.
Starting point is 00:16:31 I think at least as important is that 40% of their offensive line has also moved on where are they going to land this year? It's time to find out. Let's see. The five-ne intrigue right out of the gate. The NFC North will belong to one of the other three teams. How say you, Jay? I don't think it's a critical.
Starting point is 00:17:01 crazy take. And let me tell you why. They are a team of eyeing as like an under team just because of their schedule. It's schedule does matter a lot, right? So they play their division opponents, as we know, very tough division. But the rest of their non-division games, which again, don't matter for division, but it matters for win-loss record, obviously, right? They're at Baltimore, they're at Cincinnati, they're at Kansas City, they're also at Washington, they're at Philly, they're at Los Angeles, maybe Stafford's back by then as better. and they end the season, by the way, at Minnesota and at Chicago. That's a formidable schedule.
Starting point is 00:17:34 You're not going to win, you know, I would say 70% of those games. If you split those games, you're probably going to be in the five seed. I'm intrigued to see who your NFC North champion is. But I don't think this is that crazy. I think people have to maybe understand that the lion, despite, I think we all agree, very talented team still, that their schedule might get them to a five seed. Yeah, and, you know, I think the rest of the neighborhood is playing a little bit of catch-up.
Starting point is 00:18:05 Specifically, I think the Chicago Bears are much better. And Robin Peter to pay Paul, you take Ben Johnson away from the lines and he stays in the division against you. I don't think that's a small matter either. Here's about as hot a football take as I have. By the end of this regular season, Hendon Hooker will take meaningful snaps for the Detroit Lions. That's a prediction and not because of here. off injury. All right, let's move on here to answer your question. Bears with Ben Johnson, the Vikes with J.J. McCarthy, Jordan Love and Company with the perceived stack back in
Starting point is 00:18:35 2024. How about this season? Here come the Packers. They are your North champion and they lock in as the NFC. Jeff Schwartz. How else say you? Yeah. I mean, I, I, the Packers last year, lost a bunch of close games to playoff teams. They basically beat everyone else. If they're able to take the next step as a young roster that just gets better, one more year. I still have a question a wide receiver.
Starting point is 00:19:06 I think Golden obviously needs to be good almost immediately. But again, I want to make sure, you guys, they won a lot of games last year. And the games, they lost three points, five points. It wasn't, I think, you're blown up by playoff teams. It does feel like they're a sneaky division winner that no one's talking about when you talk about just who wins divisions in the NFL.
Starting point is 00:19:23 I will say, though, the best quarterback typically wins every division. If you're previewing divisions, just take the best quarterback. That's typically the one who's going to win the division. Is Joe Love the best in this division? He might be at the moment. So he might end the season as the best. I think there is a weird thing that happens in our brains at this point in man's recorded history, which is if a team doesn't make massive changes in the offseason,
Starting point is 00:19:49 we sort of sleep on them a little bit. They're nice and stable, Green Bay, as ever, as much as Aaron Rogers tried to mess up that energy, I think they got through it clean on the other side. So I like the Packers, obviously. I have them as the three seed. Who'll come out of the NFC South, though? Bacon Company have had a strangle hold on it.
Starting point is 00:20:09 Some are even picking that team to go to the Super Bowl. Let's take a gaze at this. Michael Panics' music. It's the Atlanta Falcons. I don't think a lot of people see this one coming. I was a little premature in 2024. I took the bait. It wasn't necessarily even because of Kirk Cousins. It was because I think that team is building a nice roster sort of quietly. And I think they have a chance to keep up offensively with the Buccaneers this year. And that's not that that is legitimately saying something because the buck should be mighty offensively. I think Tampa Bay. is going to have a lousy defense. And I think Atlanta's might be halfway decent. Ergo division championship, how say you, Schwartz? Yeah, no. I actually think, I thought you were going to go with the Panthers here as a sneaky South champions.
Starting point is 00:21:10 They're the team to me that I think they're a more well-rounded team. Then the Falcons, I think the Falcons quarterback is better, right? As of right now, the Panthers guys did a ton of work to solve to fix their issues they have. especially defensively. And I have the Panthers ascended last year at the right time to feel good about this season. If it's not the Bucks to me, it's the Panthers. I'm also, look, the Falcons too, Dave,
Starting point is 00:21:33 are a team that I perpetually get wrong. If I wager on them to cover a game, they don't cover it. If I wager on the team who they're playing to cover the game, the Falcons cover that game. Like, I never get them right. So maybe it's just me again, not getting the Falcons right.
Starting point is 00:21:48 Boy, we're getting a lot of pro- Carolina Panthers talk. Greg Olson last week, Jeff Schwartz this week. All right. Listen, I hear your noise. I'm not that much of a cynic to turn my nose up at Bryce Young. The NFC West is going to be a fascinating division. Kyler Murray's now the elder statesman in terms of time spent in that division. Is January in the cards for that team, though? Let's find out right now, shall we? fight for the Cardinals, but they'll take it and so will their fan base. They get into the playoffs. How'll say you, Jeff Schwartz? I need to see the rest of the NFC West before I have a say on the Cardinals.
Starting point is 00:22:33 I, or really what the rest of your of your NFC looks like. I, I oh boy. You want to put a pin in that one? Yeah. Yes. Yeah. Okay. Then next I want to check in on the Super Bowl
Starting point is 00:22:49 champions. How high will the Eagles fly in their repeat bid. They'd love that wild card round off this season. Will they get it? To the two seed, they will not get the one seed. It remains available. The Eagles in a nice spot just the same.
Starting point is 00:23:09 Jeff Schwartz, how say you? So I think I know you're going now with the one seed. And schedule-wise, that makes a lot of sense for the one-seat. I think I know you're going here. the Eagles are going to be good. It's hard to defend a championship, as we know. Offensive line, Dickerson, I believe, is going to play week one, but maybe not. They replace the right guard.
Starting point is 00:23:32 They have their pass rush, their defensive ends had to replace, replace the offense coordinator. So there's a lot of new there. Division is tougher than with the Cowboys. I think it'll be better this year. The Giants won't be an easy out because they're defense. So, yeah, they're the one or two seed in my mind in the NFC. I think from a fantasy perspective, if you're a buyer out there, I think the Dallas Cowboys have a lot of intriguing options there, too. I don't know that especially with the Micah Parsons situation that they're going to be able to keep up on that side of the ball.
Starting point is 00:24:05 I'm interested to know what Jeff Schwartz thinks is coming up here with the one seed. We only have two spots left in the NFC. I've already told you my Super Bowl pick over the first couple of weeks of the show. Let's cut to the chase here. Do you know who it is, Jeff Schwartz? go ahead. Am I guessing? Yeah, go ahead.
Starting point is 00:24:22 Take a guess. I'm going to guess the 49ers. Let's take a look. The San Francisco 49ers, are they getting into? To the top of the mountaineagle. The one season is. I feel like people think this is crazy to claim. I feel like the entire 2024 season deserves a whole red shirt.
Starting point is 00:24:42 They were decimated by injury, all the Debo Samuel stuff, all the rest of it. I'll say you. They're going to be a favorite in 16 and 17 games that their schedule is pretty easy, right? They get the fourth-place schedule with essentially first-place talent because of last season. And it comes down to health, right? Can they stay healthy again? They are a very top-heavy roster. I think Christian McCaffrey, like offensive player of the year, is certainly possible in a bounce-back year.
Starting point is 00:25:11 Trent Williams is back, right? Their defense line's going to be fine. They added in the first round. Robert Sala, being the de-coordinator, is a huge boom. for them. Shanahan's running the offense, good coaching staff. Yeah, this doesn't surprise me at all. I'm with their schedule
Starting point is 00:25:27 and the players they have, and presumed healthier season makes total sense. Yeah, and I think you mentioned it kind of in passing among all those reasons that you like them, but I think Bob Salas returned to San Francisco. Okay, so it didn't work out in New York.
Starting point is 00:25:43 It doesn't work out for just about anybody with the Jets, but to those cozy confines. I like their trajectory there. All right, listen, all of a sudden, we're down to it. We have one slot left, a wild card at that gather round. Rams and hawks,
Starting point is 00:25:59 bears, bucks, America's alleged team, commies, who gets that sixth seed? A Minnesota biking! You did it, J.J. McCarthy. This is a KOC pick for me. Jeff Schwartz, what do you think? Well, I have
Starting point is 00:26:17 so many questions. So, first of all, KOC was on the broadcast for a quarter this past weekend. Like with Paul Allen, it was great. He just, it was awesome. I love KOC. Okay, so we're, we're, the Vikings are, are better than the commanders. That's what we're going with here. And like, where, where the, by the end of 17 games, the record for this season,
Starting point is 00:26:40 we'll say that the Vikings were superior than the comic. And the Cardinals too? Yeah. Yeah. That's what I, I just forecasted. Oh, boy. So were the commanders, eight and nine? I think that there are, I mean, you know, I think that the NFC,
Starting point is 00:26:57 if you kind of just are making the same assumptions that you've made for the last season or two, it's like the NFC is soft, not anymore. There are some legitimate teams out there. And the playoff spots are, seven is not enough for how many good teams there are. There are some nine win teams, maybe some 10 win teams that are left on the outside looking in this year. Last question for you on the NFC side. If Stafford was healthy, where would the Rams be? I was all about the Rams.
Starting point is 00:27:27 Same. About Stafford and McVeigh and what they did on defense last year. I was keen on them going into Philly taking a shot at them. They did almost get over the hump. It's just, it's too weird. The Stafford thing has gone on just long enough. And even if he is out there and ready to go and looking good in week one, now you have to have it in the back of your head.
Starting point is 00:27:48 like, man, if he takes a bad shot, is he going to have to sit out for several weeks? Is he going to have to go under the knife? Too murky for me, so I'm staying away. Do you like overall? Do you want to change your number one seat? I'd like to hear what Jeff Schwartz thinks is the number one seat in the A. Look, I have said whether on Josh this morning,
Starting point is 00:28:06 you have not got to the NFC West yet. But the Niners to have the best record in the NFL is a very live thing because of their schedule. Guys, their schedule is a joke. It just happens to work out this way this season. Fourth place schedule, right? So they get three crossover games that are their fourth place teams. I think at the South, I believe, and they get both Souths, right, the season. It's a very manageable schedule, especially if the Rams and Stafford are going to be hurt.
Starting point is 00:28:33 Like, you just get, you just get, it's a good situation for them. So I think it's very, very live for them to be the one seat. It does not, it does not bother me. I feel like you're going to piss me off from the AFC, just because I just think you are. but the NFC on this the wild card stuff i mean those are feels like for you toss-ups but i can live with those but it feels like the one and two is about where they should be well by the way the nineers schedule isn't just the easiest this year it's sort of historically or at least over the course of the last decade one of it presents as one of the easiest schedules available
Starting point is 00:29:07 for any pro football team in the last decade at least so yes i think there's great value in the Niners. All right, let's do the Mount Lombardi AFC side of the mountain and see who's going to be able to scale that. Dealers choice, and I'm the dealer, so let's start with the Steelers. Oh, there we go.
Starting point is 00:29:31 This is waiting for first. Just have the one seed signed up for the one seat. Just put them in there. What is it? What is it that you've ever heard from me that makes you think I just blindly put that, do I, do I pick the Steelers to go to the Super Bowl? No, you actually don't. You put the Chargers. Sorry. I will tell you when that Steelers are going to stink. How dare you, sir? All right. I'm going to continue now.
Starting point is 00:29:54 You may have heard they've treated this offseason quite differently than they've ever treated an offseason before. And I'm not just talking about the Mike Tomlin era. Did you hear about they got Aaron Rogers? Now, will they make the playoffs? Let's find out. Bo-lo-up. Ayahuasca aided to the sixth seed. How say you, Jeff Schwartz? I don't know. You win football games that's going off
Starting point is 00:30:22 at the touchdowns. The voodoo continues. I think I text you every time that happens. I don't know how you guys do it. I don't know. Sure, six-seed. It doesn't surprise me. Nothing surprised me with,
Starting point is 00:30:33 but there's no reason they win half of their games. It's just like, you know, here's the reason, Dave. I'll tell you the reason. It's actually an actual reason. That's overly skeptical. defense is loaded up in one of the top three defenses in the conference issue. Here's why
Starting point is 00:30:49 Pittsburgh wins a lot of games. It's actually a real thing. I mean, it's why Kansas City wins a lot of games too, is they don't make a ton of really bad mistakes in a game. Like, they don't have dumb penalties. They obviously try to turn the ball over, but they
Starting point is 00:31:05 typically don't have a lot of turnovers and they play a very clean game and they force other teams to make mistakes. And, And when you get to the fourth quarter, they're good on special teams, right? They can rush to pass it really well. Those are things that win football games in the NFL in the fourth quarter. And they play the style of football where they just keep it close, keep it closer.
Starting point is 00:31:25 Then boom, you get stripsacked or you have a dumb play. And they take advantage of that. So there is a quality to that in the NFL. And so Pittsburgh would be a 16th wouldn't surprise me, especially if I think this is, if you're doing that, you probably have downgraded the Bengals, as my guess. And so we'll see as we go. I'm excited for the Chargers to win the NFC West in your prediction, so let's go. What a creep.
Starting point is 00:31:47 All right, fine. Seven years of running. You have to do it for eight years in a row now. Okay, main event is the battle for the one seed. Obviously, dead and a land come January. The two seed. I thought they might go all the way to the top, but they come up just short, shorts. I'll say you.
Starting point is 00:32:06 I think they're the one seed this year. So I think we're in the same boat here. very good football team, just can't be the Tuesdays in the postseason. That's that simple. I mean, like them and the Ravens, according to DVOA, have had like some of the best four-year stretches of NFL history to have never played a Super Bowl. They have Patrick Mahomes problem.
Starting point is 00:32:26 And so, yeah, the two-seed makes a ton of sense. I think there's three options for this one seed. There's two options left. We'll see if you have them up there. There's a fourth wild card, by the way, that you might throw out me. I'm kind of curious that the wild card happens. I'll get to that. In the meantime, though, when I, you know,
Starting point is 00:32:42 I'm old enough to remember the Baltimore Colts, and the Baltimore Colts were in the AFC East. And back then, the Miami Dolphins, for all the songs being sung about Don Shulen, as great as he was, ground and pound was Zonka, Mercury, Morris, and Jim Kick, and Bob Greasy providing as much to the team, maybe a tick more than Dave Damashik did,
Starting point is 00:33:08 just a passenger along for the ride. then the 80s arrived and Dan Marino exploded and I contend that Shula failed Marino. A number of terrible drafts and it's largely because Shula's line of thinking was outmoded specifically around Marino. He failed him to some degree. That's why Marino didn't get back to a Super Bowl after that second season. I think Sean McDermott limits Josh Allen. I get what you said about Mike Tomlin and risk aversion and that's the way the Steelers have approached it and it's worked especially since Rathusberger hurt his elbow. I don't think that's the same rule that McDermott should be applying when he has Josh Allen at QB. I agree with. I actually
Starting point is 00:33:54 think I think right now the the Bengals are almost closer to what the dolphins are doing. Dolphins did to Marino than the bills are. The Bengals right now are just there. We'll get to them at some point in this in this chin this little mountain here but the bangles i mean you know they made it to super bowl in burroughs second third year third year right i think was his third year yeah that might have been his second year okay second year but the point is they you know they made it early in his career like marino and ever since then they just sabotage them the entire way i know i really want to get on board i really even as a steelers fan i really can't help but like joe cool i do think show's awesome yeah i mean although he did get what he wanted what he wanted what he needed to have
Starting point is 00:34:35 his two guys. So he got him, something is going to fall off on the other side. You would think, and here we are now with the mess that is going to be that defense. Okay, the one seed is still in play. The Bengals are in play for it. A lot of buzz around Sean Peyton's mile high, gang. Can they scale to the top or at least get into the tourney? Let's find out. The mountain climbing boots aren't necessary. They just scaled a little a foothill there to the seven seed. How say you, Schwartz? I think they're going to be better than Pittsburgh. Okay, but they're a better team.
Starting point is 00:35:11 I'm talking about the record, man. I'm talking about where they're... Well, if I think they're going to have a better record, then they're going to be at the six-seed or five-seed. Yeah, I think Denver is really good. It just comes down to the advancement of Bo Nix, right? Does Bo Nix take that next step into year two? Is there more offense given to him?
Starting point is 00:35:31 Is there a little more variety of what he can do? Defense can be really good. offense the line is good running backs wide receivers that's all good Sean Panicking coach it's a kin next thing and I know preseason is is what it is but their defense has looked pretty good in the preseason just like even the backups like the whole thing has looked really good so far so I think the Broncos are in the playoffs but a five or succeed I mean I can talk myself into the Broncos winning the west I think the defense like I already said is going to be a top two or three unit in the conference I think they are set up to really
Starting point is 00:36:05 brutalize their foes and really, you know, put some attrition on them, on them fancy pantses from KC and from L.A. Is Bo Nicks ready to roll? Is he ready to elevate a little bit? I'm going to put them, like I say, they're behind the Steelers. So have my cake and some pie there. AFC South, much like the NFC South is the redheaded step kid of its conference, the NFL in the SEC. It just means less. I think we. can agree about that. It does, yeah. The Jags and Colts are hoping to knock off the Texans. Can either do it. It's time to find out. There are the Jags. There are the Texans. I mean, they're the Colts. Here we go.
Starting point is 00:36:51 That's right, Danny. Does it. He got him to the division crown. How say you, Jeff Schwartz? That excited, huh? So I know you told me about this idea for the Mountain a couple days ago, which means that you decided on this before they announced who the starting quarterback was. But you think it wasn't going to be time? I don't know what it was going to be. But this is the one I've, out of what we've done now, this would be 11 teams, I think, in this exercise.
Starting point is 00:37:23 This is, this one is my least favorite. Daniel Jones is not good at football. We've been over this many times before. The winner, the winner of a division, seven, of eight, seven of eight of them, right? Mostly eight of eight are the best quarterback. I don't see C.J. Stroud or Trevor Lawrence, essentially being worse than Daniel Jones.
Starting point is 00:37:46 And so... How about this? Cam Ward either. Probably, but Tennessee has a lot of holes on the roster around Cam Ward. So this is the one of... Other ones you had, I can believe it. Okay, sure. But no, I'm out on this one. You, I see, you're hard to pin down because I know it's a players league, but you also admire difference-making coaches. And I think Lou Anarumo is that.
Starting point is 00:38:11 I think that what you saw Fangio do with the Eagles a year ago, this is a poor man's version of it. Don't get me wrong. It's not like I'm talking about the Colts going to a Super Bowl or anything. But I think Anirumo is going to tune that defense up behind that offensive line. And Jonathan Taylor, he is the X factor because of health issues. When he's right, they are a different team. And consider, look at the quarterbacks they were running out there last year. They got the eight games. I don't see a reason that they should drop off there. And for the people who say, one score games and all of that,
Starting point is 00:38:42 they were on the wrong side of some really tight games against good teams a year ago. I'm not back at Dan Jones to win a division. I'm sorry. What spin you put on it? All right. We're running out of room. Better claim a seat quick in the game of musical chairs. Chiefs.
Starting point is 00:39:00 They're going to take their division for the 87th year in a row. It's time to find out. I'm happy. They're going to have to settle for the five-seat Jeff Schwartz. What do you think? You did it again. We don't know yet. It's not the Raiders. I promise you that. I'll tell you.
Starting point is 00:39:26 The only thing with the Chiefs is I'll just make the case quickly. The team is better this year in offense. last year they lost Rashid Rice after four games and three and a half games he will be suspended for some point this year Hollow Brown was hurt last season he's back right now Xavier Worthy year too
Starting point is 00:39:44 we see with working windout takes about 12, 16 games to feel really comfortable there right Pacheco's healthy offensive line there's some question marks I'll give you a left guard for the most part right now with Kingsley but the defense is the defense doesn't have to be great
Starting point is 00:39:58 and Kelsey looks great he's lost 20 pounds he admitted last year that he came in a little out of shape World Tour was growth, which is fine. I mean, I think we all agree that we'd all live that life as well. There's no shame in that. But I think we're going to see a better version of Kansas City this season. A couple of things. First of all, I don't think you say it's one of those things that people just threw out.
Starting point is 00:40:21 Oh, who wouldn't want to do live the Taylor Swift life? I think you would get bored with that. I think I would get bored. Well, I married Taylor Swift. So that's also why. You got to see the same show. and it's like a, isn't it like a two or three-hour extravaganza? And you've got to sit through that every single time.
Starting point is 00:40:40 People complain about their significant other dragging them to football games. At least the results change. They don't run the, it doesn't go the exact same. The Taylor Swim show is the same show, whether you're in Tokyo or in Altoona. Right? I hadn't thought about that. But yeah, I mean, I guess I don't want to date a pop star then. probably do the same show every night.
Starting point is 00:41:02 I didn't have to worry about that. You don't have to worry about it, thankfully. But all right, enough on the Chiefs. Jeff has made his predictions. Let's find out what is the fate of the Raiders and or the Chargers? Oh, the Chargers have taken. The AFC West, they did it, Jeff. Are you happy for them?
Starting point is 00:41:26 You'll be right after nine years of predicting the Chargers to win the division. you'll finally get it right. The Slater injury is a problem. You know, move at Alt-Left tackle. You know, you're talking about Chiefs Offensive line. But you like that. I thought you said that. No, I think Alt's going to be fine.
Starting point is 00:41:43 The problem is now you're worse at right tackle. You already have question mark the center and left guard. Lab McConkey, obviously, we'll see his health. I mean, Trey Harris can't catch a pass. That's not a good thing. I love Harbaugh's mentality. I like the way that he builds his, teams but again i just i got to see a little bit more from that team to win the division
Starting point is 00:42:06 skepticism is fine obviously we haven't seen this chargers era really pay off the way so many of us keep expecting them too but i'm riding with the harbaugh here i mean it's the harbom season two magic and so i'm rolling with that even in a rugged division really should be as interesting a division as there is i have miss the three seed we'll see um there at the three seats. So no Raiders or Texans or dolphins. That means we only have the one seed left. It's Feast or Famine for the Ravens and the Bengals win the North or go home and watch the playoffs. Of course, the Ravens get it. How say you? I mean, at this point for Baltimore and Buffalo, it's not about we do the regular season.
Starting point is 00:42:54 It's about to do the postseason. And these teams are going to win a ton of regular season games. can you beat Kansas City when it matters most in the postseason? In this scenario, Buffalo gets a chance first, right? No, it will be four or five. So it'll be the Ravens potentially getting a chance first off a buy to host Kansas City. So you have to do it at this point. We know what this teams are. We know Baltimore's going to be good.
Starting point is 00:43:19 We know Buffalo's going to be good. It's that can they beat Kansas City in the postseason? But also, and I hear you completely, but I kind of feel like they're in a weird spot, Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson and their teams in general, but also the Chiefs, too, have a weird sort of pressure after getting destroyed the way they did by the Eagles. And so that looms for them, I'm sure. But it's weird because you're exactly right. Their fan bases are going to be like, whatever, let's go.
Starting point is 00:43:47 Let's get to the postseason. It's all that matters. But, of course, the one seed means a great deal. If you can avoid having to play on the teams, you're in a way better position. if you're the Ravens or the build, right? The one seat is so valuable. This clip was floating around, and I was watching a little bit of the Kingdom,
Starting point is 00:44:06 the new Chiefs miniseries. And, you know, Andy Reid, they won. They won, well, Christmas, I think, right, to win the one seat. And you say, Andy, yeah. Oh, yeah, that was that game, yeah. And then Andy Reid came in, like, in a Santa costume. Like, the happiness and joy for getting that one seat, man.
Starting point is 00:44:25 it's so valuable and you know Ravens or Bill's if they get it I think it's Buffalo that you know one less game right
Starting point is 00:44:34 you get to rest like all those things are so important to win a championship I just think the to round out the AFC and in general
Starting point is 00:44:43 the Chiefs vibe right now and you know better than I do you're closer to them I feel like it has to matter to them that there really wasn't since the Brady
Starting point is 00:44:54 overshed time game and D. Ford and all of that. Between then and the Super Bowl against the Eagles, there wasn't a ton that would creep into anybody on that team's mind that's like, when push comes the shove, we're going to come through in the end. They, you know, the Buccaneers lost. They didn't have their whole offensive line. And now they know they, it's not, it's important that the other teams know it, but I think the chief now know, they bleed. That's not good. Or, or the, or that, or that motivates them to not bleed again. I hear you, but I just think that there's a little bit of,
Starting point is 00:45:29 there's got to be some doubt that didn't exist prior to what they either. I think so when you get physically beat like that. Because again, you're right. Their team was whole in that game. And we're going to talk a lot about a lot, but their passers also do not hit Jalen Hertz at all. Like they just didn't really play well on either side of the ball. So more motivates them.
Starting point is 00:45:48 We'll see how it happens. Yeah, a 47-year-old man who dates Taylor Swift losing some more. wait. I don't think that that is as big a factor as people seem to be making it out to be. He's at the tail end. I've always agreed with you. He is the X factor of that offense. Yes. Or anybody else. But he's old now. He is old. I want to make that on the record that I was probably the first person to say that. Tyree killed. Terry killed. No. It's always been Travis Kelsey.
Starting point is 00:46:11 That's true. To be fair, I think that's right. Hey, listen, all sorts of gems like that coming out of Jeff Schwartz. Make sure you're tracking down. Jeff Schwartz is smarter than you. The easiest way to do that if you want to support football America is go to the Football America YouTube page. It's also available wherever you find your audio podcasts. Matt Ford is a great fellow. Everybody over there, Blue Duck
Starting point is 00:46:33 is as well. It's worth the listen every week to make sure you're up to speed. All right. There goes Jeff Schwartz. Make sure, like we already said, check out on YouTube Football America page as the subscribers add in there. Surely Jeff Schwartz's
Starting point is 00:46:49 inclusion will increase that. Appreciate Schwartz making some time for us here. despite the disagreements. Tony's still with us. What jumped out to you from who I had making it up onto the side of Mount Lombardy there? Dave, I'm just really surprised you're high on the Arizona Cardinals. I'm a high on them, but okay. High, you have them in the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:47:10 I mean, that's calling them high. They're one of the best seven teams in the NFC. I mean, okay, they're only 16. It's not like I'm putting them into the college football playoff or anything. Sure. But, yeah, listen, I hear you because. No jive. Tony, we don't know each other very well. And I have to establish here and now, if I haven't already, the cardinal rule of this program, as with all my programs, a no-jive policy must be intact. And I'm not going to jive you. And I'm not saying that Dave of five minutes ago was wrong, but he might be wrong. And if the five minutes ago, Dave was wrong, it was with that pick. I think if I had it to do over again, I might put the Chicago Bears in there over the Arizona. the Cardinals. But I do think
Starting point is 00:47:55 Kyla's going to have a big year and I really like what that offense is capable of doing and I at least like the pieces they have on defense. The pieces, I think their defense is going to be better than it was last year. I like the pieces. I like McBride. I think if Marvin Harrison, Jr. can start to like really come out of his shell and start earning some
Starting point is 00:48:11 high value targets down the field. My issue is with Kyler. I just don't think A, he's, I think, one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL in the last couple of years targeting guys deep, targeting guys to the boundary. Like, a lot of things that Kyler does really well getting out of the pocket, making things when there's nothing there. But throwing the ball deep and throwing the ball of the boundary is things
Starting point is 00:48:32 you need as a quarterback. And he just simply doesn't have them. I just don't trust him late in the season. My eye still, after all these years of watching Kyler, has not adjusted to watching him out there at quarterback. He looks tiny running around out there. Either way, maybe we should have included the Cardinals as an option for America's team or maybe the Bears, but we've made our list there. We'll have that out there as a poll for you. We'll weigh in on that. Who should be America's team? 2025, I do think we will have captured the right answer in there. I'm not going to try and swing.
Starting point is 00:49:04 Oh, you know what? I'll Simon Cowlett. It's the Buffalo Bill. Sorry, I'm just going to say it. They're red, white, and blue. We feel sad for them. They've never won a Super Bowl. We have a certain amount of pity for them. So get in there and vote on that as soon as you can. Remember, you need to, you have some skin in the game. you want to attach yourself to one of these teams, at least if you don't have a previous rooting interest. Tony, great stuff from you. We'll be checking you out on the Levitard show proper. Looking forward to that. Fuentes Brothers Dynamite stuff, as always. Bradley with the
Starting point is 00:49:38 news, good stuff there, pal. We need you just smoking a nail. I think that'll really complete the look for you if we can get you doing that to really be a mid-century newsman. And most of all, football Americans, we appreciate you. Keep on downloading the show, however you prefer. You can find it wherever you find your audio podcasts and check it out on youtube football america with an exclamation point is how you do that we'll be back with more hooey and applesauce for you next week we really need to expand to two shows great news we're going to be expanding to two shows as soon as we get to week one there we'll make do with the time we have here we appreciate you checking it all out so until next week thanks so much football americans it's been a thin slice of heaven
Starting point is 00:50:22 Thank you.

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