The Dana Show with Dana Loesch - Election Day Showdown: The Red Surge, the Blue Wall, and the Battle for Congress
Episode Date: November 5, 2024Election Day in America. Dana breaks down what to watch for and how the surge in early voting could help Republicans. Does Kamala Harris regret not choosing Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro as her... running mate? Dana explains the “Blue Wall” and how crucial it is to securing a victory. Dana focuses on the key House races to watch. The Gold Medal-winning “women’s” boxer from Algeria who critics thought was a man turns out is actually a man. Numbers show there are more registered Republicans than Democrats. Glenn Reynolds AKA Instapundit joins us to discuss what would ensue after a Trump victory including immediate policy changes and the chance of riots and violence in DC.Please visit our great sponsors:Black Rifle Coffeehttps://blackriflecoffee.com/danaUse code DANA to save 20% on your next order. Byrnahttps://byrna.com/danaVisit today for 10% off and get the protection you need. Hillsdalehttps://danaforhillsdale.comClaim your free pocket Constitution today at DanaForHillsdale.comKelTechttps://KelTecWeapons.comInnovation. Performance. Keltec. Learn more at KelTecWeapons.com today.Patriot Mobilehttps://patriotmobile.com/danaGet a free month of service with code Dana.PreBornhttps://preborn.com/danaHelp a woman meet her baby for the first time by donating to PreBorn! To donate securely dial #250 and say keyword BABY or visit Preborn.com/DANA. ReadyWise https://readywise.comUse promo code Dana20 to save 20% on any regularly priced item.Relief Factorhttps://relieffactor.comDon’t mask pain, fight it naturally with Relief Factor. Visit online or call 1-800-4-RELIEF today!Tax Network USAhttps://TNUSA.com/DANADon’t let the IRS control your life—empower yourself with Tax Network USA. Visit TNUSA.com/DANA
Transcript
Discussion (0)
The math doesn't work.
The Democrats are down 1.7 million early votes in the battleground states in urban areas.
They are down 1.4 million votes in the battleground states among women voters.
Rule voters have overperformed early by 300,000.
Democrats have to win their races early.
Republicans generally win them on election day.
And the margins don't add up right now for the Democrats in any of these battleground states.
the math. So this is the big, the big thing is whether or not there is enough early voter,
like the voting, the momentum on the Democrat side, whether or not the early voting is, if this
is significant enough to carry them. Because usually, as you guys know, Democrats have been
so good at early voting. That's like their thing. That's their thing. It was to
the point where, you know, Republicans, we were lamenting and, and we were actually quite upset
with ourselves because it was, you know, we were sort of falling by the wayside with it. So now here
we are. What is, what's, what does it mean? That's what we're going to dive into because welcome
to the jungle, everybody. We're kicking it off. And it's election day. We've, we've lived how,
I mean, how many years?
How many years is this been? I feel like.
I can't believe we're here already.
Did we make it? Are we here? How many sleeps
before election? All right. So I
have a packed show for you today.
We're going to go through everything.
We're going to look at different electoral pathways.
We're going to look at the top 10 races to watch.
Watch the Senate. The House.
We're going to look at some of the early voting. I'm going to correct some arguments.
We're going to totally trash some polling.
And then we're going to talk about two pathways
after. And then we got, of course, election shenanigans. If you have been paying attention,
Lorraine's got a great piece up right now over at Chapter and Verse, where she gets into some of
the election shenanigans that have been going on today already. As you know, some of them are
glitches, some of them are shenanigans, and she breaks all of that down. So we have a lot to hit.
Now, again, welcome your lovable crumogen. Dana Lash here with you. No matter what happens
today, we're going to walk through it together. And, of course, we have to observe some hilarity.
I have some cultural stories, completely unrelated to the election. And I've been
waiting all day, literally all night, all day to share one with you. So let's dive into all of this.
All right. First and foremost. So election day and early voting has been good for Republicans.
The states and the battleground states, and we're going to talk a lot about these battleground
states, which include the blue wall. And you guys know these battleground states, we've talked about
it quite a bit. Pennsylvania is chief amongst them. I mean, you've got Georgia, North Carolina,
Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona.
And it has been all about turnout, getting these Republican voters out, because Republican turnout has always been the issue.
Now, I want to pause here for a moment because I touched on this yesterday.
And I will caution people about comparing the turnout, especially when you look at states like Pennsylvania in some of these battlegrounds.
I will caution you in comparing turnout today to turnout of 2020.
And there is a major reason why.
Actually, two major reasons.
First and foremost, it was COVID.
Secondly, Republicans were hell bent against early voting in 2020,
to the point that it actually depressed the overall vote on election day.
I spent about two hours deep diving through all my notes at the time.
This is a particular sore spot for me because I traveled in 2020 to a few of these battleground states.
And it was insane.
And good, sweet people, many of them listen to the show and I love them.
But they were hell-bent against early voting.
They were not going to go do it.
And I was trying to caution people.
Look, in the areas where you can do it.
If Democrats are going to allow you the chance to run out, to score, then go by
all means do it. I understand the principle. Look, I like voting on election day. My mother will
fight you to the death to vote on election day only. There are certain people like this. I have dear
friends of mine who are my age and some of them a couple years younger who are like, no, we are
only voting on election day. I get it. Believe me. But I want to, but in 2020, it was a different
scenario. Republicans were just dominated by Democrats with early voting. And they didn't,
especially in 2020 with COVID and the concern over mail and ballots and everything else there was.
And Trump spoke against it.
So it's a, it's very, you don't want to measure early voting now to 2020 because they feel like we're restoring behavioral norms.
And as a result of restoring behavioral norms, it's difficult for me to say that that's a major gain when we're going back to how it was normally.
Right.
Now, I will say, if you're comparing them against to Democrats,
Republicans have been doing really well holding their own against Democrats in with regard to early voting. And we're going to dive into that. Now, one of the other things, the state to watch is going to be Pennsylvania. I've heard a lot about early voting specifically in Pennsylvania. And like I said, I think that's, you know, again, not entirely representative of the whole story when you're restoring normal behavior. But looking back, Trump won this state in 2016 by 44,292 votes. Biden won the state.
by 80,582 votes in 2020. So there's not a lot of room by these margins. Now, as you know,
Pennsylvania, together with Wisconsin and Michigan, they form that blue wall. That's the wall that
Democrats love to hide behind. And it's protected countless nominees, except in 2016 with Hillary
Clinton and with two caucus. It held in 2020. Now, the race is neck and neck. Any pollster who
tells you what's going to happen is lying to you. If they tell you, they know they're lying.
to you. It is so incredibly close. I don't trust the theories about the shy voter. I don't trust the
theories about the hidden voter or any of that because none of that stuff panned out in 2020. And I was
looking at a lot of surveys, a lot of polling data in 2020. And what I was hearing wasn't adding up
with the numbers that I was seeing. So I'm I'm super cautious going into this to the point of a super
cynic, not to not to not to be a fatalist, but I want to be realistic. Because I don't think that it
helps aside to bolster an argument or say that you don't need help when really you do. And maybe
that could be the difference between winning or losing. Now, in Pennsylvania, a couple of things,
because I hear people say there's troubling signs that emerge, but there's also some really good
things. So I don't want people to focus on like a lot of this early vote. One of the things you can
tell with early voting is, you know, how many registered Democrats, how many registered Republicans,
men, women, et cetera, et cetera, the ages. But you don't know where those votes are going to because
they're not going to be counted. It's not going to start until today. So in Pennsylvania,
voters over the age of 65 have already cast half of the early ballots. Registered Democrats were
58% of those votes cast by seniors compared to 35% for Republicans. And that's despite both parties
having roughly equal numbers of registered voters age 65 and older. More women than men have
early voted with women tending to skew Democrat. And I hope that the campaign, because we started
seeing this trend emerge a couple of weeks ago, and so I hope the campaign, and I feel like,
it did maneuvered on the ground to combat that a little bit to realize, oh, here's where we got a leak,
let's fix it. Or this is where we have a leak, let's fix it. And I feel like at that point,
there was enough movement on the ground where they targeted those issues. But one of the problems
with these trends is that a lot of the trends about voting and these discernible patterns,
they don't emerge until the votes start being counted. And a lot of the stuff that you hear
about previous elections, these are patterns that were only able to be seen after the votes came in,
if that makes sense. So that, I don't, this is, this is one of those things that underscores the
need to completely swamp the vote. And, and again, I think you also have to consider a lot of
Republicans still, especially in some of these states, they like to go on the day of. But not all
signs indicate trouble. There's a lot of encouraging things, too. Republicans are leading early
voting for the first time ever in North Carolina. This has never happened before. I think it has to do
with North Carolina's absolutely abysmal response to everything that's happened in the aftermath of Hurricane
Helene. And the GOP has been reversing the party's long held position against early voting. Now,
here's another thing. We're going to talk about a lot of these Senate races, but let me just give you a 30,000
foot view to start the show. Bernie Moreno, I said this yesterday, pulled point four ahead of Sherrod Brown
in Ohio, right? McCormick and Casey are
tied in Pennsylvania. The better measure of Harris versus Trump, if you want a more accurate
representation than what you're getting from these national surveys, is to watch what happens
in those races. Watch what happens in these battleground races between these from state lawmakers
that are just tied. This is significant. Now, Trump is also polling incredibly well in Ohio,
so that's part of it. But in Pennsylvania, he and Harris are tied. And so McCormick and Casey Casey
has been reversing a lot of his positions.
He's been trying to run to the center.
He's invoked Trump's name and ads,
which we've talked about last week.
I think this is a better measure
of the health of the Senate.
I said to you last night,
if you subscribe to my newsletter
and chapter and verse,
I believe,
I feel like at least Republicans
will take the Senate with 51 seats.
That is my estimation.
Now, that could actually go significantly higher.
You could go up to 55 seats
because you have a number of these other races,
which we're going to talk about here coming up.
races to watch.
And we're going to dive into the house here coming up.
Dixville Notch is the first town.
This is in New Hampshire.
They vote at midnight.
What do they have like a whole six people?
A whole six people.
Can I just say, how are you your own town with six people?
That's like me saying I'm going to form a micro nation here in my backyard.
Right?
I don't like what.
Anyway.
So in 2016, I can't remember what it was.
Was it 42? Trump.
And then it ended up being tied or no, not tied.
I think Biden edged him out.
We're like five-one or something like that in 2020.
Bottom line is it was three to three.
They literally are tied.
In Dixville Notch, first time to vote.
Three for Harris, three for Trump.
And the funny thing is, is all these people, Democrats and Republicans, it's a tiny, six people.
They use it as a narrative for the rest of the day.
Like at least until what came like 11 or 12 o'clock.
That's the narrative.
And then, you know, they were pulling their hair.
when they saw those come in. I thought that was hysterical last night. I got to say, I thought it was
pretty funny. So this is, I mean, we got a packed show and we're going to dive into the House races.
House is, you know, this is where I got a little concern. I have some concern. We're going to talk
about Nevada. Nevada could be an issue of candidate quality coming up. I know people don't like
to have that conversation. I'm specifically looking at the Senate where you have the Democrat pulling ahead.
We're going to look at the other battlegrounds. We're going to look too at that seat, that what I think might be a
51-seat majority. Cruz's seat. Now you've got to remember Joe Manchin who's retiring,
that's all baked into this. Ted Cruz, his race for some reason, even though he's over plus four
of Allred, and it's probably the closest race that he's been in. And he, I feel like the campaign
should learn some lessons after Beto O'Rourke beat him by over 2,300-something votes in the most
conservative Red County, the last big urban Red County that's conservative in the United States,
but I feel like there were lessons that weren't learned there. But Cruz's seat is plus four. It's
labeled as a toss-up, it's not going to be a toss-up. He's going to win, but it's going to be close. That's my,
that's my forecast. We're also going to talk. Trump grew coattails. Now, you can't say that he,
he did not have them in 2020. I'll fight you on to death on that. I'm not saying this as a
pejorative. I'm telling you this as a form of encouragement. He grew coattails. This is evident in
Ohio, in Pennsylvania. It's evident in Wisconsin. There are some, we're going to look at this.
That is very interesting. And it.
foretells if he wins some good things to come from midterms. So we've got a lot to hit. We also have to
catch up on the Daniel Penny case. We also have to talk about that dude who said he was a chick,
who was an Olympic boxer, but then they discovered that he had lady balls. I don't know. We've got to
talk about all of that as well. We've got to get into the non-major party voters. They are the
plurality now. Makes it harder for both sides. But then in some ways it's easier. So we've got to hit
all of that stuff and more. We've got a PAC show. You don't want to miss.
a single bit of it as we move. If your approach to everyday aches and pains is to mask them,
you know, feel better for a few hours or only have the pain return and then repeat the cycle all
over again. It's time to try Relief Factor. And the good news is that Relief Factor makes that
easy. Their three-week quick start is just 1995, less than a dollar a day. Instead of masking pain,
Relief Factor helps eliminate it. It's a unique formula of ingredients that helps support your
body's response to inflammation. And Relief Factor was developed by doctors. It's 100%
drug-free, and for so many people, the results are game-changing, even life-changing. Chris, my husband
raves about Relief Factor. So whether you're a cyclist, a hiker, you know, an athlete from your
college days or high school, maybe you're just active now. Relief Factor supports inflammation,
reduction, and joint health. Try it today. Visit Relieffactor.com or call 1-800-4 relief. That's
1-800-the-number-4 relief. See in how just a few weeks or even days relief factor can reduce your pain.
And then you feel better, and then life is just better. So don't mask pain.
naturally with relief factor.
And now, all of the news you would probably miss.
It's time for Dana's Quick Five.
I'm not going to lie.
I feel like of all the stupid things I would buy, it would be this.
This Italian, beautiful Italian vacation spot is selling cans of its air.
This is some space ball stuff.
It's called Lake Como Air.
It's air from Lake Como.
You know somebody just farted in a can and then just like sold it.
That's all it was.
It says empty cans containing air from Lake Como.
are being sold to gullible tourists for like almost $10 a can.
400 milliliters, they're being sold at a bookshop and a restaurant on the lake,
as well as two other popular destinations nearby.
And they have an aerial image of a motorboat speeding across the idyllic Italian lake.
That's actually hysterical, and I'm really, I'm sad that I didn't come.
You know what?
We need to have like East St. Louis air, right, and just put it in a can.
or Washington, D.C.
You know, by the, by Union Station, air.
So the air?
The Tennis 11 dollars, U.S.?
Why didn't I do this?
I'm so mad.
But it's still like only $8 for a beer at the stadium.
Yes, but this is the air.
I mean, it's actual Italian air, you know, from the Lake Como.
You know what I mean?
Hey.
Anyway, I feel like I, like I wouldn't make fun of it,
but at the same time.
I am not going to lie.
There's 10% of me that goes,
oh, I want that.
That's Lake Homo Air.
Farmers are...
No, this is the headline I do not look today.
Farmers are sounding the alarm
about the future of potato chips in America.
We're going to riot.
Because potatoes are getting harder to grow
in places like Pennsylvania,
which has the most potato chip makers
of any states in the U.S.
Save the Tadies.
Save them Tadie chips.
No.
The best kind are barbecue
and salt and salt and
vinegar. I'll fight you. I think that's like the third time I've said that today. We're not even
now we're in. I'm just fighting everything today. Kamenomics, the average age of the U.S.
home buyer has jumped to 56. 56 years old. That's like when I was younger, isn't that the age of people
would retire? It's 56. Vote accordingly. Yeah, vote accordingly, guys. We got a lot more on the way.
Races to watch battlegrounds and more stick with us, our partners over at pre-born. It
It's new to the program, new to the radio program.
Pre-Born does a lot to help women, to help mothers, expectant mothers.
And especially when you consider the culture of, you know, life is just disposable.
And the fight since Roe v. Wade, state by state, never before has been more important to meet women where they are when they're in this, when they have these needs.
Pre-born clinics have counseled over a half a million women who have been considering abortion.
they've saved 300,000 babies.
Because when a woman sees an ultrasound, when she sees her infant, when she hears the heartbeat, well, that actually can save lives.
And 80,000 women through this have come to faith.
Preborn network clinics rescue 200 babies from abortion every day.
And they've been partnering with pregnancy clinics in the highest abortion cities and regions across the nation.
They provide life-saving ultrasounds.
And they also, mothers who choose life, they get help with maternity, baby clothes, diapers, carsey,
counseling, everything. All these services are provided free of charge, up to two years of assistance.
This is where you help. This is what your help translates to. You're the answer. You can visit
preborne.com slash Dana. $28 sponsors one ultrasound. Help a woman meet her baby for the first time.
$140. Sponsors, sponsors five ultrasounds. Any donation helps. If you donate monthly, you receive
ultrasound pictures of the babies you help save. All gifts are tax deductible. And Preborn has a four-star
charity rating so you can give with confidence. Visit preborn.com slash Dana.
help save a baby and mother's life. That's preborn.com slash Dana.
Did you know eight out of the last 11 created jobs never really existed?
Over the course of the past year, the Labor Department has revised the jobs report by over a million jobs.
In case you forgot, the Federal Reserve was using this info when making their policy decisions.
Check out the watchdog on Wall Street podcast on Apple, Spotify, wherever you get your podcast.
Keep your finger on the pulse with the Dana Show podcast.
delivering timely news with insightful analysis.
Whenever you want, straight to you on YouTube, Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Is there a better intro to a song than G&R's Welcome to the Jungle?
Nay, there is not, you got to keep it going just for a second.
Oh my gosh.
It is literally the best intro to any song ever.
I mean, I'm just saying, it's divinely inspired.
And there is no better song to describe a general election day.
and welcome to the jungle. Welcome back to the program. You're in the jungle now, baby.
Dana Lash here with you, your lovable crumogen, a little less crumudgeonly today.
Even though I've got like a nervous, I just said got a, yeah, we're all the same way, right?
We're all like, yeah, right now. But there's something about the pageantry and the process of voting that is so distinctly American that I just love it to bits.
I don't care if I'm nervous about it or afraid. Even if I were losing, I'm still like, yeah. It's just so,
about it that's I love. It's so uniquely American. And I also have to say I am trying really hard
to not flirt with Schadenfreude because the New Testament speaks against that. And I am a very,
I will only say this once. I am a very superstitious person. Insanely so. Like to the point,
if the Cardinals baseball game is on, I literally cannot watch until the second inning because I feel like I jinx it.
I'm not even, it's weird.
I have a bunch of weird things that I, it's weird.
I don't know.
I feel like I get weird or as I get older.
And when I'm, if there's something that I want to happen or I just, I don't want to, how do I say this?
Celebrate any nervousness or misfortune or fear of my opposition when it's so close.
And it really could go either.
You know, I just, so I'm trying so hard not to flirt with Chadenfreude.
However, it was a chilly morning in Texas today.
And I didn't need a jacket.
You know why I didn't need a jacket?
Because the nervousness and fear and paranoia and just outright anxiety that is being demonstrated by the left on the cable news networks and on social media and on blogs and on everything all across the United States is enough to warm my black and bitter heart.
Audio sound by 12.
Josh Shapiro, who didn't get picked because he was Jewish.
Let's be real.
Josh Shapiro would be the VP candidate.
And he wasn't because Democrats are anti, they're, I mean, pretty damn anti-Semitic.
I'll share with you a conversation I have with a dear friend of mine coming up.
But Josh Shapiro, this was his contribution, I guess, his last minute Hail Mary contribution,
audio sum by 12.
It was here in Philly just down the street that we declared our independence from a king.
And hear me on this.
we are not going back to a king in this country.
No, we're not.
So, wait a minute, I'm, like, really confused.
Who said that we're going back to a king?
And you know what?
We're also not going back to tight rolling our jeans.
That is also not going to happen.
Literally, no one said this.
Can we just say things that we don't want
that no one has proposed?
We are not going to disofy the national anthem.
I don't care.
how many people won it, it's not going to happen.
That's Josh Shapiro.
I just sort of feel like he's along for the ride and doing whatever he needs to do,
just to get through this election cycle.
So I had a conversation with a dear friend of mine who also represents me, a big agency.
And my friend is, well, I'm just going to learn for years.
and he is like your,
like he's like the avatar of your Jewish New York liberal, right?
Manhattan's got the accent, everything, the mannerisms, everything.
Like Manhattan, the liberal through and through.
Jewish family.
And I remember when I first met him,
he just could not get over the fact that I was,
I had no problem carrying a gun.
It was, and I was explaining to him,
it's a cultural different.
Like if you grow up in Manhattan
You're used to riding the subway
When you're like nine years old
I think that's insane
Like go and by yourself
Get it on the subway
You're 9, 10 years old
That's nuts
All my everybody I know
Who grew up in Manhattan
They're like yeah
That's like normal
I think it's bonkers
They could not get over
The fact that yeah
You know
Just take a BB gun
Run out in the woods
Start with a BB gun
And then you know
You go from there
They just
That was something
That was something that they could not
Understand
And I was in my conversations
With my friend
I was telling him over and over
You know
This is a culture
thing. You're not actually opposed to firearms. You're not opposed to the Second Amendment. You're not
opposed to concealed care. You're not opposed to these things. You're just unfamiliar with him
because of how you grew up. And over time and over the years, as things happened and with constant
pressure by me, things changed. And he said he went for the first time ever a couple of years
ago to arrange in upstate New York where that's where America starts around Manhattan is upstate New York.
He went to a range there and he like made mention that, you know, he works with me.
And he couldn't believe it. He was like they were so nice. They waived his rental fees so he could
shoot whatever he wanted and try it whatever he wanted. He didn't have to pay for the range.
He said everybody was so nice. I told him, I'm like, what did you think they were going to do?
Like, you know, eat your brains like zombies. Like what did you think was going to happen? It just cracked me
up. But their kindness made him feel so comfortable that he really got into shooting. And then when all the
anti-Semitic attacks begin happening, especially New York and especially around where he lived, he was
very nervous about this. And was like, my gosh, what is happening? Fast forward to yesterday and we had a
conversation. And he, I told him just out of the blue, I said, you know, I go, I'm really glad
that Kamala Harris picked this, this fud from Minnesota.
And not just because he's so easy to make fun of.
And him and his wife provide for me hours of content.
I said, I really feel like this race would be different had she picked Shapiro.
Because they would have locked in Pennsylvania.
And then they would have locked in the more moderate, independent vote.
And I said, and they would have dispelled any kind of, you know, accusations of anti-Semitism, for the most part.
I said the reason that they didn't was because he's Jewish.
And I go, I guess that's the party now.
And he goes, he's like, he told me, he goes, there's no way they would.
would have picked a Jewish vice president.
Now this is a lifelong Democrat, New Yorker.
He's like, there's no way they would have picked a Jewish
vice president, no way.
And I go, your party? And he goes, yes, my,
I guess my party. And I'm like, you guess your party?
What?
And I'm like, I told him, I said you,
so you, you recognize that Democrats
have an anti-Semitism problem.
He's like, yes.
He's like, I don't think you realize how many anti-Semites are Democrats.
And we had this stunning realization.
where we both looked down and saw that we were standing upon the same square, rhetorically speaking.
And I told him, I said, my friend, I said his name, I go, you're a conservative.
His hesitancy, and this is what floored me, I felt like he was being more transparent in this moment than ever.
And he had said, he goes, you know, when I break it down, I like a lot of, he goes, I like a lot of the policies from the Trump camp.
My friend just doesn't like him personally.
And he's like, and I know.
He goes, you're supposed to look over that when you go and vote.
And he's like, I think, but that's kind of the problem for me.
He goes, I want a Republican Party that I feel is a refuge from where I'm coming from, from the Democrats.
And I'm like, my dude, you are a conservative.
You just admitted to me that you want these policies.
Oh, my.
I couldn't get past anything else.
I'm like, oh, my gosh.
Now, keep in mind when I first met him, he was like,
aghast. It was almost the, the agent that I had had, who was a very well-known agent, retired.
And when I was introduced to my new friend and we started working together, I almost felt like
he was kind of watching me and testing me because my agent that retired was a lot older.
He'd been in the business and he built people and he was like very, he knows everybody.
He was able to get my number and call me out of the blue one time, like, you know, over a decade ago.
It was crazy.
And I felt like with my friend and my rep now
that he was sort of like testing me to see if this is going to work.
And it is amazing from our conversation last night to the first time we met,
my jaw is on the floor.
Because he is, dude, you can't tell me he did not vote Republican.
He stopped right before because I don't think he could admit to himself.
Dude, he did. He totally did.
I would bet everything on it.
I'm not a betting. I would bet everything on it.
And the thing that did it,
for him was the economy and and not even just the raging anti-Semitism that he saw on the left,
but the fact that the whole party moved to accommodate it without question and without
apology. To him, the fact that so many people were able to excuse this and just sort of gloss over it
was a terrifying thing.
And that's true.
You know, I made mention of this last night
of my piece over at Substat
how this has just been
the craziest,
craziest, most unpredictable general election,
actually the last three in American history.
And I said, too,
that Democrats' ability
to roll over on principle
and fed a candidate chosen for them,
by their ideological betters while bitching about losing democracy as a circus unlike anything
the Romans could have ever imagined. But Americans, I wrote, are constantly besieged on all fronts by
politics and the creation of entertainment politics as a coping mechanism is both understandable
and also the reason why everything is even more unpredictable. We're in weird times.
And going, I mean, it's close. I really feel, and I'm sure that, you know,
tomorrow and the days after, people are going to dice this up. It shouldn't be this close.
I'm so glad that she didn't pick Josh Shapiro. It shouldn't be this close. Hopefully,
the deluge of turnout is going to remedy any kind of situation that may bubble up in the margins.
Now, a few other things. The state of the race, non-major party voters,
are the plurality now. I've seen some estimates saying that they're probably about 30% of the
electorate. I thought this was fascinating. I was looking at some of the final swing state polls
out from Emerson last night. And it's, I mean, it's still super close. It's still super close.
I mean, I think most people believe that coming up, we will be controlled. Republicans will
control the Senate. We only have to flip, what, two seats? Two seats is all it takes to take control.
And if you win the White House, you only need one.
So we're going to look at some of these races because in Ohio,
you have Republican Bernie Moreno going up against Sherrod Brown.
Trump is doing well in Ohio.
This is helping to propel Moreno.
Trump is not, he's not an anchor on the jackets of these candidates.
In 2020, it was tougher.
2022 was tough.
It's different.
And I think part of it is because Democrats have run one of the worst campaigns I've ever seen.
I can I just ask, why do people keep saying it's one of the best one of campaigns ever?
For real.
I am shocked.
Smart people are saying this.
Were they paid?
But the other thing, too, is that Sherrod Brown in Ohio, she's,
Sherrod Brown is overperforming Kamala Harris, who last survey was like 11 points, almost 12 points behind Trump.
Sherrod Brown is overperforming, is overperforming Kamal Harris.
To that effect, Trump's double-digit lead in the state is propelling Bernie Moreno.
Moreno has been leading of the last six polls, what, five?
Four to five, Moreno has led.
Very interesting.
Pennsylvania, this is going to be, I think, the race that is,
the thermometer.
Bob Casey,
the Democrat incumbent,
Republican David McCormick,
the challenger.
47 to 47 was 6% undecided.
And McCormick since October
has only increased his support by one point.
Casey stayed static.
Very interesting.
Now, of the polls,
they've mostly showed them
dead, you know,
tied.
maybe McCormick has a slight lead.
Only two of them have shown that.
But these are also two polar pollsters that have been kind of accurate.
Atlas Intel and Trafalgar.
Trafalgar did pretty good in 2016.
Atlas Intel is pretty solid.
Interesting.
So this is another Senate race to watch.
Coming up, we're going to talk about the House.
And we're also going to get into some of these other battlegrounds
and what to watch for tonight.
And then coming up, the electoral.
pathways forward. There's a handful of them. We're going to explore every single one of them.
There's about five, six total. Harris has a couple more pathways than Trump. But two of them are a lot
harder, and I don't think that they're feasible, really, for her. We're going to get into all of that.
Patriot Mobile. It's the only Christian conservative cell phone service in the country. They want to save you
money. And I've been proud to partner with them for over a decade. They have Patriot Mobile One,
one phone, one carrier, multiple networks. So you can seamlessly use.
use dual SIM capabilities and manage both personal and business lines on a single device.
You get travel-friendly coverage.
I've never had an issue when traveling.
And you get access to all major networks as well.
And they also help bring a lot of action and momentum to very important causes.
They were instrumental in helping in our area parents take back the school board from the DEI
far left Marxist activist.
And with Patriot Mobile, not only is your money going to protect the things you vote for,
but you're actually paying a lot less for your cell phone bill.
And that's incredibly important.
They have plans for everybody.
It doesn't matter the family size, the business size, singles, dinks, whatever, they've got something for you.
And you're supporting U.S. jobs because they have a 100% U.S.-based customer service team.
They make it super easy to switch.
Visit Patriotmobile.com or call 972 Patriot and get a free month when you use, offer code Dana.
Don't be fooled by the pretenders.
Go to the real thing.
Patriotmobile.com slash Dana 972 Patriot for your free month.
of service today.
Get the lowdown on the latest news with a side of laughs.
Whenever you want,
subscribe to the Dana Show podcast on YouTube,
Apple, or wherever you get your podcast.
Like sands through the hourglass,
so are the days of the United States.
Okay, thank you.
Well, I'll learn the door knock.
Oh, you want to do the door knock?
Yeah, come on.
Okay.
I have your hat on the Penn State game in front of 111,000 people all these
standard.
Okay, come on.
This is so awkward.
It's so awkward.
Look at the circus falling in them.
It's so awkward.
Is she just so playful?
It's pretty else?
Tomola Harris, who's, I guess,
who's, I guess, trying to door knock.
She was in Pennsylvania all day yesterday.
I'm just saying.
Yeah, everything is staged with her.
I'll never forget when they were in the gas station.
And a slapety McSlapp face, Emhoff brought her those Doritos.
And she's like, mm, Doritos, thanks, what I needed.
Like, no one moves and acts like that.
You're like an alien.
What is it?
Stop.
Coming up, the media narrative about carnage.
America braces for carnage. White House is barricaded. Stores board up.
It's this boarding up the businesses. They act like there's going to be violence on the right.
So they not paid attention to what happened in 2016 what happened in the midterms.
Stick with a second hour on the way. Where you can't carry, the burn a gun can go because burn a gun doesn't care about gun free zone signs.
Burn a gun doesn't care about gun free zones, period. And you still don't have to sacrifice your safety to satisfy someone else's
insane ideology about lack of self-defense. Burna is able to deter threats by shooting chemical
irritant projectiles. Like for up to 50 feet, it can deter a threat. And when you consider like regular
stun guns, they're restricted to just a couple of shots. Burna, Berna shoots his five rounds,
in fact. And again, it's an on-fire-arm firearm. Firearm. Yeah, Burna S.D is the most popular
model. You can get different models. You can get different colors, different accessories. And it's all about
giving you options for self-defense. I'm always going to tell people, look, if you can carry, carry,
I have zero problem in using lethal force. But I get aggravated because sometimes I have to go to places
for work and I have to go. I don't have a choice. And I can't carry. It's private property. Maybe they
ban guns. Maybe there's like a gun for whatever. Burn a gun doesn't care about any of that. It's legal
in all 50 states. They ship right to your door. No background check. Nothing. So to learn more about
Burna, visit burna.com slash Dana get 10% off your purchase. This is expanding your options of
self-defense. It's B-Y-R-N-A.com slash Dana for 10% off.
Who did you vote for today? I voted for Kamala Harris.
Why is that? I have three daughters, four children overall, and women's rights is pretty
important to them and my daughters. Sorry, I'm getting a little emotional about that. I didn't
think that I was going to do that. But their bodies, their choice type of a mentality.
You know, I want them to grow up in a world that's welcoming to everybody. So yeah, that's
Why does he sound like he's going to ball?
Oh my gosh.
If I was his wife, I'd feel ashamed.
I think I'd start divorce proceedings.
That's horrible.
I'm not joking.
I'm not joking.
I'm not trying to be funny.
That's, I find that just.
So this dude is talking about protecting his daughter's right to abort his
grandchildren.
Can I just talk about how messed up it is that that's your first thought is about you sexualize
the vote?
Well, it needs to be about, uh, I want to make sure that women.
if they end up engaging in recreational sex as if there's any other kind.
And when they engage in this, because we all know sidebar that rape and incest,
it counts for less than 1% and that's from Planned Parenthood's own statistics,
which is made public on the internet by an institute called the Goopmocker Institute.
So, you know, let's move on.
I just want to make sure that, you know, they can, you know, get rid of the baby
after they have the sex and they can see.
That's my only.
I just find that a perverted view of your vote.
Why does everything have to go back to sex and baby killing?
It's weird.
Like that's your,
you're a grown man and your response
is to sexualize the vote in the context of protecting it for your daughters.
Does any, am I overreacting to that?
I find that really weird.
Do you guys find it weird?
And he's like,
I'm sorry, I'm just getting, I'm just getting emotional.
It's like, it's not even your vagina, dude.
Like, what in the world?
You're getting emotional because you're talking about aborting your future grandchildren
or you're emotional because you're just realized how sick it sounds to be sexualizing the vote
through the perspective of your daughters and abortion?
See, we are not the same, y'all.
We are not the same.
Welcome back to the program.
Dana Lash here with you.
Top of the second hour.
It's election day.
And we've been going through every.
And I'm going to take you through these electoral pathways right now.
If you're watching on this simulcast channel 347 direct TV or listening on a station or on the country,
we get the chat over at Rumble as well.
So what could happen?
We were going through the Senate.
I'm projecting, you know, the couple of the races to watch.
I mean, really the Republicans only have to flip two seats.
And if we take the White House, it only has to be one.
But I think it actually could go beyond that.
But the other thing is two quick things.
The Atlas Intel survey looks like it's going to be a long night for Kamala Harris.
And it just doesn't look.
I mean, they're just they're tied, but she is also struggling with Hispanic voters.
She's struggling with men.
And she's also struggling with, I mean, black men voters.
I mean, it's just, this is just, it's kind of wild.
The pathways forward, and I'm pulling up.
all my notes on this and I talked a little bit about this in the newsletter that I sent out last night.
So you know that you have to get in the electoral college, you have to get to the magical 270, right?
Magical 270. Where it stands right now. So if I'm just looking for instance, let me just look at
RCP's ratings. RCP has it right now and this is just not going by votes tabulated,
obviously. It's going by polling in certain states that you know are going to be blue and certain states that you know are going to be red.
They have it at 211 to 219 in favor of Trump fans with 108 toss-ups. So you have Nevada, Arizona, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia.
A lot of question marks over those. Now, here's some pathways forward. And I was, again, I've been talking about this in the newsletter. And we've, you know, we made, we've discussed at least a couple of ways, maybe before.
So the first one is the famed blue wall, right?
It's the famous blue wall.
This is honestly her most likely path.
There's a caveat, though.
Imagine you have a big blue wall and the bricks of this wall are Wisconsin and Michigan and Pennsylvania.
And then you have like a congressional district in Omaha.
because Nebraska does a mix of statewide votes in congressional districts.
I think Maine is also one of the states that does this, so it's a little weird.
So Omaha is like its own thing.
And you have these blue wall states.
She doesn't have to, you have blue wall, you have sunbelt, you have Rust Belt, right?
You know the sunbelt, the southern states where it's supposedly sunny.
Your blue wall is these states that have always been Democrat.
Except in 2016 when they weren't.
Because that's when Trump rushed through it like the Kool-Aid man.
And then with Dukakis.
And then that's it.
It's been Democrat the entire time.
If she keeps the blue wall, she doesn't have to worry about any of the Sunbelt states.
Remember I told you before Harris was substituted, one of the Biden's strategies was to make a play for Georgia, the Sunbelt state, right?
Make a play for Georgia.
that was going to be a backup in the event that one of the bricks of the blue wall fell.
You could replace it with Georgia.
And Harris seems to have kind of abandoned that strategy.
It seems that theirs is just blue wall.
She spent an inordinate amount of time in Pennsylvania and in Michigan and in Wisconsin.
So she could keep the blue wall and not have to win any of the Sunbelt states.
if she keeps the blue wall, and this is one of the things to watch,
if she keeps the blue wall, she will get to 270.
Now, I'm going to look at the map on this.
So if you have, I mean, even if you just take out everything else,
let's just make Michigan lean dim, let's make Wisconsin lean dim,
let's make Pennsylvania lean dim.
Without Minnesota, without Minnesota, without Georgia, Arizona, or Nevada,
she's at 255 to 219 right there, right there.
Minnesota, you know, is going to lean down.
That takes her to 265.
Now you see why Pennsylvania is so important to the Trump camp.
They got to win it.
I think Georgia will likely lean Republican.
That puts it, giving Georgia to them, that puts it 235 to 265 electoral vote-wise.
So without even factoring in Nevada, Arizona, although I think New Hampshire, New Hampshire, I think, is going to lean dem even though she's struggling.
That puts her to 269 to 235.
Even without North Carolina, Arizona,
and Nevada, she's at 269 there at 235.
That is the significance of Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes.
They had 20, but after the 2020 census, they lost one.
So it was 20.
Now it's 19.
So if she takes Pennsylvania,
I mean, you have to have,
Trump has to absolutely take,
here's where it gets very interesting.
He could take North Carolina,
Arizona and Nevada, and that puts it at 269 to 268.
And then, of course, you have that Nebraska.
Remember what I told you?
The Omaha.
Guess who's favored to win there?
Harris.
And then that puts her at 270.
That's the pathway that they're trying to make happen.
That is the pathway.
So this is, it's called Nebraska District 2, is what they call it.
So it looks like NE2.
That's the Omaha thing, where you get one vote there.
She's favored to win that.
So this is her strategy.
So that's the first pathway.
And this is her, very clearly,
this is what they're trying to make happen.
So even if you have,
if she takes Pennsylvania,
that doesn't leave Trump with a lot of options.
Pennsylvania, they need to take it.
They have to take it.
Georgia has 16 electoral votes.
Pennsylvania has 19.
And then even if he were to take Arizona and Nevada,
a, I mean, I mean, you're going up against the amount of votes that Pennsylvania has.
So that makes it, that's, that's a possibility.
That is a possibility.
Now, let's say that he wins Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia.
So let's look at the map on this.
And I'm actually filling this in myself on my desktop.
So he takes Pennsylvania.
And we're going to start, by the way, we're going to start with the baseline where everything is now,
which is 211 to 219, with the same.
states that we know we're going to be, unarguably, Democrat and Republican. So you would have,
if he takes Pennsylvania, you make that lean Republican. And I say lean Republican, light red, because
it's close. You give him on top of that baseline, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, that puts him at
254 to 211, right? Let's say, let's say that she takes Nevada. She can take Nevada. That puts her at 217 still to
254 without even allocating in Arizona and the other blue wall. Like, you can give her the blue wall.
We'll go ahead and give her the blue wall because I think some of those, a couple of the states may hold at least.
That puts her at 242 to 254.
So, and then I think Georgia will go.
He takes Georgia on top of it and that puts him at 270.
And you would still have 26 toss-ups.
Even if she were to take, I think she's going to, let me do this.
Let me hit this.
This is going to be New Hampshire is going to be probably a Democrat.
Give her a New Hampshire that puts her up.
put in Minnesota it's 256 still to 270 toss-ups are 12 I mean it's still even still even with
Arizona she's still not there still not there so if he worked to take Pennsylvania and then he
because I think Georgia is going to go his way in North Carolina then he's got it and then he will
be at two he'll be at 270 and she'll be at 268 now remember what I told you about replacing that
brick. If you look at the blue wall and you factor in, even if she were to lose Pennsylvania,
she could replace it with Georgia. If she loses Wisconsin or Michigan, she could replace
it with Georgia. She could take North Carolina, too. So that's, that's a lot harder because
you're talking about 19 electoral votes. That's a lot harder. She would have to win Georgia
or North Carolina, and she would have to take either, she would have to take Arizona or Nevada.
you have to make those numbers up.
Now, if she loses, if she doesn't take the blue wall at all, let's say she doesn't take
Wisconsin or Michigan or whatever, she would have to win all the Sunbelt states, which is not
going to happen.
There's a lot of discussion about the red wall.
In 2016, Trump won Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.
He did not in 2020.
If he takes Michigan and Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, he can lose North Carolina.
lose Nevada and he can lose Georgia. He would just need Arizona has 11 electoral votes. He would
just need Arizona and he would win. So she has a couple of more pathways, but hers are so hard.
The alternative pathway she has besides the two most obvious are pretty much, it's just pretty
much inconceivable. I offer them up because it, I mean, it is a pathway, but I just don't think
that she's, I'm sorry, she's not going to win all the Sunbelt states. That's stupid.
Especially when she's underperforming in some of these battleground states what Clinton and Biden have done.
Now, I will caution you, a lot of these exit polls are trash. Don't pay attention to any of them.
Because these, remember, the exit polls were so wrong in 2020. And they were so wrong. Oh, my gosh, in 2016.
They were kind of all right in 22. So you got to just, you don't.
need, like I said, you don't need that insect because they're just going to be distracting and it's
going to be noise. It really will be. I know we've got to get moving, but those are some of the
pathways forward. We've got to talk about the house to come still. Readywise is always ready,
even if you're not. And ready wise, it's more important than ever to take charge of your own
safety and well-being. I mean, good heavens. We've seen natural disasters and all kinds of stuff
that have been taking place and you never want to go to the store to try to get food for your family
and all the shelves are stripped and then you're like, what are we going to eat? So you can
always be prepared with ReadyWise. In fact, visit ReadyWise.com. Use promo code Dana 20 at checkout and get
20% off of your entire purchase. And you can get free and fast shipping on most orders, so your
provisions will reach you promptly. They have a 72-hour food kit, buy one, get one, $100 in value
for $50. It includes two boxes, 12 patches of premium survival food, and you get all of your
calorie intake that you need for the day. Each day has two, each serving pack has 260 calories,
six grams of protein, 20% of your daily carbs. So it's comfort and a
crisis and beyond. And you can also take it like, you know, if you're not just survival, but
maybe you're going hunting or camping or something like that. 25-year shelf life. Visit readywise.
com. Use promo code Dana 20 at checkout for 20% off of your entire purchase. That's readywise.
com promo code Dana 20 for 20% off.
And now all of the news you would probably miss. It's time for Dana's quick five.
All right. So the housing market is apparently mirroring 2007, according to a new report.
good, obviously, and making people nervous. National Association of Realtors found that the share
of new homes purchased in 2024 increased slightly to 15%. But existing home purchases declined
to 85%. This reflects the exact same housing market that existed in 07 when new home purchases
made up roughly 15% of the market share and existing homes were about 85%. So, oh, stop it.
You know what? I'm going to put up my Christmas decorations to
tomorrow. I'm just going to do it. I'm going to pause to come and do the show. If it goes
sideways, that's what I'm going to do. If not, then I'm going to be a brat tomorrow. Anyway,
uh, no, spray on sneakers. This is nasty. Made in, this is Wall Street Journal. Made in three
minutes and it feels like a sock, which is not how sneakers should feel. Are spray on sneakers
the future? No, they're disgusting. It's a Swiss brand and they literally spray them on like a mold and
then that's it.
Or no, it's supposed to be your foot.
I don't know.
It looks weird and I don't like it.
So you spray your shoes on your foot?
You spray like a mold.
And I guess I don't even...
You say mold like it's actually mold.
I just want like an old-fashioned shoe.
Stop trying to reinvent the wheel.
It's weird.
I like it.
The...
Weird headline.
Hunt is on for the scum who stole Britain's largest inflatable planetarium.
It's large.
they're investigating it's the largest mobile inflatable planetarium it's been a regular feature at schools it looks like a weird it looks like a gothic igloo i'm not gonna lie like if vikings made igloos this is what it looked like and it has some dracolor curtains in there there
lawn's showing you got them dracolor curtains in there local police issued the alert after the inflatable was stolen and uh the couple things that they all intended to take the trailer it was stored in rather than the dome itself so they're on the lookout okay a uh
South Carolina hunter fatally shoots a woman that he thought was a deer.
Christopher McDonald was apparently illegally hunting at night.
He fired off three rounds from a shotgun and struck a couple killing the woman.
And he was hunting at night.
It was 8.15 p.m.
I guess the couple were out walking in the woods?
I don't know.
I just, were they quiet?
Like, do you not know what a deer sounds like?
I just, like, if you hear people walking and, like, human noises,
this, it's probably not a deer. He turned himself in and he confessed illegally hunting. But, man,
that's wild. What a crazy story. He's back in court in December. Stick with us. Black rifle coffee
has the absolute best beans, the best roasts, the best flavor profiles that are, that's out there.
And it's so good and it's so affordable. You're getting really good, the world's best coffee.
And you're also, you're getting it at an affordable price because they understand that. This is a veteran-owned,
veteran-founded, veteran-run, and active duty.
some active duty there too, company. And everything that they do is a tribute to those who fought for
our nation. Now, right now at black rifle coffee.com, they have their freedom roast, which is smooth,
full of flavor. You can save 20% on the freedom roast with Kodana, only at Black Rifle Coffee.
And when you subscribe to the coffee club, you get free shipping and automated orders. You pick the
roast you want or roast how often you want it. And it ships free shipping right to your doorstep.
so you are always enjoying the convenience
of having your favorite coffee on hand
without having to do a last minute run to the store
to get coffee that morning.
And again, they're dedicated to their mission
of supporting a veteran and first responder causes.
This is premium coffee,
whole bean, K cup, ready to drink,
and you can also get apparel, cuttles, grinders,
mugs, and more.
So get your freedom on with the freedom roast
from blackwiflecoffee.com.
And enjoy other top shelf roast as well,
like the Just Black, the Silence or Smooth,
whatever you decide,
you're going to get 20% off using code Dana,
only at blackwiflecoffee.com.
Make some common sense of the crazy headlines with the Dana Show podcast.
You're on the go guide for getting up to speed on today's most important stories.
Subscribe on YouTube, Apple, or your favorite podcast platform.
Get out the vote. Let's get out the vote. Let's get out the vote. Let's get out the vote. Let's get out the vote. Let's win.
Hmm. That was cringe.
They were chanting and then she hijacked it and ruined it.
So it's like the second time this has happened.
She's horrible at this.
Do not let her near chance.
She's horrible.
Welcome back to the program.
Dana Lash with you.
We're at the top of this, or bottom of the second hour.
And a lot of stuff to focus on.
The House races.
Excuse me, to watch on election night tonight.
You have a few.
You have the 7th District in Virginia.
That's the Vindman one.
I'm not a Vindman fan.
You guys know him, his brother and the military secrets and all that stuff.
Democrat Eugene Vindman, Republican Derek Anderson.
These are the guys that are battling.
And it's tilting Democrat, but it's not safe.
You have Nebraska's second district.
This is what is a, what they call crossover districts.
Crossover districts are districts that have as their rep, one member of a party.
and then it was carried by the president of the presidential nominee of the opposite party.
And then the authority or influence of the party holder or the seat holder, their party is in decline.
And there are like 19 or 20 of these districts.
And a lot of this, they had their lines redrawn after midterms.
So this is one of these.
This is the second district in Nebraska.
It's considered a Biden crossover.
Biden would have won this four years ago.
This is a guy who's a retired Air Force officer.
He flipped the district in 2016.
He defeated the Democrat Brad Ashford by like barely a point.
And so he is going up against Democrat Tony Vargas.
This guy's a 40-year-old state senator.
He's trying to be the first Latino member of Congress
from Nebraska. And he, in 2022, this representative Don Bacon, who's the centrist Air Force guy,
he defeated him by less than three points. And so it looks, the district looks like it's leaning for
Harris, but this, but Bacon is leading Vargas. So it's kind of, it's a weird one to watch. And you
have a Trump crossover seat in Maine's second district. And then you've got a Trump-backed guy,
a 30-year-old state rep, former NASCAR driver. And then he's going, gun control is a big issue there
because the guy, the Democrat who's running Jared Golden, who is the Democrat rep, he's the
incumbent. He tried to become more moderate and he's a big gun control guy. And he's been kind of
waffling on his support for Second Amendment rights. So this has been a big issue in that race.
Michigan 7th District is an open seat, Republican and Democrat, $37 million in Ed spending for that
race. And then you have Colorado 8th District. You have two freshmen going up against each other.
Pennsylvania is their 10th District is tilting Republican. Now the Colorado 8th District is a toss-up.
Michigan 7th District tilts Republican. Pennsylvania's 10th District goes, tilts Republican.
and you've, I mean, I think it'll probably, and that one, it'll end up in a little bit,
New York's 19th district, that tilts Democrat, 45th district in California is considered a toss-up,
North Carolina's first district, that's a redistricted district that is leaning Democrat.
Then you have Iowa's third district, leaning Republican.
So there are a number of these House races.
and five of them, it's considered there's going to be like five of them
are going to be the races to watch that are going to be the determining factor in controlling the house.
And one of those is that Virginia seventh seat.
That's that Vindman race.
Then you've got the New York 17th district.
That's the Lawler.
He went up against Mahoney.
Nebraska's second district.
We just talked about New Mexico's second district, which is, that one is,
like apparently like abortion and immigration are the biggest issues there.
It's a rematch between a Democrat incumbent and a former Republican rep.
And then you have Alaska has an at-large district.
So those are the five races that are ultimately a lot are saying that are going to determine the control of the House.
Now, in terms of, excuse me, in terms of who's going to, we're projected, I think that Republicans are going to keep the Senate at 51 seats.
although they could, I think, take more of them.
They could actually end up getting more than just the 51 seats.
But for, I think, Republicans may, there's a lot of toss-ups, a lot of toss-up rates.
Ten are Democrats.
There are 12 Republican toss-up races.
You have more toss-up and lean Democrat races than you do Republicans, so they definitely have a lot more ground that they have to defend.
but it's there's a possible i mean we could take the house in the senate and we could take the
white house all of that's going to depend on how well trump performs and what the turnout is going to
be like if you have crushing huge uh crushing huge republican turnout and you have all like
for instance and and you have in pennsylvania that senate race
uh casey if he's defeated that's a very interesting
sign. I mean, there's a really, there's a chance you could sweep all three. There's a chance that this
could be in terms of the amount of seats taken more of a victory for Trump than in 2016.
Or it could be like 2020. I know, super helpful, isn't it? It's so close, guys. That's what happens
when it's this close and everything's decided in the margins. It's when it's this close and when you
have the plurality of voters that are non-major party voters, meaning they're not hardcore Republicans.
they're not hardcore Democrats.
That's a huge issue.
So two odds and ends.
Steel workers have been shown up for Trump and Pittsburgh bucking the union that endorsed Harris.
This is a political piece.
Not the first time that something like this has happened.
Someone said he saved us once with tariffs.
Interesting.
You had the union bosses that supported her, but the union workers would not.
And then a survey that came out.
And this is actually a decent survey.
I looked at this last night before choosing to include this today.
It's from Axios and swing state college students she's leading.
Now that's fine.
She can lead as much as she wants to swing state college students.
They don't turn out to vote as much as older voters do.
So kind of interesting.
I want to switch gears here.
One cultural touchstone, you need to know about this update.
Do you guys remember the Algerian boxer in Maine Kielf, Khalif?
Aman Kaleef?
Remember that boxer who wanted to fight women?
in a main cliff uh Algerian French and they were saying that no no no he's a she and I mean he
like was beating the hell out of the female opponents and then they tried to say that oh no no he she has a
they were calling her she and saying that oh well you know he has a very uh a unique health
uh differentiation uh you know the chromosomes all this stuff well apparently uh caliph has lady
balls. There's a this, no, no, no, French media got the medical report revealing that he has,
quote, testicles. I know you're shocked. He won a gold medal in women's boxing at Paris Olympics.
He's a man. He has testicles. I'm saying factual scientific words, Kane. He has giant
amounts of testosterone. Oh, okay. You okay?
Huge amounts of testosterone.
All right.
Yeah.
Because he's got ladyballs.
So they said that he has also, and I'm going to try to, okay, 5 alpha reductase deficiency.
Sounds right.
It's a disorder, it's sexual development disorder only, uniquely, singularly found in biological males.
Hmm.
so he's a dude
remember the olympic committee was like no no no we he said he's a dude and he looked down
his pants and we trust him he's bigger he hits harder
I mean he's a dude he has testosterone
I mean his gametes were functioning
his yeah so
I don't know how like does that mean he has to give up his gold model what does that mean
Hmm?
Does he have to give up his gold medal?
I mean, he's proven a dude, so I'm curious.
I don't know what that means.
I don't know how that works.
I'm not going to pretend that I know how it works,
but I just feel like, you know,
he, this all was proven,
so there should be an apology
because all of the women who were complaining about this,
they were called bigots and name called and all this stuff.
So now it turns out that this,
he's actually a dude.
Of course you knew that.
They had a, I remember what, remember the International Boxing Association Holder Press Conference,
and they were trying to, like, shame everyone into shutting up.
And then they, they said that they confirmed repeatedly, the IBA,
that Khalif had failed multiple chromosomal tests, but they couldn't release,
they were unable to release it from the, because of the Algerian Olympic Committee.
So the Algerian, the AOC, the Algerian, interesting, Olympic Committee was trying to hide all this stuff.
They knew.
they all knew. They let a dude go in. They knew it. This was not a secret. So coming up,
a couple of things. Nevada's early voting is interesting too. So far, Republicans are outperforming
Democrats. And the Democrats, though, their mail-in ballots are starting to swamp Republicans,
mail-in ballots. Republicans will win unless Harris wins over the independence. She has to have a
huge number of independence. They're not breaking for her. That's the other interesting thing.
Like the voters that are voting that didn't vote in 2020 are not breaking for Harris.
So that's going to be interesting as well. So we're going to watch all of this. And we have
some of the latest news from
actual polling
places and
the shenanigans that are taking place.
So some things to watch for. We're going to get into all of that
and more. We have Florida man on the way.
As we move, our partners
for this portion of the program,
the Caltech P15,
great company, Florida-based company,
and we need more companies like
Keltec. If you haven't gotten the P-15
or if you hadn't check it out, you really need to because
it's just the lightest, thin
double-stack 9-millimeter that is out there.
Comes in metal-frame version and the polymer version.
So, Stryker Fire Pistol, Metal-frame version has a gorgeous walnut wood-paneled grip.
The polymer version has that gator grip texture.
And it comes, both come with two standard capacity magazines.
First is a 15-round mag with minimal pinky extension.
The second is a flesh-fit double-stack mag that holds 12 rounds.
Tritium and fiber optic front sites, fully adjustable fiber optic 2-dart rear.
And lifetime warranty, compact, ideal for concealed carry.
from Keltec, the inventors of the micro compact pistol category, quality made right here in the U.S. of A.
Innovation Performance, Keltock, learn more at KeltecWeapons.com.
That's K-E-L-E-C Weapons.com. Tell them, Dana sent you.
It's his life mission to make bad decisions.
It's time for Florida man.
So, this guy, a Florida man threatened a state trooper with a gun,
and a bomb. Police had to send out traffic alerts for residents to stay away from the area.
39-year-old man threatened a state trooper at a local Wawa, saying, quote, he better back up because I got a gun and a bomb.
Did he have either, though? The Port St. Lucie Police arrived. The guy tried to drive to the Wawa off a tradition parkway.
He crashed into two officers and troopers attempted to block him in. They did immobilize him and they did take him into custody. He did not have a bomb.
He lied.
I've gone anabom, like everything I can think of just to stop getting arrested.
A Florida man slimmed into a telephone pole by running from deputies who busted him for drugs during a traffic stop.
Spring Hill man, he smacked into a telephone pole while running away from a car filled with drugs.
So they pulled him over.
His name is Scott Schwerian and Heidi Reynolds were pulled over by deputies.
and they saw a rolled cigar containing, well, it was pot.
Then they found a pill box, literally with the word Xanax written on it that had,
I don't even know what this pill is.
I don't even know how to alpha, alfrazzle lamb.
Oh, Black Betty, Alvrazolam, the lamb.
I don't even know what it is.
Two separate baggies with fentanyl residue inside.
So they were trying to detain them.
And there was a scuffle.
And then they found syringes filled with meth and all kinds of stuff.
and the guy tried to run away.
Yeah, he did not literally run into
with a car.
He ran into it with his person,
with his legs.
He ran right into a telephone pole
and it knocked him down.
And they were able to detain him.
Makes it funnier, doesn't it?
Because it wasn't a car?
He ran right into a telephone pole.
How do you run physically into a telephone pole?
Like, was he like, I don't know.
He got charged with more things than I'm going to read.
And the bond is like a $30,000.
Yeah.
And there you go.
let's see here
oh man
that one's that one's heavy let's do
uh no we got the guy who's bitten by a shark
oh we can talk about the woman who stole
$7,000 in return to the Dollar General
that she used to work out how do you
7,000 isn't that like a whole dollar general store
is $7,000
so that's what this is she looks like one too
Lee County Sheriff's Office
her name is Dominique McCurdy
Kane how do you
you spell Dominique?
D-O-M-I-N.
Wrong, Cain.
What?
Dominique McCarty here.
Her name is D-O-M-Y-N-K-N-Q-U-E.
Oh.
Dom-Y-N-E-N-E-K-E-L-L-E-L-Rty.
She used fake refunds and applied them to her debit cards over the course of T.
I am going to make fun of that spelling of that name.
Absolutely, I am.
I mean, good night.
She said she needed the money for an upcoming move and was financed in the future costs
associated with it.
and so they said that she would scan
they have a $50 toy at the Dollar General
a toy called Squeaky Dino multiple times
to make their returns
she was charged with larceny and defrauding
to obtain property valued at less than $20,000
that's crazy
yeah her name I mean I wouldn't have guessed
that she was going to be a criminal
with the spelling of her name but you know
good heavens
this let's see
a Florida man threatens to kill everybody
like literally everyone but then he decided to break them up
into more organized demographics
Nathaniel James Holmes 51
he threatened to kill the children of one victim
and all of their Jewish friends
and all of their African American friends online
good night
Jacksonville
Florida this 51 year old Nathaniel Holmes
he got charged with four accounts of transmitting
interstate threats to injure people
and he could face 20 years in prison.
So apparently he got, I guess he got into a fight with somebody online,
and he, you know, very in an organized fashion, threatened to everybody.
So he was, this was like that Clint East would like,
I'm going to, you know, if anybody starts beating up any more of these wars,
I'm going to come after you and what is it, kill your family and your dog too.
So he was like, I'm going to go after your children and all your Jewish friends
and also your African American friends.
So you say something that's like racist.
anti-Semitic, but then you used
African America. You're very careful about your language.
Like, people are confusing. This dude is
confusing to me. Anyway, he could go
to jail for a long time because you can't make death threats
digitally, and Florida
has a special
different applications
of law over it. So, our
third hour is on
the way. And coming up, my friend
Glenn Reynolds, aka Instapundant,
law professor. What happens
after the election? We're going to talk. Stick with us.
If we don't show up to
Tomorrow, it is entirely possible that we will not have the opportunity to ever cast a ballot again.
Oh, my gosh. This is so stupid. That's just one of the dumbest things that I've ever heard.
This language that Democrats are engaging in whenever they go out there and try to scare people into voting is just asinine.
That's Oprah Winfrey, who was there campaigning with Kamala Harris last night.
It was a late night in Pennsylvania, and it showcases that Kamala Harris, her, we talked about this last.
hour if you want to go back into the podcast archives to look or to listen. She's clearly trying to
make a play for that for the blue wall, for the electoral college. She wants to shore up Michigan and
Wisconsin. She wants to shore up Pennsylvania where Trump has only had a point three lead going
into it. They're trying to bank all those early votes so that they can withstand the deluge of same
day Republican voting. And I don't know if it helps her to have these celebrities out there,
especially in like Pennsylvania,
to have celebrities and people like Oprah Winfrey out there to campaign for her,
I just don't know if that's helpful for her to have.
And I also think that this language is assinine.
I mean, he was president before, so why didn't he do that?
Trump was literally in the White House for four years.
Why didn't he do it then, Kamala?
He's going to do something that he didn't do when he was president the first time.
He's never going to let you vote again.
You see, this is asinine.
but they're worried.
She spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania,
and that wasn't, Democrats had to do a U-turn
because when it was Biden,
Biden's play, as I was explaining for his electoral pathway,
he was going to go for,
I mean, he was going to, he had the blue wall.
He took the blue wall in 2020,
but he underperformed Democrats previously in those states.
Trump bust through the blue wall,
like the Kool-Aid man back in 2016.
Biden underperformed.
I think that they were anticipating Biden doing poorly
in those states.
So they were going to try to make a play for Georgia.
But then they swapped them out.
Harris is going to have a harder time in Georgia.
So they were trying to, she was performing better in Pennsylvania than in Georgia.
So they were going to make that play and have that blue wall and hope that that holds.
And I was telling you what the different, and I don't want to go through it all again, but you can go back in the archives and listen in minute detail what that would look like if she even were to be successful.
But it all comes down to turnout.
All of this comes down to turnout at this point.
Republicans have done a really, really good job.
I wish they would have started earlier is my only complaint.
And you guys know this because I've talked about it for a year and a half now.
They, going into 2020, Democrats had a 600,000 plus advantage of registered voters over Republican registered voters.
Republicans have whittled that down to half.
So there, I think it was something like 300, almost 300,000 additional registered voters.
voters for Republicans. So they cut the deficit for that. So hopefully everybody gets out and
votes. Now, going into election day in 2020, Joe Biden had over a million dollars,
sorry, he had over a million votes going into election day. So he banked over a million votes
and had that advantage going into election day. The margin in New Hampshire,
sure. Well, the margin and I'm trying to think, because in these states, looking at the, so we're going
in Pennsylvania, I was trying to think he had like a few thousand advantage in Michigan, a few,
and it didn't materialize for him. In Pennsylvania, it was over a million, but he only ended up with like
80,000. He won that state by a little over 80,000. And, he won that state by a little over 80,000.
2020 I wrote about this if you follow along on substack the newsletter. I got into some of that
because in 2020 I'm going back bear with me. You got a lot of stuff here. So in 2020,
it was 80,582 approximately. That was how much Biden won the state. Now, the reason I'm saying
this is because I'm looking at early voting here and the registered, registered Democrats that have voted,
but we're not, you just note that these are Democrats that are voted.
You're not noting who they're voting for.
He carried a 1.1 million vote advantage going into election day in 2020, but he literally only
won Pennsylvania, the Keystone State by 80,500, 80, 582 votes.
Think about that for a moment.
Again, a million registered voters, 1.1 million had that advantage going into election.
Day. Democrats,
that Pennsylvania was
previously a stronghold. Philly was
a stronghold. But the margin
was barely over 80,000.
And the reason I bring this up again, Harris
is going into Election Day with
$412,000 compared to Biden's $1.1 million.
So that's almost a million fewer
votes that she's going into Election Day.
with. So in Philly, for her to be successful, I mean, they have to have a get out the vote unlike anything
they've ever seen in Philly. I don't know, and that's the end. And Steve notes, that's where the
Oprah rally was. It is really hard to get a massive amount of same-day voting out of an
area that has already shown it is not going to turn out heavy for early voting. So I don't know how
Democrats are going to score a win with that. And again, this is after Republicans have whittled
that deficit, the 600,000 registered from 2020 down to 300 something thousand. So like for instance,
in Philly, they're not coming out in droves. They didn't come out in droves for early voting.
Democrats did not.
That's a problem.
This is why she's like living in Philly right now.
This is why.
Now, what you're going to hear from Democrats, and I heard this a lot, I heard it in 2016, I heard it in 2018, I heard it in 2020, heard in 22, the cannibalization of same-day votes.
So you have, you know, brand new Republicans and then they don't come out and vote.
and by
and I was talking to a friend of mine who was saying well
and this is a great point
by definition
they're brand new Republican voters
if they've just been registered
so they're not the traditional type of
Republican they're already
considered a low propensity voter
because they're brand new Republican voters
and
it is also hard for brand
new registered voters. It is not as difficult, but it is still kind of a fight to also get a high
level turnout from that demo. So I'm just giving you the lay of the land, what Republicans have to
deal with and what Democrats have to deal with to give you, it's harder to be Harris in Pennsylvania.
Oh, believe that. A hell of a lot harder. I already told you before that you need to entirely ignore
exit polls. They're trash. They are trash. Absolutely trash. The whole purpose of a stupid exit
polls, you're collecting data about what voters are worried about, what is motivating voters,
and you're looking at what demo is turning out here and all of this. And it's supposed to be
useful and helping to determine why the outcome was the way that it was. But they don't really
tell you what the outcome is. They just tell you why it is. And then they always
correct them after the fact. So it's garbage. It's absolutely garbage. And they're
meaningless. So just ignore them. You already know going in. And they get less accurate as we
get as the closer we get. I will say, let's see, a couple of things. There's a lot of gains
that Trump has made. A lot of gains. I know that it's neck and neck. I know that it's in some
battleground states Trump is like leading within a point and in some she's leading within a
point, so they're like virtually tied. But I will, I'll keep saying that I still think it's way
better to be Trump than it is Harris by far. By far. So no one knows, like I said, and this is how I
started the piece last night. Not a single person knows what's going to happen right now.
It's that close. Even the most honest pollsters out there, I think Dave Wasserman over
Cook is phenomenal. Nate Silver, I will say, is at least transparent. They're even saying,
they're acknowledging how close it is. It all comes down to turnout. Turnout is always factored in
to every major Republican loss. Turnout was the reason that the, and the Tea Party was instrumental
in this, getting voters out to take back the House in 2010. They were instrumental. They were instrumental in
helping take back the House this last time,
coming out, you know, a deluge of Republican voters.
Whenever Republicans turn out, the wins are undeniable.
This is the rights election to lose.
Democrats can't do any more than they've already done.
They can't.
They cannot.
They cannot do any more than they've already done.
It is the rights to lose.
So it comes down to enthusiasm.
And you measure this.
by how many people are coming off for early voting?
What are some of the, how are some of the state,
the down ballot races performing?
And this is where it gets real tricky for Democrats in Pennsylvania.
And I'm focusing a lot on Pennsylvania because I ultimately think that that's the key.
Clearly, you know that Democrats are making that their last stand
because Harris has spent an inordinate amount of time there.
And that's what, you know, you can't rely on the exit polling,
but you can rely on where the candidates are going.
she's obviously terrified that she's not going to be able to keep up that blue wall.
She is trying to hold that wall.
Now, one of the things that I think is accurate is that the, this is kind of, it's like anecdotal.
But in heavily blue areas and in heavily red areas, the turnout is high.
You got to measure who's,
higher.
That'll come up.
But I think that the
motivation is enthusiasm
on the right and
discord on the left.
Now think about that.
They're not the same. Are you
more motivated if you are
really enthusiastic about going and casting that ballot?
Or if you're like, I hate this person
so I have to vote against them.
What motivates you more?
Think about it. I mean, it's psychological.
Let's see. New Hampshire is a nothing burger.
Sorry if you're there, but, you know, I don't really can, I don't really see it as being anything determination, determining the competitiveness.
I don't believe in the shy Trump voter thing. I don't believe that's a narrative.
Everybody's, it's like, it's like pollsters are going back and forth on it.
And that all comes down to Nate Cohn over at the New York Times, who had said, oh, it's Trump voters that are less likely to talk to me than Harris voters.
He came up, I mean, it's basically from his stuff that people are taking the shy Trump thing.
I don't want people to take that and think it's a real thing because I feel like it gives people an excuse to be to relax a little bit.
And I don't want people to relax.
I mean, there needs to be a nervous deluge at the polls.
So it's, again, when the ballots are counted, that's what matters.
Now, speaking of that, we got to talk about some shenanigans.
Lorraine has a piece up right now.
Election shenanigans.
She's got two pieces up, part one and part two.
Because she gets into the FCC stuff.
She also gets in the voting lines in Philly, gets into some of the packs with the television ads, and then lawsuits everywhere in Pennsylvania over the ballot and going to vote and all of that.
There was a video where she was saying that it was a guy who was claiming to be Haitian who was saying that he voted in Georgia.
but she was like sussing that out and saying that she thinks it's a troll and she goes into a deep dive into why she thinks it's actually not a real video.
But there are issues in Georgia.
There have been lawsuits, as she notes, and filed in Fulton and other counties because they've been accepting absentee balance that like drop off locations over the weekend.
And that doesn't go along.
I mean, I don't know how that.
Georgia changed their law.
And remember when they did it, I was super critical.
I'm like, they changed it because of COVID, and I actually think they made it more relaxed.
And so there's a lot of argument over whether or not the Republican Party understood the terminology and the reading of those election procedures in Georgia.
So is that an offense or not?
But you need to go and read this piece because she gets into the Colorado stuff with the password thing and all of it.
So there are some things that are happening.
That's why the turnout has to, you have to overcome margin of error and margin of fraud.
And now all of the news you would probably.
probably miss. It's time for Dana's Quick Five.
So the Fed is considering, again, Federal Reserve, is looking to cut rates while facing a hazy
post-election outlook. Are they going to cut rates again? Are they? Are they, though? It's not
doing anything, but they won't stop spending. They said that they're moved two days after the
election with inflation. They say inflation's cooling. And so the Fed is set to cut interest rates
for a second time this year, which makes sense to cut the rates if a
inflation's gone, right? It's going away, so let's cut the rates again. Makes all the sense
in the world, doesn't it? That's what one does, you know, when the inflation's cooling.
I just, I feel like all these people missed the economics class that we were all required to take as
college freshmen, but maybe not. So, and they keep trying to say, well, you know, if the economy's
struggling right now, it's because of Trump's proposals for tariffs, et cetera, I don't believe that.
That's a whole other topic, too, on tariffs that's separate from this. And no, this is not the
effect that they're, no.
Let's see. So a U.S. soldier who is injured during a Gaza peer operation has passed away.
I know. That's what we did it as a – Biden did it as a vanity exercise. And so now this soldier, who is in critical condition, he suffered non-combat injuries while supporting the military off of Gaza. And remember, it was attacked by terrorists. And so now he's passed away. According to the U.S. military, this happened yesterday, suffered critical injuries while supporting these operations. I mean, this is another Biden-Harris soldier fatality.
Coming up, Glenn Reynolds, what happens after the election?
We'll talk. Stick with us.
The Dana Show podcast, your fast, funny, and informative news companion for those always on the move.
Subscribe on YouTube, Apple, or wherever you get your podcasts.
I wish all of our candidates were like Alice Cooper in this video.
I wouldn't be elected.
That would just make it so much more fun.
Would it not?
It would be so great.
What like a glam goth, like old rock election that would be.
Welcome back.
Dana, last year with you.
You can listen coast to coast.
us on Channel 347 direct TV as well. So I read, I mean, I know, yes, I know it's election day,
but you also kind of have to think a couple days ahead, right? So not only we have to think
about election day, we got to think what happens, you know, after we get, after we get the football,
what happens, you know, Charlie Brown gets to football, then what? So we, we kind of have to think,
like, what are we going to do with all of that, you know, with the consent of the voters?
Now, I liked, one of the things that I thought was, you know, I like that Malai down in Argentina.
He went in and like took a machete and started slashing rhetorically, everything.
And I was thinking to this, literally right when this hit my inbox, it's called thoughts on the post-election.
And my friend Glenn Reynolds, the great esteemed instipundant, lord of all social media, even though he left it because he hates it and rightfully so.
I thought this was a, I thought he needs to actually advise if the Trump campaign gets in there.
Just call Glenn and have him tell you what to do because he lays it all out in this.
You can find him at instapundit.substack.com.
And we'll throw the link down there as well.
But Glenn joins us now via Skype.
My good friend, Knoxville, Knoxville, Tennessee law professor.
He's a scholar.
He's a man of many talents.
It's good to see you.
I like what you put here.
I would love for him to go MLI style and just cut and slash and then bring in Elon Musk,
two trillion cut.
What would the toadies?
What would the bureaucrats do if that,
happened? Well the beauty is they probably would be caught on the back foot because
they're not good at moving fast. They're good at moving sort of undercover and
undetectably as they undercut you. And I think you just have to get inside their
decision loop and just you know shock it all all the way. And I think when Trump
came in last time after he'd been in for several months I wrote just a little
post on my blog where I said you know he's losing
position because they're not moving fast enough.
They should have had bills delivering on campaign promises lined up like airplanes on a runway.
Instead, they focused on that one tax bill that the GOP establishment liked.
And that was a mistake because once they passed that, the establishment didn't really need him anymore.
It was free to start stabbing him in the back.
So he needs to be more strategic.
He needs to basically just overwhelm the media and the bureaucracy with change, change, change,
before they can react.
It's sort of like, you know, saturating the targeting system on missiles or something,
just have so many things incoming at once that they can't react and just move super fast.
And I'm kind of encouraged.
I mean, I think he was very naive in 2016.
He thought that because he was the Republican president, the Republican Party would just basically support him.
And he could put Republican stalwarts in his office holders and they would support him.
And, of course, that turned out not to be true.
I think he knows better now.
And I think turning Elon Musk is a very good sign.
And Elon is actually very good at thinking strategically.
And he's got a lot of other people now on his side who are very good at thinking strategically.
And I expect it, including J.D. Vance and Vivek and so on.
And I think he's going to unleash them all.
Yeah, you make a really good point talking with our friend Glenn Reynolds, who's a best-selling author.
And, of course, the famed Instapundit about his piece over at Substack and what to expect after election.
it you make a really good point about moving fast because I felt like and I go back to Malai in
Argentina because it felt like that's what he did. He worked so fast. The headlines couldn't keep up with him.
We all here in the United States, we're watching it like every day he's cutting like, you know,
here's another billion and another billion here. Oh, it's been two hours. He's cut $20 billion.
And that's, I mean, it only does it seem, it seems massive, like massive amounts of money to us,
but only in, you know, government bureaucracies is it actually, you know, considered small. But this,
is of course, Glenn, he gets into the White House without a lot of issue. The inauguration in 2016,
I mean the destruction, the fires, the assault, everything that was taking place. I mean,
I think the left actually kind of likes it when they lose because they love rioting. They love cheating
and rioting. And we saw, and I know you've seen, they've been boarding up businesses.
Our friend Ben Shapiro said it was like Trump Passover. Like these businesses are like
putting up the boards and like, please don't come and get us, you know.
I mean, do you, if he wins, do you expect, number one, that widespread kind of destruction?
And number two, is anybody in D.C. left to move to counter it?
I do think that will happen again.
I mean, you know, I was one of my friends who was sort of depressed about the election.
I was trying to cheer up.
And I was like, well, look, they're not boarding up D.C.
because they think Kamala is going to win.
So I think that, although given the way the left is nowadays, they ride in any excuse, I guess.
But yeah, I think that frankly, all these riots in blue communities help Republicans and hurt Democrats.
I mean, they make certain Democratic constituencies feel good about themselves.
But in overall, if Trump wins this time, as seems likely, it's going to be in no small part in reaction to all this lawlessness.
And even a lot of people who live in blue communities who are initially sort of supportive of it or over it now.
I actually talked to a Democrat friend the other day who said that if Trump wins is going to be because of what she calls the CBS effect,
where everybody's sick of going into drug stories and seeing everything locked up because of, you know, untrammeled shoplifting and stuff.
So there's that. Now, there may be some resistance in Congress. There's a tweet going around now, which is which Jamie Raskin claims his fate, where he said, you can vote for Trump if you want, but we're not going to certify him for the election.
And that's dated like yesterday. However, he said more or less.
the same thing back in August, and it was reported all over in Politico and stuff.
If it's a super close election, the Democrats may try to pull some sort of, you know,
insurrection, 14th Amendment claim to block Trump.
Now, if that happens, there are two things that you could do.
One is Trump could ask his followers to just all come to D.C.
And he could probably have two or three million people in D.C. in very short order.
And I think the establishment would back down on that.
And I call that the Yeltsin on a tank strategy.
The flip side of it is, he can also just say, okay, fine, you know, your new president is now
J.D. Vance. And by the way, he's eligible for two terms. And I'll be his advisor. So is that
what you want, Jamie? That's actually, it's really, it's a stupid idea, which I mean, I think is being
touted mostly to satisfy some not very bright Democratic constituencies, which, to be fair,
is mostly Raskin's constituency. But, I mean, it would be. It would be.
be moronic and counterproductive for them to do it.
So if they want to try, they can live with the results.
Yeah, I feel like they're already trying to put the wheels in motion if there is a Trump victory.
Like especially in Canaan and I talked about it before and we've had a Charles Payne on.
We've talked about the economy.
I just, I'm waiting for the debt bomb.
You've written about this.
I'm waiting for this like economic eruption.
And they're going to turn around and be like, well, see, we told you you elected Trump.
It's all his fault.
See, they can do that.
But I just want to remind you what Rob Emanuel.
says, which is never let a crisis go to waste.
If you're looking to cut the federal government by, say, 60%,
a debt collapse is the perfect time to do it.
You just have to tell people, yeah, we've defaulted, we're broke.
You know, all these people who are squealing about us
abolishing the Department of Education, moving the FBI headquarters
to an abandoned warehouse in Plattsburgh, New York, and stuff like that.
Sorry, there's no money.
You guys spend it all.
We're just having to clean up the mess now.
And I can tell you from the university,
setting that the only time you can successfully cut budgets in a university is when you're in a
financial crisis. And I think that's probably true for the U.S. government, too, that a financial
crisis is actually the only time you can release slash budgets. And that's actually what Miley did.
I mean, that's his excuse or his opportunity is they were broke. They were defaulting.
The previous administration had once again spent them into bankruptcy. And so he's like,
I've got to clean up this mess. And the public supported him.
And, you know, I don't know, I've written about the debt bomb pretty recently on my substack as well.
And as I've said, people have been saying it's going to explode on us any day now for literally as long as I've been alive.
But something that can't go on forever won't and it can't go on forever.
It's getting steadily worse.
My wife is suspicious that the Federal Reserve is just waiting to pull the trigger and have everything collapse after Trump's elected.
I kind of maybe share some of our suspicions.
I'm not I'm my doctor helen I think may be on to something I'm I identify with some of that talking with our friend glen reynolds last thing for you Glenn
who do I know it's like reading a crystal ball at this point or like a magic eight ball or something that you can just shake and peer into I don't know I mean it's so close
but I feel like there are some signs that after the fact we're going to look back and go why didn't we know oh that makes sense we should have known that it was a victory there or whatever what do you think is going to happen tonight
I mean, I, you know, I'm not a good predictor.
My gut says Trump's going to win and he's going to win pretty soundly.
I put a little graphic at the top of my substack and it wasn't very serious,
but I just went through an election calculator and sort of picked all the states I thought Trump had a chance of winning significantly.
And I even left a couple out that would be sort of a long shot that I wouldn't rule out completely.
And that had to have like 3.41. It looks pretty convincing.
Will he get that? Who knows?
I will say in 2016, I was a lot less optimistic than this.
And this election feels more to me like 2016 than it feels like 2020.
And in 2020, the Democrats claim was, we'll bring things back to normal after all the chaos of Trump, which of course was chaos they mostly created.
But now they can't say that because they've created even more chaos when they're in power.
Now Trump looks like the normal guy.
Yeah, that's how bad Democrats are.
They hated him so bad.
They made him look like more normal.
compared to them. It's going to be interesting either way. So hopefully nothing will burn tonight.
We'll see. Glenn Reynolds over Instapundant at Substack, because that'll be another essay that I read.
Always good to see you, my friend. Thank you. Thank you.
Subscribe to the Dana Show podcast, because who says you can't make fun of people while staying informed on your own personal time?
Subscribe on YouTube, Apple, or wherever you get your podcast.
I still maintain that the biggest realization and the, you know, really the epitaph of Kamala Harris' political career is going to be not picking Josh Shapiro in Pennsylvania.
What they did in that selection has done more to divide and splinter their own side than anything that Republicans could have ever done.
and I honestly do not think that the full measure of that has will be has been felt I don't think
this election will be the last measure of it either I really do believe that they're going to
and it's not because he was like you know some you know super kid super governor super man guy you know
like in the party it's because it clearly was an opposition to him being Jewish that's why he
wasn't selected. And there are so many people who that really hit in the Democrat Party. And like I
said, that full measure is still to come. Now, we have gone over electoral college. You need to go
to substack. Lorraine has, she's been following the shenanigans over there at different polling
sites. And there is a lot, there are going to be false claims about different machines and things
like that. Be very careful what you believe. Because a lot of stuff that comes out today is just,
there are, there are some agitators on the right. Then you, that's most of the left. So much of it
is going to be pure propaganda. Just keep a singular focus. You did your part. If you haven't,
you better go do it and you better make sure.
That sounded like a parent lecture and I didn't mean to send, but yeah, you better go to it.
And then you better make sure that everyone you know has voted.
Everybody that you know is voted.
And then after that, you just need to keep focus and then just keep a clear head and be cool.
Just that's all you got to, that's all you got to do.
But, you know, ultimately, hopefully, it's so close and I'm, I'm, it's so close and I'm,
I it's so close that I don't even want to forecast I will say I think we'll take the Senate I feel pretty confident in that and I didn't feel confident about the House a couple of months ago I feel a lot better about the House tonight but it's the it's the White House that's very close and I know you also have to be cautious in yes use down ticket to measure the health at the top of the ticket but also what is the other thing the last thing that I've told you about to split ticket?
voting. It's not 100% to look at down ballot to give you an indication of top a ticket.
You got to keep that in mind. Split ticket voting. All of these trends usually emerge, of course,
after the ballots are counted. So I'm going to be on the notes section of substack tonight.
I'll be popping in it out on Facebook and on X. And I have, I'll be up on the first for a couple of
things. And obviously we're going to recap everything tomorrow in my new detail. But, you know,
just remember, you should not feel, and I don't want anyone if there isn't a victory, I don't
want people to feel crestfallen or to feel despair. Because so long as you have in this
republic, good people who want to do good things and stand for good values, as long as you have people
willing to do that, then you have a republic and you have a republic worth saving. Nothing is so ever
far gone unless you allow it to be so. And remember, this is a generational fight. You're not going to
solve all of the nation's problems in one night. So don't take too much up on yourself and give
yourself a little break, relax, exhale, because no matter what, there are options. Hopefully
it's a victory tonight. It's very close, so just pray about it.
So I just don't want people to be like, because I have friends who are texting me.
They're like, oh my gosh, where are you at?
And I'm like talking, texting my friends and like walking them back off the cliff.
I'm like, okay, chill out.
Chill out.
Come on.
Let's just be.
Now, I will say, I'm not going to promise not to be an insufferable brat tomorrow.
If things go a certain way, you know, I'm just saying.
I'm not saying I'm trying so hard not to tempt fate with Schadenfreude.
But you know what I mean?
Okay.
Today's stupidity came.
Oh, boy.
there was so much to choose from today.
You can't play it all at once.
I can't play it all at once.
But I thought we'd go ahead and decide
Wisconsin's Democrat Party chair.
His name is Benjamin Wickler.
He says, look, guys,
yeah, underperforming right now.
But, no, listen to this.
The absentee ballots and the in-person election day votes.
So that means that you're going to see a red mirage
where it seems like Trump is doing better than he,
actually is because they haven't counted and reported those absentee ballots yet and then the blue
shift when those those ballots are introduced to add to the totals that could be in the middle of the night
it certainly was 2020 that's so dumb and that's not how this works trying to prepare everyone for a big
steel but it's not happening so dumb yeah that was that one's mm-mm folks that does it for us this
election day go and vote because your country depends on it we're going to recap all of this to
Tomorrow, find us on Substack, on YouTube, on Facebook, on X. God bless, go vote. Do it for the country. Back tomorrow.
