The David Pakman Show - 10/29/24: Kamala challenges Trump to brain test, sudden Pennsylvania disaster for Trump

Episode Date: October 29, 2024

-- On the Show: -- A deep dive into an empirical study evaluating the cognitive decline of Donald Trump, Kamala Harris, and Joe Biden using a linguistic analysis -- Did Joe Rogan inadvertently end Donald Trump's campaign by suggesting some time ago that Trump have comedian Tony Hinchcliffe tour with him? -- Kamala Harris challenges Donald Trump to a cognitive test -- Donald Trump's Tony Hinchcliffe Puerto Rico gambit may be the straw that breaks the camel's back in Pennsylvania, which has a huge Puerto Rican population -- A soaking wet Trump holds a poorly attended rally in Atlanta, Georgia, and suffers a complete public meltdown -- A State College, Pennsylvania Trump rally crowd empties out as Trump rants and raves -- JD Vance attacks the Constitution when asked about flag burning as the MAGA audience cheers -- Arizona Republican Senate candidate Kari Lake still will not acknowledge that she lost her 2022 election during an interview with CNN's Kaitlan Collins -- On the Bonus Show: Ballot dropbox fires under investigation after hundreds of ballots destroyed, Kamala Harris sees surge with Black male voters in latest polls, Elon Musk worked illegally in the US in 1995, much more... 🌱 Ounce of Hope: Get 20% off with code PAKMAN at https://ounceofhope.com 📈 Manifold: Get free Sweepcash when you sign up at https://manifold.markets/pakman ⚠️ Ground News: Get 40% OFF their unlimited access Vantage plan at https://ground.news/pakman 🥄 Use code PAKMAN for $5 off Magic Spoon at https://magicspoon.com/pakman 💻 Get Private Internet Access for 83% OFF + 4 months free at https://www.piavpn.com/David ☕ Beam melatonin hot cocoa: Use code PAKMAN for up to 50% OFF at https://shopbeam.com/pakman 🥦 Lumen lets you master your metabolism. GET 15% OFF at https://lumen.me/pakman -- Become a Member: https://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/davidpakmanshow -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow -- Pakman Discord: https://www.davidpakman.com/discord -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave a Voicemail: (219)-2DAVIDP

. welcome to the show. Everybody just one week remains before this major, major election. Later this week we will be looking at house projections. We will be looking at apartment Britain. I'm getting house projections and Senate projections and so much more. But one of the really interesting sort of new stories that cropped up virtually out of thin air on Sunday at Donald Trump's Nazi style rally at Madison Square Garden is the issue of the Puerto Rican population, Puerto Rican voters here in the mainland United States, and specifically what this might mean for the election.

We're going to get to that all a little bit later in the show. But I want to start with something that, you know, sometimes you you just don't know where looking around will take you. And one of the things that has surfaced over the last couple of days, as many of us have sought to answer the question, who the hell thought it was a good idea to have comedian Tony Hinchcliffe tell jokes before the Trump rally? The answer that some of us have found is it seems like Joe Rogan thought it was a good idea and that may even be where Trump got this idea in the first place.

So let me remind you, uh, before Donald Trump spoke on Sunday evening in New York city, Tony Hinchcliffe, the comedian who I've said before, I didn't have any issue with previously. I thought he was excellent in the roast of Tom Brady. And when he's punching up and going at celebrities and athletes, his roasts are good. This felt mean. This felt vindictive and it felt xenophobic at the end of the day. Here are the comments from Sunday's rally, which have generated so much controversy. A lot going on. Like, I don't know if you guys know this, but there's literally a floating island of garbage in the middle of the ocean right now. Yeah. I think it's called Puerto Rico. Okay. All right. Okay. We're getting there again. Normally I don't follow the national anthem,

everybody. Okay. So even the, even the bloodthirsty and crazed Madison Square Garden crowd did not exactly feel titillated by calling Puerto Rico a heaping mound of garbage in the ocean. So of course, after this all happened, Trump's campaign and Republicans generally started rushing to do damage control. Rick Scott, who is running in Florida, which if not a large Puerto Rican population has a large Latino population immediately said this wasn't funny. This wasn't good.

Puerto Ricans are great people. Latinos are great people. The Trump campaign put out a statement saying that Donald Trump does not agree with or that Tony Hinchcliffe's comment about Puerto Rico does not represent Trump's views. Some on Fox News defended that it is just jokes. The usual suspects on Twitter have been saying, if you're offended by this, you simply have no sense of humor and you're a tone policer and blah, blah, blah. Well, one of the operational questions that came up is how did Tony Hinchcliffe find himself speaking at a Trump rally to begin with. And the answer might be might be that Trump or someone working for him more likely heard

what Joe Rogan said about specifically Trump getting Tony Hinchcliffe to give him or to say things. Check out this clip that's been unearthed. It would behoove him to hire a few great comics to just tour with them and just write one-liners about all these different fucking people i mean if he could remember them i mean i think i know he likes to go off his own head but he could remember a few hinchcliffe bangers if he hires hinchcliffe to take him on the road you know how fucking insane that would be yeah dude hinchcliffe writing bangers for trump to

shit on people trump was smart he would hire shane and tony hinchcliffe there you go so joe rogan thinking it would be some kind of brilliant idea to bring in tony hinchcliffe to write one-liners quote to shit on people it turns out that he did do that, except it was Puerto Ricans. It wasn't radical socialists, which is considered politically acceptable. If you're on the MAGA, right, you say, Oh, radical socialists, this and that. It wasn't, uh, you know, I, I don't know, celebrities from Hollywood who support Kamala Harris. It was just Puerto Ricans. And it is now a major and massive problem for the Trump campaign. Now, later in the show, we're going to dig into in more detail something which we spoke about a little bit on yesterday's bonus show, the bonus show where you want to make money.

Yes. Everybody else that makes money to fund themselves is bad. We made money on the bonus show yesterday while talking about the fact that after New York and Florida, two states whose results are not really in question, the leading states in terms of Puerto Rican population include Pennsylvania, a state which could be the deciding state in next Tuesday's presidential election. So this Hinchcliffe thing, it actually could cost Trump the election. And it might be it might be Joe Rogan that Trump will have to thank for that. Let's come back to that a little bit later. Kamala Harris is now challenging Donald Trump to a cognitive test. This is poetically perfect. It's not Kafka ask as much of what Trump does is this

is actually perfect. Now, we are seven days from this election. We are as much as I would love to see it. We are not going to see both candidates sitting down to be tested for dementia or receiving cognitive or IQ tests. But I would love to see it. And what's absolutely spot on about Kamala Harris now starting to say we should do a cognitive test is that to the naked eye, even to an unsophisticated Rube as myself, when I hear Donald Trump speak and I hear Kamala Harris speak, it's very obvious who is fully in command of their cognitive faculties. And it's not the oldest ever presidential candidate, a presidential major party nominee,

Donald Trump. It's Kamala Harris. So here is video of Kamala Harris during a CBS Mornings interview saying, listen, Trump wants cognitive tests. Let's do it. We should absolutely do it. Donald Trump was on Joe Rogan and he called you, Madam Vice President, a very low IQ person and said, I think she needs to take a cognitive test.

I think Kamala should have a test because there's something missing. There's something wrong with her. Would you take a cognitive test? Sure. I would challenge him to take the same one. But here's the thing. He's, you know, this is what he has resorted to, and I think he actually is increasingly unstable and unhinged. And has resorted to name-calling because he actually has no plan for the American people. But on the point of why Donald Trump is unfit to be president of the United States, don't take it from me. Listen to the people who know him best, his former chiefs of staff, most recently, four-star Marine General John Kelly.

Listen to two former secretaries of defense who worked for him. Listen to his national security advisor. Listen to his vice president, who have all, in one way or another, said he is unfit to be president again, should never be president again and is dangerous. It has become clear from the people who know him best, all Republicans, by the way, who served with him in the oval office and the situation room, not to mention Donald Trump's own words. So listen, there is one candidate in this presidential race who very obviously does not suffer from cognitive

decline. And it's Kamala Harris. Now, later, we are going to do a deep dive. This is really good stuff. We're going to do a deep dive later on a linguistic analysis that was done of Trump's speech, Biden's speech and Harris's speech looking for decline. And I will give you the results. I don't think they will surprise you. I want to say just one other word about the whole cognitive test

format. Donald Trump insists that what was it now, five years ago, four years ago, he passed a cognitive test with flying colors. That was the Montreal cognitive assessment. And what many neurologists have said since is that that's a test for relatively advanced cognitive decline, dementia, Alzheimer's, and that much of what Trump seems to be suffering from, uh, would not really be covered by that test. There are other tests that could be done and might be better. Now I'm not, I'm going to give you a list of them. I'm not saying all of these would be better, but the point is there are many other tests. There's the mini mental state examination.

There's Addenbrooke's cognitive examination, the St. Louis mental status examination, the cognitive abilities screening instrument, the trail making test, the neural neuropsychological test batteries, the Hopkins verbal learning test. I could go on. The point here is what Trump seems to be suffering from that is picked up when you do a linguistic analysis might not be reflected in the Montreal cognitive assessment, but these other tests would likely pick it up. In addition to this, Trump took the Montreal cognitive assessment four to five years ago.

I don't know what would happen if he took it again. Four to five years is not an insignificant amount of time. And it would be interesting, if nothing else, to have Trump take that test again. Will they be tested between now and next Tuesday? They will not. Now, a nice bonus clip from the same interview that Kamala Harris did. Kamala Harris talking about Trump and the people around him increasingly pointing to him as having problems. I believe that this is not the exact same response that we just listened to. Let's double check that.

And said, I think she needs to take a cognitive test. It is exactly the same clip. So we already listened to it. I could play the same clip for you back to back. It would be a little Trumpian of me to just like completely forget that I just played this clip. It's the same clip. That's an error.

And I'm correcting it on the fly. So Kamala Harris making a very good point here, which is you don't just need to listen to liberal pundits or pundits, as many of them wrongly say. I still don't know why pundits talking about fentanyl. Even the people around Trump recognize the danger that that that he represents, whether it's Caroline Matthews, whether it's Cassidy Hutchinson, John Kelly. You know, you can find people from within or outside the military, male or female, younger and older, every demographic covered in those who used to work for Trump and don't believe him to be fit. So we will see ultimately what the country decides. I wish we had that cognitive test

coming. We don't. We'll just have to vote. Looking for a way to enjoy some calm. Check out our longtime sponsor, Ounce of Hope, offering top shelf psychoactive THC products with an earnest commitment to giving back. Ounce of Hope operates an aquaponic cannabis farm in Memphis where the nutrient rich water from the fish is used to feed their cannabis plants. This method not only produces top tier cannabis, but it helps the local community. The surplus fertilizer supports schools, gardens, small farms in the area. One of their first standout offerings is a jar of delicious honey infused with a thousand milligrams of THC. This Thank you, David. You'll see brownies, chocolates, caramels, gummies, beverages, soft gels, oils and topicals. They also have CBD options.

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the ways that his family exploits public office for personal gain. Go to ground dot news slash Pacman now to get 40 percent off of the same unlimited access vantage plan that I use. The link is in the description at this critical moment for American democracy. Progressive independent media is arguably as important as ever. We are directly supported by our audience, and I encourage you to sign up and become a member at join Pacman dot com. Donald Trump may have made a fatal mistake in Pennsylvania by having Tony Hinchcliffe at Madison Square Garden say that Puerto Rico is a floating pile of garbage in the ocean.

Why do I say this? Well, we're starting to do the math and learning about the disastrous fallout among Latino voters and specifically Puerto Rican voters in the United States. Let's back up a little bit. One of the states that is most likely to be the sole decider of this election, if the election were to come down to just one state, is the state of Pennsylvania. It just so happens that Pennsylvania also has one of the largest Puerto Rican populations, especially among the states that could decide the election. So let's talk it through. Looking at this map from Newsweek, Florida has one point

two million Puerto Rican people living within it. But most likely Florida is gone to Trump. Now, we never give up on any state and we fight for everything, but we're being realistic here and it does seem as though Florida has in presidential elections recently taken a decidedly red turn. More than likely, Kamala Harris's win is not going to defend on winning Florida. Similarly, in New York, there are nearly 1.1 million Puerto Ricans. And similarly, Trump is not going to win New York. Trump is lying and saying we might win New York and New Jersey, but he is not going to. The election will not

depend on New York. The election will not depend on New Jersey, which has nearly half a million Puerto Ricans. Kamala Harris is going to win that. Massachusetts has three hundred and thirty thousand Puerto Ricans. Massachusetts is going to go to Harris. So then you get to this state of Pennsylvania. Nearly four percent of the Pennsylvanian population is Puerto Rican. That's nearly half a million people. And what we are now starting to see as Politico reports is that Trump's Puerto Rico fallout is, quote, spreading like wildfire in Pennsylvania. And this article outlines and argues that Donald Trump, quote, has a serious Puerto Rico problem in Pennsylvania. Now, the first question we would ask in such a scenario would be, OK, Tony Hinchcliffe said that thing.

But do Puerto Ricans care? Is it affecting Trump? Is anyone attaching it to Trump? The answer is yes. Widespread condemnation from within the Puerto Rican community. Very few Puerto Ricans writing this off as just a silly joke. And I'm still voting for scrumps. No, that's not happening. It seems as though rightly so. This was seen particularly in the context of Trump seemingly not caring about Puerto Rico,

kind of making fun of the entire recovery effort by showing up after a hurricane and shooting paper towels like basketball free throws into a crowd, talking about withholding aid, drawing on hurricane maps. He's just never seen seemed super concerned about Puerto Rico at one point, reportedly not even realizing that it's part of the United States, thinking that he was going to talk to the president of Puerto Rico, which, by the way, was him at the time. So in the context of Trump being indifferent or even negligent towards Puerto Rico, combined with the comments from Tony Hinchcliffe, Puerto Rican voters are not happy. We then get to the numbers.

If you go back to the 2020 presidential election, you see that in Pennsylvania, the margin of victory for Joe Biden was only 81,000 votes. If you believe the story that Donald Trump has been making inroads with Latino voters. And by the way, when I say if you believe it, I believe it. The polling I've seen does not show Trump making inroads with black voters, but it does show Trump as of three days ago.

Right. We'll see how the numbers change. The polling does show Trump nationally doing better among Latino voters than he did in 2020. So if you believe that and you see that there is nearly half a million Puerto Rican voters in Pennsylvania and you see that Trump only lost it by 80,000 votes in 2020, you could certainly imagine a world in which heroically riding on the backs of Latino voters, Donald Trump surges to victory in Pennsylvania and subsequently wins the

election because of Pennsylvania, which that that's all a plausible scenario. On the other hand, thanks to Joe Rogan's brilliant idea some time ago that Tony Hinchcliffe should go around with Trump writing one liners and delivering one liners. And you see that Tony Hinchcliffe did that and it has disgusted Puerto Rican voters and there's 500,000 of them in Pennsylvania. It could be that Donald Trump will lose Pennsylvania and thus lose the election thanks to the Tony Hinchcliffe Puerto Rico disaster at Madison Square Garden Sunday evening. That's the math of it. We'll follow it and ultimately we will know the answer.

A soaking wet Donald Trump nuked himself last night in Atlanta, having a complete and total swollen and sweaty orange meltdown. Wow. Eight days yesterday before the election and Trump is standing around to music looking swollen and sweaty as sycophants lose their minds to the hills of Tennessee. Right across the plains of Texas. Now, you might notice that Trump's face is orange, but his ears and neck are a pale pink. That's his choice. And I'm fine with anyone using any makeup they want. They should do it. You know, we used to say, oh, J.D. Vance wears women's makeup. It's just makeup. Why is it only reserved for women? Let Trump do whatever he wants. The problem is that either the things

that he puts on his face or the things that come out of his mouth are really diminishing the number of people going to these rallies. And in fact, the crowd size yesterday in Atlanta, a critical battleground state, pretty damn weak. Here is Trump speaking. And as you can see, a very light turnout, significant areas of just empty bleachers, rows of bleachers empty. And part of it is, of course, what Donald Trump is offering at these rallies. Donald Trump dismissed all of the Nazi stuff floating around him because he recreated a Nazi rally at Madison Square Garden with an anecdote about his father. Unfortunately, I think this anecdote actually causes more problems for Trump. Kamala is now doing something much worse than what she was talking about. The newest line from

Kamala and her campaign is that everyone who isn't voting for her is a Nazi. We're Nazis. Of course, that's not the claim. You know, years ago, my father had a great father. He's tough guy. He used to always say, never use the word Nazi. Never use that word. But you don't ever use the word Nazi. And you know, it's incredible. Now, the way they talk is so disgusting and just horrible the way that, you know, it's funny that Trump brings up his dad, Trump's dad was arrested, uh, at a KKK rally in the 1920s and was involved

with the John Birch society. And so when I think about under what circumstances might Fred Trump have been telling Donald Trump never use the word Nazi, I wonder if it's not because it's a bad thing to call others, but it's because of self preservation concerns and not wanting the word attached to their own family. In any case, there's no way to know at this point in time, Donald Trump raised the claim that we have an occupied nation in the United States, the towns, the cities, the villages, it's all been invaded and conquered almost like a middle ages sort of situation. It's news to people in Scarsdale, New York.

Right. But it tries to it's another attempt to get the crowd wound up with fear of the other brick of our country. The United States is now an occupied country, is it? But it will soon be an occupied country no longer. Oh boy. November 5th, 2024 will be Liberation Day in America. And on day one, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history.

We're going to get these criminals. So listen to the specific words that Trump is using. Invaded, conquered, occupied liberation. These are military terms which Trump is using to prime the pump for violent action. Oh, his supporters are getting violent again at the polls or on January 6th, 2025. Well, listen, we were conquered. We were occupied. We were invaded. And now we are simply patriotically trying to be liberated. This is how you manufacture consent or at least indifference to horrible anti-democratic authoritarian insanity. Trump as usual, struggling with his memory, saying we're close to World War Two and someone in the crowd actually corrects him.

This is interesting, but we're close to World War Two because we have people in the White House that World War Three. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. I had World War Two. I had World War Two. I had world war two veterans. I said we're better. And afterwards, thank you. There you go. So Trump confused by the teleprompter. I don't even know that I believe that explanation. He of course says he doesn't need the teleprompter yet. He uses it and he's so sucked into it that he says completely false things. Uh, fomenting the authoritarian fervor in the room. Trump says, you know, if he wanted to, he could have locked up Hillary. They said, lock her up, lock her up, lock her up. They

scream. It's easy, easy. We won. We're going to have unity. I could have locked her up. Really didn't want to lock her up. She's the wife of the president of the United States previously and the president. And she was secretary of state. I said, that would be so terrible for our country. And then they try and do it to me. One little difference there, something called evidence of crimes that separated Trump from Hillary and then completely beyond parody moments after reading things incorrectly off of the teleprompter, Donald Trump brags that he doesn't need a teleprompter. He is using a teleprompter while he says this.

Isn't it great to have a guy that doesn't need to look at a teleprompter at all? Trump said this while flanked by teleprompters. Finally, as the rally started to reach its climax and the denouement, Trump turned his ire to Michelle Obama, saying that she's getting nasty with them. Nasty, a term he mostly applies only to women. Speaker 4 With your support of November 5th, you know, it's nasty to me. Michelle Obama. Speaker 5 I always tried to be so nice and respectful. Oh, she opened up a little bit of a little bit of a box. she opened up a little bit of a, a little bit of a box. She opened up a little bit of something. She was nice. Michelle Obama famously opening up a box. And then finally Donald Trump going from talking about Michelle Obama to talking about Marjorie

Taylor green. And as is often the case, Trump confused, I guess, about how a hydrogen powered vehicle would work. You all know, anytime Trump touches science, it gets dicey quick. You're not recognizable if something goes wrong, if something goes wrong. And Marjorie Taylor Greene with that beautiful blonde hair is driving down the highway in a hydrogen car. And the problem with a hydrogen car, if something goes wrong, it's like the atom bomb went off. You're not recognizable. But they say we think we have it under control. That's not good enough. They'll say we thought it was Marjorie Taylor Greene riding down the middle of the turnpike, but she's no longer recognizable. Yeah.

So not a particularly exciting rally, but for the most part, people stayed in the room for the rally. Very different from what happened in Pennsylvania at a rally in state College, Pennsylvania, the crowd emptying out as Donald Trump spoke. And this is now a feature of almost every rally. Yesterday in Atlanta, Trump managed to keep the people in the room. We don't know if they just lock the doors. That's a joke, by the way. I'm not actually suggesting they lock the doors, although they might have because that

did happen once at Mar-a-Lago. But in State College, Pennsylvania, the crowd emptying out and sitting in basically basically silence for much of this rally. As you can see here in the video, large swaths, half empty or even more. And the crowd just not engaged. Here is the area behind Donald Trump at 628 p.m., as you can see, relatively full. And then just a little while later, in fact, to be exact, 24 minutes later, extremely empty. Now, recall that Trump says no one leaves his rallies. Remember when he was triggered by Kamala Harris during their debate where she said, I encourage people to go and check out a rally of his. They're boring and people leave early. And Trump said, no, but nobody leaves my rallies early. And

of course they are leaving almost every rally early. Donald Trump broaching at this event, one of the most disgusting lies that he's come up with. And maybe he didn't even come up with it. Maybe someone came up with it for him, which is that, uh, there are children forcibly getting gender reassignment surgery or gender affirming care. I apologize. I don't always know exactly what the approved terminology is that used to be called sex change, sex reassignment, gender affirming care. I apologize. I don't always know exactly what the approved terminology is that used to

be called sex change, sex reassignment, gender affirming care. Trump says people get those operations with no consent from their parents. Children do. She thinks operations are wonderful to transition. A man to a woman is a wonderful thing. And without parental consent yet, this is a wonderful thing. Now, if she believed that even for a day, you don't want to have her because it's in there somewhere deep inside. Right. Yeah. She thinks, of course, this is not happening. Trump tells an even more extreme version of the story where he says, nice little boy goes to school one day, next day comes home and is a girl. And it's brutal what they're doing to these kids without any parental consult. Oh, I mean, consent, which is another classic Trump glitch.

It's not happening. It's been investigated. It's wild that it even had to be investigated. It simply isn't happening. Trump's attention limitations plaguing him during this rally. He got distracted from his teleprompter, which he doesn't need to talk about his hair. I was actually just looking at my hair. I don't like it. I should have been looking a little left.

Now I started looking at my hair. It's a tell the. Yeah, my daddy. Yeah, I like that one. Daddy. Yeah, it's like burr up a deep hoop. Ah, Saudi Arabia and Russia will repeat. Do you repeat?

Dude. OK. And then finally, Donald Trump doing something that Republicans never used to do. It used to be I may not like the leaders. I may not like the president. David, I may not like your hair, but America is always good. But that has changed. And now it's America's bad when a Democrat is president. I said something yesterday.

I thought it was terrible. And then I realized it was actually good. And now it's America's bad when a Democrat is president. I said something yesterday. I thought it was terrible. And then I realized it was actually good. First time I ever said it, we've become like a garbage can for the rest of the world. They're throwing all their garbage into our country and we're not taking it. And they know we're not taking it. They don't want me to win this election that I can tell you. And understand that when Trump says we are the garbage can, he doesn't mean for his dozen diet Pepsi cans a day. That's not what he means. He doesn't mean a garbage can where we put the Trump shoes and the Trump steaks and the Trump water and the Trump universe. No, no, no, no. He means

a garbage can for people, the people that are garbage that are sent here, he says, from the rest of the world. That's what he says. We are a garbage can for disgusting stuff. Folks, make sure that you have preordered my forthcoming book, The Echo Machine. I am now in the middle of recording the audio book. I hope someone buys this damn thing because the audio book recording is brutal. I had I had no I knew it would be a slog to read the entire book and go back and oh, you know, you pop to pee there and go back a sentence. It is absolutely brutal. So I hope that somebody actually likes it. I think it's coming out great. It just takes it's a lot of work. David Pakman dot com slash echo Barnes and Noble, Amazon, Audible, call any local bookstore, tell them you want the echo machine by David Pakman.

They will get it for you. Many of us loved eating breakfast cereals as kids, but now that we're adults, you don't want all the sugar and the carbs, which is why I love our sponsor, Magic Spoon, the nostalgically delicious cereal that tastes just like your favorite sugary cereals from childhood, but without the sugar and packed with protein. Every serving of magic spoon cereal has 13 grams of protein, zero grams of sugar and four net carbs. So you can feel good about what you're eating. The most popular flavors are fruity and cocoa, but there are many more. And if you're already a fan of magic spoon, I have big news. Magic spoon has turned their super popular cereal into high protein treats that are light, crispy and crunchy and taste just like the classic crunchy cereal bars. Magic Spoon treats have become a favorite go to snack because it's an easy way to get 11 grams of protein on the go. And for the first time ever, Magic Spoon treats are available in grocery stores with delicious flavors like marshmallow and chocolatey peanut butter. Thank you, David. The David Pakman Show David Pakman dot com. the only VPN that can confirm your Internet activity is not being logged. Their software

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Donald Trump is suffering from cognitive decline, whether he can't be president, whether you like it, whether Biden is also suffering. Those are all fair questions. But we now have the data. Trump's brain has declined. The 2024 election is a week away and both age and cognitive ability play a major role this election cycle. This was going to be an election between 81 year old Joe Biden and 78 year old Donald Trump in an environment where the American people said they were craving younger leadership following a disastrous debate performance in June where he seemed tired and confused, losing his train of thought.

Joe Biden ultimately stepped aside with the now 60 year old Kamala Harris replacing him as the Democratic nominee. Now with Biden no longer in the race, we have Kamala Harris facing the oldest major party presidential nominee in American history. That's Donald Trump, who has been experiencing very obvious cognitive decline, something that we've been following on the show for years, but has really only been recently receiving the attention it deserves from the corporate news media. The reality is that some level of cognitive decline is quite common in people into their

70s and 80s. So it's not a surprise that we would witness it in political candidates who happen to be that old. However, it's often what is called subclinical, often not materially relevant to one's ability to make decisions or to reason appropriately. But much of this is just conjecture. It's our instinct when we watch or listen to Trump and something a little more quantitative would be nice. And that's what we now have. Researchers have quantified the cognitive performances of Biden, Harris and Trump through an analysis of what they've said

during debates over the last few years. This is very interesting. Researchers affiliated with the University of Southern California did a study on cognitive performance and linguistic analysis. And what they did is use an advanced language model named Claude Opus 3.5 to identify and analyze the linguistic markers of the different candidates. Now, I'll say a little more later about non-linguistic analyses about cognitive decline. But one very powerful tool in evaluating cognitive decline is how people speak and more importantly, how their speech has changed over time. What the researchers did is identify seven key linguistic markers that can potentially signal cognitive decline. And these

include lexical diversity, which just means how varied are the words that you use when you speak syntactic complexity, meaning how sophisticated is your sentence structure, mean sentence sentence length. That just means on average, how many words are in your sentences? And they looked at the use of complex, clausal structures. That means sentences that have multiple clauses or ideas in them. And the study looked at the frequency of semantically imprecise lexemes or words that lack clear meaning. You use a word and it's not really clear what you mean by it, as well as the repetition of lexical items or phrases, which when you repeat the same thing over and over again, when you speak

and when you increasingly do that over time, it suggests that you're struggling to express your thoughts and kind of filling it with some small number of words you're comfortable with. And finally, the study looked at the prevalence of grammatical aberrations or errors in grammar as well. So this was evaluated over time. And the idea was, let's get some insight over the cognitive functioning, not at one point in time, but as something that changes ebbs and flows over time. The researchers did this by using transcripts of presidential and vice presidential debates

over the last five years. What was the reason to do this? Well, if you're looking at teleprompter speeches, you're not getting a natural reflection of how one speaks, the vocabulary they use, et cetera, because they're just reading a prepared speech. It wouldn't really give us information. So the idea here was let's look at the recent Trump Biden debate and their 2020 debates. Let's look at the Harris Trump debate.

Let's look at pivotal debates from previous election cycles. And with this unscripted vocabulary and linguistic analysis, we can get a sense of what is the natural pattern and the way that speech has changed over time. Once the transcripts were collected, the analysis began to try to reduce bias. The transcripts were anonymized. So it wasn't, Hey, analyze this Trump transcript. The idea was let's do an objective evaluation by anonymizing the transcripts. The candidates performances were analyzed using this language model. Each candidate was scored on the linguistic markers that I mentioned. Scores went from one

to a hundred and this was done multiple times to ensure reliability. The results were averaged to try to minimize outliers and discrepancies. And interestingly, the study found only minor score differences between runs. So there was like a consistent reproducibility here. So let's now get to the revelations. Revelation number one is that it is true that Joe Biden, now 81 years old, showed notable decline in performance from 2012 to 2020 with a decrease in 6.5% per year. I'm sorry, 6.5% total about 0.8% per year in linguistic performance.

This was visible to the naked eye, right? I've said many times, watch Biden's debate against Paul Ryan back in 2012, watch Biden's debates against Trump in 2020 and watch Biden's debate against Trump in 2024 notable and the analysis of the language found the same thing. Now, even more concerning, Biden's rate of decline appeared to accelerate from 2020 to 2024 with a decrease of 22% about 6% per year during that period. So what this suggests is that there was something to the concerns about Biden and cognition and that it arguably made a lot of sense to replace Biden with someone younger at the

top of the ticket. So that's Biden. Let's now go to Trump. Trump who remains in the race at age 78, the oldest major party nominee for president in the history of the United sheesh, Trump displayed steady decline from 2016 until 2024. Okay. His performance declined 6% from 16 to 20. That's about 1.4% per year, more than Biden. And from 2020 to 2024, about 2.2% per year. So there's been an acceleration in Trump's decline, including just over the last four months where Trump's

score dropped 10 percent in just a few months. This is massive. And again, what's fascinating about this is that even though most of us aren't linguists, cunning or otherwise amateur, right, cunning linguist, amateur linguist, none of most of us are not linguists. Just by listening to Trump, we notice, especially lately, that something is wrong. And the linguistic analysis done with this language model found that indeed Trump has been declining and he's been declining more acutely, precipitously over the last several

months. The analysis also found that Trump's linguistic efficacy was lower to begin with, meaning Trump started off in a worse state, whereas Biden used to have a score of nearly 600. Trump started around 400. So Trump at some core level has a diminished linguistic ability. And this is why we we end up saying that he speaks at a fourth grade level during speeches. So Trump's decline more rapid than Biden's ending at a lower point and starting at a more diminished value. Now let's be thorough and we'll also talk about Kamala Harris. Kamala Harris is 60 years old.

She's notably younger than the other two. And maybe not surprisingly, Harris had the most stability among the three candidates and the least decline. Kamala Harris showed such minor decline that it could actually just be sort of statistical noise. Harris's linguistic scoring declined zero point four percent per year since 2020. And that could be reflective more of even cultural expectations of how candidates speak rather than any material decline. And I'll tell you what I mean by that. Over the last four years, political discourse has coarsened and the standards and expectations

of how our elected officials will speak has degraded. And so when you see such a small decline in Harris, it might just reflect that culturally we now expect candidates to talk a certain way. It's such a small amount. So bottom line, we can show you the trend lines now. And as you can see, Kamala Harris has effectively no change. Biden and Trump have both experienced notable declines in linguistic abilities. Now, let me give you the caveats and the limits of this analysis. These figures are valuable insights, but we should approach them with some caution because

the scores that we get from this linguistic analysis, number one, our estimates, they stem from large language model assessments, which have limitations in precision. There's no doubt about it. This study focused on communication ability. That's only one aspect of cognitive decline. Cognitive decline can also manifest in other ways. Memory function, executive control, the speed of information processing. We, those would be other analyses. Anecdotally, we see Trump having major issues with memory and you could imagine a situation where someone's

communication abilities and verbal abilities might decline, but it might not reflect a decline cognitively. It often does, but it wouldn't necessarily. You could have some kind of issue which affects speech, but not cognition. The criticisms that Joe Biden received for his 2024 debate performance went beyond speaking ability. They had to do with energy. They had to do with that constant coughing into his hand, sounding tired, the gaze that he sometimes had. So there are there's no doubt that there are other things here. But one aspect of this is very clear. If you are someone who didn't want to vote for Biden because you were concerned about his age and you were concerned about his cognitive ability, you should be equally, if not more

concerned about Donald Trump's cognitive ability. And there is now only one candidate in the race who has proven herself to be cognitively up to the task at hand. Her name is Kamala Harris. So now I'm ready. Tell me all the reasons why the analysis is right when it comes to Biden. But wrong with Trump. I'm ready for the magats and the mega Potamans and the Magadonians to explain it all to me. Read the analysis.

We're linking to the study. Look through it and then be specific. You know, this reminds me I'm anticipating that this will be like when I did my segment about how the stock market does better under Democrats. Inflation's lower, job creation higher, GDP growth higher. And people just write to me and they go, you must be blind to think that that's the case. It's not really an argument. Maybe try presenting some data. Give me some empirical analysis of what I'm saying. So I'm ready for the non-empirical reactions to what I'm telling you here today. Maybe this impacts your vote. Maybe it doesn't.

But there is no doubt that we now have a significant cognitive difference between Trump and Kamala Harris. is a delicious nighttime hot cocoa drink with melatonin clinically proven to help you fall asleep faster and stay asleep longer. Melatonin can also help correct circadian rhythm disturbances, get your sleep schedule back on track, for example, in jet lag situations. Dream comes in great tasting flavors like mint chocolate chip, chocolate, peanut butter, sea salt caramel. I love the cinnamon cocoa version. No sugar added, sweetened with monk fruit, just 15 calories per serving. Dream hot cocoa is it's just a nice way to wind down before bed. It's hot and flavorful.

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that. Go to Lumen dot M E slash Pacman to get 15% off your Lumen. The link is in the description. The constitution of the United States, what is it? How does it work? When do we ignore it? Well, we know one time we ignore it according to Donald Trump is if he believes it needs to be suspended for the good of the country as he determines. He says that's okay. Apparently another time that the constitution can be suspended is when J.D. Vance wants

to make some kind of political point. J.D. Vance asked by a reporter during an event, an event in Wausau, Wisconsin, Wausau, Wausau. Oh, boy. He was asked, Trump wants to criminalize flag burning. What do you think about that? JD does not exactly exhibit a profile in courage here defending the constitution. He says, well, there is something important about protecting the flag. Torian small with CBS news again.

Uh, last night, obviously speaker Johnson was there at Madison square garden. Uh, former president Trump looked at him and said two policy proposals, one on addressing immigration with mass deportation through the Alien Enemies Act. The other one was a proposal to ban flag burning. Your response to that, especially considering the latter would be a breach of free speech, which you've talked about before. Well, I think that we can all recognize that there are important national symbols that are worth protecting. And I think the American flag is worth protecting. Look, the censorship that I'm worried about is not somebody not being able to burn a flag at a protest rally, which, by the way, can sometimes be dangerous. It's not just burning a flag at an American protest rally.

The censorship that I really worry about is when the federal government or when big technology companies tell the people in this hangar that they're not allowed to speak their mind according to their wishes. That is so JD is sort of getting off track. He says, well, we do need to protect national symbols like the flag with the criminalization criminalization that Donald Trump has proposed. But what I'm really worried about is mostly the stuff that left wingers do. The crowd cheered it. The crowd cheered criminalizing flag burning. This is one of those crystal clear situations. Flag burning in the United States is protected under the first amendment as a form of free

speech period. And there is not much else to say. This was reinforced in the landmark Supreme Court case, Texas v. Johnson in 1989. That's it. Now, over the years, we've seen these proposals to amend the Constitution to ban flag desecration. They haven't been successful. Now, this is one of those things where my personal opinion and what is the law and what does the Constitution say might be two different things. I don't burn flags personally. I find people who burn flags rarely are helping make whatever point they're trying to make by burning flags. It's not that I go, oh, I'm offended. I'm offended

about the flag burn. I'm not, I'm not offended. I'm just kind of like, okay, I don't, I don't think it's a very interesting form of protest. That's my personal opinion. I wouldn't do it, but that doesn't matter. Flag burning in the United States is protected under the first amendment as a form of free speech. The Supreme court has affirmed this either JP Mandel cares about the constitution and the rule of law or he doesn't. And when he plays these games where he doesn't really answer the question, but he's certainly

not contradicting Trump. Well, I believe that there are certain symbols in this country that are worth protecting. Okay. symbols in this country that are worth protecting. Okay, so protect the flag you hang at your house, but you don't flush the constitution and the decisions made by previous Supreme Court justices down the toilet. So not exactly coming through here as the champion of free speech, defender of the rule of law and upholder of the constitution that he claims himself to be probably not coming as a huge surprise to most of the people in the audience. Carrie Lake is about to lose her race for Senate in Arizona, and she still is unwilling

to acknowledge that she lost her race for the governor in 2022. This is really good stuff. I want some of this injected directly into my veins. Carrie Lake with her extreme, extreme blur filter. Now, in addition to a blur filter during interviews, Carrie Lake, I don't know what's going on. Why is her face yellow and her neck red? We just don't know. It's the strangest thing what she does with her camera. But what really disturbs me is not

what she's doing with her Goshen blur. It's what she's saying, because she was asked by Caitlin Collins on CNN really say it's not a gotcha. Did you lose the 2020 election? And she says, oh, I'm going to look forward, not backwards. Speaker 4 You about the turnout in 2022. Did you lose the 2022 election for governor? Why are we looking backward? I'm looking forward. Because I already know what you're going to see that race.

Speaker 1 Caitlin, I'm looking forward to what is coming up. I'm looking forward to November 5th and this huge election. And the people of our state are caring about what's coming up, what's going forward. How are we going to make sure we secure the border? What can we as Republicans do to make sure we bring back that thriving economy where we had record low? Notice that the question was, did you lose in 2022? She's talking about the border. Unemployment. So you're not going to say whether or not you lost the 2022 race. Is that what I'm hearing? You know what, Caitlin? You've seen thousands of interviews from me. I've answered that a million times. She hasn't looking. You've actually yet to answer the

question directly on whether you believe that you did lose the election. Well, I want to make sure our elections are run properly and I'm still in litigation, so I don't want to speak to that. But I do want to look forward. Any day, Carrie Lake is going to be crowned the rightful governor of Arizona. We're all waiting for it. You know, I often say to myself, why can't she just give an answer and end the speculation and end the end getting asked every time she could go, you know, Caitlin, I did lose. And in part because I lost, I'm in position today to become

the next senator from Arizona. I wish that I had won that race. But what I could not have known at the time was that I would ever an opportunity to represent Arizona's in a different way. And that's in Washington, D.C., in the U.S. Senate. And so I'm focused on. Right. You get. But what's the answer?

Why can't she do it? Because as soon as they just go, I just did lose. If Trump just goes, I just lost. I'm going to try to win this time, but I just lost. They immediately undermine a ruse, a scam that they've run on their supporters for years now, raising money and hopes by saying, I'm the rightful winner and here's what I'm going to do to try to get that back. You break the cult when the cult leader goes, I actually was not really telling you the

truth. This was not a good interview for Carrie Lake. It continued to your city, to my city, all across this country. Do you think people care if you're willing to accept the results of an election that was free and fair and that you filed multiple lawsuits that have not gone anywhere? And I should note a defamation lawsuit that was filed against you. You did not contest it from a top Arizona election official that says you lied about him repeatedly. Well, I think what you meant to ask is, is, Carrie, things are really tough right now. And I know that people that are watching ask with all due respect.

So Carrie Lake tells Caitlin Collins, what are the right questions to ask? Now, let's talk about the polling. There is good news here in Arizona polling. Former David Pakman show guest, current Democratic Congressman Ruben Gallego is winning every single poll, even in the right leaning Trafalgar Group poll. He's up for Marist poll. He's up eight. A bunch of other polls. He's up between four and nine. In all likelihood, Carrie Lake will be defeated once again.

She was asked by Caitlin Collins, what about the fact that you're losing in the polls? And Lake just goes, oh, no, I have my own polling and I'm winning all of it. Number five, we're seeing a huge turnout in voters here in Arizona, Democrats, independents. Can I ask you, in that race, when you look at the numbers in your state, Donald Trump is running ahead of Vice President Harris in that state. You're running behind Ruben Gallego by a few points, according to the numbers. We'll see if they bear out. Of course, it's polling. But why do you think that is? Why do you think there are supporters who say that voters that say they want to support Donald Trump, but also Ruben Gallego over you?

I don't really think those voters exist. I actually look at the good polling, our internal polling, which shows I'm ahead a little bit and this is a tied up race. So I'm actually looking forward to the election. I'm winning, Caitlin. It doesn't matter what every single poll says. You know, it's very obvious from the fact that she says she's winning now that she's getting set up to say I won this one, too. She should be in state. She should be governor and senator. She should be given both roles because both elections will have been stolen from her. And then finally, Carrie Lake trying to mirror Donald Trump in saying that it's a criminal dystopia in New York City. And Caitlin Collins is

like, I'm on the subway all the time. It's fine. I'm changing your position. So I question you on that because I was just Caitlin. I was just in New York City. I believe that's where you are broadcasting live from tonight. The streets aren't safe anymore. The subways aren't safe anymore. I care about I take this away all the time. It is safe, but I want to make sure the subway is fine.

I mean, listen, I've, I've said before, I do see people, you know, on 14th street down underneath, you'll sometimes see people ranting and raving. They sound kind of like Trump. It's like what Trump does at a rally. There are people underneath the subway stairs and sometimes you're like, that's a mental health problem. We have a problem here. But the subway is mostly fine and Carrie

Lake just crowbar. They, they love any opportunity to attack the major financial and tech centers of the country as just being absolutely terrible places because they're run by Democrats. And of course, Caitlin Collin goes, yeah, that's not really true. So Carrie Lake lost in 2022 will almost certainly lose in 2024 and will be the most robbed woman. She'll be more robbed than how she thinks she'd be robbed if she lived in New York City, which she actually wouldn't. She will actually become the most robbed political candidate in history, having had a governorship stolen and a Senate seat stolen. It's going to be November 6th is going to be a tough one for Carrie Lake.

My prediction on the bonus show today, ballot drop boxes have been set on fire or fire. As some of our friends from Buffalo say, they know who they are. Kamala Harris is seeing a surge with black male voters in the latest polls. Why? We have the answer. And it turns out Elon Musk worked illegally in the United States. Legal immigrants only. He was here, not authorized to work, worked illegally.

This means Melania Trump once worked illegally in the United States and Elon Musk worked illegally in the United States and Elon Musk worked illegally in the United States. Wow. Wow. All of those stories and more on today's bonus show. Sign up for membership at join pacman.com become a free subscriber to the YouTube channel, youtube.com slash the David Pakman show. And please do preorder my forthcoming book, the Echo Machine, at davidpakman.com slash echo.