The David Pakman Show - 12/25/23: Nikki Haley surges, Wolf Blitzer stunned by IDF admission (CLASSIC EPISODE FROM 11/1/23)
Episode Date: December 25, 2023CHRISTMAS DAY / CLASSIC EPISODE FROM NOVEMBER 1, 2023 -- On the Show: -- JL Collins, known as The Godfather of Financial Independence and author of three books including The Simple Path to Wealth, joi...ns David to discuss personal finance, and much more. Get his book: https://amzn.to/476pKRu -- CNN's Wolf Blitzer is visibly shocked that an IDF spokesperson admits that Israel bombed a Palestinian refugee camp in order to potentially kill one Hamas commander -- Antisemitism explodes, but many on the left aren't interested in hearing about it -- Ty Cobb, Donald Trump's former lawyer, predicts that Donald Trump will soon be jailed for violating one of the multiple gag orders placed on him -- A terrified failed former President Donald Trump says that is it now Republicans who will steal the Iowa caucuses from him in the 2024 Republican primary election -- 2024 Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley surges to 22% in her home state of South Carolina, still with less than half of the support that Donald Trump has -- Donald Trump absolutely explodes in the middle of the night on Truth Social, unleashing endless unhinged insanity -- The Eggman leaves a voicemail saying he is depressed by the news and requesting ten minutes of time be wasted talking about Daylight Saving Time in order to cheer him up -- On the Bonus Show: Hawley wants to reverse Citizens United, Kansas blocks 24-hour waiting period for women seeking abortions, Biden targetting more junk fees, and much more... 🔊 Babbel: Get 55% off your subscription at https://babbel.com/pakman -- Become a Supporter: http://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/thedavidpakmanshow -- Subscribe to Pakman Live: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanlive -- Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/davidpakmanshow -- Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave us a message at The David Pakman Show Voicemail Line (219)-2DAVIDP
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hey, this is David Pakman inviting you to enjoy a classic episode of The David Pakman
Show today.
We will return with new shows before you know it.
We start today with a story from Israel and Gaza.
We will then talk about anti-Semitism in the United States.
I know that there are many in my audience who believe that I am not emotional enough.
I'm not getting agitated enough when I talk about these stories.
If that's what you want, you're not going to be happy with these stories either. I know that there
are other shows where you can find emotional attacks or defenses or condemnations or outbursts
and screaming and this sort of thing. That's just not what we're doing here. I'm going to try to
present to you the stories of what is going on and what what is the legality and what are the implications of what has taken place?
And that is that's the way I do it. So I'm going to play a video clip for you in a moment of CNN's
Wolf Blitzer, shocked, visibly shocked that Israel is admitting that it bombed a refugee camp,
all with the goal of killing a Hamas commander, which I guess they killed,
although it's not even totally clear from looking at the video. There is a question as to what the
death toll is as a result of this bombing. I believe right now there have been a number of
initial estimates. The most recent and most
seemingly accurate ones seem to be centering around low hundreds, a hundred, something like
that in order to maybe kill this Hamas commander. There is so much to say about this. There is
outrage of all kinds. And let's first listen
to the conversation that Wolf Blitzer had with the IDF spokesperson. I want to ask you first
about this massive blast that we all just saw. We saw the video at the Jabalia refugee camp in Gaza.
Is there anything more you can first of all tell us about how this explosion happened?
I will. Thanks for having me.
So we'll be coming out in the next, hopefully, hour with more data,
but I can update you now that there was a very senior Hamas commander
in that area.
Sadly, he was hiding, again, as they do, within civilians,
and that's all I can say at this point.
We're looking into it, and we'll be coming out with more data
as we learn what happened there.
So can you confirm it was an Israeli attack
that destroyed a big chunk of that Jabalia refugee camp?
Yes, I can.
We were focused, again, on our target, a senior commander wolf,
and we'll be updating you with more data as the hour moves ahead.
But even if that Hamas commander was there amidst all those Palestinian refugees
who were in that Jabalia refugee camp,
Israel still went ahead and dropped a bomb there,
attempting to kill this Hamas commander,
knowing that a lot of innocent civilians, men, women, and children,
presumably would be killed. Is that what I'm hearing?
That's not what you're hearing, Wolf.
We, again, we're focused on this commander again, who
you'll get more data who this man was killed many, many Israelis. We're doing everything
we can. These are it's a very complicated battle space. There could be infrastructure
there. There could be tunnels there. Notice that there's a lot of goods here. And we're
still looking into and we'll give you more data as the hour moves ahead but you know that there are a lot of refugees a lot of innocent civilians
men women and children in that refugee camp as well right
this is the tragedy of war wolf i mean we as you know we've been saying for days
move south the villains are not involved with kamas please move south
just trying to get a little bit more information you knew there were civilians there you knew Move south. Civilians are not involved with Hamas. Please move south.
I'm just trying to get a little bit more information.
You knew there were civilians there.
You knew there were refugees, all sorts of refugees.
But you decided to still drop a bomb on that refugee camp attempting to kill the Hamas commander.
By the way, was he killed?
I can't confirm yet.
There will be more updated.
Yes, we know that he was killed. I can't confirm yet. There'll be more updated. Yes, we know that he was killed.
Speaker 1 I can't confirm that that will be updated.
Yes, we know that he was killed.
So and to correct what I said earlier, low hundreds in terms of injuries and 50 Palestinians
believed dead, maybe to kill this Hamas commander.
Now here's my view on this. Even if it is true that they got a Hamas
commander, even if it is true that these are the tragedies of war, this seems like a very
counterproductive military decision. And we'll get to the legality of it in a moment. Now,
we actually do have specific parameters about what is or is not allowed, and we don't have
to speculate.
Now, I support Israel taking out Hamas.
I don't think any other country would just say, let's do nothing about Hamas.
But doing it this way seems counter to both ethical and political responsibilities.
And I'll tell you what I mean
by that. When we evaluate the legality of let's assume that they're telling the truth, right?
There was a Hamas commander. And let's even assume that they got him, which the guy says we don't yet
know. But yes, we got him. And they killed 50 people and injured another 150 in so doing it.
One of the first principles under international
law of warfare. And I know that we can all look at this and say, David, international law of
warfare. Give me a break. What? There are rules to what there are. I mean, it's a crazy situation
we have, right? Homo sapiens on planet Earth. We have rules of what you're allowed to do when it
comes to war. Only if you care about the rules.
Is this even a conversation worth having? And we'll get to that as it applies to Hamas.
First principle is there must be distinction when strikes are carried out. Parties to a
conflict must distinguish between combatants and civilians, between a military objective
and a civilian object. And attacks have to be directed against combatants and military objectives.
OK, but David, the combatants are allegedly hiding at a camp exactly for this reason,
in order to attempt to dissuade such a bombing.
OK, then we get to the international law principle of proportionality. Even if a military objective
is identified among civilian objects and spaces, you were not allowed to make an attack if it is
expected to cause incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians, damage to civilian objects or a combination of those
things.
And in that case, in that case, it would not be allowed.
Certainly in this case, you would expect that.
And indeed, the ratio at best is 50 to one in terms of deaths and 150 to one in terms
of injuries to the one death you're actually trying to
cause.
And then the third principle in figuring out would something like this even be legal under
an international law is necessity.
Military actions must be intended to achieve a legitimate military purpose and to secure
a definite military advantage. We must ask the question, does killing 50 civilians and
injuring 150 in order to achieve the death of one Hamas commander, does that meet the necessity
test? What would really in the grand scheme of things, can we argue that it was necessary to
get this one commander to secure an advantage
such that 50 civilian deaths and 150 civilian injuries are warranted? It's really hard to make
that case. Now, what could change that? Well, if there were a bunch of terrorists at a camp
and you knew they were about to launch some kind of missile attack from that camp,
posing an imminent threat to a
thousand people in a nearby populated area in Israel.
Maybe you could make the case under international law that there are legal grounds for such
an operation.
It would still have to be more precise than this was.
So it seems to me that this probably violates international law. Now, I'm ready to get the feedback that Hamas
doesn't care about international law. So why should Israel? That's a legitimate question,
right? Hamas isn't accountable in any way. Everything Hamas did on October 7th violates
international law, right? Violating the tunnels by the tunnels are illegal by international law.
Violating the sovereignty of the border, as they did on October 7th, is illegal by international
law. Deliberately targeting civilians, women, children, babies. It's all illegal by international
law. And the reality is Hamas doesn't care about international law. Nobody is holding Hamas
accountable based on international law. And it's not even a conversation.
International law is not a deterrent deterrent or even a factor.
If you go to Hamas and say, hey, here's five things you did.
They violate international law.
They go, hey, we're resisting.
We're resisting the Zionists.
And our charter says kill the Jews.
So we can understand that there is a double standard there while also saying, hey, if
you evaluate such a strike,
it's very difficult to make the argument that it was legal based on what we know.
Now, even if you believe that this strike was legal by international law
and you somehow believe that it was a good tactical decision,
it's still a terrible decision by PR standards, because as we saw in the immediate aftermath
of October 7, sympathy for the need for Israel to defend itself against terrorist attacks
from Hamas was as high as it had been in a very, very, very long time.
And even if you can make the justification for such a strike on some kind of technical grounds,
which I don't believe that you can make based on what I've seen, I still don't see how this
helps have anyone on the side of what Israel is trying to do.
So that's where I am on this.
I'm not screaming at you about it.
I'm not.
I know that I'm talking about this in a very precise way. And that's my deliberate effort. And I'm
open to feedback on what we saw if it's tailored to the facts rather than to emotion. And by the
way, if there is even any idea of attacking me for being Jewish as a reason to ignore everything I
say, then this set next segment
is probably something that you should listen to. All right, listen, I am going to talk now
potentially against my better judgment about the record explosion of anti-Semitism in the U.S.
and around the world. And I'm going to admit something to you. I've been delaying doing
this segment because I'm sort of scared to do this segment. And here's what I
mean about that. This is not a segment about Israel. This is a segment about anti-Semitism
rising globally where Jews are actually being targeted. This is a segment that has nothing to do
with the justification or lack thereof for any kind of strike by the Israeli government. This has nothing to do with
that. And in fact, the actions of the Israeli government, a government that many people,
Jews, Jews and non-Jews disagree with, is not a valid reason for anti-Semitism around the world
any more than it would be legitimate to target random Muslims in Michigan because of
Hamas's action. Both are wrong. OK, I would normally talk in a bunch of detail about Joe
Biden's new plan to combat anti-Semitism, what we're seeing on campuses, Jewish leaders in the
United States being genuinely freaked out. My Jewish friends coming to me,
not quite with tears in their eyes, but close to say I am genuinely scared about the rise of
anti-Semitism that we are seeing. But I know that unfortunately, many on the right and some on the
left will react by saying the anti-Semitism is valid. The anti-Semitism is logical because of what Jews are doing in Gaza or whatever
the case may be. And that is an insane conflation and an extraordinarily dangerous bit of rhetoric.
But let me tell you some of what's been going on. Anti-Semitic threats at Cornell University. A student there, Patrick Dye, has been arrested
for making threats to specific Jewish students on campus. Posters of Jews who are being held
hostage by Hamas are getting ripped down in New York City and elsewhere, leading to groups of people defending the posters and scuffles
and fights are breaking out.
A mob in the Russian Republic of Dagestan stormed runways at an airport, bloodthirstly
seeking out Jewish passengers.
If you can imagine that colleges have been bracing for anti-Semitism and violence. And it is happening.
We have reports that open hatred of Jews is surging globally. Anti-Semitic graffiti in Germany,
in Paris, Jewish homes marked with stars of David, Jewish students at Columbia University,
terrified, demanding action about rising anti-Semitism
targeted specifically at them. The FBI says that anti-Semitism is at historic levels.
The scariest part of all of this is that some Jews are being told you're just wrong about what
counts as anti-Semitism. And that's a really scary part of this.
Contrast this.
You know, we are rightly told when black folks tell us what's racist, we should listen to
them because they're telling this to us based on their experience.
When LGBT folks tell us what is homophobic or transphobic or whatever the case may be,
we say, hey, we should listen to them
because they're the ones experiencing it. And shockingly often when Jewish folks say, hey,
this this is anti-Semitic, we have non-Jews who say, you don't know what anti-Semitic is.
Let me tell you what anti-Semitic is. And you're wrong. This isn't anti-Semitic. That's not
anti-Semitic. A horrifying double standard being applied in terms of who is allowed to tell us who is allowed to tell us whether they
are being targeted by anti-Semitism or racism or homophobia. So listen, I'm not going to spend a
bunch more time on this because quite frankly, I know that this this story will not be interesting
to a lot of my audience and it will trigger a lot of people into just writing me
absolutely horrible things. So this is happening. Anti-Semitism at record levels. It is not
legitimate to target random Jews at Columbia University because you don't like what the
Likud party in Israel is doing in Gaza. It's just not legitimate. And maybe we'll leave it there.
And it's horrifying and it's scary.
And we'll take a break and come back and talk about some other things. Don't forget to subscribe to the show. says Trump is likely to spend a weekend or an evening in jail soon for violating gag
orders. This is now getting very serious and it is not only Trump's former lawyer who is saying
this. Let's take a look at this. As you know, Donald Trump continues to attack judges, prosecutors,
witnesses, all sorts of different people involved directly and indirectly with his various criminal
and civil trials. Here is Ty Cobb speaking last night to Aaron Burnett, and he says that he believes Trump
is going to be sent to jail at some point for these violations.
Take a listen to this.
Well, the New York judge fined him ten thousand dollars.
That's in a civil case.
You know, that's not as consequential as Judge Chutkan's case.
I think Judge Chutkan, you know, prudently allowed Trump
to try to persuade her to extend the gag order she concluded, you know, on the basis of his
conduct this week not to do so. And I think she'll come in with a much heavier penalty.
And ultimately, I think he'll, you know, spend a night or a weekend in jail.
Wow. I think it's going to take that.
I think it will take that to, you know, to stop him.
Wow.
That'll be an incredible thing to actually see happen.
But you think that's where it goes?
I do now, whether Ty Cobb is or isn't correct, what is abundantly clear is that if Trump
ends up spending a night or a weekend in jail, I actually think it helps him with his supporters.
It will be a relatively minor thing in a sense, although I don't know that Trump is really
the type of guy equipped to do this.
But I'm guessing his accommodations will be far more cushy than for the average inmate.
Or I don't know.
I don't know that you're called an inmate if you're just in jail.
But regardless,
I do think it actually will help Trump with his most ardent supporters who will believe that he is being targeted, that it's all unfair, that because of his speech, they are going after him.
Now, it is not only Ty Cobb who believes that this is a possibility. Andrew Weissman, another
attorney, said any normal person would be trying to make sure
that they wouldn't in any way be responsible for harming another person.
And this is quite the contrary.
When you have the government correctly saying these words, he knows darn well are going
to lead to these consequences, making the argument that Trump knows that the things
he is saying potentially are going to harm
other people.
Now, where am I on this now?
I'm still sort of in the I believe I'll believe it when I'll see it perspective.
He should be in jail now.
And if we want to ask the question, once Trump does something worthy of being jailed, will
anyone have the audacity to jail him?
We really can't say yes,
because Trump has already done that. Any criminal defendant who is not, quite frankly, a former
president or certainly a rich elite who did the things Trump has done would be in jail right now
for the regular and continued barrage of attacks against the courts, court personnel, prosecutors,
witnesses and others. So we already know Trump's getting
special treatment. There is a two tier justice system. I won't do my whole rant about that.
But the two tier justice system is not Democrats and Republicans. It's everybody else. And then
rich, wealthy elites like Trump, other defendants probably would have had their passports seized
and likely would have been at least at this point have spent a night in jail for
violating these gag orders and continuing to attack in people involved with the cases. So it remains
to be seen. I am not yet ready to say that it is likely that Trump is going to be jailed. He should
be. That would be the right thing per the law. But I am not convinced that it's going to happen.
I do want to look at a couple of other videos put out by a visibly terrified Donald Trump,
who is now saying, forget about Democrats stealing the election from him.
It is Republicans in Iowa who plan to steal the caucuses from him.
This is now I mean, listen.
It was bad enough that Trump supporters fell for the Democrats are going to steal it from
me and that Trump has kept that lie going for years.
That's bad enough.
But doesn't it actually become less believable when then it's, oh, even though Democrats
are the ones that supposedly commit the voter fraud, it is also now non Trump Republicans
who are going to be stealing elections from Donald Trump.
It's all getting very difficult to believe as if it wasn't already.
And here is Trump saying that the other Republicans, the Republicans running against him in the
primary, have a plan to steal the Iowa caucuses from Trump.
How you do that, I don't know.
But the principle is, unless Trump wins, it's rigged.
Our wonderful Trump caucus captains, thank you for all that you're doing. We really appreciate
it. The most important thing you can do for our campaign is to lock in your 10 for Trump and turn
them out for caucuses, teach them how to caucus, take them in your car on caucus night. If you have
to do whatever is necessary, we
got to get them in. We got to make America great again. So do whatever it takes. If you
do, we will win and win big. And that's what you have to do. You know, the other side does
cheat and we're not going to let that happen. We cannot let that happen. But that's what
we need from you. Get in your car, get a lot of people and get down caucus.
Now the other side in the Iowa caucuses is all Republicans, including Republicans who
at different points endorsed or supported Donald Trump.
Those are the people that Trump now wants you to believe are planning to steal the Iowa
caucuses from him.
If he didn't win, then it was rigged. That is the story. That
is the principle. That is the value that is at play here. Now, Donald Trump, as you know, has
started doing these vlogs of sorts where he screams at the camera, accountable GOP and a number of
other accounts track these very closely. And I'm going to play a couple of others for you because they're quite stunning. Donald Trump is also claiming that he is finally going to make the evidence,
I guess, of the election having been stolen. He's going to make the evidence available
during his criminal trials. He's had years to do it. Courts have looked at the so-called
evidence, have found it without merit. But finally, now that Trump has been criminally charged
in the trials, he's going to present the evidence. The rigging dogs, they are rigging dogs,
the horrible cheaters and liars. Massive information and 100 percent evidence will be
made available during the corrupt trials started by our political opponent. Think of it. I got indicted by my political opponent.
My political opponent indicted me because I challenged the election.
Right. Which is, of course, not what happened. I did everything right and they indicted me.
Yeah. Trump is allowed to say whatever he wants about the election. That's not what he's been
charged with. Do you think that the Trump supporters really believe at this stage of the game? Are they so gullible? Maybe the answer is yes.
Are they so gullible that they believe that once Trump's criminal trials finally get going
in 2024, nearly four years after his election loss, he's finally going to be, excuse me, presenting the evidence.
Do Trump supporters really believe that? If you do, please call into my show when we take calls
on the Friday show. I really want to talk to you. Trump also complaining that his court cases this
we knew this would happen. Trump saying his trials shouldn't be allowed to start
until after the election.
I'll say more about this in a moment.
These highly political Biden lawsuits and indictments shouldn't be allowed to start
until after the election is over.
Who would ever think a thing like this would be allowed to start?
We actually have one judge that wants the lawsuit to start the day before Super Tuesday. These are corrupt people.
Our founding fathers are looking down at Biden with scorn right now. They're looking down on
Biden and this administration with disbelief. Remember, there's still no evidence Biden has
anything to do with this. We're going to make America great again. We're going to put America first. We're going to have
a great country. It's going to be called the United States of America. Thank you very much.
God bless the United Chase. Listen, it's always like this whole thing of I'm now running.
So the trials can't start. If Trump successfully delayed the trials
until he was no longer a candidate, imagine that he won. Then he would say, well, now the trials
have to be delayed because I'm president elect. And then the trials have to be delayed because
I'm president, especially with an election every two years of some kind, you're always either running
in elected office or preparing to run for something if you're involved in American politics.
So this is an argument that is falling very, very flat.
And then lastly, Trump also continuing attacks on media.
Even the Rupert Murdoch News Corp owned New York Post is now bad, according to Trump,
because they are they are now not unflinchingly loyal to him, I guess.
Since the New York Post went bad on Trump and they had their numbers have fallen tremendously.
Right.
People aren't buying it.
They don't want to read that.
The New York Post has treated me great for almost a lifetime. And now, for whatever reason, and I guess it's radical left or the rhino stuff, they have gone really bad. And it's ridiculous. But the numbers are down. Their numbers of readers and everything else has gone down tremendously. Right. People are tired of hearing fake news. The New York Post used to be so good,
but not anymore. We have to get it back before it's too late, because frankly, if they don't
change, there will be no more New York Post. And that would be sad. There you go. Now, I know it's
never clear whether Trump says there would be no more New York Post because it will just naturally
go out of business or there will be no more New York Post because Trump is going to do something to end the New York Post.
But we know Trump is hostile to any media that is not unflinchingly loyal to him.
So a number of unhinged vlogs for from Trump, but a little bit of a preview of some of the
arguments that he is soon to be making.
He will try to get trials delayed on the basis that he is an active political candidate,
that it will interfere with his candidacy.
He is preparing to say that if any primary or caucus doesn't go well, it is now not Democrats,
but Republicans rhinos that stole it from him.
He's telling us what he's going to do.
We should listen to him.
I don't know if Republicans are prepared for it.
If you value what we do at The David Pakman Show, remember to support us on Patreon. prepared for it. Check it out at Patreon dot com slash David Pakman show. Today, we're going to be speaking with J.L. Collins, who's been called by some the godfather
of financial independence.
He's the author of three books, including The Simple Path to Wealth, which is on my
list of personal finance recommendations, by the way, which you can find at David Pakman
dot com slash finance.
J.L., it's really great to have you on.
I appreciate it. David, it's an great to have you on. I appreciate it.
David, it's an honor to be here.
Thanks so much for the invitation.
So listen, one of the things I've talked to my audience about is I believe one of the
greatest tricks that has been perpetrated by the entire financial services industry
is making people think that this is a far more complicated topic than it actually
is so that they go and maybe pay too much for a financial advisor. Now, that's oversimplified.
There's all sorts of different advisors and advice, different situations. Without question,
there's a lot more detail to it. But is it generally the case that much of what is
sold to people is sold with the understanding that a lot of this stuff is just too difficult
for you to handle on your own? Absolutely. I think you're spot on. In fact, the reason that
this stuff is made so complicated is precisely to drive people into the arms of those who are
selling it, because that's where the real money in the financial industry is made, is through
commissions and high fees going on. I liken it to imagine if you had a banquet table filled with
every kind of exotic delicacy you could imagine, some of them extraordinarily complex to make,
right? You could put your arm on that table and sweep all of that
except a tiny corner onto the floor.
And that tiny corner would represent the simple foods
that are actually healthy and good for you.
In the financial world, that's low-cost, broad-based index funds,
which is what I talk about.
Everything else, nobody really needs.
It benefits mostly the people who sell it.
What about those who say, listen, we've all heard about, you know, invest in index funds
and chill and all of these other things.
But that doesn't account for growing unrealized gains, which will have a taxable implication
at the time that you start needing that money or, you know, you'll always get the ifs, ands
and buts where people say, yeah, sure, OK, what JL says and what some others say is fine,
but it doesn't account for this particular tax consideration or inflation or what. What do you say to those counter arguments to the
extent that they are counter arguments? So, first of all, you're kind of talking about two different
subjects then. Right. And the inflation thing you mentioned at the end, I throw into investing and
that's well covered in with your broad based low cost index funds. But yes, the government has made
investing enormously complex under the guise of
helping us. And I suppose to a certain extent it does. But with IRAs and 401ks and these kinds of
tax advantaged programs that are out there, which people should take advantage of. But that does
make the decision making more complex. The investments you put in those plans, again, should be broad-based,
low-cost index funds. But how you execute those plans, when it's best to withdraw from them,
those kinds of strategies, strategies around dealing with capital gains, for instance,
in your taxable account, or capital gains distributions and dividends and those the taxable implications of those.
Yeah, those are all tax related kinds of issues.
And for those things, a tax adviser is probably a very useful person to have on your team.
What do you think is the area when it comes to personal finance that's most impactful
to the bottom line of one's personal financial situation,
but most frequently overlooked.
And it can really be anything.
Certainly the fees one is paying for the instruments they're using could be a possibility.
The impact of interest payments on debt that people maybe are not conceptualizing correctly
or asset allocation that hasn't been appropriately
thought through monthly budget. I mean, really, of all the different things that one can consider,
what do you believe is impactful and does not get the attention it probably deserves?
So all the things you mentioned are important and impactful. But the single biggest one I would
point out is people need to stop tinkering with their
investments.
One of the beauties of the simple path to wealth that I lay out is you don't need to
understand finance in any great depth.
There are a few key things you need to understand.
You need to understand where to invest, which we've already talked about it.
Then you set that up on autopilot.
So you're investing automatically. You don't have
to think about it and you leave it alone. You know, I got a comment recently from a reader
who was saying, oh, the simple path to wealth was written in 2016. Is it still valid? Does it still
work? Simple path to wealth is a plan that spans decades. When I invest in VTSAX, which is Vanguard's total stock market index fund, great example of the kind of fund I'm talking about, my holding period is forever.
Literally, the only time I'm ever going to sell it is to withdraw a little bit of money to live on when the time comes to live on the portfolio.
There are folks.
Oh, sorry.
Oh, yeah.
Go ahead.
No, I was just going to say, so the single biggest thing is don't tinker.
And this has to do, certainly, it sounds like with asset allocation, which every time there
is a big market downturn, for example, people often start to wonder,
is this actually the right asset allocation for me? I mean, one great example was in March at
the start of covid, where it was unclear whether that precipitous decline was going to persist for
a long time. It turns out it didn't. But nobody knew that at the time. A lot of people started
writing to me saying, yeah, OK, fine, David,
just keep buying and holding. But what now? What now? And my view is if you aren't able to handle
the downturn, maybe you were overexposed to the stock market to begin with, and it wasn't the
appropriate asset allocation from the get go. Maybe you should have had more money in bonds or cash to begin with rather than
reacting to market events. Is that a concern that people's asset allocation applies only when things
are steady? But then all of a sudden, when there is some kind of calamity, you say maybe this
wasn't the right allocation for me all along. Yeah, I absolutely agree with you. And I say to people, if you are going to panic and sell when the market drops, you don't
want to follow my advice.
My advice will leave you bleeding at the side of the road.
It is essential that you stay the course if you're going to walk the simple path to wealth.
Because what people need to understand is that market corrections, bear markets, even
market crashes are all normal.
They're a natural part of the process.
Dangerous, scary, but they never last forever.
They always pass.
And if you panic and run out in them, that's when you're going to get in trouble.
So, absolutely, the time to decide whether you are comfortable with your asset allocation is times like now when things are good. And then think through how will you feel about this if you
wake up tomorrow and the market's down 20% or 30 or 40%. And you need to think that through
before it happens, because when it happens, the rest of the world is going to be in a panic mode.
Everybody's going to be screaming, sell, sell, sell.
It's the worst thing you can do.
So resolve in your mind how you're going to handle it.
And if you're following my path, the resolution you're going to make is you are going to do
nothing.
As Jack Bogle once famously said in a market crash, don't just do something. Stand there. What about when it comes to alternative assets
that might include, you know, 15 years ago, it was all about precious metals and so many
companies selling gold online, gold and silver in the last five years. It's been Bitcoin or other
sorts of cryptocurrencies. People who say, well, maybe actual direct real estate investments or
maybe more indirectly through a real estate investment trust, et cetera. What what role
should those asset types have in a simple approach, the likes of which you write about?
So you kind of put your finger on it in the sense when you first started and you said 15 years ago and the
implication of a comment like that is these things tend to be fads right you don't hear about gold
and silver so much anymore who knows in 10 15 years if we'll be hearing about bitcoin or not
i am not a fan in my world those things are speculations when you buy gold or silver or you
buy bitcoin for that matter, you are hoping that
at some point in the future, someone will pay more for it than you did. Now, you might be right,
in which case you'll make money, but that's the very definition of speculating. I'm not a
speculator. I'm an investor. And the reason that I like stocks and I like to hold them in index funds
is when I hold VTSAX, I own a piece of every publicly
traded company in the United States of America. And every one of those companies is working hard
to make me richer. That's the kind of economic activity I want behind my investments. I'm not
a speculator. And I know couldn't one argue to play devil's advocate that you're speculating,
but you're just speculating more broadly on the entire economy of the United States or or even of
the world if they are American companies that do business globally?
Isn't it a spec?
It's a it's a maybe a less risky speculation.
Well, you're right.
I mean, that's exactly the way to look at it.
It is a speculation first on the United States because that's a U.S.-based fund, but by extension, the world, because as you mentioned, the biggest holdings in that fund are international companies.
But that is a much broader speculation than a specific asset class like Bitcoin or gold, silver. If my speculation doesn't work out, if the United States swirls down the sewer,
or the world in general does, well, then yes, my speculation is not going to pay off.
But we will have so much bigger problems at that point. Whereas if my speculation and some other
focused asset class doesn't work out, then that's an immediate financial consideration and problem
in an overall good environment. So, yeah, if you are someone who believes that Armageddon is coming,
you also don't want to follow my simple path. You probably want to be stocking up on guns and ammo.
Let's talk a little bit about people who maybe it's not that they don't want to follow your your simple approach, but feel as though they can't. And what I mean by that is
there is a sort of counter movement to the financial independence movement that you and
others write about, which is this is all great if you have a certain type of job and a certain level
of income. But for a country where 40 percent of Americans can't even afford an unexpected four hundred
dollar expense without having to charge it or borrow from somebody they know and all
of the other things we could talk about, stagnant wages and all of these different things, even
getting started in this approach seems completely inconceivable.
All right. Index funds. I'm in
ten thousand dollars worth of credit card debt and I'm struggling to afford food, for example.
What about that broader systemic critique of your approach? What a perfect question for today,
because yesterday my new book Pathfinders launched and Pathfinders is a follow-up to the
Simple Path to Wealth and in it is a collection of a hundred stories from people all over the world
starting from all kinds of different economic situations who are following the Simple Path to
Wealth successfully and one of the things that I've said is I've read these stories
because that pushback that you described is one of my pet peeves is that you cannot read the
pathfinders and then say in all honesty that this can't be done regardless of where you're starting
from. I guarantee that virtually everybody listening to us, if they pick up Pathfinders, they're going to read stories about people who have started from a more challenging
position than they're currently facing. So you may read it and say, you know what, I don't want to
follow that path. But you'll never credibly be able to look in the mirror and say, I can't do it.
Because you'll be reading about people who do, who have done it
and are doing it and probably starting from tougher situations than you. Now, what is step
one in those situations, I guess, is the question many in the audience might be asking. Well, step
one, if if if you are carrying debt, you know, you you cannot become wealthy. You cannot become wealthy. You cannot become financially independent carrying
debt. And it's stunning to me how in our culture, the idea that we carry debt, that we buy things
on credit and pay it off on time is considered normal. To me, it's like being covered with
blood-sucking leeches. I mean, obviously, that's going to drain your life energy. So the first
thing you need to do is pull out your sharpest knife and start scraping the little bloodsuckers off. And of course you do that
by somehow arranging your life, and this is not easy, but other people with more challenging
circumstances have done it, so that you free up money to begin paying down that debt. And I say
start with the highest interest rate debt, pay that down because
that's the most powerful economic thing you can do. Now, here's the silver lining, because David,
once you pay that debt down, you've developed a wonderful habit. You've developed the habit of
not spending every dime that comes your way. And now you have all that money that was going into
debt repayment that you can now channel into your investments and begin building your wealth.
So if you're starting from a position of being in debt, it simply means that you have a little longer race to run than somebody starting at ground zero.
Or for that matter, a lot of people listening probably already have some investments and are further along that path.
So everybody starts at a slightly different starting point. The last thing I'll say about this is that, yes, it can
seem a long way from wherever you are to being fully financially independent, but that's kind
of like going to the gym for the first time, right? You're not going to be bench pressing 300 pounds
on the first day, but the first day you go to the gym, you walk away a little bit stronger.
And it's the same thing once you start paying down your debt and or investing.
The moment you start, you're a little bit stronger than you were the day before.
And that builds.
So it's not an on off switch.
It's a process.
It's a journey.
It's a path.
We've been speaking with JL Collins.
The new book is Pathfinders.
One of his previous books, The Simple Path to Wealth, is on our list of personal finance
recommendations at David Pakman dot com slash finance.
JL, really appreciate your time and insights today.
Hey, David, I appreciate being on the show and wonderful questions.
Thank you.
Follow us on social media.
Interact with the David Pakman Show community.
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Find us on Reddit, Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, Discord and Tick tock. Well, I have good news and I have bad news for twenty twenty four Republican
presidential candidate Nikki Haley, and they're both the same, which is that she's polling 22
percent in South Carolina. Why is it good news and why is it bad news? Well, I'll explain in a moment.
CNN reports Trump dominates South Carolina Republican primary with Nikki Haley, a clear
but distant second Nikki Haley, not in third or fourth place in South Carolina, primary with Nikki Haley, a clear but distant second
Nikki Haley, not in third or fourth place in South Carolina, as she is in many states,
but rather in second place.
The numbers here, 53 percent of likely Republican primary voters in South Carolina are behind
Trump and 22 percent are behind Nikki Haley, with 11 percent supporting Governor Ron DeSantis. Everybody else is far
lower. When you look at this SRS CNN poll, you do see that there are a bunch of people polling
literally zero Trump, 53 Haley, 22 DeSantis, 11 Scott, six. He's also from South Carolina.
Chris Christie to Pence has already ended his campaign and Vivek
Ramaswamy surging, supposedly polling only one percent. So what's the good news and the bad news
of this? Well, the good news for Nick, for Nikki Haley of polling 22 percent in South Carolina
is that this is way better than she's doing anywhere else. And it's a sign that maybe she can argue for staying
in this thing a little bit longer on the basis that her campaign isn't totally dead in every
state. That's the good news for Nikki Haley. The bad news for Nikki Haley is that this is her home
state where she was the governor for a while, and she still has less than half of the support that Donald Trump has.
South Carolina Republicans are so unmoved and unswayed by their own former governor running for the Republican primary nomination for president in their own state that they have
more than twice the number of people supporting Trump than the number supporting Nikki Haley.
Now, obviously, the trend line here is different than what we see nationally,
as you probably are familiar with by now. Trump is dominating with 59 percent of all the vote.
All of the other candidates are splitting up the remaining 41 percent. DeSantis at 12, Nikki Haley at eight, Vivek Ramaswamy at four. Everybody
else is below that. So when we zoom out, this seems to be the best anybody can hope to do
in your own home state. You might you might be able to get 20 or so percent. Now, I am curious if we look at the Florida numbers,
Florida Republican. Let's see how DeSantis is doing there. I actually was hoping to have these
and I forgot to pull it up. Florida Republican primary. As of right now. OK, so listen,
we actually don't have any numbers newer than July.
But back in July, Trump was only leading DeSantis by 10 in Florida, which is the Sanchez's home
state.
My bet would be that if we had newer polling from Florida than what we appear to have,
Trump has extended his lead as DeSantis has really, really failed.
So there still seems to be no path whatsoever
for anybody other than Trump to secure this nomination. Trump is under multiple criminal
indictments, doesn't seem to affect him. Trump is skipping the debates, doesn't seem to accept him.
Donald Trump to affect him. Donald Trump is attacking witnesses and getting gag orders
placed on him. If anything, it all seems to be helping Trump short of his death. It's very difficult to think of what might dethrone Trump from this commanding
lead. That all being said. He is massively triggered 24 hours a day. I want to briefly
talk about that next. Donald Trump exploded at 4 a.m., 4 a.m. He's up all night posting to Truth Social in these all caps
rants, attacking and continuing to violate the gag orders that have been placed on him.
We won't spend a ton of time on this, but I do want to show you this. Donald Trump post. This
is a middle of the night outburst. It's like it's just coming out of him. The posts are I'm talking about Trump posting, quote, radical left judge taking away my right
to free speech in order to help crooked Joe Biden and his third world election interference
scam.
As good as this sounds, it won't work.
That is Trump arguing that Joe Biden is involved in the criminal trials against Trump.
There's no evidence of that.
This is Donald Trump arguing that the criminal trials are designed and timed, maybe most
importantly, to hurt Donald Trump's chances of becoming president. So far, they seem to have
helped him secure more support among Republican voters. So that doesn't seem to be true either.
Trump continuing. Remember, crooked Joe Biden and his radical left thugs waited
three years to bring these indictments and lawsuits against me right in the middle of
my campaign. As we've talked about before, the indictments came out over a period of
months. These investigations take a while. Some of the things Trump has been charged
for happened more recently than three years ago.
So I don't know how you charge someone three years ago when the alleged crimes took place
more recently than three years ago.
And then at 424 in the morning, this is 424 a.m., my friends, Trump posting in all caps
election interference.
Imagine sitting on your phone at four in the morning as a former president,
maybe surrounded by the boxes of documents around his toilet. I don't know where he was at this
moment posting election interference. It is truly screaming into the void. And there's always an
election every two years. Everything is almost always in the middle
of some election or somebody's campaign. It's really just not an argument. And it's certainly
not proof that Joe Biden has anything to do, anything at all to do with these indictments.
Trump is at risk of going to jail, according to his own former lawyer, Ty Cobb. Will it happen?
I don't know.
Maybe nobody's up at 4 a.m. to pay attention to what Trump is saying.
You tell me.
We have a voicemail number.
That number is two one nine two.
David P. Here is a call from the Eggman.
The Eggman is depressed because of all the horrible news lately.
And he has a special request for me.
OK, let's listen and see if I can indulge it. Hey, Dave, with the domestic shootings and the
war overseas, I'm just a little bit depressed. Well, a little more than normal. But can you
please lighten to a little bit lighter story of daylight saving time again? Because isn't it that
time of year that you do a story about daylight saving time, explaining it to us and what we want and, you know, just to waste 10 minutes.
So I forget about all this awful stuff. Shallow, brother. Yeah, let's do it. And the Eggman is
right. Usually around this time of year, we do a story about daylight saving time. So let me tell
you the things that every year we end up having to explain to people, first and foremost, it is daylight saving time,
not daylight savings time. A lot of confusion about it, but it is daylight saving time.
Now, what we are about to do is we are about to make it so that the sun sets an hour earlier
relative to our clocks. Many people don't like that. We set the clock an
hour ahead during the warmer part of the year. So we get even more daylight, et cetera. And then
the clocks are then fall. They fall back. We spring ahead and then they fall back.
And the general idea here is you get better use of daylight hours. However, however, this is extraordinarily controversial.
Many regions have opted out of this time change completely.
Now, the other thing I think is important to mention is daylight saving ends in November.
It ends in November. It ends in November. So a lot of people say that they want to
end daylight saving time permanently. But what it sounds like they really want to do
is they want permanent daylight saving time. So that's another confusion that often takes place.
And what I want to remind everybody of, and there are a lot of people who agree with me,
but some people who disagree with me, I want to be on the normal summer schedule year round.
I want it to be light out an hour later when when the sun sets before five o'clock in December.
It's extraordinarily depressing. So, number one, you get more daylight in the evening.
This is not just good because we might like it.
It reduces energy consumption because there's more people up at that time than very early
in the morning.
And so losing the hour of daylight in the morning, getting it at night, it reduces energy
consumption.
It's good for the environment.
It's good for the economy because people are more likely to go shopping and do other activities
when they have an extra hour of daylight.
People are also more likely to do outdoor exercise. So for health reasons, we should also be staying on the summer
schedule. Mental health reasons. A lot of people suffer from sad seasonal affective disorder.
More daylight hours when people are more likely to be awake is better for mitigating seasonal
affective disorder. It can improve mood. It can improve productivity. There is a traffic accident
argument to be made. More people tend to be driving at 5 p.m. than at 6 a.m. in some total.
And so what that means is when there are more people on the road,
there will be more light. And this tends to reduce traffic accidents. You can also make the argument
that staying on the summer schedule will reduce crime in general. Better lighting in the evening
deters criminal activity. Many crimes occur under the cover of darkness. More people are awake at
five and six p.m. than at five and six a.m. So it stands to reason that you would also reduce crime
by making this change. And it's also just simpler. It's simpler. You don't have to change the clock.
So I'm a big advocate of this. I want the extra hour. I think it's better economically. I think it's better
financially. I think it's better from a mood and mental health perspective. Traffic accidents.
It's just better. If you disagree with me, let me know. I know I always hear things about
it being dark when people are getting their kids out to the bus. And so they like the winter
schedule for that reason. Everybody's entitled to a perspective. So so they like the winter schedule for that reason.
Everybody's entitled to a perspective. So, Eggman, I hope that that's good for you. We can now skip
the daylight saving segment from the bonus show, although we'll probably still talk about it on
Monday. I don't know. But we did it. And I'm glad that the Eggman reminded me of it. All right. On
the bonus show today, not daylight saving time because I just did
it. Senator Josh Hawley, a Republican, has introduced a bill to reverse Citizens United.
Why? What are his motivations? We'll discuss it. A Kansas judge has blocked the 24 hour waiting
period for women who are seeking abortions. What are the implications? Why is this important?
And thirdly, there is another target of Joe Biden's crackdown on junk fees, and it is those
retirement advertisers. Which ones am I talking about? I'm sure you've seen or heard these
commercials. We will discuss all of those stories and more when producer Pat
joins me on the bonus show, the bonus show where you want to make money. Everybody else
that makes money to fund themselves is bad. Sign up at join Pacman dot com. It'll be quick.
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