The David Pakman Show - 3/23/23: Demands to tax the ultra-rich grow as DeSantis polling shrinks
Episode Date: March 23, 2023-- On the Show: -- We discuss how to actually tax the ultra-rich tax dodgers as Democratic Senators urge President Joe Biden to take action -- Arkansas, under the leaderships of Republican Governor Sa...rah Huckabee-Sanders, restricts school bathroom use by transgender people -- Republican Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is already falling in 2024 polling, potentially jeopardizing his not-yet-started 2024 campaign -- Many Republicans are now calling for Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to block Donald Trump's potential extradition from Florida to New York, if he is arrested -- Piers Morgan interviews Ron DeSantis, and it exposes the true dangers of a potential DeSantis presidency -- Red states tend to have higher murder and gun crime rates than blue states do -- RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel admits she is quickly losing control of the 2024 Republican primary -- Donald Trump begs his followers for money in a new video riddled with conspiracy theories -- Donald Trump's followers donated $1.5 million to Trump in 3 days in response to Trump's arrest claims -- Voicemail caller is really angry with David, and has figured out that David is not "a Christian" -- On the Bonus Show: Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg's alleged tied to George Soros, Disney World will host major summit on gay rights, Fed raises interest rates despite stress on banking system, much more... 💻 Stay protected! Try Aura FREE for 2 weeks: https://aura.com/pakman ⚠️ Use code PAKMAN for a free supply of BlueChew at https://go.bluechew.com/david-pakman 📺 Get Curiosity Stream for 25% OFF (code PAKMAN): https://curiositystream.thld.co/pakman_0323 👕 Leisure of NYC: Use code PAKMAN for 15% off at https://davidpakman.com/nyc -- Become a Supporter: http://www.davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe on YouTube: http://www.youtube.com/thedavidpakmanshow -- Subscribe to Pakman Live: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanlive -- Subscribe to Pakman Finance: https://www.youtube.com/pakmanfinance -- Follow us on Twitter: http://twitter.com/davidpakmanshow -- Like us on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow -- Leave us a message at The David Pakman Show Voicemail Line (219)-2DAVIDP
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Speaker 1 Let's start today with some meaty policy analysis when it comes to taxing the
rich.
Please don't tune out.
No, no, no. Don't click away.
No, in all seriousness, this morning I watched a little bit of our friend Sam Cedar's appearance
on The Patrick Bet David Show, a program I did a month or six weeks ago or so. And one of the
topics that came up with them was about what should tax rates be and taxing the rich. And
Sam says yes. And Patrick says no. And OK, I don't want in this
segment to delve into the should we or shouldn't we or the morals of the ethics? What I simply want
to address here is if we wanted to tax the ultra wealthy more, how would we do it effectively?
And what I mean by effectively is it's very easy to say,
raise the top income tax rate. But then you realize, wait a second, a lot of the ultra
wealthy aren't earning income in wages subject to that rate. So that's not really going to help.
And in the background of all of this is the news that Democratic senators, as HuffPost reports,
are urging the Biden administration to go after
what they call ultra wealthy tax dodgers. Most of this is specifically related to using trusts
and other financial vehicles when it comes to inheritance, when it comes to inheritance and
what we might call a state tax or some like to call it the death tax. So what I want to do in
this segment, just to provide a little bit of food for thought, is give a bunch of different changes that could be made to the tax code
that would help tax the ultra wealthy. Now, I know that many of you are going to write to me
and you're going to say, but David, that method wouldn't work because of this reason. And this
other method wouldn't work because of that other reason.
This is very much like when we look at an issue like gun violence.
No one policy would cover all mass shootings and prevent every single one.
When we talk about waiting periods, mandatory liability insurance, limiting certain firearms only to those over age 25,
requiring relicensing and more extensive training.
We have this list that I put together of 10 to 12 different items that could be put in
place.
No single one would prevent every mass shooting.
And in a country of 330 million people, 340 million people, no matter what you do, there
might still be some mass shootings. But the point
is, what's the lowest hanging fruit? What can we do to in the case of the tax element, collect
more from the ultra wealthy? So here's the list and I'll tell you how they would work and their
limits. And again, no, there's no silver bullet here. So, OK, should we raise the top
marginal income tax rate? Yeah, we probably should. Saying that at I don't remember where
it is right now, five hundred and fifty thousand or so dollars a year, you hit the top tax rate of
thirty seven percent. And from there up, there's no more brackets and no higher marginal tax rates.
That's probably too low. There should probably be some more brackets with some higher rates,
but that won't get us all of that ultra rich tax revenue that we might be seeking
because a lot of the ultra wealthy aren't earning money via wages. They're also able to reduce taxes
through deductions and tax credits, et cetera. OK, so one tool is you raise the top marginal
tax rate. It's not going to do everything you want it to do. Secondly, you can look at imposing a wealth tax on certain
assets. Now, that is going to it's quite difficult to implement. I'm honestly not even completely
sure that it would pass all legal muster, but it's an idea that's been proposed. You impose a wealth tax to try to get a taxation of assets rather than just income. Now, what are the problems? Well,
what do you do about illiquid assets? Do you tax the value of fine art? Who determines what the
fine art is worth? You probably have to exclude an asset like fine art. And so what this leads to is that those who hold valuable assets can either move assets
to countries with no wealth taxes, invest in assets that are difficult to value or would
be exempted like artwork or rare collectibles.
OK, but it might do something.
And to be clear, I'm not necessarily advocating for every single one of these policies.
I'm telling you what is on the what is in the toolbox, so to speak. Number three, there are tax loopholes
that could be closed. One such loophole is the so-called carried interest loophole. However.
There would be some ultra wealthy folks who will find ways to get around that, either moving the
types of assets that would have
previously benefit benefited from the carried interest loophole into non-taxable assets like
municipal bonds, not totally realistic for the hedge fund managers that that would be targeted
at, admittedly looking at changing business structure, moving certain assets offshore,
lobbying for a new, different loophole the next time there's a
friendly administration. So is it a panacea? No. But is it a tool? Absolutely. Number four,
increasing IRS funding to do more audits of the ultra wealthy. Now, there are some people
in that income bracket that are doing everything right. It's not like with all of these folks,
if they were audited, the government would find that they have underpaid their taxes. So
for those who are legally and correctly avoiding taxes, auditing them isn't going to make a
difference. But we know that there is significant underpayment in that group and having a more well-funded IRS,
not with agents with guns, just audit agents to do audits would certainly claw back some of that
revenue that should have been paid a financial transaction tax. If you put in place a financial
transaction tax, the ultra wealthy who might not earn any income and pay very little as far as
income taxes go, but are involved in financial transactions, they would have to pay a tax on
those transactions. And as with anything else, they could look at stopping the financial transactions
in order to not generate those taxable events, moving assets offshore to countries that don't have such a tax
or investing in assets not subjected to that tax certainly could do it. But it is another tool
raising capital gains. If you are worried about not collecting tax revenue from the ultra wealthy
because they are earning money that is subject to capital gains
rather than income tax, you could raise the tax on capital gains. It's not a silver bullet. You
could avoid that tax as an ultra rich person by waiting to take any gains or through other
mechanisms. An alternative minimum tax alternative minimum tax says, listen, if this is your income before deductions,
no matter how many deductions you take, there is a minimum level of tax that you have to pay.
You can't deduct and credit your way all the way down below some certain amount.
That's a good idea. High earners might still be able to reduce their taxable income significantly through the tools
that do remain available. But it's an it's a tool, the alternative minimum tax. You could look at
increasing corporate taxes. That is a great idea. That being said, you have to remember that that
only applies to certain types of corporations, S corporations and LLCs and sole proprietorships.
Those are what are called pass through type entities, and those are governed by the personal
income tax rate, not by the corporate tax rate.
But certainly it would make a difference.
So these are all tools that are available.
Every single one.
Is at risk of being circumvented, at least partially, depending on what tax methods and strategies you use,
but taken together, much like doing 10 or 12 different things about gun safety,
it would have a significant impact in its totality. Now, this is a separate issue from,
as I discussed on the Patrick Bet David show, I'm not immediately looking to just raise all sorts of taxes. What I think is the
really the lowest hanging fruit is, number one, what are we getting for the taxes we already pay?
What are the taxes being used for? And secondly, getting actually closer to the tax rates that are
in place simply by focusing on deductions, credits and loopholes. But that's a subject subject for a
different day. Last item about this. Any time that there's a tax proposal and you hear, oh,
this would raise 10 billion or whatever the case may be. It's really important to understand
whether that estimate of this would generate 10 billion dollars in tax revenue. Is it based on a
dynamic scoring system? And what I mean by that is it's very easy to say
based on the way people filed their taxes last year, if we put in place this new tax,
it would generate 10 billion dollars. What needs to be taken into account is that last year,
if this tax had been in place, people might have used a different tax strategy in response to the fact that that
tax was put in place. So whenever we examine this type of proposal of any kind, when it comes to
taxes, you want to dynamically score what it would do by accounting for how people's behavior might
change. Send me your thoughts. Is this interesting to people? Let me know. The state of Arkansas continues to waste the time and
resources of the people in the state now by restricting school bathroom use by transgender
people under the leadership, if you can call it that, of Republican Governor Sarah Huckabee
Sanders. They have banned CRT from schools, which wasn't being
taught in schools, and they are generally wasting a ton of time. And now the news is, yes, indeed,
Governor Sarah Huckabee Sanders signed a new law prohibiting trans people at public schools
from using the restroom of their choice. This would make Arkansas the fourth place to put such restrictions
on public schools. And it requires that those that individuals use the bathroom that match.
I believe the wording they're using is their birth sex. Alabama, Oklahoma and Tennessee have filed
similar restrictions, although lawsuits have been
filed.
And this is something that is growing and growing and growing.
Here's where I want to focus today on this issue.
It's really important to talk about the absurdity of the bathroom issue.
There is simply no evidence that trans people in public bathrooms pose a threat to the safety of others,
whether we're talking about kids, adults in schools, out at restaurants, in malls or whatever
the case may be. One of the big arguments, really the biggest argument that the right makes is that
if anybody can just use whatever bathroom they want based on their alleged their stated gender identity. It opens
the door to stalking and sexual assault and pedophilia and all sorts of different things.
There is absolutely no evidence that that is the case. And in fact, when you look at the data,
there are widespread studies about this. Studies have shown that trans people are way more likely to be the
victims of violence and the victims of harassment in public restrooms than they are to be the
perpetrators. There's a 2013 study from UCLA School of Law. It finds 70 percent of trans respondents
were verbally harassed or assaulted or mistreated in public restrooms. A 2016 report
by the Human Rights Campaign found that 59 percent of trans people avoided using public restrooms in
the preceding year because they were afraid of those negative experiences. And there's a 2018
study from the AAP, the American Academy of Pediatrics, which finds trans people and gender nonconforming
youth are more likely to experience verbal and physical abuse in school restrooms.
On the other side of this, there is absolutely no study that finds that when you look at
incidents of harassment, sexual assault, et cetera, in public bathrooms that trans people are over
represented relative to their population. There is just no data that can support that cause.
And then there's the last aspect to this. If your concern is sexual assault or harassment
or whatever the case may be, it is already illegal. It does. Your gender identity doesn't matter. Your genitalia
doesn't matter. It is already illegal to engage in sexual assault or harassment or stalking or
photography or whatever the case may be in public restrooms. Doesn't matter which bathroom you're in.
The gender identity of the individuals involved also doesn't matter. And the law is applied
equally whether you are cisgender or transgender.
The law is already there and there is no evidence that trans people are more likely to commit
sexual assault or harassment than cisgender people. So the entire framework here is a moral
panic and fear framework, as is often the case with right wingers.
They don't have the facts on their side because the facts aren't on their side. And so it's based on fear. And the idea, quite frankly, the idea that they want to tell you is that Hulk Hogan
is going to put on a wig, go into a public bathroom and harass little girls. That's the idea, the image that these folks want you to believe.
It's not happening. There is no data that backs this up as an actual danger.
And Sarah Huckabee Sanders just continues wasting time on this complete and utter nonsense. Speaker 1 Speaker 2 Imagine for a second that you try logging into your email account only to find
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warmth of the state of Florida, Ron DeSantis is experiencing significant shrinkage in the
polls, even though he hasn't even announced that he's running for president in twenty
twenty four. And he may not. Ron DeSantis over the last several weeks has seen a pretty
significant decline in the
polls, which we're going to look at in a moment.
Why is this going on?
Well, there's an interesting article in The Week by Rafi Schwartz, and it looks like it
looks at a couple of different aspects to this.
And one of the things that this article mentions quotes political consultant and commentator Simon Rosenberg, who says that the successes
that DeSantis has had in Florida are actually alienating him from voters in background battleground
states still stinging from Republican losses by the candidates who embraced the right most
reaches of the political spectrum.
Schwartz writes, it's into this dynamic that DeSantis has, quote, decided to become even
more Maga super Maga.
The end result is that for Republicans hoping DeSantis would be a reasonable and capable
alternative to Trump.
This has been a very bad week.
That is one perspective that actually he is.
He is going beyond MAGA.
It's too much MAGA for MAGA. And the voters in battleground states, aside from whatever Floridian Republicans say about
DeSantis, aren't super thrilled.
I think that that's one part of it.
Secondly, the idea of DeSantis was very appealing as an alternative to Trump six to eight months
ago.
But increasingly, as DeSantis is more publicly visible, he just was interviewed by Piers
Morgan.
We're going to look at clips from that.
His lack of charisma and his complete we'll leave it there.
His lack of charisma is starting to become apparent to voters who are sort of being deflated
by that.
They were excited about the Santantis. Now they've seen
what DeSantis is really like. And they're like, I don't know, this isn't really that great.
The Hill reports DeSantis sees lowest level of support since December. A new poll
trails Trump by 28 points. And in fact, there are a number of polls that are really not looking good for DeSantis.
There is a B.C. rated premise poll which has Trump up 24 with registered voters.
There is a you gov poll that has Trump up 15.
There is a Monmouth poll in that has Trump up 52.
Certainly a difficult one to believe, I have to say, but
that's what it says. A morning consult poll has Trump up 28. That's the one that was referenced.
It's really not looking good here for Ron DeSantis. So the question we were previously
asking with Donald Trump was, can Trump make it to the primary insofar as indictments could derail him or whatever else
might be the case with DeSantis? The question is less about can he make it to the primaries? It's
can he even make it into the race? Now, I've previously talked about what some of you have
suggested, which is DeSantis is really young. Yeah, I did. Why not just wait? Why not just wait until 2028?
He doesn't have to run right now.
Trump won't be a factor no matter what happens in 2028.
Maybe 48 or 49 year old DeSantis should look at running in 2028.
A month ago, my view was he's not going to be able to look at the polling numbers and
get away because he would be saying to himself, I might not have this opportunity in 28 as the numbers
decline for DeSantis.
Maybe 28 starts to look more attractive.
Now, what one other thing I would love to say that DeSantis is dangerous.
Authoritarian tendencies are the reason why he's failing in the polls.
But Trump has all of those same authoritarian
tendencies. So that's not actually what it is. I do think that there is something to
the idea of DeSantis is becoming the reality of DeSantis. And a lot of people don't really like
it. So Trump aside, DeSantis is dangerous. DeSantis is doing better against Biden than
Trump is doing. So in a sense, it's probably good for the left, for DeSantis not to do well in the
primary. On the other hand, DeSantis bailing. Might make Trump's path easier, which has its
own downsides in that he may end up in the general election less weakened and sort of more ready to
go, but that a lot of things are going to happen between now and when
the general election starts. So shrinkage for Ron DeSantis. Let's now talk about a story that is
bringing together Trump and DeSantis, which is very, very interesting. Republicans are increasingly
demanding, suggesting that Ron DeSantis block the extradition of Donald Trump from Florida to New York.
If indeed Donald Trump is indicted and arrested in the state of New York, as many of us believe
he might be, I guess, although it was supposed to happen Tuesday and then Wednesday and then
it didn't happen. Put that aside for a moment. More and more Republicans are making the request
that DeSantis block the extradition of Trump to New York. Can DeSantis even do this? Well,
that's a good question. We'll get to that in a moment. First, here is Florida Republican
Congressman Matt Gaetz making the case. If I were governor of Florida, I would not allow
any Floridian to be hauled before some Soros backed prosecutor in some blue city over politics.
And I wouldn't make an exception to not protect
the president of the United States. Ron DeSantis should be standing in the breach to stop any sort
of extradition of President Trump from the state of Florida. And the fact that he's not doing so
puts every Floridian at risk who could be the subject of a false allegation. I know Ron DeSantis
well, he's a friend, but he hasn't been the target of false and persistent
allegations like President Trump has.
And so I don't think he really understands the nature of this fight right now.
I think that it was a bit uncouth for him to take a jab at the former president.
And there's a role for the governor of Florida here, I think, to stand up for our state,
for the rule of law and to push back against the sorosization
of the criminal justice system.
So is it actually something that Ron DeSantis can do?
I will tell you in a moment, Charlie Kirk making the exact same case about this extradition
and everybody is on message with the sorrow stuff.
You will notice.
Why doesn't Ron DeSantis create a sanctuary state for a former president under political
persecution?
If the left is able to create sanctuary states for rapists and murderers, thugs and criminals,
I don't think it's too big of an ass for Ron DeSantis, Curtis, to create a sanctuary state
for a former president who's being persecuted.
By a Soros funded D.A..
Yeah.
So it's an interesting legal question.
Can a governor block the extradition of an indicted person from their state to the state
in which they are indicted?
Can a governor do that?
Governors do have the power to block extradition of a person who is wanted in another
state, but in very limited circumstances, a governor may block the extradition of a
person if the governor determines that the person's rights would be violated in the extradition
or if the governor believes that the request for extradition is politically
motivated or improper.
Now that just happens to be exactly what these right wingers are claiming.
They are saying that the the prosecution of Trump, if it happens, is politically motivated,
would be politically motivated.
However, it is not that the governor just says, yep,
it's politically motivated. So there's no extradition. If a governor asserts that they
are blocking extradition from their state to another for that reason, it can be challenged
in court. And ultimately, it's up to courts to determine whether extradition should be allowed.
From everything I've read right now, there is every indication that if DeSantis tried
to block Trump's extradition from Florida to New York on these grounds, courts would
say you can't do it.
Also worth noting, governors cannot block extradition to another country that falls
under federal jurisdiction.
So it's a nice little pipe dream that Charlie Kirk and Matt Gaetz have.
But it is very unlikely to be what keeps Trump out of the state of New York.
And by the way, Trump's lawyers have already said he would surrender.
Will it happen?
Will the arrest happen?
That's a different question.
I've been telling you for a while.
Ron DeSantis is dangerous.
And part of what makes him dangerous is that he has a lot of the same terrible authoritarian instincts of Donald Trump,
but he is more able to potentially get things done and less cartoonishly unhinged.
Piers Morgan interviewed Ron DeSantis. And remember that Ron DeSantis is experiencing
significant shrinkage in the polls. He hasn't actually announced that he's running yet. So
this is all very speculative and very hypothetical.
But one of the interesting questions that was asked by Piers Morgan during this interview
was what are the actual differences between you and Trump?
Other Republican candidates and potential candidates have said there really are no differences
other than identity.
Nikki Haley said, well, I'm younger and a woman and Indian.
Tim Scott said, I don't know that I have any policy differences.
But here is Ron DeSantis his answer to that question.
What do you think of the differences?
Well, I mean, I think there's a few things.
I mean, obviously, you know, the approach to covid was different.
I mean, you know, I would have fired somebody like Fauci.
I think that he got way too big for his britches and I think he did a lot of damage.
I also think just in terms of my approach to leadership, you know, I get personnel in
the government who have the agenda of the people and share our agenda.
You bring your own agenda in, you're gone.
We're just not going to have that.
So the way we run the government, I think, is no daily drama, focus on the big picture
and put points on the board.
And I think that that's something that's very important. So DeSantis is essentially saying the differences are style and I would have fired Fauci.
Not exactly a big gap between him and Donald Trump. Interestingly enough,
Piers Morgan did ask Ron DeSantis his views on the nicknames that Trump has come up for him.
Is your favorite nickname that Trump's given you so far is it wrong?
Rhonda sanctimonious or meatball?
Well, I can't even he went off meatball.
I can't I don't know how to spell the sanctimonious.
I don't really know what it means, but I kind of like it's long.
It's got a lot of value.
I mean, so we go with that.
That's fine.
Speaker 1 Isn't this fun, guys?
Speaker 4 You call me, you call me whatever you want.
I mean, just as long as you also call me a winner. Right, right. DeSantis is the winner.
Asked whether he believes if he were to run. Oh, sorry. No, I want to do Putin next.
The topic of Vladimir Putin came up and this is very interesting. What's your view of Putin?
Look, I think he's got grand ambitions. I think he's hostile to the United States. But I
think the thing that we've seen is he doesn't have the conventional capability to realize his
ambitions. And so he's basically a gas station with a bunch of nuclear weapons. And so for us,
one of the things we could be doing better is utilizing our own energy resources in the United
States. We could be permitting natural gas pipelines from Marcellus doing a lot in Alaska.
That's where he gets all his power. And obviously, he's influenced Europe by having so much energy.
So the way to hit Putin is to hit him with energy. But I do think you look back, all the defense analysts and me in the past, we overestimated his conventional capability. This has been a huge
blunder for him, huge costs. And we'll see what ends up happening with his longevity and power.
But this has been a loss for them.
There is a move now to hold him accountable for war crimes, bombing maternity hospitals and genocidal activity in parts of Ukraine, wiping out whole cities, Maribor and others.
Would you support that?
I mean, I think he is a war criminal. This ICC, we have not
done that in the United States because we're concerned about our soldiers or people being
brought under it. But I do think that he should be held accountable. So sort of sounds like tough
talk, but a lot of the same caveats that many of the soft Putin defenders will kind of reflexively
go to, including he's not nearly as dangerous
as some claim him to be.
So sort of interesting, not incredibly notable.
Then appears Morgan does ask DeSantis, if you did run, do you think you can beat Trump?
I think you could be.
But I think so.
I'm sorry.
Do you think you can beat Biden if you did run?
I think you could be.
But I think so.
So you're running.
No, I didn't say that. I just said, I think I could. I mean, I think that that's I mean, if you look at Florida I think you could be Biden. I think so. So you're running. No, I didn't say
that. I just said I think I could. I mean, I think that that's I mean, if you look at Florida,
it would be harder to be Biden or Donald Trump. We're I don't know. Those are two. OK, so that
is very interesting, because if you really do believe that in an election against the sitting
president of the United States, you would win.
It seems very difficult to imagine getting away from getting involved in that race,
no matter what the primary polling says. So that's going to remain remain to be seen.
Piers Morgan did ask Ron DeSantis about allegations that he backed the force feeding
of prisoners while serving at Guantanamo Bay. DeSantis says
it's not true, but he gets a little mushy mouthed about it. One of the things they said was that you
authorize the use of force feeding. That's some of the. Yeah, that's not true. Yeah. Any of the
stuff that people just finished force feeding the detainees who were on hunger strike. Was that true?
So I was I was a junior officer. I didn't
have authority to authorize anything. There may have been a commander that would have done feeding
if someone was going to die. But that was not something that I would have even had authority
to do. So that's that's wrong. Yeah, yeah, absolutely. OK. And by the way, DeSantis is
saying it's it's a raw it's wrong to claim he did it, not that it's wrong to do the force
feeding.
And then lastly, asked about Tick Tock and I'll just play this one for you here.
Would you ban Tick Tock?
I would.
I think so.
Would you?
I think so.
I mean, I think from everybody in America, I think I think it's a security risk.
I think they are harvesting so much data on our citizens.
There's a whole bunch of other apps and stuff that are out there.
And honestly, Pierce, I got young kids.
I don't want our kids on some of this stuff.
OK, so he would indeed ban Tick Tock.
Listen, the danger with DeSantis is he although he's incredibly low energy and low charisma,
he very casually will present ideas as though, yeah, you know, yeah, yeah, yeah. And so you
always sort of come away like, well, he doesn't seem very ideological because it sounds like he's
sort of like softly in this camp, but he could easily be pulled over here. This is really the
trick of DeSantis, where then when you look at his actual record, it's this wacky anti woke
delusion fighting the culture wars and extraordinarily authoritarian,
as we've covered before.
So a very interesting interview because it shows us the DeSantis that he would present
to the world if he were to run.
And it's this very down to earth.
Yeah, I'm a reasonable guy.
Yeah, yeah, I would do that.
I probably would.
Yeah, so it makes sense.
Sure.
Yeah.
Now Putin's bad, but yeah, you know, he's not really that bad.
And he's not doesn't really have that much that much power.
And then the actions with DeSantis are really the scary thing.
So a very interesting interview to see.
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That's FACET dot com slash Pacman. a investment, legal or tax advice. A number of you sent me a clip of Congresswoman Cori Bush claiming that red states have higher
rates of murder and higher rates of gun deaths.
And that is absolutely true.
And I'm going to go over some of the data with you.
Now, this is relevant because the story that the right loves to tell is how red states
are safer and red cities are safer.
And blue states and blue cities run by Democrats are just riddled with crime and they're dangerous.
And that's really where all of the violence is. Let's first listen to what Cori Bush said.
Then we're going to look at some of this data in 2020 per capita. Murder rates were 40 percent
higher in states won by Donald Trump than those won by Joe Biden.
Nine of the 10 states with the highest gun mortality rates, including my state of Missouri, are red states.
Mr. Wilcox, first of all, thank you for your strong, well-informed advocacy.
I want to build on Mr. Nadler's question. Can you explain how the Iron
Pipeline and weak Republican laws, gun laws, disproportionately harm black and brown communities?
Yes, Ranking Member, and thank you for the question. As you stated, what we see pretty
clearly from examining gun laws and looking at rates of gun violence is states with stronger gun laws see less gun violence. Why is that? It's because it's
too easy for guns to be illegally diverted from legal commerce, responsible law abiding citizens
into gun trafficking channels. What are the ways that that happens? No background check gun sales,
straw purchasing. OK, so now they go into a number of the ways in which we could strengthen gun laws.
But so is this the truth?
You know, anecdotally, we keep hearing frequently now when Republicans talk about New York City,
the accurate statement that the violence rate, the violent crime rate is higher in Oklahoma City than it is in New York
City, Oklahoma City, a red city in a red state compared to New York City, a blue city in a blue
state. But this is actually a bigger trend. So let's look at a couple of different things.
If you look at the 2020 homicide rate and if you're looking, there's a graph here where you
have states with the highest homicide rates at the top right and
lower homicide rates.
As you go down to the bottom left, you see that the states with the highest homicide
rates are Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama, Missouri, Arkansas, South Carolina, Tennessee,
Maryland, Illinois, New Mexico, Georgia.
You have this gradient wherein the homicide rates are notably higher in red states.
You then go to firearms mortality and you see a very similar story.
The highest death rate from firearms is Mississippi, Louisiana, Wyoming, Missouri, Alabama, Alaska, blue state of New Mexico, followed by Arkansas, South
Carolina, Tennessee, Montana, Oklahoma, Kentucky, West Virginia, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Nevada,
Kansas, finally getting to Arizona.
OK, so there is no doubt whatsoever that that is the truth.
It doesn't matter how you slice and dice the state
numbers. Now, how would the right react to this? Well, one of the things that the right says when
presented with this information, one of the things they say is the numbers aren't true.
It's fake news. We can't believe it. It's all nonsense. You made that up. OK,
if you can get them to acknowledge these numbers, they will often say, well, but the crimes are
mostly in the cities within those states which are blue. Now, that's not actually true. It is
true as a general rule that people on the left in the United States are more likely to live in
urban areas and people on the right are more
likely to choose to live rurally and suburban. It's sort of a mix depending on the states that
you're in. That is absolutely true. But in general, rates of crime can follow where people are closer
together. But by looking at rates, we actually account for that. And there have been studies
done that say, OK, fine, you can look at these cities if you want. And there are very high numbers of crimes because of the
number of people. But you can chart these very large rural areas that cross many states on a map.
And as far as rates of crimes go, they are still very high in those rural areas. It's just that the absolute numbers are lower because there are fewer people.
But the truth is, if we want to be more serious about this, there is no one answer to this.
Is it true that red states, on average, having more relaxed gun laws increases gun deaths?
Yes, it is true. And also it is true that if you live in Chicago,
which is a blue city in a blue state, which has strict gun laws, you can very easily drive 40
minutes over into Indiana or what is it like 55, 60 minutes into Wisconsin, potentially
states with more relaxed gun laws. So it it's everything is shades of gray. The gun accessibility
is a factor, but it also impacts blue states that are in proximity to red states. Poverty is a major
factor. Poverty is higher in red states. Education is a factor. Education is worse in red states.
Cultural attitudes towards using guns to solve problems. I don't have data
on what the differences are between blue and red states on that. But it is a factor in a if you had
states where culturally it's considered more appropriate to fight, to use physical violence
or to use guns to resolve interpersonal problems. Well, that's going to be a factor for sure. Infrastructure and economic opportunity, which we know is lower in red states, GDP per capita, lower in red states.
All of these elements are factors, and many of them actually are sort of a feedback loop where
some cause others. And in turn, the worsening of those others comes back and worsens the initial
causes. Proximate and ultimate causes
are definitely something that needs to be considered. But the numbers really don't lie.
It really is the case that gun mortality rates. Remember, rate accounts for population. The rates
of gun mortality on average higher in red states, the murder rate on average higher in red states. They don't like
to admit it when they do. They find some other way to blame the left. But this is the reality
in which we live. This is a super interesting short clip I want to play for you. Ronna McDaniel,
the head of the RNC, the Republican National Committee. She appeared on Fox News earlier
today and Fox host Stuart Varney was asking her about the potential management by
the RNC of the Trump DeSantis primary that might be coming, but it might not. We don't know.
And Ronna DeSantis, Ronna McDaniel, Ronna DeSantis, Ronna McDaniel straight up admits that she has no
control over that primary. And one of the things I've talked about is how damaging to the eventual
Republican nominee will a really ugly primary be.
I think to some degree, a really ugly primary will hurt whoever comes out on top and faces the
Democratic nominee. Ronna McDaniel admits this is beyond her to control it. And then she does a
little whataboutism. How are you going to manage this clash between Trump and DeSantis?
Stewart, I would be lying if I said I'm going to be able to manage this.
There's going to be sharp elbows.
There'll be a heated primary process.
What I will say is we have to keep our eyes on the prize.
We need to remember that 70,000 people just died of overdoses.
Our border is open.
Crime is up.
We of course, the border is not open.
Crime overall is down and it's significantly higher,
as we just talked about in red states and red cities. Our energy is up. Inflation is killing
middle income families. Gas prices have come down significantly. Inflation is at its lowest point
since twenty twenty one. And this is coming under the Biden administration. So we can have a heated
primary. But at the end of the day, we have to come together if we're going to beat Biden.
And that's where I'm going to be as RNC chair, always focusing on the end game, which is
winning the White House.
And that's really the question.
She is right about that.
At the end of the day, the question is, how does the Republican Party defeat Joe Biden
or whoever is the Democratic nominee?
Remember, officially, we still don't know who the Democratic nominee will be.
That's the fundamental question at the end of the day.
And my question is, if DeSantis got out of the way, it would become obvious Trump will
be the nominee.
Does that help the Republican primary by allowing Trump to start campaigning now in some way?
I don't know.
If Trump were to be indicted four times and drop out and it becomes clear
DeSantis is the leader, or at least that there's going to be a contested primary not involving
Trump. Is that a better Republican primary for the purposes of Republicans ultimately winning
in November of twenty twenty four? My instinct is that a very ugly Republican primary will dissuade some Republican voters from coming out in November of 24.
But I don't know how big that impact will be.
So my question to you is, let me know in a comment, send an email, send a tweet, however
you want to get in touch.
Does the Republican nominee, whoever it will be, benefit more from an easy and smooth primary
win or an ugly and extended and contested primary win.
Let me know what you think. We'll do a follow up soon based on people's reaction.
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Donald Trump is now openly begging for money in an orange conspiracy rant and a bunch of
his loser followers are giving him the money.
Why would you give a supposed billionaire a little bit of cash because of his claim
that he's getting arrested?
Well, we'll get to that. This is an
unbelievable video, unbelievable video called Dismantle the Deep State and Reclaim Our Democracy.
We'll remind you what the deep state is, but this is open conspiracy stuff from the failed
former president. It is scary. It is dystopian. And it is where we are in 2023. Shockingly so.
Take a listen to this from Agenda 47.
Here's my plan to dismantle the deep state and reclaim our democracy from Washington corruption.
Remember, he's a former president. The idea now of, oh, I'm I'm an outsider. Dude,
you were the president of the United States. How are you an outsider of any kind? Once and for all and corruption, it is first.
I will immediately reissue my 2020 executive order restoring the president's authority
to remove rogue bureaucrats.
And I will wield that power very aggressively.
Remember what that is, is about being able to fire government employees who are outside the immediate political realm,
like secretary of state. Right. New president comes in, you replace the secretary of state.
But what Trump wants, because he believes that every random employee of the State Department
or at least I'm sorry, of the federal government, including the State Department and others,
is against him. He wants to be able to come in and just say fire tens of thousands of people.
Insanity in terms of the disjointed interruption that it would be to the way so many government
departments function.
Second, we will clean out all of the corrupt actors in our national security and intelligence
apparatus.
What he means by that is intelligence agencies don't seem to agree with Trump's
unhinged lies. And so he wants to get them out of there. And there are plenty of them.
The departments and agencies that have been weaponized will be completely overhauled
so that faceless bureaucrats will never again be able to target and persecute conservatives, which
they weren't doing or the left's political enemies, which they're doing now at a level
that nobody can believe even possible.
Third, we will totally reform FISA courts, which are so corrupt that the judges seemingly
do not care when they are lied to in warrant applications.
This is a personal grievance of Trump.
This is grievance politics.
Trump doesn't like that there was enough evidence against some of the people in his 2016 campaign
such that Pfizer warrants were signed by judges that he's like, just change the process.
So many judges have seen so many applications that they know were wrong, or at least they
must have known they do nothing about it.
They're lied to.
Forth to expose the hoaxes and abuses of power that have been tearing our country apart.
We will establish a truth and reconciliation commission to declassify and publish all documents
on deep state spying, censorship and corruption.
Now, this this talking point we looked at on a different day, which Trump is now repeating,
truly Orwellian. Very often people say Orwellian and it's not Orwellian. This is Orwellian.
And there are plenty of them. Fifth, we will launch a major crackdown on government leakers
who collude with the fake news to deliberately
weave false narratives and to subvert our government and our democracy. And as I told
you yesterday, extraordinarily chilling in terms of what it means for journalism.
And then we get to the begging for money. One hundred thousand government positions
could be moved out. And I mean immediately, of Washington
to places filled with patriots who love America, and they really do love America.
Ninth, I will work to ban federal bureaucrats from taking jobs at the companies they deal with
and that they regulate. So they deal with these companies and they regulate these companies,
and then they want to take jobs from these companies.
Doesn't work that way. Such a public display cannot go on.
And it's taking place all the time, like with big pharma.
Finally, I will push a constitutional amendment to impose term limits on members of Congress.
This is how I will shatter the deep state and restore government that is
controlled by the people and for the people. Really crazy 10 point plan. Thank you very much.
Yeah. So this was sent out in a fundraising email and we're going to get to the fundraising aspect
in a moment. Let's actually discuss the deep state thing just for a moment. For those who aren't familiar with it, the deep state conspiracy theory is, again, one
of these elitist cabal type conspiracy theories.
The idea is government officials, elites, rich people, transnational elites of different
kinds.
They're operating behind the scenes to manipulate and control
world events. It often implies that these individuals are doing so against the interests
of the general public and that they are responsible for many of the world's problems.
Now, there's very little evidence to support the existence of a deep state speculation,
conjecture, misinterpreting, isolated incidents or events. What is true
is that as a general concept, rich people and corporations wield lots of power in Western
societies. That's true. They go way further into this puppeteer like conspiracy, unified,
coordinated group of individuals.
And the truth, of course, is that there are agendas and there are competing interests
in government, out of government in the US, in Europe, in different parts of the world.
Oftentimes, deep state conspiracy overlaps with globalist conspiracy, one world government,
new world order, and all of it is dripping in anti-Semitism
that Trump is now regularly and openly claiming he's going to fight the deep state, which
has it in forum is really wacky when it comes to remembering that this is a former president.
But here's the crazy part.
It's working to get people to give him money.
Trump's fans sent him a million and a half dollars in three days after he falsely claimed he'd get
arrested Tuesday and that Soros and the deep state had it in for him. Let's talk about that next.
In 2023, if you still support Donald Trump, you deserve to have every penny drained from your bank account if you're giving him money, if that's what happens to you or what you decide to do.
Donald Trump's fans sent him a million and a half dollars in three days after he falsely predicted he would be arrested on Tuesday.
A fool and their money are soon parted.
Does that apply here? Business Insider reports Trump wasn't arrested, but he got a big fundraising
boost, raising one point five million dollars in the three days after saying he'd be arrested.
That's nearly double the daily average he got in the weeks before and after launching
his 2024 bid.
The campaign confirmed the sum to Fox News.
The money was said to be raised from grassroots donations.
Raising about 500000 a day is about double what Trump was previously averaging.
The Trump campaign brought in eleven point eight million in the six
weeks before the announcement, which averages out to about two hundred and eighty thousand a day.
In the six weeks after Trump's announcement, he raised about two hundred and twenty six thousand
a day. But then he wrote, they're going to arrest me. We need to protest, take the nation back.
Soros, deep state conspiracy and on and on and on. And then he started including videos like the one we
just looked at talking about how he will dismantle the deep state. He started including those videos
inside of fundraising emails. And he said, we need your support. Donate so we can do this.
If you're not doing well, don't send any money. But if you can, if you can afford it,
please send me some money. It is. Is it pejorative to say that you
would have to be moronic to fall for this at this point in time? Now, you might be saying
what on earth motivates an individual to give money to a billionaire because they claim they're
about to be arrested and argue that they are going to dismantle the so-called deep state. What on earth would motivate someone to give that individual money? And you
have to remember that this is a cult. It is a cult where some in the cult believe that Donald Trump
was sent by God to save the United States of America from a cabal of Democratic pedophiles. If you believe that. It's not a
very far stretch to say you're going to send a little bit of money, and that is a big part
of understanding what is going on here. And like I said, at this point, if you are still a Trump
supporter in 2023, it's really buyer beware. And the downside, of course, is I don't want to see
people hurt. And for a lot of these folks donating money, it's probably their Social Security money
that's going to Trump based on the average, you know, the disproportionately advanced age of Trump
supporters and the financial reality of many of these folks. The other aspect to this, of course,
is that there's a long history. I mean, go back to the Tea Party. You can go back longer,
but at least in the modern era, go back to the Tea Party and you will remember
people who will never benefit from lowering taxes on the rich voting in favor of candidates
who want to lower taxes on the rich. Why? It doesn't make sense. It's the same thing with
Trump supporting a guy who isn't going to do anything that's
going to help you.
Jonathan Haidt has really done a lot of very good research into this.
It is not about voting for what I think is best for me.
It's about voting for what I have been convinced or tricked into believing.
This is now my editorializing of it. What I have, if I can be tricked into believing
that what's based best for my entire group is to support someone like Trump or a candidate that
will lower taxes on the rich, I will vote that way for group cohesion, even if most of the members
of that group won't actually benefit for the thing that they are voting in favor of. You have to understand
that to understand why someone at this point would say, I'll donate to Trump and I'll vote for Trump,
even though he's supposedly a billionaire and his policies won't actually do anything for me.
Read Jonathan Haidt's work on that and it'll be very illuminating. Trump capitalizing on the
arrest claim. Will he pay his lawyers?
I don't know.
Will he actually get arrested next week?
I don't know.
I'm waiting to see just as much as you are.
We have a voicemail number which you can call any time.
That number is two one nine two.
David P. Here is a caller who is called in after he figured out I am not a Christian
and he has some choice
words for me. I will tell you that.
Hey, David. Yeah. When I'm just watching your mouth on this TV here and you saying that
them proof testers, the proof testers, yes, were outside of the Donald Punk building when they were
outside of the courthouse.
You don't even.
Well there were different videos and some they were in one place and some they were
in the other.
Well, you know what I've done, figured out because you admitted yourself you're not a
Christian.
That's true.
And you know what that makes me so
happy to hear because there is a god there is a jesus there is a holy spirit and satan
is going to be coming here satan real soon pretending to be jesus and little wastes firms like you are going to follow.
I hope so.
I want you to follow that piece of shit all the way to the lake of fire, right along with
Donald Trump.
OK, well, very, very powerful declaration.
And be aware, Satan will come back pretending to be Jesus very, very soon.
Certainly something to be scared of on the bonus show today. We are going to talk about the truth of Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg's alleged ties
to billionaire George Soros. What are the ties? Do they exist? Are they what Republicans claim
them to be? We will explore. Secondly, Disney World, after everything that happened in Florida
with Ron DeSantis, they don't say gay bill taking away Disney's rights there in that neighborhood district that they have after all of it is said and done.
Disney is hosting a major summit on gay rights. They seem really intimidated by DeSantis guys.
We'll talk about that. And lastly, the Fed again raised interest rates yesterday,
this time by twenty five basis points, despite the
stress hitting the banking system.
But in a context where we are being led to believe that the Fed's work is seemingly close
to done in this cycle of interest rate increases, where are we?
What do we expect?
What is the impact of raising versus lowering the federal funds rate?
We're going to go over all of it, my friends, on today's bonus show. Sign up for membership at join Pacman dot com.
You will get instant access to the bonus show. Oh, the bonus show where you want to make money.
Everybody else that makes money to fund themselves is bad. Alex Jones despises the bonus show,
but actual members love it. You can sign up at join Pacman dot com.
You can use the coupon code indict to save yourself significantly off of the cost of
membership. We will see you then. And then we'll be back tomorrow with the Friday show.