The David Pakman Show - 5/2/25: They’re telling us recessions are good now
Episode Date: May 2, 2025-- On the Show: -- A desperate Donald Trump proposes more crimes -- Trump tool Peter Navarro now tries to convince Americans that a shrinking economy is actually a good thing -- An agitated Fox... News host Bill Hemmer is forced to admit that Trump's economy is shrinking, will Maria Bartiromo announces the GDP contraction like she's at a funeral -- Dave Portnoy, a support of Donald Trump's, turns on Trump when Trump tries to blame the shrinking GDP on Biden -- Karoline Leavitt, Donald Trump's White House Press Secretary, says that Trump should be trusted almost as if he's a deity -- Fox News host Ainsley Earhardt gushes over Donald Trump, talking about how gifted and good at everything he is -- State Department Spokesperson Tammy Bruce pathetically sucks up to Trump on live TV -- Charlie Kirk makes maybe his worst argument ever when it comes to affirmative action and DEI -- A disoriented Donald Trump misfires when asked simple questions -- Fox News melts down over the latest polling disaster for Donald Trump -- This week's Friday Feedback -- On the Bonus Show: Fox News hosts admit they don't care about facts, Newsmax still pushing Trump third term, Alex Jones worried about Constitution under Trump, and much more... 🖼️ Aura Frames: Use code PAKMAN for $35 OFF & free shipping at https://auraframes.com/pakman ✉️ StartMail: Get 50% OFF for a year subscription at https://startmail.com/pakman -- Become a Member: https://davidpakman.com/membership -- Become a Patron: https://www.patreon.com/davidpakmanshow -- Get David's Books: https://davidpakman.com/echo -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow -- David on Bluesky: https://davidpakman.com/bluesky -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow
Transcript
Discussion (0)
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We start today with more crimes being proposed by the white house at this completely unhinged
cabinet meeting that took place this week from which we're still trying to recover.
And it's hard to even go over all of the concerning and disturbing aspects of it.
The president pointed to using the Insurrection Act to send troops to the border.
Now, as some of you I know are aware because we've talked about it before, it is not kosher,
for lack of a better term, to use the military for domestic law enforcement.
There are exceptions to that limited exceptions.
And Trump has come to believe that just saying we've got to use the Insurrection Act of people
coming over the border is an insurrection and therefore I'm legally justified in sending
military to the border would be legally okay.
Legal experts certainly don't agree with that.
But listen to this.
But we have a country that's under siege.
We have a country that really
is under it. I think it's under attack in many ways, worse than under attack, because there are
no uniforms. You don't know who the attacker is. So you really don't. It's not like you're fighting
an army. You're fighting people. You don't even know who they are. But eleven thousand eight hundred
and eighty eight murderers, many of them murdered far more than one person are roaming.
Now some of them have already been caught.
A lot of them have already been caught and taken out, but we're being impeded by judges
from doing our job and hopefully that situation is going to be a solve because I think nobody
wants to have murderers and people from jail and, and mean, for serious, serious crime.
So there's the idea. Use the military for domestic law enforcement, an extraordinarily
authoritarian move, a wildly legally dubious thing to do. But we've sort of come to expect
it from this administration. Now, in another terrifying moment, Trump casually
says as a result of the China tariffs, you know, a lot of the stuff we don't need and
we'll have some open shelves, someone said. But you know what? Maybe you'll have two options
for dolls instead of 30.
I told you before they're having tremendous difficulty because their factories are not doing business. They made a trillion dollars
with Biden, a trillion dollars, even a trillion one with Biden selling us stuff. Much of it we
don't need. You know, somebody said, oh, the shelves are going to be open. Well,
maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls, you know,
and maybe the two dolls will cost a couple of bucks more than they would normally.
But now, unfortunately, there Trump says, well, you know, maybe kids will only have
two dollars to choose from rather than 30 and maybe they'll cost a couple of dollars
more.
And this shows such a fundamental lack of understanding of the percentages and ratios
and proportions that are implicit here. If you really are talking about two dolls instead of 30 with level demand, it's not
going to be a couple of bucks more because all of a sudden all of the demand for dolls
is going to be distributed over a fraction of the availability to dolls instead of 30.
That's less than 10% of the dolls that were previously
available. So I'm with you in the sense that a lot of this cheap Chinese crap, I'm sort of a
minimalist at heart. I try not to buy anything I don't genuinely need, even stuff for the show
where it's like, well, I don't know exactly I don't know exactly which, you know, cable I need.
Let me get like three or four different cables and just like what if. No, no. I really try to be thoughtful and not have any extra stuff. But to the extent
that this is going to be affordable for the American people, if we have two dollars instead
of 30, we're talking about hundreds of a percent increase in price, not a couple of dollars more.
Now, at another moment during this thing, Howard Lutnick said that
people are asking him about buying 10 of these gold cards, which will get you citizenship in
the United States. So much as I travel around the attention on the Trump gold card. I mean,
it makes me very popular. Last night I was out to dinner and someone came up and said,
can I buy 10? And how do I buy 10? And I'm like,
it's pretty good. It's $50 million for dinner. So, you know, I was paying for my dinner.
Money is just flowing in. If you believe Howard, the Lutnik from people who are desperate to buy
their way into the United States. What a scam. What a complete and total scam. And then finally, chillingly, Trump justifying
ignoring judges when they are radical left, horrible judges, whether a court order needs
to be listened to, I guess, depends on whether Trump assesses the politics of the judge favorably. These are radical left, generally radical left,
horrible judges. And we didn't lose all of these people. You know, we've lost a lot of people to death and to rape, all sorts of crimes committed by the people that poured into our country.
And they came in totally unimpeded. Just come on in.
And you see it every night.
You'd see thousands and tens of thousands of people
pouring into our country.
We have no idea who they are.
And to this day, we're looking for people.
We have no idea.
We hear that we have terrorists in our country
that are so bad,
they couldn't stay in any other country,
but we're getting them out.
And the group between Pete and Christie and Tom Holman and everybody working together, people that you would least suspect are reporting them getting it.
Yeah.
And the public is, we are all working together regardless of what courts or judges say to
do what we've determined a priori is the right thing to do. If that's not
terrifying authoritarianism, I don't know what is. We have reached the shrinkage is actually good
phase of the Trump economy with Peter Navarro. Peter Navarro is Donald Trump's former trade
adviser, and he's sort of like an economic Mad Libs generator.
He went on CNBC to address the shrinkage of the GDP.
And he is telling us this is actually a good thing.
Let me explain it to you.
You might be saying, wait, I thought economic growth was good.
No, no, no.
Economic shrinkage is good.
I got to say just one thing about today's news. That's the best negative print
I have ever seen in my life. And the markets need to look beneath the surface of that. We had a 22
percent increase in domestic investment. That is off the charts when you strip out inventories
and the negative effects of the surge in imports
because of the tariffs, uh, you have 3% growth.
Did you guys catch what he just did?
He, he's been telling us the tariffs are phenomenal for months and now he goes, if we remove the
negative effects of the tariffs, which I have never previously acknowledged as a thing,
if you remove all of the bad things that
the tariffs are doing, then we actually had growth as if that's supposed to be reassuring.
This is like an Orwellian up is down, down is up, black is white sort of thing. Shrinkage is growth.
If you remove all the calories, the cheeseburger is a very low calorie thing.
And it's not just Peter Navarro, because over at the White House, they've been running the
same play.
Here's White House Deputy Secretary Anna Kelly, who says, you know, Biden had a lot of a lot
of a role there.
He was president 20 days after all.
The matters of the economy was reported this morning.
There was a slight shrinking in the GDP. What's the response of the White House to
that? Well, look, if you break it down, there is an outsized influence of January in that report.
Remember, this president wasn't elected until January 20th. The GDP is a backward looking
indicator. But all the other indicators that we do have from that report and others show that
there is a really positive trend for this president's new golden age that he is unleashing. Investment is up 22 percent. That is a testament to all these
conversations he's having with 130 countries all around the world trying to make better trade deals
with this president because companies know the way that you'll face no tariffs 100 percent is by
manufacturing here in America. So we are seeing those investments roll in. We are seeing private
sector job growth increase. We are seeing private sector job growth
increase. We are seeing retail shopping increase all the science trend that the new golden age
is underway to thanks to this president's economic leadership. That's a big, fast word salad. But
what she wants us to believe is that the reason the GDP dropped for Q1 has nothing to do with
Trump's tariffs. It's because for the first 20 days of January, which included, by the way,
I think two federal holidays on which there were not even there was not even stock trading on those days, not the massive tariff tariffs Trump imposed after that. It is those
first 20 days that are responsible for Q1 GDP being down. It's not the market anxiety. It's
not the pullback in investment that businesses tell us they're making. It's those 20
days before Trump took office that ruined everything except Peter Navarro said it is the
tariffs that caused the GDP to slip, but it's a good thing. So you have conflicting explanations
here. Peter Navarro says, yes, GDP is down, but it's a good thing because it's a result of the
tariffs. And if you take out the tariffs, we actually had 3% growth.
The White House deputy press secretary gives a completely different explanation, which
is the tariffs actually have nothing to do with it.
It's that Biden was president for those first 20 days.
Is this making sense to you yet?
So here's what we know is going on.
GDP contracted in Q1 that we know.
Number two, the tariffs are hurting the economy.
And then number three, that team Trump is doing Olympic level gymnastics to spin it
as a win.
Trump is saying it's Biden's fault.
Peter Navarro saying if you remove the tariffs, we actually had growth.
Anna Kelly is saying it's actually the 20 days of Biden.
The bigger problem is that they're counting on the fact that a big chunk of the public either won't notice or will believe it anyway because it's
coming from somebody in a suit saying it on television. It's called gaslighting economics.
It's not trickle down. It's not Austrian economics. It's not Chicago school economics.
It's gaslighting economics. When the numbers don't match the narrative, you rewrite the numbers,
you blame the calendar and you say, we like where we're at. Everything is really good. And so where
they landed at is GDP contraction is good. Recession is growth. Ignorance is strength.
We've heard it before. And it's not just in the book 1984. You can almost hear the pain in their voices. Fox News is being dragged,
kicking and screaming into reality. The Trump economy is shrinking. Here is Bill Hemmer.
You can hear the lack of comfort in his voice delivering the numbers on air. And you know,
it's really funny. He almost gets it. He almost figures
it out. All right. So obviously this is just moments after we learned that this GDP number
came out, it did show a drop in growth, a contraction in the economy first that we have
seen in years, in fact, and it's a sharp reversal from the two point four percent growth we saw in
the fourth quarter. So obviously this is a White House that is stepping out to defend its policies on the
economy in a moment where we're waiting to see if the first deal comes through on tariffs.
Yeah, we were looking at this quarter four was 2.4% growth. Quarter three was 3.1,
quarter two is 3.0, and now we're at negative 0.3%. He almost puts it together. You can like hear the rust grinding off of the gears.
It's almost like in 2021, we had growth in 2022. We had growth in 2023. We had growth. You see
where this is going in 2024. We had growth. And then 2025, suddenly the economy contracts. What changed in 2025?
I'm just trying to think what could it be that explains the change.
And then there's Maria Bartiromo who broke the news to her audience like she was announcing
a national tragedy.
The tone is a lot less economic update and more like the president has been shot sort
of feel.
And here's what she had to say.
Welcome back.
We have breaking news right now.
We're getting the GDP in for the first quarter,
and it is a contraction, negative three-tenths of a percent.
This is the first contraction since the first quarter of 2022.
Markets this morning have reversed.
The Dow Industrials right now down 115 points on this contraction of the GDP.
First quarter GDP, first quarter GDP. First read,
we've got more coming up in terms of advances, but the first read on the first quarter GDP is in fact a contraction, down three-tenths of a percent versus an estimate of up three-tenths
of a percent. First contraction since first quarter 2022. Markets reversing down at the lows of the day, down 120, 139 right now on the Dow Industrials.
You know, for years, Fox has been spoon feeding viewers the myth that Trump is an economic
genius.
But now with the GDP falling for the first time in years, they're kind of stuck.
Do they admit that Trump's policies are hurting growth?
Do they invent a story where the numbers are fake and they can't be trusted? Or do they say the
numbers are real, but they are Biden's fault? And they're sort of trying to do all of the above.
The bottom line is this is not a blip. This isn't a weather event. We have Trump imposing sweeping
tariffs, rattled markets, investment slowing. Everything is happening exactly the way economists warn.
This is not some surprising thing nobody could have predicted.
Fox can't spin it away.
The numbers are public and even their hosts are admitting through like gritted teeth.
The growth is gone and the contraction is here.
So it's not a win.
It's a warning.
And if Trump keeps going down this road, we're going to see more of this shocked.
Fox anchors whispering bad news to a base that was promised endless winning, even though every serious
economist said, oh, right, yeah, you impose blanket tariffs.
Economic activity will reduce.
It'll be bad for the economy.
It's happening.
And now they go, oh, well, I don't know how to explain this.
And there's one guy who is sick of it.
And his name is Dave Portnoy.
OK, something very interesting happened.
Dave Portnoy of Barstool Sports, longtime Trump cheerleader, self-proclaimed stock market
guy.
He has turned on Trump over the state of the economy and he did it in plain language that
Trump is definitely going to understand.
He posted, including a screenshot of Trump's troth blaming Biden.
He said, this is Portnoy now.
What's that old expression?
Don't piss down my back and tell me it's raining.
Well, that applies here.
The stock market is a direct reflection of Trump's first hundred days in office.
Doesn't mean it won't get better and that we don't need to be patient, but this is his
market, not Biden's.
And he includes here the screenshot of Trump's truth, social meltdown, where he desperately
tries to blame the market dip on Biden, even though Biden hasn't been president for a while
now.
Portnoy is not having it now.
He is to a degree saying, stop insulting our intelligence.
This is your economy now.
Of course, the reason he's worried about this is he he said it publicly.
He said, listen, I voted for Trump, but I can't log in and see my stock portfolio dropping
two to three percent every day.
That's not going to work for me.
And so there's a couple of reasons that this matters.
Number one, it's who it's coming from.
This is not a liberal.
He's not a never Trump Republican.
This is the kind of wealthy, high visibility influencer who normalized Trump with the younger,
a political male voter.
And for him to say this is on Trump, not on Biden, it does sort of break that loyalty
script that's been written.
Number two, this exposes the cracks in Trump's economic gaslighting campaign because Trump's
strategy has mostly been rollout, damaging tariffs.
Watch the markets flinch.
Blame Biden for the fallout.
It's been 100 days.
Investors aren't stupid.
Many of them aren't.
And even Trump's own fans are realizing this is not someone else's mess.
This is very obviously Donald Trump's mess.
Number three, the broader danger here for Trump is narrative control.
If Portnoy starts saying out loud what a lot of people are thinking and
seeing in the numbers, growth has stalled. Markets are uneasy. The boom is certainly not happening.
Trump loses the illusion of economic strength, which has always been a big part of his brand.
So it's Dave Portnoy who cares about barstool sports, whatever. This is not just a disgruntled tweet.
This is a signal that Trump's cultural allies are realizing what's going on and they're willing to say it out loud. If the economy tanks, it's not going to be Biden's fault. It's going to be
Trump's. And when someone has an audience that overlaps with Trump's base and they start calling
out the BS this early in the game, a hundred days in. It's not good for the president.
Dave Portnoy is not some savior.
He's not some progressive.
He's worried about his own money.
And I understand that when I log in and see my portfolio, it's concerning.
Right.
But he is willing to say something many other Trump supporters are not.
We will have more coverage of this on our bonus show today.
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The White House experienced a total cult moment this week.
Now you might say, well, yeah, David, which one are you talking about?
That's right. I am talking about one of the most unhinged moments yet from Donald Trump's second term
in a straight faced response to a reporter asking Caroline Leavitt, the White House press
secretary.
Listen, Americans are out there.
They're struggling.
They're trying to navigate the messaging from the White House on the economy.
But the GDP is down and stocks are all it's a mess. They're struggling. They're trying to navigate the messaging from the White House on the economy.
But the GDP is down and stocks are all.
It's a mess.
What what's the message?
And the message is, without irony, trust in Trump.
No plan, no policy, just faith like he's some kind of divine figure.
Listen to this.
We talk a lot about volatility and
the marketplace. And the president has stated all along that he's more concerned about
mainstream America, the American worker. You just talked about deregulation and this entire
fair trade and reciprocals. What is your message to the American people in terms of letting them
get through this disturbance and the outcome being greater and a greater good for the American people in terms of letting them get through this disturbance and the
outcome being greater and a greater good for the American worker, the American people,
the American families.
I would say trust in President Trump.
There is a trust in President Trump.
We are in a cult territory here and we've been in it for a while.
The message from the White House is not here's how we're a while. The message from the white house is not, here's how we're fixing it.
The message from the white house is not, here is the timeline through which the policies
implemented so far are going to come back and create great prosperity.
It is trust Trump.
That's the pitch.
And it didn't stop there because is it, uh, during the same press briefing, this was another
wacky exchange.
A reporter pointed out this was before Trump called Bezos to strong arm him and get him to stop doing it. A reporter pointed out Amazon is going to start showing consumers how much Trump's
tariffs are adding to prices. They're going to put a number next to the price tag saying of the 20
bucks, four dollars is because of the tariff. Seems like
basic transparency. No, no, no. Caroline Leavitt says it's a hostile and political act by Amazon.
So it was reported this morning that Amazon will soon display a little number next to the price of
each product that shows how much the Trump tariffs are adding
to the cost of each product. So isn't that a perfect crystal clear demonstration that it's
the American consumer and not China who is going to have to pay for these policies?
I will take this since I just got off the phone with the president about Amazon's announcement.
This is a hostile and political act by Amazon. Why didn't Amazon
do this when the Biden administration hiked inflation to the highest level in 40 years?
And I would also add that it's not a surprise because as Reuters recently wrote,
Amazon has partnered with a Chinese propaganda arm. So this is another reason why Americans
should buy American. It's another reason why Americans should buy American.
It's another reason why we are on shoring critical supply chains here at home to shore
up our own critical supply chain and boost our own manufacturing.
He's still a Trump supporter. Look, I will not speak to the president's relationships
with Jeff Bezos, but I will tell you that this is certainly a hostile and political action, a hostile and political action.
Pricing transparency is now considered a political attack.
Informing Americans about what they're paying because of Donald Trump's tariff policies
is being framed as an act of sabotage.
You really can't make this stuff up.
But think about what it is they want from you.
They don't want you to question rising costs and say, why is it happening?
Give me information.
No, no, no.
You just need to trust Trump.
And if a company has the testicular or ovarian fortitude to show you what Trump is doing
to your wallet saying, look, this is
a product that would be $4 cheaper if it weren't for the tariffs.
It's considered hostile.
Transparency is considered hostile.
This isn't governance.
This is propaganda with a press badge.
And now we have to see how it's filtering to other areas of the media and of government.
And it's as dystopian and authoritarian as you might imagine.
Let's go now to Fox and Friends is Ainsley Earhart, the girlfriend of Sean Hannity.
Ainsley Earhart delivered what might be the most embarrassing segment of state media we've
seen yet.
Of course, it's not of state media we've seen yet.
Of course, it's not actually state media.
It's Fox News, but it might as well be on live television praising Donald Trump like
a flawless renaissance man.
Here is Ainsley taken aback by just how gifted Donald Trump is.
He's so good at everything.
He's so good.
I watched the press conference yesterday when the Phillies, when the Eagles were at the White House.
And he is so good at communicating.
It's such a gift because if we had to do that, I don't know enough about football.
I would be a nervous wreck.
But he knows about every sport.
He knows about trade.
He knows about the border.
He's so equipped for this job.
And I think he's having more fun.
He even said that in an interview with The Atlantic. He's having he's funny and he's having fun, more fun
this go round. But he talked to the coach. He brought the security guy up who let him talk.
He talked to the owner. He talked to all the players. He talked about the plays and how they
beat the chiefs this time. It was just I watched that press conference and I thought he is gifted. Well, and, and to the, let's
pull the audience. In fact, we're going to go out and the, I watched, yeah, the audience
agrees that Trump's gifted this. This is how far gone there. I mean, it's not just that
he's competent and smart and all of it. He is gifted. The guy who thinks stealth planes are literally invisible,
not just invisible to radar and that tariffs are paid by other countries. He's a master of sports.
He's a master of economics. He's a master of immigration policy. Who knew this is not
journalism. This is a cult testimonial with hair and makeup. That's what we have here. And good
lighting. OK. And the saddest part is that you can almost hear the desperation underneath this.
Imagine knowing your job requires you to praise without blinking an orange man who can't name a single foreign leader without fumbling and thinks
windmills cause cancer and confuses tariffs with taxes and political asylum with insane
asylums.
But everybody's just got to keep smiling and nodding.
I mean, listen, do see is looking a little uncomfortable with it.
Kill me.
It looks like he just had bad clams casino and it's starting to ferment.
But they smile and they nod because he got to put food on the table.
Right.
So this is not analysis.
This is fan fiction with a studio budget at the end of the day.
And it is something that should horrify and terrify every single one of us.
OK, I want to give you now. This is the end of the nauseating part of the show.
Unless you find my shirt nauseating, in which case, well, it's going to be a little bit longer.
But I'm going to give you your daily dose of secondhand embarrassment. Tammy Bruce. Yes.
The Tammy Bruce, formerly from Fox News, now State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce. Yes. The Tammy Bruce, formerly from Fox News, now State Department spokesperson Tammy Bruce.
She went on TV and she delivered one of the most sycophantic performances of the Trump era.
She doesn't just praise Trump. She doesn't say he's gifted the way Ainsley Earhart did earlier.
She glazes him. This is a full on fawning over his supposed strength and genius
and leadership. It's like she, Tammy, you got the job. You don't have to keep auditioning
for it. No, no, no. You do with Trump. You do have to keep auditioning for it. I was
expecting her to start crying tears of joy here. Listen to this. I am standing here because
of my faith in the president of the United
States. Faith, right? This is the theme. Caroline Leavitt says you've got to just trust Trump.
Don't question, just trust. Tammy Bruce says I have faith in the president prior to him
winning this particular election, knowing from his past what he's accomplished.
We, of course, the American people have felt the same way in returning him to this office after four years that were not good for the people of this country,
economically or otherwise. There are an extraordinary number of accomplishments
ranging from the closed border, inflation going down, uh, people at, uh, tables to discuss peace and ceasefires that
never anyone had imagined or was able to accomplish previously.
What's especially humiliating about this is that this is not just a Fox news pundit, although
she was that, that's the funny thing.
This is not a Fox news pundit anymore.
Uh, this is a state department official.
This is someone who represents
the United States abroad and she's acting like she's doing PR for a celebrity cult leader,
not the president of a democratic country, which she sort of is because that's what Trump has
become. You know, it's one thing to support your boss. It's another to worship him in public. Like
your job depends on it. But under Trump, her job does depend on it.
That's the thing about it.
So Caroline Leavitt, Fox News, State Department, it's all fully gone cult.
Where can we get real information?
I hate to say it, but a lot of the places that the administration says are the fake news enemy of the people, that's kind of becoming a sign that that's who you might actually
want to be listening to.
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podcast notes. All right. As I'm sure many of you know, there is this guy, Charlie Kirk from
Turning Point USA, who goes around to college campuses and he debates mostly college kids.
And he's built a huge following for being a great debater and just owning everybody
and destroying liberals.
And one of the things that I do think occasionally is useful to do is really to break down his
arguments and you will see that these debates are really referenda on who is better at debating.
They're not really adjudications of the truth or reality. So I'm
going to play one for you here and then we're going to talk about it. This is only a minute.
The topic is sort of like affirmative action, DEI hiring type practices. And Charlie Kirk
went viral with this video because he made such great points. But I'm going to apply just a little
bit of critical thinking and you will see these are not really great points.
Let's first look at the viral video, then we'll break it down.
Right now, the NBA is 75 percent black.
If all of a sudden the NBA said we want more diversity, it's too black.
Yeah, right.
Because we want to have more diversity.
Right.
And they would say we are not allowed to have any more than 30 percent of the NBA be black
with the quality of the NBA go down.
The quality of the NBA, arguably right now,
yeah, it would. So half of the, I think you can see what I'm saying, right? Yeah, no. Half of the NFL
is black. Yeah. If all of a sudden, you know, Roger Goodell, boo, we don't like Roger Goodell. If he
came and he's like, hey, diversity is our strength. Right. We're only going to say 30% of the NFL is
black. That would, you would have other unqualified white
people that would then get positions in the NFL and the quality of play would slip. Right. So you
get the argument. Yeah. You then extrapolate that to other walks of life. Right. You think
yourself, let's just hire the best. Yeah. And the NFL does. It should be the best. No, totally.
What the thing is like. But I don't think there should be restrictions to anybody as long as you're good at what
you do.
It doesn't really matter.
I OK, so the analogy here to hiring is to sports.
Now I know some of you have asked me, why is Charlie Kirk like eating and glitching
and twitching and doing weird things the entire time?
I have no idea.
I don't I have no clue.
I noticed that I'm not going to get into that.
Let's talk about the analogy to sports. Sports are a really narrow, extreme case. Sports are not a model for
all of society in any way. It's it's a terrible analogy. He talks about the NFL and the NBA.
These are these are complete and total outliers. They measure pure, specialized physical skills. How fast can you run the 40? How high can you jump?
How agile? What's your level of endurance in most jobs? That sort of easily measurable
physical ability is not the metric. It's a terrible analogy because in most jobs,
success is based on complex, varied skills,
leadership, communication, creativity, critical thinking.
So when Charlie Kirk says extrapolate my analogy from the NBA and NFL to everything,
it's a terrible thing to extrapolate.
You can't take a world where vertical leap and sprint speed dominate and apply it to hiring a doctor or an
engineer or a teacher or a CEO. Sports leagues are the exception, not the rule. It's and that's why
Charlie Kirk is selecting it. The best is not some pure, obvious thing outside of the world of sports.
The speaker acts like it's very easy to spot the best in regular jobs.
It's not in sports stats like points, yards, tackles.
These are completely quantitative.
Hiring is completely subjective.
And so that's why unconscious biases, whether they be about race or gender or increasingly
about class, shape who we think is the best.
And when you look historically,
this is why we're even talking about this. You had entire groups, highly qualified women,
highly qualified black people and others who were systematically excluded from opportunities,
not because they weren't the best, but because of bias. So this is not about seeking equality
of outcome. It is about equality of opportunity.
And so when we pretend that merit naturally rises without bias, just like in the NBA or
the NFL to complete in total fantasy, because hiring the best requires addressing the barriers
that sometimes prevent the best from even being seen.
You know, the concept of the fair competition that he talks about,
it doesn't necessarily exist without some intervention. Charlie Kirk imagines a level
playing field where everybody's already getting a fair shot. If that were true, that would be great.
But it's not true in the NBA. A poor black teenager can get noticed if he dunks over some seven footer at a high school game in law,
in technology, in business, in academia. You might not even get into the room without elite schooling
or networking opportunities or the right mentors. And that is shaped by wealth. It's shaped to some degree, at least historically it was by race.
And so talent might be universal, but access is not. Diversity initiatives don't lower the bar.
They try to expand the pool and fix a pipeline that might be broken so that then, yes, ability
can decide who actually wins rather than privilege. So if you want a real
meritocracy, you have to fight the advantages that exist. You can't pretend that they aren't there.
Nobody is proposing hard racial quotas like Charlie Kirk describes, saying only 30 percent
black players in the NBA is a ridiculous straw man, because in real life, diversity policies
don't cap groups.
They widen participation.
And that's really the goal.
The other thing is we don't need perfect representation.
What I mean by that is the following.
There's no doubt that even if unconscious bias plays a role, historical discrimination
plays a role, et cetera.
There can still be perfectly benign reasons why one group might be over or underrepresented
in certain areas.
So if you look at the population and you say, OK, 50.3 percent of the population is women.
But as was the case at a certain point, zero% of the Senate has ever been women, right?
There was a point at which there had been no female Senator.
A sensible person would look and look at that and go, okay, that, that doesn't make sense.
There has to be something going on there that is a barrier, uh, either ideologically or
legally or something that would explain why despite being 50.3% of the population, there
has never been a woman senator.
On the other hand, you might have 38 or 42% of the Senate be women.
Hypothetically, we don't.
But imagine that you did and then you would say, well, 42% of the Senate is women and
50.3% of the population is women.
We must fix this immediately.
No, not necessarily that, that,
that may not be the case. You may actually have an explanation that is not this 0%, uh, very obvious
fiasco in some areas. And that's okay. So, so it's a straw man to suggest that we need exact
representation in every industry that mirrors a population demographics. So Charlie Kirk,
as usual, sounds very good. He's very well prepared, but it's bogus. It's nonsense. And a
lot of college kids are falling for this stuff. We are seeing a growing trend that when Donald
Trump is asked about things, he hasn't heard of it. And we've got a bunch more examples of that. Here is a reporter asking Trump there was a car bomb in Moscow. It killed the Russian general.
Any reaction? Trump's like, huh? Who killed what?
Speaker 4 Yep.
The what?
What? What happened? Trump then asked any update on Pete
Hegseth, you know, multiple signal chats where he's sharing information with people he shouldn't
be sharing it with. Remember this major national security scandal? Trump's like, why? What would
I mean? I don't have any updates. I hear hear pretty good. Mr. President, any update on Secretary Hassell? Your confidence in him about what?
With the signal, having signals.
I don't view signal as important here.
What do you think?
I don't view signal as important.
I think it's fake news.
I don't view it as important.
It's fake news, guys.
Follow up on the on the signal thing.
Of course, I don't have any follow up on that.
What do you what?
Why would I have follow up on that?
Nothing's going on. It's fake news, guys. Follow up on the on the signal thing. Of course, I don't have any follow up on that.
What do you want?
Why would I have follow up on that?
Nothing's going on.
This is the way the administration is being run.
This is this is every day in the White House.
Trump asked you taking Melania to dinner for her birthday.
Did you get her a present?
Trump's like, no, but people are understanding how great tariffs are. What's on tap for Melania's birthday?
Oh, she's going to have a great birthday.
She's got she's got a working birthday.
She's up front.
I should send her back.
You want to have somebody answer question?
I'll send I'll send her back into the lion's pit.
Susie, let's send Melania back to the lion's pit.
Are you taking her to dinner?
By the way, they would love that.
We see your your office up there sometime.
We'll let them come up a little bit later.
OK, I'm taking it.
All right.
And then Trump shuffle shuffling away and then just you can. I'm sure that Melania
is completely fine playing second fiddle to tariffs. And then finally, Trump asked a very
good question, which is, can you commit that nobody on your team was leaking trading tips
to Wall Street executives so that they could monetize the timing of the tariffs being on and off,
which led to huge stock market swings, essentially providing insider trading information.
Can you tell us nobody did that?
Trump's answer.
All I can tell you is I didn't to myself.
I can't imagine anybody doing that. I have very honorable people that I can say.
That sounds like Trump absolutely cannot tell us that there was not insider information
being leaked as tips to people who could have traded and profited from it.
Trump is telling us, why would anyone on my team do that?
We're all very honorable.
If we've learned anything, it's that the people working for Trump are not honorable and Trump
being very cagey, very careful about that one.
What a day.
Fox News is continuing to melt down over the Trump polling disaster.
You turn on Fox News these days, sort of looks like a funeral.
Fox host Sandra Smith acknowledging the polling disaster that is afflicting Donald Trump.
And you can see that this is not a particular this is not the golden age for Fox News, I
think is fair to say.
Listen to this.
This is President Trump's job approval rating on taxes.
Thirty eight percent approved.
Fifty three percent disapproved.
This Fox News polling, 38 percent on the economy, approved 56 percent disapproved. This is Fox News polling. 38 percent on the economy
approved, 56 percent disapproved, 33 percent on inflation. We know this was hugely election.
Fifty nine percent disapproved. But Scott Bessett had a very important message as the 100 day mark
approaches on all of that. Listen from this morning. We've got a three legged stool here. It's trade, it's taxes, deregulation. President Trump has come out of the box roaring.
I mean, this is something new for the American people. We're going to continue to make the U.S.
the best destination for capital in the world. And that's something new might be, you know,
the short term pain people are feeling reflected in the polls.
But will they hang in there, Robert, to see what is promised?
As you can see, even Fox News having to acknowledge this short term pain thing. I don't know if
they're going to hang in there for as long term gain.
Yeah, let me be quick here. I mean, one, Steve knows a a tariff is a tax on the consumer.
Yes, it brings revenues, but it's not a tax cut to the consumer. So that's just not true. And Steve's actually written about that, as has Kevin Hassett.
With respect to the three legged stool, I think with short term pain, you're seeing it in the polls.
People would don't know really what's going on. Things are actually some of the prices are going up.
Some are going down.
This is not actually the immediate, you know, great, you know, great economy with that.
The president spoke about actually half the economists thinks we're going into a recession.
It is not typical.
It is not typical.
That you have Fox News acknowledging bad polling for a president that is a Republican and then
bringing on commentators who instead of sanitizing it and saying, no, it's actually fine and
it's going to be fine, acknowledging that the policies that are resulting in the decline
in polling are genuinely bad policies for the country, for the economy and
for the American people. And this was two people. This was Robert Wolf, former Obama economic
advisor, but also right wing Stephen Moore. And they all agree the tariffs are taxes on the
American people. You might say that they are taxes that are warranted and correct or not.
And maybe they would disagree as far as that goes. But this is not your typical
Fox News segment. And Fox News is now in the unenviable but funny position of having to figure
out how to bridge the gap between sucking up endlessly to a Republican president you want
to continue being on good terms with on the one hand and on the other hand, uh, communicating
with an audience that isn't buying that this is all great for them as they see what happens to
their 401ks and as they anticipate that their small businesses are going to suffer. And Fox
news is, I guess, just figuring it out. Uh, how long is this tenable? If things don't turn around
with the tariffs and the market instability
and all of it?
It feels like it's a matter of weeks, if not days.
Don't forget that the best way to support The David Pakman Show is by becoming a member,
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All right. Let's get into Friday feedback for the week. Friday feedback. We'll look at responses
and comments across all of our platforms. But you can also email info at David Pakman dot com if you
have a specific question, comment or whatever the case may be.
Let's start with Isaac Hardy Ken balls who says, hey, David Pakman, let's clean this
up before you run off with another half baked headline.
Yes, the FSU shooter Phoenix Eichner was a disturbed individual with far right and pro
Trump views.
He was reportedly kicked out of a student group for white supremacist rhetoric and posted
Nazi symbolism online.
That's all documented.
But here's where your claim collapses.
Law enforcement has not confirmed any political motive behind the shooting.
This wasn't some MAGA operation.
It was a tragic, complex case
involving mental health, personal instability and access to a gun owned by his deputy stepmom.
So it's not accurate or ethical to say pro-Trump MAGA lunatic shot up FSU,
unless you're trying to spin trauma into content. Well, as is often the response to these emails, criticize me for things I've actually said.
Not only did I not weigh in as to the motive for that shooting in the video, I said police are
still searching for a motive. What I did was, as you say, stick to the facts, facts that Isaac
acknowledges. The FSU shooter had far right pro Trump views.
The FSU shooter was kicked out of a student group for white supremacist rhetoric.
The FSU shooter posted Nazi symbolism online.
Isaac acknowledges that and I acknowledge that in the video.
The problem with the allegation from Isaac is that I don't claim to know the motive in the video. And I
specifically say the police are looking for a motive. So Isaac's advice to me is to only say
things that are backed up by the facts, which I did in that video. My suggestion to Isaac is when you write into shows to criticize a host for what they
said, maybe first figure out if they actually said it. What about that? Chemical top wrote on
our subreddit. Where does the phrase with tears in my eyes, sir, originate? I'm assuming this
quote is from a deranged Trump rant. Yeah. So here's the whole tears in my eyes thing.
One of Trump's tells that he's almost certainly lying about a story is that he will frame
it by saying, you know, people come up to me with tears in their eyes and they say,
sir, you've got to get rid of all these Mexicans or, you know, he'll like claim to have been
told something in that framework.
Very often the stories are completely unbelievable.
And so it's sort of become a joke that the with tears in my eyes, sir, is a verbal shorthand
for when Trump is completely fabricating some claim whole cloth and it has no relation to
or connection with reality whatsoever.
So those those are the oranges of that phrase.
Brie Guy wrote, Hey, David, what happened to those crypto projects you used to advertise
on your show?
So there's kind of like two answers here.
First of all, I don't keep track of our sponsors when they're no longer sponsors.
I would assume like many sponsors over the years, some of the crypto projects we advertised
have shut down that that would be my guess. Similar to, you know, we had advertisers on
the show five years ago selling a product that have also shut down. I think, you know, the implication
here seems to be that there was some kind of like scam that I participated in by promoting
certain projects as advertisers. You know, as I've said before, um, doing that would primarily harm me. Like the, the idea that
I would think of making a quick buck by scamming my audience into something. I have no incentive
to destroy trust with my audience in that way. I try to be very clear with advertisers,
especially when there's anything financial that I am giving no financial advice on the show, period.
And everybody should be researching no matter what product you're going to buy or if you're involved in a crypto thing or anything.
You should really be doing all due diligence yourself and ensuring that whatever decision you're making is the right decision for you. But beyond that, you know, I've always operated in good faith. Not every sponsor
industry is perfect. The idea that I would bring on scams to the audience, it's backwards from how
we approach our work. So I don't know if this particular person's implying that, but it's certainly certainly
seems to be the case.
OK, Steffi Bob Effie says as a mother to an autistic child, this is absolutely terrifying.
Autism is not destroying families, but a registry would.
Steffi is, of course, referring to Robert F. Kennedy Jr's recent statements about how he's
never seen an adult with quote full blown autism in public and the idea that the Trump
administration has of building an autism registry of autistic people.
Yeah.
You know, we, we heard from so many parents of autistic people and even also autistic
people themselves, everybody saying this sort of idea that either adult autism doesn't exist
because RFK doesn't see it or that it's an affliction with which no one could tolerate
to live.
The reality of course, being that many, uh, autistic people pay taxes the
way, you know, RFK said they don't and go to the bathroom by themselves, hold jobs again, not,
not joking. Elon Musk has said he's autistic. And although he pays very little in taxes,
he does pay taxes and have a job. He has like 10 jobs. In fact, part of why everything's collapsing is he has too many jobs. So yeah, I, I did get a lot of emails like that. Um, and also Zoe Beth wrote in on a blue sky about
the same issue and said, David, not to discount the amazing point you made, but I saw a guy in
a wheelchair at the gym two weeks ago and also a deaf man who I was attempting to sign with rich assholes like RFK Jr.
don't care to interact with those he seems he deems as defective. He's an effing ghoul. Yeah,
that that's it's also as I was mentioning, it's also important to mention that RFK is sort of
general general view that folks with autism and other conditions that
he mentioned in passing, sort of like as an aside, they do participate in society.
And I might have said, you know, RFK isn't seeing some of these folks at the gym, but
Zoe Beth is seeing some of these folks at the gym.
So the point is incredibly limited, unempathetic and completely unproductive perspective on
this.
Redash wrote on the subreddit, if it was proven, if it was proven that the Trump assassination
was staged, would that tip the tide?
And Redash goes on to elaborate.
Imagine for a second, a credible source came out that Trump staged
the assassination attempt at the Pennsylvania rally. Indisputable facts come out that the
MAGA is that was shot, was dying anyway, and it would give him honor if he martyred himself to
help Trump. Similarly, the shooter being someone who is willing to be a martyr. He was a hardcore
MAGA is after all. Okay. If this revelation came out, uh, this individual says
what would happen is denial followed by de-emphasis where the narrative becomes, it's not a big
deal that Trump pulled this ruse because the ends justify the means that Trump needed to
be elected to save the country or some noble purpose. Then it would disappear from the
airwaves like nothing happened. Similar to the scandal involving Hegseth and the signal fiasco. It saddens me to think that the MAGA base is so
delusional they would buy that argument that it wouldn't shed much of his loyal base.
I agree with Redash. If it came out that the Trump assassination was staged, you would see a few
reactions. Some would just deny it. They would go, Nope, we can't believe it wasn't really staged. No matter what reporting comes out, they would deny that it was staged.
Second, one group would acknowledge it was staged, but they would say
Democrats are the ones who either did it or are the bad guys. Trump had to stage it or it was
Democrats who stage whatever they would try to spin staged into orchestrated. And then number three, some
would say Trump was right to do it. Trump had no choice but to stage it because of something
Democrats or Joe Biden or Kamala Harris did. That's my sense of the three reactions you'd get. Now, I do think that some MAGA people might turn on Trump
if it was revealed that he staged the assassination, but a large swath would not.
And I think you'd hear those three explanations. Bubba Zuckerberg asks, curious, did you cast such
a critical eye on Biden's P.S.? I think they mean Biden's B.S. Did you cast such a critical eye on Biden's PS? I think they mean Biden's BS.
Did you craft cast such a critical eye on Biden's BS?
I mean, seriously, there's ample content available yet somehow me thinks you didn't.
Well, all you need to do is go look at my YouTube channel.
All the videos I did when Biden was president are still up.
And while I said Biden did many good things and I listed those, I was also critical of
Biden for the things he did that I thought were not so good or things I thought he should
have done and didn't.
I was critical of Biden for not doing more when it came to cannabis, for example.
Oh, ask the DEA to reschedule.
OK, I would have liked to have seen more done there.
I would have liked to have seen more done there. I would have liked to have seen a serious tax
proposal. We just kept the same tax plan from Trump's 2017 tax cuts and jobs act. I was critical
of Biden in other areas as well. I think he was a far better president than Trump. So of course
I was less critical of Biden than Trump because I think Biden was a better president. But the idea
that, you know, uh, I'm not even, it would be funny if people understood I think Biden was a better president. But the idea that, you know, I'm not even it would be funny if people understood.
I've never been a Democrat and I don't do the whole like, yes, sir, I'm here with the
party talking points thing for Democrats.
I'm not part of a lot of the Democratic little groups and clubs that the overtly Democratic
media are.
I think a lot of these right wingers don't seem to realize that Stevie Steve says, can
you actually have a politician who will speak against the talking points and speak truly
you as just the host only has so much responsibility.
But if these politicians actually care, they should be more direct and less indignant that
borders indifference.
I don't totally know what Stevie is saying, but I still wanted to include this because
I want to tell you what I believe my responsibility is when doing interviews with lawmakers.
Number one, it's are they saying things that are blatantly untrue?
And if so, I want to be prepared to rebut that.
Number two, are they speaking to generically about issues in a way that doesn't really
connect with the salience of these issues for individual households?
You know, when we hear generically from politicians, we've got to do something about health care.
OK, well,
do you really even understand? Are you speaking to what this really means for the average person?
I think Cory Booker during our interview did demonstrate that he knows exactly what it means for the average person. OK. And then number three, I need to be prepared to address substantively any areas in which they may seek to shut down
conversation.
That's sort of what I see as my role in a lot of those conversations.
And I will continue to try to do that.
I don't 100 percent know exactly what was meant by by the rejecting of the talking points. But my goal here in these
interviews always is let's get beyond the talking points for sure. Info at davidpacman.com. Remember
that you can get on our newsletter for free at davidpacman.substack.com critically important
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we'll see you on the bonus show and I will be back here Monday as well.