The David Pakman Show - 7/7/25: Trump’s hands all over Texas flood catastrophe, Elon goes scorched earth

Episode Date: July 7, 2025

-- On the Show: -- Trump-era cuts to the National Weather Service may have contributed to deadly Texas floods that killed over 80 people, including 21 children -- GOP Rep. Jason Smith misuses the word “exponential” to hype a minor GDP increase, revealing MAGA’s ignorance of basic math -- Elon Musk launches a new “America Party” to directly challenge Trump and threatens to splinter MAGA from within -- Trump attacks Elon Musk over his third-party launch, calling him a “train wreck” and claiming credit for killing the EV mandate -- Trump delivers confused July 4th speech full of lies as Melania appears visibly concerned by his rambling -- A deadly measles outbreak tied to RFK Jr., Trump’s anti-vax Health Secretary, becomes a political and public health nightmare -- Trump's tariff plan set to explode July 9 risks global trade chaos, higher prices, and economic blowback -- Trump uses antisemitic slur “shylocks” and then denies knowing it’s offensive despite centuries of bigoted use -- Trump fumbles basic facts and timelines during a press conference, showing alarming confusion while aides bail him out -- Joe Rogan criticizes Trump’s immigration raids on migrant workers, signaling a slow break from MAGA politics -- On the Bonus Show: DOJ says there's no Epstein client list, Trump orders tourists to pay more at national parks, Candace Owens says Trump told her to stop claiming Macron's wife is a man, and much more... 🌀 Hypnozio: Get 15% off with code PAKMAN15 at https://davidpakman.com/hypnozio 🔊 Babbel language learning: Get up to 60% OFF at https://babbel.com/pakman ⚠️ Ground News: Get 40% OFF their unlimited access Vantage plan at https://ground.news/pakman ✉️ StartMail: Get 50% OFF for a year subscription at https://startmail.com/pakman 💪 AG1 is offering you a FREE $76 GIFT when you sign up at https://drinkag1.com/pakman -- Become a Member: https://davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe to our (FREE) Substack newsletter: https://davidpakman.substack.com/ -- Get David's Books: https://davidpakman.com/echo -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow -- David on Bluesky: https://davidpakman.com/bluesky -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow

I have to start with a very clear and definitive statement today. No one is cheering what is happening in Texas with the floods. One of the things that the Maga right is now latching on to because they know they're out of arguments. They know that the cuts to the National Weather Service and all of these different cuts that the Trump administration has put in place, they know that on some level it has made the death toll from the flooding worse, but they cannot admit that. And so instead, they are accusing the left of cheering as the death toll tragically goes up.

And I can't imagine a more disgusting way to deflect blame for the guy they voted for doing what he said he would do and it having the obvious predictable impact that it would have. So let's sort of back up a little. I know I'm shot out of a cannon here. As of this moment, the tragedy is believed to have taken more than 100 lives in Texas. Catastroph catastrophic flooding. As of yesterday morning, 69 were confirmed dead, 11 girls and a counselor from Camp Mystic missing.

We now are 24 plus hours on from that. And I'm going to be very frank with you. It's not clear that state officials are at all coordinated or forthcoming about the death toll. Time is going to tell. I am stopping short of saying they're straight up lying. I'm sort of leaving some benefit of the doubt and saying it's a chaotic scene in Texas. It may just be that various officials are not coordinated properly on the death toll.

And eventually we're going to get the real number, but it is believed to now be over 100. I am concerned that many of these deaths were preventable. I'm horrified that the Trump administration appears to have had a hand in aggravating the circumstances in Texas. The staffing shortages at the National Weather Service is San Angelo and San Antonio offices doubled under the Trump administration.

In other words, the number of people they are missing to be at full staffing has doubled since Trump became president. The warning coordination meteorologist in San Antonio left after taking an early retirement package that was offered by the Trump administration. This is part of what Doge did to reduce the federal workforce. We've seen the National Weather Service lose nearly 600 employees down from about 4000 to 3400. That's huge.

There have been hiring freezes, travel restrictions that make it tougher to replace staff or even just do the coordination that's necessary with the local officials. And the forecasting offices started cutting overnight operations. They reduced balloon launches to collect weather data, which allow more accurate warnings and weather reports. And of course, emergency planning, not a strong suit for any Trump administration. We saw that during the first one. Employees just being left with less time and fewer resources for emergency planning.

And so we now are seeing the effect of that. Now there are some reporters that are bringing this up, and I'm glad to see that they are. Here is a reporter asking Governor Greg Abbott about the vacancies at the Kerr County related to Kerr County Weather Service. And could that have impacted what happened here? You know, Greg Abbott doesn't really want to hear it. You talked about expertise and about just knowing the area and that extends also to the National Weather Service folks who are in those offices and have years and years of experience.

There are currently six vacancies in the local national weather service office that cover her county. How what is your perspective on how that could have impacted the warnings that you all were able to get and how accurate information? So I know nothing about the staffing. What I do know is hasn't doesn't have a clue, folks, what they put out. And it's my understanding that what they put out was kind of the information that the state was operating off of. And that is that there were alerts or warnings about heavy rain, potential for flash flooding in certain areas.

A problem with that is that to most people in the area, flash flooding would mean one thing, not what it turned out to be, because they deal with flash floods all the time. So Greg Abbott's argument is completely unpredictable. They get these flash flood warnings all the time. They're sort of desensitized, has nothing to do with the staffing whatsoever. As the death toll continued to rise over the weekend, the Kerrville city manager refused to answer questions as to the same topic question. Yeah.

Well, one of the questions that still hasn't been answered three days into this is despite the warning on July 2nd, July 3rd, something like this could have happened that the threat existed. Why that information didn't get down to cancer, why they weren't evacuated. Can you answer that now? That is a great question. But again, we want to make sure that we continue to focus. We still have 11 missing children that we want to get reunited with our families until we can get until we can get reunited with our family with the families. We are not. We are not going to stop. We are not going to stop until we do. So thank you. Any emergency alert given out on the board that morning of anyone who deserve better than that. And off he goes. You know, the theme here is what the theme is that big, tough, strong, burly, independent

rely on nobody. Texas seems completely unable to handle storms, to handle floods, to handle school shootings, to handle immigration, to handle power outages. That's the theme here. Now, Maga Mike Johnson, congressman and speaker of the House, he said he knows what we need in times like these. And it requires you to get down on your knees and pray. That's the idea from MAGA Mike.

And federal resources have just poured into that area. Is there anything more that can be done congressionally, legislatively to help these folks? In a moment like this, we feel just as helpless as everyone else does. I've talked to my colleagues there in Texas, Chip Roy and August Fluger, whose families, you know, that's Chip's district. August's daughters were at the camp. We also had Betty Carter of Georgia had grandchildren there. It touches so many families and all we know to do at this moment is pray. Every available resource has been deployed. The president, of course, is dialed in and watching this develop moment by moment as we are. And

we will handle supplemental funding requests as they come in. But right now, they're still trying to do rescue and recovery. And our hearts go out to all our hearts go out. We must pray and everybody's doing everything right if they have an R next to their name. And then finally, the orange man himself, Donald Trump, it's terrible, he says. It's terrible. But we don't know how many died. What some young people. Hmm.

Trump, as confused as ever. It's terrible. The floods. It's shocking. They don't know the answer yet as to how many people, but it looks like some young people have died. Oh, yeah. We'll take care of it.

We'll work. We're working with the governor to help them with an event that was no doubt worse due to me coming in with my ex buddy, Elon Musk, and just slashing, slashing, slashing, offering people early retirement and getting people the hell out. Now, none of this comes as a shock. Here's a report from May 27th. Officials scrambling to fill national weather service roles.

This did not creep up on us unexpectedly. Days out from what's forecast to be an above normal hurricane season, scientists across the country are sounding the alarm over critical staffing shortages inside the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Officials are scrambling to fill more than 150 critical national weather service roles left vacant after sweeping cuts from the Trump administration. Overall, the service has lost 600 of its 4000 employees since January. Five former NWS directors calling it their worst nightmare in an open letter earlier

this month, predicting understaffing could lead to needless loss of life. And that is exactly what happened. So listen, many charities and groups are saying that they are helping. I can't possibly vet every single one. So I think a reasonable thing, a central clearinghouse of sorts, if you need help or you are looking to help 800 Red Cross, that's 800 733 to 767. They can direct you if you need help or if you are looking to help. I think that that's as reasonable a place to start as ever. You know, I don't think they have any idea what the word exponential means. Sometimes our political discussions are about principles or ethics or morals or political

philosophy. Sometimes it's just people really confused about simple math. When we are talking about the growth that we are or are not to expect from the big, beautiful bill that was passed by the House Senate and signed into law last week by President Donald Trump, one of the words I keep hearing is we're going to have exponential growth. And yet here is Congressman Jason Smith. I don't think they have any damn idea what the word exponential even means. You need to do more.

The tax provisions that we put into this this piece of legislation will create exponential growth. The Congressional Budget Office Jason scored growth at 1.8%. Growth over the last 50 years on average has been 2.7 to 2.8. I guarantee you Jason you're hearing it today. I guarantee you that our growth rate will be above three percent. And if our growth rate is above three percent, this bill will actually cut the deficit by six hundred billion dollars. OK.

You know, the funniest thing about these predictions, right? GDP growth last year was two point eight percent. Jason Smith is promising us, promising this bill is going to get us above three percent. So exponential GDP growth, according to Jason Smith, is going from two point eight percent to three percent. Exponential growth happens when a quantity increases by a fixed percentage or proportion over time interval. So the idea here is compounding each period growth builds on the previous period. So let me give you a really simple example.

You invest a thousand bucks and you're getting a five percent annual return compounded yearly. So the first year that five percent growth on the thousand dollars is 50 bucks. You've now got a thousand fifty dollars. But the second year, the five percent growth is now on the 1050. So the second year, instead of making $50, you're now making 5250. And then the third year, that 5% is 5763 and so on. Right. Instead of growth by $50 a year, it grows faster and faster.

That's exponential growth. Now what Jason Smith is talking about here is that our GDP growth rate will be growing exponentially. Now could three percent instead of two point eight percent be part of exponential growth if it's applied consistently over time? Yes, it could. But comparing two similar percentages, three percent and two point eight percent by itself is not exponential growth.

If something grows at three percent every year, that's one thing. If something grows at two point eight percent every year, that's another thing. And the growth of the principle could indeed be exponential. But the difference between three percent and two point eight percent, that's just a linear difference. It's a zero point two percentage point difference. That gap is not exponential unless the gap itself keeps growing. Right.

So if one year you go from two point eight to three percent growth. And then the next year you go from three to three point three and then you go to three point six three and then three point nine nine. That would be GDP growth increasing by 10 percent. That would be exponential. It's not possible. OK. In a country that is already developed and at the size and maturity of the American economy, it's just not really possible.

These are just dumb people. And so sometimes we get into a philosophical debate. What is the responsibility of the individual versus the government? We get into a philosophical debate. When does life begin as relevant to abortion law? This is just I don't think they know what they're talking about. I don't think they know what exponential even means about. I don't think they know what what exponential even means. And Jason Smith is really proving that here.

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So get on our free newsletter list at sub stack dot David Pakman.com. It's happening and it is triggering Donald Trump. It always ends like this. You put two massive egos together, circling each other, and very often one will end up snapping. Elon Musk and Donald Trump were never built to coexist for a while. It kind of worked because Trump loved being flattered by Elon and he loved getting two hundred and fifty million dollars from Elon. And Elon liked being in the cabinet meetings and he liked being at Mar-a-Lago and he liked being on Air Force One. But billionaires don't often stay sidekicks for long when they are this egomaniacal.

And Elon Musk is now going full scorched earth over the weekend. He dropped the news that he is launching a new political party, not a think tank, not a pack, but a political party. It is called the America Party. And the timing couldn't be more of a shot across the bow at Trump, at MAGA and at Republicans. A day after Trump signs this tax and spend bill that Musk said is insane and it'll bankrupt the country, Elon takes to X and he puts out a nasty excretion where he says, quote, By a factor of two to one, you want a new political party and you shall have it when it comes to bankrupting our country with waste and graft. We live in a

one party system, not a democracy. Today, the America Party is formed to give you back your freedom. Trump called the bill big and beautiful. Elon called it insane. And now he's starting his own political party. Now, Musk says he's going to be spending real amounts of his own money to go after lawmakers who backed the tax bill. That means Republicans. That means Trump's Republicans. So Elon is really aiming at Trump's base here.

He's aiming at Republican districts. He's aiming at the Republican grip on Congress. Now the Internet is treating this sort of like a meme, but this is really far beyond online drama. This is to a degree real world world power that is trying to rip the Republican Party in half. Now, here's the interesting thing about it To a degree this could work not because people like Elon, especially on the left people don't like Elon

The the left wing support of Elon that ship sailed a while ago Progressives bailed when he started tweeting like a reddit mod on a ketamine bender But MAGA voters some of them still see Elon as a sort of renegade, a disruptor, a guy who knows how to get things done. And if even five percent of the Republican Party peels off and follows Elon into this half baked revolution, that's potentially enough to blow a hole in Donald Trump's coalition. Now, the catch and here's a big one is that Elon is kind of flaky. You know, Trump and Elon, to a degree, both start stuff and abandon it constantly.

And when it comes to Elon Musk, you know, he launches ideas like their fireworks, most of them fizzle out in midair. He's offloaded the government stuff. He's fighting with his own investors. Three years is a long time for a guy who treats attention like oxygen. So Elon's talking big, but I don't know if he's really going to follow through. Is he going to go out there and recruit candidates and fund their campaigns? Is he going to put boots on the ground and swing districts or in swing states?

Will he back someone for president in twenty twenty eight? Because that's another aspect of this. If Elon starts the America Party, but he doesn't actually back someone for president in twenty twenty eight, if he only, you know, throws a little money at congressional races, but stays out of the presidential race, this is likely not going to be game changing. And I know a lot of you know how this stuff works. If he doesn't turn heads quickly, he'll move on to something else. He'll he'll go back to the Mars stuff or some AI human pig hybrid that nobody asked for.

Who the hell knows what? But you've got a lot of Republicans watching this with sort of tight jaws. But you've got a lot of Republicans watching this with sort of tight jaws. They're hoping Elon forgets about it. They're hoping that Elon moves on. But if Elon is serious about this, it could be a real problem for Republicans. Otherwise, it'll just be part of the sideshow. Another temporary freak out, a momentary fracture that eventually heals. But even if Elon's New America Party flames out, he could be planting relevant seeds here. And the most important sign that this has real potential is that Donald Trump is furious

about it. That tells you everything you need to know. Donald Trump took to truth social and also attacked Elon Musk during a brief press briefing, a press conference, because Elon Musk is starting a new party. Elon is going scorched earth. So Trump is going scorched earth. Here's what Trump posted to Truth Social, quote, I am saddened to watch Elon Musk go completely off the rails, essentially becoming a train wreck over the past five weeks. He even wants to start a third political party despite the fact that they have never succeeded in the United States.

The system seems not designed for them. The one thing third parties are good for is the creation of complete and total disruption and chaos. And we have enough of that with the radical left Democrats who have lost their confidence and their minds. Republicans on the other hand, are a smooth running machine that just passed the biggest bill of its kind in the history of our country. It is a great bill.

But unfortunately for Ilan, it eliminates the ridiculous electric vehicle mandate, which would have forced everyone to buy an electric car in a short period of time. I have been strongly opposed to that from the very beginning. People are now allowed to buy whatever they want. Gasoline powered hybrids, which are doing very well or new technologies as they come about. No more Evie mandate. I have campaigned on this for two years. And quite honestly, when Elon gave me his total and unquestioned endorsement, I asked

him whether or not he knew that I was going to terminate the Evie mandate. It was in every speech I made and in every conversation I had. He said he had no problems with that. I was very surprised. Additionally, Elon asked that one of his close friends run NASA. And while I thought his friend was very good, I was surprised to learn that he was a blue blooded Democrat who had never contributed to a Republican before. Elon probably was also I also thought it inappropriate that a very close friend of Elon, who was in the space business, run NASA when NASA is such a big part

of Elon's corporate life. My number one charge is to protect the American public. All right. So then Trump was asked in New Jersey before getting on a plane after getting off, who the hell knows? Trump says it's all ridiculous what Elon Musk is doing. Starting a third party. I think it's ridiculous to start a third party. We have a tremendous success with the Republican Party.

The Democrats have lost their way, but it's always been a two party system. And I think starting a third party just adds to confusion. It really seems to have been developed for two parties. Third parties have never worked so he can have fun with it. But I think it's ridiculous. You know, the truth is that the United States was really founded in a multiparty environment. That is what we had at the beginning. Trump's claim that the founders wanted a fixed two party structure. Very much not so.

And while I don't support what Elon Musk is doing from the standpoint of what he wants the party to be, of course, I support something that creates a crack in the Republican Party. But I also have to stick to the truth. And the truth is that the current duopoly that we have was very much not what the founding fathers intended. Trump is triggered. He knows it could be very bad for his legacy. We'll see how it shakes out in the midterms. Donald Trump delivered a disastrous Fourth of July

speech. And even Melania Trump noticed that Donald Trump was completely confused and disoriented here, making stuff up. You watch Melania, you realize she realizes it very clearly. Here is Trump talking about Social Security saying something is in the bill that is simply not in the bill. Listen to this. Watch Melania. And our country is going to be a rocket ship economically. And we've delivered no tax on tips, no tax on overtime and no tax on Social Security for our great seniors.

And that's why when you hear things like that, this is the most pop. It's the biggest bill of its kind ever done by far. That is not in the bill. No tax on Social Security is not in the bill. And I think even people in the crowd knew it because he had people in the crowd who are sort of like related to to what's going on, although you had random people in the crowd as well. Trump disoriented and confused.

Is he lying? Hard to tell with Donald Trump. Trump went on a bizarre word salad. It's like a chop chop. It's been chopped up beyond recognition into mush talking about wind and getting it very, very wrong. But what you know, China is right now building 68 coal generating plants and we we're putting up wind. Wind. It doesn't work, I will tell you. Aside from ruining our fields and our valleys

and killing all the birds and being very weak and very expensive, all made in China. You know, I noticed something that with all of the windmills that China sends us, where we waste our money because it's the most expensive energy, I see that, you know, they make about 95 percent of them the wind turbines. I have never seen a wind farm in China. Why is that? Somebody check that out. Tom Emmer, would you please check that out? You know, the reality, this is just the facts. This is this is not, oh, China's good. China's bad. China is the global leader in wind energy.

China has the largest capacity of wind power worldwide. They have it on shore and they have it offshore. Trump is disoriented and Trump is confused. And maybe if he knew that China was the leader in wind, he all of a sudden would want to do it because he seems enamored by what any authoritarian strongman does. And then Trump brazenly lying about the popularity of the bill. This is one of the least popular bills that has been signed into law. Really makes you wonder why aren't our elected

officials doing what the voters want them to do and just say what it is, because it's the most popular bill ever signed in the history of our country, whether you're military or anybody else. This is the most single most popular bill ever signed. I am actually unsure of any major bill that was less popular than this. As I always tell you, unlike the cult leaders and the authoritarians and the right wing media, I'm not telling you to believe it because I said it. Go verify it. Look at the polling on this big, beautiful bill.

Trump making it all up about wind energy, about no taxes on Social Security, about the popularity of the bill. Melania knows it. Oh, no, he's renting again. He's renting again. And she can do nothing, nothing to stop Trump. We'll have more about this specific issue and this bill on today's bonus show. Sign up at Join Pakman Dotcom.

I don't want you to miss it. You know, for weeks now, discussions have focused on Trump's big, beautiful bill and its potential Medicaid cuts. However, a far more dangerous overlooked provision in the bill exists at ground dot news slash Pacman. You'll discover what Maga lawmakers quietly included a provision that could block federal judges from enforcing court orders unless a bond is posted. And if this passes, it could render Trump above the law.

This is a critical detail. It's largely unknown and it really exemplifies this flood the zone strategy of the Trump administration. Now, this is why ground news is essential. It really is the best way to uncover buried information by showing you not just the story, but its origins across the political spectrum. You can see bias ratings, credibility scores, coverage timelines, and their browser extension also will flag potential bias when you're on a news site, sort of guiding you to more reliable sources for fact checking. Ground News gives you a smarter

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And it turns out that a lot of the email services are looking at your emails and can look at your emails even after you have deleted them, which is why I recommend our sponsor start looking at emails won't be scanned. Your emails won't be tracked. Start mail will block those invasive tracking pixels so you won't be monitored by companies and by hackers. And when you delete an email and start mail, it is gone for good. Your data stays private. They are all in on this with a ton of features, including aliases to keep you anonymous, strong encryption a at David Pakman. Trump never expected this, and he now has a total catastrophe on his hands. This is the kind of story that Donald Trump thought that he was done with, the kind that lands on his desk mid scandal,

mid rally, mid in a narcissistic monologue and throws everything off course, because right now measles is back. It is not a few cases back. It is not background noise back. We're talking record breaking, deadly outbreak. And the political blame is heading right for Robert F. Kennedy Jr. when he can take a break from gargling with methylene blue and bathing in beef tallow. His secretary of Health and Human Services is now dealing with more than 1200 confirmed cases of measles this year, more than in any year since the disease was declared eliminated 25 years ago. It's only July.

And these are the worst single year numbers in 25 years. Kids are dying, adults to Texas, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and just about everybody is unvaccinated. Where did this all start? It started in Texas. One in four kindergartners there didn't get their measles shot this year. And that is ground zero. And RFK helped to build it. I have a friend who works in a pediatric ER now not even going to say where, because

this stuff is still fortunately sort of, although not really sort of rare enough that I don't I don't want them to be identified. My friend who works in the E.R. said there are measles cases coming in and parents are lying about whether their kid is vaccinated. And eventually they have conversations where they say, you know, we are thinking this is measles. But are you sure that your child is vaccinated? And they go, oh, you meant the measles vaccine? No, not.

Almost exclusively unvaccinated. And they are bringing it back. Now we have RFK at the helm of the secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services spent decades spreading anti vaccine junk science, linking vaccination specifically to measles, MMR vaccine to autism, a completely disproven link connected to a disbarred now unlicensed and disbarred. It's not the right word. A doctor who's had his license revoked, Andrew Wakefield.

And this is where we find ourselves. Right. Congratulations. We have a deadly outbreak. We've got kids in ICUs. We've got international warnings issued. Mexico has said to travelers, avoid the U.S. There's a health risk of measles there.

Wrap your head around that. And the kicker is that RFK tried to flip the script a few months ago, years of paranoia and pseudoscience. And he suddenly sort of like endorsed vaccines in April, but not really. You know, it was half hearted. And then more recently, he goes further and they fire the federal panel of vaccine experts that have advised presidents no warning, no replacement plan, just gone. Public health leaders are stunned.

The American Medical Association says this is dangerous. Well, they were right. And if you remove expertise, replace it with ego, confusion and conspiracies and you shake it together. What comes out is a rising death count from a preventable disease, collapsing herd immunity and a measles outbreak that has now hit 38 states. I don't think Trump's inner circle saw this coming. They thought, let's appoint R.F.K.

Junior. We'll keep the fringe sort of happy. The anti-vax crowd gets a bone. They can, you know, let them play bureaucrat. Then we move on. But now we've got a crisis. And can, you know, let them play bureaucrat. Then we move on. But now we've got a crisis. And the political reality is that Trump owns it, too. There's no fowl cheetah blame this time around.

It's Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and the political reality is there's no deep state to scapegoat here. He installed RFK. He elevated the anti vax movement to the White House. And now, as we're getting ready to go into another election cycle next year, he's got a national outbreak tied directly to his brand more than a public health issue. This is now a political liability. And you've got independence.

You've got suburban parents. You've got grandparents. You've got conservatives, even to a degree. They want their kids safe. They don't want to be spinning medical roulette every time you step into a kindergarten or a emergency room because a conspiracy theorist got a job in the cabinet. So Trump's boxed in. If he fires RFK, he's going to admit implicitly that this was a terrible idea.

He'll piss off the anti-vax right, which could be a problem. If you keep our FK, you're going to keep getting hammered for every measles death that hits the news. So it's lose, lose. It came out of nowhere or it didn't. Well, not really. This was really a result of what Trump did. So this is now a full on catastrophe.

Trump has walked into it. It's Trump's fault. It's our FK's fault for. I still don't want anybody to die. I don't want kids in ICUs. So hopefully someone figures out a way to talk sense into these parents that are not vaccinating and are sometimes lying about it. A feeble Trump had a terrifying meltdown and is really digging his own grave here. Donald Trump's tariff time bomb is ticking, ticking, ticking.

We are two days away here. And the blast radius, if this bomb goes off on Wednesday, although now it's like when are the tariffs going into place? He's going to decide Wednesday, but they might not go into place until August. If they do, it's going to blow up your wallet, could blow up your job. It could even blow up Elon Musk's bruised ego. OK, here is Donald Trump with another more but more of these overnight posts. Quote, I am pleased to announce that the United States tariff letters and or deals with various countries from around the world will be delivered starting

12 p.m. Eastern today, Monday, July 7th. Thank you for your attention to this matter. Donald J. Trump, president of the United States of America. You know, nothing says leadership like a late night Sunday night press release to the entire planet. We are sending tariff letters. Now remember that we were told 90 deals in 90 days. We are at 88 days and we have, I guess, one deal. It's a very bad deal with Vietnam.

If the Vietnam deal is any indication of what is forthcoming, it's not going to be good. Donald Trump then adding an additional threat on Troth Central, saying, quote, any country aligning themselves with the anti-American policies of bricks will be charged an additional 10 percent tariff. There will be no exceptions to this policy. Thank you for your attention to this matter. So let me give you the timeline. April 2nd, Trump pauses steep tariffs for 90 days.

The pause ends July 9th. That's the day after tomorrow. Countries without side deals face getting levied with tariffs anywhere from 10 percent up to 70 percent. Right now, we have the Vietnam deal, which is a disaster. We have the UK that is they've not done a deal. It's sort of like a patch together work around. And then you've got the EU begging for like a last minute mini deal. And then India, Brazil and South Africa now are branded as anti-American and they're still in limbo. Who knows what Trump's going to do to them next.

Now, as of this moment, we have a stock market situation that is not so good on this news. The Dow is down just what's 300 points between friends, right? I mean who cares really and then we have a number of different problems one problem is that these tariffs if they go into play are expected to cost the average family about 2300 dollars a year, I believe is the latest update, although everything is sort of like it depends. It's not really clear. We could have a supply chain boomerang where American manufacturers that import parts from these critical countries are going to see prices spike. They might have to do layoffs.

The electoral math is a problem. It's another gut punch to the rust belt. It's another gut punch to the farm belt. It isolates the United States when you threaten allies and then say, not only am I threatening you for what you do with us, I'm going to potentially threaten you for what you do with the bricks. There's a legal limbo because a lot of these tariffs would go beyond the WTO ceilings. What happens?

Lawsuits? I don't know. It's complete and total chaos. And then just as like a quick history reminder, tariffs deepened the Great Depression. If you go back to smooth, Holly in the early 20th century and you also don't need to go back that far, you just go back to 2018. What was it? 18 or 70.

You go back to Trump's first term and you realize, oh, Trump's prior tariffs created net job losses in farming, net job losses in manufacturing. And then they also precipitated billions in subsidies. We've seen this movie before. It always seems to end the exact same way. Will we know in 48 hours? Honestly, I'm not really sure.

Donald Trump dropped an anti-Semitic slur during a recent speech referring to certain bankers as Shylock's straight out of the anti-Semitism playbook. Then he played dumb. Listen to this. But if you love them or if you love somebody that you're leaving it to, think of that no death tax, no estate tax, no going to the banks and barrings from in some cases a fine banker and in some cases Shylock's and bad people. The term Shylock, if you're not familiar with it, widely considered anti-Semitic when used to describe bankers in a negative way, comes from Shakespeare's play The Merchant of Venice, where Shylock is a Jewish lender and is portrayed as extraordinarily negative.

And the character has long been used to promote anti-Semitic stereotypes. It kind of has become a shorthand for Jewish greed in European literature and anti-Semitic propaganda. Now, Donald Trump was confronted about this by a reporter after using the phrase or the term and he goes, oh, I don't know anything about that. No, I've never heard that. I wanted to ask you about one of the words you use during your speech. Shylock's that's widely viewed as an anti-Semitic phrase.

Do you intend for that way to me. Sherlock is somebody that's a money lender at high rates. Look at everybody behind him smirking. Never heard of that when you view it differently than me. I've never heard that. Sir, you use the N word. Did you know that that's offensive to black people and to anyone who is disgusted by racism? No, you know, for me, the term was always different.

It was just sort of the loving way that slave owners would refer to slaves on the plantation. It's interesting that you see it that way, but I just never really saw it that way. Now, what's the most generous possible view of this that we can give to Trump will be as charitable as possible? The charitable view is Trump's been palling around with anti-Semitic business people his entire life. And he simply never was curious enough. What does it mean when they say Shylock?

He was never curious enough to actually look it up. That's the most charitable interpretation. Why do we give Trump any level of charity at this point in time? I don't know, but I think that that's the best I can come up with. What do you think? Info at David Pakman dot com. Let me know. Many of us know it can be tough to stay on top of nutrition every single day, especially What do you think? scoop and And now clinically backed with an advanced formula, it's the perfect time to try a G1.

If you haven't had to drink a G1.com slash Pacman to subscribe, you'll get a free bottle of a G D three K two, a welcome kit and five travel packs with your first order. The link is in the description. An addled Donald Trump's brain clearly misfiring again and again and again. If Biden answered a single question like this, it would have been a week on Fox News, but it's only Trump. Right. So who cares? Very simple question. July 9th, the day after tomorrow, is the 90 day deadline for 90 deals in 90 days.

So the expectation would be, well, on July 9th, the tariffs go into place if the 90 deals aren't made. Trump is asked about that because now they're saying, well, they won't. They would go into place in August. But then so what does the deadline really mean? I don't know. And Trump's just confused. President, do the tariff rates change at all on July 9th or do they change on August

1st? What are you talking about? What what are you talking about? You know, like your main thing that you're doing economically. Do they change on July 9th or August 1st? They're going to be tariffs. The tariffs are going to be the tariffs. I think we'll have most countries done by July 9th. Yeah. Either a letter or a deal. But they go into effect on or disperse tariffs go into effect August 1st.

There is Howard Luck, Lutnick having to save him. Trump has no idea what's going on. It's a very interesting question. The deadline is July 9th. For what? Well, I guess not really for the tariffs going into place. But wasn't it a 90 day pause on the tariffs? Yes, it was a 90 day pause after which there's a 21 day moratorium.

What? They don't have any idea what they're doing. They just have no idea what they are doing. And Trump has no clue what's going on. Reporter says, hey, we are having a problem in Texas with these floods. There's vacancies at the National Weather Service. Are you investigating this? Trump's like, no, it's Biden's fault. But also, I wouldn't really blame Biden either.

OK, are you investigating whether some of the cuts to the federal government left the vacancies at the National Weather Service or the emergency? Look at Latin shaking his head like a lap dog. They did not. They did. I'll tell you, you look at that and that what a situation that all is. And that was really the Biden set up. That was not our setup. But I wouldn't blame Biden for it either. I would just say this is a hundred year catastrophe. Listen, he's saying it's Biden's setup, but he wouldn't blame Biden. Very generous of him.

Of course, this has nothing to do with Biden. Biden was attempting to fully staff the National Weather Service. They had a few vacancies. Trump came in and just decimated it, decimated metaphorically, not literally that it could be confusing. Significant further cuts under Donald Trump. Trump then asked more specifically the meteorologists you and Elon fired. Should they be hired back? Trump's like, nah, wouldn't make a difference.

In light of the floods, do you think that the federal government needs to hire back any of the meteorologists who are fired in the last few months? I would know that. I really would. I would think not. This was the thing that happened in seconds. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it.

Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. Nobody expected it. I would know that I really would. I would think not. This was the thing that happened in seconds. Nobody expected it. Nobody saw it. Very talented people are there and they didn't see it. It's I guess they said once in a hundred years, they've never seen anything like this. So I wouldn't. I mean, people are trying to blame the school. They're trying

to blame the camp. They're trying to blame. It's just a horrible thing. But no, I wouldn't say that. Nope. He definitely does not want to hire back any meteorologist. And then finally, Trump asked about a ship that was hit in the Red Sea. Trump's answer, essentially, huh? Huh? Huh? You've been briefed on the ship that was in the Red Sea. You know, the Houthis attacked that ship today. We'll give you a report sometime tonight or tomorrow.

Translation. I haven't yet spoken to Sean Hannity about what it is that I'm supposed to say about that. Every one of these press conferences, more disastrous than the last, more confusion than the last. You know, I'm I'm watching this Netflix series Zero Day with Bobby D. Robert De Niro, who Trump hates now, and Jesse Plemons and some other actors. And it's very interesting because they seem to be weaving together elements of Biden and Trump. Robert De Niro plays a former president in it who's brought back to deal with a little

problem that they have. And they kind of weave together elements of of Trump and Biden. There's like a cognitive test scene, which I'm not giving anything away by by just mentioning that. There's a cognitive test scene where you see actually it's not even meant to be this. You see in the scene that a real cognitive test would be far more comprehensive than the one that Donald Trump claims to have aced, which is really at the end of the day, sort of like a pretty severe brain injury kind of screening

thing. This guy is not with it. And I genuinely I would say do it for do it for everybody. I would have said do it for Biden, of course. I would like to see Trump actually subjected to a real screening here, comprehensive and then a commitment that the results won't be run by the administration before being released. That would be my preference. You tell me what you want.

Have you seen what's going on with Joe Rogan? In some sense, I respect. That Rogan is publicly acknowledging what Trump is doing is insane. It's insane when it comes to war. It's insane when it comes to immigration and deportation. I appreciate and respect that Rogan is doing it. But there's one little piece that's missing from this. Take a listen to what he recently had to say. Same. We were told there would be no. Well, there's two things that are insane. One is

the targeting of migrant workers, not cartel members, not gang members, not drug dealers, just construction workers showing up in construction sites and raiding them. Gardeners. Yeah. Like really? Or Palestinian students on college campuses. Did you see this video of this Turkish students at Tufts University that wrote an essay and then there's a video of like ICE agents like...

Is that a woman? Yeah. Yeah. What was her essay about? It was just critical of Israel ICE agents like a woman. Yeah. Yeah. What was her essay about? It was just critical of Israel. Right. Yeah, I mean, and that's enough to get you kicked out of the country. There's a long history of of of anti-colonial activism in U.S. colleges.

You know, the lead to, you know, South Africa changing and all of that. And I think this is a continuation of that thing. So, like I said, it's great that Rogan is acknowledging the insanity of this. He the problems are numerous, however, problem number one, he endorsed the guy who said he would do this. It was not a shock if you were paying attention. Trump was asked many times, but what about like, you know, if you find just like a mom or something like that or, you know, just workers or and Trump made it clear there could be some ugly stories, we could see some stuff that's difficult, but we're doing all of it.

Tom Homan was clear that this is what they were going to do. Kristi Noem was clear that this is what they were going to do. And so the part that I have a problem with is that Rogan's pretending that this comes as a surprise, that it wasn't obvious they're doing the stuff they said they were going to do. Secondly, Rogan is not acknowledging his role in this. This is not the Rogan's, the kingmaker. If Kamala had done Rogan show, she would have won stuff.

But Rogan is one piece of the ecosystem that includes, you know, the milk boys and everybody where they all created an environment of this guy. So cool. Harris is lame. This is the guy to vote for. There's really no choice, et cetera. And that endorsement is not insignificant. I don't think the Rogan endorsement put Trump over the edge, but it was part of the movement that did. And so I would respect Rogan way more if he said, hey, you know what? I went back and looked. They were telling us that this is the plan. They were telling us all along that this is what they were going to do. And I either didn't understand it or ignored it

or told myself that he didn't really mean it. And he meant it. And I was wrong to endorse it. Or told myself that he didn't really mean it and he meant it. And I was wrong to endorse it. If we had a Harris presidency, what happened with Iran would not have happened. By the way, if Hillary Clinton had won in 2016, we never would have gotten out of the Iran nuclear deal, which precipitated everything that happened. OK, I don't expect him to go that far, but he could. If Kamala Harris had won, we wouldn't be seeing raids at Home Depot and and everything that Rogan is be moaning. So I would love it if Rogan got to that point.

But at least he's acknowledging that this is all completely and totally nuts. Now on the bonus show today, we are going to talk about a lot of interesting things. The DOJ and FBI have announced that there is no Jeffrey Epstein client list and that he did die by suicide. He was not killed. Why are many magas not accepting this? We'll talk about that. Number two, Donald Trump has signed an executive order calling for tourists from other countries to pay more money to go into national parks.

Does this make sense? And finally, Candace Owens is now claiming, acknowledging, we might say, that Donald Trump personally told her stop talking about Emmanuel Macron's wife being a man. Don't talk about that anymore. Interesting, interesting, especially if true. Why is she now admitting it? Why is she acknowledging it? We're going to talk about all of those stories on today's bonus show. Couple quick things. Number one, how do you get the bonus show? Easy. You sign up at join pacman dot com to do you want a free membership? Easy sign up at David Pakman dot com slash free membership as people gift memberships. We will hand them out. And finally, the only way I'll be able to get ahold of you if the clampdown comes is

if you're on my newsletter, because I don't own the data anywhere else. Please get on my newsletter at sub stack dot David Pakman dot com. It is completely free. I will see you there. I'll see you on the bonus show. I'll see you back here tomorrow.