The David Pakman Show - This one loss in Texas spells trouble for MAGA

Episode Date: May 5, 2026

-- On the Show: -- Sean Spicer, former Trump White House Press Secretary and host of The Sean Spicer Show, joins us to discuss his new book, "Trump 2.0: The Revolution That Will Permanently Transform... America" -- Quentin Wiltz defeats Tony Carbone in the Pearland, Texas mayor race as Democrats flip a suburb where Trump got 60% of the vote -- Conservatives push court challenges and federal legislation targeting Mifepristone, the medication used in about 63% of abortions -- Donald Trump makes an unscheduled Saturday trip to a Florida dentist despite the White House having a full dental facility -- Donald Trump appears fatigued during a White House speech, struggling to keep his eyes open and rambling about unrelated topics -- Marjorie Taylor Greene claims Trump told her she would deserve it if her son were harmed and warned her about the Epstein files -- Democrats lead in House polling and remain competitive in Senate races, setting up the possibility of taking over Congress -- On the Bonus Show: Ohio and Indiana hold primaries, Trump's team tries blaming Biden for the Spirit Airlines collapse, Americans aren't sleeping enough, and much more... 🥐 Wildgrain: Use code DAVID for $30 off & free croissants FOR LIFE at https://wildgrain.com/david ✉️ StartMail: Get 50% OFF for a year subscription at https://startmail.com/pakman 🧠 Try Brain.fm totally free for a month at https://brain.fm/pakman 🖼️ Aura Frames: Use code PAKMAN for $25 off Carver Mat frames at https://auraframes.com/pakman -- Become a Member: https://davidpakman.com/membership -- Subscribe to our (FREE) Substack newsletter: https://davidpakman.substack.com -- Get David's Books: https://davidpakman.com/echo -- TDPS Subreddit: http://www.reddit.com/r/thedavidpakmanshow -- David on Bluesky: https://davidpakman.com/bluesky -- David on Facebook: http://www.facebook.com/davidpakmanshow (00:00) Start (01:24) Democrat wins in Texas (07:59) Republicans try banning abortion pill (17:42) Trump's unexplained dental trip (23:58) Trump looks tired during speech (34:17) Sean Spicer interview (1:04:55) Marjorie Taylor Greene says Trump threatened her son (1:11:59) Democrats could win the House and Senate Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Democrats just flipped a Republican held office in a suburb of Texas where Trump got close to 60% of the vote. And this is a pattern that we are seeing. Then we have a story that really has been under the radar, but is very serious, which is the coordinated surreptitious effort underway right now, which would significantly restrict abortion access nationally. We're told all about states' rights, and yet they are figuring out a way to try to effectively end abortion nationally.
Starting point is 00:00:37 We're going to break down what's really going on. And also today, the White House wants you to believe that Donald Trump had a routine dental visit in Florida on a Saturday, even though there's a full dental facility at the White House. Millions of people aren't buying it. And speaking of Trump, an alarming moment during a speech where he fell asleep standing up like a horse. It's Mr. Ed, a talking horse. Plus, Marjorie Taylor Green claims that Donald Trump said something truly shocking involving her son. We will talk about whether Democrats are in position to really take control of Congress in 2026, all of that and more today.
Starting point is 00:01:24 It's happening right now in Texas. Democrats flipped another Republican office. If you are a Republican strategist and you're looking at this and you're trying to figure out what's going to happen in November, you should be panicking. Perlin, Texas is a Republican-leaning suburb of Houston and Democrats just flipped the mayor's office. Now, the race is technically nonpartisan, meaning that the candidates don't run as Democrats or Republicans. They don't declare parties. But we still know who backed whom.
Starting point is 00:01:59 Democrats backed Quentin Wilts and he won and defeated Tony Carbone who was backed by Republicans. Wiltz happens to also be the first black person ever elected to be the mayor of Perland. It was a very tight race, basically 51 to 49. The margin really isn't the story here. The location is the story. The fact that Trump won with about 60% in this exact area is the story. Um, Perlund is in a county that has voted reliably for Republicans for a year after year after year. And again, in recent elections, Trump was getting 60% of the vote.
Starting point is 00:02:39 This is the sort of place that Republicans don't even worry about. They just assume that they're going to win. That's it. We don't have to do anything. We barely have to campaign. And they lost. And what this actually means, you know, what one local race does not flip Congress. In fact, this isn't even a congressional race.
Starting point is 00:02:59 It's a mayoral race. It doesn't change the Senate. But it does something different, which is it signals movement and it portrays possibility if people engage, if people are active, if people get out and vote. And we are now seeing a very important pattern, which is when you look at local elections, Democrats have been overperforming since November of 2024. you look at local races that are not special elections. You see Democrats flipping Republican seats, but you don't see Republicans flipping Democratic seats. And then you look at Republican
Starting point is 00:03:41 areas and you see Republican turnout really struggling. And midterm elections are often won and lost at the end of the day by turnout. In general, voters have less strong feelings for congressional and Senate races than they do about the presidential. People really liked Trump or really despised Trump or liked Harris, despised Harris. And that motivates a lot of people to vote. In midterm elections, it's less about who do I get out and vote for because I don't feel as strongly about the people. It's do I even get out and vote at all? And you might have sort of a satisfactory feelings about your senator, but it might not be strong enough one way or the other. the feeling, the attachment, the level of support you have to even get out and vote at all.
Starting point is 00:04:30 And so this is why depressed Republican turnout in red areas is also potentially a major problem for Republicans. So then we get to, well, what is happening in Texas? And in Texas at the state level right now, James Tala Rico, the Democratic nominee, is polling significantly ahead, certainly for Texas, significantly ahead of both possible. Republican candidates. I'll remind you that the Republican primary is going to a runoff because neither Ken Paxton nor John Cornyn, who's the incumbent senator right now, got 50% of the vote in the initial primary. So they are going to be having a runoff. In hypothetical polling, Tala Rico is polling about six and a half points ahead of Paxton and Tala Rico is polling five
Starting point is 00:05:19 points ahead of Cornyn. Now, we've seen this before. We've seen situations before. where before the summer, there's a Democratic challenger in Texas polling well against an incumbent Republican Republican. And then it doesn't quite work out. And the Republican ends up winning. And that could happen this time, but it might not. And we have a situation where Texas may finally be ready to make that shift we've been talking about for so long. You know, for years and years, I've been covering this stuff a long time. You hear these, you know, the demographic changes in Texas. Texas is no longer going to be a reliable red state. A Democrat might even win in the presidential election in Texas. A Democrat might win the Senate and then we get to the election and it doesn't happen.
Starting point is 00:06:04 And it actually might happen this year because you look at the polling, you look at the dissatisfaction with Trump, even among some Republicans, and we could have the mayoral race in Perland of this weekend signaling a potential Republican disaster in. November. However, it requires people to get out and vote. We are going to be doing a kind of path to the Senate soon on the show, which will outline the key races and what is the Democratic path to the Senate. A lot of you have written in and said how exactly could Democrats take the Senate, but there are real opportunities here. And the most important 30,000 foot view element of this is that the numbers for Democrats after November of 2020,
Starting point is 00:06:52 are extraordinary. I had a conversation that was recorded yesterday for Tara McGowan's podcast about is the DNC doing a good job or a bad job? And I explained to her, listen, when I think of Ken Martin, the newish DNC chair, he inspires nothing. I feel no passion. I feel no. It's just, you know, this milk toast stuff that we've all gotten sick of from the Democratic Party. And also, For better or worse, you can say it's Ken Martin or not. Democrats have an incredible record in special elections and off year elections since November of 2024. We now have to make sure it doesn't get screwed up between now and November.
Starting point is 00:07:38 So incredible results in Perlin, Texas, first black mayor there, democratically supported mayor, fascinating. Can we turn that into a bigger turning of the tide in Texas in November? I believe the answer is yes, we can. What I don't have the answer to is will we, but we're going to work to that end. There have been several moves in the past month that signal a really scary reality about the future of women's health care in the United States. And efforts are underway to try to restrict abortion access nationwide. They want to end abortion nationally. And this is not getting anywhere near the attention it deserves. And it is a. miscarriage of the media, for lack of a better term, that this is not getting more attention.
Starting point is 00:08:28 These efforts have flown way under the radar of major news headlines. And I want to talk about it with you today to make sure more people know what is going on because it is a dangerous disaster. Now, think back to when Roe v. Wade was overturned. We were told something very specific. We are not trying to ban abortion nationwide. We want to send the issue back to the states. And if states decide they don't want abortion, fine. And if other states decide they do want legal abortion, that's also fine. That's what they said.
Starting point is 00:09:02 That was the argument. That was the reassurance. Don't worry. But if you actually look at what's happening right now, that explanation simply doesn't hold up because the most common form of abortion in the United States is not a procedure. It is medication. It is Miffapristone. Miphystone, a pill, accounts for 63% of all abortions.
Starting point is 00:09:26 It's also used in miscarriage care. And the drug has been approved since the year 2000 for more than two decades. It wasn't seriously in question whether it would remain legal. And then in the last couple of years, you start seeing legal challenges trying to undo the approval. And one of those cases made it all the way to the Supreme Court in FDA v. Alliance for Hippocratic medicine. The court didn't uphold the challenge, but not because they rejected the argument.
Starting point is 00:10:00 The court said the plaintiffs didn't have standing. That is very important because it means that the door remains open. And it means the issue wasn't really settled. It just means they have to try again with a different approach. That's happening right now. Now, you might be saying, oh, David, I haven't heard about it. this. That's the problem. You're seeing new cases right now targeting Mipipristone again, including attempts to restrict telehealth prescriptions and attempts to restrict mailing of the drug,
Starting point is 00:10:32 which of course is a completely reasonable way for people to obtain the drug. They want to make it more complicated. You have to go in in person, no telehealth, and you've got to go also into the pharmacy. It goes from having to leave the house zero times. to having to leave the house twice. Now on paper, that might sound like a pretty narrow change, but in reality, this is a way to limit access across state lines without saying we are banning it. Now, at the same time, you have federal legislation from people like Republican Senator Josh Hawley, which goes way further and would remove FDA approval entirely for the drug, which would
Starting point is 00:11:12 effectively ban it nationwide. Josh Hawley tweeted about this. And in fact, his wife works for the alliance defending freedom. That's the group bringing the lawsuit. He posted, quote, this is Aaron's case. Incredibly proud of her. Miffa Pristone sends one in 10 women who use it to the emergency room with life threatening conditions. Now it's time for Congress to ban it completely for use in abortion. Now, by the way, that claim isn't even true. The claim of one, you've got to look, really, there's three elements to it. One in 10 women go to the ER with a life-threatening condition because of Miphypristo, right?
Starting point is 00:11:56 So there's really three important elements to it. It comes from a non-peer reviewed study from a right-wing organization, which claimed that within 45 days of taking Miphypritson. Stone, 10% of women had a serious adverse event. Now, the problems are how they define serious adverse events is completely whacked out. Going to the ER doesn't mean it's life threatening. Going to the ER doesn't mean it's because of Miphypris stone. And going to the ER within 45 days isn't necessarily related to the drug.
Starting point is 00:12:37 But that's not really the issue here. Just like, of course they're lying. But it's not really the issue. There is more than just a single effort here being made to try to effectively ban medication abortions. They've got multiple irons in the fire. They've got the court challenges. They've got the regulatory pressure and federal legislation all at the same time.
Starting point is 00:12:58 And a lot of these efforts are connected to the same legal networks, including that when I mentioned that Josh Hawley's wife works for, the Alliance Defending Freedom, which has been involved in a lot of abortion-related cases. And so what we have to acknowledge here is that they are coordinating. This is not random. This is it's strategic. They are saying let's do all of these things at once. And it is also not a theoretical thing.
Starting point is 00:13:23 In states with strict abortion bans, there have already been cases where women were experiencing miscarriages and were told you can't receive any care until there is no fetal heartbeat. So women get sent home waiting some days. times for days facing medical risk to themselves, serious trauma to themselves. And in many cases, these are wanted pregnancies that did not work out. These are people in some of these cases, trying to have children being told they have to wait for things to get worse before doctors can do anything. So you put all of it together. The idea that this is just a state's rights issue becomes much harder to believe because on three fronts, they are fighting to effectively restrict
Starting point is 00:14:14 or ban what are nearly two thirds of abortions referred to as medication abortions and the use of Miffipristone in miscarriage. What we are seeing here, and I've got to hand it to them in the sense that it is evil genius. This is a multi-decade effort. They are like the dog that bites down and simply will not let go. Decades. Let's get Roe v. Wade overturned. We've got to adjust who's on the Supreme Court. They spent decades doing it. And now they are going to the next level, which is, can we get rid of Mitha pristone? Can we get rid of it through convenience elements like you can't do telehealth and you can't mail the drug? Can we get rid of it by getting the FDA to reverse approval and the effort to further restrict abortion, which I told you wouldn't end when they got
Starting point is 00:15:11 Roe v. Wade overturned has not. It bolstered them. It invigorated them to say, can we do even more? It is in its next phase right now. And it's important that you all be aware of what's going on. If you love having quality fresh breads and pastries at home with no hassle, our sponsor Wild Grain makes it easy. Wild grain is a bake from frozen subscription box for sourdough breads, artisanal pastries, fresh pastas. Everything arrives frozen and bakes in 25 minutes or less. No thawing required. Simple ingredients, slow fermentation process. It really improves the flavor and texture. I always keep wild grain sourdough bread and croissants on hand. Convenient. Tastes like something you'd get from the bakery. Straight from freezer to oven. No planning required.
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Starting point is 00:17:31 contacts in just a few clicks. Go to startmail.com slash Pacman to get 50% off your first year. The link is in the description. They're claiming that Donald Trump went to the dentist on Saturday in Florida. And millions of people do not believe it. Do you believe it? Do you believe that Donald Trump had to go to the dentist in Florida on Saturday when the White House has a. full blown dental facility on site, the White House says it was scheduled and it was routine with Trump's local dentist in Florida. AFP's Sebastian Smith reported at the time on Twitter that, quote, the president has left his Jupiter golf club in Florida for a dental appointment.
Starting point is 00:18:22 White House says it's a scheduled appointment at his local dentist. The problem is it wasn't on his schedule. So by definition, it was not scheduled by the standards applied to presidents. Doctor and CNN commentator Jonathan Reiner is extremely skeptical. He tweeted, quote, the White House has had a dental operatory since the Hoover administration. Routine dental exams can be done in the White House. Case in point, when we talk about scheduling, Trump's physicals at Walter Reed are put on the presidential schedule.
Starting point is 00:19:00 This was not. So what do they mean that it was scheduled and routine? It is true that the White House has a full dental facility. Joe Biden famously had a root canal there. So Trump had a routine dental visit in Florida on a Saturday. This is the second time this year that this has happened. Trump also supposedly went to his Florida dentist in January. And then he comes back to the White House and suddenly.
Starting point is 00:19:28 people are noticing something else, which is the ankles are just swollen like tree trunks, not new by the way, Trump reportedly dealing with chronic venous insufficiency, which can cause exactly that symptom. But to go back to the dentist situation, you've got an off the books dentist visit in Florida on a Saturday, not on the schedule, when there is a full dental facility at the White House. And then he shows up back from it with his ankle swollen like we've maybe never seen before. So the obvious speculation is Trump's not really going to the dentist. And we're now entering full speculation mode.
Starting point is 00:20:11 There's been so little transparency about Donald Trump's health that something routine starts to raise these flags. Is this where Trump is actually getting whatever IV treatment is responsible for the bruises on his hands that he's covering up with bandages and makeup? It's speculative. There's no question that it's speculative because there is no transparency here. Now, in the interests of being, I don't know why, but being charitable to people who are never charitable to us and who are completely dishonest and just in the interest of being charitable,
Starting point is 00:20:44 is it possible that there is something dental that really is going on that Donald Trump doesn't want handled at the White House or is it cosmetic dentistry? I believe it's a known thing that Donald Trump has veneers. And it seems like a lot of his kids do also they seem to all have like the very large fake teeth. Is it possible that the White House dentist isn't equipped to do stuff related to veneers or Trump's embarrassed about it or they want to keep it out of medical records? So they they do this at Trump's Florida dentist. I don't know, but I'm saying that I guess that would be a more charitable interpretation of what's going on.
Starting point is 00:21:30 Now, let me address another element with regard to the Trump's health stuff. There's a division in my audience as to the salience and relevance of what's going on with Donald Trump's health. And I'm going to try to characterize both sides and then we'll maybe have a conversation about this. On the one hand, there are people who write to me weekly, if not more, telling me that I'm I am not giving enough coverage and placing Trump's health and physical and cognitive decline in a central enough way to explain what we are seeing today. There are people who write to me and they say, David, all of your discussion about Iran, foreign policy and the ups and downs of the strait of Bermuth and all of this different stuff.
Starting point is 00:22:17 This is about Trump's cognitive decline. The whole war is because of Trump's cognitive decline. You've got to interview bandy Lee and you've got to get John Gartner back on and you need a a geriatric specialist and you're missing that everything that we are seeing is because of Donald Trump's deteriorating physical and mental health. That's one side of the audience. Maybe you're in that side. Maybe you're not.
Starting point is 00:22:43 And there's the other side. And there are people who write to me and say, David, we know Trump's not in good health. He's almost 80 and obese and doesn't exercise and eats fast. food, we know that. But there's too much focus on it. And we need to talk about the sociopolitical implications and the economic implications of Trump's policy actions and forget about his health. His health is crap. And at some point, he's no longer going to be with us. But it's not relevant to what the hell is going on with tariffs. Is there the help the people on the other side would say, no, no, it's completely relevant. Trump doesn't even have the cognitive capacity to
Starting point is 00:23:21 understand tariffs. Trump doesn't realize that it is not China that pays the debt. So there's this push and pull. There's this tension right now, even within my own audience as to the importance and placement of Donald Trump's health. Where are you on this issue? You can email me info at David Pakman.com. You can leave a comment here, there everywhere. And of course, make sure you are subscribed to my YouTube channel where we are trying to get to 4 million subscribers. It costs nothing, but it feels great. Donald Trump fell asleep standing up like a horse at an event a few hours ago, with his face looking asymmetrically droopy while he slept standing up.
Starting point is 00:24:07 This is seemingly pretty serious. Trump also bragged about cognitive tests. Trump's face in this video drooping and he seems to fall asleep. while Kelly Leffler is speaking at an event about small businesses. They're a critical part of securing our supply chains. And while they contribute to national strength across all kinds of industries, from energy to agriculture to defense and aerospace, America's big manufacturers rely on these producers and their skilled workers.
Starting point is 00:24:44 And that's why President Trump's economic agenda means made in America is coming back and it's coming back fast. And the clapping, snapping Trump back awake here. Dear God, he is standing up and falling asleep. At another point, an incredibly disoriented Donald Trump roused from a dream state says that he could end employment with the swipe of a pen, which shocked people in the room. they are silent because I guess what Trump means is he could end unemployment, but Trump goes, I could end employment with the swipe of a pen. This man is not well.
Starting point is 00:25:32 Jobs. And you know, I could make, I could with one swipe of the pen, I could say, let's have no employment and I'll hire a million people or two million people. I say, we just hired a million people and we have absolutely no employment. And that's what they would do. They'd have bad numbers coming up so they'd hire a couple of hundred thousand people. And the numbers would look okay. With me, it's the exact opposite. We terminate a lot of federal jobs that are unnecessary, and they don't like me for doing it. But a year later, they like me because they end up having a much better job, oftentimes in a place where they'd much rather live. You know, they go to the place that they want to go. They're not stuck in Washington or someplace.
Starting point is 00:26:13 I mean, it's, this isn't coherent. This is not even remotely coherent. And of course, I think what Trump means is he could end unemployment. by just hiring 15 million people to work for the federal government. But he says, I could end employment. What? Trump then joking about getting out of office eight or nine years from now. I think we should not take the bait on this. That's my instinct.
Starting point is 00:26:40 And this way, when I get out of office in, let's say, eight or nine years from now, I'll be able to use it. I'll be able to use it myself. I'm just not even going to take that. the bait guys. He is trying to bait us. Let's not even do it. Now, where I will take the bait, which I don't think is really taking the bait, is that Donald Trump continues to brag how often he's taking cognitive tests. And he says no other president is taking has taken cognitive tests. This isn't the flex he thinks it is because for some reason he keeps being administered
Starting point is 00:27:19 cognitive tests. How many tests does he need to take? In my opinion, anybody running for president or vice president should take a cognitive test. And no president has ever taken one except me. I've taken three of them. Why? Aced each one, one in the first administration, two over here. And whenever they get a little sassy, like, does he still have it? Does he still have what it takes?
Starting point is 00:27:45 I say, all right, I'll take another one. And they are hard. There are many people in this room I know that is smart. They're not going to ace them. There are many people standing back there. the fake news media. I'd like to have them. You know, the first question is very easy,
Starting point is 00:27:58 and they always show the first question, is you have a lion, a bear, an alligator, and a, what's another good, a squirrel, okay? Which is the squirrel? So they show that question, and then the first four or five questions are they get a little more difficult. By the time you get to the middle, they're tough.
Starting point is 00:28:20 By the time you get to the end, I don't want to be insulted. But there won't be, I'm not going to do what Gavin Newsom said. He saw him. He said, everybody in here is stupid and he's stupid. I think it was the worst political interview I've ever seen. Yeah. You know, it's a brain injury screening test, a dementia screening test.
Starting point is 00:28:41 The fact that Trump is constantly being cognitively tested and finds the test really difficult is a major red flag. What Trump is effectively saying is I'm the only president who doctors have felt needed cognitive tests so often. That's another interpretation of what Donald Trump is saying. And by the way, the tests are really tough. I guess they're right to be cognitively testing Trump. This is not something I would be bragging about.
Starting point is 00:29:12 Now, final clip. I'm not going to subject you to the full eight minutes because that's torture. I believe that it would violate the Geneva Convention and would constitute a war crime. Trump's brain just rambling for eight minutes about the reflecting pool project, aimless wandering of his brain. I won't play all of it. Okay, just I'm giving you a little flavor. Give you just one little anecdote.
Starting point is 00:29:36 We have a beautiful, potentially beautiful built in 1922. It's a long time ago. Reflecting pond in between the Washington monument and the Lincoln Memorial. It's the long. 2,500 feet long. That's taller than I think any building in the world. That would be if you lay it sideways. I don't know why you would do that, but if you did. Two Empire State buildings more than that. And very wide, 167 feet. And for years, they've wanted to fix it, rebuild it. It's granite. The stone is good. Granite's great. But it was leaking because it's a little piece of
Starting point is 00:30:14 All right. So anyway, he does eight minutes of that. And then finally, finally, Trump trying to wrap up and completely unable to coherently stay on topic. We are really, this is the golden age of America. I really believe it. Last year, we were scoffed at. I tell, I tell the story often that the king of Saudi Arabia, a year and a half ago, what I was over there, he said, you know, America was a dead country. We didn't think we'd be investing. We didn't. think it would be appropriate to invest there. We were a dead country. And now, President, you have the hottest country anywhere in the world. That was seven or eight months ago. We're a lot hotter than we were then. We had to do this little excursion.
Starting point is 00:30:57 But the excursion is the stock market's higher now than it was when I, I assume the market would be down 25 percent. And that was worth it to get rid of lunatics that would have nuclear weapons that can wipe out countries with the push of a button. You can't do it. So he's just completely off script. For those not concerned about Trump's cognitive health, how do you explain that? Terrifying and globally humiliating.
Starting point is 00:31:26 And I would argue a national security risk because when foreign leaders and foreign intelligence agencies see that the president is this mayo brain, mayonnaise up there, maybe a little Dijon, they know that he can be taken advantage of. And he can be. We've seen it time and time again. A lot of people put on music while they work, assuming it helps them concentrate. But in practice, familiar songs, lyrics, or constantly changing tracks often will take attention away from what you're working on rather than supporting attention. And that's where Brain FM comes in. Our sponsor, Brain FM, is a music app designed to support focus, relaxation, or sleep with music created by human musicians working,
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Starting point is 00:33:00 brain.fm slash Pacman. 30 days is a long free trial. Go check it out. The link is in the description. A lot of people fall into the same pattern every year for Mother's Day. flowers, maybe brunch, maybe a gift card. It's nice. It doesn't last very long. This is why I love Aura frames as a different kind of gift. Our sponsor, Aura, makes digital picture frames that display your photos and videos in a way that looks like a real print. It's so easy. You can preload photos before the frame arrives. You can add a personal message. It shows up ready to go. I have two of these. I've given them to my mom. I've given them. I've given them. to my dad. And then when we travel like we are right now, I add pictures of the girls from my phone
Starting point is 00:33:52 and they show up on all of the frames or only some of the frames if that's what you want. Instead of giving a gift that disappears after a few days, give something that will keep the memories alive. Orra is giving my audience $25 off their best selling carver mat frame. Go to auraframes.com. Use the code Pacman, terms and conditions, apply. The link is in the description. I am joined today by Sean Spicer, former Trump White House Press Secretary, host of the Sean Spicer Show, and also author of the new book Trump 2.0, The Revolution That Will Permanently Transform America. Sean, I really do appreciate your time. I know you're a very busy guy. Well, there's no one I'd rather spend my morning with
Starting point is 00:34:39 the new, David. So I'm excited for this conversation. And I know you're probably going to agree with me on most things. Well, listen, I don't want to make this about tit for tat. Like, listen, I think that Trump straight up just lost in 2020. I know you may not necessarily agree with that. And we could make it about that. But I'm, I may be more interested in getting your perspective on. You know, I've spoken to other people who have worked for Donald Trump in a similar communications capacity to you. I've spoken to Anthony Scaramucci. I've spoken to Sarah Matthews, who was deputy press secretary at one point. I'm curious whether your experience. experience mirrors theirs now that you're out of that role where there was this sense of pressure
Starting point is 00:35:21 to give Trump only good news, to go out and say things you didn't necessarily believe were true, whether it's about crowd sizes or whatever, or did you feel like you were coming up with that stuff on your own? Like, what was the dynamic in that office? Well, it's interesting. I mean, so a couple things, if I take it step by step, like, I brought him bad news all the time. I mean, it usually wasn't pleasant. Sometimes you get mad. My job was to deliver to him the, you know, the information. And then he would say, I don't like that or here's how I want you to
Starting point is 00:35:56 communicate it. And one of the mistakes that people make is they'll say, you should have said this or that. The job of a spokesperson is to speak in lieu of the principal, no matter whether you're the organization of the, you know, the parent teacher association or the president's, you're the White House Press Secretary for the president. And so I would give him my advice, my counsel, my thoughts, and sometimes he take it, sometimes he wouldn't. But my goal wasn't to share with people my thoughts, which I do now on my show. I mean, I enjoy after decades of doing it for other people being able to share with people like what I think. But, I mean, I've dealt with people like this for 30 years who would say, no, I don't agree with you.
Starting point is 00:36:37 I want to say it this way. Or I think that that analysis is incorrect and here's why. And my job was to say, okay, if that's what you think based on how I've presented this to you and maybe the strategy that I'm presenting it, ultimately I have to represent your thoughts. So I don't, I know personally, I gave him, you know, news all the time that some of it he enjoyed, some of it he didn't. And then I went out there and communicated to the best of my ability, not always perfectly, what he believed the message should be or his thoughts, how he wanted his. thoughts or views can communicate. I guess to some degree though, even though I understand being a spokesperson for the principal, there are other press secretaries who have worked for Trump who felt that they needed to put
Starting point is 00:37:24 some limits down. Like I'll give you an example. There's been this reporting about Kaylee McAnneany who during the period where Trump really wanted her going out there saying, hey, Trump won the 2020 election. She was avoiding him because she thought that talking about that in that way would violate the Hatch Act. So that was something she decided. And she said, I'm not going to just go out and represent what Trump says.
Starting point is 00:37:44 Well, and you see Caroline talking about when she gets asked about certain endorsements. Again, there's aspects of the law that we have to follow, right? Yeah. And you say, I am prohibited by law from speaking about that. We dealt with a lot of the Russia hoax during my tenure. And there were times when I answered the question, I'd say, you know, I've been advised by counsel that I have to defer all the questions. So the president may have wanted me to say things. I see, Mr. President, let me get the counsel's office in here because they're saying that, one, I
Starting point is 00:38:14 can't legally do that or do, we'll have some kind of legal exposure if I say something. And so here's the strategy. And there's, that's, but that's sort of a, again, that's more of a strategic thing and that's the law. There were some things, you know, and there are some issues that you have to deal with, whether it's the Hatch Act or commercial interests that you can say, you know, we dealt with this at the beginning with it. I'd say, you know, you're not allowed to speak to certain things that aren't within the purview of the United States government. With the day one crowd size thing, was that a moment where you counseled him, hey, the facts don't really point to this being the biggest crowd ever?
Starting point is 00:38:50 And he goes, no, but I say it and you went out and said it or what was the counsel you gave there? So it actually is, I take it a step back. I mean, my initial thing was let's not start on this foot, right? I mean, look, to be blunt, I don't mean to make sound like a sixth grader here, but there are two things that happened in the preceding 24 hours, never mind the preceding 24 months. I mean, there was a ton of us who had been, you know, I'd been on the campaign, I had worked with them, and we had felt like we were constantly being demeaned and diminished in terms of our capabilities, our win, et cetera. So that was sort of, A, the mindset.
Starting point is 00:39:27 But B, if you think about the preceding 24 hours, number one, Zeke Miller of the then Time magazine lied about whether or not there was a bust of Martin Luther King that had been removed from the Oval Office, which was demonstrably false. and only said to inflame racial tensions, right? And once the genie was out of the box, so we had started off with that. No one checked with us. No one asked. It was clearly there. It wasn't removed, which I frankly found to be completely silly to begin with. When presidents change administrations, the Oval Office is cleared.
Starting point is 00:40:01 So I actually initially thought probably wasn't there, like, because that's how it works. They take the rug out. I mean, generally they keep the desk because most presidents in modern. history of use the resolute desk, but they changed the curtains. So who know? I mean, I was like, this is silly. But then I went and looked and I was like, wow, it's actually there. And it was that no one, that's going on. Number two, the president was, and I think rightly so, you wake up and you see a couple roundtables after a historic first day in office being told that like no one was there and it was, which was silly. I mean, like there were, I dealt with personal issues with
Starting point is 00:40:38 my own family having trouble getting past some of the security checkpoints. in the magazine. I was like, this is dumb. My personal take on it was we should have just said, this is silly. Like, let's focus on what the president's doing to fulfill his promises. I think, like, he was pissed, and I get it. Like, if you have this big win, and remember, the night of election we were told was like 97% in New York Times and other saying we're not going to win, that and then kept, and that was just that. I mean, kept overcoming hurdle after hurdle after hurdle. But Sean, with all due respect.
Starting point is 00:41:11 It sounds like you're saying because other things that were said were untrue, you were like, okay, going out and saying this was the biggest crowd ever, which I don't know. I'm sorry. Fair enough, but that's not what I'm saying, though. What I'm saying is I want you to understand the context and I'm not excusing anything. I'm just giving you a sense that like, so he sees this and I'll get to this because here's the dirty little secret David. It's not talked about a lot.
Starting point is 00:41:34 He didn't, the media loved to do the Spicer was directed to go to this. That's not true. The timeline is the following. called me and said, this is BS, what's happening, da-da-da-da, go out and correct it. I got with my staff. I met with a ton of people that were like, give me some statistics. It was a Monday. The federal government was closed. We were trying to piece together different ways in which we could articulate that there was significant interest in it. I called him at one point. He said, hey, what are you doing this? And I said, I'm going out to correct. My biggest mistake that day,
Starting point is 00:42:05 David, was actually not running it all by him. When I call, he called me and said, are we getting this done? Are you going to go out there and correct it? I said, yep, I got it. And because what had happened is on January 6th of that year, BuzzFeed had gone out and done this whole dossier thing. And I had sort of retaliated about how they had presented it. And the president had liked that. He said, you did a really good job that day. So I thought, okay, I get this guy. He wants me to go out and come at these guys, you know. And so the biggest mistake that I made that day was, and I learned it real quick was not going to him and saying, okay, you want me to correct it. Here's how I'm going to go do this. He was pissed. When I got off, I expected that phone to ring in the press
Starting point is 00:42:50 secretary's office. And it did. And I thought he'd be like, hey, great job. You kicked him in the teeth and da-da-da-da-da. He was furious. He's like, what the hell was that? But he was mad because he knew the claim wasn't true. He was mad at how I presented it. He was like, that's not. And to be honest with you at that point, we've never to this day ever gone back and review. I was like, okay, how do I move? I literally thought I was getting fired that day. Was that, is that your biggest regret from your time? Or like, for example, Hitler didn't use chemical weapons might be high on my list as well. Like, what's your biggest regret for that tenure? Well, again, I'd say those are probably up there. But let's let's back up and dissect two because we have a second. One is I've made it very
Starting point is 00:43:35 clear that I would love a molligan on that first one. I don't think we like beyond the and again, I don't want to get it. If you want, I can get in the nuances because here's what I did. I called around and I talked to everybody from like C-SPAN to online sources and tried. And if you actually parse what I said, which was that it was the largest, you know, audience to witness. The idea was to make a claim that was like when Barack Obama was inaugurated, there was physically a lot of people there, no question about it. But the online capabilities didn't exist the way they did today. The technology hadn't evolved, right?
Starting point is 00:44:11 So I actually thought I was in fairly strong ground. Interesting. Because it's like George Washington, you know, no one watched his on television, right? Right. And so you thought, I thought, how can I phrase this in a way that encapsulates all the people that watch it on platforms like Twitter that didn't exist in terms of the video capabilities back when some of these other people were inaugur? So I was trying to make a claim that was like beyond refute not focus on the number of people on the mall. I got you. Clearly that didn't come across well.
Starting point is 00:44:44 Since you brought up the other one, here's what I'll tell you. Like, and I wrote about this extensively on my first book, which, you know, you can go out and buy as well. Obviously, I'd rather you read Trump 2.0. Yep. But, but that, like, go back and look at what I said, right? I was going out and saying Bashad, like that this guy was a, you know, Assad was a horse. horrible, horrible guy. And let me tell you how bad this guy is and the despicable nature of what he has done to his own people. And if you go back and look at what Hitler had done, who's a horrible,
Starting point is 00:45:17 horrible person, I was trying to say this guy so much, like he's up there in that category of despicable. Right. So if you actually go look at what I said, it was trying to describe how horrible one person is. And it was like Assad is so bad that even Hitler. Hitler hadn't used some of the weapons of Assad used. Exactly. Was the point you were trying to make. Who is an equally despicable, if not more despicable person. And again, it was inarticulate because if you technically go back and I've relitigated
Starting point is 00:45:48 this in my entire first book about, you know, if you parse the words about what Hitler did, it was stupid. In media training, I used to say to folks, never use an analogy that deals with rape or Hitler. It never ends well. And here I was doing something that I had counseled people. to never do. And I guess the problem was that while the chemical weapons weren't used in warfare, the entire
Starting point is 00:46:12 gas chamber concept is the use of a chemical weapon. Correct. Yeah. And so the nuance mattered, but to get to your point, I should have never even gone there. I should have just let it stand on its own. And if you go back and look at what happened that day, I think I had been asked the same question literally 12 times. I documented it in my first book, the briefing.
Starting point is 00:46:31 And finally, on the 12th iteration, right, I'd been asked over and over and over. over again about Assad and how what a horrible person he was and why the president was doing what he did. And I finally went, guys, you're not getting this. Here's how bad this guy really is. If I just stuck to the same previous 11 responses, none of this would have. And but to your question, right, when I look at things that I did that I'd want to do over it, the reason that that one, so the crowd-sized one was horrible because here I was first day representing the president of the United States. And I was like, I let the guy down. Right.
Starting point is 00:47:06 When I look at the Hitler comment, it really was difficult for me because that was a holy day for Jews. And I looked at it like, oh, my God, there are people out there that are dealing with a very difficult day to begin with. And I may have just made this a more difficult day. And that was clearly not my intent. And anybody who watched it and watched the briefing and knows what I was getting at, which again, the transcript is very public, knows what I was trying to do, which is to describe how horrific somebody was and the despicable nature on which they were committing heinous acts upon their own people and trying to basically say, this is the league they're in, right?
Starting point is 00:47:49 Right. And yet the way it was portrayed, I think, made a bunch of people who were celebrating a holy day question, my motives, my intent. And that hurt from the standpoint of knowing that when you are trying to describe something and knowing that somebody is hearing the second, third hand, might actually believe that the goal was to minimize the impact of such a horrendous and impactful event on people who are still feeling those effects today. It just, it killed me inside to be like, wow, there are people who think that I would actually say something like that. watching the comments online, knowing that that anybody would think that that was intentional was, you know, just made me think, oh, my God.
Starting point is 00:48:37 I mean, and again, it just didn't represent the president well, which is what your goal is supposed to be. Sean, in Trump 2.0, you attempt to build the case for Trump's success so far in the second term. Now, one of the things I've been critical of the Biden administration for was that there was a lot of insistence that everything was great, which didn't translate. In other words, people sitting at home would say, here's what my credit card statement and bank account look like. And here's the Biden administration saying everything's great. That didn't work. It doesn't
Starting point is 00:49:12 work unless people feel it. And I think there's some similarity to that with what's going on right now where the president is getting out there almost daily and saying this is the best economy we've ever had. It's the best stock market we've ever had. Americans are doing better than ever. And number one, when you poll people, they say no, 80% think we're going in the wrong direction. 80% think it'll be even worse a year from now. So we've got the opinion side. And then on the factual, gas prices will be down 50%. Well, they're up 55%.
Starting point is 00:49:42 That's an objective measure. The price level was going to come down. That only happens if inflation's negative. Inflation's been positive. The price level is up. Now, we could go back to the promise, but let's talk about what is. Why do you think if things are as good as the president says and as you say that it's not reflected in data nor in public opinion?
Starting point is 00:50:04 Yeah. So, so let me go back to the premise that I'm making. There's two things in the book that are important to understand. Okay. One is the number one objective that I set to make out in Trump 2.0 is answer this question about why. Why is Trump 2.0 historically different and more consequential? And the simple answer is the spade work that was done in the four intervening.
Starting point is 00:50:24 years. I have said this to the president. I'll say it to you in your audience now. President Trump would not be doing the things that he's doing had he been sequential, like every other president except one. The four intervening years have given him the ability and his team the ability to plot and plan a lot of how to do things. They wouldn't be doing so many of the various things they're doing as they not had time to reflect. Trump goes so fast, right? And so if you think about the book in the chapters that are in there, whether it's NATO, trade, DEI, you know, education, the border, cultural issues. They wouldn't be addressing. Trump didn't go to the Kennedy Center once in his first four years. Now he's renamed the building and he's literally moderating the Kennedy Center honors.
Starting point is 00:51:13 Okay. Like, total change. That would not have happened in my opinion. But to get to your point, I will say this. The one area of common ground that we might have is, I believe, a much more effective answer for people, like in this case, President Trump, is to say, I'm working hard, we're making progress, and it's not there yet, right? Especially on the economy. There are several things. Now, if we look post-of-the, you know, Iran conflict versus pre, there's a little bit of a nuance there. But I even think that the question on Iran, like, I would like to see him communicate more effectively on the fact that, like, I am one of these people that I do believe, and I've seen it firsthand over the last, you know, three decades. Iran has poses a threat to us.
Starting point is 00:51:57 There's no question about it. Politicians of both sides have agreed on this. So I actually think what he's doing there, but when he sells it short, I don't think that that's helpful to the American people, meaning that if he says we're winning and da-da-da-da-da, well, in any scenario, when you're winning something, then you don't, you know, you think, great, it's over, or I don't need to work as hard. We need to communicate effectively to the American people what Iran's threat is and why we're prosecuting it. And on the affordability issue, whether it's gas or anything else, again, I think depending on what the product is that you're talking about, like, I'm a pretty cheap guy. I grew up in a frugal.
Starting point is 00:52:33 So, like, I look at the gas every single day that I drive past this gas station. We've got two at the top of our street. I will go out of my way to go to the one that's two or three cents cheaper just by nature. And so when it's going up to your point, that's demonstrable, I mean, you can look at it and go, okay, was it more or less than the day before? Right. I think when it comes to gas prices specifically, again, the president needs to communicate why it's happening, right? We are trying to. He could actually put a domestic export ban on based on the amount of oil reserves that we have in the United States and the Brent oil that we make here and prices would drop.
Starting point is 00:53:06 But to your point, Sean, I think when he tells people why it's happening, most voters don't buy it. Like, I'll give you an example of what I mean. He says we've done this excursion in Iran, which by the way, I think he wants to say incursion, but doesn't know the word. So he's come up with excursion, which is a completely different thing. He says, we've done this excursion in Iran because they had or were about to have a nuclear weapon. And so that's why this.
Starting point is 00:53:29 And I think most people are looking at it and going, yeah, I don't buy that slash. It's not worth it. It's 450 a gallon now. So I don't, it doesn't seem to be convincing any right. Right. Well, and I don't disagree with you on that to some extent. but I would say that we do, look, here's part of the way I look at this. There's no upside politically of going into Iran, none.
Starting point is 00:53:49 Like, no one, when people say to me, do you think that this will pay? No, I actually do believe that it was just the right thing to do. And so sometimes you actually, you'll see a politician do something for the right reasons instead of because of the political reasons. That being said, I don't think that we've made the case the way that we should have about the threat that they pose. There are service members that are dead. There are service members without limbs because of what Iran does and the terrorists that they fund. They pose a threat to the United States. They chant death to America, right? I don't think that it's, and you look at what
Starting point is 00:54:27 Hillary Clinton has said, what Kamala Harris has said, what Barack Obama and Joe Biden. They've all agreed that Iran poses a threat. I just believe that Donald Trump's the first one that actually acted on it. I support this. But I do think that, we need to message it more effectively that if we left them on check, what would you say, excuse me, to the politician who does nothing and then when we get attacked knowing that they could have prevented it? We did this in 9-11. We had an entire commission that looked and said, what did we know, what should we have known, what should we have acted upon. I think that not taking Iran seriously would have paid serious consequences, would have resulted in serious
Starting point is 00:55:06 consequences, maybe in a year, maybe in two years, maybe in five years, but it was going to happen. So you acknowledge they may have been five years from a nuclear weapon. I'm not in a position. I mean, maybe I'm not clearly in a position to assess that. That's not in any way, shape, or form what I have the capability of doing. But you're, you're comfortable assessing it enough to say that they were a threat that Trump should have gone in. Sure.
Starting point is 00:55:31 But I also think that when every politician Hillary Clinton's on, you know, she's on record saying, it so is calm. I mean, that not going in part. They're all in agreement that Iran poses a threat to us that they are in pursuit of a nuclear weapon. And if you actually look at the current negotiations, the one thing that they won't negotiate on currently is their desire to enrich uranium in pursuit of a nuclear weapon, which I think frankly tells you everything that you need to know. They, the one thing, they're not even faking it. I mean, I get that I agree with. No, listen, I'm a strong, my audience knows I'm a strong opponent of a, of this regime. I'm against theocratic extremist regimes. I just don't think it was in the interest
Starting point is 00:56:11 of the United States to do this at this point in time. We clearly disagree on that. Right, right, right. Fine, fine. And I get that. But my question would be when would it have been acceptable? Well, I am not convinced that there was this nuclear threat. I'm not convinced that the ballistic missile threat was actually legitimate because those wouldn't have the capability to reach the United States. Like, I agree that these regimes in general, are threats and I oppose them. But that doesn't mean the United States should be the one engaging in this in the way that Donald Trump has done.
Starting point is 00:56:44 That's what I don't think makes sense. Well, I mean, there are ballistic capabilities can reach Diego Garcia, which was a threat to most of Europe and clearly our bases. They've taken out the USS coal. I mean, like they have funded a ton of terrorism that has clearly impacted us, maybe not on our homeland, but definitely in our assets and our people. Well, that is, there is some dispute about that. I do think Diego Garcia is a fair point. I think the timing of it ended up making no sense in terms
Starting point is 00:57:11 of what's best for the country. But let me ask about the next six months if I can because I know you've got to run. Where we are right now, I think is a disaster for Republicans. I think that it is almost a guarantee that it is a disaster in the House, like not five seats. I'm thinking 20, 40 or 50 seats. Senate is roughly 50 50. 50 right now in the polling and the betting markets. My understanding is that the issues that were highly emotionally salient during the campaign. For example, crowds got very up in arms about men and women's sports when the president would talk about that. I think these are dead issues as far as voting issues.
Starting point is 00:57:49 I think come November, voters are going to look around and they're going to say, I was promised energy would be down 50%. It's not. I was promised gas would be down. It's not. I was promised groceries would be that, et cetera. And that it is going to be very bad in terms of how people choose to vote for House in Senate elections. Do you agree with that assessment? And do you think I'm wrong about the voting
Starting point is 00:58:11 impact of things like transports or gun safety, etc., which I think all is just squashed by the economy? Yeah. So, so people vote for two main reasons. One, their personal security and their economic security. And what I mean by that is that both in both cases, they are gut, visceral with things. So someone can tell me all the time that the inflation is up or GDP is this or that. But if I've feel good. If I'm going to the store feeling like, hey, I can spend more money. I can go on a vacation or I can put some money away from my kids, then that's what matters. So agree. Statistics don't translate as much as what you feel. And maybe it's because your job is on shaky ground or whatever. Same thing with security. If you walk down the street and you don't feel
Starting point is 00:58:53 safe, it doesn't matter how many statistics your community puts out, right? Conversely, if you put out a bunch of statistics and you go, I walk down the neighborhood, I feel great. And so the gut feeling matters. And I think you're right. Right now, when I drive down the street, I look at a gas price. I go to the grocery store. You know, I buy lemons from time to time, and I always look at what a lemon cost, right? You know, the other day was like 79 cents a lemon, which is insane. And so I think that you're right. The environment is very difficult. There's no sugar-coding that for Republicans. The upside, if you're a Republican, as you go, okay, we are in the beginning of May, so, you know, there is some time. But generally speaking, people make up their mind about when and how
Starting point is 00:59:32 they're voting in sort of late August. So this is not good for Republicans, but there's some time left. So that's the plus side on that. The trans and subcultural issues, I agree. When you're voting for a in a midterm election, it's a what I call it base plus issue. So you're voting on your member of Congress. Donald Trump can nationalize an issue or they can't. No one's thinking that your congressman is getting involved in this stuff. They need to make a specific case to what they're doing in their district to make their life better or not, full stop, which leads you into the last point. Like, these races still have to get run one candidate versus another. You look at the Senate, we have a three-seat majority there. There's probably seven or
Starting point is 01:00:14 eight Senate seats in play. When you go through them, and this is where I think the national media makes a mistake, is they like to paint a broad brush and say, historically speaking, that's like saying generally on Tuesdays, it rains. It's like, who cares? So look at the Senate races. Michigan, where I don't think we should. should be winning. Right now, Mike Rogers, I think, is poised to win that seat because of the Democratic chaos. Conversely, I think we should have picked up Georgia, but Ossov's put a ton of money away. We've got a late primary that's going to drain resources. I think Mike Collins will come out ahead in that primary, but he's going to come out without a ton of money. Does that mean we
Starting point is 01:00:49 won't win it? No, but I think it's going to handicap him. So I think the Senate we're okay in. You've got a three-seat majority, seven seats in play. We could lose a seat or two. As long as we keep the majority, we're fine. And I think we're on, we'll end up winning Alaska, Ohio and Iowa. So, that's good. In the house. What do you make of Maine and Texas? So in Texas, I think we're fine. Look, at the end of the day, Texas is always this sort of Lucy with the football. It's like how Republicans view New Jersey. We might get it this year and then it doesn't happen. I mean, we've heard this. I was at the RNC for six years. We always hear this. I think, I mean, I believe that whoever right now, I still had Paxon is probably going to win.
Starting point is 01:01:29 win this primary. He'll be fine. It'll win by four or five points. It'll be closer, a ton of money. But Democrats have to, by the way, David, at some point, they have to say that's a lot of money, a lot of media markets to put in because you either go all in on Texas or you don't. You don't get kind of pregnant. And I think Democrats have to decide whether they want to spend $100 million to potentially pick up Texas when there's cheaper dates out there. Alaska's a cheaper date. Ohio is a cheaper date. Iowa is a cheaper date. Maine's a cheaper day. I have a feeling, and Tala Rico, he doesn't fit Texas. Like, he said a lot of crazy things.
Starting point is 01:02:04 When they jam $15, $20 million of Apo on him, I think you make him radioactive. People will come home on the Republican side if it's ultimately Paxton. I think we pull that main. Look, here's the thing. On paper, Platner, if it wasn't Platner, I think if it was Janet Mills, it would make it a lot more competitive for student college.
Starting point is 01:02:26 She always ends up eking these things out. events in Maine before. Susan Collins is a well-established, well-known commodity in Maine, right? But the polling said that Mills was easier for her to defeat. Yeah, but here's the deal. Go back and look at everyone at Susan Collins' races. Everyone says she's down five to seven points. She ends up winning by five to seven. She's a known quantity. Here's the deal with Platner. And I talked about this on my show today is I have a hard time. It's one thing to jam out Janet Mills because you can get the progressive base a little fired up. Are you going to tell me that with 10, 15 million of Apo about a guy who has a Nazi tattoo on his chest and said that sexual assault was, you know, women should be responsible for their own sexual assault is going to go over well with a good chunk of the independence that exists in Maine?
Starting point is 01:03:17 I just like once. What's funny about that is if he were a Republican. Oh my God. I think it wouldn't matter the same way it didn't, the grabbing by the pussy didn't matter for Trump. But I think the problem is who is more likely to be in the electorate for Platner. I think it's a possible issue. Right.
Starting point is 01:03:33 Right. I mean, look, I think Maine is always going to, if it wasn't for Susan Collins, we wouldn't be having this discussion. I mean, she's the only Republican that can hold this. But I think there's a big difference with getting over the fact, like when real opo gets jammed at you. And remember, electorate there is very cheap. It's a lot of money that's in digital, a lot of money in mail.
Starting point is 01:03:54 A lot of door to door money. Like, so you're still playing a little in the Boston media market. As I said, when I say relatively speaking, it's a cheap day. And Platner, I think there's a point at which it's unsustainable. I think you have a small electorate there. Susan Collins, known quantity, and there's enough op-outed right itself. I think she's squeat pulls this one out. All right.
Starting point is 01:04:17 We've been speaking with Sean Spicer, former Trump White House press secretary, one of the many who have been in that role. The book is Trump 5. Trump 2.0, the revolution that will permanently transform America. Thanks for your time, Sean. You bet, David. Behind every F-35 jet is a Canadian company. Horizontal tails built in Winnipeg, engine sensors from Ottawa, and stealth composite panels crafted
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Starting point is 01:05:08 the show is by becoming a member at join packman.com. You'll get the daily bonus show, the daily commercial free show, and plenty of other great membership perks. Get the full experience by signing up at Join Packman. com. Former Republican Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Green now says that Donald Trump implicitly threatened her son saying if you are no longer loyal to me, if your son gets hurt, you will only have yourself to blame.
Starting point is 01:05:42 This is low. Even for Donald Trump, we're going to take a look at a couple of the videos. Marjorie Taylor Green, who of course broke with Donald Trump, chose not to run for reelection, left Congress and has now become. one of the strongest critics of Donald Trump. But remember, not a friend of the left, not a progressive, not an ally, just someone who had a falling out with Donald Trump. She explains Trump texted me that if my son gets killed, I deserve it because I was a traitor to him. This is the form that I believe then former maybe already president of the United States. Once again, president of the
Starting point is 01:06:19 United States. I sent him to all these people. I got no response. from Susie Wiles none and she's a mother and a grandmother and a woman I got no response from James Blair because he only cares about making money on campaigns I did hear from cash Patel he said on it but I haven't heard from him since I don't know what he's on Jady Vance was very nice to me compassionate and kind and reassured me that he would do everything we could to find out what's going on. And then I heard back from Donald Trump. Uh-oh.
Starting point is 01:07:05 And I've saved these text messages. I'd probably get put in jail if I released them publicly, but I saved them. Where Donald Trump proceeded to tell me that it was my fault and that I deserve it. If my son gets killed, I deserve it because I was a traitor to him. That is our president of the United States. That's the man. that says MAGA is whatever he wants it to be. This is disgustingly low even for Donald Trump.
Starting point is 01:07:42 And I think that by and large, Marjorie Taylor Green is a terrible person, terrible person. But bringing her son into this in this way and saying, listen, when you're no longer loyal to Trump, crazy things can happen. And you would be deserving of those crazy things happening because you became a traitor. Now, I would love for her to release the text messages she says she has. She says she would go to jail if she did. I don't know that that's necessarily true. I mean, listen, it's possible that they'll try to for punitive reasons, just for revenge,
Starting point is 01:08:19 try to make her life a living hell. That's what this administration does. But Pete Hegseth has done much worth as Secretary of Defense than releasing some texts that Marjorie Taylor Green has. This is incredible and disgusting stuff. And if you present the, the hardcore magas with this, they just go, oh, she's lying. She had a falling out with Trump. That's why she's doing this. This is none of this stuff is true. It's just a lie. You can't believe any of it. There's another clip where Marjorie Taylor Green straight up says, Trump told me we shouldn't release the Epstein files because it will hurt people at Mara Lago, which if we believe this and listen,
Starting point is 01:08:55 And I, I, my views of Marjorie Taylor Green are not particularly positive. I don't think she's making this up. If that's true, it blows a hole wide open in the explanation for why Donald Trump is covering up the Epstein file. Forget it. I was in my office in the Rayburn building. And I got a phone call from the president. And he was at the White House. And he wanted to talk to me about the discharge petition that I'd sign my name on.
Starting point is 01:09:25 And he said, Marjorie, you're going to have to take your name off that discharge petition. We can't let this is a hoax. We can't carry this. This is a hoax. It's a Democrat hoax. And we've got to just put this away and stop doing this. And he said, my friends are going to get hurt. He said, his friends would get hurt if we release the Epstein files.
Starting point is 01:09:50 He said, Marjorie, these are good people. These are people you know at Marlago. people in Palm Beach they're going to get hurt by this and I said mr. president people have been hurt these women have been hurt I said have you talked to them I said you should talk to them you should have them in the Oval Office mr. president you have everybody in the Oval Office you have sports teams you have world leaders you have Al Qaeda terrorists that are now leading Syria you have Mom Donnie I mean you have everybody in the Oval Office surely you can have
Starting point is 01:10:25 have these women who were raped as teenagers talk to them. I talk to them all the time. As a matter of fact, many of them voted for you. That's what I told them. They voted for you. Epsine victims voted for Donald Trump. And he wouldn't have anything to do with them. And he told me his friends would get hurt.
Starting point is 01:10:46 And I said, not taking my name off the discharge petition. Thank you. You know, Trump doesn't care about the victims. Just a few weeks ago, I covered for you. Donald Trump asked about the victims, talking about them as the victims or whatever. The victims or whatever. Huh. That's not the language of someone who cares about the victims.
Starting point is 01:11:17 Trump sees himself at the victim. This is what Marjorie doesn't understand. He's like, sir, there are victims and they voted for you and how can you? Trump sees himself as the victim. He says nobody's been treated more unfairly. He's been, even Abraham Lincoln who was shot dead wasn't treated as unfairly as Donald Trump. So Marjorie Taylor Green is not our friend. She's not an ally of the progressive left. Quite frankly, she's out of her mind. But she stepped over a line that many Republicans aren't willing to step over, which is to call Trump out for what Trump is. And I do.
Starting point is 01:11:55 think she knows. Here's the thing. I think 90% of these Republicans see Trump the way Marjorie Taylor Green sees Trump as a self-centered buffoon who doesn't really know what's going on and doesn't really care if it doesn't affect him or his priority is protecting himself and the people he believes he is strategically inclined to protect. I think most Republicans see Trump this way. She's willing to say it. A lot of the other ones aren't. But these are still people whose beliefs in general are absolutely disgusting. And we now need to make them pay for it in November. And that's what I want to talk about next. Did you know that this year, just months from now, Trump and Republicans could lose everything. We can take it all from them. We can take the House of Representatives. We can take the Senate.
Starting point is 01:12:43 We can take investigative and oversight power. We can take the last two years of Donald Trump's presidency, making him the lamest of lame ducks during which he's. will do nothing other than throw ketchup at the wall, proverbially and literally. Let me give you the latest numbers and remind everybody, this depends on us. We have a huge role to play here. Now, we start with the House of Representatives. In the House of Representatives, polling favors Democrats taking the House and the betting markets favor Democrats taking the House. On Cal She right now, 79% chance that the Democratic Party takes the House, 21% chance that the Republican Party keeps the house. Now, importantly, for those who believe it's over and it's all in the bag, it's important
Starting point is 01:13:31 to note that just a couple of weeks ago, there was an 85% betting market chance that Democrats take the House. That is now down to 79% and trending down. So while the most likely scenario is Democrats take the House of Representatives from Republicans. The odds of that happening have come down over the last couple of weeks. We then get to the Senate. Well, what's going on in the Senate? It's close to 50-50. Now, most notably in the Senate where a handful of races are going to decide the entire thing at the end of the day, we had a situation in late 24, early 25 where there was a greater than 80% shot for Republicans to take the Senate. That jumped down to about 70% during much of 2025. And that came all the way down to one point about three weeks ago during which Democrats were all
Starting point is 01:14:29 of a sudden the favorites with a 54% chance of taking the Senate. That is now reversed again, but it is very close to 50-50. A handful of races will decide the entire thing. Now, if you zoom out for a Second, what you start to see is something Republicans are hoping you don't notice, which is that 2026 is shaping up to be a complete wipeout scenario for them if we get out and vote. And this matters so much because if Democrats take the House and Senate in 2026, Trump is done legislatively. That day one of a Democratic House and or Senate sworn in, no major bills, no sweeping agenda. no second term legacy, nothing. It's going to stop on a dime. Secondly, the House controls what gets
Starting point is 01:15:24 voted on and the Senate controls what passes in a sense. That means no new tax cuts, no major policy changes, no immigration insanity or economic tax law chaos or none of it. Trump becomes the lamest of lame ducks, he will have two full years of being as lame as you can be. And when that happens, something else kicks in right away. Of course, the House has oversight power and they are going to bury the Trump administration and investigations and oversight for two full years until Trump's last day in office, but then there's something else also, which is that within the Republican Party, power starts to shift away from Donald Trump. If he can't get anything passed and he's as unpopular as any president in the modern era has been, why do we stick with Trump? Which leads us into the
Starting point is 01:16:17 conversation of what happens in 2028. If Trump can't pass laws and he's so unpopular that he can't even pick the heir to the Maga Throne for 2028, he is no longer the center of gravity. He is blocked and locked. And the part that people maybe are underestimating or you're sort of like, maybe I'll vote in November. Maybe I won't. I don't know. Presidents who lose that kind of power, often lose control of their own party completely. And at that point, Trump isn't picking a successor. This whole thing of, oh, Marco Rubio, we're JD vans. He's trying to already turn it into some kind of reality show competition.
Starting point is 01:16:56 That is done because it won't be up to Trump anymore if we can damage him in the party so significantly this November. He will be competing with a bunch of Republicans who suddenly realize he has nothing to offer me anymore. I don't need him anymore. And so you go from a president completely in control of everything, controlling his party, controlling the legislative agenda, everything to a guy who is irrelevant politically, loses power, loses the influence of the bully pulpit in a single midterm election.
Starting point is 01:17:29 The media narrative will flip overnight. Right now it's Trump's agenda. Trump's war in Iran. Trump's negotiations on tariff. Trump's health care plan that's two weeks away, which none of us believe, but some of them keep repeating. overnight, it will be Trump rejected by voters. MAGA is done. Weakest president ever.
Starting point is 01:17:50 Trump blocked. Trump cucked. You will even see some headlines. I would never do that headline, but some will do that headline. But it's up to us to make it happen. And if we say we don't really care that much about that, we're going to stay home, then it won't happen. And there's a lot of work being done here to try to preserve election integrity.
Starting point is 01:18:11 which the Supreme Court by gutting the Voting Rights Act is trying to destroy. There's a lot of work being done in terms of the redistricting efforts to ensure that Republicans cannot steal congressional seats simply on the basis of drawing wacky congressional districts. We're doing all of this stuff. Let's not make it be for nothing. That's my thought. Let's actually make it be for something. We will talk on today's bonus show about seven elections tonight that will test the power
Starting point is 01:18:41 of MAGA. We will also talk about the Trump administration blaming Biden for the collapse of Spirit Airlines. Unfortunately, reality points a different direction. And are you sleeping enough? Most Americans are not. And we are going to go through why this is and the different schools of thought as to what helps. All of that and more on today's bonus show. Don't miss it. Sign up now. Don't Wait, now you can sign up at join packman.com.

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