The Derivative - When the Gales of November Come Early: the Wreck of the Edmund Fitzgerald, and Modern Maritime Trade with Sal Mercogliano

Episode Date: November 13, 2025

Set sail with maritime historian Sal Mercogliano as we dive deep into the enduring mystery of the Edmund Fitzgerald, a legendary ship lost on the Great Lakes 50 years ago this week. From chilling tale...s of mariners’ lives and the critical role of iron ore trade, to the evolving challenges facing commercial shipping, this episode explores what really happened that stormy night in 1975—and why the story resonates today. Join host Jeff Malec and Sal for a wide-ranging conversation about Great Lakes lore, the economics and environmental impact of shipping, and what the future holds for this vital but often-overlooked industry. Whether you’re a shipping enthusiast or new to the story, you’ll come away with fresh insights and a newfound appreciation for the ships and people that keep goods moving around the globe. SEND IT!Chapters:00:00-00:50= Intro00:51-4:04= From the High Seas to the Classroom: A Mariner’s Journey and Life Aboard4:05-19:48= Lost Legends and Great Lakes Mysteries: The Edmund Fitzgerald and Life Aboard19:49-34:45= From Iron Ore to Global Trade: Modern Shipping, Infrastructure, and Industry Shifts34:46-39:32=Charting a Greener Course: The Future of Shipping and Environmental Innovation39:33-57:05= Shipping’s Allure: Public Fascination, Industry Mystique, & Movie magicFrom the Episode:Sal Mercoglianos Youtube Channel - What’s going on with Shipping?Highlighted Seafaring movies:  Action in the North Atlantic Moby Dick Captain Courageous Don't forget to subscribe to⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Derivative⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, follow us on Twitter at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@rcmAlts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and our host Jeff at⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠@AttainCap2⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, or⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ , and⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠, and⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠sign-up for our blog digest⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.Disclaimer: This podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal, business, or tax advice. All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of RCM Alternatives, their affiliates, or companies featured. Due to industry regulations, participants on this podcast are instructed not to make specific trade recommendations, nor reference past or potential profits. And listeners are reminded that managed futures, commodity trading, and other alternative investments are complex and carry a risk of substantial losses. As such, they are not suitable for all investors. For more information, visit⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠www.rcmalternatives.com/disclaimer⁠⁠⁠⁠

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 When you start looking at the bulk futures and even container futures, which another aspect, is you can see the volatility. It's like, hey, you know, we're predicting the end of the quarter to be like this. Like, man, all it takes is one thing, and it throws it off. Welcome to the derivative by our SAM alternatives. Send it. Hi, I'm Salmer Cogliano. We're here to talk about the Edmund Fitzgerald and shipping on the derivative. Sal, thanks for coming on. How are you?
Starting point is 00:00:53 Thanks for having me on. I'm good. There's a lot of ship going on around the world. Campbell University, Maritime College. I love the background here. Tell us quickly, where's Campbell? Sure. So Campbell is in North Carolina, so about halfway between Raleigh and Fadeville, North Carolina. I've been a professor here for 15 years. I'm the chair of the Department of History, and I'm a maritime historian. So back in a former career, went to Maritime College, New York Maritime College, and I sailed as a merchant mariner for about seven years until I swallowed the anchor. That's what they say when you retire, swalled the anchor. That's it.
Starting point is 00:01:33 I didn't retire. I kind of transitioned out of shipping. I came down with a condition that precluded me from continuing my sailing career. I got married. What were those trips like? Tell us a little bit about that life. It's gone for months at a time. I love sailing.
Starting point is 00:01:50 It was one of my favorite jobs in the world. There's a kid growing up in New York. I wanted to get out and go see places. I used to see the ships coming in and out of the channel. Ambrose Channel into New York Harbor, and to me, that was my opportunity to see the world, and I did. I loved it. It was a great job. It was a very lonely job at the time. One of the big problems with being a mariner is your way from home for huge periods of time. A little bit better today with some technology that allows you to be a little bit more connected, but still,
Starting point is 00:02:18 it's a very tough and very quiet life. A big problem today that ships don't spend much time at all in port. So shore leave is not a big thing. You make money, moving the ships, not by sitting in port. And what kind of ships were you on? I sailed for, actually, the U.S. Navy for an outfit called Military Seal of Command. So I operated a lot of ships for the U.S. Navy, so some underway replenishment vessels. I was on some cargo ships, the hospital ship comfort during the Persian Gulf War. And then I worked for Military Seelift Command chartering vessels.
Starting point is 00:02:51 And so I worked on a batch of a float prepositioning ships for the Army and the Marine Corps. So I got a chance to work on the private sector. working with those ships that we leased and chartered and then working for government-owned ships. Do those become Navy part of the fleet when they become chartered or they're still public? No, they're, well, they're owned by the government, but what most people don't know is that about one out of five ships in the U.S. Navy have civilian crews on board. And so they're mainly the auxiliary vessels. And so I was part of those crews that operated them.
Starting point is 00:03:22 Even in God forbid, if we had a war or something, what happens with that setup? Yep. They say civilian man. And so civilian manning of Navy ships is not actually uncommon. We've seen it before, sailing masters, ships that are owned by the Navy, but crewed by civilians, have been around for a very long time. The Royal Navy has it with the Royal Fleet Auxiliary. It's been around since 1905.
Starting point is 00:03:43 Yeah, what was that movie, Dunkirk, where they're all going over in their private boats to rescue everybody? Yep, and they impounded the vessels and took them over. Most of them were actually in Dunkirk, most of them had military crews put on, but some civilians did take their vessels over. All right, well, I'm wearing my t-shirt, my Edmunds, Fitzgerald, which I got from the Great Lakes Maritime Museum, I believe. It's like in Duluth or something. So 50 years ago, Edmund Fitzgerald.
Starting point is 00:04:21 One, I want to ask you as a historian, is it, do you get sick of this? Are you like, oh, this is overdone? Why does everyone only care about the end? Fitzgerald or is it fun like someone plugs into history every now and then no i i i like that people get interested in it i mean i don't think people know about this this story unless it's gordon lightfoot making the music of the song but to me it's a you know ideal you know i have a youtube channel where i talk about shipping all the time and lots of times where i see a lot of upticks in my channel is when there's a disaster or something happening and i try to take those moments to educate people
Starting point is 00:04:57 about it. It's kind of what I did in my most recent video on the Fitzgerald. I didn't recap the Fitzgerald because there's plenty of people out there who have done that and done it very well. What I wanted to do was kind of talk about why the Great Lakes matter and what the crew, the 29 Mariners were doing on board Edmund Fitzgerald back in November of 1975 holding iron ore from Duluth heading to Toledo, Ohio, you know, because that's a key trade route. And it's essential for U.S. manufacturing to get that ore out of Minnesota over to Ohio and into the steel plants. So did Gordon screw it up? Didn't he say they're bound for Cleveland? They're bound for Toledo? Well, I don't think Toledo sounded good in the song. And they offloaded in several ports.
Starting point is 00:05:43 So they were heading to Toledo and Cleveland. So I mean, you have a little literary license when you're when you're making a song. But I think the story of the Edmund Fitzgerald really resonates because, Again, we tend not to think that a vessel 730-something feet long can just disappear and take all the crew with them. I mean, no evidence of the crew has ever been found. There was, you know, and there was a ship, the Arthur Anderson right by it at the time. And yet one ship survives, one doesn't. And I think that's the nature. And we've seen that happen recently with stories like the Ever Given in the Suez and the Dole in Baltimore, how these ships can really captivate all of a sudden people's imaginations.
Starting point is 00:06:25 so 737 feet and that design what do you call the design of that ship she was a she was a seaway laker so she was designed to navigate all the canals in the great lake and get out into the st lawrence seaway so the welling canal which connects lake erie to ontario it has a has a constraint it has a limit to it and so you've got to be under 737 you got to be less than 75 feet wide you have to be able to get through the canal to get up. And she was really never designed to go out into this out into the Atlantic, but she was designed to carry ore up into the St. Lawrence Seaway to deposit it into areas along the seaway so that it could be loaded onto other ships to take it across the oceans. That I used to be a sailor, did a lot of big boat sailing out in the ocean and whatnot, but then also inland lake sailing so i think of it as a scow right if you're in a midwestern lake you have the scow very low beam um or sideboard right very low sideboard wide and skinny yeah so it's not ocean worthy was that something going on here right like the waves became ocean waves but it wasn't really ocean worthy
Starting point is 00:07:43 well i mean the great great lakes are always a misnamed area to me because they're oceans their seas I mean, they're massive. I mean, you think of a lake and you kind of get away from what the Great Lakes truly are. She was designed for that type of sea. I mean, I don't think that was really the issue. I mean, everybody knew the type of seas you can get. I mean, the Gales and Superior and Huron can be rough. I mean, you have that long area stretch where you can get some really good rollers built up to it.
Starting point is 00:08:12 Obviously, her cargo was unique because she was carrying a very unique type of steel pellets that were very heavy. So she was not fully, I mean, she was weighted down, but she wasn't fully loaded to the brim, which creates some problems on ships, especially bulk carriers like that, because you get the free service effect, yeah, the cargo can shift. And then, you know, what we don't know, and this is the huge mystery of Edmund Fitzgerald, is she reported a list and she reported flooding, which means that she was taking water into the holes, which creates even a bigger problem because then that iron ore becomes almost like a slurry, it will shift to each side, and you get instability in the vessel. So she either cracked her hole because of the waves, did she touch bottom, did the hatch covers
Starting point is 00:08:56 pop loose? We just don't know. I mean, this is always the great mystery of Edmund Fitzgerald. And, you know, we've done a lot of examinations of the wreck. And in truth, we just don't know. We have conflicting reports from the NTSB and the Coast Guard on this. What did they do that with? Their submersibles have gone down there and everything. How deep is it sitting? it's not it's not very deep where she's at it's it's i want to think it's about just a hundred feet or so it's not too terribly deep when it happened in 75 they actually brought a navy a p3 orion anti-submarine plane out to find it they actually used their magnetic anomaly detector which detects large you know steel in the in the ocean so they found her very quickly and then in
Starting point is 00:09:37 the spring i think it was march they actually brought this is in 1975 or 76 at this time they really don't have ROVs remotely operated vehicles. So they brought us submersible in and actually dived on the wreck. And so they found her. I mean, she was clearly identified. You can see the name and everybody knew exactly what she was. And what they found was she had broken in half. The stern had flipped over, was separated from her, but not very far from her, which indicates
Starting point is 00:10:02 she went down kind of together at the moment. Contents of her hull had spilled out. And there was damage to obviously the bow, where the bow, implanted into the bottom. But they, you know, some of the hatch covers, the hatch covers they had had these big clamps on them. Some of the clamps had been lost. Some of the hatch covers had been blown off.
Starting point is 00:10:23 But again, what we don't know is where the hatch covers lost during the storm or when the ship struck the bottom. And so it's been very hard to kind of forensically rebuild the model here because of the damage and especially because a lot of the surveys weren't done for years afterwards. And what was the, how come? No one could escape lifeboats, whatnot, too rough, or just wasn't designed with safety in mind like a Titanic issue? Well, I mean, this story is very reminiscent of a story that happened in 2015 with another American ship called the El Faro, which was lost in a hurricane off the coast of Cuba down in the Caribbean. And very much in the same way, what tends to happen here is the sinking tends to be very fast and catastrophic.
Starting point is 00:11:09 and the crew cannot get to the boats. Plus, being in a small boat in a storm like that is very difficult. Launching a light boat in calm weather is not an easy thing to do sometimes. And doing it in extremely rough weather is even worse. And probably the crew was hunkered down in the ship. They were, you know, again, they were getting close to safety in Whitefish Bay. You know, all I had to do is get around the point and they would have been in calm waters. and so they probably did when it happened
Starting point is 00:11:41 it probably happened very quick very suddenly so that the crew could not go I mean it is a desperate act to decide to leave a ship to get into a lifeboat in a storm it's not something that's done with any sort of Yale let's go do this because you're in a worse situation
Starting point is 00:11:57 in many ways and when you were mentioning the story of the 29 just of what they were doing like that was their job they were moving this iron ore um and and you mentioned in your video you knew one of them or you said you don't usually do ones you know people i've met some of the families i've i've been to some events uh in the past where i've met family members i didn't know anybody of the crew because it was 75 i was young
Starting point is 00:12:24 really really young at the time but i've met family members at events uh up and around on the commemoration of it so it's always hard and i've seen basically all the family members give their talks and and in truth you know even even as a mariner, if you don't know somebody, you know exactly who they are because there are certain types at sale and you know that. The Great Lakes are really unique because they're, you know, they're their own little area, very unique kind of service because you shut down in the wintertime when the lakes ice up and the lock shut down. So typically, you know, end of the season, December, January, you shut down the Sioux locks, usually shut down to maybe
Starting point is 00:13:03 March, so you get about four months off. But during the rest of the season, you're running, nonstop. So it's a really laborious, you know, from March to December, January, you're running really crazy. You usually have multiple crews, so you're rotating crews on the ships. It's fast voyages, you know, you can get from Duluth to Cleveland in, you know, less than a week. So it's a fast voyage, you know, so you're, you know, you're always churning on the lake, moving cargo as quick as fast as you can. And so it's a very unique environment. And great lake sailors are unique. They will always tell you they're unique because they operate in such a unique environment. To sail on the lakes, you need pilotage for the officers. So you have
Starting point is 00:13:47 to know the lakes really, really well. Obviously, you're going through canals. So Sulawks, which are huge are big ones because they can handle ships up to a thousand feet. It's much bigger. There are ships that can't get out of the Great Lakes. You know, the Welland Canal shuts them onto the four upper lakes. And so you have these thousand footers now. that run on the lakes but it's also an older fleet the the most the newest vessel in the u.s fleet the mark barker came on just a few years ago and that is the first modern laker built in 40 years where is it out of they're all out of lakes period they're all canadian or they're u.s u.s these are all u.s built ships so u.s has this provision called the jones act which is section
Starting point is 00:14:28 27 of the merchant marine act of 1927 which you have to be a u.s owned u.s built u.s flagged U.S. cargo, U.S. flag vessel to operate to move cargo between U.S. ports. Canadian law is different. I thought that was only in regards to energy, to oil. That's for everything. No, it's for any cargo. Right? You only hear it usually.
Starting point is 00:14:50 Anything you move. So a ship like Edmund Fitzgerald was built in Ohio, for example. And so U.S. owned, U.S. flag, U.S. crude, U.S. operated. Canadians are different because Canadians will allow foreign-built ships in. So you see a lot of Chinese built and Korean and Japanese built vessels up on the, up on the lakes, but they'll operate on the Canadian side. They'll come into U.S. ports because they'll operate between both ports. But inherently within the U.S. trade, you have to fit those parameters.
Starting point is 00:15:19 And last bit on Edmund Fitzgerald, then we'll go back into the Great Lakes of the crew. Like, were these guys educated? Were they making $10,000 a year? like what was the what was the kind of life like for them was it a good job so so i mean your crew is kind of divided up into three different areas you have the deck crew so these are the bridge officers uh and then you have the engine crew these are the ones down in the engine room and then you have the stewards the ones you do the cooking kind of the the housekeeping type stuff so that's your basic arrangement on a ship uh crew of 29 so you probably the the majority of them are
Starting point is 00:15:55 engineers because engineering takes the most on a ship you need the most amount of crew on that You'll have, you know, your captain, your chief mate, second mate, third mate. You'll have some unlicensed personnel on board. They probably all right from the lakes. I mean, Great Lakes is really unique in that everybody's usually right from that area. Some ways, some of the officers were educated over at Great Lakes Maritime over in Michigan. Others will do what's called come through the haws pipe. They work as an unlicensed and you work your way up through the licenses.
Starting point is 00:16:23 You basically get sea time. Then you sit for your Coast Guard license and you go to your next license. And so a lot of these guys have been sailing for a long time, for many years, a couple of new guys on board, too. And, you know, you always get that mix of the kind of the old grizzled sailors. They've been doing it for 20, 30 years. You get your new guys coming on board, earning some money. It's good pay. It's one of the allures of it.
Starting point is 00:16:44 It's a really good pay. It's a meritocracy. So, you know, do your time, get your license, and you can move up the ranks. And so for a lot of guys, they liked it. I always love the idea of sailing for a few months and then being off for a few months. You know, it beats that nine to five weekends, you know, it's, it's, you know, you work hard for a couple of months and then you're off for a couple of months. And so you get to do whatever you want to do. So I think it's probably a game of college professor afterwards because I get my summers off.
Starting point is 00:17:10 I like that deal. Room and boards covered or they have like a ship store mentality if you get a. No, usually room and board and food is covered for you, but they do have a ship store. So if you want to buy more stuff. And, you know, back in the day when they'd pull into Duluth or Toledo at Cleveland, they were in for a while because, you know, loading ships was not. not the vass, especially a bulk carrier. It takes a bit of time to load those vessels. So they were able to get ashore.
Starting point is 00:17:33 Obviously, being in the United States, it's nice. You don't have issues with visas and passports and things like that. So that you can go ashore and, you know, right outside the port in Duluth, there were, you know, stores and restaurants and bars where you can go to. And they, you know, a lot of local hangouts for these mariners to go into. So it was a very kind of unique little style. The families, you know, knew each other. you know and then your relief crews would come on board and you know sometimes you know it'd be you know
Starting point is 00:18:01 if you're a captain on this ship you were captain for a set period of time you may have a relief captain come on board who you know and so you're kind of swapping off between two people uh it creates a very unique environment uh operating on the ships what's the uh competition between the ocean going cruise and the great lakes crews did the ocean guys be like oh you you wimps you just you travel in the lakes and you're in a port within a day Like, come on. Everybody rags everybody in the maritime industry. So it doesn't matter if your ocean or Great Lakes, it depends what ships you're on.
Starting point is 00:18:34 I mean, no one's as good as what you're doing all the time. So if I'm on a container ship, it's better than the tankers. It's better than the cruise ship, guys. They're terrible. And then, you know, you get on the Great Lakes and, oh, you guys are puddle jumpers. You guys, you know, run the Great Lakes. It's, you know, you're not even out in a real ocean. And, and in truth, I've sailed up in the Great Lakes.
Starting point is 00:18:52 And, man, it can be rough. It can be, it's a rough type of environment. it's cold, it's brew, when that wind comes in off of the plains of Canada, holy cow, I don't think I've ever been as cold in my life is up on Superior. It is a rough, rough, frigid area to be in. And plus, you got to, you know, you got to be tough navigating. You got to go through the locks. It is, it is a, it's a grind.
Starting point is 00:19:13 Sometimes long voyages are better than short voyages because, you know, you get time to kind of kick back and relax. Crossing the Pacific is nice. You know, when you leave Duluth in a day or two, you're at, you know, you're at the locks. and then you're sailing between, you know, Detroit, which is always a pain because it's shallow and it's a narrow channel. So you're always kind of always fighting things. And the lakes are notoriously dangerous. I mean, more ships sunk in the Great Lakes than the Bermuda Triangle, for example. Really? Yep. Who knew? You knew. That's why we need historian.
Starting point is 00:19:46 so let's talk great lakes i'm here in chicago obviously love our lakes i've done the chicago to mackina race i've done uh port huron mackinall race i've done some racing out of bayview in superior so have been on the water and all these lakes you see the ships but not as much as i would think from watching your channel and learning about how much shipping's actually going on in the great lakes right so it's rare to be sitting here in chicago and to see a ship out on the horizon really um so tell us if you have just generally or if you have specific stats of like what does the actual today's shipping volume what are they shipping where is it going inside the great lakes so if you look at the region of the great lakes from deluth like montreal i mean you're talking
Starting point is 00:20:40 about i think the numbers for 2022 was roughly over 200,000 tons of cars or moved on the Great Lakes. That's just, it's American, Canadian, everybody involved there is moving cargo in and around the Great Lakes. For 2024, just the American ships moved roughly around 78 million tons of cargo around the Great Lakes. The vast majority of that is iron. I mean, over 50% of that is iron ore.
Starting point is 00:21:07 Then you get limestone, you get coal, you get cement, you get salt, about a little over a million tons of salt are moved around. the Great Lakes. So a lot of Margarita is obviously being drunk around the Great Lakes at this time. What you don't see moved around the Great Lakes a lot is grain. That's not a big movement around that. But, you know, Chicago is key. You know, one of the things I always talk about when I do my maritime history course is Chicago is created as a city because it's the very bottom of Lake Michigan, but it connects to the Illinois River, which connects to the inland waterway system of the Mississippi River. And so when you take Chicago, you take the Illinois River,
Starting point is 00:21:46 connected to Buffalo with the Erie Canal in 1825, you create a waterway system that literally creates the eastern half of the U.S. into an island. You can sail from Chicago, down, Illinois, Mississippi, out New Orleans, back up to New York, up the Hudson, across Erie to Buffalo, and then circle around. And that's the great transportation system. It's what opens up the Midwest to the United States because you get the Appalachian Mountains because it was hard to get up the Mississippi River because of the current. Now all of a sudden you open up that area. And so, yeah, It becomes this massive inland waterway system. I always joked that the War of 1812 was fought so that we can grab the St.
Starting point is 00:22:22 Lawrence so that we can have an inland waterway system that wasn't always dependent on the Mississippi. Unfortunately, we weren't able to liberate the Canadians. So they live in their squalor as Canadians and not as good Americans. And what's the largest ship that can make that route? like what it's that a canal you mentioned before what was it the wall away well and canal keeps you locked in
Starting point is 00:22:50 and to go from where's that's that's eerie into the St. Lawrence that's that's Erie into Ontario and then into St. Lawrence so you have you have a series of locks between you got to go through the Sioux locks between Superior and Huron and those are the big locks those are the big thousand foot long locks
Starting point is 00:23:06 then you have the locks the Welland Canal locks that go from Erie into Ontario and then there's a series of locks, the Eisenhower locks, and some Canadian locks that take you down the seaway. You have to step down from Ontario into the St. Lawrence. When you're on Superior, you're about 600 feet above sea level. And so you've got to step down all the way to get there. Without going over Niagara. Yeah. Right. And that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's that's the big step at the welling canal. It takes you without going over the going over a barrel
Starting point is 00:23:36 in the Niagara Falls. And then to go into the Illinois River, that tends to be tugs and barges. So that's not very large vessels. It tends to be barge traffic that is going through there. Because above St. Louis, you're in locks, you're in dams and locks. And so what you tend to see here are barge and tugs. So usually what you'll see limited in those rivers is usually about 15 barges about about five wide three long nested together and that tends to be about the limit you can get through the lock system north of st louis i used to have a buddy worked for some company doing barge traffic and he right he's like this the cheapest transport there is on the bar it is and it's it's it's you know and i was i didn't realize they're still doing barges and canals
Starting point is 00:24:24 i'm like wait what oh yeah it's it's it's massive in many ways barges are like you know, they're at the end cedants of containers. And because you use barges for that, the problem you have on the Mississippi River is, number one, past three years is we've had massive droughts. And so it creates a lot of problems and using it. So not so much a problem above St. Louis because you have the locks and dams, which can control the water below the St. Louis,
Starting point is 00:24:48 you're at the mercy of the river. And the river can be really a pain. And what happens is when you start hitting low water in the lower Mississippi, you've got to limit the number of barges. when you get down below St. Louis, you can actually have 40 barges on a toe, but you start decreasing that once you start getting low water, plus your drafts start changing. So you go from 12-foot draft on barges to 9.5 foot. And that just reduces your capacity. What you tend to see doing on the barges is bulk material. It's grain, it's ore, it's coal. That's what you're moving
Starting point is 00:25:22 all the time. They're trying to change that now. One of the big pushes right now is to get the up-river traffic to start bringing containers via the barges up. That's always been a slow transition. And do they still do the same pellets that were in the Edmund Fitzgerna? Or did they figure out a better way to do that? There's different types of war that they do. That type of ore was a very heavy type of ore that they were using. So, yeah, you get different mixes.
Starting point is 00:25:52 And I'm not an expert on all cargo coming out of the Great Lakes right now, but they do different levels. So the ships are also designed to carry or a little bit differently now. A lot of the ships are self-loading, self-discharging. So you'll see a lot of the ore carriers now have their own cranes on board. That gets you away from having to use facilities on shore. That's a little bit more effective in cost to do it because a lot of the problems was a lot of infrastructure costs in the ability to load ore and coal on facilities. And it gives you a little bit more versatility with the ships. And meanwhile, I think Chicago's planning take out this whole area and basically that used to be steel plant and turn it into like a quantum mechanics research center or something.
Starting point is 00:26:38 So, right, at the same time, you're losing a lot of the infrastructure, right? They're not building more of it. That's happening everywhere. I mean, unfortunately, you know, where, you know, key loading and facilities are for shipping, it's also hot real estate area for developments, whether commercial or residential. And so we see that transitioning everywhere. It's a really tough thing. You know, especially if you look at shipbuilding in the United States, a lot of shipbuilding facilities are right there in urban areas,
Starting point is 00:27:05 so the land is worth more for its real estate value than it is for maybe a shipbuilding value. Where do they build all the ships these days? Or are we building ships? Like, let's get into that for a second. Right? I think there was some news a little while ago. Most of the ship building is in Asia, I believe. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:27:23 94% of all ships are built. built in three countries, China, Japan, and Korea, and China builds last year 51% of all the world ships. They're on track to build over 60% this year. And that kicked off a big issue by President Trump. We had an executive order come out from him. We had this U.S. trade representative Section 301 report come out about port fees for Chinese-owned Chinese-built ships. We had the introduction of what's called the Ships Act by Senator Mark Kelly, Democrat from Arizona and then Senator Todd Young from a Republican from Indiana, pushed this in. So they're trying to rekindle commercial shipbuilding back in the United States.
Starting point is 00:28:05 What the U.S. has done largely since the 1980s is outsource our domestic shipbuilding overseas. Literally the only ships we build in the United States right now are Navy warships. So we've got a series of shipyards that do that, bath iron, up in Maine, electric boat in Groton, Connecticut. Newport News in Virginia. You have Pascagoula, which is Huntington Ingalls, down in Mississippi, and then you have NASCO and San Diego. Then you have Jimmy Buffett song, Pascagoula Run. Oh, yeah.
Starting point is 00:28:38 And because there's a big shipbuilding place down there. And then we have one yard that's doing commercial, and that's really the old Philadelphia Navy Yard, which was bought by Hanwa, which is a Korean shipbuilder. And so they're doing commercial shipbuilding. They're building three container ships right now for Mattson Lines that operates between the West Coast and Hawaii and Alaska. But what we're trying to do is kind of restart shipbuilding in the United States. The problem is it's expensive.
Starting point is 00:29:03 Anything you stop doing and you try to restart is going to be expensive. And the Chinese heavily subsidized give a lot of support to that sector of their industry. And matter of fact, what they're trying to do is run the Japanese and Koreans out of business. So they're doing everything they can to undercut the big competition out there. the reasons why we see Hanwa from Korea, Hyundai from Japan coming over to the United States and trying to start doing shipbuilding in the United States. They see the U.S. market as a viable market. So if I'm one of those Korean firm building it in the U.S. that counts under these new laws, that it's U.S. built? Well, it depends on what sector you're building to, and it depends on
Starting point is 00:29:49 what percentage of the ship is actually built in the United States. Shipbuilding has changed since that law was passed back in 1920. A lot of things that we do with ships today are shipyards are assembly yards. You bring the components together and you build it together. So your propeller may come from Germany. Your engine may come from Italy. And it's really a measure of what percentage of the ship is built in the U.S. to whether or not you can do domestic trade, the coastwise trade. You can be a foreign built ship and be engaged in international trade. There's no problem with that. You can be a Korean built, a Japanese built. We even have Chinese built ships that fly the U.S. flag and conduct international trade. You can do that. What they're trying to do is try to get
Starting point is 00:30:30 U.S. domestic shipbuilding back up again. The U.S. is very strange in that we have the 23rd largest merchant marine in the world. So we're tiny in terms of overall scale of fleets. However, Americans are the fourth largest investors in shipping. So we're willing to put money in the shipping. We just don't put them into American shipping. And that's because we want to see that return on investment. And you get more of a return on investment. with foreign shipping than you do with American shipping. And one of the things I testified before Congress the other week was we have to create the environment where Americans want to invest in American shipping.
Starting point is 00:31:04 What can we do to promote that shipping environment? You're just casually dropping that of like when I testified before Congress the other week. Yeah. It's first time I've ever done it. How was it? Nerve-wracking or weird? It was nervous. I was very nervous.
Starting point is 00:31:20 I got called by Senator Sullivan of Alaska's office. And I thought they were calling me to ask questions for the senator to ask a panel. And then about halfway through the discussion, they said, do you want to come testify? It's like I never testified before. And so I did the testimony. And it was very disconcerting to see senators who you see on TV right there before. When Ted Cruz comes rolling in, it's kind of weird. I'm not going to lie.
Starting point is 00:31:44 It's a weird feeling when you see him come in. Not that he's strange. He was great. He was the only guy who got my name right, by the way. Only one who nailed my name perfectly. I want to ask if they're as dumb as they seem on TV, but we'll leave that for a different podcast. Their staffs are very interesting because they ask a lot of questions. And I will say on the shipping aspect, they're asking a lot of good questions right now.
Starting point is 00:32:07 It was really interesting about, it was the Senate Commerce Committee. I've watched tons, I'm sure like you have, Jeff, you watch, I've watched tons of testimony with this. It is not like a judiciary or a typical congressional hearing where the Democrats and Republicans are going at each other. They're going for sound bites and points. Right. This was the most bipartisan, and this is a topic that really does draw a bipartisanship, because I think they all realize the importance of trade and shipping to the American economy. Are we, so we're 23rd Maritime, that means just the people in the industry and whatnot? Number of ships and tonnage in the ship.
Starting point is 00:32:45 So that's what we start talking about when we talk about 23rd in the world. But we're number one in terms of incoming, in terms of stuff coming to us from ships. Oh yeah, it was definitely the number one importer and trade. So you definitely see that. China is very close, but China, I understand China is a massive importer, largely of raw materials and components for assembly in China. I was just at, I did a visit over to Australia to give a talk. And I went to this port in northern Australia called Port Headland. No one's ever heard of this place. When I was at Port Headland, it's loaded with ore carriers, kind of like what you see with the Edmund Fitzgerald, but these are ocean-going vessels. There were two dozen of these ships in Port Hedland, and they're loading coal, iron, and lithium. And it's like a line of ants coming out of Port Hedland in Northern Australia, heading to China, Korea, and Japan. I'll give you the number. Last year, they loaded 778 million tons of cargo. 778 million tons.
Starting point is 00:33:46 That's 10 times what the U.S. carries on the Great Lakes. 7708 that's 5% of global tonnage comes out of that one port one harbor which i'd never heard of before yeah right and it's it's insane because the port is like i was in a tugboat in the middle of the harbor and you see all the boats wrapped around and it is it is an insane environment and they have 40 ships anchored off the dock off the port waiting to come in because they don't want every every every hour you know that they're not moving cargo is five million dollars and so They want cargo moving all the time. I thought China had all the lithium and all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:34:24 So they're still want some from elsewhere as well. Oh, yeah. And they're importing massive from Australia. Australia is a huge feeder into that system. And that goes to Chinese imports. China is a massive import of raw materials. Oil, natural gas, you name it. I mean, you just see the amount that they import.
Starting point is 00:34:40 It's absolutely fascinating. We tend to think China is this massive exporter, but in truth, they import more than they export in terms of tonnage. you mentioned natural gas so i'll have to for all our energy trader listeners uh lNG vessels and infrastructure what's what's that future look like seems like we kind of always start and stop and start and stop there well i mean since 2016 we've become uh the largest exporter i think last year last month was the biggest month in american exports over a hundred million tons of lNG went out last month. Obviously, the Trump administration's got a favorable environment now, so we're seeing LNG licenses and port construction going on. We're definitely seeing that. There's an effort to try to
Starting point is 00:35:32 build liquefied natural gas carriers in the U.S. Hanwa is talking about building one, if not two, liquefied natural gas carriers in it. I'm a big proponent. I think we should be doing everything we can to be reflagging in liquefied natural gas carriers into the U.S. registry, even with waiving the build requirement temporarily in the United States to get that LNG so we can move it within the United States, particularly Alaskan LNG coming out of Alaska down to the lower 48, LNG coming from the Gulf Coast up to New England, because New York won't allow them to build that pipeline into New England. I think it has to do with the Red Sox, so, you know, they're starving them of that. Same thing over to Puerto Rico. I think, you know, I'm very-
Starting point is 00:36:14 And that's back to that Jones Act where it has to be a U.S. flagship to bring that into another U.S. port? Right. And one of the things I said when I did my testimony, I sat there and said, listen, we need to reform it. I'm the, you know, I'm a staunchedonex guy. I believe that I don't believe in repealing it. I do believe we need to reform it. We need to have that discussion. The problem you have in this, Jeff, is there's two camps. There's the anti-Jones act and there's the pro-Jones act. And those two do not get along. And none of them want to take a step down their mountaintop for fear that the other one pounces. I don't care. I'm a tenured professor. or I can say whatever the heck I feel like.
Starting point is 00:36:49 And I will tell you that the right decision here is to have a good discussion about reform so that we can do what's best. I think LNG is our big export. It's a massive export. We've seen it happening. But there are issues with LNG exports in the United States. Last year we had low water in the Panama Canal.
Starting point is 00:37:09 That disrupted LNG exports to Asia tremendously. It created problems because when the big lane in the Panama Canal, the new lane that opened in 2016, that only handles 10 ships a day. When low water hit the Panama Canal, it went from 10 ships a day down to eight, down to six at some points. And then you had a reduced draft on the vessels. And what Panama did is they started bidding out processes so that you can basically pay millions of dollars to get through the canal. And what we saw was LNG shipment shifted from, we were fortunate in the U.S. that we could shift our LNG shipments to Europe at the time because natural gas shipments from Russia were down.
Starting point is 00:37:51 And what, what's it look like to build one of those LNG ships? That's as expensive as it gets? It is, I wouldn't say it's the most expensive because we, there's some very elaborate drilling platforms and ships because drilling platforms are ships. Yeah. But, but they are expensive. It's the cooling process. The way we load liquefied naturally, the way we liquefy it is, is cool it.
Starting point is 00:38:11 I mean, we just super cool it. And so you've got to put on the, it used to be pressure. We used to use pressure vessels. which were really dangerous. Now what we do is we super cool it down to, I think it's like 210, 210, 270. I forget what it is, below zero. And it's a very expensive process.
Starting point is 00:38:29 The plants are really expensive to build. The ship itself isn't that expensive. The hull and the engineering, you know, is kind of a big, huge open tanker. It's the LNG tanks you put in them that are the expensive aspect. Those big balls they look like, right? It looks like a ship of golf ball.
Starting point is 00:38:45 The balls are the pressure vessels. Most LG carriers you'll see today have, it almost looks like a shed on top of it. It's kind of a little bit of a sloped, almost like a roof structure. And that's where you do the cooling. And so it's the refrigeration process on board because what you have to do is refrigerate the gas as it comes on board. And then you have to kind of regassify it coming off the vessel. And so they're very expensive. Either you have a facility unsure they do that or you have a vessel.
Starting point is 00:39:16 that does it for you. So that's where the ships get really expensive. And when natural gas is at $4 bucks, it starts to not make sense at some point. If you have to spend all that money on the... But if we're pulling it out of the ground, basically, for free, to where it makes sense. Let's talk the future.
Starting point is 00:39:43 So, one, if you have all these ships, they're building... What'd you say China built 50 some? Or half the world ships. Oh, 51%. Like, how many ships is that? Like hundreds? Oh, you're building roughly each year, maybe around 1,200 ships.
Starting point is 00:39:59 So you're talking about 6,700 ships a year they're building. How many are coming offline? Like a couple hundred? Well, that's one of the big problems we're seeing right now is we're not scrapping or recycling ships the way we should. So what we're seeing is the fleet's aging. we're going from average was about 19 years of first ship now down the 21 ship owners buy ships when they have cash in their pocket that's when you buy ships so for example what we saw happen during the supply chain crisis was container companies which had cash in their pocket because they made a huge amount of money invested in buying large container ships tanker market lNG carriers are starting now to buy some money because the market the tanker market has always been tough they they've you know i've i've been hearing for decades now. Hey, the tankers are going to rebound and like tankers don't. LNG a little bit better because of the demand that's out there. So we're seeing LNG
Starting point is 00:40:53 carriers being built. But building ships right now are a real big issue because you may have, you know, and your viewers may have seen, the U.S. opposed this new net zero framework over in the International Maritime Organization. This was an effort to reduce carbon emissions on shipping substantially by 2040 with potential to zero out carbon emissions by 2050. That means you've got to build new propulsion plants that are capable of reducing carbon emissions. If you build a ship today in 2025, that ship is going to be good for 15 to 25 years. You're conceivably building a ship that in 2040 has got to be able to be modified to reduce that carbon emission. If you can't reduce that emission,
Starting point is 00:41:41 you may have a ship that you have to get rid of early. And what we're seeing right now is people are running ships longer than before because they can because they don't want to invest in new ships. It's like buying a new car today. New car prices are through the roof. So let me run my old car as long as I can. And then everybody doesn't know what the International Maritime Organization is going to do. Because if you would have asked me the Monday, the vote was going to be held, I would have told you it was going to pass.
Starting point is 00:42:08 but Trump and the U.S. delegation was able to swing enough votes so that they didn't vote it down, but what they did is they got a one-year extension. So it's on hold for a year. I don't know where this goes right now. Well, if I put on my, that's where I was going with that question. So you know of like putting on my environmentalist had on a thousand new ships a year. Like when does it get to be too much? When is they're just overtaking the ocean?
Starting point is 00:42:35 And I guess, or if we're saying the oceans are all massively. polluted to begin with and it doesn't matter. I was thinking about that in the Great Lakes, too. Like, people are going to start, if there's a hundred ships a day passing your view in the Great Lakes, people are going to start complaining. Well, ironically, you know, like on the Great Lakes, being a protected sea, a lot of the emission issues don't apply. So you have seam ships still operating up on the Great Lakes, which can't operate anywhere else. You're right about, but I would say this, that, you know, ocean shipping only contributes three percent to global pollution or carbon emissions, I should say.
Starting point is 00:43:10 It is a very clean process. And one of the things that we've seen change over the past 30 years. And they're all mostly diesel. Sorry, I interrupted. Largely diesel. And so you're using diesel propulsion. The problem you have with it is, if you go, you know, the amount of carbon per ton, it's very small.
Starting point is 00:43:30 It's smaller than aircraft, small in trucks, small than trains. The problem is it's heavily concentrated because a ship doesn't come in holding a ton. it's hauling 200,000 tons. So, you know, you get these big kind of carbon plumes because of the ships. And, you know, there are ways to mitigate that. You can burn cleaner fuel inside these environmental control areas within territorial waters. You can shift over to shore power. You know, one of the things that everybody talks about is, well, when a ship comes in,
Starting point is 00:43:57 we'll have them turn their engines off and we'll plug them into the grid. Well, most grids can't handle getting ships plugged into them because they are too much of a drawer. They try that in Miami with the cruise ships. the cruise ships draw too much power. It would cause brownouts in Miami. And so what we need is realistic, you know, kind of emission standards. The problem that I have with what the IMO is doing was they were pushing this onto the ship companies and the shipbuilders. It's like, okay, you've got to get greener. You've got to get greener at all expenses. And in truth, this is a national issue. Usually where we saw this innovation come up is with government innovation. It's with, you know,
Starting point is 00:44:37 navies and government funding. Now we're doing it through commercial, so much so that what you're going to see is even if you open up, for example, the Red Sea, the Houthi go away, and now all of a sudden you don't have to send ships around Africa anymore, well, rates are still going to be kind of artificially high because shipping companies got to invest in these new ship constructions because they got to buy these cleaner ships because if they keep burning the old fuel and keep doing the same pollution, they're going to get dinged, especially by the European Union. And what are there, I've seen those concept drawings of ships that unfurl these huge
Starting point is 00:45:13 spinnickers or electric ships. Is any of that realistic? Yeah. So I mean, you have ships with these big rotor sails, these big kind of look like big towers. Yeah. You know, and you put a rotor sale on a bulk carrier, a tanker, gets you a 10% fuel saving. The problem is you can't put enough rotor sales on before it becomes, you know, inefficient. Plus, it takes away tonnage capacity, it's maintenance issues, but we're seeing very, you know, innovative fuels. So like one of the big fuels that everybody's talking about now is ammonia. We're going to use ammonia for fuel because ammonia doesn't have carbon in it. It's great. You burn ammonia, doesn't create carbon emissions. It's clean. The problem with ammonia is it's ammonia. It's really dangerous. It's really flammable.
Starting point is 00:45:55 And it's really corrosive. And I deal with ammonia with people I know who have, you know, refrigeration facilities. I'm a volunteer firefighter. I deal with, you know, ammonia as a hazardous material. It's really nasty. It's not something you want on a ship. You want to be stuck on in the middle of the Pacific Ocean with, yeah. Well, you're not going to be stuck on it because I can tell you right now, if you have an ammonia leak,
Starting point is 00:46:17 the way you handle ammonia leak is if you can't seal it, you get off the boat and you leave the boat, and that's what you do. And that's what tends to happen. And I think the problem we have is IMO International Maritime Organization, the UN shipping arm, has got these great ideas. You know, everyone
Starting point is 00:46:33 loves the idea of being green and efficient. The problem is the practicality of it. What's the practicality of doing this? Plus, if you want to shift over to ammonia fuel, you better have a bunch of ammonia fuel set up around the world because if I've got a ship that needs ammonia, I need it. Diesel is everywhere. You can find diesel everywhere that you need. Marine diesel is great because it's literally everywhere and it's a lot cleaner than previous fuel that we've used in the past. Ammonia is tough, especially when you have diversions because of things like the Houthi and geopolitical issues. You know, I set up an ammonia fueling point, and next thing I know, my ship has got to sail away from there because of a geopolitical threat.
Starting point is 00:47:13 Now, where do I get the ammonia to fuel it? And how expensive is that ammonia, by the way, versus diesel fuel, which is fairly, you know, affordable? What about why does, has anyone thought or it's what use small modular nuclear reactors like the Navy? That's a big issue for the United States. The U.S. has been talking about this. Korea is talking about this. I think small modular nuclear reactors are the way to think about in the future. It's a lot different than Navy reactors.
Starting point is 00:47:43 Navy reactors are very high power. I mean, they get 95% fuel, power emissions from their reactors. We're talking maybe about 5%. The key thing in like a molten salt nuclear reactors, number one, it's extremely safe, especially in a saltwater environment. It's extremely safe. The other thing is you've got to make it modular so that at the end of the life cycle, ship you can pull it out and recycle it the like if you look at the british navy the british
Starting point is 00:48:07 navy has an entire area a lock you know in scotland full of every nuclear submarine it's ever had because it can't recycle the nuclear plants so they just park their old nuclear submarines up there and can't get rid of them you've got to create a system where you can recycle it and i think we can do that i think one of the things i would i would propose is you know hey maybe vessel replacement on the great lakes is we build a replacement ship and we put modular nuclear reactors in them, and we try that out, and we see how that works. The problem with modular nuclear reactors is they're really expensive. You need really well-trained engineers.
Starting point is 00:48:43 You need a batch of engineers to do it, but you will see the cost savings over the life of the vessel. The problem is you don't see that cost savings up front. So you've got to do something to offset the upfront cost of that boat and the crews to operate it. What are we going to do to offset that? We've done this in the past, 1936 the Merchant Marine Act. We put what we call National Defense Features and Shipbuilding where the U.S. would pay some of that money up front to defray that cost, to build that capacity.
Starting point is 00:49:12 I think modular nuclear reactors could be the new technology that the U.S. propels itself forward in if it embraces it. That's my talking up my book, because it's my biggest personal holding all these nuclear uranium stocks and modular reactor stocks, because I think it's the only answer to AI data centers and everything. So now you have another use case for me. I love it.
Starting point is 00:49:35 And you were talking about Miami, like put one in the port there. Like plug into the shore power of the modular reactor right there in the port, right? Well, not only that. I mean, the ships actually plug into the system and feed power back into the system. That's the other element about it is, you know, back in, like I was like 1920s, Tacoma, Washington had an earthquake or something like that. and the power went out, the power system in the city was destroyed, they brought a U.S. aircraft carrier, the Lexington, and plugged it into the power grid and fed into the power grid.
Starting point is 00:50:05 Just think if you have modular nuclear ships, they come into port, they plug in and you use, because you can't turn the power plan off. It's always up and running. It's generating power, but it's generating power that's not used. It can feed back into the system. And now you're generating power back in. You're basically selling power from the ship into the power grid of where you're at, And you're actually easing the power situations.
Starting point is 00:50:30 And that's how you solve the cost problem. I love it. Get back in there with Congress. We've got a solution. You got anything else you want to tell us? Any good nuggets? The only thing I would add is shipping is undergoing this kind of revitalization. People are paying attention to it.
Starting point is 00:50:51 It's been really interesting. Four and a half years ago, I started a YouTube channel that was talking about Evergiven stuck in the sewage. and I thought this was going to be a fluke. I'm going to talk about this ship for a couple of weeks, you know, a couple of days and it's going to go away. And since then,
Starting point is 00:51:06 you know, my YouTube channel has just grown. It's just gone up. I'm over half a million subscribers, you know, 100 million views. It's crazy. It's just,
Starting point is 00:51:14 and they're not tuning in to look at this mug, that's for sure. So they're obviously interested in, in shipping. And, you know, I think it's things like Edmund Fitzgerald. Those stories fascinate people. It's something they don't do.
Starting point is 00:51:24 And, you know, it's a, It involves risk, whether it's your life risk or financial risk, you know, in doing this. Waiting for your ship to come in. Yeah. Yeah. The proverbial. It's proverbial that.
Starting point is 00:51:37 And it really is. It's an amazing thing. We're fascinated by it. And it's an industry that's kind of, you know, closed off to us because it's behind a barrier and people don't talk about it. And one of the things that I think I do is kind of be a ship whisper. I can talk shipping to people, make them understand it. If you talk to people within the shipping industry, they're really.
Starting point is 00:51:56 tough to talk to you because they they can talk among themselves, but they have a very hard time talking to people outside their industry. And even shippers. Or they're in one lane within the industry. Exactly. You know, if you're tanker guys, you don't talk to the container guys. You don't talk to the bulk guys. It's really, really tough. I like to do that 50,000 foot kind of view and really talk about it. And so I've been very lucky. You ever mess around with the bulk freight futures? I have done the futures at all. I've invested in stocks. I've done, you know, stocks. and I have not gotten into the futures. But that's like one of the most volatile things in the world, right?
Starting point is 00:52:31 Well, it is for good reason because when you start looking at the bulk futures and even container futures, which another aspect is you can see the volatility. There's so many, whenever I hear anybody tell me, it's like, hey, you know, we're predicting the end of the quarter to be like this. Like, man, all it takes is one thing and it throws it off. Now, there's a moment where you can jump on that because usually if you're fast, you can capitalize on it. But, you know, I remember when the Houthis came out and I sat there and said, it's like, this is going to cause massive disruption because I knew the insurance was going to go up. And insurance is what you have to understand about shipping is everything banks on insurance. And minute insurance goes up, shipping companies understand risk. Risk isn't risking a ship.
Starting point is 00:53:14 It's risking profit. And they will shift to what's going to be the most profitable thing for them. Is that still shut down with the Houthis or what's happening there? Well, the big story right now is the Houthis just an. announced that they're going to stop attacking ships, the question is, do the shipping companies come back? And that's, I'm very going to work on a video on that that starts specifically about them, right? But well, you do you trust the Houthis? But, oh, by the way, we're seeing a resurgence in Somali piracy. And I think they're actually connected. I think it's one and the other
Starting point is 00:53:43 is actually connected there. So, you know, do you create this distrust in the area? It's going to be interesting to watch. Last bit. Favorite shipping, shipping tangential movies, right? You mentioned the Somali pirates, the Captain Phillips movie. I'll give you, I'll throw in my Mount Rushmore would be Captain Phillips, perfect storm, not really shipping. They're on a fishing boat, but master and commander. I see your tall ship back there. What else you got put on the? Oh, one of my favorites is a World War II movie with Humphrey Bogart action in North Atlantic. It's the merchant marine in World War II. It's like the only merchant Marine movie in World War II. Action in the North Atlantic. It is, it is a crew on a
Starting point is 00:54:30 liberty ship doing the Murmansk run to Russia. I absolutely love that movie. It's one of my favorites to watch. Master and Commander is great too. I love that movie. There's probably no other one that does shipping better than that. I love the old Gregory Peck, Moby Dick, talking about Whalers. Whalers was a terrible industry. It was a horrible, horrible sector to be in. But But, you know, you really get the crew on the ship there. Cat and Courageous, another old black and white one of the fishing industry out of Gloucester really shows, you know, that types. Any movie that really shows the crew and what it's like to be at sea. I laugh all the time, you know, realism in movies isn't really there.
Starting point is 00:55:15 But every now and then, there will be little tiny, you know, snippets of like, oh, yeah, that's exactly true. They nailed it, yeah. You know, in action in North Atlantic, when the crew is sitting there, in the chow hall, just griping and moaning, that's it. That's as realistic as you can get. Same thing, Captain Phillips, when they're all in there having coffee and they're griping and moaning. It's like, that's it. You've nailed it.
Starting point is 00:55:34 That's a perfect scene. You've captured merchant mariners. It's like the beauty of we're traveling the world, but we're going to complain about it on our journey. Oh, we're going to gripe and moan, man. We're going to bitch and moan about it. If you're a merchant mariner and you're not griping and moaning about, you can be the best condition you're in, but man, there's something I can argue about. That's it.
Starting point is 00:55:53 Awesome. Thanks so much. This has been fun. And we'll put links to the YouTube and everything and some of these movies. I appreciate it. I appreciate it. It was great to be with you. You too.
Starting point is 00:56:10 You've been listening to The Deriviviv. Links from this episode will be in the episode description of this channel. Follow us on Twitter at RCMaltz and visit our website to read our blog or subscribe to our newsletter at RCMaltz.com. If you liked our show, introduce a friend and show that. them how to subscribe and be sure to leave comments we'd love to hear from you this podcast is provided for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as legal business investment or tax advice all opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of rcm alternatives their affiliates or companies featured due to industry
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