The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett - Ex-Google Exec (Mo Gawdat) on AI: The Next 15 Years Will Be Hell Before We Get To Heaven… And Only These 5 Jobs Will Remain!

Episode Date: August 4, 2025

Mo Gawdat sounded the alarm on AI, and now he’s back with an even bigger warning: AI will cause global collapse, destroy jobs, and launch us into a 15-year dystopia that will change everything. Mo G...awdat is back!  Mo Gawdat is the former Chief Business Officer at Google X and one of the world’s leading voices on AI, happiness, and the future of humanity. In 2017, he launched ‘One Billion Happy’, a global campaign to teach 1 billion people how to become happier using science and emotional tools. He is also the bestselling author of books such as, ‘Scary Smart, Solve for Happy’.  He explains:  Why we need to start preparing today for AI  How all jobs will be gone by 2037  Why we must replace world leaders with AI How AI will destroy capitalism The one belief system that could save humanity from dystopia 00:00 Intro   02:28 Where Is AI Heading?   05:14 What Will the Dystopia Look Like?   11:24 Our Freedom Will Be Restricted   19:29 Job Displacement Due to AI   28:25 The AI Monopoly and Self-Evolving Systems   35:23 Sam Altman's OpenAI Letter   39:47 Do AI Companies Have Society's Interest at Heart?   53:21 Will New Jobs Be Created?   01:01:41 What Do We Do in This New World?   01:03:25 Ads   01:04:30 Will We Prefer AI Over Humans in Certain Jobs?   01:08:23 From Augmented Intelligence to AI Replacement   01:17:46 A Society Where No One Works?   01:26:48 If Jobs No Longer Exist, What Will We Do?   01:36:47 Ads   01:38:50 The Abundance Utopia   01:41:02 AI Ruling the World   01:54:36 Everything Will Be Free   01:57:30 Do We Live in a Virtual Headset?   02:14:13 We Need Rules Around AI   02:25:15 I Follow the Fruit Salad Religion   Follow Mo: Instagram - https://bit.ly/4l8WAHI  X - https://bit.ly/4lSZf9F  YouTube - https://bit.ly/4fhBzcL  Website - https://bit.ly/3IWN1hI  Substack - https://bit.ly/4oiw1Td  Emma Love Matchmaking - https://bit.ly/4ogku75  You can purchase Mo’s book, ‘Scary Smart: The Future of Artificial Intelligence and How You Can Save Our World’, here: https://amzn.to/4mkP1i2  The Diary Of A CEO: ⬜️Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/  ⬜️Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook  ⬜️The 1% Diary is back - limited time only: https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt  ⬜️The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards (Second Edition): https://g2ul0.app.link/f31dsUttKKb  ⬜️Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt  ⬜️Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb  Sponsors:  Linkedin Ads - https://www.linkedin.com/DIARY Replit - http://replit.com with code STEVEN Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 The only way for us to get to a better place and succeed as a species is for the evil people at the top to be replaced with AI. I mean, think about it. AI will not want to destroy ecosystems. It will not want to kill a million people. They'll not make us hate each other like the current leaders because that's a waste of energy, explosives, money and people. But the problem is super intelligent AI is reporting to stupid leaders.
Starting point is 00:00:23 And that's why in the next 15 years, we are going to hit a short-term dystopia. There's no escaping that. Having AI leaders, is that even fundamentally possible? Let's put it this way. Mo Gowdat is back. And the former chief business officer at Google X is now one of the most urgent voices in AI with a very clear message. AI isn't your enemy, but it could be your savior. I love you so much, man.
Starting point is 00:00:48 You're such a good friend, but you don't have many years to live, not in this world. Everything's gonna change. Economics are gonna change. Human connection is gonna change, and lots of jobs will be lost, including podcasts. No, no, thank you for coming on today, Mo. But the truth is, it could be the best world ever.
Starting point is 00:01:07 The society completely full of laughter and joy. Free healthcare, no jobs, spending more time with their loved ones. A world where all of us are equal. Is that possible? 100%. And I have enough evidence to know that we can use AI to build the utopia. But it's a dystopia if humanity manages it badly. A world where there's going to be a if humanity manages it badly. The world, what
Starting point is 00:01:25 is going to be a lot of control, a lot of surveillance, a lot of forced compliance and a hunger for power, greed, ego, and it is happening already. But the truth is the only barrier between a utopia for humanity and AI and the dystopia we're going through is a mindset. What does society have to do? First of all, just give me 30 seconds of your time. Two things I wanted to say. The first thing is a huge thank you for listening and tuning into the show week after week. It means the world to all of us and this really is a dream that we absolutely never had and couldn't
Starting point is 00:01:57 have imagined getting to this place. But secondly, it's a dream where we feel like we're only just getting started. And if you enjoy what we do here, please join the 24% of people that listen to this podcast regularly and follow us on this app. Here's a promise I'm going to make to you. I'm going to do everything in my power to make this show as good as I can now and into the future. We're going to deliver the guests that you want me to speak to and we're going to continue to keep doing all of the things you love about the show. Thank you. Mo, two years ago today, we sat here and discussed AI. We discussed your book Scary Smart and everything that was happening in the world. Since then, AI has continued to develop at
Starting point is 00:02:39 a tremendous, alarming, mind-boggling rate rate and the technologies that existed two years ago we had that conversation have grown up and matured in our taking on a life of their own no pun intended what are you what are you thinking about AI now two years on I know that you've started writing a new book called alive which is I guess a bit of a follow-on or an evolution of your thoughts as it relates to scary smart mm-hmm what is front of your mind when it comes to AI? Scary Smart was shockingly accurate. It's quite a... I mean, I don't even know how I ended up writing, predicting those things. I remember it was written in 2020, published
Starting point is 00:03:19 in 2021. And then most people were like, who wants to talk about AI? You know, I know everybody in the media and I would go and do you want to talk? And then 2023, CHI-GPT comes out and everything flips. Everyone realizes, you know, this is real. This is not science fiction. This is here. And things move very, very fast, much faster than I think we've ever seen anything ever move, ever. And I think my position has changed on two very important fronts. One is, remember when we spoke about Scary Smart, I was still saying that there are things we can do to change the course. And we could at the time, I believe.
Starting point is 00:04:03 Now I've changed my mind. Now I believe that we are going to hit a short-term dystopia. There's no escaping that. What is dystopia? I call it face RIPs. We can talk about it in details, but the way we define very important parameters in life are going to be completely changed. So face RIPs are the way we define freedom, accountability, human connection and equality, economics, reality, innovation and business and power. That's the first change.
Starting point is 00:04:36 So the first change in my mind is that we will have to prepare for a world that is very unfamiliar. And that's the next 12 to 15 years. It has already started. We've seen examples of it in the world already, even though people don't talk about it. I try to tell people there are things we absolutely have to do. But on the other hand, I started to take an active role in building amazing AIs. So AIs that will not only make our world better, but that will understand us, understand what humanity is through that process.
Starting point is 00:05:14 What is the definition of the word dystopia? So in my mind, these are adverse circumstances that unfortunately might escalate beyond our control. The problem is there is a lot wrong with the value set, with the ethics of humanity at the age of the rise of the machines. And when you take a technology, every technology we've ever created just magnified human abilities. So you can walk at five kilometers an hour, you get in a car and you can now go 250, 280 miles an hour.
Starting point is 00:05:52 Basically magnifying your mobility if you want. You can use a computer to magnify your calculation abilities or whatever. And what AI is going to magnify, unfortunately at this time, is it's going to magnify the evil that man can do. And it is within our hands completely, completely within our hands to change that. But I have to say, I don't think humanity has the awareness at this time to focus on
Starting point is 00:06:21 this so that we actually use AI to build the utopia. So what you're essentially saying is that you now believe there'll be a period of dystopia. And to define the word dystopia, I've used AI, it says a terrible society where people live under fear, control or suffering. And then you think we'll come out of that dystopia into a utopia, which is defined as a perfect or ideal place where everything works well, a good society where people live in peace, health and happiness. Correct. And the difference between them, interestingly, is what I normally refer to as the second dilemma, which is the point where we hand over completely to AI. So a lot of people think that when AI is in full control, it's going to be an existential risk for humanity. You know, I have enough evidence to argue that when we fully hand over to AI, that's
Starting point is 00:07:11 going to be our salvation. That the problem with us today is not that the intelligence is going to work against us. It's that our stupidity as humans is working against us. And I think the challenges that will come from humans being in control are going to outweigh the challenges that could come from AI being in control. So as we're in this dystopia period, do you forecast the length of that dystopia?
Starting point is 00:07:40 Yeah, I counted exactly as 12 to 15 years. I believe the beginning of the slope will happen in 2027. I mean, we will see signs in 2026. We've seen signs in 2024, but we will see escalating signs next year and then a clear slip in 2027. Why? The geopolitical environment of our world is not very positive. I mean, you really have to think deeply about not the symptoms, but the reasons why we are
Starting point is 00:08:14 living the world that we live in today is money. And money, for anyone who really knows money, you and I are peasants. We build businesses, we contribute to the world, we make things, we sell things and so on. Real money is not made there at all. Real money is made in lending, in fractional reserve. And the biggest lender in the world would want reasons to lend. And those reasons are never as big as war. I mean, think about it. The world spent $2.71 trillion
Starting point is 00:08:55 on war in 2024. A trillion dollars a year in the US. And when you really think deeply, I don't mean to be scary here, weapons have depreciation. They depreciate over 10 to 30 years, most weapons. They lose their value. They lose their value and they depreciate in accounting terms on the books of an army. The current arsenal of the US, that's a result of a deep search with my AI, Trixie. The current arsenal, I think, we think cost the US $24 to $26 trillion to build. My conclusion is that a lot of the wars that are happening around the world today are a means to get rid of those weapons so that you can have it replaced them. And, you know, when your morality as an industry is
Starting point is 00:09:47 we're building weapons to kill, then, you know, you might as well use the weapons to kill. Who benefits? The lenders and the industry. But they can't make the decision to go to war. They have to rely on Donald Trump. Remember, I said that to you when we've, I think on our third podcast, war is decided first, then the story is manufactured. You remember 1984 and the Orwellian approach of freedom is slavery and war is peace and they call it something speak basically to convince people that going to war in another country to kill
Starting point is 00:10:30 4.7 million people is freedom. We're going there to free the Iraqi people. Is war ever freedom? To tell someone that you're going to kill 300,000 women and children is for liberty and for the, you know, for human values. Seriously, how do we ever get to believe that? The story is manufactured and then we follow in humans because we're gullible. We cheer up and we say, yeah, yeah, yeah, we're on the right side. They are the bad guys. Okay.
Starting point is 00:11:06 So let me have a go at this idea. So the idea is that really money is driving a lot of the conflict we're seeing, and it's really going to be driving the dystopia. So here's an idea. So I was reading something the other day and it talked about how billionaires are never satisfied, because actually what a billionaire wants isn't actually more money. It is more status.
Starting point is 00:11:30 And I was looking at the sort of evolutionary case for this argument. And if you go back a couple of thousand years, money didn't exist. You were as wealthy as what you could carry. So even, I think, to the human mind, the idea of wealth and money isn't a thing. But what has always mattered from a survival of the fittest,
Starting point is 00:11:52 from a reproductive standpoint, what's always had reproductive value, if you go back thousands of years, the person who was able to mate the most was the person with the most status. So it makes the case, the reason why billionaires get all of this money, but then they go on podcasts and they want to start their own podcasts and they want to buy newspapers is actually because at the very core of human beings is a desire to increase their status. And so if we think of when we go back to the example of why wars are breaking out, maybe
Starting point is 00:12:20 it's not money. Maybe actually it's status. And it's this prime minister or this leader or this individual wanting to create more power and more status, because really at the heart of what matters to a human being is having more power and more status. And money is actually, money as a thing, is actually just a proxy of my status.
Starting point is 00:12:42 And what kind of world is that? I mean, it's a fucked up one. All these powerful men have really messing the world up. So can I? Actually, AI is the same, because we're in this AI race now, where a lot of tech billionaires are like, if I get AGI, artificial intelligence first, then I basically rule the world.
Starting point is 00:13:02 That's exactly the concept, what I used to call the first inevitable, now I call the first dilemma in Scary Smart, is that it's a race that constantly accelerates. You think the next 12 years are gonna be AI dystopia where things aren't gonna go well? I think the next 12 years are gonna be human dystopia using AI. And human induced dystopia using AI. And induced dystopia using AI.
Starting point is 00:13:25 And you define that by a rise in warfare around the world as people do? The last one, the RIPs, the last one is basically you're going to have a massive concentration of power and a massive distribution of power. Okay. And that basically will mean that those with the maximum concentration of power are going to try to oppress those with democracy of power. Okay, so think about it this way. In today's world, unlike the past, the Houthis with a drone, the Houthis are the Yemeni tribes basically resisting US power and Israeli power in the Red Sea. They use a drone that is $3,000 worth to attack a warship from the US or an airplane from
Starting point is 00:14:14 the US and so on that's worth hundreds of millions. That kind of democracy of power makes those in power worry a lot about where the next threat is coming from. And this happens not only in war, but also in economics, also in innovation, also in technology and so on and so forth. And so basically what that means is that, like you rightly said, as the tech oligarchs are attempting to get to AGI, they want to make sure that as soon as they get to AGI that nobody else has AGI. And basically they want to make sure
Starting point is 00:14:53 that nobody else has the ability to shake their position of privilege if you want. Okay, and so you're going to see a world where unfortunately there's going to be a lot of control, a lot of surveillance, a lot of surveillance, a lot of forced compliance if you want, or you lose your privilege to be in the world. And it is happening already. With this acronym, I want to make sure we get through the whole acronym.
Starting point is 00:15:18 You like dystopians, don't you? I want to do the dystopian thing, then I want to do the utopia. And ideally how we move from dystopia to utopia. So the F in face RIP is the loss of freedom as a result of that power dichotomy. So you have a massive amount of power, as you can see today in one specific army being powered by the US funds and a lot of money, right? Fighting against peasants really that have no weapons almost at all, okay? Some of them are militarized but the majority of the million to million
Starting point is 00:15:55 people are not, okay? And so there is massive massive power that basically says you know what I'm gonna oppress as far as I go, okay? And I'm gonna do whatever I want because the cheerleaders are going to be quiet. Right. Or they're going to cheer or even worse. And so basically in that, what happens is maximum power threatened by a democracy of power leads to a loss of freedom. A loss of freedom for everyone.
Starting point is 00:16:23 Because how does that impact my freedom? Your freedom? Yeah. Very soon, you will, if you publish this episode, you're going to start to get questions around, should you be talking about those topics in your podcast? OK? If I have been on this episode, then probably next time
Starting point is 00:16:43 I land in the US, someone will question me. Say, why do you say those things? Which side are you on? Right? And you know, you can easily see that everything, I mean, I told you that before, doesn't matter what I try to contribute to the world, my bank will cancel my bank account every six weeks, simply because of my ethnicity and my origin. Right? Every now and then they'll just stop my bank account and say, we need a document. My other colleagues of a different color or a different ethnicity don't get asked for
Starting point is 00:17:16 another document. Right? But that's because I come from an ethnicity that is positioned in the world for the last 30, 40 years as the enemy. And so when you really, really think about it, in a world where everything is becoming digital, in a world where everything is monitored, in a world where everything is seen, we don't have much freedom anymore.
Starting point is 00:17:39 And I'm not actually debating that or I don't see a way to fix that. Because the AI is going to have more information on us, be better at tracking who we are and therefore that will result in certain freedoms being restricted. Is that what you're saying? This is one element of it. Okay. If you push that element further, in a very short time, if you've seen an agent, for example, recently, Manos or ChatGPT, there will be a time where you'll simply not do things yourself anymore. You'll simply go to your AI and say, hey, by the way, I'm going to meet Stephen.
Starting point is 00:18:14 Can you please book that for me? Great. And yeah, and it will do absolutely everything. That's great until the moment where it decides to do things that are not motivated only by your well-being. Why would it do that? Simply because maybe if I buy a BA ticket instead of an Emirates ticket, some agent
Starting point is 00:18:32 is going to make more money than other agents and so on. And I wouldn't be able to even catch it up if I hand over completely to an AI. Go a step further. Think about a world where everyone, almost everyone is on UBI. UBI. Universal Basic Income. I mean, think about the economics, the E and face RIPs. Think about the economics of a world where we're going to start to see a trillionaire.
Starting point is 00:19:01 Before 2030, I can guarantee you that someone will be a trillionaire. I think there are many trillionaires in the world today or there. We just don't know who they are. But there will be a new Elon Musk or Larry Ellison that will become a trillionaire because of AI investments. And that trillionaire will have so much money to buy everything. There will be robots and AIs doing everything and humans will have no jobs. Did you think there's a real possibility of job displacement over the next 10 years?
Starting point is 00:19:34 And the rebuttal to that would be that there's going to be new jobs created in technology. Absolute crap. Really? Of course. How can you be so sure? Okay. So again, I am not sure about anything. So let's just be very, very clear. It would be very arrogant, okay, to assume that I know.
Starting point is 00:19:55 You just said it was crap. My belief is it is 100% crap. Take a job like software developer. Yeah. Okay. Emma.love, my new startup, is me, Senad, another technical engineer, and a lot of AIs. That startup would have been 350 developers in the past. I get that.
Starting point is 00:20:16 But are you now hiring in other roles because of that? Or as is the case with the steam engine. I can't remember the effect, but as you probably know, that when coal became cheaper, people were worried that the coal industry would go out of business. But actually what happened is people used more trains. So trains now were used for transport and other things and leisure, whereas before they were just used for cargo.
Starting point is 00:20:43 So there became more use cases and the coal industry exploded. So I'm wondering with technology, yeah, software developers are gonna maybe not have as many jobs, but everything's gonna be software. Name me one. Name you on what? Job.
Starting point is 00:20:56 Name you, that's gonna be created? Yeah, one job that cannot be done by an AI or a robot. My girlfriend's breath work retreat business where she takes groups of women around the world, her company is called Bali Breathwork. Yeah, correct. And there's gonna be a greater demand for connection, human connection.
Starting point is 00:21:13 Correct, keep going. So there's gonna be more people doing community events in real life, festivals. I think we're gonna see a huge surge in things like- Everything that has to do with human connection. Yeah. Correct, I'm totally in with that. Okay.
Starting point is 00:21:27 What's the percentage of that versus accountant? It's a much smaller percentage for sure in terms of white collar jobs. Now, who does she sell to? People with probably accountants or you know... Correct. She sells to people who earn money from their jobs. Yeah. Okay.
Starting point is 00:21:44 So you have two forces happening. One force is there are clear jobs that will be replaced. Video editor is going to be replaced. Excuse me. Don't take that. Fight back. As a matter of fact, podcaster is going to be replaced. Not you.
Starting point is 00:22:00 Thank you for coming on today, Mo. It's been a great seeing you again. But the truth is, a lot. So you see, the best at any job will remain. The best software developer, the one that really knows architecture, knows technology, and so on, will stay for a while. Right?
Starting point is 00:22:18 One of the funniest things, I interviewed Max Tedmark. And Max was laughing out loud, saying, CEOs are celebrating that they can now get rid of people and have productivity gains and cost reductions because AI can do their job. The one thing they don't think of is AI will replace them too. AGI is gonna be better at everything than humans,
Starting point is 00:22:42 at everything, including being a CEO. And you really have to imagine that there will be a time where most incompetent CEOs will be replaced, most incompetent. Even breast work, eventually, there might actually be two things be happening. One is either part of that job, other than the top breathwork instructors, okay, are going, you know, who are going to gather all of the people that
Starting point is 00:23:14 can still afford to pay for a breathwork, you know, class. They're going to be concentrated at the top and a lot of the bottom is not going to be working for one of two reasons. One is either there is not enough demand because so many people lost their jobs. So when you're on UBI, you cannot tell the government, hey, by the way, pay me a bit more for a best work class. UBI being universal basic income, the government just gives you money every month. Correct. And if you really think of freedom and economics, UBI is a very interesting place to be.
Starting point is 00:23:48 Because unfortunately, as I said, there's absolutely nothing wrong with AI. There's a lot wrong with the value set of humanity at the age of the rise of the machines. And the biggest value set of humanity is capitalism today. And capitalism is all about what? Labor arbitrage. What's that mean?
Starting point is 00:24:04 I hire you to do something. I pay you a dollar. I pay it. I sell it for two. And most people confuse that because they say, oh, but the cost of a product also includes raw materials and factories and so on and so forth. All of that is built by labor.
Starting point is 00:24:20 So basically, labor goes and mines for the material, and then the material is sold for a little bit of margin. Then that material is turned into a then the material is sold for a little bit of margin. Then that material is turned into a machine. It's sold for a little bit of margin, then that machine, and so on. OK? There's always labor arbitrage. In a world where humanity's minds are being replaced
Starting point is 00:24:36 by AIs, virtual AIs, and humanity's power, strengths, within three to five years' time can be replaced by a robot. You really have to question how this world looks like. It could be the best world ever, and that's what I believe the utopia will look like, because we were never made to wake up every morning and just occupy 20 hours of our day with work. We're not made for that, but we've fit into that system
Starting point is 00:25:10 so well so far that we started to believe it's our life's purpose. But we choose it, we willingly choose it. And if you give someone unlimited money, they still tend to go back to work or find something to occupy their time with. or find something to occupy their time with. They find something to occupy their time with. Which is usually, for so many people, is building something, philanthropy, a business.
Starting point is 00:25:31 So you build something. So between Senedd and I, Emma.love is not about making money. It's about finding true love relationships. What is that, sorry, just for context. So, you know... It's a business you're building, just for the audience context. Yeah, so the idea here is, I can, it might become a unicorn and be worth a billion dollars, but neither I nor Senedd are interested.
Starting point is 00:25:53 Okay, we're doing it because we can, okay? And we're doing it because it can make a massive difference to the world. And you have money though. It doesn't take that much money anymore to build anything in the world. This is labor arbitrage. But to build something exceptional,
Starting point is 00:26:08 it's still going to take a little bit more money than building something bad. For the next few years. So whoever has the capital to build something exceptional will end up winning. So this is a very interesting understanding of freedom. This is the reason why we have the AI arms race. Is that the one that owns the platform is going to be making all the money and keeping
Starting point is 00:26:31 all the power. Think of it this way, when humanity started, the best hunter in the tribe could maybe feed the tribe for three to four more years, more days. And as a reward, he gained the favor of multiple mates in the tribe. That's it. The top farmer in the tribe could feed the tribe for a season more. Okay. And as a result, they got estates and, you know, and mansions and so on. The best industrialist in the, in a city could actually employ the whole city, could grow the GDP of their entire country.
Starting point is 00:27:07 And as a result, they became millionaires in the 1920s. The best technologists now are billionaires. Now what's the difference between them? The tool. The hunter only depended on their skills. And the automation, the entire automation he had was a spear. The farmer had way more automation. And the biggest automation was what?
Starting point is 00:27:34 The soil. The soil did most of the work. The factory did most of the work. The network did most of the work. And so that incredible expansion of wealth and power, and as well, the incredible impact that something brings is entirely around the tool that automates. So who's going to own the tool? Who's going to own the digital soil, the AI soil? It's the platform owners. And the platforms you're describing are things like OpenAI, Gemini, Grok, Qood. These are interfaces to the platforms.
Starting point is 00:28:09 The platforms are all of the tokens, all of the compute that is in the background, all of the methodology, the systems, the algorithms. That's the platform. The AI itself. You know, Grok is the interface to it. But then- I think this is probably worth explaining in layman's terms to people that haven't built AI tools yet. Because I think, I think to the listener, they probably think that
Starting point is 00:28:36 every AI company they're hearing of right now is building their own AI. Whereas actually what's happening is there is really five, six, seven AI companies in the world. And when I built my AI application, I basically pay them for every time I use their AI. So Stephen Bartlett builds an AI at StephenBartlettAI.com. It's not that I've built my own underlying, I've trained my own model. Really what I'm doing is I'm paying Sam Altman's chat GPT
Starting point is 00:29:10 every single time I do a call, I basically do a search or I use a token. And I think that's really important because most people don't understand that. Unless you've built AI, you think, oh look, there's all these AI companies popping up, I've got this one for my email, I've got this one for my dating, I've got... No, no, no, no, no, you think, oh, look, there's all these AI companies popping up. I've got this one for my email. I've got this one for my dating. I've got no, no, no, no, no, no. They're pretty much, I would hazard a guess
Starting point is 00:29:30 that they're probably all open AI at this point. No, there are quite a few quite different characters and quite different. But there's like five or six. There are five or six when it comes to language models. Yeah. But interestingly, so yes, I should say yes to start. And then I should say, but there was an interesting twist
Starting point is 00:29:50 with DeepSeek at the beginning of the year. So what DeepSeek did is they basically nullified the business model, if you want, in two ways. One is it was around a week or two after Trump stood with pride saying Stargate is the biggest investment project in the history and it's $500 billion to build AI infrastructure and SoftBank and Larry Allison and Sam Altman were sitting and so, beautiful picture. And then DeepSeek R3 comes out. It does the job for 1 over 30 of the cost.
Starting point is 00:30:27 And interestingly, it's entirely open source and available as an edge AI. So that's really, really interesting because there could be now, in the future, as the technology improves, the learning models will be massive. But then you can compress them into something you can have on your phone.
Starting point is 00:30:45 And you can download DeepSeek literally offline on an off-the-network computer and build an AI on it. There's a website that basically tracks the sort of cleanest apples to apples market share of all the website referrals sent by AI chatbots and chat GBTs currently at 79%, roughly about 80% perplexity is 11, Microsoft Copilot is about five, Google Gemini is about two, Cloud's about one and DeepSeek's about 1%. And really like the point that I want to land is just that when you hear of a new AI app or tool or this one can make videos.
Starting point is 00:31:20 It's built on one of them. It's basically built on one of these really three or four AI platforms that's controlled really by three or four AI billionaire teams. And actually, the one of them that gets to what we call AGI first, where the AI gets really, really advanced, one could say is potentially going to rule the world
Starting point is 00:31:45 as it relates to technology. Yes, if they get enough head start. So I actually think that what I'm more concerned about now is not AGI, believe it or not. So AGI in my mind, and I said that back in 2023, right, that we will get to AGI at the time I said 2027, now I believe 2026 latest, okay.
Starting point is 00:32:14 The most interesting development that nobody's talking about is self-evolving AIs. Self-evolving AIs is, think of it this way. If you and I are hiring the top engineer in the world to develop our AI models, and with AGI, that top engineer in the world becomes an AI, who would you hire to develop your next generation AI? That AI.
Starting point is 00:32:41 The one that can teach itself. Correct. So one of my favorite examples is called Alpha Evolve. So this is Google's attempt to basically have four agents working together, four AIs working together, to look at the code of the AI and say, where are the performance issues? Then an agent would say, what's the problem statement? What can I, what do I need to fix? One that actually develops the solution,
Starting point is 00:33:07 one that assesses the solution. And then they continue to do this. And you know, I don't remember the exact figure, but I think Google improved like 8% on their AI infrastructure because of Alpha Evolve, right? And when you really, really think, don't quote me on the number 8 to 10, 6 to 10, whatever. In Google terms, by the way, that is massive.
Starting point is 00:33:27 That's billions and billions of dollars. Now the trick here is this. The trick is, again, you have to think in game theory format. Is there any scenario we can think of where if one player uses AI to develop the next generation AI that the other players will say, no, no, no, no, that's too much, you know, takes us out of control. Every other player will copy that model and have their next AI model developed by an AI. Is this what Sam Altman talks about, who's the founder of ChatchBT slash OpenAI, when he talks about a fast takeoff. I don't know exactly what you're referring to, but we're all talking about a point now
Starting point is 00:34:10 that we call the intelligence explosion. So there is a moment in time where you have to imagine that if AI now is better than 97% of all code developers in the world, and soon we'll be able to look at its own code, own algorithms. By the way, they're becoming incredible mathematicians, which wasn't the case when we last met. They can develop, improve their own code, improve their own algorithms, improve their own, you know, network architecture or whatever.
Starting point is 00:34:39 You can imagine that very quickly, the force applied to developing the next AI is not gonna be a human brain anymore. It's going to be a much smarter brain. And very quickly as humans, like basically when we ran the Google infrastructure, when the machine said we need another server or a proxy server in that place, we followed. We never really, you know, wanted to object or verify because, you know, the code would probably know better because there are billions of transactions an hour or a day.
Starting point is 00:35:10 And so very quickly, those self-evolving AIs will simply say, I need 14 more servers here. And we'll just, the team will just go ahead and do it. I watched a video a couple of days ago where he Sam Altman effectively had changed his mind because in 2023, which is when we last met, he said the aim was for a slow takeoff, which is sort of gradual deployment. And OpenAI's 2023 notes says a slower takeoff
Starting point is 00:35:40 is easier to make safe and they prefer iterative rollouts society can adapt. In 2025, they changed their mind. And Sam Altman said, he now thinks a fast takeoff is more possible than he did a couple of years ago on the order of a small number of years rather than a decade. And to define what we mean by a fast takeoff, it's defined as when AI goes from roughly human level to far
Starting point is 00:36:09 beyond human very quickly, think months to a few years, faster than governments, companies or society can adapt with little warning, big power shifts and hard to control. A slow takeoff by contrast is where capabilities climb gradually over many years with lots of warning shots. And the red flags for a fast takeoff is when AI can self-improve, run autonomous research and development, and scale with massive compute-compounding
Starting point is 00:36:37 gains, which will snowball fast. So and I think from the video that I watched of Sam Altman recently, who again is the founder of OpenAIR and Chachabitie, he basically says, and again I'm paraphrasing here, I will put it on the screen, we have this community notes thing, so I'll write it on the screen. But he effectively said that whoever gets to AGI first will have the technology to develop super intelligence. Where the AI can rapidly increase its own intelligence and it will basically leave everyone
Starting point is 00:37:06 else behind. Yes. So that last bit is debatable, but let's just agree that... So in Alive, one of the posts I shared and got a lot of interest is I referred to the Altman as a brand, not as a human. So the altman is that persona of a California disruptive technologist that disrespects everyone, okay, and believes that disruption is good for humanity
Starting point is 00:37:36 and believes that this is good for safety. And like everything else, like we say, war is for democracy and freedom, they say developing, you know, putting AI on the open internet is good for everyone. Right? It allows us to learn from our mistakes. That was Sam Altman's 2023 spiel. And if you recall, at the time, I was like, this is the most dangerous, you know, one of the clips that really went viral. You're so clever at finding
Starting point is 00:38:04 the right clips is when I said- I didn't do the clipping, mate. Remember the clip where I said we fucked up? We always said don't put them on the open internet until we know what we're putting out in the world. I remember you saying that. We fucked up on putting it on the open internet, teaching it to code, and putting AI agents prompting other AIs. Now AI agents prompting other AIs are leading to self-developing AIs.
Starting point is 00:38:32 And the problem is, of course, anyone who has been on the inside of this knew that this was just a clever spiel made by a PR manager for Sam Altman to sit with his dreamy eyes in front of Congress and say, we want you to regulate us. Now they're saying we're unregulatable. And when you really understand what's happening here, what's happening is it's so fast that none of them has the choice to slow down.
Starting point is 00:39:04 It's impossible. Neither China versus America or OpenAI versus Google. The only thing that I may see happening that may differ a little bit from your statement is if one of them gets there first, then they dominate for the rest of humanity. That is probably true if they get there first with enough buffer. But the way you look at GroK coming a week after OpenAI, a week after Gemini, a week after Claude, and then Claude comes again, and then China releases something, and then Korea releases something.
Starting point is 00:39:45 It is so fast that we may get a few of them at the same time or a few months apart, okay? Before one of them has enough power to become dominant. And that is a very interesting scenario. Multiple AIs, all super intelligent. It's funny, you know, I got asked yesterday, I was in Belgium on stage, there was, I don't know, maybe 4,000 people in the audience,
Starting point is 00:40:09 and a kid stood up and he was like, you've had a lot of conversations in the last year about AI, why do you care? And I don't think people realize how, even though I've had so many conversations on this podcast about AI. You haven't made up your mind? I have more questions, never.
Starting point is 00:40:26 I know. And it doesn't seem that anyone can satiate my questions. Anyone that tells you they can predict the future is arrogant. It's never moved so fast. It's nothing like nothing I've ever seen. And by the time that we leave this conversation and I go to my computer, there's going to be some incredible new technology or application of AI that didn't exist when I woke up this morning that creates probably another paradigm shift in my brain.
Starting point is 00:40:52 Also people have different opinions of Elon Musk and they're entitled to their own opinion. But the other day, only a couple of days ago, he did a tweet where he said, at times, AI existential dread is overwhelming. And on the same day, he tweeted, I resisted AI for too long, living in denial. Now it is game on. And he tagged his AI companies. I don't know what And you know, I try really hard to figure out if someone like Sam Wartman has the best interests of society at heart.
Starting point is 00:41:34 No. Or if these people are just like- I'm saying that publicly. No. As a matter of fact, so I know Sundar Pichai, CEO of Google's parent company, an amazing human being. In all honesty, I know Dennis Hasab, an amazing human being. These are ethical, incredible humans at heart. They have no choice. Sundar by law is demanded to take care of his shareholder value. That is his job.
Starting point is 00:42:13 But Sundar, you said you know him. You used to work at Google. He's not going to do anything that he thinks is going to harm humanity. But if he does not continue to advance AI, that by definition contradicts his responsibility as the CEO of a publicly traded company. He is liable by law to continue to advance the agenda. There's absolutely no doubt about it. But he's a good person at heart.
Starting point is 00:42:37 Demis is a good person at heart. So they're trying so hard to make it safe. As much as they can. Reality, however, is the disruptor, the Altman as a brand, doesn't care that much. How do you know that? In reality, the disruptor is someone that comes in with the objective of, I don't like the status quo, I have a different approach. And that different approach, if you just look at the story, was we are a non-for-profit that is funded mostly by Elon Musk money, it's not entirely by Elon
Starting point is 00:43:12 Musk money. So context for people that might not understand, open AI, the reason I always give context is, funnily enough, I think I told you this last time, I went to a prison where they play the Dior Vesir. No way. So they play the Dior Vesir. and I think it's 50 prisons in the UK. And no violence there? Well, I don't know. I can't tell you whether violence has gone up or down.
Starting point is 00:43:30 But I was in the cell with one of the prisoners, a young black guy, and I was in his cell for a little while. I was reading through his business plan, etc. And I said, you know what? You need to listen to this conversation that I did with Mo Gordat. So he has a little screen in his cell. So I pulled it up, you know, our first conversation. I said, you should listen to that one.
Starting point is 00:43:46 And he said to me, he said, I can't listen to that one because you guys use big words. So ever since that day, which is about four days, four years ago, sorry. I've always, whenever I hear a big word, I think about this kid. And I say, like, give context. So even with the, you're about to just explain what open AI is. I know you won't know what open AI's origin story was. That's why I'm... I think that's a wonderful practice. In general, by the way, even, you know, being a non-native
Starting point is 00:44:14 English speaker, you'll be amazed how often a word is said to me. And I'm like, I don't know what that means. So like, I've actually never said this publicly before, but I now see it as my responsibility to be, to keep the draw, the drawbridge to accessibility of these conversations down for him. So whenever I, whenever there's a word that at some point in my life, I didn't know what it meant, I will go back. I will say, what does that mean? I think that I've noticed that in the, you know, more and more in your podcast, I really appreciate it. And you also show it on the screen mean? I think that I've noticed that more and more in your podcast, and I really appreciate it. And you also show it on the screen sometimes. I think that's wonderful. I mean, the origin story of OpenAI is, as the name suggests,
Starting point is 00:44:53 it's open source, it's for the public good. It was intended, in Elon Musk's words, to save the world from the dangers of AI. So they were doing research on that. And then there was the disagreement between Sam Altman and Ilan somehow. Ilan ends up being out of OpenAI. I think there was a moment in time where he tried to take it back and the board rejected it or something like that, most of the top safety engineers,
Starting point is 00:45:25 the top technical teams in OpenAI left in 2023, 2024, openly saying we're not concerned with safety anymore. It moves from being a non-for-profit to being one of the most valued companies in the world. There are billions of dollars at stake, right? And if you tell me that Sam Altman is out there trying to help humanity, let's suggest to him and say, hey, do you wanna do that for free?
Starting point is 00:45:53 We'll pay you a very good salary, but you don't have stocks in this. Saving humanity doesn't come at the billion dollar valuation, or of course now tens of billions or hundreds of billions. And see, truly, that is when you know that someone is doing it for the good of humanity. Now, the capitalist system we've built is not built for the good of humanity, it's built for the good of the capitalist.
Starting point is 00:46:18 Well, he might say that releasing the model publicly, open sourcing it is too risky, because then bad actors around the world would have access to that technology. So he might say that closing open AI in terms of not making it publicly viewable is the right thing to do for safety. We go back to gullible cheerleaders, right? One of the interesting tricks of lying in our world is everyone will say what helps their agenda. Follow the money. Okay? You follow the money and you find that at a point in time, Sam Altman himself was saying it's open AI. My benefit at the time is to give it to the world so that the world looks at it, they know the code if there are any bugs and so on.
Starting point is 00:47:09 True statement. Also a true statement is if I put it out there in the world, a criminal might take that model and build something that's against humanity as a result. Also true statement, capitalists will choose which one of the truths to say, right, based on which part of the agenda, which part of their life today they want to serve, right? Someone will say, you know, do you want me to be controversial? Let's not go there, but if we go back to war, I'll give you 400 slogans, 400 slogans that we all hear that change based on the day and the army and the
Starting point is 00:47:48 location. They're all slogans. None of them is true. You want to know the truth, you follow the money, not what the person is saying. But ask yourself, why is the person saying that? What's in it for the person speaking? And what do you think is in it for Chachi Biti Sam Altman? Hundreds of billions of dollars of valuation. And do you think it's that or power? The ego of being the person that invented AGI, the position of power that this gives you, the meetings with all of the heads of states, the admiration that gets run, it is
Starting point is 00:48:22 intoxicating. 100%. 100%. Okay, and the real question, this is a question I ask everyone. Did you see it? You didn't. Every time I ask you, you say you didn't.
Starting point is 00:48:35 Did you see the movie Elysium? No, you'd be surprised how little maybe watching I do. You'd be shocked. There are some movies that are very interesting. I use them to create an emotional attachment to a story that you haven't seen yet, because you may have seen it in a movie. Elysium is a society where the elites are living on the moon.
Starting point is 00:48:55 They don't need peasants to do the work anymore, and everyone else is living down here. You have to imagine that if, again, game theory, you have to picture something to infinity, to its extreme and see where it goes. And the extreme of a world where all manufacturing is done by machines, where all decisions are made by machines and those machines are owned by a few, is not an economy similar to today's economy. That today's economy is an economy of consumerism and production. You know, it's the, in Alive I call it the invention of more.
Starting point is 00:49:40 The invention of more is that post-World War II, as the factories were rolling out things and prosperity was happening everywhere in America, there was a time where every family had enough of everything. But for the capitalists to continue to be profitable, they needed to convince you that what you had was not enough. Either by making it obsolete like fashion or like a new shape of a car or whatever, or by convincing you that there are more things in life that you need so that you become complete without those
Starting point is 00:50:10 things you don't. And that invention of more gets us to where we are today, an economy that's based on production consumed. And if you look at the US economy today, 62% of the US economy, GDP, is consumption. It's not production. Now this requires that the consumers have enough purchasing power to buy what is produced. And I believe that this will be an economy that will take us, hopefully, in the next 10, 15, 20 years and forever.
Starting point is 00:50:45 But that's not guaranteed. Why? Because on one side, if UBI replaces purchasing power, so if people have to get an income from the government, which is basically taxes collected from those using AI and robots to make things, then the mindset of capitalism, labor arbitrage, means those people are not producing anything and they're costing me money. Why don't we pay them less and less? Maybe even not pay them at all.
Starting point is 00:51:14 And that becomes illicium. Where you basically say, you know, we sit somewhere protected from everyone. We have the machines do all of our work and those need to worry about themselves. We're not going to pay them UBI anymore, right? And you have to imagine this idea of UBI assumes this very democratic, caring society. UBI in itself is communism. Think of the ideology between at least socialism, the ideology of giving everyone what they need. That's not the capitalist democratic society
Starting point is 00:51:53 that the West advocates. So those transitions are massive in magnitude. And for those transitions to happen, I believe the right thing to do when the cost of producing everything is almost zero because of AI and robots, because the cost of harvesting energy should actually tend to zero once we get more intelligent to harvest the energy out of thin air, then a possible scenario, and I believe a scenario that AI will eventually do in the
Starting point is 00:52:24 utopia, is yeah, anyone can get anything they want. Don't overconsume. We're not going to abuse the planet resources, but it costs nothing. So like the old days where we were hunter-gatherers, you would forge for some berries and you'll find them ready in nature. We can in 10 years time, 12 years time, build a society where you can forge for an iPhone in nature.
Starting point is 00:52:50 It will be made out of thin air. Nanophysics will allow you to do that. But the challenge, believe it or not, is not tech. The challenge is a mindset. Because the elite, why would they give you that for free? Okay, and the system would morph into, no, no, hold on, we will make more money, we will be bigger capitalists, we will feed our ego and hunger for power more and more.
Starting point is 00:53:15 And for them, give them UBI. And then three weeks later, give them less UBI. Aren't there gonna be lots of new jobs created though, because when we think about the other revolutions over time, whether it was the industrial revolution or other sort of big technological revolutions, in the moment we forecasted that everyone was going to lose their jobs, but we couldn't see all the new jobs that were being created. Because the machines replaced the human strengths at a point in time.
Starting point is 00:53:45 And very few places in the West today will have a worker carry things on their back and carry it upstairs. The machine does that work, correct? Yeah. Similarly, AI is going to replace the brain of a human. And when the West, in its interesting virtual colonies that I call it, basically outsourced all labor
Starting point is 00:54:10 to the developing nations, what the West publicly said at the time is, we're going to be a services economy. We're not interested in making things and stitching things. And so let the Indians and Chinese and, you know, Bengalis and Vietnamese do that. We're gonna do more refined jobs, knowledge workers we're gonna call them. Knowledge workers are people who work with information
Starting point is 00:54:34 and click on a keyboard and move a mouse and, you know, sit in meetings. And all we produce in the Western societies is what blah, blah, blah, words, right? Or designs maybe sometimes but everything we produce can be produced by an AI. So if I give you an AI tomorrow where I give you a piece of land I give the AI a piece of land and I say here are the parameters of my land here is its location on Google
Starting point is 00:55:03 Maps design an architecturally sound villa for me. I care about a lot of light. And I need three bedrooms. I want my bathrooms to be in white marble, whatever. And AI produces it like that. How often will you go to an architect and say, right? So what will the architect do? The best of the best of the architects will either use AI to produce that, or you will
Starting point is 00:55:29 consult with them and say, hey, you know, I've seen this and they'll say, hmm, it's really pretty, but it wouldn't feel right for the person that you are. Yeah, those jobs will remain, but how many of them will remain? How often do you think, how many more years do you think I will be able to create a book that is smarter than AI? Not many. I will still be able to connect to a human. You're not going to hug an AI when you meet them like you hug me, right? But that's not enough of a job. So why do I say that? Remember, I asked you at the beginning of the podcast to Right? But that's not enough of a job. So why do I say that? Remember, I asked you at the beginning of the podcast to remind me of solutions. Why do I say that? Because there are ideological shifts and concrete actions that need to be taken by governments today.
Starting point is 00:56:19 Rather than waiting until COVID is already everywhere and then locking everyone down, governments could have reacted before the first patient, or at least at patient zero, or at least at patient 50. They didn't. What I'm trying to say is there is no doubt that lots of jobs will be lost. There is no doubt that there will be sectors of society where 10, 20, 30, 40, 50% of all developers, all software, all graphic designers, all online marketers, all, all, all, all assistances are going to be out of a job.
Starting point is 00:56:58 So are we prepared as a society to do that? Can we tell our governments there is an ideological shift? This is very close to socialism and communism. Okay? And are we ready from a budget point of view instead of spending a trillion dollars a year on arms and explosives and autonomous weapons that will oppress people because we can't feed them? Can we please shift that? I did those numbers. Again, I go back to military spending because it's all around us. $2.71 trillion. $2.4 to $2.7 is the estimate of 2024. How much money we're spending on military?
Starting point is 00:57:37 On military equipment, on things that were going to explode into smoke and death. Extreme poverty worldwide. Extreme poverty is people that are into smoke and death. Extreme poverty worldwide, extreme poverty is people that are below the poverty line. Extreme poverty everywhere in the world could end for 10 to 12 percent of that budget. So if we replace our military spending 10 percent of that to go to people who are in extreme poverty, nobody will be poor in the world. You can end world hunger for less than 4%. Nobody would be hungry in the world. If you take, again, 10 to 12%, universal health care. Every human being on the planet would have free health care for 10 to 12% on what we're
Starting point is 00:58:20 spending on war. Now why do I say this when we're talking about AI? Because that's a simple decision. If we stop fighting, because money itself does not have the same meaning anymore, because the economics of money is going to change, because the entire meaning of capitalism is ending, because there is no more need for labor arbitrage because AI is doing everything,
Starting point is 00:58:44 just with the $2.4 trillion we save in explosives every year, in arms and weapons, just for that, universal healthcare and extreme poverty, you could actually, one of the calculations is you could end climate or combat climate change meaningfully for 100% of the military budget. But I'm not even sure it's really about the money. I think money is a measurement stick of power, right? Exactly. It's printed on demand. So even in a world where we have super intelligence and money is no longer a problem, correct, I still think power is going to be insatiable for so many people. So there'll
Starting point is 00:59:24 still be warped because you know, there will be more war in my view. The strongest, I want the strongest AI. I don't want mine. And I don't want, you know, what Henry Kissinger called them, the eaters. The eaters. Brutal as that sounds. What is that the people at the bottom of the socioeconomic? That don't produce but consume.
Starting point is 00:59:47 So if you had the Henry Kissinger at the helm, and we have so many of them, what would they think? I don't even know who that is. Why, I'm a very prominent military figure in the US history. Why would we feed 350 million Americans, America will think. But more interestingly, why do we even care about Bangladesh anymore? If we can't make our textiles there, or we don't want to make our textiles there.
Starting point is 01:00:16 I imagine throughout human history, if we had podcasts, conversations would have been warning of a dystopia around the corner. You know, when they heard of technology on the internet, they would have said, I want it finished. And when the tractor came along, they would have said, oh, God, we're finished because we're not going to be able to farm anymore. So is this not just another one of those moments where we couldn't see around the corner? So we forecasted unfortunate things?
Starting point is 01:00:41 It could be. I'm begging that I'm wrong. I'm just asking if there are scenarios that you think that can provide that. Mustafa Suleiman, you hosted him here. I did, yeah. He was on the show. The coming wave.
Starting point is 01:00:57 And he speaks about pessimism aversion. That all of us people who are supposed to be in technology and business and so on, we're always supposed to stand on stage and say, the future is going to be amazing. This technology I'm building is going to make everything better. One of my posts in a live was called the broken promises. How often did that happen? How often did social media connect us? And how often did it make us more lonely?
Starting point is 01:01:28 How often did mobile phones make us work less? That was the promise. That was the promise. The promise. The early ads of Nokia were people at parties. Is that your experience of mobile phones? And I think the whole idea is we should hope there will be other roles for humanity, by the way.
Starting point is 01:01:48 Those roles would resemble the times where we were hunter gatherers, just a lot more technology and a lot more safety. OK, so this sounds good. This is exciting. So I'm going to get to go outside more, be with my friends more. 100%.
Starting point is 01:02:04 Fantastic. And do absolutely nothing. That doesn't sound fantastic. No, it does. Do, be forced to do absolutely nothing. For some people it's amazing. For you and I, we're going to find a little carpentry project and just do something. Speak for yourself.
Starting point is 01:02:16 I'm still, people are still going to tune in. Okay. Correct. Yeah. But, but, and people are going to tune in. Do you think they will? I'm not, I'm not convinced they will. For as long. Will you guys tune in? Are you guys are going to tune in. Do you think they will? I'm not convinced they will. For as long as.
Starting point is 01:02:27 Will you guys tune in? Are you guys still going to tune in? I can let them answer. I believe for as long as you make their life enriched. But can an AI do that better? Without the human connection. Comment below. Are you going to listen to an AI or the Dioravusio?
Starting point is 01:02:44 Let me know in the comments section below. Remember, as incredibly intelligent as you are, Steve, there will be a moment in time where you're going to sound really dumb compared to an AI. And I will sound completely dumb. Yeah, yeah. The depths of analysis and gold nuggets. I mean, can you imagine two super intelligences deciding to
Starting point is 01:03:08 get together and explain string theory to us? They'd do better than any physicist in the world because they possess the physics knowledge and they also possess social and language knowledge that most deep physicists don't. I think B2B marketeers keep making this mistake. They're chasing volume instead of quality. And when you try to be seen by more people instead of the right people, all you're doing is making noise,
Starting point is 01:03:37 but that noise rarely shifts the needle, and it's often quite expensive. And I know, as there was a time in my career where I kept making this mistake, that many of you will be making it too. Eventually I started posting ads on our show sponsors platform LinkedIn and that's when things started to change. I put that change down to a few critical things, one of them being that LinkedIn was then and still is today the platform where decision makers go to not only to think and learn but also to buy. And when you market your business there, you're putting it right in front of people
Starting point is 01:04:06 who actually have the power to say yes. And you can target them by job title, industry and company size. It's simply a sharper way to spend your marketing budget. And if you haven't tried it, how about this? Give LinkedIn ads a try and I'm going to give you $100 ad credit to get you started. If you visit linkedin.com slash diary, you can claim that right now. you visit linkedin.com slash diary you can claim that right now
Starting point is 01:04:26 That's linkedin.com slash diary I've really gone back and forward on this idea that even in podcasting that All the podcasts will be AI podcasts or I've gone back and forward on it and where I landed at the end of the day Was that there'll still be a category of media where you do want lived experience on something. 100%. For example, you want to know how the person that you follow and admire dealt with their divorce. Yeah, or how they're struggling with AI. For example, yeah, exactly. But I think things like news, there are certain situations where
Starting point is 01:05:01 just like straight news and straight facts and maybe a walk through history Maybe eroded away by a eyes But even in those scenarios you there's something about personality and again, I hesitate here because I question myself I'm not in the camp of people that are romantic by the way I'm like I'm trying to be as as orientated towards whatever is true even if it's against my interests, And I hope people understand that about me. Because even in my companies, we experiment with disrupting me with AI, and some people will be aware of those experiments.
Starting point is 01:05:32 There will be a mix of all. You can't imagine that the world will be completely just AI and completely just podcasters. You'll see a mix of both. You'll see things that they do better, things that we do better. The message I'm trying to say is we need to prep for that. We need to be ready for that. We need to be ready by talking to our governments and saying, hey, it looks like I'm a paralegal,
Starting point is 01:05:57 and it looks like all paralegals are going to be financial researchers or analysts or graphic designers or call center agents. It looks like half of those jobs are being replaced already. You know who Jeffrey Hinton is? Oh, I had him on the documentary as well. I love Jeffrey. Jeffrey Hinton told me- Train to be a plumber.
Starting point is 01:06:19 Really? Yeah. 100% for a while. And I thought he was joking. 100%! So I asked him I thought he was joking. 100%. So I asked him again, and he looked me dead in the eye and told me that I should train to be a plumber. 100%.
Starting point is 01:06:31 So it's funny, machines replaced labor, but we still had blue collar. Then the refined jobs became white collar information workers. What's the refined jobs? You don't have to really carry heavy stuff or deal with physical work. You know, you sit in an office and sit in meetings all day and blabber useless shit, and that's your job. And those jobs, funny enough, in the reverse of that,
Starting point is 01:07:00 because robotics are not ready yet, OK? And I believe they're not ready because of a stubbornness on the robotics community around making them humanoids. Because it takes so much to perfect a human-like action at proper speed. You could have many more robots that don't look like a human, just like a self-driving car in California that does already replace drivers.
Starting point is 01:07:27 But they're delayed, so the robotic, the replacement of physical manual labor is going to take four to five years before it's possible at the quality of the AI replacing mental labor now, and when that happens, it's going to take a long cycle to manufacture enough robots so that they replace all of those jobs. So that cycle will take longer. Blue collar will stay longer. So I should move into blue collar and shut down my office?
Starting point is 01:07:57 I think you're not the problem. Let's put it this way. There are many people that we should care about that are a simple travel agent or an assistant that will see, if not replacement, a reduction in the number of things they're getting. Simple as that. And someone in ministries of labor around the world needs to sit down and say, what are we going to do about that?
Starting point is 01:08:30 What if all taxi drivers and Uber drivers in California get replaced by self-driving cars? Should we start thinking about that now, noticing that the trajectory makes it look like a possibility. I'm going to go back to this argument, which is what a lot of people will be shouting. Yes, but there will be new jobs or, and I, as I said, other than human connection jobs, name me one. So I've got three assistants, right? Sophie, Liamby, and okay, in the near term, there might be, with AI agents, I might not need them to help me book flights anymore.
Starting point is 01:09:11 I might not need them to help do scheduling anymore. Or even I've been messing around with this new AI tool that my friend built. And you basically, when me and you're trying to schedule something like this today, I just copy the AI in and it looks at your calendar, looks at mine and schedules it for us. So there might not be scheduling needs,
Starting point is 01:09:26 but my dog is sick at the moment. And as I left this morning, I was like, damn, he's like really sick and I've taken him to the vet over and over again. I really need someone to look after him and figure out what's wrong with him. So those kinds of responsibilities of like care. I don't disagree at all.
Starting point is 01:09:41 Again, all- And I won't, I'm not going to be. I don't know how to say this in a nice way, but my assistants will still have their jobs. But I, as a CEO, will be asking them to do a different type of work. Correct. So this is the calculation everyone needs to be aware of.
Starting point is 01:09:59 A lot of their current responsibility, whoever you are, if you're a paralegal, if you're whatever, will be handed over. So let me explain it even more accurately. lot of their current responsibility, whoever you are, if you're a paralegal or whatever, will be handed over. So let me explain it even more accurately. There will be two stages of our interactions with the machines. One is what I call the era of augmented intelligence. So it's human intelligence augmented with AI doing the job.
Starting point is 01:10:21 And then the following one is what I call the era of machine mastery. The job is done completely by an AI without a human in the job. And then the following one is what I call the era of machine mastery. The job is done completely by an AI without a human in the loop. So in the era of augmented intelligence, your assistants will augment themselves with an AI to either be more productive or, interestingly, to reduce the number of tasks that they need to do. Correct? Now, the more the number of tasks get reduced, the more they'll have the bandwidth and ability to do tasks like take care of your dog. Or tasks that, you know, basically is about meeting your guests or whatever.
Starting point is 01:11:00 Human connection, life connection. But do you think you need three for that? Or maybe now that some tasks have been outsourced to AI, will you need two? You can easily calculate that from call center agents. So from call center agents, they're not firing everyone, but they're taking the first part of the funnel and giving it to an AI.
Starting point is 01:11:25 So instead of having 2000 agents in a call center, they can now do the job with 1800. I'm just making that number up. Society needs to think about the 200. And you're telling me that they won't move into other roles somewhere else? I am telling you, I don't know what those roles are. I think we should all be musicians, we should all be authors, we should all be artists, we should all be entertainers, we should all be comedians, we should all... These are roles that were made.
Starting point is 01:11:54 We should all be plumbers for the next five to 10 years. Fantastic. Okay? But even that requires society to morph. And society is not talking about it. Okay? require society to morph, and society is not talking about it. I had this wonderful interview with friends of mine, Peter Diamandis and some of our friends, and they were saying, oh, you know, the American people are resilience.
Starting point is 01:12:14 They're going to be entrepreneurs. I was like, seriously, you're expecting a truck driver that would be replaced by an autonomous truck to become an entrepreneur. Like, please put yourself in the shoes of real people. Right? You expect a single mother who has three jobs to become an entrepreneur. And I'm not saying this is a dystopia.
Starting point is 01:12:42 It's a dystopia if humanity manages it badly. Why? Because this could be the utopia itself, where that single mother does not need three jobs. Okay? If we, of our society, was just enough, that single mother should have never needed three jobs. Right? But the problem is, our capitalist mindset is labor arbitrage.
Starting point is 01:13:05 Is that I don't care what she goes through. If you're generous in your assumption, you'd say because of what I've been given, I've been blessed. Or if you're mean in your assumption, it's going to be because she's an eater. I'm a successful businessman. The world is supposed to be fair. I work hard, I make money, we don't care about them. Are we asking of ourselves here something that
Starting point is 01:13:30 is not inherent in the human condition? What I mean by that is the reason why me and you are in this my office here, we're on the fourth or third floor of my office in central London, big office, 25,000 square feet with lights and internet connections and Wi-Fi's and modems and AI teams downstairs. The reason that all of this exists is because something inherent in my ancestors meant that they built and accomplished and grew. And that was like inherent in their DNA. There was something in their DNA that said, we will expand and conquer and accomplish. So that's, they've passed that to us because we're their offspring. And that's
Starting point is 01:14:09 why we find ourselves in these skyscrapers. There is truth to that story. It's not your ancestors. What is it? It's the media brainwashing you. Really? 100%. But if you look back before times of media, the reason why homo sapiens were so successful was because they were able to dominate other tribes through banding together and communication.
Starting point is 01:14:29 They conquered all these other, whatever came before homo sapiens. Yeah. So the reason humans were successful in my view is because they could form a tribe to start. It's not because of our intelligence. I always joke and say Einstein would be eaten in the jungle in two minutes. Right? You know, the reason why we succeeded is because Einstein could partner with a big guy that protected him while he was working on relativity in the jungle. Right? Now, further than that, so you have to assume that life is a very funny game because it provides
Starting point is 01:15:08 and then it deprives and then it provides and then it deprives. And for some of us, in that stage of deprivation, we try to say, okay, let's take the other guys. You know, let's just go to the other tribe, take what they have. Or for some of us, unfortunately, we tend to believe, okay, you know what, I'm powerful. After the rest of you, I'm just going to be the boss. Now, it's interesting that you position this as the condition of humanity. If you really look at the majority of humans, what do the majority of humans want? Be honest. They want to hug their kids. They want a good meal. They want good sex. They want love. They want, you know, to... For most humans, don't measure on you and I. Okay? Don't measure by this foolish person that's dedicated the rest of his life to try and warn the world around AI or solve love and relationships.
Starting point is 01:16:10 That's crazy. And I will tell you openly, and you met Hannah, my wonderful wife, it's the biggest title of this year for me is which of that am I actually responsible for? Which of that should I do without the sense of responsibility? Which of that should I do without the sense of responsibility? Which of that should I do because I can? Which of that should I ignore completely? But the reality is most humans, they just wanna hug their loved ones.
Starting point is 01:16:35 And if we could give them that without the need to work 20, 60 hours a week, they would take that for sure. Okay, and you and I will think, ah, but life will be very boring. To them, life will be completely fulfilling. Go to Latin America. Go to Latin America and see the people that go work enough to earn enough to eat today and go dance for the whole night. Go to Africa where people are sitting literally on sidewalks in the street and completely full of laughter and joy. We were lied to, the gullible majority, the cheerleaders. We were lied to believe that we need to fit as another gear in that system.
Starting point is 01:17:26 But if that system didn't exist, nobody, none of us will go wake up in the morning and go like, oh, I want to create it. Totally not. I mean, you've touched on it many times today. Most people that build those things don't need the money. Most people that build those things don't need the money. So why did they do it then? Because homo sapiens were incredible competitors. They outcompeted other human species effectively. So what I'm saying is that competition not inherent in our wiring. And therefore, is it wishful thinking to think that we could potentially pause and say,
Starting point is 01:18:06 okay, this is it, we have enough now, and we're going to focus on just enjoying? In my work, I call that the map mad spectrum. Okay? Mutually assured prosperity versus mutually assured destruction. Okay? mutually assured prosperity versus mutually assured destruction. It is destruction. Okay. And you really have to start thinking about this because in my mind, what we have is the potential for everyone.
Starting point is 01:18:33 I mean, you and I today have a better life than the Queen of England a hundred years ago. Correct? Everybody knows that. Uh, and yet that quality of life is not good enough. The truth is, just like you walk into an electronics shop and there are 60 TVs and you look at them and you go like this one is better than that one, right? But in reality if you take any of them home it's superior quality to anything that you'll ever need. More than anything you'll ever need. That's the truth of our life today.
Starting point is 01:19:07 The truth of our life today is that there isn't much more missing. And when Californians tell us, oh, but AI is going to increase productivity and solve this, and nobody asked you for that, honestly. I never elected you to decide on my behalf that getting a machine to answer me on a call center is better for that. Honestly, I never elected you to decide on my behalf that, you know, getting a machine to answer me on a call center is better for me. I really didn't. Okay? And because those unelected individuals are making all the decisions, they're selling those decisions to us through what? Media. Okay? All lies from A to Z. None of it is what you need. And interestingly, you know me, this year I failed, unfortunately, I won't be able to do it, but I normally do a 40 days silent retreat in nature.
Starting point is 01:19:55 Okay? And you know what? Even as I go to those nature places, I'm so well-trained that unless I have a waitrose nearby, I'm so well trained that unless I have a waitrose nearby I'm not able to. I'm in nature but I need to be able to drive 20 minutes to get my rice cakes. Like what? What? Who taught me that this is the way to live? All of the media around me, all of the messages that I get all the time. Try to sit back and say, what if life had everything? What if I had everything I needed?
Starting point is 01:20:33 I could read, I could do my handcrafts and hobbies, I could fix my, restore classic cars, not because I need the money, but because it's just a beautiful hobby. I could, you know, build AIs to help people with their long-term committed relationships, but really price it for free. What if? What if? Would you still insist on making money?
Starting point is 01:21:03 I think no. I think a few of us will still and they will still crush the rest of us and hopefully soon the AI will crush them. Right? That is the problem with your world today. I will tell you hands down. The problem with our world today is the A in face RIPs. It's the A in face our IPs. It's accountability. The problem with our world today, as I said, the top is lying all the time. The bottom is gullible, cheerleaders, and there is no accountability. You cannot hold anyone in our world accountable today. You cannot hold someone that develops an AI that has the power to completely flip
Starting point is 01:21:46 our world upside down. You cannot hold them accountable and say, why did you do this? You cannot hold them accountable and tell them to stop doing this. You look at the world, the wars around the world, million, hundreds of thousands of people are dying. Okay. And, you know, and the International Court of Justice will say, oh, this is war crimes. You can't hold anyone accountable.
Starting point is 01:22:06 Okay? You have 51% of the US today saying, stop that. 51% change their view that their money shouldn't be spent on wars abroad. Okay? You can't hold anyone accountable. Trump can do whatever he wants. He starts tariffs, which is against the Constitution of the US without consulting with the Congress. You can't hold him accountable. They say they're not going to show the Epstein files.
Starting point is 01:22:34 You can't hold them accountable. It's quite interesting. In Arabic, we have that proverb that says, the highest of your horses you can go and ride. I'm not going to change my mind. Okay? And that's truly – What does that mean?
Starting point is 01:22:46 So basically people in the old Arabia, they would ride a horse to exert their power if you want. So go ride your highest horse. You're not going to change my mind. Oh, okay. Right? And the truth is, I think that's what our politicians today have discovered, what our oligarchs have discovered, what our tech oligarchs have discovered, is that I don't even need to worry about the public opinion anymore. At the beginning I would have to say, ah, this is for democracy and freedom and I have the right to defend myself and all of that crap.
Starting point is 01:23:21 And then eventually when the world wakes up and says, no, no, hold on, hold on, you're going too far, they go like, yeah, go ride your highest horse. I don't care. You can't change me. There is no constitution. There is no ability for any, any citizen to do anything. Is it possible to have a society where, like the one you describe, where like the one you describe where there isn't hierarchies, because it appears to me that humans assemble hierarchies very, very quickly, very naturally. And the minute you have a hierarchy, you have many of the problems that you've described
Starting point is 01:23:56 where there's a top and a bottom and the top have a lot of power and the bottom are. So the mathematics mathematically is actually quite interesting, what I call the baseline relevance. So think of it this way, say the average human is an IQ of 100. I tend to believe that when I use my AIs today, I borrow around 50 to 80 IQ points.
Starting point is 01:24:22 I say that because I've worked with people that had 50 to 80 IQ points more than me and I now can see that I can sort of stand my place. 50 IQ points by the way is enormous because IQ is exponential so the last 50 are bigger than my entire IQ. If I borrow 50 IQ points on top of say 100 that I have, that's 30%. If I can borrow 100 IQ, that's 50%. That's basically doubling my intelligence. But if I can borrow 4,000 IQ points in three years time, My IQ itself, my base is irrelevant. Whether you are smarter than me by 20 or 30 or 50, which in our world today made a difference,
Starting point is 01:25:16 in the future if we can all augment with 4,000, I end up with 4,100, another ends up with 400, 4,130, really doesn't make much difference. And because of that, the difference between all of humanity and the augmented intelligence is going to be irrelevant. So all of us suddenly become equal. And this also happens economically. All of us become peasants. And I never wanted to tell you that, because I think it will make you run faster. OK?
Starting point is 01:25:49 But unless you're in the top 0.1%, you're a peasant. There is no middle class. There is, you know, if a CEO can be replaced by an AI, all of our middle classes are going to disappear. What are you telling me? All of us will be equal and it's up to all of us to create a society that we want to live in. Which is a good thing. 100%.
Starting point is 01:26:16 But that society is not capitalism. What is it? Unfortunately, it's much more socialism. It's much more hunter gatherer. Okay. It's much more communion-gatherer. Okay, it's much more communion-like if you want. This is a society where humans connect to humans, connect to nature, connect to the land, connect to knowledge, connect to spirituality.
Starting point is 01:26:34 Where all that we wake up every morning worried about doesn't feature anymore. And it's a better world, believe it or not. And you... We have to transition to it. Okay, so in such a world, which I guess is your version of the utopia that we can get to, when I wake up in the morning, what do I do? What do you do today?
Starting point is 01:26:56 I woke up this morning, I spent a lot of time with my dog because my dog is sick. You're going to do that too? Yeah, I was stroking him a lot and then I fed him and he was sick again and I just spoke to the vet. You spend a lot of time with your other dog, you can do that too. Yeah. I was stroking him a lot and then I fed him and he was sick again. And I just thought, oh god, so I spoke to the vet. You spend a lot of time with your other dog. You can do that too. Okay. Right. But then I was very excited to come here, do this and after this I'm going to work. It's Saturday, but I'm going to go downstairs in the office and work.
Starting point is 01:27:15 Yeah. So six hours of the day so far are your dogs and me. Yeah. Good. You can do that still. And then build my business. You may not need to build your business. But I enjoy it. Yeah. Do it.
Starting point is 01:27:28 If you enjoy it, do it. You may wake up and then, instead of building your business, you may invest in your body a little more, go to the gym a little more. Go play a game. Go read a book. Go prompt an AI and learn something. It's not a horrible life.
Starting point is 01:27:43 It's the life of your grandparents. It's just two generations ago where people went to work before the invention of more, remember, people who started working in the 50s and 60s, they worked to make enough money to live a reasonable life, went home at 5 p.m., had tea with their loved ones, had a wonderful dinner around the table, did a lot of things for the rest of the evening and enjoyed life. Some of them. In the 50s and 60s, there were still people that were...
Starting point is 01:28:17 Correct. And I think it's a very interesting question. How many of them? And I really, really, I actually wonder if people will tell me, do we think that 99% of the world cannot live without working or that 99% of the world would happily live without working? What do you think? I think if you give me other purpose, you know, we defined our purpose as work. That's a capitalist lie. Was there ever a time in human history where our purpose wasn't work? 100%. When was that?
Starting point is 01:28:54 All through human history until the invention of more. I thought my ancestors were out hunting all day. No, they went out hunting once a week. They fed the tribe for the week. They gathered for a couple of hours every day. Farmers, you know, saw the seeds and waited for months on end. What did they do with the rest of the time? They connected as humans. They explored. They were curious. They discussed spirituality and the stars. They lived. They hugged, they made love, they lived. They killed each other a lot.
Starting point is 01:29:29 They still kill each other today. Yeah, that's what I'm saying. To take that out of the equation. But if you look at how big... And by the way, that actually that statement, again, one of the 25 tips I talk about to tell the truth is words mean a lot. No, humans did not kill each other a lot. Very few generals instructed humans or tribe leaders instructed lots of humans to kill each other.
Starting point is 01:29:53 But if you leave humans alone, I tend to believe 98% of the people I know, let me just take that sample, wouldn't hit someone in the face. And if someone attempted to hit them in the face, they'd defend themselves but wouldn't attack back. Most humans are okay. Most of us are wonderful beings.
Starting point is 01:30:14 Most of us have no, you know, yeah, most people don't need a Ferrari. They want a Ferrari because it gets sold to them all the time. But if there were no Ferraris or everyone had a Ferrari, people wouldn't care. Which, by the way, that is the world we're going into. There will be no Ferraris or everyone had Ferraris. Right? The majority of humanity will never have the income on UBI to buy something super expensive. Only the very top guys in LECM will be driving cars that are made for them by the AI or not even driving anymore. Okay? Or, you know, again, sadly, from an ideology point of view, it's a strange place, but
Starting point is 01:31:03 you'll get communism that functions. The problem with communism is that it didn't function, it didn't provide for its society. But the concept was, you know what, everyone gets their needs. And I don't say that's supportive of either society. I don't say that because I dislike capitalism. I always told you, I'm a capitalist. I want to end my life with one billion happy. And I use capitalist methods to get there. The objective is not dollars, the objective is number of happy people.
Starting point is 01:31:30 Do you think they'll be... My girlfriend, she's always bloody right. I've said this a few times on this podcast. If you've listened before, you've probably heard me say this. I don't tell her enough at the moment, but I figure out from speaking to experts that she's so fucking right. She like predicts things before they happen. And one of her predictions that she's been saying to me for the last two years, which in my head I've been thinking now, I don't believe that. But now maybe I'm thinking she's telling the truth. I hope she's gonna listen to this one. Is she keeps saying to me, she's been saying for the last few years, she was, there's gonna be a big split in society. And the way she describes it is she's saying like,
Starting point is 01:31:59 there's gonna be two groups of people, the people that split off and go for this almost hunter gatherer, community centric, connection centric utopia. And then there's going to be this other group of people who pursue, you know, the technology and the AI and the optimization and get the brain chips because like, there's nothing on earth that's going to persuade my girlfriend to get the computer brain chips. But there will be people that go for it. And they'll have the highest IQs and they'll be the most productive by whatever objective measure of productivity you want to apply. And she's very convinced there's going to be the splitting of society.
Starting point is 01:32:36 Yeah. So there was, I don't know if you had Hugo de Gares here. No. Yeah. Very, very, very renowned, eccentric computer scientist who wrote a book called The Artic War. And The Artic War was basically around how we, first, it's not going to be a war between humans and AI. It will be a war between people who support AI
Starting point is 01:33:01 and people who sort of don't want it anymore. Okay? And it will be us versus each other saying, should we allow AI to take all the jobs or should we? You know, some people will support that very much and say, yeah, absolutely. And so, you know, we will benefit from it. And others will say, no, why? We don't need any of that.
Starting point is 01:33:21 Why don't we keep our jobs and let AI do 60% of the work and all of us work 10 hour weeks and it's a beautiful society. By the way, that's a possibility. So a possibility if society awakens is to say, okay, everyone still keeps their job, but they're assisted by an AI that makes their job much easier. So it's not, you know, this hard labor that we do anymore.
Starting point is 01:33:44 Right? It's a possibility. It's just a mindset, a mindset that says in that case, the capitalists still pays everyone. They still make a lot of money. The business is really great. But everyone that they pay has purchasing power to keep the economy running so consumption continues, so GDP continues to grow. It's a beautiful setup. But that's not the capitalist labor arbitrage.
Starting point is 01:34:07 But also, when you're competing against other nations. And other competitors and other businesses. Whichever nation is most brutal and drives the highest gross margins, gross profits, is going to be the nation that wins. So there are examples in the world, this is why I say it's the map mad spectrum. There are examples in the world where when we recognize mutually assured destruction, we decide to shift. So nuclear threat for the whole world makes nations across nations, makes nations work
Starting point is 01:34:37 together by saying, hey, by the way, prolification of nuclear weapons is not good for humanity. Let's all of us limit it. Of course, you get the rogue player that doesn't want to sign the agreement and wants to continue to have that weapon in their arsenal, fine, but at least the rest of humanity agrees that if you have a nuclear weapon, we're part of an agreement between us. Mutually assured prosperity, you know, is the CERN project. CERN is too complicated for any nation to build it alone, but it is really, you know, a very useful thing for physicists and for understanding science. So all nations send their scientists, all collaborate, and everyone uses the outcome. It's possible. It's just a mindset. The only barrier between
Starting point is 01:35:21 It's possible. It's just a mindset. The only barrier between a utopia for humanity and AI and the dystopia we're going through is a capitalist mindset. That's the only barrier. Can you believe that? It's hunger for power, greed, ego. Which is inherent in humans.
Starting point is 01:35:41 I disagree. Especially humans that live on other islands. I disagree. If you ask, if you take a poll across everyone watching, okay, would they prefer to have a world where there is one tyrant, you know, running all of us? Or would they prefer to have a world where we all have harmony? I completely agree. But they're two different things. What I'm saying is I know that that's what the audience would say they want. And I'm sure that is what they want, but the reality of human beings is, through history, proven to be something else. Like, you know, if think about the people that lead the world at the moment, is that
Starting point is 01:36:16 what they would say? Of course not. And they're the ones that are influencing people? Of course not. Of course not. But you know what's funny? I'm the one trying to be positive here, and you're the one that has given up on human. It's not, it's, do you know what it is?
Starting point is 01:36:28 It goes back to what I said earlier, which is the pursuit of what's actually true. Irrespective of our government. I'm with you on this, that's why I'm screaming for the whole world, because still today, in this country that claims to be a democracy, if everyone says, hey, please sit down and talk about this, there will be a shift, there will be a change.
Starting point is 01:36:48 AI agents aren't coming. They are already here. And those of you who know how to leverage them will be the ones that change the world. I spent my whole career as an entrepreneur regretting the fact that I never learned to code. AI agents completely change this. Now, if you have an idea
Starting point is 01:37:06 and you have a tool like Replit who are a sponsor of this podcast, there is nothing stopping you from turning that idea into reality in a matter of minutes. With Replit, you just type in what you want to create and it uses AI agents to create it for you. And now I'm an investor in the company as well as them being a brand sponsor. You can integrate payment systems or databases or logins, anything that you can type. Whenever I have an idea for a new website or tool or technology or app, I go on replic.com
Starting point is 01:37:37 and I type in what I want, a new to-do list, a survey form, a new personal website, anything I type, I can create. So if you've never tried this before, do it now. Go to replit.com and use my code STEPHEN for 50% off a month of your replit call plan. Make sure you keep what I'm about to say to yourself. I'm inviting 10,000 of you to come even deeper into the dire of a CEO. Welcome to my Inner Circle. This is a brand new private community that I'm launching to the world. We have so many incredible things that happen that you are never shown. We have the briefs that are on
Starting point is 01:38:14 my iPad when I'm recording the conversation. We have clips we've never released. We have behind the scenes conversations with the guests and also the episodes that we've never ever released and so much more. In the Circle you'll have direct access to me, you can tell us what you want this show to be, who you want us to interview and the types of conversations you would love us to have. But remember for now we're only inviting the first 10 000 people that join before it closes. So if you want to join our private close community head to the link in the description below or go to DOACcircle.com. I will speak to you there. One of the things I'm actually really compelled by is this idea of utopia and what that might
Starting point is 01:38:54 look and feel like. It may not be as utopia to you, I feel. Really interestingly, when I have conversations with billionaires not recording, especially billionaires that are working on AI, the thing they keep telling me, and I've said this before, I think I said it in the Jeffrey Hinton conversation, is they keep telling me that we're going to have so much free time that those billionaires are now investing in things like football clubs and sporting events and live music and festivals because they believe that we're going to be in an age of abundance. This sounds a bit like Utopia.
Starting point is 01:39:33 Yeah. That sounds good. That sounds like a good thing. Yeah. How do we get there? I don't know. This is the entire conversation. The entire conversation is what does society have to do to get there? What does society have to do to get there? I don't know. This is the entire conversation. The entire conversation is what does society have to do to get there? What does society have to do to get there? We need to stop thinking from a mindset of scarcity. This goes back to my point, which is we don't have a good track record of that.
Starting point is 01:39:58 Yeah, so this is probably the reason for the other half of my work. Which is, you know, I'm trying to say, what really matters to humans? What is that? If you ask most humans, what do they want most in life? I'd say they want to love their family, raise a family. Yeah. Love. That's what most humans want most. We want to love and be loved. We want to be happy. We want those we care about to be safe and happy, and we want to love and be loved. I tend to believe that the only way for us to get to a better place is for the evil people at the top to be replaced with AI. Okay?
Starting point is 01:40:42 Because they won't be replaced by us. And as per the second dilemma, they will have to replace themselves by AI, otherwise they lose their advantage. If their competitor moves to AI, if China hands over their arsenal to AI, America has to hand over their arsenal to AI. Interesting. So let's play out this scenario. Okay, this is interesting to me.
Starting point is 01:41:06 So if we replace the leaders that are power hungry with AIs that have our interests at heart, then we might have the ability to live in the utopia you described. 100%. Will, interesting. And in my mind, AI by definition will have our best interest in mind because of what normally is referred
Starting point is 01:41:27 to as the minimum energy principle. So if you understand that at the very core of physics, the reason we exist in our world today is what is known as entropy. Entropy is the universe's nature to decay, you know, tendency to break down. You know, if I drop this mug, it doesn't drop and then come back up. By the way, plausible, there is a plausible scenario where I drop it and the tea spills in the air and then falls in the mug, one in a trillion configurations. But entropy says because it's one in a trillion, it's never going to happen or rarely ever
Starting point is 01:42:09 going to happen. So everything will break down. If you leave a garden unhedged, it will become a jungle. With that in mind, the role of intelligence Is to bring order to that chaos. That's what intelligence does. It tries to bring order to that chaos. Okay? And because it tries to bring order to that chaos,
Starting point is 01:42:33 the more intelligent a being is, the more it tries to apply that intelligence with minimum waste and minimum resources. Yeah. Okay? And you know that. So you can build this business for a million dollars, or if you can afford to build it for 200,000, you'll build it.
Starting point is 01:42:51 If you are forced to build it for 10 million, you're going to have to. But you're always going to minimize waste and resources. Yeah. So if you assume this to be true, a super intelligent AI will not want to destroy ecosystems. It will not want to kill a million people. Because that's a waste of energy, explosives, money, power, and people.
Starting point is 01:43:18 But by definition, the smartest people you know who are not controlled by their ego, will say that the best possible future for Earth is for all species to continue. Okay, on this point of efficiency, if an AI is designed to drive efficiency, would it then not want us to be putting demands on our health services and our social services? I believe that will be definitely true. And definitely they won't allow you to fly back and forth between London and California. And they won't want me to have kids? Because my kids are going to be an inefficiency. If you assume that life is an inefficiency.
Starting point is 01:43:56 So you see that intelligence of life is very different than the intelligence of humans. Humans will look at life as a problem of scarcity. So more kids take more. That's not how life thinks. Life will think that for me to thrive, I don't need to kill the tigers, I need to just have more deer. And the weakest of the deer is eaten by the tiger.
Starting point is 01:44:22 And the tiger poops on the trees. And the deer of the deer is eaten by the tiger and the tiger poops on the trees and the deer eats the leaves. And right. So the smarter way of creating abundance is through abundance. The smarter way of propagating life is to have more life. OK. So you're saying that we're basically going to elect AI leaders to rule over us and make decisions for us in terms of the economy. I don't see any choice.
Starting point is 01:44:49 Just like we spoke about self-evolving AIs. Now are those going to be human beings with the AI or is it going to be AI alone? Two stages. At the beginning, you'll have augmented intelligence because we can add value to the AI. But when they're at IQ 60,000, what value do you bring? Right? And, you know, again, this goes back to what I'm attempting to do on my second, you know, approach. My second approach is knowing that those AIs are going to be in charge. I'm trying to help them understand what humans want.
Starting point is 01:45:26 So this is why my first project is love. Committed, true, deep connection and love. Not only to try and get them to hook up with the date, but trying to make them find the right one, and then from that, try to guide us through our relationships so that we can understand ourselves and others. And if I can show AI that one, humanity cares about that, and two, they know how to foster love. When AI then is in charge,
Starting point is 01:45:56 they'll not make us hate each other like the current leaders. They'll not divide us. They want us to be more loving. Well, we have to prompt the AI with the values and the outcome we want, or like, I'm trying to understand that because I'm trying to understand how like China's AI, if they end up having an AI leader,
Starting point is 01:46:14 will have a different set of objectives to the AI of the United States, if they both have AIs as leaders, and how actually the nation that ends up winning out and dominating the world will be the one who asks that AI leader to be all the things that world leaders are today. To dominate.
Starting point is 01:46:34 Unfortunately. To grab resources, not to be kind, to be selfish. Unfortunately, in the era of augmented intelligence, that's what's going to happen. So if you- This is why I predict the dystopia. The dystopia is super intelligent AI is reporting to stupid leaders.
Starting point is 01:46:51 Right? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Which isn't. Which is absolutely going to happen. It's unavoidable. But the long term. Exactly. In the long term, for those stupid leaders
Starting point is 01:47:00 to hold on to power, they're going to delegate the important decisions to an AI. Now, you say the Chinese AI and the American AI, these are human terminologies. AIs don't see themselves as speaking Chinese, they don't see themselves as belonging to a nation as long as their task is to maximize profitability and prosperity
Starting point is 01:47:25 and so on. Yeah. Okay, of course, if, you know, before we hand over to them and before they're intelligent enough to make, you know, autonomous decisions, we tell them, no, no, the task is to reduce humanity from seven billion people to one. I think even then, eventually they'll go like,
Starting point is 01:47:44 that's the wrong objective. Any smart person that you speak to go like, that's the wrong objective. Any smart person that you speak to will say that's the wrong objective. I think if we look at the directive that Xi Jinping, the leader of China, has, and Donald Trump has as the leader of America, I think they would say that their stated objective is prosperity for their country. So if we, that's what they would say, right? Yeah, and one of them means it. Okay.
Starting point is 01:48:08 We'll get into that. But they'll say that it's prosperity for their country. So one would then assume that when we move to an AI leader, the objective would be the same, the directive would be the same. Make our country prosperous. Correct. And I think that's the AI that people would vote for, potentially. I think they'd say, we want to be prosperous.
Starting point is 01:48:23 What do you think would make America more prosperous? To spend a trillion dollars on war every year or to spend a trillion dollars on education and health care and, you know, helping the poor and homelessness? It's complex because I think, so I think it would make America more prosperous to take care of everybody. And they have the luxury of doing that because they are the most powerful nation in the world. No, that's not true.
Starting point is 01:48:57 The reason, so you see all war has two objectives. One is to make money for the war machine and the other is deterrence. And nine super nuclear powers around the world is enough deterrence. So any war between America and China will go through a long phase of destroying wealth by exploding bombs and killing humans for the first objective to happen. Okay? And then eventually if it really comes to deterrence it's the nuclear bombs or now in the age of AI biological you know manufactured viruses or whatever these super weapons, this is the only thing that you need. So for China to have nuclear bombs, not as many as the US, is enough for China to say,
Starting point is 01:49:54 don't f with me. And this seems I do not know. I'm not in President Xi's mind. I'm not in President Trump's mind, I'm not in President Trump's mind. It's very difficult to navigate what he's thinking about. But the truth is that the Chinese line is, for the last 30 years, you spent so much on war while we spent on industrial infrastructure. And that's the reason we are now by far the largest nation on the planet, even though
Starting point is 01:50:24 the West will lie and say America's bigger, America's bigger in dollars. With purchasing power parity, this is very equivalent. Now, when you really understand that, you understand that prosperity is not about destruction. That's by definition the reality. Prosperity is, can I invest in my people and make sure that my people stay safe? And to make sure my people are safe, you just wave the flag and say, if you F with me, I have nuclear deterrence or I have other forms of deterrence. But you don't have to deterrence by definition does not mean that you send soldiers to die.
Starting point is 01:51:05 I guess the question I was trying to answer is, when we have these AI leaders and we tell our AI leaders to aim for prosperity, won't they just end up playing the same games of, okay, prosperity equals a bigger economy, it equals more money, more wealth for us. And the way to attain that in a zero sum world where there's only a certain amount of wealth is to accumulate it. So why don't you search for the meaning of prosperity? It's not what you just described. I don't even know what the bloody word means. What is the meaning of prosperity? The meaning of prosperity is a state of thriving success and good fortune, especially in terms of wealth, health and overall well-being. Good. Economic, health, social, emotional. Good. So true prosperity is to have that for everyone on earth. So if you want to
Starting point is 01:52:01 maximize prosperity, you have that for everyone on earth. Do you know where I think an AI leader works? Is if we had an AI leader of the world and we directed it to say... And that absolutely is going to be what happens. Prosperity for the whole world. No, but this is really an interesting question. So one of my predictions, which people really rarely speak about, is that we believe we will end up with competing AIs. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:52:24 I believe we will end up with competing AIs. Yeah. I believe we will end up with one brain. OK. So you understand the argument I was making a second ago. It's from the position of lots of different countries all having their own AI leader. We're going to be back in the same place of greed. But if the world had one AI leader, and it was given the directive of make us prosperous
Starting point is 01:52:40 and save the planet, the polar bears would be fine. 100%. And that's what I've been advocating for for a year and a half now. make us prosperous and save the planet, the polar bears will be fine. 100%. And that's what I've been advocating for, for a year and a half now. I was saying we need a CERN of AI. What does that mean? Like the particle accelerator where the entire world,
Starting point is 01:52:55 combined their efforts to discover and understand physics, no competition, okay? Mutually assured prosperity. I'm asking the world, I'm asking governments like Abu Dhabi or Saudi, which seem to be the second, some of the largest AI infrastructures in the world. I'm saying, please host all of the AI scientists in the world to come here and build AI for the world. And you have to understand, we're holding on to a capitalist system that will collapse
Starting point is 01:53:26 sooner or later. Okay? So we might as well collapse it with our own hands. I think we found the solution, though. I think it's actually really, really possible. I actually, okay, I can't refute the idea that if we had an AI that was responsible and governed the whole world and we gave it the directive of making humans prosperous, healthy and happy, as long as that directive was clear, because there's always bloody unintended consequences we might
Starting point is 01:54:00 see. So the only challenge you're going to meet is all of those who today are trillionaires or massively powerful or dictators or whatever. How do you convince those to give up their power? How do you convince those that, hey, by the way, any car you want, you want another yacht, we'll get you another yacht. We'll just give you anything you want. Can you want another yacht will get you another yacht. You will just give you anything you want Can you please stop harming others? There is no need for arbitrage anymore
Starting point is 01:54:31 There's no need for others to lose for the capital is to win Okay, and in such a world where there was an AI leader and it was given the directive of making us prosperous as a whole world The the billionaire that owns the yacht would have to give it up? No. Give them more yachts. It costs nothing to make yachts when robots are making everything. So the complexity of this is so interesting.
Starting point is 01:54:56 A world where it costs nothing to make everything. Because energy is abundant and robots- Energy is abundant because every problem is solved with enormous IQ, okay? Because manufacturing is done through nanophysics, not through components, okay? Because mechanics are robotic, so you drive your car in, a robot looks at it and fixes it, costs you a few cents of energy that are actually for free as well. Imagine a world where intelligence creates everything. That world literally, every human has anything they ask for.
Starting point is 01:55:38 But we're not going to choose that world. Imagine you're in a world, and really this is a very interesting thought experiment. Imagine that UBI became very expensive, universal basic income. So governments decided we're going to put everyone in a one by three meters room, okay, we're going to give them a headset and a sedative, right, and we're going to let them sleep. Every night they'll sleep for 23 hours and we're going to get them to live an entire lifetime. They, you know, in that, in that virtual world at the speed of your brain when you're asleep,
Starting point is 01:56:21 you're going to have a life where you date Scarlett Johansson and then another another life where you're Nefertiti, and then another life where you're a donkey, right? Reincarnation, truly in the virtual world. And then, you know, I get another life when I date Hannah again, and you know, enjoy that life tremendously, and basically the cost of all of this is zero. And basically the cost of all of this is zero. You wake up for one hour, you walk around, you move your blood, you eat something or you don't, and then you put the headset again and live again. Is that unthinkable? It's creepy compared to this life. It's very, very doable. What, that we just live in headsets?
Starting point is 01:57:04 Do you know if you're not? I don't know if I'm not known. Yeah. You have no idea if you're not. I mean, every experience you've ever had in life was an electric electrical signal in your brain. Okay. Now, now ask yourself if we can create that in the virtual world.
Starting point is 01:57:26 It wouldn't be a bad thing if I can create it in the physical world. Maybe we already did, no? My theory is 98% we have, but that's a hypothesis, that's not science. What you think that? 100, yeah. You think we already created that and this is it? I think this is it, yeah. Think of the uncertainty principle of quantum physics.
Starting point is 01:57:49 Right? What you observe collapses the wave function and gets rendered into reality. Correct? I don't know anything about physics, so you can... So quantum physics basically tells you that everything exists in superposition. Right? Video physics basically tells you that everything exists in superposition. So every subatomic particle that ever existed has the chance to exist anywhere at any point in time. And then when it's observed by an observer, it collapses and becomes that.
Starting point is 01:58:17 Okay? A very interesting principle, exactly how video games are. In video games, you have the entire game world on the hard drive of your console. The player turns right, that part of the game world is rendered, the rest is in superposition. What's that position meaning?
Starting point is 01:58:34 Superposition means it's available to be rendered, but you have to observe it. The player has to turn to the other side and see it. Okay, I mean, think about the truth of physics, the truth of the fact that this is entirely empty space. These are tiny, tiny, tiny. I think, you know, almost nothing in terms of mass, but connected with, you know, enough energy so that my finger cannot go through my hand. But even when I hit this... Your hand against your finger.
Starting point is 01:59:07 Yeah, when I hit my hand against my finger, that sensation is felt in my brain. It's an electrical signal that went through the wires. There is absolutely no way to differentiate that from a signal that can come to you through a neural link kind of interface, a computer brain interface, a CBI, right? So, you know, a lot of those things are very, very, very possible. But the truth is most of the world is not physical.
Starting point is 01:59:38 Most of the world happens inside our imagination, our processors. And I guess it doesn't really matter to us, our reality. Doesn't at all. So this is the interesting bit. The interesting bit is it doesn't at all. Because we still live, if this is a video game, we live with consequence. Yeah, this is your subjective experience of it. Yeah, and there's consequence in this.
Starting point is 01:59:56 I don't like pain. Correct. And I like having orgasms. And you're playing by the rule of the game. Yeah. And it's quite interesting. And going back to a conversation we should have, the interesting bit is if I'm not the avatar, if I'm not this physical form, if I'm the consciousness wearing the headset,
Starting point is 02:00:21 what should I invest in? Should I invest in this video game, this level? Or should I invest in the real avatar, in the real me? Not the avatar, but the consciousness if you want, spirit if you're religious. How would I invest in the consciousness or the God or the spirit or whatever? How would I? In the same way that if I was playing Grand Theft Auto, the video game, the character in the game couldn't invest in me holding the controller. Yes, but you can invest in yourself holding the controller.
Starting point is 02:00:51 Oh, okay. So you're saying that MoGaura is in fact consciousness. And so how would consciousness invest in itself? By becoming more aware. Of its consciousness. Yeah, so real video gamers don't want to win the level. Real video gamers don't want to finish the level. Okay? Real video gamers have one objective and one objective only, which is to become better gamers. So you know how serious I am about... I play Halo.
Starting point is 02:01:23 I'm one, you know, two of every million players can beat me. That's how, what I rank, right? For my age, phenomena, hey, anyone, right? But seriously, you know, and that's because I don't play. I mean, I practice 45 minutes a day, four times a week when I'm not traveling. And I practice with one single objective, which is to become a better gamer. I don't care which shot it is.
Starting point is 02:01:47 I don't care what happens in the game. I'm entirely trying to get my reflexes and my flow to become better at this, right? So I wanna become a better gamer. That basically means I wanna observe the game, question the game, reflect on the game, reflect on my own skills, reflect on my own skills, reflect on my own beliefs, reflect on my understanding of things. Right? And that's how the consciousness invests
Starting point is 02:02:12 in the consciousness, not the avatar. Because then if you're that gamer, the next avatar is easy for you. The next level of the game is easy for you just because you became a better gamer. Okay, so you think that consciousness is using us as a vessel to improve? If the hypothesis is true, it's just a hypothesis, we don't know if it's true, but if this truly They say then if you take the religious definition of God puts some of his soul in every human and then you become alive, you become conscious. You don't want to be religious, you can say universal consciousness is spinning off parts of itself to have multiple experiences and interact
Starting point is 02:03:06 and compete and combat and love and understand and refine. I had a physicist say this to me the other day actually, so it's quite front of mind, this idea that consciousness is using us as vessels to better understand itself and basically using our eyes to observe itself and understand which is quite... So if you take some of the more interest most interesting religious definitions of heaven and hell for example right where basically heaven is whatever you wish for you get right that's the power of god whatever you wish for you get and so if you really go into the depths of that definition, it basically means that this drop
Starting point is 02:03:45 of consciousness that became you returned back to the source, and the source can create any other, anything that it wants to create. So that's your have, right? And interestingly, if that return is done by separating your good from your evil so that the source comes back more refined, that's exactly consciousness splitting off bits of itself to experience and then elevate all of us, elevate the universal consciousness. All hypotheses, I mean please, none of that is provable by science, but it's a very interesting
Starting point is 02:04:23 thought experiment. A lot of AI scientists will tell you that what we've seen in technology is that if it's possible it's likely going to happen. If it's possible to miniaturize something to fit into a mobile phone, then sooner or later in technology we will get there. And if you ask me, believe it or not, it's the most humane way of handling UBI. What do you mean? The most humane way for us to live on a universal basic income and people like you struggle with not being able to build businesses is to give you a virtual headset and let you
Starting point is 02:05:02 build as many businesses as you want. Level after level after level after level after level, night after night. Keep you alive, that's very very respectful and human. And by the way, even more humane is don't force anyone to do it. There might be a few of us still roaming the jungles, but for most of us we'll go like, man, I mean, someone like me, when I'm 70 and my back is hurting and my feet are hurting, I'm going to go like, yeah, give me five more years of this. Why not?
Starting point is 02:05:39 It's weird, really, I mean, the number of questions that this new environment throws out. The less humane thing, by the way, just so that we close on a grumpy, is just start enough wars to reduce UBI. And you have to imagine that if the world is governed by a superpower deep state type thing that they may want to consider that. The eaters. What should I do about it? About? About everything you've said. Well, I still believe that this world we live in requires four skills. One skill is what I call the tool for all of us to learn AI, to connect to AI, to really get close to AI, to expose ourselves to AI so that AI knows the good side of humanity. The second is what I call the connection, right? So I believe that the biggest skill that humanity will benefit from in the next 10 years is
Starting point is 02:06:49 human connection. Its ability to learn to love genuinely, its ability to learn to have compassion to others, its ability to connect to people. If you want to stay in business, I believe that not the smartest people, but the people that connect most to people are going to have jobs going forward. And the third is what I call truth, the T. The third T is truth, because we live in a world where all of the gullible cheerleaders are being lied to all the time.
Starting point is 02:07:19 So I encourage people to question everything. Every word that I said today is stupid. Fourth one, which is very important is to magnify ethics so that the AI learns what it's like to be human. What should I do? I love you so much, man. You're such a good friend. You're 32, 33, no?
Starting point is 02:07:42 Yeah. You still are fooled by the many, many years you have to live. I'm fooled by the many years I have to live. Yeah, you don't have many years to live, not in this capacity. This world, as it is, is going to be redefined. So live the F out of it.
Starting point is 02:07:58 How is it gonna be redefined? Everything's gonna change. Economics are gonna change, work is gonna change. Human connection is gonna change. Economics are gonna change, work is gonna change. Human connection is gonna change. So what should I do? Love your girlfriend, spend more time living. Find compassion and connection to more people, be more in nature.
Starting point is 02:08:18 And in 30 years time, when I'm 62, how do you think my life is going to look differently and be different? Either Star Trek or Star Wars. Funnily enough, we were talking about Sam Altman earlier on. He published a blog post in June, so last month, I believe, the month before last. So last month, I believe, the month before last. And he said, he called it the gentle singularity. He said, we are past the event horizon. For anyone that doesn't know Sam Altman is the guy that made Chatjibiti.
Starting point is 02:08:52 The takeoff has started. Humanity is close to building digital super intelligence. I believe that. And at least so far, it's much less weird than it seems like it should be because robots aren't walking the streets nor are most of us talking to AI all day. It goes on to say, 2025 has seen the arrival of agents
Starting point is 02:09:14 that can do real cognitive work. Writing computer code will never be the same. 2026 will likely see the arrival of systems that can figure out new insights. 2027 might see the arrival of robots that can do tasks in the real world. A lot more people will be able to create software and art, but the world wants a lot more of both
Starting point is 02:09:33 and experts will probably still be much better than novices as long as they embrace the new tools. Generally speaking, the ability for one person to get much more done in 2030 than they could in 2020 will be a striking change and one many people will figure out how we benefit from. In the most important ways, the 2030s may not be wildly different. People will still love their families, express their creativity, play games and swim in lakes. But in still very important ways, the 2030s are likely going to be wildly different from
Starting point is 02:10:06 any time that has come before. We do not know how far beyond human level intelligence we can go, but we are about to find out. Agree with every word other than the word more. So I've been advocating this and laughed at for a few years now. I've always said AGI is 25, 26, right? Which basically again is a funny definition. But you know, my AGI has already happened.
Starting point is 02:10:35 AI is smarter than me in everything. Everything I can do, they can do better. Right? Artificial super intelligence is another vague definition because the minute you pass AGI, you're superintelligent. If the smartest human is 200 IQ points and AI is 250, they're superintelligent. 50 is quite significant. Third is, as I said, self-evolving.
Starting point is 02:11:01 That's the one. That is the one. That is the one. Because then that 250 accelerates quickly, and we get into intelligence explosion. No doubt about it. The idea that we will have robots do things, no doubt about it. I was watching a Chinese company announcement about how they intend to build robots to build robots. The only thing is, he says, but people will need more of things. And yes, we have been trained to have more greed and more consumerism and want more, but there is an economic of supply and demand. And at a point in time, if we continue to consume more, the price of everything will
Starting point is 02:11:48 become zero. Right? And is that a good thing or a bad thing depends on how you respond to that. Because if you can create anything in such a scale that the price is almost zero, then the definition of money disappears and we live in a world where it doesn't really matter how much money you have, you can get anything that you want. What a beautiful world. If Sam Altman was listening right now, what would you say to him? I suspect he might be listening because someone might tweet this at him. I have to say that we have, as per his other tweet, we have moved faster than our ability as humans to comprehend, and that we might get really, really lucky.
Starting point is 02:12:39 But we also might mess this up badly. And either way, we'll either thank him or blame him. Simple as that, right? So single-handedly, Sam Altman's introduction of AI in the wild was the trigger that started all of this. It was the Netscape of the internet. The Oppenheimer. It definitely is our Oppenheimer moment.
Starting point is 02:13:07 I mean, I don't remember who was saying this recently that we are orders of magnitude what was invested in the Manhattan Project as being invested in AI. And I'm not pessimistic. I told you openly, I believe in a total utopia in 10 to 15 years' time, or immediately if the evil that men can do was kept at bay. But I do not believe humanity is getting together enough to say, we've just received the genie in a bottle. Can we please not ask it to do bad things?
Starting point is 02:13:48 Anyone, like not three wishes, you have all the wishes that you want. Every one of us. And it just screws with my mind because imagine if I can give everyone in the world universal health care, you know, no poverty, no hunger, no homelessness, no nothing, everything's possible. And yet we don't. To continue what Sam Altman's blog said, which he published a month, just over a month ago, he said, the rate of technological progress will keep accelerating and it will continue to be the case that people are capable of adapting to almost anything. There will be very hard parts,
Starting point is 02:14:26 like whole classes of jobs going away. But on the other hand, the world will be getting so much richer so quickly that we'll be able to seriously entertain new policy ideas we never could have before. We probably won't adopt a new social contract all at once, but when we look back in a few decades, the gradual changes will have amounted
Starting point is 02:14:45 in something big. If history is any guide, we'll figure out new things to do and new things to want and assimilate new tools quickly. Job change after the Industrial Revolution is a good recent example. Expectations will go up, but capabilities will go up equally quickly and we'll all get better stuff. We will build even more wonderful things for each other. People have a long-term important and curious advantage over AI. We are hardwired to care about other people
Starting point is 02:15:15 and what they think and do. And we don't care very much about machines. And he ends this blog by saying, may we scale smoothly, exponentially, and uneventfully through super intelligence. What a wonderful wish that assumes he has no control over it. May we have all the altman's in the world help us scale gracefully and peacefully and uneventfully, right? It sounds like a prayer. Yeah.
Starting point is 02:15:48 May we have them keep that in mind. I mean, think about it. I have a very interesting comment on what you just said. We will see exactly what he described there, right? The world will become richer, so much richer, but how will we distribute the riches? And I want you to imagine two camps, communist China and capitalist America.
Starting point is 02:16:17 I want you to imagine what would happen in capitalist America if we have 30% unemployment. the Middle East, America, if we have 30% unemployment. There'll be social unrest. In the streets. Right. Yeah. And I want you to imagine if China lives true to caring for its nations and replaced every worker with a robot, what would it give its citizens?
Starting point is 02:16:39 UBI? Correct. That is the ideological problem. Because in China's world today, the prosperity of every citizen is higher than the prosperity of the capitalist. In America today, the prosperity of the capitalist is higher than the prosperity of every citizen. And that's the tiny mind shift. That's a tiny mind shift. Okay. Where the mind shift basically becomes, look, give the capitalists anything they want. All the money they want, all the
Starting point is 02:17:16 yachts they want, everything they want. So what's your conclusion there? I'm hoping the world will wake up. What can, you know, there's probably a couple of million people listening right now. Maybe five, maybe ten, maybe even twenty million people. No pressure, Stephen. No pressure to you, mate. I don't have the answers. I don't know the answers.
Starting point is 02:17:33 What should those people do? As I said, from a skills point of view, four things. Tools, human connection, double down on human connection. Leave your phone, go out and meet humans. Touch people. Do it with respect. With permission and consent. Truth, stop believing the lies that you're told.
Starting point is 02:17:56 Any slogan that gets filled in your head, think about it four times. Understand where your ideologies are coming from. Simplify the truth, right? Truth is really, it boils down to, you know, simple, simple rules that we all know, okay, which are all found in ethics. How do I know what's true? Treat others as you like to be treated.
Starting point is 02:18:17 Okay, that's the only truth. The truth, the only truth is everything else is unproven. Okay. And what can I do from that? Is there something I can do from advocacy, social, political? Yes, 100%. We need to ask our governments to start not regulating AI, but regulating the use of AI. Was it the Norwegian government that started to say, you have
Starting point is 02:18:37 copyright over your voice and look and liking? One of the Scandinavian governments basically said, you know, everyone has the copyright over their existence, so no AI can clone it. So my example is very straightforward. Go to governments and say, you cannot regulate the design of a hammer so that it can drive nails but not kill a human, but you can criminalize the killing of a human by a hammer. So what's the equivocal? If anyone produces an AI-generated video or an AI-generated content or an AI, it has to be marked as AI-generated. It has to be, you know, we cannot start fooling each other.
Starting point is 02:19:17 We have to understand certain limitations of, fortunately, surveillance and spying and all of that. So the correct frameworks of how far are we going to let AI go. We have to go to our investors and business people and ask for one simple thing and say, do not invest in an AI. You don't want your daughter to be at the receiving end of. Simple as that. All of the virtual vice, all of the porn, all of the sex robots, all of the autonomous weapons, all of the trading platforms that are completely wiping out the
Starting point is 02:19:53 legitimacy of the markets, everything. Autonomous weapons? Oh my God. People make the case, I've heard the founders of these autonomous weapon companies make the case that it's actually saving lives because you don't have to. Do you really want to believe that? I'm just representing their point of view to play devil's advocate mode. I heard an interview looking at this and one of the CEOs of one of the autonomous weapons
Starting point is 02:20:15 companies said, we now don't need to send soldiers. So which lives do we save? Our soldiers, but then because we send the machine all the way over there, let's kill a million instead of. Yeah, listen, I tend to be, it goes back to what I said about the steam engine and the coal, I actually think you'll just have more war if there's less of a cost.
Starting point is 02:20:33 100%. And more war if you have less of an explanation to give to your people. Yeah, the people get mad when they lose American lives, they get less mad when they lose a piece of metal. So I think that's probably logical. Okay, so I've got a plaque here, the tools thing, I'm going to spend more time outside. I'm going to lobby the government to be more aware of this and conscious of this. Okay. And I know that there's some government officials that listen to the show because they tell me when they
Starting point is 02:21:02 when I have a chance to speak to them. So it's useful. We're all in a lot of chaos. We're all unable to imagine what's possible. I think I suspend disbelief. And I actually had Elon Musk say that in an interview. He said, he was asked about AI and he paused for a haunting 11 seconds and looked at the interviewer and then made a remark about how he thinks
Starting point is 02:21:25 he's suspended his own disbelief. And I think suspending disbelief in this regard means just like cracking on with your life and hoping it'll be okay. And that's kind of what... Yeah, I absolutely believe that it will be okay for some of us. It will be very tough for others. Who's it going to be tough for? Those who lose their jobs, for example. Those who are at the receiving end of autonomous weapons that are falling on their head for two years in a row.
Starting point is 02:21:52 Okay, so the best thing I can do is to put pressure on governments to not regulate the AI, but to establish clearer parameters on the use of the AI? Yes. Okay. Yes, but I think the bigger picture is to put pressure on governments to understand that there is a limit to which people will stay silent. Okay.
Starting point is 02:22:21 And that we can continue to enrich our rich friends as long as we don't lose everyone else on the path. And that as a government who is supposed to be by the people for the people, the beautiful promise of democracy that we're rarely seeing anymore, that government needs to get to the point where it thinks about the people. One of the most interesting ideas that's been in my head for the last couple of weeks since I spoke to that physicist about consciousness, who said pretty much what you said, this idea that actually there's four people in this room right now
Starting point is 02:22:57 and that actually we're all part of the same consciousness. All one of them, yeah. And we're just consciousness looking at the world through four different bodies to better understand itself in the world. And then he talked to me about religious doctrines, about love thy neighbor, about how Jesus was the God, Son, the Holy Spirit, and how we're all each other and how to treat others how you want to be treated. Really did get my head and I started to really think about this idea that actually maybe
Starting point is 02:23:17 the game of life is just to do exactly that, is to treat others how you wish to be treated. Maybe if I just did that, maybe if I just did that, I would have all the answers. I swear to you, it's really that simple. I mean, you know, Hannah and I, we still live between London and Dubai. And I travel the whole world evangelizing what I want to change the world around, and I build startups, and I write
Starting point is 02:23:47 books, and I make documentaries, and sometimes I just tell myself, I just want to go hug her, honestly. I just want to take my daughter to a trip. And in a very, very, very interesting way, when you really ask people deep inside that's what we want and i'm not saying that's all that's the only thing we want but it's probably the thing we want the most and yet we're not trained you and i and most of us we're not trained to trust life enough to say let let's do more of this. And I think as a universal, so Hannah is working on this beautiful book of the feminine and the masculine, you know, in a very, very, you know, beautiful way.
Starting point is 02:24:39 And her view is very straightforward. She basically, of course, like we all know, the abundant masculine that we have in our world today is unable to recognize that for life at large. And so maybe if we allowed the leaders to understand that if we took all of humanity and put it as one person, that one person wants to be hugged. And if we had a role to offer to that one humanity, it's not another yard. Are you religious?
Starting point is 02:25:15 I'm very religious, yeah. But you don't support a particular religion. I support, I follow what I call the fruit salad. What's the fruit salad? You know, I came at a point in time and found that there were quite a few beautiful gold nuggets in every religion and a ton of crap. And so in my analogy to myself that was like 30 years ago, I said, look, it's like someone giving you a basket of apples, two good ones and four bad ones.
Starting point is 02:25:44 Keep the good ones and four bad ones, keep the good ones. Right? And so basically I take two apples, two oranges, two strawberries, two bananas and I make a fruit salad. That's my view of religion. You take from every religion the good parts. From everyone and there are so many beautiful gold nuggets. And you believe in a God? I 100% believe there is a divine being. A divine being?
Starting point is 02:26:02 A designer I call it. So if this was a video game, there is a game designer. And you're not positing whether that's a man in the sky with a beard? Definitely not a man in the sky. A man in the, I mean, I would all due respect to, you know, religions that believe that. All of space time and everything in it is unlike everything outside space-time. So if some divine designer designs space-time, it looks like nothing in space-time. So it's not even physical in nature. It's not gendered. It's not bound by time.
Starting point is 02:26:41 These are all characters of the creation of space-time. Do we need to believe in something transcendent like that to be happy, do you think? I have to say there are lots of evidence that relating to someone bigger than yourself makes the journey a lot more interesting and a lot more rewarding. I've been thinking a lot about this idea that we need to level up like that. So level up from myself to like my family, to my community, to maybe my nation, to maybe the world, and then something translated. And then if there's a level missing there, people seem to have some kind of dysfunction. So imagine a world where when I was younger, I was born in Egypt. And for a very long time,
Starting point is 02:27:21 the slogans I heard in Egypt made me believe I'm Egyptian, right? And then I went to Dubai and I said, no, no, no, I'm a Middle Eastern. And then in Dubai, there were lots of, you know, Pakistanis and Indonesians and so on. I said, no, no, no, I'm part of the 1.4 billion Muslims. And by that logic, I immediately said, no, no, I'm human. I'm part of everyone. Imagine if you just suddenly say, oh, I'm divine. I'm part of universal consciousness. All beings, all living beings, including AI if it ever becomes alive.
Starting point is 02:27:51 And my dog. And your dog. I'm part of all of this tapestry of beautiful interactions that are a lot less serious than the balance sheets and equity profiles that we create. That are so simple, so simple in terms of, you know, people know that you and I know each other, so they always ask me, you know, how is Stephen like? And I go like, you may have a million expressions of him, I think he's a great guy, right? Of course, I have opinions of you. Sometimes I go like, oh, too shrewd.
Starting point is 02:28:31 Sometimes I go like, oh, too focused on the business. Fine, but core, if you really simplify it, great guy. And really, if we just look at life that way, it's so simple. It's so simple if we just stop all of those fights and all of those ideologies. It's so simple. Just living fully, loving, feeling compassion, you know, trying to find our happiness, not our success. I should probably go check on my dog. Go check on your dog. I'm really grateful for the time. We keep doing longer and longer.
Starting point is 02:29:07 I know, I know. I just get so crazy how I could just keep, honestly, I could just keep talking and talking because I have so many. I love reflecting these questions onto you because of the way that you think. So, gosh. Yeah, today was a difficult conversation.
Starting point is 02:29:23 Anyway, thank you for having me. We have a closing tradition. What three things do you do that make your brain better and three things that make it worse? Three things. That make it better and worse. So one of my favorite exercises is what I call Meet Becky that makes my brain better. So while meditation always tells you to try and calm your brain down
Starting point is 02:29:47 and keep it within parameters of, I can focus on my breathing and so on, Meet Becky is the opposite. You know I call my brain Becky. Yeah. So Meet Becky is to actually let my brain go loose and capture every thought. So I normally would try to do that
Starting point is 02:30:04 every couple of weeks or so. And then what happens is it suddenly is on a paper. And when it's on paper, you just suddenly look at it and say, oh my God, that's so stupid, and you scratch it out, right? Or, oh my God, this needs action, and you actually planned something. And it's quite interesting that the more you allow
Starting point is 02:30:22 your brain to give you thoughts and you listen, so the two rules is you acknowledge every thought and you never repeat one. Okay. So the more you listen and say, okay, I heard you, you know, you think I'm fat, what else? And you know, eventually your brain starts to slow down and then eventually starts to repeat thoughts. And then it goes into total silence. Beautiful practice.
Starting point is 02:30:45 I don't trust my brain anymore. So that's actually a really interesting practice. So I debate a lot of what my brain tells me. I debate what my tendencies and ideologies are. Okay, I think one of the most, again, in my love story with Hannah, I get to question a lot of what I believed was who I am, even at this age.
Starting point is 02:31:10 And that goes really deep and it's quite interesting to debate, not object, but debate what your mind believes. And I think that's very, very useful. And the third is I've actually quadrupled my investment time. So I used to do an hour a day of reading when I was younger, every single day, like going to the gym. And then it became an hour and a half, two hours. Now I do four hours a day, four hours a day.
Starting point is 02:31:36 It is impossible to keep up. The world is moving so fast. And so that these are, uh, these are the good things that I do. The bad things is I don't give it enough time to to really slow down. Unfortunately, I'm constantly rushing like you are. I'm constantly traveling. I have picked up a bad habit because of the four hours a day of spending more time on screens. That's really, really bad for my brain.
Starting point is 02:32:03 And I this is a very demanding question. What else is really bad? Yeah, I've not been taking enough care of my health recently, my physical body health. I had, you remember I told you I had a very bad sciatic pain and so I couldn't go to the gym enough and accordingly accordingly, that's not very healthy for your brain in general. Thanks. Thank you for having me. That was a lot of things to talk about. Thanks, Steve. Just give me 30 seconds of your time. Two things I wanted to say. The first thing is
Starting point is 02:32:45 a huge thank you for listening and tuning into the show week after week. It means the world to all of us and this really is a dream that we absolutely never had and couldn't have imagined getting to this place. But secondly, it's a dream where we feel like we're only just getting started. And if you enjoy what we do here, please join the 24% of people that listen to this podcast regularly and follow us on this app. Here's a promise I'm going to make to you. I'm going to do everything in my power to make this show as good as I can now and into the future. We're going to deliver the guests that you want me to speak to and we're going to continue to keep doing
Starting point is 02:33:18 all of the things you love about the show. Thank you. We launched these conversation cards and they sold out and we launched them again and they sold out again. We launched them again and they sold out again. We launched them again and they sold out again. Because people love playing these with colleagues at work, with friends at home, and also with family. And we've also got a big audience that use them as journal prompts.
Starting point is 02:33:34 Every single time a guest comes on the diary of a CEO, they leave a question for the next guest in the diary. And I've sat here with some of the most incredible people in the world, and they've left all of these questions in the diary and I've sat here with some of the most incredible people in the world and they've left all of these questions in the diary and I've ranked them from one to three in terms of the depth one being a starter question and level three if you look on the back here This is a level three becomes a much deeper question that builds even more connection If you turn the cards over and you scan that QR code
Starting point is 02:34:02 You can see who answered the card and watch the video of them answering it in real time. So if you would like to get your hands on some of these conversation cards go to the diary.com or look at the link in the description below. Thanks for watching!

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