The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett - The Savings Expert: “Do Not Buy A House!”, How To Turn £100 Into £1.5m Without Effort: Morgan Housel

Episode Date: November 6, 2023

Will money make you happy? How much is really enough? And how much should you save? Too often people don’t have the answers for the biggest financial questions in life, until now. In this new episod...e Steven sits down with world-renowned financial expert and best-selling author, Morgan Housel. Morgan Housel is a partner at the Collaborative Fund, a leading venture capital firm with a focus on technological companies. He is also the author of the book, ‘The Psychology of Money’, which has sold over 4 million copies. MarketWatch named him as one of 2022’s 50 most influential people in financial markets. In this conversation Morgan and Steven discuss topics, such as: How happiness is being in control and having freedom Why a lack of control can make your life crumble Why nobody actually cares about your material possessions The money games being played in society Why you should rent your home until you have kids His mission behind writing about money Why your relationship with money defines you How to gain introspection about your life and finances The randomness of financial crises Why you should have a deathbed perspective on work and savings How embrace failure can lead to huge successes The double life of billionaires: wealth and pressure The cost of a stressful job on health Why bad news travels faster Why growth comes from challenges and disasters How growth comes with stress and uncertainty Slow habits and their long term effects How personal tragedies shape life goals Why you should balance wealth with wellbeing Staying patient despite market upheavals The need for big, terrifying goals in business. The difference between being rich and feeling wealthy. Why a rising income doesn’t lead to happiness The meaning of authentic success You can purchase Morgan’s most recent book, ‘Same as Ever: Timeless Lessons on Risk, Opportunity and Living a Good Life’, here: https://amzn.to/467d77x Follow Morgan: Instagram: https://bit.ly/3spU4HK Twitter: https://bit.ly/40mE6uF Flightfund: https://flightfund.com/ If you enjoy hearing about how to master the world of finance, I recommend you check out my conversation with Ramit Sethi, which you can find here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ORqd9QAC8OY Follow me: https://beacons.ai/diaryofaceo

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Quick one. Just wanted to say a big thank you to three people very quickly. First people I want to say thank you to is all of you that listen to the show. Never in my wildest dreams is all I can say. Never in my wildest dreams did I think I'd start a podcast in my kitchen and that it would expand all over the world as it has done. And we've now opened our first studio in America, thanks to my very helpful team led by Jack on the production side of things. So thank you to Jack and the team for building out the new American studio. And thirdly to to Amazon Music, who when they heard that we were expanding to the United States, and I'd be recording a lot more over in the States, they put a massive billboard in Times Square for the show. So thank you so much, Amazon Music. Thank you to our team. And
Starting point is 00:00:37 thank you to all of you that listened do it, run for your life. Mr. Morgan Housel. He's the author of The Psychology of Money. One of the best-selling business books of this decade. He can help anyone build wealth and change their life. The world is split between people who don't know how to start making money and people who don't know when to stop making money. And if you are stuck in a low-income job, you feel like you don't have the opportunity to generate wealth.
Starting point is 00:01:05 But once you realize that opportunities are available for everybody, you can choose where you want to live, what job you want, when you retire, because you can be rich. Prove it. People like Ronald Reed, he was a janitor. What does it take to amass Mr. Reed's $8 million fortune? He has a fascinating story of somebody who became rich
Starting point is 00:01:22 despite not having the skills that you normally associated with wealthy people. There's Warren Buffett. He's worth $100 billion. But the real secret to their success? Investing. My parents are a great example of this. We were very poor. No financial background. And they have like minimal financial interest. But now they'd probably be in the top 3% of professional investors. If you want to do well with money, you don't need to be a genius. If you have endurance in your investing, you're going to be filthy rich. But when most people say, I want to be a millionaire, what they actually mean is I want to spend a million dollars. I want some nice clothes, a bigger house, the nicer car.
Starting point is 00:01:55 Ask yourself, what is your relationship with money? If your expectations rise faster than your income, you're never going to be happy with your money. That's the problem. So if I have a hundred pounds, what's the first thing that I should do? I keep it as painfully simple as I can. So... Ladies and gentlemen, you're about to meet the man whose book changed my entire life as it relates to money and finance. About four or five years ago, my brother, who's a
Starting point is 00:02:21 investment banker, said, Steve, there's one book I need you to read about wealth, investing and money and finance. And he passed me a book called The Psychology of Money. That book changed my fortunes. It is the reason I've been a successful investor. And it's the reason I've been able to hold on to my wealth and build it. It's this man. And that's the reason why you need to stay tuned and listen to this episode. Morgan, you wrote what I would consider to be the greatest book on money and finance ever written. I say that because I remember when I came into money when I was 25, 20, no, 27, 28 years old, and my brother turned to me and said, there's one thing I ask of you. He said, you have to read this book called The Psychology of Money. It will stop you losing
Starting point is 00:03:18 all of the money you've just earned from your career. And it changed my life. I've talked about it for years and years ever since. And that's why I was so keen to have this conversation with you because I really believe if people choose to listen to this conversation, it stands the chance of changing those too. So let's begin. Why? Of all the things that you could do with your life, Morgan, why are you writing books about the subject matter that you explore? What is the reason? Well first, that's a big statement. That's a lot to live up to. It's kind of scary to hear that because I've often been, and this gets to the why, I've defined it as selfish writing, where I write for an audience of one, and that is me. And I like to think of myself as a pretty
Starting point is 00:03:57 selfless person, but for writing, I don't try to say, I'm going to write a book for this person, or that person, or that audience. I write what I'm interested in. And I write it in a way that I think is interesting. And I try to solve my own problems. And then I take a leap of faith that if this is interesting to me and it's going to help me, maybe it'll help somebody else. That's very different from the traditional writing style of saying, know your audience. Know your audience very quickly turns into pander to your audience. And I think a lot of people, maybe they don't even know it, but if they read a book and they don't necessarily like it, it's because they were being pandered to. They were being spoken to in a way that a person would never speak to them in real life.
Starting point is 00:04:33 So I just, this is almost like my diary, I think, in terms of these are just topics that I found interesting for myself. And so I guess that's the why. I feel like I've really found myself in a career where I can just figure out my own problems and try to figure out what I think and what's interesting to me, and then kind of put it out to the world and then hope that other people will enjoy it. Let's start with the psychology of money. What is the benefit to my life if I understand the things that are written in the psychology of money? Well, let me start with, I think most
Starting point is 00:05:02 finance books will, their answer to that question would be, when you're done with this book, you will know how to pick stocks better. You will know how to balance your checking account or what credit cards that you should use. For my book, I think when you're done with it, I hope that you will just look in the mirror and say, who am I? Which is kind of what I did with this, trying to figure out who I am and what I want and why I was insecure, why I wanted to show off to other people the car that I drove. So if you'll become more introspective about who you are and what you want out of life and what money can do for you and cannot do for you and become a little bit more introspective about why
Starting point is 00:05:38 you think about where you are in the social hierarchy and greed and fear and why you think about these things that you do. I honestly think that, I hope at least, because it was this way for me, that when you're done with the book, that's kind of when the learning begins because maybe this will just spark a bit of curiosity for you to then go for a walk and think about what you want out of life and whatnot.
Starting point is 00:06:03 So I think most books, when you're done with the last page, the learning is done. This I hope is just spark something in you that will get you to think more clearly about what you want with money and what money can and cannot do for you. Part of that journey of understanding what you want helps you to define the word on the front of this book, wealth. What is your definition of wealth? Well, I made up these definitions in the book. So these are just my things that I made up these definitions in the book. So these are just my things that I made up. But I defined rich as you have enough money to buy what you want, to pay for your mortgage,
Starting point is 00:06:33 to make your car payment, to go out to dinner with your friends. You have money in the bank. Wealth, I think, is very different. Wealth is money that you did not spend and maybe you will not spend. So wealth is hidden. It's the money that you didn't spend on is hidden. It's the money that you didn't spend on a car. It's the money that you didn't spend on a big house. You didn't spend on jewelry. And that's really important because wealth that's saved up, the unspent money, is what gives you
Starting point is 00:06:56 independence and autonomy and just the ability to wake up every morning and do whatever you want with your life. And so I think separating that is really important because when most people say, I want to be a millionaire, what they actually mean is I want to spend a million dollars. That's what they mean. And when I think about being a millionaire, I think it's you have a million dollars that you're not going to spend. And that because you're not going to spend it, you have this giant cushion that will give you independence and autonomy. And so you can wake up tomorrow and say, I can do whatever the hell I want today. I can work for who I want. I can work for as long as I want. I can retire when I want. The world is yours. Like every bit
Starting point is 00:07:33 of savings that you have is a piece of your future that you own. You're just buying your time in the future so that it's yours and you can do whatever you want with it. And that to me has always been the goal. There's a quote from Charlie Munger where he says, I never wanted to become rich. I just wanted to become independent. And that when the first time I read it, it was like, that's me too. That's what I want. I don't want a Lamborghini. I don't want a mansion and a yacht. I want to wake up every morning and just say, whatever I want to do today, it's mine. Nobody's going to tell me where to work, when to work, what to do. It's all me. And to me, for not just work, but for your family life, for your health, for your mental sanity, there's nothing more important than that.
Starting point is 00:08:14 It sounds like you're talking about your father. My dad, he has such an interesting background. My mother too, their background is so crazy. And I didn't realize how crazy it was until I was an adult. The early part of my childhood, when my parents weren't in school, we were very poor. My parents were students living off of student loans and grants. We had no money. And then my dad became a doctor when I was 12 or 13 and things changed. It wasn't, we were not rich, but like things got very comfortable.
Starting point is 00:08:40 And what was really important is that the frugality that my parents had to have when they were poor stuck with them, even after they started making a little bit of money. They didn't buy a Lamborghini. No, no. We grew up in a very modest house. It was a nice house. And we took some decent family vacations, but we always lived well below our means, way below our means. Did that confuse you? Because you must have known that your dad had the money. Yes. Particularly when I was probably like 16, 17, and I could learn like, how much does a doctor make? You can go look it up and figure it out. And then it was like, I definitely looked down on my parents at that age because I was like,
Starting point is 00:09:13 I know you can afford a better car. I know you can buy me better Christmas presents. I know we can afford a bigger house and you're not doing it because you're mean. I think that was my view. And then it really clicked about 10 years ago. This is not that long ago. So my dad is an ER doctor, which is one of the most stressful jobs that you can imagine. It's literally people dying in your arms every day. And he did this for 20 years.
Starting point is 00:09:38 And after 20 years of doing this, night shifts, children dying in your arms literally every week. He said he had had enough. It was a lot. He put in his dues. He did it for 20 years and he said, I'm done. I'm going to retire. And the reason he could do that is because he had saved up so much money. He was living well below his means. They had a very high savings rate. The moment he woke up and said, I want to be done, he was done. And that was it. And if you contrast that with so many other people, including some of his colleagues who were also burnt out at age 60, who were also burnt out by having people die in their arms for 20 years, they wanted to retire and they couldn't because they had the bigger house, because they had the nicer car that I thought that we should have had when
Starting point is 00:10:20 we were growing up. And when they quit and moved on to their next phase of life, they got so much happier. And so it was like, so that this was 10 years ago. I was in, you know, in my late twenties at this point, I was like, now I get it. He was frugal. He saved a lot and that made him independent and the independence made him happier than any car would have done, made him happier than any big house would have done. So it's like, I think that is one of the keys to happiness. Happiness is like the most complicated topic you can imagine. But one of the big puzzle pieces is independence. And there's been a lot of work on this, studies on this of like, one of the things that makes people really happy in life is having control over what they're doing. And it's more so the flip side of that. It's like, what makes people very unhappy in life? Not having control over what happens in their future, not having control over their
Starting point is 00:11:10 schedule, where they're going to work, whether they're going to get laid off. Having that uncertainty is a massive anchor and weight on your life. I'm asking you health. Absolutely. I mean, that was a big thing for my dad too. He was working night shifts for 20 years with this. It's very bad for your health. It's not great at all. So the ability, the financial ability to just wake up one day and say, I'm done, done with that is huge. I was reading studies about this idea of autonomy because I was trying to figure out what you have to have professionally to love your work. And I came up with these five different points. One of them was autonomy and control. And I came up with that because I read
Starting point is 00:11:45 studies where people who work jobs where they had a low autonomy and control had physiological consequences. They were more likely to get disease. They experienced stress significantly more, more likely to have cardiovascular problems and heart disease, which is the single biggest killer of people generally. I thought, fucking hell, just not having control in your life makes your body shut down. Yes. You know, this is something that I think everybody has experienced. If they have something really stressful going on at life, they get into bed, they're tired, you can feel your heart pounding. Like the physiological response of stress is huge. It's massive. And if you have that going on every day for five years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years, forget about it. Forget about it.
Starting point is 00:12:25 There's this great quote from John D. Rockefeller. He's the richest man in the world. And he lived till I think he was 99, something like that. I mean, he was 97. And his doctor talked about why, like his key to longevity. And the doctor said, quote, he never lets anything bother him. He spends plenty of time outside and he leaves the table when he's still a little bit hungry. That was his key to longevity. It was just, and when you read his biography, you realize how true that was. No matter what was going on in his life and the most stressful business conditions you can imagine, none of it ever bothered him. He just had ice in his veins and he could just keep going. And so I do think that's definitely one of the keys to physical health is lowering that amount
Starting point is 00:13:04 of stress. And there are not many other things in life that are going to increase the stress that you have than not having control over what you're doing in life. Freedom. Chapter seven of your book. This is the broadest lifestyle variable that makes people happy. Doing something you love, but on a schedule you can't control, starts to feel the same as doing something you hate. Psychologists call this reactance. That's right. You know, I do think there are a lot of, I think the best example are CEOs who might make $30 million a year, $50 million a year, but they have no control over their time. Every single second of their day is planned and demanded by somebody else. And they have to do things that they don't want to do.
Starting point is 00:13:44 If they wake up and they're tired, too bad. You got to go to your meetings today. They wake up and they're exhausted, too bad. You have to travel to China to close this deal. They have no control over their time. And compare that to someone who makes much less, but they can wake up and do whatever they want, whatever they want to do. You want to hang out with your friends? You want to sleep in? You want to take a nap at two o'clock? Whatever you want to do. The person who I think really sticks out in that vein is Warren Buffett, who is the CEO who makes a zillion dollars a year. He's worth a hundred billion dollars. But if you dig into how he structured his day, total control, a hundred percent autonomy, can do whatever the hell he
Starting point is 00:14:16 wants all day long. What he wants to do is get up and go to work. But he has delegated things so effectively that he can do whatever he wants. And that's not only the key to his, I think, business success, but his health lifestyle success and why he's 93 and still going as strong as ever. I was thinking about my calendar when you were talking about the CEO that makes $30 million a year, but is just dragged around by his schedule. It sounds a lot like me, to be honest. I feel like the more successful i've got in my professional career the more my calendar the minute i wake up in the morning i'm just like a puppet master to these little boxes on my google calendar yeah they drag me around the world and there's very little i actually said to my assistant about a month ago i was like
Starting point is 00:14:58 um sophie please can you do me a favor could you just put lunch in for 30 minutes because i'm not eating could you just put like could you just put that in midday every day at the same time so you can breathe so i can have a little bit of a moment where i do nothing and then also the other thing i've put in now i have a personal trainer seven days a week and i've just put that in my calendar it was before then a residual beneficiary as was everything for me well not for me because my work is for me but um it it got the time that was left over when all my priorities were done. And I do reflect on that and go like, A, when does that stop? Because it's clearly not going to stop when I make money because I have the money. And B, how much control do I actually have?
Starting point is 00:15:37 And you know what I do sometimes? I think I've noticed this about myself. I think sometimes I cancel things just to prove to myself that I still have control. See, that's great. See, that's a good thing. There's a quote from Nassim Taleb where he says, you are wealthy when the money that you deny tastes better than the money you accept. So you get someone comes to you with a business deal and you say, no, thanks. I don't want it. When that tastes better to you than accepting the deal, it feels better to you. That's like one definition of rich. There's another great quote from Taleb where he says, the world is split evenly between people who don't know how to start making money That's like one definition of rich. There's another great quote from Taleb where he says,
Starting point is 00:16:06 the world is split evenly between people who don't know how to start making money and people who don't know when to stop making money. And I think there are a lot of people that are watching this that are in kind of our field who are easily in the latter. They have all the money that they could ever want to spend or maybe not that much, but they have more money than they ever thought they would have. But for every goal that they hit,
Starting point is 00:16:28 oh, whenever my net worth is X, all my problems are going to go away. Everything's going to feel great. And then they hit X and they just keep moving the goalposts down and down. So I write in the book that like the hardest financial skill is getting the goalposts to stop moving. It's the hardest thing in the world.
Starting point is 00:16:40 It's hard for everybody because virtually everybody thinks if my net worth or my income was this level, I'll be fine. I'll feel great. No more problems. I'll wake up every morning with a smile on my face. And then if you're lucky enough or you work hard enough to get there, you guys, that's not the case at all. You're just going to keep pushing it, keep pushing it, keep pushing it forever. Have they done studies to test that in terms of analyzing whether people's goalposts move off into the future, even when they're like billionaires and whatever? I mean, here's the broadest way that I would frame this up that has been studied. If you look at America today, the average household adjusted for inflation
Starting point is 00:17:13 is making twice as much money than they were in the 1950s. Adjusted for inflation, the average household doubled the income that they were back then. And we're less happy. The statistics that try to measure happiness over time, not an easy thing to do, but we're less happy today than we were back then. And this is why, like, look, can money buy happiness? Yes. And to some extent, does it? Yes. Like people who are in abject poverty are not as happy as people who are covering the basics and they have food and shelter, et cetera, et cetera. But over time, when the society is getting richer and you're comparing yourself to other people, and maybe the average American's income doubled, but so did their neighbors,
Starting point is 00:17:50 so did their coworkers, so did their siblings. So you just automatically adjust to that. I've talked about Rockefeller before, John D. Rockefeller, who died in, I think, the 1930s. He was worth, adjusted for inflation, almost half a trillion dollars during his day, adjusted for inflation. But he never had during his life, penicillin, Advil, sunscreen, polio vaccine, going down the list of things that virtually everyone can take advantage of today that he never had. But you can't say that the average American is living better than Rockefeller today because we have all of these technologies that he never did. Because we just look at what other people have and assume that that is the baseline. So you can imagine a world in which my kids, my grandkids are earning twice as much as me, adjusted for inflation, and they're no happier for it. Because the new technologies, whatever it
Starting point is 00:18:40 will be, that would seem like magic to you and i will just become their baseline and that's always been the case if there was if thomas jefferson or somebody came to the year 2023 he would faint at the new technologies and the medical discoveries that we have and these are technologies that you and i don't spend one second being grateful for because we've just accepted them as a new baseline it reminds me of something in your new book which is out in november which is you know i've gassed up a lot of books on this podcast before but this is one of my favorite of all time it's just so easy to read and so engaging because you you're one of those authors in this book that realizes the world that the reader's living in and they are busy and they want the point
Starting point is 00:19:25 and they want you to give them not one word more than you need to. It is so brilliant. It's so brilliant. In this book, you talk about exactly that. You say the first rule of happiness is low expectations. And that's exactly what you're talking about is comparison is the thief of joy
Starting point is 00:19:41 because it just raises our own expectations, right? And with that out the window goes our happiness. Yeah. And it seems counterintuitive to people that if you want to be happy, for most people, it's if you want to be happier, you need to be ambitious. You need more, you need to make more money, work harder, have a more successful startup, whatever it would be. And that's true, but that's half the equation. The other half of the equation is keep your expectations low. So the gap between those two, it's the gap between those two that actually accrues to happiness over time. How did you learn that? I think it's just, I think there've been a couple of little stories that really stuck out to me.
Starting point is 00:20:12 One that I love that just knocked me on my ass the first time I read it was Stephen Hawking, the late physicist who was without exaggeration, one of the smartest people to ever walk this planet. He was just an absolute genius. And a quirky, of course, is that he had a motor neuron disease and he was paralyzed from head to toe. He had no control over his body. He spoke through a computer, not a single muscle in his body could he actually control by himself. So he was, you know, physiologically, it's one of the worst lives that you can imagine. And he did an interview with the New York Times a couple years before he died. And during the interview, he's talking about how happy he was and how amazing his life was. And the New York Times said, they asked him, they said, what is your secret to happiness?
Starting point is 00:20:51 Like if there's anyone who has the right to complain about life, it's that guy. And he's talking about how happy he was. And he said, my expectations were reduced to zero when I was 21, which is when he got his disease. And he said, everything else since then has been a bonus. So this is like the guy whose life has ended up in a way that most people watching that would say that's among the worst scenarios you can imagine. And he's probably happier than you and I because his expectations were so low that just waking
Starting point is 00:21:21 up in the morning and seeing the sunrise and getting to go to work and talk to people was this magical gift. I mean, you can imagine, not to get too morbid about this, but imagine you're on your deathbed and the doctor is very confident that you're going to die tomorrow. And let's say that you make it one more day. What is that sunrise going to feel like? What's that holding your wife's hand for one more day gonna feel like? It'd be amazing just because your expectations were on the floor. And so it's always like that. And you go through life seeing so many people
Starting point is 00:21:52 who have everything, all the money, the great family, all the health, the beauty, everything you can imagine, and they're not happy for it. And it's because with everything that they have, their expectations rise not only to that level, they might rise above it. So if your expectations rise faster than your income, you're never going to be happy with your money, no matter how much money you make.
Starting point is 00:22:17 You can make a billion dollars a year, but if you needed and wanted 1.1 billion, you're broke. You feel broke. And the reverse of that is true too. There are people who make $50,000 a year, but if they only need 40 to be happy, they're stoked. They feel great. And so that's, I think that's one of the reasons it's so important is because managing your own expectations is more in your control than managing your circumstances in terms of raising your income, raising your investing returns. It's not that you can't control raising your income. You can be ambitious and smart and entrepreneurial, of course, but it's more in your control to just inside your head to say, I'm going to try to want less. That's just a mental exercise that's not to say it's easy. It's not easy at all, but you have total control over doing it. So how, in a practical sense, can one go about
Starting point is 00:23:00 keeping their expectations below their circumstances, I guess? Here's one that really made an impact on me. And it's great that we're in LA because that's where this story took place. I was a valet here in LA all throughout college at a five-star hotel here in town. So A, I was young. I was age 19 to 24, something like that. And all day, it was people driving in Ferraris and Lamborghinis and Rolls Royces. And one day it hit me. I remember the moment because it was like out of the blue, it hit me. Whenever someone would drive in in a Rolls Royce or something, never once would I look at the driver and say, that guy's cool. Like, wow, look at him. He's so cool. What I did is I imagined myself as the driver. And then I thought if I was a driver, people would think I'm cool.
Starting point is 00:23:49 And it was like, wait, don't you see like the disconnect here? Nobody cares about the driver, but they want to be the driver because they think people will then care about them. And once you realize that, like the takeaway is nobody is thinking about you as much as you are. Nobody cares about your stuff as much as you do. Nobody cares about your car or your house or your clothes or your jewelry as much as you do. Because to the extent that they're even looking at them, they're looking at your car, looking at your house, really what they're doing is imagining themselves with that nice car. They're not giving you the credit.
Starting point is 00:24:17 They're imagining themselves having it. So once I realized that that was the game that was being played in society, once you recognize that's the game, your willingness, your desire to show off plunges. And of course, I like nice stuff. I like nice cars. I want some nice clothes. I live in a decent house. But once you realize that, it plunges. And I think the most valuable financial skill that anybody can have is not needing to impress other people. If you don't need to impress other people,
Starting point is 00:24:45 that is an asset on your balance sheet that is worth a billion dollars. Because so much of society as a whole and individual is just geared towards how can I get other people's attention? How can I show off to other people? How can they like me more? I both agree and understand, but agreeing and understanding is different from being able to do. I think at the society level, it will never be. It'll always be like that. Same as ever. It's never going to move away from that. If you can manage it around the edges at the individual level, it's massive for your life. One thing that's important here is that if you are a young person and you're kind of looking for a spouse, a mate, a boyfriend, a girlfriend, a wife, a husband,
Starting point is 00:25:24 whatever it would be, then your ability to look really nice and to signal and to kind of put up your peacock feathers is important. And I get it. And I did it back in the day. Once you are more settled down in your career, in your relationships, if at that point you are still hanging on to the desire to impress other people, that's when it's broken. That's when it's just pure net loss in your life because you're trying to show off for people who you don't even need or want to love you. There's a great quote from Warren Buffett where he says, the definition of success is when the people who you want to love you do love you. And so for me, it's like five people. It's like my parents, my wife, and my kids. And like, that's it. That's it. Those are the people
Starting point is 00:26:03 who I want to love me. And if they love me, I probably have 90% of the happiness that I'm capable of. And if they don't love me, then I'm never going to have more than like 10% of the happiness that I'm capable of. In that chapter about happiness, you talk about your friend Brent as well in his theory on marriage. Yeah. My friend Brent Bishore has this great theory on marriage where he says, marriage only works if both partners want to serve the other partner and expect nothing in return. So you wake up every morning, you say, I want to serve my spouse, but I expect nothing in return from them. And if you both do that simultaneously, you're both pleasantly surprised.
Starting point is 00:26:39 Because what happens is I didn't expect you to do anything for me, but you did and vice versa. And both of you just wake up every morning. You're, but you did and vice versa. And both of you just wake up every morning. You're like, you did that for me. You helped me out here. You're empathetic to me there. And it feels great. You exceeded my expectations. Exceeded my expectations. And I think what breaks down any marriage or career, whatever it would be, is when you become needy. Like nothing breaks love more than being needy. And really what needy is, is just your expectations
Starting point is 00:27:06 are so high that you wake up and you say, I expect you to do this for me. I expect you to help me. I expect you to serve me. That's just like massively high expectations that you have in that relationship. It's also like expecting an external factor, in that case, your partner to validate you in some way or to, and that kind of goes back to your point about money where in order to stop showing off and focusing on those five people that we want to love ourselves we need to understand and ideally solve our often toxic relationship with like our need for validation and that I guess brings me to the first chapter in your book where you talk about the stories of money that we have and where they've come from. And something that's always baffled me is when you go into
Starting point is 00:27:49 low-income areas, there's more gambling shops. And I can attest to it. When I was 18, 19 years old, and I'm shoplifting pizzas to feed myself, and I'm doing all sorts of stuff. When I got my student loan in, I was in university for one day, they gave me like the first payment of my student loan I don't think I've ever said this before I put the entirety of the payment on a bet
Starting point is 00:28:11 and I lost it in the sixth in the in injury time of that football match I don't bet and did you need that money for tuition
Starting point is 00:28:18 like it was then gone I needed it to eat yeah I wasn't speaking I had no money I don't come from I didn't come from money my parents
Starting point is 00:28:24 I'd gone to university with 50 quid and I got this like thousand pounds sent to me from student loan, whatever. I was so reckless with money when I didn't have money. The minute I got money, it's like everything just chilled the fuck out. And I became really long-term, patient. I made really responsible decisions.
Starting point is 00:28:40 I stopped buying flashy things. I like don't even own a TV now. I'm really similar. I feel like the more money I have, the less my material desires are. For sure. For sure. When I say that out loud, I'm like, oh, absolutely. Why is that? That when we have less, we are reckless with our money? Well, I think there's two sides to this. One of my theories is that what everyone wants in the world is respect and admiration from other people. And there's kind of
Starting point is 00:29:03 two ways to get that. You can get your respect and admiration through your wisdom, through your love, through your humor. Or if you don't have that to offer to the world, you're gonna get it through your material possessions. So if you can gain respect and admiration through your business success, your wisdom, your love, your friendship, great. Then you're gonna get it
Starting point is 00:29:22 and you're gonna fulfill that bucket. If you can't get it from those things, then you're like, well, might as well show off my car. It's all I got to do. That's all I have. I think that's one side of it. So, as you become more successful, your desire to show off diminishes because you're gaining respect and admiration through other things that are not material. The other side of this that's so important is that, you know, I saw this statistic years ago that the poorest 10% of Americans buy like 80% of the lottery tickets in America. And these are people who can like barely feed themselves. Lowest 10%. They're literally struggling to put a roof over their head and feed themselves,
Starting point is 00:29:57 are going out hand over fist buying scratcher tickets. And the knee jerk reaction when you hear that is, morons, what are you doing, you idiot? And maybe that is the right reaction. But I started thinking about it and it was like, okay, maybe if you try to put yourself in those people's shoes, maybe they would say something like this. If you are stuck in a low-income job and you feel like there's no way out, you feel like you don't have the opportunity to work your way up the ladder, become an entrepreneur, you feel like you're stuck in this position. Buying a lottery ticket might be the only thing in life that gives you a little bit of hope. It might be what feels like literally your only ticket
Starting point is 00:30:33 to get out. And that might be not something that you and I feel like because we at least feel like we might have other opportunities. You're so right. Because when I gambled, what I then did the same day before the result of my bet or my lottery ticket came in, and I said this to my team the other day, is I would go on Rightmove and like AutoTrader and look at stuff that I would buy if I won. Yeah. Yeah. I think there's a sense too that if you are stuck in a lower spot in life, if you have a feeling that the world is unfair, and very often it is, so maybe that might be the right mindset. But if you feel the world is unfair, then it's very natural to think, I might as well cheat too. If the world's unfair, why not? Might as well cheat. And I think that, at least at some level, has some explanation for the relationship
Starting point is 00:31:20 between poverty and crime. That word hope is so true. I think it's true too. It gives you just a glimpse of hope because it gives you, even if it's a 0.00001% chance. If it's the only thing in your day that made you smile a little bit, made you feel like you had a little bit of hope, then I get why they do it.
Starting point is 00:31:35 The other thing that I think a lot about here is that if you are in a low-income job and you're working graveyard shifts and you're exhausted and you're taking three buses to get your kids to school, if the only thing that day that gives you a little bit of pleasure
Starting point is 00:31:48 is a cigarette and some alcohol, I get it. I totally get it. And that's also the relationship between health and poverty is a lot of that too. So it's very easy for people who are of higher means to look down at those people and point out all the bad decisions that they're doing in life.
Starting point is 00:32:04 But I think you underestimate how much the desire to just have a little bit of hope, a little bit of pleasure. And if that doesn't feel like your only avenues for hope and pleasure, maybe that's the explanation for at least part of it. Let's speak then to 18-year-old Steve that was in that little room with a stack of these, what they call county court judgments and bailiffs and stuff, stack of letters on his desk. What advice, based on all you know about money and finance, stack of letters on his desk. What advice, based on all you know about money and finance, can you give to somebody who is maybe making $1,000, $2,000 a month, covers their rent just about, doesn't have a lot of money left over?
Starting point is 00:32:37 What is the best way to go from that position to a position of wealth in your view? I think one of the best ways to think about it at the lower levels, and I explained a little bit of this earlier, but to dig into it is a lot of what's probably giving you stress in life is that you don't have control over what you're doing. And if you view every dollar of savings that you have as a bit of your future that you own and control, then I think that mindset can shift pretty dramatically. And it's like, that's the ticket out. The ticket out is not a nicer car. It's not a's like, that's the ticket out. The ticket out is not a nicer car. It's not a bigger house. It's not better clothes. The ticket out is
Starting point is 00:33:09 independence. That's what's going to give you the better career. So it's going to make you happier. It's what's going to make you healthier. And the only thing that's going to give you independence is having enough money saved up so that you can choose where you want to live, maybe even what job you want. You can choose at some point down the road when you retire, if you get sick, it's not just going to break you immediately. Having that independence is going to take more weight off your shoulders than anything else you can do in life. Save money. That's it. That's the title of that chapter in the book is save money because you can't
Starting point is 00:33:38 put it any clearer or starker. Like that's, that's it. He says there are three types of people, those who save, those who don't think they can save, and those who don't think they need to save. Yep. Three types of people. Which one are you? Those who save, those who don't think they can save, and those who don't think they need to save. I'll tell you what, I've been all three in my life. That's interesting. I've always been a saver. No, I haven't. And see that, I think that's actually very rare that you change who you are. On the nature nurture spectrum, I actually think, and this is kind of disappointing to talk about.
Starting point is 00:34:11 It's not fun to talk about, but on the nature nurture spectrum, I think a lot of money is nature. Warren Buffett talks about the people who have the money mind, which means like either they get it or they don't. And if they get it, they get it instantly. And if they don't, they'll get it never at all. I actually don't believe in it. It's that black and white. Charlie Munger explains it like that. He says, when explaining financial matters to young people, they either get it instantly or never at all. And he's putting that too starkly, I think. I don't think it's that black and white, but on the nature nurture spectrum, is it 80, 20? Is it 70, 30? I think it's probably something in that
Starting point is 00:34:45 range. So let me give you a counter argument to that then. So as I said, I've been someone that didn't think he could save because I didn't have money and I just thought, oh, you know, but I could have saved in it. Looking back now, I know I could have saved. I could have saved a small amount, but I didn't see the value in saving small numbers. I didn't understand the laws of compounding returns, which we'll definitely talk about. I have also been the person that saves. And I've also been the person who thought they didn't need to save. I've been all three. My counterpoint to this goes back to a story that I read from your early years where two of your friends died on a ski trip. And it also links to something you've said in your new book, same as ever,
Starting point is 00:35:25 where you speak about how sometimes in life, like hitting rock bottom is the greatest incentive to change our lives. Yeah. So I put those two things together and go that moment when you, two of your friends died on a ski trip that you were on when you're younger, it had an impact on your risk appetite and your attitude towards, and therefore your attitude towards money. Yep. Well, what happened? What happened? So I grew up skiing in Lake Tahoe, California, and I was a competitive ski racer. So all throughout my childhood and teenage years, I skied six days a week, 10 months a year, all over the world.
Starting point is 00:35:58 And it was great. There were about 12 of us on the Squaw Valley ski team. We had grown up together and we'd spent our entire lives together. And when I was 17, this is in 2001, I was skiing with two of my best friends, Brendan Allen and Brian Richman. And we would ski out of bounds, which is illegal. You're not supposed to do it. We would duck under the rope that says, do not cross. And we'd ski out of bounds because that's where a lot of the good skiing is. And when we would do this, it would spit us out on this back country road where we'd have to hitchhike back. There's no chairlift when you ski out of bounds. You have to hitchhike your way back. So we did it one morning in February, 2001, the three of us did it.
Starting point is 00:36:33 And when we did it, we triggered a very small avalanche. And I remembered it so clearly. Like I can still feel it 21 years, 22 years later. I can still feel what it's like. It's the weirdest sensation that I've had in my life. Because when you get hit by an avalanche, rather than pushing on the snow to gain traction with your skis, the ground is pushing you. So all of a sudden, you're skiing along and you got control. And all of a sudden, boom, you have no control anymore. The ground is pushing you around. Probably similar to what it feels like if you're standing on the ground during an earthquake, like the ground's pushing you. But it was a pretty small avalanche, maybe came up to our knees, ended pretty quickly. And we kind of like literally high-fived about it
Starting point is 00:37:12 at the bottom and went about our day. We get back around to the base lodge, we hitchhike back. And Brendan and Brian said they wanted to do it again. They wanted to ski again. And I said, hey, for whatever reason, I just didn't want to do it. So I said, hey, rather than hitchhiking back, why don't you guys go do it again and I'll drive my truck around and pick you up. So we said, great. We made our plans, went our separate ways. They went skiing.
Starting point is 00:37:33 I went back around to take my boots off and jump in my truck and go pick them up. 20, 30 minutes later, I go to pick them up at the pickup spot and they weren't there. And I knew it only took us a minute to ski down the hill. So 20 minutes later, I knew like they weren't coming. I was not worried. I figured that they had already hitchhiked home. But so, after waiting for another 20 or 30 minutes, I just left and went back to the lodge. I expected them to be there and they weren't. And I still didn't really worry.
Starting point is 00:37:59 Like we didn't have cell phones back then and people were just comfortable being out of touch. If you didn't know where your buddy was, it wasn't that big a deal. So we went about the day. I started worrying a little bit. I remember I stopped at Brendan's house, inspected him to be there, and he wasn't there either. And I remember calling and leaving a message on his voicemail. And I remember ending the voicemail by saying, I hope you're okay, man. Those are my last words. I remember that very clearly. The day went on. And I think at about four or five o'clock, Brian's mom called me and she said, Brian never showed up for work today. Do you know where he is? And I told her what happened. I said, we skied the backside of Squaw where we'd hitchhike back.
Starting point is 00:38:36 I was going to pick them up, but they never showed up and I haven't seen them since. And I also remember so clearly Brian's mom saying, oh my God, and hanging up the phone. And that was so like, so then we started getting worried. We called the police. The police didn't take it very seriously because they thought, ah, they're out at a party. They ran off with a girl for the night.
Starting point is 00:38:53 Like they weren't worried. But we finally got search and rescue involved and rescuers with probe poles frowned, Brendan and Brian buried under six feet of snow. And they were, they'd been killed from a massive avalanche. And so look, I think virtually everyone listening to this, I'm sure you too, have lost somebody close to you, somebody that you love. So, I know the experience was not unique in that way, but it was the first time that I had experienced loss. And it was the first bad thing that had
Starting point is 00:39:18 ever happened to me in my life. So, it had a big impact on me. And there were a lot of takeaways. I think at the time, I didn't have the cognitive tools to piece together what happened or to learn about what happened, like have any sort of takeaways. But as I got older and thought about it and looking back, I put together all these like realizations of what that did to me, how it changed me, and what were some of the lessons from it too. One that I talk about in the book that I think about all the time is my decision to not go with them on a second run was this completely brainless decision. I put no thought into that decision. It was not a cost benefit analysis. I didn't think through it, but it's the most important decision I've ever made in my life. A hundred percent chance if I was with them, I would have died. And I had skied literally thousands of runs with Brendan and Brian. How many times did I deny a second run with them or say, you guys keep going, I'm going to go in? Almost never. The one time I did, it saved my entire life. And so that, you really realize that the world hangs by a
Starting point is 00:40:20 thread. Everybody thinks like, oh, you're going to put a lot of thought into your big decisions to make sure that you're successful in life, where you go to college, what your career is going to be, who you marry. That's all great. But the world hangs by a thread and there are tiny little no nothing decisions. Maybe that you made today of maybe it was when to cross the street. Maybe it was when to leave to get in your car that can utterly change the course of your life. And so once you accept that of how much the world hangs by a thread, I think you become much more humble with your willingness to make forecasts about the future, what the economy is going to do, who's going to win the
Starting point is 00:40:54 election, what's going to happen in my life, my career, my family's life. We have no clue. We have no idea because all we can think about are the big decisions. We cannot piece together the chaos theory of, I got in my car at the wrong time. I met the wrong person or I met the right person, or I decided not to take a second run. We cannot forecast the impact of those things. And so that had a big impact on me too, of just who are we to fool ourselves that we can predict the next recession, that we can predict where our careers are going to be in 10 years, that we can predict how long our marriage is going to last,
Starting point is 00:41:29 that we can predict how long we're going to live. We can't, nobody can, because we can't predict how crazy these tiny events can turn into. And this comes right back to investing, doesn't it? Because most people that consider themselves to be investors, whether that's just putting a couple
Starting point is 00:41:45 of quid into crypto or something else, engage in the idea that they can predict the future. Yeah. And this is where it appears that most money is lost. I mean, think about the biggest risks to the US economy over the last two generations. COVID? You know, that's one of them. The others would be Pearl Harbor, 9-11, COVID, and maybe Lehman Brothers couldn't find a buyer in 2008, which sparked the financial crisis of 2008. Those are the biggest risks by far. And the common denominator of every one of those stories
Starting point is 00:42:13 is that nobody saw them coming. They were not in any newspaper before they happened. They were not in any economic outlook. Nobody was going on TV warning you that this was coming. The common denominator of those is that they did all of their damage in two seconds. And that would be the case going forward. You can guarantee that the biggest news story and the biggest risk over the next year or the next 10 years of our life, whatever it is, is something that nobody's talking about today,
Starting point is 00:42:39 that you and I can't even fathom. Because it's always been like that. There's never been a time when the biggest news story was foreseeable. And it'll be like that going forward. So that's another just like embracing how fragile the world is. There's a great quote from a financial advisor who I really admire named Carl Richards. And he says, risk is what's left over when you think you've thought of everything. You can go out of your way to think about all of the risks that are in your life and like, great. And like how you're going to prevent them. Great.
Starting point is 00:43:07 That's a good thing to do. When you're done with that exercise, what's left over that you're not thinking about is what risk actually is. It's like by definition, we can never plan or even imagine what the biggest risks in our life are going to be. You say that in Same As Ever. You say, I think the chapter title is risk is the things you can't see or something. Risk is what you don't see. Risk is what you don't see. Risk is what you don't see.
Starting point is 00:43:26 That was a little bit terrifying. It's true. And I think sometimes you can phrase it as terrifying. It's also kind of relieving that, like, why are you going to put so much effort into trying to predict what the stock market is going to do next, what the economy is going to do next? Why are you building a forecasting model to figure out what the economy is going to do over the next 10 years? When you look at the last 10 or 20 years, how could you ever predict 9-11 or COVID? And even look, like something like COVID,
Starting point is 00:43:54 there's like a 2015 Bill Gates TED Talk where he talks about the biggest risk to society is a viral pandemic. So, it's not that nobody saw that thing coming, but the specifics of when it's going to happen, how bad it's going to be, is it just going to shut down the economy for a week or two years? That is completely impossible. But there's also lots of other TED Talks that say everything's going to be great. Of course, of course. There's a lot more. So on balance, the world had no idea. I think on balance, the world breaks once per decade. Not exactly once per decade, but on average, once per decade, everything that you thought about risk and uncertainty and stability goes to shit. So how do I prepare? If risk is what I don't see, how do I prepare?
Starting point is 00:44:36 There's another great quote from Nassim Taleb that I like, where he says, invest in preparedness, not in prediction. So rather than going out of your way to be like, here's what I think is going to happen in crypto. Here's what I think is going to happen in the stock market. Just make sure that you have a big enough buffer in your finances, cash, liquidity, being scared of debt. So that no matter what happens, you at least have a fighting chance of enduring it and making through. One thing I've often thought about is that you should have enough cash in your investing portfolio. The about is that you should have enough cash in your investing portfolio. The amount of cash you should have should feel like it's too much. It should feel,
Starting point is 00:45:10 it should make you wince a little bit. Because if you only have enough cash to put up with the risks that you can envision and the risks that you can foresee, you're going to miss a surprise every single time. Every single surprise is going to be a surprise to you. But if you feel like you have too much cash, then at least you have a fighting chance of putting up with the 9-11, the COVID, the Pearl Harbor, whatever it might be. So when people look at my asset allocation, my investments, a lot of people look at it and say,
Starting point is 00:45:37 you seem really conservative. Why do you have this much cash? What are you saving for? And my answer is always, I don't know. I have no idea what I'm saving for. Who are we to assume that we can predict the risks that are going to be in our own personal lives and throughout the broader world? Nobody can do it. The only way to prepare for it is to have what feels like too much safety. What is your capital allocation strategy? How do you invest your money? This is the thing people want to know most about you. I keep it as painfully simple as I possibly can. So literally my entire net worth is cash,
Starting point is 00:46:11 a house, and index funds, and some shares of Markel where I'm on the board of directors. And that's it. There's nothing else. I can summarize everything so easily and so cleanly. And truly, that's it. And it's not even like I have 20 bank accounts. I have one bank account, one brokerage account and a house and that's it. So simple. Why index funds? You're the reason I, your capital allocation strategy is almost identical to mine. I want to talk about the house thing as well. But after reading your book, I stopped trying to pick stocks and I invested all of my available capital into index funds outside of investing in starting companies. So I'm a shareholder in, I don't know, 50, 60, 70 companies. All my other available capital is invested in index funds. And then I have a very longstanding
Starting point is 00:46:58 large position in Ethereum, which I've held for like six years or something, which has done me very well. That is it. And the Ethereum investment is also based on the fact that I run a software business that is in blockchain. And I could see that developers are building on top of Ethereum more than any other blockchain. So that insight was really beneficial to me. And six years. So even with the big fall of the last two years, you're still up a lot. Yeah. I think your book taught me that successful investing is when you lose the password to your investment account. Yes. I don't actually think you said that in there, but that's like when I lose the password to my investment account, I'm so proud of myself because it means I haven't checked it in forever.
Starting point is 00:47:41 And so it was funny because you were coming today. I thought, oh yeah, well, I have all this money in these index funds. I'll check it. And I thought, fuck, I don't know the password. Good. That's why you're going to do okay. The reason I do this, what's important is that I am not one of the people who says nobody can beat the market, so therefore use index funds. That's not what I believe. I think it's extremely hard to beat the market and very few people will do it. But I think there are really smart people who can do it and people who I know who I could invest with. The reason I don't is not because I don't believe it can be done. It's because the variable that I want to maximize for in my investments is endurance. If I can just earn average returns for an above average period of time,
Starting point is 00:48:18 it's going to lead to amount of success that will literally put you in the top 5% of investors. My parents are a great example of this. My parents are smart people, but they have no financial background. And they have like minimal financial interest, I would say. But they have dollar cost average into index funds for going on 40 years now. And literally, if you look at the returns, they've never sold anything ever. And literally, if you look at the returns, they'd probably be in the top 3% of professional investors.
Starting point is 00:48:44 What is, for anyone that doesn't know, what is dollar cost averaging and what is an index fund? Dollar cost averaging means you buy the same dollar amount of investments every single month come hell or high water. It doesn't matter what the stock market's doing, recession, boom, bust, you say, I'm going to put $100 or whatever it is in the stock market on the first of every month. Now, most people who have a 401k at work are doing this whether they know it or not. They have $100 or whatever removed from every paycheck and it goes into the funds that they own and they don't have to do anything. Whether you know it or
Starting point is 00:49:13 not, you're actually doing it. The contrast to that would say, I'm going to buy and sell based off of how I feel in the stock market. I wake up, I watch CNBC, I decided to sell and I'm going to put it back in when I feel better about the market. It's the contrast of that. An index fund is just a single fund that owns hundreds or thousands of stocks within it. And if it's diverse enough, if it's big enough, really what you're doing is you're owning a slice of the global economy, which is how I think about it. It's thousands of individual stocks in there, Tesla, Apple, whatever it be. But really what you're doing is you're owning a slice of capitalism. If I was your son and I said, dad, prove to me that that's a better long-term wealth creation strategy than buying crypto or buying companies that I use or like, how would you
Starting point is 00:49:55 explain that to your kid? Your ability to do well over the next one year or five years is going to have no role whatsoever on your lifetime ability to generate wealth. All that's going to matter is not what are the best returns you can earn. All that matters is what are the returns that you can sustain for the longest period of time. All that matters is your endurance. It doesn't matter if you can double your money this year or even double your money again the next year. All that matters is can you stick and keep it going for 50 years? That's where compounding comes from. Prove it. All because the formula for compounding is returns to the power of time. That's not quite it,
Starting point is 00:50:30 but like more or less, that's it. So in that equation, if you understand the math, all of the heavy lifting comes from the exponent. Prove it. Because that's how exponential growth works. That's how it works. It's literally exponential. Give me a case study where someone has followed that strategy and done well. Okay. Here's one way to explain it that I use in the book. 99% of Warren Buffett's net worth was accumulated after his 60th birthday. After he turned 60 years old, 99% of his wealth has been accumulated after that period. Because the longer you hold that for, the crazier the
Starting point is 00:51:01 numbers get. When he was 60, I think he was worth about $3 billion. A lot of money. He's a multi-billionaire. But now that he's 90, he's worth over $100 billion. And he's given like $100 billion away to charity. So if he didn't do that, he'd go from $3 billion to $200 billion since he's been 60. Because the numbers just get crazier at that point. He's worth $100 billion. So if his net worth goes up 10% in one year, he makes $10 billion, which is three times that he was worth when he was 60. So that's when you look at somebody like Buffett, is he a great investor? Is he a great stock picker? Of course. But the real secret to his success is that he's been a good investor for 80 years. And if he had retired at age 60 or at age 50, nobody would have ever heard of him. He would have been like one of the other
Starting point is 00:51:45 multi-billionaires who lives in Florida and plays golf. And like, you've never heard of him. The reason he's a household name is because he's been doing this nonstop since he's been 11 years old and he's never stopped. It's just the endurance that's made him so wealthy, not necessarily the annual returns. Patience. It's a difficult thing. It also reminds me of the story that you talk about in the introduction of your book about the janitor, Ronald James Reed. Yeah. Who, when he died in 2014, age 92, had a net worth of over 8 million. And he was a janitor. How did he do that? He took what very little money he could save from his job as a janitor, mopping floors at the gas station. He put it in stocks and he left it alone for 70 years. And that's it. That's all you need. That's all you need to do. If you have
Starting point is 00:52:30 endurance in your investing and you can keep it going for years or decades, you don't need to be a genius stock picker. And not only do you not need to do it, if you have endurance, you're going to be literally 97 or 99% of the genius stock pickers. And what's so interesting about it is like picking the right stocks is hard. It's supposed to be hard. There's no world in which everybody who tries to beat the market is going to do it. Of course it's hard. Just like being an NBA player is hard. But having endurance is like largely in your control. It's so much easier to just be patient than it is to pick the right stocks every single day. And I think some people nature nurture, some people like probably Ronald Reed and my parents just understand it naturally. It's not hard for them to be patient. But there are professional
Starting point is 00:53:14 investors who work 80 hours a week for 30 years to try to beat the market and they can't do it. Not only some, that explains like most of them. And even the ones who can do it are maybe going to beat the market by half a percent per year, 1% per year. But if you can have endurance, that's a bigger benefit than you can have by even being like a very successful stock picker. Like somebody who outperforms the market by 1 percentage point per year, and they can do that for 10 years, that's amazing. That's like Mount Rushmore investor. But somebody who earns average returns and does it for 20 years is going to have way more money. You do it for 30 years, you're going to be filthy rich. You'd be like Ronald Reed. You can be a janitor who leaves $8 million to
Starting point is 00:53:54 charity when you die. But so in the case of Ronald Reed, do you not look at him a little bit and go, listen, bro, if you had $8 or $9 million in the bank, you should have been living it up. See, this is one I do kind of regret that in the book that I'm, I kind of, I didn't say it explicitly, but I kind of make him out to be a role model. And I don't think that's the case. He's not my role model. I think he's a fascinating story of somebody who became rich despite not having any of the pedigree or any of the skills that you are normally associated with wealthy people. But you're right that he lived in a squalid housing and he worked as a janitor. That's not my goal. So I want to live a nice life. I want to be independent. But he's the most extreme example that you can come up with. And I wish I had stated that more clearly in the book.
Starting point is 00:54:40 A lot of people have this conversation around pensions. And in the UK, we can pay money from our salary into our pension. But I think a lot of people think, gosh, when I'm 60, when I'm 65, I want to be rich. I want to be rich when I'm 25. And I can go to Vegas and, you know, ball out and buy nice things and have great experiences. Not when I'm 65. Yeah. No, that's true. I think there are a lot of people, a lot of financial advisors will say that one of the hardest things they do as an advisor is getting their clients to spend money because they've been so conditioned to save, save, save, save, save that when they finally retire at 65, they don't know how to spend. They have no clue how to spend money. There's a great author. I think you've had him on your show, Ramit Sethi,
Starting point is 00:55:21 who talks about this a lot. You need to learn how to live a rich life and figure out what that is for you. For some people, for me, it's just like my happy state is like sitting on the couch in sweatpants, reading a book, going for a walk with my wife. That's my rich life that I love doing. And to do that, I need to be independent and autonomous. So I can do that all day long. I can do that on a Wednesday afternoon. Ramit talks a lot about like maybe your rich life. I think for him, it's flying first class and wearing nice clothes. And he talks about like, he drives,
Starting point is 00:55:49 I think like a beat up Honda, but he flies first class and he dresses very nicely. So you just have to figure out what is the little thing that's gonna make you happy. And I think a lot of people's problem is that society tells you what you're supposed to do to be happy. You're supposed to have a nice car, you're supposed to have a big house, you're supposed to wear nice clothes. That's what society tells you what you're supposed to do to be happy. You're supposed to have a nice
Starting point is 00:56:05 car, you're supposed to have a big house, you're supposed to wear nice clothes. That's what society tells you to do. And for some people, that might be the case. For other people like me, I think it's not. That would not ever make me happy. What does make me happy is independence. It's like I just do these little quirky things that I like to do. So I think you just have to figure out the little things that make you happy rather than just being forced by society into what they want you to do. Knowing when enough is enough. This was one of the most interesting things that I think really rang true to me was how do I know in my life when enough is enough? I've definitely been a victim to that external narrative that I need to have these things in my life to be
Starting point is 00:56:42 a happy person. But how does one go about knowing when enough is enough? I think back to the story of my father, he just woke up one day and it was obvious that he had been doing what he did for long enough. And he had felt like he had enough and whatnot, and he broke away from it. I think for a lot of people, one thing that's important about the concept of having enough and independence is that when most people, even if they are independent, they wake up every morning, what they want to do is go to work. One of the big problems with the FIRE movement, the Financial Independence Retire Early movement,
Starting point is 00:57:16 where people are like, they're going to be a super saver and then retire at age 31, whatever it be. So many of those people who actually did that and retired at age 31, once they retired, after about two weeks, they were bored out of their mind. And if they did it for six months, they were clinically depressed. Because for most people, you want to be productive. You want to keep doing it. So having enough doesn't necessarily mean that you're going to stop working. It just means you're going to keep doing only the work that you want to do. There's a really interesting question that Patrick O'Shaughnessy asks a lot of people in his office. He says, if you won a billion dollars in the lottery, but you had to stay at this job, you're a billionaire, but you can't quit. What at this company would you want to do? And what would you get rid of? And virtually everyone has an answer for that question. They say, oh, if I didn't need the money, but I have to stay, I would love to work on this project. I love working on this thing. This, that, and the other is all bullshit to me. So like in any job, there's going to be something that you want to do. There's going to be some
Starting point is 00:58:13 project, there's going to be some position, or maybe it's like being an artist, whatever it would be. It's not that you stop working. It's that when you have enough, you get to pick and choose which of those things you're going to end up doing. It's often too late in our lives when we realize the cost that we've paid for enough never being enough. You know, it could be family, it could be health, whatever. I always reflect on the, with Brony Ware, wasn't it, who interviewed people on their deathbeds and found out that the biggest regret of the dying was not living a life true to themselves, working too much, etc. But that's on your deathbed. There's nothing you can do at that point. And I think a lot about this,
Starting point is 00:58:44 what am I going to regret? Yes, about that too i think this is this is pretty morbid to think about but i think about if i were on my deathbed tomorrow would i regret working hard and saving a lot of money and my answer is absolutely not it would give me so much pleasure to know that my wife and my two young kids are going to be fine and the opposite of that i cannot fathom being on my deathbed and looking at my wife and my eight-year-old son and my four-year-old daughter and thinking, you guys are screwed. That would be the biggest regret I can fathom.
Starting point is 00:59:12 So I think a lot of people would look at someone with a high savings rate like me and would assume that I'm gonna regret it on my deathbed. And who knows, but I have to think it would actually be the opposite. What makes me, gives me so much happiness and pleasure is taking care of my family. And if I were to go tomorrow,
Starting point is 00:59:28 I wouldn't regret for one second the car that I didn't buy, the big house I didn't buy, the nice clothes I didn't buy, not for a second would I regret not doing those. It's a really good frame to think through, isn't it, about our financial decision-making. And you know, a lot of people like saving up to buy
Starting point is 00:59:42 a lot of nonsense that's going to depreciate. Would you rather have a little nest egg left over for the ones you love or buy that Lamborghini? There's another great book called Die With Zero, which basically the title is self-explanatory. And one of the concepts is even if you want to give money away to your family, don't wait until you die. Don't make your kids wait or like hope you're going to die so they can get their inheritance. Give it to them when it really matters, which for most people is in their 30s
Starting point is 01:00:07 and 40s. If you wait until you die at age 90 and your kids are 60 and then they get your money, like what's the purpose of that? Give it to them when they need it. When they're raising kids and whatnot, that's when they need your money. I really like that concept. I think about that with my own kids. The counterpoint to that is though, if I just give my kids money, then like the Chamath quote, they might lose it quick. So think about that, especially as someone that has a lot of cash
Starting point is 01:00:34 they could give. I think about this because at some point I'm going to have kids and they're going to, daddy, I want to do a driving lesson or they're going to be 18 and go off to university or whatever. God, I hope they don't go to university.
Starting point is 01:00:43 And they're going to say like, I've got nowhere to live or I found this nice apartment dad and in those moments do i make the decision to pay for it because i can or withhold it because they need to learn the hard way i have this yeah i'd call it an argument with my girlfriend where i say babe listen when we have kids they're gonna sit in economy and And she's like, absolutely not. And I'm like, no, babe, when they get, okay, we made a deal. I think we got to about when they're 12 years old, I'm going to put them in economy so they can learn for themselves the value of things. See, we, we made this mistake. I don't think I've ever talked about this, but it was
Starting point is 01:01:18 about a year ago. We flew my son who was me, I guess he was seven at the time. We flew first class and we explained to him that this was not normal. This was not going to be the way it is. As soon as he did it, he went home. He told all of our neighbors, told all of his friends, told everybody at school. And that was when I was like, can't, can't do this. Never again. You see how quickly somebody can be spoiled or use that to try to show other people that they are superior to them. That's when it was like, no, no, we can't ever do this ever again. And you moved his expectations in a way. Absolutely.
Starting point is 01:01:48 I didn't fly first class until I was 35. He did it at seven. And so when I first did it at 35, I remember feeling, A, I earned this. I worked for this. And it also felt so special to me because I'd flown coach 9,000 times before that. So it felt amazing.
Starting point is 01:02:04 And so I think about that a lot. There's a great quote from Charlie Munger, where one of his rich friends says, Charlie, if I give my kids all of my money, is that going to ruin their ambition? And Charlie says, of course it will, but you have to do it anyways. And the guy says, why?
Starting point is 01:02:18 And Charlie says, because if you don't, your kids will hate you. And I think that too is like, lots of Charlie Munger quotes are framed as black and white. They're extreme. But I think that too is like, lots of Charlie Munger quotes are framed as black and white. They're extreme. But I think that's probably like 80% true. Really? That it's maybe 70% true that if you are a wealthy person, and I'm not talking billionaires,
Starting point is 01:02:35 if you just have a moderate amount of wealth that you might pass along to your kids someday, that your two options are kind of, at least to some extent, hurt their ambition or risk some level of strife. And it's always child dependent. Like I always make the example that if 18 year old Bill Gates or Mark Zuckerberg or Elon Musk inherited a billion dollars, wouldn't have made any difference to their ambition. They would not have slowed them down by one second. But most people, including myself, it would have. Like I was driven by fear of not making it, which is what most people are. I was scared shitless that I was not going to find the right career, that I wasn't going to
Starting point is 01:03:10 make it. And that's what drove me. Some people don't need that, but I think it's very rare. I think the huge majority of people, if you give them an easy life, they will take it and embrace it with both hands. Making money and keeping money require two different skills. You've spoken about a few of the skills that are required for making money. The one that really stuck out to me that you've discussed so far is this idea of endurance, patience, regardless of what's happening in the markets, regardless of the volatility, lose your password and sit on your hands. Just on that point as well, I remember reading somewhere, it might have even been your book. It's so crazy because the things that I know about money, I can't remember where I've got them from, but most of them came from this book. Like most of the principles came from this
Starting point is 01:03:52 book. And one of the things that I read was that Warren Buffett would go like five years without allocating capital. And this quote where he said, the hardest thing to be a great investor is to be able to sit on your hands and do nothing. Sit on your ass and do nothing. That's it. That's a Munger quote. And that's what they're doing right now. Right now, Berkshire Hathaway, which is Warren Buffett's company has like $150 billion of cash right now. And that's their entire 60 year history of Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway is build up a shitload of cash, wait 10 years for an opportunity, deploy it all, and then go back to waiting and building up cash. And that's how they've done it. Good opportunities are rare. Of course they are.
Starting point is 01:04:29 They should be rare. It shouldn't be that anybody can just open up their stock account and find the opportunity of a lifetime. It's going to come once a decade. What are the other skills then, endurance, patience, to get money? For the ordinary person, endurance and patience is 99% of what you need as an investor because the opportunities there to invest in a low cost index fund are available for everybody. And you can do that from your phone. Do it from your phone, open up a Robinhood account, buy some index funds. Anybody can do that. And so that was not always the case. It used to be like 20 years ago that the only people who
Starting point is 01:05:00 could invest were people who had a lot of money and could afford a broker and had connection to a broker. And you had to like make a phone call. You had to make a phone call. You had to know a guy. And even then invest were people who had a lot of money and could afford a broker and had connection to a broker and you had to like make a phone call make a phone call you had to know a guy and even then you were going to pay a ridiculous fee to that person for doing pieces of paper and all kinds of huge it was a joke and that's 20 years ago it's not that long ago so i think like people aren't grateful enough or appreciative enough of how much things have changed that open up those opportunities for everybody. You talk about the skill of keeping money, which is different from the skill of getting money, is predicated on survival. Financial survival. And just putting up with all the unpredictable nonsense that's going to happen
Starting point is 01:05:35 between now and the end of your life. And we talked earlier about the surprises, Pearl Harbor, 9-11, all these big surprises. It's just your ability to endure things like that, that's going to be literally 90% of your financial success and your investing success. So, gaining money is like being an optimist and taking a risk, like being optimistic about yourself, swinging for the fences. You need that to get rich. Staying rich is like the exact opposite. You need a level of being conservative. You need to be scared. You need to be like acknowledged of all the unknown risks that are in front of us and have a financial allocation and a mindset that's going
Starting point is 01:06:11 to allow you to endure them and survive them financially. You need both of those skills at the same time to do well. So your kid is 20 years old. He's broke. Do you tell him to go and take huge outsized risks? He's not got a family. He's not got a mortgage. He's not got a dog. What advice do you give him at that age to create wealth? I would actually say that I think this is a little counterintuitive that when somebody is young, you would think you would say you got 50 years in front of you swing for the fences, go for it. It's also when your life is the most fragile. It's when you're most likely to be laid off, most likely to change your career, most likely to break up or get divorced, whatever it would be. And so for that, you need quite a bit of financial flexibility,
Starting point is 01:06:49 just cash and liquidity. So once you had some level built up, whatever the level might be for a different person, then like do something crazy. I also think like for careers, some of the best career advice that's maybe not universal, but when you graduate college and you're looking at your career, don't take the safe job, which is usually like the big company, the blue chick company. Go for the weird company. Why? Go for something crazy. Because when you're older, when you're 40 and you have two kids and a mortgage, you're not going to want to take the weird job. That's when you want the stability. That's when you're probably going to want the job that has good benefits and a stable paycheck because you need that. When you're 22 when you're probably going to want the job that has good benefits and a stable paycheck because you need that when you're 22 and you're not tied down by anything don't go work for
Starting point is 01:07:29 goldman sachs or apple or deloitte or something like that go for the weird startup where you like you're going to learn something completely different link to that point is in the weird startup you're going to be so close to the failure and failure is the knowledge you're going to learn so much so much and there's so many people who take the blue chip, the safe job out of college, and it puts them on a very predictable track. You're going to be an analyst for two years. And then if you're good, you'll get promoted to senior analyst. And then you'll get promoted to associate. It's like very stable and linear. And that's like, it's you capping all of your upside. Or if you go for the weird company, you're either going to do one of two things. It's either going to fail and you're going to learn a
Starting point is 01:08:06 lot from that, or it's going to take off and you're going to learn a lot from that. And then maybe when you're 40, after going through all that, then you want the stable job at the big company. It's interesting. I was thinking as you're speaking that the proximity from your desk and the CEOs probably needs to widen over time. Yes. I think that's true. Yeah, absolutely. And most people, I think if you do it the other way around, or most people would never do it the other way around. If you start your career in the stable company, you're probably never going to leave. You're going to get addicted to the nice paycheck, the stable benefits, whatnot, and you're
Starting point is 01:08:39 never going to take a risk and do anything else. Maybe that's okay. Maybe for some people's personalities, that's exactly what they want. But I think there is a higher level of regret for people that start in a safe company and then they get the golden handcuffs, they can't leave. And by the time they're 40 and they realize that they wanted to work at the crazy company, they can't because they got a mortgage and two kids and they're saving for retirement and they can't take the risk at that level of their life. You introduced this concept of tails, long tails. And this also changed my life, changed my investment strategy, I should probably say. You talk about the example of venture capital, where for every 50 investments that venture capitalists make, statistically half of them
Starting point is 01:09:17 will completely fail. 10 will do okay. And one or two will make huge profits that drive 100% of the fund's returns. This is a lesson about investing in finance, but it's also, for me, a lesson about life. It's always life. Yeah. It applies to everything. Tales where just a couple of things that happen explain 90 or 99% of what matters. It's always the case. You see it in business where you take in the United States, there are thousands of public companies that you can buy stock in. But the huge majority of the value in the US stock market is in like 10 companies, Apple, Tesla, Microsoft. So even though you have thousands of companies,
Starting point is 01:09:55 10 of them are the ones that really matter and are going to drive all of the returns over time. So why don't you just buy those 10? Because nobody knows what they're going to be, at least in hindsight. That's the argument for owning a thousand of them is that you know that the 10 that are going to be the next big ones are going to be in there. All of this is a case for humility. This is honestly what I took away from your book. You're expecting to walk away with tips, all these tips, these tricks, these special ways to make more money than everybody. What I came away with is this one important lesson that I've never been able to unsee, which is, I don't know. I think that's great. And back to, I wrote this book for myself.
Starting point is 01:10:33 That's been the biggest lesson for me. It's not only do I know, but nobody else knows either. Everyone else is bullshitting their way through the investing market too. They don't know either. I'm in this crypto chat where one of my friends, I won't disparage him, one of my friends, he's the guy in the chat that's always posting the forecast graphs. You know those ones where they kind of like the little logger graphs where they forecast where the stock or the crypto is going to go. Where they think it's going to go, right? And it's always, it's always up and to the right. And it's kind of like male horoscopes. I heard someone say that. That's such a great, yeah. No, I think what's closest to investing is something like the horoscope, where even if you know it's bullshit, you want to read it.
Starting point is 01:11:09 Why? Because it's comforting. What a lot of people want out of their investing forecasts or whatever it is, is they want to reduce the uncertainty that's giving them stress. Because everyone, I think, intuitively knows that the future in front of us is unknown and it's unknowable, but that hurts. And so if it hurts, you try to reduce that stress by finding someone who says, I do know what's going to happen. You know what this applies as well is I read Amazon's Jeff Bezos, who's the CEO and founder of Amazon, his shareholder letter, where he says, we have to be the best place in the world to fail.
Starting point is 01:11:39 We swing for the fences 10 times and for every 10 swings, nine of them are in the Amazon graveyard. He's talking there about a nine.com, which nobody knows because it failed the fire phone, which nobody knows. But the one in 10 pay for the entirety of the graveyard. The one in 10 is going to be AWS, which makes 70 billion this year. Right. He talked about that when the fire phone from Amazon, which if you don't know, Amazon built a cell phone, it's called the fire phone. And it was a joke. It was a disaster. It was a massive flop. And he was doing like an analyst call. And this analyst talked about like, hey, the Fire Phone flopped. Like what happened there? And Bezos said, if you think that was a big failure, just wait. You've seen nothing yet.
Starting point is 01:12:17 And like, that's why Amazon's successful. They're willing to try a thousand things with the idea that they know 990 of them are going to fail, but the 10 that work are going to be massive. And if you can fail well and have the mentality to fail and the financial backing to be able to fail, like make sure your bets are not that big and you can just keep taking little risks all the time, the optionality that you get from that, like the odds that one or two of those are going to explode are huge. It's massive. And it's no different than how do you win the lottery? You have to buy thousands and thousands or millions of tickets. If you buy billions of tickets, you'll probably win the lottery.
Starting point is 01:12:53 It's probably not going to pay off because it doesn't work like that. But it's the same concept. Like if you take enough swings at bat, one of them is going to hit eventually. And this is also a reason why some companies look innovative. They look like they're geniuses, but in fact, their failure rate is massive. There's a story at Netflix several years ago where there was a report to the CEO and the report was all of the new movies that we've come out, that we've produced have been successful. And whoever presented that probably thought,
Starting point is 01:13:26 this is great, this is what you want to hear. And the CEO said, that's terrible. That means we're not taking enough risks. If every movie that we release is a hit, we're not taking risks. Like you want your failure rate to be at least some, that's when you know you're at least trying something new. It's the same like if you're managing a hotel,
Starting point is 01:13:44 you don't want every room to be sold out because that means you're not pricing high enough. You know, you're doing a good job when you have 10 empty rooms. That's when you know, you're pricing the other rooms at a high enough rate. So there's always going to be like some level of what looks like failure that you need. And if you don't have it, you're not taking a big enough risk. Daniel X sat here and he said the same thing. He goes, one of the most important metrics that I think about at Spotify is our mistake rate. And people will think, okay, so he wants to limit mistakes. Very much the opposite. He wants to make sure that the company maintains that sort of startup mentality and they increase
Starting point is 01:14:19 their rate of mistakes. And this brings me to something which I kind of hit me like a truck in your new book same as ever which was this idea that we need to keep running now there were areas in my professional life where i've been successful podcast is doing well i think doing pretty well and i had a car i had a car journey with jemima who's through the wall who you met and we last time we came to well i'm in the front seat of the car and I go, Jemima, do you know what our biggest, um, our biggest threat is now? Complacency. When people get successful, they play defense to their detriment. Um, they don't play offense as much as they need to, to keep up with the rate of change in the world. And then a young, scrappy, agile incumbent who has a high risk appetite
Starting point is 01:15:03 will take their cheese right and your chapter on keep running there's two quotes that i really pulled out chapters called keep running and the quote two quotes that i pulled out were competitive advantages tend to be short-lived often because their success plants the seeds of their own decline. One more quote. It's easy to overlook how many forces pull you away from your competitive advantage once you have one, specifically because you have one. Success has its own gravity. That's right. And the biggest source of gravity there is laziness. The reason you're successful is because you work so hard to get to where you were. And now that you feel like you've made it, now that you feel like you're on the top of the mountaintop, you get lazy. And so many companies fall for that. So many careers fall for that.
Starting point is 01:15:52 There's a great story from Jerry Seinfeld where he said that one of the reasons that he quit the show when it was still going gangbusters is because he could start to sense that what made the show successful was starting to go away. And part of the reason is because he got so famous. When he was not that famous, he could go sit in a coffee shop and watch how people ordered their coffee and make a joke out of it. He was observing how society worked. Once he got very famous, he couldn't do that anymore. He was too famous to go sit in a deli and watch how people ordered their sandwiches. He couldn't do it. So therefore, he didn't have a lot of the source material that he had before. And so he was like, look, what made me so funny and the show so successful, I can't do anymore. So like red alert, let's pull
Starting point is 01:16:34 the plug before it gets really bad here. So that's like a very specific example. But what he realized that what made him successful was gone. And a lot of CEOs will have this problem too, where what made them successful was that they were a scra of CEOs will have this problem too, where what made them successful was that they were a scrappy startup founder and they're very good at building a product. But now that the company is big and successful, they also need to be an HR manager. They need to be a finance specialist. They need to be a marketer. They need to be all these other things. And therefore, their time is pulled away from what they're actually good at, which is building a product. A good example of this, if I can say, it was Travis Kalanick of Uber, the founder of Uber.
Starting point is 01:17:09 Probably nobody in the world was better at scaling a company like Uber than he was. And there were a few people who were worse at managing a big company than he was. So it's like what made Uber successful is what pulled him away from being a successful manager at that. He was very good at one thing. He was the best in the world at that one thing, but you shouldn't think that like it's going to last during another phase of the company's life. My person I consider a mentor and a friend of mine, but a long-term friend of mine, a guy called Shaquille Khan. He was one of the very first investors in Shopify, knew Daniel, the founder from the very beginnings. He said to me, um, a piece of advice that stayed with me. And I've also imparted on other people
Starting point is 01:17:51 at a time when I'd left my company, I was now financially successful, um, financially free by all regards. And I called him after leaving my company. And I said, I said, Shaq, what should I do now with my life? He said to me, Stephen, the reason you were successful was because you were hungry. You need to realize that you're no longer hungry for the same reasons. And what he told me to do was the hardest fucking thing I've ever done in my life, which was nothing.
Starting point is 01:18:16 He said, spend a year. Don't rush back into starting the same business again. Because he said to me, the reason why you were so unbelievably disciplined and would go to the office seven days a week was because you were like an insecure kid that was fighting to survive. That's gone now. So sit on your hands for a year, do absolutely nothing and get inspired again. Get hungry again about something new.
Starting point is 01:18:35 Because my temptation was just to run back in and start a big marketing business again or whatever. I mean, that's kind of what you're speaking of as well, is that like the need to understand that our motivations evolve and change over time. And the thing that made us successful might not be the thing that makes us successful again in a new venture. I think there are some people who really can keep it going. Some people who do keep running.
Starting point is 01:18:53 Like Elon fucking. Perfect example. Guy's worth a quarter of a trillion dollars and still works 100 hours a week. So there are those people who exist. But I think for a lot of people, this should not be a scary thing. The fact that after you've made it
Starting point is 01:19:03 and have some success and some wealth, that you're not as hungry as you used to be, that's fine. It just, you just have to accept it. It gets dangerous when people don't realize it and they, they are less hungry. They're not as motivated, but they're still going to try to go start a new business, even though they don't need it anymore. And then they're shocked when that business doesn't work. He said to me, you need to take on a moonshot. And cause you know, he goes, you did the first business, you did well, whatever, et cetera. He goes, the thing that will make you hungry and sufficiently terrified is you now need to find a big, scary, terrifying goal. That's what Elon did with Twitter. Yeah. He'd already become the richest man in the world and he probably got bored a little bit. And he
Starting point is 01:19:41 said, I need to do something that's crazy. And that even for someone like me is going to be an absolute stretch to pull off, which was buying Twitter and running into the ground. I mean, there's no surprise that billionaires will seem to start rocket companies. Yeah. I mean, the reason that they are successful is because they have that complete swing for the fences. I mean, most people would quit full stop when their net worth hit 10 million or less, 3 million. And so for someone to have a net worth of 10 billion and to wake up and say, I'm going to keep going as hard as I possibly can. That's why they have that level of success. It's complete insatiable hunger for more.
Starting point is 01:20:14 I sat with a billionaire when I was 20, I'm going to say 24 years old. And I sat in his office and I thought, okay, this can be really interesting. I get to meet this very successful person in Manchester. And I looked into his eyes and said, why are you doing this? Like you have all of this money. And it became completely apparent to me that it was not about the money. It was all about competition. I then went and met another billionaire who's in Manchester, runs another big company in Manchester. Everybody knows the company. And it was the same thing with him. It was the thing that had got him to a billion was the thing that was going to keep him going after a billion. Yeah. I mean, there's this chapter in my book about natural maniacs, like people,
Starting point is 01:20:49 like wild minds, people, the kind of person like Elon Musk, who has that mindset to say, you know, when he was 30 years old or whatever, he took on GM, Ford, Chrysler, and NASA when he was like 30. The kind of person who thinks that is not the kind of person who's going to say, I have enough. I'm going to put it all in muni bonds and go live on the farm. Like it's not the person who thinks they can do that and can pull that off is the kind of person who's never going to stop. If Elon Musk lives till he's 97, he's going to be starting new rocket companies for sure. Do you think he's happy? No, absolutely not. I think most people in that situation, the word that I would use is tortured.
Starting point is 01:21:23 I think they wake up every morning tortured at the problems that they are aspiring to solve that they haven't solved yet. There's almost no biography of a very successful person like that, of that level of success that you would read their biography and say that life sounds great. It's one of the things that hit me like a train truck was those two billionaires I met were just the most miserable people. And I met one of their sons and they go, dad is so unhappy. I remember him saying that to me and just go, fuck. He's going to that office every single day, has a billion dollars and his kids
Starting point is 01:21:53 think he's like sad. There's this amazing story. Do you remember Myspace back in the day before Facebook and the guy who ran it, his name was Tom. I forget his last name, but when you signed up for Myspace, Tom was your first follow. He was the founder of MySpace and he followed everybody. And he sold MySpace, I think to Qualicom, maybe. No, I'm sorry. He sold MySpace to Viacom and did pretty well. Let's say, I'm guessing, let's say he made $50 million. It's probably something in that range. It's probably nothing that's dramatic. 500. Was it 500? Maybe he sold the company for that much. I actually don't know, but it was a good, but not extraordinary sum of money. And you can see his life on Instagram. It's not exaggerated. He's like travels around the world with his girlfriend, hiking in Bali.
Starting point is 01:22:39 It looks like, at least from Instagram, he lives this amazing life. And then think about Mark Zuckerberg, who is like every year hauled before Congress, where he's like screamed at for causing all of society's ills. And he has so much on his shoulders. And Facebook stock fell 70% last year because everyone thinks it's going to hell. And like, it looks like a very stressful, incredible amount of pressure on his shoulders. If you were to ask me, which one of those lives would I take? Would I rather be someone with $50 million who was traveling around the world, hiking in Bali with my wife? Or would I be worth $100 billion and wake up every morning scared shitless with
Starting point is 01:23:15 so much pressure on my shoulders? For me, it's obvious. I'd much rather be Tom than Mark. But that pressure is a drug. In the sense that when I say the pressure is a drug, I mean, we know from motivation psychology. And I mean, I think I saw on the back of your, your book. Yeah. Daniel H. Pink. Yep. Daniel Pink told me that when people aren't sufficiently challenged, they lose motivation and their level of challenge kind of increases. So to be engaged with a task, you need to, um, and you think of this like game psychology, the levels need to get harder and harder for you to be engaged. That's why every game we play, it's not on level one over and over and over again. We need it to go to level two, crosswords get more difficult,
Starting point is 01:23:52 we stay engaged. Do you not think that's the case with like a big famous CEO that their engagement appetite, their challenge appetite just grows and that's the only way they can stay engaged, solve bigger problems. I think if you look at someone like Bill Gates, I think he had figured out business. And in 2000, he effectively quit Microsoft, but he immediately moved on to what I think was in his mind, a bigger problem, which was like, how do I give this money away effectively? And how do I eradicate malaria? Those kinds of problems. And so even for someone like him who was able to extract himself from the business, they'd immediately move on to something that I think in his mind was more problematic and a bigger challenge. So there's never going to be a period where someone like
Starting point is 01:24:32 that were to say, I've had enough. I'm just going to retire to read books. Like that will never be the case. It's always going to be, I think they're addicted to the challenge is what it is. Yeah. And I think I am. I think- I think everybody is to some extent. And the musts and the gates, those people are extreme examples of that. But I think everybody needs a minimum level of stress in their life. And the irony is that we all kind of dream about like, what can I do to eliminate the stress? So I just wake up in nirvana every day. And you can't. Everyone needs to have some sort of conflict, strife, challenge, stress in their
Starting point is 01:25:06 life. And I think for a lot of people, if they don't get it from real places, they just make up fake problems in their life. That's a big problem with people. For people who, richer people who have a lot of things, they will start worrying and stressing about the most minute things because they need that stress in their life. On that point as well, just popping back to what we were talking about, the complacency. The other thing that I think successful people become a victim of is their own correctness. I think about that with me. I've been right about several decisions in a row, so surely that creates evidence that I'm probably right again. And that can be your downfall as well. Or what a lot of it is, is you were right on this topic and then therefore you assume that
Starting point is 01:25:43 you're going to be right on another topic. And you didn't know the role luck might have played. You didn't know what luck would play, but let's say you're a very successful investor. And let's say you're like massively successful. A lot of those people will think, therefore I can also be an effective politician. Therefore I can also be an expert on COVID, whatever it would be, because they think they're so smart in this area that they must be smart in other areas. A lot of doctors have this problem with investing where they think, I'm a doctor. I'm very successful. I got a PhD from a great school. Therefore, I can pick the stocks because I'm a smart person. And that level of overconfidence is their undoing.
Starting point is 01:26:17 Can success... I think your book, one of the key things that stayed with me, and I didn't need to recap myself on was the stories you told about people that accurately predicted what was going to happen in the stock market against all conventional wisdom. They all, from what I recall, they went on to lose their money eventually anyway. A lot of them, yeah. What is that story you told in your book? This is a story about a guy named Jesse Livermore, who was back in the 1920s. He was the most successful investor in the world. And what's so amazing about Jesse Livermore is that I think four different occasions in his life, he became the equivalent of a billionaire, adjusted for inflation, and then went bankrupt four separate times in his life.
Starting point is 01:26:53 So he was a person who was better at anyone in the world at making money and had no skill whatsoever at keeping money. And that's someone who, even when he became, at one point, he was the richest man in the world. And rather than saying, I have enough,, at one point he was the richest man in the world. And rather than saying, I have enough, it's enough, he just said, let's keep taking bigger bets. Let's swing even harder next time. It was never enough. And eventually, the last time he went broke, he eventually ended up killing himself. It's the most amazing, just fascinating life that you can imagine of someone who is so good at making money, but never knew
Starting point is 01:27:26 when to stop. And it was actually the more money he made, the more risk he wanted to take. So it was always like his, I think his outcome was always predestined because there was never going to be a moment, like the richer he became, the more successful he became, the higher the odds that he was going to fail. And I think there's some version of that for a lot of people because their success increases their confidence more than their ability. And they don't even know that. That's a problem that you can't self-diagnose. Like, if you're confident, you think it's earned and you think it's real. And then because you're successful, a lot of people who, when you were poorer or less successful, they would tell you, you're being an idiot. You're wrong. You're not right about this. But when you're successful, a lot of people who, when you were poor or less successful, they would tell you you're being an idiot. You're wrong. You're not right about this.
Starting point is 01:28:08 But when you're rich, they may be because you employ them or because they think that you're so smart. Even when you say something stupid, they might go, yeah, maybe it's right. Go for it. And therefore you don't have people who are telling you how overconfident you are. That again, it comes down to humility, doesn't it? A lot of it. Yeah. And like, I think that's, that's, that's so much of it. And like, and I think you have to go out of your way sometimes for that humility, that when you have some level of success in your life, whatever that level is, just always remind yourself. I think, I mean, there's a quote that I think it was Roman warriors that when they would come home from a battle that they won
Starting point is 01:28:41 and they were in like the parade of, you know, like we won the battle and we're going to go in the parade that like where the victors were so great that they would have someone by their side whispering in their ear or something, something along the lines of, you're not that great because they're in this parade where they're glorious and like victorious, but they need to someone to bring them back down to earth and be like, Hey, you're just, you're just a dude. You're just a guy. You're not that special. You're very fallible. Like tame it down. They would actually hire people to do that for them. And I think if you look at a lot of like the great entrepreneurs, a lot of the great investors, they will have some sort of partner with that. Charlie Munger is that to Warren Buffett. Like when Warren Buffett comes
Starting point is 01:29:24 up with an idea, a big part of Charlie Munger's job is to tell him when he's being an idiot. And to have someone like Warren Buffett who will trust a person like that, and to have someone like Munger who's willing to do something like that is so critical. Confidence, which comes from success often, really does create blind spots. And that's something I think about so much. Like, how do I stay aware of those blind spots in my life that, you know, the success I've had in various areas has undeniably created. And honestly, a lot of I just go, just save loads of money, Steve, because the day you're wrong, you don't want to go broke. I often think about that. Like whenever the curtain comes down on
Starting point is 01:29:59 my career, I want to make sure that I can say like, hey, thank you for letting me have this. I'm so grateful for it, but I've saved enough that I'm ready to pass the baton to someone else. And that's a form of humility too. There's a quote from Denzel Washington where he's talking to Will Smith after Will Smith slapped Chris Rock. Remember that whole debacle? After that show, Denzel Washington comes up to Will Smith and he says, Will, when you're at your highest moment in your career, that's when the devil's going to get you. And it's like, when your career is so high and you're so famous, you think so highly of yourself that you can do anything. That's when you're going to get yourself into trouble. What a powerful quote. And I think just paying attention to that, that's the natural humility that goes into it. And it's not false
Starting point is 01:30:43 humility. It's not like, oh, false humility is like, I didn't do any of this. I just got lucky. That's all false humility. I think real humility is like, I built this through hard work and I made some good decisions, but I'm just a, I'm just a guy. I'm as fallible as anybody else. I think that's, it's, that's not just important. I think that's critical to any amount of sustainable success. You taught me that the price you pay to be wealthy is the volatility you have to incur along the way. It's kind of how I think about it in my head. That's the cost of admission. To being wealthy and to... To any level of success is putting up with an enduring unknowns and volatility and booms and busts and then other bullshit that you put up with in the investing market and in your career
Starting point is 01:31:26 and in your relationships, there's always a cost. For anything good in life, there's a cost that you have to pay. Like, of course, nothing's free like that. But most of the costs that you pay are not, they don't have a price tag that you can just measure very cleanly.
Starting point is 01:31:41 Like the cost of doing well in investing is putting up with volatility. The cost of a successful career might be long hours where you were pulled away from your family. The cost of a relationship is like always needing to sacrifice and compromise for the other person. Nothing is ever free. And so much of the success in life is just identifying what the cost is and being willing to pay it. Because for all of those things I just laid out, investing, career, relationships, the cost of admission is worth it. Because for all of those things I just laid out, investing, career, relationships, the cost of admission is worth it.
Starting point is 01:32:08 Putting up with the volatility is worth it over time. Because if you can put up with the stock market falling 30%, if you can just say, ah, it's not that big a deal, I'm just going to hold tight. 10 years from now, the cost is well worth doing that.
Starting point is 01:32:19 You'll be rich. If you can put up with the compromise that takes to have a successful relationship, by and large, that's going to be a cost that's worth paying. Because you know, so much of what matters in life is just the relationships that you have. And once you identify the cost of that relationship, you're like, oh, I'll pay that cost all day long. It's so worth it. This requires you to be cognizant of time
Starting point is 01:32:38 horizons and your own time horizons, which is something you talk a lot about in chapter 16 of The Psychology of Money. Why is it important for us to know our time horizons? And what do you mean by time horizon? It's the amount of time between now and whatever your goal is, which is very different for everybody. Not just by your age, but like if you want to retire early or whatever, it'd be like everyone's going to have a slightly different time horizon. What's yours?
Starting point is 01:33:00 Mine, I mean, you would break it up into different chunks. I want to get to a point, or maybe I'm nearing a point in my career where I'm just doing things because I enjoy them. There's really no financial incentive to what I'm doing. That's one time horizon. Another is like, okay, once my kids start getting older, I want to make sure that like I'm always there for them when they need me.
Starting point is 01:33:23 Teenage years are so difficult for people. Like I'm always, 24 seven. I'll be there for you, which means I'm gonna have to pull back. There's going to be a point where I just say, look, I've accomplished what I want to with writing. And I want to be able to move on to something else. And there's going to be a point where I say, I really don't want to work that much anymore. I just want to move on. And maybe I need to take care of my parents. So like there's multiple different time horizons at different goals of your life. Is buying a house a good or bad financial decision? I'll tell you my own experience, which was in my 20s and early 30s, my wife and I lived in seven different cities and there was nothing better for us. Some of those were just like,
Starting point is 01:33:56 let's try this new city for fun. Some of it was moving for work. We moved for her school and our ability to just get up and go, hand the keys back to the landlord, nothing was more valuable than that. Once we had our son, our first kid, then very quickly, nothing became more valuable to me than having an established, secure home base that nobody could take away from me. That was the cure. And also like kids are loud and they scream.
Starting point is 01:34:21 I didn't want neighbors in an apartment building that I was gonna have to like try to keep my kid quiet from. So I was like, I want my own house that's mine. And it's just a standalone house. My kid can scream as loud as he wants, not bothering anybody else. That became important to me like instantly.
Starting point is 01:34:35 So it's, I think people get caught up when they're like, well, the housing market returns four and a half percent per year. That's what it's like. Stop with the spreadsheets. Like just do what's going to work for you. I know Ramit Sethi has a lot of thoughts about this on renting versus buying. And I think one of the differences between Ramit and myself is I have two young kids. And so like that, if I didn't have kids, I think I would be like rent, rent forever.
Starting point is 01:35:00 Really? And try different cities, move all around. What can be better than that? But when you have kids, what's more important to me is stability. I want my kids to go to a stable school, know their neighbors, have friends that they can be friends with for years. That's important. If we just think about investing then in terms of, is buying a house a good financial investment? My brother who works in my company, and he's the one that introduced me to your book many years ago, said to me something along the lines of, Steve, don't buy houses to make money because you have the ability to play a different set of games that very few people can play. And what I mean by that is he
Starting point is 01:35:36 kind of explained it to me. He goes, listen, everyone can buy a house. So the returns there aren't going to be huge. Go find a game that like only you can play, you'll get bigger returns. If you're buying a house because you think it's going to be a good financial investment, stop. Like even if it turns out in hindsight that it was, it doesn't matter. I think these are just purely lifestyle decisions. And I think so many people get screwed up when they're in a spot in their life where they should be renting because they need to be mobile. They need to move around to a new job, new career, new school, whatever it is, but they end up buying because they think they're going to make money doing it. And that's like, that's the problem. So I own a house and if I ended up losing money on it, I don't think I'd
Starting point is 01:36:12 care that that's not why I'm owning it. I'm owning it just because I want the stability for my family. I've just made an offer on my first ever house and I, cause I played, I played other money games for the last decade of my life. Um, and now I have a partner and we've been together many years and we're both like 31 years old and we're getting into that position now you know yeah and my brother explained to me he goes listen this is a bad financial decision but it's a good emotional social life decision and you need to know how to separate the two don't mark this down as a way that you're trying to make money like Like you might make money in 20 years time. If you just like, if you're still living there, look at it as, you know, you need somewhere to live. And he must've got that from you. When I, when I, when we bought our last house, which was after I wrote this book,
Starting point is 01:36:54 so this is a different experience. I thought at the time and still think today, I probably paid a little bit too much. I mean, I paid the market rate, but if you said like, oh, did you get a good deal? I said, no, no, no, no. Didn't bother me in the slightest. That's not why I was doing it for. It would be, I mean, it would be like, if you ask, like if someone is deciding whether or not to have kids and they think about the cost of kids, like forget about, of course you're going to dump hundreds of thousands or millions of dollars into your kids. And it's going to, it's like if, if money is coming into the equation, like stop right there. This there. It should not do it. You're doing it for very different reasons. This is not an investment. People buy houses because they
Starting point is 01:37:30 think they're making loads of money. Because there have been periods of time in which people have made loads of money. Historically, that's the anomaly. Historically, in the US and the UK, housing prices adjusted for inflation go nowhere. It's just been the last 20 or 30 years that there's this very brief window of time that owning a house was a great investment. Robert Shiller won the Nobel Prize about a decade ago for his work in showing that over the last 150 years in the United States, adjusted for inflation, most home prices have been flat as a pancake. It's just the last 20 years that have inflated people's expectations of what a house can do.
Starting point is 01:38:05 Statistically, there's going to be at least one person listening to this that has made an offer as we speak for a house under the assumption that it's going to help them stack wealth. If they were purely doing it for those reasons, what would you tell them to do instead? If that's purely the reason, run for your life. Don't do it. Particularly, I mean, it used to be, and maybe it still is like this in many cities in America and the UK, but it used to be that rentals
Starting point is 01:38:33 were almost without exception, shitty houses. There were no good rentals. A big change, at least in America in the last 20 years, is that most big cities have tons and tons of luxury apartments to live in. And there are great places to live. And they're in the city centers and they got beautiful granite countertops and they're great places to live. Don't fall for the idea that you can't live well if you're renting. I think that's the problem. And realize that if you're doing it for financial
Starting point is 01:38:58 reasons, you're probably about to borrow a shitload of money for an investment that historically has been a very bad investment. Like if you put it in those terms, like what are we doing here, man? You're going to borrow hundreds of thousands of dollars for an investment that historically has been a loss. That's what you're doing here. Does you feel good about that? That's what I'd say to that person. Godspeed. I would love to be in the room somewhere where that person has just looked at their partner after persuading them to make that offer because it was going to make them rich. Sorry guys. This new book, same as ever. Essentially it's 23 short stories about things that never change in the world. Well, there's a couple of really interesting
Starting point is 01:39:44 things that I pulled out. One of them, again, which really hit me in the face, was this idea that the best story wins. I know this. I know this intuitively. I talk about it on stage, but I don't think people understand the power of the best story wins. Because when you think about entrepreneurship or investing or pitching or sales, what most people do is they lead out with facts, stats and figures. And even one of the things I've noticed about you from our conversation now is you have a remarkable ability to tell stories. Thank you. And there's a huge power in that. Prove to me that the best story wins. I mean, it's always the case that it's not the right answer or the best answer
Starting point is 01:40:21 or the mathematically accurate answer. It's just whoever gets people to nod their heads in the right direction, that's who's going to win over time. Some of the examples of this that I love, Ken Burns, one of the most famous documentary filmmakers of all time. Most of what are in his documentaries is information that people already know. He'll make a documentary about the Civil War, World War II, Vietnam, whatever it would be. You're not necessarily learning something new in there. But he is massively successful, massively popular, because he's probably the greatest storyteller of our time. So even when you're taking information that people already know,
Starting point is 01:40:57 if you can spin a good story about it, you get people lining up and they will knock your door down to listen to you. One other example of this are people who tell comedy. If you're a good comedian, that's all just storytelling. And a lot of what a good comedian does is take something that's very obvious and simple, but you can tell a good story about it. You can make people laugh and all of a sudden you get their attention and they'll remember it. You said in the book, not the best idea or the right idea or the most rational idea, just whoever tells a story that catches people's attention.
Starting point is 01:41:28 I think there are dangerous stories, which is when people tell you what you want to hear. Oh, I got a dangerous story. The vaccine gives you autism. I think it's a story that people wanted to hear. Some people wanted to hear that. And if you tell people what they want to hear, you can be wrong forever and people won't care because you tell them what they want to hear. Tali Sherratt, who's a neuroscientist, sat here and she told me a story of Donald Trump stood on the debate stage and they panned over to Dr. Tucker Carlson, I believe he's called, and asked him about the vaccine. And he basically gave stats, facts and figures. He said, that vaccine doesn't give kids autism. And then they like pan over to Donald Trump.
Starting point is 01:42:02 And Donald Trump tells this elaborate story about a friend of his. About one person. One friend of his. That clearly doesn't exist. One friend of his. And he describes the needle like this. He goes, this huge needle. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:42:15 So vivid. Vivid, personal, and emotional. Yep. And you get people nodding their heads to that and capturing their attention. Tali said, I'm a neuroscientist. I knew it was wrong. However, there was something about hearing it that even as a neuroscientist, I looked at my daughter and go, fuck.
Starting point is 01:42:31 I think we've always been storytellers and that's what's really set humans apart. That's the whole idea from Yuval Noah Harari is that like what sets humans apart is our ability to tell and remember stories. And it's made it so it's just a tool to simplify facts in the world. Like most people, the other thing that's powerful about stories is that you remember them. And you think about in school when you had a math test and the teacher just said, memorize this formula to regurgitate it on the test. Literally five minutes after the test is done, you forget it. You have no idea what it was. But if you remembered a good story, even that you were told when you were two years old, you remember it for the rest of your life. So it's just a tool for getting people to remember
Starting point is 01:43:08 how the world works. And they can be so persuasive and so good at eliminating the uncertainty that grates on all of us, that people will listen to and believe things even when they're just obviously flagrantly not true, if it's what they want to hear. People talk about, when we're talking about investing, but generally life, people talk about compounding interest. And we all know that, I think a lot of people should know the power of compounding interest now, but we rarely think about how compounding interest can negatively, slowly impact our lives. And in your chapter about tiny and magnificent, you explore that. And again, this hit me like a truck
Starting point is 01:43:45 in the face because I think I spend my time now thinking about how getting things to compound in my favor will change my life, but I don't spend a huge amount of time thinking about how things are compounding against me right now. Yeah. I mean, what's really true is that most good news happens slowly and most bad news happens very fast. So bad news is like COVID, literally happens overnight. Boom, you got a virus that's going to kill millions of people, shut down the economy, happens literally overnight. 9-11 happens start to finish, it's like 30 minutes. Like boom, just happens immediately. Good news is usually slow compounding over time. So I use the example of the book of like the
Starting point is 01:44:19 improvement in heart disease mortality over the last 70 years is bonkers. We've made so much progress and saved literally tens of millions of lives in the fact that we've gotten better at treating heart disease. But nobody talks about it. It's like most people aren't even aware that it's happened because if you look at what happened, it was the mortality improved. It got better by about 2% per year. Now, if you compound 2% per year for 70 years, it's off the charts. We're like living in such a better world now than we were 70 years ago. But in any given year, you didn't even notice it. You're never going to see a news headline like breaking news, heart disease mortality improves by 1.4%. That's not a headline.
Starting point is 01:44:58 Like all the headlines are bad news because bad news happens fast. So, once you realize that, then it's like most of the news is going to skew negative. Not because there's some producer who's trying to toy with your brain. It's just because what is obviously happening today tends to be the bad news where the good news is just very slowly compounding over time. That can go in the other direction of like bad news that compounds over time. Like I think about our health. Smoking, health, like that's true. Like one cigarette is not going to do anything bad for you,
Starting point is 01:45:29 but one cigarette per day for 30 years is catastrophic. And so that's actually what it is. Same with like getting one bad night's sleep, not that big a deal. But if you're sleeping six hours a night every night for years on end, you're going to reduce your life expectancy by a tremendous amount. This idea of compounding interest and compounding returns and how important it is, I've spent so long trying to explain to people that compounding interest and compounding returns, this very hard thing to think about is so important. I imagine you have too. What is
Starting point is 01:45:58 your go-to way of explaining to like your eight-year-old kid or someone else the power of compounding? We were actually going to get like a bowl of rice here and I was going to do some experiments. The rice is the best, the rice board experiment. If you aren't familiar with it, it's this story that's probably not true that back 500 years ago, someone told the king, they said,
Starting point is 01:46:16 hey, here's a chess board. I'm going to put one grain of rice on the first square, two on the second square, four on the third. And then let's do that. And by the end of the chessboard, it's like more rice than exists in the entire world. Because if you double something again and again and again, it's just completely counterintuitive how big it can grow. The one way that I had a friend of mine, Michael Batnick explained this to me years ago. I think he wrote this in a blog post. He said, if I ask you, what is eight plus eight plus eight plus eight, you can do that in your head. Like, it's not that hard. But if I say, what is eight times eight times eight times eight,
Starting point is 01:46:52 like forget about it. Even if you are really mathematically inclined, there's no way you can, like the very few people could figure that out in their head. So, our minds are just not good at exponential thinking. It's just not something that we're really geared towards doing. Like eight plus eight plus eight, it's like so simple. Linear thinking, so simple. Exponential thinking, not intuitive in the slightest. And because it's not intuitive, it's so common to underestimate what smoking is going to do to you that compounds over time. What investing is capable of doing to your wealth, because it's so counterintuitive that 99% of Warren Buffett's net worth came after he was 60 years old. Not intuitive at all. And so, since exponential thinking is not
Starting point is 01:47:30 intuitive, both on the positive and the negative side, we go through life underestimating what's going to happen to us in good things and bad things. It's like a religion we have to adopt. I think that's a great way. It's like a mathematical religion. Because just like a lot of religion, it's not intuitive and it almost takes a leap of faith to be like, I know it seems crazy, but this is what I believe. I think there's a sense of that, too, compounding, where it's just math. You can just put the numbers in a spreadsheet and they'll tell you what it is. But since it's not intuitive, there's almost a religious aspect that you need to believe how powerful it can be over time. Two of the chapters in your book, Same as Ever,
Starting point is 01:48:04 speak to the importance of discomfort. One of the chapters is called When the Magic Happens. And you say in that chapter, stress, pain, discomfort, shock, and disgust, for all its tragic downsides, it's also when the magic happens. And then the other chapter where you kind of speak to this is, it's supposed to be hard. Most things worth pursuing charge their fee in the form of stress, uncertainty, dealing with quirky people, bureaucracy, other people's conflicting incentives, hassle, nonsense, long hours, and constant doubt. That's the overhead cost of getting ahead. What's interesting is I never tied those two chapters together, but you're right. They're almost the exact same idea. That for the whole economy, for the whole world, when the biggest
Starting point is 01:48:42 improvements in society takes place is when there's some sort of disaster. Like for all of its obvious downside and death and destruction, nothing has been more technologically progressive for the world than World War II. The number of inventions that came out of World War II from atomic energy to jets and like you go on down the list, penicillin, all of these lists for things that you and I are taking advantage of today happened not in spite of, but because of World War II. Because there was this period where everyone in the world came together and they're like, holy shit, we got a big problem to figure out. Let's put our heads together and figure this out right now. But that's also on a personal level. On a personal level, it happens as well too. There's a book written many years
Starting point is 01:49:21 ago called The Upside of Down. I thought that was just a brilliant title, like the upside of being down. And it happens a lot that when you have, maybe it's a job layoff or a breakup or a medical emergency, whatever it can be, that it changes you for the good. And it's hard, it's always impossible to see that silver lining in the moment. You don't ever imagine there's going to be a silver lining in that moment. But when you look back in hindsight, it will be. I saw this recent example of this that really knocked me on my ass. It was Stephen Colbert, who I might be getting these details wrong, but I think when he was a young child, his father and brother died tragically. And he said at one point that, I don't want to put words in his mouth, but he said something along the lines of like, he is grateful for that. And he was asked like, what do you mean you're grateful for that? And
Starting point is 01:50:07 he said, look, of course I wish it never happened, but it allowed him to understand the emotions of other people and get closer to other people who had also experienced something like that. And so even as like the deepest, darkest moment of his life that he says, of course he wishes it didn't happen. It taught him something about humanity that he's grateful for today. That's an extreme example. But I think for a lot of people, being laid off from a job in the moment is going to be the hardest thing they've ever dealt with. And in hindsight, it's going to be one of the best things that ever happened to their career. A breakup might be the hardest thing you've ever been through. And in hindsight, it might be the best thing that's ever happened to you.
Starting point is 01:50:44 So that's when the magic happens is when things get really tough. It's just always impossible to see that when you're going through it. A lot of people would have clicked on to this conversation. And if they've gotten to the end of the conversation, well done to them. What conclusion can we offer them based on everything we've talked about as it specifically relates to wealth creation and money first? I think for both of these books, we're almost ending exactly where we started, which is like, I hope they get you to think about your life in a different way. Both of these books and the publishers hated this. There's no advice in the books. Never do I say, and therefore you should do this. And the publisher wants you to do that.
Starting point is 01:51:20 And I said, no, no, no, because I don't know you. I don't know the person reading this book. Who am I to say what you should do with your own life? I don't even know what to do with my own life, but I hope it gets you thinking about what you want and who you are and what you are capable of, what you're not capable of. If it gets you thinking about your life, then I think I've been successful doing this rather than trying to assume that I can give you specific advice about what to do. Morgan, we have a closing tradition on this podcast where the last guest leaves a question for the next guest, not knowing who they're going to be leaving it for. And the question that's been left for you is, what is your biggest regret in life? And how has that experience changed
Starting point is 01:51:58 you? I think I've always been prone to mild depression. Not significant, but mild depression and anxiety. And I wish I could go back to different periods of my life in a time machine and just say, it's going to be okay. It's not going to be easy. It's not going to be perfect, but it's going to be fine. And I look back, not with regret, but how much time have I wasted worrying about things that never happened and were almost certainly never going to happen? A tremendous amount. And even if I recognize that today, I know I'm going to worry about something tonight and tomorrow and next week about something I really shouldn't be worrying about.
Starting point is 01:52:41 I don't know if I regret it because I think having a sense of worry has kept me safe a lot of times. It's kept me out of trouble in a lot of things. But I do look back at the course of my life and think, man, like I could have been happier than I was if I had accepted a certain level of just telling myself it's going to be okay. Well, you're not going to have to worry about your book because it's superb. Thank you. well you're not going to have to worry about your book because it's superb thank you genuinely i you know i hope my audience trust me um but i i would really implore them to get both books i mean the psychology of money i think is the best book on money ever written it's pretty much also the book i've ever read on money and then same as ever is just it's everything it's advice on money
Starting point is 01:53:21 life relationships everything that matters because there are a set of enduring principles that speak to the fundamentals of life in a way that is completely enduring. You have a wonderful ability to write enduring things and you tell wonderful stories. Thank you. Like you said, I actually didn't even notice that you didn't give me advice. When you said that, you'd not given me advice. No, and I never will to anybody. But now you think about it, you didn't.
Starting point is 01:53:41 I garnered my advice from the stories you told and the evidence you provided. Morgan, thank you so much. I'm so glad we've managed to have this conversation and it's been a huge honor and pleasure um to meet you thank you as well because i can't imagine how many millions of pounds you've saved me by writing this book genuinely it's such an honor to do this with you steven it's been a lot of fun thank you do you need a podcast to listen to next we've discovered that people who liked this episode also tend to absolutely love another recent episode we've done, so I've linked that episode in the description below. I know you'll enjoy it.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.