The Dispatch Podcast - Trump’s Grip on the GOP Holds
Episode Date: May 19, 2026Steve Hayes is joined by Kevin Williamson, Mike Warren, and David Drucker to discuss Donald Trump’s primary challenges against Sen. Bill Cassidy and Rep. Thomas Massie, along with last week’s U.S....-China summit in Beijing. The Agenda: —Sen. Cassidy’s loss —The consequences of crossing Trump —Texas Republican primary —Trump’s approach to China —Taiwan as a bargaining chip —NWYT: Trump’s $1.776 billion fund Dispatch Recommendations: —Will MAGA Come for Thomas Massie? —Democratic Efforts to Reclaim Blue-Collar Voters Get a Test in Pennsylvania —The Benefits of a Later School Bell —Cornfield Baptism Near Omaha, Nebraska The Dispatch Podcast is a production of The Dispatch, a digital media company covering politics, policy, and culture from a nonpartisan perspective. To access all of The Dispatch’s offerings—including audio versions of all our articles and newsletters—click here. If you’d like to remove all ads from your podcast experience, consider becoming a premium Dispatch member by clicking here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to the Dispatch podcast.
I'm Steve Hayes.
On today's roundtable, we'll take a look at Senator Bill Cassidy's primary loss in Louisiana
five years after he voted to impeach Donald Trump.
And the president's challenge to Kentucky Representative Thomas Massey,
also a sometime Trump critic.
Is Donald Trump's grip on the Republican Party as strong as ever?
We'll also discuss the U.S.-China summit and its implications for Taiwan
and, in the long term, for the United States.
And finally, not worth your time?
Donald Trump's $1.776 billion settlement out of the Department of Justice.
I'm joined today my Vindisfatched colleagues Kevin Williamson, Mike Warren, and David Drucker.
Let's dive in.
Gentlemen, I want to start with the race in Louisiana over the weekend.
Senator Bill Cassidy, Republican incumbent, lost in the Republican primary there to two other Republican candidates.
David Drucker, let me start with you.
Why did Bill Cassidy lose this primary?
Because he crossed Trump, and there's one thing you cannot do in Republican politics right now, and that is crossed Trump.
As I reported today in the dispatch, actually a really good idea from you.
It wasn't my idea.
We took a look at the primary messages.
What are Democratic primary voters hearing?
What do they want to hear?
What are Republican primary voters hearing?
What do they want to hear?
And what Republican consultants told me, and it's something they've been telling me for
while, and I just hadn't really featured it in a story, is that there are a number of ways
that you can burnish your image with Republican primary voters, and we're, of course, we're in the
midst of primary season. But the number one way to do that is to tie yourself to Trump,
to hug Trump as tightly as possible. And if you get the Trump endorsement, I mean, it doesn't
get any better than that. And it's just not any more complicated than that, Steve.
Yeah, I mean, especially in a very Trump favorable state like Louisiana. You can certainly
imagine that. Look, Bill Cassidy voted to convict Donald Trump in the aftermath of January 6th. And as we've
seen, most of the people who voted in the House to impeach Trump or in the Senate to convict Trump are
no longer in Congress. Not all of them, but most of them. But Cassidy, in the meantime,
seemed like he was trying to thread the proverbial needle, Mike. He was critical of Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Cassidy is a committee chairman for the relevant committees for RFK Jr.
And is a physician himself.
He asked some tough questions.
He pushed Kennedy.
He ultimately voted for him.
There was some sort of behind the scenes deal, I think, to win his support.
And then he was occasionally pretty critical of Kennedy as Secretary of Health and Human Services.
Pushed back on some of the crazier things that Kennedy has said.
And I think thought of himself as somebody.
who was kind of willing to stand up and challenge Trump.
At the same time, he did support Kennedy as he supported his nomination.
He defended him on certain things.
He certainly tried to make himself seem friendly to Donald Trump and the administration.
Is that just a hopeless cause, as Dr.
Dr. Rucker suggests?
It's not possible to do.
I think it was ultimately a problem for Cassidy in a situation where he had a whole host of problems.
And, I mean, we can go through some of the sort of more technical problems that he had, which was, first of all, this was the first time for Louisiana in a long time where they had sort of strictly speaking, you know, party primaries before this year, Louisiana had primaries that were open.
And essentially, anybody could vote for any candidate, both political parties.
So the primary itself sort of looked like a general election.
and then the general election day in November typically looked like a runoff between the top two.
So often...
Of either party.
Of either party.
So often it was a runoff between members of the same party.
Originally, it was the Democratic Party when the Democrats were dominant in Louisiana.
These days, it's the Republican Party.
So this is the first time Louisiana, you know, recent history that there has been this system.
So that's a way in which Cassidy was hurt.
I think he was also hurt because there was confusion about when the election was going to happen.
because there was this election on Saturday,
but all of the House primary elections were pushed back
because of some of the recent decision in the Supreme Court
and that Calais decision that we talked about
on the dispatch podcast last week.
Anyway, so there was all of that,
and you could look in the number.
It was something like 400,000 people ended up voting
pretty low turnout for Cassidy.
So caveats for all of those kind of,
it was a weird situation anyway.
And then you add that kind of, you know,
kind of stuck between.
Iraq and a hard place element here that Cassidy was. He was not what Republican primary voters,
the base of the base, really want in a senator. Yes, he had voted to convict in 2021 in that
Trump impeachment trial, and he had been outspoken about his disagreements with RFK Jr.
And yet, as you say, as you point out, Steve, he voted to confirm RFK Jr. as HHS Secretary.
So for those who might have been willing to give him some votes from the small but significant, you know, anti-Trump or Trump's skeptical side of the Republican primary electorate didn't give them a lot to go with either.
So he was sort of squeezed from both ends.
And if you just look at, I was looking at the map of the results here.
So there are three parishes in which, and parishes are what Louisiana calls their counties, three parishes in which Cassidy won, actually one in the,
three-way race. So he won overwhelmingly 64% in Orleans Parish. This is where New Orleans is.
And that was, he got 8,000 votes there. Again, 400,000 votes total in this race. In neighboring
Jefferson Parish, which is sort of the suburbs of New Orleans, he got 40%. So he just barely
edged out Julia Letlow, who was the leading candidate, the Trump favored candidate in this. He
picked up 14,000 votes to Julia Letlow's almost 14,000 votes herself. And then East Baton Rouge Parish,
which is where the state capital, Baton Rouge, college town is pretty much the most liberal place outside of New Orleans in Louisiana.
He got 35.4% to Giulio owes 34.9%. I mean, he did not run up the vote even in places where he ought to have for where Republicans might be less inclined to support a Trump endorsed, more conservative, more right-wing candidate.
At the end of the day, like, who was there to vote for Bill Cassidy?
Like, you can see it in the numbers.
He has no constituency beyond the, what, roughly 25% of the Republican electorate in a low-turnout
election.
There's just nowhere for him to win.
Yeah, Kevin, I want to play a clip from Cassidy's concession speech on Saturday night.
And then I want to play a clip from Senator Lindsay Graham of South Carolina.
talking about Cassidy's loss.
You're going to make me listen to Lindsey Graham on a Monday?
I'm not only going to make you listen to Lindsay Graham,
I'm going to make you react to Lindsay Graham.
Cruel.
I've been able to participate in democracy.
And when you participate in democracy,
sometimes it doesn't turn out the way you wanted to.
But you don't pout, you don't whine,
you don't claim the election was stolen,
you don't find a reason why.
You don't manufacture some excuse.
You thank the voters for the privilege of representing the state or the country for as long as you've had that privilege.
And that's what I'm doing right now.
Let me ask you about the news overnight.
Senator Bill Cassidy, losing his primary in Louisiana.
You worked closely with Senator Bill Cassidy on a range of different issues, including a plan to replace Obamacare.
He, of course, voted to convict President Trump back in 2021 in the impeachment trial.
now he's lost his seat.
Are you glad that Senator Cassidy is no longer going to be your colleague, Senator?
No, I like Bill.
I thought he's a great senator, but he made a political decision.
He tried to, he voted to impeach President Trump, which would have ruined his political life.
He could never run for office again.
Massey's on the ballot Tuesday.
He votes against Trump all the time.
What's the headline?
Trump's strong.
Those who try to destroy Trump politically, stand in the way of his agenda are going to lose.
Bill made a decision. What would LBJ do? Is it natural for a politician to go after people who try to destroy their political life?
So Bill Cassidy's lost because he tried to destroy Trump. Massey's going to lose because he's trying to destroy the agenda.
You can disagree with President Trump, but if you try to destroy him, you're going to lose because this is the party of Donald Trump.
Kevin, your reaction to those comments from currently sitting U.S. senators?
Contempt is not a strong enough word.
Look, there were a lot of people who didn't want to go along with Trump's attempt to nullify the 2020 election
who didn't have Bill Cassidy's position and resources and wealth and all that.
Some of those people lost their job. Some of them had to move.
Some of them had to have police protection because they were under threat of violence.
And Bill Cassidy was one of these guys, one of these Mike Pence types, who grew up,
conscience for 15 minutes at the end of the administration when he thought it was politically
safe to do so and then immediately regretted it for the rest of his political career.
And he wouldn't even defend his own vote in his campaign.
And people would ask him about that impeachment vote.
He would say, well, that was the past.
My opponents want to talk about the past.
I want to talk about the present and the future.
And there are people out there who are still under the threat of physical violence and
he won't stand up and say the right thing about the thing that he did that was the one
good thing in that period. And if he had any guts or self-respect, he would have said, yeah,
voted to convict the son of a bitch. I'd do it again. It was the right decision. It was the right
boat. No, I'm not going to talk about it. There's no way to call that anything other than cowardice,
and it's pure cowardice. And then he starts after he's lost the election with, oh, well, no,
he was trying to steal the vote and making up excuses about stolen elections and that stuff. He didn't
say a god-word about that stuff during the campaign because he's a coward, because he was afraid.
If you're going to lose by one boat
or lose by a thousand boats,
at least have some self-respect
and do the thing you can head of them to do,
you know, he can do all sorts of stuff
with his life other than be in the Senate
and these weasily, underhanded,
you know, just yellow-bellied stuff,
just, uh, it's irritating,
makes me sick.
I hate agreeing with Lindsey Graham,
but I am glad to see him go.
Let the Republican Party be what it is,
be a party of petty, piss and authoritarian cooks.
How do you feel, uh, Kevin, really?
Don't hold back.
I've been on vacation.
man. Can I say, though, that I agree with what Kevin said about Lindsey Graham. I mean,
Lindsey Graham is accurately describing the stakes of crossing Trump, right? And it's not just
crossing Trump, it's crossing Trump voters and Republican voters, I should say. Like, Republicans
like and love Donald Trump. And if you tell them that somebody that represents them in the
Congress or in the Senate, that they have to vote for, you know, is standing in the way or trying to
destroy Donald Trump, whether or not that's true or whether or not that's like a fully accurate
portrait, like, Republican voters don't want that. Republican voters are getting the senator,
whether it is Julia Letlow or her opponent whose name in this moment, eskaged with John Fleming.
Thing one and thing two.
Yeah, they are going to get a United States senator who more accurately represents their desires,
which is they want somebody who will not do anything to go against Donald Trump.
Like, that's what they want.
And I agree with Kevin.
Lindsay Graham is right.
So let me push back a little.
bit on that. So I agree. I mean, and I think it's hard to argue that Lindsay Graham is not right about
this being the party of Trump as it's currently constituted today. And certainly these results would
suggest as much. But if you think about what Graham said at the beginning of his answer to
Kristen Welker on Meet the Press, he said that Bill Cassidy had made a political decision.
I find that very curious observation for a couple different reasons. One, at the time he made the
decision, it was the opposite of a political decision. The people who made the political decision were the
people who, I think, refused to vote to convict. Because even when Trump was at, you know, what had been
his lowest moment, there were many Republicans, including and especially Mitch McConnell, who made
a political decision, that it wasn't worth risking antagonizing Trump voters to keep that president
from ever serving in office again and to remove him. So Cassidy,
in the moment, I think, actually made a principled decision, not a political decision.
But it's very revealing, and we don't need to spend a lot of time psychoanalizing Lindsey Graham.
Do you really think so?
I do think so.
I'm sorry to interrupt, but he made that principled decision when it looked like it was going to be
the politically beneficial thing to do because it looked like Trump was radioactive, was going to
No, I disagree with you, Kevin.
I don't think you.
You had Lindsey Graham, of all people, knee-walking sycophant that he is on the same page,
essentially saying, oh, Trump's done for.
But he didn't vote that way.
two weeks in between. I know he didn't vote that way, but he was ready to jump off the ship
in basically rodential fashion and swim squeaking away. I think Graham, though, was projecting
in this way. You know, don't forget, after the insurrection at the Capitol, Graham gives
this speech on the Senate floor. I've tried it. I've been with him. I'm done. I'm through.
Right. And Graham then makes the political decision because of where he is and the immediate sentiment
among Republican voters where Republican voters live is Trump was robbed. What are you guys doing to
stand up and stand by Trump? That was the overwhelming reaction of grassroots Republican voters.
And, you know, I can't psychoanalyze, at least not professionally, Senator Cassidy.
And I don't know what he was thinking. But I don't know that he was thinking in Louisiana
where my voters loved Trump that I'm making the political decision to convict. It sounds
I would just have to guess he was making at the time a principal decision.
I think what made that decision looms small in hindsight was that he refused to stand by his
principles when he decided he wanted to run for reelection in the face of sure defeat in a
primary because of that vote.
He votes for RFK Jr. to confirm him as HHS Secretary, despite as a medical doctor,
his own concerns. He refuses, you know, in an interview very famously with John McCormick,
who everybody's quoted for us, to talk about that vote or to acknowledge it and just wish it away.
And so he made himself look small. And the thing about Trump is there was probably nothing
Cassidy could do because this particular vote really bothered Trump. But as we all know,
Trump loves converts. I mean, you can be J.D. Vance and call him Hitler and end up,
on the ticket and as vice president.
But what you can't do and what Trump, in his way, is very aware of is the fact that so
many Republicans grovel and talk out of both sides of their mouth in order to keep him
from nuking them.
And it just never works, ever.
Yeah.
Can I just say real quick, not to put too fine a point on it, but I disagree with you, Kevin,
about the political calculation or lack thereof for a vote to convict.
But I think it's an interesting, as Druckers says, projection on Lindsay Graham's part.
I mean, for instance, I was at an off-record dinner a few years ago with a Republican United States senator who described what kind of things this senator was hearing from constituents in a nearby state of the senators and the anger at the idea that this person who did not vote to convict would even consider voting to convict or would even say a word against Donald.
Trump for what happened on January 6th.
Like, that was real and that was uppermost in the minds of these Republican senators.
But what I think is happening here is there is a lot of psychological projection from the part
of Lindsey Graham to make it seem that those who oppose Trump within the Republican Party
are doing so for their own political gain.
It's absurd because essentially every Republican who has done that has lost.
Like none of them gain politically at all.
As Graham went on to point out in,
the very same statement. I mean, the incoherence of Graham's argument is majestic. You know,
he says on the one hand, Cassidy made this political decision. And then on the other hand,
he could not possibly survive this decision because it's Trump's party. I mean, it's...
But it's important for people like Lindsey Graham to make that incoherent point as loud as possible
because it is something that is, I think, catnip to primary voters to say, oh, yeah.
Yeah. Cassidy could not have been acting on principle.
He must have been acting out of his political self-interest.
And what logic applies to that statement?
Well, it doesn't matter because it can't be that anybody is opposing Trump on principle.
That's something that cannot compute for the partisan mind.
Yeah, I think that's where we are.
In his answer to Kristen Welker, Lindsay Graham referenced Thomas Massey,
a Republican congressman from Kentucky's fourth district Drucker.
You were there not long ago wrote up the Massey race.
The primary is we're recording this Monday midday.
The primary is Tuesday.
So when people are listening to this, people may well be voting in Kentucky.
Massey has been someone who has been willing to challenge Donald Trump.
And I would say challenged Donald Trump in a much more confrontational way than many other Republicans.
He's challenged Trump in areas both of principle and size and scope of government, but also on conspiracy stuff.
Right.
I mean, he really pushed on the Epstein stuff.
he's embraced conspiracies.
If you look at the way that his campaign is ending,
there is a strong undercurrent
to be as polite as I can possibly be of anti-Semitism,
direct and open anti-Semitism on behalf of Thomas Massey
from a pro-Massie super PAC.
It's very ugly stuff.
But he's challenged Trump on the Iran war.
He's challenged Trump on foreign policy.
Does he have any chance of retaining
his seat? He does. And, you know, it's interesting, Steve, because it's just like the Trump era that
some of the Republicans that tend to confront Trump the most consistently and unprinciple are the sorts of
Republicans that, you know, if you're a Reagan era Republican and a traditional conservative,
you may find extremely unsavory, right? I'm thinking of Marjorie Taylor Green and, of course,
Thomas Massey and a few others. What I found fascinating when I was on the ground in Northern Kentucky
was just how skeptical Republicans who opposed Massey and were working to defeat him locally
were that they would actually succeed.
And one of the things they were explaining to me was that, you know,
that particular district has really nurtured this community of so-called Liberty Republicans,
these sort of libertarian-leading Rand Paul types, Thomas Massey types, if you will,
who there's about three dozen of them in the state legislature now.
A lot of them hail from the fourth district,
which is in northern Kentucky,
at a butts Cincinnati and the southwest corner of Ohio to the west.
And then it runs far east through lots of world districts.
It only touches a little bit of Metro Louisville,
just a touch.
And what they told me was that the people that support Thomas Massey,
they will crawl over broken glass to vote in every election no matter what.
And there are actually more voting.
is available to defeat Massey. It's just are they going to show up, particularly in a primary
election that is in a non-presidential year? Now, by the same token, the Republicans I have spoken to
from outside of the district who've looked at a ton of private polling and are heavily involved
in this race, tell me they think Massey is done. My interviewed Ed Galryne, his primary challenger.
And, you know, he seems like your normal run-of-the-mill Republican with a very good resume and
the perfect dose of Trump's support, if you will,
meaning he talks a lot about Trump
and how important that endorsement was.
So that has just sort of left me
believing that Massey could finally lose
but not willing to bet much money on it
because I think it's just a very odd district
and I think it's a very sort of odd sort of a race.
I know from following the race the past couple days
is that Ed Galarine seems to be playing a prevent defense here
where he doesn't want to be seen much,
he doesn't want to campaign much.
They think they have a lead
and all they have to do is protect it.
And of course, Massey is all of a sudden, all over the place, talking to everybody.
And so it makes for an interesting final few days in this campaign.
Yeah, I watch a race like this, Kevin.
And, you know, on the one hand, I have very strong instincts to support somebody who's willing to speak up on behalf of a principal,
even if I don't like some of the stuff he's saying.
I mean, I disagree with Thomas Massey on a number of national security issues.
I have some pretty strong libertarian instincts in other places.
I like the fact that he's a guy who talks about debt and deficits,
which puts him in a very, very small group of members of Congress in either party.
But I do think it's really gross.
If you look at the turn that this campaign has taken,
the ad pro-Massie Superpack ad singling out,
Paul Singer features a rainbow-colored star of David,
not very subtle, really ugly.
As far as I know, Massey certainly hasn't condemned it,
It is a pro-Massy super PAC.
And yet I sort of look at the Trump candidate and I don't want him to win either because
I don't like the message that that sends to people willing to speak out about Donald Trump
and to stand up and say the things that they believe.
Is this the sort of throwback to the Iran-Iraq war of American politics in Kentucky?
Stalingrad.
Just praying for casualty.
Stalingrad, pick your historical analogy.
Yeah.
You know, there's a difference between.
ideas and the people who hold the ideas. And there are good people who hold bad ideas,
bad people who hold good ideas, and you can't necessarily discredit ideas based on the people
who put them forward. That said, as a libertarian, I do spend some time sleepless at night,
sometimes wondering why it is that literally every person who holds my ideas who gets elected
to office is a schmuff. But none of this stuff is going to be surprising if you know the history
of like Ron Paul, for example. Right. And the newsletters and all that stuff.
that, you know, Jamie wrote about, Jamie Kurchick.
Give people a one paragraph overview of those.
Yeah, conspiracy-minded, anti-Semitic, kook stuff.
Some racist stuff thrown in there, too.
Yeah, you're not a monster, he's just ahead of the curve.
It's standard Republican stuff now, but, you know, at the time, it was shocking.
We all had to be upset by it.
Nothing you wouldn't see from any run-of-the-mill, nobody running for office in the state legislature
in Oklahoma or something these days.
Yeah, I do kind of, I do kind of pray for casualties, but I'll say about Massey,
the same thing that I would, I said about,
the Cassidy race. We're not going to do the whole lecture again, but I'm really at this point
just content to let the Republican Party be what it's decided to be. And you give the voters a few more
years of it and let them decide if this is a party full of people that they want to trust with power.
You know, Massey is on the side of the angels when it comes to debt and deficit and things like that,
as you mentioned. But there are a lot of people who are on the right side of that stuff that I wouldn't
support for public office because they're very badly on the wrong side of some other things.
And, you know, there are people out there who's saying, well, you know, if we just cut off aid to Israel, then we could balance the budget.
Well, that's not true.
But they do care about the dead.
At least they're willing to talk about.
What they really care about is blaming things on Jewish people.
So, no, however many houses, there are there, a pox on all of them, a pox on the whole block, a pox on the neighborhood, a pox on the whole district.
And I like Kentucky, you know, it's a beautiful state in a lot of ways.
But damn, their politics are just terrible.
And you mentioned this earlier, but I just, I always feel the need to repeat it every time the name comes up, speaking of Kentucky.
Mitch McConnell did a lot of good and useful and honorable and smart and decent things in the course of his career,
and they will all be a footnote compared to him sitting on his hands and allowing Donald Trump to be inflicted on the country a second time.
One bad decision shouldn't be the sort of thing that derails your reputation for an entire career,
but it will, I think, in the way history remembers this guy.
and he made a tragically wrong decision.
He made it for bad reasons.
And it's got to be the first line of his obituary.
All right, we're going to take a quick break.
What will be back soon with more from the dispatch podcast.
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Let's jump in.
Well, moving from deeply depressing discussions of Republican politics to more deeply depressing
discussions about Republican politics. Let's look ahead one more week to the Texas Republican primary.
Mike Warren, we have seen sort of a flurry of activity back and forthing between Ken Paxton,
John Cornyn. We are eight days out from voting in Texas. Where do things stand right now?
Is it your sense that one candidate or another has momentum? What are the dynamics you'll be
looking for as you watch this final week? So early voting has already begun and then of course
voting day. Just to clarify, this is a runoff. This is a runoff between Paxton and Cornyn and
being the incumbent after a primary a couple months ago where neither won 50% of the vote. There was a
third candidate, Wesley Hunt, who sort of spoiled things for an actual 50 plus 1% win in the primary. So we have
this runoff, it's been a little odd because the whole primary has been odd, because John
Cornyn is somebody who is as establishment Republican as it gets. And I don't just mean that sort of
in 2016, he was skeptical of Donald Trump and this whole kind of movement. I mean that in
26, he is about as on board with Donald Trump as the leader of the Republican Party and sort of
The party as constituted now in 2026 is anybody.
And yet there seems to be a view among Republican primary voters.
They just don't like the way he looks, you know.
There's something about him that seems.
And yes, there are some of these small votes, you know, after Yuvaldi,
after this terrible school shooting, which killed children in his state,
that he sort of tried to maybe find a way to use, you know,
the tools of federal policy, to find a way to maybe prevent something.
like that from happening, didn't actually, you know, end up achieving anything in terms of actual
change to policy. But that very kind of effort to do so makes him suspect. But it's not as if he's
never, he didn't vote to convict Donald Trump on either of those impeachments. He's basically
been a loyal Republican for better or for worse. And yet here he is facing this challenge from
Ken Paxton, who is, as we have said on this podcast, many times is a thoroughly corrupt
individual, like through and through everything about the guy.
The guy had his entire office quit after he was indicted and he is corrupt and, but he's
big and small.
And yet here he is in a position possibly, I think more likely the case, probably to win
the nomination for Senate in Texas.
That seems to be where the momentum is, but I think it's interesting.
I'd love to hear what Drucker has to say about this because he's been following the race
closely, but I think it's interesting that in all of this, Donald Trump actually hasn't said or done
anything. The extent to which Donald Trump has been involved in this primary, either before the
primary or now before the runoff, is to stay out of it. He's essentially said, I might get involved.
I might not. Who knows? By the time this actually, this podcast actually posts, maybe he will
actually jump in and weigh in one way or the other. But he hasn't endorsed Paxton, who Paxton has
sort of hugged him very tightly. And he has an endorsed coroner.
and sort of just, you know, gotten rid of this kind of pesky Paxton problem,
which I think if Paxton does win the nomination, he puts the seat at risk more to be won
by James Tallerico, the Democratic nominee.
So it's a really interesting mess.
I think Paxton has the advantage.
I don't know what Drucker thinks, but I think that's where the advantage is.
And Cornyn is just holding on for dear life here.
Drucker, does Corny have a Cassidy problem?
I mean, isn't part of the problem that John Cornyn is a sane and sensible, rational, conservative?
Mike calls him establishment.
I think he was sort of establishment in 2016 when Trump arrived on the scene,
not as conservative as movement conservatives would have probably liked.
But he is now establishment in the new Trump establishment.
But it doesn't fit.
It's not convincing.
Like I read interviews with John Corny.
I see him make pro-Trump comments.
And I think, this guy doesn't mean any of it.
He doesn't mean it at all.
And that's what I had when I would see Bill Cassidy do this.
Yeah, there's a similarity there, Steve.
I don't think what's going on is quite the same thing.
in this regard. Now, I'll explain it this way. When John Cornyn was coming up in Republican
politics in the 90s and he wins the election to become the state attorney general, and then he wins
a seat in the U.S. Senate, he perfectly personified the kind of Republican that Republican primary
voters liked at that time and wanted to elect. They wanted to elect sort of stylistically and
culturally genteel quasi-intellectual, quasi-intellectual reformers who believed in in legislative
and delivering results that we could see in the form of laws and proposals and white papers
and things like that. And what the party wants now is completely different. What they want
is somebody who's a bona fide proven fighter, who doesn't care about the rules and who doesn't
use the excuse that I needed to govern, use that as an excuse to compromise with Democrats.
When I was in Texas earlier this year to report out our story on this, I talked to a Republican
activist who told me a grassroots voter showed up at a congressional candidate forum, told me he
planned a vote for Ken Paxton.
I said, what did John Cornyn do wrong?
You know, did he not vote with Trump enough?
And what this guy told me is, you know, actually, you know, Cornyn votes with Trump plenty.
But when there's a Democrat in office, he doesn't fight hard enough.
He then, you know, he votes too much with the Democratic president.
In other words, Cornyn legislates.
And Cornyn's willing to make compromises to move the ball incrementally,
even if he can't throw it for 50 yards and score.
And that's just something Republican voters are not interested in right now.
Now, there is obviously a Trump factor in this regard, and Mike was getting to that,
which is if Trump had said, listen, I know some of you don't like Cornyn,
but he's the best way we hold the scene.
He's been with me the whole time.
Yeah, he criticized me once in a while.
But he didn't do what Bill Cassidy did.
He didn't try to keep me from ever running again.
then, you know, there's a good chance this primary might be over.
And in my conversations in the past few days, talking to Republicans out of Texas and connected to Texas,
I've been actually kind of surprised at the number of them that said they think Cornyn still has a chance to win the May 26th runoff.
But I just remained super skeptical.
Runoffs usually go against the incumbent figure.
When Ted Cruz won his runoff in 2012, he had trailed the lieutenant governor, David Dewhurst, by 10 points heading into the runoff.
ends up winning that runoff contest going away because turnout goes down and it's much more of a
base electorate. And I think one of the reasons the president hasn't jumped in here is because
he doesn't really know what's going to happen and he doesn't want to lose. And some people have
suggested to me that he might endorse Cornyn and some of the voters in Texas might say,
thank you very much. We love you. We're still voting with the guy we think is more with you
and more reflects your style of politics.
And that is Ken Paxton.
And I think, you know, Trump also may look at it finally this way.
A couple of my guys, Chris Las Avida and I believe Fabrizio, the pollster, are on team Cornyn.
And I want Cornyn to support me in the Senate.
By the same token, Ken Paxton has been about a loyal foot soldier as might possibly
humanly exist.
And, you know, why do I have to make a choice in make
people who like me angry. And that's often how Trump comes down on these things. So as Mike said,
who knows, while I'm saying this, an endorsement could come out. But I think that's one of the reasons
why this thing's still in limbo. Kevin, Mike referred to Ken Paxton earlier as a sort of an aggressively
corrupt individual. I would say he has to be by any objective measure, one of the most loathsome
politicians of the past decade.
While we're calling him corrupt, we should know it as a legal manner that he hasn't been convicted
of anything.
Correct.
He doesn't need to be convicted of anything to be corrupt.
I think the corruption is obvious.
But you're right.
It's a good cautionary note.
Let's just call him loathsome for all of the other reasons that we know he's loathsome.
When I was in Texas a couple months ago, I talked to somebody who's very neck-deep in Texas
Republican politics.
who said, you know, Ken Paxton doesn't have the enthusiastic support of any more than 15 to 20 percent of Texas Republicans.
And those are people who can just set aside all of the public reporting about what kind of a person he is and the way that he's behaved in office.
But enough of the remaining Texas Republicans view Paxton in the way that Drucker describes as somebody who will go with, you know, sort of.
a hatchet wielded high running at Democrats and willing to take on a fight in a way that
John Cornyn is just not.
And there is a way, again, going back to the Cassidy race, in which I think the problem
comes down to authenticity.
People kind of, even as Cornyn articulates a much more pro-Trump message, I don't think
many people buy it.
They kind of know the guy saying what he needs to say to have a chance in a Trump-dominated Republican Party.
And they look at Paxton and say, look this guy's his flawed can be.
I don't like him.
I don't like the stuff he does.
But I'll take that authentically loathsome over, you know, inauthentic and articulating stuff he doesn't actually believe.
Is that, do I capture the dynamic there?
Is that just an oversimplification?
Well, I think there are two varieties of servility.
at play, and they are not compatible.
So, Cornyn is an old-fashioned party loyalist.
He's a guy with a big bucket,
and he'll carry water for whoever.
He carried water for Arlen Specter back in the day.
He carried water for George W. Bush,
when he was George W. Bush,
and I carries water for Donald Trump when it's Donald Trump.
And he'll do whatever he thinks the party requires of him.
The Trump people are not party loyalists.
They often talk in those terms,
but they don't want party loyalists.
They want Trump loyalists.
People who were party loyalists
were in many cases critical to or opposed to Trump in 2015, 2016, and some other places.
And that is in their book sort of worse than being a Democrat in lots of ways.
And, you know, the lesson that Cassidy has learned, I think the lesson that Cornyn's going to learn is that you can never be a big enough sycithand.
If there's not some, you know, genuine element of whatever depravity it is that makes you a Trump person in there, they can sniff out the falseness of it.
I'm really looking forward to J.D. Vance learning that lesson,
that even J.D. Vance isn't a big enough sick effect,
and he's going to be thrown under the bus at the first opportunity.
But, yeah, it's, you know, party loyalty and Trump loyalty are not always congruous.
They're not always well-aligned sets of incentives.
And, you know, Cornyn's just the wrong kind of politician for that.
I would be very surprised if it weren't Paxton.
And I think your friend is probably a little low on the percentage.
I don't think it's 65% of Texas Republicans
are super in love with Paxton.
But remember, this is voting against, not voting for.
Right.
And I think there's probably a strong majority,
you know, probably approaching 60%
that are just anti-Kornan
because he's been there for a long time,
because he's boring because he is this wrong kind of figure,
because he is an old-fashioned sort of party operative kind of guy.
They don't like that.
You know, there are questions you want to ask them about Paxton.
Like, you know, like how many affairs is too many
for a guy to vote for?
but I guess, you know.
But this is the Trump movement, right?
I want to ask my evangelical friends,
like, how many porn movies can a guy be in
before you don't want to vote for him for president?
Kevin, I think we have to ask how few affairs is too few.
Yeah.
There's that.
There's that as well.
Grim.
So, yeah, it's going to be a hoot.
And the good news, I guess, protects his Democrats anyway,
is that if Paxton is elected,
he's probably not going to get very much done.
because he's not really much of a policy guy.
He's probably going to continue to run into various kinds of legal and ethical problems,
which are going to get a lot worse when Trump goes away
because Trump's not going to be there to protect him from federal investigations
and inquiries of various kinds.
So, yeah, good luck.
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Okay, we'll be right back.
Welcome back.
Let's return to our discussion.
Before we move to Not Worth Your Time today, I do want to go around the horn once and get your reactions to President
Trump's trip to China and the summit with Xi Jinping.
We spent a good bit of our discussion a week ago talking about what we might expect here
in one of the areas.
There were a couple of things that we focused on, I think spent a fair amount of time on
that we saw copious amounts of in the reporting and in the videos that we got coming out of Beijing.
One of them was Trump's obsequious praise of Xi Jinping again and again and again and again.
And I think we talked about last week that just being, you know, the function of Trump's respect for authoritarian.
I think he's envious of authoritarian and he likes it.
And repeatedly throughout the trip he called Xi Jinping a great leader and even talked about how people are surprised when he calls him a great leader.
But he calls him a great leader because he's a great leader.
But the more interesting substantive take away from the trip, and I think troubling from the perspective of the United States, were President Trump's comments about Taiwan.
had certainly China hands, including our Michael Sobolick, who joined us last week and others raising
eyebrows when Donald Trump appeared to talk about Taiwan and U.S. arms sales to Taiwan as just
a bargaining chip for U.S. policy with respect to Taiwan. Kevin, you've written a number of
long and very thoughtful, I think, forward-looking sort of prophetic essays for us about China.
you've hosted podcasts with China experts.
You, I think you were away from the dispatch last week,
so I'm hoping you weren't paying attention
to every single moment of the summit.
But as you tuned in to what was happening halfway across the world,
what were your impressions about what you saw?
And where does this leave the United States vis-a-vis Taiwan?
It was almost entertaining to watch Donald Trump
try to come up with the way to literally sell
the Taiwanese?
I mean, just, what can I get for this bargaining chip that I have?
Yeah, I mean, not much to say about it.
You know, nothing substantive really seems to have come out of it.
It was more of a communications kind of trip.
And what Trump seems to have communicated to Beijing is have at it.
You know, the Chinese are, they are not the, you know,
10,000-year strategic thinkers that, you know,
some people treat them as though they are.
But they do play a longer game than we do in the United States in many ways
where we've got big elections every two years.
That said, I'm just concerned.
I'm consistently surprised that they haven't just done something already.
Done it.
Yeah, because what are we going to do?
You know, nothing.
It's, we're gnarly.
We tied down in Iran and using up weapons and stuff over there.
I just don't think the Trump administration is much inclined to do that with his, you know, talk about,
hey, they're 53 miles away.
We're 9,500 miles away.
And that's a nice way of saying not really our problem.
And our policy toward China and Taiwan over the years has been, I think, a bad one in a lot of ways,
this idea of strategic ambiguity is what they call it.
We kind of think of Taiwan as a country, but not really as a country.
It's kind of part of China, but not really part of China.
And the fact that we've never really had a strong, consistent, coherently articulated
view that spells out what our national security interests are there,
besides poking a thumb in the eye of Beijing and besides our general desires,
Americans to support freedom-loving, self-governing people, wherever we find them,
which, as we all know, those sort of idealistic things aren't going to really
play very well right now. So I think even if we had a different kind of president who really cared
about this issue and really was more committed to the independence of Taiwan or at least the survival
of Taiwan as this quasi-autonomous republic, I think it would be difficult to make the case to the
American people. I think that the American people would have a hard time understanding what our
interests are. But you know, Trump very much framed Taiwan mainly as an economic competitor to the United
States, talked about how they stole our chip industry and that stuff. And that's not just a Trump thing.
As I pointed out some over the years, that Joe Biden was every inch the economic nationalist that
Donald Trump is, kept a lot of his terrorists because he has similar kinds of views about international
trade. Barack Obama, a little less so. He's read a few more issues of the economist, but still,
you know, he takes a very nationalistic, you know, kind of view of trade and industrial relations
in particular, very famously gave a speech in which he tried to revive Teddy Roosevelt's new
nationalism and all that stuff. So these views are not weird, fringe, populist tendencies. You find
him in both parties. I talked to people at a Bernie Sanders rally back when he was running for president
who were just, you know, all in about Germany and the German model. But Germany's problem is there
too many foreigners and too many immigrants in that stuff. And they sounded like Trump voters. So these sorts of
things are not limited to Trump in his weird little circle of oddballs. And I don't think that any president
could probably really give the American people a good reason to go to war with a country like China
over our interest in Taiwan. I think there might be a case to be met. I think there might be a case to be
but I suspect that politically that would be a very, very difficult thing to do.
Mike Warren, you were part of that discussion last Monday,
and there was some speculation as to whether Trump would kind of reveal his hand.
They've been reporting at that point heading into the summit
that Trump was more focused on economic issues, as Kevin points out,
and that there were a series of sort of soft negotiations in the lead-up to the summit
about sort of economic deal-making.
Some of them might have involved.
tariff reductions or renegotiating tariff deals.
Some of them had to do with economic development issues.
And the one thing that we were, I would say, as a group concerned about, curious about,
was this idea that Trump would use Taiwan as a very good negotiating chip.
And as it turns out, Donald Trump literally called Taiwan a, quote, very good negotiating.
chip. Where does that leave us? There's not much that came out of the summit, I would say, that
sort of were, were there action plans now? There were deals struck, which is often true of these
summits between global leaders. Where are we now? And do the Chinese, given everything that Kevin said,
did the Chinese leave this summit thinking that they, in effect, have, if not a green light,
a yellow light because this is the way
that Trump was talking about Taiwan.
That's my fear. It was my fear before
Trump went to China that this
would, as I think Kevin, you said something
about this is sort of a messaging trip.
I think that's totally true if you
look at the outcome
or lack thereof on the economic
negotiations and the
supposed trade deals. I mean, it's just words.
We don't seem to have anything
concrete and I don't
really know why we would expect
anything else. But
Look, this is, this, the concern with Trump has always been that it's always been just words and that it was always going to be just words.
And the promise of Trump, going back to 2016, was that finally there would be United States President who would be tough on China, right?
That, like, that was actually kind of his message.
And what that, what tough on China looked like was maybe much murkier.
Maybe it would be somebody who would be tough on mainland China, visa.
of v Taiwan. Of course, that's turned out to not be true at all because Trump doesn't really seem to
understand or have any recognition of what the Taiwan issue actually means and actually stands for.
And so in a way, he's been able to just continue what I would consider the kind of State Department
blob approach to Taiwan, which is sort of frustrating to those who look to Taiwan as sort of a beacon
of hope democracy and freedom in that region.
And ultimately, at the end of the day, there doesn't seem to have been any movement on anything positive from the American point of view.
And I'll just end by noting that we talked a little bit about this last week about the idea that Trump might bring up the release of Jimmy Lai, who's a media mogul, former sort of owner of big newspaper in Hong Kong, who has been imprisoned and is old and is sick and is likely dying in prison.
right now, and there has been a big push here in Washington from members of his family to try to push Trump to negotiate for the release of Jimmy Lai, as well as a number of other political prisoners in China.
Trump brought Jimmy Lai's name up.
He brought a couple of other.
There's a pastor in China as well who's been imprisoned.
Apparently, there's no movement on that either, and Trump has even said as much as basically said, you know, that's tough.
That's tough for Jimmy Lai.
It's going to be a really tough one for she.
And even before the trip, Trump seemed to blame Jimmy Lai in some ways for his own imprisonment,
which was really a betrayal.
He likes the ones who didn't get caught.
Yeah, he likes the ones who didn't get a really a profound betrayal compared him to, in some ways,
to James Comey, said that sort of he created these problems.
China could settle this thing like tomorrow if they really wanted to you by essentially
having a one-way union policy of saying, look, we're going to have free trade with Taiwan,
we're going to have free movement of people with Taiwan. Don't have to get the Taiwan used to buy into it.
We're just going to do it unilaterally on our side. We'll treat them like a province because we say
they're a province. We'll make their taxes deductible and kill them with kindness.
And 10 years, they would have effectively absorbed Taiwan economically and socially and politically.
And that would be over. They could do it without firing a shot if they were halfway smart,
but they'll end up finding a war over it and killing a bunch of people.
Yes.
trucker last word on this to you
President Trump has
sort of puffed his chest out on China
as Mike points out for the better part of a decade
and yet when he has these in-person
meetings he kisses the rear of
Xi Jinping and
comes away with virtually nothing
to show for the United States
does it matter to voters
that he's tough on China
that there's this gap between
the way he portrays himself and the way they'd a
acts you know nothing matters to voters
until it becomes their problem.
And they may not even connect the dots
because this may become their problem
long after Trump has left office.
And then they'll be asking all of us,
meaning everybody in Washington,
what the heck happened,
who fell down on the job,
and why do I have this problem?
And the irony of Trump
is that he's the one
that reframed the U.S. position
toward China.
He made it an issue
that the U.S. needs to stand up to China.
He wasn't the first or only one to say so,
But as a president, he was the first one after an era ushered in by Richard Nixon of, you know,
creating a sort of alliance with China because we wanted to, you know, Heisman the Soviet Union.
And so he was the one that reframed our relationship.
And yet at every turn, he has been highly deferential to the Chinese.
And, you know, I think as we've come to learn, and this is a great example, the president doesn't know how to negotiate internationally.
he doesn't do complex negotiations, he doesn't do intricate negotiations. He either bullies
countries that are less powerful in the United States or he talks tough and then ultimately
defers to countries that are either near or, you know, sort of at our level. I'm thinking
of Russia and China here. There aren't that many. But there's such a noticeable difference in how he
treats, let's say our NATO allies, none of whom individually could handle us and how he deals
with the dictators in China and Russia.
And the problem with his treatment of Taiwan as a bargaining chip,
like Mike and like the rest of the group,
I remain extremely worried about this,
is not so much Taiwan, even though, you know,
you could look at chip manufacturing and you can look at,
you know, what it would say about the U.S. as a global power
for China to give us the finger and just go take it,
understanding that Kevin is right,
Are we really going to go to war over Taiwan, but at least not today, probably not? Most likely not. But here's the problem when you treat Taiwan as a bargaining ship. We have a bunch of countries in the region, including allies of ours. I'm thinking of Australia and I'm thinking of Japan. I'm thinking of the Philippines. And we want them to be within our sphere of influence. We want them to follow the rules of the road that we set out. We want them to host our military bases.
and we want them to prioritize trading with our economy above China's economy.
And the more we let China do whatever it sees fit in the Asia Pacific,
the more one by one, if this were to continue long term,
countries that are not officially allies,
but then countries that are allies are going to start taking their cues from Beijing
because they're the big dog on the block and we're diminished or we're at least very uninterested.
And then this gets back to how vibrant the American economy is, how powerful we are around the world,
and ultimately back to voters asking what the heck happened and who's responsible.
And oftentimes you have to look back in time at things like this that don't come home to roost immediately.
So everybody's like, ah, it's fine, and I'm sure everything's fine.
But this is how it starts.
And later it ends in trouble.
And then, and this is the thing that concerns me the most, especially, you know, I've got two boys, one who's 14 and one who's about to be 11.
We end up in a war 10 to 12 to 15 years from now because China really thought that they could get away with more than we were going to allow them.
But we gave them the impression that it was okay.
Then we end up in a hot war that was completely unnecessary, or at least somebody could have tried something different but didn't.
Before we jump to not worth your time, I wanted to get from each of you something that you had read in the dispatch in recent days that you would recommend to our listeners.
And I will start by recommending a piece that David Drucker wrote.
We published it a little over a week ago.
And it is about the race in Kentucky's fourth congressional district.
Will MAGA come for Thomas Massey?
Maga is certainly coming for Thomas Massey.
Will they succeed?
that's another question.
But having read a lot about the race over the past week and a half since we published this article,
I still think it holds up as probably the best framing of the race and what we're likely to see in the next couple of days.
So I would recommend David's piece to you all.
David, do you have a piece to recommend for our listeners?
Yeah, Charles Hillow, who's usually on Capitol Hill for us, was just in eastern Pennsylvania in the Lehigh Valley.
And I'm reading this directly here.
The headline of the piece is Democratic efforts to reclaim Blue College.
voters get a test in Pennsylvania.
And he talked to some Democrats and people running for office that understand that they have a
problem with working class voters, notwithstanding Trump slide in the polls.
And it's indicative of what I think sometimes a lot of people miss when they're looking at
Democratic politics, which they have their own set of problems.
But there is a real internal debate going on right now inside the Democratic Party about
how you write the ship and where do you want to go next.
And I think Charles did a good job of capturing that.
And he did so on the ground in some real competitive territory.
That's going to tell us a lot about whether House Democrats win the majority after all of this redistricting that has gone against them.
And if they do, how big is that majority?
Yeah, Mike, you led the conversation last week in my absence.
I appreciate you not letting anybody ambush me as you did the last time I was away.
It was very generous of you this time.
really terrific discussion about redistricting the politics of it, the history of it.
If you happen to miss that conversation last week, I would encourage you to go back and listen
to it. I listened to it on my cross-country drive and learned a lot. Mike, do you have a piece
that you would recommend to our listeners? Yeah, a little off topic from that. Thank you, Steve,
for recommending that podcast. Emily Oster has a piece for us this week, the benefits of a later
school bell looking at the idea of starting school later in the day. I'm not necessarily convinced
by it, but it's interesting and intriguing to me as the father of three sons, one of whom is,
he'll be in middle school in just a couple of years and sort of interested in seeing what happens
in terms of sleep schedule and performance in school. So I'm always interested in always want to
read Emily Oster on these kinds of topics because I always learned something.
I'll read her on anything she writes.
Kevin. Oh, we endorse all three of those choices. I liked them all very much. And add to them,
I'm not sure if Grace pronounces her name Salvatore or Salvatore, but Grace, that lovely evocative
name she has, by the way, all on Nebraska, which was just terrific. I've really been enjoying the
where I'm from series. I started one of my own, which unfortunately now is 11,000 words long.
That's his biggest Texas. What did they give you? They give you a 20,000 word limit?
No, I didn't. No one was even asked for one.
No, here's what sucks about this in all the seriousness.
You've written 11,000 words so far.
If you wrote another five, I would want to read them all.
I would not want to have it edited.
What are we going to do?
We're going to have this.
Nobody else is going to be able to write this series for the rest of the year.
It's just going to be Kevin serialized until 2027.
We don't have paper anymore.
We can put as many pixels as we want on the Internet.
And people can read through.
That is an argument I would have made when I was a writer.
Now that I'm an editor, I'm less than pathetic.
I've got a missing week to make up for, so.
That's good.
So finally, today, I had actually given our distinguished panel a heads up that I wanted to end with a discussion about summer camps because it's almost summertime.
We're making some preparations in the Hayes family to send a kid away to summer camp.
and I want to get a sense of how our panel thinks about summer camps.
And I'm not going to do that.
We're going to save that.
Maybe it'll be Thursday.
Maybe it'll be next week.
But I want to get an immediate reaction from the panel to something that broke during the course of our conversation here.
We don't do a lot of this hot takery, quick reaction stuff.
It's kind of not how the dispatch was built.
But this has been something that I think we've anticipated for.
several weeks. There's been sort of behind the scenes discussions about it. There's been reporting
periodically about this potential deal. And now it has been announced by the Department of Justice.
And I'll just read you the top of the New York Times. At this point, only has a two-paragraph news brief about it.
And then I'll get your reaction. The Trump administration announced on Monday the establishment of a 1.776 bill.
billion dollar fund to compensate people who claim they were targeted by the Biden Justice Department,
creating a potential pipeline to funnel taxpayer money to his allies and supporters.
The highly unusual plan slammed by critics as a political slush fund came after President Trump
withdrew his lawsuit demanding at least $10 billion against the Internal Revenue Service
and apparent effort to skirt oversight by the judge in the case.
case as he moves toward arranging a fund to funnel taxpayer money to his allies and supporters.
This, I have to say, this is one of the most absurd things I have seen in the Donald Trump era.
Then just wait till tomorrow, Steve.
I mean, honestly, I'm open to anything.
You know, part of my mantra during the past decade is we can always go lower.
there are always new surprising and shocking things.
So I'm open to the possibility.
We've got two and a half years left.
I expect we'll see more of this kind of stuff.
But this is one of the most truly preposterous things.
I've seen the federal government do in my 30 years of covering politics.
And one of the most truly preposterous things I've heard the federal government doing
as long as I've been able to read about such matters.
I have the actual release by the office of the Attorney General.
And it is one of these sort of laughs so you don't cry moments.
The settlement agreement in Trump v. IRS has created the anti-weaponization fund.
The settlement agreement directed by the Attorney General to issue an order establishing funding
and any other relevant requirements of the fund for the federal.
the fund. Within 60 days, this is Section C. Within 60 days of the effective date, the United States
shall provide the U.S. Department of the Treasury with all necessary forms and documentation to direct
a payment of $1,776 million to an account for the sole use by the anti-weaponization fund.
It's just like the Times in its very New York Times way, I think, tried to give the readers a sense of what this
was without making the claim that it actually is what it is.
I mean, this is just a political slush fund.
Is there anything more to it?
Am I not seeing anything?
Do any of you, have any of you done reading or have an understanding that can help
us put this in a less corrupt light?
Drucker, I'll start with you.
Yeah, well, I mean, I'll go ask the question, but I, you know, look, maybe this is how
Trump's going to try and address the affordability crisis. You take some government money and you
funnel it to people in need. The government money comes from the taxpayers. How it's like that?
No, no, no. It comes from the oligarchy. Grand Platner says oligarchy and I'm going with that.
The other thought I had is like this is a great gig where you get to go to work somewhere and then
use other people's money to pay friends of yours. And it doesn't work that way where I work.
So maybe you and Jonah can talk about that.
All things be, look, kidding aside, although this is how I'm going to deal with this psychologically,
is to just kind of make jokes about it, is that I would like to actually ask experts and historians
and anybody else, is there anything similar like this in American history that has been directed
by a president and then produced by the Department of Justice or any other government agency?
I would be interested to know.
The other thing I will say politically is that, look, if the economy was flying high, inflation had been dealt with, and voters were saying to themselves, look, this is who I thought he was, but I made a bargain. He would be this guy, but deliver me this economy and this quality of life. Then, you know, it's one of those things where it's just the price of admission with President Trump. But because the economy is where it is as far as voters are concerned,
among other things.
You know, I think this is just another political problem for the president and his party.
And yes, you know, all the jokes I was making, this is a sort of, it's a problem for how people
look at our government and our institutions and whether they have any faith or trust in them.
But, you know, that's a longer conversation than my hot take at the end of the podcast.
Yeah, Kevin, among the people that Donald Trump believes have been unfairly targeted by a weapon,
Department of Justice, are the people responsible for the attacks on January 6th, who were
summoned to Washington and, I think, provoked by President Trump's own language, these people who
beat police officers and did tremendous damage to the Capitol itself threatened senators,
members of Congress, Mike Pence, tried to actively try to stop the process of certifying
the election. Trump has repeatedly talked about them as very, very much.
victims of the Joe Biden Justice Department.
Should we expect that January 6ers, having been pardoned by the president, are now going to be paid by the U.S.
government?
I want to assume so.
You asked me if I'd done any reading to put this into context, and I have.
It's all been Kafka and Orwell, but it has been reading that puts it into context.
Yeah, he's a criminal, right?
I mean, you lie down with dogs, you get up with fleas.
You elect someone like this, this is the stuff he does.
Mike, last word to you.
Maybe there's not much more to say about it.
We'll do more reporting on it.
But this, I guess, again, nothing at this point surprises me.
And we had heard reporting about this, but this seems to be another new low.
Well, look, out of an abundance of sort of fairness or telling the totality of the story,
it is worth pointing out that it is a pretty regular occurrence that in Democratic,
Democratic administrations, you see settlements, particularly on environmental issues, you know, pollution
enforcement settlements and other kinds of things that, you know.
Sue and settle, as they call it.
Yes, the sue and settle regimes, even the most generous sort of look at them, it's their payouts to democratic interest groups.
So I want to get that out there and say that like.
I agree.
And that's relevant context.
That's important.
That's important context that should be acknowledged in this conversation.
And that being acknowledged, the stories of so much of the Trump administration and the Trump era approach of Republicans and Trump administration officials is to sort of to take what they believe to be an abuse of power from their political opponents and turn it up to 11 in the most absurd and nakedly corrupt ways as possible.
And so my reaction to this, and by the way, the 1776.
I mean, it's, it makes me laugh.
It's cute.
It also kind of makes me sick to see sort of such a, you know, it's just a year.
It's just a number, but it's an important number in our country's history.
And, of course, we're celebrating the 250th anniversary of that.
And here it is being so cheaply used as a PR stunt that also happens to be, you know, corrupt.
And it just, it's disgusting, frankly.
And I hate to see it.
In fact, Mike, you are right, the Attorney General himself, in rationalizing this fund points to agreements by the Obama administration's Department of Agriculture over the years to justify this new 1776 fund.
And we all know two wrongs make a right, right? That's what we were taught?
Yeah. And these may be similar in kind. They're very different in degree. I would argue they're not actually similar in terms.
kind. There may be some sort of notional precedent.
We could let these J-Sixirs go to court.
You know, if we want to do a sue and settle, let's make them at least sue.
Yeah, well.
Instead of just buying new buffalo pelts for everybody.
Most of them should still be in jail.
Sorry for the departure and the serious, more serious, not worth your time.
I do think it's worth your time.
I think it's so worth our time that I imagine we'll be talking about it again.
On Thursday, as we do some reporting and come back to the topic,
Thank you all for joining us today.
Thanks, Kevin, Mike, David.
See you next time.
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That's going to do it for today's show.
Thanks so much for tuning in
Thank you to the folks behind the scenes who made this episode possible, Noah Hickey and Peter Bonaventure.
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