The Dr. Hyman Show - Reversing Diabetes Naturally: The Science Big Medicine Ignored
Episode Date: April 28, 2025There has been a fundamental shift in understanding metabolic health and chronic disease, particularly Type 2 diabetes, challenging long-standing dietary dogma by emphasizing that insulin resistance i...s largely driven by overconsumption of refined carbohydrates, not dietary fat or red meat. While highlighting the success of carbohydrate restriction and ketogenic approaches, nutrition is being seen as a powerful tool for reversing diabetes—often more effective and sustainable than conventional medication. The implications are far-reaching, not only for individual health outcomes, but also for reshaping public health strategies in addressing today’s chronic disease epidemic. In this episode, I speak with Gary Taubes, Sami Inkinen, and Dr. Greeshma Shetty about an approach to treating Type 2 Diabetes that works. I also discuss how red meat is not to blame, but we should be looking at high sugar and starch diets. Gary Taubes is an award-winning science and health journalist, and co-founder and director of the Nutrition Science Initiative (NuSI). He is the author of The Case Against Sugar, Why We Get Fat, Good Calories, Bad Calories, and, most recently, The Case for Keto. Gary is a former staff writer for Discover and correspondent for Science. He has written three cover articles on nutrition and health for The New York Times Magazine, and his writing has also appeared in The Atlantic, Esquire, and numerous "best of" anthologies, including The Best of the Best American Science Writing (2010). He has received three Science in Society Journalism Awards from the National Association of Science Writers, and is also the recipient of a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Investigator Award in Health Policy Research. He lives in Oakland, CA. Sami Inkinen is the CEO and Co-Founder of Virta Health, a pioneer in reversing diseases like obesity and type 2 diabetes through a nutrition-first approach. Sami's personal connection to diabetes and passion to advance global health was the motivation behind Virta and its innovative care model. Previously, Inkinen was the co-founder of the leading online real estate marketplace Trulia, serving as its COO and president and board member until its IPO and eventual sale to Zillow Group. Dr. Greeshma Shetty, board certified in Internal Medicine and Endocrinology, currently serves as a Lead Clinician in the Virta Medical Group and the Director of Quality and Safety at Virta Health. Prior to joining Virta, she was clinical physician educator at Harvard Medical School, where she directed the combined Joslin - Beth Israel Deaconess Endocrine Fellowship program and Co-Directed the Asian American Diabetes Initiative. She is dedicated to clinical excellence, leveraging health technology, transforming healthcare delivery, driving health equity and building high performing teams. This episode is brought to you by BIOptimizers. Head to bioptimizers.com/hyman and use code HYMAN10 to save 10%. Full-length episodes can be found here: The Evolution of Diabetes Treatment How to Reverse Diabetes Naturally Does Red Meat Cause Type II Diabetes?
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Patients do well if you don't feed them carbs.
Isn't that weird?
Is that it's a disorder of carbamydrametabolism.
Exactly.
Tell them not to eat it.
They do fine.
You don't take the toxin.
You don't need the antinode.
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There are essential fatty acids.
There are essential amino acids. There are essential amino acids.
There are no essential carbohydrates.
So the body actually does not need them biologically
to thrive, even though it's our main fuel source.
So historically we've been adapted
to a whole range of diets,
from the Inuits and the basically ketogenic diet,
to the Pima Indians who were 80% carbohydrates,
but it was all high fiber plant-based carbohydrates
that were really nutrient dense.
So, the body can survive and thrive on many different things
and the quality of the calories matter,
which is really the thesis of your book,
Good Calories, Bad Calories.
And I think most people don't understand
that they actually can regulate their biology
if they figure out what their particular metabolic type is,
because everybody's different.
And for example, I need a little more carbohydrates,
because I'm kind of thin, and if I don't eat them,
and I go keto, I'll lose too much weight.
But if I take a patient who's overweight
and type two diabetic, they're gonna do really well,
if I do that.
And a little bit of carbohydrates might prevent them
from doing really well.
Yeah, yeah.
That's the, I think one of the points
that I've made in my other books is
we do think everybody is different.
And we definitely evolved to cope with the proteins
and fats in our diet.
The idea that the foods that we didn't have,
the new foods of modern life.
Ultra-processed food, that's not even food.
Yeah, I'm not wild about the term ultra-processed
because it's sort of like the miasma theory
of all these kind of vague things that we're gonna throw.
Michael Pollan called them food-like substances.
Right, right, right.
I prefer that, it gets more to the point.
They don't meet the actual criteria,
the definition of food.
But we didn't have time to adopt
to high levels of sugar in our diet
and sugary beverages in our diet.
These things didn't exist.
We didn't have time.
I mean, I'm agnostic about the seed oil issue.
I don't find the evidence.
I mean, I can easily believe that these things are toxic.
But I.
The evidence is confusing, for sure.
There's a certain absence of human clinical trial evidence.
Just like sugar, when you think about sugar,
we never had exposure to the amount of sugar
we're eating now, historically as species.
We never had 10% of our diet being refined
soybean oil before.
That's a new phenomena for humanity,
and maybe it's okay, maybe it's not,
but I think it should be questioned.
Yeah, it certainly should be questioned,
and that's the thing, those, so you can propose that those are problems.
And with the sugar and refined grains,
you could see what happens
when you take them out of people's lives.
And we have clinical trials.
So can you talk about that?
Like you talk about the Virta Health work
and Sarah Halbrook's work
and the sort of work on advanced type two diabetes
where they actually were able to reverse it,
not just slow it down or delay the complications
or to manage the disease, but literally to reverse it.
Yeah, well, so this is, you know,
getting back to the history a bit.
We get to the 1970s, 80s,
the diabetes community, to their credit,
did some really ambitious clinical trials.
And what they find out in the fact is that this disease
as by their treatment is a chronic progressive disorder.
It just gets worse.
A famous British trial where they just,
they show they start people on diet only
and then they add one drug and then they go
and they see how many of the patients diagnosed
with type two diabetes can stick with one drug, monotherapy,
and the answer is like 10%.
So as time goes on, you keep on having to add drugs
to keep the blood sugar under control.
They do these, as we said, a chord and the,
I forget the other names of the other two trials,
looking at intensive insulin therapy
and they find that it does more harm than good
at the very best.
And then they do this huge look ahead trial,
$200 million to demonstrate that if you lose weight,
you'll reduce diabetic complications.
It's a fundamental pillar of thinking with diabetes.
Just get your patients to lose weight, they'll be fine.
And they get them to lose weight
and it doesn't make a damn bit of difference.
A trial was ended for futility, a $200 million trial
and a great quote in the New York Times
from a Harvard diabetes specialist named David Nathan
who says, we have to have an at all conversation
about this and they never do.
But while this is happening.
But this is an important point.
They lost weight and they got worse. No now they lost weight and they didn't get better
So the idea was you lose weight, you know have fewer complications you reduce heart disease you reduce strokes you reduce
Mortality from this disease. It didn't make any was it because of how they lost weight
Well, it could have been because of how they lost weight? Well, it could have been because of how they lost weight. And in fact, back around 2003,
when I first heard about this trial
from one of the principal investigators,
I was in a conference,
they invited me to talk in Houston.
I remember saying to him,
look, are you doing a low carb arm?
Okay, just do a low carb arm.
Make it not just low calorie, low fat, fruits, vegetables,
whole grains, the usual story.
Mediterranean diet, right.
Well, this was pre-Mediterranean.
I mean, this was, yeah, it was just classic low fat.
But in low fat, they're also saying you're eating fruits,
vegetables, whole grains, you know, cut back on meat,
exercise.
They, no, they never cross their mind to do a low carb diet because that was still considered
quackish.
But as the diabetes community keeps learning about how ineffective their treatments are
and how their belief system is falling apart on top of them and not having an adult conversation
about it, which is maybe we're making some mistakes here.
Other physicians coping with this increased obesity
in their patients are confronted with patients
who don't take their advice and instead like
buy Atkins' diet revolution book
and lose 40 pounds on Atkins.
Yeah.
And a few of these doctors are open-minded enough,
Eric Westman and David Ludwig, they say,
I'm going to look into this.
I'm going to actually do a clinical trial.
So they start doing clinical trials.
There's a big study at the Philadelphia VA.
And there, the woman named Linda Stern
is frustrated by how much her inability to help her patients.
So she literally goes to like a Brentano's bookstore
and she sits down in the diet section,
starts reading diets.
The doctor's going to the bookstore
to read self-help books because it's not in the textbooks.
You know, it's not, not, not, not.
Definitely don't get grades,
good grades for this in med school.
Anyways, I think she found protein power
and she sounds like she might get married.
She tries it on herself and this is,
they're effortless to lose weight.
So they put together a clinical trial
and this is a veteran's administration's hospital.
So there are a lot of vets.
They're not just obese, they have metabolic syndrome
and type two diabetes.
And instead of cutting them out of the trial
as you would, the inclusion criteria
in a pharmaceutical trial is gonna say,
we're gonna take these patients because they're ill.
She says, since it's so associated with obesity,
let's do it.
And not only do these patients lose a lot of weight
on the diet, but their type two diabetes gets better
on this high fat, low carb,
at and small protein power diet.
Yeah.
So you start getting this groundswell, this movement of doctors who are reading
these articles in the literature and saying, look, you know, diet really seems
to help, they don't know this deeper history, although Eric Westman at Duke
is looking into it, it's just patients do well if They don't know this deeper history, although Eric Westman at Duke is looking into it.
It's just, patients do well if you don't feed them carbs.
Isn't that weird is that?
It's a disorder of carbamidrometabolism.
If you don't tell them not to eat it, they do fine.
You don't take the toxin, you don't need the antidote.
So Steve Finney and Jeff Volek too.
Steve is a PhD nutritionist.
I've had them on the podcast.
Who trained at MIT and is out at UC Davis
and he's been, he had studied ketogenic diets
and Jeff Voellack is an exercise physiology PhD
then at the University of Connecticut
and they'd start working together
and publishing on this and they helped start this company,
Virta Health, I remember Steve's idea, I think it was,
was we could just convince insurance companies and employers
that they could save money.
As diabetes is an expensive disorder,
it's costing them $15,000 a year in medical bills.
If they could save 80% of that by getting these people
on a diet, wouldn't they wanna do that?
So they'd become the clients, not the patients.
We'll go after the payers, the insurers,
the Kizers and Blue Shields of the world.
And they create this company, they get this brilliant CEO,
Sammy Inkenen, who is a world-class Stanford MBA,
made millions creating the website.
I always forget whether it was Trulia
or one of the real estate websites.
And it's a world-class triathlete
who was diagnosed with pre-diabetes,
despite having come in first in his age group
in the Ironman Triathlon.
And Sammy goes to Steve and Jeff for advice
on how to treat the pre-diabetes
and also how he wants to, this is Sammy,
he wants to row to Hawaii, from San Francisco to Hawaii
with his wife, Meredith, and he thinks they could do it.
It was like a fun trip for the afternoon.
On a ketogenic diet, Jeff and Steve can coach them
and they start talking about this idea
and they start this company, Virta Health.
Meanwhile, by the way, Sammy and Meredith do road to Hawaii
and they break the record
and they don't need any carbohydrates on the whole trip.
I think it was 24 miles.
And how he got the pre-diabetes
was he was using all those goose and energy things
that athletes use
to fuel their bodies.
Not only that, Sammy believed that a low fat diet
was the healthiest way to eat.
He had been told that.
And Sammy is, I think he's Norwegian.
And as he put it, not that being Norwegian matters,
but if he's Finnish, I apologize.
He's just got the best,
somebody tells him not to eat fat, he doesn't eat fat.
I mean, this is an extraordinarily,
the man has an extraordinary strength of will
and then he's diagnosed with prediabetes.
So there's something wrong.
This is a common phenomenon
that happens to many people in our world, right?
You're doing what's supposed to be the right thing
and it doesn't work for you.
And then you do the wrong thing, which in this case
is this low carb, high fat ketogenic animal diet.
And you get better and you say, wait a minute,
if it's wrong for me, maybe it's wrong for a lot of people,
if not everybody.
So they start this company, Virta Health.
They realize they need a clinical trial to convince
and they meet Sarah Hallberg, who is a physician in Indiana,
amazing woman to whom the book is dedicated,
who has been asked to run an obesity clinic
at Indiana Health and has to learn everything she can about obesity.
And she starts reading all the literature
and she goes down the rabbit hole
and she experiences this based on Jell-O revelation.
And she realized that the only people
who seem to be having effective,
who seem to be effectively getting their patients
to lose weight
are these people like Westman,
who are advocating for these Atkins low carb keto diets.
And so she goes and spends time with Westman.
She goes and starts advocating for this
at her obesity clinic.
And she meets Jeff and Steve
and they put together a clinical trial
where they're gonna randomize people
for type two diabetes, people with type two diabetes
to either this nutritional ketosis,
keto with smartphones and personal coaching and support
and telemedicine.
Adjusting their medications if they need to.
Yeah, cause you're gonna have to adjust medication.
If you stop eating the toxin,
you're gonna have to lower the dose of the antidote.
And it's either that or the American Diabetes Association
standard of care, which is drug therapy.
And they do the trial, and after a few years,
they report one year results,
and after three years, they report two year results.
And for patients who comply with the diet,
they seem to put this progressive chronic disease
into remission.
So it's not a progressive chronic disease.
It's only a progressive chronic disease
if you're eating the toxin.
If you're not eating the toxin,
you don't manifest the symptoms.
It's not the ideal clinical trial
Yeah, there's all kinds of their problems with it
Wasn't randomized actually I probably said randomized and I should not it was they let patients choose whether they wanted the diet or the
ADA standard of care. Yeah
but even on with those constraints, it demonstrated beyond a shadow of a doubt that a disorder
which is considered chronic and progressive is not necessarily chronic and progressive
and that the defining factor is the diet.
Again, whether you eat the toxin.
That's true.
I mean, in our practice at the Ultra Wellness Center, I've seen that over and over again.
People just don't, on insulin, get off insulin,
on meds, get off meds, normalize their weight,
normalize their metabolism, their ANC goes down,
they went from 11 to five and a half in a few months.
I mean, it's quite remarkable.
It's quite remarkable.
And so, by the end of the book, my apple,
I mean, again, this book does not advocate.
It's a dense, historical, critical.
Yeah, it's like a mystery novel.
And a mystery novel.
Who done it and who didn't do it?
I think it's a very good book.
The question is, imagine a scenario where everybody,
every physician was taught not just the proper drug therapy,
but how effective this dietary therapy was.
Because there are always been two levers to pull
to keep blood sugar under control.
There's diet or drugs.
Right.
Until 1921, we only had diet and for patients
with type two diabetes, it was effective.
Yeah.
Don't eat these foods, you'll be fine.
Yeah.
Once we had drugs, you had two levers and the idea
was use the drugs, give the drugs.
You know, we're going to say that idea was use the drugs, give the drugs.
We're going to say that diet is integral, the cornerstone of therapy, but we're going to pay lip service to it because we got the drugs.
What if confronted with a new patient, you give them the diagnosis, you have type 2 diabetes or type 1 diabetes, and you say, look, we can do this. We can treat your symptoms with drugs.
You can continue to eat exactly the way you want.
Or if it's type one, you're going to eat at specific intervals, specific amounts to allow
us to maximize, craft a diet to maximize efficiency of the drug therapy.
And there's all these complications we know are gonna ensue.
So you're gonna have an increased risk of heart disease
and stroke and dementia and blindness and retinopathy.
And for some of you, no matter how well you manage
your blood sugar with these drugs,
those complications are gonna happen anyway.
At which point we're gonna blame you.
But you don't have to say that, or you can do this diet.
Now what it means is no more bread, potatoes, sweets.
Yeah, which people love.
Sugary beverages.
Which people crave, it's hard,
because they crave those foods
when they have insulin resistance.
Yeah, which is fascinating.
If you eat this way, as far as we can tell, you'll be fine.
No drugs, no complications of drugs,
no needing more doses or new doses,
no waiting for new drugs to come along,
no dialysis.
As far as we can tell, if you eat this way, you'll be fine.
It's amazing.
I mean, we spend billions on it.
And it'll probably take two or three months.
You might love it immediately. It might take two or three months. You might love it immediately.
It might take two or three months to get used to it, in which case, like somebody who's
quit smoking, you won't miss cigarettes after a while.
You will at first.
You won't after a while.
It's your choice.
We're happy either way, because we want you to be healthy.
But this way, chronic progressive disease,
diabetic complications, more and more drugs,
complications of drugs, this way,
as far as we can tell, and we can't, you know,
there are unknown unknowns here.
As far as we can tell, if you eat this way, you'll be fine.
You choose.
And if you do eat this way, let's make sure you do it right.
And if you choose the drugs, we'll make sure you do it right.
It's such a simple notion.
And yet it's bucking against the establishment paradigm
that we should be using drug therapy
and high carbohydrate diets in diabetics.
I mean, I think the ADA is starting to come along,
American Diabetic Association, but it's really tough.
Well, they're starting to come along, American Diabetic Association, but it's really tough. Well, they're starting to come along,
but if you see how they do it,
so they put out these standard of care documents
and every year, every January,
and there'll be like eight or 10 of these documents.
And what they do is they revise based on what research
came out in that past year.
So they really have no mechanism by which to say,
let's just rethink this.
Everything.
And then when they're revising it,
the discussion of diet is inside in this document
where it's sort of, you can do this or you can do that,
or you can try this diet, we have this research for this
or this research for that.
They don't have any mechanism to say, can we just try,
let's try a different approach.
Yeah. Okay. Let's try a different approach. Yeah.
Okay.
Let's divide the world up.
Let's say this is what we can be achieved with diet and this is what can be achieved
with drug therapy.
And this is the complications that we know of with diets, not many, and these are the
complications we know of with drug therapy, chronic progressive disease.
Many people might choose drugs. Maybe they're right.
I don't know.
I think when you look at the data,
to me it's pretty clear that if you use drug therapy,
that it is a progressive chronic disease
and you can mitigate or slow the complications,
but it's not gonna prevent them.
Well, this is.
And if you use the dietary therapy, it goes away.
And I think people might be listening,
going, well, Gary, you're giving these people
a ketogenic diet with 75, 80% of their diet is fat.
What about their heart?
And maybe save their diabetes.
But actually, they looked at over 20 cardiovascular
biomarkers as part of the Virta study.
And they were all improved.
Actually, they got better.
And I've seen this over and over.
I had a patient which was really struggling
with weight loss and she had pre-diabetes,
she had triglycerides of three plus 100,
or HDL was very low and her total cholesterol
was over 300, very high insulin levels,
rising blood sugar, and I'm like,
why don't you try a ketogenic diet.
She did it.
Not only did she lose 20 pounds,
but her cholesterol dropped 100 points,
her triglycerides dropped 200 points,
her H2O went up 30 points, her blood sugar normalized.
Now that may not work for somebody else
who's a thin guy who is an athlete.
And I've seen people who use this ketogenic diet like that
who actually don't do well.
And I'm one of those guys,
if I eat too much of the wrong fats,
my cholesterol goes off the rails.
But we don't know how harmful that is.
We don't, we don't, unless we look inside your arteries
and then we can tell.
Well, you can, yeah, then.
Yeah, so it's just fascinating.
I think this is really important moment in history
because we have this, it's a craze of Ozempic,
of Ogobi, Manjaro, it's the golden child
of the moment of pharmacology.
And nobody's really talking about the issue that matters,
which is what we're eating
and why we're eating what we're eating.
And that's because we have this mindset
that the people with obesity,
we're not gonna blame it on willpower.
We're not gonna acknowledge that it's a disease now.
This is what Oprah was saying.
But we're also going to assume that they won't change their diet.
And it's really complicated.
I've read a lot of the literature of mostly women, but not entirely women
with obesity.
They're so confused.
They know it's not a willpower problem.
No, it's not a willpower problem.
And often these authors will say, I tried every diet, none of them worked.
And I want to reach out to them to say, well, did they-
You didn't try the right one.
Well, or did you, because they always include Atkins in the list.
Did it not work for you?
Or are you some, but then they'll say,
it's just one of these books I read recently.
It's, I don't want to go through my life
not eating a donut.
Right.
Well, I understand.
I get that, I get that.
I get that, but I've been biased by my history
as a cigarette smoker.
There was a period in my life where I couldn't imagine
going through my life without a cigarette.
And in fact, my next cigarette was what pulled me forward
into the future.
Maybe it's an inappropriate metaphor,
I'm not sure it is or not.
Well, no, and we know there's real addiction
with these foods,
particularly the, whatever you call them,
food-like substances or ultra-processed food or high starch and sugar foods,
they activate the brain centers for pleasure,
and we can map that on brain imaging studies.
So there's no doubt that these have biological effects
on the brain that drive our behavior, our cravings,
our appetite, but I think what's really remarkable
as a doctor treating these patients is that when you do
the right thing, their brain chemistry changes, their hormones change, their
metabolism changes and they don't actually have those cravings. It's not like you
have to use willpower to fix it. You use science. If you're struggling with stress,
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use code HYMAN10 for 10% off your order. When you have diabetes, you become carbohydrate intolerant.
They're not, as I mean, all of us are born that way,
but we come that way because we live in a sort of a soup
of sugar and starch that's washing over us for decades.
And that leads to the development
of this metabolic dysfunction.
And the solution is to kind of reverse that trend by restricting carbohydrates and increasing fats.
And tell us sort of how that works and why we kind of got so far away from it because
it was the treatment, you know, 100 years ago and now we're coming back to it as the
treatment and explain the biology behind the science of ketogenic diets as a diabetes reversal treatment.
So, you know, in the trial,
our patients were on a well-formulated ketogenic diet,
which is very low carb, so 30 grams.
But practically in our clinical workflows,
we do a lot of low carb
and not everybody's in well-formulated ketogenic diet.
So we really try to sort of meet
patients where they need to be. And there's a lot of heterogeneity in type 2 diabetes, right? We've
in genome-wide association studies, we now know there's hundreds of different like types of type
2 diabetes, but sort of like the end result or the goal is to preserve beta cell functional mass,
right? And the beta cells are those cells that make insulin.
And so anything we can do to de-stress that beta cell
and keep its insulin production up is critical.
And when we eat high carb diets,
we add to cytokine release, inflammation, glucotoxicity,
all of these things stress out the beta cell.
And so that sort of accelerates the destruction of beta cell function and mass over time.
And that's when you start seeing the one-way trolley for type 2 diabetes.
So if you can reset that and change that pathway, you can definitely improve insulin secretion
and also decrease while you're losing weight, decrease the insulin
resistance at other target organs like in your liver and your muscles.
So you also spare the beta cell from having to produce more insulin to do the same job.
So multiple layers of de-stressing the beta cell through the nutritional intervention
directly, but also indirectly by affecting other parts of metabolism.
I mean, energy homeostasis is so complex. directly, but also indirectly by affecting other parts of metabolism.
I mean, energy homeostasis is so complex.
I have so much humility.
I started my fellowship training studying adipokines.
I was in a lab where I was studying leptin and adiponectin,
and there are so many other cascades, and they all interact with the gut,
the microbiome, the brain, your satiety centers, your pancreas.
So there's so much complexity.
So really thinking about it simplistically though is really preserving and de-stressing
that beta cell.
And the way you do that is by basically restricting carbohydrates and adding a lot of fat.
Now it's not the bacon and kind of cheeseburger diet, right? There's a healthy
way to do this. It doesn't mean you have to be eating a lot of food that may not be great
for you. And so I think people are often thinking, oh, fat is bad. Fat makes me fat. In fact,
if we eat fat, you get fat. And there's this whole mythology we had about that. And in
fact, that was sort of the prevailing theory for so long. And now it's shifted. And there's this whole mythology we had about that. And in fact, that was sort of the prevailing
theory for so long. And now it's shifted. And we understand that actually, for these metabolic
dysfunctional people, which is most of America, that we're eating way too many refined starches
and sugars. I mean, carbohydrates are also vegetables, so there's no harm in eating
vegetables. But the starch and sugar and the refined carbohydrates are the ones that are driving this problem.
And so the solution is restricting those.
And you're saying you don't always have to be fully ketogenic.
You can be very low carb.
And I've seen this too.
I mean, I had a patient at Cleveland Clinic who was type 2 diabetic on insulin for 10
years, you know, had heart failure, had kidney starting to fail, fatty liver, hypertension,
had multiple stents put in for
cardiac disease and was on 20,000 of copium medications.
Her body mass index was 43, which is huge percent and her A1C blood sugar average was
11.2.
And we just didn't put on a keto diet, but since she just took off grains and beans,
sugar, processed food, put her on lots of good fats, olive oil, avocado, nuts and seeds, healthy protein,
lots of veggies, fiber, and was about 50% fat, not 75% or 85% fat, which is what most
keto diets are.
And within three days, she was off for insulin, and three months she was off for medications,
or A1C, went from 11.2 to 5.5, which is normal. Her ejection fraction went to normal. Her kidneys got better,
her fatty liver got better, her blood pressure got better. In a year, she lost like 116 pounds.
So without a ZempBic, without a gastric bypass, simply by getting the group support, which
we did, and by using kind of a very kind of low carbohydrate diet that was a very anti-inflammatory
diet. So what I'm hearing you say is it doesn't have to be always ketogenic, but it has to
sort of be matched to that person's state of metabolic dysfunction.
The more sick you are, the higher dose of drug you need in a sense, right?
I would also add that we haven't published this.
Actually, we published some, but we actually have very interesting dose response data.
So pharmaceutical companies usually do what they have to do like interesting dose response data. So pharmaceutical companies usually do a,
what they have to do like a dose response study. So here's the molecule, you add more of that
molecule and then see what happens in terms of safety and in terms of outcomes. And obviously
you can then tease out the correlation and causation like, oh, more of this acetaminophen,
unless you have pain and whatnot. We actually have very interesting dose response data to carbohydrate restriction and seeing what happens
to weight, glycemic control and getting off the meds.
And I guess the punchline is,
the more insulin resistant you are,
the more of that dose, the better is basically
without sharing all of our secrets,
but it's fascinating because we've, we literally have a dose response
curves and, and, uh, it kind of tells, tells the story.
Uh, the other thing I wanted to add, Mark, when I listened to you and I was
thinking those patient outcomes and what you had seen, if I wasn't, if, if I did
not have the 10 year history of building Verda and seeing exactly the
same results now with a hundred thousand plus Americans, I would still be like,
oh, I'm sure nutrition can work, but come on.
Like these are the, like the grandfather who was a hundred pounds overweight and
then ran a marathon.
Like we always hear these stories.
Like, oh, it's a one anomaly, one out of million.
But I think really what the world needs to hear,
this is individuals, business decision makers,
policy decision makers, scientists,
is that these results are systematically possible,
absolutely systematically possible.
And this idea that we have 200 million sick American adults,
metabolically unhealthy, and the best we can do
is manage symptoms with medications is ridiculous.
It is so ridiculous.
And so we really have to get the message across
that there is a way, nutritionally,
you don't have to be a Superman or Superwoman.
Ordinary person, there's a
systematic way to achieve those results. Obviously, there's a distribution, some are hugely successful,
some are moderately successful, but that message hasn't broken through yet. And it has to,
and that's why I'm grateful to be on this podcast too, because it's ridiculous. There's
no other way out of this metabolic health mess.
GLP once in tap water is not gonna solve this mess.
No, no, and again, it's interesting,
when you're talking about how you're sort of able
to execute on things in the sense that you learned
when you're researching around these hormones
and molecules that regulate appetite,
like adiponectin and
leptin and the inflammatory molecules that are produced by your fat cells and that was
sort of where your reach was.
And what we're learning is that the application of the right nutritional approach in metabolic
dysfunction actually automatically regulates those hormones rather than having to take
ozempic which artificially does this your body can naturally
Change the levels of the appetite and fullness hormones that that are driving this overeating behavior
That is driven by the carbohydrates. So like when you eat more sugar and starch you want more sugar and starch when you eat
I mean, I would say nobody can you know, you know
12 avocados, but anybody can eat a whole bag of chips,
ahoy cookies, right?
So it's just like no limit on that.
And I think the body has this natural ability
when you feed it in a way that it's designed to work,
it actually resets and it's not willpower,
it's just science.
So can you explain how that works?
Yeah, so when folks increase their fat intake and certainly when people achieve nutritional
ketosis with higher ketone levels, the hormones that drive appetite are naturally suppressed
and the hormones that signal satiety go up. So endogenous GLP-1, CCK go up and then things like ghrelin go down. So again,
so exactly like harnessing nutrition to appropriately do that positive feed loop that's towards
improving health and decreasing hunger. It drives with just the nutritional changes.
So what's interesting is that you just said something that I want to highlight and double click on,
which is that when you eat in the right way, you naturally increase your GLP-1 peptides,
which are regulating your appetite, and that you don't have to take Ozempic.
And what you also said, Sammy, earlier was that you're achieving Ozempic- like results without taking the drug, without all the side effects and without all the costs.
And so can you kind of explain what, and we talked about this when we were hanging out
in person and asked, but you know, the data that shows that, you know, out there, the
pharmaceutical companies are funding billions of dollars of research
on these GLP-1 agonists and other related peptides
around a whole spectrum of diseases,
from depression to autoimmune disease
to neurodegenerative diseases to longevity
to obviously weight loss and diabetes
to cardiovascular disease.
And they're trying to get all these studies done
to get indications for these other applications of these drugs. But what you're saying when I heard you say was that using this
nutritional approach, you can actually achieve all the same types of outcomes. And it's not the drug
itself. It's actually the change in your metabolic health. Can you explain more about that, maybe,
Grisham, and how that works? Yeah, absolutely. And first, upfront, I want to say that this may sound like, oh, this guy is
so anti-pharmaceutical. No, I'm a physicist by training. I believe in science. I believe in
Western medicine and also these GLP-1 drugs. The first one was, I think, in America approved for
treating type 2 diabetes 2005. And it's a tool in a toolkit. It is a think in America approved for treating type 2 diabetes 2005 and it's
a tool in a toolkit. It's a tool in a toolkit for type 2 diabetes and in some cases for
obesity. So I just want to be very clear and obviously Verda, our providers practice evidence
based medicine. So anything I say next isn't going to be like, oh, drugs are bad in all
cases. No, that is not the case. But to answer your question specifically, and
this is all data that's published in peer reviews. So if anyone wants to sort of double
check, you can go to VirtoHealth.com and slash research and find out published in peer review
results. But indeed, so what we've been able to show is that as we run our nutrition program,
among our patients, the following things either improve or get
reversed. Obviously type 2 diabetes, so that's glycemic control, so blood sugar comes down.
Hypertension, so blood pressure comes down. Inflammation comes down, so this is CRP, C
reactive protein, a white blood cell count. And we also have an unpublished paper looking
at 16 inflammation proteins of which almost all improve,
which is unheard of better than Humira.
That's unpublished, so that's a caveat.
Depressive symptoms improve, sleep apnea improves,
so gets reversed, knee pain goes down,
cardiovascular disease risk markers,
and 12 year cardiovascular risk goes down, cardiovascular disease risk markers and 12-year cardiovascular risk goes down,
kidney and liver function improves. So we looked at EGFR and we can't really say that
we can, it would be a little bit overreaching to say we reverse kidney disease, but we have
shown that we improve kidney function and same with liver
function.
So when you look at these broad spectrum metabolic health improvements, it's basically the same
list that the GLP-1 manufacturers are now showing that we the improve or reverse and
we've already published this data.
So what can we conclude?
Again, I'm not the medical doctor here,
so maybe Chris can kind of cover me up here.
But basically what we can show is,
it is possible to achieve the same broad
metabolic health improvements as TLB1 may or may not,
nutritionally, 100% nutritionally.
Therefore, it is not the exogenous molecule that is achieving
these results alone, because it's possible to achieve the same results nutritionally.
Now, we can still debate the mechanism. Is it all about the weight loss or are there other things
in play? And our hypothesis is there are other things in play, but again, such as information, reduce
information, but we can achieve the same things nutritionally, which I think again, is a very
important message to be heard because in the next year and two, there's going to be headlines,
oh, GLP wants now improve the eighth new thing. And the answer is guess what? Nutrition improves all those things.
And then finally, I will say, again, there's a place for these drugs, GLP-1 is a tool in
a toolkit. But I think this statement holds true, which is we don't know the short, the
midterm and longterm side effects of exogenous drugs, but we know the side effects of healthy
food. Guess what? Happier, better, the side effects of healthy food. Guess what?
They're all better, better, longer life.
That's right. Like healthy food.
It's tough to say like, what's bad about that?
Not much. That's right.
Yeah, I know. I think you're right.
I think and I'd love to hear your perspective as anachronologist,
Grishma, about the GFP1s and the utility, but also the risks.
And I sort of whether or not they're really necessary if we actually got our nutrition right and we got the delivery system right, which is this continuous care model to support
people and behavior change, because that's the biggest thing.
And I sort of this sort of conversation you just mentioned, Sammy, reminded me of a study
I read that looked at gastric bypass and they did a controlled study where they took a group
of obese patients.
Half of them got bypassed and half of them didn't. bypass and they did a controlled study where they took a group of obese patients.
Half of them got bypass and half of them didn't, but the diet that the bypass patients got
after their surgery was the same diet that the non-bypass patients got.
They both reversed their diabetes within a couple of weeks.
It wasn't the surgery, it was the food.
I hear you saying the same thing about the GOP1.
I'd love, Grishman, you share from an endocrinologist perspective, what your thinking is about this,
where they play a role, and actually is this approach of
very aggressive nutritional intervention with the continuous care model of
lifestyle support and behavioral change actually better? And how do we
think about that? Yeah, no, I think that's a great question.
And it kind of hits on something we spoke about earlier
during this call with insulin and how we sort of,
I think we missed an opportunity of marrying
some of the nutritional sciences to patients
who were able to receive insulin.
And when you think of like even type one diabetes,
of course insulin was life-saving, but because we didn't really invest in figuring out the right nutritional,
now we have a lot of folks with type 1 diabetes who we say they have double diabetes, which
is type 1 with insulin resistance, because we've just let people eat whatever they want,
even if it doesn't work for their body. So I like that, like to think of that as an analogy
for GLP-1s, you just can't eat whatever you want
just because there's a new medication.
Because guess what?
Again, the energy homeostasis is super complex.
There's no silver bullet.
Like you actually have to eat right for your body.
And there's so many, like I said,
the genome-wide studies have shown
that there's a lot of different
types of type 2 diabetes.
And if we can get to the root cause, we can help a lot of folks and not look at one target
molecule that we're using today, which is the GLP-1 therapy and that.
So I think really thinking more holistically about our patients that these are not magic
bullets.
Look, they're great medications for patients with diabetes
and other non-glycemic indications,
like reasons outside of blood sugar control,
such as heart disease, heart failure, kidney disease.
There's mortality and there's outcomes data
to support their use.
But what about like the millions of people
who have not yet developed those complications of diabetes and the folks who have
pre-diabetes and obesity.
And this is, you know, diabetes is the tip of the iceberg,
right?
We have a whole society below that where we need to drive
impact because we can't just medicate everybody
in the country.
So really thinking about the root cause and finding the
right nutrition for the individual patient.
And this is, this is part of precision medicine, right?
Personalizing your diet to what works for you.
And it's hard work.
I mean, what our coaches and clinicians do at Virta, it's a daily, again, like a white
glove experience where we're getting that data, we're doing that positive feedback to
make those changes, to learn and course correct when things aren't going well, to celebrate
when we get those lab reviews.
So really, you know, it has to be a very patient-centric, holistic approach.
So I think there is a role for these medications, but I think we need a better solution as a
population.
But is your belief that if people were able to adhere to a diet that was right for them,
that these drugs are redundant?
I think so. I think if you could prevent, I mean, I'm, I'm of the mindset prevention is always better. Less is more.
So if you can teach people to eat well and keep them healthy,
that's better for everyone. They feel better. They have all the other non,
forget about just the metabolic risks.
Think about neurocognitive risk, cancer risk.
There's so many downstream things
that just by eating right, we can fix.
And then I'll just really quickly say like,
even sort of transgenerational,
like when young adults who are in their prime
reproductive years, when they're metabolically unhealthy,
we know there's all this epigenetic changes
that drives the next couple of generations
to have metabolic dysfunction.
So there's real implications for populations
when you teach them how to eat correctly.
And the last thing I'll add is diabetes disproportionately
affects minority populations
and those with less socioeconomic means, imagine if we could improve that without
costly medications and prevent it and close some of the complication gaps and
the death gaps that we have in the United States. Yeah, I know absolutely.
I mean the health disparities are huge and you know there's a whole food
inequity issue and nutrition security issue and there's all the ways in
which...
And equity around getting medications.
Accessing expensive medications and accessing expensive technology like CGM.
There's all kinds of equity issues.
So what if we went to the root cause and just help people be healthier from day one?
So how do we think about type 2 diabetes from a functional medicine perspective?
What's the root cause?
Functional medicine is all about root cause.
The root cause is something called insulin resistance.
And this comes from eating a diet that's high in sugar, refined flour, grains, ultra processed
food.
There's no doubt about this.
Also from lack of exercise and being sedentary, not moving enough or
being under-muscled, right? Muscle is your metabolic spanks according to my friend JJ
Virgin. And how do you address that? Will you eliminate ultra-processed food, processed
grains, refined grains and starches, sweets, sugar, sweetened beverages especially and
that improves your blood sugar balance and your insulin sensitivity and what should you be eating then? Good quality protein and it can be meat.
That's my view of the literature and not my opinion but this is pretty much evidenced by
the randomized controlled trials. Fiber, fruits, vegetables, nuts, seeds, sometimes whole grains
if you're not fully blown diabetic, healthy fats, olive oil, avocado oil, macadamia oil,
none of these will affect your blood sugar. And then you want to use testing to test your
fasting glucose, your fasting insulin, your A1C, triglycerides, and other markers to understand
if your insulin resistance. Now I co-founded a company called Function Health. You can go to
FunctionHealth.com. We've created an initial test of over 110 biomarkers.
It's 499 a year membership and includes testing twice a year.
And you get all the metabolic markers you need.
You get insulin, which your doctor almost never tests,
A1C, your blood sugar,
but you also look at lipid particle size.
We call it lipoprotein fractionation.
Not just your regular cholesterol profile,
but whether or not you have small particles,
dense particles, large or small
triglycerides or HDL, all these will tell you about your cardiometabolic health.
We also measure inflammatory markers like C-reactive protein and others, so you get
a really good understanding of where you're at.
So, go on to check it out.
Go to functionhealth.com.
You can use the code YOUNGFOREVER if you want to jump the wait list, but it's really a way
to get testing to see what's going on with you and what's going on with your diet.
So, again, test, don't guess.
Now, it's no secret that navigating the realm of nutrition has become a challenge for the
general public and even for people like me and health professionals who've been studying
this for 30 years.
One week, eggs are good for us.
Only be vilified for allegedly raising cholesterol levels the next week.
The narrative on dietary fats is no less tumultuous.
I wrote a whole book on this called,
A Fat Kid Kid.
Some experts say that it's a chief culprit
behind heart disease.
Others say it's critical for over health and wellbeing.
Well, more recently a study made headlines
linking red bean consumption to an increased risk
for type two diabetes, leaving the public once again confused and
understandably so.
And that's why in today's Health Bytes episode, we're diving deep into the findings from this
paper and unpacking the study's design flaws, its inaccuracies, and where the researchers
got it straight up wrong.
The study was entitled, Red Meat Intake and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in a Prospective
Cohort Study of United States
females and males published in October of 2023.
Now, this was a type of study design.
It's important to understand study design because you have to understand science before
you can interpret science and you have to understand the type of studies that are done
and which can show cause and effect and which can show correlation, not causation. For example, every day I wake up and the sun comes up. It's 100% correlated
but it's 0% causal. You know, if I die tomorrow, the sun's going to keep coming up. If I slept
through until the middle of the day, the sun's going to keep coming up. So it has nothing
to do with each other. And essentially that's what these observational studies like this particular study did. They looked at correlation, not causation. And that
means that we can't prove cause and effect. So when you hear the headline,
red meat is linked to causing type 2 diabetes, it's BS. Okay, we have to look
at what the data show and what it doesn't. And these studies are not wrong. They're
not bad to do. They're done in order to help us understand what might
be a useful avenue for further research.
They're not the end of the research, they're useful for generating hypothesis.
For example, in the study of smoking and lung cancer, they did observational studies.
They weren't going to do a randomized controlled trial because they're not going to have people
on cigarettes and have people not on cigarettes.
So basically, they found that there was a 20-fold increase, maybe 10
to 20-fold increase in the risk of lung cancer in smokers. Now to put that in perspective,
that's a thousand to 2000% increase in your risk of having a particular disease. And that
ended up being correct because it was such a strong correlation.
Whereas in this red meat diabetes study to cut to the punch, it was about a 20%
increase, right? Which essentially is relatively meaningless. And let's say
200% increase in a correlation study, you pretty much want to ignore the data. And
the Dr. Ioannidis from Stanford has written a lot about this. He's an
incredible scientist who's dissected the value of different types of
studies and what we can learn from them and what we can't. So we have to start out really understanding
that the study was not designed by its very nature, which all scientists would agree to prove cause
and effect. It's just the nature of science. Okay, so let's get into the study. This is what we call
a prospective cohort study. And it's an observational study, a population study, an epidemiological study, all means
the same thing.
Essentially, it studies a group of individuals over time to look at the association between
certain exposures, behaviors, diets, and risk factors on specific outcomes.
So basically, they track thousands of people over many, many years, looked at what they
ate and saw if there was
a correlation with diabetes and lo and behold, they found one.
But let's talk about the problems with why this may not actually be as clear as the study
seems to generate.
Now, in this type of study, basically people are identified based on their exposure status
and then they're followed over time to observe and record outcomes.
In other words, what did people eat over many decades, and what was that diet, and was it
correlated with any bad outcomes later in life?
So you follow people for 30 years, you have them track their diet records, which we'll
talk about in a minute, and then you see whether or not a particular food or types of food
seems to correlate, not cause, correlate with some bad outcome like diabetes and that's
what they did.
And basically the goal is just to assess relationships between various insults, exposures, toxins,
smoking, diet, whatever, and outcomes.
So it essentially looks for things that may be worth further studying with a randomized
control double-blind trial.
This was not done here.
Now, it can be helpful, but they say, well, we're going to control for variables.
We call confounding variables, which means things that kind of throw the study off.
In other words, and we'll talk about this, but for example, there was a study done many
years ago by the NIH and the AARP, the American Association of Retired Persons, that looked
at meat eating and chronic disease and death and cancer and so forth.
They found a big correlation.
But that study showed also that the people who ate meat didn't care about their health
and smoked more, drank more, ate more calories about eight or more a day, were more overweight,
didn't eat fruits and vegetables, didn't exercise, just drank more alcohol, didn't take their
vitamins.
Of course they had more disease.
It wasn't because of the meat.
It was just a problem that was shown because of these confounding variables. It wasn't because of the meat. It was just, we'll call
a problem that was shown because of these confounding variables. And we'll talk more about that. Now, this study was published in the American Journal of Clinical Nutrition,
and it was published by folks at Harvard who are great scientists, but they're focused on
epidemiology, particularly at the School of Public Health, which is where this study was
published out of. And unfortunately, people have bias. And the study authors are very biased
toward a plant-based diet.
And so right off the bat, you're kind of like, all right,
well, they already have a bias,
and that affects the study, the outcome study.
So basically, the objective of the study
was to assess the link between total processed
and unprocessed red meat intake and type 2 diabetes.
And then to estimate the effect of substituting different protein sources,
like vegetable proteins, nuts, seeds, beans, grains, for red meat and type 2 diabetes risk.
So, work doing, but again, just a hypothesis generating study.
Now again, this was a population study. It was based on the Nurses Health Study,
which was about 216,000 participants, the first and the second one, and the health
professionals follow study which was including men. Now the first study started in 1976,
female nurses and then another one in 1989, female nurses and the health professional
studies started in 86. And they followed people over a long period of time. They calculate
the amount of years and people and they come up with a number called about 5.4 million
person years.
So, that's pretty good.
And what they did was really interesting.
They looked at something called a food frequency questionnaire and this assesses that people's
diet every two to four years from the baseline.
Now, can you remember what you had last Thursday for lunch?
Do you remember the amount of this or that you had over the last week?
Probably not, right?
And so, these are flawed tools.
And there's a lot of research and science about how flawed these tools are and how imperfect
they are and how often they are very misleading.
We see that in this study.
So the study findings, right, just to be clear, and this is association, correlation, not
causation. They found
between the lowest and the highest red meat intake, there was a risk of
diabetes that went up by 62%, right? Not 200%, 62%. Processed meat associated with
51% and unprocessed red meat was about 40% risk. If you substituted one serving of nuts or beans, then your risk was 30%
lower. If you substituted for processed red meat, the risk was 41% lower, and
unprocessed meat was about 29% lower. So they're basically saying if you had one
serving of dairy for total processed or unprocessed red meat, you had a lower
risk of type 2 diabetes.
Now, this study is really important because it kind of misses a lot of the point.
What is the mechanism here? Now, they tried to explain some of the mechanisms, but it's pretty weak.
We know that the sugar that you eat, sugar and refined carbohydrates, is the primary cause of type 2 diabetes, not red meat.
And ancestrally, we've been eating meat for as
long as we've been human. I just came back from the Maasai population in Africa, as I
mentioned on different podcasts, and these people ate the blood, the milk, and the meat
of their cows. That was their main diet. They were healthy. They were super thin. They were
very fit, and they had no diabetes. I recently visited their community, and the Coca-Cola
truck drives up every day. They get processed cookies from the local town that are made by the industrial
food system. And now they're gaining weight and the type of diabetes is rampant in this
Maasai community in Africa. And it's just heartbreaking to see that within minutes,
this entire Coca-Cola truck, a big truck, just was emptied out by the local population,
not knowing what they were doing themselves. And they didn't even know that it was connected.
So this basically, this study fueled a lot of click-plate headlines.
For example, a WebMD said, just two servings of red meat per week raises diabetes risk.
Well, that doesn't.
It shows that it's correlated, but not causing.
Eating red meat more than once a week is linked to type 2 diabetes risk.
That's CBS.
This is just bad reporting and bad journalism.
And the social media was just all over the place, right?
Some people were pro-red meat, some people anti-red meat.
People are super confused and then nobody knows who to believe and everybody's distrusting
public health and dietary guidelines and it's just a mess.
So I'm going to try to unpack it for you so you really understand how to think about this
and also how to actually know what to believe around this whole issue of red meat and diabetes
and what we know.
So basically, the problem with this study, as we mentioned, is an observational study.
And we just cannot draw conclusions from an observational study.
It doesn't prove causality.
And we have to look at also the limitations of the study.
There are a lot of limitations.
The study authors, for exampleplus, I mentioned,
are very biased toward a plant-based diet and veganism.
How they pick the participants of the study, which
may not be an issue.
Industry funding, we want to look at.
That probably was an issue here.
But there's this thing called recall bias,
which is common with food frequency questionnaires.
People are more likely to report healthy food
than unhealthy food.
And desserts, sugar, sweetened beverages, alcohol
are under-reported.
This is published.
We're going to put all the references for everything
I'm saying in the show notes.
So have a look at those.
Everything I'm saying is documented, is well-researched,
and you can kind of dive in.
But it would take me about 10 hours
to cover every study detail.
So basically, I've got to tell this in my practice.
People overestimate how much they exercise and they underestimate how much they eat.
It's pretty difficult.
My humans are pretty flawed.
Now the 2012 study from red meat consumption and mortality, it looked at prospective court
studies from the people that eat a lot of red meat, about the highest 20%, had a 45% high risk of dying
from heart disease compared to those who eat
the least red meat, the lowest 20%.
However, when they look more closely at the people
in these extreme groups, they notice that
besides eating red meat, they had other habits
that made them more likely to have heart disease,
like don't exercise, they
ate too much, they smoked, their cholesterol was worse.
Or they maybe had fish consumption which affected their health and risks.
For example, maybe the people in their lowest risk group exercised and didn't eat meat,
but they also didn't smoke and they also ate healthier food.
So you can't quite
tell what's going on. So the study supports the idea that eating a lot of red meat is
linked to high risk of heart disease. People who choose to eat more or less red meat have
other lifestyle issues that influence their health. Now there are other factors, these
confounding variables I mentioned. When you look at confounding variables, they try to
control for these, but it's really tough. And they only control what we just think to control for, and it basically makes it really
hard to determine true cause and effect.
Like I mentioned with the AARP study, they smoked more, they drank more, they ate less
fruits and vegetables, they didn't exercise, all these other issues.
That's why they had more disease, not because of the meat.
So it's basically, other issues with the study could be design flaws.
And maybe the study population is different from the regular population.
So it may not be widely generalizable.
And also they do all these weird statistical calibrations to normalize the data.
I'm going to talk about what that means that they did this in that study.
There was I think a scientist named Roger Williams who said,
there's liars, damn liars,
and statisticians.
Or maybe that was Mark Twain, I don't know.
But I think it's true.
You can kind of manipulate the data to make it show what you want.
And that's clearly been done here.
And the other thing this study does is it actually supports dietary guidelines to limit
red meat consumption.
And why does it say that?
Well, I mean, the study basically said,
our study supports the current dietary recommendations
for limiting the consumption of red meat intake
and emphasizes the importance of different alternative sources
of protein for type 2 diabetes prevention.
But dietary guidelines, just like this study,
are heavily based on observational data,
the data that can't prove cause and effect.
And the systematic reviews and meta-analysis
of observational data are the weakest types of studies, right?
There's confounders, there's bias,
there's a lot of problems in the studies.
And often the researchers have ties to industry,
the expert panels are not independent, it's kind of a mess.
So how do we know what to do in science?
Well, randomized control trials are the gold standard for drawing causal inferences between
exposure and the outcomes.
For example, you give people a placebo or a blood pressure drug, high blood pressure
and you follow them for three months and you can see, okay, well, did the people taking
the placebo lower their blood pressure or the people on the pill. That's a randomized control trial and you randomize people
so they're not stacking the deck in favor of a healthier, sicker population. Now, they're hard
to do in nutrition because you need to control everything and it's really hard to do. It's great
in a lab rat but it's not really easy in humans because they're what we call free living and they
do whatever they want. So you say, well, I want you to eat a low-fat diet or I want you to eat a low-carb diet
or I want you to exercise 150 minutes a week or I want you to not smoke or I want you to
sleep eight hours a night or whatever you want.
You tell them, they're not going to probably do it and it's hard to do.
You'd have to basically put people in the locked metabolic ward and put them there for
years and give them the food that they eat and track everything they do in order to actually know what's going on
like a lab rat. But we really can't do that. We can't take you know 10,000
people and feed them a vegan diet and 10,000 people and feed them an omnibor
diet including red meat and healthy foods, follow them for 30 years and give
them all the food and track that. It would be billions and billions of
dollars and impossible to do. So it's not practical, it's not ethical, it's expensive,
it's hard to recruit volunteers for this,
and people just, it's hard to do these nutritional studies.
So we have to do the best with the data we have,
which are systematic reviews and meta-analysis of randomized control trials,
mechanistic studies, lab studies, there's many different levels of evidence.
And you have to look at the total community benefit of all the evidence. So now let's dive into this problem of study design
and what was wrong with this paper and why it does not prove that red meat causes type
2 diabetes. So what they did, as I mentioned before, they gave them a food frequency questionnaire.
They're highly inaccurate. Every two to three years, people get asked what do they eat? And they got a questionnaire, what's their average intake of food and beverage
over the last 12 months? Do you know what you ate over the last 12 months? I couldn't
have a clue. I mean, how often do you remember eating X and Y food? Do you eat chicken with
the skin on or without the skin? Do you eat hamburgers, hot dogs, processed meats? They
get all these questions. They also kind of weirdly track things like beef,
pork, and lamb as a sandwich or mixed dish, but no serving sizes were noted. You know, sandwiches
and lasagna have also bread and pasta and processed carbs. So is that part of it? We don't know. So
they basically kind of looked at, you know, what they were eating. The second issue is, and by the
way, I can go way more into these food frequency questionnaires, but just trust me, based on the data, we'll put the links in the show notes.
They're really highly inaccurate.
They've really been proven to not be a good tool for looking at nutritional intakes over
time and don't really correlate with a valid metric for tracking outcomes.
So right off the bat, it's a tough study to do. The second issue, and I kind
of mentioned it, is that the red meat definition included sandwiches and lasagna, which basically
were counted twice as processed and unprocessed red meat. Now, processed red meat is hot dogs,
bacon, meat sandwiches, sausage. Unprocessed red meat is like hamburgers, beef, pork, lamb,
a sandwich. So it's kind of weird. They kind
of included other foods in the meat. So you have to be clear. The third issue is the serving sizes
changed over time. And why? Because the food frequency questionnaires were different in the
different parts of the study. So one was in 1980, one was in 84, one had 61 items, one had 120 items.
And they basically changed the definitions of what a serving is, even in these food frequency
questionnaires.
So it's super confusing.
So the nurses in the study asked how often they consume two slices of bacon.
Now the serving size of bacon is one slice, but before it was two slices, right?
How do they adjust for this?
One serving of processed red meat is considered
45 grams. How do they measure it? Did they weigh their lunch meat? Did they take their
bologna or salami and put it on a scale? I doubt it. What about chicken, beef, pork,
or lamb? They say six to eight ounces was a serving. Today, one serving is three ounces.
Did they know this? Did they translate a three ounce serving to a six to eight ounce equivalent?
Probably not, and it creates more error in the studies.
Issue four in the study was that this is really crazy. They used statistics to massage the
data to have the outcome they want. It calls this process calibration. We're calibrating
the results using a seven-day weighted diet record and food frequency questionnaires from two other population studies.
In other words, they kind of acknowledge that food frequency questionnaires are not that accurate,
so they can use other ones to correlate and see if they can kind of create this mishmash of data to show what they want.
So what they found was that this is kind of crazy.
The calibration doubled the effect for total red meat, processed meat, and unprocessed red meat.
So before the calibration, for example, one serving, an increment of total red meat was associated with a 28% high risk of diabetes.
After the calibration, it was 47%. Before the calibration, one serving increment of processed processed red meat, was associated with a 50%
high risk of diabetes.
After, it was 101%.
So it's like, what are you doing here, right?
So guess what number was reported in the headlines?
Not the uncalibrated, but the calibrated number, right?
Too much red meat is linked to a 50% increase
in type 2 diabetes.
Well, in NPR, they didn't really do a good job
of doing a review of the study. They didn't do investigative journalism, which I think is sorely lacking.
And basically, they found that there's a 50% increase in red meat. So, like I said, before
the calibration, it was 28%. After, it was 47%.
The next issue was the authors compared the lowest intake of red meat to the highest intake,
but have historically reported the risk using servings, and for
example, which is a more quantitative metric.
So to explain what that means, in the 2011 paper, another one called Red Meat Consumption
and the Risk of Type II Diabetes, Three Cohorts of U.S. Adults and an Updated Men Analysis,
they reported a 12% risk of diabetes for one serving and a 32% for processed meat and 14% for total red meat.
But this paper compared the highest and lowest intakes,
claiming a 51% increased risk for eating unprocessed
and 101% increased risk for processed and 40% for total.
But basically, this method using qualitative versus quantitative
generated a lot more headline-worthy statistics.
So in other words, the way they reported this,
it just makes it more sensational and look better for the agenda
of having a study show that red meat causes diabetes.
Another thing with this study is the women in this study,
the nurse-self study compared to the men in this study,
show that the women ate more red meat than the men.
Now this is the first study ever to claim this.
Now typically, every other study is shown the opposite.
So what does that mean?
Well, I don't know, but it just seems to kind of be a clue
that maybe the study's a little wacky
and doesn't comport with all the other data we have
around meat consumption and being female and male.
The next issue was the total red meat intake
had a higher risk of diabetes than both processed
and unprocessed red meat.
So that doesn't make sense, right?
If you, how could the total red meat be worse
than the individual types of red meat
when the total is the sum of both of them, right?
So you don't get like one plus one equals three.
It doesn't make sense.
The most studies are looking at the risks associated
with red meat show that the processed meat is riskier
than unprocessed red meat.
In total red meat, the sum falls in between.
So if you have processed red meat being a higher risk
and unprocessed lower risk,
the average risk is gonna to be lower, right?
Kind of a combination.
But in this study, they found the opposite,
which doesn't make any sense.
If red meat, its process makes you
have a higher risk of diabetes and unprocessed
less meat lower, then if you add them together,
you shouldn't have a higher risk when you combine them.
So it doesn't make sense.
The next issue of the study was what we call healthy user bias. I think this is really, really important. Essentially, it's
talking about what I mentioned earlier, which is the idea of confounders. This idea of why were
the people in the study having more diabetes or not? Was it because of the meat they were eating
or a bunch of other habits? The people in this study, when you look at their characteristics, they had much higher body mass index. In other
words, they were heavier, they were less physically active, they were more likely to be smokers,
and they were less likely to take vitamins. So, hmm, of course they're going to have more
risk. So the healthier people didn't eat red meat. Why? Because they thought
that red meat is bad. That's the propaganda that we have in our society, which is red
meat causes heart disease, red meat causes cancer, so we should be eating less meat.
In fact, we are, which is really another really important point. When you look at the amount
of meat we're eating, it's dramatically decreased over the last 30, 40 years, dramatically,
because the message in the public health domain has been to eat less meat.
But at the same time, what's happened?
The risk of diabetes has skyrocketed, right?
Just double, triple in different populations.
So how could that make sense?
Red meat's going down, diabetes going up.
Okay, well that's a problem.
How do we explain that with this study?
Well, what's so interesting to me in this study
was that they didn't adjust for body weight,
or what we call BMI.
That's nuts because the group that actually had more diabetes was more overweight.
Now, was that attributed to the red meat intake?
That's what they say, that red meat caused you to gain weight, but there's just no data
to support that.
I mean, they basically said because of the likelihood that weight gain mediates at least
part of the association between red meat intake and type 2 diabetes, we did not adjust for
adiposity in the primary analysis.
In other words, they did not actually account for the fact that the people who ate more
red meat were more overweight.
Now, a lot of other things can cause that, and particularly they do, particularly ultra
processed foods, sugar, and refined carbohydrates.
That's clear from the data, not me.
The next issue was grains and sugar were excluded from the characteristics table.
That's crazy.
How do you actually evaluate the effect of diet if you exclude the very thing that's
causing diabetes, namely sugar and refined carbohydrates.
They just said, oh, we're not going to include that.
Okay, we're not going to look at that.
Why?
Well, I don't know, but it doesn't make any sense to me.
The next problem with this study is that calorie intake was reported extremely low.
Now, this doesn't make sense because people we know eat a certain amount of food.
They're not starving themselves.
And in the study, they basically excluded people who ate less than 500 calories a day
for women or more than 3,500 calories.
They just got rid of them from the house.
It's the same thing for men.
Men who consume less than 800 calories a day or more than 4,200 calories a day were excluded.
And you can see how do you get these numbers.
It's because the food frequency questionnaires are so problematic.
People will do all kinds of things that show that they're not actually truly reporting
on how much or what they ate because they're getting all these extremes.
Oh, men are eating 800 calories a day or 4200 calories a day.
It doesn't make any sense.
But what was really interesting is the average calorie intake for women was 1200 calories
and for men it was 1600 calories.
That's not a sustainable diet for people.
They're not going to eat that much.
They're going to be starving all the time.
So it just shows you the flaw in these food frequency questionnaires.
They don't show you what people are actually eating.
Very low averages for healthcare practitioners.
People are busy nurses are on their feet all day.
So that just kind of makes me want to throw out the study altogether.
Because again, how do you rely on data that's so imperfect where your calorie count is so
off?
So how do you know what actually people are eating?
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