The Duran Podcast - 300 Patriot Missiles Will Not Solve Ukraine Air Defense Crisis

Episode Date: July 31, 2026

300 Patriot Missiles Will Not Solve Ukraine Air Defense Crisis

All right, Alexander, let's talk about what is happening with Project Ukraine. We had a very big Russian strike into Kiev and into the west of Ukraine, into LeViv. And the big story from this Russian strike is that a missile, a KH 101, allegedly, landed in Poland. There were two missiles, according to Tusk, the Prime Minister of Poland, that entered Polish airspace and one of the missiles appears to have landed in a field right outside of Lublin. No casualties, nothing happened, nothing was destroyed from what I understand, at least the photos, just show a crater in some field and some dirt. And now there's an investigation into this incident.

I think we all know what the investigation is going to show. Exactly. Okay. Reminds me of another incident that took place way in the beginning of the conflict. Yeah. And that one ended up being a Ukraine S-300. Back then, there was a lot of shouting about Article 5 and Article 5 with Russia, but Article 5 never happened this time around.

There's the usual shouting, but I don't think we're going to have any Article 5 nonsense this time around. But escalation continues. We also had Ukraine hit another two wildberries facilities as well. So Ukraine is still going after the online e-commerce sector of Russia. Your thoughts? Well, indeed. Let's start with the missile in Lublin. Now, of course, we don't know because we're not there. We wouldn't be able to say anyway. There is, and we have to accept, there's a possibility that this was a KH101. I mean, the Russian strike was enormous. It did strike targets in Western Ukraine.

The Russians did use a lot of KH101s. It is not impossible that one went over the border and might have landed in Poland. However, as you absolutely rightly say, we have been here before. We've had previous occasions where there was an alleged Russian missile that landed in Poland and it turned out to be a Ukrainian S-300. I say that.

The Ukrainians have never accepted that, but everybody could see that that is what it was. We've had all sorts of stories about drones, Russian drones, supposedly entering various countries across Europe. In the vast majority of cases, either those drones. did not exist or they turned out to be Ukrainian. There were some Russian drones that did enter Poland a few months ago, a couple of months ago. Lots of controversies about those. The Russians said that the drones did not have the range to reach Poland. There was some speculation that they might have been drones, Russian drones, that fell to earth in Ukraine and were refurbished by the Ukrainians,

that then sent across the border. I mean, there's been so much speculation and so much, shall we say, intrigue about all of this. And the Ukrainians have shown such an interest in getting Russian drones and missiles into Poland and causing issues between the Poles and the Russians. And as we also know, this is a time of great tension between Poland and Ukraine. Zelensky has been recently naming Ukrainian military units

after, well, let's call them ultra-nationalists. I mean, these are either Banderites or people who thought Banderer altogether too compromised and solved, really hard people who were involved in absolutely well-established, terrifying atrocities. against many people, Polish people, Jewish people, all sorts of other people. Anyway, Zelensky has been naming Ukrainian units after them. He's been rebearing them in Ukraine. This has caused a lot of anger in Poland, lots of tension between Ukraine and Poland. Poland is a vital ally for Ukraine.

If the true story were to be that this is. there's another missile that the Ukrainians managed to, shall we say, help across the border. I would not be surprised. And I think we have to be, we have to be ready. We have to accept that that possibility is also there too. In fact, it's far from being a weak possibility. The big story, the big change, as compared to that incident in 2022, is that yes, all the usual people, as you rightly say, are complaining. All the usual people are talking about Russian aggression. And yet, overall, people don't care so much. The British media hardly covering this up to now. The American media so far mostly the same. More coverage, I believe, in Germany.

But there's been so much escalation. There's been so much escalation. There's been so much going on, Europeans helping in drone strikes against Russia, attacks all across Ukraine. By this point in the war, the effect of a potential Russian missile crossing a border and landing in a field in Poland is far less than it was in 2022. So far, no statements from the US, at least, nothing from the Trump administration. None. Well, they don't.

Maybe there will be a statement by the time this video goes up. Maybe Trump will make a statement, yeah. Trump. I'm saying President Trump. Maybe the administration will surely come out with something. No question. But I'm curious to see if Trump actually is asked as by a reporter and what he says. I mean, the United States is in no position to really take any very strong action at the moment.

They're bogged down in the Persian Gulf. They're striking Iran and being struck by Iran. Their inventories of weapons are very low. I don't think anybody in the Trump White House, even the most hardline people, Radcliffe, Walsh, Rubio, and all of those people at this moment time want to expand the conflict further against Russia. I mean, it makes no sense.

And yes, there are some irrational people in the United States, just as there are in Europe. I mean, I think that this administration at the moment is not looking for trouble in Eastern Europe. That's my sense anyway. Tusk made an interesting statement about the missile. He said that this is proof for. more money going to Ukraine in Patriot systems and their defense and weaponry. This is proof that we have to, according to Tusk, get the systems to Ukraine because Ukraine is on the front line and they're protecting Poland and they're protecting Europe.

So that was his statement. I say it's interesting because I'm listening to you and I think, you know, yes, it could have been a KH101, malfunction, maybe some sort of electronic jamming or something. Who knows? Most likely a malfunction. And it could have landed in Poland. It could have also been something that Ukraine and some of the collective West NATO people cooked up because you get the statement from Tusk about more weapons and more

patriots to Ukraine, you accomplish that. You remove attention away from the row and the arguments between Poland and Ukraine, and you focus them back on the common enemy, which is Russia. So it serves a political purpose as well. And then I read Ursula's statement on X. And what did she talk about. She talked about yet another Russian aggression against the European Union. And she's referencing Poland and all the drones that were allegedly, Poland, sorry, Romania over the past four or five days and drones that were flying over Romania. And now she's saying again, Russian aggression into the EU, this time in Poland. That's what she was getting at in her interposed. And this is more proof that we need to build a big,

strong European army, a big strong European defense sector. So you accomplish quite a few things with... Absolutely. From a political and military spending level from this missile that fell in Poland. I'm not saying that's what happened. I'm not saying this was a false flag, but it does work out for the EU globalists quite well. Well, absolutely, it's very convenient for them. And I would just add, by the way, that you can add to that, a whole litany of people who are talking in this way. Maloney's defense minister, the Italian defense minister, who also said, you know, we've got to go on

funding Ukraine. And, you know, there's all those people who say that this is money wasted and thrown away because we're giving this money all the time to Ukraine and we're not getting any back. But Ukraine is in the situation of a patient. If you don't go on giving it blood, the patient blood, it will die on the operating table. And we can't allow that to have them. that we must go on giving Ukraine blood because this is so important and so essential for Europe. Now, the interesting thing about this is that, of course, he was saying this before this episode,

of the missile in Poland, actually happened. So, you know, you can see that this sort of cascade of comments actually began before the missile. And right in the middle of it, look what happens. The missile lands. It's all very convenient. and the timing is very advantageous for several people. But as I said, we can't unfortunately say definitely that because of all of this, because of the way it looks, it must have been a false flag.

There is a possibility. And one can't exclude this, that this was actually a KH 101. Things like this do happen. And in wars, they happen. And people just need to acknowledge that. fact and be realistic about this. The fact that Ursula, Tussk, Maloney's defense minister, and no doubt before long, Mautz and Bernham and all those others, Ruta, will all be chiming in and telling us that this proves the dark truth about the Russians and their

plans for aggression against Europe. The fact that they all come out saying that, and that it works to their advantage and gives them more themes to work with. I mean, it doesn't mean, unfortunately, that this might not have been, you know, just a good chance that they took advantage of. At the same time, just to say again, it doesn't mean either that this was not a false flag. I mean, it might have been. Right. Yeah, agreed. Agreed. So the investigation will happen. They'll blame Russia. They'll talk about more money to Ukraine. They'll try to find more patriot interceptors. They'll definitely give more money to Ukraine. They'll talk about how Ukraine is on the front lines protecting Europe. Blah, blah, blah, blah. They'll throw all that stuff out there. And will they, will Poland summon the Russian ambassador? Will they show the Russian ambassador? ambassador? What the investigation has resulted in?

Oh, no, they won't do that. When there was the drones that went into Poland, which looked like Russian drones and may have been Russian drones, the Russians said, look, we don't know, we don't understand how those drones could have got into Poland. Can you provide us with the data? We can help and we can explain anything. We can answer any questions. And the polls refused. And there's no reason to think they're going to be any different this They're not going to get the Russians around. They're not going to let the Russians poke holes in the evidence, whatever it is. But undoubtedly, they will call in the Russian ambassador.

And there will be a strong note given to him. And I would not be surprised if we saw other Western European governments do the same. And it would not be unsurprising also if they expelled Russian diplomats over this incident, all those kind of things. As looking at it through a legal lens, if you're so confident that, let's say the result is that they're very confident. This was a Russian KH1-1. Why not show it to Russia if you're so confident about it? Why not publish everything? Is there a reason that you would not put the investigation and the evidence out there,

handed to the Russian ambassador and then say, okay, here's what, here are our findings and maybe even post that on. or post what you can, public, make it public. So there's no dispute about it, that this was a KH 101. Why would you not want to do that? I'll tell you straight away, why? Because they're not going to conduct a proper investigation. A proper investigation was one that entered into, it began with a completely open mind, you know, followed, took you to where the evidence leads.

They're not going to do that. This investigation has already decided what sort of a missile this was and who launched it. And it was if you conduct that kind of investigation in record time, then even if this is a KH101, it's going to be very easy for the Russians to pick holes in it and to prove that the investigation itself is a sham and shouldn't be treated seriously. So, I mean, you know, that's why they will do it, because they're not going to conduct an honest investigation. They're not going to conduct an honest investigation

just in case it is a Ukrainian missile or a missile that's being adapted by Ukraine. They don't want to learn about that. So they're not going to look at this. in that kind of way. So they're going to go through a sham investigation, which will provide us with a predetermined view, which they're going to give to the Russians, and which will be completely independent of what might actually happen in their field in Poland.

And then they're going to give money to Ukraine, right? And then they're going to give money to Ukraine, which is, of course, what they're going to do. I mean, this is what some of which, a lot of which, of course, is we all know, is going to end up coming back to them. Of course. Of course. Of course. That's the way the game goes.

Okay, so let's talk about patriots and interceptors. Zelensky's trip to D.C., according to Axios, when he met with Trump. He begged for 300 interceptors. That's the number that Axios put on at 300. And Zelensky needs the 300 interceptors because it's going to be a very difficult winter. That is what Axios is. Now, we have reports from German media, D. Velt, I believe. Yes, DeVelt. They are saying that as far as the Patriot licensing thing that Asolensky goes on and on about, it's never going to happen because Boeing, they make a certain part of the Patriot system. And they are not going to give over any licenses to Ukraine or anybody unless they have. The factory is in place, the supply chains in place, and they're sure that this is a serious manufacturer.

They could really manufacture the entirety of the interceptor, the missile and the system. So Boeing is saying, according to German media, no way, this is never going to happen. It's interesting that it's German media because Germany does have a license, right? And maybe Germany is saying, you know, we know it's bogus. The whole thing's bogus. But the last thing we want is for Zelensky to be running around Europe, signing all of these Patriot missile deals and then maybe handing them over to the United States or to us and demanding some sort of a cut or something, you know?

Maybe they're saying, you know, this is like, this is unwanted and unnecessary competition. So let's remove this little green guy. That's exactly what it is. This is exactly what this is all about. Of course, of course, the Patriot license that Trump handed over to Zelensky in Ankara was phoning. We said so. We're not in the program when we discussed this. We said so. I mean, it's obvious. I mean, the idea that Ukraine is going to be able to produce Patriot missiles amongst the most complex weapon systems in existence, which requires special fuels, which have to be prepared in space. special ways and which the Germans who obtained the license to build patriots, that was three years ago, and they haven't even got past first base with the production. And Japan, which got the license more than, what, 15 years ago. I mean, their total production is around 50 a year. I mean, the idea that Ukraine, in the middle of a war, is going to be able to produce Patriot missiles, or if he gets the license, that it's going to run off and give the production the license that it's going to

provide for Poland to stop producing the factories. I mean, one, it's nonsense. But as you absolutely correctly say, heart-nosed business people at Boeing and in Germany, they'll be saying, what is this? I mean, we are losing control of production of our own system. Boeing wants to be able to control. Obviously, they want to control their own system, which is based around their patents. And the Germans don't want competition across Europe.

Because the whole point about German rearmament is that it's Germany that becomes the great weapons manufacturing hub in Europe. It doesn't want Poland or France or Italy or the Baltic states or the Swedes to be going around producing Patriot missiles and a market for Patriot missiles starting to appear in 10, 20 years time across Europe so that German production gets sidelined. So, of course, somebody in Germany who's obviously in touch with Boeing has published a story in Dever to tell us that this whole thing isn't going to happen and basically to kill the whole idea of stone dead. In the meantime, of course, Zelensky,

who ought to know better about this license and probably does know better about this license, he comes along to Trump and says, give me 300 Patriot missiles. The CSIS, which is the military-industrial complex, his think tag, tells us that the United States only has about 800. in its inventory.

So Zelensky, in effect, is asking for 40% of the United States's remaining stockpile of Patriot missile interceptors at a time when the United States is tied up in a conflict with Iran where it is burning through Patriot missile interceptors and must think about a potential future conflict with China. So, of course, the Americans said no. And that's not going to happen. It's a fantasy. And the fact that Zelensky, who must know this at some level, nonetheless makes a request like that, tells you again how fantastic this whole debate about weapons supplies and weapons and Patriot missile supplies to Ukraine is behind.

is becoming and the extent to which this is now really all a big bamboozle, a grift. Because what Zelensky is going to say is, well, you know, if you can't give me the Patriot missiles, if you can't give me the 300 Patriot missiles, then give me the money so that I can produce my own equivalent Patriot missile, which we have making in Ukraine. They are actually making an analog missile in Ukraine, not a Patriot missile, but not a Patriot, by the way, of an analog to the S-300, or so they're saying. And give me that money instead. And I will look after my own defense.

So all I need is $50 billion. Give it to me. And you can't give me the Patriots. Well, give me $50 billion and I'll be gone. Of course, we know he won't be gone. He'll be back and be asking for more because that is what Zelensky ultimately is all about now. Yeah. And Rayfion and Lockheed Boeing are going to want a competing air defense system. They're going to let that happen.

Well, of course, exactly. No, they're not going to let it happen. Of course, they're not going to let an analog of S300 or an analog of S-400 or five. If that's even possible, it's not possible, but let's give them the benefit of the town and say they can somehow manage it. There's no way that the collective West military companies, especially the American ones, are going to just sit back and say, okay, yeah, you manufacture your competitor. and then sell it alongside ours.

Never going to happen ever in a million freaking years. So, yeah, look, 300 interceptors, if Trump were to give it. That's 150 missiles or drones or combination of the two. Maybe that gets Zelensky through a winter, maybe. But given what's happening with the Russian equivalent of Starlink, as we're talking about equivalent or analogs, given what's happening with what's it called? Rassvet. It's called Rassvet.

Given what's happening with that, we could be seeing a thousand drones a day, which would deplete those 300 interceptors in a month's time, if that. Yeah. Well, absolutely. And that takes us back to the actual strike, because of course, this story about the missile that fell in Poland, I mean, we shouldn't let it take us away from the strike that happened last nine because this is a huge strike. And the interesting thing is it breaks the recent pattern because over the last two months, the Russians have been hammering two places. One is Kiev,

where we've had very, very big strikes happen at irregular intervals since the beginning of June. Well, actually May, but more June against Kiev, you know, with Iskandos and Zircons. And in initially an Arashnik and Adessa, which is being attacked by a completely different set of Russian systems. Geran Force, which are the new types of drones, all sorts of other missiles, KH-59s, which are launched by aircraft. bombing raids have just started with fab bombs. All of that's been underway in Odessa. And we've had data now about what the effect on the Russian bombing missile offensive on Odessa and the other black seaports is 80% of Ukraine's external trade went through those ports.

80%. So that is irreplaceable. You can't replace that through railways and barges to Romania. I mean, the railway system, as I understand it, is already massively overloaded, trying to cope with the supplies that are already coming in from Romania and Poland. And it's also subject to attack and it's been losing locomotives. The barges, we discussed in other programs, easy targets anyway, very expensive way. of doing it. And again, the capacity is just not there. It's not as if these barges are already not

being used for some things. So 80% of external trade, apparently the agricultural system is now in crisis, part of the economy, the part of the Ukrainian economy that exports steel, iron ore, well, not coal, but those sort of things. They are in crisis. too. So, as I said, the situation is extremely bad altogether with Adessa. But the strike we've just had was a massive one, over 100 missiles, huge numbers of drones, attacking Kiev again, but attacking targets in Krivoy Roch and in Levovolf itself. And it does look like a precursor to exactly what you were talking about. The Russians are now putting together. They're analog to Starlink, which is Raswet. They, I think, have already tested it. We see

Géran four optically guided drones conducting attacks in central and southern Ukraine. The array of the satellites has now increased because there's been another launch and there's more of these satellites, so the coverage is increasing. And a Ukrainian commentator has spoken in Ukrainska Pravda about the fact that soon we're going to have 1,000 gerand drones operating across Ukraine every night or on some nights. And they'll be controlled by Russian ground controllers exactly like the Ukrainian drones, which strike Russia, are controlled via Starlink by controllers in Ukraine. But with two vital differences, the Gerand drones are much more powerful.

And Russia has air defenses. Ukraine doesn't. So an air offensive with these Girand drones, thousands of them, I mean, it will be absolutely devastating, combined with missile strikes. I mean, it will shatter Ukraine. And Julia Mendel, Zelensky's former press spokesman, is now talking about this. And she says that, you know, for 25 years, we've heard about how Russia is breaking down. The real country that is actually breaking down is my own.

It is Ukraine, and you can see how she is right. Yeah, and everything the collective West is doing is they're just trying to keep Ukraine going for just a little bit longer. Yeah. Well, what was it the Italian defense minister said? You just go on giving the patient blood to keep him a lot. Yeah. But in a coma. In a coma, exactly.

I mean, the cynicism of it is so dreadful. It is just beyond, you know, what you can imagine. I mean, I've never known anything like this in my life before. To what ends, though? Yeah, let's end the video there. I'm just thinking, you know, you keep it going until what, till you can get to 2030. Is that it? Until you can get to 20209 or 28 in order to do what?

To go to war with Russia? Is that what it's about? Well, I think it is. I mean, I think that is exactly what it is because I mean. Or is to keep the grift going. First of all, I mean, actually, I'm glad you said that because the first priority is to keep the grift going for as long as possible. And we should be absolutely clear about that.

I mean, this is 80% grift, 20% its ideology and geopolitics. But the ideology and the geopolitics should not be discounted. Keep the war going as long as you can in order to psych up the European populations, prepare them for war against Russia, take ever more authoritarian steps within your own country, and we're going to see more and more of that. And as the situation in Ukraine gets worse and worse, the pressure to increase military spending, to centralize further, to impose more authoritarian solutions is going to intensify. And we have every reason to think that things.

in Ukraine, I'll go to get faster. I mean, Putin, as I say, may those tantalizing comments about him wanting to see the Russian army move faster. And Suriak, who is one of the leading Western mapers, he now says that the Russians are advancing at the same pace that they were last year and in 2024. What do you cause their normal pace of advance in the summer? And there's been more reports, which we will talk about some other time, about further Russian advances on various parts of the battlefields and of a collapse of defenses around Dobropelia, which looks like it's rapidly going to fall and of a major expansion of the areas that the Russians control in Sumi and Kharkov regions. So everywhere on the front lines, things are getting bad, they're getting worse, but you must

keep on supporting Ukraine. And that is the overriding political imperative in Europe today. Yeah, but you're not supporting Ukraine. You're not supporting Ukraine. You're not really supporting Ukraine.

You're actually... You're supporting the globalists. You're supporting the globalists. Ukraine itself, the patient on the operating table that the defense minister was talking about, the Italian defense minister is talking about, is dying. The treatment is killed.

the patient. Yeah. All right, we'll end the video there. The durand.locals.com. We are an X-Rumble and Telegram. We are also on Substack and we also have an amazing summer special as well on the Durand shop. So check that out up to 25 to 30 percent on various items on the Durant shop. The links are in the description box down below.

Take care.