The Duran Podcast - German political obsession to destroy Russia is wrecking Germany
Episode Date: November 9, 2024German political obsession to destroy Russia is wrecking Germany ...
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All right, Alexander, let's talk about the collapse of the Schultz government, the Traffic Light Coalition.
We're down to two, the SPD and the Grease.
And the CDU, Mertz, has now come out and said that he's not going to be doing Schultz any favors.
He actually wants the vote of confidence in the election moved up.
He doesn't want it to take place in March.
He doesn't want the counted his vote to take place in January.
He wants this to be resolved as quickly as possible.
Obviously, he wants to take power in Germany.
And then we had the revelation that the dispute between Lidner, the finance minister and Schultz, was over Ukraine.
Lidner was talking tourist missiles to Ukraine and no money, and Schultz wanted money to Ukraine.
What are your thoughts?
I mean, this is, I think the first thing to say is that there's a huge,
amount of political theater and manipulation and grandstanding here.
And it is fascinating that it was about Ukraine, but we need to understand exactly what happened
because there is this major hole, this huge hole, in the German government's budget.
The government in Germany has, is constrained by budget rules and what...
As of Ukraine?
Exactly. So, of course, they argue about funding for Ukraine. Now, again, I don't think people really understand what we're talking about here because it's quite clear to me, though nobody says this, that this is clearly about the loan that was agreed last year, you know, the $55 billion dollar loan that was going to be paid over to Ukraine and which is going to be repaid out of the proceeds of the Russian assets.
And then, of course, the Americans became cool because there was all sorts of legal problems.
And then Ursula revived the entire plan, but without the Americans and said we're going to provide
$40 billion to Ukraine.
And it was also suggested that it would be agreed across the European Union.
And I said at the time, I said it many times that it's a very difficult thing to do because
European Union governments would have to get their parliaments to agree to this and that might
raise all kinds of problems. And clearly what we're looking at here is an argument about the
German part of the loan. The Christian Lindner, who is the finance minister, says that Germany
is not in a position to authorise this loan for Ukraine, the German part of the loan for Ukraine,
which is, of course, the biggest part.
So Schultz comes along and says, well, you know, if you're not prepared to do that, you know,
what are you prepared to do?
And Lidna says, well, let's send them Taurus missiles instead.
And Lidna knows perfectly well that Schultz has ruled out sending tourist missiles
and that Schultz's position, his authority within the German government as Chancellor,
depends on him refusing to do that.
And Linton knew perfectly well that Schultz would refuse to send the Taurus missiles.
And from Schultz's point of view, he had to get those $3 billion for Ukraine passed,
because if he didn't, that would put him in, that would put him Schultz in a very embarrassing
position with the European leadership and with the G7 and all of that.
it would be in Germany not fulfilling the obligations that Schultz himself has made on its behalf.
So Littner knew that.
Littner knows exactly the position that Schultz is in.
So he basically staged the whole thing in order to get himself sacked,
which of course Schultz was forced to do.
And with Littner sacked, the free Democrats have an effect pulled out of the coalition.
So this is an example of how the whole issue of Ukraine has now become a key point of contention,
an issue within German politics itself.
It's become a sort of football that German politicians play with each other.
And it'll continue to be this way because, of course, Ukraine is at the source of the whole problem.
The reason the coalition is in crisis is because Germany is in crisis.
The reason Germany is in crisis is because without cheap Russian gas, without the Russian market,
without good relations with China, without any of those things, the German industrial
economy is falling apart.
We've had further declines in production across Germany.
I was reading this morning that three years ago, Germany, Germany, Germany.
Germany was producing seven billion cars a year.
Now it's down to four.
In other words, there's been a massive collapse in production.
Volkswagen is talking about closing down its plants.
The Daimler has stopped effectively production of the Mercedes E class,
which is the heart of the Mercedes range.
They're now lumping it together with the C class.
I'm not going to get into people who are interested in.
know about cars, know what I'm talking about. But anyway, all of these things are happening in Germany,
the mechanical engine, the engineering factories are in crisis, the chemical industry,
which is particularly dependent on cheap gas from Russia, is in crisis. So everything is falling
apart. The coalition is falling apart. They know there's going to be elections. Soon,
Lindner basically wanted to bail out. So he staged the...
this whole thing in order to give himself an alibi as to why he's bailing out. He says he's
defending Germany's fiscal position and he wants to press forward with tax cuts and restore
dynamism to the economy and all that kind of thing. And of course, the Social Democrats and the
Greens completely committed to the existing policies, very unhappy about the things that the
free Democrats were proposing to do. But at least they're then, they're not.
now liberated, as they would put it. Apparently, the mood amongst the Social Democrats has
actually improved because they no longer have to deal with the free Democrats anymore. And they can all
look forward to an election, which they want to postpone as far as possible. And in the meantime,
Merz and the Christian Democrats are maneuvering to take control. They want elections now,
but they have no plan on how to deal with the underlying problems of Germany.
They assume that if they do become the new government of Germany,
that by itself will be sufficient to solve all the problems.
And of course, that isn't true.
And besides, these Christian Democrats are running at 32%.
There's been a small Arctic from the time of the last election.
election when the CDU fell below 30%, but by historic levels, this is a very, very low percentage
for the CDU, Germany's dominant party.
So quite likely we're going to see a grand coalition between the CDU and the SPD coming
out of the election whenever it is held.
And a grand coalition, however, without all of shots.
Yeah, Merz is just as bad as Olaf Schultz, though.
Oh, absolutely.
I mean, he was the guy that was talking about ultimatums to Putin.
If Putin doesn't capitulate, that he's going to greenlight the tourist missiles to Ukraine.
That way, he had his ultimatum, his warning to Russia.
So, I mean, nothing gets solved in Germany, even with the election.
I think that's the problem.
And all of this stems from Ukraine.
No, because none of them, no part of the German political class.
is prepared to admit that Germany's problems originate from decisions, the decisions that were made in February 2020.
They are all united in continuing to support the policies that were adopted then, freezing the assets, stopping Nord Stream 2, imposing across-in-board sanctions against the Russians, refusing to trade or import Russian.
oil directly from Russia, all of those things. And of course, doing all of the other things
that were also happened there around that time. So they're not prepared to do that. They're
prepared to argue about smaller things, you know, the various plans that the Greens in particular
have to move forward with their green policies and all of that. But those issues are not inconsequential,
but they are not the root of the present crisis.
So, you know, you can, you know, make changes about heat pumps and things like that.
But that's not going to improve the underlying economic problems the Germany now has.
So, but the German political class have united behind an anti-Russian policy, which is leading Germany to disaster.
and rampant de-industrialization, which they have no means to slow down or prevent.
Yes, so they're just going to go down.
Yeah, they're going to go down with Ukraine.
Yes.
I mean, it is people, what kind of a policy of choice is that?
I mean, what's wrong with these people?
What is indeed wrong with this?
Because, of course, the alternatives are there, and they are at least being expressed in Germany.
They're being articulated by the IF.
and in a different way by Sarah Vargnecht's group, both of which will emerge out of these elections,
I suspect, stronger.
But of course, the very fact that it is the Ayevdair and Saravangerknecht, who are talking about
these realities, is making the German political class even more determined to stick with the existing course.
And that's the problem.
They're not prepared to change direction.
So it's full steam ahead, rearrange the deck chairs on the Titanic, but full steam ahead towards
the iceberg that is there on the horizon and to which we're going to crash.
It has Germany crashes, so it does the European Union.
So does the European Union exactly.
which is also headed up by Ursula von der Leyen.
Absolutely.
Former German.
Absolutely.
Absolutely.
But it all on Ukraine.
Exactly.
It is very astonishing that we have come to this, but it demonstrate a point we've been making
many programs, which is the degree of political atrophy that exists in Germany now.
So you have a political class that has become completely disconnected from the actual life of the
country.
So once upon a time, the CDU was very close to the small, medium-sized family businesses,
which were the backbone of the German economy.
I mean, by the way, that all of the people who run those businesses are Christian Democrats.
I mean, many of them are social democrats.
But having said that, it was the party overall.
which looked after them and represented their interest.
That was the CDU.
And now they're not interested in them anymore.
The SPD had obviously interest in those parties,
but it was also interested in working class,
the position of the working class in Germany.
It was very close to the big unions in Germany.
The industrial working class, obviously,
having a strong interest in protecting German industry
and all that kind of thing.
It's no longer really interested in them either.
The Greens, of course, do have their constituency and their interests.
And notice that of all of the parties of the coalition, they're the ones that are holding up best in electoral terms, because green voters tend to be, I'm going to say it, rather more affluent, and at the same time, disconnected.
from the industrial process in Germany.
So they're not affected directly to the same degree by this economic inclusion.
So they're still there.
They're still arguing what they want to argue.
They want to go forward with heat pumps.
They want to stop North nuclear power.
They want to move away from fossil fuels.
They're not going to be swayed from doing any of those things.
but the major parties, the Free Democrats, the Social Democrats and the Christian Democrats,
they're all, as I said, disconnected from their original constituencies and basically follow
the line that is set by the EU centre.
The major disappointing figure is, in fact, Friedrich Mads, because during Merkel's time,
He positioned himself as the alternative who would bring the CDU back closer to its roots.
True, as I said, the situation where it represented and protected, you know, the business interests that I said and had a more right-wing perspective,
was stronger on immigration issues, stronger on social issues and things of that kind.
But in practice, it seems to me that he's proved little different in terms of leading the CDU
from Merkel, even though the pretended to be great adversaries and enemies with each other.
He has no more vision for how to turn the problems of Germany round than any of the others do.
No, he just wants to find a way to destroy Russia.
Yeah.
As do the Greens, as does Ursula.
And if anything, Schultz is the one person that maybe, I guess you could say doesn't want to.
He's not so obsessed with destroying Russia, but he's so captured and owned by Annalina Berbach and Robert Habek that he can't make any other decision aside from escalation.
I mean, I don't think like Ola Schultz has that vitriol for Russia, that Ursula, Mertz,
Annalina, Habek, do.
I agree.
He's so captured by the Greens.
Yes.
That, yeah, he's just moving in one direction.
And he's not a very bright guy.
I mean, that's obvious.
I wonder what's with all these people and their hatred for Russia, that they're letting
it destroy their country.
And it is what's happening.
Germany is being destroyed.
Germany already destroyed.
It's being taken down.
Germany is being taken down.
And I think we're going to see a very different.
Germany in five or ten years, a much weaker, a much poor Germany in five to ten years.
But I wonder what drives these people with their obsession for Russia, the Annalinas, the
Habeks, the Mertz, the Ursula's.
Yeah, you see, this is, this is a particularly painful subject for me because I'd assumed,
I know Germany quite well, I had assumed that this kind of anti-Russian current in German life,
had basically exhausted itself in the late period of the Cold War and in the period of Helmut
Coal and all of that. On the contrary, I'd assumed, as I said, that Germany, Germans overall
understood that good relations with Russia was in Germany's interests. All I could say is it's
always been there. It has a very, very long history going all the way back to the 18th century
and even beyond.
It's always been, there's always been German,
there's always been Russophile currents within Germany,
and they're still there too,
but there's always been a very, very strong anti-Russian current as well.
And that's tended to be the ascendant one,
and it's the one that has prevailed.
And I was very disturbed and astonished and shocked by it,
but it is the reality one has to face.
You're quite right.
They're not destroying Russia.
They're destroying Germany, which is always what happens.
When somebody gets themselves into a state of obsession, when they become, you know, eaten up by hatred and loathing.
Ultimately, you know, they become like Captain Ahab chasing the white whale.
They will ultimately drown themselves and wreck their ship, which is what happens if you know the novel I'm talking about, Moby,
And it's exactly what's happening with these people.
As I said, they are obsessed with Russia.
They always have been.
As I said, it was there in the 30s and 40s.
It was there before the First World War.
Bismarck argued passionately against it.
He was very, very concerned at the end of his life that this current was getting more strong
in Germany.
Ultimately, he was ignored.
His advice was disregarded.
Germany was led into complete disaster in World War I.
Germany was led into complete disaster in World War II.
Germany's being, was led into a division and, you know, the wall and all that.
And of course, it's now being led into disaster all over again because this obsession with Russia
is still there.
I can't provide a full explanation for it.
I'm just shocked to find that it still exists and that it seems to be as strong as ever.
All right.
We will end the video there.
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