The Duran Podcast - Isolated EU wants to punish Orban and Hungary
Episode Date: July 17, 2024Isolated EU wants to punish Orban and Hungary ...
Transcript
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All right, Alexander, let's talk about Victor Orban and how the EU is looking to punish.
Orban, punish him because he decided to engage in diplomacy and try to find a solution to the conflict in Ukraine.
And that is why the European Union is actively, openly admitting to wanting to punish Hungary and punish Orban.
and one of the ways that they believe they're going to hurt Hungary and to hurt Victor
O'Bahn is by scheduling an EU foreign minister's event in Brussels at the same time that
Urban and Hungary, which has the presidency of the EU Council, is organizing an event connected
to their role as president of the European Union in Budapest.
So it's kind of a protest scheduling conflict.
So no foreign ministers will be able to go to Budapest,
because they'll be at a formal Brussels initiated event.
Childish, this is a stuff of three-year-olds,
but that's who rules Europe at this moment, three-year-olds.
This is exactly correct.
In fact, what they're proposing to do is that apparently,
Orban and his team wanted to have a foreign ministers meeting in Budapest, to discuss ways forward.
So the EU is now going to organize an EU council meeting for the same day,
obliging everybody to attend this council meeting in Brussels so that nobody can go to the meeting in Budapest.
As you correctly say, it is childish, it is so petty.
It is stupid.
It isn't even stupid.
It is ridiculous.
And of course, the world sees it as ridiculous.
Orban has just been to the three most important capitals in the world.
He's been to Moscow, Beijing.
He's been to Washington.
He's met with Donald Trump, who now looks very likely.
to be the next president of the United States
after the assassination attempt on him.
And the EU, instead of recognizing that Orban is regarded
around the world as an international statesman,
is trying to pull him down to humiliate him,
to make him seem as if he doesn't speak for them,
when all that is going to do,
is going to make the Russians, the Chinese, the global South,
and perhaps after November, the Americans decide that the EU
is a completely ridiculous and nonsensical institution
and one which should not be taken seriously
because they are turning against their own leading statesmen,
the only person in the EU who conducts foreign policy sensibly and rationally,
and who bear in mind under the EU's own rules is supposed to be leading them at this time.
It's a case of whom the gods destroy, they first make mad.
Why does the EU not want to find a solution to a conflict that is destroying the EU?
It's destroying Europe.
Europe is, Ukraine is the big loser, obviously.
but the other big loser in
the project Ukraine is Europe.
I don't think that's controversial to say,
to recognize that Europe is the big loser.
I think everybody recognizes that Europe is the big loser.
Next to Ukraine, Europe is the big loser in this conflict.
Why would they want to continue this conflict?
Why are they so against a peaceful solution?
Any solution to this conflict
in order to save the union.
At the end of the day, that's what this is about, right?
Saving the union.
Yeah.
You are asking me that question.
The important thing to understand is that everybody outside the EU, including perhaps
before long, the Americans are going to be asking that question as well.
The Chinese, the Russians, the Indians, the Africans, the Latin Americans, the Americans, the
Americans as well, they're all going to be asking the EU that very same question. Why do you not want to end this war? You are losing this war. You are seeing Ukraine being destroyed. Tens of thousands of people are dying in Ukraine every day. Your economies are falling apart. Your living standards are falling apart. And you will not negotiate. You will not talk.
you want to see this war prolonged, you are behaving irrationally and even stupidly.
And that is what more and more countries are going to be saying to the EU.
And more and more countries are saying that now.
We saw that at the Swiss summit meeting, the peace summit meeting that took place a few weeks ago,
that the entire global South basically either.
stayed away or they made comments critical of the EU's position and refused in the end to sign
the final communicate. So it's an absolutely vital, you know, good question. Why do they refuse to do
this? Well, there are three reasons. Firstly, in the case of Orban himself, the EU hates him. I mean,
they have the same kind of issues with Orban that some people.
in the United States
have against Donald Trump.
They loathe Orban.
They do not want a peace settlement
in Ukraine
in which Orban plays a leading role.
So the very fact that he's trying to organise this
makes them throw their
rationality out of the window.
They're going to sabotage it
simply because Orban wants
it. It is stupid, but that's one side of it. The second is they absolutely loathe Vladimir Putin
and Russia. And this isn't a war really about Ukraine at all. We've discussed this many times.
It is a war effectively against the Russians. They can't bring themselves to admit that the
Russians are in the driving seat, that they're winning the wall, that the war is going to turn out
in Russia's favour, that any peace settlement is going to end up in Russia's favour.
Far better to keep the war going, hope that something will turn round and confound the Russians
after all. It's a miracle will happen. And even if that doesn't,
happen and the Russians win, keep the conflict going as long as possible in the hope that that
was still somehow in the end, weaken the Russians too. They would rather lose than compromise
because they can't bring themselves to compromise with an enemy that they have so demonized
and monstered for so long. That's the second thing. And the third is that, of course,
compromising in relation to the individual Western political leaders that we're talking about,
the European political leaders that we are talking about, will expose them to questions by
their own people. Why did you lead us into this conflict, which has ended up so badly for
ourselves and for Europe and for our country, when there was so many possibilities for
for peace open to you. And they don't want to ask, have those questions ask of them as well.
So for all of these reasons, they're setting their face against compromise.
They want the war to go on. They would rather that Ukraine went down to defeat than compromise.
And they certainly do not want a compromise peace negotiated and brokered by of all people,
Viktor Orban. None of these are good reasons.
None of them are rational reasons.
But as it's absolutely clear now, reason and sense have taken, have no part of the way in which EU leaders make decisions anymore.
So what happens if Trump wins the election in November 2024?
And the only is not exaggeration either.
The only leader in the European Union that is on speaking terms with Trump.
is Victor Orban.
The EU is screwed.
Yes.
Yes.
Yeah.
It is.
If we get that outcome in November.
Absolutely.
And I mean, you know, I'm not making any predictions.
I don't quite know what is going to happen, but there is at least a possibility.
I would say a strong possibility that Donald Trump will want to bring the war in Ukraine to an end.
And he will reach out to the Russians and he will do so from a much stronger,
position that he did in 2017 when he was elected before because he will have been re-elected.
Realistically, prospects of impeaching him a third time, I would have thought were fairly remote this
time, especially if the Republicans do well in the congressional elections, which many people
think they will. So it's plausible that Trump will reach out to the Russians to Putin, will come to
an agreement with them, ending the conflict in Ukraine, at which point the Europeans will be left
high and dry and looking ridiculous. Well, you know, they slammed every door. I mean, these aren't
politicians. These aren't diplomats because a good politician and a good diplomat never closes doors.
They closed every door. They closed the doors to Russia. They closed the doors to Putin. They're
closing the doors to China and to Xi Jinping, and they close the doors to Trump.
Yeah.
So what happens when all these doors are closed, but these are the doors that you need to go through
in order to be part of the world?
I mean, what do you do?
You isolate yourself.
That's exactly what you do.
The only people you're left talking with are yourselves.
There is no one else talking to you.
The Indians go to Moscow.
Putin goes to Beijing.
Trump, perhaps, will be talking with Putin.
The Europeans are left talking with each other.
That's what's going to happen.
Because as you absolutely correctly say,
what the Europeans are doing
violates the most fundamental principle of diplomacy,
which is that you keep lines of contact open.
Yeah.
And just a final thought,
if things stay the same, God help us, if you get a Biden or a Democrat White House and the war
continues, it's still not to the benefit of Europe.
No.
No, because it's just a knowing situation.
It's not to the benefit of Europe.
Europe will be even further destroyed, even further isolated for most of the rest of the
world and will be tied to a U.S. administration.
which even if re-elected, nobody any longer has any real confidence in outside, you know,
the Democratic Party and his followers in the United States, which is itself becoming isolated
in global affairs. So you would be in effect nailing your masks, your flag, you're nailing your
flag to the mast of the sinking ship. I mean, not a good, not a good, not.
a good look.
Yeah.
The best thing that could happen to Europe and the European Union is a Trump victory in
November.
It sounds weird to say.
And Trump actually keeping his, well, I don't know if he's actually said this,
but he's hinted at cutting Europe loose.
Well, indeed.
That would be the best thing for Europe.
It would indeed.
Maybe it'll knock some sense into the European Union and the European Union.
European Union leaders.
It would indeed.
And at that point, they might find that Victor Orban, this monster, demon, Lucifer, dark angel,
whatever it was, what they call him, actually is an absolutely indispensable bridge,
an essential bridge that they have to rely on, because at least he has kept the lines of
communication open, which none of the European, other European leaders.
have done. So at that point, they might find that the fact that he's done what he has done
is in their own interests, whether they'll be able to swallow that and would be prepared to
talk to Orban at that point is another matter. No, they won't because you can just look at the
picks for the new EU top jobs, Kayakalas and Ursula's second term. And you understand
that they're just going to double down on all the mistakes. Yeah.
Okay, we will leave it there.
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