The Duran Podcast - Konstantinovka Falling, Russia Closing in on Sumy w/ Stanislav Krapivnik

Episode Date: June 12, 2026

Konstantinovka Falling, Russia Closing in on Sumy w/ Stanislav Krapivnik

All right, I am here with Stanislav. Stanislav, how are you doing? Where can people follow your work? Doing excellent. It's a nice sunny day outside, 30-something degrees, so, you know, it feels like summer. And speaking of summer, on something totally different. Yeah, you can find my work on Substack, at Zmei Garenich, on X at Stannis, Krapjewnich. We couldn't fit the whole name in.

and on YouTube at Mr. Slavic Man, Slavic with a K, all one word. And on Telegram, Stas to die Abratna, the Russian channel, Stas was there, is the English language channel. All right, those links are in the description box down below. Stanislav, let's talk about what is happening in Ukraine on the front lines. I want to start there, and then maybe talk a little bit about what is happening in the Kremlin and what's going on with the drones and stuff like that. So, what is this? Yeah, wherever you want to begin.

Do you want to begin with the Kremlin and the drones, or do you want to begin with what's happening on the front line? Let's start with the front line. I'm sorry, report, it's a total collapse. The Ukrainians are just outside of Moscow. I'm going to go dig my trench now and prepare at a final stand. We got the news. Yeah, right.

The two hot areas are that the news does not. report on. The collective West media does not report on is Konstantinovka and Lehman. Oh, it's much more to that. They keep running with the dealmate. True, but those are the I think those are the ones that people are familiar with, but tell

us what's happening on the front line. Yep, yep. And by the way, I'm bringing in some more, I'm planning to go down soon and bring in some more people for the soldiers to eat because, you know, we're also out of food. And all the other Western propaganda. Well, would you, and Alex, you're absolutely right, which you will never

hear about, you'll hear about Ukraine starting as drone offensive. But you don't hear about is it's basically a terrorist drone offensive because they're targeting civilians more than normally. But you don't hear about Konstantinovka getting ready to fall. What you did here last week was from the Ukrainian side, you know we may have to evacuate Miragrad, otherwise known as Dimitrov. That's right. Last week, they admitted they may have to evacuate Miragrad. Yeah, they were surrounded and wiped out six months ago in Miragrad, but who's counting? Carrier and pigeon or trench rat runs slowly to Kiev. So yes, they suddenly remember that we may have to evacuate Miragrad. So if you're following the Western news, you're at least six months behind reality,

if not absolutely beyond the pale of reality. Constantinevka is 80% of Russian hands, counting the big enclave of Ukrainian soldiers in the south, east of the city that are surrounded and they're not getting out. Russia's continuing to advance from the north and the northwestwards and south westwards around the city. So it's got the next pincher's coming up to take the northern 20% of the city. And then, because Konstitivka, if you're looking at, is right here. Right here, you have Drusinka, right here you have Kramatorska, right here, you have. Right here, you have Slavins, forming this basically a wall of one big urban agglomeration, very little distance between the cities.

They've kind of grown into each other. But you can now go around that wall. Once Constantinica falls fully, you can go to the south and around the backside of Dhrushenka. So that makes a very big problem for the Ukrainians. On top of that, once Konstantinovka falls, all the main routes are supplied for those three, that last wall,

they all come in through drone-laden roads. They start to cut them off for logistics. And why it's a fortress, because these were the three cities, the last three cities in Ukrainian hands,

that they've been preparing since 2014. Slonance, we know, is where the actual first fighting started. Not the first rebellion. That was Khadikov. It was put down very, very, bloody by the Espoo picking people off the street who are leading voices and just

taken into the woods and shooting them back of the head. And they weren't even bothering with any kind of mass graves. They're just jumping bodies all over the woods outside of the Haikov. And then Marie Uppel got put down with actual armored personnel carriers and lots of gunfire. But Slavins was where they broke their teeth, putting it down, which bought the time for Danyetsk and Lagans to get organized. And the rest is history, as we say. So that's the, those three towns are fortified.

They're very fortified. They were pouring in rebarbed concrete, setting up bunkers, tunnels, etc. for the last, well, since 2014. When they couldn't take Laganski and Danesk and they figured out that this was going to be something long, so they started to develop in defense. Otherwise, if you look at the defensive positions in places like Harkov in Zaporosia, they're relatively light positions because they're been, they were dug over the last couple of years, dug under fire, they don't have the big concrete pores, they're more field positions,

field trench positions. So those three cities are falling. Krasniliman on the north, which is the entry point to Sliminsk, It was, by the way, in World War II also. This is the way the Red Army's liberate the entire conglomeration was they went through Krasnallemann, which places you on the high ground for artillery over Slavinsk and also for drones. It gives you a good view of Slavinsk down the road and allows you to suppress the enemy in that population point a lot easier. So Krasniliman is basically surrounded.

And it's been cut off from its supplier lines, by drones and by direct routes being cut. And yesterday there was news that Russian forces broke through in the northern side and possibly took all of the northern side of Costa de Mont. So that leaves about a third of the city in Ukrainian hands. And they're out of ammo and very quickly running out of food. So when that goes, and it will go, that puts additional pressure of both direct attack going downhill. and artillery and drone control over that three-city conglomeration from the north. And Russia forces are about five, six kilometers east of that line as it is,

of the Gromitritsch, Kramatowski-Slavis line, and approaching the edges of the city. So that portion, I mean, once that's done, Danyetska's done. I mean, DNR, as far as liberation of any DNR. Russia force will continue, of course, at this point, I mean, war aims have changed, whether anybody's saying it directly, but they have. And Russia force will continue liberating territory, Russian territory in Yipipovsk. They'll continue moving into Harkiv, deeper into Harkiv.

Particularly since Harykav is using civilians and civilian infrastructure, Hadeq is what they're using to fire into Belgarat, into direct city center. It's 40 kilometers from city center or city center. These are two cities that are relatively close together. So Russia will continue expanding their territories in Heidekhov. And who knows, there may be a People's Republic of Heidkev pretty soon at this rate. And going further north, we have Sumi.

Why Sumi, Sumi is a very, it's an open city of about 200,000 people. I'm not quite sure how much of that population is still in place. And it is a city that's very flat, very hard to defend. but it is a logistical hub for Chernigov and then Kiev and going down toward Khadikov and coming up. So if you can cut Sumi, you cut Haqqqv off from supply from the northwest. And Haarikov is only going to have supply for the south, which goes across a river. There's a lot of bridges that have to be crossed. So that's an area that can be cut off later on as the Russian forces get close to Haidqqv.

But, way, Heidekov, just to understand, and this is the future of all of Ukraine, Khadikov is now actively press ganging women. The Ukrainian authorities, press gang young women to throw them to the front. And what we've seen across the Ukrainian... According to which sources, like, are these Ukrainian sources as well or local Yes, local Ukrainians. This is what's coming out. The Dave started.

While they're putting up a lot of posters and a lot of billboards all over Ukraine, that you're Ukrainian woman, your duties at the front to defend Ukraine, those are still, they're not press gang and women in Russia, Ukraine, but in Haarikov, they're running out of men, so they've started press ganging women, young women. It'll be a fight to the last Russian of Ukrainian passport holder. I mean, those cities are absolutely Russian, ethnic Russian areas. So that's a situation we have in Haidqav,

moment. Sumi, as I was saying, the Russian forces in the north are infiltrating through the forest that lead up right up to the edges of Sumi because in the green, drones are very limited. Drones are limited in forest areas anyways because branches and drones don't go together, as anybody's ever had a toy drone found out very quickly. But when it's green, it makes it not just hard to hit targets on the ground with a drone, it makes it hard to figure out where they're at. the canopy provides a very good camouflage or cover. So Russian trope forces are using those forests. They've gone through the second line of defense.

The next line of defense is the city itself. And they're somewhere between five to eight kilometers out. They're not exactly advertising. Well, they're moving through that forested area. So at the rate things you're going, by the end of the month, before the middle of next month, Sumi may start being invested by Russian forces, at least the north-east of Sumi. We'll see how long Sumi can hold out as a very flat and open city.

That's the area there. And again, Ukraine, what Ukraine is doing is drawing attention away by doing terror. They just recently hit a passenger train. They've hit several buses, one of which that was going through DNR, an island Danesk itself. I think it was a McKayefka or somewhere right beside McEyevka. There were seven people, seven or eight people. I've seen different reports that died either in their sleep from the explosion or from the fire and the bus. And another 11 that were injured, also 46 civilians going south.

They've hit a lot of cars. I had friends, they did a run into Zaporosia to deliver some. some items. We'll just look at that. They're both former military, well, officers, retired officers, so they didn't freak out.

But as they're going back up the Mariupil Highway, this is a four-lane highway, two lanes in each direction. The Ukrainians are doing remote mining of that highway. So they fly on a drone, drop a mine, and fly out.

Considered 98 plus percent of that traffic is civilian. You know, the car in front of them blew up on one of those minds, just civilians, civilian family. Okay. Driving past him. Right. Putten at the St. Petersburg Forum, he was very confident when he was talking about the

situation on the front. He said that Russia is advancing across the entire front line. Would you agree with his assessment? Most of the front line. There are, where are there difficulties? There are two areas. One, it's not a difficulty. just not concentrating on, and that's

the areas west of formerly known, Pekrovsk, which is now Krasnarmisk. Again, there's some, it's more stationary warfare, I think, because most of the resources in that area are going into the Konstantinovka and then up into the Dirzhenka Kramatarsk-Slavsk

conglomeration. So there's not that much push. There's a little push to expand, more like a more buffer zone for Pukrovsk, but that's not a active advancement. The other location is in Zaporosia, or in this case, western central Zaporosia, where the Ukrainians launched a counteroffensive. They pushed the Russian forces. Russian forces were 10 kilometers away from Zaporosia city on an estuary, and they captured the bridges across. The Ukrainians launched a big emergency counteroffensive. They pushed Russian forces back about

four kilometers, and they've stopped. They can't go any further. Now they're steadily being rolled back up northward. The Ukrainians are much better at grabbing the land than the Russians. I'll admit that. Of course, the cost of grabbing that land means they can't hold that land once they run out of steam. And they always run into steam because they don't give a damn how many casualties are taken. These are most of the suicide squads.

These are the guys that get press gang that are about 35 and older or have medical conditions. They're good for one good hurrah. So they toss them in with no pity. And they don't count the dead. They don't care how many of them ever come home because they're throwaway infantry in this case. They toss them in there. They use up a lot of vehicles and a lot of men to grab a lot of land.

And then they steadily get rolled back up, which we've seen this in the two previous Zaporosia offenses. One was stopped almost instantly near Gulliak-Polia. And it's been rolled back. And Russia has advanced. Russia took Gullay Polsky, not to be confused with Gulli Polia. I know these names, they all sound, they started to sound the same, which is to the west of Gulli Polye and is now about eight kilometers east and northeast of

Arjokov. Arjofa is the last fortified big town south of Zaporosia. There's a bunch of small villages to the north of that, but that's the last big fortified town. and it's been surrounded from three directions. It's a long town along N08 highway. And to the south of it is Malata Tamwchka, which is about half taken by Russian forces. It's a satellite town of that of Arjokovah.

And Russian forces are also to the west, about eight kilometers out in closing. And now they're in the east, about eight kilometers in closing. So basically, was already under tactical encirclement because N08 is under drone control. So they can't, and direct artillery control too. It's eight kilometers, eight, nine kilometers from the edges of the front line. So they can't get a lot of vehicles in or out.

So they're kind of stuck there. But once that goes, that's your last big armored area. And it looks like at the rate, particularly in the east, the Russian forces are advancing maybe another two weeks or three weeks, because Gullai Poyski was about the last major village along the way to Areochava. There's one more in that area that needs to get taken, and they're basically got a free advance across fields right on up to eastern-Aryokov. So the two areas that aren't advancing, particularly, is West of Okrovsk,

and where the Ukrainian counter-offensive just got stopped. Now, more likely sooner than later in Western Central's Upper Orsia, that's going to start rolling back. There's a ray signs that that's what's happening. Russia's regathering forces in that area and it's going to start pushing them back. Ukraine can do these localized counteroffensives, but they can't do it generalized because they're out of troops. If you noticed, every year, these counteroffensive, they get smaller and smaller and scope. They get a lot more PR screams for a very short period time, but they do get smaller and smaller. after their big Rabatjana counteroffensive where they put down, they lost about 85,000 dead

to take 120 square kilometers, which is 10 by 12, or actually 12 by 10. Not much land. Yeah, Russia defeated them there, no doubt about it. That counteroffensive did not go anywhere. So anyway, what's going on with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and this meeting that is taking place? right now as we're recording this video actually with the French, UK and the German ambassadors in Russia. Have you heard about this?

They requested a meeting with Lavrov, with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. I don't want to say Lavrov specifically, but this is at their request. They wanted to go to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and have a meeting. What do you think is going on if you had to take a guess? definitely one talks. That's obvious enough. If I had a guess, well, it's hard to guess because on the one side, you've got to wonder how much is bluster and how much is reality or in this case reality in their minds. Because if you look at what the EU officials are constantly saying is we're going to dictate terms to Russia. We're going to dictate terms. We're going to dictate terms. We're going to dictate. We're going to talk from a position of power. But you hope they have a five-point plan. They have a five-point plan in Europe, their demands. So you think they're bringing that to the ministry?

Or do you think they realize the situation on the front line? Or do you think they know everything they say is BS and they're going to the ministry to grovel? Or perhaps to pull a fast one, another Minsk type of fast one on Russia. What do you think of the three or four different options? Well, if they had a choice, they'd definitely put a pull of Minsk. Or at least have a five-point plan, where point one is Vladimir, Vladimir, Lejimrich, and his entire cabinet walk out in the middle of Red Square

and commit mess, Harry Carey. I'm sure that would be point one. Just commit suicide and it all be good after that, which, you know, and other fantasy items that they may wish for. Look, I mean, we still have constant talk about we're going to have a ceasefire. No matter, it's like Trump with Iran, no matter what Iran says, he's just like that little kid, but I want that candy, give me the candy, give me the candy. It's the same thing with the Europeans. Oh, we want the ceasefire. We're going to have

the seat fire. We're going to see the fire. We're going to see the fire. No. But we want to ceasefire. It's like little pregnant little kids. You just kind of want to smack them upside the head, you know, and go, no. But Lavrov has much more decor than that. I've seen him losing his temper. Yeah, Lavrov said, we'll listen to them. That was his statement. Let's listen to them and see what they have to say. Come on internet. I mean, the impression that I got from Lavrov is, at least publicly, they're not even sure why these three, the E3, as they go by, decided to finally schedule an appointment

to go to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Yeah, no shit, unstable internet connection. I just got in front, we had an unstable internet connection, that no shit moment. Lavrov, I've seen, you've seen him on, on. occasionally start to lose his temper. I mean, the man has a saintly temper dealing with these people. So I think, you know, if I had a guess, more than likely, they may be in a, we really want to talk to you, but this is still our power position type of play. It's not going to get anywhere.

It's going to be one of those. Yep, okay, thanks. We had the meeting. And here's the minutes of the meeting. And we go on with our lives. but it does show that, you know, the stages of coping. They're not quite at a point where they've just admitted that they've lost and they need to do something about it. They're still in a negotiation phase where they're trying to negotiate from position of strength,

even though they have no strength. So I think that's what we're probably going to see. I highly doubt they're going to betray Zelensky outright, though I'm sure there's a lot of interest growing into doing that. But look, look, we're seeing what's happening in Ireland. We're seeing what's happening in the UK. I mean, the people are losing it internally. And they're losing for good reasons. I mean, they're flooded with migrants.

A lot of those migrants have psychological issues, murders up, economies down. The pie that gets shared in social services is getting smaller. Everything's getting more expensive. And they've started to figure out that not everything is like the way the Western leadership was telling them. So I think that's probably at least partially driving with the leadership. The extremely unpopular leadership of the EU is probably going to have to do. As soon or later, they're going to have to compromise.

Or go to war. I mean, that's pretty much the only two options they have. Right. How is Russia dealing with the drones? Final question. What's going on there? Well, Russia's dealing. There's several initiatives.

One, Russia is reorganizing. internally on drone defense. Companies are asking to be able to get heavy weaponry to defend their locations, hire people to defend their locations. And we're talking about anti-aircraft systems, heavy machine guns, things like that. More and more I've been noticing when I was driving that there's nets that are going up and other obstacles around oil storage tanks. That's what they mostly target is oil storage tank,

or fuel storage tanks, because those burn really nicely. You can't destroy a refinery with a few drones. It's physically impossible. Refiners are gigantic infrastructural projects. That's one thing that's going on. So we'll see whether or not that initiative goes further. This is what the various unions of industrialists are asking for, has to be able to create small private military outfits to defend their own facilities.

I haven't heard anything back as far as I think the government is still considering that. The majority, I mean, the mass production of anti-aircraft systems is in full swing, and it's increasing the capacity. It's just a question of who's beating whom on production of drones versus the increase of anti-aircraft capacity. the majority of the targets that are hit are not military targets or not industrial targets they're civilian targets i mean civilian as in civilian housing and in fact if you drive down out of moscow to the edge of moscow as you're going toward

on m4 heading down south you can still see several uh high story apartment buildings at the edge of the city uh they have big black marks on them where drones slammed into them trying to kill civilians That's the easy target. Hidden government facilities, military facilities is extremely hard. The industrial facilities are hardening up, but the average apartment building is obviously still the average apartment building. And though the vast, vast majority of those drones get intercepted, and quite a few of them crash along the way.

Still enough of them get through. And if you've got nothing but else, but you need to get points for your gamification and kill somebody, there's always civilians. Lots of civilian targets like it or not. That's a reality. And we're dealing with a terrorist organization trained by other terrorist organizations called MI6, CIA, and Assad.

You know, the initial strategy was, and hope by the West was Russia would overrun Ukraine very quickly, and then we'd have a perpetual guerrilla war up and down most of former Ukraine to bleed Russia dry, and then crash Russia internally, and then the West comes in and takes everything over. That obviously didn't happen. What happened was this war of attrition where most of the people that would have volunteered for guerrilla warfare against a Russian occupation are now dead on the battlefield. And a few that are going to make it out of this alive are going to be very happy to be still alive. So that possible partisan base is pretty much gone. It's been destroyed or it's come to realization of what kind of power is really a city.

over them, what kind of people are sitting over them, and they don't want to die for these people. They don't want to be there. So that's the reality of it. And a lot of the nationalists, the ultra-nationalists, they're still from Western Ukraine. And hopefully Poland will get to deal with them sooner and later. Because by the way, Azov published their new flag and their claim the southern third of Poland. So it just has a little heads-up for the polls. So we're having problems with a lot of these Azov militants inside of Poland itself now. Daily crime has gone up a lot, Ukraine and on Polish crime has gone up a lot. So this is a very interesting twist.

I mean, we've heard, we've seen Ukraine escalate against its own allies. Interesting enough. We'll just take the case of Azerbaijan, which provides Ukraine with, or maybe the word might soon be provided in the past tense, provides Ukraine with 120-millimeter rounds, equipment and so on. Ukraine struck two Azerbaijani Azerbaijani tankers. Well, there were tankers.

There were ships tearing wheat. And they struck directly on the crew quarters in the Azov Sea, killed five Azerbaijanis, injured three others. In fact, the captain of one of them was buried today in Azerbaijan. So there's massive outrage in Azerbaijan over this blatant murder. And they had the Azerbaijani flags up. So the operators knew they were hit. At the same time, Ukraine sank a Turkish cutter, military cutter, in Turkish waters. And they've had numerous ships coming in and out of the Bosphorus straits, including a Turkish flagged ship in Turkish waters.

So Erdogan is, of course, trying to keep his arse on as many seats as possible. But the internally inside of Turkey, people have kind of started to get that shock therapy wake up, who you're dealing with in Ukraine that happily will attack in your own sovereign. territory. And now we've had a former member of Congress or parliament, let me phrase that, in Romania, who's head of the PPR party, Luska, who Mikhail Luska, if I remember his last name correctly, he came out and flat out said, look, those four drones. No, they didn't lose control of those four drones. They couldn't get through to their targets with those four drones because they had spillage protection buoys up and the drone got stuck.

Their targets, what he's saying is their targets were the fuel storage facility and Constantine and the fertilizer, the nitrate storage facility. We don't remember what happened in Beirut. And I imagine both of those going up at once. They would have taken half the city out as a false flag operation. You wouldn't be able to prove whose drones those were. Like if for them, the drones got stuck. They would have a mass casualty event to try start World War III from the Ukrainian side.

So it's basically Ukraine has quite literally attacked everyone around it that supports it. They've attacked Hungary, they've attacked Slovakia, they attacked Romania multiple times. They've attacked Poland. So, you know, you see what you get. You get a desperate cocaine-addicted government that needs to expand this war to keep itself alive. I mean, I'm talking physically alive. And that's the situation we have on the front right now. Yeah, if the reports about Romania are true that this was some sort of a false flag,

that would have really, really destroyed Costanda, that city. Yep. But thank God that did not happen. And I think that Romania is the people of Romania understand exactly what's going on. As I think the people of Poland understand what's going on. But you have guys like Tusk or guys like Nikosur Dhan who have been put in place in order to try and hold this, this European unity with Ukraine together. That's their purpose. That's their goal.

That's why they're there because they're globalists above anything else. Anyway, okay, Stanislav, excellent video, excellent discussion. And we'll see you soon, I guess. You're not going anywhere. It was a pleasure. In a couple of weeks, I will be. So I'll send you some videos from that. Okay, cool.

I'm not saying where until I've left that place, a little offset. Good. So, yeah. All right. Stanis Lab before we let you go, where can people find you? Okay. So X is Stanis Kripnik. On YouTube, it's at Mr. Slavic Man, Slavic with a

K, all one word. On telegram, it's Stasudai Abraten as the Russian, Stasas was there as the English, and substack is Megarinich, which is a three-headed dragon in Slavic mythology. All right, those links are the description box down below. Thank you. Take care. Thank you.