The Duran Podcast - Reform UK rises to the top

Episode Date: February 10, 2025

Reform UK rises to the top

All right, Alexander, let's talk about the situation in the UK. And it looks like reform is the number one party now in the UK. Yeah. Is that for real? Do you believe these numbers? Absolutely. The opinion polls are now putting it ahead of Labor. Labor, reform, the last opinion poll I saw put Reform UK on 25%. Labor on 23 and the Conservatives on 20. Now, it's not a huge lead, but it's one that has every sign and potential of gaining further momentum. And the other thing to say is that all of this is happening against a complete collapse in confidence within the Labour Party in Kirstama's leadership. And we are starting to see this now. there are rumors circulating that the finance minister, the chancellor, Rachel Reeves, could be sacked.

Probably not true. I would have thought that Stama would want to cling on to her because, of course, you remember what happened when Liz Truss sacked quasi-quarting, it basically led to her full. And I think that Stama's people would understand that. So they will try to keep Rachel Reeves in post. But if she does go, then that will be a clear sign that Stama's position is collapsing. But what is most interesting is that now articles are starting to appear and apparently based on a book, that the book originated with reports from members of Stama's own team, which say that he's not really very brunt, that he isn't actually in charge,

that he's basically a cutout, that he does what people tell him, that he thinks he's in charge, but he's not really in charge. And there was even a particularly cruel joke. And this is specifically people who apparently work for him, which we have in London, a thing called the Docklands Light Railway, which is a driverless train. In other words, you know, there's no actual driver. It's all done electronically. That the government is a driverless train.

It's just that Stama is there at the front of the cabin and he thinks he's actually driving it, but he really isn't. So it's a pretty awful joke, actually. Very, very cruel joke. So when people start writing things like this about the prime minister that, you know, He's just a, you know, a cut out of face that he's not really in control. Then that is a sign that things are turning very, very sour within the government as well. And it was the reason is not difficult because the country, almost certainly now, the economy is in recession.

Reeves, the Chancellor, the Finance Minister, passed the budget a few weeks ago, which we've discussed, in which the increased taxation massively. But it was all supposed to cure the underlying problems of the economy and provide space for further spending increases going forward. except that because the economy is in recession, that space for the future spending increases is vanishing. And there's even suggestions floating around now that because the fiscal situation, the financial situation, the government's position is deteriorating, Reeves might be forced to raise taxes even further, which if it happens, I mean, that will really upset and angry. many, many people. And I, at that point, it could be the case that, as I said, her popularity,

her position will become threatened and then that could lead to consequences for Stama as well. The whole government, as I said, is thinking, the fastest collapse of a government I have seen in all the time I've been following British politics and my memory extends to the late 1960s. Do these numbers indicate that if there were an election reform would win? I mean, because I know that the election system in the UK is a bit complicated. Is that what they reflect or are we reading them wrong? I think if there was an election tomorrow, you would still find that Labor would come out of this with the biggest number of seats in the House of Commons, even if Reform UK outpolled

them, but Reform UK, which is only five seats in Parliament, would increase the numbers of seats by orders of magnitude. It would probably be in a position to challenge for becoming the official opposition. And any government that was formed without it, and of course the initial instinct on part of the political class and racism would be to try to form a government without it. Anyway, any government that was formed without it would be very brittle and would probably face major problems going forward. For that reason, by the way, we're not going to have an election anytime soon. If there is a crisis, if there's a collapse in support for the government,

what you will probably see is, again, a change, the removal of Stama, the replacement of Stama by someone else. And it's not even difficult to guess who that someone else would be. It's a man called Wes Streeting. He's not very well known outside the UK, but he's, well, I wouldn't say he's well-known in Britain, but he is the health minister. He's known to be a protégé of Tony Blair. He is somebody who comes very much from Blair's wing of the party. He's faintly more charismatic than Starma himself is, which is not difficult.

He's deeply unpopular. He barely almost lost his seat in the election. Remember, this is the election which Labour won with a landslide. It would be a replacement of one deeply. unpopular and disliked leader, Kirst Stama, with an even more unpopular and even more disliked one who would be West Streeting. But I think that that's probably what would happen, that we'd see Stama stuck down, streasing step in, and the same drift and the same failure would continue. It sounds like everything that happened with the conservatives.

No, it's exactly the same. Yeah, rotating prime ministers. Retating prim ministers. But if you remember, we said so, haven't we said before the election, that we're going to replace a failed conservative government, a failed globalist conservative government with another failed globalist labor government. And again, just like with the conservatives, you know, you reshuffle the pack and hope that that somehow changes things, but it's not going to make any difference. It's probably

what the Labour Party is going to start to do before very long. How does this affect the UK and the UK economy? I mean, do they have the luxury of going down the same route that the Tories went down a couple of years ago? No, they don't. And this is a key thing to understand because the fiscal situation, the financial situation of the government is deteriorating. We now have a situation where a future government is going to be forced to make some very critical choices, either increases taxes, which will create deeper recession, or it cuts spending and cut spending radically. When I say cut spending radically, I mean Elon Musk style radically, which would be, which would be,

deeply unpopular with the Labour Party's own electoral base. In fact, I just can't see how it can happen. Or it starts doing other things like, you know, tears up regulations and does that kind of thing, which I don't think myself that would be anywhere near enough, by the way. But anyway, there is some talk about that. Either it does those things or at some point, we are going to have a very, very severe fiscal, budgetary crisis in Britain. We're going to see the currency, sterling, come under intense pressure. The government might find it difficult to raise funds in the bond markets. Investments into Britain

could dry up, in which case, as I said, we could face a economic crisis of a kind that we've not faced in Britain, well, at any point since the Second World War. And that is, that is, I don't mean it's going to happen tomorrow or next year, but it's not that far over the time horizon. So we're not on a sustainable trajectory here if you look at the situation. There's simply changing crime ministers coming up with new relaunches and talking about AI and all that. That really doesn't address the underlying problems, which are getting steadily worse. Yeah, and you have a hundred-year agreement with Ukraine. Stomers obsessed with Ukraine and obsessed with trying to defeat Russia.

And then you have Lammy going to Kiev and making a complete fool of himself. Your thoughts on that, to close out the video, on a bit of a lighter, not a lighter note, but the stuff that he said was just beyond, just crazy and dumb. about princes and princesses burying between Ukraine and the UK. I mean, just exactly. Well, there's been, there's been apparently somebody's added up all the numbers and they found that the British government has given Ukraine indirect grants around 12 billion pounds. Now, that may not sound so much if you look and bury it with, you know, the 200 billion

dollars of the US government under Biden has given Ukraine. But, you know, Britain is hardly in the same position as the US. We don't have the world's reserve currency. We are in a much deeper budgetary hole than the United States actually is. And I think that's a point to say, we don't have the money to give to Ukraine in the way that we've been doing. And up to now, it's not something that has got through to the British public. But as they find out about it, they will be furious. I mean, we have a situation where the health service is profoundly underfunded. There's problems in schools, there's problems right across the system.

There's talk about raising taxes even more. And as I said, we're given 12 billion pounds to Ukraine, about 16 billion. dollars, you know, Selensky comes along, he says $100 billion of American money can't be accounted for. Who's to say that any of the British ones he can be accounted for either? I mean, you know, if you think about it. So we have all of these major problems accumulating in Britain, but we still have a political class that is still fixated and obsessed with Project Ukraine.

And the 12 billion pounds is just the money given in direct grants. We're not talking about the energy costs or the other complications, the fact that Russian investment money isn't flowing into Britain, that the Chinese have been put off, all of the other problems that we've seen as a result of this economic war. And I'm not even going to discuss the fact that the military now in an absolutely shocking condition. And that has also been massively worsened by the fact that much of our military's equipment has been shipped off and sent to Ukraine when the Russians are gleefully destroying it. So it's the greatest piece of stupidity that any British government has ever done. I mean, I just don't know anything as bad as this at any point in British history before. I mean, people talk about Lorne North, the British Prime Minister who lost the American colonies.

He was a genius compared to what we've seen over the last five years. Compared to Stommer, yeah. Absolutely. Okay, we will end the video there. The durand.orgas.com. We are on Rumble Odyssey, bitch, you, telegram, rock-fit, and X. Go to the Duran shop, pickups of merch, like what we are wearing in this video. Update.

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