The Duran Podcast - Russia military lava flow approaches Dnieper

Episode Date: July 2, 2025

Russia military lava flow approaches Dnieper

All right, Alexander, let's talk about the conflict in Ukraine and the recent attacks from the Russian military into Ukraine, a combined, combined attacks using a lot of drones, hundreds of drones throughout all of Ukraine, from the Nipro-Petrovsk region to Kiev, Odessa, all the way to the west and Levov. And along with the drones, we're seeing Russia use a lot of of missiles, a variety of missiles as well, Skandres, Calibres, Kinsals. And the Ukrainian air defense is a no-show. They're using F-16s to combat the drones

and the F-16s are losing. And that's how things have been going over the past couple of weeks. Of course, the Russian military continues to advance across the entire front line. They are actively fighting now on the Deneper. They're surrounding Bakurovsk. They're not going for a frontal assault.

They're working from the flanks. They're looking to surround Pakrosk, but they're also capturing villages now across the Teneper. Most in the Zapparoche region. Correct me if I'm wrong on any of this. And you also have the Russian forces continuing to grind it out in Sumi. Things have calmed down a bit in the Sumi advance because of Ukrainian reinforcements, from what I understand, and both sides have kind of dug in. But this is what the Russians do.

They push. They attrition of the Ukraine military, then Ukraine sends reinforcements. Then they stop pushing forward and they just continue to wage the attrition war until they feel that they can then advance further because Ukraine is weak. So, I mean, that's pretty much the situation in Sumi, but what is your take on everything that is happening in the conflict in Ukraine? No, you're absolutely correct. Can I just make a quick observation about, you know, a lot of what people talk about, about

the war and about the way the Russians have conducted it? When you look at American and NATO and Western wars, they always start with enormous bang, you know, it's a shock in all tactics. hit hard and hit fast and you knock out the internet and you go for the leaders and you do all of those things. And then gradually what happens is that unless this knockout blow is successful, the war then starts to get slowly bogged down and it sort of peters out and it just goes, drags on for year after year and you get the sense that the impetus and the momentum is draining away. And you saw that in Afghanistan, you saw that in Iraq, you see that in other conflicts before that as well.

With the Russians, it's exactly the opposite. They start quite quiet. You remember the start of the special military operation, people noticed that there was no attempt to reproduce shock and awe tactics. And then gradually, if the war isn't concluded quickly with a diplomatic settlement, you see the steady build up and is building up and been building up. And now it's built up to absolutely massive levels, on a scale that we've never seen in any war, I think, since, well, certainly since Vietnam. I mean, it is now a huge war. And the big, heavy punches are being landed by the Russians.

And one gets the sense that even as of now, they're only really getting started. I mean, you remember that famous comment of Putin? They're now able to launch 500 drones against Ukraine every night, these Geraan drones. As you've already said, the F-16s are unable to keep up because there's just too many drones. The drones just keep on coming. There's just too many of them. The missiles are also hitting Ukraine and it's no longer, you know, just air launch missiles. It's ground launch missiles.

It's hypersonic missiles. It's sea launch missiles. It's missiles coming from every conceivable direction. And the missile stockpile is increasing all the time. And Putin just confirmed that the Oreshnik is in serial production. So quite likely it will be joining in too. in a few weeks or months time. We're going to start to see the Ereznik being used also.

And Ukraine simply cannot keep up with this. The air defense system simply cannot keep up with the level of attacks that are coming in all the time. And apparently the Russians are now building 500 Girand drones a day. And the reports say that soon it'll be 700 a day, and then a thousand a day. and that this factory in Kazan, it's too, you know, is now tooling up, but it still hasn't come anywhere close to reaching full capacity levels.

And this is also reproducing itself on the battlefronts. Zurski and Zelensky are now admitting that the Russian army is three or four times bigger than it was in 2022. It is pounding in every single place. It's advancing more and more. The artillery strikes were apparently intensifying again 30, 40,000 rounds a day,

apparently. More tank advances. The military has become much more sophisticated in the way it operates. So you see armoured units and combined with motorcycle units, which is something completely new. And of course, on the actual battle,

front as well. The Russians now have a decisive advantage in drones. So last year, the Ukrainians were holding their own in the drone war on the actual battlefields, the FBV drones. In fact, if you followed what the Western media was saying, they were even ahead in the drone war. Now nobody who looks at the situation believes that any longer. The Russians have far more drones than the Ukrainians. They have many more types of drones than the Ukrainians. They have fiber optic drones. The Ukrainians have struggled to produce fiber optic drones, and they've never produced them in anything like the quantity that the Russians have. The Russians have fiber optic drones. They have radio-controlled FPV drones. They have drones like the Lancet and the others that are much heavier, which can be used against

armored vehicles. They're doing what they always do. They pound the logistics of the Ukrainian forces just behind the front line. They combine all of this with artillery. Their fab bombs are falling all the time. And it's the lava flow. Remember we did a program. People last said, you know, where did that expression come from? It actually comes from the Pentagon.

But I think the first place that it was expounded on social, you know, on independent media. was in one of our programs. The lava flow is not only continuing, it's increasing, it's gaining strength. It was the title of the video that we had. It was the title of the video, exactly. It's the title of the video that we... And as I said, it's now, it's now, and it's lapping all around a Pachrosk, Pachosk is being surrounded and it's happening incredibly fast. You know, there's this key village, Novoeconomics, which is to the east of it. Apparently, that's that the Russians are now inside it.

There was a report yesterday that they'd even captured it. That was probably premature. But anyway, they're close to doing so. They're apparently well to the north of Pachrovsk. They're well to the west of Pagrovsk. You could see that Pachrovs, the lava, is closing around it. They're doing the same elsewhere, Konstantinivka. those sort of places. And as you absolutely rightly say, the Ukrainians, moving brigades

under strength brigades from one place to another. I was reading a report that the Third Azov brigade, one of Ukraine's elite brigades, they're so short of troops now that they've had to break it up. So they've got battalions from this brigade in one place, battalions in a different place. It's been scattered right across the front lines. Anyway, they've been trying to carry out in a counterattack in Sumi region. And again, it's exactly what the Russians always do. They advance. They wait for the Ukrainians to counterattack. They then use the Ukrainian counterattacks to grind the Ukrainians down. And they are then able to move closer. And going back to what you said about Zaporosia. Yeah, they are indeed on the Nika. They are moving further north. Soon,

within days, they will have Zaporosia city within artillery range. They apparently will soon have Sumi city in the north within artillery range as well. And the first aerial bomb has fallen on Yerpro. So you could see what's happening. It's this slow. remorseless buildup. And there's every sign that is going to continue and get more and more of it. And the Ukrainians, for short of everything, it's going to be impossible for them in the end to keep resisting this. Already one Ukrainian commentator said that in parts of the front line, there are 10 Ukrainian troops standing and trying to control five kilometers of territory. I'm not saying that's true everywhere, but you can see that there's large stretches of the front lines where the Ukrainians now are incredibly thin.

CNN says that, they put out a report and they say that the Russian summer offensive has been very underwhelming. What do you make of that? They always do that. So that's CNN. They have a similar article in the Daily Telegraph that it's stalled. And then you get you can, another article on the Financial Times that says on the country that they're advancing very fast, you get all of these media, Western media attempts to talk the situation up. A lot of these stories come from the Ukrainians themselves. The Ukrainians still want to create this impression that they have the situation under control. They obviously don't. You could see that. If the Russians are going to be with an artillery range of Zaporosia and are going to engulf Pachrosk, which is, looks like what they're doing.

You can't talk about a stalling offensive. What is true is that the offensive is still in its relatively early weeks. It began at the end of April and so we've had perhaps two months, nine weeks of fighting, which we still got the rest of the summer and the autumn until the mud season begins before it really gets going. So we still got a lot to do. And of course, the Russians are now right up against Ukraine's last big fortified line, which is this line of towns, Slaviansk Kramatosk, Konstantinovka and Prakrosk. So this is the final line in Dombas, which the Russians have battled through for three years, but they've now reached it. And they're right up against it. And obviously they have to break through that. And that's

obviously where the fighting is taking place. But all of the indications are that that's exactly what they're going to do over the next few weeks and months. It seems like Russia is starting to really go after infrastructure a lot harder than they were doing the past couple of years. It reminds me of the beginning of the special military operation when it shifted from trying to get Zelensky to the negotiating table. Once Boris Johnson came in and sabotaged the chance for some sort of a quick ceasefire and a quick piece. For a couple of months, Russia was attacking a lot of military facilities,

a lot of training facilities, whatever weapon storage facilities Ukraine had, even at the border with Poland. Russia was going hard after these facilities. And then over the past three years, they haven't stopped going after these facilities, but they haven't been going after them. It seems that they haven't been going after them as hard. Over the past couple of weeks, it seems like Russia is really going after any type of military infrastructure anywhere in Ukraine. We're talking anywhere in Ukraine, even if it's up against the border with Poland. Russia's hunting it down and they're going after it and they're destroying it and they're

even destroying railroads, it seems. I mean, they're finally going after this type of infrastructure, which is something they have stayed away from for the past three, four years. Your thoughts? Right. And they're also going after cement factories. And they're doing so in places well behind the front lines. I think the reason they're doing this now on the scale that they are is because they can. When they did that at the early weeks of the special military operation, I think that they didn't have the enormous reserves of missiles and especially of drones. Now they do. So afterwards, they concentrated after the first weeks of the special military operation. They concentrated on specific sites. You remember, they used a lot

of missiles to knock out military infrastructure in the first weeks. Then the summer and autumn came. Then in October, they started hitting the energy system. And that continued through the winter. Now they can hit the energy system, they can hit the military infrastructure, they can hit the cement factories, they can hit the oil refining facilities, they can do all of things all the time every night, night after night, without pause, because they are producing enough missiles and especially drones to be able to continue to do it. And that's, I think, the big change. Yeah. All right. dot locals.com we are on rumble odyssey, bitch, shoot, telegram, rock for the next. Go to the Duran shop,

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