The Eric Metaxas Show - Robert Cahaly and Kevin McCullough

Episode Date: November 3, 2020

Robert Cahaly from the Trafalgar Group has the latest tallies on the Electoral College; and Kevin "Votestradamus" McCullough runs down final numbers, as well, plus laser-focuses on what's truly at stake in tomorrow's Big Vote.

Welcome to the Eric Mattaxas show. Due to budget issues, Eric's been replaced by a cranky secondhand robot named Dr. Nuts and Bults. He assume you won't mind, but if sparks shoot out your radio, you'll know why. So stand back. And now here's Eric 2.0. Hey there, folks. Today is Monday, which is to say the day before Tuesday when we elect the next president

of the United States. And by we, I mean Americans, everyone who's eligible to vote. There's no such thing as like the base elected. this president or that, the American people, everybody gets a vote. So if you don't vote in a weird way, you're not behaving like an American. If you have a vote and you don't vote, you're doing something I would call un-American. Everyone must vote, folks. I don't care if you live in a swing state. It's the right thing to do. It's a great privilege. Now, we've got a lot to mention today, and I hardly know where to begin.

Let's start here. First of all, I guess, yes, in a few minutes, we've got Votesradamus, Kevin McCullough. Now, guys, you read his thing, right? This is very, very exciting. I cannot underscore this enough. Kevin McCullough has been outrageously accurate. That's why Chris Himes dubbed him Votesradamus, and he gets to wear the hallowed turban. Now, Votesradamus is going to be on here today.

this is for most of our one and part of our two, talking about what he sees in his crystal ball. But even before that, right after this segment, we have another spectacularly accurate. In fact, don't tell Kevin, but this guy was more accurate. Albin, I think that's right. Is that right? He was even more accurate.

Yeah, that's what I understand. It had to do with Maine splitting its vote and Kevin missed three electoral votes. Okay, so this guy's Robert McKaley. Sorry, Robert Cahili. And Robert Caheli is with the Trafalgar group. He's coming up in our next segment. Seriously, he's a big deal.

Super accurate. He was on last night. I was watching him. That's going to be interesting. So we got that coming up. Then after that, Votes Dredamas. And then in hour two, we have Pastor Greg Locke. I wish I could put that right now in hour one because this guy is on fire.

I met him through the Falkirk Center, the Liberty University, Falkirk Center. By the way, in case anybody wants to know my opinion. I think that Jerry Fowell Jr. is a skunk. But I don't have time to talk about that right now. But in case you just needed a quote for me. But Pastor Greg Locke is such a hero, and he's going to be on an hour or two. He wrote a book called This Means War. He's just one of the kind of pastors that I pray that this nation gets more of a heroic, wonderful guy.

So we've just got a day loaded with craziness. More good news. ADF, we have come close, closer than any of these Salem hosts to meeting our goal. That's the good news. The bad news, we didn't meet our goal. So we, I believe, are still asking for help. We have someone theoretically giving the money to have dinner with me someplace around the country. Now's the time, folks, to do that.

please go to our website, metaxis talk.com and sign up. Also, and don't forget my beard hair is still Oh, yeah. Alvin, maybe we should discount the beard hair. Come on. What do you say? I don't know. 400. Would you go down to 400? 400. This week only. This week. 50. Would you do 350? Let's go to 250. I think we need to go to 250. If somebody gives 250, this week on. Everything that you get for 250, which is a lot, plus a VALY. This week only. plus a vial of genuine albin-sadar beard hair trimmings. Yes, it's an election week special. What kind of Thanksgiving could you possibly have with those with those with a vial of beard hair,

not as part of your centerpiece? What kind of an American argue? 250, 250, you've got to say, I want it. Yeah, ask for it. You can put that front and center in a part of a centerpiece this Thanksgiving and because COVID is going to be over after the election, we know. And you're going to have all your friends around, and there's going to be Albin's beard or part of it. And you're just going to be the envy of every true glue it on to the turkey. Red-blooded American. Yeah, you could glue it onto the turkey.

Really have some fun. Okay. Well, anyway, the point is that we're going to do a drawing probably Friday. We don't know. It all depends on the looting. But we're going to, and by the way, looting is one of the ways and Americans have been expressing their feelings for decades. And I think that it's an institution, it's something we need to honor. I think stealing. Eric, I'm going to have to cut you off there. I think looting is a medieval tradition going back to Europe,

where they would play the loot in the royal court. So looting has been out for, it's delightful. I love that. Actually, in my book on Martin Luther, I talk about he was quite the loot player. Anyway, I guess what I was trying to say at the beginning of that silly sentence was that we're going to announce the grand prize winner. And I'll say this again, if you give anything today to the Alliance Defending Freedom, because we're shutting it down, it's officially over, but we'll keep it open today if we can.

If you can still give, whatever you give, you're going to go into the Grand Prize drawing. So you could give very little today and you could win big. So, and it's such a good cause, folks. Religious liberty in America, the Alliance Defending Freedom, what they do around this country, I've talked about it, But my goodness, that's... Yeah. But the banner is still at the top of the page. So as long as it's up at the top of the page. It's still the top of the page.

You sound like from the Pittsburgh area, Albin. How's the Pittsburgh Gazette? How do they feel about the president? The Post Gazette, they backed Donald Trump. They haven't backed a Republican in 48 years, but they're backing Donald Trump. You know what? I heard that. I heard that.

Actually, it's a big deal. So a big Democratic paper. Yep. Kind of a union paper, kind of old-fashioned. Democrat paper. They went for Trump, principally because Biden said he's going to shut down fracking, he's going to end the oil industry. I mean, he's been fairly clear about that, unlike most other things. He had so many gaffs on the campaign trail recently that if you put them all together, and I'm amazed no one has, it's the most, it's actually unbelievable. It's gaspast. And where's the aviator

shades because when he doesn't, if you'll notice, he looks like a squinty, cranky-eyed old man on his lawn. He's just angry. And when he wears the aviator shades, he looks a little less angry. But he's clearly got no energy. I mean, he's not doing anything. Trump is pretty much going 24-7. You know, you can't fake that. And Biden is, I think today he has two things going on, and they're like in the Philly

area. So it's like a hop-skip and a jump from his basement. Okay, real quick. Yes. Mypillow.com. If you go to Mypillow.com, you don't use the code Eric. You're crazy because you get a huge discount. Mike Lindell is glowering at me.

He's right behind me right now. Mike, please. And he's wanting you to use the code Eric, everything you get. By the way, the 60-day money-back guarantee has been extended to March 1st. Anything you ordered today to Christmas, the 60-day money-back guarantee is extended to March 1st. That is a new development. Okay. Number two, my store.com, which is connected to my pillow.com, you can get, you see Donald the Caveman there, you can get all three Donald the Caveman books for $11 each, actually $10.99 each. I know that I'm losing money on that. I cannot get copies

any better than that, or about that price. I'm the author. I'm the author. Okay. So if you want copies for your friends, you want to celebrate this president and what's going on with a lot of humor. There's no better place to get these books than my store.com. And I think you have to use the code. Eric, have I ever mentioned that? Probably not. Okay, Albin, one more thing. Real quick, ready? Yes. Eight questions about race. I don't want to forget to mention this. We're doing a, what did I do with it now? I don't have it. I'll have to mention in the next, in the next segment. Well, it's, it's Bishop Aubrey Shines. He's got this great book, eight questions about race, and you can talk with up around the dinner table. You can answer all those questions. Like,

is there really white privilege out there? And, you know, those kinds of things are answered by Bishop Aubrey Shines. You've got to go to eight questions.com. Actually, no, no, no, sorry. I found it. I just needed the actual, the website is eight questions about race.com. Now you have to spell out eight, EIDHT, eight questions about race.com. But the thing is that Bishop Aubrey Shines, we had him on the program. He's the founder of conservative clergy of color. And he definitively answers all of these questions. I think it's very important for us to know, what do you say when somebody says, what about systemic racism? And they bring up, you know, there's some good point.

Somebody could bring up you. You say, well, okay, but here's why I see things the way I do. Bishop Arby Shines provides, you know, solid answers. Go to eight questions about race.com. When we come back, we have Robert Caheli, big deal, big deal, pollster, huge. After that, most rudestramas, don't go away. Hey there, folks. folks, coming up in our next segment for the rest of the hour, Kevin Votesradamus, McCullough, is going to be with us.

And I want to remind you also, please don't forget to go to mypillow.com and use the code Eric for everything. And also go to my store.com. It's connected to MyPillow. And you can get my three Donald, the Caveman books, at an insanely low rate, but only at my store.com. In case he didn't know, I think we're having a national. election tomorrow. Yes, we are. And I thought before I talk to political prognosticator, Kevin Vostradamus McCullough, why don't I talk to another political prognosticator who has been at least as accurate as the brilliant Kevin. I have now, Robert Cahaley with the Grafalgar group. Robert, welcome this program. It is great to be here. Is somebody playing the silophone in one of our...

Sorry. By the way, if that's my wife calling, I'm not here, okay, please. So, Robert, thanks for joining us. What are you thinking about what's going to take place tomorrow? I think Trump's going to win. I think he's going to get the record of 270-plus electoral vote, and he's going to win the election. Okay, I think we're done. I know. Seriously, though, that's kind of big news because the last time, if you don't mind my asking you to toot your horn a little bit, tell us in 2016 and 2018, you and the Trafalgar group seemed to nail it. And the reason, of course, that's substantive because everyone else did whatever the opposite of nailing it is, seemed not to even be close, which kind of made me wonder why we do any polling at all if they can

that far off. But what is it that you guys saw in 2016 that made you so accurate? Well, we noticed that when we did the polls in the primary, we noticed that everything we did digital was more accurate than our live calls. And so we kind of went and did a little homework on that, trying to figure out what that was. What does that mean digital? Are you talking about cell phones? Are you talking about internet questionnaires? Message, emails. auto calls, everything, the digital components were more accurate. And so we also noticed a lot of new people because, you know, I work primarily, well, I live and work in Georgia and South Carolina.

And so I studied those primary results very carefully, and I know those electricians very well. And so I looked at it, and we realized there's a lot of people who were voting who hadn't voted recently. And so I said, well, those two things, you know, kind of piqued my interest. So we spent the summer, first, first, we realized. building a model of the type of people we then described as Trump surge voters, kind of below propensity voters who, for whatever reason, they come out of the woodwork to vote for Trump even though they've been dormant for a very long time. The other thing was when we noticed that the digital components

were doing better than the live calls, I had a feeling that what's called the social desirability bias was at play. And what that is is when a live caller especially, but in any poll, the person is hesitant to make it clear who they're for for fear of being judged for who they're for. So they tend to, you know, fib a little bit and say they're voting for someone else to look best in the eyes of the person who's asking the question. And having grown up in South Carolina was in the same media market as a lot of North Carolina. So I remember this when they would always say that if Jesse Helms was only losing by five,

he was going to win by two. And so I had a very good experience with this. social, disocials, I'm from a very young age, and I grew up working with some different guys. One of them was Rod Shealy. He was a poster that was a contemporary of Lee Atwater,

and he always talked about how do you ask a question that's the impolite answer that you can get people to say something without having to take the heat for saying something. Okay, so to put it in plain English, somebody like Jesse Helms, people would know he was, I mean, younger people won't remember. but, you know, he was divisive or whatever you want to call it. He was one of those people kind of like Trump that a lot of people just hated his guts,

a lot of people on the left, I should say. And so, yes, it affected polls going way back then. But how is it that pollsters besides you and just a handful of others don't understand this? Are they working for the Democratic Party and they want to puff up their numbers? or are they simply just bad pollsters? Well, I think it's a combination. One, they haven't changed with the times. I mean, they are still operating on this flawed model

believing that live calls are sacrosanct and that you have the live callers, everything, and that you have to ask these long questionnaires. And we find that live calls with long questionnaires are the most likely to be wrong. Average people don't have time to answer 20 questions on a Tuesday night when they're watching. the dishes. Now, if they get a quick questionnaire like ours, under three minutes, six or seven questions, yeah, they'll do that.

We've also found that the more anonymous someone feels, the more honest they tend to be. So a live call is probably the worst way to poll them. We found that text messages, emails have a much higher honesty rate. And even then you can't completely eliminate socialized viability bias, because even our friend on the left, Michael Moore, said Republicans are very suspect of who's asking the question of being on some list, so that Republicans aren't participating. Well, that's an amazing statement, isn't it, that in the United States of America, we would be suspect, we would be worried about the left not sharing our most basic values about privacy and the sanctity of voting on that we may get on a bad list.

I mean, that says a lot. Well, given your accuracy then, are you predicting that the president will win? Or by what margin are you willing to say you think he'll win? I think at minimum he'll be in the above, I'd say the high 270s. I think that his minimum path is going to be Florida. I mean, the real battleground states winning Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and then picking up one of Michigan or Pennsylvania. I think he could win Pennsylvania by one or two points, but not get it. I believe there's with the Supreme Court decision, which I consider institutional voter fraud, allowing ballots without postmark to be counted, that can be out after election day.

I think he has to win Pennsylvania by four or five percent to actually win Pennsylvania. Okay. See, now that, again, you know, we are normalizing corruption. Talk about highly illegal. You're saying that you're accepting. expecting Pennsylvania to behave or election officials in Pennsylvania to commit crimes to steal a close victory from Trump. You're expecting that. Not that they would commit the crime.

I would say allowing no postmark on ballots to be counted would be the same as the police turning off the cameras and letting you walk into a bank with no repercussions with the drawers open. they didn't commit the crime, but they certainly enabled it. Well, all right. So you're not thinking there's going to be some kind of a Trump landslide. Do you think it'll be a slim victory? I do. I think that I expect that that path to probably go through Michigan or a combination of Nevada, Wisconsin, or Minnesota.

But I do think he'll at least be in the high 270s. That's slim. That's slim. And I worry if it's slim just because I think. that the violent left will act out and try to somehow get it back through intimidation. What do you see the House and Senate doing? You know, I would be honest, we've done very little studying on the House. But as far as the Senate races, if what we think is going to happen with Trump,

I predict that the Republicans could do as well as picking up the seat and as badly as losing one or two seats, but not probably leaves the majority. In the Senate. Wow, that's interesting. I'm just hearing so many different things. The voter enthusiasm on the Trump side is, it would be dramatic, even if the very opposite weren't happening on the Biden side. In other words, under any normal circumstances,

the enthusiasm we're seeing parades, whatever you call it for Trump, It's historic. But Biden's lack of enthusiasm is also historic. In fact, it's shocking. And if the media were covering it, I think he would be doing far less well than he is or will do. You know, it's kind of like somebody giving you this awesome bag of candy that says zero calorie, zero fat. It tastes great. It's absolutely wonderful.

And you start to wonder, is the only reason I think this stuff is, you know, isn't fattening is because of the label? I mean, everything else tells us this election is not a Biden big win except for the polls. So maybe we should question the label. Well, listen, I'm so grateful for your time, Robert Cahaley with the Trafalgar group. You got it very right last time. I hope you got it right this time. Thanks for your time, sir.

Absolutely. It's an honor to be on mission. Patriots, I want to make sure you're prepared to vote on November 3rd. The radical Democrats are doing everything in their power to stop Republicans from winning. And we want to make sure patriots like you are heard. This is the election of our lifetime. Make sure your vote is counted. Text metaxis, M-E-T-A-X-A-S to 880-22 to find your polling location.

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This is just the kind of a show where I don't care. I'm willing to lay my heart, you know, on the line. Here's the issue. Mike Lindell with My Pillow, you may notice that I have a bobblehead of him near me. He's here to remind all of us that when you go to MyPillow.com, you get whopping discounts if you use the code Eric. Okay. Now, there are a lot of people who haven't done that. and we have your names here.

And Chris Heim's and Albin pointed out to me that there's like three pages of you whose first name is Eric. You, you're so, I mean, that's humiliating for me that even though your name is Eric, you're still not willing to use the code Eric. I mean, if you don't want to use it because it's my name, use it because it's your name.

But the point is that I see who you are and I just feel humiliated by this. Please go to go to my pillow, It's okay, Mike, it's going to be okay. Go to mypillar.com. Use the code, Eric. You're going to get whopping savings and really high quality products. Did I mention that?

Thank you. Folks, as promised, we have the great Votstradamus himself now and into the second hour, Votstradamus. All hail, Votstradamus. Welcome. Hello. Hey, it's good to be back. I don't know why Albin is genuflecting. Please stop.

That's embarrassing. It's because you're so accurate, man. We love accuracy. No, no, because I touched Sean Connery. This was about years ago. We'll find out. Excuse me, before we get into more political stuff, because we've got loads of that with you, obviously. We didn't mention that Sean Connery passed away.

Kind of a big deal. He was a very big deal. And somehow, because this is in the middle of this crazy election, it kind of got covered over a little bit, but a very, very big deal. If it weren't for the election, there'd be like a week's worth of coverage of him having passed away. And Albin claims to have once touched the body while he was alive of Sean Connery. Yeah, I was helping out at this, there was a 75th anniversary of Time magazine, and they had everybody that was on the cover, came to that, came to, it was Radio City musical. Was it, was Hitler, Hitler was there or a Hitler impersonator? No, no, not even from his bunker.

so to see. And this is before Greta Thunberg, so she wasn't there. So who was there besides Sean Connery? Because I got to say, like, that's kind of a big thing. You know, Clarence Thomas and Anita Hill were both there. And they were like, they were actually like the best of friends. Like it was all like a big show. And behind the scenes, they were like, hey, you did a great job. No, you did a great job. It was really funny. Everybody got along together. But, but when Sean Connery walked in and he had long gray hair at the time, everybody in the room gravitated to him. He had such magnitude. And I got up very close. I just touched his shoulder so I could say, I touched James Bond. He said, no, felt, was that you? What's that? I'm starting to feel like that. Because you have tenor, I can't fire you, but in my mind, you're gone.

Okay, so. Lowell, is that you? We better push it. That's sir, Sean Conrad to you. We better, we better get to the political stuff because I'm so creeped out right now. Okay. My friend, Frostradamus. There have been a lot of people fasting and praying over this election.

I've never seen anything like it. Yesterday, I was part of a national presidential prayer call viewed by literally like a million people or more millions of people. People all over this nation are fasting and praying because we sense, and you wrote about it. And you're brilliant, if I may say, article at townhall.com. Thank you. What is at stake? And look, I've been saying this for months. What is at stake is almost beyond belief, frankly.

The problem is it's true. And there's a reason to fast and pray because we believe God hears our prayers and he cares about history and he has his hand in history. So it's an important thing. I've got a lot more to say on that. But we've got you here. And I want to ask you, what do you think is going to happen tomorrow? in this week. Well, I had a lot of people in the last week, Eric, just begging for my attention on the poll, the media polls, everybody wants to know my thoughts on, do I think Trump will pull it out,

et cetera, et cetera. Now, I've been saying on your show and on mine and other places that for the last, I don't know, 24 months or so, I think that Donald Trump was not only going to win, but win bigger than he did in 2016. As the polls have tightened, Some people that thought I was completely wrong are beginning to wonder if I may be right. A lot of people are asking the question, is this like 2016? Are we going to see the polls be completely wrong? And I tend to kind of be in that camp, although I think there's different reasons for it this year. But then came yesterday when the former Speaker of the House, Newt Gingrich, sent me an email with some data in it from a group called the Democracy Institute.

and the speaker had reached out to me, I think maybe because he heard about my map on the Eric Metaxa show. I'm not sure. No doubt. But he had reached out to me. It was Chris Heimes and I who made you the monster that you are today. He has also been on my show a few times. Oh, all right. Whatever the case may be.

All right. But anyway, he did reach out and he said, I'm curious as to what your data is because he said, I keep seeing things that aren't represented in the other polls. He goes, I watch Democracy Institute. I watch Trafalgar. I watch some of these outliers that the media calls outliers. I don't think they're outliers. I think they're more accurate.

And he goes, what is your rationale? And I talked about the shape shifting map with the different demographics and some of that stuff that we covered the last time I was here. And then he sent me, Mr. Basham's complete download of the final poll that they did going into the election. Nobody else will release another poll between now and tomorrow because there wasn't enough time to do it. So the ones that came in Friday, Saturday, Sunday, that's it. here's what those data points revealed. Not only is President Trump on pace to possibly win the popular vote by a very thin margin. It'll depend largely on California and how much they run up the score for Biden. But in every major battleground state, the president currently holds a two to four percent lead, whether it be Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire was in their list, which I had had a had a had, my map. I did not have any polls backing me up on it yet. Now New Hampshire shows a plus four advantage for the president. Now, does this mean that that's automatically going to be the outcome

of the election? No, people have to go out and vote. But what it does demonstrate is that people have paid attention. And as the president has gone to the, gone to the television camera, five, six times a day now in the last couple of days to make his case, people are beginning to understand what's at stake. I have to say that I get so confused by the polls because normally the polls are garbage. So even when you say a poll, the polls are showing this and this and this. I'm thinking, are those the kinds of polls that were accurate last time? Yes. I mean, we're the Democracy Institute nailed it.

Okay. So we're just about out of time in this segment. But folks, we are talking to Kevin McCullough. I know you're not going anyplace. and thank you for your wisdom. I'm in love for both of my and still make like a Mr. Milk toast, you'll get shut out. Hey there, folks. Welcome back.

It's the day before the big day that we've been talking about for many years now. Tomorrow's election day. If you don't vote, if you're an American who can vote and you don't vote, you're behaving in an un-American way. One of the principal ways you define yourself as an American. I'm an American. It means you get to vote. I don't care where you live. I don't care how long you have to wait. Whatever you can do, this is a sacred honor and an obligation, a duty to your nation and frankly to the world because we are a bellwether country in the world. As we go,

the world goes. We can be a beacon of liberty or not. Huge stakes. Kevin McCullough, my guest talked about that in an article, which I put on Twitter and other places at Town Hall. Kevin, you talk about what's at stake in this election. We can talk about that. But I guess I want to ask you, first of all, there's no way to poll, there's certain things that are, how do we put it? They're variables. They're mysterious. Many people are praying for this election and many people are fasting and praying.

That is hardcore. I sent people to a website, Strengthen the Nation. dot com. If you want to know about fasting and praying, go to strengthen the nation.com. But I'm feeling something, frankly, because of all these prayers that it, I feel positive. I guess that's my way of putting it. And there's no way to poll for that. It doesn't seem to me, because this is so late in the game. But that's also reflected in some of the data in the pollsters that got 2016 correct. And the Democracy Institute is one of them. And we were talking about some of the data that I saw over the weekend. It's interesting, Eric, you're a professional

communicator as I. We talk to audiences every day. We try to get messaging out and across. We try to get response back. And the fundamental kind of idea behind communication is to first of all, know who you're talking to and then speak directly to them. It's interesting in some of the other questions that the Democracy Institute asked, because one of them was, what issues are you voting on? And here's the five that they listed. Economy, jobs, law and order, education, pandemic, or immigration. And by pandemic, it's COVID-19. So here's how that broke down. Law and order and economy and jobs came in tied at number one at nearly 30% each. Whoa. COVID didn't, COVID didn't crack the top two. It was back in third place at 20%

just ahead of education and fairly well ahead of immigration. But if you're talking about, think about the messaging of the last few days of what the president's been talking about and what Joe Biden's been talking about. Joe Biden has not gotten off the message of COVID-19, COVID-19, COVID-19. The American people are not saying that that's one of the top two things that they're voting on. The president's economy, jobs message in law and order is overwhelmingly resounding. And I think that's why you're beginning to see those leads in the Rust Belt states. start to lengthen out a little bit from two to three to four points now in some of them. Actually, the one thing that Biden was able to communicate clearly in the few times that I saw him,

because most of it was like laughable. But very clearly he said over and over and over, hunk if you like Marxism, honk. And then people kind of tooted their horns in their cars. That's really all I was able to understand. Well, that's certainly what Kamala Harris's cartoon that they uncovered was expressing over the weekend. But a 4.3 trillion tax hike is probably the equivalent of what you just said. And that's his major economic plan. Listen, I mean, this is no joke. The level of lunacy, if the media were covering it, this to me is always the biggest story that nobody talks about, is that we live in a country where most people are not actually getting most of this information.

I mean, when you see how pathetic. Which is why what you and I do is so valuable to audiences. I hope so. But I mean, Kamala Harris, look, let's be honest, this woman will be president of the United States. Very few people are really saying that. But she will be president of the United States. And she is literally the most liberal of all senators out of a hundred.

She wins. So we're going to get something far from, you know, hearty Joe Biden, you know, slap him on the back, you know, career Paul, Joe Biden. We're going to get something very, very economically radical. Anyway, the point is that you just don't get that. You see him out there on this stump. There's something sad about Trump being able to barnstorm 24-7 these crowds. And then you see Biden literally speaking to a few parked cars where they're literally honking

instead of applauding. I mean, what is more comedic than this? And yet somehow this image is not being projected. Most American people aren't really, the media is protecting them from this reality, is what I'm saying. Well, but it's the reality that he's also trying to perpetrate. It's a narrative he's trying to tell, which is, which is odd, right? Because you think you would want to know what your audience is looking for and then super serve that. But let me just point out one more piece of data here.

They also asked in the Democracy Institute poll, do you believe the economy is rebounding from the COVID-19 pandemic? Now remember, it's not in the top two issues anymore. It's number three. 73% of the respondents said, yes, the economy is responding. 27% said no. He's upside down on not only which issue he's emphasizing, but he's upside down on how people perceive it. And that's just, I'm just barely scratching the tip of the iceberg with what this last round of polling that they did demonstrates. But because of it, I feel like that the president has, again, understood his audience, spoken directly to them, spoken to their concerns and worries, spoken to the issues that they most are concerned about. And I do expect that he's going to win. I don't know that the margins in all the states are going to be very big. In fact, I think some of them may be quite tight. But I think when you add up the electoral college wins, he's going to win more states and the electoral college difference will be bigger than it was in 2016. Despite all of the tremendous media distortion, I have to say, literally, In my life, have I seen anything like it? Think about this.

Ever. Going into election day, President Trump and Barack Obama on the same date four years ago, Barack Obama going into election day had a dead even 50% approval rating. You meant Hillary, right? I'm sorry, in 2012. I'm comparing. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. So in 2012, Obama had a 50% approval rating going into that day.

But he had it with 98% positive press. President Trump has held a 52% approval rating for the last week with 97% negative press. That tells you something. That tells you a lot. Holy cow. Well, when we come back, I want to ask you about the Senate and the House. Folks, I'm talking to Votstradamus. It's the Eric Mattaxas show.

We'll be right back. Folks, I'm talking to Kevin, Vostradamus McCullough. We're going to keep him into the second hour. Kevin, got to ask you real quick, the Senate, the House, what's up? Well, in some places, I think you have a Senate candidate that's helping the president, and in some places you have the president who's helping the Senate race. But I think synergistically, if Republicans have at least the turnout they had in 2016, I think that it's going to be a good night to keep the Senate and probably to gain the House back.

Now, I'm not going all in on that. But if this is how simple it is, if you pick up three to five seats in California that were held by Republicans, but because Trump wasn't on the ticket in 18, they flipped, but he won the district. If you pick up three to five of those back, and I think they lost six, if you pick up one, pick up two to four in New York, two to five in New Jersey, because they're all competitive and they're all places where Trump won, then you could actually see the rest of the. country only needing to flip like maybe three seats to win the majority back. We only need to get 15. We needed 17 in 2018, but two of those have flipped because the party changed or the person holding the seat flipped parties. We need 15. If you get 10 out of the blue states, it becomes pretty easy to take the house back throughout the rest of the that would be as big as winning the presidency. This is why for your listeners in California that have been out there

hammering me saying, you haven't moved California into the red category. I'm not going to move California to the red category. They're going to cheat in Los Angeles in San Francisco and Oakland. They're going to cheat, cheat, cheat, cheat. But for the red areas of your state, if you're in California, get the vote out and vote the ticket. If you vote the entire ticket, you can contribute massive wins to the House, which is going to help the president as much as anything else you can do right now. I'll say it again, folks. If you don't vote, I cannot imagine you're going to hang your head in shame because what's going to happen is going to be very, very bad. Every vote counts. Kevin, let me ask you, and we'll carry this into the next hour, the conversation.

But what about people of faith in this vote and polling? Anything there? Yes. The people of the Democracy Institute ask their 1,500 likely voters. That means they've voted in the last two election cycles, and it's a tight, a nice size sample, but a tight sample. They asked him about the president's approval rating by what they called religion or faith. Evangelicals registered 91% approval, which... That's gone up like 3%, hasn't it? Well, it's at very minimum held steady. I don't know that he ever dipped into the 80s, but he's above 90, which is where you would want him to be.

and that tells me that that pro-life evangelical for Biden garbage never really materialized. Oh, that's a fake thing. I mean, it's like one of the organization of 10 people. But then beyond that, mainline Protestants give the president a 60% approval rating. Now, we don't hold, you know, there's a lot of theological differences between evangelicals and mainline Protestants, but they're giving him six out of 10. Catholics are registering 68 to 70% approval of the president. you have not had this kind of support across that spectrum for a Republican candidate that has not won.

So that is all very good. But this is the real shocker amongst the Jewish communities in North America. 31% say they're going with the president. If you have 31% of the Jewish vote across America, if you have 25% of the African American vote across America, and if you have four out of 10 Hispanics voting for you, The president is going to win overwhelmingly because those are all demographics that the Democrats are basically needing to run up the score in in order to offset white men and suburban models. That's okay. We're at the end of our one, but good news.

It's a two-hour program. We'll be right back with more from Kevin McCullough, aka Vot stradamas. We will talk to Pastor Greg Locke. Do not miss that. Stick around.