The Ezra Klein Show - Democrats are Losing the War for Attention. Badly.

Episode Date: January 17, 2025

Trump is a master at wielding attention. He’s been owning news cycles and squatting in Americans’ minds for much of the last decade. And for his second term he has an ally in Elon Musk, a man with... a similar uncanny skill set.Trump and Musk seem to have figured out something about how attention works in our fragmented media age — and how to use it for political and cultural power — that Democrats simply haven’t. So what is it? What do they understand about attention that their opponents don’t?Chris Hayes is the host of MSNBC’s “All In,” and has written a forthcoming book, “The Sirens' Call: How Attention Became the World's Most Endangered Resource.” And he’s a brilliant thinker on how our modern attention economy works and what it’s doing to our politics.We discuss what Hayes sees as a revolution happening to our attention, which he compares to the Industrial Revolution in its scale and impact; why the old rules about attention in politics no longer apply; the key insight Trump had about attention that fueled his rise; why Musk didn’t really overpay for Twitter; and how Democrats can compete in this new attentional world.Mentioned:“Your Mind Is Being Fracked” by The Ezra Klein Show with D. Graham Burnett“The Great Crypto Crash” by Annie LowreyBook Recommendations:Amusing Ourselves to Death by Neil PostmanHow to Do Nothing by Jenny OdellRejection by Tony TulathimutteThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Jack McCordick. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Efim Shapiro and Aman Sahota. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu, Elias Isquith and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 From New York Times opinion, this is the Ezra Klein show. On Monday, Donald Trump is going to take the oath of office for the second time. During his first administration, there was a question of how he wields policy in the government, the question of how he wields and uses and raises money. We're used to talking about that with politicians. But there was also the separate question of how he wields and uses attention. And Trump, whatever else he is, he's a master at using and wielding attention. And I'd say he's a disciple, an ally in Musk now. Elon Musk, I think, is probably the most attentionally rich person in the world alongside Donald
Starting point is 00:01:06 Trump. I think that Musk's attentional riches might be more important now than his financial riches. And so if you're going to think about politics in a way that is able to predict what happens in it, you have to look at and watch and think about how attention is being spent and wielded and amassed and controlled. And that's what this conversation is about. It's a curtain raiser on the intentional regime
Starting point is 00:01:28 we're about to enter. My friend Chris Hayes is best known as the host of MSNBC's 8PM show, All In. But he just wrote a great book called The Sirens Call, How Attention Became the World's Most Endangered Resource. I've read most of the books on attention out there. This one is, I think, the best one at understanding the value of attention today
Starting point is 00:01:51 because it isn't just endangered. It is the world's most valuable resource. And the people who are on top of the world right now understand its value and understand how to wield it. And if there is going to be a successful opposition to them, that opposition is going to need to understand its value and understand how to wield it. And right now it doesn't. As always, my email, azureclineshow at ny times.com. Chris Hayes, welcome to the show.
Starting point is 00:02:26 Really great to be here. So you've got a cable news show. You're an attention merchant. I am. What is different about the way attention felt and worked in the early 2000s when you were starting out, when I was starting out, and the way it feels and works for you now? That's a great question. One is just there's more competition.
Starting point is 00:02:46 So much more competition. I mean, the notion now that at every single moment, when you are competing for someone's attention, you are competing against literally every piece of content ever produced. Like, I love this thing that happened a few years ago where like Suits, which was a network show that became like the most watched show on Netflix
Starting point is 00:03:06 And it's like it never would have occurred to me Back in 2013 that like I might be fighting for eyeballs with someone watching suits But at every single moment that you are trying to get someone's attention now the totality of Human content is the library of your competition. And that was definitely not true in 2000. It's weird going in a lifetime from the problem of too little content to too much. I remember being a kid and I would read the cereal box.
Starting point is 00:03:40 I would read anything around me. And there was never enough. There were all kinds of times in my life when I was caught without anything to read. And now it never happens. There's so many, there's so much of my life that'd be better if I was caught without anything to read. But in my pocket is this portal to what is pretty close to everything ever written.
Starting point is 00:04:03 Pretty close. I mean, I remember a version of the alias sports bureaus like Sports baseball compendium of stats and I just read you know the top 40 e ra pictures when I was a kid I knew the manufacturer suggested retail price of every single car on the road by year Like I could tell you not just what a Camry cost, but what a 93 Camry cost. Right, because you must have had some book. I had like the blue book.
Starting point is 00:04:32 Blue book, right, yeah. Yeah, and you would, in some ways, right, the lack of choice forced a kind of focus. I think you and I, you know, we're roughly the same cohort. I was at the sort of front end of like RSS Google readers and blogs and this idea that you could synthesize an insane amount of information very quickly if you kind of curated it and you created processes to feed it into you. And those processes have gotten much harder and they've been totally
Starting point is 00:05:05 overwhelmed by the evolution, such that I now have a very hard time even figuring out what the funnel I'm trying to construct is. So it is hard sometimes, I think, when you've lived through attention and information changing as much as we have to take the long view. Yes. One thing I liked about your book a lot is it takes the long view. And I would say the core argument is it what is happening to attention now is akin to what happened to human labor in the Industrial Revolution.
Starting point is 00:05:35 Spin that out for me. So if you think about labor, right? Labor long predates labor as a wage commodity in the Industrial Revolution, right? Human beings did stuff with their effort and toil from the time that they essentially evolved, right? Like, if you're hunting, gathering, picking berries, that's work. And labor evolved into an agrarian feudal systems and all kinds of different ways of small shopkeepers that did work, recognizably. But what happens in the Industrial Revolution
Starting point is 00:06:06 is that that human effort gets embedded in a set of institutions, legal institutions, market institutions that commodify it so that every hour of wage labor is equal to every other hour of wage labor, and then sold on a market for a price. And that's an enormous transformation in the human experience, total transformation in all social relations, political relations, economic relations, and also crucially, the
Starting point is 00:06:35 subjective experience of being alive in the world. I think something similar is happening with attention. And it started a while ago, the same way that the Industrial Revolution actually starts sort of earlier than we think of it at its peak. But we're reaching a crescendo where this thing, attention, which predates it being commodified, people have always paid attention to stuff, is now this market commodity that's extracted and sold. But go deeper.
Starting point is 00:07:01 What do you mean by it's a market commodity extract insult? So what makes attention priceable and tradable now differently than it was before? Or is that not the ground of the analogy? They go into the specifics of this. So there's a prehistory here, which is that from the birth of what we would call recognizably modern media and the penny press and magazines are probably the first place that you would call it that, particularly Benjamin Day's New York Sun, which has the idea that you charge people
Starting point is 00:07:31 a penny for a newspaper. You lose money on each newspaper, but you sell the advertising, right? So the thing you're selling is the audience. Modern media has had this model for a long time. And basically it's all been selling attention. Billboards, newspapers, magazines, radios, TV. There's a few things that make it a difference in kind now,
Starting point is 00:07:50 I would say. One is the sophistication of how minutely you could capture people's attention and how quickly and sophisticatedly you could bring it to market. So you've now got these nanosecond auctions that are auctioning off your eyeballs in the moment you're loading a webpage or in the moment that Instagram Reels is going through. So that's one change. The other is just the ubiquity. The TV can't travel with you.
Starting point is 00:08:15 Magazines can, but eventually read everything in the New Yorker and that's it. The birth of the smartphone produces a ubiquity of attention to be captured and sold that just represents a kind of break. It just wasn't like that before. One of the things happening in this era, the reason I think people are so interested in books about attention, concern about attention, is that the supply of attention is being changed and transformed by this process. It is being trained. My attention has been trained to want more than it used to want, to be more despairing
Starting point is 00:08:56 when it can't get it. But also, I mean, the internet in a way, with just a much higher level of sophistication, turned into a massive experimentation for what works intentionally. It's just this endless gain of function bio lab for attention. I really think of a lot of social media as gain of function research for takes. If you tweak the take and tweak it and tweak it, at what point does it go viral? At what point does it go too viral
Starting point is 00:09:29 and it like destroys your career? Right, like you could escape the lab in a way. But there's something about not, I think just seeing attention as a commodity, but seeing it as something that is manipulable, shapeable, changeable, such that our collective attention as a resource is changing that feels important in this.
Starting point is 00:09:46 I agree. And I think, you know, when you had Graham Burnett on the show, who's great on this, and attention researcher, you know, he talks about fracking, right? And the point of the metaphor fracking, right, is that you need more supply. So you know, there used to be a certain category of oil you could get, and then market demand said you had to go get more of it, and they to be a certain category of oil you could get and then market demand said you had to go get More of it and they figured out a way and there is something very similar happening. Obviously here right the expanded supply so like Eating into your sleep hours. That's more supply
Starting point is 00:10:17 Getting children that's more supply Looking at two or three things at once which would have seemed totally like antisocial and borderline deranged Two or three years ago five years ago ten years ago watching a movie while staring at another screen Like if someone did that ten years ago, you would have been like, what are you? It's so it would be so weird the qualitative or subjective experience of what attention is is shifting You talk in the book about attention now being the most
Starting point is 00:10:47 valuable commodity, the most important commodity, the commodity that so many of the great modern businesses, among other things are built on like Google and Meta. And I still think we're realizing it was undervalued or maybe that its most important value isn't selling it off to advertisers. So I've been thinking a lot about Elon Musk who emerges in your book as a slightly pathetic figure right trying to... Yes, the book was written before I think he kind of got a second chapter.
Starting point is 00:11:15 Yeah, trying to fill this like howling void he has for attention. Elon Musk overpaid for Twitter at 44 billion dollars. It is not a business, as he has said himself, worth $44 billion. On the other hand, the amount of attention that he is capable of controlling and amassing and manipulating through Twitter cannot be traded directly for $44 billion, but is clearly worth, I think, more than $44 billion.
Starting point is 00:11:44 Multiples. Multiples of it. So how do you think about this translation that we're seeing happen right now between attention is a financial commodity and attention is having more worth, frankly, than the money it would fetch on the open market? That's a great point. Yes, I think he backed into the sale, he backed into the purchase of Twitter based on a kind of howling personal void.
Starting point is 00:12:08 But in the same way that Donald Trump backed into the same insight, born of his personality and his upbringing in New York tabloid world, he figured something out that has been obviously tremendously valuable in dollar terms. One of the really important ironies here, which I think does map onto labor, is that the aggregate of attention, like lots of attention or the collective
Starting point is 00:12:35 public attention is wildly valuable. Right? Volodymyr Zelensky is a great example of this, right? The president of Ukraine, like He understands that attention on Ukraine's plight is essentially the engine for securing the weaponry and resources his country needs to defend itself. And yet, even though the aggregate of attention is very valuable, in market terms,
Starting point is 00:12:58 each one of our individual attention to second to second is like pennies, fractions. Yeah, not even pennies. Not even pennies, fractions of pennies. And that was exactly what it was like with labor. When Marxists would say labor is a source of all value, they were right. In the aggregate, take away all the workers and the industrial revolution doesn't happen. But to the individual worker in the sweatshop, the little slice of labor that you're producing
Starting point is 00:13:22 is both everything you have as a person and worth nothing in the market. Almost nothing. And I think we have the same thing with attention where it's like, it's really valuable, pooled and aggregated, like the most valuable. Each individual part of it that we contribute is essentially worthless, is pennies. And then subjectively to us, it's all we have. I think attention is now to politics what people think money is to politics. I totally agree with that.
Starting point is 00:13:52 Certainly at the high levels, right? There are places where money is very powerful, but it's usually where people are not looking. Money is very powerful when there's not much attention. But Donald Trump doesn't control Republican primaries with money, he controls them with attention. And I keep having to write about Musk and I keep saying he's the richest man in the world, but it's actually not what matters about him right now. It's just how he managed to get the attention and become the character and the wielder of all this attention. And that's a changeover, I think, Trumpist Republicans have made and
Starting point is 00:14:24 Democrats haven't. Democrats are still thinking about money as a fundamental substance of politics and the Trump Republican Party thinks about attention as a fundamental substance of politics. I really like this theory. I think you're totally right to identify that they kind of, it's sort of a sliding scale between the two, which is to say politics that had the least attention money matters the most. So in a state rep race, money really matters, a state rep race, partly because no one's paying attention
Starting point is 00:14:50 to who the state rep is, local media's been gone in. Because money can buy their attention. Money can buy their attention. So you could put out glossy mailers, there's a lot you can do that the further up you go from that to Senate to president, the more attention there is already, the less the money counts.
Starting point is 00:15:04 And you saw this less the money counts. And you saw this with the Harris campaign. They raised a ton of money and they spent it the way that most campaigns spend it, which is on trying to get people's attention, whether that's through advertising or door knocking, right? But largely attention and then persuasion, right? I'm running for president, here's what I want to do, here's why you should vote for me. Now you can do that at billions of dollars worth and everything is just like drops of rain in a river because there is so much competition for attention.
Starting point is 00:15:35 And so what they figured out, I think, was that they being Harris or they being Trump, they being Trump and I think Musk, is that what matters is the total attentional atmosphere. That in some ways it's kind of a sucker's game to try to like pop in and be like, I got an ad. Hey, hey, do you like tax cuts? You're like, what do you like? Like all that's just going to whiz past people.
Starting point is 00:15:59 That the sort of attentional atmosphere, that's where the fight is. And that's what Musk's Twitter purchase ended up being an enormous, almost like Archimedean lever on the electorate. I think this is right. I think there's another distinction between Democrats and Republicans here, which is that I think Democrats still believe that the type of attention you get is the most important thing. If your choice is between a lot of negative attention and no attention, go for no attention. And at least the Trump side of the Republican Party believes the volume,
Starting point is 00:16:36 the sum total of attention is the most important thing, and a lot of negative attention, not only fine, maybe great, right? Because there's so much attentional energy and conflict. So you'd really see this, like Kamala Harris, and once he became part of the ticket, Tim Walz, and behind them, Joe Biden, before the changeover, they were just terrified of an interview going badly. And Trump and Vance, and I mean, they were all over the place, including in places very hostile to them.
Starting point is 00:17:01 Yeah, and Vance had a ton of interviews that went badly. Yeah, but they were everywhere. Yeah. Because they cared about the volume of attention and were completely fine with the energy that negative attention could unlock. I think this is the key transformational insight of Donald Trump to politics.
Starting point is 00:17:18 Generally, in politics, you want to get people's attention for the project of persuading them. Friends, Roman countrymen, lend me your ears, Mark Anthony says, before he proceeds to attempt to persuade them, right? What Trump figured out is that in the attention age, in this sort of war of all against all, that actually just getting attention matters more
Starting point is 00:17:41 than whatever comes after it. And one way reliably to get people's attention is negative attention. Like if you insult people, act outrageously, I mean, this is literally, there was a commercial model for this, which is shock jocks of the 1980s and 90s that we grew up with, right? Like they were in a competitive attentional marketplace in local places. Shock jocks said outrageous things. They weren't trying to get someone to vote for them.
Starting point is 00:18:06 They just wanted you to know that they were on the running, the morning zoo. I don't know how to insert into the discourse a strong enough point that Joe Rogan is much better than Howard Stern was. Yes, it's true. Like nobody quite wants to admit this because now Howard Stern has become this lovable uncle who, you know, for liberals who has Hillary Clinton on his show and I think Kamala Harris went on his show. But I think Rogan is the inheritor of Stern, basically.
Starting point is 00:18:36 And you know, Rogan has become much more right-wing in the past couple of years. But compared to what Stern was, Rogan is just smarter and preferable. I think that's probably true. And I also think that the general shock jock model has now become a successful model in politics. OK, but now I think we need to have a moment of caution. Because there's a tendency right now, because Donald Trump won the popular vote by 1.5 percentage
Starting point is 00:18:59 points, which is a terrible win in the annals of American politics, right? And yet, there's just like no doubt that Trump and his broad cultural side have won some kind of cultural and intentional victory that is much bigger in its feeling than the actual electoral victory they won. So some of these things both feel true. Like I'm not sure this works as well in politics But in terms of changing the culture like his win has changed the culture immediately in a way that I Would not have foreseen and does not reflect
Starting point is 00:19:33 Like if you just told some of the election results, I don't think they would feel the vibe shift So I agree with that and I want to sort of take those in two parts because I think the politics is actually worth taking a second with those in two parts, because I think the politics is actually worth taking a second with. Mark Robinson ran for governor of North Carolina. He was already elected as statewide as a lieutenant governor, said lots of outrageous things all the time. He was discovered to be almost certainly, I think he denies it, but it seems to me pretty plausible, a commenter on the Nude Africa site where he said all sorts of wildly offensive
Starting point is 00:20:03 things including, I am a black Nazi. Robinson lost that race in North Carolina, a state Trump carried. It's probably like a plus one or two Republican state at natural level. It didn't work for him. Like Kerry Lake courted negative attention, lost two successive statewide races. Doug Mastriano. I could go down the list. So there's something really fascinating. JD Vance underperformed in Ohio, his semis.
Starting point is 00:20:27 Considerably. So there is something happening where it has not proven to be a replicable strategy. That the old logic that we were just talking about, the Democrats having and being outdated, still does hold in a lot of races. That said, in terms of influence, I think negative attention is incredibly effective.
Starting point is 00:20:46 And I think you're seeing this shock jock, you can call it shock jock, you can just call it trolling politics. I mean, it is trolling politics. The idea of trolling, and the reason that trolling exists, is it's easier to get negative attention than positive attention. It creates a conundrum for the other side, which is, do you ignore them while they say horrible stuff or do you engage them and give them what they want?
Starting point is 00:21:11 And I think this kind of trolling politics, which was really Donald Trump's insight, is the most transformational part of politics now. And you're 100% correct. The media management around Democrats is so much risk aversion if the choice is negative attention or no attention, we take no attention every time. And that is the wrong choice. You can frame this as a strategy and clearly people who are
Starting point is 00:21:40 not temperamentally suited to the strategy like Vance and Rubio and others have tried it on with varying degrees of fit at different times. But I think it's better to frame it in a way as a temperament. I mean, you write in the book, compliments roll off your back, criticism stays with you for days. But it's not true for everybody, right?
Starting point is 00:22:00 There's a certain personality type that is okay with that negative charge. A lot of people would not have been willing to absorb the personal polarization Musk has decided to absorb to become as significant as he is. Trump is very similar, right? I think most people take the trade of being thought fairly well of by a larger number of people, even if not thought that much of by a larger number of people, even if not thought that much of by them in general,
Starting point is 00:22:29 rather than absolutely hated by half the country to be quite loved by the other half. And I think that's something in people. And I guess what I'm asking you is, does politics now and attention select for a kind of attentional sociopath? I mean, I think it does select for attentional sociopath. I would push back a little bit in this respect, though. I don't know how much of the negative feedback
Starting point is 00:22:50 gets to Donald Trump and Musk. Like, I do think they have probably created that he's sitting there watching MSNBC and getting mad at it, or CNN. Yes, that's true. He's a guy who actually seeks out stuff to make him angry. Yes, but I guess what I'm trying to say is, like, I think it bothers him and Musk too. I just... Like, I guess I just don't buy
Starting point is 00:23:10 that it rolls off their back. I mean, they're kind of obsessed with it also. So that fixation is manifest differently. It at least doesn't turn them back, right? It doesn't turn them back. But the idea that they're sort of zen-like, like, well, you know, people are just gonna hate me, like, that's not what's going on, psychologically.
Starting point is 00:23:26 Fair enough. So, yes, I do, I worry, actually, that it now selects for a kind of sociopathic disposition. Or just a very, like, broken and compulsive one. Because, like, I know just speaking for myself, like... You know, I have the show-off demon in myself, and I've, from the time I was very young, wanted people to pay attention to me.
Starting point is 00:23:48 I don't love that part of me. I don't think that's like the best part of me. I think that my relationship to it is a little fraught and intentionally, intentionally managed. And I don't think that like, I would be a better person if I let that beast run loose and I worry that the incentives are to basically do that both both for everyone individually in politics and culture everywhere and also in the kind of collective public sphere, let me say that the thing that I think
Starting point is 00:24:29 is the deepest problem here. I think fundamentally the most competitive attentional regimes select for the parts of people that are in the aggregate and over time kind of the most reactionary. That's the deeper problem I worry about. Tabloid coverage of crime. Tabloid coverage from crime, which literally goes back to Benjamin Day's New York Sun. He was the first New York newspaper to have a court reporter who went to the court and said, wrote down what he heard, right? Tap-boy coverage of crime, 100% has a ideological valence that is conservative, reactionary.
Starting point is 00:25:11 So I think generally, competitive attention markets select for negativity, they select for all kinds of things that generally lead people towards their sort of most reactionary selves, and then the negativity bias of competitive attentional markets also means it's really hard for incumbents. Think about 64, right? LBJ, huge landslide victory. Think about 72, Nixon, incumbent, landslide victory.
Starting point is 00:25:39 84, Reagan, incumbent, landslide victory. 96, not landslide, but Clinton basically cruises reelection. It is inconceivable to me in our current media environment for a large majority of our electorate to be like, let's keep it going. This is good. Like status quo, ramp it up. So We've been, I think, talking about attention mostly in terms of social media here. And I want to talk about another way that attention is in the way we think about stories like changed in this period, which is reality television, which is the other side of this
Starting point is 00:26:44 that Trump comes out of. One thing that has felt true to me about Trump's second term, much more than the first is it feels like reality television. It is all these secondary characters with their own subplots and their own arcs and what's going to happen with Pete Hegseth and over here is RFK Jr. and Musk. In the first term, Trump was the only character of the Trump administration. Now he's playing a role that feels to me much more like
Starting point is 00:27:08 the host, sometimes he comes out and somebody actually is voted off the island, it's like, well, Matt Gaetz is gone now. Or so and so is gone, people get fired. Or he settles the big plot of that week, right? He's gonna side with Musk and Rameswamy on H1B visas. Or he comes in to announce a new plot like Greenland, right? Yes.
Starting point is 00:27:28 He's not the only- This week we're running a new competition. Yeah. He's not the only figure. He's the, the, the host, the decider, the something. Compared to other administrations, even compared to his first, this one is feeling programmed in a very different way. I mean, you're somebody obviously has to follow the plots
Starting point is 00:27:48 and report on them night after night in the eternal purgatory that you are in. And there are worse faiths. Does that resonate for you? It does resonate. I mean, if you've ever talked to people in reality television, like they selected for people with very flawed personalities.
Starting point is 00:28:05 Borderline personality disorder, narcissism, because that produced conflict and conflict produced drama, and conflict is what keeps attention. And those people like attention. Not all of them, but the ones they pick. You pick people on reality shows who like attention and are willing to absorb negative attention to be the star. Exactly right. And you don't pick people who are just sort of shy and go along to get along.
Starting point is 00:28:26 Because what does that get you? So that model, I think, explains a lot about the personalities that are selected for in context of intense attentional competition. In terms of the programming, I totally agree, although I do think it's totally like instinctual for him Like I don't think it's that plotted out, but I do think fundamentally he thinks he needs the attention at all times and he just has an intuitive sense of that and The Greenland thing is a perfect example and there's been a thousand of them in the first Trump administration.
Starting point is 00:29:05 There'll be a thousand more, which is like, what do you do with it? Is it attention getting to be like, the incoming president wants to take over Greenland? Yeah, it is. Is he serious? I don't know. Is it a good idea? No, it's not. Should we debate it?
Starting point is 00:29:20 Should we talk about? I don't know. But we're all just now inside the attentional vortex of the Greenland conversation. And he's done that again and again and again. But it's a way in which his sense of it seems to have changed. It was a well-remarked on and reported dynamic of the appointments in the first term.
Starting point is 00:29:41 Yeah. That he had a casting orientation to him. But it was visual. He wanted people who looked like a secretary of state, a general, a federal reserve chair. So he got people like Brex Tillerson and Jay Powell in Trump 1. He is building characters and selecting people who are good at going on podcasts, for instance, or being on TV in Trump 2. Yes, I mean, that latter point, I think,
Starting point is 00:30:08 he is selecting for people that will keep attention and communicate, for sure. I mean, I still think there's a certain amount of casting look to it, with all of, we should note, like all of the biases that come with that, right? Like, if you're looking for a general, central casting, you're looking for a white man, right? Which is part of, I think- Yeah, but you're not for a general, central casting, you're looking for a white man, right? Which is part of, I think...
Starting point is 00:30:26 Yeah, but you're not looking for Pete Hegseth. I guess, although I also think there's a certain amount of, like, who does he see up on the TV? No, I think there's that, but I mean, it's a different story, right? I mean, Pete Hegseth is a different kind of character. I mean, he's an underdog in the thing he's going into now. Then Jim Mattis, for sure.
Starting point is 00:30:42 Right, he's, you know, it's more the sort of, like, a soldier who's gonna take over and in the thing that Jim matters for sure. The Jim, right? He's, you know, the it's more the sort of like a soldier is going to take over and disrupt the thing. Look, I'm not saying it's all planned out. I'm just saying that there has been a way this feels different. Oh, definitely. I mean, I also think I think there's also an Occam's razor. Well, I don't know. I also think the man is the oldest man ever to be elected to be president of the United States and like maybe doesn't want to spend as much time doing everything.
Starting point is 00:31:10 Kind of, you know, if someone says last season of the show, you had really long shooting days. This season we're going to front some other characters so like we can cut your shooting days in half. Like, I think there's a little bit of that happening now. I want to ask about the Democrats in relationship to this. And I guess one way to do it is that since the election, I mean, any room with six Democrats is a post-mortem now, whether formally or informally.
Starting point is 00:31:36 Personally, my favorite. I'd like to keep this going for years if we can. There are parts of the post-mortem that are divisive in the party, right? Did they move too far left or actually did they moderate too much and what about Gaza? The one that every room of this I'm in, everybody agrees on is, and it's always said the same way, is that Democrats have a media problem. I'm curious what you think that means. Well, I think there's two components to that. One I think you cannot avoid is that,
Starting point is 00:32:07 whatever you think about Joe Biden's abilities to be president in the sense of doing the job day to day, he was very clearly, and I think irrefutably, incapable of occupying the bully pulpit. Like, I just don't think there's any debate or argument on either side. Like, empirically, he gave fewer interviews, he gave fewer press conferences. He, I mean, compare, go watch Barack Obama be president and, or George W. Bush or all these
Starting point is 00:32:34 people, Joe Biden. Like it just was the case that I think largely due to his age, he was not capable of focusing and occupying the attentional space at the center of the presidency. So you got to start with that. Would it have worked? I don't know. I believe Joe Biden in 67 wins re-election, that he can tell a story about his own record. That, that, that's basically what I think I kind of agree
Starting point is 00:32:58 with that. And I'll say, because this is arising with all the fury I felt about it all year. Going back a year, I talked to people, I will say, because of the way this conversation has happened, at the absolute highest level of the Biden administration. And one thing that they were not shy about saying when I was making these arguments before I even made them publicly about, can this guy really run again? I would hear something like, look, Joe Biden can perform the presidency, but he can't perform the presidency,
Starting point is 00:33:29 was the way it got put to me. And they still thought it was okay to run him again. Yeah, you gotta do both. Which shows an unbelievable devaluing at the highest levels of democratic politics of attention. So, okay, so that connects. That they thought like it was okay, that they could just make this, like, this guy can't perform it, but, you know, I mean, that's entertainment.
Starting point is 00:33:48 This is a presidency. It's not about who's the best celebrity or who can go on Jimmy Kimmel, but of course it partly is. So that's the first layer, right? But that connects to the next layer, which is the obsession with what is called the mainstream media, the legacy media, all of which is like understandable, but is increasingly a conversation that like a relatively small part of the country is part of. And they're still laser focused on that. And again, I get that. And they're laser focused on it in terms of
Starting point is 00:34:18 not making news. Like I think about this phrase all the time, like not making news as opposed to making news. Making news means getting people's attention. not making news as opposed to making news. Making news means getting people's attention. Not making news means not getting people's attention. And the goal of a lot of Democrats, always in their communication, is to not make news. And Donald Trump's goal is always to make news. Something that has been on my mind is that in a way, the fact that I keep hearing Democrats
Starting point is 00:34:43 call this a media problem, rather than say an attention problem Reflects exactly the problem the issue that I think there's still an intuition. I mean the media as a linguistic construct Sounds like an institutional thing that people control like one way you might solve your media problem is Chris Hayes decides who goes on the Chris Hayes all-in show on weeknights on MSNBC, and you get him to book you. Or a Joe Rogan of the left. A Joe Rogan of the left, right? That's my favorite phrase to come out of the election.
Starting point is 00:35:13 I think it reflects Democrats still thinking that media is something that broadcasters and gatekeepers control, and the way to win it over is to win them over. As opposed to something that you attract, right? Media is something you get booked on. Attention is something you attract. Liberal Joe Rogan discourse actually drives me like insane. Like I want to throw myself off of a bridge.
Starting point is 00:35:38 You can't build Joe Rogan if you're a political person. You're trying to back it out as a retrofit. Because the whole point of what is meaningful about him is fundamentally he's not for people interested in politics. Yes. Democrats are obsessed with how New York Times exactly words its headlines about Donald Trump. But Democrats win people who read
Starting point is 00:35:59 New York Times headlines about Donald Trump. They lose people who don't read politics at all. And you can't win them by being more and more political and be like, we're gonna create Joe Rogan, but with perfect politics, who makes everything Democrats do. Like the whole point is that you have to go and compete in non-political spaces.
Starting point is 00:36:18 And you also have to get the attention of people the periphery of politics. I mean, how do you get messages to people at the outer periphery? And part of the answer is, you need to draw a lot of attention generally. And it's not like they didn't know this. I mean, the idea of Beyonce, the idea of like using celebrities like, wait, well, these are, these are attentional magnets. They're, they're sort of avatars. But increasingly, it just doesn't work that way anymore.
Starting point is 00:36:39 I do think a little bit. I've been thinking about this, and I'm not sure I think what I'm about to say is right. But I think a bit that the media attention cut I'm making was actually there in who the two sides treated as celebrities. Because Democrats treated as celebrities, celebrities, Beyonce and Taylor Swift, and there was kind of mocking like, well, look, they've got Kid Rock over there at the RNC. But the actual celebrities that Republicans were relying on were UFC influencers and random podcasters. And I do think there was a way in which this election, in a background fashion, was testing this question of,
Starting point is 00:37:19 well, actually, who are the celebrities today? Or at least in a persuasive level, who are the celebrities? Because there were these very buttoned up celebrities where you would get one post from Taylor Swift, or maybe Bad Bunny came in at the end. And I'm not saying that stuff didn't help Democrats a bit. And again, you can overstate how much any of it mattered.
Starting point is 00:37:35 But I do think there was a way of not seeing that in this world, like there are a bunch of people who are not named celebrities by the media, but they are influencers of massive power now because they're just like, they're good at competing and getting attention and building direct relationships with their audience. Steve Jobs had this saying that it's not the customer's job to know what they want. And I do think there's a little bit of like democratic, like obsession with numbers and
Starting point is 00:38:02 market research that's like, well, what do the numbers say? And part of this is just innovation and improvisation and trying new stuff that hasn't been tried before, as opposed to backing out what you think the expectation is. And that's really true, I think, with attention entrepreneurship, which is not just to look at what does best in the algorithm and not just look at the data, but to try new things.
Starting point is 00:38:27 Like I don't love Joe Rogan's politics, but Rogan's a really good podcast. It's a really good show. I have listened intermittently for years, particularly I used to more than I do now. You know, I've listened to Rogan podcasts where he does two and a half hours with an astrophysicist and they're totally fascinating. I mean, part of the problem too, as I sort of think this through, right?
Starting point is 00:38:50 There is an asymmetry about risk. It just is the case that like a gaffe for a democratic politician is going to kind of stick out more and stick more. Partly I think as a self-enforcing cycle, which is that if you do less media, then the gaffes stick more. Partly, I think, as a self-enforcing cycle, which is that if you do less media, then the gaffs stick more. And partly because I'll do this take and then you can cut it out. Whatever. We're definitely not cutting it out now.
Starting point is 00:39:16 Well, this take has nothing to do with attention, but here's my take. Let's see. Okay. You're at a restaurant with your kids, and the kid over there at the other table is just same age, just acting like crazy, watching a screen, doesn't have their napkin, making a mess. And your kid says, well, they don't have to do it. And I'm like, I don't care about them.
Starting point is 00:39:35 It's not my kid. I feel like that's how the mainstream media basically treats the Democratic Party. And I think that's partly, it's partly the flip side of a correct conservative critique, which is that the vast majority of people who work in the mainstream media are products of a cultural milieu that is generally center-left in Democratic voting. But it means that they hold Democrats to higher standards. And like, JD Vance and Donald Trump are those other kids at the table.
Starting point is 00:40:06 I don't care what they do. They're not my kids. And I truly believe this is true. That's gonna get me in trouble. I don't care. I do think there's something to it, but I think there's one more link in the chain, which is that the issue is that the people
Starting point is 00:40:20 who vote for Democrats are influence, like to them, the mainstream media is influences, right? It is the case that there are things Republicans can do in the media that are problems for them, like in certain ways not be anti-immigrant enough, right? Or say Donald Trump did not win the 2020 election. They have their own gaff. They have their own gaff.
Starting point is 00:40:41 They're just different. And because the mainstream media for them is in the role of enemy, for the mainstream media to be mad at them, doesn't mean, like that's already the storylines. So I was running these numbers because it's gonna write a column about this, but I don't think I am now.
Starting point is 00:40:56 So I'll say it to you instead, which is that by 2000, Fox News is fairly, it is a big enough force that one can take it seriously. Conservative talk radio is mature and is a big deal. So look at the seven elections since 2000, presidential elections. Republicans win the popular vote in two. In the seven before, they win it in four. Now we know that Fox News persuades people to go right.
Starting point is 00:41:24 And we know that Fox News is watched by people. And yet we also know that Republicans are performing worse as Fox News and right-wing media become more powerful. And I would say the reason for that is that Fox News has made Republicans weirder. Oh, yes. And like detached them from, you know, the center. I don't think Donald Trump is electorally optimal himself. And so there's this weird way where you got to be very careful
Starting point is 00:41:47 with this idea of like, I want this propaganda machine because the first person the propaganda machine is going to convince is you. That's exactly right. And we see this in race after race after race. I mean, this has really been one of these stories of the MAGA era is bad Republican candidates at all levels losing winnable races that they probably should have won
Starting point is 00:42:09 because they were adhering to the exact same attentional incentives that produced Donald Trump up at the top. So part of what's happening is this malformation of the public, right? This malform of different publics, of parties, of different audiences, is producing real pathologies that are,
Starting point is 00:42:28 in many cases, again, with among Republican candidates, rejected by the people who are outside of that particular audience sphere that is being formed by that kind of propaganda. I mean, there's been all this post 2024 talk, some of it by me, about the problem of the groups on the Democratic side and the way they pull Democrats, not just left, but into a distance from the median voter.
Starting point is 00:42:54 They convince Democrats of things about the public that are not true. The group that is saying, we represent black voters, we represent Hispanic voters, does not. I think conservative media is like that, but much more powerful for the right. It has given the right a very malformed view of the public. Oh, I agree with that. And it forces that view in a vicious way. One place I think this is really true is on trans issues.
Starting point is 00:43:19 I think people are conflicted on questions of policy around this. But I think one thing that is pretty clear both from electoral results and from polling is that the public writ large is nowhere near as obsessed. I mean, obsessed with this issue and with the lives and bodies of these fellow Americans of ours, as the propaganda machine and the attention merchants on the right are finding. And again, they're covering that because it rates. To be clear, there's a feedback loop here. They're not just telling people to care about this. There's a small group of people that do really care about it.
Starting point is 00:43:58 But I think it has been distorting for them. And I think there's all kinds of races where they have, they have closed with this message. I think that this issue is somewhere where, as you say, people are conflicted. So if you can split the electorate or make the electorate think about the part where they side with the right, you know, sports teams, right? I think that's probably their best message. But the issue, I think that, and I've said this a bunch, that one reason, I mean, just even just politically,
Starting point is 00:44:27 I think Democrats should be thoughtful about not veering too far. What's about to come is cruelty. And people don't like cruelty. Yeah. Well, most people don't like cruelty. Most people don't like cruelty. Some people like cruelty.
Starting point is 00:44:40 But when I think of the damage Twitter X did to Democrats, it came from 2020, not from 2024. It was this time when Democrats actually dominated Twitter and used it to do a lot of in-group policing and persuade themselves of a lot of electorally ruinous or unpopular ideas that then Republicans weaponized in 2024 Like the fact that Republicans now have X and I guess true social and it's run by, you know, Musk and Trump, it's not obvious to me that it's a net benefit. Yeah, I would agree with that. I mean, I think that it's pretty clear to me that Musk's takeover has produced a
Starting point is 00:45:23 kind of vibe shift and cultural influence for reactionary ideas that I think broadly benefits the right writ large, even if it sends a few Republican candidates over the cliff. So I think there's sometimes there's trade-offs between them, honestly. And I think that's probably true for Democrats too. Sometimes there are trade-offs between ideas moving public opinion in one direction or another or normalizing things that seem ultra or radical that may cost a few candidates elections.
Starting point is 00:45:55 And I think that those trade-offs go in both directions. The other thing is like there's consequences here that are more than political. Like literally tens of thousands of people die that shouldn't have died during the pandemic because they didn't get vaccinated. So there's like real tangible results to all of this that transcend politics. And like I... Well, to me, that's one of the ways though that this might not play out well for the right.
Starting point is 00:46:19 Yes. That for instance, a good possible example of this is that if the embrace of crypto culture leads to unwise levels of, I wouldn't call it deregulation, but because these things aren't regulated really now, but structures of regulation that are shadowy. So you have huge amounts of risk pooling in weird places. You might have contagion in the financial sector because my Annie Lowry, my wife wrote a great piece about this in the Atlantic. You might have contagion in the financial sector because financial firms begin reconstructing themselves as blockchain assets in order to go into lighter regulation. And then you have something that somebody doesn't understand or the regulators don't understand blow up.
Starting point is 00:47:04 Yep. And now you're blamed for it in the understand or the regulators don't understand blow up. And now you're blamed for it in the way that, Bush and Republicans were in 08. There's no guarantee that that happens, it might not. But that's the kind of thing where- That's the risk you're running. I'm biased here and people listening to this who don't share my politics are free to write this off
Starting point is 00:47:18 or not, but I think the center left, which still broadly consumes what we would call the mainstream media, legacy media, institutional media, that there's just more of this reality checking happening there. I mean, you know, there's a big fight about like, is inflation happening or is it not? And then it was clear that inflation was happening, it was very high. And there are people who were talking about whether the inflation was the cause of the American Rescue Plan or whether it was really politically salient, but you didn't get a bunch of inflation
Starting point is 00:47:48 truther saying that the books were cooked or they were wrong or like, inflation was high and that was a, that core fact suffused the coverage of all the people in that media ecosystem and sphere. But I think if you saw 9% inflation under Donald Trump, I think you would have had a kind of similar, you know, reaction to the election, the election, which is like, it's not happening. I think there's just a mechanism of denial, a mechanism of like sheer sort of cleaving off from reality in that attentional ecosystem that is sticked. So the political scientist, Henry Farrell, had this good piece on a sub stack, an essay
Starting point is 00:48:59 about, he was saying we misunderstand the problem of social media. And he had this analogy to porn. And he says that the way he's working off somebody else's argument about porn, but he says internet porn is tuned not towards people who watch it, but people who buy it. What internet porn is trying to do is not get you to consume it for free, but to pay, you know, $9.95 a month or whatever. And the people who will do that have more extreme tastes. And so you have this ecosystem of pornography that is tilted to be more extreme because
Starting point is 00:49:33 it's trying to get this actual conversion. But it then creates this mass sense among the porn watching public that tastes are more extreme, that everybody else is into things that are more extreme. It arguably changes people's tastes because you just get used to things. And in that way, pornography malforms the public. And his sort of argument is that social media is doing the same thing. It is making everybody think that everybody else's tastes politically are more extreme than they are.
Starting point is 00:49:59 Are more insane than they are. Everybody else is obsessed with a UK gang rape scandal from more than 10 years ago. The effect is not just what it does to the public, but the way it warps, particularly the understanding of politicians and media figures who are looking at social media as if it is the public. And his key point here, which I think is just the bedrock to for this analysis and so often left behind and so important is that we're
Starting point is 00:50:25 talking about collective understanding and collective publics as complicated organisms that are greater than some of their parts. Because as he writes in the piece, like a lot of this discourse is about individuals, like a bunch of individuals hold these wrong beliefs. But democracy is something we do together. It's not a bunch of aggregated individual choices. And I think this argument is completely correct. And partly it's because we're also being constantly pulled towards things that are the most potentially salient, which is a just a distinct category from like
Starting point is 00:51:02 at a bedrock from what we think is important. I cannot stress this enough. Attention is not a moral faculty. There's a Lippman writing in 19-teens that I quote in the book, it's during Versailles. And he says, the American people have a great deal of interests in what happens at Versailles, but they're not interested in it. ALL LAUGHING He's like, in the same way that, like, a child
Starting point is 00:51:30 has a real interest in his father's business, he's gonna inherit, but he's not interested in it. He's like, what we're interested in is, like, the gowns of the queen, basically. Yeah. And, you know, it's pretty funny, because it's bang on. And the point is that we all understand.
Starting point is 00:51:45 We have a category of words, going back to porn, like titillating, purient, lurid. Obscene. Obscene that describe the category of things that we think that we both know draw our attention but are morally dubious. And what happens in the sort of collective malformation around attention as the most signature value,
Starting point is 00:52:10 is the only thing that matters in this competitive landscape, is a kind of moral degradation. Because it's pulling us towards things that we know at some level aren't that important or morally defensible, but do get our attention. Okay. So I think this actually brings up a good, very counter to this conversation question, which is maybe the optimal strategy. If your vision, your sense of the public, your politics, maybe your
Starting point is 00:52:43 own moral faculties are so warped by competing for this volume of attention is to not play. So in 2020, Joe Biden is the least online and the least intentionally sophisticated or even interested of any of the Democrats running for president. And I don't think that is unrelated to why he won in 2020.
Starting point is 00:53:06 He certainly won in the primary and possibly even won in the general because he had lots of problems as a candidate. He was, I think, too old to be running effectively even then, or at least very much on the edge. But and he was diminished from what he once was. But his sense of the electorate had not been driven back. Now formed. Yes, that's a great point. And so he didn't get on board with a bunch of dumb things.
Starting point is 00:53:31 Other people are getting on board with. That's a great point. We're kind of implying that the right strategy here is an embrace in the way. Some kind of alternative, but still embrace, like what we're seeing from Trump and Musk. Maybe it's the opposite. And think about this for, you know,
Starting point is 00:53:49 after Bush won in 2004, when there was a version of the discourse we're going through now, the idea is like, you know what we need? A black guy with a foreign sounding name who is a former professor and community organizer. Like- Constitutional law professor, yes.
Starting point is 00:54:04 Like that was ludicrous. What we need is a guy you can have a beer with who also has a ranch. And that's what we need. And it was like, no, we needed something totally different. Two things. One, I think it is important, again, to distinguish between what is this doing
Starting point is 00:54:17 to people more broadly and what is it doing to political professionals? Yes. And I think it's extremely dangerous for political professionals to read social media as representative of the public. I also think you shouldn't just ignore it as online, or Twitter is not real life, because increasingly there is no distinction between the two.
Starting point is 00:54:35 But there are different selves that we have. There's a self that wants to read a novel and the self that scrolls Instagram. There's the self that doesn't want to eat that third cookie and the self that does eat the third cookie. There are different publics too, in that same way. Within the public, there's a public that feels very compassionate towards immigrants, feels proud of America being a nation of immigrants, and there's a public that is, feels like they're being ripped off and invaded. And sometimes they're the same people. Often they're the same people.
Starting point is 00:55:06 But Farrell's whole point is that these publics are formed collectively. So I think it's important, A, the political professionals don't make this simple representational mistake, which I agree with you, has led to a lot of poor choices. Like people on this social media platform are screaming to me about this means
Starting point is 00:55:22 there's some constituency behind them. And yet, as the line between reality and online breaks down, the vanguard of people screaming really do have cultural significance. That's true. But here's one of my big theories and we'll know in four, eight years, if I'm right, I think we are ready or very near ready. And I see it in the states and counties banning phones in schools and just like the discourse for true backlash.
Starting point is 00:55:54 And yes, I think that the next really successful Democrat, although it could be a Republican, is going to be oppositional to it in the way that when Barack Obama ran in 08, and I really think people forget this part of his appeal, he ran against cable news, against 24-hour news cycles, against political consultants. People didn't like the structure and feeling of political tension then. And I don't think there was anywhere near the level of disgust and concern and feeling that we were being corroded in our souls that there is now. And I think that at some point you are going to see a candidate come up who is going to
Starting point is 00:56:35 weaponize this feeling, right? That they are going to run not against Metta as a big company that needs to be broken up. But all of it. They're going to run against all of it. That like society and modernity and politics shouldn't feel like this. And some of that will be banning phones in schools, right? It'll have a dimension that is policy.
Starting point is 00:56:53 But some of it is going to be just absolutely like radiating a disgust for what it is doing to us and to ourselves. I mean, your book has a lot of this in it. I think that political space is weirdly open, but it seems very clear to me somebody's going to grab it. I could not agree more, even before we get to politics, you know, Thoreau for president. But not Thoreau.
Starting point is 00:57:16 I really think this is important, right? It's not somebody. Well, you can't drop out and run for president. It's not somebody who is withdrawing and wants to live on a lake. There are people like that, right? It's more like John Hite, right?. It's not somebody who is withdrawing and wants to live on a lake. Obviously. There are people like that, right? It's more like John Haidt, right?
Starting point is 00:57:28 It's more like what he is channeling, I mean, but channeled into politics, which is an actual anger at it. It is not supposed to feel this way, right? I don't think it's just gonna be like, we're gonna get rid of TikTok, but it is gonna be something about this culture and society has fallen.
Starting point is 00:57:45 I think it's a keen insight, I agree. And what I thought about is like, sometimes you'll read historical dispatches from like peak industrial London, and people are just being like, this is the most disgusting place that has ever been put on God's earth. Like, it's just sewage and coal ash in the sky.
Starting point is 00:58:07 Satanic mills. Just satanic mills. It's just the sheer stench and just like what have we done? How far from God we have fallen in this? And they were right. Like it's genuinely, it was genuinely disgusting. And you know, it did reach a point with all of these things, particularly the worst depredations of the Industrial Revolution, where people had enough and they, having enough represented in a million different political tendencies, cultural movements, manifestations. And in the course of writing this book, I mean, literally from the conceptualization of this book for an essay that I wrote in 2022 to this book coming out now, we've already moved a tremendous amount. I mean, when I first started telling
Starting point is 00:58:50 people about this book, I'm like, huh, attention, huh? And now it's like, right. I'm saying I've been obsessed with this for years. Well, you have for sure. Yes. Yes. And I think you and I are pretty disposed to be obsessed with it because the universe in which we operate is like, we're constantly trying to sort of screen information, get the good information, protect our attention, try to think in a way that's productive. But I just think the ubiquity of this, I mean, yes, I think there is a wellspring, an untapped wellspring for a total rebellion against the way it feels to be inside your
Starting point is 00:59:28 mind at this particular moment with this particular form of attention capitalism. And the way it feels to be inside the collective's mind. I know a good number of Trump supporters. And they may like him, but they don't like how, not how he feels, but how all this feels. No, no one likes it. Right. Nobody likes it. No one likes it.
Starting point is 00:59:48 Like that is there, right? It's the thing that Obama is very good at working with. That is there in its modern version, I think, to derive energy from. Before any of that happens, though, he's going to be president again. You've probably heard. And I'm just hearing this now. I'm sure you're thinking about this. How's your coverage of Trump in 2025 and his White House, knowing everything we know about
Starting point is 01:00:10 the way attention works under his presidency, gonna be different than it was in 2017? The one thing that I tried really hard in the first term, which I thought was important, and I think I mostly succeeded at, but certainly not always, was modulation. That to me is a central question of modulation. If you turn the dial on the stereo to 10 and leave it there it will sound like 5 eventually and then you can't turn it up past 10. And this was something I was intentional about the first time but I think even more intentional now. And I think you see some of this, like, literally no one's saying anything about Marco Rubio as Secretary of State. Fine. That's fine. That's a perfect—that's fine.
Starting point is 01:00:55 I mean, wouldn't be my choice, but I don't get to choose, and wouldn't be a Democratic president's choice. And that's not to say that, like, no one should raise any concerns. Let me ask you something about the negativity bias and the incentives it sets up. Obviously the future of the Republican Party is not highly determined by what MSNBC hosts say about different Trump appointees. But there is something about a world where Marco Rubio gets no coverage for being a, who knows what kind of Secretary of State he'll be, but plausibly a more normal, thoughtful,
Starting point is 01:01:31 Marco Rubio is a politician who works hard and tries to think about ideas. He's also genuinely qualified for the job. Yes, compared to a Pete Hegseth or a RFK Jr. or Tulsi Gabbard, right? In this world where we say that there is value to attention and we give all this attentional resource to the worst people, making them more valuable to Trump and squeezing out...
Starting point is 01:01:52 Is there actually like a bad incentive system being set up by that? Like, I've never known what to do with this thought, which I've had for a long time, because on the one hand, you can't just ignore the terrible things happening in government. That's a dereliction of what we're here to do. And on the other hand, if you believe that just giving things attention is to give them energy, to only cover the terrible things happening in government
Starting point is 01:02:14 is to not empower like the Doug Burghams and Marco Rubio's in the future. Like there feels like some tension here that the media has never known what to do with. I think that's interesting. I mean, I think that I don't have a worked out theory for how to deal with that, but I think it's a good point. I have a broader thing I've been thinking about a lot. This phrase that is on a brainstorming notepad of mine and I've thought about a million versions
Starting point is 01:02:39 of it. The phrase is the opposite of doom. And I think about this a lot because I think that we live in a doom-obsessed time, doom-scrolling. We do not live in an age in which we have a conception of the opposite of doom. We do not live in an age where we have a lot of conceptualizations of utopias. You know, there's different ages where all sorts of different people are planning their utopias. Spiritual leaders, architects, political leaders, this is it, this is what it's gonna look like
Starting point is 01:03:08 when we figure it all out. No one does that anymore. I mean, literally no one does that. Like, I can't think of a modern, contemporary version of utopia. Maybe in some version, the sort of Trump, I'll fix everything personalist is the closest we get, personalist vision of fixing everything.
Starting point is 01:03:24 And the reason I think about this is, I think it's probably really important to us in our collective public and individually to put our attention towards a vision of what we think something great would be. And it relates to this question about the individual coverage decisions, which are absolutely affected by negativity bias, like 100%. And conflict too. There's a fight over eggs, as there should be. And there's not a fight over Rubio.
Starting point is 01:03:51 And the conflict drives the news. That's as old as news. But the reason I bring all this up is because I sometimes think about it just in terms of putting attention on things that have worked, as opposed to things that haven't worked. So not so much about individuals or members of the cabinet, but like I was thinking about this the other day, like 30 years ago it just was inconceivable we would cure HIV AIDS. It's amazing that we essentially have, and we've done it through the labor and work of people across all sectors of society over the course of decades that took a thing that just felt horrible and intractable and made it so much better.
Starting point is 01:04:36 And there's just so much less attention on those stories. And I think it is making it harder and harder for us to conceptualize that it is possible even to do good things and to solve problems. All right. I have a lot of thoughts on this. One is that, I mean, you and I both know there have been a million efforts in journalism to do solutions based journalism. Yes.
Starting point is 01:05:01 Good news, solutions. Good news journalism. And they don't work in part, not that they don't work at all. No, but they're, it's... And this is as you make the point of, you know, at the beginning of this conversation and often in your book, attention is a business. So when they don't work,
Starting point is 01:05:17 your cable news show gets replaced, right? With somebody who will do doom. Yep. On the other hand, one of the things I really believe about the podcasting world, one thing that makes me very hopeful about it, is these podcasts have built huge, unbelievably huge audiences not being primarily about doom. They don't actually have a big negativity bias.
Starting point is 01:05:39 They're very hopeful, they're futuristic. The obvious thing to say is the opposite of doom is hope. But I think the opposite of doom is curiosity, at least in this respect. I don't think it's utopia. I think it's something about curiosity, interest, beauty. Doom is a belief that we know how things are going to go. Comforting in its own way because of that. Comforting in its own way because of that. And mystery feels to me like an opposite of doom. Yeah, there's a dimension here where I think what has gone wrong in a lot of this journalism is it feels hokey and cliche,
Starting point is 01:06:13 and it has, you know, it is actually too much the opposite of doom. When the problem is like you want to be on another dimension entirely, that like, if the only question is things go good, things go bad, things go bad is more attention grabbing. If the question is things go bad or are there UFOs, things go bad or like this novelist speaks unbelievably beautiful. Cause I see it in the ratings of this show. I can get very high downloads for Trump episodes and very high, pretty over time downloads for a novelist who describes the world in a really beautiful way.
Starting point is 01:06:50 I don't think the opposite of doom is hope or good things or utopia. I think for this, for attention. It's curiosity. It's curiosity. It's interest. It's like, oh, have you ever thought about it this way? Or isn't that weird? I want to make a point that I'm afraid is like boringly technical after what
Starting point is 01:07:06 you just said, which I am chewing on. I also think the technological infrastructure of podcast matters tremendously. That line from, I forget who wrote wherever you get your podcast is a radical statement that the fact that podcasts have built audiences largely outside of algorithmic feeds have built audiences largely outside of algorithmic feeds, have built them through an open protocol called RSS, that that technical backbone actually matters for precisely what you're talking about. Part of the reason podcasts have flourished, two, three hour podcasts,
Starting point is 01:07:39 podcasts with novelists about obscure topics, long solo monologues about history. I mean, all sorts of stuff is because they're not embedded in the same technical attentional marketplace. And I think that really matters a lot. And I think it's actually really hopeful because I think one of the things to remember here, this is really an important point. Everyone has wiped this from their memory, but the first version of the mass internet was an entirely commercially engineered mass internet with Prodigy, CompuServe, and AOL. AOL emerges the winner. AOL acquired Time Warner. AOL was the belle of the ball
Starting point is 01:08:15 in this huge company, and it was a walled garden, and you dialed up, and you were in this little world that was curated by these large commercial entities. And that was destroyed, partly, ironically, because of Mark Andreessen's development of a graphical user interface, to open internet. That rewarded curiosity. That rewarded people connecting about obscure topics. It rewarded hobbyism. It rewarded obsessive small little corners of knowledge. It's already been the case once that open internet,
Starting point is 01:08:47 animated by curiosity, defeated a closed commercial internet. It doesn't have to be the case that the version of the commercial internet we have now is still the same one. That to me is really hopeful though, you know? Because it's like we have divided selves, we have divided desires. There's different parts of us that want different things and different market setups, technical setups, institutional setups can cultivate different parts of those selves.
Starting point is 01:09:14 It's not like we lose one part or another. The other part is still there. It's a question about the systems around us drawing forth those different parts of us or not. I think that is a good place to end. Always our final question. What three books you would recommend to the audience? So first I'll start with a classic, which is Neil Postman's Amusing Ourselves to Death. The Goat.
Starting point is 01:09:35 The Goat. In this discourse, I think it still totally holds up. The first chapter, which is... Somewhat predicts Donald Trump. Yes, totally. In an explicit way. Yes. Totally, yes. In an explicit way. Yes. Totally, yes.
Starting point is 01:09:46 In an explicit way. Also, the first essay, which is just about different versions of the dystopian future between 1984, which is information constraint, and Brave New World, which is overflow of entertainment information about how we ended up in the Brave New World. Great. Another book that has been mentioned on your podcast
Starting point is 01:10:03 a lot and relevant, which is, again, I feel like I'm sort of citing canonical text here. And it's important for me to do, because I wanna be clear, as we all are as authors, you know, lots of people have been thinking about this very well and very hard. But Jenny O'Dell's How to Do Nothing is a fantastic book. It's strange and distinct and is much more,
Starting point is 01:10:22 I would say, spiritually omnivorous than the book that I've written. More sort of interior in its focus too about how you do this work with yourself and with other people as a kind of like collective radical undertaking. Yeah, the form of that book is also the function because I feel like so much of what books about attention are about is how it homogenizes all of us. And that book, I love that book so much. It is a completely distinct product,
Starting point is 01:10:50 a completely distinct mind. Like no other human being would write that book. No other human being would write that book. There's no comp for that book. It is its own thing. And it's also a book that- I love books like that. I love books like that too.
Starting point is 01:11:00 And I also think it's a rare thing to write a nonfiction book where you can't get 85% of the way there by just like hearing the author on a podcast or reading a review like you got To actually read the book and then my final is a work of fiction It's by an author named Tony Tula to Moody. It's a book of short stories called rejection and it is The bleakest not not not safe for work friends not safe for work It is the bleakest. Not safe for work, friends. Not safe for work. It is the bleakest and one of the most unremittingly punishing pictures of the hell that we've built for ourselves. And yet, I say this, that doesn't sound like a book you want to read.
Starting point is 01:11:38 I absolutely tore through it. I read the whole thing in basically a day, and it just stuck with me, and I really recommend it highly. One of the most intense reading experiences. There is a 10 to 12 page granular description of a sexual fantasy in this book, that your full body will basically, you will hit a point of physical paralysis as you read this but also can't stop reading and also are so amused it's so funny and it's so dark I've never read anything like it. Chris Hayes your book is great I recommend it
Starting point is 01:12:17 to everybody thank you. Thank you. This episode of the Ezra Concho is produced by Jack McCordick, fact checking by Michelle Harris, mixing by Isaac Jones with the theme Shapiro and Amin Sahota. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Roland Hu, Elias Isquith, and Kristen Lin. We've originaled music by Pat McCusker, audience strategy by Christina Samuelski and Shannon Busta.
Starting point is 01:12:57 The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie Rose Strasser. Strosser.

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