The Ezra Klein Show - The Breaking of the Constitutional Order
Episode Date: February 5, 2025There are two pieces to this episode. First, a tour of what Donald Trump has done — and what he has backed down from doing — over the last few days. There’s a lesson there. Perhaps Democrats are... starting to learn it.Then I wanted to hear the view of Trump’s first weeks back in office from someone on the right — someone who agrees with many of Trump’s policies, but also understands how the government works and who cares about our Constitution.Yuval Levin is the director of social, cultural and constitutional studies at the American Enterprise Institute. His latest book is “American Covenant: How the Constitution Unified Our Nation — and Could Again.” What struck me about our conversation is that, on the one hand, Levin is less alarmed about much of what’s happening than I am. But on the other hand, he’s a lot less impressed by what Trump is actually getting done — and how these moves are likely to work out for him — than most Democrats I know. It’s a perspective very much worth hearing.Mentioned:“Don’t Believe Him” by Ezra KleinBook Recommendations:The Rhetorical Presidency by Jeffrey K. TulisWhy Congress by Philip WallachThe Extinction of Experience by Christine RosenThoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com.You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs.This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Elias Isquith and Jack McCordick. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris. Mixing by Isaac Jones, with Efim Shapiro and Aman Sahota. Our supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Rollin Hu and Kristin Lin. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Unlock full access to New York Times podcasts and explore everything from politics to pop culture. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify.
Transcript
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From New York Times opinion, this is the Ezra Klein show. Over the weekend, President Donald Trump announced 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada.
The markets reacted with shock.
We were really doing this?
Didn't Trump's Wall Street backers tell us again and again this was all just a negotiating ploy? And then Mexico said that it would add 10,000 troops to the border.
And Canada said it would appoint a fentanyl czar and they noted efforts they were already
making on the border. And Trump delayed the tariffs by a month in both cases. So how to
read this? Did Trump back down in the face of market turmoil?
Did he get what he wanted, even though what he got wasn't very much, was mostly things
that Mexico and Canada were already doing?
Are we going to have this happen again in a month and maybe every month after that?
I don't think anybody actually knows, very much including Donald Trump.
What seems clear here is that Trump likes tariffs, but he dislikes political pain.
He wants to be seen as in control.
He wants the world bending to his will.
But the stock market plummeting does not make it look like the world is bending to his will.
The stock market plummeting threatens his control.
And so when other countries see that, their strategy is going to come clearer.
The more Trump bullies other nations, the more they will band together in retaliation and the more that will batter markets. The world does not want to be endlessly
pushed around by Donald Trump. Actions create reactions. So yeah, Trump has the power to
impose tariffs, but he does not have the power to impose them without paying a price. And
so far, at least he does not seem to want to pay that price. Domestically, Elon Musk is trying to remake the federal government.
I was going to say by fiat, but it's not even by anything as official as that.
His people have pushed their way into the Treasury Department's payment systems, putting
the longtime civil servant in charge of that system on leave when he wouldn't give a bunch
of Musk's deputies access to a system that, and I really think it's important
to understand this, a system that virtually nobody even in the Treasury Department has
access to because it contains so much private data, because it presents such severe cybersecurity
risks and because something going wrong in it would throw government payments into complete
chaos.
And that's been far from their only move. The really splashy, aggressive
thing they did over the past couple days was that Musk team announced that they were closing down
USAID, the foreign aid agency created by Congress decades ago. They don't have the authority to
close down USAID. And so I agree with Lauren DeJong Schulman, a former office of management
and budget official who wrote that the way to talk about this is not to say something anodyne and settled, like they got passwords to the payment system
or they closed down USAID.
It's more like, quote, they legally broke into a secure facility over a weekend, hijacked
sensitive data on vulnerable people and US businesses, destroyed property Americans paid
for, cut off resources for sick and hungry families, and fired Americans across the country.
This is part of what I was saying in my
Don't Believe Him essay over the weekend.
Trump does not have many of the powers he's asserting he has.
So when he or the people around him act lawlessly and unconstitutionally,
those acts should be treated as what they are,
something in between power grabs and crimes. All of it right now is provisional and needs to be treated as what they are, something in between power grabs and crimes.
All of it right now is provisional and needs to be treated as provisional, fought as provisional.
We have watched Trump back down on much already, from tariffs to spending freezes.
And if the consequences become too painful, he'll back down on yet more.
And so the consequences should be painful.
What he is doing should be described clearly and other parts of the political system should
respond.
And we're starting to see that happen.
We're starting to see Democrats find their footing.
Brian Schatz, the Democratic Senator from Hawaii, put a blanket hold on all of Trump's
State Department nominees until USAID is restored.
That is something any Senator can do, but they rarely do it because it is so disruptive.
But Schatz is right to do it.
Trump is fundamentally disrupting the functioning of the US government.
He is unilaterally attempting to undo the federal structure Congress has built.
His disruptions should be met with disruption.
And Schatz is right in another sense, too.
He is treating Trump's effort to destroy USAID as a live fight, not something
that has already happened, that is finished, that is done.
In the House, Hakeem Jeffries, the Democratic leader, released a 10-point plan for how Democrats
intend to oppose Trump. His dear colleague letter reads, most importantly, that, quote,
I've made clear to House Republican leadership that any effort to steal taxpayer money from
the American people, end
Medicaid as we know it, or defund programs important to everyday Americans as contemplated
by the illegal White House Office of Management and Budget Order must be choked off in the
upcoming government funding bill, if not sooner.
What Jeffries is saying there when he invokes the upcoming funding bill is that so far Republicans
have not been able to pass spending bills without Democratic support. Absent that support, the government will shut down and eventually
the debt ceiling will be breached. And Jeffries intends to hold the Democrats against those
spending bills until Trump's moves are reversed. I think that some of what, maybe much of what
Trump is doing will prove eventually to be illegal. But courts work slowly. The way our
political system is supposed to work
is that the check is supposed to come from,
first and foremost, Congress.
It is Congress that controls spending,
even though Trump is trying to take that power for himself.
It is Congress that can impeach.
Now, Democrats don't have much power in Congress now,
but they do have the power to disrupt and obstruct.
They have the power to focus attention. And so they will.
Trump will have to pay a price for the power grab.
How large a price does he want to pay?
How large a price is he willing to pay?
Last week I spoke with Yuval Levin.
Levin is the director of the Social, Cultural, and Constitutional Studies Program at the
American Enterprise Institute.
And he's the author of the book American Covenant, how the constitution unified our nation and could again.
Levin is conservative, but one of the smartest thinkers I know on how the government actually
works.
And so I wanted to know how he was seeing the early weeks of Trump's second term.
And what struck me about our conversation was that on the one hand, he's more measured
and calm about it than I am.
And on the other hand, he's a lot less impressed by what Trump is actually getting done
and how it's likely to work out for him in the long run
than most Democrats I know.
So his was a very different perspective
than I'd been hearing,
but one that I think is very useful
to hear and think through.
As always, my email, Ezra Klein show at nythimes.com. You've all leavened. Welcome to the show.
Thanks very much for having me, Ezra.
So we're a solid few weeks into the second Trump administration. Tell me how you're interpreting
what we've seen so far.
Well, let me give you a kind of middle-aged answer to this question.
I'm 47.
I've been in Washington since I was 18 with a little break for graduate school.
I've seen presidential terms since George W. Bush's first.
And one thing you learn over that time is that the first few weeks of a new administration
are really surreal.
They're very different from the rest of the time because the administration controls the
agenda and that isn't really the case most of the time.
But in the first few weeks, they've made plans and you don't know those plans generally.
They do and they're rolling them out in a certain pace, at a certain way.
And it just feels like they are in command of the world.
So I think that it's natural in that period to think, wow, these people are really in control.
The opposition is totally on the ground, on their backs, they don't know how to respond to this.
That's always what it feels like.
That happened with Bush, it happened with Obama, it's happened with Trump.
It even happened with Biden, if we can remember four years ago.
And it doesn't take very long for that to break.
The opposition is back and organized pretty quickly.
That takes a couple of weeks, maybe.
And the world comes back at organized pretty quickly. That takes a couple of weeks maybe. And the world comes back at you too.
And the rest of the time, presidents spend a lot
of their energy just responding to the world
and what it throws at them.
And they're judged by how they do that.
That's definitely going on here.
And so it's very hard still to judge what we're looking at.
I think a lot of people have come in
with a very strong prejudice that this time the Trump team is much more competent, they have a much better idea of
not only what they want to do but how. And a lot of what we've seen is actually a lot
like what the first terms, first few weeks felt like. There's a lot of ambition, there's
a lot of action, there's more than there was the first time.
But there's also a kind of inclination to chaos that I think is actually intentional,
that's part of what they're trying to do.
And it didn't really work all that well the first time, and I'm not sure it's working all that well this time.
So I have a mixed impression, I think it's just too early to say. Say more about your sense that there is a real effort
to show energy, to show competence.
Trump people are all over the media right now saying,
see, we told you we had it in hand this time,
and we really did.
Yeah, they certainly want to convey that.
I think there was a sense that things the first time really started out rough.
They actually had had a transition effort run by Chris Christie that produced some concrete
plans and all of it was literally thrown away in a huff at Chris Christie basically.
And they started out on day one with just not all that much prepared.
That is different this time.
This time they've come in with a lot prepared.
EOs that have been worked out for a while and that have been thought through and
lawyered and all of that, that is a little different than last time.
And they do have experience.
Some of the people they've brought in were in the administration last time and
therefore they know where the meeting's happening.
They know where the bathroom is.
That's different, it makes a difference.
But I think that we are also seeing the same kind of inclination to chaos and
maladministration that we saw last time in some very important ways.
They've had a really hard time talking about the government in the
first person, seeing themselves as the people governing. They're still approaching
government as something they act on rather than act through. And so I think a good
example of that is the freeze on federal grants that we've just seen come and go
pretty quickly. That felt a lot like the travel ban from the first time.
And in fact, as soon as it happened, I went online and said, when was the travel ban?
And so the travel ban was a week after the inauguration. It was January 27th of 2017.
The freeze on federal funding was also a week after the inauguration. It was January 27th,
exactly eight years later. And they had a lot in common.
They were both bold kind of steps that tried to do something big all at once.
And they were not thought through in practical administrative terms.
What's this going to look like on the ground?
And it's because they're thinking about presidential power as a concrete reality,
and the people affected as an abstraction
when it's actually the other way around.
Here's how this would have happened in the Bush years.
And I don't suggest that George W. Bush was the model of governance in every way, but
I worked there and this is how it would have happened.
You would have had a meeting at OMB where you bring in the chiefs of staff or senior
political appointees from the various cabinet departments, lay out for them what's in this memo, what is it going to mean for
you, and then take hard questions and some stupid questions so you can work through what
is this really going to produce that we're not thinking about.
And somebody in the back of that room would have raised his hand and said, well, so are
we shutting down the Medicaid payment portal? And somebody at OMB would have said, well, no, we shutting down the Medicaid payment portal?
And somebody at OMB would have said, well, no, we're saying this doesn't affect
payments to individuals.
And the guy would have said, well, those payments actually go to hospitals.
Am I supposed to shut them down?
And there would have been a conversation,
and they would have said, no, we're not touching Medicaid.
Instead, what happened was they just did this.
And the guy who runs the Medicaid payment portal in Baltimore shut it down.
And there was a banner on the website that says we're shutting it down because OMB told
us to.
That kind of practical chaos, OMB exists to avoid that.
And they're clearly not working to avoid it.
Well, this goes to this question of how they view the government that they now run.
You said a minute ago that they don't look at it as the first person.
They look at it as something they act upon.
I would go a little further than that.
They look at it as the enemy.
They look at it as the thing they have to conquer.
And if you go through a lot of what they are trying to do, most notably the OMB freeze memo,
which is also written in a very hostile tone to the government and to the bureaucracy.
But you look at the fork in the road email sent out mirroring an earlier email, Elon
Musk sent to, I believe it was Twitter employees then.
What they are trying to do is to effectuate a very, very large change in who is in the
federal government because they believe the federal government is full of people who hate
them and will not carry out their plans and their theory of what to do about it, seeming
built on how Elon Musk treated Twitter when he took it over, is to try to do a buyout,
try to make people miserable, try to create a lot of chaos and just drive everyone out and assume that a lot of those
people are doing jobs that don't need to be done, they're waste and you can keep running
Twitter at a much smaller staff and maybe you can do the same thing for the federal
government.
But also you're creating vacancies that you can then fill with your people.
They're giving loyalty tests to people.
They're asking people they're trying to hire when was your MAGA awakening moment.
This isn't just acting upon the government, this is sort of viewing it as like the opposition
is the government they run.
And this is a set of strategies to either cow it or take it over.
You're somebody who thinks a lot about public administration.
How are you seeing that side of it? They do come in with a sense that the bureaucracy is hostile to them and has to be fought.
But they also come in with a sense that chaos can serve their purposes.
And I think these are two different assumptions and that the second one is profoundly mistaken.
So the buyout is a very, very interesting experiment. A lot of these
folks do just want to do their jobs, but there are some among them who really are very hostile
to the administration's intentions. The question is, how do you deal with that? How do you
make your way through it? Now look, in the long term, there's certainly an argument for
driving some churn in federal employment, for driving some turnover, for bringing in some new blood.
I can see that.
But in the medium term, and politics is a medium-term business, in the medium term,
this is going to bring chaos.
So think, for example, about what they're doing to their new political appointees.
You have all these people who are just now getting confirmed by the Senate.
They're coming into these departments.
Some of them are quite new to these places.
Some of them maybe have been there before.
And they're coming in as, I don't know what, a tenth, a fifth of their workforce is going
through a long-term resignation process.
And those people have not been chosen on the basis of any sense of which jobs are most important,
which people are doing the best work, what government functions are most essential, what
actually has to be done by law, none of that.
This is all happening on the basis of who finds it attractive to not work until September
while getting paid and then take another job.
That means they're going to come in with chaos.
And the way they're approaching it is rooted, I think, in a Silicon Valley argument that
says creative destruction is how you learn, break things, and then see how they fall,
and you can build something new.
And the civil service just isn't going to work that way.
That's not really how this system can learn.
There's also a theory of who the federal employees are.
And I think implicitly here, they're imagining the federal employees are highly political.
So you might imagine somebody who's in the Civil Service, but they work at the Department
of Energy and they care very deeply about climate change.
Or they're not needed.
A view Elon Musk has had at different companies and similarly Twitter was that there was just
a lot of people doing jobs that didn't need to be done.
But of course, Twitter broke a lot and is even now technically in many ways very degraded.
Some things work very well, other things don't work at all.
I don't know that that theory matches much of the federal workforce.
So to give a concrete example, a lot of people who work for the government are doctors.
They are, among other things, VA doctors.
Now if a bunch of VA doctors, primary care VA doctors, who have no political role in
the federal government at all, decide, you know what, these people don't value me.
This is annoying.
I could do nothing until September and then get a job delivering primary care that is
more lucrative elsewhere.
Now all of a sudden, you've knocked out, let's call it 15% of the VA health systems primary
care workforce.
Is that good for the Trump administration from their perspective?
Do they have a view on how to replace those people with people they feel are more ideologically compatible or better or more excellent quickly?
Or are you just causing long wait times at the VA that people are gonna be mad at you about
and maybe know one thing is that politically important,
but mirror it across all the different things
federal government does,
I'm not sure that works out.
I'm not sure they thought about VA primary care doctors
taking the buyout at all.
Yeah, there's 3 million people
who work for the federal government.
And I think a lot of people's sense of who the kind of modal federal employee is is probably off.
I mean, I would say now people probably think it's somebody who lives in Washington and
works from home and shuffles paper.
And that's not actually a very common type in federal employment.
Most federal employees don't live in or near DC, and there are real functions to perform
here. It's also worth remembering that the federal workforce is about as big now
as it was 50 years ago.
The government has a lot more contractors than it did then.
It's taken on a lot of things.
But it hasn't really grown the federal workforce much, which means that in
those really essential functions that only government employees could do,
the federal workforce is actually stretched pretty thin in some important places.
We shouldn't underestimate how much we've assigned to our government and how much would
be left undone if there weren't people doing it.
If you saw a lot of attrition in the FDA, the effects of that would be pretty serious.
It's actually quite important that the agencies that keep us safe and healthy operate and do their basic work. This is the basic challenge
of administration in a system as big as we're talking about, is that there are a lot of
effects on the ground that it's possible to think through if you involve the different
parts of the system in coming up with the
reform, but it's very hard to think through if you're just sitting in a room and coming up with it on your own, or just throwing it out there because it's something that worked at Twitter.
And you don't have very much experience in the government, as much in this career do not.
It runs deeper than that because the federal workforce is constrained by a challenge that isn't really present in
the private sector, which is that there are salary caps that prevent you from paying the
most qualified people the kinds of pay they could get in the private sector, which means
that places like not just the VA, but the FDA, NIH, all the Commerce Department sub-agencies,
those places are full of people who spend
their day sitting across the table from private sector people that they're regulating or
working with and thinking, I have the same skill set as this guy, but he's got a much
nicer house.
Why am I working at the FDA rather than at Pfizer?
And now there's an answer to that question.
And a lot of people in those jobs really enjoy them.
They like them and they have real significance and authority,
and that matters to people.
But in the federal government,
those are the people who are
marginally attached to their job,
who are constantly thinking,
I got to pay for my kids' college in a few years,
shouldn't I be working at
a much higher paying contractor job or private sector job?
So that when you make an offer like this buyout offer, it's those people who are thinking,
maybe I don't really want to do this job.
Whereas the people who are thinking, I can't get another job, I got to stick with this
one, I'll do whatever they want. Those are probably your lower performing employees or at least your less valuable employees.
So that you're creating a situation where the people who are going to be hardest to replace
are the people who are most likely to leave.
This goes to something that I think has been paradoxical about the beginning of Trump's second term.
As you said, they've had a lot more time to plan and they did spend a lot more time planning. been paradoxical about the beginning of Trump's second term.
As you said, they've had a lot more time to plan and they did spend a lot more time planning.
Things like the various policy efforts, including most famously Project 2025, do reflect a lot
of people and think tanks and allied organizations coming up with theories of what you might
do. One thing though that is really clear is that they do not want to do the hard work of legislating
on these questions.
So as you mentioned, there's a lot that is complex about the way we have constructed
civil service rules.
And it could use pretty profound reform.
And you might imagine Donald Trump and Elon Musk and some of these people coming in and
trying to use a political capital they've built to pass a pretty broad set of civil
service reforms that allow for much more aggressive management of the civil service by the executive.
You can justify that publicly in terms of promoting excellence and flexibility
and agility and making sure the work of the American people gets done.
Even if what you actually want to do with it, at least partly, is use this new power
to get rid of the woke deep state.
But they didn't do any of that.
So they actually don't have all the power they might need to do that.
And they have a very, very narrow margin in the House and there's a filibuster in the
Senate. And it's gonna be very hard for them to do something big legislatively. But that
movement to executive authority, which looks very strong and overwhelming, it seems to
me in some ways to be an admission of weakness or at least of insufficient planning.
They definitely did not walk out of the door with a well-formed public message and legislative
proposal that would allow them to remake the federal bureaucracy from the ground up.
Instead you have this slapdash buyout effort and yelling at people and freezing money that
you then rescind.
And they're also activating functionally a maximum of opposition, including from what
I can tell inside the federal bureaucracy where a lot of people who were kind of planning
to leave now feel offended and the more ideological among them are digging in their heels.
I think the key to that point is in the sense that they're trying to look strong, but not doing
it in a way that actually is strong.
They face a very challenging fact.
As much as they want to act as though they've just won a massive election victory and they
now dominate everything, they've actually won a very narrow election victory.
And their majorities in Congress, especially in the House, are very, very narrow.
The House majority is the narrowest majority we've seen since there have been 50 states.
And that means they can't get much through Congress on their own. And the administration
is operating so far without really any sense that they need to get anything through Congress
except the one big reconciliation
bill that'll take care of taxes and spending for the year.
They're not thinking in terms of how to advance their agenda as a legislative agenda.
The secret to strong executive authority has a lot to do with stability. The kind of sense of security that an effective administration can provide
depends on knowing where you're headed and moving there incrementally
in a way that allows you to achieve big things without making people scared of what you're up to.
I think the logic of administrative power that we're seeing operating here so far is just about the opposite of that.
It's the sense that you show strength by coming in and tearing everything down and starting
everything over and doing big things right away at the start so that there's a kind of
shock and awe that leaves people thinking, wow, these people are really assertive.
And that has happened.
I think people do have that sense.
And obviously, there are some advantages you gain by conveying that sense.
You do scare people into doing what you want some, and you do give the impression that
you're strong.
But ultimately, it's very hard to make durable change in that way.
Part of the reason I do think is exactly as you say, that durable change actually requires
legislation in our system.
Anything that isn't legislated isn't durable.
But part of it is also just the sense that doing everything right away, everything at
the start and creating this sense of disjunction of a break actually doesn't give people the
impression that things are under control.
It gives people the impression that things are out of control. In the Office of Management and Budget Memo that froze the spending that later got rescinded,
they give a number of justifications for what they're doing, but one of them struck me as
interesting from a perspective of political theory of how our political system is supposed
to work.
The memo reads, career and political pointies in the executive branch have a duty to align
federal spending and action with the will of the American people as expressed through
presidential priorities.
What do you think of that? with the will of the American people as expressed through presidential priorities.
What do you think of that?
Well, it's a lot depends on exactly what they mean by presidential priorities here.
So the OMB memo is about federal grants and loans.
And the thing about grants and loans is they're not specified,
their recipients are not specified
in law.
They are an amount of money that is designated for a specific purpose.
And then the executive branch is charged with deciding among applicants who should receive
them.
And in making those decisions, there is a large amount of discretion afforded to the
executive branch.
Those grants do represent the president's priorities.
And in a sense, they could have done what this memo wants to do without the pause.
They could have just told all the agencies, review all the grants you're giving.
And if there are places where they clearly violate one of these new executive orders
or something else on this list we give you, you're empowered to
stop that now and provide the grant to another recipient or open it back up for competition.
They could have done that without a pause and therefore without the chaos.
I think the decision to stop it all is a way of asserting a kind of authority over all
federal spending and saying, Congress says how much we should spend, but
the President says on what.
And that's a fight they want to have, a fight over impoundment, where they want to suggest
that the President basically has the authority to take Congress's legislative authorizations
for spending as just a kind of beginning.
And fundamentally, this is an executive decision.
There is a kind of presidentialism here that is, I think, rooted in ultimately in a kind
of progressive presidentialism, a Woodrow Wilson argument that the president speaks for the
country, only the president speaks for the entire country, and therefore presidential
actions are more legitimate than
congressional actions, and as you say, represent the will of the public.
I think they're wrong about this.
I think they're ultimately going to fail in court on that front, but they are trying to
make that assertion.
You know, I found myself thinking back to how many conversations I had over the Obama era, particularly, but not only, with Tea
Party and Freedom Caucus types in the House.
And they would tell me that they were constitutional conservatives and that their real problem
with Obama, with liberalism going back, as you just mentioned, to Woodrow Wilson, was that it's given too much power to the president, that it has diminished the constitutionally mandated centrality of
Congress.
And now I'm watching some of these same people, certainly many people among the House Republicans,
cheer on these moves from Donald Trump.
I'm watching the head Republican appropriator say he thinks
impoundment is a totally reasonable thing where the president sort of holds
the money and decides whether or not he's going to spend it. And I find it truly
impossible to reconcile their support of this presidency with those views, which
I at least took as sincere at the time they were being expressed.
You were always much closer to this than I was to these people, to these arguments.
You've written a book about the Constitution recently.
How do you think about what you're seeing from people who I think in other contexts
you've seen express themselves as constitutional conservatives very concerned with executive
overreach?
I think there's always a certain amount of where you sit determining where you stand
when people talk about politics.
And everybody does this, I'm sure I do it too, where when the people you like are powerful
in Congress but not in the White House, you talk a lot about the importance of Congress.
We're going to see Democrats do this over the next two years, for example.
And when it's the other way around around you talk the other way around.
But there's also an actual principal difference about the nature of the
Constitution between a lot of Republicans and a lot of Democrats. And I
think what we've seen over the last 15 years is a kind of uneasy combination of
both of these things. To my mind, this is the way to worry about the Trump administration.
A lot of what they want to do in terms of the political valence of federal public policy
are things that I agree with.
A lot of what they want to do in terms of driving us away from DEI and towards a more
kind of colorblind federal policy I think is great and very important.
What they're doing on education policy so far, I think is very good.
I'm going to agree with them by a lot of things.
I'm a conservative.
But the approach to the structure of the system worries me a lot.
I worry about constitutionalism more than about public policy in this moment.
And I think ultimately constitutionalism is more important than public policy.
And the two biggest worries that I have about the constitutional system, not just now, but
in general, first of all, are the weakness of Congress.
I think a lot of our other problems come from that fact.
And secondly, is the overbearing and arbitrary character of the administrative state.
And so far, it seems to me that both of those problems are going to get worse in
the next four years and not better. Certainly the weakness of Congress, where a lot of Republican
members now just want to surrender their power to a president they now like. And so they
talk in terms of... I heard a member of the House say to another during the debate over
the vote on the speaker at the beginning of this Congress saying, well, President Trump
should have the speaker that he wants.
That is not how our Constitution works, and Congress should have a sense of its own authority
and its own dignity that is distinct from the president.
And on the other hand, I think this rushing in with arbitrary power and assertions of
authority at the beginning of a new administration suggests that even though I may like the
policy direction that the administrative agencies are going to take in this administration, they're going to continue
to act in an arbitrary and overbearing way that creates enormous problems for our system
of government.
You've written that, our usual approach to the separation of powers leaves us imagining
that there is a fungible commodity called power, that the
different branches of our government exercise.
So the question is who has more or less of it?
So it's definitely what I see Trump doing right now.
He is aggregating more power to the executive.
It's also something I've watched, I think at a smaller level, but nevertheless, democratic
presidents do.
The argument you make is that that's the wrong way to look at it.
So what's the right way?
Yeah.
The separation of powers is not just a division of power into three so that it's a little
safer because it's divided.
Power is channeled through three different kinds of institutions.
The first one, the primary one, is a legislature. And the reason it's
primary is that the legislature is representative of the American public. The president is elected,
but the president was not thought of as a representative figure. That office is one
person in a vast country. One person can't really represent that vast country, that has to be done by a plural institution
like Congress.
And Congress has a specific kind of work.
It frames out, it builds out frameworks of law that are then going to direct the work
of administration in the future.
The president administers, and the idea of administration is almost lost to us now.
We think of what the president does basically as saying, this is what should happen and
then things happen.
But actually, the most important part of the president's job is the making of those things
happen.
It is the working of the arms of government, of the various tools and implements to actually
turn will into action.
And the courts have a different job than both of those.
They review past actions and determine whether they were in line
with the legal frameworks that Congress had created or with the Constitution.
These are very different ways of using power.
They're not just power divided into three.
And the different ways matter enormously.
The interactions between them are really what create the dynamics of our system of government.
I think our presidents now, this has certainly been true of Donald Trump in his first term
and now, but it's also true of the rest of our modern presidents, have a conception of
their job that's very legislative.
They think their job is to produce those frameworks, to do it through administrative
action and essentially when Congress can't act, the president will.
Barack Obama actually said that basically in those words, but every modern president
has acted as though he believes that.
I think that's profoundly wrong and creates huge problems for our system.
But among the problems it creates is that the other branches respond to this by also
not doing their jobs.
None of this is how our system is meant to work.
And I think the center of why this has happened is actually the failure of Congress to take
ownership of the direction of the system.
But is how our system is meant to work a relevant concept given how different our system has
evolved to be?
I think it is fair to say that the fundamental institutions of American political life now
are not the branches, but the parties.
And the reason the president acts the way you mentioned him acting is not that he's
the head of the executive branch, it's that he's the head of the executive branch.
It's that he's the head of the party that controls the executive branch.
And so he sets the priorities and the direction.
And as much as we might want to lionize the structure of our government,
believing it could ever work in the way it was intended to work.
government, believing it could ever work in the way it was intended to work, when we have these political parties that have fundamentally remade the structure such that the branches
are subordinate to the parties, is a kind of folly.
Well, I think the reason to look to how the Constitution is intended to work is not to
lionize the past, but to address exactly the problems we have now.
The most stark fact about the American party system in the 21st century is that it's failing.
Both parties are failing.
Neither one has been able to form a durable majority coalition in 30 years.
And that has left our politics intensely divided, bitterly polarized,
very dysfunctional. And the question we have to ask ourselves is what can we do about this?
I think it's worth our looking to the Constitution because there are answers there to what we
can do about it. Not because that was some kind of sacred moment at the end of the 18th
century and they knew all this stuff we don't know. I don't think that's right.
We know a lot of things they didn't know.
We are better than they were in a lot of ways.
But they did create a system that is distinctly capable of compelling narrow coalitions to
broaden.
The logic of the American Constitution is that only majority rule is legitimate, but
majorities are very dangerous to minorities.
And that means that we want a system that forces majorities to grow and broaden before
they are empowered.
This is what's frustrating about our system, right?
You win an election, you still can't do anything.
And the reason for that is that the system wants you to first broaden your coalition
before you're really able to act.
We really resist that now.
We don't want to do it.
We live in a 50-50 moment and you win 50% plus one, you treat it as this massive, you
know, Donald Trump just won 49.8% of the vote in a presidential election.
Kamala Harris got 48.3% of the vote in a presidential election, Kamala Harris got 48.3% of the vote, and the
Trump folks want to say, we won, we won big, we get to act now.
The Constitution says, no, you have to deal with the people you defeated in the election.
And they won their seats in Congress, they won control of various state governments,
they are still here, and you
have to deal with them.
To think about our system only through the lens of the parties is to reject that logic.
Now that's one way to do democracy, right?
That's how the parliamentary systems work.
Those are legitimate democratic systems.
But I think our system is better for us exactly because it doesn't allow us to work that way,
and ultimately prefers to produce legitimate public action over producing efficient public
action.
It forces us to build coalitions that include more people.
I think that's what we're missing now.
One way I take Trump is as a reaction to a feeling of governmental sclerosis, right?
When he wins, when he says, I alone can fix it.
He is not just saying that he is the only answer, but he is saying that he is an answer
to this thing that you have become disappointed in.
I was looking at Tom Emmer, the Republican whip, his reaction to some of Trump's early
moves here.
And again, you can imagine a political system where Republicans in Congress are furious
at the amount of authority Trump is pulling into his own domain.
But he says, you're going to see things like this and your first reaction is going to be,
well, this isn't the way it's been done.
You need to understand he, he being Trump Trump was elected to shake up the status quo.
And I do think when, when I try to take the arguments here, they're most generous.
What I see is an argument that this has become unresponsive.
And so this, there is this tension between the wisdom of the slowdown and the
coalition building that you describe. And I don't know what I think I observe now over
a number of presidencies with Trump in some ways being the most extreme response to it,
which is as people become more and more frustrated by their inability to build those coalitions.
They begin to turn to people who pose a much more fundamental challenge to the system itself
and simply refuse to respect its boundaries, its limits, and the trade being offered is
bring me in and yes, I'll break the system, but then I will make it respond to you.
I think the question that I'm left with from that description is responsive to what?
To whom?
Our problem right now is not that there is this American majority out there that's trying
to get its will into action and the system is resisting it.
Our problem is that there isn't an American majority out there.
The elections of the last 30 years have produced 50-50 results over and over. If you look at
American political life at almost any moment in our history, you would find a majority
coalition holding a very, very complicated kind of coalition together and struggling
to keep it hanging together. And you find a minority party struggling to build and
broaden its coalition and become a majority.
Both those parties are engaged in coalition building,
which is how our system is intended to work.
In the last 30 years, and there's really only been one
other period like this at the end of the 19th century,
which lasted about 20 years, we've had two minority parties
at the same time.
This is a 50-50 moment, and the challenge is there isn't a clear majority will.
What we need from our system is not help empowering the majority.
What we need from our system is help informing a broader majority.
I think we've arrived at this place because we've moved too far from the original intentions
of the American
constitutional system, which is meant to operate with Congress at its center building coalitions,
negotiating across party lines.
So that frustration with this moment should not lead us to abandon that system, but to
recover that system.
We've had a two-party system for a long time, at least since 1824, in some ways since 1800,
so that the system has actually worked as a two-party constitutional system almost from
the beginning.
What it's failing to do now is facilitate bargaining and deal-making across those lines.
There's not an easy way to do it, but I think to do it would require, first of all, recognizing
that that's what we're not doing.
The diagnosis makes a big difference because if the problem is just we're not passing big
bills, then you want Congress to be more efficient.
So you want to get rid of the filibuster, you want to strengthen party leaders, strengthen
party discipline.
If you think the problem is we're not facilitating bargaining across party lines, then you love
the filibuster as I do.
It's the only reason we've had any bipartisan legislation in the last 15 years.
You don't want to strengthen party leaders, you want to strengthen committees.
You want to decentralize the budget process.
The difference over which way we should go is very, very important for figuring out how
to resolve the kind of frustration we have now, because I don't think presidentialism
is going to resolve it.
I agree that it is a response to that frustration,
but it is a response that isn't going to work.
And a better response would begin from a reacquaintance
with the logic of our constitution.
You know many more Republican members of the House
than I do, you know many Republican members of the Senate.
One of the things that always I find strange about the people I know in both parties who
serve in these offices is that on the one hand, you really do need to nurse a healthy
ego and a healthy sense of your own potential consequence in American life and history to
seek these offices and succeed in them.
It's very, very hard to do it from a place of deep modesty.
And on the other hand, these people get to these offices and then they don't seem that
interested in wielding the power they might have.
Again, like I am struck by how much Republicans in the House don't seem to want much authority
in this presidency.
They seem to understand their role as blocking and tackling for Donald Trump not being empowered
by him and having somebody who will sign their bills.
Why?
Yeah, this is a great question and I really agree with the way that you put the problem.
I think that you have to begin from the fact that you began with, which is these are ambitious
people.
Members of Congress are ambitious, smart men and women.
I know they can look like clowns from a distance and a few of them are clowns maybe, but they're
pretty impressive people.
And they're going to do what it takes to succeed.
The question is, what does it take to succeed?
What is the definition of success that they're operating with?
I think a lot of that is a function of the kinds of incentives that the political system
sets up for them. And in this moment, a lot of the definition of success
involves having a prominent place in our political theater, which is a very,
very fragmented partisan theater. And looking like you are doing a great job
of speaking for the team. So every member wants to be seen as the person who really says that thing that
the left doesn't want to hear if you're a Republican member.
They define success by social media following,
by their prominence in the cable news outlets that matter to their older voters.
They don't define their success as much by legislative work, by what
can you bring home.
In a funny way, the media environment they operate in has been both nationalized and
fragmented.
You're not trying to look good on the national news so much as to look good to the particular
social media influencer that your most
devoted primary voters follow. And that's created a set of incentives that is
distant from legislative work. And it's left a lot of members with a sense that
investing themselves in their committee work is a waste of time. And so members
who are ambitious are channeling their ambition in a direction
that seems like it can lead to success.
And I think that does create a variety
of kind of deformations of legislative work
that from the vantage point of our system of government
makes these members seem to be doing very strange things. I wonder how true you think this idea is.
I think that at least Donald Trump is somewhat afraid of Congress.
And I think he's afraid of Congress because he is somebody who performs the presidency
first and foremost, performs kingship performs the presidency first and foremost, performs
kingship in a way, first and foremost.
And so executive orders are great, threatening tariffs against Columbia, that's very potent
and powerful.
But Congress is a morass, particularly when you have very narrow majorities.
His biggest defeats in his first term were there.
I mean, very famously losing on Obamacare appeal again and again,
finally in that very dramatic moment when John McCain shuffles onto the floor and gives the
thumbs down. And there's a, I think also a paradox for modern presidents working with Congress.
And Biden, who actually did get some quite big bills done and a number of bipartisan bills done, I think understood this quite well, which is that the more central the president
is to a bargaining effort or to a legislative effort, the less likely that effort is to
be bipartisan.
So Francis Lee, the political scientist has done work showing this to be true, but I think
it's also intuitive.
The more a bill is going to
make Joe Biden seem like a powerful, heroic figure, the less likely Republicans are to
support it. The more a bill is going to make Donald Trump seem like the greatest president
ever, the less likely Democrats are to support it. So a lot of what Biden did that was effective
in getting things passed in Congress was actually being quite quiet. Some of this might have been age, but whether it was all age or it was also strategy, it ended up being
adaptive. He didn't put himself at the center of things. And so things like the chips and
science bill got done, the infrastructure bill got done. I mean, he wasn't out there
in an aggressive way making things about himself. In a second term, Barack Obama tried something very similar, having noticed this dynamic
in his first.
And for Trump, this is lethal.
This is actually intention with the way I think he thinks his presidency is supposed
to look.
That the process you're describing that could get him a bipartisan tax bill is a process
where he is not out there, seeming
like he is in control of the tax bill and yelling at anybody and dominating anybody
who won't vote for it.
There is a genuine tension between, I think, the desire to be seen in the moment as strong
and the desire to go and actually work successfully with Congress. I think that's a great insight and I think people are really understating the possibility
that Republicans just won't be able to pass a reconciliation bill in this Congress.
They just simply won't be able to pass it together.
They have a three-vote majority in the House.
So what are they going to do about tax reform?
What are they going to do about renewing the expiring elements of the 2017 tax bill?
It's entirely possible that ultimately the only way to do that will be through some bipartisan
bill.
But they're proceeding now as if that's not even a possibility.
It gets back to the question we took up earlier about just what it means to be strong as a
president.
And this is actually a very long-standing problem for American presidents.
In the very first presidential administration, when George Washington was president, Alexander
Hamilton started out just writing legislation.
And he wrote these big bills on how to arrange the American economy.
And the response that he got before things really broke down between him and
James Madison was Madison saying, if you let us work this out,
we're gonna end up in a similar place, but we'll own it.
And people aren't gonna feel like they're voting on Alexander Hamilton's bill.
Let Congress do this.
Halter didn't agree, and it created enormous problems for him and ultimately had a very
bad effect on his own political future.
And ever since then, there's been this irony that the president is often strongest when
he sets the basic parameters and says, look, if the bill doesn't do this, then I'll veto it.
But otherwise, Congress works it out.
And I think our modern presidents in particular
have so internalized this kind of deformed sense of their role
that they don't see that ultimately their success depends on legislative action.
They think they can be remembered for being great presidents
for their administrative actions, and it's just not true. Who are the modern presidents we
think highly of? It's FDR and the New Deal. What was the New Deal? The New Deal was legislation.
What was the Great Society? The Great Society was not a set of administrative actions. It
was big bills that the president shepherded through. He certainly gave them a lot of direction,
but there was a lot of negotiation that was not about him in that process. Ronald Reagan's tax bill was not
just Ronald Reagan's tax bill, and a lot of Democrats voted for that bill because they
were involved in negotiating it and they got some things they wanted in it. And at the
end of the day, we call it Ronald Reagan's tax bill anyway, because we remember our presidents for the legislative achievements
that their leadership makes possible.
And often that leadership is a kind of careful
direction from a distance.
There is a theory here, I think, among Trump's allies
about what would make him successful in Congress.
And maybe it goes a little bit to your point about vetoes earlier, but it's that he never
loses.
And so it's known that Elon Musk might fund primary challenges against members of Congress
who vote against Trump's cabinet appointees.
You're hearing similar things from other allies of RFK Jr. now, right?
If any Republican votes of RFK Jr. Now, right?
If any Republican votes against RFK Jr.
Even though RFK Jr.
Is not maybe still a Republican, but certainly wasn't a year ago that they will face incredible
ire.
There's a view that what they should do is terrify Congress into, Republicans in Congress
in this case, into obeying Trump. And I really wonder how well this has been thought through because Trump makes some bad
decisions and there is other wisdom that comes from other parts of the political system.
And this idea that you're going to cow the rest of the party, which I think you could
do, I think Trump is so strong in the party, you really could do it.
I mean, maybe you get your budget reconciliation bill by just forcing it through over all these
people.
But then you have opened up all the vulnerabilities that maybe all these members of Congress are
trying to protect you from.
I'm not sure it is a good idea for Donald Trump to have RFK Jr. as HHS secretary if
bird flu jumps into human-to-human transmission.
I'm not sure it is a good idea, given the fiscal situation the country is in, to have
an unpaid-for tax bill.
My old colleague, Matt Iglesias, has been making this point that in many ways, Joe Manchin
probably saved Democrats from a much worse situation, that he was taking inflation very seriously
much earlier than they were, and them spending trillions more dollars would probably have
looked significantly worse, not significantly better.
And that there was actually information coming from where Joe Manchin representing a very
different constituency than most Democrats did from what he was saying.
And I'm not a fan of every view Joe Manchin has, but I do think there's validity to this
view that you get information from the negotiations with Congress and the people representing
different constituencies who are up in different elections are telling you things you actually
need to hear.
And I'm watching the Trump administration build a system to make sure it doesn't hear
any of that. I think this gets at actually a very deep point about the lesson to be learned from
Trump's first time around. I think the people around President Trump and Trump himself have
come to the conclusion that what didn't work last time had to do with Trump being restrained.
That where they failed was because they had kind of traditional
Republicans in various places.
And their sense that they walked away with was when he was restrained,
he didn't succeed.
And if he could just be himself, he would do a lot better.
I think that's exactly the wrong lesson to draw from the successes and
failures of Trump's first time around. And that where he actually did well was where he pressed
those traditional kind of Republicans and they pressed him. And you ended up in a
place where some of his distinctly populist approach was able to influence
their more traditional conservative approach and the result landed in a place
that worked. I think that's what the tax bill looks like.
That's what some of his foreign policy moves look like.
But their sense is we just have to have a purer Trumpism.
And so this time around, the insistence on loyalty, on being part of the team is really
intense.
You see that in their hiring.
You see that in their hiring, you see that in their senior appointments.
They're really placing an enormous premium not on having the experience to run this department,
but on never saying no to Donald Trump. I think they're going to pay a heavy price for
that because nobody's always right, and certainly Donald Trump's not always right.
The sense that if I step up and say, I don't know, this one's not a good idea, that I'm
going to be treated like a traitor and ultimately I'll be out of here is very bad for decision-making
in any institution, in any situation, but it's certainly very bad in a presidential
administration. So for example, let's think again about the effects of the order to suspend all federal
grants.
Think about that guy who runs that Medicaid portal, and he's sitting there thinking, does
this mean I should shut down Medicaid payments?
That can't be right.
That guy should call somebody and say, is this what it means?
I don't think that's a good idea.
But if that guy thinks, well, they're just gonna call me a wimp,
they're gonna call me a squish and fire me, then he's not gonna do it.
And you've lost the ability to administer well by hearing from people on the ground.
I think that's going to repeat itself over and
over in an administration that doesn't value hearing from outsiders.
And again, the assertion of strength creates weakness.
And the sense that what's required to succeed is pushing people around isn't really how
any good decision-making can work.
It certainly isn't how our system can work.
And I think it's going to create a lot of problems.
You've written that American constitutionalism requires a distinctly Republican virtue and
cannot do without it.
What does that mean?
Republicanism is a very hard term for us to define now.
A lot of what it used to mean has been taken over by other terms like democracy and liberalism.
But the element of Republicanism that's distinct to it is the element of ownership.
How do we take ownership of a set of problems rather than who's going to show
up and fix this problem for me?
And a citizenship that thinks that way is going to think about the kinds of
leaders it selects in terms of the sorts of offices we're asking them to fill.
And that means that we think about whether we should elect this person
based on some judgment of whether this person can do this particular job.
That means we need to know the Constitution a little bit,
we need to know what the job is, we need to know what we expect of them.
I think Americans have generally been fairly good at this,
but that it is a skill, a knack we've tended to lose.
For the reason you pointed to earlier, which is we just think as partisans now.
We think, is this guy on my team or not? we've tended to lose for the reason you pointed to earlier, which is we just think as partisans now.
We think, is this guy on my team or not?
Rather than, can this person really be president or not or senator or not?
How much is the virtue dimension of this meaningful?
And I ask this obviously about Donald Trump because he is a person of a distinctive character.
You've written, there's no getting around the disgrace
involved in bringing Donald Trump back to the White House. And I think there have been
two understandings of him on this margin. One is that it is unfortunate that Donald
Trump often acts the way he does and speaks the way he does, ways that we would not be
happy with if they were coming from a colleague or a family member.
I think over time, another view of him has come to dominate.
This is actually a kind of virtue, a throwback to older, more masculine virtues, that he's
strong, that he's willing to be in conflict, that he never gives up, that he won't be muzzled,
right?
That he'll say things that even other people think are offensive.
And as that has come to be the dominant view of him and as his success has been quite undeniable, you've seen much of his party begin to adopt his character,
even when it's an awkward fit.
I mean, this goes back to people like Ted Cruz who began to sound more like
Donald Trump, but JD Vance is a person who sounded very different a decade ago.
A lot of the people around him begin to try on parts of his character for size.
Now I think people are looking for that in who they're going to appoint to different
parts of the administrative state.
How do you think about virtue and character here in not necessarily the grand moral order
of things, though I care about that, but in the success
of presidencies.
Yeah, I think it's absolutely central.
Character is destiny.
I think there's no getting away from character.
And the basic reason, especially in the president, the basic reason is that every presidential
administration ends up having the personality and character of the president.
There is a way in which the Bush administration just had George Bush's personality.
The Obama administration had the kind of feel of Barack Obama at every level.
And it's very hard to avoid that.
That was certainly true of the Trump administration the first time around.
The chaos, the impulsivity, the kind of
gruffness was everywhere. It wasn't just him. And it will be
again, because there's no getting around that. You know,
the presidency is a one-person branch of government. And that
means that ultimately the character of the president
matters enormously. The character of Congress is a kind
of average of 535 people. The character of the president is
one person's character.
And that means that we need in our presidents the kind of character that we want from the
executive branch.
This isn't an ideological thing.
There are conservative and progressive ways to have the right character to be our president.
But it is really a matter of character.
And so to my mind, look, there are a lot of things that the Trump administration did the
first time and will do this time that I agree with as a matter of policy.
But the fundamental problem of character cannot be gotten over.
It is not ignorable.
And I think that it therefore is a permanent problem with Donald Trump being president.
There's no way around it.
I think that insight also goes to decision making.
When I think back to say the Obama administration, Barack Obama is a person who likes to make
decisions through lengthy intellectual argument, hearing from both sides, a lot of evidence
brought to bear.
And so the administration begins to take on the character at sort of all levels.
You learn how to appeal
to the principal, even if you're not in meetings with them all that often. You see the people
above you who have learned that, you're mimicking them, you're trying to make arguments that
are going to appeal to them. So the Obama administration over time develops this very
intellectualized dynamic. It creates in some ways both an affection for and then a backlash
to technocracy.
Donald Trump is a very different thing that follows him.
Biden is very coalitional.
It's become a big critique of his administration.
I think it's accurate.
They're putting it on domestic policy.
They just didn't want anybody in their coalition to be upset.
And so things were unfocused, not that well communicated.
Hard choices weren't always made.
But they did keep a pretty big tent in the Democratic Party ranging from Bernie Sanders
on one end to Joe Manchin on the other, largely together.
With Donald Trump, the way he makes decisions, the way people appeal to him is being out
on television, showing you can mix it up and be in the fight, by showing that you're
dominant.
I think that is going to permeate because the people who will get selected for aren't
just of a certain character, but they adopt a certain approach to winning arguments and
winning power.
And it's the approach that Trump himself responds to. And that is a little bit erratic. It is about the person often much more than the point. People in his own administration team don't know where he'll fall on issues constantly and are surprised where he ends up. And so it has a lot to do with who can sort of win him over. And he responds to things that are much more transactional. And there's a culture of any organization, culture of any corporation.
And the culture, I think, ultimately reflects the way the person in charge of it makes their decisions.
And even if you think Trump himself has a sort of guttural mystical instinct that has served him very well,
and a lot of people I know do think that, I think that's a strong claim to make about everybody who will serve under him. I think this actually also gets to the character of presidential strength in an important way. And it's, it was a problem for Biden and for Trump.
A president is strong internally within the executive branch when the second tier political appointee knows what the president would do if he were in his job.
The president doesn't want to think about what the undersecretary for blah, blah, blah
in the Department of Labor is thinking about that day.
But that person needs to have a sense that if the president were in this room, I basically
know what he would say.
And if you don't have that sense, it's very, very hard to make those small decisions that
are essential to the big things working.
I think both Trump and Biden had enormous trouble helping those people know what they
would say.
It wasn't that hard in the Obama years, it wasn't that hard in the Bush years.
If you're sitting in some secondary office at HHS, as I had this experience myself in
the Bush years, you kind of know if the president was here, he would go this way, not that way.
And nobody thinks that way explicitly, but it's how you actually do your job.
I think in the Biden administration, it was hard to know because the president didn't
really express clear priorities about anything.
It was very hard to know what mattered to him and where he would fall in anything.
Because he was so coalitional, nobody in those lower tiers could really have a clear sense
of like, well, this really matters to the president.
He would do this and not that.
The problem with Trump was that he could go either way on anything at any time.
And even if he's stated a clear position,
he could say the opposite the next day.
And there's this kind of paralyzing fear of making a choice that then gets you tweeted about
and getting on the wrong side of the president because you just have no idea where he's going to be.
This was an enormous problem.
People throughout the government were much more afraid of getting on the wrong side of
him than they were eager to advance his priorities.
That is an enormous problem for effective presidential leadership.
And I think that as a practical matter, it made both Trump and
Biden very weak presidents, probably the weakest
presidents in the modern era, both of them, because it was
very hard for them to exert authority in a concerted,
focused way that was durable.
You're a very measured person.
This conversation, in a way that I think is helpful for
this moment, has had a very measured person. This conversation, in a way that I think is helpful for this moment, has had a very measured
tone.
I would not say in the hours I've spent out of this recording room, I've been feeling
all of that measured.
And for all that we're talking about, the ways that bad process or poor character or
unclear incentives can hobble decision-making across administration, there is a play being
made here, chaos and control.
They're gonna try to push things very hard
at the Supreme Court,
and we don't really know what they're going to try to do.
But some of the things we've seen,
I think have been very concerning.
The January 6th pardons,
including of people who were violent on January 6th,
the removal of security from people like Mike Pompeo and John Bolton and
Anthony Fauci, which I think is really profoundly grotesque given that Donald Trump himself
almost died by an assassin's bullet, making it more likely that people you don't like
will die from an assassin's bullet is really quite a way to impose punishment and consequences.
What would make you unmeasured?
As they're trying, I believe they're trying to really change the system of government
here.
What would, if you saw it, really frighten you, make you think this is not just the normal
surrealism of an early administration, but actually the emergence of something we've
seen in other countries, which is some kind of breakthrough to another equilibrium.
Yeah, it's a very important question. And my biggest fear is the
administration deciding not to abide by court orders. What they're doing so far
is legitimate. Whether you agree with it or not, it's operating within the system
and then a court said no and they pulled it back
and they're going to try again and they'll push and pull and that's how our system works.
It's fine that it makes people uneasy and a lot of what they're pushing makes people
uneasy for substantive ideological reasons and that's how politics works.
But when the boundaries of the system itself are under threat, and again, this is why it's
important to think in constitutional terms, it's not about the politics, but it's about
the constitutional structure that keeps things in order.
I think the biggest threat, there are a number of ways that that could be threatened.
The denial of an election result, for example, was a very important way in which that was threatened.
And I think what happened after the 2020 election should have rendered Donald Trump ineligible for reelection,
should have made voters not want to reelect him.
And that's not what the American public thought. That worries me.
But if the administration openly defies a court order, then I think we are in a different situation.
Do you take it as an intellectual current that you have to be in conversation with or in
conflict with in conservatism? So JD Vance is a very, very smart person. I don't think
anybody can deny that. He's had a very profound conversion, I guess we'll call it, in recent
years. And a couple of years ago, he was on podcast saying that he would advise Donald Trump to
say, as has been said before, the chief justice has made his ruling.
Now let him enforce it.
Now again, it's not clear they'll do that, but Vance is one of many on the right who
seem to have moved into a view that the only way to save the republic is to take it back
over. I take this, I guess, seriously as an intellectual
argument. I think if you read the Claremont review, if you're attuned to sort of currents
in the New Right, that this is an intellectual argument that is trying to challenge other
visions of how our country should work, that things have gone so far, that they've gotten
so distant from correctly reflecting the common man or
who is put in the story as a common man that extraordinary and emergency measures are warranted
that Donald Trump for all his faults is a kind of spirit summoned by the age when something
out of the ordinary is demanded if we are to save what this
Republic once was. I'm sure you see this around you. I'm sure you see it in young
people on the right. I'm curious how you have absorbed it as an intellectual
competitor to the things that you and others in your coalition have been
saying for a long time that they now seem to many of these people to be too soft for the age we actually live in.
Yeah.
It's certainly alive and out there, but I would say that there's often a tendency on
all sides of our politics to attribute so much strength and success to the other side
that it justifies breaking the system, that that's the only
possible response.
That's been a relatively common refrain on the left too.
And there are a lot of people on the left who talk about throwing away the Constitution.
Some of them are law professors at Harvard and Yale, and who just talk openly about the
need to abandon our constitutional system and the illegitimacy of it.
There are certainly voices like that now on the right.
I actually would not put JD Vance in that category.
I don't think that's right.
And I should say I have a lot of respect and regard for JD Vance.
I think he's a serious person in our politics who we should take seriously.
But there are such people.
But what did you think then when he said that he would advise Donald Trump to defy a Supreme
Court order?
I mean, that is a thing he said.
I mean, it's not exactly what he said, but it doesn't matter.
I would say that reference to that apocryphal Andrew Jackson line points in a very bad direction.
I disagree with it.
There are a lot of things that he's argued that I don't agree with, but I don't think
that you should put JD Vance in the category of people who want to throw away the American Constitution.
That's not my sense.
I could be wrong, but it's not my sense.
There certainly are some people on the right, including younger people as well as older
people who make the argument that we are already in a post-constitutional moment and that therefore
it doesn't make sense for us to stick to the constraints of the Constitution
if the other side's not going to do it.
I think they're wrong about the other side.
They're overstating the strength of the left.
They're overstating the aggressiveness of the left.
They're overstating the success of the left.
The left is weak too and failing too and can't seem to win a durable majority either.
And therefore I also don't think they're right in their prescription.
To my mind, these do not seem like serious arguments, but they need to be answered because
they are out there.
It's a reason why it's necessary now to remind people of the argument for the American system.
It's an argument that begins from the premise that we're not always going to agree in our
country and we need a system that allows us to act together even when we don't all think
alike and that that system is what our Constitution provides.
And throwing away this system is extremely dangerous to the fundamental rights that we
all think are most important.
That's an argument that I have to make to younger people now.
I think it's always important to make that argument, but it's certainly under assault
in a way that's different from at least what I experienced on the right 15 and 20 years
ago.
I think that's a good place to end.
Always our final question.
What are three books you'd recommend to the audience?
So three books these days, I think about this in terms of how to think more clearly about
the situation we're in.
So one book that comes to mind for me is a book called The Rhetorical Presidency, written
by a political scientist named Jeffrey Tulis back in 1987.
It's a book that I've just kept coming back to in recent years and really offers a very
profound way to understand the evolution of the presidency.
A second book is about Congress.
It's a book by Philip Wallach, a colleague of mine at the American Enterprise Institute,
published just a couple years ago.
It's called Why Congress, and is really a wonderful argument about the reasons for
the centrality of the national legislature in our national politics.
I think it's a book that every member and staffer should read, but
that a lot of Americans should read just to understand the logic of why Article I is Article I in the American
Constitution.
A third book that comes to mind is a recent book just published at the end of last year
by Christine Rosen called The Extinction of Experience, which is really about the ways
in which modern technology has changed the basics of everyday human experience.
The kinds of things that when you first encounter them, they seem like familiar cliches of our
time, but when you think them through and see them in some historical context, and Christine
Rosen is a historian, you really see how and why our culture has taken some of the peculiar turns that it's taken
and why modern life can be so confusing and bizarre.
I think together these three books are just a way to think about this moment with a little bit of perspective,
which can certainly help in a time that seems like it's out of control.
Yuval Levin, thank you very much.
Thanks so much, Ezra.
This episode of the Ezra Klein Show is produced by Elias Iskwith and Jack McCordick. Fact
checking by Michelle Harris, mixing by Isaac Jones with Afim Shapiro and Amin Sahota. Our
supervising editor is Claire Gordon. The show's production team also includes Roland Hu and
Kristin Lin. We've original music by Pat McCusker, audience strategy by Christina Semuluski
and Shannon Busta. The executive producer of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie Rose Strasser.