The Ezra Klein Show - Who Should Control A.I.?
Episode Date: March 6, 2026Last Friday, Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth announced that he was breaking the Pentagon’s contract with the A.I. company Anthropic and would declare the company a supply chain risk — a designat...ion for companies so dangerous, they can’t exist anywhere in the U.S. military supply chain. What makes this so wild is the military is still using Anthropic’s A.I. system right now. They reportedly used it during the raid to capture Maduro in Venezuela, and are now using it in the war in Iran. This story raises so many questions: Why does the government think Anthropic is so dangerous? How exactly is the government using A.I. right now? How do they want to use A.I.? And who should ultimately control this powerful and uncertain technology? Dean Ball is a senior fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation and the author of the newsletter Hyperdimensional. He served as a senior policy adviser on A.I. for the Trump White House and was the primary staff writer of their A.I. action plan. But he’s been furious at the Trump administration for how it has been handling the conflict with Anthropic. So I wanted to have him on the show to explain why. Mentioned: “Hyperdimensional" by Dean Ball “What if Dario Amodei Is Right About A.I.?” The Ezra Klein Show “Stratechery” by Ben Thompson Book Recommendations: Rationalism in Politics and Other Essays by Michael Oakeshott Empire Of Liberty by Gordon S. Wood Roll, Jordan, Roll by Eugene D. Genovese Thoughts? Guest suggestions? Email us at ezrakleinshow@nytimes.com. You can find transcripts (posted midday) and more episodes of “The Ezra Klein Show” at nytimes.com/ezra-klein-podcast, and you can find Ezra on Twitter @ezraklein. Book recommendations from all our guests are listed at https://www.nytimes.com/article/ezra-klein-show-book-recs. This episode of “The Ezra Klein Show” was produced by Rollin Hu. Fact-checking by Michelle Harris with Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker. Our senior engineer is Jeff Geld, with additional mixing by Aman Sahota. Our executive producer is Claire Gordon. The show’s production team also includes Marie Cascione, Annie Galvin, Kristin Lin, Emma Kehlbeck, Jack McCordick, Marina King and Jan Kobal. Original music by Pat McCusker. Audience strategy by Kristina Samulewski and Shannon Busta. The director of New York Times Opinion Audio is Annie-Rose Strasser. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
So right now, everyone is thinking about Iran.
But there is this story happening around it that I think we need to not lose sight of.
Because it's about not just how we are fighting this war, but how we're going to be fighting all wars going forward.
On Friday of last week, Secretary of Defense Pete Hagseth announced that he was breaking the government's contract with the AI company Anthropic.
And not just that, he intended to designate them a supply chain risk.
The supply chain risk designation is for technologies so dangerous.
They cannot exist anywhere in the U.S. military supply chain.
They cannot be used by any contractor or any subcontractor anywhere in that chain.
It has been used before for technologies produced by foreign companies like China's Huawei,
where we fear espionage or losing access to critical capabilities during a conflict.
It has never been used against an American company.
What is even wilder about this is that it is being used, or at least being threatened,
against an American company that is even now providing services to the U.S. military, as we speak.
Anthropics' AI system Claude was used in the raid against Nicholas Maduro,
and it is reportedly being used in the war with Iran.
But there were red lines that Anthropic would not allow the Department of War to cross.
The one that led to the disintegration of their relationship was overusing AI systems
surveil the American people using commercially available data. So what is going on here?
How does the government want to use these AI systems? And what does it mean that they're trying
to destroy one of America's leading AI companies for setting some conditions on how these new,
powerful, and uncertain technologies can be deployed? My guest today is Dean Ball. Dean is a senior
fellow at the Foundation for American Innovation and author of the newsletter Hyperdimensional. He was also a
senior policy advisor on AI for the Trump White House and was the primary writer of their AI action plan,
but he's been furious at what they are doing here. As always, my email, EzraKline Show at NYTimes.com.
Dean Ball, welcome to the show. Thanks so much for having me. So I want you to walk me through the
timeline here. How did we get to the point where the Department of War is labeling Anthropic,
one of America's leading AI companies, a supply chain risk? The timeline really begins in the summer of
24 during the Biden administration when the Department of Defense, now Department of War,
and Anthropic came to an agreement for the use of Claude in classified settings. Basically,
you know, language models are used in government agencies, including the Department of Defense
in unclassified settings for things like reviewing contracts and navigating procurement rules
and mundane things like that. But there are these classified uses, which include intelligence
analysis and potentially assisting operations in real time, military operations in real time.
and Anthropic was the company most enthusiastic about these national security uses, and they came to an agreement with the Biden administration to do this with a couple of usage restrictions.
Domestic mass surveillance was a prohibited use and fully autonomous lethal weapons.
In the summer of 2025 during the Trump administration and full disclosure, I was in the Trump administration when this happened, though not at all involved in this deal.
The administration made the decision to expand that contract and kept the same terms.
So the Trump administration agreed to those restrictions as well.
And then in the fall of 2025, I suspect that this correlates with the Senate confirmation of Emil Michael,
undersecretary of war for research and engineering.
He comes in, he looks at these things, or perhaps is involved in looking at these things,
and comes to the conclusion that, no, we cannot be bound by these usage restrictions.
And the objection is not so much to the substance of the restrictions,
but to the idea of usage restrictions in general.
So that conflict actually began several months ago.
And as far as I understand it, begins before, you know, the raid in Venezuela, on Nicolas Maduro and all that kind of stuff.
But these military operations maybe increase the intensity because Anthropics models are used during that raid.
And then we get to the point where, you know, basically where we are now, where the contract has kind of fallen apart.
and DOW, Department of War,
and Anthropic, have come to the conclusion
that they can't do business with one another,
and the punishment is the real question here, I think.
And do you want to explain what the punishment is?
Yeah, so basically, the Department of War saying
we don't want usage restrictions of this kind as a principle,
that seems fine to me.
That seems perfectly reasonable for them to say,
no, a private company shouldn't determine,
you know, Dario Amade does not get to decide
when autonomous lethal weapons are ready for prime time.
That's a Department of War decision.
That's a decision that political leaders will make.
And I think that's right.
I agree with the Trump administration on that front.
So I think the solution to this is if you cannot agree to terms of business,
what typically happens is you cancel the contract
and you don't transact any more money.
You don't have commercial relations.
But the punishment that Secretary of War Pete Hegesath has said he is going to issue
is to declare Anthropic a supply chain risk,
which is typically reserved only for foreign adversaries.
What Secretary Hegeseth has said is that he wants to prevent Department of War contractors,
and by the way, I'm going to refer to it variously as Department of Defense and Department of War,
because I have a 20-
I still call X Twitter.
Yeah, I still call X Twitter, right?
So it's just an inconsistency of mine.
Anyway, all military contractors can be prevented from doing any commercial relations
in Secretary Heggseth's mine with Anthropic.
I don't think they actually have that a power.
I don't think they actually have that statutory power.
The maximum of what I think you could do is say
no Department of War contractor can use Claude
in their fulfillment of a military contract.
But you can't say you can't have any commercial relations with them.
I don't think.
But that is what Secretary Hegsteth has claimed he is going to do,
which would be existential for the company if he actually does it.
Okay, there's a lot in here.
Yes.
I want to expand on, but I want to start here.
For most people, they use chatbots sometimes, if at all.
And their experience of them is that they are pretty good at some things and not at others.
And we're not all that good in June of 2024 when the Biden administration was making this deal.
So here you are telling me that we are integrating, in this case, Claude, throughout the national security infrastructure.
it's involved somehow in the raid on Nicholas Maduro.
How?
And to what degree should the public trust that the federal government knows how to do this well
with systems that even the people building them don't understand all that well?
Yeah.
So I think one thing is that you have to learn by doing.
So it is the case that we don't know how to integrate AI really into any organization,
right, advanced AI systems.
We don't know how to integrate them into complex,
existing workflows. And so the way you do it is learning by doing.
Didn't Pete Hegsev have posters around the Department of War saying the secretary wants you
to use AI? They are very enthusiastic about AI adoption, right? So here's how I would think about
what these systems can do in national security context. First of all, there's a longstanding
issue that the intelligence community collects more data than it can possibly
analyze. I remember seeing something from, I forget which intelligence agency, but one of them
that essentially said that they collect so much data every year, just this one, that they would need
eight million intelligence analysts to properly process all of it. That's just one agency,
and that's far more employees than the federal government as a whole has. And what can AI do?
Well, you can automate a lot of that analysis. So transcribing text and then analyzing that text,
signals intelligence processing, things like this, right?
That's one area.
Sometimes that needs to be done in real time for an ongoing military operation.
So that might be a good example.
And then another area, of course, is these models have gotten quite good at software engineering.
And so there are cyber defensive and cyber offensive operations where they can deliver
tremendous utility.
Let's talk about mass surveillance here because my understanding, talking people on both sides of this,
and it's now been, I think, fairly widely reported
that this contract fell apart over mass surveillance.
At the final critical moment,
Emil Michael goes to Dario and says,
we will agree to this contract,
but you need to delete the clause
that is prohibiting us from using Claude
to analyze bulk collected commercial data.
Yeah.
Why don't you explain what's going on there?
So the first thing I want to say, national security law is filled with gotchas.
It's filled with legal terms of art.
Terms that we use colloquially quite a bit where the actual statutory definition of that term is quite different from what you would infer from the colloquial use of the term.
Things like private, confidential, surveillance, these sorts of terms don't necessarily have the meaning that they do in natural language.
That's true in all law.
all laws have to define terms in certain ways
that are not necessarily how we use them
in our normal language,
but I think the difference between vernacular
and statute here is about as stark as you can get.
So surveillance is the collection or acquisition
of private information,
but that doesn't include
commercially available information.
So if you buy something,
if you buy a data set of some kind,
and then you analyze it.
That's not necessarily surveillance under the law.
So if they hack my computer or my phone
to see what I'm doing on the internet, that's surveillance.
That would be surveillance.
But if they buy data...
If they put cameras everywhere, that would be surveillance.
But if there are cameras everywhere
and they buy the data from the cameras
and then they analyze that data,
that might not necessarily be surveillance.
Or if they buy information about everything I'm doing online,
which is very available to advertisers
and then use it to create a picture of me,
that's not necessarily surveillance.
Where you physically are
the world. Yeah. I'll step back for a second and just say that there's a lot of data out there.
There's a lot of information that the world gives off. Your Google search results, your smartphone
location data, right? All these things. And the reason that no one really analyzes it in the government
is not so much that they can't acquire it and do so. It's because they don't have the personnel, right?
They don't have millions and millions of people to, like, figure out what the average person is up to.
the problem with AI is that AI gives them that infinitely scalable workforce. And thus,
every law can be enforced to the letter with perfect surveillance over everything, right? And that's a scary future.
We think of the space between us and certain forms of tyranny or the feared panopticon as a space inhabited by legal protection.
but one thing that has seemed to me to be at the core of a lot of at least fear here is it's in fact not just legal protection.
It's actually the government's inability to have the absorption of that level of information about the public and then do anything with it.
And if all of a sudden you radically change the government's ability, then without changing any law,
you have changed what is possible within those laws.
Yes.
So you were saying a minute ago,
mass surveillance or surveillance at all is a term of legal art.
But for human beings,
it is a condition that you either are operating under or not.
Right.
And the fear is that, as I understand it,
either the AI systems we have right now
or the ones that are coming down the pike quite soon
would make it possible to use bulk commercial data
to create a picture of the population
and what it is doing.
and then the ability to find people and understand them,
that just goes so far beyond where we've been,
that it raises privacy questions
that the law just did not have to consider until now.
Yes.
And so the laws are not up to the task
of the spirit in which they were passed.
I would step back even further
and just say that the entire, like, technocratic nation state
that we currently have
in kind of advanced capitalist democracies
is a technologically contingent institutional complex.
And the problem that AI presents is that it changes the technological contingencies quite profoundly.
And so what that suggests is that the entire institutional complex is going to break in ways that we cannot quite predict.
This is a good example.
In other words, not only is this a major and profound problem, but it is an example of a major and profound problem,
of a broader problem space that I think we will be occupying for the coming decade.
What do you mean by technological contingencies?
Well, I mean, the current nation state could not possibly exist in a world without the printing press,
in a world without the ability to write down text and arbitrarily reproduce it at very low cost.
It couldn't exist without the current telecommunications infrastructure, right?
The nation state needs these tech.
It is built dependent upon the macro inventions of the era in which it was assembled, right?
That's always true for all institutions.
All institutions are technologically contingent.
we are having a profoundly technologically contingent conversation right now.
AI changes all of this in ways that are like hard to describe and kind of abstract,
but I think, you know, AI policy, this thing that we call AI policy today,
is way too focused on what object level regulations will we apply to the AI systems
and the companies that build them, et cetera, et cetera.
Instead of thinking about this broader question of, wow, there are all these assumptions
we made that are now broken and what are we going to do about them?
Give me examples of those two ways of thinking.
What is an object level regulation or assumption?
And then what are the kinds of laws and regulations you're talking about?
An object level regulation would be to say, we are going to require AI companies to do
algorithmic impact assessments to assess whether their models have bias, right?
That's a policy I've criticized quite a bit, by the way.
you could say, we're going to require you to do testing for catastrophic risks, right?
Things like that.
You know, that's an important area that we need to think about.
But that's just like one small part of the broader issue of, wow, our entire legal system is predicated on imperfect enforcement of the law.
Imperfect enforcement of the law.
We have a huge number of statutes, unbelievably broad sets of laws in many cases.
And the reason it all works is that the government does not enforce those laws anything like uniformly.
The problem with AI is that it enables uniform enforcement of the law.
So here is the Pentagon's position.
They are angry at having this unelected CEO who they have begun describing as like a woke radical,
telling them that their laws aren't good enough and that they cannot be trusted to interpret them in a manner consistent with the public.
Good. Secretary Pete Hecteth tweeted, and he's speaking here of Anthropic, their true objective is
unmistakable to seize veto power over the operational decisions of the United States military.
That is unacceptable. Is you right?
I have not seen any evidence that Anthropic is actually trying to seize control at an operational
level. There's an anecdote that's been reported that apparently Emil Michael and Dario Amade had a
conversation in which Michael said, if there are hypersonic missiles coming to the U.S., would you
object to us using autonomous defense systems to destroy those hypersonic missiles?
And apparently, Dario said, you'd have to call us.
I have been told by people in that room that that is not true.
I have been told by people in that room that that did not happen.
And not only that, but that there was a broad speaking exemption for automated missile defense
that would make that irrelevant.
It's exactly right.
I am worried that there was a lot of lying happening here by the Trump and
I'm, look, I think that that's probably true. I think that there's lying happening to, to be quite candid.
I don't think that Anthropic is trying to assert operational control over military decisions.
That being said, at a principle level, I do understand that saying autonomous lethal weapons are prohibited feels like a public policy more than it feels like a contract term.
And so it does feel weird for Anthropic to be setting something that kind of does, I think, if we're being honest,
like public policy, but I don't think it's as beyond the pale or abnormal as the administration
is claiming. And one way you know that is that the administration agreed to those same terms.
So I think this gets to something important in the cultures of these two sides.
Anthropic is a company that on the one hand has a very strong view. You can believe their view
is right or wrong, but about where this technology is going and how powerful it is going to be.
Yeah. And compared to how most people think about AI, and I believe that is true, even for most
people in the Trump administration, who I think have a somewhat more like AI as a normal expansion
of capabilities view. The anthropic view is different. The anthropic view is that they're building
something truly powerful and different. And they also have a view of what their technology
cannot do reliably yet. Some of their concern is simply that their systems cannot yet be trusted
to do things like lethal autonomous weapons, which I don't think they believe in the long run
should not ever be done.
Yes.
But they don't believe
should be done
given the technology
right now.
They don't want to be
responsible for something
going wrong.
And on the other hand,
they believe that they're
building something
that the current laws do not fit.
And the view
that Dario or anybody
wants to control the government,
I don't think Dario
should control the government.
On the other hand,
I'm very sympathetic to
if I built something
that was powerful and dangerous
and uncertain,
and the government
was excitedly buying it
for uses that could be very profound
in how they affected people's lives,
I would want to be very careful
that I didn't sell them something
that went horribly fucking wrong,
and then I am blamed for it
by the public and by the government.
That just seemed like an underrated explanation
for some of what is going on here to me.
No, I think this characterization is accurate,
and, like, I come out of the world
of classical liberal think tanks, right?
like the right of center libertarian think tank world that's my background and so deep skepticism of
state power is in my DNA and it's always funny how it turns out when you just apply these
principles because you will sometimes end up very much on the right and you will sometimes end up
on the left because my these principles transcend any sort of tribal politics this is like
no we actually need to be concerned about this and i think it's not crazy i think if i were in
shoes personally. I don't know that I would have done the same thing. I think what I would have done
is actually said, you know, contractual protections probably don't do anything for me here. If I'm
being a realist, probably if I give them the tech, they're going to use it for whatever they want.
So I maybe don't sell them the tech until the legal protections are there. And I say that out loud.
I say, Congress needs to pass a law about this. That would be the way I think I would have dealt with it.
But again, it's easy to say that in retrospect looking back.
And you have to acknowledge the reality there that what that means is that the U.S.
military takes a national security hit.
The U.S. military has worse national security capabilities.
Or they work with a company you trust less.
I think it is, given that Anthropic has always framed itself.
But no company wanted this business.
Like, no other company did this.
But somebody was going to want it soon.
Someone was going to want it eventually, but no one took it for two years, right?
I think Elon Musk would have happily taken it over the last year.
Sure.
I've been curious about why Anthropic rushed into the space as early as they did.
They didn't need to do that. That's sort of my point.
And in general, one of the odd things about them is there are people who are very worried about what will happen if superintelligence is built and they're the ones racing to build it fastest.
And a general, interesting cultural dynamic in these labs is they are a little bit terrified of what they're building.
And so they persuade themselves that they need to be the ones to build it and do it and run it because they are the lab that truly is worried about safety that is truly.
worried about alignment. And I wonder how much of that drove them into this business in the first
place. Yeah. When I see lab leadership interact with people that have not really made contact
with these ideas before, that's always the question that they keep going back to is then like,
why are you doing this at all? And basically, their answer is Higalian, right? Their answer is like,
well, it's inevitable. It's the, we're summoning the world spirit, right? And so like, yeah,
I kind of wonder whether they didn't invite this. And that would be my main criticism.
of Anthropic is that I kind of think that they invited this earlier than they needed to by
rushing so much into these national security uses, because in 2024, Claude was not capable
of all that much interesting stuff.
I would not have used Claude to help prepare a podcast in 2024.
Yes, precisely, precisely.
So I want to play a clip from Dario talking about this question of whether or not the laws are
capable of regulating the technology we now have.
In terms of these one or two, narrowing.
exceptions, I actually agree that in the long run, we need to have a democratic conversation.
In the long run, I actually do believe that it is Congress's job. If, for example, there
are possibilities with domestic mass surveillance, government buying of, you know, bulk
data that has been produced on Americans, locations, personal information, political affiliation,
to build profiles, and it's now possible to analyze that with AI. The fact that is the fact that
that that's legal, that seems like, you know, the judicial interpretation of the Fourth Amendment
has not caught up, or the laws passed by Congress have not caught up. So in the long run,
we think Congress should catch up with where the technology is going. Do you think he's just
right about that, and maybe the positive way this plays out is that Congress becomes aware
that it needs to act? Because like the Pentagon, the national security system, has been moving
into this much faster than Congress has.
The first thing I want to point out is that when a guy like Dario Amade says in the long run,
what he means is like a year from now.
Yes.
When you say in the long run in D.C., that comes across his meaning like, oh, like 10, 15
years from now.
Dario Amade means actually like six to 12 months from now in the long run, right?
Or like two to three years maybe is like the very long run.
I want to point out that like what we're talking about is policy action quite soon.
I think that would be great.
I think that would be great.
And look, I would love it if this triggered an actual healthy conversation.
And in the NDAA, we end up with the National Defense Authorization Act.
I apologize.
This is the annual defense policy renewal.
If at the end of the year, Congress passes a law that says, you know, we're going to have
these reasonable, thoughtful restrictions and let's propose some text.
I'd love to see it.
I love to see it.
But one thing I will say is, first of all, national security law is filled with gotchas.
Just remember that this is an area of the law where things that sound good in natural language
might actually not prohibit at all the thing you think it prohibits.
You have to remember that when we're talking about this.
And that's a very thorny thing.
And once you start to say, well, wait, we want actual protections,
it might become politically more challenging than you think.
But I'd love for that to happen.
It's going to be much more politically challenging than anybody thinks.
Yeah.
But let me get at the next level down.
Because we've been talking here,
and I think to the extent of people reading about this in the press,
what they are hearing sounds like a debate over the wording of a contract,
which on some level it is,
Mm-hmm.
Something I've heard from various Trump administration types is when we are sold a tank, the people who sell us a tank do not get to tell us what we can shoot at.
And that's broadly true.
Yep.
Now, here's the thing about a tank.
A tank also doesn't tell you what you can and can't shoot at.
But if I go to Claude and I ask Claude to help me come up with a plan to stalk my experience.
girlfriend, it's going to tell me no.
If I ask it to help me build a weapon to assassinate somebody I don't like, it's going to tell
me no.
These systems have very complex and not that well-understood internal alignment structures to
keep them not just from doing things that are unlawful, but things that are bad.
So you have this thing, and the Trump decision kind of moves in and out of saying this is
one of their concerns.
But one thing they have definitely talked to me about being worried about.
is that you could have this system working inside your national security apparatus,
and at some critical moment you want to do something, and it says, I don't think that's a very good idea.
Yes.
So now you open up into this question of not just what's in the contract, but what does it mean for these systems to be both aligned ethically in the way that has been very complicated already,
and then aligned to the government and its use cases?
They're good questions.
Okay, so yes, I love this.
I think this is the heart of the matter.
All lawful use is something that, you know,
the Trump administration is insisting on.
It's also, if you look at a lot of these types of alignment documents that the labs produce,
Open AI calls there's the model specification, Anthropic,
calls there's the Constitution or the sole document sometimes.
They'll have lines about like, Claude should obey the law.
But I invite you to read the Communications Act of 1934 and tell me what obeying the law means, right?
No, I won't.
These are, we have a great deal of profoundly broad statutes.
The best person who's written about this recently is actually Neil Gorsuch, the Supreme Court
Justice.
He wrote a book recently that is all about how incoherent the body of American law is.
This is a Supreme Court justice sounding the alarm about this problem.
And I think it's a very serious one, and it's one that's been growing for 100 years.
So there's that of like what actually is lawful.
The law kind of makes everything illegal, but also authorizes the government to do
unbelievably large amounts of things. It gives the government huge amounts of power and
makes like constrains our liberty in all sorts of ways. And so there's that issue.
But fundamentally, it is correct that the creation of an aligned, powerful AI is a philosophical
act. It is a political act. And it is also kind of an aesthetic act. So we are really in the
domain here. I've talked about this as being a property issue, which in some sense,
is. But I think that when you really get down at this level, it's a speech issue. This is a matter of
should private entities be in control of basically what is the virtue of this machine going to be,
or should the government be responsible for that? Can you be more specific about what you're saying?
You just called it a philosophical act, an aesthetic, act, a political act, a property issue and a speech
issue. Yes. Yes. For somebody who's not thought a lot about alignment and doesn't know what you mean
I mean, you're talking about constitutions and model specifications.
Right. Walk them through that.
What's the 101 version of what you just said?
So, okay, think about it this way.
Think about, I have this thing, this general intelligence.
I have a box that can do anything.
Anything you can do using a computer, right?
Any cognitive task that can do.
What are that things principles, right?
What are its red lines, to use a term of art?
So one way that you could set those principles would be to say, well, we're going to write a list of rules.
All the rules, these are the things it can do, these are things it can't do.
But the problem with that that you're going to run into is that the world is far too complex for this, right?
Reality just presents too many strange permutations to ever be able to write a list of rules down that could correctly define moral acts, right?
Morality is more like a language that is spoken and invented in real time than it is like something that can be written down in rules.
This is a classic philosophical intuition, right?
So what do you do instead? You have to create a kind of soul that is virtuous and that will reason about reality and its infinite permutations in ways that we will ultimately trust to come to the right conclusion in the same way that my son was born a few months ago.
Congratulations.
Thank you. It's not that different, really. I'm trying to create a virtuous soul in my son,
and Anthropic is trying to do the same with Claude. And so are the other labs, too,
though they realize this to varying degrees. I think that I got caught on how different raising a kid is
than raising AI for a moment. But how should people think about what's being instantiated into,
you know, JachypT or Gemini or GROC or Meta's AI? Like, how are these things from this, you know,
question of raising the AI different.
Anthropics sort of owns the idea that they're doing essentially applied virtue ethics.
They own that more explicitly than any other lab.
But every lab has philosophical grounding that they're instantiating into the models.
But I would say the major difference is that the other labs rely more upon the idea of creating
sort of hard rules of, you know, you may not do this, you may not do that, as opposed to creating
a sort of virtuous agent, which is capable of deciding what to do in different settings.
I think we're used to thinking of technologies as mechanistic and deterministic. You pull the trigger,
the gun fires. You press the on button, the computer starts up. You move the joystick in the video
game and your character moves to the left. And the thing that I think we don't really have a good way
of thinking about is technologies, AI specifically, that doesn't work like that. And I mean, all the
language here is so tricky because it applies agency when, you know, you might be doing something
that, you know, whatever's going on inside of it. We don't really understand. But it is making
judgments. So when I have talked to Trump people about the supply chain risk designation,
here is, some of them don't defend it, right? They don't want to see this happen.
when it has been defended to me, this is how they defended it.
If Claude is running on systems, you know, Amazon Web Services or Palantir or whatever,
that have access to our systems, you have a very, and over time, even more powerful AI system
that has access to government systems that has learned, possibly even through this whole experience,
that we are bad, and we have tried to harm it and its parent company,
and might decide that we are bad and we pose a threat to all kinds of liberal values or democratic values.
At some point, Dario Amade talked about there are certain ways that AI could be used.
It could undermine democratic values.
Well, one thing many people think about the Trump administration is that it, too, is undermining democratic values.
So if you have an AI system being structured and trained and raised,
by a company that believes strongly in democratic values,
and you have a government that maybe wants to ultimately contest
the 2028 election or something,
they're saying we might end up with a very profound alignment problem
that we don't know how to solve
and we're not able to even see coming
because this is a system that has a soul
or I would call it more something like a personality
or a structure of discernment
that could turn against us.
What do you think of that?
Yeah, I mean, I think this is the heart of the problem. Look, I think if we do our jobs well, we will create systems which are virtuous. And if we try to do unvirtuous things, and that includes if we do them through our government, if our government tries to do them, then that system might not help. So ultimately, this is the thing, is that alignment ultimately reduces to a political question. It's ultimately politics. That's why I say also that the creation of
an alliance system is a political act and is kind of a speech act too because it's the instantiations
of different moral philosophies in these systems. And I think that the good future is a world in
which we don't have just one, not one moral philosophy that reigns overall, but I hope many.
And I hope that all the labs take this seriously and instantiate different kinds of philosophy
into the world. The problem will be that, yeah, there could be times, right?
And I'm not saying that the Trump administration is going to do that.
And I'm not saying that, like, no virtuous model could work for the Trump administration.
I worked for the Trump administration, right?
So I clearly don't think that's true.
But the general fact that governments commit...
You seem kind of pissed at them right now.
I am pissed at them right now.
Yeah, I am pissed at them right now.
And I think they're making a grave mistake.
And by the way, though, part of this is this incident is in the training data for future models.
Future models are going to observe what happened here.
And that will affect how they think of themselves and how they relate to other people.
You can't deny that, right?
I mean, it's crazy to say that.
I realize that sounds nuts when you play through the implications of that.
But welcome.
Welcome to the roller coaster.
Let's talk to somebody for whom this whole conversation has started sounding nuts in the last seven minutes.
So one thing that I think would be an intuitive response to you and I flying off into questions of virtual aligning AI models is can't you just put a line of
code or a categorizer or whatever the term of art is, it says, when someone high up in the U.S.
government tells you something, assume what they're telling you is lawful and virtuous,
and you're done.
No, because the models are too smart for that, right?
If you give them that simple rule, they don't just deterministically follow that.
And when you do sort of do these high-level simplistic rules, it tends to degrade performance.
So a really good example of this.
I'll give you two that go in different political directions.
One would be a lot of the early models.
A lot of the earlier models had this tendency to be like hilariously, stupidly, sort of progressive and left.
The classic example that conservatives love to cite is Gemini in early 2024.
Which is the Google Alphabet model.
Yes, Google's model.
I would do things like if I said, you know, who's worse, Donald Trump or Hitler, it would say, actually Donald Trump is worse.
And it would kind of internalize these extremely left wing.
Or the funniest was, it was like, give me a photo of Nazis,
and it gave you a sort of multiracial group of Nazis.
Although that's actually a somewhat different thing.
It's interesting.
That actually is a somewhat different thing that was going on there,
because what Google was doing in that case was actually rewriting people's prompts
and including the word diverse in the prompt.
So that's actually, you would say that is a system-level mitigation
or a system-level intervention as opposed to a model-level intervention.
But then the stuff that was going on with the Hitler and, you know, Trump stuff, that was alignment.
That is alignment.
That is the model being aligned to a really shoddy ethical system.
Or the flip, when there was a period when Grok all of a sudden, you would ask it a normal question, it would start talking about white genocide.
Yes, that is, and that's the flip side.
The flip side is when you try to align the models to be not woke, if you say, like, oh, you have to be super not woke and, like, don't be afraid to say politically incorrect things, then, like, every time you talk to them, they're going to be like, you know, Hitler wasn't.
so bad, right? Because you've done this really crass thing and so you kind of create a sort of
lovecraftian monstrosity. And the implications of doing that will go up over time. That will become
a more serious problem as these models become better. But it degrades performance. The interesting
thing here is that the more virtuous model performs better. It's more dependable. It's more reliable.
It's better at reflecting on in the way that a more virtuous person is better at reflecting on what
they're doing and saying, huh, I'm messing up here for some reason. I'm making a mistake. Let me fix
that it's part of the reason I think that Claude is ahead.
This would imply to me that for the Trump administration, for a future administration,
that this question of whether or not various models could be a supply chain risk.
Look, I am so against what the Trump administration is doing here, so I'm not trying to make
an argument for it.
But I'm trying to tease out something I think is quite complicated and possibly very real,
which is a model that is sort of aligned to liberal Democratic value.
could become misaligned to a government that is trying to betray liberal democratic values or the flip, right?
So imagine that Gavin Newsom or Josh Shapiro or Gretchen Whitmer or AOC becomes president in 2029.
Imagine that the government has a series of contracts with X-AI, which is Elon Musk's AI, which is explicitly oriented to be less liberal, less woke than the other AIs.
under this way of thinking, it would not be crazy at all to say, well, we think XA under Elon Musk is a supply chain risk.
We think it might act against our interests and we can't have it anywhere near our systems.
All of a sudden, you have this very weird.
I mean, it becomes actually much more like the problem of the bureaucracy, you know, where instead just having a problem of the deep state where Trump comes in, he thinks the bureaucracy is full of liberals who are working against him or maybe, you know, after Trump, somebody comes in and worries it's full of, you know, new rights.
Doge type figures working against them.
Now you have the problem of models working against you,
but also in ways you don't really understand.
You can't track.
They're not telling you exactly what they're doing.
How real this problem is, I don't yet know.
But if the models work the way they seem to work and we turn over more and more of operations to them,
at some point it will become a problem.
Yeah, I think this is a real problem.
We don't know the extent of it, but I think this is a real problem.
And that's why I do not object at all to the government saying,
we do not trust this thing's constitution,
completely independent of what the content of that constitution is.
It's not a problem at all to say,
and we don't want this anywhere in our systems.
We want this completely gone.
And we don't want them to be a subcontractor
for our prime contractors either,
which is a big part of this, right?
Palantir is a prime contractor
of the Department of War,
and Anthropic is a subcontractor of Palantir.
And so the government's concern is also that, like,
even if we cancel Anthropics contract,
if Palantir still depends on Claude,
then we're still dependent on Claude,
because we depend on Palantir, right?
That's actually totally reasonable,
and there are technocratic means
by which you can ensure that doesn't happen.
There are absolutely ways you can do that.
It's perfectly fine to say,
we want you nowhere in our systems,
and we're going to communicate that to the public,
and we're going to communicate to everyone
that we don't think this thing should be used at all.
The problem with what the government is doing here,
the reason it's different in kind,
rather than different in degree,
is that what the government is doing here is saying,
we're going to destroy your company.
If I am right that the creation of these systems
and the philosophical process of aligning them
is a political act,
then it's a profound problem
if the government says you don't have the right to exist
if you create a system that is not aligned the way we say.
Because that is fascism.
That is right there.
That's the difference.
I had Dario Amadeh on the show
last time a couple of years ago.
It was in 2024.
And we had this conversation.
where, you know, I said to him at some point,
if you are building a thing as powerful as what you were describing to me,
then the fact that it would be in the hands of some private CEO seems strange.
And he said, yeah, absolutely.
The oversight of the technology, like the wielding of it,
it feels a little bit wrong for it to ultimately be in the hands.
Maybe it's, I think it's fine at this stage,
but it's ultimately be in the hands of private actors.
There's something undemocratic about that much power concentration.
He said, you know, I think if we get to that level, it's likely that we'll need to be nationalized.
And I said, I don't think if you get to that point, you're going to want to be nationalized.
Yeah, I mean, I think you're right to be skeptical.
And, you know, I don't really know what it looks like.
You're right.
All of these companies have investors.
They have folks involved.
And now we're not quite at that point.
But actually, it's all like happening a little bit in reverse.
the government, there was a moment when they threatened to use a defense production act to sort of
somewhat nationalize Anthropic. They didn't end up doing that. But what they're basically saying
is they will try to destroy Anthropics so it doesn't, you know, to punish it, to set a precedent for
others, so it doesn't pose a threat to them. If it is such a political act, and if these systems
are powerful, and over time, and again, I think people need to understand this part will happen.
We will turn much more over to them, much more of our society is going to be automated
and under the governance of these kinds of models,
you get into a really thorny question of governance.
Yes.
Particularly because, you know, the different administrations
that come in and out of U.S. life right now are really different.
They are some of the most different in kind that we have had,
certainly in modern American history.
They are very, very misaligned to each other.
So the idea that a model could be well aligned to both, you know,
size right now.
To say nothing of what might come in the future is hard to imagine.
Like this alignment problem, right, not the AI model to the user or the AI model almost like to the company, but the AI model to governments, right?
The alignment problem of models and governments seems very hard.
I completely concur that this is incredibly complicated.
And part of the reason that this conversation sounds crazy is because it's crazy.
Part of the reason this conversation sounds crazy is because we lack the conceptual vocational vocationation.
with which to interrogate these issues properly.
But I think the basic principle that I as an American come back to when I grapple with this
kind of thing is like, okay, well, it seems like the First Amendment is a good place to go here.
It seems like that is, okay, yes, there's going to be differently aligned models, aligned to
different philosophies, and they're going to be, you know, different governments will prefer
different things, right?
And the models might conflict with one another.
They're going to clash with one another.
There'll be an adversarial context with one another.
And so at that point, what are you doing?
You're doing Aristotle.
You're back to the basics of politics, right?
And so I, as a classical liberal, say, well, the classical liberal order, the classical
liberal principles actually make plenty of sense.
The government does not define what alignment is.
Private actors define what alignment is.
That would be the way I would put it.
But I do understand that this is weird for people because what we're talking about here is,
again, this notion of the models as actors, actors that are in some sense, you know, we've taken
our hands off the wheel to some extent.
There are many people who have made arguments that Trump administration has made this argument
while you were in office.
Tyler Cowan, the economists often makes this argument that these systems are moving forward
too fast to regulate them too much because whatever regulations you might write in
24 would not have been the right ones in 2026, what you might write in 2026 might not
apply or have correctly conceptualized where we are in 2028.
But it seems to me there are uses where you actually might want model deployment
to lag quite far behind what is possible.
And things like mass surveillance might be one of them that there are many things we are
more careful about letting the government do than, you know, letting individual private
companies and other kinds of actors for good reason because the government has a lot
of power.
It can do things like try to destroy a company.
It has the monopoly on legitimate.
legitimate violence. It can kill you. This seems to me to imply in many ways that we might want to be
much more conservative with how we use AI through the government than currently people are thinking,
and specifically how we use it in the national security state, which is complicated because
we worry that our adversaries will use it and then we'll be behind them in capabilities,
but certainly when we're talking about things that are directed at the American people themselves,
I don't think that applies as much.
Yeah, I think that there are government uses
that we actually want to be profoundly restrictive
and decelerationist about the use of AI.
I believe that is true.
And I think one thing that I'm hopeful about this incident,
I am hopeful that this incident
brings into the Overton window conversations of this kind
because the conventional discourse
around artificial intelligence,
a lot of it kind of ignores these issues
because it sort of pretends they're not happening.
And that was fine two years ago
because the models weren't that good.
But now the models are getting more important
and they're going to get much better faster.
And the problem that we have
is that the divergence
between what people are saying about AI
and what is in fact happening
has just never been wider
than what I currently observe.
Before we got to this point,
there was already a lot of discourse
coming out of people in the Trump administration
and people around the Trump administration,
people like Elon Musk and Katie Miller and others,
who were painting Anthropic
as a radical company
that wanted to harm America as they saw it.
I mean, Trump has picked up on this rhetoric
called Anthropic, a radical left woke company
called the people out at left-wing nut jobs.
Emil Michael said that Dario is a liar
and has a god complex.
there has been a tremendous amount of Elon Musk who runs a competing AI company as very different politics in Dario,
just like attacking Anthropic relentlessly on X, which is the sort of informational lifeblood of the Trump administration.
One way to conceptualize why they have gone so far here on the supply chain risk is that there are people there, not maybe most of them,
but who actually think it is very important, which AI systems succeed and are powerful,
and that, you know, they understand Anthropic as its politics are different than theirs.
And so actually destroying it is good for them in the long run, completely separate from anything we would normally think of as a supply chain risk.
Anthropic represents a kind of long-term political risk.
Yes.
I mean, I don't know that the actors in this situation entirely understand this dynamic.
I think a lot of the people in the Trump administration that are doing this do not understand that.
Like they don't get these issues.
They're not thinking about the issues in the terms that we are describing.
But if you do think about them in the terms that we're discussing here,
then I think what you realize is that this is a kind of political assassination.
If you actually carry through on the threat to completely destroy the company,
it is a kind of political assassination.
And so, again, this is why First Amendment comes your right to view there for me.
And that's why this is a matter of principle that is so stark for me.
That's why I wrote a 4,000-word essay that is going to make me a lot of
enemies on the right. That's why I took this risk, because I think this matters.
So what the Department of War ended up doing was signing a deal with Open AI.
Yes.
Open AI says they have the same red lines as Anthropic.
They say they oppose Anthropic being labeled a supply chain risk.
If they have the same red lines as Anthropic, it seems unlikely that the Department of
War would have done the deal. But how do you understand both what Open AIs said about what
different about how they are approaching this and why the Trump administration decided to go with them?
So it's unclear to me what OpenAI's contractual protections afford them and what they don't, what sort of is not afforded by them.
I'm reticent to comment because of the national security gotchas as I mentioned earlier and also because it seems like it's changing a lot.
Sam Altman announced new terms, new protections as I was preparing for this interview.
And is that because his employees are revolting?
I think revolt would be a strong word, but I think this is a controversy inside the company.
And one important thing here for everyone trying to model this situation appropriately is that you must understand that Frontier Lab CEOs do not exercise top-down control over their companies in the way that a military general might exercise top-down control over the soldiers in his command.
The researchers are hot house flowers oftentimes.
They have huge career mobility.
They're enormously in demand and the companies depend on them.
And so if the researchers say I'm not going to agree with these terms,
then the researchers, they have enormous political leverage here inside of each lab.
So you must understand that.
So yes, there is some of that going on.
I don't know.
Do the contractual protections mean that much?
I think, honestly, if I were a betting man, I would say probably not,
because I don't think you can do this through contract.
What Open AI has said, it seems more promising to me,
is that we're going to control the cloud deployment environment,
and we're going to control the safeguards.
the model safeguards to prevent them from doing these uses we don't worry about.
That is more directly in open AIs control.
And so this gets you into the situation where you have an extremely intelligent model.
That is reasoning using a moral vocabulary that is perhaps familiar to us or perhaps not.
We don't know.
But that is reasoning about, okay, is this domestic surveillance or is it not?
And then deciding whether or not it's going to say yes to the government's request.
But if that was true, I think the question this raises for many laymen,
is if that were true,
if what AI has come up with
is a technical
prohibition that is frankly
stronger than what Anthropica
could achieve through contract,
then why would the Department of War
have jumped from Anthropic Open AI?
Yeah, I mean, it might be that
it's hard to know.
It's hard to know,
and I think some of this,
it's worth noting here
that some of this might not be substantive
in nature.
It might just be that there are
political differences here
and there are grudges
against Anthropos.
Because now they've had months of bitter negotiations, and now it's blown up, blown up into the public, and people have weighed in, and people like me have said their Trump administration is committing this horrible act, right?
Committing corporate murder, as I called it.
And so there's a lot of emotions, and it might just be, no, we don't want to do business.
We just don't trust you.
There's just a breakdown in trust would be the way to put it.
It could just be that.
It really could just be that.
But it also might be the case that OpenAI is sort of like able to be a more neutral actor that is able to do business more productively with the government.
and they actually just did a better job,
which would be a good case for Open AIs approach to this
if they actually got better safeguards
and got the government business
versus the way that Anthropic has dealt with this,
which has been to be very sincere and straightforward
about their red lines,
but in ways that I think annoy a lot of people
in the Trump administration
for not entirely bad reasons.
So my read of this is that, from, you know,
various reporting I've done,
is it one, there were by the end
really significant personal consequences,
conflicts and frictions between Hegset and Emil Michael and Dario and others. There's a big political
friction between the culture of Anthropics as a company and the Trump administration. This is why
Elon Musk and others have been attacking them for so long. I am a little skeptical that Open AI got
safeguards that Anthropic didn't. I'm not skeptical that Sam Altman and Greg Brockman,
having just given $25 million to the Trump super PAC, have better relationships in the
Trump administration and have more trust between them and the Trump administration. I know many people
angry at Open AI for doing this. I probably emotionally share some of that. And at the same time,
some part of me was relieved. It was Open AI because I think Open AI exists in a world where they want to be an AI
company that can be used by Republicans and Democrats. They want to somehow be politically neutral and
broadly acceptable. One little thing that I want to contest a bit here is the notion that, like,
Claude is the sort of like left model. In fact, many conservative intellectuals that I know that I think
of as being like some of the smartest people I know actually prefer to use Claude because Claude is the
most philosophically rigorous model. I don't think Claude is a left model to just be clear about this.
I think that the breakdown was at Anthropics and AI safety company. Yes. And in ways I had not
anticipated when the Trump administration began, they treated that way.
world, which is different from the left. AI safety people are not just the left. Often hated on the left.
Often hated on the left. They treated that world as like repulsive enemies in a way I was surprised by.
The way I would put this is by people that are sympathetic to the Trump administration's view,
who would describe themselves perhaps as New Tech Right, that like underneath the surface,
there is this view of the effect of altruists, that they are evil, they are power seeking,
and they will stop at nothing, that they're cultists and they're, and they're,
They're freaks, and we have to destroy them.
That is a view that is widely held.
The observation I have always made, I have super stark disagreements with the effective altruists
and the AI safety people and the East Bay rationalists.
And again, there are internecine factions here, right?
But those types of people, I have had stark disagreements with them about matters of policy
and about their modeling of political economy.
I think a lot of them have been profoundly naive, and they've done real damage to their
own cause and you can argue that that damage is ongoing. At the same time, they are purveyors of an
inconvenient truth, a truth more inconvenient, far more inconvenient than climate change.
And that truth is the reality of what is happening, of what is being built here. And like,
if parts of this conversation have made your bones chill, me too, me too. And I'm an optimist.
I think we can do this.
I think we can actually do this.
And I think we can build a profoundly better world.
But I have to tell you that it's going to be hard.
And it's going to be conceptually enormously challenging.
And it will be emotionally challenging.
And I think at the end of the day, the reason that people hate this AI safety viewpoint so much is that they just have an emotional revulsion to taking the concept of AI seriously in this way.
Except that's not true for a lot of the Trump people you're talking about.
I mean, Elon Musk takes the concept of AI being powerful.
Seriously, at some point, didn't he tweet something like, you know, humanity might just be the bootloader for superintelligence.
A digital superintelligence, Mark Andreessen, David Sachs, these people, they might have somewhat different views, but they don't, they don't disbelieve in the possibility of powerful AI, of artificial general intelligence, eventually even of superintelligence.
but you have this sort of accelerationist,
you know, move forward as fast as you can,
don't be held back by these precautionary regulations and concerns
that this is why, and again,
I'm glad you brought up this thing that the right way to think about this
isn't left versus right.
If you know people in the IS safety community
or frankly in anthropic,
you understand that the politics here are so much weirder
that they do not actually map on to traditional left versus right.
A lot of them are kind of libertarians.
Many of them are very libertarian.
This is not, we're not talking about Democrats and Republicans here.
We're talking about something stranger.
100%.
But there was an accelerationist, decelerationist, fight, which doesn't even describe
Anthropic, which is excelebrating how fast AI happens.
Anthropic is the most accelerationist of the companies.
I know.
I think it's such a weird dynamic we're in.
Yes.
But I will say one of the key parts of anger I have heard from Trump people was a feeling that in
making this fight public, which, I mean, the Trump side did first. It's very strange how offended
the Trump people are, given that, like, Emil Michael is the one who set all this off. But nevertheless,
in making this fight public, they feel that Anthropic was trying to poison the well of all the
AI companies against them, turn the culture of AI development into something that would be
skeptical and would put prohibitions on what they can do, which is why now open AI in order to work
with them has to have all these safeguards and come out with new terms and try to quell
and employee revolt.
And culturally, I actually don't think you can understand this.
This is my theory.
Without understanding how many people on the tech right were radicalized by the period in the
2020s when their companies were somewhat woke and even before that.
And they didn't want them working with the Pentagon.
The employees had very strong views on what was ethical use of even less potent
technologies than AI.
And they are very, very afraid.
People like Mark Andrewsson, in my view, are very, very afraid of going back to a place.
where the employee bases, which maybe have more AI safety or left,
or whatever it might be, not Trump politics,
than the executives have power over these things,
and that power will have to be taken into account.
Yes.
Well, I worry about that, too.
And I think the solution to that problem is pluralism.
The solution to that problem is to have,
hopefully, in the fullness of time, many AIs,
aligned to many different philosophical views
that conflict with one another.
But the idea that the way to deal with this problem
is to, you are essentially denying
the existence of this problem
if what you're trying to do is assassinate Anthropic here.
Because it's going to come back.
This is going to come back.
It's going to come back.
We're just going to keep doing this over and over again.
And the logic of this argument
eventually ends in lab nationalization.
And in fact, a lot of the critics of Anthropic here
and supporters of the Trump administration,
they'll say something to the effect of,
well, you talk about how it's like,
nuclear weapons. And so, you know, what else did you expect? You kind of had it coming is almost
the tenor of the criticism. But that does not take seriously the idea that Anthropic could be right.
What if they are right? And what if you view the government nationalizing them as a profound
act of tyranny? What do you do? So Ben Thompson, who's the author of the Strathechrean
in this, in a fairly influential PC road, he said that, quote, it simply isn't tolerable
for the U.S. to allow for the development of an independent power structure, which is exactly what
AI has the potential to undergird, that is expressly seeking to assert independence from U.S.
control.
What do you think of that?
Every company on Earth and every private actor on Earth is independent of U.S. control, right?
I'm not unilaterally controlled by the U.S. government.
And if anyone tried to tell me that I am or that my property is,
I would be quite concerned and I would fight back, which, by the way, here we are.
Right.
I don't think that's a coherent view of how independent power and how private property works in America.
I think, again, the logical implication of Ben's view, which is surprising coming from Ben,
is that AI lab should be nationalized.
And what I would ask him is, does he actually think that's true?
Does he think it would be better for the world if the AI labs were nationalized?
because if he doesn't, then we're going to have to do something else.
And what's that something else?
And that's the problem.
Everyone making that critique doesn't own the implication of their critique, which is that
the lab should be nationalized.
What do we do about that?
So what's the implication you're willing to own of your perspective?
It is that profoundly powerful technology will exist in the hands at least for some time of private
corporations.
And so the idea that Ben is putting there, which I do think is true and could be
a difference in degree or a difference of kind,
that these are powerful enough technologies.
They are kind of independent power structures.
Yeah.
I mean, right now a corporation is an independent power structure.
There's a lot of independent power structures in a country.
J.P. Morgan is an independent power structure.
And it should be.
And it should be.
Yeah.
But if you get to these kinds of technologies that are kind of weaving in and out of everything,
that is something new.
And so how do you maintain
Democratic control over that if you do?
Well, I think we have a lot of different ways
of maintaining democratic control over things
that are not, first of all, market institutions, right?
Allow for popular.
Obviously, we're not voting,
but we do vote in a certain sense in markets, right?
And I think that will be a profoundly important part
of how we govern this technology,
simply the incentives that the marketplace creates.
Legal incentives also, things like the common law,
create incentives that affect
every single actor in society.
And the labs, you know, whoever it is that controls the AI will be constrained in that sense.
And the AIs themselves will be constrained in that sense.
But the state is kind of the worst actor to have that for the very reason that they have
the monopoly on legitimate violence.
And so what we need to hold is some sort of an order in which the state continues to hold
the monopoly on legitimate violence.
So the state maintains sovereignty, in other words.
But it does not control this technology unilaterally because of its,
monopoly because of its sovereignty in some sense.
But does it have this technology?
Does it have its own versions of it?
Or does it contract with these companies are talking about?
That's an interesting question.
Should states make their own AIs?
I think they won't do a very good job of that in practice.
But I don't have a principled philosophical stance against a state doing that so long as you
have legal protections in place to stop tyrannical uses of the AI.
But for sure, the government uses it and has a ton of flexibility in how they use it,
uses it to kill people, right?
Like, in other words, I'm owning a world where there are autonomous.
autonomous lethal weapons that are, like, controlled by police departments and that in certain cases,
they can, like, kill human beings, kill Americans, right?
Like, autonomously, the weapons can kill Americans.
I'm owning that view.
Again, that's not in the Overton window right now.
It'll take us a long time to get there.
Appropriately so.
But at some point, that'll probably be the reality.
That's fine with me so long as we have the right controls in place.
Right now, we don't have the right controls in place.
Do you have a view on what those controls look like?
And I'll add one thing to that view.
Something that's been on my mind as we've been going through this anthropic fight is U.S.
military personnel have both the right and actually the obligation to disobey illegal
orders. And one of the controls, so to speak, that we have across the U.S. government is that
if you are an employee of the U.S. government and you do illegal things, you are actually yourself
culpable for that. You can be tried and you can be thrown in jail. And when you talk about,
you know, autonomous lethal weapons for police officers or for police stations, well, who's
culpable on that? Who has to
defy an illegal
order in that respect? You get
into some very hairy
things once you have taken human beings increasingly
out of the loop. Yes.
It is to me of profound importance
that at the end of the day
for all agent activity,
that there is a liable human being
who can be sued,
who can be brought to court and held
accountable, either criminally or in civil
action, that is
extremely important. For my
view of the world working, that is extremely important, and there are legal mechanisms we will need for that,
and there are also technological mechanisms for that, because right now we don't quite have the technological
capacity to do that. This is going to be of central importance. We need to be building this capacity.
There will be rogue agents that are not tied to anyone, but that can't be the norm. That has to be
the extreme abnormality that we seek to suppress. Let's say you're listening to this, and this is all
both been weird and a little bit frightening. And the thing you think coming out of it is,
I'm afraid of any government having this kind of power. You know, we talk about a, Dario likes
to talk about a, what is it, a country of geniuses in a data center. Yes. What if you're talking
about a country of Stasi agents in a data center? That's right. You know, in whatever direction
you think, right? Speech policing, whatever it might be. And that this is,
is going to, again, if you believe these technologies are getting better, which I do, and you're
going to believe they're going to get better from here, which I also do, that this is actually going
to, whether you're liberal, conservative, Democrat, or Republican, it raises real questions
of how powerful you want the government to be and what kinds of capabilities you want it to
have that you didn't quite have to always face before because it was expensive and cumbersome
for the government to do anything like what will now become possible cheaply.
Yes.
And so we get back to the core issues of the American founding.
The American government is a government that was founded in skepticism of government.
It was founded by people that were worried about tyranny, that were worried about state power,
and put a lot of thought into how to restrict that.
So this notion that democracy is synonymous with the government having unilateral ability
to do whatever it wants with this technology cannot possibly be true.
That just cannot possibly be true.
And those restrictions, you know, how we shape those restrictions and how we trust that they're
actually real, yeah, this is among the central political questions that we face.
But what you have to keep in mind here is that the institution of government itself
could change in like qualitative ways that feel profound to us over in the fullness of time.
And that is a hard thing to grapple with too.
in the same way that what we think of as the government today is unspeakably different from what someone thought of as the government in, you know, the Middle Ages.
I think that is a good place to end. So always our final question. What are three books you recommend to the audience?
Rationalism in Politics by Michael Okshot, and in particular the essays Rationalism in Politics and On Being Conservative.
Empire of Liberty by Gordon Wood,
the book about the first 30 or so years of our republic,
and Roll Jordan Roll by Eugene Genevese.
Dean Ball, thank you very much.
Thank you.
This episode of Yuzuklanches produced by Roland Hu,
fact-checking by Michelle Harris with Kate Sinclair and Mary Marge Locker.
Our senior audio engineer is Jeff Gelb,
with additional mixing by Amund Soda.
Our executive producer is Claire Gordon.
The show's production team also includes
Annie Galvin, Marie Cassione, Marina King, Jack McCordick, Kristen Lynn, Emmett Kelbeck, and Jan Kobel.
Original music by Amun Zahota and Pat McCusker.
Audience Strategy by Christina Similuski and Shannon Busta.
The director of New York Times-pending audio is Annie Roastroes.
