The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens - Always Adding More: The Unpopular Reality about Energy Transitions with Jean-Baptiste Fressoz
Episode Date: February 5, 2025(Conversation recorded on November 6th, 2024) The vision of a carbon-free, net-zero society is often framed around the promise of transitioning away from fossil fuels. But what can we learn fro...m past "energy transitions" that might inform how feasible – or unrealistic – this vision actually is? Today, Nate is joined by energy and technology historian Jean-Baptiste Fressoz for a lesson on the importance of understanding the historical trajectory of energy use for realistically navigating the unprecedented challenges humanity faces today – including the dominant narrative of a modern-day "energy transition." Jean-Baptiste explores the interdependent relationship between different energy sources—from wood to coal to oil—and reveals how this history shapes our hopes for renewables and nuclear energy moving forward. How can examining the history of energy and material use help us fully grasp the scale at which human societies actually consume them? What role do our current economic systems play in driving an ever-growing demand for new energy sources? In the history of our species, have we ever fully transitioned off of one energy source and replaced it with another – and what does this imply for the hope of a fossil-free future? About Jean Baptiste Fressoz: Jean-Baptiste Fressoz is a historian and researcher at the Alexandre Koyré Center of the School for Advanced Studies in the Social Sciences in Paris, France. His work focuses on environmental history, technology and energy, and the Anthropocene. He is the author of Happy Apocalypse: A History of Technological Risk, as well as the co-author of the book Chaos in the Heavens: The Forgotten History of Climate Change. Most recently, he wrote More and More and More: An All Consuming History of Energy. Show Notes and More Watch this video episode on YouTube Want to learn the whole story of The Great Simplification? Watch our 30-minute Animated Movie. --- Support The Institute for the Study of Energy and Our Future Join our Substack newsletter Join our Discord channel and connect with other listeners
Transcript
Discussion (0)
you don't do an energy transition. Energy transition is just a slogan. It's not a serious scientific
world. What you do is you decrease the carbon intensity of the economy. We have been here before.
Technological progress and solar panels is part of the history of technological progress. It is an old
story. We are not on the threshold of a complete revolution.
You're listening to the great simplification. I'm Nate Hagen's. On this show, we describe
how energy, the economy, the environment and human behavior all fit together and what it might mean
for our future. By sharing insights from global thinkers, we hope to inform and inspire more
humans to play emergent roles in the coming great simplification.
Bonjour. Today I am joined by historian of science and technology Jean-Baptiste Frizo for an
overview on the history of energy. Jean-Baptiste is a senior researcher at the French National Center
for scientific research, as well as professor at the National School of Bridges and Roads.
He is the author of several books, most notably his recent, titled More and More and More,
an all-consuming history of energy, which is the subject of our conversation today.
Jean-Baptiste unpacks the common misperception in the field of historical energy dynamics
that have led our popular memes and stories
about the false possibility of the energy transition
to a world entirely run on renewables,
which longtime listeners of this show
know as one of the core precepts
of the great simplification.
Before we begin, if you enjoy this podcast,
one of the biggest ways you can support us
is by subscribing to it on your favorite platform
and sharing this episode with someone
who might also enjoy it.
We believe in making it,
this content free and accessible to as many curious pro-future humans as possible.
So we appreciate your subscribing and sharing.
With that, please welcome Professor Jean-Baptiste Fresso.
Jean-Baptiste, it's great to see you.
Hello, Nate.
Your publicist sent me your book, More, More, More.
Boy, we have a lot in common, Mon Ami.
So let's get into it.
In your book, you describe the history of energy,
which is a topic that is central to this podcast,
not in terms of transitions,
which is commonly perceived,
but as each type of energy building on top
and becoming interlinked and entwined with the others,
we're going to talk about that,
but can you start by describing the first moment
that you personally recognized these misunderstanding,
misunderstood patterns in human history with respect to energy?
Yeah, the book is really a book of history mainly, and I was surprised when I was reading
history book on energy, I mean books written by colleagues working at universities,
that for instance, I mean, they had a very classic kind of way of presenting the different times.
You had the first chapters are going to be about wood and hydraulic energy, about the 18th century,
the pre-industrial times.
then you've got the 19th century chapter, the Industrial Revolution, coal,
and the 20th century will be about oil.
But as everybody knows, I mean, we consume much more coal now
that's any time in the 19th century, right?
I mean, the great century of coal is, of course, the 20th century,
even the late 20th century.
So I think there was, I mean, there was really something wrong
in the history of energy, which is very typical of history of tech in general.
they were focused on the new
at each epoch at each time.
So there is a whole bunch of work on
in Britain in the early 19th century.
That's not that very important.
I mean, Britain and coal is overdone
in the 19th century, I think.
So, I mean, I had this feeling
that there was something really wrong
about the general framing
of these very general histories of energy
from like 10 years ago.
And then I was working on the history
of light production in the 19th century.
And of course, mines are places where a lot of artificial light was consumed.
I mean, because of course it was done in darkness.
And looking at all the inputs that went into mine and coal mines,
I was amazed by the enormous quantity of wood, of timber, going into coal mines in Britain in the 19th century.
And then I started to realize that actually Britain in the 20th century used more pit props, more woods in forms of pit props than it burned in the 18th century.
What's a pit prop?
Yeah, it's a, well, timber mining.
You know, you need timber to support the roofs of the coal mines.
And, I mean, coal mines are huge infrastructure.
There are thousands of kilometers of underground tunnels, so you have to support the roofs.
and the quality of wood was really staggering.
I mean, if you take the case of Britain,
Britain consumed like 4.5 million cubic meters of pit props in the early 20th century.
Britain burned only 3.5 million cubic meters of firewood in the 18th century.
So it means that, I mean, for its energy production,
Britain used much more wood in the 20th century than it did in the 18th century.
So all sorts of narrative that you find in this choreography
about the industrial revolution being a transition from wood to coal
or being an escape from an organic economy,
all this is really deeply wrong.
Britain used more and more forests to produce energy in the 20th century
than it did in the 18th century.
So, I mean, I really think there was something really deeply wrong
in the historiography of the energy,
and why I think it is extremely important,
it's because history has a key ideological role
in the discourse about the energy,
transition. I mean, it is amazing when you're a bit cautious about that and you've got like
an historian year. It's amazing the amount of rubbish that is being told by politicians about
the history of energy. And so like John Kerry, you know, the US envoy on climate change and
the failed candidate against George Bush Jr. is following this issue of climate change since
the 1980s. So he should know about that, right? And recently he said in the financial times,
the energy transition is like a new industrial revolution, as if there was something, you know,
as there was something analogous between the industrial revolution and what we have to do
in the face of climate change. All these integration of what we have to do inside a kind of
historical narrative is really very common. I mean, it's not only John Kerry. I mean, I can
give you dozens of examples like this.
I have so many questions.
Let me start with this.
The pit props today in coal mines,
what are those made from?
I mean, today we don't use,
I mean, normally in modern mining,
you don't choose pit props.
You use a complex system of roof support,
hydraulic roof support.
This is the kind of technology,
which is not very well known,
but it's of tremendous importance
because, I mean,
coal mines have been thoroughly modernized
after the 1950s and 1960s in Europe and in the US.
And all these new technologies,
most of the time I actually invented more in Western Europe, in Britain, mainly.
It's like new coal cutters, huge machinery,
which had tremendous importance for the modernization of coal mines in China.
So I think it's kind of interesting because these technologies are not considered as so important.
they are not very visible because they were invented in coal mines or industrial mining that were in decline,
like in Britain in the 1960s, 70s, 80s.
But in fact, these were immensely important for economic growth of the early 21st century
because these machines built by obscure British engineering firms were sold massively to China
as soon as 1960s and 1970s, and especially after China.
opened up in 1978, and that's a tremendous importance in the growing production of coal in China.
So, I mean, it's an example of, you know, this kind of technologies that are not central in our vision of the 21st century, but which are materially extremely important, I think.
So in your book, you explicitly state that you do not separate out historically the production of energy from the production of materials, in effect, using wood for construction or steel,
making in your analysis, and this is especially relevant when looking at that wood and timber.
Why did you make that choice and what was your observation that energy and materials are so linked?
Yeah, I mean, it's actually quite impossible, I think, to have a proper history of energy without a history of material.
And when you separate the two, you reach very strange conclusion.
For instance, the fact that Britain didn't choose any wood to produce energy in the 20th century.
I mean, it's because of course, pit props timber mining is considered as construction timber and not as wood energy,
but in fact it's wood which is used to produce energy.
So it's just a statistical convention which is highly debatable, right?
The other reason is basically to understand, for instance, the history of oil.
You need to have the history of steel because all the oil infrastructure is dependent on steel.
I mean, you extracts oil with steel tubes, you burn it in motors that are made of steel,
and the power machines that are made of steel.
So you really need to put all this together, to have any clear understanding of what is the
materiality of the history of the 20th century.
In the same way, with cement.
I mean, oil without cement would be quite useless, actually, because you would have no modern roads, right?
Bridges and so on.
So, yeah, I think it's crucial to really think that together.
That would be my answer.
I mean, basically, what strikes me in the previous historiography is that, you know, my colleagues
tend to be very specialized.
You've got experts on the history of coal, experts on the history of wood, experts on the
history of oil.
But in fact, many important things happen at the intersection of these materials and
these energies.
And what I was interested in is really what happened at the intersection of these materials
and energies.
I mean, you understand not so much the history of coal if you don't have the history of timber
that allows you to extract the coal.
A major focus in your book is wood, which I think the average person thinks has been
phased out as an energy source.
Can you give us an update on the state of timber as both an energy source and a material
resource in the world today?
Well, I mean, a huge topic, but basically, yeah, the idea that it is phased out is really, really wrong.
the production of timber in the world has doubled in the 1960s, from two gigatons to four gigatons.
Half of this timber is used for producing fire, firewood.
So today we use two gigatons of wood just to burn it, right?
Wood is a key energy source for 2.3 billion people on the planet, a key source.
of heat, domestic heat, to cook food, basically.
So wood is extremely modern in a way.
I mean, we have never used as much wood as today.
I mean, a strange statistic that really I had to check twice to really be sure of my fact.
But wood energy today is twice nuclear energy, right?
I think this is a striking element of the demonstration that we live with old sources of energy.
I mean, despite more than 60 years of nuclear engineering, wood energy is much more important than nuclear energy, right?
Another interesting case is charcoal.
You know, charcoal seemed old-fashioned.
I mean, in the old days, we were doing steel with charcoal.
But in fact, charcoal has expanded tremendously with the urbanization of the poor world.
In sub-Saharan Africa, charcoal consumption has been multiplied by six since the 19th.
60s and charcoal is really an urban technology. It allows you to use wood energy in an urban
setting in large cities. Large cities of the poor world, like Lagos, Kinshasa, burn 2 million tons
of charcoal per year. This is more than all the wood burned by France in the 19th century,
for instance. It's really a huge amount of wood. So really we have to get rid of this idea that
there are all sources of energy, new sources of energy.
This is really a deep, a wrong way to look at the history of energy.
I don't know how much you know about my work,
but I've told the story of emergent at large scales phenomenon
that I refer to as the economic superorganism,
which humans in aggregate seek out profits,
which are linked to energy,
and there has been no energy transition.
There's only been an energy addition is a phrase that I commonly use.
So renewable energy is just adding an appendage to the organism.
It's not we're getting rid of this and we're using this new thing.
It's additive.
So let's take that story back to the 19th century.
What happened to wood use once we found coal, like in the decades after?
Okay, first of all, globally, firewood has increased despite coal, right?
I mean, as you said, this is just an addition, right?
First of all.
And secondly, I think it's more than an addition.
It's a symbiosis.
I mean, because of coal, you need more and more wood for the mines,
but also for the railway ties.
I mean, to have the railway network.
You need a huge amount of wood for packaging.
packaging is an enormous consumer of wood
and construction.
I mean, just with expansion of cities,
you need more and more wood,
I mean, for all sorts of reasons, of course.
So, yeah, I mean, really, it's much more than an addition.
It's a symbiosis of all these new energies and materials.
And these symbiosis go on and on and on.
If you take the case of oil and wood,
I mean, you've got, with oil, you've got much more wood
because suddenly wood is cheaper
because you've got chainsawls,
trucks and so on, which makes wood much more accessible, much more economically available.
And because of oil, you've got an expansion of the economy, so you've got more and more
goods to package, so you've got an expansion of the paper industry to produce all this
cardboard. And the paper industry is an enormous consumer of energy. You know, it's a
forced industrial consumer of energy, and it is mainly an energy derived from wood. So because of
the growth of the economy, you've got more and more wood energy, even in
countries. Because like two minutes ago, I was talking about the poor world and so on, but
the rise of food energy is also true in the rich world. I mean, in Europe, wood energy has more
than doubled since the early 20th century. In the U.S. has expanded a lot in the 20th century,
especially in the industry. I'm nodding and I'm sighing because I know that the longtime viewers
of this podcast who care about the environment
are getting a growing pit in their stomach
from hearing what you are unpacking.
So keep going, though.
I have lots of questions,
but I want you to unpack your core thesis.
So does this symbiosis also happen on top of wood and coal,
but then with oil and on top of that, on top of that?
Basically, if you got oil, oil depends on,
on coal and coal depends on wood
in the 12th century so all this expand
together, right? I mean, there is no reason
to think these energies in opposition.
This is really the wrong way of saying it.
I mean, it's because we have this vision
then I can explain why it comes
from where you imagine energy is
like in competition, you know, like
a Darwinian history of energies
being in competition, but this is just
wrong. I mean, in certain limited
sectors, you've got this kind
of competition. Let's say
all displaced coal
for running motors because steam engines are extremely inefficient,
they are dangerous, so you get rid of them and you put diesel engines.
That is true, perfectly true.
But these diesel engines, the power shift that are made of steel,
so they consume a lot of steel, right?
I mean, I'll just give you another example, which I think is clear.
In the 1930s, Ford, they did seven tons of coal to produce a car.
This is more in terms of mass than the oil that this car
would burn in its lifetime. So when you think about car, you have to think about coal. I mean,
car is always connected to, of course, oil, I mean, which is natural, but in fact, car is also a
coal technology. And today, in China, you need two to three tons of coal to produce a car.
I mean, even today, coal is the main ingredients in a car, in effect.
But China is making electric vehicles in order to help emissions and air quality, but they're using coal
to build the cars.
Yeah, I mean, to build the car, to power the car as well,
because coal is still a very important provider of electricity in China.
I mean, the case of the electric vehicle is interesting
because it is tarted as a green technology,
as a climate-friendly technology, especially in Europe.
I mean, the fact that more than half electric cars are in China
and the fact that 60% of electricity in China is produced from coal
show that the electric vehicle, I mean, historically, and first and foremost, is probably a technology of national sovereignty for China, which is heavily, I mean, it needs to import a lot of oil, and it depends on the good wheel of the US to let all this oil flow.
So, yes, I mean, the electric vehicle is extremely important in strategic terms for China because it reduces its dependence on oil and coal is very abundant on the other hand.
in China.
Yeah, yeah.
I assume your analysis
historically is a global one.
Are there exceptions at a
local level?
For instance, some countries
in, especially in Europe,
have reduced their coal demand.
England just closed
its last operational coal plant.
So in England's case,
there is a transition away from coal,
even though there is not globally.
What are your thoughts on that?
I would say that in England,
in the electric sector,
there has been a transition.
You know, the electric sector of Britain is no more, or very little, I mean, hardly any call.
But I think we have to relativize the importance of this transition, because most of the discourse on transition are centered on electricity and electricity production.
But, I mean, electricity production is, I mean, it's important.
It's 40% of the emissions.
Okay, so on these 40% of emissions, we have rather good technologies to decarbonize.
But it is not new.
I mean, in the electricity sector, 40% is already decarbonized, actually,
thanks to hydroelectricity, first and foremost, and thanks to nuclear,
and more and more thanks to windmills and solar panels.
So, I mean, a lot of reasonings about the energy transition actually comes from our obsession with electricity.
And we have projected ideas that were quite well about electricity to the whole economy.
And that is not the right way to do because many sectors are extremely difficult to decarbonize.
Everything that involves material productions, cement, steel, plastic, agriculture is also difficult to decarbonize.
And just to come back to the case of Britain, then you have to see that Britain is part of a global world
and it has a very large commerce, international commerce, and it impostern commerce and it imposes a lot of goods that are made from coal, right?
there is a huge difference, especially for the cases of Britain and France,
countries that have really desindustrialized in the 1970s,
there is a huge difference between the national carbon footprint
and the total carbon footprint.
For the case of France, it's almost a double.
I mean, France, if you look just at the national emission,
it looks pretty good.
I mean, there are like between 4 and 5 tons of CO2 per capita per year.
It's pretty good.
But if you take all the imports, then it's more like 9 to 10 tons.
It's almost a double, you know.
So, I mean, all these make me very suspicious of the discourse that, you know, we are, I mean, we are the first to really, like, Europe is so much in advance.
No, like all rich countries, European countries depend on global flows of materials, goods, and so on, that depends on coal, gas and oil, obviously.
I had a French woman on the show last year, Olivia Lazard, who has a very concise statement that decarbonization of the energy sector will lead to a rematerialization, which sounds like you're aligned with that logic, that if we try to 100% decarbonize our electric sector, which granted is only 20% of our total energy use, that that will require lots more of the
symbiosis that you discuss with materials like copper and lithium and all the things.
What are your thoughts on that?
I mean, I think we have to differentiate between electricity production and all the
machines that are going to consume this electricity.
And I think, of course, solar panels and windmills do consume steel, siliceum, so they emit CO2,
but it's not that much.
We have to recognize they're pretty efficient, actually, in terms of CO2 versus
the electricity they produce.
They're a pretty neat way of producing electricity.
But the key problem is rather what we're going to do
with this relatively clean electricity.
If it is to power exactly the same world,
the same material world, made of 1.5 billion cars,
which are driven on road that consume cement
and that fostered the expansion of cities,
of more and more houses, bigger houses and so on,
then I'm not sure that we're going to, I mean, to go very far with this solution.
So I think we really have to differentiate between the solar panels and the electric cars.
For me, there are two different technologies.
One is extremely useful.
One has to be really seen as kind of, you know, environmentally friendly compared to a gas plant or a coal plant, even worse.
But the electric car is much more debatable.
Well, I mean, that's what I've been saying lately is the energy trends,
is not changing one type of energy for another.
If we're ever to really have an energy transition,
it would have to be changing our relationship with energy,
what we use energy for, our relationships with each other,
and with the natural world,
because it's not just going to happen from technology.
And it's also we have to shift our relationship
with the organization of capitalism.
I think this is a key topic.
I mean, a topic we should not be shy to talk about.
But isn't capitalism the real driver of the title of your book?
more, more, more, and even underpinning capitalism is the maximum power principle in biology
of humans, which are biological organisms, trying to access an energy gradient.
I agree that, I mean, the problem is even deeper than capitalism. That I agree with you.
I mean, it's going to be, it's much easier to imagine a world without capitalism than imagine
a world without CO2, I think, and without carbon, you know? But what I meant by capitalism is because
I'm quite angry about the way economists...
have been thinking about what we have to do with climate change.
They have fostered this idea that we're going to decarbonize everything.
All sectors, all technologies are going to have exactly the same
or more or less the same world, but carbon-free with green innovation.
This is really wrong.
This is rubbish.
This pertains to a very, I mean, very simplistic technological utopia.
So I think what bothers me is that because of this idea of we're going to decaliburation,
We haven't talked about the quantity of goods we produce and the repartition of goods.
I totally agree with you.
And I'm just wondering if you, in your scholarly position and observing all this, if you believe that those people truly believe that we can decarbonize and keep today's economy going with close to zero carbon, or if admitting that that can't happen implies much deeper, more serious.
politically awkward questions and inferences.
Therefore, it can't be stated.
I'm not in their minds.
I can't answer your question honestly.
But most of the production is aimed at showing that,
yes, you can have carbon neutrality by 2050 or 2070
without any kind of degrowth,
without having any hard choices.
And I think this has been a very powerful message,
which has been very, of course,
Of course, it's very palatable to politicians, government, and even to the population in general.
I mean, you should not blame stupidly the politicians.
We are part of it, right?
So I think they have played a role of disinhibition.
Basically, yeah, it seems to be under control because we can do an energy transition.
All these things seem to be under control.
And I want to come back to this idea of repartition.
I mean, CO2 can be useful.
I think we should not demonize carbon.
It's ridiculous.
Like cement, for instance.
Cement is not bad per se.
I mean, there are good use of cement.
If it's to build a bridge where you need a bridge,
okay, let's emit the CO2.
If it's to build a proper water network in a poor city,
in a city of the poor world,
it's certainly worth emitting the CO2 that this cement entails.
But if it is to build another skyscraper in Manhattan,
yeah, you can discuss that, right?
When I was talking about capitalism as part of the problem,
it's because in our world,
building a skyscraper in Manhattan seems to be more useful
because there is so much money to be made of this skyscraper
because the square meter is very expensive.
It seems more useful than building water network in the pool world
because there is little money to be made, right?
So, yes, I think because of that,
we don't have the discussion,
which is where do we want to put our little CO2 left
in terms of CO2 credit, where do we want to put it?
You know, where does it maximize the welfare on a global scale?
I think that the economics of climate should be about that, and it is not.
I agree, but of course it's more complex than that.
I believe that we are at or near the top of the carbon pulse,
because I track what's going on with oil globally, and there's lots of oil.
Don't get me wrong.
but the easy stuff, the cheap high quality stuff has mostly been drilled, extracted, and burned.
And so what's left is harder to access, more complex, costlier in countries that don't necessarily
like the current unipolar world.
So what would happen with that in mind?
What would the decline of oil supply or even a flat period in oil supply mean for the availability
ability of all the rest of the industrial energy sources, given your symbiosis thesis.
I think the main problem is that there is so much fossil fuels that we can burn the planet
before really having to face the end of the carbon pulse.
And I mean, the end of all fossil fuels, because you have to think coal with oil at the same time,
I think, it's a question of century.
It's not a question of decay.
So I think there is a different time frame here, which really have to keep in mind.
The end of the carbon pulse is a very different thing than the peak of the carbon pulse.
Yeah, exactly.
The peak is that one at the absolute top, which I think is this decade.
I mean, so far November 2018.
I agree.
I agree with you.
But the problem is we have more like a plateau after the peak of the carbon pulse.
I think the main problem is for the first and foremost for the people in the poor world.
because if oil becomes more expensive,
I mean, the first effect of that is the rising of food, right?
And it has dramatic consequences on the life of billions of people,
not necessarily in the rich world.
So I think that would be really the first effect.
I wouldn't worry so much about the end of plastic or the end of salmon
because it's a more far away problem,
I think, than just the rise of the price of very common goods, such as food.
Yeah.
Yeah. Can you explain one more time so that I understand and the viewers understand the linkage between coal and oil and the symbiosis between those two?
Because they seem very different energy sources on the surface.
Yeah. Well, to extract oil, you need a lot of steel tubes, but really a lot of steel tubes.
I mean, if you take the figures of the amounts of steel tubes, of oil steel tubes, in the U.S., around the year 2000,
they consume more steel to extract oil than the whole US economy in 1900s.
So the oil industry...
Wow. I didn't know that.
Yeah, no, it's...
I mean, when you've got a kind of history of this,
and you compare figures of the 19th century with figures of the 20th century,
the 20th century seems so extravagance in the quantities, right?
I mean, it's a different world, really completely different world.
So oil is completely dependent on coal because of steel, right?
I mean, you really can't have oil without all this steel, so with all this coal.
As I said, I mean, oil is really, I mean, basically the first use is to power a car in the 20th century, and so you need to have roads.
I mean, otherwise cars are not very useful.
So you need to have cement, and cement is, I mean, depends on the country and the time.
Well, and asphalt.
Asphalt comes from oil.
Yeah, that's true, yeah.
But there is cement everywhere in road infrastructure, even if it looks black on the surface.
there is cement everywhere.
There is cement slab on the bridges.
I mean,
half of the cement is used to produce infrastructure
and many roads, right?
And the other half is buildings.
So really, the history of cement
is completely linked with the history
of road construction in the US.
I mean, really,
the cement was quite small,
small-scale production
until the 1920s,
when the US started to invest in roads.
And suddenly,
the cement industry became huge.
and the rotary kiln became enormous machines, which they were not before.
And like in the 1920s, I gave the figures in my book.
I might not be sure of them now, but half of the cement in the world was produced by the US,
and mainly for the road construction, right?
And in China, China right now is like producing half of the cement globally.
For 50% it is for world construction.
So, yeah, I mean, cement is completely,
with automobile, so
automobilesink with cement and coal, right?
How do energies like
nuclear and natural gas fit
into your no-energy
transition theme?
I mean, I will take
nuclear gas. I don't talk a lot about
gas. Honestly,
I haven't talked so much about gas.
It's really connected with oil, so it's not
such a different story, I think.
It's really the same.
Yeah, petroleum. Yeah. So it's really the same
industry. But nuclear energy, but
nuclear energy is very interesting, of course.
Why? Because
it has played not such an important role
in the history of energy in the 20th century.
I mean, we produce little electricity
globally with nuclear energy.
There are few countries which are, and France is part of them,
but Japan, too, is important,
where nuclear energy does play a role.
But on the other hand, nuclear energy
has played a tremendous ideological role
and scientific role in all the story
I tell about the history of the way we have thought upon energy dynamics.
I mean, you are mentioning the carbon pulse, you know, this idea that fossil fuels is just
a very short stage in the history of humanity.
This idea comes from a very impressive graph or by Mayan King Hubbard, you know,
Mayan King Herbert, the big oil theorist.
I know the graph.
The graph is amazing.
I mean, you look at the history of humanity on a timescale of 10,000.
years. And it is true that on this time scale, you know, yeah, fossil fuels, they last a few centuries,
so it looks very small. But why does he look at this time scale? Because it compares all the
amounts of energy contains in oil and coal. He compares that with the theoretical amount of energy
that you can reach if you have the breeder reactor, the nuclear breeder reactor. And it's,
So there is a really impressive graph where you've got this very, I mean, carbon pulse is really a great phrase.
I mean, congratulations on that. It's really exactly that. It's a very, very short burst of energy.
And then you've got an enormous and limited plateau that can last for thousands of years, thanks to the breeder reactor.
So it's really this idea of the very short time limitation of fossil fuels comes from the nuclear energy milieu.
I mean, nobody cared about 10,000 years timescale, except people like Arbeth or nuclear scientists,
U.S. nuclear scientists in the 50s, right?
I mean, it's really in the nuclear milieu that the idea of energy transition was born.
And by the way, energy transition is a phrase from nuclear technology and nuclear science.
It is first and foremost the change of an electron around its nucleus historically.
And then it was recycled by atomic scientists in the 1960s, 50s and 60s, to talk about the future of energy.
So when you say energy transition, paradoxically, you are actually using a phrase from nuclear technology,
which I think is quite funny because in front, at least energy transition was rather seen as anti-nuclear.
It was the shift to renewables.
Anyway, so that's why people were not so happy about my book.
But, yeah, I mean, this nuclear milieu was really key.
in all our way of framing the issues of peak oil, peak resources, and even climate change.
I was amazed by the fact that as early as 1953, the Atomic Energy Commission,
to the main body producing nuclear expertise and nuclear technologies in the US,
said there was an issue about climate change.
1953.
I mean, it's 20 years earlier than almost any other, you know, institution, right?
So, yeah, I mean, nuclear energy is really important, but more as a scientist,
as a provider of scientific ideas and imaginaries, I think.
But if we were able to develop breeder reactors or fusion energy,
wouldn't that just be an energy addition to everything else?
And we would use that cheap energy,
and we would need all the fossil hydrocarbons
to do all the other things in the society
that that nuclear energy powered if we had more and more and more.
I think, I mean, if we had nuclear fusion, it wouldn't change a lot.
I mean, to be honest, because it would be extraordinarily expensive, probably.
There would be one nuclear reactor in the U.S., perhaps another one in Europe, another one in Japan.
But, I mean, basically the problem with climate change is a global issue, and it includes not just electricity, but everything else.
And that's really the key limitation, I think, with nuclear energy.
I mean, very early on, economists were, I mean, you know, like in the 1950s, U.S. economists were explaining, you know, nuclear energy is not that revolution.
All this blah, blah, about the nuclear age is rubbish.
For one simple reason, it's basically not very useful to all sorts of sectors.
To power cars, it's difficult to use nuclear energy in the 1950s, to produce aluminum, steel, cement,
plastic, and so forth.
Nuclear energy is useless.
So it's just for the electricity, basically.
But, yeah, we know how to do electricity.
You know, we are doing electricity very well with coal, with hydraulic energy.
So it's not that revolutionary.
And it's the same problem with climate change.
I mean, it can be, I mean, it can help.
I'm not saying it is completely useless, but it's not at the scale of the problem.
That's really, I think, the key point.
That's my conclusion too.
Although I think especially this podcast is being recorded on November 6th, the day after the election in the United States.
And I think with Trump administration, nuclear energy is going to have a new awakening.
And they'll fund it and invest in it.
But I don't think it solves our problems because it's just,
adding to the symbiosis of humans' energy and materials and growth.
Yeah, I mean, and I mean, why is not going to solve the problem?
Because it's going to be a rich, I mean, a rich world technology.
It's complicated.
It is slow to be constructed.
I mean, in France, there is an important nuclear reactor, which took more than 20 years to be built,
with enormous overcost.
Now we are talking about decarbonizing the economy in 30 years.
Yeah, nuclear energy is, you know, too slow, too cumbersome, too expensive.
It cannot globalize so easily.
Yeah.
But if we were able to change our aspirations
and depart from capitalism, as you suggested earlier,
although that itself is a really complex conversation.
Couldn't nuclear energy play a role?
Honestly, I don't want to enter in this debate
about, you know, nuclear energy or renewables.
I think both can be useful.
I'm not going to, but the fact is that solar panels
are so much easier to install.
so much cheaper.
And actually, it's what is happening.
There is a huge growth of solar energy, especially in China.
And China is also developing nuclear energy.
I mean, they're developing everything, and it's much smaller.
This is the, you know, I think another phrase that, since you don't know my work real well.
I've seen the video that you made, which is really beautiful.
I was very impressed by the drawings.
I mean, it's beautiful.
Yeah, I lucked out.
There was like a 23-year-old.
a kid from New Zealand that read my mind in what I wanted when I described these things.
And he did all the artwork. I'm like, yeah, yeah, yeah, that's beautiful.
Thank you. Thank you. But the phrase I use is energy blind that our culture is just naive about
what energy does for us. But in addition to the scale of what energy provides to society,
I think we're also energy blind about energy properties and how one type of energy,
is different in what it can provide for us than another.
The pollution, the spatial density, the power density,
the EROI, the, you know, all the different characteristics,
the intermittence, the storage.
So I agree with you that just taking this pile of jewels
and sending it over here to where jewels are needed,
it's a lot more complicated than that.
You have to take into account the different characteristics.
of energy. And the case of
China and solar panels is very interesting
because it's also another example of
energy symbiosis. I mean, part of
the huge expansion of solar energy takes place
in the western part of China.
So kind of very
arid desertic places.
And they sell the electricity, 2,000
kilometers
in the east, where the people
live on the coast.
So the main course actually is
the connection, the interconnection.
This large-scale connection.
the electrical network, the grid, sorry.
So to recoup on the capital investments,
they built at the same time a solar panel, windmills, and power plants,
coal power plants, because there is cheap, easily accessible coal at the same place, right?
And I've read, I mean, I came across a really very interesting article
by a Chinese scientist saying that, like, once again,
I don't want to give wrong figures.
It's it in the conclusion of the book, like 40% of social.
solar power was bundled that the words the phrase he uses with coal.
You know?
So it's not a one-to-one substitution, obviously,
because of the problem of variability, of intermittance, as you said.
I mean, you shouldn't think solar energy as necessarily in competition with coal.
Sometimes they work together.
Of course, they're in competition as well,
but sometimes they work together.
And in the case of China, where there is a growing demand of electricity,
they keep working together for the moment.
So in your book, I use this word a lot as well, complexity.
In your book, you apply the story of complexity not only to the supply chain and the entangled global order,
but also to the actual products that we create.
Can you unpack this a little bit, Jean-Baptiste, and why is it important?
Yeah, it's not a key topic of the book.
It's really in the conclusion.
I just mentioned the fact that, of course, there is technological progress.
I'm not a kind of, you know,
Lodite or technophobic person.
There is huge technological progress.
There has been huge increase in energy efficiency
of all sorts of things.
Like the carbon intensity of the world economy
has been divided by two since the 1980s.
It's very impressive, you know.
And it is because of technological progress.
But these technological progress depends on more and more complex objects,
object that more that intertwines,
materials more and more finely. I mean, like the, of course, the cell phone is the perfect example.
The result of that, it is extremely difficult to recycle them. There is a very tiny amount of
gold in our cell phones, but I mean, trying to get this gold back is just impossible. It's simpler
to just mine gold elsewhere because the- Well, the energy cost would be much cheaper to mine new
gold than to get it out of our cell phones, which is quite amazing, I think. And that's really a very
strong historical trend. I mean, I give you a few examples.
The number of material in the car of the 1930s is lower than the number of materials in the tire nowadays.
Telephones, telephones in the 1920s, they use in total 20 materials.
Cell phone, they use 60 different metals.
And then there is all the other materials.
So, yeah, the material complexity of the technological world is really a key aspect of technological development.
It makes machines more efficient.
it makes the world economy more,
I mean, less carbon-intensive,
but at the same time,
there are huge problems of recycling and so on.
What about human energy and human labor?
Does that follow the same no-energy transition theme in the past?
Like, presumably when we found coal,
it was so amazing what it could provide for us
that we would have to work less.
And then the same thing with oil.
But how does human labor fit into your stuff?
story. I think, I mean, I wanted to make a charter on human labor, but it's a more complicated
story, and, you know, I had to, it's a whole other book project, actually, but when you think
about it, because of fossil fuel, there are more humans, they're better fed, so there's more
human labor in the world economy. I mean, I, just a few figures, the number of peasants
has passed probably its maximum points recently.
Like it's difficult to know, but like 2010, perhaps.
How do you define peasants?
Like family peasants, small agriculture, I mean, very small and without tools,
I mean, without tractors and so on.
If you take the number of coal miners, it has picked in 2015, right?
If you take the number of miners, there's many more miners.
now than in the 19th century. I mean,
another order of magnitude. Right now,
there are 40 million artisanal miners
in the world. Half of
them are digging gold,
right? Half of all the miners
in the world are digging for gold?
Yeah, because some small-scale
mining is really
turned to gold.
Gold is really the key
mineral here. I mean,
after 2008, there was
a huge increase in the price of gold,
because of the financial crisis and so on.
So suddenly, you've got millions of people, especially in Africa,
getting shovels, getting wheelbarrows, and extracting gold.
And this gold rush is much bigger than the US gold rush of the 1950s.
It's another scale of another magnitude, yeah.
Jean-Baptiste, you are a historian.
You're a scholar.
Do you ever just have a couple glasses of wine and look at all this
and think, what a species
looking at human history?
I shouldn't encourage wine drinking,
but yeah, it's part of a
of a culture in France.
That's the excuse for drinking wine.
It's not really alcohol, it's culture.
But, no, I mean,
what strikes me is the naivety
of the histories that we have
on the human species.
I mean, this idea of Omodeus,
of artificial intelligence,
of a space-faring,
species. I think I'm amazed
by the
fibrillness of our narratives
on, I mean, what has happened in the
world in the 20th century.
I mean, that's what amazes me.
Well, given the
erudition of your book
and your knowledge on human
history and energy use, what
can you speculate? What is your
objective rebuttal
to the plans of
colonizing outer space and going to
Mars and building civilization?
in the galaxy.
What's your rebuttal to that?
It's really an old future,
a future that we heard so many times
since the 1950s.
Basically, we have not put a man on the moon
since, I mean, the U.S.
have not put a man in the moon
on the moon since the 1970s.
So, yeah, I mean,
all this seems extremely far-fetched.
And I don't know if they believe it,
or it's just a discourse for the general public,
just to, you know,
to most.
motivate people. I don't know. I am not in the mind of people like Elon Musk.
I actually think it's at the core of the title of your book, More, More, More. It's why so many
humans want to climb Mount Everest and they get there and some of them die and they get to
the top and it's an accomplishment. It's like this, we are really curious, ambitious, clever
apes. And this is what we do. And we've replaced our wisdom with cleverness, boosted by the
energy from the carbon pulse and it makes us feel invincible without understanding that the foundation
of what we stand on is energy and materials and a viable ecosystem on the one planet we know
that life exists on.
Yeah.
No, I agree with you.
And at the same time, I saw that Elon Musk said there's so much red tape in the U.S.
that won't be able to be a space-faring species.
So basically, environmental agencies in the U.S.
I'm going to be responsible for the end of the human species if a comet arrives.
So there is all sorts of discourses which are extremely political.
And of course, it's utter rubbish.
It's not the point.
But once again, I don't know how serious we should take these people.
I mean, are they clowns or are they very wealthy clowns, of course?
They're very, very powerful and about to be more powerful.
And this gets back to the drivers of this.
Now, I know you're an energy historian and not a biologist or an evolutionary psychologist,
but why do we want more, more, more?
And is it not even a want?
Is it not a human individual thing?
It's just a process that happens when humans get together at scale and find a bonanza of energy and materials.
In a previous book called The Shock of the Anthropocene,
I try to
reflect on this question
I mean, how
how come that
the Anthropocene came about?
Can we give a proper history of the Anthropocene?
I'm not entirely convinced
by what I had done with Christopher.
I actually a colleague of mine
10 years ago, more than 10 years ago now,
but we try to politicize the history of the Anthropocene.
We try to show that
it's not simply the history of the human species.
It's a much more historical phenomenon
where imperialism play a role, where capitalism play a role,
where war and military technologies play an enormous role.
So I don't know if it is completely convincing,
but when you really think about seriously about the problem,
like the very polluting technologies,
the most environmentally damaging technologies,
most of the time they come from the military, for instance.
you know, like
pesticide
they come from
from gas,
I mean,
gas from the First World War
at the beginning.
If you take
the fertilizer industry,
first of all,
it was invented for explosives.
You could say that
all the aviation industry
is closely connected
to the history
of the Second World War
and also the first, actually.
So, I mean,
I think it's of course the human species is an attractive story, but you can be more specific than that.
And I think it's important to notice the fact that for most of human history, we are not that damaging.
And many countries are not that damaging.
So there is also something which is closely connected to the historical trajectory of Britain and the US.
Sorry to give names, but I think it's important to, I mean, when you look at the figures, like until the 1970s,
half of the cumulative emission of CO2
came just from Britain and the US
in 1970, right?
So for a very long time,
the Anthropocene was in Anglosin, actually.
And other countries were far more agricultural.
They were like still very traditional economies.
So the question there is,
is there something particularly vile and destructive
about the United States?
Or is it a power law sort of thing
that no matter what country was in the pole position
at that time,
they would have accessed energy in the same way that the United States did.
I don't expect you to have an answer to that.
No, and I don't want to be, but I would rather sympathize with the second solution.
I don't think there was anything intrinsically violent to the U.S., of course.
And it's linked to simply they are like the, I mean, they were the only power,
serious military power between 1990 and now, basically.
But, no, there is nothing intrinsically violence.
No, no, certainly not.
Yeah.
So in your book, you, a couple of,
of the things I notice is you focus on the ideas of creative destruction and disruptive innovations
as kind of red herrings in our energy history. Can you explain briefly what those concepts are
and why they aren't applicable to the future of energy as is commonly discussed in our media and
the academy?
Created destruction is a phrase that was invented by Australian economists living in the US called Joseph Schumpeter,
who is extremely influential in climate economics.
Basically, to solve the climate problem, we have to unleash the power of destructive creation.
And under this idea of destructive creation, you have a very simple idea and simplistic idea,
the fact that new technologies are going to replace all technologies.
and so it really comes from a reflection on the diffusion of innovation
it's really what was really at the core of this climate economics
and then it was applied on the energy problem
but that doesn't work at all
and that's really something I really put right at the beginning of the book
because I think it's a key problem
history of technology indeed you can see replacement substitution
it is true that new technologies in certain domain have replaced the old technology
But in the history of materials, it's just completely wrong.
What you said about this additional nature of the history of energy, it is true actually for all materials, not just for energy.
I mean, when we talk very lightly about innovation as a solution, I think we forget that the 20th century has been enormously innovative, and raw material are never obsolete.
I mean, it's very difficult to find raw materials that have decreased, not even
disappeared, but decreased. It's when
there is a prohibition, like for
apseitos, because
there has been, it's toxic, so
there has been a prohibition, so there has been
a decrease. But the only example where
you've got a kind of obsolescence,
it is wool,
sheep wool, a very mundane
material, which has been replaced by, in
part, by synthetic fibers,
which is not good news for the environment, by the way.
So, I mean, another
example which I found striking,
you know, like the carous and lamp,
the oil lamps of the late 19th century,
the first use of petroleum, actually.
Nobody use these lamps to produce light nowadays
because we've got electricity.
But in fact, we have never used as much petroleum
to produce light than nowadays
because of the cars and the headlights of the cars.
And the headlight of the cars today,
they consume twice as much oil
at the world economy in 1900s
where everybody was using carous and lamps.
Just the headlights of cars today?
Yeah, because it basically consumes one between one and two percent of the oil that's
run in your car, and this is enough to be more than the whole economy in 1900s.
You know, when I say it's an expansion of everything.
That's really one of the good example, I think.
The difference between the history of tech, where you say, yes, electricity is the revolution
that has just displaced the old oil lamps
and the history of materials,
which is completely different.
It's not the same story.
I'm really surprised that I've only recently discovered your work
because of our mutual friend Chris Kiefer,
because what you're saying is just totally aligned
with my observation of the economic superorganism.
So tell me again how linked renewable energy
like solar panels and wind turbines are
to hydrocarbons like oil and coal to create them
because there are people that are working on electric arc furnaces
to create the steel which could in theory be used
to extract oil instead of coal
or is it possible that 10 or 50 years from now
we can use electricity to mine all the materials
that we're currently using oil and coal for?
Okay.
Electric arc furnaces are old.
I mean, it's an old technology.
Basically, it's a scrap steel.
And indeed, it's very, very efficient because you have already taken off the oxygen atom,
which is completely linked with the iron atoms.
So it's an old technology.
What is new is like the hydrogen steel, which is really like the high-tech way to produce iron from steel, sorry, from iron ore.
I mean, in theory, it is possible.
Like all these proposals, you know, yeah, you can do that.
But on what scale at what cost?
That's really the key problem.
And at what objective and at what environmental impact?
Yeah.
So if you take the case of hydrogen steel, I made very rough calculations,
but to produce the 1.7 gigatons of steel that we use today every year in the world,
you would need a certain amount of hydrogen,
and it is so you need electricity to produce this hydrogen via electrolysis, electrolysis.
And this electricity would be more than the US production of electricity
for instance.
So we are talking about
an enormous quantity of hydrogen
and enormous quantity
of electricity.
And the other
problem is that hydrogen
is very cumbersome
to produce,
to store, to use.
And there is very little demand
for hydrogen actually.
Hydrogen is useful
for refining oil
and for producing fertilizers.
But as an energy carrier,
it's not very useful
and not very practical.
So if the reality of our energy history doesn't actually include energy transitions,
what does that mean for our plans to address climate change and other ecological impacts,
which in the narrative, in politics and in the news,
is entirely predicated on the energy transition.
So what are your thoughts on that?
I mean, very obviously we have to change the narrative.
and we have to talk,
I mean, what we do when we install solar panels
and windmills
and less than when you use electric cars,
you reduce the carbon intensity of the economy.
You don't do an energy transition.
Energy transition is just a slogan.
It's not a serious scientific word.
It's really an invention.
What you do is you decrease the carbon intensity of the economy.
And once again, history is important
to understand the limitation of what you're doing.
I mean, just, sorry,
another example, but when you get rid of the old steam engine and you replace them with electric
mortars, you divide by 10 the carbon intensity of industrial force in the industry.
Very impressive, right?
When you get rid of a gas plant for electricity and you replace that with solar panel, you divide
by 10 the carbon intensity of the electricity.
We have been here before.
You know, technological progress and solar panels is part of the history of technological.
progress, it is an old story. We are not on the threshold of a complete revolution. We are just
continuing the history of technological progress in energy production and consumption, basically.
So yesterday I did a podcast with Jeremy Grantham, and I'm probably misquoting him, but he said in
ancient Egypt, the economy was growing at 1% a year. And if you grew at 1% a year to today,
2024, the economy would be nine trillion times bigger.
So we know that there is a limit as to how much we can grow.
And we know that growth requires additional energy and materials.
So is a sequel to your book more, more, more than less?
Or what, like, what is the pathway?
What is the default pathway?
I think it's logically inferred.
But have you thought about that?
I think, yeah, de-growth should be part of the discussion, of the political discussion, which is not the case.
It is really constrained in kind of marginal ecological thinking, and it shouldn't be the case.
It should be the key issue of economics, I think, or a very important issue in economics.
And it's not the case.
I'm not saying it's going to solve everything.
It's not the case.
I don't think there is a solution, actually.
Or even with a panel of solutions, I don't think we're going to decarbonize the economy in time, right?
So, in the conclusion of the book, I'm really shy on that.
And, you know, there is so many work saying that, oh, read this book and there is a solution.
I didn't want to write that.
I wanted just to have a kind of empirical outlook on the problems.
It's not solution-oriented.
That's what I'm trying to do with the podcast.
First of all, I don't know the solutions, but we're trying to describe what's happening.
But I believe degrowth, for reasons that you've outlined, is what we should,
do. But post growth is what we're going to have to do. We're going to have to respond to
eventually there's going to be some limits in the energy and material symbiosis at a global
complex level that you've described. And there's going to be a stair step down. And the question
then is can we stabilize and have some wisdom and foresight on what happens then? Or is it in all
the way the down sort of moment? You know, I don't know. But those are also part of the conversation.
because we cannot continue to use more and more and pull other things from the periphery into the center,
materials that we weren't using before, energy sources we weren't using before.
There will be nothing left of an ecosphere.
Yeah, no, I agree.
I mean, the limits will be not so much, I think, the exhaustion of the resources,
but the effect of pollutions, of climate change, of biodiversity destruction.
I think that would be the real limits.
And I think it's quite a different limit from resource.
Because in the book, I was amazed also by the fact that the elite,
industrial elites, in the rich world,
we're really scared in the 1970s with the energy crisis.
They took the issue seriously.
I mean, you have to look at on YouTube the video of Jimmy Carter in 1977.
You know, it's very bleak, right?
In Europe, there is a very senior employee of the European,
the vice president of the European Commission called SICO Mansouls.
He read the Limits to Growth Report of 1972.
He's horrified.
And he says, we have really to reinvent a European project.
It's not about more consumption.
It's not the issue.
I mean, there was really this, I mean, the exhaustion of resources
is easily integrated by the government and by the elite.
I think climate change doesn't scare people that much.
At least, I mean, it doesn't.
seem so. And biodiversity
even less. Nobody, I mean,
ideally, they don't care so much
about the disappearance of
insects and so on. I mean, which is
just amazing when you, anyway,
like in France or Germany, like 70% of
flying insects
have disappeared since the 1980s.
It's an amazing transformation of the natural
world. Nobody cares.
So,
I'm sorry, it's not very,
it's not really an answer to your, to
to your point.
But I think the limits that we that we are overpassing,
they are very soft limits.
You know,
you can you can overpass them very,
very deeply and then feel the effect of the problems
and the overpassing of the limits much later.
And that's the problem probably.
There's a lag effect of all of our bad behaviors.
Exactly.
Yeah.
And the results is not the case.
It's starting to come due.
Yeah.
So are there any misconceptions about pre-industrial energy use and humans?
And part two question, are there anything we can learn from past human societies and their energy and material use?
Any positive lessons or warnings that we might apply to our current situation?
To be honest, I don't think there is any historical lessons to be taken.
And I think that would be very naive to say,
We have to run from the history to solve the problem.
No, I mean, we are really facing a completely unprecedented situation.
I mean, then what we have to do has no historical analogy possible.
I think, I mean, I can give you an example, but they will look futile to do.
I just give you an example, Cuba, after the fall of the USSR.
Yeah.
Their flow of oil was radically diminished.
And that, yeah, to reinvent the economy because, I mean, agriculture had to change.
all sorts of things that to change, and they were under U.S. embargo that doesn't help.
Anyway, is it similar to the issue of climate change? No, it's completely different.
I mean, it's just a crisis. It's just a very deep crisis, but it's just a crisis.
So I don't think, no, I don't think history can really help us to reflect on that.
Yeah, sorry for that.
What do you do every day? Are you a teacher or are you just write books?
I have both. No, no, it's a dual work. I teach, I give conferences, and I write books, yeah, and articles.
Okay. And what do you teach?
I teach history of environment, history of tech, history of energy.
So basically this is something that I have told to my students for several years, yeah.
And are you writing another book? Do you have a sequel or what's prominent in your mind now that you would like to apply your erudition to?
Yeah, what I would like to do is to come back to your question of the human muscle, the human energy.
I'd like to write something on that with this symbiosis framework, which I think could enlighten stuff about agriculture,
about also studying tools that are not, you know, they're not important in the historiography of tech,
but I think are very important, like the shovel, the wheelbarrow,
this very basic technology which have expanded in the 20th century,
where we are using more and more wheelbarrows along the 20th century.
The modernization of the human muscle, I think, is an interesting topic,
and it is linked, of course, with forcing fuel energies.
I mean, anyway, so that's something I would like to do, yeah.
Well, it wouldn't need to be, though, because we've created shovels before we had fossil fuels.
Indeed. No, but I mean, I mean, the modernization of the human muscle is linked with technological advancements,
which I narrated from the history of fossil fuels.
To have, like, I mean, the shift from tools made of wood shift to tools made of steel,
like the ball bearing, interesting technology too.
Balbering, yeah.
The rubber wheels, the flat cement floor in the factories.
I mean, I'll just give you an example.
The big invention of Ford, like the, as you say, the chain, the production chain.
No, the assembly line.
Assembly line.
Assembly line.
Ford cars.
Yeah, exactly.
It's absolutely central in this geography.
It seems to be like the key invention of the 20th century, like the assembly line.
But in fact, the way you move good in factories today and in the 20th century is very
basic technology that allows you to move pieces around and materials and so on. It's not the assembly line.
The assembly line is very strange. It's very original. That's why people are fascinated by this,
but it's very small compared to the way you move goods in the factory. The handling of goods is certainly
not the assembly line in general. So, I mean, yeah, I'm interested in this kind of object.
If you do write a book on the human muscle and modern technology,
please come back on the show.
Maybe you put a picture of Homer Simpson on the cover page.
So I asked some questions to all of my guests,
Jean-Baptiste, at the end of the show.
I think the details that you described in the last hour,
we haven't heard, but the general theme that we're adding more and more and more
and that it's unsustainable, both from what resources we have access to
in the carbon pulse and from our sink capacity,
this is known to our viewers and we don't know what to do.
I mean, my work is on categories of bending, not breaking.
But with someone listening to the episode right now,
what are some personal recommendations or advice you have
to the humans around the world watching this program?
I mean, I would recommend to think about the utility of things they consume,
basically, the end of the, you know, do they really need that?
it's really improving their life so dramatically that it's worse the climate cost and the environmental cost.
I think it's very useful.
It's a very individualistic recommendation,
but then if you want that to be generalized,
you have to have the political organization that encourage you to do so.
So you also have to organize politically so that it becomes a kind of terrible role.
What specific recommendations do you have for young humans,
becoming aware of climate and energy and geopolitical issues.
Do you have any issues or recommendations for, like, your students, age 18 to 23?
I recommend them to really think about the way you produce, the material you used.
I mean, to have really a kind of materialistic outlook to the economy, energy and materials.
I mean, the question of production should be much more central in our understanding of the economy.
economy and society.
We tend to think that we have become consumer societies, but in fact we are also massively
producing societies.
And yeah, that would be my recommendation here.
What do you care most about in the world, Jean-Baptiste?
That's a personal question.
I'm not sure.
I mean, like every human being, I think it's my close network of relations of people that
I like.
I mean, obviously, and it would be quite pretentious to say that I care so much about humanity
and what will become of humanity in 22nd, 22nd, 22nd century.
I don't really care about that, to be honest.
I mean, I care about what's happening to my kids, my friends, and so on.
I really appreciate your honesty.
And I think you are such a scholar.
You're not going to like this next question.
But if you had a magic wand,
what is one thing you would do to improve human and planetary futures
with if you had no personal recourse to your reputation or any risk?
I think that would be the end of nationalism of people thinking that because they are in this
country, the only point is to make this country great again or because there are this color of skin
that's really you should be afraid of the other.
I mean, all this parochialism, nationalism, just get rid of it.
That would be extremely liberating.
It's very utopian and kind of stupid, but yes, that would be to make.
one, probably. Yeah. Do you have any closing comments, especially summaries of what you've said today that you want to impart to the listeners? Any closing words of wisdom?
If I want to, I mean, just to give a few last comments, basically the idea that energies have added up to each other is very trivial. And it is known since the 1930s. I mean, people never talked about energy transition until recently.
And I mean, the second part of the book is really, how come that we have started to talk about energy transition?
Where does it come from?
I mean, it's really, really a strange, strange story.
And I hope that people that perhaps will listen to this podcast and perhaps will read the book,
I would convince them that this idea of energy transition is really weird.
It's a very old idea.
And for a very long period of time, experts knew that it was, I mean, they don't talk about energy transition until 1970s, basically.
That's really something that I want to emphasize.
The way we talk about energy is very strange,
and it is based on a very, very strange history of energy.
That would be my conclusion.
Jean-Baptiste-Fresol,
thank you very much for your time today and for your work.
And good luck with your next book.
And I hope to have more conversations with you.
Okay. Thank you very much, Nate.
If you enjoyed or learned from this episode of The Great Simplification,
please follow us on your favorite podcast platform.
You can also visit the great simplification.com for references and show notes from today's conversation.
And to connect with fellow listeners of this podcast, check out our Discord channel.
This show is hosted by me, Nate Hagen's, edited by No Troublemakers Media, and produced by Misty Stinnett, Leslie Battlutz, Brady Hyen and Lizzie Siriani.
