The Herd with Colin Cowherd - What’s Wright - NFL Week 4 Predictions: Nick Wright on Ravens-Chiefs, Vikings-Steelers, Jaguars-49ers & more!
Episode Date: September 27, 2025Nick Wright shares his best bets ahead of Week 4 of the NFL season including his predictions for Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens taking on Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce, and the Kansas City Chi...efs, Aaron Rodgers's Pittsburgh Steelers facing off with Carson Wentz and the Minnesota Vikings in Dublin, Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars heading to San Francisco for a matchup with the 49ers, and more from a loaded Week 4 slate! #VolumeSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
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The Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe.
I'm Kevin.
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We invented a podcast?
Well, we didn't invent it.
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We're the first people to do podcasts.
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Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it.
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Tired and sick.
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Every family has its secrets.
But what happens when you discover that your dad has been living a double life?
That is not the look of an innocent man.
Is everyone lying to me about who they are?
I felt such desperation.
I felt it was what I had to do.
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Welcome in.
What's driving Nick Wright episode 371, our week for NFL pick show, gambling show.
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All right, DeManzai, last week was a stumble.
Your teasers will get to them in a moment.
minute, no longer undefeated.
And week three, I told you, I felt I deserved better than I got.
I'm sorry, week, week two, I told you.
My week two picks, I think we went two and three, or three and two, it doesn't matter.
I felt, I know that I felt like I was on the absolute right side on four of those games
and got, for lack of better term, screwed.
That happened.
that is not what happened in week three.
My three losses in week three, DeMonzei, are as bad a picks as anyone's ever going to have.
So, two and three last week, a game under 500 for the year, that part's fine.
But these losses, some of them should have counted double.
They were so bad.
So let's go through them.
Green Bay, minus seven and a half against Cleveland.
They lose outright.
I lose all my survivors.
I'm just cooked.
They were never covering.
I mean, they were up 10-0.
I guess they were covering briefly.
That was a terrible pick.
Awful job.
Road team against a great defense in a look-ahead spot.
I should have known.
I took the bait.
Somehow, that was my best of the bad ones.
Tennessee plus three and a half against the Colts.
Pick six first play of the game.
Brian Callahan can't figure out how to call a field goal unit out there.
They kick and just a, just routed by the cults.
And somehow that wasn't my worst one of the day because I laid five points with a divisional road favorite with a shaky quarterback, broke all the rules.
I laid, here's the thing.
for my Atlanta minus five bet to win,
Carolina would have had to score negative six points
because Atlanta, I laid five points with a team that got shut out
and allowed 30.
That was the weirdest thing was a weekend, right?
That one was super weird.
I guess Green Bay Browns is pretty weird, but that one was odd.
I was 35 points off on this one.
I thought Atlanta could win by five.
they lost by 30.
Just awful.
Now, the Chargers
controlled the early part of that game.
Denver came back.
Chargers field goal at the gun.
So a little lucky there.
And then Detroit was clearly the right side.
And it went kind of how I thought it was going to go
where I was like last team with the ball wins.
Detroit ended up adding an extra score on it.
But they went for that fourth down late,
ice the game.
So we go two and three.
Um, this week, luckily, I feel great.
Yeah, I like this week's sleep.
I feel, I feel like we're going to start off 1 and 0 before 10 a.m. West Coast time,
because there's a London game, and there's a London game we love.
We will get to that in a moment.
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All right, DeMonse.
Let's quickly roll through the games
that I am not touching.
Okay?
So what is the first one?
Thursday night.
Are we not?
I guess we talked about earlier.
No, because this is, we're doing this on a Thursday,
but people are going to hear it on Friday.
So Thursday night, I don't have a lien.
I don't have a feel.
I'm not touching it.
You guys will have already heard it.
You got Washington minus one at Atlanta.
Staying away from that one.
Well, that's the line.
I don't have the, I don't have, you're just going to have that.
This is one of the, I guess, the downsides to us doing these early.
We don't know the quarterback situation.
I can't give you any handicapped.
on it. What I can't tell you is Michael
Pinnock's is very lucky that
the Atlanta Falcons don't have a real
fan base outside of Atlanta
or else we'd be talking about him more because
he has looked shaky.
The next game, go ahead.
New Orleans and Buffalo?
New Orleans at Buffalo.
Yeah, New Orleans getting 15 and a half.
That to me is
a vintage stayaway.
It's just so many points.
Buffalo can dominate
this game and should dominate this
game and New Orleans can backdoor cover.
I'm also full disclosure, not going to be really locked into that game.
I think that's going to be a 17 to 3 early second quarter game over game.
Next one.
You got Tennessee plus seven at Houston?
Yeah.
So I have decided I am not betting on Tennessee again with Brian Callahan as the head coach,
which is not doing it.
Until he's gone, I will not put any money on the Titans.
I've made this mistake twice this year.
I'm not doing it again.
With that said, I can't lay a touchdown with a Texan team that can't score.
So that's the definition of a stay away.
Next.
Next, the Chargers minus six and a half of the Giants.
I almost included this one.
I almost included.
the Giants getting six and a half.
But it's a rookie quarterback against a great defense.
It's too many points to lay with the Chargers team that's been, you know,
been playing very tight games.
So I'm not going to lay the touchdown with the Chargers.
I kind of like the Giants,
but it's a rookie quarterback's first start against a good defense.
We'll stay away from it.
Next.
Next, you've got Philly minus three and a half at Tampa.
Yeah, I think Philly is the right side in this.
But Philly plays so conservatively that laying more than a field goal on the road just feels foolish.
I can't bet Tampa with all those injuries.
But if I were to, Philly to me is the right side of it.
Next.
Carolina plus five and a half at New England.
Gross.
Neither these teams is trustworthy.
I understand Carolina just scored 30.
I think that's, you know, an aberration.
The Patriots, I can't, you know, just had five turnovers in a game.
I did.
It's just to stay away.
Just flatly, I'm not interested in either team, either side of this game, just flatly staying away.
Next.
You got Indie plus three and a half at the Rams.
I lean Rams, but I have, you know, doubted in consistently.
and I, you know, what I don't want to do is after betting against Indy a couple times,
then Overcorrect, bet on them, and have that be the week that I'm right about them for the season where I didn't think they were that good,
but I can't keep betting against them. And so I'm very excited to watch that game. If Indy wins that game,
I will have to take them seriously,
but I'm staying away from that one.
Next.
Chicago plus one at the Raiders.
I might have been wrong about the Raiders.
I believed in the Raiders going into the year.
I thought the defense would be better than people said it would be.
It kind of has been.
I thought Gino was a huge upgrade.
Aside from week two, he has been.
I might have underrated how awful that offensive line is.
With that said, because,
I have some real stakes in the ground on the Raiders.
I don't want to flip entirely and all of a sudden go with the bears this week.
So this is just, I'm just staying away.
Sunday night.
Green Bay minus six and a half at Dallas.
If I had to bet a side here, I would definitely bet Green Bay.
I think though, Dack Prescott at home getting almost a full touchdown,
backdoor cover is going to be wide open the whole game.
I think that a blowout is far more likely than a Dallas victory,
but I just don't want to lay a full touchdown on the road
in what could be an emotional spot for both teams,
and I certainly can't bet on Dallas after what their defense has been all year long.
All right, last one we're not doing.
You got the Jets plus two and a half.
at Miami.
Yeah, I don't know how you can put in and believe in the dolphins.
I also don't think you can right now bet on the Jets getting less than a field goal.
So those are stayaways.
It's always a good sign to Monzae when a few of the stayaway games I actually like.
It's never a good sign when we're down, we're to the fourth pick of my five.
And it's a stay away.
Yeah, but I just have to have five.
It's a great sign when there's a game like the Giants getting six and a half that I kind of like.
Or what was the other one?
Philly laying three and a half that I kind of like that I just am saying we're not doing it because I love these five so much.
Let's start in Dublin, DeMonsay.
You've got Minnesota minus two and a half versus Pitt or versus Pittsburgh.
I don't know.
I call them Pitt.
Yeah.
They'd be minus more against Pitt, the college, but against Pittsburgh.
I can't believe I don't have to lay a full field goal here.
Aaron Rogers played in overseas last year against Minnesota.
That was the famous Mike.
Mike's got to be on the red line game.
He turned the ball over three times against that Flores defense.
I just saw this Minnesota defense absolutely demolish Jake Browning,
who right now stylistically is not that dissimilar to Rogers.
Accurate, got to get the ball out quick.
Favorites in international games are covering machines,
32 and 18 against the spread.
Rogers has been awful against pressure this year,
bottom three quarterback in the league when pressured,
and the Vikings are the top three in the league at bringing pressure.
I love Minnesota laying less than a field goal.
I understand that means I'm betting Carson Wentz as a favorite.
I don't care.
I'm not betting Carson Wentz.
I'm betting the Vikings defense minus two and a half against
Pittsburgh and I don't clip this.
I don't want this to be correct,
but I'm just flagging it.
It's on the board.
You're shaking your head, DeMonsei.
What do you think I'm going to say here?
You're going to say Aaron Rogers might end his season.
You said it.
It's on the board against this defense with that Pittsburgh offensive line
that this is the last we see of Aaron.
Like, I think you ought to be prepared for that.
Like, I am legitimately worried for Rogers in this game.
I don't think that offensive line's been good.
He's not mobile, and they are going to heat him up.
So I love Minnesota minus two and a half.
Next.
Hey, it's us, the Jonas brothers, and guess what?
We have some big news.
What's the news, huge news?
We've created our own podcast.
Hey Jonas.
We invented a podcast?
Well, we didn't invent it.
We just contributed to it.
We're the first people to do podcasts.
Pretty, yeah, pretty wide range of podcasts.
We're starting a trend.
But this one's extra special.
So how did we actually come up with a name, Hey Jonas, guys?
I honestly don't remember.
I think it was on a call about what we should call it.
Oh, we were thinking I'm originally calling it one of the early names of our band.
Before Jonas Brothers was...
This is how you guys remember it going down.
Yes. I have a very different memory of this.
We were talking about a thing, a bit for the podcast,
where people could call in and say, Hey, Jonas.
And then I wrote down on my little notepad, Hey Jonas,
and offered it up as a potential title for the podcast.
But thanks for remembering that, guys.
Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts,
or wherever you get your podcast.
Just listen. We don't care where you hear it.
Another podcast from some SNL, late-night comedy guy,
not quite.
Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and friends,
me and hilarious guests,
from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman
help make you funnier.
This week, my guest,
SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel
help an a cappella band
with their between songs banter.
Where does your group perform?
We do some retirement homes.
Those people are starving for banter.
Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and friends
on the I-Heart Radio app,
Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Keith Gianmanca seemed like a mild-mannered suburban dad,
but secretly, he became someone else.
master of disguise who went on a crime spree. At the time, did it seem like a crazy idea?
It seemed very crazy, but I felt so desperate that I felt it was the quickest, easiest way out.
Did you allow yourself to think about how it could go wrong and what that might look like?
No, I didn't want to manifest that. I was trying to manifest success.
Every family has its secrets.
But what happens when you discover that your dad has been living a double life?
That is not the look of an innocent man.
This is going to change my life and my family dynamic forever,
because everything that had existed prior in my reality is now untrue.
Listen to Deep Cover the Family Man on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Hey, I'm Jared Ardano.
You might know me as that loud guy who yells out, help!
on the internet.
Help!
Somebody!
Please!
But there's so much more to me than that.
I'm an actor.
I'm a comedian, and recently,
I've become quite the helper myself.
And on my new podcast,
hope from a hypocrite,
I'll be changing lives,
helping people in need
with my sage advice
and thoughtful solutions.
Sike! I'm a comedian.
I'm not qualified to give good advice.
Join me and my comedian friends
as we riff rant
and recommend some of
the most legally dubious advice.
known to man.
If I'm calling you, even if you're on your phone, let it ring twice.
One ring is too scary.
Cream a chicken suit.
Hey, cream a chicken suit.
This is Help from a Hypocrat, the worst advice from the dumbest people you know.
Listen to Help from Hypocrite as part of the MyCultura Podcast Network available on the IHartRadio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
Cleveland Plus 10 at Detroit.
So listen, the Cleveland defense is awesome.
They're awesome.
The Lions offensive line was great against Baltimore's D-Line.
Cleveland's D-Line with rookie Mason Graham, who's been great.
Miles Garrett, who's just an all-time great,
is very different than Baltimore's defensive line.
I also think you've got Detroit short week coming,
off that emotional win.
The trends of
teams that
had a win like Cleveland did.
Early season,
touchdown bigger dogs
that win a game outright. The next week,
18, 9, and 4 against
the spread. I know
Detroit's been covering machines.
10 is just too many points
for a game that I
think is going to
not be super high scoring.
I think Cleveland's
defense can keep them in games.
Week one, Cleveland's defense kept them in the SINC game.
Week three, Cleveland's defense won in the game.
Week four against Baltimore, Cleveland's defense was good.
Cleveland had more passing yards, rushing yards, third down, more time of possession
than Baltimore, lost by a million because they had a pump blocked.
There's a fumble.
There's a pick.
If Cleveland just takes care of the ball, they can keep.
this to within single digits, I'll take Cleveland plus 10. Next.
Yeah, Jacksonville plus three at the Niners.
Yeah, I think that Trevor's going to have time to throw with Nikki Bosa out.
I also think that whether it's Mack Jones or Purdy, that Jacksonville D-line is legitimate.
it and is scary.
And I think that the Niners, to their credit, have found ways to win.
It's been close games.
And I think those three points are super, super valuable.
Now, I will tell you this, because we're recording this on Thursday.
If you like Jacksonville on this spot,
I would wait to bet them because I think Purdy is going to play
and I think that this line goes at least to three and a half and maybe to four.
But the Niners, it's not only that obviously Boas is out,
but as of Wednesday, Jowan Jennings and Ricky Pearsall weren't practicing.
another defensive lineman, Gross-Metose, was not practicing.
Trent Williams is healthy, but, and so he didn't practice, but that was just rest-related.
I just, I think Jacksonville is as good as San Francisco, and I'm getting a field goal.
I'll take Jacksonville.
Next.
Who would have known?
Kansas City plus two and a half versus Baltimore.
I mean.
Mahomes doesn't lose to Lamar.
The Ravens are on a short week.
The Ravens D-line.
Wednesday, Demande,
every single one of the Ravens starting D-Linman missed practice.
Every single one.
We know Madabuque is not playing,
and that's a bigger story for them for the whole season
because he might be,
his neck injury is, like, really scary.
But,
the chiefs are at home.
I believe the chiefs are better
than Baltimore. The chiefs
need it. They are getting
Xavier Worthy back. They are
the more rested team. They are
the more put together team right now.
They are the team that
comes into this game more
confident. And
I
I think the
Lamar versus the chief's thing is real
and the fact that I am
getting points in
Kansas City against a Ravens team that right now has the worst defense in the conference,
I'll just take it. And Patrick, by the way, five and one in his career against Lamar,
four and two against the spread. I'll take the chiefs here. This is also where you and I need to
discuss a bet. Five and two. Five and two coming up. But yeah. What do you want to throw on the line?
So what do you, if the Ravens win, what do you want for me? Um,
the best thing I can think of,
I mean, this is way later down the road.
I think this is in March.
Grand Theft Auto 6 is coming out,
and the prices of games these days have gone up.
Used to be 60.
It's like 70 now,
but that's like a game that everybody's been waiting on.
That one might be like $100.
So I would love to like not have to come out of pocket
for Grand The 906.
The Ravens win the game straight up.
All right.
So if the Ravens win the game straight up,
this is a straight up bet, not a spread.
Yeah, not spread.
Yeah.
Is there anything else game-related?
that you're going to want
when that comes out like a headset
or anything else related
like I don't know how Grand Theft Auto
works these days.
Yeah, I mean, if you want to throw some extra money,
I could buy a shark card,
throw some money on there immediately.
It's like the end game.
It's like in game currency 100%.
It's like 5 million.
It's like for on, um, it's like what's it,
V bucks on.
Exactly. Exactly. It's great.
All right.
Okay, done.
here's what I want from you.
Okay.
Whatever the next holiday you come home from, all of my, all of my kitchen cleanup responsibilities fall to you.
Okay.
Not for the whole time, but for whether it's Thanksgiving dinner or Christmas dinner, whatever is.
whatever it is.
Yeah, the big, okay.
The one big meal kitchen cleanup responsibilities are yours and yours, like,
there's not going to be any, you're going to have,
you're the one that tells your mom, I lost a bet.
I have to do this.
He's not allowed to.
Yeah, I'll take it.
Thanksgiving's rough, but, but yeah,
Thanksgiving's rough.
That's why I added that shark card.
because I yeah okay all right we have a best
do it all right all right deal
what's the last pick of the week
last pick is Cincinnati plus seven and a half
at Denver I couldn't believe this line
I couldn't believe it
listen I understand Cincinnati has not looked good
with Browning I get that
he's not going to turn the ball over
three times every game
they still have those skill position guys
Denver why would you
trust Denver to blow anybody out.
Like, I just, I'm getting more than a touchdown.
Cincinnati plus seven and a half in a game, I think they could win outright.
So yeah, I don't overthink this one.
Cincinnati plus seven and a half, they can win outright.
Pat Sertan's not playing great.
Denver's offense is shaky at best.
Yes, give me the seven and a half.
All right, so our five picks this week, four dogs, one favorite in Ireland.
Minnesota minus two and a half against Pittsburgh, Cleveland getting tanning at Detroit,
Jacksonville, getting three at San Francisco, Kansas City, getting two and a half at home against Baltimore,
and Cincinnati getting seven and a half at Denver.
Before we get to DeManzai's teaser, let me remind you guys, if you think about upgrading to the all-new iPhone 17 Pro,
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All right, DeMonsei, you took one on the chin last week with the teaser, three team eight pointer.
Rams plus 11 was a great one.
Houston plus 10.
I don't know if we can show.
Houston plus 10 solid.
Cincinnati plus 11.
Brian Flores did it to you, pal.
Yeah.
That was just a problem in my process there.
I should have,
there were a lot of other games on the slate that I could have chosen
Cincinnati after dealing with the backup quarterback in their second game.
There's just other landscape.
I should have chosen differently.
And you could have doubled a teaser and still would have lost.
But this week is a three-team eight-point teaser for plus 100.
We were teasing Kansas City up to plus 10.5.
The Jets up to plus 10.5.
And Green Bay up to plus 1.5.
I am aware of the Browns down essentially all the way to one and a half.
I'm aware that the Browns are out there.
That was another one that I liked a lot.
I would have liked to tease that one.
But this is the one that we're going with.
I don't see Green Bay losing that game.
But yeah.
I agree with that.
Listen, Kansas City doesn't get blown out.
Green Bay is not going to lose.
You're also not getting as much value if you do Cleveland.
because you're not getting through his key of numbers.
With the jets, you get through all the key numbers.
And the question is, can the dolphins blow anybody out?
The answer to that's probably no.
Because you are teasing through the zero,
I can't give you a straight A.
I will give you an A minus.
I like this one a lot.
Okay.
I like this one a lot.
Producers, you guys had in there an offer earlier that I was going to take.
Oh, wow.
The, and it's gone now.
So see, so, DeMonte, let's go to the offer that they, the offers they have in there now.
And I'm going to tell you if I'll take those as well.
But there is one that I'm interested in.
Yeah, so you said that this was time for Kelsey to use one of his good games.
So Kelsey six plus receptions is at plus 230.
Or if you want to get really spicy and dangerous with it, you can go Kelsey eight plus receptions.
for plus 900.
So I'm not going to take either one of those.
But they had in there earlier a Kelsey.
Here it is.
This one is plus money and I like it a lot.
I like this offer and I'm going to take this offer.
You got it, DeMonte?
Yeah.
Oh, so Kelsey, four plus receptions and Parsons over to have a sack at plus 146.
So half a sack.
So over half a sack.
So if he gets half a sack, we don't lose it.
Oh, you know what I mean?
It just reduces because you can get half sacks.
So Kelsey have at least four catches.
Micah over half a sack plus 146.
I am taking that offer.
I think Kelsey's going to have at least four catches.
I think Micah will get home at least once.
I'm taking that offer.
Done and done.
First offer of the year.
That we're taking.
I love it.
All right.
Thank you to all our great sponsors.
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Thank you to all you guys.
Please like,
rate, subscribe, review.
Good luck to everybody this weekend.
Rider Cup.
Amazing day of college football on Saturday.
Ireland game Sunday morning.
Chiefs Raven Sunday afternoon.
Great weekend of football.
Talk to you guys later.
What's right?
All right.
Thank you so much.
Appreciate you guys.
Got to run.
Bye.
Hey, guys.
It's us, the Jonas Brothers. I'm Joe. I'm Kevin.
And I'm Nick. And guess what?
We created our own podcast called Hey Jonas.
We invented a podcast?
Well, we didn't invent it. We just contributed to it.
We're the first people to do podcasts.
We get to ask other people questions because we're sick and tired of being asked questions.
Well, sick and tired is a strong way to put it.
But, you know, tired and sick.
Listen to Hey Jonas on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Just listen. We don't care where you hear it.
Another podcast from some SNL late-night comedy guy, not quite.
Unhumor me with Robert Smygel and Friends.
Me and hilarious guests from Bob Odenkirk to David Letterman help make you funnier.
This week, my guest, SNL's Mikey Day and head writer Streeter Seidel
help an a cappella band with their between songs banter.
Where does your group perform?
We do some retirement homes.
Those people are starving for banter.
Listen to humor me with Robert Smigel and Friends on the I-Heart Radio app,
Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcast.
Podcasts.
Turn someday into right now with Body by Jake Radio.
Nonstop workout music and expert tips 24-7.
Hey, head over to iHeart.com.
Search Body by Jake Radio and stream it for free right now.
Awesome health and wellness tips 24 hours a day, seven days a week.
Remember, stick to the fight.
When your hardest hit, it's when things seem worse that you must not quit.
Don't quit.
Body by Jake Radio, where hope meets momentum.
Search Body by Jake Radio and stream it for free.
Have a great day.
Every family has its secrets.
But what happens when you discover that your dad has been living a double life?
That is not the look of an innocent man.
Is everyone lying to me about who they are?
I felt such desperation.
I felt it was what I had to do.
Listen to Deep Cover the Family Man on the IHeart Radio app, Apple Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts.
This is an I-Heart podcast.
Guaranteed human.
