The Hockey PDOcast - Episode 274: The Podcast is One for One
Episode Date: January 22, 2019Rachel Doerrie joins the show to discuss her time with the New Jersey Devils Hockey Ops, the Hurricanes buying low on Nino Niederreiter, the Oilers giving Mikko Koskinen a head-scratching extension, a...nd what separates well run teams from their counterparts. We also talk about the pros and cons of video tracking coming to the NHL, and market inefficiencies still there to be exploited. Sponsoring today’s show is SeatGeek, which is making it easier than ever before to buy and sell sports and concert tickets. They’re giving our listeners a $10 rebate off of their first purchase. All you have to do is download the free SeatGeek app and enter the promo code PDO to get started. A reminder that we’re hosting a daily fantasy listener league contest over at FanDuel every Thursday this season. While you wait for the next opportunity to play to come around, go over to fanduel.com/PDO and tell them we’ve sent you. They’ll hook you up with a bonus $5 to play with after your first deposit, which will surely come in handy throughout the year. See you there! See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices If you'd like to gain access to the two extra shows we're doing each week this season, you can subscribe to our Patreon page here: www.patreon.com/thehockeypdocast/membership If you'd like to participate in the conversation and join the community we're building over on Discord, you can do so by signing up for the Hockey PDOcast's server here: https://discord.gg/a2QGRpJc84 The views and opinions expressed in this podcast are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rogers Media Inc. or any affiliate.
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To the mean since 2015, it's the Hockey P.D.O.cast with your host, Dmitri Filipovich.
Welcome to the Hockey P.D.O.cast. My name is Dimitri Filipovich.
and joining me is my good buddy Rachel Dory.
Rachel, what's going on?
I'm good. How are you?
I'm good. I'm excited to finally have you on.
You know, for various reasons over the past year or two,
I haven't been able to get you on the show yet,
and we've talked about doing this.
And now that you're at a different stage of your career,
hopefully we can finally have this conversation
and get around to doing it.
So I'm pretty excited about that.
Yeah, me too.
I mean, I think it was probably at least over a year
we connected and started talking about doing this.
So now that we finally finally,
they get to have this podcast.
It's exciting.
Well, give the listeners a brief rundown of, you know, I guess your various job titles over
the years or what you've been up to because, yeah, listeners do always get on my case for
skimming past that and just assuming that everyone knows everyone in this little hockey
community you have going on.
So if anyone doesn't know you or isn't familiar with your work in the past, give them
a brief rundown and we're going to get into it.
So essentially, I just spent the last year and a bit with the New Jersey
Devils as their analyst of player information and video.
So that's essentially taking all the video and information that comes into the organization
and filling the needs of the different parts of the hockey operations department.
So whether it be the coaching staff that has needs or any reports that they need versus the
scouting staff, amateur or pro, sort of handling their needs, whether it be video or different
projects statistically.
So that's sort of what I've been doing for the past year and a bit.
Prior to that, I had a short stint at the athletic, which is actually how I got the job
in New Jersey.
But I went to school sort of for sports business, and my first gig actually was working
for the Sudbury Wolves as their video coach, and that's sort of how I got into video
was being their video coach and handling different needs for the coach.
coaching staff from that perspective.
So it kind of just grew from there.
Through university, I was also doing some analytics
with the hockey team at Nipissing University up in North Bay.
So it's been really fluid.
And now I'm actually finally getting my first break since forever, actually,
because I didn't take any time off school after high school or university.
So it's good.
I'm going to have a bit of a break here.
you're doing, I mean, you should be doing something more glamorous, you know, sitting on a beach or
something instead, you're, you're wasting your time coming on this podcast.
I mean, honestly, I took a bit of a break.
I, for the first, probably I would say week and a bit.
I didn't watch a single hockey game and it was really refreshing.
And I'm actually willing to Germany in February to spend some time with family.
So I doubt I'll be watching much hockey while I'm over there.
Just a lot of my other passion, which is soccer.
So I'm very excited for that.
Yeah, I feel like that cleansing on the palette is really important, unfortunately, just because of my job, I don't really get a chance to do so during the season.
But, yeah, in the summer especially, I mean, it's pretty easy, especially around August when it feels like the hockey world kind of collectively agrees not to do anything.
I like to kind of unplug and just not think about hockey for a week, because especially doing, like, when you're in the, in the midst of it throughout the regular season, I mean, it really can be such a, such a grind and marathon.
And not that I'm complaining, it's the best job in the world.
but yeah it's uh you know sometimes you can get kind of you can lose the forest for the trees just
because you're so deep into it and taking a step back like that is probably ultimately a good thing
in the long run oh absolutely like it's just um it's necessary quite honestly when hockey's become
such a 12 month sport even in minor hockey which is insane in my opinion um people just need to learn
like you need to take a break and quite honestly unless you're the GM or the assistant GM of the team
or maybe even a head coach, but even they take a break at least,
you should be able to shut her down for probably like at least two weeks,
sort of in the summer.
I know teams operate differently,
but there is nothing that you're doing after prospect camp
or development camp and before sort of late August.
That's really that important,
unless you're pulling off like a huge trade,
which is obviously a little bit of.
bit different, but I think the whole shutting down thing, if you don't have time to shut down,
you're not rejuvenated for the season. And then that's sort of how hockey eats people up.
It's like, we don't get break. Yeah, you become very cynical and jaded and lose out of the fact
that it's, you know, ultimately kind of talking and evaluating a game. And it's, it's pretty sweet.
So on today's show, we're going to talk about your time of the devils and we're going to
bounce around and do a bunch of different topics. But I thought that a good starting point for us would be to
discuss the recent trade between the Carolina Hurricanes in Minnesota Wild because I haven't had a chance
to do a show since the news broke of that. And I mean, in the grand scheme of things, it's not necessarily,
you know, a monumental trade by any means that shifts the landscape of the NHL. But, you know,
especially with a guy like Nino Niederrater, he's a pretty big name and he's done some good things in
NHL. And I think we're at this point of the season so starved for a player's transaction news like that.
and we're gearing up towards trade deadline season,
which is probably the most fun part of the year.
And I thought this would be a good opportunity for us to kind of discuss that trade
and sort of evaluate it from both perspectives
and see if it is as lopsided as it seemed like it was on the surface when it first broke.
Yeah, for sure.
I mean, it's definitely not like a Taylor Hall for Adam Larson or a C-Bahn for Weber type of altering trade.
But I think on its surface, both players could actually be very good fits
for their new teams based on how they play.
Particularly Nino just because he has good shot relative metrics
for a Minnesota team that plays very defensively,
and that fits right into how Carolina focuses on their shot and chance generation.
So I think the fact that Nino sort of was a leader in shot generation
and scoring chances with Minnesota will make it.
him just a glove-type fit in Carolina because that's exactly the type of style that they like
to play.
And then you have Victor Rask who, I would say like his skating isn't as bad as it is made
out to be, but it certainly isn't.
Wow, what a glowing endorsement.
Yeah.
I mean, it's not as, it's not as bad as it's made out to be, but it's certainly not
top line sort of.
echelon in today's game.
But I think under the Boudreau
sort of Minnesota system,
he will actually
be better than his stats in Carolina were.
Just because I think he'll fit that system
may perhaps a little bit better
because, I mean, let's face it,
Minnesota is not exactly the fastest team,
but they do have a system that allows him
to play very structured defensively.
And I think Rask is one of those players
that while he doesn't necessarily
have the speed.
He's very smart, and I think that'll fit really well with what Minnesota sort of does.
Yeah, yeah, for sure.
It's interesting because you mentioned some of the other one-for-one trades we've seen in
the past, and it's obviously not of that caliber.
I think it's closer to the Jordan Eberle for Ryan Strom trade.
I think the Rask at this point of his career still has, you know, more of a realistic
opportunity of actually providing some positive value than Ryan
Strome does it at this stage of his career.
But it feels like from Minnesota's perspective, they wanted to ultimately save a bit
of money.
And I think they save about a million and some change per season over the next three years
on the cap.
And they get a center.
And I understand that was probably kind of the rationale from it from their perspective.
And obviously, with Nino's declining offensive numbers the past couple years, they felt
like it wouldn't be too much of a drop off.
or maybe they felt like, you know, they were trying to salvage some value while they still could.
It's just, I mean, for me, when I look at this trade and I look at Nino Nita Ryder's sort of trajectory
for his career, like, what are the odds realistically that a 26-year-old suddenly forgot how to play
hockey? And that's ultimately what I keep going back to. And then you look at some of the percentages
and sort of what's causing that decline in offensive numbers. And I certainly think he's not,
without blame. I think he hasn't played as well as he did during that breakout season in 2016,
when he scored 25 goals and had nearly 60 points.
But it does feel like there's a lot of sort of percentage fluctuation here.
Particularly, I think he fell out of favor a bit because you look and I know NHL teams still
are looking at plus minus or some reason.
And he's a minus 11 this year for Minnesota compared to the plus big whatever he was,
double digits in the years past.
And I think part of that is why he fell out of favor and why people are viewing his season
is such a disappointment.
And then you look a bit closer and all of a sudden you see like, oh, whenever he's been out
on the ice, the combination of Dubik and Steylock hasn't been able to make a save. And I don't think
that's, that's clearly not something that's been a trend of his over his career. So it feels like
that's more of a 40, 50 game aberration than anything. And so what I keep coming back to for this
trade is I feel like Minnesota made that kind of Cardinal Sin mistake of selling Nino Niederrider
when he was at his lowest value just because of that depreciated on a save percentage. And I hate
when teams operate that way because, I mean, it seems kind of cold to talk about players.
as assets and I understand there's a human element to it, but ultimately if you're running a team,
you sometimes do need to view them as assets and view this as a business. And it feels like they
kind of misread this situation and sold low when, you know, I don't think, especially like a
year or two ago, if you were saying, what can we get for Nina, Nita Ryder? It feels like it could
have been a lot more. Yeah, like I would say, I mean, a small sample size because Rask has only played,
I think, 26 games this year because he somehow like chopped off his finger. Right.
But if you look at the numbers and I saw the chart, the evolving wild chart, ironically.
And I think it's like this season, Nino is plus two in even strength games above replacement
or goals above replacement, sorry.
And Rask is minus three and a half.
Like that's a pretty big discrepancy.
Right.
And I also think with Nino, he's not as good as the 60-point player he was in his breakout season,
but he also isn't as bad.
I think if given the proper opportunity,
which I think he will get in Carolina
where he'll be a good power play option,
and this gives them two,
maybe two and a half solid lines with Aho and Tara Vinen
and the young Svetchnikov.
He's probably a 40 to 45 point player,
and that's not bad.
Like, you can definitely have that kind of player on your team.
And the fact that he moves the puck
really well and he plays with speed, both perfectly for somebody like Sebastian Aho or
Lucas Walmock and especially Andrei Shetnikov, which is a player that's going to be really
key for Carolina down the stretch. So I think this move was more for Carolina. Not just a change of
scenery for Victor Rask, but it was more about injecting perhaps another player who can play
with their mentality of speed, get the puck to the net, create scoring.
chances in that kind of philosophy.
I think, you know, if that's well there.
And I mean, selling low is never a good idea.
You look what Edmonton did with Eberley and sort of the trade tree that ended up with
Ryan Spooner on waivers today.
It's never good to sell low, but I think at least Minnesota gets a player that will be
serviceable in a three center type of role.
And if there's injuries, he could play.
on the second line.
So it's not as bad sort of as I think it was made out to be.
Yeah.
I mean,
they got a functional NHL are back at least in return.
But no,
I like this from Carolina's perspective.
Obviously,
I think, you know,
points aside and offensive production aside,
Niederr has shown over his career
that he's one of the few wingers
that can sort of discernibly
or tangibly,
you know,
drive possession,
especially defensively for his team.
And even this year,
during his offensive struggles,
he's still been a positive shot share player on
on Minnesota.
And he's going to feel like a goal.
love, as you mentioned, on that Carolina team, and it feels like they're going to probably
generate just an absurd amount of shots if they haven't been already. And we've seen so far,
he's only played the two games with Carolina, but he's looked mighty good next to Sebastian
Ajo, and he's got the two goals against Edmonton and seven shots on Ned. And so it feels like
he is really going to be a perfect fit there. And I think that, you know, expecting him to kind
of bounce back and look a lot better than he looked in this first half of the season seems like a
good bet and I imagine that's exactly what Carolina and their analytic staff led by Eric Tulski
were probably looking for in targeting. And I don't know, like when I, when this trade happened,
I did look at that and I at the PDO and I understand people's reservations with it and the flaws.
And you sort of should look at the on-ice shooting percentage and save percentage individually and not
lump them together. But when stuff like this happens and when a guy's just fall out of favor or
when the perception of players changes or the narrative becomes that they're struggling, it's still
crazy in 2019 how often we come back to the idea of it's probably just because they've been a bit
unlucky and things are going to turn around like as much as we've gotten smarter collectively and
sort of acknowledging this stuff and the importance of it it feels like a lot of mainstream media
members and even teams and coaches still get fooled by this stuff and place a bit too much stock in it
and you know later you and i are going to talk about market and efficiencies and places you can
kind of exploit stuff in the trade market and somehow it is still one of them well it's interesting
because this is absolutely a market inefficiency
as being able to buy low on players.
Not to mention the fact that this is still,
the whole using archaic stats is still very prevalent.
I had my friend who I'm sort of trying to teach hockey to
because this person never,
she didn't come from a hockey family.
So she's learned everything she knows from hockey
from basically talking to me and on Twitter
and watching Sportsnet.
Well, when you have broadcasts that are mentioning combined plus minus,
that's a big problem.
And then I can say that I have heard more than a few of the hockey men use combined plus minus as a stat.
And you just had to shake your head because there's just so many more telling stats
that clearly a staff led by Eric Tulski is using and the team is listening to.
that when you as one team are looking at plus minus as your tell-all stat, that's a relatively large issue, especially given sort of what we have.
And this even comes back to what's going on in Toronto right now with William Nylanders.
Yeah, he's not going to shoot 2% forever.
He's going to have a regression to the mean.
And I think a lot of people sort of forget that that's how things work is sometimes,
there's a cold slumper sometimes your shots aren't going in but that's not the time to trade a player
yeah i mean it's obviously easier than done for us when we're kind of looking at this from afar and we
don't have any any stake in it or any emotional attachment to it and you could just sort of go like okay
let's kind of cooler heads prevail this will eventually turn around but obviously if you're the player
if you're the team and you're watching this guy constantly have nothing to show for being out on
the ice i imagine it can be pretty um irritating or or make it make that kind of uh
make you itch to make some sort of a trade because you're all of a sudden starting to feel desperate.
But yeah, sometimes, you know, just looking at this stuff a bit more cautiously and accounting for fluctuations and those percentages can go a long way towards, you know, preventing big mistakes that you ultimately can't get back.
So I don't know.
I don't think there's anything else particularly on this trade.
I think, you know, a lot of the analysis has already come out so far.
It's been a handful of days and we've soaked it up and it feels like this is a win for Carolina.
we'll see how it plays out. But I did want to talk a bit about the Oilers as well with you,
because you and I have been messaging back and forth. And today, especially, we're recording
this on Monday evening with Ryan Spooner going on waivers and then the Miko Koskinin contract extension.
It feels like the hits just, you know, don't stop coming. And who knows, by the time this podcast
is posted, maybe they'll even have relieved Peter Shirelli of his duties. But yeah, it's a seemingly
never-ending circus in Edmonton with head-scratching moves.
questionable decisions.
So what's interesting is I actually have a very good relationship with the New Jersey
goaltending coach, Willie Malanson, and the goaltending development coach Scott Clemenson.
Like I did pretty much every project they had, I did for them.
So we have a very good relationship.
And the one thing that I really came out of that with is goalies don't tend to get better
in their 30s.
And obviously with what's going on in New Jersey right now,
with Corey Schneider. I mean, it's been well documented from every single angle. It's very
difficult to see why you would think that Koskinan needs a $4.5 million A.A.V. Now I understand
he's played very well, and he has. He's been great. But does this not really remind you of
the Scott Darling contract and the fact that Darling had one really, really good season? And then
he was signed to this contract for relatively similar money and you just didn't have a big
enough sample size to see sort of where it was going to go and obviously I hope that it ends up
turning out for Edmonton a little bit better than Scott Darling has but you can't help but draw
the comparison I think it's an even riskier bet to be honest I mean I think you're overselling
slightly how good Koskinin's been oh he got off to a really hot start and particularly in November he
was amazing and he was sort of single-handedly keeping Edmonton afloat, especially during that
coaching transition. But I believe since the end of November, so he's played like 16 games or so
in December and January. He's kind of reverted back to being a 900 goalie. He's got a 9-11, say,
percentage for the year, which is still slightly above average. But I think ultimately that's
sort of what he is where he's kind of hovering around a league average guy. I mean, he's
0.44 goals saved above average for the year. Like, it seems like,
you can find goalies like this and I'm not trying to devalue what he's meant to Edmonton
or how important he's been especially with Camp Talbot's fast and fully documented
struggles this year but you're right I mean he's going to be turning 31 by the time this
contract extension kicks in and right now he's got 28 career in HL starts and four of them
came like a decade ago so it seems like a pretty ambitious bet for them to take especially
with
it just
I mean obviously he would have been
an intriguing
candidate in the in the trade
rental market as well
and they possibly could have got
assets there but
some of the pushback
that I've gotten
when I was tweeting about this
was well this is sort of
the price of doing business
and this is you know
there you have to prevent
you're trying to get ahead
of the curve and not let a guy
hit the open market
because then other teams can create a bidding war
it's like okay ultimately
if someone wants to pay
Miko Koskinin more than
$4.5 million dollars per season
And you ultimately just you thank him for his service.
You give him a sturdy handshake and you let him walk out the door.
And that's just the way it is.
And it seems like a very questionable bet.
Like ultimately,
the three-year deal is in the end of the world.
We've seen some disastrous goalie contracts that run way into the late 30s.
And that's not going to be the case here.
But it just seems like an unnecessary risk for him to take.
I'm not sure what the upside is.
I guess if he turns into an above average starting goalie,
then it looks like a good deal.
But at that price, it's not even like that big.
of a home run if that happens and the likelihood of that happening seems pretty minimal at this
point. So I did some thinking. Apart from looking at his stats, I would say that Gru Bauer probably
has a better track record. Anti-Ranta definitely has a better track record. So if I'm Edmonton
and they clearly don't think the same way that I guess hockey Twitter does, I look at anti-Ranta
stats and I go, I'm sorry, but I am not paying you anywhere near as much as Antiranta because
he's clearly established himself as a number one, obviously, when he's not hurt.
And we can't be paying you in the same neighborhood.
But the one thing about the Koskenen deal is it wouldn't shock me to see Edmonton take Spencer
Knight in this draft.
And goalies need about three and a half-ish years to develop.
And that sort of lines up with the Koskenin contract.
So maybe if that's sort of the line that they're thinking is we're going to take a goalie in the draft this year,
perhaps a Spencer Knight who, by all accounts, is sort of Andre Vasilevsky light.
That makes a little bit of sense, but I just don't see the need for $4.5 million.
The term is fine, especially if that sort of your plan is to develop either Olivier Rodriguez or a goalie that you draft.
this year perhaps Spencer Knight. The term makes sense, but I just don't see why you need to sign a
goaltender to $4.5 million when you've got Luchich on the books, you've got Russell on the books,
you've got Secair on the books, and then you have your McDavid and your dry-sidal sort of thing.
I just don't see why you need to be spending that amount of money. Yeah, I felt like they were
kind of bidding against themselves here. And I just, yeah, I'm not sure what the market in free agency.
I mean, obviously there's still half a season to go.
And if he accrues more quality starts in that period of time, maybe the narrative will change a little bit.
But yeah, it seems like kind of 4D chess for them to be like trying to map things out that far ahead and being like, okay, we're trying to bridge this gap for three years here.
And then this goalie, we're going to eventually maybe possibly draft will turn out to be our goalie of our future.
Like, I don't know, it just seems like a comedy of errors.
And that, you know, leads into the issue of what's going on right now, what they're met with their front of.
office and their management where it's like, you know, it feels like we're really, somehow we haven't
reached this point yet, but it feels like we're rapidly approaching this kind of point, no return
or boiling point where things are just going to come so untenable. The Doylers are eventually
going to have to replace their general manager and let Peter Shirley go and go somewhere else.
And if that's the case, and it feels like it is, then why are you letting that GM, who's ultimately
a sitting duck GM, make these sorts of long-term decisions and try and
to map out what your team's going to look like three or four years from now when he's probably
not going to be around himself. So that kind of gets into this kind of like conflict of interest issue
where when a GM's fighting for his life and trying to get into the playoffs, I find it hard to believe
that he's also balancing the best long-term interest of the franchise in mind with some of these
moves. And we're seeing that take place. And I think that's the frustrating part, especially when
you're looking at Connor McDavid's trajectory and acknowledging that even though they've already
wasted a couple good years here. There's still a long shelf life of his peak years to come and you
want to maximize them as opposed to just strapping yourself with these contracts that kind of keep pushing
the ball forward but not ultimately getting you anywhere. Yeah. And I think one of the issues that
maybe doesn't get enough attention is when your owner is a giant fan. Yes, you want the owner to be a
fan, but you also don't, ultimately he pays the money, but you don't want him making the decisions
around player personnel other than yes, no, I am not signing, I am not paying this, or I am going
to pay this, or I'm willing to pay this. Like, I don't think it's necessarily a good idea to have
ownership that involved. And speaking from experience, it's better when ownership kind of trusts
the person that they have in place and doesn't try and get actively involved.
I understand why Daryl Cates would want to be involved given sort of the track record and things.
But when you think about it, he put him in place.
So you can't put someone in place if you don't trust them.
So I think that is an issue.
And it came out with a story with Yakupah versus Murray.
And I'm sure that he's had his fair share of him involvement.
And he owns a team, so that's fine.
but I think he deserves his fair share of blame for sort of what's going on in Edmonton
with regard to the hirings and the forcing of deals.
I don't think that Peter Shirelli signs Luchich to that contract or Russell to that contract
without Cates's either pushing or stamp of approval.
Oh, 100%.
Yeah, none of this stuff happens in a vacuum, but obviously it's a,
I mean, it's fun to blame Peter Shirley for all.
I love the new cat-friendly feature where you can go and look at every single GM's trade in their career.
And somebody sent me a few of the former and current GM's track records.
And it's pretty fun to compare quite honestly.
Yeah, I mean, this trade tree going from Everly to Strom to Spooner to putting Spooner on waivers and
still paying a hefty chunk of that salary just to, I mean, I guess the rationale behind it.
And I remember the year they did trade Eberley, he struggled in that postseason, the one year they did make the playoffs.
And he was also just having a really down season in terms of shooting percentage.
And last year, he conveniently enough bounce back to his career norms in his first year with the Islanders.
And a lot of the kind of rationale behind it from the Oilers was we're trying to get ahead of the curve and save a bit of money anywhere we can so that we can.
so that we can sign some contracts and bring in other guys to help McDavid.
And then you just look at how they've actually proportioned that money that they've saved
and what they've used it on.
And it's just, I mean, it really is just this endless cycle of just bad decisions.
Yeah.
One of the things that's interesting is when you look at the Spooner-Strom deal,
let's say they wanted, they would have honestly probably been better off buying out
Strom as opposed to making that trade because Strom falls under 26 and Spooner's above 26.
So I believe 26 is the line for the one-third two-third buy-out clause.
So if they would have bought out Strome, they only would have had to pay one-third of his contract, which, considering they make even money, you're either paying one-third of Strome's contract or now if they buy-out Spooner, they're going to have to pay him two-thirds because Spooner's already 26, I think.
So now you're paying double against your cap.
but the whole thing could have been completely alleviated.
If you really decided that Strome wasn't a valuable asset,
then you just buy him out.
And I think his equates to $500,000 against the cap,
whereas just Spooners will be double that.
I think, yeah, I think even more.
Well, I think what they would tell you is that, you know,
they made that trade,
and then Ken Hitchcock came in as the coach,
and Brian Spooner is not a Kent Hitchcock type of player,
and so there wasn't a fit there.
And so how could they possibly know?
but then that kind of brings us back to this idea where it's like there's no foresight behind any of
these moves there's no planning there's no uh cohesion it just seems like they're just making all of
these moves in a vacuum and just going like we did okay we did this one thing now we're going to do
something else even though it runs completely counterintuitive to all we did it makes no sense
with our trajectory and then we're going to do this and then we're going to do that and that's
quite possibly the worst place worst way to run a team and I've talked about this time and time again
in the pedo cast but the best franchises the best organizations in any sport
are the ones where you have top-down communication, everyone pushing and pulling in the same direction,
that cohesion with everyone kind of having.
Like, it's perfectly fine for not everyone in the organization to agree on certain players or certain moves.
And I think that's ultimately good.
You don't want a bunch of yes men.
You want intellectual discussion and you want pushback and you want people to really make you think critically about certain things.
But at the same time, when you're so fundamentally all over the place like this and you're not trying to figure out who's making a decision,
whether it's ownership, whether it's management, whether it's the coach, and what's going on.
Like, that's really where you get into trouble, and that's ultimately what we keep coming back to with
this Oilers team. I mean, you just look at all the decisions and everyone that's been coaching there
and everyone that's running the team, and I guess the common denominator is the ownership, but it's just,
it's such a mess. And I really do, it gets frustrating after a certain point because Conner
David is so freaking good right now that I want to see that, you know, put to the forefront.
And rather than talking about how great he is, instead we're talking about this entire mess that's around him.
Well, you bring up a good point in terms of pulling in the same direction.
And I think what gets lost is there's a difference between pulling in the same direction and being a yes man.
Because you have a common goal that is more than likely set out by the GM and it's his vision.
And you have your coach's vision.
Okay, I want to coach this type of team and I want to have this type of culture.
And you have your GM that has his vision for that.
but if your GM brings up a trade and this has happened many times I would think that you either don't think is a good trade because it either just is not a good management of assets or it might not fit the way he thinks it'll fit you have to speak up you can't say yes man just because he's a GM because at that point for some for me I know if I'm in a room and you disagree I want to know why because
Because you can learn at that point.
And I just think that the teams that aren't successful are the teams that have a bunch of yes men or are making moves for the sake of making moves.
And having yes men is arguably next to nepotism, the most dangerous thing in hockey.
Yes.
And I mean, we don't necessarily have too much insight on the behind the scenes of how things are being run in Edmonton.
but if you use history as any indicator and you look back at Peter Shelley's run during Boston
during his time with the Bruins and you look at that video that's still somehow on YouTube
of the Tyler Sagan trade, it's like literally the exact scene from Moneyball where they're just
like comically talking about stuff that makes no sense and everyone just kind of nodding their
head and agreeing about this random issue they brought to the forefront as being ultimately a fatal
flaw and that's why they have to trade this great player.
and I imagine at this point of his career,
especially with the past success he has had,
that Peter Shirelli is not changing his ways,
and I imagine there's a lot of that going on in Edmonton as well,
even though we haven't actually seen those hilarious videos from his time there.
Yeah, and I would say it's definitely not just happening in Edmonton.
Oh, for sure.
It's, we, the old joke is the 200 hockey man.
It definitely exists,
and I would argue that it exists to a greater degree than hockey Twitter thinks.
Yes.
Yeah, I would definitely agree with that.
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Now let's get back to the show.
Okay, enough about Emmington.
It's depressing me.
Let's talk a bit about your time with the devils and sort of,
the thing I'm interested about the most,
rather than actually the specifics of it
or any planar transactions or anything like that
is just the flow of information.
and we were just talking about how the good organizations are the ones that have open lines of communication
and people constantly striving to answer questions that they might not have even thought before they had answered questions to.
And just this idea of sort of everyone working as one and I think that relay of information,
especially from, you know, someone who was in your position to both the coaching staff but also up top to the decision makers
who ultimately can be pulling the trigger on things is a very very,
sort of undervalued part of the equation and that just community that kind of communication and
sort of how that information does flow is something I'm really interested by because we obviously
don't get we aren't privy to too much of that access because it's obviously you all kind of
held behind the scene so we don't get to see a lot of it but obviously you having lived it can speak
to it a bit more so I'm really curious about talking about that yeah I would say the first thing that's
really important to mention and I know definitely not the case with other organizations is our head
like the head coach in New Jersey John Hines is probably the most open-minded hockey person I have met
in my entire life. In terms of being open to new ideas, new ways of doing things, he does want to
operate obviously as a coach. You have to have your pillars of this is how I want my team to play.
But if you can bring him suggestions, hey, you can try this and this is why I think it will be
successful or you provide him the data as to why it will be successful. He's constantly looking
for ways to innovate. And I don't think that that's quite the case with most hockey coaches.
So I know from my perspective, John, the department provided pre and post game reports. I had my
own report that I provided John on the mornings of games. And then there were other reports done for
different time periods. So that's sort of where the coaching staff is concerned. I worked really
closely with the goaltending coach, Roli Malanson, just because I have experience working with
goaltenders, so it was a natural fit, the fact that I already understood the position.
And it was something that Roli kind of, I guess, gravitated to, which I understand. I mean,
goalies are creatures of habit, so that makes a lot of sense. But coaching staff in New Jersey
was very trusting of the player information department
in terms of asking for opinions on lineups
or optimal player choices.
Given everything, it was a very, very good relationship
in terms of open communication.
Now, our department also provides information and studies
on players,
and potential players, so acquisitions.
And that's more for the management side.
I would say a study you would provide to a coaching staff
would be, for example, who should play where on the power player?
What's an optimal power play unit, for example?
Whereas I know for the Vatnin deal, let's say,
because that's been New Jersey's biggest deal in the past probably a couple years
since Taylor Hall, that the department looked into pretty much
every aspect of the players involved in the trade, potential players involved in the trade.
Like you really do your homework.
And I would say that unless it's a really, really quick decision that needs to be made,
the management there was very good about asking us for our opinion on things and asking
us to go and do research.
Or if they thought that they had something, they would say, what do you think of this?
and we would say yes or no.
And often my opinions didn't necessarily match with others in my department and vice versa.
So it also created an environment of differing sort of devil's advocate.
So we're getting all sides of the equation.
And that's really good to have because then you get informed decisions.
You're not just getting a bunch of yes, no.
and I think that that's really important.
But I would say that the organization really does use the department.
And I think it's obviously going to expand with the hiring of the VP of Analytics.
And I think that'll be it.
I think that department will likely get listened to even more just because the ownership is so keen on analytics.
As you can see what they did with the Philadelphia 76ers.
So I think it's going to be a really key part of what New Jersey is doing.
but the fact that they're even listening to people like myself who I mean I'm not really just an
analytics person like I get the hockey man side of things too but the fact that they they're willing
to listen and be innovative is a great sign especially where John's concerned because he really
drives the everyday ship yeah well I'm I do want to get into this a bit more and I'm not sure
obviously how much you can speak on it but during your season there last year
with the devils.
The team was in a very interesting spot where, you know, you were making his playoff push
and approaching the traded line.
I think the devils, people didn't probably think that the devils were going to be more
of a buyer than a seller, but all of a sudden you get to this point where, you know,
you're looking to make the playoffs for the first time since 2012, and you actually have a good
competitive team and you're trying to make that final push, and then you wind up making
a couple trades where you're trading for rentals, like guys like Michael Grabner and Pat
Maroon, and you're giving up picks and prospects.
And I know, like, on the analytical side of things, people like, you're, you know,
you and I usually look at those trades as not typically being optimal because unless you're really
one of the top upper echelon contenders, a lot of these guys that come as rentals,
especially if they're likely to leave as free agents to following summer, you don't really
want to get into the habit of giving up too many future assets for that because they're not
going to move the needle particularly dramatically for you.
But obviously when you're kind of trying to balance those things, and like I mentioned,
if you're an organization that hasn't made the playoffs in a long time and you're really
thirsty and hungry for that. And you have to consider all this other stuff. And then obviously
you've got, um, you know, your fan base to consider, but also probably an ownership group that
wants you to make that push if it's feasible at all. So like, I'm always fascinated by, especially
with the trade on approaching now, uh, those kind of external factors and driving forces that
help educate and make some of these decisions and become, um, you know, driving forces for it beyond
just the pure X's and O's personnel side of things. Yeah, I would say that, um, there was definitely
a belief last season that we could get into the playoffs and because we were playing so well i mean
anything could happen in the playoffs the fact that we ran into tampa bay i mean they were just playing
such great i don't think losing sammy vatnan helped at all in fact i think that was terrible um my personal
belief is that was a dirty head um but i think when you're approaching the trade deadline you have
to send a clear message to your players especially um the players who are really important to your
cultures like Taylor Hall that we're just as in as you are and when you think about it
Taylor Hall had never played in the playoffs and that was sort of one of raised things to Taylor
was like we want you to play in the playoffs so and this was when Taylor got traded like well
before my time there um and so I think it's it's not just about the fact that the fans want
you to be there and ownership definitely wants you to be there because there's playoff revenue
associated with that.
I think it also,
you need to be cognizant of the message
that you're sending to your coaches
and to your players
because it actually has a large impact
on the trust factor
and the belief factor
that the players have in the front office.
And that's a really important factor
when you're looking at resigning players
and when you think about it,
they're going to have to resign Taylor Hall
and Sammy Vatin ends up.
So it's better to have players
that believe or that perhaps know that you are on board and you want to at least give them a shot to
say, let's see what you can do. I think that's really important. And that's sort of why I think
New Jersey did what they did at the trade deadline last year. I would hazard to guess that it
will not be the same this year. Yeah, the season's been going slightly differently. Yes.
And I said this, and I've said this, it was unrealistic for anyone to expect that Keith Kincaid was going to have the season he had last year this year.
Right.
It's unrealistic for anyone to think that Corey Schneider is going to magically become Pecker-René because he had the same surgery.
It's just not going to happen.
Now, did I expect Corey to be better?
Yes, I did expect him to be better than he is, but I don't think it's realistic to say that he's going to be Pecker-Ren.
A.
So you need goal tending.
And my big thing is, like, show me a good coach and I'll show you a good goaltender and
show me a fired coach and I'll show you a goaltender with a sub-900, say, percentage.
Yep.
Yes, for sure.
Well, I am interested in, I mean, obviously that's, you know, a bit overly and but, but no,
you're right at 100%.
That typically is how this stuff works.
And it's kind of, it's linked together.
And I'm really fascinated about, you know, from your work.
as a video analyst and sort of the information that's being passed down to the coaching staff,
and like you were saying, for the preparation side of things and sort of X's and O's,
I feel like that's something, and I'm curious to see how much that's going to change when more
of this player tracking data becomes publicly available, and especially with the league dabbling
with VR, and we can talk a bit more about that in its own right.
But I feel like, and I've gotten this from listeners sometimes where it's like, we'd love to hear you
talk more about system stuff and about X's and O's and about stylistic differences in terms of how
different teams play and sort of four checks they're utilizing and stuff like that and power play
formations and i'm really fascinated by that stuff but obviously unless you're just watching
intense amounts of video it's probably tougher to get access to that information and really
um you know make a discernible plan about it and when you watch a team like the devils for the
islanders sorry for example this year you know everyone keeps pointing to their elevated pedo and
their unsustainable safe percentage.
And obviously now Barry Trots is getting a lot of love for, you know,
preliminary Jack Adams voting because of the turnaround for the team and how much better
their goals against numbers have been.
And it's sort of tough separating those two things and trying to figure out how much of it
is that legitimately that heralded Barry Trott system that's making the Islanders
better defensively and how much of it is the goalies, you know, Thomas Grice having
been there as well last year, but obviously Robin Lennar coming in and,
and being ridiculously good this year,
how much of it is simply those two guys
just making the safes for him
and making the coaching staff
and the defensive team around them
look that much better?
Yeah, I would say,
we definitely sort of behind the scenes
have access to a lot more data
than is discernible publicly.
And one of those that Andrew Berkshire
is actually associated with is sport logic.
I don't have access to it now,
and it's driving me a little bit crazy
because it's hard to do my research without everything.
Like they track about 3,000 data points per game.
And when you think about that, everything is broken down to the most minute things.
And that's really important for someone like me who does research and who provides information of the coaching staff.
Because there are statistics on sport logic that would tell you that perhaps this Islander's team is more sustainable than the public data would tell you.
now I would point
goaltending-wise to their new goal-tending coach
Perro Greco.
He was the Marley's goal-tending coach
for the past few years, and Garrett Sparks
has actually spoken very highly of him.
But Robin Lennar, I believe,
actually came out and said that
he's done some work with Perro Greco, and it's
really helped him.
So I think that the goal-tending
will regress a little bit,
absolutely, but I don't think
that it will regress to the point where everyone
thought that they were going to be a bottom five
team this year based on some of the signings
and moves they made in the off season.
I think the Barzell
improvement
and him getting
sort of tougher opposition
was seen coming and I think
he's handled out really well. I think Andersley's
having a great season.
So there's
a lot of data sort of behind the scenes
that
would tell you that the islanders
for example are maybe
a little bit more sustainable than people think.
And I know there's a lot of other data tracking that teams use.
And I know that Sport Logic actually is piloting their player tracking cameras in certain
NHL ranks based on speaking to a few people.
And I wouldn't be shocked to see Sport Logic in the NHL come to some type of player tracking
deal where Sport Logic would be used sort of to track players and GPS type of thing.
probably the biggest issue would be the line changes just because they happen so quickly.
Right.
But that doesn't require a CBA agreement.
It's only if you ask players to wear a chip, does it sort of get ugly with the CBA?
Because as long as they're not wearing anything, you can take whatever information you want,
which is why they don't have to ask the players for the puck technology or anything like that.
Well, yeah, obviously that's kind of been a big talking point in league circles recently,
especially with the players agreeing and the league testing out over a couple games in
in Vegas recently.
And I'm sure a lot of people by now have seen that cool video of the VR where you can
really put yourself into the shoes, I guess, the skates of the player and sort of see
what they're seeing out on the ice and experience it for yourself.
And yeah, we're obviously headed towards this new way to soak up a lot of this information
and digest the game.
And I think, I've talked about it in the show before, but I think,
especially when some of this information becomes publicly released.
We're going to test a lot of it and we're going to find out that some stuff's not maybe as valuable
as we thought and some other things are and we're going to make some mistakes along the way.
But I'm very, and I don't think necessarily this player tracking,
I think this is a misconception is going to suddenly provide us with all the answers and be this
kind of one-stop shop antidote to everything.
Like I think there's still going to be a lot of things we don't know and that's what makes it
exciting.
But you having had access to it for your time with the devils obviously and I think you can
speak to it better than I can. I've gotten a bit of a glimpse with it and Andrew has shown me some
of the stuff. But yeah, I mean, just in terms of like the information they have in the neutral
zone is, uh, is so revelatory and so remarkable and would be so cool to be able to digest on a
daily basis when it is publicly available, assuming that it eventually is one day. Yeah, I would say, um,
a few things. One, when this information, part of the reason I think that the CBA will fight
the NHL on, on player tracking is because,
If this gets used in contract negotiations, this could potentially be either very good for the team or very good for the player.
But it also has potential to be very bad for the player.
I know some teams have actually asked their players to wear the catapult technology.
And that's sort of a cross-bore tactic, which I think we'll get into later with the whole inefficiencies thing.
But catapult essentially, you can ask your players to wear them.
They don't have to wear them.
but let's face it, if 17 of the guys agree, all of them are going to end up wearing it.
And you can use it to track heart rate.
You can use it as a GPS.
And it populates live into the system.
And so that can help with determining maintenance days or if a player is playing outside of sort of his maximum output.
So I think being in Toronto, the perfect example is Ron Hainsey.
if he wears this catapole technology,
let's not even say that it's public,
but let's say that the Leafs can now look at it and say,
okay, he's playing, based on his GPS tracking and his heart rate
and his breathing output,
he's playing sort of out of or above what he's supposed to be.
Then maybe he gets an extra maintenance day,
or maybe you tell Mike Bavis is the contract negotiations
as well as the player maintenance.
But with regard to sport logic, I think the release of that much information is potentially very dangerous.
Now, I think it's dangerous not only for the uneducated sort of analytical fan,
but I think it's also dangerous for the people who put perhaps too much stock in analytics
because there's just so many statistics available and sortable on the sport logic interface
that you can pigeonhole or you can make a player look good or bad
depending on what stats you cherry pick.
And I know this because I've seen it done.
And I think that's potentially very dangerous.
Now, if Sport Logic decides they're only going to make certain statistics available
that are easily understandable and easily unilaterally applied,
I think that could benefit.
But allowing all of that statistical information to be public,
I actually think is very dangerous.
Yeah, I think there's, I mean, there's obviously a distinction to be made between
descriptive and predictive stuff, right?
Look, I think there's a way that we'll be able to really information to viewers at home
on game broadcasts that, you know, spruce up that viewing experience and provide you
with interesting stuff, like how fast a guy's skating or how hard he's shooting or sort of, you know,
having live trackers of who's on the ice at all times,
but I don't know necessarily what, you know,
for you and I,
what the utility is of that or what that actually tells us
about a player is value moving forward.
But there's,
that's to say there's kind of two sides of that coin,
right, where it's not necessarily all about that.
And there's also a certain element to improving the broadcast,
since I know that we all constantly rail on them
and sort of the information they're providing.
And there's an avenue towards improving that as well,
using this information.
Yeah, like I would say,
the one thing that really comes to mind is zone exits slash entries
and then something that I really think will get skewed big time
if it's released publicly is the stat called Passes to the Slot.
I think that if that gets released publicly,
it could potentially be very dangerous because
there's a certain portion of hockey Twitter that sees a stat and goes,
well, it's got to be this end of story goodbye,
as opposed to looking at the entire scope.
Like, they get very myopic.
And I think that that stat in particular,
it'll end up, the result will end up being,
well, this player should play here on the power play
because they have more passes to the slot.
Or this player should not play
because they don't create scoring chances because of X, Y, Z.
Now, I think that the general public would benefit
from Sport Logic releasing its entry and exit data
because I think that tells a much better story,
than some of the stuff that's publicly available.
So I think there's a lot to learn from that perspective,
and it might change some people's opinions on particularly some of the defensemen
that Hockey Twitter likes to argue about,
and even some of the forwards.
But I just don't think that unilaterally releasing it
is necessarily a good idea.
Now for broadcasts, I think it was the Nashville broadcast,
I want to say, that started talking about goals 4%
and shots for a percentage, and that's great,
or even talking about relative to team stats,
like if they could do that or talk about quality of competition,
that's enough sort of for the stats.
I know TSN in Canada has started to show scoring chances from the house,
which is that home plate area.
So that's a positive step in the right direction.
But with the same token,
you have to stop discussing things like,
combined plus minus or faceoff that happens 35 seconds earlier like are faceoff's important absolutely are
they important 35 seconds later no yeah yeah no i completely agree with you especially like you get to
one of the common pushbacks and i've experienced it myself having been on some of the connect's
broadcast when i was with sports night was there is a kind of limit logistically of how much time
you have to talk about something so you know we probably shouldn't use that time on stuff that's
ultimately irrelevant and we could kind of spread that out in a better and more efficient way.
But yeah, you're right. I think there's some really good broadcasts out there. And that Nashville
one you mentioned on Fox Sports, Tennessee is done a really good job. There are color commentators,
former goalie, Chris Mason. And he's reached out to me a number of times and asked about certain
things and he clearly wants to learn and sprinkle that into the analysis. And I'm all for that.
And I think there's various other ones as well that have done a really good job. So yeah, the more of that,
the better. Yeah, I would say like I've even had so the MSG broadcast in New Jersey is Steve
Cangeloosy, Danico, and then actually Bryce Salvador.
Between the benches, right? Yeah, exactly. And Bryce has come to me on a number of occasions
and even now that I'm gone and ask me, hey, how do I incorporate this into the broadcast?
Or how would you explain this to someone that doesn't necessarily understand it? Because I've
explained the statistics to him and as a former professional defenseman, he understands them.
but Keith sitting on the couch
probably doesn't understand them
to the same extent that Bryce Salvador
understands them to.
So it's more about Bryce trying to
educate the New Jersey fans
who are calling for John Heinz head,
but they don't necessarily realize
that John's actually got this team going
in a very good direction,
and these are the signs.
You can't just be looking at plus minus at this point.
Come on, Keith. Get it together.
Yeah, exactly.
So it's broadcasters like that
who are actually making an effort to reach out to the people like you and I
or use natural stat trick on their broadcast
because you're educating forward
and to where the game is going
because if you don't as a fan understand what your coach is looking at
then you don't understand how he's coaching
and that's where the disconnect is and that's where everyone gets so mad.
Yeah.
Okay, before we get out of here,
we did talk a bit about marketing efficiencies and we've sort of alluded to some of it
And obviously, you know, there's certain things that you probably could have gotten away with
a handful of years ago that some teams have at least, for the most part, wise up to now.
But, I mean, if the need or need a rider trade is any indication, and we've seen others in the recent past,
there's probably still having used to buy low on players and target certain things.
Like, what are you looking at and what are sort of things that having worked with the devils
and spending some time there, you might have gotten surprising pushback,
or disagreements with that other people might be surprised about.
I would say I have three sort of identified inefficiencies that now that I actually
have time, I'll be researching sort of on my own and working with some junior coaches to sort
of pilot this.
The first one is cross-sport tactics.
So how do you apply things from different sports to hockey to sort of get creative?
So for me, things like how do you can't, is there a way you can have a Hail Mary version of a pass in hockey?
So like the stretch pass, but you don't use the stretch pass.
Like you would use the stretch pass to create a breakaway about as often as you would throw a Hail Mary.
Like you wouldn't use it very often.
Another thing is rest days.
And I know the NBA is very good with this.
You look at Kauai Leonard and even Tim Duncan in the later part of his career, teams resting players.
in order to keep them at their peak performance,
I think is potentially something that the NHL really needs to look at,
especially these players are playing 82 games.
It's a very condensed schedule now with the biweek and the All-Star break.
It's a really long season.
So I think that the team that goes into the playoffs the most rested
probably has an advantage when it comes to injuries as well as burning out.
And then there's an inherent weak points, such as playing in the goalie blind spots to create offense, that I think sort of could be exploited.
And it's something I'm looking into.
But those are sort of the three that I've identified.
But I think the crossboard tactics and the rest days, as well as buying low on players, specifically smaller skilled players, is definitely, there's some of hockey's biggest inefficiencies.
I'm also a fan of the offer sheet.
But I don't think that it's being presented quite correctly right now.
I think people are so focused on what's going on in Toronto that they don't really realize that Tampa's probably going to have some issues with Braden Point.
And I would argue that he is potentially a better all-round player than Mitch Marner or it is at least a discussion.
So I think the offer sheet is a huge market inefficiency that people don't use.
And maybe not for the star players, but think about offer sheeting somebody like Kasparin.
You probably don't need to pay him $5 million, which means if you give up a first and a third, I believe it is, you can get Kasparee Kappan.
Well, I would take a guaranteed player over two draft picks any day of the week.
and so those are sort of the market inefficiencies that I'm seeing and sort of looking into.
Well, in terms of the offer sheets, I mean, yeah, I'm right there with you.
It's obviously very tantalizing and looking ahead, especially to this summer.
There's a lot of fascinating situations to follow.
I just, at this point, I need to see one before I believe that it's actually going to happen.
Like, we've gotten to this point where especially a couple of years ago, with Leon Dricidal and the Oilers,
where, like, Peter Shirley came out and said, like, people's basically like,
threatening other things.
Like, don't even bother signing into an offer sheet because we'll just match regardless.
It's like, if you're another team, why wouldn't you as a competitive advantage raise the price
if they're clearly going to do so anyways and trying to force their hands and potentially
make them make some more critical financial decisions down the road?
So the fact that we haven't really seen in the past couple of years, even though there's been
countless examples of guys that were ripe for the taking there makes me believe that we're probably
not going to see it.
But, you know, this year in particular, it feels like there's probably some more
dire situations, as you mentioned, with Toronto and Tampa Bay.
So that would be something to follow.
And the rest one is something that's near and dear to my heart.
I mean, you know, especially with veterans who have so many miles in them, like Azizino Chara
or Joe Thornton or some of the other guys around the league, there's no reason why they
should be playing 80, 82 games.
Like, I understand that it's got a hockey culture and bravado that, you know, you play as often
as you can and you tough it out through injuries and wear and tear.
but if the ultimate end goal is to make it far in the playoffs and win the Stanley Cup,
then you should be using the regular season as sort of a runaway to set yourself up most optimally
for that.
And I think that hopefully as teams are embracing sports science more and we're learning more
about the human body and how fatigue affects performance, we'll see more of that.
But yeah, with certain stuff like that, it does really feel like hockey is so far behind
the times and a bit archaic still.
Well, think about it from this perspective.
And would hockey, the hockey men like to poke fun at soccer players or basketball players for sitting out for minor injuries or taking rest days in Kauai?
Leonard's example.
But is it really all that smart to be playing with a punctured lung and a broken rib?
Because I would argue that the rest day is probably less dumb than playing with a punctured lung.
Yeah.
Right. So it's things like that.
We don't need this bravado.
Do you want to have bravado or do you want to win a cup?
Because I would rather win a cup.
But, I mean, we have this old adage of like, oh, no, we got to tough it out because we're hockey players.
Well, if someone told you, like, hey, Zadeno or hey Ron or hey Patrick Marlowe, hey, Shay Weber, if you don't play the second half of a backtie,
back or Alex Ovechka, perfect example, you don't go to the All-Star game.
Now you have a week off and you can take another run of the cup.
Or you play 82 games and you get hurt in the first round and the team's eliminated.
What do you think is the smarter option?
Right, but there's this whole thing and I've got to tough it out.
And I just, I don't see why it needs to be that way.
I think that coaches and general managers need to say, they need to put their foot down and
say, listen, you're not playing.
Like for Tampa, for example, they're in the playoffs.
Like, they could lose probably 20 of their final, however many games they have left.
They'd still make the playoffs.
I'd be resting Stamcoast.
I'd be resting Kutjurov.
I'd be resting.
Yeah.
I'd not be playing Vasolowski all that much down the stretch.
Like, obviously, you want him to stay sharp, but he wouldn't be playing on any back-to-backs.
He wouldn't be playing three and fours.
None of that.
So I think that's sort of where teams need to capitalize.
this whole thing of goalies playing 65, 70 games is ridiculous.
Like, it's not necessary.
Well, I would say, I think actually, I'm glad you mentioned that because I do think,
you know, to the credit of, uh, of NHL teams and it's been a long time coming,
but it feels like for the most part, like there generally has been, uh, an acceptance
or an appreciation of the fact that, you know, their goalies are still probably playing
too much. Like, I think 65 and above is still too much.
but we're definitely not seeing the days anymore of 70, 75 games like me, Keprosoff and Marty
Bordor were playing.
And we're seeing all these stats where it's like, you know, all the teams that have made
long playoff runs and cup runs, their goalies were playing 40, 45, 50 games during the
regular season.
And I don't think that's any fluke or any mistake.
And I think teams have accepted it.
But I understand it's kind of apples and oranges in terms of workload and how fatigue works
playing goaltending as opposed to being a forward, for example.
but I do look forward to the day where it is more of an accepted thing that forwards and defensemen will not be having to play the full 82 games because it just doesn't make sense if your end goal really is to make the playoffs and make a cup run.
Exactly.
And I think it's obviously different for players.
Like New Jersey, for example, they're fighting down the stretch to make the playoffs.
You're obviously not sitting Taylor Hall at any point during that stretch.
But you have teams this year.
Tampa, Toronto,
eventually the West will sort of
sort itself out. I think the metro will as well.
There's nothing inherently wrong with going to players
like Sidney Crosby, Nikita Kuturov,
unless they're in a scoring race of some type,
then I sort of understand.
But players who have had history of injury
or are sort of getting old, there's nothing wrong
with going to a Patrick Marlow or Ron Hainzian
and saying, hey, like, you're not playing tonight
because your tracking unit or we think that your output has sort of gone down and we think that you need to take a break so that you're ready to go for the playoffs.
And that's where I think player tracking will have its most positive impact is it will allow teams to say, okay, this players really sort of come down, whether they're coming back from injury or they're just tired.
and I think it will actually
allow for a lot of injury avoidance
and it'll allow players to stay more fresh
there's nothing wrong with
with a player being told he's got to sit down
because the team's already firmly in the playoffs
and there's no sense in him playing.
Yeah, I 100% agree.
I think that that biometric data is going to be a game changer
even though it's not publicly available
just for the teams to have access to it
and be able to sort of indicate when a guy's performance
is deteriorating a bit
and whether it's fatigue related or what's going
on there and sort of taking a bigger picture of view of this stuff and keeping the end goal in mind.
Rachel, plug some stuff.
What I guess, I guess that question doesn't really apply to you.
What are you working on?
I guess you're mentioning a bit that you're going to be working with some junior stuff.
But what's on the agenda for you?
I would say, not a whole lot.
I'm still kind of, so in New Jersey, I pitched a mental health awareness night game.
So that's happening February 5th.
So that was separate from all of my job.
It was completely unbeknownst to the hockey operation staff.
It's just mental health.
That's something that's really near and dear to me.
And it's something I've written about publicly and spoken about publicly.
So I'm still sort of not really involved, but like keeping an eye on it.
And that's sort of my focus, I guess, right now.
But I will be doing my own research looking into some of the inefficiencies that
discussed tonight. So the cross-board tactics and the rest days and creating tactics that
take advantage of inherent weak points. But other than that, and going to Germany and in February
where I'll be sort of off the grid for a bit, I'm just taking a break. And we'll see what's next.
But whether it's public work or I'm back with the team, we'll see what happens.
All right. Well, I'm looking forward to seeing that. I'm sick. Looking forward to seeing what the next
chapter is and I'm glad we finally, after a long wait, got to do this. And yeah, enjoy that break.
And hopefully we can get you back on and discuss some of this other big picture stuff down the road as well.
Perfect. Thanks for having me on. This is a lot of fun. Yeah, it was a blast. All right, talk to you and Rachel.
The Hockey P.DioCast with Dmitri Filipovich. Follow on Twitter at Dim Philipovich and on SoundCloud at
SoundCloud.com slash hockeypedocast.
