The Joel Klatt Show: A College Football Podcast - Joel Klatt’s Favorite Over/Under Win Total Bets for the 2026 Season
Episode Date: June 15, 2026Fox Sports’ lead College Football analyst Joel Klatt reveals his favorite Over/Under Win Total bets for this season and kicks things off by discussing Ohio State and Texas and why he believes their ...early season matchup will determine which one will reach 10 wins this season. Klatt also considers whether Notre Dame will go undefeated this season based on the Irish’s schedule. He also goes through each Power 4 Conference and picks out 2 Over bets that he likes and 1 Under bet that he likes including teams like Miami, Nebraska, Georgia, LSU, Michigan State and SMU. Get 50% off your first Factor box + Free Breakfast for 1 Year → https://factor-partner.com/49G0oNX Use my code for 10% off your next SeatGeek order*: https://seatgeek.onelink.me/RrnK/KLATT10 Sponsored by SeatGeek. *Restrictions apply. Max $20 discount Chapters 🏈 0:00-1:22 College football win total over/under picks 1:23-7:04 Ohio State over 9.5/Texas under 9.5 7:05-9:55 Notre Dame under 11.5 9:56-15:58 Big Ten win totals 15:59-21:08 ACC win totals 21:09-27:19 SEC win totals 27:20-32:53 Big 12 win totals Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
Transcript
Discussion (0)
This episode is brought to you by Activia.
You might already be eating yogurt, but not all yogurts are created equal.
Activia contains over one billion probiotics per serving to survive and reach the gut alive.
When it comes to gut health, Activia is the number one family doctor-recommended probiotic yogurt brand.
Choose Activia. Feel good from the inside out.
Visitactivia.ca for more details.
I've got some overs. I've got some unders, so let's get after it.
just can't guarantee that Notre Dame is going to go undefeated. Wouldn't shock me at all if that's a six-win
team. All he does is build a good, solid offensive line. I'm going to bet on Lane Kiffin. He did a heck
of a job. I can't get them to three losses. Not this program, not this head coach.
Hey, welcome into the program. I'm Joel Clatt. This is the Joel Clad show. And this show is brought to you
by graduate by Hilton. We thank them for their support as always. And we roll on here through the
summer months of the offseason, getting you all set for college football here.
26. Here's what I wanted to do today. I'm looking at some of these win totals over unders
around the country and I'm going to talk about some of these totals that stood out to me and I'll
give you a bit of a prediction here on some of these teams that, you know, I've got some overs,
I've got some unders, so let's get after it right away. I'm going to start not necessarily
in particular in a conference, but just two teams and this number stood out to me because both
of them have the same number and we think both of these teams could compete for a national title.
thought that these numbers were a little low. And then you take a little bit of a look and you
dig a little deeper and you realize, hey, Vegas knows what they're doing. So these win totals
are probably pretty accurate. Both Ohio State and Texas are at nine and a half right now.
Okay. So it seems low because both of these teams you would think are going to win double digit
games. But let's take a little bit of a deeper dive into this situation. Why are they at nine and a half?
what could go wrong? Do we feel either direction on these programs, unders or overs? Well, they're going to play, obviously, for the third straight year.
They played that great national semifinal. Then last year in Columbus, and now we're going to have this game in Austin this year in week two.
Their win totals, I think, are largely dependent on this game, right? Like, whoever wins this game is going to have a great chance to hit the over nine and a half. There's no doubt.
So without necessarily making a prediction on this game, let's take a little bit of a deeper dive.
into what they have in the rest of their schedule that could prevent them from hitting the over if
they were to lose or even if they won the game. I think both have difficult schedules, but Texas
is more difficult. I think you look at this schedule and it's one of the more difficult schedules
than the entire country. So I'm looking at both of these teams. Let's start with the Buckeyes. Ohio State
games after the Texas game. They're going to have road games at Iowa. That's never a cupcake. Just ask
anybody in the Big Ten that goes to Kinnick Stadium. That's a tough one. They're going to have
Indiana. They're going to have USC. Both of those teams very good in their home stadiums, in
particular Kurt Signetti, who's undefeated at Indiana at home. USC has been one of the better
home teams in the country in the last few years under Lincoln Riley. And in fact, not many teams
have success going east coast to west coast within the conference schedule. So that's a
difficult game on the road. And then they still have home games against
Oregon and Michigan. So again, very difficult for Ohio State after that Texas game.
Now, they could, in theory, lose to Texas and still get to 10 wins.
All right, I think that that's open for them because then you would only have to have
one more loss in the remaining five difficult games that I've pointed out right here.
So there is a path. Now, if they beat Texas on the road, then I would for sure take 10.
Now, here's the other part of this, history.
and Ohio State has one of the great histories in college football, certainly,
but in particular in recent vintage.
Look at what they've done over the last few years.
They have won 10-plus regular season games in 13 straight full seasons.
I threw out the COVID year, obviously they couldn't get to 10 in that year.
They didn't even play that amount of games.
But it goes back even further than that.
18 of the last 19, they've won 10-plus games.
The only year that they didn't over that stretch was the Luke Fickle year.
after everything happened with Jim Tressel right before Urban Meyer,
this team and this program, more specifically, they get to 10.
So I have a little bit more confidence, regardless of what happens in that game on the road against Texas,
that they can get to 10.
History would suggest that the infrastructure is there for this program.
Ryan Day is there.
They're going to solve whatever they need to solve with eight new starters on the defense.
We know or we think the offense is going to be spectacular.
All those returning offensive linemen,
Jeremiah Smith on the outside, Julian's saying back as the incumbent starter at the quarterback position,
they have enough even in a loss where I could say, you know what, they're probably going to get to 10.
So for me, Ohio State's going to be an over.
Now let's dig a little deeper on Texas.
If Texas wins, they're in a better position to hit the over.
But if they were to lose that game, it gets dicey because the rest of their schedule is so difficult.
Again, I think one of the more difficult schedules in the entire country.
They could really struggle to get over that nine and a half.
They would only be able to lose one of the following.
This is if they lost to Ohio State.
They would have to play at Tennessee.
They've got to play Oklahoma and Red River.
They've got to host Ole Miss with Trinidad Chambliss.
They've got to go to LSU.
They've got to go to Texas A&M.
That is very difficult.
Now, similar to Ohio State, but very difficult.
in particular those two road games in November in Death Valley and then down in College Station.
Like that's going to be difficult. If they lose to Ohio State, I'm definitely on the under.
And here's the thing, even if they beat Ohio State, there's a path where they don't get to 10 wins,
depending on what happens with injuries and throughout that schedule, some of those road games,
the neutral with Oklahoma. I think it's more difficult for Texas even in a win than it would be for Ohio State.
So the fact that that game is a coin flip and they have that difficulty afterwards, I think I would sit on Texas hitting the under this year, the nine and a half.
So both programs, Ohio State and Texas have nine and a half win totals.
I'm going to go over with Ohio State banking on their history.
And I'm going to go under on Texas because of the remainder of that schedule after that game in week two.
I think it could be very difficult.
Now, listen, neither of those are safe bets.
But that's where I would lean in this one.
And again, I think both of these teams would make the playoffs.
And even if Texas were to be nine and three with that schedule, I do believe that they would end up going to the college football playoff.
Not guaranteed, obviously, but I think they would go.
By the way, they would still have Florida, Missouri, like tricky games on that schedule when you're talking about going weekend and week out.
Remember, this year we're starting a week later, so we only have one off week.
So we're not going to have a ton of off weeks this year.
You start to go back to back through that SEC schedule.
it's going to be very, very dicey.
So what's my pick?
Ohio State on the over and Texas on the under.
Here's another one that's not conference specific, but it's Notre Dame.
Notre Dame's win total is 11.5.
Now, that's just a big number.
Normally you get these teams and the highest you're going to get is 10.5.
Because at 11 and a half, you're telling me you have to go undefeated.
I mean, it's tough to go undefeated.
There's no margin for error whatsoever.
You can't lose a football game.
The schedule is soft.
There's no doubt.
Do we think that Notre Dame is going to be one of the best teams in the country?
Absolutely.
I've got them number two in my post-spring top 25 poll.
Are they for sure going undefeated?
I don't know.
I think it's going to come down to three difficult games,
really the three toughest games on their schedule.
At BYU.
And listen, say what you will about the Big 12.
BYU at home in ProVote, that's going to be a difficult game.
You've got Miami at home and you've got SMU at home.
Here's the thing about Miami.
I think at best that's a coin flip for Notre Dame.
I don't think you can say they are definitely better than Miami.
And we might get to that point and say,
hey, Miami found everything they need to find
on the offensive and defensive line to replace what they just lost in the draft.
And they are just as good or maybe even better.
Now, it might be difficult to be better.
But what if MNSA is just like outstanding?
We've seen transfer quarterbacks now in several years,
Miami, go in and play well right away. We saw it with Cam Ward. We saw it with Carson Beck.
I would expect, in particular with the way that they like to run the football, own the line of
scrimmage. They've got five, five star guys, five that are replacing those guys on the D-line.
Five former five stars. They might be just fine on the defensive line. So at best, that's a
coin flip. And you still have SMU. I just can't guarantee.
that Notre Dame is going to go undefeated.
You're telling me you cannot lose a football game.
You get the wrong injury at the wrong time.
You get a quarterback that goes down in the middle of the third quarter.
Hopefully it doesn't happen for CJ Carr, but what if it does?
What if their run game doesn't pan out?
And this is just a throw-oriented team.
And you get into a throw game, maybe it's bad weather and you lose one.
Again, doesn't mean Notre Dame's not going to the playoff.
They're almost certainly going to go to the playoff,
but they've got to go undefeated to hit the over at 11.5.
So for me, my pick is going to be under.
Under for Notre Dame, 11.5 is just too steep.
I just can't guarantee that you're going to go undefeated.
That's wild.
It's so difficult to do that.
So difficult.
By the way, BYU is 23 and 4 over their last two years, 11 and 1 at home.
That's a good football program.
They're going to be physical.
You never know what could happen in those games late in November, Miami and SMU, both of those at home.
So Notre Dame for me, I think that that's an under.
All right. So now what I want to do is go through each conference. And what I want to do is give you a couple of teams that I think are good over bets. And then a team that right now, at least in the offseason, I'm looking at an under for them. Let's start in the Big Ten. I'm high on what Bob Chesney is doing at UCLA. Their win total is five and a half. They've got an experienced quarterback and Nico Iomaleava, 25 starts. They've got two group of five teams. They've got
a Big Ten schedule that doesn't scare me.
They've infused a ton of talent.
They've got all these guys coming over with Chesney from JMU from an assistant
coaching perspective.
So here's their easiest games.
I would say San Diego State, even though San Diego State is pretty good.
They've got Purdue.
They've got Maryland.
They've got Wisconsin.
They've got Michigan State.
They've got Nevada.
I can get to six pretty quickly with UCLA.
And again, this is a.
team that we saw last year had enough juice to beat Penn State. They've got their quarterback back.
I think they're going to have a lot better roster. I think they're going to have more continuity
within their staff and their head coach, Bob Chesney. So I think UCLA is the first one that jumped
out at me. I saw five and a half and I immediately, before even looking at the schedule,
thought to myself, that seems light. I'm going to take the over there. UCLA, for me, the over.
By the way, I'm looking at those games.
If they win those six, you hit the over.
And then there's some coin flip games.
You've got Cal in the opener at Minnesota, home against Illinois, Illinois traveling West,
rivalry game against USC.
There's a lot of avenues for UCLA to hit that over, and I think that they're going to do so.
Somewhere a Bruin is given an eight clap right there.
Here's another one.
How about Michigan State?
You know, Michigan State's total is three and a half?
I mean, like, Pat Fitzgerald knows how to coach.
I get it.
I know that they don't have a ton on their roster,
but he's a real football coach and three and a half is very low.
I'm a huge believer in Pat Fitzgerald.
I have been for a long time.
He's used to finding ways to win.
It's not like this guy was just loaded with talent and won because of that
and needs to rebuild the roster in order to win.
He's won with rosters that aren't as good as the opposite.
position. He kind of specializes in that, if you will, from his time at Northwestern. So now
he's in East Lansing at a program that has a good infrastructure, a lot of support, and he's
a heck of a football coach. So now you look at their easiest games. Remember, three and a half,
three and a half. So can we get to four? They've got Toledo and Eastern Michigan. I think those are wins.
You've got Nebraska at home. Who knows what Nebraska is going to be. You've got at Wisconsin as they're
trying to rebuild under Fickle. You've got Northwestern at home. You've got at Rutgers.
Those are six games. You tell me, all you needed to go is four and two. Two wins right out of
the gate against Toledo and eastern Michigan. So they just have to find two more throughout the
rest of the schedule. They can do that. Pat Fitzgerald can do that. They will get to four,
if not five or six. Wouldn't shock me at all if that's a six-win team. I think that they have the
potential to upset UCLA, the home game against Illinois.
who knows what Illinois is going to be without Luke Altmire.
You know, they're going to take a step back, at least I believe, this year under Brett Bilema.
So Michigan State, for me, that's a good over right there.
Three and a half is just too low.
How about an under in the Big Ten?
This is hard, in particular, and it's hard in every one of these conferences.
I don't love, you know, trying to pick an under.
But if I had to pick one, I'm looking at these win totals.
And one popped out to me and I'm like, man, I know the.
easy part of their schedule is, or excuse me, the first part of their schedule is easy,
basically the first half.
But if you stub your toe at all in that first half, their back end of their schedule is
very difficult, almost relentless.
Nebraska is a six and a half.
That's their total.
They lost Dylan Royola to the portal and All-American running back Emmett Johnson to the draft.
So they get UNLV quarterback Anthony Calandria.
He comes in.
lots of experience, 30 starts. He's a dual threat guy. Nebraska was last in the Big 10 in high school
recruiting rankings, which was a bit shocking this past off season. It was a small high school class,
which affected it, but still, like, they should be higher than that on the recruiting rankings.
There's no doubt. The schedule lines up for them early. I already referenced that. The Huskers
usually get off to a hot start. I think they will get off to a hot start. They could be 5 and 0 with three
lower level non-conference games and then Michigan State, Maryland to open Big Ten play.
But if they stub their toe at all, look at the back end of that schedule.
Indiana, Oregon, Washington, Illinois, Ohio State, at Iowa.
I mean, where are the wins?
Where are the wins?
Their last seven are so difficult.
They've got to go to Rutgers.
That's not a bargain.
Five of those teams are going to be in my top 25 from the spring.
So, you know, Nebraska basically has to be perfect early, then still find a win late through that stretch.
That's why this path to me is just a little murkier than most.
Nebraska has had bad second halves in a lot of their seasons in the last few years.
Last year, they lost three of their last four.
In 2024, they lost five of their last six.
In 2023, they lost their last four.
You know, so there's precedent to this.
So my pick on an under in the Big Ten would be Nebraska.
I think six and a half, although pretty accurate from Vegas,
I think that there's a path where there's an under there.
All right, we go to the ACC.
Visit BetMGM Casino and check out the newest exclusive.
The Price is Right Fortune Pick.
BetMDM and Game Sense remind you to play responsibly, 19 plus to wager.
Ontario only.
Please play responsibly.
If you have questions or concerns about your gambling or someone close to you,
please contact Connects Ontario at 1-866.
531, 2,600 to speak to an advisor.
Free of charge.
BetMGEM operates pursuant to an operating agreement with Eye Gaming, Ontario.
I look at the ACC, and I look at the favorite Miami,
and they're sitting at 10.5.
And I'm like, okay, you're telling me Miami only gets to lose one game in order to hit the over.
Notre Dame.
All right.
Coin flip.
coin flip. I already talked about that when talking about Notre Dame.
They're going to be really good. Miami is. I already mentioned this, but they've got those
five former five-star players replacing those talented NFL players on the defensive line.
Mario Cristobal, all he does is build a good, solid offensive line. We know that.
Now, they have to play better in big moments, and I've talked about that during the course of
the offseason, but he's built something in the trenches that I think is.
sustainable. This is a program that's going to be built on the trenches and they will be again.
They're going to have a monster talent advantage in almost every single ACC game. So I'm not nervous
about any ACC game and you're telling me you only have one coin flip on there. They're getting
wins all the way to 11 and then you've got one coin flip and your win total is 10 and a half.
They're better than Clemson. They're better than Florida State. I think it's a coin flip with
Notre Dame. They are better than Virginia Tech. I get it. I get it. The history.
would suggest that they're going to lose a game that they shouldn't lose. Louisville at home from
last year jumps out, obviously. SMU on the road last year. They had that bad, what was it,
personal foul roughing the passer, penalty late, kind of led to that loss. But I believe that this
team is going to be better and more suited for the big games because of their run last year
of the national championship game. So I'm going to take the over 10 and a half for Miami. Again,
the huge talent gap. You can get them to 11 pretty easily. That's an over. Then you have a coin
flip. That's one more. So the path for Miami's over is pretty clean. Another over.
Rhett Lashley's done an amazing job at SMU folks. Amazing job. SMU's total is only eight and a half.
They've won 20 games since joining the ACC two years ago. Kevin Jennings back for year three as a
starter. Just had him in the bowl game. I think that's a program that has recruited well.
Rhett Lashley is a heck of a coach. He was going to have strong interest from Arkansas.
when they made their change early in the season,
SMU in a very smart fashion,
tied them up long term with a long-term contract.
If you look at their toughest games,
how do you get them to nine wins?
All right.
Well, their toughest games, September 7th at Florida State.
They've got September 19th at Louisville.
I think those are really difficult.
I think Virginia is decently difficult.
Virginia Tech decently difficult.
I would give them wins in both of those games.
And then you've got at Notre Dame.
Again, all you need to do is get to nine.
You can lose three games and still hit the over with the eight and a half number.
So for me, SMU and their history over the last two years with Rhett Lashley
suggests that they're going to get to nine.
There's an easy path to do that.
They might get to 10.
This is a team that could potentially be in the ACC championship game.
They could absolutely make a playoff run.
Season opener at FSU, they've got all off season to plan for that one.
If they beat FSU, then they're well on their way.
At Louisville is a tough one.
Obviously, Notre Dame is a tough one.
but I like the over right here with SMU at 8.5.
All right.
How about an under in the ACC?
Cal is 6.5.
I think that that's a big number for Cal.
They've got to get to seven wins.
So you've got to dig a little bit on Cal.
Tosh Lupoi is in his first year as a head coach ever.
We're able to hold on to Sagapolete.
Gosh, I don't know how to say this kid's name.
Sangapulote.
Golly.
This is just, this is embarrassing.
That's how you know it's the offseason.
I was able to say it pretty well last fall,
and I've just lost my ability to do that.
Don't worry, I'll be back this fall.
They did lose their star linebacker to BYU,
and then you start looking at their schedule.
If they lose to potentially UCLA, Clemson, Virginia Tech,
at SMU, North Carolina State, Virginia,
these are all games that are going to be really tough for Cal.
A lot of those are tough travel-wise.
You're going all the way over to the East Coast.
Got to go all the way to Texas to face SMU.
If they lose those six, it's an under.
If they lose five, they have no margin for error with their other five games.
And you start looking at this and you're like, okay, brand new head coach,
like there's a path for an under right there.
So if I looked at the ACC and I looked at these win totals,
I would say Cal is an under six and a half.
By the way, deepest apologies about the pronounce.
It's just, I'm terrible at it. It's actually like, I'm woefully terrible at pronunciations. I have to practice on Friday nights with the phonetic spelling, just so that I don't butcher names on Saturday. And I end up butchering names on Saturday. It's a huge pet peeve of mine. I hate that I do that. And so apologies right there. We move on to the SEC. How about Georgia at nine and a half?
seems a little low for Georgia, in particular when you look at their SEC schedule.
I've said it before.
I think that Georgia has one of the softer SEC schedules.
As SEC schedules go, it's not a soft schedule.
But if you look at within the conference, it's not as difficult as others.
Kirby has eight straight full seasons with 10 plus wins in the regular season.
Ohio State and Georgia are one and two on longest streak.
right now. Next is Oregon at three.
So again, you're looking at track record here.
Is Georgia going to win 10 games?
Likely, likely.
They're going to have to lose a shocking game to go 9 and 3.
A shocking game.
You've got OU at Bama, Florida and Atlanta, at Ole Miss, Missouri, at South Carolina.
I can't get them to three losses.
Not this program, not this head coach.
Again, you would have to lose a game that we're all like, wow,
Georgia lost to who?
They don't do that typically.
I know that they have struggled sometimes on the road.
They can get uninterested at times on the road.
But again, like nine and a half is a low bar for Kirby Smart and Georgia.
And the schedule is in their favor, at least in relation to other SEC schedules.
So Georgia, for me, is an over nine and a half.
What about LSU at eight and a half?
Don't you think that's a little low?
I think LSU eight and a half is a little bit low.
They got to get through their tough September.
I think that they go three and one in their September.
Their three tough games are Clemson at Ole Miss, Texas A&M.
I think they can win two of those games.
I really do.
Then they've got tough games in November, Alabama, Texas, at Tennessee.
They might only have to win one of those to get the nine.
I think Lane Kiffin is going to do a really good job at LSU.
they're going to be, let's just play this out, thought experiment.
We turn on the TV and LSU is playing Clemson to open the year.
There's a really good chance that there's a wide talent gap there.
And that LSU is a team that we're like, oh, wow.
And we kind of saw this last year with Texas Tech.
And it's like, well, do we want to believe that all this new talent was really going to materialize and
what it did. I think we're going to have the same reaction with LSU. And when you say it like
that, there are not four losses on that schedule. There really aren't. So over eight and a
half for me seems like a good bet. I'm going to bet on Lane Kiffin. He did a heck of a job at
Ole Miss. I think he's going to do a great job at LSU. I understand why he left there. Listen,
the whole thing last year, yeah, I thought Lane should have stayed at Ole Miss. I didn't love the
timing of him leaving his team right before the playoff. That being said, he's in a great position
right now. They've infused that program with a ton of support, a ton, probably the most expensive
roster in the country. I think there's going to be a big talent gap when they face teams like
Clemson, Ole Miss. There might be a big talent cap when they face Tennessee. There might be a
big talent cap when they face Alabama, right? Like I don't know about Alabama. So LSU for me is an easy
over eight and a half. Hey, Clats show fans, if you follow this show, you know that the college football
calendar literally never stops between breaking down film, analyzing rosters and getting ready
for the next big matchup. My schedule is absolute chaos year round. Eating right on my busiest days
used to be a total disaster, but factor has solved that for me. They deliver chef-crafted,
dietitian-approved meals straight to your door that are completely fresh and ready to eat in just two
minutes, no prep, no grocery runs, and absolutely zero cleanup. It completely removes the mental
load of meal planning so I can keep my focus entirely on the game. And as an analyst, I look at the
data, and the data on factor is clean. This is real nutrient dense food made with clean ingredients.
There are no refined seed oils, no high fructose corn syrup, and they ban over 175 artificial
ingredients. Plus, if you're looking to hit your fitness goals, their high protein options, pack a
to 53 grams of protein per meal.
With over 100 rotating weekly menu options from calorie smart to low carb,
there is always something that fits your exact lifestyle.
Lock in a premium nutrition routine that actually saves you time.
Click my link in the description to get an exclusive offer with Factor available for a
limited time only right now.
That gets you 50% off your very first box.
Plus, free breakfast for an entire year.
while your subscription remains active.
Get ahead of the game.
Use code clat and get after it.
About Vandy 6.5.
Vandy has seen an unprecedented level of success
in the last two years under Clark Lee,
but they lose their engine,
their spark plug, Diego Pavia.
They've got the least amount of returning production
in the SEC.
They lost two of their top three receivers.
Their star tied end, Eli Stowers.
He goes to the NFL.
He was the Mackey Award winner.
they're replacing four starters on the offensive line.
Could be a true freshman starting a quarterback.
You know how I feel about experience.
And then you look at their toughest games.
They've got at Auburn, at Georgia, Ole Miss, Alabama, at Florida and the Swamp, Tennessee.
They also have NC State.
At Kentucky, Kentucky might be a lot better under Will Stein.
At Mississippi State, not gimmies necessarily.
They're obviously going to win some of those games.
But they've got to get to seven.
And you lose that much for a program.
that I believe is a program that's going to have to go down in order to go back up.
Sustaining a level of greatness at Vanderbilt is going to be tough to do.
There's no doubt.
They lose too much.
I'm going to be on the under Vandy at six and a half.
Give me the under.
We go to the Big 12th.
Arizona, 7.5.
I believe in Brent Brennan.
I think he's a heck of a football coach.
I believe in Noah Fafita.
He's one of the most experienced quarterbacks in the entire country.
He was the best quarterback in the Big 12 a year ago.
34 career starts.
They hit the portal to reinforce what they lost on defense.
They also like a lot of the young guys.
I had them in the Holiday Bowl.
They spoke highly of some of those young secondary players,
and they played better in that second half against SMU.
You look at their schedule.
They need eight.
They can only lose four games.
You can get there.
At BYU is a tough game.
There's no doubt.
You've got TCU.
You've got Utah.
You've got Kansas State, Arizona State.
That's their November schedule.
I think that they're going to need one of those games to get to eight.
they will win one of those games in November to get to eight.
And for me, Arizona isn't over.
Their total is seven and a half.
I believe at a minimum, that's an eight and four football team.
We go same state.
No, I'm sorry.
We stay in the Big 12, is what I was trying to say.
Oklahoma State, five and a half.
Okay, so this is going to be similar to UCLA,
where there's going to be an infusion of energy.
you've got all these transfer players that have played really well at a lower level that are coming in from North Texas.
And I kind of like it. Eric Morris brought Drew Mestemaker, the nation's leading passer.
Caleb Hawkins, they're running back. He was fifth in college football and rushing last year.
First in rushing touchdowns. They brought in Wyatt Young, their wide receiver. He was third in college football and receiving yards.
North Texas led the country in scoring and total offense a year ago.
They can do that in the Big 12.
not leading the country, but this is going to be a really good football team. And that total is
low. Five and a half. I know that the bar is is low as far as what they won a year ago. They
reached the American championship game last year at North Texas. They won 12 football games. This feels
just like Bob Chesney going to UCLA, just like Kurt Signetti going to Indiana. Eric Morris going
to Oklahoma State with everything that he can do as a coach and that entire roster with a chip
on their shoulder. This is a team that can absolutely win six football games. Here's their
easiest games. Are these the six wins? They've got at Tulsa, Murray State, UCF, Colorado,
at Iowa State, and Kansas. They wouldn't need any other wins other than those right there
to hit the over. And now all you've got to do is steal something elsewhere. They've got other
opportunities for road wins. They've got at West Virginia.
they've got at Kansas State, at Arizona State.
To me, this is an easy over with what they're bringing in similar to UCLA.
This is the Kurt Signetti to Indiana.
I think we're going to see a couple of versions of that at UCLA and Oklahoma State.
So for me, Oklahoma State is on the over.
What's up, Clashio fans?
I don't know about you, but I'm always looking for the best deal on tickets.
And it's clear to me that Seat Geek is the answer.
With over 35 million downloads, SeatGeek is the number one rated ticketing app.
There are more than 70,000 events listed like concerts, festivals, sports, and more.
Now, I know college football is several months away, but MLB is in full swing.
The NBA and NHL playoffs are here, and you can even get World Cup tickets on Seatgeek.
Now, I really want to go to a World Cup game and so-fi with my boys, so I love using Seat-Geek,
because I know that Seat Geek has my back.
Each ticket is rated on a scale of 1 to 10, so you know you're getting a good deal.
Look for the green dots.
Green means good. Red means just keep looking. Plus, every ticket is backed by their buyer guarantee.
And of course, I have a code for you guys. You can use code Clat 10 for 10% off your next set of tickets at Seatgeek.
That's 10% off any tickets with promo code Clat 10. Make sure you click the link in the description to download
the app and have the code automatically added to your account so you can use it later.
Shout out to Seatgeek for sponsoring today's show. All right. Lastly, in the Big 12, I
Iowa State. I hate to do this to Iowa State. Obviously, they lost like their entire program and I get it. But five and a half, like, that's too much for me. Iowa State lost all of their players. They lose Matt Campbell. This is a program that yes is a proud program. But when you look at this league, remember, all these teams are bunched together and you've got to get to six wins. I just don't see it for Iowa State. So five and a half is a bit too rich for me. Again, I'll say this again. I hate to see this happen to that program.
I'm a fan of this program, but this year is going to be tough for Iowa State.
I would have set this at four and a half.
As soon as I'm off by a full game like that, I think to myself, okay, this is an easy under right here.
The path for under is far easier for them than the path to over.
There's no doubt about it.
So Iowa State, even though I hate to do it, they're going to be my under team in the Big 12.
Hey, if you haven't subscribed to the show, you should do that on YouTube.
We've got episodes dropping every single Monday all offseason long, getting you all set for the college football season.
If you have not rated and reviewed us, if you're listening to this as a podcast, please do that wherever you get your podcast.
And then if you haven't followed us on social media, you're going to need to do that.
All of our content lives in shorter form out there at Joel Clatchell.
Okay.
So until next Monday, we will see you.
I hope you have a great week.
I hope you're enjoying your summer, and I cannot wait for college football.
We'll see you next Monday.
