The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 245. The Uncomfortable Truth Behind Economic Inequality | Glenn Loury
Episode Date: April 19, 2022This episode was recorded on October 12, 2021Dr. Glenn Loury and I discuss the Pareto principle, the economics of inequality, PC culture, climate change, race in America, IQ and The Bell Curve, intell...igence vs. wisdom, AA meetings, Christianity, and more.Dr. Glenn Loury is an American economist, academic, and author. In 1982, he became the first African American tenured professor of economics at Harvard. Among Dr. Loury’s published works are The Anatomy of Racial Inequality and Race, Incarceration, & American Values. He was elected president of the Eastern Economics Association in 2013 and received the Bradley Prize in 2022.___________Links___________Dr. Loury’s substack:http://glennloury.substack.comThe Glenn Show: https://youtube.com/channel/UCuEhthcgt1AImOzXPYsMzeQThe Anatomy of Racial Inequality: https://amazon.com/Anatomy-Racial-Inequality-Preface-Lectures/dp/0674260465/ref=asc_df_0674260465/?tag=hyprod-20&linkCode=df0&hvadid=519487730108&hvpos=&hvnetw=g&hvrand=770218243983853108&hvpone=&hvptwo=&hvqmt=&hvdev=c&hvdvcmdl=&hvlocint=&hvlocphy=9019578&hvtargid=pla-1454356324992&psc=1Race, Incarceration, and American Values:https://amazon.com/gp/product/B08BT4WHFG/ref=dbs_a_def_rwt_hsch_vapi_tkin_p1_i2___________Chapters___________[0:00] Intro[01:23] Dr. Loury’s Career[04:38] The Pareto Principle[10:51] Market Failure & Climate Change[11:57] The G Factor (general intelligence factor)[13:45] Why Stephen Jay Gould Is Wrong[17:01] Neuroticism & Divorce[26:06] Race & Incarceration in the US [36:16] Culture & Biology[38:09] The 80/20 Principle[47:20] Openness & Entrepreneurs[49:21] Meaningful Work & Inequality[56:35:] The Bell Curve [01:01:09] Political Correctness around IQ [01:14:58] Dr. Loury's (Shifting) Political Views[01:21:09] Drug Addiction & Spiritual Transformation[01:27:10] Intelligence vs. Wisdom[01:30:16] The Glenn Show[01:35:40] George Floyd
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Welcome to episode 245 of the JBP Podcast.
I'm Michaela Peterson.
In this episode, dad and Dr. Glenn Laurie
talked broadly about IQ race and the economics of inequality.
Dr. Laurie is an academic and economist who, in 1982,
famously became the first black tenured professor
at Harvard School of Economics.
Dr. Laurie is the author of the Anatomy of Racial Inequality
and RACE, Incarceration, and American Values.
Also covered in this episode are topics
like the Pareto Principle Market Failures,
Charles Murray's infamous book, The Bell Curve,
Christianity, Dad's Genius Mathematician Client,
AA meetings in climate change.
As always, you can get rid of ads and you can get rid of me telling you how to get rid of
ads by going premium at JordanVPeterson.supercast.com.
That comes with a bunch of perks like exclusive show notes and monthly Q&As.
Check out the whole list of benefits at JordanVPeterson.supercast.com.
Without further ado, Dr. Glenn Laurie. Hello, everybody. I'm pleased today to have as my guest, Professor
Glenn C. Lowry, Merton's P. Stoltz, Professor of Economics at Brown University.
He holds a BA in mathematics from Northwestern and a PhD in Economics from MIT.
He's published widely as an economic theorist and researcher, has lectured
throughout the world and is one of America's leading analysts
of racial inequality.
He's been elected a distinguished fellow
of the American Economics Association,
a member of the American Philosophical Society
and of the US Council on Foreign Relations,
and is a fellow both of the economic, sorry,
econometric society and the American Academy
of Arts and Sciences.
His YouTube channel podcast, The Glend Show,
often co-hosted with Professor John McWorderer,
linguist at Columbia, and a recent guest on my YouTube channel,
has attracted an increasingly wide audience.
I'm hoping to talk with Professor Lowry
about income distribution, the pre-do principle,
his shifting political and religious beliefs,
racial inequality, et cetera,
and as well as his public presence on YouTube
and via podcast.
Thank you very much for agreeing to speak with me today.
I'm very much looking forward to this conversation.
Good to be with you, Jordan.
I'm excited.
Great, great.
So maybe we can start by,
I'd like to get to know you a little bit.
So how did it come about that you developed an academic career?
Well, I was a working class kid in Chicago
and got to a junior college.
I married quite young.
I dropped out of college.
I found my way back to school at a junior community college
in Chicago and had a math teacher, calculus teacher who saw that I was really, really good at differentiating and integrating.
You know, that I was good at these little mathematical puzzles. He said, you're a smart protest and the Black power and all of that.
Northwestern University wanted to recruit Black kids from Chicago to come and study there.
And I got recommended to their attention.
And I ended up with a full scholarship at Northwestern where I discovered a serious qualitative study in mathematics and in economics.
I took graduate courses while in undergraduate at Northwestern in both math and econ and found
myself at MIT as a graduate student in the early 1970s took a PhD there.
Did you know that you had a mathematical bent before you were discovered so to speak at the community college?
I did. I was always good at math. I was doing slide rule and logarithms and stuff when I was in the sixth grade. I was teaching my fellow eighth graders from an algebra problem set book after class because it was just a hobby that I loved.
That was always good at math, but I had not had the opportunity to get a really serious education
until I got to Northwestern and that's when things took off for me. And MIT, you know, it was the
best, probably the best economics department in the world in the early 1970s
with students from all over who were quite outstanding scholars. And I really found my niche
found my niche there. What I loved about it was formal modeling applied to social questions.
I liked math, but it was air-ed abstract, and it was the early 1970s,
when wanted to be working on social issues somehow. And economics was exactly right for me,
because I found that you could explore these questions with a kind of rigor and a kind of
discipline, quantitative specification and, you know, deductive logic and applied mathematics. Not deep, not really,
really deep mathematics, but serious applied mathematics. So it was a natural fit for me.
Here, I like, I took a clinical research degree and I like to science a lot, the research
science, but I really like the fact that my clinical practice enabled me to sort of nail that down to earth all the time.
So that was a lovely balance as well.
And also sort of fed my interest in social issues
more at the individual level than, say, the sociological level.
Did you become convinced?
I mean, you've got this mathematical benton
and you were trained, at least at the bachelor's level
in mathematics per se.
How convinced are you that the application of mathematics
to economic
models produces results that are actually applicable to the real world?
Oh, well, that's a big one, applicable to the real world.
I mean, I think what you're doing in formal economics, this is a big question early in
the 20th century when people like Paul Salmielson, who was one of my teachers was beginning to apply.
Yeah, the kind of mathematics that you would see in theoretical physics on dynamical systems or, you know, this kind of apply it, and it was basically differential and integral calculus and differential equations and so on, apply it to classical problems and economics.
And a lot of people thought,
well, that's kind of taking us away from the real world.
And that's a kind of, you know,
counting angels on the head of a pen,
a kind of, you know, abstract.
And it's true that one can get lost in the abstraction.
But I think there are deeper insights
that can be generated through the application of mathematics
that are closely connected to the re-world.
This is not empirical science.
This is theoretical, but it's a,
you kind of get to the bottom of it.
I mean, I could give an example.
So the invisible hand theorem from Adam Smith,
this is the late 18th century, as you know, is if you let people pursue profit, their own interest
at prices that are commonly observed by everybody
and they're in competition with one another,
then the outcome is gonna be socially efficient.
It's gonna be Pareto efficient.
You were talking about Pareto just a minute ago.
It's gonna be Pareto efficient.
Now, that's kind of a deep insight.
And what does it depend upon?
And I think that the 20th century characterization
of what we mean by competition, what we mean by price
has been common to all people and profit seeking and
self interested on the part of consumers. It kind of crystallizes exactly what you have to be
assuming about the behavior of individuals and about the institutional setting in order for confidence
and the efficiency of capitalist enterprise to be justified. Now, it turns out that those conditions and people
like Kenneth Arrow, the late great Kenneth Arrow,
the economist, he was at Stanford at the end of his career,
and others formalized this at mid 20th century.
Turns out that those assumptions are fairly rigid.
Those assumptions are fairly demanding.
There's plenty of reason to believe that they may fail
and seeing what the
consequences of the failure of those assumptions are is something that is facilitated by formalizing
the problem. And I mean, I could give other examples in political theory that Kenneth
Erro, again, he has a famous book called Social Choice and Individual Values. And that book is a theorem which he has to employ rigorous
mathematics to demonstrate.
But the theorem says that if you're looking for a mechanism
that for just about any kind of society
can aggregate individual preferences in a coherent
and rational way, in order to formulate a social decision
rule rooted in those individual preferences.
Unless your rule is dictatorial,
where you designate one person to be the decision maker
for everybody else, you will be looking in vain.
It's an impossibility theorem.
There are no mechanisms.
Majority rule doesn't satisfy all the rationality requirements,
et cetera, et cetera.
So that's confusing to me in some ways.
And enlightening in others, Let me see if I can
rephrase that in question you a little bit about that. So, well, when I think about these sorts of problems psychologically, in terms of how people are able to make decisions to act successfully in the world, I see that we're always contending in some sense with genuine uncertainty.
And the future is in some sense actually unpredictable.
And so none of us are smart enough to figure out exactly
what's coming and what we should do.
And so I tend to view the free market
as a giant computational device that does the best job
that we can of computing what's valuable at any given point across
the, you know, as vast a number of individuals as we can possibly manage. And it isn't exactly
that I think that that works. It's that I think I can't see how anything else that we could
possibly do could work better. And so they did. And I'm not an economist and I'm certainly
not a mathematician. There might be all sorts of problems with that sort of line of theorizing, but I see it
as distributed decision making that's, you know, a consequence at least to some degree
of the maximum free choice among the individual's concern.
Now, I know there's such thing as market failures and et cetera, but am I way out?
Exactly, right.
You're in free trick fun, high, territory.
I mean, you know, it makes this argument in a very classical way.
Because information is diffuse in society.
And the idea that a central bureau of government fiat
could effectively manage all the different trade-offs
and coordination problems and relative valuations and so forth.
You know, the computer is not big enough to be able to do that.
And moreover, the information is not in one place.
The information is in the hands of many, many different decision-makers.
But the engine that makes that intuition of yours work is prices.
It's the fact that people are seeing prices.
The prices carry all the information they need about the relative merits of one or another
course of action for themselves already incorporating the kinds of calculations that a central decision
maker would find it impossible to carry out.
So I think the way you summarize the problem of the market being a mechanism for calculating
very difficult allocation problems to the best effectiveness that's available to us, not perfect
to be sure. I think that's correct. And yes, market failures are when that process goes wrong. And it's usually when the prices don't reflect
all the different costs, as for example, in the climate change. Yeah, well, that's a problem
of temporality, to some degree, right? Because we can't compute costs across all possible
timeframes simultaneously. And so when you're talking about something that might have a long-term cost, it's like,
well, how long-term a cost can we expect to adapt to?
You know, if it's 150 years in the future, well, we're all dead.
And it's very difficult for us to take such things into account.
And also our prediction, our margin of error expands terribly as we move out into the future.
So okay, so I want to reverse that for a sec
and this will have some bearing on our later discussion,
maybe.
So, I kind of like the idea that the future
is unpredictable per se and that you need
distributed decision making power,
but I also spent a lot of time studying cognitive ability
and personality.
And so, what researchers have concluded essentially
is that if you study cognitive ability, which
is something like the ability to manipulate abstractions at some rapid rate, you find that
it collapses statistically into a single dimension, whereas personality collapses into five dimensions.
And that's the G.
This is G.
Yes, G essentially, yes.
And it's not much different. You could you can
get a pretty rough approximation of G by taking any set of a hundred questions that require abstraction
to solve and just averaging the score. It'll be correlated with G at like point seven or point eight
which is a whopping correlation by social science standards. And so but but anyways, you know, the thing about me, let me ask you a question. Sorry to interrupt, but I'm not a psychologist. Here's my sort of statistically trained understanding
of that, which is that while we may not be able to put our finger on any particular neuro pathway
or any particular biological process that going on activity going on in the brain. Nevertheless, we think that there is an ability or an aptitude
that manifests itself in the solution
to these abstract kinds of cognitive problems.
We're going to call it G, and we're going to measure it
by the confluence of a person's performance across a range
of different kinds of tests.
There's something a factor analyst,
an analytic kind of extraction of a factor of,
and you're saying that no matter what the test start kind of,
it all collapses down to this one.
It doesn't matter what the tests are.
You can take any set of 100 random questions
that require abstraction to solve,
and you'll pull out something that will be correlated with G.
If you average the scores at about 0.7 or 0.8,
it's remarkably unitary. It's stunningly unitary. When someone like Stephen J.
Gold, is I recall him the most? He's wrong. Okay. And here's why. He took issue with factor.
Now, as he said, well, that's not real. It's like, well, is the average real?
But it depends what you mean by real. If it has a one factor solution, it's basically identical to the average,
not exactly because all the questions
aren't related to that average equally.
But in the case of G, for all intents and purposes,
it's indistinguishable from the average.
And any random set of 100 questions will do.
And when I looked it to this deeply
because we built personality models, my research team,
and they'd be reasonably influential in the field of personality.
So I understand that there are phenomena that are associated with human psychology.
You don't have a unidimensional solution.
But G, man, it's a killer, it's a black hole, it sucks all cognition into it,
and there's no escaping it.
So it's very... Now, why brought that up? We'll go back to that.
But why brought that up? It's kind back to that. But why brought that up is because it's kind of weird to see that
There is this cognitive ability that does allow for prediction of the future that is associated reasonably strongly
Statistically with long-term say life economic success in some ways that flies in the face of the idea that a central authority
Can can't model the future because we have a central authority. And I could speak about it biologically for a second.
So you move your body voluntarily with your motor cortex.
And the prefrontal cortex grew out of that
over an evolutionary time frame.
And what the prefrontal cortex does is represent action in abstraction
so that you can assess, well, its mechanisms,
but also its's likely outcome
before you implement it in action. And that seems to be, it's not a specifically human
skill, but we've developed that far more than any other creature. And so, and it seems
to work because people with higher IQs tend to do better, say, economically, well, they
do better across a large variety of measures. So well, that's sort of that.
Somebody does fly in the face of that need for distributed decision making.
I don't see that.
I don't see how it is that the ability to predict the person's, I don't know,
income or whatever on the basis of their cognitive ability correlates or connects
to the ability of someone sitting in an office
somewhere to know how much, you know, far material should be shipped here and maybe it's a matter
of complexity, you know, it maybe that's what diversity and the fact that it's not a one-dimensional
thing what we're after when we when we ask what people want. They have preferences that are
complex and they they and and I don't know who is the person who wants a cool,
room or a warm room in the winter time.
They have to reveal that to me by the actions
that they take, something like that.
Yeah, well, so maybe it's, maybe it's the case
that the Central IQ 30s, so to speak,
has a bounded universe that's basically private
in which it can make reasonable predictions.
But once you scale the problem up to a certain degree of complexity, you have to switch to more distributed forms of cognition.
That could easily be the case. Can I predict whose marriage is going to survive based on G?
Not that I know of. You can predict whose marriage is going to survive to some degree based on
trait neuroticism, which is the negative emotion dimension. And so higher levels of neuroticism increase the probability of divorce.
And that's part of the reason why most divorces are initiated by women.
That's going to get you in trouble, George.
Yeah, whatever.
I get in trouble all the time.
But look, I mean, it's not a sexist thing to say.
I mean, there's reasons that women are more sensitive to negative emotion.
They're smaller.
The cost of sex is higher for them,
and they have to be finally attuned
to the dangers posed to infants.
And so it's an evolutionary.
It's nothing wrong with the fact
they have higher levels of negative motion.
It's costly for them as individuals to some degree,
because it's unpleasant and physiologically demanding.
But it makes perfect sense, given that the world's
probably more dangerous for women,
especially when they have infants. Everything you said makes a lot of sense to me. Why is it so
difficult to make statements such as the ones that you've made about the intrinsic or natural
differences between men and women based on the very argument that you gave, that this good evolution
every reason why? Well, I can play devil's advocate for that. So as a psychologist, I do see a technical reason, in some sense, for separating biological
sex from the concept of gender.
And the reason for that is that I think the best description of gender is probably in
personality.
And men and women's personality are more the same than they are different.
So the curves overlap more than they differ.
The biggest differences are a negative emotion and compassion slash politeness, which is agreeableness, and women are higher in both reliably.
But there are no shortage of women who have a masculine temperament and no shortage of men who have a feminine temperament.
They're in a minority, but the diversity is there.
And so when you say something like, well, on average,
females differ in this way, it's hard for people who don't
think statistically to sort of separate that out from,
well, that means everyone's like that.
And while they're not, there's tremendous individual,
very, five dimensions of variability
is a lot of variability.
And so there is more similarity between men and women
than there are differences.
The biggest difference is an interest, actually.
And this is kind of interesting for someone mathematically
minded, because there isn't much evidence
that women and men differ in mathematical ability
at a cognitive level.
Maybe boys have a slight edge in spatial reasoning.
And that might be linked to testosterone. And I think that's probably true, but it's,
it's slight, but they have a whopping difference in interest. And women are reliably more interested
in people and men are reliably more interested in things compared to the other sex.
I read Charles Murray's book, Human Diversity and the section of that book on Jiddler
is very powerful in my mind.
I thought he made many strong arguments there.
And around this point about differences in interest.
And then of course that causes people to invest
in different kinds of behavior
and that leads to differentiation
and their occupational profiles and other things.
Well, it's especially true at the extremes,
because even if the curves overlap to a large degree
in the middle so that most men and women
are, you're roughly the same,
if the great mathematicians, let's say,
are 1% of the population, which is probably no rest of it,
then they're almost all gonna be men,
despite that huge overlap and despite the lack of cognitive difference. I've been a chess player, a chess player, I'm just going to say all my
life and the dominance of men amongst the world class chess players is, you know, it's
very, very prominent. I mean, they basically are very few women who play at the top, top rank
are very few women who play at the top, top rank of chess players. Yeah, well, you have to kind of be obsessed with something like chess to, to get that far,
right? I mean, it's a real specialization at that level.
And so if you're not compelled by your interest, you won't do it, despite your ability.
A relatively small difference in ability at the right tail of the distribution and spatial cognition, for example, might lead to that's life. In the Scandinavian countries, it's
proved very difficult to get women into engineering and men into nursing. And as those countries
have become more gender equal in their legislation and their social policies and likely their
society, those differences have got bigger, not smaller. So it's a stunning.
I wonder what you would say to this argument, which is, okay,
okay, maybe you guys have a point. But the main political imperative is equality for men and women.
That's a political imperative. And that means that we have to sustain majorities in favor of
the kinds of laws and regulations we need to achieve that. When you talk
candidly and casually as Lawrence Summers did when he was president of Harvard University,
I'm sure you know the incident that I'm doing. Oh, yes, I sure do.
Women and why they're not so many at the top of mathematics and the STEM disciplines. When you
talk casually about that, you give aid and comfort to the forces that want
a resisted quality, and you kind of feed or fuel something
that needs to be opposed, not to be encouraged.
So you ought to censor yourselves a little bit.
Have some modesty in the way in which you talk about these
issues, because the stakes are very high, something like that.
Do you find that the same?
Yeah, well, I agree. Oh, yeah. But, you know, the way I deal with
as I don't speak casually about such things, like I, I, I did my research on these topics.
This is years of research. And I was dead serious about partly because we built practical tools
to assess personality and cognitive ability, as well as I studied it as a researcher. And,
you know, as an interested, as an interested clinician.
And so none of this is casual.
And no, I don't think that censoring myself is the right idea because I think to really
say if we wanted to eliminate those gender differences in occupation, the intensity of
government intervention that would be required would tilt things towards something that's too much to totalitarian
You'd have to interfere with people so much to accomplish that
It's a one standard deviation at least difference in interest between men and women and people and things and then if you do
Foster social equality like the Scandinavians have clearly they've clearly done that by any reasonable measure
At the fact that those differences get bigger
It's like you just can't walk away from that. It's not what anyone expected on the left or the right.
No one expected that. And what seems to happen is if you give men and women every opportunity,
in some ways, they get much more different. And so, you know, hey, we didn't expect that, but
that science, isn't it? All very, very frequently things that you don't expect happen.
So, yeah.
Okay, well, you persuade me on that one.
Yeah, well, it's not easy to see how you could set up government policies that would violate people's intrinsic interest.
And one of the things you do learn as a personality researcher is that those interests are deep.
They're biologically rooted in many ways.
So if you're an open person, so that's creativity dimension, that's deeply rooted inside
of you.
It's a fundamental element of who you are.
It can't be easily trifled with or safely trifled with by, well, let's say, by political
interests.
And I really saw that as a clinician,
because I'd have people who are creative as clients,
and if they weren't doing creative work,
they could hardly stand to be alive.
Well, this is a theme that might apply across
a number of areas, the theme being a pursuit
of a faux egalitarianism, an equality in a place
where the natural order of things would not have equality be expected.
But the ideology of egalitarianism is set against the objective reality of the difference that we're talking about and people want to make, we want a force, we want a force engineering departments to recruit women so that they have a 50-50 balance or whatever it might be.
We want to subsidize or tax or discourage and encourage people's behavior so as to bring
about this equal outcome.
Well, you know, as a heuristic, you might say that if you look at outcome and you see gender
differences or ethnic differences or racial differences. Sometimes you can reliably infer barriers in prejudice.
And so as a heuristic, it's not bad, right?
Because that points to a place where there might be a problem.
But then we do have some areas where we have high resolution knowledge, like, let's say
with regard to interest in people versus things.
And so then we can say, well, wait a sec, that difference doesn't look like it's a consequence of arbitrary prejudice. So, but I think I don't like to
look, one of the things I was interested in talking to you about, you've written a fair bit about
racial differences in incarceration in the United States. And you've made a case, and I don't
want to put words in your mouth, but I'm trying to sum up what I understand. That the fact of those differential incarceration rates
not only has a variety of negative medium and long-term
consequences for everyone,
but that it does point to a kind of system,
systemic problem that's fundamentally discriminatory.
And to some degree, that's use of that heuristic,
I would say, and perhaps in an entirely appropriate way, it's complicated.
But have I got your argument reasonably?
I wouldn't have said, or I wouldn't say today, in any case,
fundamentally discriminatory, without unpacking that.
Yeah, I would say that the disparity, here you have the state
that the prized people of liberty,
it's a very massive footprint, the state that the prize people of liberty. It's a very massive footprint
incarceration in the United States, and there's a huge racial disparity in it. There's also a
racial disparity in criminal offending. I would make the case that even if you could account for
every single person incarcerated by reference to, well, they broke the law, they did the crime, they're doing the time.
And even if you could count roughly
that the African American overrepresentation in prison
is commensurate with their overrepresentation
amongst criminal offenders.
Still, the fact that this is the state coming down
with a hammer on people and confining them and depriving them of their liberty
at the scale that it's engaged in given the history of our society where racial differences such
as fraud and sensitive matter given the existence of stereotypes in the minds of people
that are buttressed by the overrepresentation of African-Americans in prison. Given the political alienation in the communities
from which the prisoners are coming,
and all that can be loaded onto that in terms of a lack
of the granting of legitimacy to the forces of order
in the society, given the history, which is a history
that is marred by racial, etc., etc.,
that it would be a bad thing for that disparity to persist. And it's an outcome that government
ought to work to counteract, not because they think it's mainly a consequence of discrimination,
at least ongoing current contemporary discrimination.
But because the ultimate stability of our social order
depends upon not allowing that to fester on a tender rate.
I've said a million cases, each one rightly decided
can still add up to a great and historic wrong.
And that's the sense in which I lamented,
this is years ago, I don't write so much about it anymore.
But in any case, I lamented the racial disparity
in incarceration.
I thought it was bad for our society,
even if it reflected mainly disparity in criminal offending.
Because of course, criminal offending
doesn't fall from the sky.
Either it's a consequence of social structure and social organization to some degree as well as the personality and
moral characteristics of different individuals and society but yeah I was concerned about mass
incarceration primarily because I thought it made solving the American dilemma all that much
more difficult to accomplish.
Yeah, well, you also wrote to some degree about its effect
on disrupting families, you know,
on an ongoing and continuing basis.
And, you know, I've spent a fair bit of time trying to wrestle
with the potential role that fathers play in families
in relationship, let's say, to the disciplinary structures
that are applied both to young men and young women. And it certainly seems to me that these differential incarceration rates are tremendously
destabilizing for the fundamental family structure among, well, what, and when you've looked at that,
let me ask you two questions. Do what do you think the data show about the severity of sentencing for blocks versus whites in the US for crimes of the same magnitude?
And I know that's not bottom level data, but how do you see that?
Because you talked about criminal offending. and yeah, but now you can find studies where they are going to see some
modestly more severe punishment, conditional on the crime for the black offenders. But my
general sense of the matter, and I rest here on my service on a committee of the National Academy
of Sciences that reported maybe seven or eight years ago, causes and consequences of high rates of incarceration
in the United States.
My understanding of that literature from people like,
he's up in years now, but he's been very influential.
Alfred Bloomstein, he's a statistical criminologist
at Carnegie Mellon University, who's kind of the Godfather
of these studies.
There are many other studies.
My understanding is that you cannot account for more than 15, 20%
of the racial disparity in people in prison by reference to differences in the length of
sentence or the likelihood of being convicted in sentence, conditional on offense.
Okay, so that's not nothing. It's not nothing. It's not nothing.
But it's the great book of the disparity is differences in
offending. What about probability of being arrested for an
offense? Okay, I don't know.
15 or 20% could easily be. I don't know. Yeah, it,
these things are going to be hard to estimate. They're probably
yeah, you're not observing the non-arrested offenders.
You're observing user surveys of people who have been offended against,
and in those surveys, there'll be reports about the perceived race of the person who's offending.
So maybe you could attempt to back into some estimate of the conditional
likelihood of being apprehended, given race.
And there might be some racial difference there.
15% sounds like that could be a lot.
Yeah, well, I could go the other way too, because it isn't obvious to me whether the black
community in the US is overpoliced or underpoliced.
I think you could make a theoretical argument for either.
And reporting the reporting of offenses
is also going to differ by social location.
Domestic violence, for example, may or may not
be reported with the same degree of fidelity
across social class and racial identity.
I actually don't know this to be the case,
but it's certainly plausible.
So it's pretty slippery.
But I'd say the majority of the racial disparity is a reflection of disparity in offending.
The difference in sentencing conditional on offense
made different by race, disfavoring blacks.
Now, in the drug area, that's a specific thing
where it's observed that drug use patterns
don't differ nearly as much by races,
drug incarceration patterns do. But I explain that in my mind by reference to the fact that
open air drug markets are going to attract on the selling side, people from
the, you know, who don't have many positive alternative opportunities to use their time.
It's a low paying and very dangerous trade.
It's no surprise that I have to go to the wrong side
of the tracks in order to engage in a prohibited commerce
that the people who are going to be engaged in that commerce
will be disproportionately from disadvantaged communities.
So I talked to some psychologists for a fair bit of time.
It was Margot Wilson and unfortunately, I can't remember the name of her,
her Martin Daily, Margot Wilson and Martin Daily.
They've done an interesting work looking at the relationship
between economic inequality and crime.
And what they've showed state by state and country by country is that, and
county by county in the US, is that the higher the rates of inequality, economic inequality,
and a given geographical locale, the higher the rates of aggression and criminality, and
what they, and they studied Chicago with the inner city of Chicago specifically in relationship
to this research. And their hypothesis was that young men, it's very important for the sexual success of
young men to be on an upward path in relationship to status.
And in places with high inequality, that's an indication that their upward mobility is
truncated in various ways.
And as a consequence, they're highly likely to turn to violence
and criminality as an alternative means of obtaining status.
And that's part of what's driving the sorts of things
that you're describing.
And they're, they're, they're, look,
they show very high correlations between income inequality,
county by county and rates of, of male aggression,
especially among young men.
And like the correlations are 0.6, 0.7,
unbelievably high for social science.
So.
Well, that's interesting.
That's new to me, but that's a seeking status.
And when you can't do it by high income,
then you do it by...
You do it by hooker by crook, because it's so fundamentally important, especially for
young men, because for there's here's another gender difference.
They're competing for the services of young women.
Is that absolutely the case?
Yeah, absolutely.
And young women use status as a marker for competence way more than young men do.
So young women are much chooser as sexual partners for obvious reasons.
This cost of sex is a lot higher for them.
And what they are looking for is something like competence
in climbing social ladders.
And then they use social status as a marker for that.
So that's the question.
If they're these deep psychological,
it's social psychological dynamics that work.
How much influence can culture,
you know, play in affected people's behavior?
Can we change the script?
Or are we locked in?
Are we locked in by these kind of very deep imperatives of the sort that you would just
describe? I would say that we're constrained, but within that constraint, there's no shortage of room
for choice. You know, it's sort of like chess. There's rules, but man, there's a lot of ways to
to affect the chess game. And these more biological factors are more like, they're more like game rules.
And it doesn't, in some real sense, doesn't decrease the range of choice. It shapes the game.
And then socially, well, status is going to be more important as a marker for male desirability,
than for female desirability. We're not going to change that. But what we can do is restructure social systems
so that nonviolent means of obtaining status
are available as much as possible to everyone.
And that's sort of the equality of opportunity argument,
except maybe from a biological perspective.
And it's also the inequality issues,
also extremely interesting as far as I'm concerned,
because what their work suggests, and it's pretty damn solid, I believe, that inequality, as such poses a destabilizing threat
to societies as such.
And the reason for that is that it promotes young male violence, particularly.
And so whether you're on the left or the right, it's like, inequalities are problem.
If it gets too extreme, things get violent. So, it lessened for conservatives as well as,
as well as people on the left. So, okay, but inequality is inevitable, is it not?
Well, that's another thing I wanted to talk to you about. Well, let's talk about that. And because
I had this client who is a mathematical genius,
clinical client, he taught me a lot of things I didn't know, I hadn't learned as a statistician,
and one of the things he talked me about was the pre-to principle, and so I went and looked
into that in some depth. And so I found for example that it's so such a strange phenomenon, it's like
the square root of the number of people operating in a specific discipline
produce half the output.
That's the law.
And so there's a thousand scientists
working on a particular in a sub-discipline,
30 of them publish half the papers.
And you can look across, it's the same with basketball,
hoops successfully managed hockey goals,
scored, soccer soccer goals scored records
produced books written books sold record sold it's like everywhere this this
law this weird square root law sometimes people sum that up as the 80-20
principle but yeah that's the way I heard it yeah it's way worse than that
yeah well it implies for example if you have an organization with 10,000 people,
a hundred of them doing half the work. Now, if you have ten, it's three, and that's not so bad,
but at 10,000, it's a hundred. And you think, no way, it's like, well, if you meet some of those
people who might be in that hundred, you might think differently. So, And this looks like this some fundamental rule.
And so you're interested in income distribution.
And so what have you made to this sort of thing?
Well, it reminds me of a classic paper by the Lady Economist,
Sherwin Rosen, University of Chicago,
called The Economics of Superstars.
And he starts it out by observing 80, 20 like observations
by, let's look at the earnings of tennis players
and look at the rank.
So how much total prize money is one by tennis players?
And what proportion of it goes to people
based on the rank?
And he gets something like an 80, the top 20 or 25 tennis
players are taken in, the vast majority of the winnings. And, you know, records sales by
musicians in various genres of musical production and whatnot. Similarly, the top ones are
getting losing. So he says, how can we account for this? And this, I think, should be a part of
anybody's effort to explain the parade of principles you you've defined it with the 80 20 rule.
He says, look, to produce something that people want to see, you need talent, but you also need other resources. And so it's the combination of the productivity of the talent, which is scarce and distributed in, say, the top 10%.
But that's not enough.
You also need, I don't know, you need to be in the top 10%
of education, say, to be a successful research
as a scientist.
And the juxtaposition of those two curves
produces a real fractional percentage.
And those people are hyper-qualified
for that particular enterprise.
And so think you like that.
Now, he adds another element, which is,
let's take opera singers.
He uses this example.
So in the old days, before you had high quality sound
reproduction, such that you could sit in your living room
and listen to a recording of an opera singer through your speakers
that produced an effect that was almost as good as being
in the opera house before that. Before that, you had to actually being in the opera house before that before that.
You had to actually go to the opera house to hear opera. Now the opera house can only accommodate
a couple of thousand people max. So the very, very, very best opera singers could still only
command an audience of a couple of thousands, a hundred thousand people in any given performance,
which leaves plenty of room for the second, third, fifth,
and 30th best to be able to travel to the small towns
and still make a living.
But once it becomes possible for the best
to record their performance and to distribute it in that way,
the person sitting in the small town has a choice.
Do I go to here, a 20th rate opera singer in the local hall?
Or do I put a recording of the
best one on my device? Now often they would choose to go with the recording rather than to go to
the 20th best and that means that the top opera singers are not going to command an even greater
share of the market in the insight there is that technological change, which permits the most talented, to
lever their talent to a larger audience, is the key to understanding why they get so much
of the take compared to that.
Right, right. Well, you could so it's like, the smaller the game, the less the gain at the
top, but we expand the games continually with technology and recording is an excellent
example of that. And so I guess what we hope is that we produce enough new games so that everybody
can win at something, but we're still funneling a tremendous number of resources to people at the
top of whatever the game is, especially as these games become big. So, yeah. And you see that, you see
that particular, well, it's really obvious with money
and people complain continually about the top 1%.
But the problem is, is that there's a book called
Big Science, Little Science that was written in about 1962
and the author escapes me at the moment,
but he did exactly the same sort of analysis
for the scientific literature.
It's exactly the same story.
So, hyper dominance of a tiny minority of people.
And so there's a natural, it's something like positive feedback loops too, isn't it?
Because, and I've noticed this as I've become more famous, I suppose, is that you get known
and some more people know you and some more people are likely to attend you. And then more people
are willing to talk to you because you have an audience. And so that drives the expansion of the
audience. And your connection network grows at the same time. And you have an audience and so that drives the expansion of the audience.
And your connection network grows at the same time and you have more resources.
And so it just, it's a, it's a bunch of positive feedback loops moving upward.
I think the word network is very important there.
And I think what with social media and whatnot and the magnifying the ability of individuals to have influence and to have influence on people
who have influence, the density of that network
is a tremendous asset for, you know.
Yeah, so it makes.
So it makes.
Well, it makes the problem of inequality,
or tough one, from the political perspective, right?
Because we could, and conceptual for that matter, because we could perhaps agree that
regardless of whether you're on the left or the right, you might view inequality on the right as a threat to social stability.
So I know there's this native Canadian tribe on the West Coast, Hyde,
Quacko-Ox did the same thing.
You know, in their societies, they'd have big chiefs,
and the big chiefs would just accrue everything.
And then now, and then they'd have a potlatch
and give it all away.
And then their status was dependent on their ability
to give a lot away.
And that stabilized their society.
Now, those were made illegal by the Canadian government.
I think about 70 years ago or so,
but they were thought of just some pagan, an unnecessary pagan ritual, I suppose. But I do believe
that that was one of their so-called evolved solutions to the problem of the terrible problem
of inequality, the fact that goods tend to accrue in the hands of a few. And the lefties that I see, the left political thinkers, economic thinkers as well,
especially the ones on the extreme left, they tend to associate that with capitalism,
but that's a fundamental underestimate of the magnitude of the problem in my thinking.
And that's a real problem if you're concerned about, you know, comparatively poor or actually poor people.
It's a way bigger problem. I wonder if we could apply the same kind of thinking that we used to explain why athlete
or musician or even an entrepreneur might end up at the very right end of the distribution
garnering for themselves a great bulk of the reward.
To apply that to the huge financial fortunes that are accumulated either through, you know,
savvy in the marketplace, you know, I'm a hedge fund guy, I know with the buy and win and win the sell.
Or to the fortunes of land holding, you know, a family fortunes and things of this kind.
I wonder whether those simple insights
extend to the institutionalized,
wealth generating process.
Well, I think they do to some degree.
I mean, I studied entrepreneurial success
as a researcher for quite a long time too,
because one of the personality factors
that predict entrepreneurial ability
is this trait openness, which is essentially creativity.
And what defines creative thinkers in part is,
so here's a simple creativity test.
And it actually is reasonably predictive of creative capacity,
both in terms of originality of thought
and creative productions as assessed by experts.
How many uses can you think of for a brick in three minutes? Get a write them down.
Or even how many four letter words can you think of in a minute that start with C?
That'll be correlated to about point three or four with your creativity,
depending on how it's measured. Very simple test. And what seems to happen is that creative people,
when they think of one idea, the probability
that that will trigger an associated idea is higher,
especially a distally associated idea.
So that likely means that creative people
have more erroneous ideas as well.
And then they have to, you know,
what would you say, edit them and select.
But one of the things that
makes creative entrepreneurs successful is that they produce a large variety of creative
products. And then they throw them out in the marketplace and most of them fail. But
you just need one to hit that Pareto point. And then you're successful. So you throw,
you know, it's you throw some, what do you you do throw a mess at the wall and see what sticks essentially in most entrepreneurs
Before they're successful have had a very large number of failures because even if you're intelligent and creative
The probability that you'll build a product that's actually timed for the market is extremely low
So well, what do you do? Well, you create more and that's what happens?
That's what creative people are essentially
biologically predisposed to do.
So, I think that, yeah, I think that principle,
that underlying principle of positive feedback loops,
and the combination of scarcity of ability and resources,
I think it accounts for all those inequalities.
So, you know, question is, what
do we do about that?
Well, you were saying something I find interesting, an only to go about how even a right-winger
ought to be able to see that inequality on restraint could be dangerous to the stable social
order, because the losers, losers are going to end up having to say one way or the other
at the end of the day. And you better watch out because if they don't have a stake in the system and they're feeling
aggrieved and without status and dignity, they may act out in ways that are harmful.
Oh, they will, especially if they're young men.
Absolutely, they will.
They absolutely they will.
And that is definitely dangerous.
And so, you know, partly we've tried to solve that, so to speak, we in the West by trying
to ensure something like equality of opportunity across a wide range of games.
That's not a bad sort of mad assolution, right? It's like, well, we can't predict. We know that there's going to be wild disparities in outcome.
And we can't really do anything about that. But maybe we can give people something approximating an equal shot at winning some game.
And that would be better for everyone too,
because then we can harness their creative resources.
And it isn't obvious to me that there is a better,
technically even, I can't see,
like I don't understand,
I don't know what a better solution could be.
But now, what does that mean in the world
where the people who have engineering degrees
or got to law school or got a good,
education and are connected, or got to law school or got a good, you know, education
and are connected are making six figures and living comfortably and someone who dropped out
of high school is working for $30,000 a year
and just barely getting by.
What is that ladder guy's venue where he or she
can feel like they're winning the game?
Well, I think it depends to some degree on each individual, you know, I mean, you can find status and meaning in your family.
You have your pursuits outside of your work.
I'm not saying that money isn't a good, singular marker of relative status.
It's probably the best singular marker there is, but it's not the only one, right?
There are diverse, there are diverse places where you can attain status.
And so, and you know, you can be poor and dignified.
You've certainly met people like that.
You can be poor and admired within your family.
You can be poor enough decent or outstanding character
for that matter.
And so, and that's how, that's not exactly a domain that's regulated socially,
like the economic domain, but it's not nothing. And so, and by the same token, you know, you can
sacrifice a lot of those things to economic pursuit, and then you'll have lots of money, but
man, your life sucks in 50 different ways. So, I don't know if that's a sufficient solution,
but it's not nothing. But this is not constantly laissez-faire, if I have just know if that's a sufficient solution, but it's not nothing.
But this is not constantly laissez-faire, if I understand it.
It's not saying the government should just withdraw
and let the chips fall within May.
It could be advocating for a policy of some kind of,
everybody needs work that's meaningful.
Everybody needs a kind of sense of security
that they're not gonna get sick and not be able
to pay the bill, that they're not gonna get sick and not be able to pay the bill,
that they're not gonna get old and not know where
the next meal is coming from.
Let's guarantee, let's try to guarantee to extent
that we can, we know it's the world's not just perfect
and we may not be able to solve all these problems.
Let's try to make sure that there's decent housing
for someone that's not so they don't have to sleep
on their bridge, et cetera, et cetera.
And then we can let the chips fall with it.
Yeah, well, it seems to me that societies like, well, the US, to some degree,
but more specifically, I would say the Scandinavian countries and probably Canada
would more or less fall into that, what ballpark, I don't mean fall into a ballpark,
it's pretty bad metaphor, but you know But that's kind of what those democratic socialist countries
have tried to establish.
Now, it seems to be easier to do that in a smaller country
that's more homogenous in its ethnic and racial grouping.
And maybe also technically, it's easier
with a smaller population.
The US is so damn big.
It gets very complicated to try to do the same thing
that those smaller qualities have managed.
And then of course, there's,
because you might think of something
like a guaranteed income.
Let me ask you something about that.
Because I, maybe it'll bolster the idea.
So when I was a clinician,
I worked with a lot of people who were impaired
in their cognitive ability.
So they probably had IQs around 80 or lower.
And so, and if you have cognitive ability at that range,
it would be hard for you to master something
like folding a letter to get it into an envelope.
And that's way harder than you think,
because you have to fold it exactly in thirds.
You can't be out by more than about an eighth of an inch.
And so I had one client,
I probably trained him for 30 hours to do that well enough so that the letters would go through an
automated machine so that he could keep his volunteer job. But anyways, the US military has been
doing cognitive testing since World War I about. And they determined, I don't remember when,
and this is part of American legislation,
that you cannot be inducted into the armed forces.
If you have an IQ, I think, less than 80.
And the reason they determined that
is because they couldn't find any military job
of any sort that someone who was that cognitively impaired
could manage proficiently. And you think that's a killer issue because it's not like the military isn't highly
desirous of pulling people in, especially among, from, say, the working class.
So they were motivated to find the opposite.
And that's like 10% of the population.
And so here we have a problem, and no one will face this as far as I can tell.
Liberals are conservatives.
10% of the population can't really function
in the complex cognitive environment,
and that's what we're producing for everyone to live in.
And we don't, we can't have a conversation about that,
because the liberal types think
while everyone can be trained to do anything,
which is complete bloody rubbish,
and the conservatives think, well, if you just buckle down and work a way you know, the liberal types think while everyone can be trained to do anything, which is complete, bloody rubbish. And the conservatives think, well, you know, if you just buckle down and work,
away you go. And there's some truth in that, because conscientiousness does predict long-term
economic success. But that doesn't deal with this other issue at all. It's 10% of the population.
So 10% of the population are so impaired in terms of cognitive functioning that there's no useful work for them.
In the military. Well, you can take that.
Are we taking it to the right?
Well, the reason I think the military example is so compelling is for two reasons is that, you know,
America in particular has used the military as a means of social mobility, right? Because it moves people from the working class upward. And that's been a conscious policy decision in part. So there's that. But
the other part is, you know, often the military is pretty damn hungry for people. And so if
they've decided that, well, this doesn't work, it's hard to see why buy it. And that's
partly, well, because I know how much intellectual variability
there is between people. It's stunning and terrifying at the same time.
It's not a positive thing. It's it's it's it's really hard.
It's the existing this idea that we can't find anything for them to do. I mean,
and to what extent does you remember the bell curve?
Who could yeah, I was at Harvard when that came out.
And Herndstein was still a professor there.
So, and I only want to talk about a little bit of it.
I read the bell curve a couple of times.
And one of the things Herndstein and Murray said in that book
that really stuck in my mind is that academic types like you and me,
we virtually never encounter anyone in the lower 50th percentile
of the cognitive distribution.
You know, when we think an undergraduate STEM, they have an IQ of 110.
And that's like 80th percentile.
And so you get blinded as you move up, especially the academic ladder,
you get blinded to the bottom 15 percent of the cognitive distribution,
because you just never, those people are not in your purview,
they're not in your circle.
Okay, I'll take that point.
I can't use my personal experience,
but what I'm shaping at is that,
okay, I'm wearing glasses
because I don't see very well without them.
And I'm undoubtedly in the distribution
of visual locuity in the bottom,
I don't know know 10, 15%.
But when I put on paraclysis, I am able to function.
And what I'm missing here is a consideration of whether or not
we can't adapt our institutions of productivity
or human service or education or whatever.
So as to meet this minimum requirement, which is taking everybody,
almost everybody, we need to do something to do,
giving us something to do. Yeah. Well, that needs to be done. And look,
I, I, I only had a couple of things to this. So in the IQ literature,
because you might think, well, that's biology and it's immutable. Okay. No,
not exactly.
There's this flin effect as shown that over the last hundred years,
IQ on average has been rising, and a huge part of that is probably
better nutrition in the lower quartile of the population.
So that made a huge difference.
People got smarter because they weren't starving, essentially.
They weren't malnourished.
And then there is evidence too that, so it's
not like this is exactly unremediable, but the distribution doesn't seem to change much.
You know what I mean? It doesn't pack tighter into the middle. You still have the problem that
some people are extremely smart and fast and some people aren't. And so, well, it's a very, very hard problem to solve.
I'm not saying that we shouldn't solve it
and that we shouldn't pay some attention
to the people who are struggling at the bottom.
We absolutely should, but it isn't obvious exactly.
It isn't obvious how to do it.
So, this guy worked with, like I said,
he probably had an IQ maybe something around 80,
I would have estimated, and I tried to find him a job. Now, it was really hard. He had a volunteer
job in a bike shop for a while, and it was a bike book shop, a real, you know, small enterprise,
and he could sort of put books in the shelf, although he couldn't sequence them very well,
and then that place couldn't pay him. And so then I got him a volunteer job at a charity.
And he couldn't do it well enough.
They were going to fire him.
And I went and talked to the director of the charity.
I said, you can't fire this guy because it's going to kill him.
It's like, think about this.
He's 40.
He's got a volunteer job at a charity.
And he's going to get fired.
It's like, how the hell do you recover from that?
Now, he quit two months later anyways,
and then he got a job with someone who trained dogs,
and that worked out just fine.
But you get my point.
It's like it was virtually impossible to find him in niche.
And I tried with his mother,
who was extraordinarily devoted to him
in a very positive way.
We tried for three years, really really to slot him in somewhere.
And it was virtually impossible.
So are you thinking that our homeless shelters
and the prisons of the country and so on
are basically populated by people such as this
who are unable to get their foot on the bottom wrong.
No, I wouldn't, I, the evidence for a relationship between IQ and
criminality, that's not very strong. So I wouldn't say that in
relationship to incarceration, I would say it's more likely
in homelessness and that sort of thing, that's more likely where people, you
know, they fall out of the economy because there isn't anything they can find that we'll pay them a wage that we'll enable them to live.
So, but the IQ relationship with criminality isn't very high.
I'm keenly aware of how politically incorrect this whole conversation you and I are having.
I just read a piece in the Atlantic, I think it was about a woman, I believe she's a cognitive psychologist.
I don't recall her name just now.
She was at the Racial Sage Foundation and met with a fierce
pushback when she had just attempted to assert that variation
in human intelligence was associated with variation
in human populations with other kinds of, oh, genetics.
It was genetics.
I'm sorry,
genetic variation, what is just intelligence?
It wasn't just intelligence, but she was saying,
well, people are different,
the ability for us to understand that genome much better now
allows us to document that to some degree.
There's distribution in the population
and it's associated with the distribution of outcomes
that we're concerned about.
And there was a firestorm of protest.
Oh, yeah, well, it's no wonder, man,
you can't dive into the IQ literature
without coming away like shell-shocked
in 15 different dimensions.
I mean, because certainly a huge part of G,
proficiency is biologically, what would you say?
But it has a biological foundation.
I mean, I was reading about John von Neumann the other day,
and people who knew him in Einstein thought
he was way smarter than Einstein,
and that's not nothing.
He could multiply eight digit numbers in his head
when he was 10, two eight digit numbers.
Oh, that's a prodigy, that's the answer.
Yeah, well, he might have had the most,
he might have had the most magnificent mathematical mind ever.
And like, that's way out on the distribution, right?
I mean, yeah, he was Jim Pact and economic theory
by the way, and that was just a hobby.
It was something he was doing out of his back pocket.
It wasn't even really cared about.
Yeah, exactly, exactly.
And you meet people like that now and then,
but not very often, you know,
and they're so damn smart, you just can't bloody well believe it.
And that's the case.
And then with regards to socialization, well, it's pretty easy to make someone dumber,
but it's not that easy to make them smarter.
For obvious reasons, it's a lot easy to wreck something than it is to improve it.
And so that is the fact of this fact of that predetermination
in some sense really is a sorrowful, what would you call it? It's a sorrowful fact.
Yeah, a tragic, a tragic reality might be one way of putting it that it's simply if given in our,
in our nature that we have to reckon with, and the temptation to wanna not see it,
and not accept it can be very powerful.
Well, and I can understand exactly why,
because well, first of all,
generally the people who discuss such things
don't have a lot of hands-on experience
with people in the bottom,
Cess tile, let's say the bottom one sixth.
So they just don't know how much difference
there is in the range.
And I've administered IQ tests to all sorts of people.
And you can't believe what people don't know
and can't compute.
It's beyond comprehension in some ways at the bottom.
But then also at the top, I had a graduate student at Harvard.
She didn't do anything about statistics
when I first met her.
And four months later, she was't do anything about statistics. When I first met her and four months later,
she was teaching statistics at a graduate level. She was unbelievable and she was almost that gifted
verbally as well. Now, she had some social problems that might have been associated with her
remarkable cognitive ability, but it was unreal. She made more progress in four months in the statistical realm than I did in 15 years.
Okay, so there are differences amongst us both into the spectrum and we need to learn how to live with them.
Yeah, well, part of it is to admit it and to see if we can do that politically without getting, you know, bogged down in accusations and the weeds and that's a real difficult thing to do.
getting bogged down in accusations and the weeds. And that's a real difficult thing to do.
And it's not like I know exactly how to do it,
but I'm not gonna ignore what I learned.
And I'm not gonna ignore the social consequences of it.
It's like life's a lot harder for people
in the bottom 10% of the cognitive distribution.
There's no other.
The Southern Poverty Law Center has classified Charles Murray as a white supremacist.
This is an organization that is a watchdog for extremist, a white supremacist.
Yeah.
I mean, not a lot of people are going to stick their head up out of the foxhole if that's
what's waiting for.
Yeah, that's for sure.
That's for sure. Well, you know, I would also say one other thing
that, you know, would probably make me unpopular among psychologists too, mostly, but there
isn't a single phenomenon documented in the social sciences that we know more about than
the psychometrics of cognitive ability. If you throw that out, you throw everything else out, because not the people who
established psychometrics of intelligence also established all the statistical techniques that all
social scientists use to assess and evaluate their data. You just don't get to throw it out.
And that's also unfortunate, because it's a dismal literature in many ways, because the differential
between people is so unbelievably extreme and it matters.
Well, here's what we are in economics.
There are people who are arguing in popular press
and magazines and so forth,
that you shouldn't put a cognitive ability measure
on the right-hand side of your regression equation
when you're trying to explain wage variation in the population.
They think that that is a morally objectionable thing to do. Differences amongst people in earnings are to be understood in any way that you can other
than by distributing it completely idiotic.
It's completely idiotic because part of, look, part of what puts you up in that upper end of the distribution is something like speed, right?
So imagine there's some desirable place to get economically. Maybe you're designing computer chips. That's a good example.
Well, if you're fast, you're going to get there sooner, and then you're going to reap the economic rewards, and that speed is assessed with G. It's a function of G, that computational speed.
And so, and then, you know, you also might say,
well, these damn tests are culture loaded.
And that's a reasonable potential objection,
but I've never seen a culture fair test
that has the same validity.
No one's ever been able to produce them.
And basically, people gave up in the 1960s. The best they've ever come up with is the Ravens
Progressive Matrices. And it's a pretty good. So imagine it took a bunch of single tests
of intelligence. And then you've you got the manifold, which is the average across all
tests. You could pick the test that correlated best with that manifold. And that's the Raven's
progressive matrices. And so, and it produces differences. So, I don't know what to do with
that. You know, you can't throw your hands up and say, well, it's insolvable, but you
can't not take it into account because then you underestimate the burden that people at
the bottom end of the distribution carry when they're trying to struggle uphill. You know, when you say, well, all you have to do is work hard
because that's the conservative attitude. And conscientiousness is an indicator, it's personality
traits, an indicator of work ethic, and it's correlated with economic outcome at about 0.25,
something like that. But cognitive ability is correlated at about 0.5. So, yeah, hard work really matters,
but it doesn't matter as much as intelligence.
So...
Yeah, you don't have to convince me.
I'm again just struck by the political climate of the time
and the fierce resistance to this kind of causal attribution
to intrinsic characteristics of individuals,
especially those under genetic control.
And when you put it in a racial disparity context,
then all bets are off.
I mean, it just becomes impossible.
Yeah, well, or it compels you to look for a deeper reason.
Let me give you an example, research example.
I worked with Richard Tromblay,
he is one of the leading experts on the development
of aggressive behavior,
and he was trying to ameliorate it among children,
and used interventions that got into younger and younger kids,
and finally decided that to really ameliorate,
it's a small minority
of kids who produce all the aggressive acts, pre-dustribution, the same thing.
They're almost, so it's quite cool actually, if you're a scientist, I suppose, if you
look at two-year-olds, you put them in a room, a small proportion of the two-year-olds will
kick, bite, hit, and steal.
It's only 5% and almost all of them are male.
Now, if you track those kids over the next two years,
most of them get socialized out of that.
Those that don't tend to stay antisocial
and develop criminal behavior later.
So it's socializable.
It can be rectified between two and four.
The problem was is that if that's the case,
and imagine a government enterprise set up
to ameliorate that, gets pretty damn invasive
when the government has to start figuring out
how you're gonna raise your two-year-old, right?
So, and this cognitive ability problem
might be something that's quite similar.
Like, one of the things that's interesting
about kids that become literate versus kids that don't's interesting about kids that become literate versus kids that
don't is that the kids that become literate are exposed to so many more books and words that you
can hardly believe it. It's another peritid distribution. And I see, you know, my kids, they were
dragon books around when they were 12 months old before they, well before they could read, but they
were familiarizing themselves with the objects and,
you know, and becoming friends with them in a kind of nonverbal way.
And we don't know the pathway to that kind of literacy or the nature of the relationship
between that and the development of cognitive ability.
Well, this is a much more hopeful vision, isn't it, a one in which there are perhaps not yet fully determined interventions that can ameliorate or compensate that's like the glasses that I'm wearing that allow me to see despite my genetic disability. of Charles Murray and Richard Herndtstein in 1994 when the Bill Curve was published was that
sorry but the best that we could determine these interventions, early childhood education and
whatever that might be don't seem to be able to have much of an effect. So I studied that for about
20 years looking at exactly that. And so the Head Start programs, they, what happened to kids who went through Head Start,
the hope was that if you got kids early enough, you could give them a Head Start cognitively
and that that would spiral upward, you know, in one of these positive loops.
But that didn't happen.
What happened was the kids who went to Head Start leapt ahead of their peers cognitively,
but the peers caught up by grade six and all the differences disappeared
except the head start kids were less likely to drop out of school to become criminal and
to become pregnant, you know, young.
So it wasn't nothing, but it didn't work cognitively.
But I looked into head start in more detail, you know.
It was also a make-work program.
So the people who were the Head Start teachers
weren't necessarily particularly trained.
It's really hard when you're dealing with, say, three-year-olds
to get one-on-one time with them
and teach them something like basic literacy
because there's so many, if you have five three-year-olds,
it's like you're spent a 90% of your time
making sure that they're alive, you know, dressing them
and so forth. So the amount of time in Head Start that was actually devoted to
cognitive training was minimal. And so we don't know actually, we don't know
yet. I don't think. Now, what about the ability to enhance other traits, not cognitive ability, but I don't know
perseverance or resilience or...
Well, resilience.
And compensate for the fact that they're not going to get any smarter at the cognitive
thing, but they might actually get to be much more effective people
by enhancing these other dimensions of their performance.
Well, the fact that the Head Start kids
didn't drop out of school,
probably reflected at least to some degree
the fact that they behaved better.
So they were more socialized.
And the theory was that some of those kids were removed
from pretty terrible
environments and protected a bit by the fact that they were going to head start. They got
socialized earlier, so they're able to interact in groups better. They weren't as disruptive
in classrooms. So at the same level of cognitive ability, they were still more likely to get through
school. And that wasn't nothing. And so yes, some of those things are perhaps more
ameliorable. Still not a simple thing, because a lot of, you know, if that window for the
socialization of aggressive behavior among aggressive boys is between two and four years
of age, then that's, that's, that's a tough place for governments to, or society as such
to intervene gets,
because it gets invasive, and that's a big problem,
because you don't also don't wanna encourage
government overreach.
Yeah.
So, okay, let me ask you some more questions here.
Yeah.
You're, yeah, one of the things I really got curious about when I was reading about
you, you claimed in a speech to Oxford, not a claim you said, you know, that your political
views had really shifted a lot in your life, from left to center to right.
And then back, I think farther left than you were when you started.
Is that, is that an accurate description?
Yeah.
And then back right again. And I don't know if I'm farther right when I was,
when I was right before I was left. Yeah, I have vacillated a little bit over the years.
And so, what's driven that? And what do you make of that? Because I've noticed, as my political
opinions have changed, that I was just as convinced that I was right when I thought the opposite
thing as I am now. And so, you know, that sort of says more about me than the beliefs, I suppose. But what do you make of
that shift? Well, I think it's, this is personal to me. I think the story that I'm telling
in the memoir that I'm working on now is that I needed to,
let me start at the beginning.
So I come up as a working class kid in Chicago
and I'm Black and it's the 1960s and 1970s.
I'm sort of naturally a liberal Democrat by disposition
or by osmosis by the atmosphere, everybody was.
I get to graduate school and get a training in economics and I get a
green eye shade on it and I start like wanting to do my sums, you know, I start like recognizing
there's no free lunch, you know, that that there are incentives that, you know, there's unintended
consequences that there's cause and effect. There's not a program for everything that we have to
worry about inflation, that, et cetera. So I become more of a neoliberal, what they would call today,
a neoliberal.
I become more of a free market economist.
I become more conservative.
And Ronald Reagan comes along in the early 1980s,
and I'm one of the few black people on the planet
who thought that he had it right more than he had it wrong about a lot of these questions.
At the same time, I am observing what's going on
in inner city America, in the big cities across the country.
I grew up in Chicago, but I taught at the University
of Michigan, I happen to know a little bit about Detroit.
I can read the newspaper.
I can see what's going on.
And Baltimore, St. Louis, or Cleveland, or Pittsburgh, or New York, or Los Angeles, whatever, the inner city, the ghettos,
the violence, the schools that don't work, the out of wetlock, burrs, the low employment numbers,
the culture, that's chorus, and that's leading to a lot of dysfunction and a lot of problems.
And I'm looking at the rhetoric of the Democratic Party
or of the civil rights leadership,
which seems to me to be kind of completely
out of touch with reality.
This is the early 1980s.
And I found myself moving further and further to the right.
And I end up a Reagan Republican.
This is going to be short, the short version.
I go through some profound life-changing traumatic experiences.
I have a big public fall.
I was up for a government job.
I had to withdraw a mid-sexual scandal.
I have a drug addiction problem.
I get caught by the police in possession of illicit substances.
I need to go into rehab.
I spend months at a psychiatric hospital in a Belmont, Massachusetts, trying to learn how to go into rehab. I spend months at a psychiatric hospital in Belmont, Massachusetts,
trying to learn how to not use cocaine. I come out of that through a religious conversion.
I mean, the plot tickens. I'm a born again Christian now. I'm a recovering cocaine addict. I'm a,
you know, a bad boy, black conservative was given, you know, his come up and
with his public humiliation. And I begin to rethink my politics moving in a left direction,
in part, I think under the pressure of just wanting to be able to go home again, just wanting
to find a place where I could be comfortable within my own skin, in part perhaps because I had some misgivings about some of the
you know dimensions of the conservative political frame that the riddle was writing off people
at the bottom and not thinking hard enough as you and I have been trying to think in this conversation
about what could really be done. So I find myself moving back to the left again. But then we get to like 20, oh,
nine, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 40 things like the Michael Brown thing and Ferguson, Missouri,
and the Trayvon Martin thing and Sanford, Florida, and Eric Garney thing and Staten Island, New
York, and the Tamir Rice thing and Cleveland Ohio
and all of that.
And the Black Lives Matter movement comes up
and the woke anti-racism movement comes up.
And now I find myself, it's like deja vu,
I'll over get it, I find myself thrown back to the 1980s
and the instinct within me is to resist, resist,
resist the political correctness.
So some of that is you moving in your life,
but some of that is the political landscape
also shifting around you, which indeed.
So I wish it was the political landscape.
It's hard to the left.
And I find myself, again, I find myself lamenting.
Some of the earlier changes when I said,
you know, my feelings about affirmative action,
which I was instinctively against before I was for it,
before I was against it.
My feelings, maybe they were right all along
in the first place, maybe I should not have broken my friendship
with Justice Clarence Thomas over the California Civil Rights
Initiative of 1996,
which banned affirmative action in the state,
the justice and I who were friends decided
that we were not gonna talk again,
because I could not support the anti-affirmative action
move at that time.
10 years earlier, I would have supported it.
Today I would support it.
Yeah, well, that's a tough question,
and that's a really tough question.
So it's no wonder, you know, that a thoughtful person might facilitate on that, because there
are profound things to be said on both sides of that argument.
It can I ask you, and you don't have to answer this, but I guess it's the clinician in me.
So, I studied alcoholism and drug abuse and addiction as my primary research topic when
I was a grad student, and one of the things that was well known among alcoholism
researchers at that time, and hard-edged researchers
was that religious transformation was
about the only reliable treatment, so to speak,
for alcoholism.
No alcoholism treatment programs work,
and that's still the truth today, no matter what people say.
They just don't work.
That doesn't mean people don't stop because they do.
But spiritual transformation
seems to be a ticket out of drug addiction. And it's interesting in that regard, for example,
that Roland Griffiths and his team investigating psychedelic mushroom, psilocybin, have shown that
one dose producing a mystical experience produces 75% permanent cessation in smokers.
Most powerful pharmacological intervention. It's unbelievable. And that's not, he's done all sorts
of other interesting. And he's a hard-edged research scientist. This guy's no like
pie in this guy mystic. It's really something. And there's really something to this that we don't
understand. And could I ask you, you said you were struggling with addiction problems. That's a catastrophe.
And you had this religious transformation. What was that exactly? And why do you think
it was relevant to the drug abuse issue? And why did it help you stop?
Okay, I'm not sure. I know the answer to the question,
but I understand the question.
And there were really two dimensions
to my spiritual experience in the late 1980s
when I was a cocaine addict and it was killing me.
It was killing me.
One of them was explicitly religious.
I was born again.
I became a born again Christian. I was baptized
at the age of 40. I believed came to believe that our Lord and Savior Jesus Christ, as we
would have put it, died for me personally, Glenn Lowry, and that there was a path to my
having a relationship with Almighty God through my belief in Jesus Christ. Now, I'm not trying to proselytize here.
I actually don't have the same degree of religious
fervor contemporary in my life now as I did at that time.
But I came to believe that the other thing
that was of a spiritual significance for me
was the alcoholist anonymous program.
You know, the 12 steps, you know.
I admitted that I was an alcoholic in my life.
It become unmanageable.
I came to believe that a power graded in myself and restored me this hour. I made a decision to in alcoholism in my life, it become unmanageable. I came to believe that a power graded in myself
to restore me this hour.
I made a decision to turn my will in my life
over to the care of God as I understood him.
And one day at a time, I was going to not drink.
I was going to talk to my sponsor.
I was going to go to my meetings.
I was going to deal with whatever came up in life
without drinking because I know that I'm in alcoholic
and my life it become unmanageable and et cetera.
Right. Yeah, well, that's the program has a strong spiritual
slash religious underpinning.
And that's partly the influence of Carl Jung
who was instrumental as a thinker.
Yes, yes, the person who set up AA was in correspondence
with Jung quite intensely.
And so it's influenced a lot by his thoughts
about the psychology of religion. And you-
I just want to respond to your question.
Yes.
Was what did the spirituality do for me?
And it took me out of myself.
It made me humble and it made me patient.
And it made me wanting to stifle myself and to just, you know, let go and let God.
That was another one of the bumperers stickers that we used to have that I was my own worst
enemy that I needed to surrender that I that it was a kind of radical humility.
Uh-huh.
In it. Uh, yeah.
Well, you need that radical humility.
If you're dealing with an addiction problem, there's no doubt about that because that's,
that's a wicked devil to have in your head.
And if there's any arrogance in pride in you,
that's gonna be real obstacle to any helpful recovery.
That's for sure.
Yeah, I'll tell you a story if you've got time.
I'm in the halfway house,
and it's run by this grizzled old Irishman,
Bob Brown is his name,
and he's been getting men sober for a quarter century,
and I'm in this halfway house with drugs who've been sleeping in boxes in the subway station.
And people just come out of prison and, you know, just get out of the detox and whatnot.
And I'm the only professor in the halfway house.
Okay.
So one day, the Bob Brown is listening to me interact with a counselor.
And I'm, I'm snowing a consular and I'm I'm
snowing the consular with how much I know about the 12-step program because I know because I'm a professor and I have read the book and I know it all okay and Bob Brown he turns to me the director
he overrides the consular and he says you know what professor Lowry if you're so smart answer me
this what were you doing out there in the streets of Boston,
showing your ass just like a inward from the projects?
He didn't say inward.
This is a white guy, he's an Irishman.
He confronted me with this swear and this insult.
I'm professor at Harvard University and this guy is talking to me like I was, you know, an inward from the project.
And my first instinct, this is just the point about stifling yourself and about radical humility. My first impulse was to strike him. But then I looked at he stood six three and he weighed 285. I decided against that. That seems wise.
My next alternative was to blow from the house. I didn't need to be there. There was no law keeping me there to help with him. I'm not going to allow anybody to talk to me like that.
But my Christian teaching allowed me to see that I did not know the answer to the question.
The question was, what was I doing out there doing what I was doing?
I had no idea what I was doing. Yeah, well, and the more specific question, right, is like
clearly you're smart. And so how do you reconcile the gap there? And that's like that's a big question.
And intelligence is not wisdom. That's for sure. Okay. And so I decided that I had better state put
That's for sure. Okay, and so I decided that I had better state put right where I was in that halfway house I took it I took the insult without comment I state there for another five months and I haven't used cocaine since how
1989
How did you have the confidence to regain your position and to
Readopted after having gone through that that
regain your position and to re-adopt it after having gone through that, that, that get categories. I had the loving support of my wife Linda Wauery, who is no longer living. She died 11 years ago.
I had the very strong support of Harvard University and of my colleagues and friends there, who continued to afford me the opportunity to show that I was worth a damn and that I could get it back together again.
I ultimately left and moved across the street
to Boston University of very fine place
and I had a good job there.
And I left in a way because there was so nice to me
at Harvard, I couldn't bear it.
I mean, I felt like I didn't.
To serve.
Yeah, exactly.
And at some level, I didn't deserve there. There forgiveness at some I didn't deserve there. There, forgiveness at some
though, I wanted to strike out and start again someplace on my own. I didn't want to let them be as
nice to me as they were being. But I had support is one thing that I'm having. The other thing is,
I got back to science. I had been drifting into a political, I was a big public intellectual in the 1980s.
I was writing in Commentary Magazine and in the New Republic magazine when it was a place
worth writing in. And other such venues, and I had friends in the Reagan administration.
I was friends with people like, the would be soon to be justice, Thomas and many others.
I was a high flying conservative black intellectual.
And, and, you know, I, you know,
actually I forgot, I forgot what I was saying.
You were saying you got back to the science.
Oh, that's it. Exactly.
Exactly. I said to hell with all this newspaper stuff, all these arguments with all these people,
let me just try to remind myself what I what I fell in love with when I became an economist
in the first place.
I had four papers in the American economic review in 1993.
You know, I mean, I mean, I, so that's basically the equivalent for those who are listening,
that's kind of like the equivalent of doing a whole PhD in one year, I would say, because you
can get a PhD with three papers if they're well crafted. So that's about what that is.
And I was publishing up a storm between 93 and 96 97. I published, you know, six or seven really
strong papers that got thousands of citations
and stuff like that, even to this day, these papers are cited. So I went back to doing economics
and that I think allowed me to get my feet under myself and get grounded again. And I eventually
have come back to doing public and intellectual work, obviously, but in those years, I...
Why have you come back? and like you have a YouTube channel
and maybe we can close the discussion with this is kind of where I wanted to close is you
are a public figure again, you have a YouTube channel and a podcast, so you're trying to,
you're, you're trying to speak directly to the, to the public again. And why are you driven
to do that and, And how is it going?
It's going okay.
I think the Glinn Lowry Show, it's the YouTube channel.
And GlinnLowry.substack is the newsletter.
And yeah, we're putting out content every week.
And we've got some followers and whatnot.
I'm able to see that if Brown University were to somehow find a way of getting me off the payroll,
I might still be able to make a living out here in the world because there are people who
are following and who want to support. So that's all good and it's gratifying. I'm on a mission.
Jordan, I'm glad you asked. I do collaborate with John McWater. He's a five guy, he writes for the
New York Times. He teaches at Columbia University
in twice a month he and I hold forth.
The other two weeks a month, I will have other guests.
We call ourselves the woke busters.
Now, some people object, they say,
oh, that doesn't rhyme with ghost buster.
And it's really, but it captures the idea.
The idea is the world has gone mad.
The race questions on diversity, equity, and inclusion on systemic racism on cultural appropriations on microaggressions on whatever the world has gone mad completely mad.
The universities are in danger. This is me. I don't want to speak for John McWater, but I don't think he disagrees with this, because the barbarians are at the gates,
no, they've overrun the gates
and they approach the citadel.
They are a threat to the great tradition.
I got some good news for you then.
Yeah, yeah, help me out.
Well, I got disinvited to Cambridge University two years ago,
two and a half years ago,
I was gonna go there and study with some of their experts
on Exodus, because I wanted to go there and study with some of their experts on Exodus,
because I wanted to do a public lecture series on Exodus. And I, a picture of me surfaced with
this guy, I had like 15,000 photos of me taken with people that year, by the way. Anyways, he wore
a t-shirt that had criticisms of Islam on it, and that surfaced, and they disinvited me.
And I found out about it on Twitter,
which wasn't the best way to find out about it.
In any case, people have been working behind the scene
since then to modify the free speech policies
at Cambridge to make it impossible to disinvite someone
unless they're doing something illegal.
And that passed with a full vote of the faculty.
85% of them voted in favor of it.
And it looks like there was going to be similar adjustments
made to UK law.
Oh, that's fantastic.
Was it Os Guinness that you were going to work with?
No, it was James Orr and Nigel Bigger, primarily.
Oh, I see.
I just saw a book of Os Guinness called, called The Magnic Carter of Humanity,
which argues about the book of Exodus that it's a foundational.
Oh, oh, I should know that book then. I should write that down. What's it called?
It's called The Magnic Carter of Humanity, and author is Oz Guinness.
Oz Guinness. Okay, I will look that up. Yeah, well, it's a fundamental transformation narrative
exodus.
And I wouldn't have been able to go anyways
because I was too ill, and so was my wife.
But that's beside the point.
But this is a very positive thing this development.
And hopefully, while hopefully it will become UK law,
that is the plan, whether the legislational pass.
And that'll also set up an ombudsman,
as I understand, whether the legislative pass, and that'll also set up an ombudsman as I understand outside the university system. So if a professor gets nailed by the politically
correct types or right-wing conservatives for that matter, it won't matter. And he or she
will have recourse to this ombudsman to see if the fundamental right-to-free speech at UK
universities has been violated.
And so it'll, well, so that's all part of it.
And so this is good news.
And well, your trailblazer in that regard may, may whatever has struck in Cambridge catch over here.
I just heard about this guy from Chicago, the planetary scientist who was given a lecture at, to give this big name lecture at MIT, who was canceled because he had spoken out in a magazine about affirmative action, which he says, you know, let's not do that by race, let's, you know, do it person should be cancer for, but so sensitive are the guardians of virtue at these
places that they they're able to get away with that kind of
thing. Yeah, yeah, well, it's become bureaucratized to a large
degree too. And you know, part of that's the faculty's fault
too, because my observation of universities is that faculty,
the faculty has allowed administrative creep for about three
decades without doing anything
about it because it was easier not to. And so, you know, I think as a faculty member, I regard all
of us to blame for precisely this, this tremendous growth in administration and the evolution of these
DEI empires, especially in HR. Yeah, well.
Yes, me.
Why I was being a public intellectual again
and what I hoped to accomplish.
And I just wanted to add that after George Floyd was killed
by Derek Chauvin, the police officer in Minneapolis.
And there were protests that broke out
in cities around the world,
especially cities around the United States, as some of those protests turned violent.
And there was riotous behavior and assaults on police officers, and there was arson and
looting. And there was there was general disorder, and it's a big political football, and people
are on all sides of it, and they're defenders of it it and so forth and so on. But it occurred to me that I did not even know
that the incident that happened
with a white police officer and the black gentleman
who died who was killed was a racial incident.
I say I did not know that it was a racial incident.
All I knew was that the police officer was white
and that the man who was killed was black.
It didn't follow from that, That it was a racial incident. We were making it into a racial
incident. We being all of us here in the United States, we were making it into a reenactment of
old American dramas of lynching and the murder of black people by rogue police and so forth and so on.
by people, by role police and so forth and so on. We took that thing and we said,
yes, see, here we have proof of the knee on the neck
of black America.
That's what Al Sharpton, the activist,
said at the funeral of Joyfully,
said, America has its knee on our neck.
And I thought this great country of 330 million people
with 40 million black people.
And here we are 150 years after slavery.
And a half century since Martin Luther King was killed.
Really, that's going to be the narrative for our country's politics.
For the next decade, for the next 15 years, this is what we're going to teach to our children.
This is how we're going to arrange our
media coverage of these events. This is
that's a disaster for this country. So how can you say that when you also have spoken so eloquently on topics such as the differential incarceration rate?
This is not on the salt on your statement, by the way. I'm very curious because
obviously, you know, you've spoken
profoundly about the danger of that differential incarceration rate. And you can see that it's
not that easy to conceptually disentangle, especially if you're politically motivated, but
even if you're not, an event like that from that broader narrative that something's not
right structurally, and perhaps this is a reflection of it.
But, well, so I don't know how to reconcile those two viewpoints. I don't know how you reconcile them.
With difficulty, I suppose I could say because they do point in slightly different, maybe even more in a slightly different directions, but I'm trying to keep my perspectives. Right. I do think that the advent of what they call mass incarceration,
two and a quarter million people under lock and key
on a given day, half of them are 45% of them
being black people when we're 12% of the population.
As a way of doing business going forward
without any sense of urgency of reform,
without any revisiting of our drug laws or our sentencing
or whatever, without any attention
to what is supposed to happen when someone is in prison,
rehabilitation and whatnot,
without any exploration of alternatives
to incarceration as ways of responding to criminal offending
is bad for our country.
I do believe that.
And I believe the racial aspect of that echoes
with our history and ways that are dangerous
and that we dare not neglect.
I'm the same guy.
On the other hand, I think if you racialize
the discussion of crime and punishment,
there was the woman who was murdered
at Columbia University a few years ago in her.
She was killed by these kids,
who were just trying to rob her
and ended up stabbing her to death.
She was white.
I'm sorry, I don't remember her name of Han,
but she was a lovely young woman and innocent
is how she's going to appear in a photograph.
And she certainly did nothing to deserve what Beth felt
her, and she was white.
The kids, that's the other side of it.
Yeah, right.
Tessa, Tessa something is her last name I can't recall.
The kids who killed her were black kids
from around Harlem.
They were in the park.
They were looking for a quick score.
They had a knife.
The woman is lying, she bleeds out.
Now they've convicted.
One of them has been convicted.
And I'm looking at the photo in the newspaper.
Here's this black kid.
He looks like a black kid who's 16, 18 years old.
He's a kid.
He's from this in Provish neighborhood.
And he's black.
And the woman is white.
I don't want that incident processed
in terms of black kid murderous white woman in the park.
Yeah, yeah.
OK.
So maybe it's an issue.
Maybe it's an issue of careless conflation of levels
of analysis, hey, because you're talking about a high resolution
analysis of structural problems in the penal system.
And to put that George Floyd event, to cram that
into the same narrative,
is sort of, be speaks of undifferentiated thought.
And so, and then you point out that the danger of that is,
well, if you're going to racialize the white cop against the black victim of the homicide,
well, then why can't the same thing be done exactly the same way when the reverse happens?
And maybe we shouldn't do any, or we should do as little of that as we possibly can. That doesn't
mean we shouldn't take a look at these bigger structural issues, but we shouldn't cram
it all together in one thing because it's not. That's very well put Jordan. That's exactly
what I'm trying to say. You said it better than I did. Well, I listened to you, so that
was a big help. By the way, if we do cram it all in the one thing,
God help us because there are people,
and they're not gonna speak out.
There are people who will see it, process it just as I hope
they would not do black, thug, murder innocent white girl,
and harbor a resentment, and nurse that resentment,
and that's a tender box, that's a powder cake waiting to be lit
and we can dismiss it if we want to but those people are not entirely wrong in their sentiment. They
need to be disabused of that instinct, that instinct to conflate those levels of analysis.
Yeah, yeah. Well, that's part of the problem I have with ideologies that that's ideology is so low resolution.
It does that conflation. It doesn't notice.
And when you get educated, you start differentiating. It's like, and that's kind of
what you said happened to you when you became more conservative.
Once you got more educated, it's like, oh, oh, this is when I take this apart and
see all the moving pieces, this is way more complex than my low resolution
representation guided me to believe to begin with. And that's that, I mean, see all the moving pieces, this is way more complex than my low-resolution representation
guided me to believe to begin with.
And that's, I mean, I've experienced that many times in my life when I tried to take problems
apart so they could be solved instead of just discussed, let's say.
You have to make a high-resolution model before you can get anywhere.
That's true in clinical practice, and I think it's true in public policy.
And partly what we're doing when we're educating people
if we're doing it right is saying, hey, you know,
you've got a map of the world, but it's not very detailed.
And when you really look at it, well, you know,
here's the complexity.
And that's what we're actually contending with.
People don't like that because, well, it's complex, right?
And you have the simple solution at hand to begin with,
but the problem is it, it isn't the right tool for the job.
You got to make it high resolution.
Now, it takes a lot of work.
So thank you very much for talking to me today.
It was a real pleasure discussing things with you.
And I probably talk too much because I usually do,
but I apologize for that.
Now, I'm really, very much nice to meet you, George.
Thank you.
It was a pleasure meeting you and good luck
with your endeavors in the future.
Hopefully we'll meet some point and hopefully we'll get
a chance to talk again and say hi to Dr. McWhorter for me.
I will do that.
All right.
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