The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 310. Viral: The Origin of Covid 19 | Matt Ridley

Episode Date: December 1, 2022

Dr. Peterson's extensive catalog is available now on DailyWire+: https://utm.io/ueSXh Dr. Jordan B. Peterson and Matt Ridley go in depth to explore the Covid 19 outbreak, scrutinizing the lack of cri...ticism, the inherent red flags widely accepted as benign, the possible motive for a multi-government cover up, and ultimately the demise of the scientific enlightenment as it bends to a more fearsome pandemic: totalitarianism. Matt Ridley is a British writer, journalist, and public speaker. His books collectively have sold over a million copies, and have been translated into 31 languages. His books include The Red Queen, The Origins of Virtue, Genome, Nature via Nurture, Francis Crick, The Rational Optimist, The Evolution of Everything, and How Innovation Works. He is also frequently published in the Wall Street Journal, and in the Times (London), as a columnist. As a speaker, Ridley has seen over two million views for his TED talk, “When Ideas Have Sex.” Ridley focuses on the area of science for his writings, and held the role  of science editor at the Economist for nine years. -Sponsors- Birch Gold: Text "JORDAN" to 989898 for your no-cost, no-obligation, FREE information kit  Audible: Try Audible FREE for 30 days. Visit https://audible.com/peterson or text “PETERSON” to 500-500.  Exodus90: Is it time for your Exodus? Find resources to prepare at https://exodus90.com/jordan.  Black Rifle Coffee: Get 10% off your first order or Coffee Club subscription with code JORDAN: https://www.blackriflecoffee.com/ - Links - For Matt Ridley: Matt Ridley’s newest book, Viral, is now available in a revised and expanded edition, find it here https://www.amazon.com/Viral-Search-COVID-19-Matt-Ridley/dp/006313912X or the audio/digital version here https://a.co/d/aVdU6zV Matt Ridley’s Website https://www.mattridley.co.uk/ Twitter https://twitter.com/mattwridley?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor Facebook https://www.facebook.com/authormattridley/  - Chapters - (0:00) Coming up(1:31) Intro(4:25) The origin of the Covid 19 outbreak(7:39) Adapted for humans(11:42) Immediate effectiveness(13:50) Inserted genetic information(16:29) Early concerns of engineering, the pangolin problem(20:00) Reputation management, potential cover up(25:00) The smoking gun, Project Defuse(28:24) The impossibility of ethical science in a totalitarian country(33:50) When presumptions don’t add up(37:00) Framing the pandemic as political, a distraction(45:16) 80,000 animals tested in Wuhan, 0 infected(50:30) The lack of criticism for the Chinese government(53:53) Potential darkness, spreading totalitarianism(57:03) China envy, recalling the USSR(1:01:23) Other possible motives(1:05:24) The sad evolution of scientific inquiry(1:09:30) The demise of the enlightenment(1:17:15) The antagonism between religion and science(1:22:07) Truth over consequence(1:28:01) The conflation of religion as a faith and as an institution(1:36:00) The spirit of inquiry(1:38:37) Dawkins; not seeking the answer, following the questions(1:43:20) The truth will set you free // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL //Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/jordanbpeterson.com/youtubesignupDonations: https://jordanbpeterson.com/donate // COURSES //Discovering Personality: https://jordanbpeterson.com/personalitySelf Authoring Suite: https://selfauthoring.comUnderstand Myself (personality test): https://understandmyself.com // BOOKS //Beyond Order: 12 More Rules for Life: https://jordanbpeterson.com/Beyond-Order12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos: https://jordanbpeterson.com/12-rules-for-lifeMaps of Meaning: The Architecture of Belief: https://jordanbpeterson.com/maps-of-meaning // LINKS //Website: https://jordanbpeterson.comEvents: https://jordanbpeterson.com/eventsBlog: https://jordanbpeterson.com/blogPodcast: https://jordanbpeterson.com/podcast // SOCIAL //Twitter: https://twitter.com/jordanbpetersonInstagram: https://instagram.com/jordan.b.petersonFacebook: https://facebook.com/drjordanpetersonTelegram: https://t.me/DrJordanPetersonAll socials: https://linktr.ee/drjordanbpeterson #JordanPeterson #JordanBPeterson #DrJordanPeterson #DrJordanBPeterson #DailyWirePlus

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 Music Hello everyone, I'm happy today to be speaking with Dr. Matt Ridley, one of the world's most well-known and lucidly-minded rationalists. I've spoken with Matt before on my podcast, and we're going to talk today about, among other things, about the origin of the COVID virus. So that should be entertaining. Matt Ridley is a British writer, journalist and public speaker. He has a BA and D. Phil degree from Oxford University. Matt also worked for the economist for nine years as science editor. He worked as a Washington correspondent and American editor as well,
Starting point is 00:00:52 before becoming a self-employed writer and businessman. Matt writes a weekly column in the Times of London, and also writes regularly for the Wall Street Journal. As Vicount Ridley, he was elected to the House of Lords in February 2013 and served on the Science and Technology Select Committee from 2014 to 2017. He won the Hayek Prize in 2011, the Julian Simon Award in 2012, and the Free Enterprise Award from the Institute of Economic Affairs in 2014. He's a fellow of the Royal Society of Literature
Starting point is 00:01:31 and of the Academy of Medical Sciences and a foreign honorary member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He is honorary president of the International Center for Life in Newcastle. Matt also holds honorary doctorates from Buckingham University, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, and University Francisco, American Guatemala. His books have sold over a million copies, been translated into 31 languages and have won several awards. His books include The Red Queen, The Origins of Virtue,
Starting point is 00:02:07 Genome, Nature, Via Nurture, Francis Crick, The Rational Optimist, The Evolution of Everything, How Innovation Works. And the revised and expanded version of his latest book, Viral, The Search for the Origin of COVID-19. We're going to talk about a variety of issues, including, not least, the politicization of science and perhaps the politicization of everything. But I think maybe we'll start by walking through your book on the origin of COVID-19. And so the first thing I'm curious about, I suppose, is why did you decide to investigate the origin of COVID-19?
Starting point is 00:02:53 Why didn't you just accept the idea that it emerged in the exotic meat market and in Wuhan? And like a good boy, let's say, and leave it at that. It's a good question, and the answer is to start with, I did accept the conventional version, but I was interested, I'm a zoologist by background, and I was interested in how these diseases jump, and I thought it was highly likely this one had jumped, like SARS did from a bat through the food chain, but I wanted to know where and when and how. And I knew that the scientists in Wuhan had an idea about a similar virus.
Starting point is 00:03:34 So I got the Wall Street Journal to commission an article from me called The Bats Behind the Pandemic. What was it about all shoe bats that was harboring such viruses? How were people coming into contact with them? What did we know? What was the story in this case? It was a very interesting story in the case of SARS in 2003 to do with food markets near Hong Kong. What was going to be the story in this case? And in investigating it, I came upon anomalies like the fact that this virus was not particularly closely related to the bat one they had, like they couldn't tell me where they found the bat one, the paper that I read didn't give the location, and the name of the virus, the bat virus, was one that didn't appear in the scientific literature,
Starting point is 00:04:25 and yet they said they'd found it previously. So I was rather puzzled by all this, and I called up a number of virologists, and they said, well, yes, there's some anomalies here, we don't understand. But it's nothing to do with a lab leak. You can rule that out. Now I believe that for about two and a half months, And then I came across the work of Alina Chan who eventually became my co-author on this book and she was saying actually we can't rule out a lab leak. There's quite a lot of things about this story that make it really quite plausible that what's happened here is an escape from a lab, because we're dealing with a virus that turns up in the city, which has the lab that does work on SARS-like coronaviruses
Starting point is 00:05:13 more than any other lab in the world. And that geographical coincidence has to be taken seriously, particularly when we find that the virus from the bat that they identified as being closely related to SARS-CoV-2 had been found effectively in their own freezer. And that's a starting point for it for a query. So by the middle of May 2020, the Chinese were announcing they didn't think it started in that market. Alina Chan was saying there's lots of evidence to suggest this thing is well adapted to human beings and the geographical coincidence all got me
Starting point is 00:05:55 interested in this being an open question not a closed one and one that needed further investigation and the deeper I dug, the more emerged. OK, so let me summarize that. So the first smoking pistol, in some sense, as you point out, is the coincidence of the location of this lab, which studies exactly this kind of virus, and outbreak itself. And that's a problem, right?
Starting point is 00:06:26 So that means that it's reasonable to look at that and think that, well, it could have escaped from lab there. That's the first conclusion, and that it has to be demonstrated in some sense that it didn't. And then, so that's a problem. And I can't see how that's anything but an incontrovertible problem.
Starting point is 00:06:46 The mere fact that that lab is there and that it does research on those types of viruses and that that's where the outbreak was, doesn't prove that it originated in the lab. But it certainly makes that a plausible hypothesis. But then you have this additional twist, which is, I think, more complicated for people to understand. And you detail this out.
Starting point is 00:07:07 You provide some detail for this in the book that this virus is somewhat remarkably well adapted to human beings. Now there are literally trillions and trillions of different forms of viruses. And so obviously most of them aren't particularly well adapted to human beings because otherwise we would have trillions of viruses producing pandemics through all the time. So it's generally the case that viruses are not well adapted to transmission in human beings. And that's true for the overwhelming majority of viruses. And so the fact of this human adaptation, or adaptation to human transmission,
Starting point is 00:07:47 is something of signal importance. And so maybe you could walk me and everyone else listening through why a typical virus isn't adapted to human transmission. And what it means that one is and how that develops. Yes. The normal pattern when a virus first emerges into the human species is for it to be very difficult
Starting point is 00:08:13 for the virus to spread human to human. It can infect someone, it can even possibly kill someone, but they're not very good at passing it on to people. The virus is not really very good at transmitting between members of this new host. Now, if enough time goes by with enough infections happening, then eventually it will get good at it. And that's what was starting to happen with SARS in 2003. It first infected people in the fall of 2002. By the spring of 2003, you were starting to see chains of transmission from person to person.
Starting point is 00:08:51 And the reason for this is that the virus has to evolve. It has to change its genetic code in such a way that it can better fit the receptors on the cells of humans as opposed to the receptors on the cells of humans as opposed to the receptors on the cells of bats or in the case of SARS, the intermediate host, which was a parm civet. So we should point out that the problem of transmission that a virus has to solve is no different from the problem of the virus determining in some sense or evolving so that it can live. Transmission in a virus is the same thing as propagation in the environment. And so this is a very naughty problem
Starting point is 00:09:34 KNOTTY for a virus to solve. It's not simple at all because it has to not kill the host too quickly and it has to be able to replicate within an individual, but then it not only doesn't have to manage those things, which is very difficult. It also has to figure out how to transmit itself with some degree of effectiveness, and thank God most viruses can't solve that problem. So this is a very thorny problem, and you're maybe you can outline for everyone how viruses do solve that problem and why most don't and why the fact of human adaptation to humans is so important.
Starting point is 00:10:12 Yeah. Just to give you a good example, bird flu, which is a big problem at the moment in poultry flocks and wild birds, is not very good at infecting human beings. People can catch it, people have even died of it. If you're exposed to a huge dose by working in a poultry farm, you can get sick and you'll probably die, but you probably won't give it to anybody else. We've not seen any human-to-human transmission of that virus.
Starting point is 00:10:38 This virus was good at transmitting between human beings from the word go, from the November or December of 2019. And the reason for that, we now know in molecular terms, it has a so-called receptor binding domain on its spike gene, which is well adapted to the human ACE2 receptor on ourselves. Not very well adapted to other species receptors, which is intriguing. It's a specific human adaptation. It look, well, not specific, it's not completely specific, it's quite good at lots of animals,
Starting point is 00:11:14 but it's really good at us, okay? And the other feature that it has that is very striking and very surprising is that it has something called a fe-in-cleavage site. Now, this is a small section of the spike gene that is coded by about 12 letters of RNA genetic code, which has been inserted into it compared with all its close relatives. And that gives it the ability to use a human enzyme called furin that is in all, in much of many of our cells, in order to reconfigure the virus as it leaves the cell to make it, as it were, prime it to attack another cell.
Starting point is 00:12:00 So it's actually using one of our enzymes to spread in the body. This enables it to infect more tissues in the body and to multiply much more effectively. So it's the reason we're having a pandemic is the fear and cleavage site. If this virus didn't have that, it would probably have been pretty easy to control in the early months. You said something very interesting,
Starting point is 00:12:23 and this is another piece of the puzzle, I presume, is that compared to other viruses of its type, it has this interesting fear and cleavage sight. I've got that right. And you said that it had been inserted, and that's a, well, that's an anomalous statement, let's say. So there's something about this particular virus that sets it out against other viruses of its type, and it's this particular ability to use a human enzyme,
Starting point is 00:12:54 and you describe that as inserted, and so I presume that could be inserted as a consequence, hypothetically, of natural selection processes, or that there's other alternative explanations. So what do you see when you look at that? What I mean by inserted here is that it's an extra piece of genetic information. We can look at 20 or 30 other very similar viruses and we can line their genomes up and match them up against this one. And the fearing cleavage site is not an altered bit, it's an added bit. It's an extra chunk that's been added in the middle of the spike gene.
Starting point is 00:13:37 So how do you differentiate between added and different? I presume that's a consequence of degree of divergence. So you could imagine that there's a set of viruses that are genetically and evolutionarily similar. So they stem from a similar source and they have a predictable pattern of variation. And you're saying that this is an anomaly that exists outside that. Well, you line them up. You align the genetic codes of the viruses. And in this particular part of the spike gene, they all align up quite well. The sequence is mostly the same.
Starting point is 00:14:16 You can tell it's been added because you can align the genes of the spike genes of other viruses alongside each other and see that this is an extra piece of RNA, not a changed piece of RNA. It's about 12 letters long. And this spells out a sequence that allows... it's called a fearing cleavage site and it allows the virus to use a human enzyme called fearing to spread from cell to cell, from tissue to tissue.
Starting point is 00:14:44 And effectively makes the virus much more dangerous and much more transmissible. It's the reason we're having a pandemic. If the virus didn't have this furion cleavage site, we'd probably have been able to get it under control very easily early in the pandemic. Now, what's interesting is that a number of Western virologists, when they first saw the sequence of this virus, said, whoa, it's got a fearing cleavage side in, that's very unusual for a SARS-like virus. In fact, it's unique, we've never seen one with this before. There are other coronaviruses with fearing cleavage sites, but not SARS-like coronaviruses.
Starting point is 00:15:18 And they said, I'm afraid that suggests it might have been engineered. Now, they kept those thoughts to themselves. I'm afraid that suggests it might have been engineered. Now they kept those thoughts to themselves. We only know about them now because of leaks of emails that have emerged more than a year later. But they got on a conference call at the beginning of February, US and UK and other virologists, about a dozen of them. Who are these people, these, they,
Starting point is 00:15:46 that you're referring to, that in the early stages of speculation? Yeah, these are virologists. So senior virologists who've been studying this kind of virus or other similar outbreaks, there's about a dozen of them. But also on the call was Dr. Anthony Fauci, the head of the National Institute of allergies and infectious diseases in the US and the main advisor to the president
Starting point is 00:16:11 on this. And Dr. Jeremy Farah, a senior advisor to the British government and the head of the Welcome Trust in the UK, which had funded a lot of research of this kind. And they discussed on this call their doubts that this virus was natural and they're worried that it might have been engineered. Within two days, however, that same group of virologists started drafting an article which was eventually published in Nature Medicine, saying it couldn't possibly have been engineered. The fearing cleavage site will probably turn up in a wildbat virus, well it hasn't so far. And the reason they have given for changing their mind after these emails emerged showing what they were actually thinking in February is that the Chinese had announced they'd found a virus in a pangolin. You probably remember that, a Scaliantita
Starting point is 00:17:08 a virus in a pangolin. You probably remember that. A scaly antita that is trafficked because of the belief that it contributes to good medical health and so on. If you eat its scales, it's not true. They're made of the same stuff as fingernails. You might as well eat your fingernails, but still it's a widely held belief. And as a result result many of these scaly antitids are trafficked into China. Well it turns out that a university in China announced in February 2020 that they found a very similar virus and 99% similar virus in Pangolin and people thought right, case closed, we found the intermediate animal, we know what's happening. Well, there's three problems with that. One, when they eventually published the sequence of this Pangolin virus, it was not very similar, it was 90% similar, that's not good enough, it's nothing like close enough.
Starting point is 00:17:57 Two, it didn't have the fearing cleavage site in, and three, there were now Pangolins on sale in Wuhan, so it couldn't have explained how the outbreak happened in Wuhan. No, those are problems. Those are big problems. So we're in this strange situation where this particular feature has alarmed Western virologists, but they've kept the information to themselves.
Starting point is 00:18:18 We didn't find out about all this for months, remember. No, it's worse than that. It's worse than that because these virologists that you're talking about include Fauci. And so it's not just virologists. It's the virologists who end up being in charge of the entire response. And so the question that emerges for me there is that if they were concerned about this being a lab leak, then why the strenuous attempt to deflect? Now, there's two possible reasons.
Starting point is 00:18:48 One is that they didn't want to move forward with their presumption that it was a lab leak without a smoking pistol. And that's fair enough, because you might think, well, we're concerned and we're incurring, but we're not going to beat the drum about the lab leak till we're certain. And then there's whatever other reasons might be lurking in the background, and I suppose that's partly what we're trying to investigate. And so that would be the scandal that would emerge, perhaps,
Starting point is 00:19:17 if it was a lab leak, and what that might do to Chinese-American relationships, and what it says about virology research in general, and God only knows what other host of explanations and so but it's very striking to me so you've laid out you've laid out a story that goes well first of all there was a lab in Wuhan that was doing research that was strikingly similar on viruses that were strikingly similar to the virus that caused the pandemic. And that is the geographical locale of the origin of the pandemic. And then the virus itself has peculiarities that might indicate engineering.
Starting point is 00:19:52 And so that's two pieces of evidence that are starting to converge pretty hard and unlikely convergence. And then you have the virologists themselves, including those who are in charge of the response or who will be eventually, also noting that this looks suspicious to say the least. And then for some reason, and in a great scientific journal, or at least a once great scientific journal, downplaying their own fears. And so what's the motivation here? What's going on precisely?
Starting point is 00:20:27 Well, there was an exchange of emails among these scientists in which some of them said it's important that we don't damage international harmony. That was the phrase used by Francis Collins, the head of the NIH in these emails. And another one says, we mustn't damage the reputation of science and of Chinese science in particular. Now at the same time, another letter was being... You mean by a point...
Starting point is 00:20:57 You mean by pointing out that something unbelievably and god-awfully and unforgivably dangerous had actually happened. That was how we were gonna damage the reputation, so to speak, by just admitting that something catastrophic had happened. And so it was reputation management. Yes, but clearly, you know, if you... There is a risk that the world rushes off and comes to the conclusion it came out of a lab and this damage is biotechnology and it's not true.
Starting point is 00:21:27 It might have been great in a natural way. And then we've done unnecessary damage to science, which is a great pity. And I'm a big fan of biotechnology, I would think that was a problem. So that is one risk. But the other risk is that we are so worried about doing damage to the reputation of science, that we overlooked the possibility that this thing did start into laboratory. Now at the same time, also in February 2020, the closest collaborator of the Wuhan lab
Starting point is 00:21:59 in the West, a man named Peter Dasack who runs an organization called the Eco Health Alliance, which had funneled millions of dollars from US taxpayers to this research in Wuhan over the years. He was preparing a letter for the Lancet, which he got 27 scientists to sign, saying it couldn't possibly have come from a lab and we've got to shut down that possibility. He didn't reveal his role in orchestrating that. He was just one of the signatures. He didn't note his conflict of interest in that letter, the fact that he was a very close collaborator and friend of the Wuhan lab. It took 18 months before the Lansett published a statement of conflict of interest under pressure on that. But more important than any of that, the one crucial thing that Peter Dasek didn't reveal
Starting point is 00:22:53 and that we didn't find out until September 2021 was that he had put in an application application to the Pentagon, to the DARPA, the research arm of the Pentagon, in 2018, in collaboration with the Wuhan Institute of Virology, among others, to do experiments on SARS-like viruses that they found in bats. And those experiments were to include, if they found ones that weren't very similar to SARS-1, that were new, were to include putting a furan cleavage site into such a virus. Now, that is a major discovery. And as I say, we found that out from a leaked document, it's called the Project De project diffuse, it came to light in September 2021 because someone in DARPA I think leaked it to people who were investigating this.
Starting point is 00:23:53 And Peter Dasack hadn't bothered to tell us that he was the lead investigator on exactly this proposal. Now, you know, for me as a citizen of the planet Earth, that's pretty annoying. As a scientist and a writer about science, it's even more annoying. Because, you know, we all want to know what happened here. You know, I don't go into this wanting it to be a lab leak. I just want to know the truth. And it seems absolutely vital to get us as much information as we can. Now, some of that information is in China and they're not being very forthcoming,
Starting point is 00:24:33 but information that is in America ought to be volunteered in this case. The other thing, the thing that the Chinese have failed to do is tell us what's in their database. They had a database of, with 22,000 entries in it, at the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which was wildlife pathogens. It was bacteria and viruses that affected wildlife. About 15,000 of them related to bats and most of those were viruses. So these were the viruses they'd been collecting from, mostly not from Wuhan, but from a long way
Starting point is 00:25:11 away from southern China and Laos and other neighboring countries. And they'd been collecting thousands of these viruses and they'd been sequencing and them and they'd been characterising them and describing them and they had a database. And the purpose of this database, partly funded with US money, was to predict and prevent future pandemics. When, on the 12th of September 2019, that is about two months before the pandemic started, as far as we can tell, at two o'clock in the morning, that database went offline. It's never come back online.
Starting point is 00:25:52 We've never therefore been able to access it and look at what viruses they had in that lab. Now, when we asked them why went you, show us that database, which after all the purpose of which was to share with the world so that we could predict pandemics remember. They say, oh, will people might hack it? Well, that's a meaningless statement. You know, if you're going to share it, you don't need to worry about people hacking it, you know, it's a sort of circular non-argument, if you like. And remember, showing us what's in that database would be the quickest way to exonerate the Wuhan Institute of Archaeology, because it would show, look, they didn't have a
Starting point is 00:26:35 virus resembling SARS-CoV-2 in their database, and so case closed, but they won't show us that document. And that, for me, is a very, very important piece of information. Well, this bigs and broader, this bigs and broader question too, that was popping up in my mind, and perhaps this is a reasonable place to interject to broaden out the conversation. We don't really know what the preconditions are for science to function as it has functioned, let's say, in the West for the last 400 years, but it's certainly the case that real scientists and their very few of them, because most scientists are technicians in some real sense and they're certainly not on the cutting edge and they're worried about the pushing forward of their career, let's say, and other extraneous issues rather than concentrating on the science at hand. It's an unbelievably stringently ethical enterprise. You want to be a good scientist. You have to assume that what you don't know should take priority over what you do know.
Starting point is 00:27:49 That's hypothesis testing in some real sense. You also have to be willing to go where the data takes you and you have to do your statistical analysis in the most honest possible manner. And all of that requires the abiding by an extraordinarily stringent ethic. And yet we tend to think of science as a technical enterprise. And when we presume that it's a technical enterprise, we also presume that, for example, it could take place in any real sense in a totalitarian country that you can do science in a totalitarian country. And it isn't obvious to me at all that you can do science in a totalitarian country. And the reason for that is that in a totalitarian country, everyone lies about everything all the time.
Starting point is 00:28:38 That's a very good point and that actually brings up questions that were raised in a report that came from the Senate in recent weeks, the Health Committee of the Senate, the Republican side of that committee, has employed experts to spend a couple of several months, a year and a bit actually, investigating exactly what was going on in that laboratory in Wuhan in 2018, 19, and 20. And what they discovered was that there was some kind of crisis over biosafety in the lab in November of 2019. There were meetings, very high-level meetings, Beijing got involved, Xi Jinping himself seems to have been consulted. And the lab was basically given a major ticking off about failures on biosafety. And there's a lot of sort of self-examination going on. But to your point, these documents that revealed this are Communist Party documents. That is to say, like every organisation in China, the Wuhan Lab is basically run by the Communist Party.
Starting point is 00:29:56 And as part of that, you, as a scientist, have to keep reporting to the party what you're doing, how hard you're working, and how it's going to glorify the Communist Party. Right, right, right. To the party. And that's exactly. And that's not science, then. Well, you can do good science while doing that,
Starting point is 00:30:18 but it's very clear that the direction the party is giving you in 2019 is, come on, we want more results out of this science. We haven't seen enough from these virology experiments. We need to, why aren't you getting more results, getting more papers published, etc. There's a real pressure on these scientists. You can read, you can read it in these documents to do more work. But then there's also real pressure to, for God's sake, stop having these accidents or whatever it is. It's never quite that explicit. But, you know, what can
Starting point is 00:30:52 you do to solve these biosafety problems that you've got in the lab? Now, all of that suggests that there was pressure to do risky experiments and there was pressure to clean up the safety record of the lab at the time that something started in Wuhan. Now again, none of that proves that that's how it began, but given the experiments that we know they were doing, that they published, these were chimera virus experiments where you take part of the gene from one virus and you insert it into another in order to make a hybrid virus to see how dangerous the spike gene of the newly discovered virus is in a live virus that you know how to grow. And those experiments resulted in up to 10,000 times increases in the infectivity of viruses in human cells, human airway
Starting point is 00:31:47 or pathelial cells in the lab. Is that the gain of function research that people refer to constantly? Yes. And the function that's being gained is transmissiveness. Is the capacity of the virus to be transmitted? The original gain of function debate was about how to turn a bird flu into a mammal flu, how to give it the new function of infecting mammal. But the term then came to be used for increases in the infectivity or the virulence of viruses in the virus.
Starting point is 00:32:20 Okay, so let me ask you a question. All right, so let me ask you a question. Alright, so let me ask you a question about that. So we've already established earlier in this conversation that there are trillions upon trillions of viral variants and a very, very tiny fraction of those pose a human risk, almost an infinitesimally small fraction. And so the vast majority of viruses are harmless. And so, and then the theory would be, well, there are some that are still harmful, and we need to understand those, and fair enough. And one of the ways of understanding them is to produce more dangerous viral variants in the lab. And then we can study these more dangerous variants.
Starting point is 00:33:05 But that seems to me to assume that you're presuming that the more dangerous functions that you're adding to the viruses are, in some sense, going to be representative of more dangerous viruses in general so that you can generalize beyond them. And you're also assuming that the risk of an accident or an outbreak in relationship to poor handling of these new viruses that you're creating is less of a risk than natural variation in the viruses themselves would be likely to produce. And isn't obvious to me at all a priori that any of those presumptions are even vaguely
Starting point is 00:33:42 correct? That's exactly right. priority that any of those presumptions are even vaguely correct? That's exactly right. That's exactly the calculation that they were making. That it was worth doing this research because you would identify viruses that could cause a pandemic this way and that the risk of causing an accident was less than that risk that we're running naturally. There was a lot of criticism of this. When they began this sort of research, not just in Wuhan, but elsewhere in the world, about 10 years ago, under a US funded program called Prevent, a US funded program called Prevent.
Starting point is 00:34:28 There was a number of ourologists who, quite openly, said, we think this is a mistake. We think you're looking for a needle in the haystack, you'll probably find the wrong needle. We don't think that you're going to find anything useful this way. And they didn't also add, but there was other people saying, and by the way, aren't you creating the very risk that you're worrying about? You're looking for a gas leak with a lighted match as someone put it. Now, I think most of us now looking at what was going on in Wuhan in that laboratory in the years leading up to the pandemic and are convinced
Starting point is 00:35:05 that even if this one didn't happen that way, it could have and that going forward we should not be doing this kind of research. Well, after a short pause, the US government resumed its donations to the Eka Health Alliance to work with partner labs doing this kind of research elsewhere in the world during and after the pandemic. Recently, and there recently means October 27 in the journal Science Online. And so just for everyone watching and listening to know, there's two journals in the world, Science and Nature that are regarded by scientists in virtually every discipline as the pinnacle of scientific publication. And so if you're a career scientist and you publish in science or nature, that's a career-making publication.
Starting point is 00:35:56 It's the equivalent of a bestseller, let's say, or a hit movie in the scientific community. And both science and nature are among the oldest of scientific journals and the most prestigious and they had their origin in the UK. And so everyone in the scientific community has been for decades very impressed with science and nature. So I'm telling everyone that just so you know the significance of this publication outlet. Now, there's an article there that was written by John Cohen on October 27th, 22, talking about this Senate investigation that Matt just referred to, and let me read a little bit about this. The mysterious origin of the COVID-19 pandemic, like so many aspects of the response, has created deep divides along party lines
Starting point is 00:36:46 in the United States. Okay, so that's the opening statement. And so basically, the opening statement is designed to convince both the writer and the reader that the primary issue here with regards to the lab leak hypothesis is one of politics and not of fact or science. And then the article continues, many virologists and evolutionary biologists who have studied the origins of outbreaks dismiss the lab leak hypothesis.
Starting point is 00:37:16 Many virologists, let's say, but other scientists have complained that the possibility was too readily downplayed. Okay, so there's this dispute. But then the writer continues, and it has become increasingly popular among conservative media outlets and some Republican politicians. So instantly politicizing it again. Now, this Senate report,
Starting point is 00:37:42 which is reported here as a minority staff, concludes in its 30-page report, 35-page report, that the COVID pandemic was more than likely, more likely than not, the result of a research-related incident. And then the author immediately jumps to this statement, which is that conclusion stands in sharp contrast to that of other panels, including from the World Health Organization and US Intelligence agencies, which have deemed a zoonotic jump more likely or remain neutral, given the lack of direct evidence on the origin of the virus. Okay, so we're being enjoined by the journal Science itself to assume that all of this
Starting point is 00:38:24 discussion about the origin of the lab leak is somehow politicking. Okay, so let's take that apart for a minute. So that's predicated on the assumption that the Republicans and the conservatives, let's say, both narrowly and more broadly, have something specific to gain in a power-related manner by advancing the claim that the origin of the virus was in some sense a lab leak. And for the life of me, I can't understand why that's political. It's like it was either a lab leak or it wasn't. That's pretty damn evident. And it isn't obvious to me that the facts stand on one side of the political divider and others.
Starting point is 00:39:07 So then I'm wondering why in the world is it that science magazine is publishing an article claiming that the real reason that anybody is concerned about whether or not this was a lab leak is because of Republican party shenanigans. And so what do you think about that? Well, it's true that America is very politically polarized and there's a tendency in much of the media to see everything in a Republican versus Democrat lens these days that doesn't work for the rest of us who aren't Americans. We don't have to see the world that way. We can think of it as a scientific question rather than a political question.
Starting point is 00:39:55 And it's true that the early in the pandemic, a Republican president, Donald Trump, kept saying it might have come from a lab. Well, we happen to know that a number of scientists privately agreed with him, but didn't say so at the time. But the real divide here, and we see this on social media all the time, we get active debates about this going on, The real divide is not between people who think it was a lab leak and people who think it was a market zoonosis, but people who think that we haven't answered the question yet and we need to keep looking at both hypotheses, what I call the open question side of the debate, which I'm on, which my co-authors on, which everybody who thinks a lab leak is possible thinks. I don't know anyone who thinks it's 100% certain it was a
Starting point is 00:40:50 lab leak. And on the other side of the question are the case closed crowd who say no no we can already rule out a lab leak for certain. And that seems to me immensely premature. And here's why, in the case of SARS, we were able to rule out a lab leak and know that it came of your market because we found the infected animal. We found the civet cat that had caught the virus from the bat and gave it to people. And we found the index cases. You know, these were food handlers and chefs and people who were cooking civet cats. You know, the chain of transmission was very clear. In this case, we've found no infected animals. We found no evidence in
Starting point is 00:41:33 blood banks of previously infected people. We found nobody who looks like an index case. The only thing we found is that there was a concentration of early cases in that food market in Wuhan. And a number of scientists, the ones referred to in that John Cohen article in Science, regard that evidence that there were quite a lot of early cases in that market or near that market as so-called dispositive. In other words, we can close the case. We can go home, shut up the inquiry, and say, we know the certainly came out of the... The rest of us say, no, hold on, you haven't found an infected animal, you haven't found an early case, and by the way, we know why there was a concentration of cases
Starting point is 00:42:16 in that market, because in the early days of the pandemic, if you had pneumonia and you went to hospital, they were told to consider COVID as a cause only if you lived near that market. So it's a circular argument. Of course, the early cases were near the market because that's the only place they were looking. It's like the drunk who says, I'm looking for my car keys under this street light, because that's where the light is. So, you know, again, I'm not making the case that the market couldn't have been the place where it happened. I'm making the case that we can't definitively conclude that yet.
Starting point is 00:42:57 Well, you're actually, you're making a stronger case, well, you're making a stronger case than that, I would say, in some sense, because you're saying that when we've done similar things previously, we've been able to find animals who had that virus variant, and we just haven't been able to find those animals at all. So what you're saying is that the only evidence that it came from the market is that there are cases that were reported earlier that were associated with the market. But that's the only piece of evidence that it's coming from the market. And so I think it seems to me, correct me if I'm wrong, that you're being cautious and
Starting point is 00:43:34 underplaying the evidence that suggests that something is rotten in the state of Denmark, let's say. I mean, we, well, it's slightly, to be fair, the evidence is slightly better than that because there were a number of samples in the market that were taken that were positive for this virus. They were environmental samples, that is to say, doorknobs, countertop, sewage, things like that. You know, they weren't animals or people. They were swabs taken.
Starting point is 00:44:04 Right. So, the virus was circulating there. Exactly. They were swabs taken. So we know the virus was circulating there. Exactly. But they're all but one of one strain of the virus, which is one of the early human strains. The other is the other human strain. And there's one swab that shows that one. But most of the other swabs,
Starting point is 00:44:23 for most of the other early cases of that one come from the other side of the river, at the Yangtze River, as it happens. So it looks like one strain was certainly circulating in the market and maybe the other, but it could easily have been circulating in people. There's no evidence that it was animals. Right. There's a slight concentration of those samples in one corner of the market, which is where animals were on sale. So that's perhaps suggested. Okay, well, where the toilets were and the Marjong clubs were and things like that. So, you know, there's lots of other reasons why it might have been in that corner.
Starting point is 00:44:59 But they tested 80,000 animals. Is there any evidence of animal to animal transmission of this virus? Well, since the pandemic began, animals like Mink and Deer have caught it and are transmitting it to each other. So yes, it is capable of transmitting them in other animals. But does it do it effectively? Much less effectively than it does in people, or monkeys, or mice. Okay, so that's a big problem, right?
Starting point is 00:45:30 Because we have these trillions of viruses, and this variant, this COVID variant, doesn't transmit very well in animals. And so that also makes it incumbent upon the people who claim that it had an animal origin to explain that, how, given that it isn't very transmissible in animals, and that the probability of a human transmitted virus is very unlikely, that puts additional constraints on the notion that this was an animal transmitted virus? Because it's not very good at doing that. Yeah. I mean, remember the one thing we do know about it is that it's originally a bat virus.
Starting point is 00:46:14 These SARS-like coronavirus, sobica viruses, are found in horseshoe bats. They're not found in other kinds of bats or other kinds of animals. That's their natural reservoir. And in those bats, they're not particularly lethal. And they cause mainly intestinal disease rather than respiratory disease. And they use very different receptors. So something's happened to enable that virus to adapt to causing a respiratory disease in human beings rather than an intestinal disease in bats. Now that something could have been an intermediate host like a bamboo rat or something on sale
Starting point is 00:46:52 in a market, or it could have been a humanized mouse in a lab, because what the Wuhan Institute of Aralgy were doing, they were infecting humanized mice. Now these are mice that have had the ACE2 receptor gene from human beings inserted into them in place of their own ACE2 receptor. So their lungs are expressing a particular protein that is only found in human beings. And so if you infect an animal this mouse with the virus, you're effectively testing how dangerous this virus is on human beings. Now the worry here is that if one of those mice escapes, or if it bites a lab worker or something like that, we're dealing with a virus that's been trained in these mice and in human cells in the lab to infect human beings.
Starting point is 00:47:50 That's the concern with this kind of experience. The mouse experience was done at biosafety level three. That's pretty good. That's a negative pressure cabinet completely sealed where the air is properly filtered before it can get out. But the human airway epithelial cell culture experiments, also done with the same chimeric viruses, were done at biosafety level two in some cases. Now that's where a glove and masks, sorry, where gloves and a mask, in fact you don't even have to wear a mask at by safety level 2. Now if this thing was,
Starting point is 00:48:37 if SARS-CoV-2 was in one of these human airway epithelias cell cultures, and at biosafety level two, it's more likely than not that the researcher would have picked it up. And might well have been asymptomatic, you know, it's not a very severe disease in many people, and he might well have gone to the market, you know, he might have gone to the Marjon Club or something, and so something could have happened along those lines. The, you know, the, the, Were some of the early cases lab workers? The CIA says they were. They won't give us the evidence as to how they know that. The Chinese say they weren't. The South China Morning Post reported that the earliest case
Starting point is 00:49:36 was a man who caught it in November the 17th, 2019. Well, since then, the official Chinese, that was based on a leaked document, the official Chinese have disavowed that document and said, no, no, the first case was in early December. Well, we don't know. Now, if this was in the West, we would be all over this, the media would be all over this, demanding more transparency. And yet the extraordinary thing is, we don't hear much criticism of the Chinese regime over this. We don't hear it at the G7 or what's the called the COP27 meeting. We hear criticism of China quite rightly over their treatment of Hong Kong and the Uighurs, but this to me is an even more scandalous thing, that 20 million
Starting point is 00:50:27 people, or nearly that, may be dead, and an awful lot of people have had their lives turned upside down, and we know where it started, and we know there are two possible things that could have happened there, and we're not doing anything to try to push back against the regime's lack of transparency. And we're continuing to engage in gain of function research? Yes, and in cities too, my co-author, Alina Jan, makes the point that we shouldn't be doing this kind of research in cities. If you're going to have a lab doing this kind of work at all, it should be in an isolated area. Yeah, like Mars, like Greenland or Mars. Yeah, yeah. You know, we don't do, we don't cite nuclear power stations in the middle of cities. Why should we cite virology labs in the middle of cities? That's exactly the same argument.
Starting point is 00:51:24 we cite virology labs in the middle of cities, it's exactly the same argument. You know, I follow genomics, molecular biology pathology quite closely as a writer, not as a practitioner, and yet I didn't know that these experiments were being done. And when I first heard the argument that it might have come from a lab, I said, no, no, we're not nearly clever enough to design a virus this good. Well, once I found out what we were doing, or what they were doing, and how it goes completely against the rules that by a technology set itself in the 1970s, saying, look, let's do this kind of work, but not on dangerous pathogenic viruses, because that could be dangerous. I was really shocked by how far into the manipulation and testing of dangerous viruses we have gone in the last 10 years.
Starting point is 00:52:22 Well, so I guess part of the reaction might be, because I'm trying to understand why there would be motivation to shut down, let's say, speculation, investigation into the possibility of a lab leak. And I guess maybe part of the reason is that it reveals reality that in some senses too dreadful to conveniently comprehend. And we have a lot of problems like that confronting us at the moment,
Starting point is 00:52:52 to partly pick problems of one variety of another. And the problem here is that we're doing potentially, we're stupidly doing potentially dangerous things on a scale that can produce exactly the kind of result that perhaps has already been produced. And it'd be easier, in some sense, in the short term, just to stick our heads in the sand and pretend it isn't happening. And then you could add the complication there that, well, we don't want to upset whatever international harmony we've managed to establish
Starting point is 00:53:25 with the Chinese. But, and I can understand why people would be loath to re-investigate that problem, too, because we have an associated problem here. So we're engaged with the Chinese in a multitude of different ways. And to some degree, that's very beneficial. I mean, there are far fewer Chinese people facing acute privation than there were, say, a few decades ago. And the Chinese have been relatively successfully
Starting point is 00:53:53 integrated into the world economy. And we have all of the cheap and desirable goods that the Chinese are producing. And all of that seems a lot more positive than, you know, two antagonistic populations facing each other in a state of absolute economic privation. But we also have another problem, which is, well, the Chinese are pretty damn authoritarian, and they're still run by the Communist Party, which is a dreadful organization. And then we don't know how much our entanglement with the Chinese tilts us towards that totalitarian structure.
Starting point is 00:54:27 And so one of the things I've been noting is that when the pandemic emerged, the totalitarians acted first, and they acted in a totalitarian way, which is, well, why don't we just lock everyone down? Which is sort of the totalitarian answer to everything. And then in our herd-like panic in the West, we immediately imitated them. And so that's the spread of a pathogen too, right?
Starting point is 00:54:55 That's the spread of a totalitarian pathogen of ideas. And that's also shook us up terribly in the West. It isn't obvious to me at all that the lockdowns were the least bit justifiable. They certainly were justifiable ethically as far as I'm concerned and it isn't obvious to me at all that they were justifiable practically. And so we have a pathogen of COVID to contend with but we also have a pathogen of totalitarianism to contend with. And I would say the latter poses a much bigger threat than the former, unless we keep mocking about with gain of function research.
Starting point is 00:55:32 Yeah, well, you're absolutely right that a lot of the proponents of lockdown in the early days were very explicit about saying we'd never have contemplated this policy if we hadn't seen it work in Wuhan. So there was a deliberate work, yes exactly, well it worked for a while and then it didn't work and so on. And so there was a very explicit sort of China envy going on. But I think, you know, I completely agree with you that China's transformation in the last 50 years has been spectacular from one of the poorest nations on earth to a middle income country, lifting more people out of poverty
Starting point is 00:56:16 than has happened in any generation in tens of thousands of years. That's magnificent. And it was done by liberation. It was done by a Dungshout Bings policy of economic liberation. You can start a business, you can make money, you can trade, you can do all these things as long as you don't set up a rival to the Communist Party. There was economic liberation but not political liberation. That was continued under his successor, particularly under Hu Jintao,
Starting point is 00:56:51 and very successful it was too. It took a long time for us to realise, and certainly for me to realise, that Xi Jinping is not like that. Right. He is not sticking to that policy at all. He has completely abandoned any idea of free enterprise for ordinary Chinese people and gone to a completely state-directed view of the economy as well as society and a police
Starting point is 00:57:17 state of the most brutal kind. And that does change the calculation. Can I just tell you one little story in respect of that about the Soviet Union that I think is quite interesting here? Because people often say to me, we'll never know, because the Chinese are not going to let us find out what happened in Wuhan in the autumn of 2019. So why bother speculating? Well, in Svedlovsk, in the Soviet Union, in 1979, there was some kind of industrial accident,
Starting point is 00:57:48 and 65 people died of what the American intelligence community said was anthrax poisoning, as a result of a leak from a bio-warfare plant. The Russians said, no, it's not a bio-warfare plant, no, they weren't handing anthrax, no, that's not what happened, they got food poisoning, you're wrong. The Russians invited in an international panel of scientists to investigate, led by a Nobel Prize winner, a wonderful guy called Matt Mezzelson. And after looking around and visiting Swedlosssk, now called a Catherine Boog, but it was then called Svredlovsk, they concluded that the Russians were right, the Americans were wrong, this was not an anthrax leak
Starting point is 00:58:34 and case closed and the international community was satisfied. Then the Soviet Union collapsed and scientists who had worked in the Biawore Fair plant, because that's what it was, in Sveredlovsk, came to the west and told us exactly what had happened on that day. One shift had taken off a filter to repair it, and had not put it back on, they hadn't told the next shift what they'd done, and as a result a plume of anthrax spores were sent over the city of Sir Loft killing 65 people. If it had gone the other way, it would have killed hundreds of thousands because it went over a relatively unpopulated suburb. So it took the best part of
Starting point is 00:59:16 a decade before the truth came out and the lie had survived an international investigation And the lie had survived an international investigation, but the truth did eventually come out in that case. Yeah, so the moral of that story is that not only do these things happen, but that they can be covered up quite effectively, although in that case, not finally, and perhaps not in this case. And so I think it's, so do you accept the psychological hypothesis, let's say, of convenience, in some sense, this hoping that an inconvenient truth will go away as motive for those who are attempting to make the case that the assumption of a leak is just politicization? or do you think what else is going on here?
Starting point is 01:00:10 Well, there's also a sort of priesthood aspect to it. Virologists have been talking to each other and living in their own world for a while, and they've now got scruffy people like journalists and people on the internet and people who've done a little bit of research coming along and invading their space and saying, I want answers to questions. And they find that impertinent, they find that annoying. It's sort of, you know, it's sort of beneath them to have to answer questions from these people. So that's another motivation. A third motivation is that there was a lot of, there was a big build up behind the
Starting point is 01:00:59 idea that the reason we had a pandemic was because we're interfering with mother nature. We're encroaching on habitats of bats and things like that. They wanted it to be an ecological cautionary tale. And so there's a reluctance to have it teach a very different cautionary tale instead. So there's a whole slew of motivations that are causing establishment science to behave a bit like a priesthood here. I mean, there's also financial. Remember, there's big money in virology research, and a lot of scientists spend a lot of their
Starting point is 01:01:38 time thinking about where's the next million dollars going to come from to support my lab. Quite rightly, it's's very competitive world. They fear that if the world concludes that high-risk virology research led to this accident, that there will be no more funding for high-risk virology research. You or I might think that's a good thing, but it genuinely affects these people's livelihoods. So no wonder they're going to fight that corner. It's also a complicated thing. I mean, I am an advocate of an admirer, let's say, for what it's worth of open inquiry. And it isn't obvious to me that it's certainly not a simple thing, a simple matter to conclude that there's an area of investigation that's now permanently
Starting point is 01:02:26 off limits. And then there's always the danger that deciding that that area of scientific inquiries permanently off limits leads to the spread of areas that are permanently off limits and that becomes politicized, which it would, instantaneously. So I know already that there is polyticking taking place on the genetic database front, such that those who are investigating such heresies as the heredability of intelligence, the multi-factorial heredability of intelligence, are having a very difficult time getting access
Starting point is 01:03:01 to the previously publicly accessible databases that made such investigation possible. And so being concerned about arbitrary restrictions being placed on the domain of scientific inquiry by well-meaning politicians is definitely something to be concerned about. So this is a very complicated problem. I mean, do you think it's even possible to conclude, let's say, that, well, maybe gain-of-function research is like an exception to the rule. We're not going to fund a lot of random experimentation on the new development of atomic weapons in the middle of cities, and we should be doing, we should be equally cautious with regards to gain of function research in relationship to viruses, but then can we constrain the constraints themselves so they don't interfere with the scientific process?
Starting point is 01:03:51 And the answer to that certainly doesn't seem to be obvious. Well, the sheer lack of curiosity about investigating this question has shocked me. I approached the Royal Society. I knew some senior people at the Royal Society. And I approached them and said, look, this is developing into a very interesting debate. Lots of interesting evidence has been forward on the lably exciting and lots on the market side. Don't you think it would be a good subject for a set piece debate
Starting point is 01:04:23 at the Royal Society with some experts. It doesn't have to be me. I'm not necessarily pushing myself forward to talk about this. And they said, oh no, we only discuss scientific topics as if this was a political topic. Right, right. So I approached the Academy of Medical Sciences and I got roughly the same answer. It's too controversial. Well, you know, I'm sorry. A new virus has erupted into the human species, forming, causing the worst pandemic in several hundred years, killing close on 20 million people as far as we can make out, totally turning upside
Starting point is 01:05:06 down the world economy, and we don't want to investigate how it happened, and whether it'll happen again, I'm sorry, but I find that bizarre. Well, and we also insist that all such investigations are nothing but politicking, which is also a sign on a broader sense of the, what, of the almost universal acceptance of certain postmodern dictums, right, that there's no science without politics, let's say, which is, well, a problematic claim, let's say, to say the least. On that, I mean, I, you know, I, I, I haven't been a rapsing scientist for the 34 years, but most of what I did had no political edge to it.
Starting point is 01:05:51 Now when I open the journals, I find pretty well every article, even scientific papers, seem to have to nudge their conclusions towards some sort of quasi-political issue, you know, whether it's climate change or economic inequality or whatever, rather than just saying, here's what I've found, and I don't know what it means if you see what I mean. I actually went for completely different reasons. I was doing some digging into the scientific literature about,
Starting point is 01:06:49 um, what happened at the end of the ice age in the UK, you know, when the ice melted. I, I, it wasn't because I was interested in modern climate change, or anything like that. I just, I just wanted to know, you know, when did the ice disappear from different parts of, of Britain and, and what did the landscape look like at the time and how long did it take for vegetation to appear, you know, is this, this is the way to, you know, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, the world, world, the world, the world, the world, world, the world, the world, world, the world, the world, the world, the world, world, the world, the world, world, world did the landscape look like at the time and how long did it take for vegetation to appear? You know, this was, you know, there's no particular reason for doing this, but this just intrigued me one day. And I spent a few days digging into the scientific papers, and I found a very interesting pattern, which was that any paper published in the last seven or eight years was sort of political. It had this sort of angle to it. Either it wanted to use the information that it was digging up about the Ice Age to tell a moral story about today's climate change or something, or it was sort of interested in a kind of political argument between two factions in science. And I had to go back to the 1990s where I found some very refreshingly good papers that were saying things like, well, here's what we think happened, and here's a map of what we think happened, and I'd end't agree with Fred who thinks something else, you know, and I just suddenly had a moment where I thought, hang on, are we losing the enlightenment view
Starting point is 01:07:52 of science where we where inquiry on its own is good? Yeah well I've got an idea about that and so it's it's it's it complicated idea, but I wouldn't mind discussing it with you and just tell me what you think about it, because I am. It is obviously the case that what we might describe as the postmodern critique, which has a Marxist edge to it, for reasons we could get into, is has definitely made itself manifest on the scientific front, right?
Starting point is 01:08:32 And that the claim of the postmodernists in some real sense is that there never was any science without politicking and that science itself is a political enterprise, and if you deny that and usually conducted on behalf of those who's who have the current power and that if you deny that that's only an indication of the degree to which you're captured by the narrative of power. It's something like that and there's no doubt that that's had an unbelievably corrosive effect on the scientific endeavor in the social sciences and also on the philosophical endeavor on the humanities front.
Starting point is 01:09:12 And I saw years ago that this was eventually going to be aimed at the STEM types, the science technology engineering and mathematics types. And at that point, nobody believed that was a possibility. But I saw it as a certainty. And I thought that the postmodernist would go through the scientists like a hot knife through butter. And that made me ask myself, what are the preconditions for the scientific enterprise? Because we shouldn't be thinking as scientists that being able to think scientifically or being allowed or encouraged to think scientifically is something like a deep norm. In fact, it's exactly the opposite, right? It's it's it's an unbelievable exception and it only
Starting point is 01:09:58 emerged in the domain of human cognitive endeavor once in history and that was say 500 years ago and it's how it's run in some real sense and made us technologically powerful but it's it's it's reasonable to view it as a very fragile enterprise the preconditions for which we don't understand and so let me outline a precondition and you tell me what you think about this so I've been very interested in the Nietzschean idea of the death of God, right? And the Nietzsche believed, like Dostoevsky, that once our faith in a transcendent being collapsed, that the political in some sense would immediately become religious and
Starting point is 01:10:49 Or that nihilism would prevail those were the basic two outcomes and both Nietzsche and Dorstiewski took that farther they also prophecy that Not only would the political become sacred as it took the place of the of what was sacred but that There would be a particular kind of political endeavor that would become sacred, and that would be the endeavor that eventually manifested itself as in the communist ethos. And that all came true with a vengeance. And then, but I was wondering more recently, the Judeo-Christian claim, and this is the
Starting point is 01:11:21 monotheistic claim, is that there's a transcendent spirit to which we must pledge allegiance. So we must worship and celebrate, let's say, that we must mimic. And that constitutes the basis of the religious enterprise. But then there's an analogous claim, which I think is derived from that claim, that there's a transcendent object that whose fundamental nature escapes our apprehension and that pursuit of a relationship without transcendent object is the proper
Starting point is 01:11:57 activity of the scientist. And so that would be the scientist who always assumes that his epistemology, that his theories are incomplete, that something real and comprehensible lies outside the domain of that theory, and that attempting to make contact with that transcendent domain is actually the proper mode of conduct for a scientist. And I can't help but see that as both deeply analogous to and maybe even a derivation of that more fundamental religious orientation. And so then I've been wondering more recently is that if the death of God, so to speak, also, although surprisingly,
Starting point is 01:12:39 will mean the demise of the Enlightenment Enterprise, because it was predicated on an unconscious religiosity that presumed the existence of a transcendent object and the possibility of a beneficial relationship between the inquirer, the scientist, and that object itself. And so, well, I know that brings us somewhat far afield with regard to our discussion of COVID, but that's fascinating. And I'm going to pick up on a couple of points and may forget to address some of the very interesting points you just made. The first thing to say is that like you, it dawned, I mean, not as soon, but it eventually
Starting point is 01:13:27 dawned on me, that the postmodern revolution was going to consume not just the soft sciences, human and humanities, but hard sciences too. And I remember realizing that there was a sort of, you know, anthropology departments 20 years ago had a sort of line down the middle of the corridor in each department, in each university. On one side were rational people who looked at bones or did ethnography or something. And on the other side were people who were very politicized, very postmodern, very meta in their approach. And these two tribes were at each other's
Starting point is 01:14:07 throats in anthropology. Now, that then happened to psychology. It happened to quite a lot of other sciences. And those of us who thought, well, it'll never happened of maths. Well, I'm afraid mathematics is already being challenged. Is it sufficiently feminist, is it sufficiently non-white?
Starting point is 01:14:29 All these sort of things are trying to dismantle what seems to me a completely objective discipline. At the same time, now, far it'll go, I don't know. I like you and like that other great Canadian, Stephen Pinker. I'm really worried about the fragility of the Enlightenment philosophy. I think the sort of high point of people like Richard Feynman and Francis Crick saying wonderfully open-minded and skeptical things about everything, and as a result, challenging each other to find out things about the world
Starting point is 01:15:09 looks little to me like it's harder to do these days. And it's as if I've I'm I'm living through the period at the end of the Roman Republic when the tremendous open-mindedness of people like Lucretius and others like that got swept away in the book-burning and ideas-suppressing stuff that came, frankly, with Christianity. And so I'm less sympathetic than you, I suspect, to the role of religion here. I don't think religion was a friend of open inquiry into mysteries of the world. Well, we should maybe differentiate two subcategories in relationship to that. I've talked a lot to people like Sam Harris and to Richard Dawkins about exactly these issues,
Starting point is 01:16:09 say about the antagonism between religion and science. And so one of the things that I really saw, so Dawkins regards the religious enterprise as pseudoscientifics, all that body of pseudoscientific pseudoscientifics, all that body of pseudoscientific proclamation that impedes the rational progress of enlightenment science. So that's his perspective, and I'm not trying to parody it or to put it down in any sense. I'm just trying to relate it. Whereas Harris, and I'm using these two people because they're examples, perhaps, of the world's most famous atheists. Harris's argument is more emotional than that in some sense, and I don't mean irrational.
Starting point is 01:16:56 I mean, based in a deeper emotion, Harris identifies the spirit of totalitarianism and malevolence with the religious enterprise. And I think that's an error because he's throwing out the baby with the bath water. It's interesting to me in relationship to... Well, so I would say you're talking about the antagonism between religion and science. So one of the things I really admired about Dawkins and his work has been quite helpful to me by the way is that he has this clear headed faith in science, this irrationality that's typical of the best scientists, perhaps someone like Feynman, for example. Dawkins, like all true scientists, believes that there is a transcendent truth
Starting point is 01:17:47 and that the pursuit of that truth will set us free. And it's those claims that I think are essentially religious. And so I think it's useful to differentiate between the religious impulse towards truth, if you can call that the religious impulse, and the totalitarian aspect of the imposition of religious dogma, which I see actually as a variant, not of the religious spirit, but of the totalitarian spirit.
Starting point is 01:18:14 Because I do believe the greatest scientists that I've known have a religious reverence for truth. Now they say objective truth, and that's fine. It's perfectly reasonable variant of truth. But the reverence itself doesn't seem to me to be scientific. It's predicated on whatever it is that drives reverence. And I'm afraid that what's happening at the level of the postmodern critique is that it's actually
Starting point is 01:18:42 a corrosive critique of that reverence itself. It's the claim that that reverence is nothing but a mask for power claims, for example. And that man, that is a corrosive criticism. And it might be corrosive enough to bring the whole damn enterprise to a halt. And I see it shuddering forward with the corruption of journals like Nature and Science and the increasing politicization of every scientific discussion. No, no, I'm with both you and Orkins there in the sense that I like him, have got this
Starting point is 01:19:16 reverence for science and truth and somewhat skeptical of whether religion shares that, because I think faith is antithetical to it. But he is perhaps wrong that the enemy is conventional religion, because actually creeping up on us has been a much more dangerous anti-enlightenment force. As you say, the post-modernism and a lot of other things that go with it, and totalitarianism, exactly. And I think the critique you can make of atheists like me very validly is that when we throw out the baby, sorry, the bath water, the baby goes to, and we end up with something far worse.
Starting point is 01:20:08 Well, that's the issue. That way. The cult of Stalin or the cult of Fouca, or whatever it might be, you know. And so in that sense, and actually Richard, it concedes this, that if you're going to have, if you can't exturpate faith from the human spirit, then you might as well have a mild version of it called
Starting point is 01:20:35 the Church of England. Okay, well, so something like that. Let me push you a little bit on that, too, because I'm very curious about this issue of the faith-predicated presumption of the properly functioning scientists. It seems to me, so imagine that, tell me if you think I've got any of these presuppositions wrong because they're crucially important to this argument. So the first is the belief in the existence of a transcendent object. And I would say that's a faith-based belief.
Starting point is 01:21:08 And here's why. So you have a scientific theory, and you can't help but look at the world of objects through that theory. So when you see the world of objects in your discipline, that vision, that perception, is informed by your epistemology. But you know as a scientist that you're wrong. But the knowledge that you're wrong is predicated on an assumption,
Starting point is 01:21:34 and the assumption is that there is a domain of information that exists outside your presuppositions. And that has to be a faith-based axiom, because given that that source of information exists beyond your current set of axioms, you can't encounter it. You have to just accept it as a continuing reality. And it would be the reality of that knowledge that currently lies beyond us.
Starting point is 01:22:04 be the reality of that knowledge that currently lies beyond us. Well, I certainly think that the purpose of science is to find new mysteries. It's not just to solve them, because in solving one you always come upon more. In finding out that we're just a blue marble spinning through space, we then find there are things like sons and galaxies and black holes and things each of which is a new mystery that we have to address. And I love that aspect about science, that the more trees we chop down in the clearing of knowledge, the more forest comes into view, as it were, the more stuff we don't know and don't understand. And I think it's worth reminding ourselves that, you know, what gets scientists up in the morning in a lab is not the things they know already.
Starting point is 01:23:00 You put them on the shelf and feed them to the students. It's the things you don't yet know. It's the parts of the puzzle you haven't yet found out. And we mustn't lose that. Well, and you did refer to that, and I think this is extremely interesting. You refer to that as a love, and that's not an objective observation in some sense. It's a reference to a particular kind of motivation. That's not an objective observation in some sense, right? It's a reference to a particular kind of motivation. But then let's say we can look, we can inquire into that a little bit more deeply.
Starting point is 01:23:32 We might say, well, what's that love predicated on? And one possible source is that, well, you see that it engages you in a meaningful enterprise, right? So there's a sense of implicit meaning in this search to make contact with that which still lies beyond you. And so that's engaging, and it's deeply engaging. It's part of the instinct of meaning as far as I'm concerned. But it's also predicated on the idea. And I can't help but think that this is fundamentally a religious axiom.
Starting point is 01:24:03 And I think it's a Judeo-Christian derived religious axiom, which is that you also believe that the truth will set you free. And in some sense, Matt, our whole bloody discussion today centers on that, right? I mean, you're delving into the COVID-19 mystery because you are making a presumption here against those who would take the pathway of convenience and deceit, let's say, that no, you don't get to do that. I don't care what your rationales are. Something actually happened in Wuhan, and the reason we need to find out what it is, is because finding out what is true is actually the best pathway forward, regardless of your bloody political preconceptions.
Starting point is 01:24:50 And I can't see, this is a genuine question to you. I don't see that as anything different than a reference to the word, to the idea, for example, that the divine word of, or that the word of truth itself is divine, and that the manifestation of that truth is in fact freeing. And I don't think that's how within science claim. I'm completely happy with that. I can give you some very dull practical reasons why we need to find out how the pandemic started, so that we can predict where the next one's coming from, so that we can deter bioterists and bad actors who might be thinking of copying what happened, etc. But those aren't my real motivation.
Starting point is 01:25:39 My real motivation is because I think truth matters more than anything else. There's a wonderful quote somebody gave me the other day which he said was from Sol Junitsim but I don't think it is. Like no, who said it? Truth matters more than consequence. You know, don't want us to know what happened. I'm worried about the consequence of finding out what happened. But I'm sorry, the truth comes first. We have to deal with the consequences of finding out the truth. But the truth is what I really care about. And I do think, in a sense, it'll set me free and you free and all of us free. It may be uncomfortable, just as finding out that we're not at the centre of the universe, we're not a unique creature, we have the same genes as others, we're 40%
Starting point is 01:26:25 genetically the same as the banana, you know, these are all humiliating things science has found, but they're not, but for me, they're liberating as well. Well, and you made a very strong argument there on the consequence front, so because, look, here's the totalitarian presumption, essentially, is that, well, we have a political theory, so let's say it's Marxism in this case, and we bloody well know it's right. And so, because we already have the truth at hand, then all of our endeavors should be devoted towards the promotion of that truth. And it's a final truth and we have it at hand. There's no transcended truth there, apart from the doctrine itself. Now your proposition, and I think this is the proposition of
Starting point is 01:27:10 true scientists, is no, no, you have to abandon your political presumptions completely. And that means that you have to face even those truths that make you tremendously uncomfortable, cognitively and emotionally in the moment. You cannot use that discomfort as evidence. You have to assume, regardless of such evidence, strangely enough, that in the final analysis all things considered, there's nothing that's more liberating than the truth. And I think that that's the core doctrine, I do believe, that's the core doctrine upon which Judeo-Christian society itself is founded,
Starting point is 01:27:54 because the doctrine of the divine word is something like this, as far as I've been able to tell, it's something like the proper action of the consciousness that liberates us is the forthright confrontation with the possibility itself, with potential itself, and the willingness to confront that head on in truth. And the consequence of that confrontation is the construction of the habitable world that is good. That seems to me to be the doctrine of the word at the beginning of Genesis.
Starting point is 01:28:27 And there's a notion there that human beings, men and women alike, are made in that image. And I suppose you could argue about my theological interpretation, but that does seem to be the doctrine. Yeah, I'm no theologian, but I think what you're describing, and this is perhaps where I do differ from you, is Judea, Christian philosophy, as Tamed or refracted by the Enlightenment, by Spinoza and Descartes. And by the Greeks, I think the problem, I think if you go back and look at the early history of the church, it was a brutally nihilistic cult that stamped out a lot of openness
Starting point is 01:29:15 that came from the Greeks. And so I don't think that it was as harmless for its first 1,000 bishops and priests like to tell us. Now, in that sense, I think it was like the modern Communist Party, which in China says the party matters most. Xi Jinping is right about everything. You must see everything through the lens of how you can help to further our aims. Which is a deeply unimaginative way of seeing the world. I think a lot of modern Islam is like that.
Starting point is 01:29:54 And I think quite a lot of the most fanatical parts of Christianity are like that. And I think Christianity was like that for most of its first 1500 years, or at least in bursts it was. And then it came to terms with the wonderful ideas of the Enlightenment. And I just want to introduce another word here that I think's very important, and that word is wonder. I do love the wonder that I get from deep understanding of, I don't know, deep geological time or the scale of the universe or
Starting point is 01:30:31 where a virus came from or whatever. It's wonderful in the literal meaning of the word. And I don't feel that Christianity or religion generally has a monopoly on that wonder. I think Richard Dawkins has made a very good point here that unweaving the rainbow, finding out what a rainbow is made of, has not made it less wonderful, it's made it more so. And Keats was wrong about that. Well, I agree with that, by the way.
Starting point is 01:31:02 I also think, and this is why we have to be very careful about our use of terminology, is that I would say that the negative religious phenomena that you're describing are a manifestation, not of the religious spirit, but of the totalitarian spirit, and that those are often conflated. Okay, and then I would say, and to put this into a deeper context, that sense of wonder that you described. I don't think that there is any difference between that and proper worship, because I think attending to the wonder of being is the fundamental religious act in some real sense. And there are preconditions for that, and one of them is an epistemic humility, right? You have to allow yourself to to apprehend that which is beyond. And that is an instinct, and I think it's part of the
Starting point is 01:31:58 instinct that drives love itself. And so I'd be very interested, for example, in the psychophysiology of awe. And that's associated with wonder. And so one of the things that's extraordinarily interesting about awe is that it involves pylowirection. And so, you know, when you see a cat puff itself up in a burst of fur, when it sees a giant predator, it's pilot erection that's driving that. And when you get those chills up and down your back
Starting point is 01:32:30 and maybe your hair stands on end, it's that same apprehension of, you can think about a predator as an unsolved mystery to an animal. We use that same framework of wonder and awe to apprehend the unknown itself. And we've learned to contend with the unknown as a potential predator, obviously, but also as a potential source of redemption.
Starting point is 01:32:52 And that, I would say, being guided by that sense of wonder, which is humility predicated and driven by a desire to pursue the truth, that is the manifestation of the most fundamental religious instinct. And I think that needs to be differentiated from religion as a dogmatic structure, which can degenerate towards totalitarianism like any other human endeavor. And we have to be on the watch for that, but we don't want to throw the baby out with the bathwater. to throw the baby out with the bathwater? Yeah. That distinction between religion as an institution and religion as a psychology and as epistemology
Starting point is 01:33:33 is vital and one that I see in science now too. I keep saying science is a fantastic human achievement. I think it's the greatest human achievement. You know, the knowledge that we've acquired of the world is to me more important than music poetry, art, etc. That marks me out as a bit of a Philistine I fear, but it's what I think. But that doesn't make me a fan of science as an institution. Increasingly, I'm disaffected with it, of science as an institution. Increasingly I'm disaffected with it, with the way that it turns into a cults the way it behaves in a self-interested way, the way it turns its back on knowledge. And I think there's a real problem with science as an institution, but not a problem with
Starting point is 01:34:22 sciences of philosophy. Well, I want to make a differentiation there too, because you talked about science and your admiration for science in part as an admiration for the body of knowledge that's been generated. And I can understand the utility of that, because that delivers for us our technological and pragmatic capability, let's say. But I don't think that by your own testimony,
Starting point is 01:34:48 so to speak, that is what you admire most about the scientific enterprise, because you said to me that you spoke to me about your love of inquiry. And it seems to me, you could distinguish science as a practice from science as a body of knowledge. And you could say, well, that the attempt to put forward that body of knowledge can degenerate into a totalitarian enterprise or become corrupted by political matters.
Starting point is 01:35:13 But, so let's just parse that off for a second. We could say, this is worth thinking about in relationship to what universities do, is that when you're training a scientist, you're not stuffing someone's head full of scientific facts, not primarily, although you may also be doing that. What you're doing is training an adherence to a certain spirit of inquiry. Then I would say that the great achievement of the scientific enlightenment is not the production of that body of knowledge, even though that's admirable in and of itself. It's the training and fostering of a spirit of inquiry that's passed forward from,
Starting point is 01:35:55 from let's say PhD supervisor to student in the entire scientific enterprise and that the valid, the most valid, okay, okay, so, so, so, and then I would say it isn't obvious to me that true those who pursue a genuine religious or alternative creative path are distinguishable in some sense in their ethical orientation from genuine scientists. It's the same spirit. It's a spirit of humility It's a spirit of pursuit of truth. It's us. It's a desire for relationship with the transcendent I know that's few differently by scientists because of their emphasis on the object But it isn't obvious what the transcendent object is. I mean, ob It gets less obvious as we investigate it in some real sense. And so I'm afraid that
Starting point is 01:36:49 this battle, and you already made illusions to this, this continuing battle between those who profess religious belief in the most fundamental sense, and those who profess scientific belief, is blinding us to the fact that there's an enterprise of foot that will bring both down. Absolutely. I think that's extremely well put. And just back to the point you made about how it's not the body of knowledge, it's the method of inquiry that turns me on, as it were philosophically, psychologically at least. I had a very vivid experience. First term at university,
Starting point is 01:37:30 new book published by one of the professors there was about to teach me. It turned out his name was Richard Dawkins. The book was called The Selfish Gene and that sent the hairs up on the back of my neck reading it, because it was the first science book I'd read that didn't say, here's the answer to the question. It said, here's a question, and I don't know the answer, but I'm going to take you on a journey to try and understand my way of framing this mystery. And it was suddenly, it was like being shown
Starting point is 01:38:08 the edge of the world. It was like being shown, you know, the opening up of the mysteries was so important that he did, the early pages of that book, and he does very, very beautifully. And so I think you're absolutely right. There was something almost religious in the way that the famous atheist Richard Dawkins came across to me in those early days. Yeah, well, I've met Dawkins a number of times. And as I said, his thinking has had quite a lot of influence on the way I think in many, many ways.
Starting point is 01:38:43 And I can't help but admire him. And it's an interesting thing because I believe that his insistence that the religious enterprise is nothing but a superstitious impediment to the clear progress of science, I think that that's insufficiently differentiated because it doesn't differentiate spirit from totalitarianism. It conflates them. And the totalitarian spirit is subtle enough so that identifying it with a given domain of endeavor, let's say the religious, is a dangerous understatement of the true danger of that
Starting point is 01:39:26 ethos, because it can permeate everything and is likely to. And so if we put the enemy in the wrong place, so if the scientific types, for example, assume that its manifestation of the religious spirit that's the primary impediment to the scientific endeavor, then we're going to be fighting the wrong war, and we're going to make enemies out of people who should be allies. I think that's a key point. I can play lay great with you on that. All right. Well, so let me recap, because we're running out of time. And so we've been delving into the origin of the COVID virus. And we've also
Starting point is 01:40:07 been trying to answer the question, well, why should we, why is this not merely a political enterprise? And even more deeply than that, why should we care beyond the mere practicalities of specifying the origin? And there are obvious practical reasons to specify the origin, because if it was a lab leak, then, well, maybe we should be doing gain of function research in labs in cities, or maybe not in totalitarian countries for that matter, certainly not with Western aid. And those are all relevant questions.
Starting point is 01:40:40 But then we also addressed a deeper question, which is, well, is this investigation into the origin of the COVID virus not also an exemplar of faith in the pursuit of the truth itself, regardless of short-term and convenient political considerations. And is it not also an expression of the idea that there is a pursuit that whose value transcends that of any set of short term or even medium term political considerations? And so that's really where we, that's what we investigated at the end of the conversation. And so that's a summary for everyone watching and listening. It's been very helpful to me actually to have this conversation. And so that's a summary for everyone watching and listening. It's been very helpful to me actually to have this conversation, to clarify that point,
Starting point is 01:41:32 that my motivation, and I believe the motivation the world should have to answering this question, is not as practical, but is in some sense predicated on the transcendent importance of truth. Right, right, right. Well, you write it. I do believe that the West at its best, and that would be the West in so far as the West has carried the beacon of freedom and human dignity. And of course, we've faltered in that many ways, that at its best, the West acts out that claim that the truth will set you free.
Starting point is 01:42:14 And we've done that on the religious front when we've been properly religious and we've done it on the scientific front when we've been properly scientific. And we lose that fundamental faith at our immense peril, unless we're willing to believe that human engineered deceit, which is not a bad definition of totalitarianism, is it is our orniallism itself as belief in everything collapses?
Starting point is 01:42:41 We don't want to, do we want a world where we accept either of those alternatives or their dreadful marriage, let's say, as the alternative. And this is a decision that we're all making, not least those of us who are scientists. And so the scientists who are listening, I would also say, you great scientists, or not so great even, you bend the truth to political purposes not only at your own great peril as practicing scientists and as human beings, but you also warp the entire structure
Starting point is 01:43:11 of the world. And that is an absolute abdication of the opportunities that have been granted to you by a society that strived for hundreds of years to give you the privilege of engaging in this pursuit of the truth. Couldn't put it better myself. All right, well, to everyone who's watching and listening, I'm gonna talk to Matt for another half an hour. As I do always with my guests on the Daily Wire Plus platform,
Starting point is 01:43:42 and we're gonna talk about, well, I think what we're probably going to talk about is, how that spirit of wonder made itself manifest in Dr. Ridley's life, and how following the manifestation of that spirit informed the development of his extraordinarily interesting and successful career. Hello, everyone. I would encourage you to continue listening to my conversation with my guest interesting and successful career.

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