The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 312. The Great Climate Con | Alex Epstein
Episode Date: December 9, 2022Dr. Peterson's extensive catalog is available now on DailyWire+: https://utm.io/ueSXh Dr. Jordan B. Peterson and Alex Epstein discuss the undeniable need for fossil fuels, the toxic underlying nihili...sm of the “climate concerned” left, the need for balance between conservation and human progress, and the unexplored worth of wild potential. Alex Epstein is a philosopher and energy expert who argues that "human flourishing" should be the guiding principle of energy and environmental progress. He is the author of the new bestselling book Fossil Future: Why Global Human Flourishing Requires More Oil, Coal, and Natural Gas—Not Less. He is also the creator of EnergyTalkingPoints.com—a source of powerful, well-referenced talking points on energy, environmental, and climate issues. - Sponsors - Birch Gold: Text "JORDAN" to 989898 for a FREE Goldback with every $5000 purchase, when you convert an existing IRA or 401k into a precious metals IRA with Birch Gold by December 22nd. Masterworks: Invest in art today with Masterworks at http://masterworks.art/jbp.See important disclosures at https://masterworks.com/cd. Black Rifle Coffee:Get 10% off your first order or Coffee Club subscription with code JORDAN: https://www.blackriflecoffee.com/ - Chapters - (0:00) coming up(1:28) Intro(3:36) Fossil Future(6:17) The metric for success(12:28) Nature viewed as a god, Fusion(16:49) Hostility toward impact(21:33) How the climate cult evolved(24:09) What drives the anti-capitalist ethos?(30:30) The planet has gotten 15 percent greener(33:20) Conceptions of Earth(35:24) The world without humanity(38:48) The underlying Nihilism(43:00) Worth of man to the Left(45:14) The toxicity of modern environmentalism(50:35) Moral monopoly, Bjørn Lomborg(59:35) Climate Denier, propaganda(1:05:00) 50+ years, a complete failure as a movement(1:07:20) Keeping the third world poor(1:12:10) Actual concern for the poor(1:15:00) Climate Reparations(1:16:30) Moral Aesthetics(1:20:10) Importance of conservation(1:23:30) Existential guilt, sufficient value(1:28:03) Delicate nurture dogma, wild potential // SUPPORT THIS CHANNEL //Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/jordanbpeterson.com/youtubesignupDonations: https://jordanbpeterson.com/donate // COURSES //Discovering Personality: https://jordanbpeterson.com/personalitySelf Authoring Suite: https://selfauthoring.comUnderstand Myself (personality test): https://understandmyself.com // BOOKS //Beyond Order: 12 More Rules for Life: https://jordanbpeterson.com/Beyond-Order12 Rules for Life: An Antidote to Chaos: https://jordanbpeterson.com/12-rules-for-lifeMaps of Meaning: The Architecture of Belief: https://jordanbpeterson.com/maps-of-meaning // LINKS //Website: https://jordanbpeterson.comEvents: https://jordanbpeterson.com/eventsBlog: https://jordanbpeterson.com/blogPodcast: https://jordanbpeterson.com/podcast // SOCIAL //Twitter: https://twitter.com/jordanbpetersonInstagram: https://instagram.com/jordan.b.petersonFacebook: https://facebook.com/drjordanpetersonTelegram: https://t.me/DrJordanPetersonAll socials: https://linktr.ee/drjordanbpeterson #JordanPeterson #JordanBPeterson #DrJordanPeterson #DrJordanBPeterson #DailyWirePlus
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Hello everyone watching and listening on YouTube or the associated podcast platforms.
I have with me today Alex Epstein, I'm looking forward to this discussion.
He's a philosopher and energy expert who argues that human flourishing should be the guiding
principle and the appropriate metric for our energy and environmental policy and our determination
of its progress.
He's the author of the new book, Fossil Future, as well as the New York Times bestseller, The Moral Case for Fossil
Fuels, which was published in 2014.
He's also the creator of energytalkingpoints.com, a source of powerful, well-referenced talking
points on energy, environmental, and climate issues.
Epstein began his work in 2011 with the founding of the Center for Industrial Progress of
for-profit think tank offering insights into the world of fossil fuels and
fighting back against the mainstream narrative of so-called environmentalism.
Widely recognized as a master of persuasion and debate on energy issues,
Alex has spoken to dozens of Fortune 500 companies and at dozens of prominent universities,
including Harvard, Yale, Stanford, and Duke, his alma mater. It's also a highly sought-after
consultant on messaging, working with dozens of major political offices on pro-energy, pro-freedom
messaging. We're here today to talk about the moral necessity of an energy rich
future, one that both must and should rely on the abundant provision of the petrobased
fuels so carelessly, currently demonized. So welcome to all of you who are watching
or listening, and welcome to Alex. So maybe we could just start by having
you walk through the book. One of the things I found interesting to begin with
was your discussion of the motivations, let's say, of some of the more radical
people that are pushing what is purported to be a pro-environment stance. People like Paul Ehrlich, who clearly have an agenda
that could be more accurately conceptualized
as anti-human, certainly anti-industrial,
rather than pro-environment.
And I think that's something that's worthwhile
alerting everyone too, especially given the current state
of energy price increase in Europe, that's worthwhile, alerting everyone too, especially given the current state of
energy price increase in Europe, let's say, and the consequences that's going to have for the poor around the world. Let's start with that, though. You wrote this book in 2014. Let's talk
about why you wrote it and how you think your prognostications have fared in what's almost an
intervening decade. Well, I think one thing that's relevant, I'm not sure if you know this, but there's a new book,
2022 called Fossil Future, which is the successor or replacement to the moral case for fossil fuels.
So I talk a bunch in that about how the moral case for fossil fuels has fared. And I think in terms
of a predictive book, it's not primarily a predictive book, but it has been extremely accurate.
Because if you look at what people have said
in the last eight or so years,
the main narratives have been,
we're not gonna need fossil fuels as much as we used to.
They're gonna be rapidly replaced
by solar and wind primarily.
And that climate impact,
the climate impact of fossil fuels
is going to be increasingly catastrophic.
So we're going to see more and more suffering and death from climate-related disasters.
And in the book I talk about, that's not going to happen because one fossil fuels will remain
uniquely cost-effective, particularly in a world that needs far more energy, which is something
that was not stressed in the past and is not stressed enough today. People are starting to realize
most of the world doesn't have enough energy.
So replacing fossil fuels is almost impossible given that you're not talking about just replacing it
for the people who use it, but for the people who need it.
So I've been very vindicated on the continuing cost effectiveness of fossil fuels.
And then on the climate disaster point, we have documented that climate-related disaster deaths are down 98% in the last 100 years, and they've continued to decline.
And the basic reason is, because whatever impact we have on climate that is negative, it
is far outweighed by our ability to master climate, to neutralize all sorts of climate
dangers.
And so we're much better off overall climate wise than we were 50 years ago,
and certainly 100 years ago. So with regards to, let's start with the second one there,
the climate disaster. So the biofuelic types, and so those would be people like Ehrlich,
they seem to make the case that metrics that involve human flourishing or even human death
aren't relevant, because the primary issue
is to restore the biosphere to something approximating what it hypothetically was before there were
human beings, which is a rather strange notion, all things considered.
And so they might object to the fact that you're using the mere decrease in number of deaths,
say associated with climate trouble with weather events as
a metric because the metric should be something like the purity of the planet. And so, what
do you think about that argument? What metrics should we be using to determine whether
or not a climate emergency actually exists?
Well, I definitely think we should be using a human flourishing metric, but in a broad
sense, so the climate disaster deaths are not the only aspect of that, but they're a
very important aspect.
We can also see that damages are flat or down.
We can see that life overall is much better, and actually our ability to preserve the most
valuable parts of nature is better.
Generally, when you're not dependent on the land and dependent on wood,
dependent on your local environment for your fuel,
and you're wealthy,
you can be much better at preserving
the parts of nature that you want to preserve.
If you look at places in Africa and Asia,
and even now Europe,
because they're now energy poor,
like cutting down their forests,
it's because they don't have better sources of fuel.
But I would challenge the idea that
Ehrlich is really using this, I think you call it
a biofillic standard, because if you look at his
public rhetoric, he's always appealing to a human
flourishing standard.
So how did Ehrlich become famous?
He became famous through the 1968 book,
The Population Bomb, where he's telling human beings
not, hey, the planet is going to become more impacted and that's intrinsically bad. He's saying you're
all going to starve. And his close colleague, Sean Holdren, who was Obama's chief science advisor,
now he predicted in the 80s that we'd have up to a billion climber-related disaster deaths from
famine by 2020, which has come and gone and the world is better fed than ever. So what I find is that people who,
I think internally, they don't really care
about human flourishing and they're really optimizing
for eliminating our impact as much as possible,
but they appeal to human flourishing to win over converts.
Because if they really said the best possible earth
is the one that would exist, had we never existed,
and our goal is to eliminate as much human impact as possible as an end in itself.
They would not win many converts.
Okay, so the case that you're making in some senses that the argument on the radical pro-environmental
side actually varies.
Sometimes, so to speak, in secret, or behind the scenes, sort of voce, I suppose,
the argument is made that the planet would be better off, it was returned to some natural and
unspoiled condition. But then public facing, the arguments are essentially predicated on the argument
that if we don't do something drastic about, let's say, climate change, we're going to cause a radically, radically increase in actual human suffering.
Okay, so that all has to be straightened out conceptually before we as a species, let's
say, can move forward intelligently on this front.
I think the most powerful point you made, however, and I think this is where the rubber really
hits the road in more modern times is that even if you use the
metrics that are put forward by those who, let's say oppose the continuing use of fossil fuel,
so those would be metrics associated with climate change remediation and environmental
improvement, the policies that are designed to drive energy costs upward, do nothing at all that isn't counterproductive by their own measurements.
So you pointed out, for example, and this is something that people really need to be alerted to,
is that because Europe has taken this absolutely foolish route to rely on wind and solar,
which is intermittent at best, one of the things that's happening because of the
pressure on liquid natural gas supplies primarily is that there's tremendous amount of deforestation
occurring in Europe at the moment because people have to turn to sources of energy that
are actually at hand so that they don't freeze in the dark in the middle of the winter.
And so the thing that I find so appalling about what's happening on the environmental front at the moment is that
even by the metrics of the people who are pro-environmental,
these policies that are driving energy costs upward are utterly counterproductive.
And you know, human progress.org has a lovely graph showing the relationship between
attention paid to true medium to long-term
environmental sustainability and overall wealth.
And what you see is that if you can get, as you make people wealthier, so as you remove
them from absolute poverty, their ability and willingness to attend to longer-term environmental issues starts to increase rather than decreasing. And so this
has struck me for it, I've known this for at least 10 years, that the best pathway forward
to a truly sustainable planet, even by the definitions of the environmentalists themselves,
is to drive energy costs downward to the point where we can remediate absolute poverty,
so that people
aren't driven to use up damaging and polluting immediately available by our resources instead
of turning to more efficient sources of energy.
And you are certainly making that case in the 2014 book, which as you pointed out, you've
updated.
So that's the critical issue, right?
Even by the metrics of the environmentalists themselves,
the policies that we're presently pursuing
on the energy front are not only counterproductive
environmentally, but they're driving poor people
into abject poverty.
We're gonna see a lot of that in Europe.
I think it depends.
So I think if you take the quote environmentalists
as having a kind of pro-human interest in nature
and pro-human interest in lack of pollution, this is true.
But my belief is that the core of it
is the belief that human impact is inherently bad.
It's intrinsically immoral.
And also the belief is inevitably self-destructive.
So nature is viewed as this God that if we offend it through our impact is going to punish
us.
And it really has this character where it's wrong and doing the wrong thing is going to
destroy us.
And if you really think about it that way, all their policies make sense because their
policies are really aimed at making human life worse and ultimately reducing
the human population.
So it is true, you can say, well, yeah, aren't you cutting down more trees?
Aren't you doing this?
But they would say, well, if you use, let's say we had cheap, free, nuclear energy, which
they've actually commented on hypothetically when they thought fusion was possible.
I talk about this in moral case and in fossil future.
The leading environmentalist
said this would be the worst thing ever. A totally clean, cheap, abundant source of energy
would be the worst thing ever because of what we would do with it. And one of the leaders
called it like giving an idiot child a machine gun. And what they recognized is that energy
is really our ability to do work, which means our ability to impact the earth.
And when we use a lot of energy, we impact the earth a lot.
Now, we impact it in a way that's beneficial to us, including we preserve the most valuable
parts of nature, and we give ourselves an ability to enjoy nature.
Nevertheless, it is a very humanized earth, and to the anti-human environmental movement,
that is offensive.
So, that movement is not about a clean environment for us, or for us to be able to contemplate
polar bears or go on safaris or any of this.
It's about a dehumanized earth.
It's the belief that we are uniquely bad and we need to get eliminated.
Right, right.
But the problem with that argument, even if you attempt to give the devil his due, let's
say, is that it's predicated
on the idea that if we pursued policies to decrease our overall energy use, and if one
of the consequences of those policies was the relatively radical depopulation of the
earth, perhaps by radically lowering birth rates, that while that transformation was occurring, the population in the industrialization,
things would remain stable enough so that in our new poverty and our hopelessness with regards
to the future, we wouldn't be devouring the planet while we were dying. And I think that's a
preposterous claim. I don't see any peaceful way forward that's based on compulsion and poverty to reduce the
population of the world that isn't going to be absolutely destructive on the environment
on the environment front.
And that, the idea that if we had more energy, we would actually be worse for the planet,
flies in the face of what we've been discussing already, which is the fact that if people can't turn to cheap
and efficient and relatively clean sources of energy
and perhaps liquid natural gas and nuclear would be
at the top of that list, then they're going to absolutely
100% turn to much dirtier replacements.
And we've already seen that happening in,
well, everywhere, in China's building coal-fired
plants at a rate that's so rapid that everything the West is doing on the climate emigration
front is absolutely irrelevant.
And what has the UK in the last week has already pledged to double its coal imports.
And Germany has had to turn to its coal-fired plants to provide backup power because wind and solar has proved not only
hyper-expensive, but so unreliable that, well, that when there's no power, so when the sun isn't
shining and the wind isn't blowing, you have to have backup, and it's been coal that's
that's been brought in as a stopgap. So I just can't see any way, even if you accept the arguments
that you just laid forward, you know,
that there should be fewer people
and that the right planet is one that's characterized
by minimal human action.
I can't see any way forward to that
on the energy poverty front
that's not going to be positively counterproductive.
I mean, I agree with you in terms of how it plays out. And
I think it's important in general. This is not a scientific movement. And part of it
not being a scientific movement, is it doesn't really have a long-term strategy for achieving
its anti-human goals. It's much more, it has a lot of ritual in it. There's a lot of just
hostility toward kind of hostility toward anything
that has impact, and you just oppose that, and then you assume things are going to get
better.
And so people didn't think through what's going to happen when you make energy more expensive,
what's going to happen to the forest?
They didn't think that through at all, or when you oppose nuclear, what are you going to
use in it instead, or when you make energy expensive, what's going to happen in terms
of rights?
It's just, it's not at all thought through.
And I think this might be a lesson for us to have when we contemplate these so-called
plans for net zero.
This is a movement that's very much, it has this hostility towards human impact.
It opposes it wherever it sees it.
And it just, it has a quality of nihilism to it.
And it's not thinking through, it's not thinking through either a dehumanized earth or a human-friendly earth. It's sort of going after anything that has impact, but my argument is
we need to switch our hostility toward impact. This view that human impact is bad needs to be challenged.
Human impact is good if it makes the earth a better place for human flourish.
So yeah, well, it's a strange, it's just very strange issue philosophically,
because one of the things I wonder about is why this idea that human beings are in some sense
in their activity antagonistic to the earth, it's a very peculiar metaphysical
assumption, especially for people who are hypothetically biologically
minded, because if we're living creatures, which we clearly are, and if we've evolved
in the same manner that other living creatures have evolved, which seems relatively indisputable,
then how is it that our very existence is somehow antithetical to the flourishing of the biosphere,
given that we're clearlyishing of the biosphere, given that
we're clearly part of the biosphere.
And you see this sort of thing with this idiot assumption, for example, that bears some
of the same hallmarks of this kind of quasi-philosophical thinking that before the Europeans came to
North America, that the natives were living somehow in harmony with nature, and that the
entire biosphere was free of the scars
of human interaction, and that's utterly preposterous.
I mean, the Native Americans were incredibly
sophisticated agriculturalists,
and the Western Plains Indians burned the prairies
with constantly to ensure that there was a plentiful supply
of the buffalo that they depended on.
And so human beings have been affecting the structure of the biosphere ever since we've
been around, and that's for a very long period of time. And the idea that there was somehow
some pristine state of nature before we emerged on the landscape, and that there's some moral
imperative to return to that, it strikes me. It's so incoherent that there's some moral imperative to return to that.
It strikes me.
It's so incoherent that it's barely comprehensible.
And there is something like a hatred for humanity as far as I can tell that's lurking underneath
this, hatred for humanity, certainly a hatred for industrialization.
And those actually turn out to be the same thing.
I mean, one of the things that's really struck me as incomprehensible over the last few years is that, especially
on the left, is that you have these joint claims being put forward simultaneously on the
left.
And one is that we're radically pro-environmental and we're also the philosophical doctrine
that is standing up for the poor and oppressed.
And I think, okay, well, what happens when those two things are pitted against each other?
And when are they pitted?
Well, they're pitted when it comes to discussions about cheap energy,
because it's clearly the case, and you outline this in your book quite nicely,
that the most effective way of remediating absolute poverty,
so lifting people out of the privation that's associated at least with
lack of education, but also with starvation itself is to provide them with cheap energy,
because as you pointed out, there's no difference between energy and work, and there's no difference
between work and productivity.
There's no difference between productivity and the eradication of poverty.
And so we are pursuing these expensive energy policies and hypothetically, we're supposed
to benefit the planet, although we're not, but we are definitely dooming people who are
already poor to a much more truncated horizon of opportunity and to absolute privation
and starvation in many cases.
Yes, I think it's really, I mean, there are at least two really interesting issues raised
here.
So this tension between the alleged concern for poverty and then the, quote, concern for
the environment.
And then this question of how this bizarre view evolved, you know, because this was
not the view of our environment and our impact a hundred years ago.
And interestingly, it's not the view of our environment that anyone who lives near nature has. People who live in
nature don't worship nature as the superior God that can't be impacted. And I think it's
my own understanding of the history. And I really enjoy there's a book by by Ein Rand called
the the New Left, the Anti-Industrae Revolution. And it was written at the time that this was
happening. And one of the analyses is basically there's a transition between the old left and the new left, where the old
left claimed to be for industry, for productivity, for prosperity. And what happened is that was
clearly not achieved by their policies. Communism led to the devastation of industry, the malfunction
of industry, widespread poverty. And Rand said, well, the left basically had a choice.
Are you going to stay with your anti-capitalism?
Or are you going to embrace capitalism because you really care about industry and productivity?
Right, right.
And actually what they did was they kept their anti-capitalism and they looked for new reasons
to support anti-capitalism.
And in the 60s, they decided on this issue of environment.
And it was a convenient issue in a number of ways.
One is the pro-capitalism side didn't do a very good job
with it, particularly rhetorically.
They didn't make the point that, well,
good environments are made possible by prosperity.
So the idea of a good environment in a humanistic way
was co-opted by the anti-capitalist
who had no right to it whatsoever.
I mean, look at the Soviet Union.
And an environment, but they owned that value issue, but then they packaged it with this
hostility toward human impact as such.
And what they really did brilliantly was they took over the schools.
So they put in the schools this idea that human impact is bad and especially the idea that
it's inevitably self-destructive because the
planet is this delicate nurture that our impact ruins.
And that has permeated the whole educational system where people think that we inherently
are destroyers of the planet.
And it has permeated the scientific community.
What I call this delicate nurture dogma is unfortunately pervasive in Earth sciences
today.
It's a very primitive and bizarre view.
It has nothing to do with reality
that our impact is inevitably self-destructive.
Actually, our impact has made the Earth much better,
overall, including safer from climate.
But nevertheless, I think it's really,
there was initially a real political motivation
to spread this, but now we have this irrationalist philosophy
that has a mind of its own.
Yeah, well, that's okay.
So let's delve into that a little bit because the other thing that I've come to understand
more clearly in the last 15 years, let's say, as the data has also become more clear, is
that so we lifted more people out of poverty in absolute terms and also in relative terms
between 2000 and 2015, then we had lifted people out of poverty in the
sum total of human endeavor before that.
And it's quite clear that the reason for that was that fewer countries pursued absolutely
counterproductive economic policies of the type that were put forward, let's say, by the
communists when the Cold War was raging.
And so you saw all over the world,
including in places like Communist China,
that there was a radical move towards
something approximating free market
and free trade between individuals.
And in some countries that was implemented more effectively
than others, but wherever it was implemented, at least quasi-effectively, people immediately stopped starving.
And so, and I'm trying to make a case in relationship to the anti-capitalism.
So let's say that you are a genuine classic leftist and you are actually concerned with
the poor, especially remediation of absolute poverty.
And you're looking at the data and you see that after the Soviet Union collapsed, and there were
fewer countries turning to communist dogma to formulate their economic policies, and more
countries started to develop, started to participate in the broad free market, that we
drove poverty down to its lowest level in absolute numbers or in relative numbers, certainly,
than we'd ever seen before in history. And so then again, we're back to the same issue.
If the spread of free market policies
remediates absolute poverty, which it clearly does, and in a staggeringly rapid manner,
then what in the world is driving the anti-capitalist
ethos.
You know, you said that there's this underlying metaphor of nature as something like fragile
virgin, right?
Continually, yeah, what rendered susceptible to our raping and pillaging.
So there's a weird metaphor lurking at the bottom of all that, but given the overwhelming data that something approximating free market, freees people from
absolute poverty, and then, conjoining that with the observation that richer people actually
care more about the environment, you're left again with this question of what in the world
is motivating this. There's some deep hatred. It's like a deep hatred for humanity
itself, but even at the expense of the planet. And so I still struggle with trying to comprehend
that. There's a kind of existential guilt there for the crime of existence itself. It's something
like that. I mean, there's one really powerful fact about the increase in prosperity that I draw attention
to a lot in fossil future because I think it's very notable.
So I point out I was born in 1980.
Since 1980, we've gone from more than four and ten people living on less than two dollars
a day, and this is adjusted for inflation to one in ten.
So as you said, this is the greatest alleviation of poverty in human history.
Now what's really interesting is if you survey,
and this was done in the UK,
you might have seen this before,
but there's a survey of college educated adults
in the UK about what has happened to extreme poverty
over the past 30 or 40 years.
And this is just an objective documented thing.
There's no question.
And so what happened is only 12% of people
thought it got better.
Right. 55% of people thought it got better. Right.
55% of people thought it got worse,
and the rest thought it stayed the same.
And it just shows you the level of miseducation
about this issue.
And I do think a lot of it is the modern
anti-human environmental movement,
because what they've done is they've taught us
that our impact ruins the planet.
And so we just assume that because the world used a lot more fossil fuels, particularly
China and India did, which drive, which drove much of the increase in prosperity, they
just assume that the world is worse.
And what I call, I don't use this term in moral case, but I use it in fossil future, our
knowledge system.
So the institutions we rely on for expert knowledge and guidance, they've done a totally failed at
educating us about how much the world has improved from a human perspective. And this goes back to
my argument that the anti-human environmental movement, they're trying to pretend to be pro-human.
So they don't want us to know that the earth is a much better place than ever to live. They don't
want us to know that climate disaster deaths are way live. They don't want us to know that climate disaster deaths are way down.
They don't want us to know about the decline
in extreme poverty, because it totally challenges
their narrative that impact in general and fossil fuels
in particular are bad.
And if we recognized how vital fossil fuels are,
then we would be really afraid of these proposals
to get rid of fossil fuels in the next 27 years
in a world that needs far more energy.
And unfortunately, we're starting to realize this involuntarily because these policies
just implemented 1%, these anti-fossil fuel policies, just implemented a 1% success rate
in the anti-fossil fuel movement's view, have already led to a global energy crisis.
Right, right. Well, you knew said that the planet is getting better, let's say, from a human perspective.
And so we've looked at metrics like the radical decrease in absolute privation.
But we could turn our attention momentarily to the evidence that in many ways, and somewhat
paradoxically and perversely, the planet actually seems to be doing better from the natural
perspective too.
Now, I have been concerned about, I have believed for a long time that one of our focal concerns
might be on the environmental front, might appropriately be something like remediation
of misuse of oceanic resources, because I think we've done a pretty cataclysmic job of protecting our, especially our coastal lands and the shelf environments just off shore of the continents were pretty much all the fish are.
I think we've done a catastrophic job of managing that. And there are genuine environmental problems that I think sensible people should take into account. But, you know,
I was looking at a graph this week, and I've known about this phenomena for quite a while,
phenomenon for quite a while, that, again, in the last 15 years, a surface area totaling 15%
of the entire planet has greened. I mean, that is, that's an area that's larger than the continental United States.
And it's, so let's, let's walk through that for a minute. So just so everyone who's listening is
clear. In the last 15 years, the planet has not got less green. It's got more green. And not only
a little bit more green, stunningly more green, 15% in, essentially in 15 years, and that's an area bigger than the continental United States.
And that's happened pretty much everywhere in the world.
And then you might say, well, where is that happening?
And perversely, and contrary to all predictions,
it's happening in the drier areas of the planet,
especially in semi-arid areas.
And here's the reason.
So, plants have to breathe and to breathe they have to open
pores on their surface. And the problem for plants when they breathe with these pores is that they
also allow water to evaporate from their internal structures. And so the less carbon dioxide in the
air, the more the plants have to open their pores, and that means the more susceptible they are to drying out.
And that means that they struggle to exist in semi-arid areas.
Now what's happened as a consequence of increased carbon dioxide production is that plants
can breathe easier, and so they don't have to open their pores to the same degree.
And what's that, what that is meant, is that the very desert areas, at least the semi-arid areas, that the climate apocalypse
were claiming would expand and spread, so the desertification of the world, the exact
opposite has happened.
And the Sahara Desert, for example, has shrunk to quite a stunning degree.
And not only is the planet 15% greener than it was in 2000, but there are more trees in the
northern hemisphere than there were 100 years ago, and as well as the planet greening.
And so you can think about that as a victory on the objective front for the natural world
at the same time the planet is green because it's easier for plants to survive.
Our food crops have become much more productive
for exactly the same reasons. And so as carbon dioxide output has increased, the planet has got,
not only has the planet got greener, it's got greener in the driest areas, which is absolutely
stunning and remarkable. And one of the consequences of that increased greening is that our
agriculture production
has become not less efficient, but much more efficient.
And so I'm really wrestling with how to conceptualize that particular system.
Yeah, I just thought of an idea.
I just thought of an idea.
I've never thought of this before, so we're just trying it right now.
But I think maybe we can think of three conceptions of the earth, which capture everything we're talking about.
So my primary conception is evaluating the earth from the perspective of human flourishing.
How, how, us, visible to human beings is it?
And this includes like a lush, green, beautiful world for us to enjoy, for many reasons,
right?
But then the second one could be looking at the Earth in terms of just pure biological
productivity.
So just not even focusing on humans, just how much life is on the planet.
And this captures what you just mentioned
with rising CO2 levels, making a greener planet.
But then the third one, and I think this is really
the core of the modern environmental movement,
is an unimpact in planet.
So you're not optimizing for biological productivity,
you're optimizing for minimal impact.
And I think that is really the core
of the modern environmental movement.
It's not this just blanket collective desire
for as much life as possible
and worse somehow getting in the way of that.
It's specifically against us.
And I think you brought up the perfect example,
which is the climate catastrophe movements total non-interest
in kind of the obvious biological productivity benefits
of more CO2.
And this was not shocking or stunning.
This is exactly what was predicted by the people who discovered the greenhouse effect.
When they discovered the greenhouse effect, they said, this is going to, on its own, make
the earth a much more lush place.
They speculated like the fruits are going to be bigger and everything is going to be
lush because we're going to have more farmland and more biological.
And it's kind of obvious, if you have a warmer world with more CO2, it's a more tropical
world with more life.
It's a more green world in the life sense of green and yet the green movement hates it
because we caused it.
So they can see no good in anything we caused even when it
leads to more biological productivity. So I think what you're bringing up really shows
it's fundamentally an anti-human movement, not a pro-life of any kind.
Right, right. Okay, but let's let's talk about that idea of impact. It's like, well, what is this
hypothetical perfect world that exists statically that would be pristine and
morally valuable in the absence of human beings?
I mean, the biosphere is a dynamic place, obviously, over any time scale, and there's
shift in what constitutes, quote, the environment.
There seems to be this presumption that, at some point in the past, when there was minimal human activity,
the earth was somehow optimized in the biological, but also the moral sense, and that any change
in that whatsoever in any direction, hence climate change, let's say rather than global
warming, any change in that whatsoever is to be regarded axiomatically as evil. But what that essentially means,
as far as I can tell, the ineluctable conclusion
that has to be drawn from that proposition
is that any human activity whatsoever
is to be regarded as evil on the face of it.
It doesn't matter what it does.
In your point, that means that even if it increases
bio, even if it increases total biological flourishing in terms of, like,
let's say, the net metric tonnage of biological life on the planet.
And so that's also perverse because that is definitely a game that none of us can win.
If the A-Prior rule is no matter what you do, you're evil, then the only solution to that is, well, how
about it?
Hell of a lot fewer of you.
But then you say, well, what's that supposed to serve?
Because if what we're doing now is actually making the planet more green, and I'm saying
that very carefully because I know that that's not a sufficient metric.
I am very concerned with issues, let's say, or conscious of issues that are relevant, like the potential
loss of biodiversity and also the overfishing of the oceans, let's say.
So even though the planet is becoming greener, that doesn't mean that there are no mistakes
we're making on the environmental front, but those mistakes have to be differentiated
out and they're all addressable.
And, you know, as we get richer too, and we can do more with less and our agriculture
becomes more efficient if we can manage that, that also means, even by the standards of
the environmentalists themselves, that we'll be able to set aside reasonably large
tracks of land and water to maintain them in something approximating a pristine and untouched state.
I mean, that's certainly something that should be done on the on the oceanic management front.
I mean, the data that I know suggests that if we set aside a certain percentage of the coastal
area as marine protected areas, and that might not be the most efficient way to manage the oceans, but it's not bad that we'll reap the benefits of having untouched
nature, so to speak, which is an aesthetic and economic and environmental good, but we'll
also be able to replenish the oceans in a manner that would be economically productive.
And so, like, why can't we have our cake and eat it too, then, is we can help people become rich with the provision of, of
planterful energy. And then we can put aside tracks of the world so that they're relatively
untouched, so that biology can do its thing. And, like, what the hell is the problem with
that precisely?
Well, it's, so I think you're pointing to something really good and something really bad.
Something really good is why my new book is called Fossil Future, why global human flourish
requires more oil, coal and natural gas, not less.
But part of it does talk about, we can, you know, we can increase all of these biological
things.
We can have a much more lush world.
We can enjoy nature much more.
This is fundamentally good news.
The more energy we have, the more control we have over earth, and the more we can enjoy nature much more. This is fundamentally good news. The more energy we have,
the more control we have over earth, and the more we can make everything about it better for our
purposes, including aesthetic things that poor people can't possibly be confused by. But the bad
thing here is it's really highlighting the nihilism of this view that human impact is bad. And again,
I really think it's, the view is not that we want
a lush environment and human beings are getting
in the way of that.
We want biological productivity and human beings
are getting the way.
Because as you're pointing out,
they are opposing all human impact,
including obvious things that make the world better.
And so it really is the view that if we did it, it's bad.
And you ask something like, what is it serving?
But it's a nihilistic view.
So it's not really serving anything.
Even when you think about unimpacted nature,
it's not this beautiful thing for us to enjoy.
It's supposed to be protected from us.
So that's really the view.
Including our enjoy.
With this evil.
Of course, our enjoyment is of no consequence whatsoever.
And in fossil future and in moral case, I have a lot of quotes from the leaders
where they'll occasionally let this slip out, where one guy, for example,
who was reviewing Bill McKibben's book, The End of Nature, talks about, you know,
like a flourishing biosphere is more important to me than one human or a billion of them.
Yeah, yeah, let me read that.
Let me read that. I've got it right here.
So this is something that you cite in your 2014 book. I'm going to just read it so everybody can
hear it. And I would, I would ask everyone who's listening to really think about this because
this gets to the, this strikes to the core of the issue as far as I can tell. So, for example, this is from your book, in a Los Angeles Times review of the end of nature,
a Kibben's influential book of 25 years ago,
predicting catastrophic climate change,
David M. Graber, research biologist
for the National Park Service,
wrote this summary of McKibben's message.
McKibben is a biosentrist and so am I.
We are not interested in the utility of a particular species or free flowing river or ecosystem to mankind.
They have intrinsic value, more value to me than another human being. That's a very interesting thing to say, or a billion of them, which is also a very interesting thing to say. Human happiness and certainly human fecundity are not as important as a wild and healthy planet. Our normal social scientists who remind me that people are part of nature,
but that isn't true. Somewhere along the line, at about a billion years ago, maybe half that,
we quit the contract and became a cancer. We had become a plague upon ourselves and upon the earth. It is
cosmically unlikely that the developed world will choose to end its orgy of fossil fuel
consumption, and the third world its suicidal consumption of landscape. Until such time as Homo sapiens should decide to rejoin nature, some of us can only hope
for the right virus to come along.
You know, I cannot understand how anybody who is positively predisposed to children, let's might, we might say, could read something like that
and not be absolutely shocked to their core.
So let's walk through the claims. The first claim is an untouched natural landscape of
any size, whatever untouched means, is more valuable in and of itself than any individual human being or any group
of people no matter how large the number.
Okay, so the implication there is any number of human beings could be sacrificed in order
to preserve any geographically demarcated natural zone of any source.
So that's a yes, a standard of comparative value.
And then the cancer metaphor,
while human beings have deviated from the natural order,
whatever that natural order is,
whatever our deviation consists of,
and we've deviated the same way,
a cancer deviates.
So now the metaphor is human beings equal cancer.
And that's a hell of a metaphor
because what we do with cancer is strive to eradicate it.
So these metaphors have deep motivational significance.
So that's a little bit on the appalling side,
let's say it's grounded in a very narrow,
melthusian view of the world,
which is that we're something like yeast, cancer, let's say, and left to our own devices. We'll
multiply unchecked until we devour everything in perish. It's a pretty dismal and only vaguely
biologically centered view of how human beings conduct themselves, because we're not yeast
in a bloody petri dish. We're not yeast, and the world isn't a petri dish. Let's put it that way. And then you add to that the closing
statement, which is something like those of us who are properly oriented in our moral endeavor
in relationship to the non-human world can only sit and pray that the right virus comes along
it and pray that the right virus comes along so that what? So that we're radically depopulated to what degree, down to the half a billion people that the world can
hypothetically sustain. It's like every single bit of that, to me, reeks of an
underlying and barely veiled, brutal genocidal impulse.
I agree, and what I want to draw attention to
is that this mentality diluted or not to various degrees
is leading our thinking about what to do about fossil fuels,
which is an existential issue for the world.
Because the reason I go into this, particularly in fossil
future is the point I'm making is that the people and institutions were trusting to evaluate what to do about
this source of energy that powers the world that also emits CO2 and impacts the climate.
Those people are not making that evaluation by anything resembling the goal of advancing
human flourishing on earth.
They are pursuing to a significant degree this goal of eliminating human impact on earth. They are who are suing to a significant degree this goal of eliminating human impact on
earth.
And the economist George Reesman had this article a long time ago called the toxicity
of environmentalism.
And one point he made that I never forgot is he said listening to a modern environmentalist
is like listening to a doctor who's on the side of the germs.
Somebody who doesn't have your best interests at heart.
And as an example, one of the people I pick on very deservedly in Thosel Future is Michael
Mann, who's a climate scientist and activist, who is one of the leading advisors.
And if you look at Michael Mann's statements, one thing he has said is the ideal population
for earth is a billion people.
How can you possibly say that? They is a billion people. Yeah, yeah. How can you possibly say that?
There are eight billion people.
Like, how can you possibly look at earth and say,
oh yeah, it's too many people.
That has a murderous impulse to it.
If you just look at the earth and you say,
oh yeah, seven billion people should go.
And what I point out with Michael Mann
is that if you look at how he's evaluating the issue,
he's totally indifferent to the benefits of fossil fuels.
He has a whole book, people can look it up
called the Mad House Effect about fossil fuels and climate.
And he doesn't mention any benefits of fossil fuels.
For example, he talks about agriculture and fossil fuels.
He only talks about negatives.
He doesn't once mention diesel powered agricultural equipment
or natural gas derived fertilizer,
even though those make it possible for us to feed 8 billion people.
So what we have is an anti-human mentality.
So some of those who are listening likely don't know that the very survival of about 4 billion
people, so half the world's population, depends in no small part on the provision of ammonia as fertilizer.
And ammonia is primarily derived from natural gas.
And so what that means is not just on the energy front, let's point this out, is that the
very food that is provisioning half the world's population is a direct consequence of the
cheap and easy accessibility of natural gas.
And so what's the idea here that we're supposed to reduce our provision of fossil fuels?
And what are we going to do on the ammonia front?
We're going to drive the price of fertilizer ever more skyward?
Well, if we do that, because that would be the consequence of reducing
the plentiful supply of natural gas, if we do that, then what will happen is clearly,
food will get more expensive and so will energy, but food will definitely get more expensive.
And so, what that will be, is that huge swath of the world's population, that's living
on the edge where they can just right
now afford enough food to feed themselves so they don't suffer the consequences of nutritional
privation or even die.
A huge proportion of those people are going to be tipped back into absolute poverty.
Their children are going to be intellectually stunted as a consequence, and they might
well starve.
And then you think, well, why would we do that?
And if the answer is, well, you know, some of us really believe that the planet should
only have a billion people on it.
If that, if we have to have any people at all, then, well, maybe this is all part of the
unconscious drive towards, and conscious drive to some degree, towards reducing the planet's
population no matter what the price may be.
And then you see how people justify this, they say things like, well, you know, if we don't take emergency action right now,
which means let's make the poor even poorer, then the poor really going to suffer 100 years from now.
And I think, look, I don't have a lot of confidence in your ability to predict even a decade out,
much less 100 years, with your unstable economic models that are predicated on an equally unstable
climate model, so we can forget about your capacity to prognosticate 100 years down the road.
But what you're saying essentially is that the hypothetical poor that occupy my utopian imagination are much more important than the actual
poor right now who will definitely die if we implement our higher energy price inducing
hypothetical environmental policies.
You know, one of the things that strikes me is so utterly absurd, partly why I found your
book so interesting is that somehow the people who
are making such arguments have gained the moral upper hand, even though you don't have to
scrape beneath the surface very far to see not only the genocidal metaphor and the genocidal
intent, but the actual genocidal impact of these policies because we're definitely
tipping people back into absolute privation.
Yeah, there's a lot of really interesting stuff going on. I mean, I think one thing,
why do they have the moral high ground? And this is something that is really a core mission of mine
to correct, is that as I mentioned before, they really owned the issue of a good environment
starting in the 60s, including loving nature, including caring about clean air
and clean water, and more recently caring about safety from climate. And that the pro-capitalism
side really didn't concern them to concern themselves too much with this rhetorically at least.
And so the anti-capitalist side was able to own this issue. And when you own something as important
as our environment and our planet, you do get the moral high ground. And then they supplemented this with this false alternative of you are either a climate
change believer who hates fossil fuels or you are a climate change denier who thinks fossil
fuels are okay.
So they created this total fossil alternative which made no sense because what makes sense
with climate impact is to weigh it along with the benefits
of fossil fuels. You cannot judge a prescription drug by only looking at negative side effects
and you can't judge fossil fuels by only looking at negative side effects or exaggerate a negative
side effects. You have to look carefully at our climate impacts, negative and positive
and then weigh them against the benefits that come with fossil fuels, including all the
benefits that protect us from climate.
So there's this false alternative.
So what they did is they owned the morality of caring about our environment, and they
owned the claim to science.
Because the climate change denial thing, so-called, didn't make much sense, because it's
pretty obvious we impact climate at least some.
But so doing those two things, they owned this issue so people think, well, if I want to
be a good person, if I want a good planet, and I want to be pro-science, then I have to hate fossil fuels.
And a lot of what I've tried to do, and I think Michael Schellenberger, if you're at Longborg
and Steve Kuhnig, think what we've tried to do is look at climate in a humanistic,
full context way, and we're breaking this fossil alternative, which is a lot of the reason we
get a lot of hostility. So you said something there that's very psychologically interesting. So you said, if I want to be a good person,
because the environmentalists have captured this pro-planet narrative, if I want to be a good person,
then I have to buy the human beings are bad for the planet narrative. But I'd like to take that
apart a little bit too, because it's not exactly true what you said.
The truth of the matter is something like,
if I want to take a shortcut to a good person,
without having to being a good person,
without having to put into the process
any real time and effort.
So that would mean actually understanding the issues
that are associated with environmental
management and economic sustainability, which is unbelievably complicated.
I mean, Bjorn, while in you two, Schellenberger, spent their whole lives devoted to that endeavor,
trying to wade through the complexities, it's actually really difficult to develop a sophisticated
and genuinely moral stance on the environment and the economy.
It takes years and years of work.
And it's also extremely difficult to be a good person.
And merely feeling sorry for the planet does not make you a good person.
In fact, what it makes you is a shallow narcissist who's using the easy identification with
a genocidal ideology to elevate yourself in the
moral hierarchy.
And we see people who are peddling this dreadful story to young people and offering them an
easy shortcut to something approximating easily trumpeted moral virtue.
And that's the sort of moral virtue that you can post on your Facebook page
when you claim that while you're anti-capitalist and you're in favor of the planet and therefore all
of a sudden you're actually a moral actor and someone to be regarded with admiration. And none of
that's true because it's actually a very difficult to be a good person. But it's very powerful
that I agree entirely, but it is very powerful. And one thing I talk about in fossil future, and this is a big mission of mine, is the
moral monopoly of what I call the moral case for eliminating fossil fuels has to be broken.
And we have what I call a moral monopoly.
You basically get a halo over your head for saying, I hate fossil fuels, I care about the
climate, I care about the plant.
You don't need to do anything.
You just need to express this sentiment.
It doesn't matter.
We see you can fly on private jets.
You can live any lifestyle you want.
As long as you save this, you get this halo and the other side gets devil horns on their
head.
But part of what's happened with what I call the energy humanists, including me, and Bjorn
and Michael and Steve, is that we have now shown that actually
quote saving the planet in their false view
is hurting billions of people and dooming them to poverty
and actually making our environment worse
and hurting biology.
And so now they hate that.
That's why there's such vicious attacks
because their racket is coming to a close.
You want it to be a controversial.
The first thing before winning a debate is coming to a close. You want it to be a controversial, the first thing before winning a debate
is actually creating a debate.
There hasn't even been a debate
over the morality of fossil fuels
until fairly recently.
And once the debate is created,
that easy claim to virtue will disappear,
and those people will just go pick
the next easy thing to join.
Yeah, well, you said that all you have to do
is express the sentiment that you care for
the planet.
So that's something approximating a feeling or a subjective state of mind, let's say.
Yes.
I'm a good person because I feel empathy for the planet, which is a pretty damn low resolution
definition of implementable morality.
But you know, it's tied in with something else, too.
So imagine you're trying desperately to make that case
that the reason I'm good is because I feel sorry
for things including the planet.
Well then you have to also buttress that claim
with the insistence that sentiment,
subjective sentiment itself is the only valid arbiter
of reality.
And so that's something like,
I feel, therefore, I am.
And I see that this entire modern movement
that insists that identity is nothing other than
subjective feeling is actually associated in a perverse manner
with disability to justify a claim to moral superiority
by appeal to sentiment.
It's like it's people see a picture of a, like a bidragal kitten on the internet and they go,
aww, and they think that because they have that reflexive response, which has a certain moral virtue
that all of a sudden they're morally admirable people.
And that's a lovely thing to believe. virtue that all of a sudden they're morally admirable people.
And that's a lovely thing to believe.
And you can extend that to something like, well, I'm so concerned about the planet that
I can barely sleep at night.
It's like, well, fair enough, that might be an indicator of your moral virtue, although
I suspect not.
But the real question is, do you actually know anything about the problem?
Have you spent any work, real work, in differentiating know anything about the problem? Have you spent any work, real work in differentiating your knowledge of the problem?
Are you taking any concrete steps whatsoever to solve it, apart from hand waving sentimentally?
And do you have metrics in place that actually help you measure whether or not what you're
doing has a beneficial impact?
And that's also complex that if you bring to people's attention and assess the thinking
it through, all they do is get irritated at you.
Like they get irritated with, Longberg's a classic example because he's the person, I think,
and I'd like your opinion on this, you know.
I don't think there is anybody who's a more effective advocate for genuine progress
on the environmental front than Bjorn Lomber.
He's thought it through as far as I can tell, more deeply than anyone else, perhaps in the
world.
And it's stunning to me the degree to which his ideals fail to gain traction.
And I think partly it's because he makes the issue complicated, right?
He says, well, we don't have just one problem, too much carbon.
We have like 20 problems or 100, and they all need to be attended to, but we need to rank
order them.
And we have to do that in a methodologically rigorous manner.
It's like, well, we don't want to do any of that.
We just want to feel good about what we feel good about, and we want to make claim that
that makes us morally virtuous.
And it's certainly the case as far as I can tell that our educational systems are enticing
young people to adopt exactly that attitude and then to also engage in this demonization
that you described.
So I think one powerful dynamic with this free virtue that you get by just saying I care
about this issue, I care about the planet,
is that it's been given the stamp of science,
because it's considered scientific to just say,
hey, the planet is being destroyed by fossil fuels,
we need to do something about it.
And it's really as long as you feel some way
or you vote some way, that is considered totally sufficient.
There's nothing to think about.
But so it's really sad and shameful
that science has been stamped
on this incredibly irresponsible way of thinking.
And one thing I've tried to do,
and I think Bjorn does this,
but I think I do it probably most explicitly,
and I think it's very, very important to do it explicitly,
is I keep talking about the benefits of fossil fuels
and how the other side is ignoring the benefits of fossil fuels.
So I go as far as to call the other side fossil fuel benefit deniers, I also call them climate
mastery deniers because they deny our ability to master climate danger.
And I think people can really get that we're thinking about this issue in a way that makes
no sense because we're only looking at the negative side effects of fossil fuels, we're
not looking at the benefits.
And if you look at my work, the moral case for fossil fuels fossil future, it's really stressing the goodness of fossil fuels were not looking at the benefits. And if you look at my work, the moral case for fossil fuels,
fossil future, it's really stressing the goodness of fossil fuels.
Not just fossil fuels aren't as bad as you think,
but they're an actual positive good.
And I've seen you make this case as well.
I think it's very, very powerful.
Imagine my book had been called,
fossil fuels aren't quite as bad as you think.
It would have made no impact.
What's really needed, we've had this inverted morality
that says that food is poison and poison is food.
And I think it's not enough to just say,
oh, they go too far.
It's to say, no, they are attacking something good.
And once you have a positive case for fossil fuels,
the other side goes on the defensive.
If you watch what happens when I debate,
when people will debate me,
they don't really have an answer to looking at the full picture.
Their answer is call me a climate change denier, try to smear me, but they can't answer
the argument of if you look at the full context benefits and side effects of what's good for
human flourishing, fossil fuels are incredibly good and will remain good for the foreseeable
future.
And it's a pretty similar.
Well, that climate change denier phrase is a real interesting one, too, because that's
a phrase that's so manipulatively propagandistic that it's almost incomprehensible.
I mean, the reason that that phrase emerged is because we've developed a universal consensus
that denying the reality of the Holocaust was a moral crime.
And so the propagandists took a leaf from that page
and said, well, the people who are denying
the cataclysmic reality of climate change
are as morally culpable as those who deny the Holocaust,
which implies that they're as culpable
as the Nazis who run the death camps.
And that's a pretty decent smear.
And then you might say, well, what's the moral advantage
to doing that?
And so the first thing you might point out is,
well, you get to have all the honor and moral virtue
that goes along with saying that just because you're sentimental
about the planet in some vague way,
that you're now a moral paragon,
and that solves all your moral problems.
And then conveniently, at the same time,
you get to identify a group of people
who are essentially satanic in their motivations.
And so that would be the climate change deniers.
And so that entire problem of evil,
which you no longer contend with in your own life,
because you're on the side of the moral,
is dumped at the feet of the people that you deem as enemies.
That's that form of scapegoating that Renas Gerard talked about.
And so young people are being enticed to do two things.
Is one is to adopt at three things,
to adopt an extremely simple-minded view
of the problems and opportunities that confront us.
Second, to claim a completely honored moral virtue,
merely on the basis of a vague sentiment,
and third and more dangerously, to localize the problem of evil in the minds and souls of
the people who are hypothetically opposed to their self-aggrandizing sentiment.
And the combination of those three moral errors is really dangerously toxic. And that dangerous toxicity, I would say, is manifesting itself in such things as this
idiot insistence, let's say, in the UK, because they're suffering from this more than any
other place now, maybe except Germany, on the moral benefits of an impossible net zero.
The rubber is really starting to hit the road in the last couple of years as energy prices have
spiked out of reach of many people. And the unreliability of these hypothetically benevolent
renewables has become more and more self-evident. And so we're walking a very dangerous moral path
here, right? Easy moral virtue. The inability to point out that a lot of this moral virtue is driven by an
unthinking ignorance combined with this temptation to demonize those who
alike Lomburg, Shelterberger, you, you're a good example as well, who are standing
up and saying, hey, wait a minute, everyone, we've lifted billions of people out
of absolute privation and starvation as a consequence of the utilization of fossil fuels
and they're so fundamental that we can't shift away
from them rapidly, that's actually practically impossible
without tilting people into the kind of abject poverty
that's going to cause widespread starvation.
It's like that doesn't sound like a case being made
by Satan to me.
No, I mean, I do think that the energy crisis
is an enormous educational opportunity.
It's obviously a tragedy.
And it's as somebody who's been talking about this
for 15 years and advising in the opposite direction,
it's very sad to see myself being right
in terms of if you artificially restrict
the supply of fossil fuels in a world
that needs more energy.
And you don't have a viable near-term replacement,
then prices are going to skyrocket,
including food prices and the price of everything else.
Like this was obvious that this was going to happen,
and it's hard to see it.
But at least the benefit is that people can see
that the establishment has failed.
That's the benefit of a crisis.
People see the establishment has failed,
and the key is, in my view, two things. One is the right people need to be implicated, and the right people need to be
vindicated. And I say the right people need to be implicated not as a vindictive person
at all. But it's very important when you have a crisis, and this happened with 9-11
happened with the financial crisis. You need to have some idea of who is responsible,
and then who was right and gave us better advice.
If you look at today's energy crisis, the number one thing that is scary about it is
that it is a crisis that has come from the net zero movement, not even only achieving
one percent of their goals.
So they have not even reduced the supply of fossil fuels.
I want to stress that again.
They haven't even reduced the supply.
They just slowed its rate of growth.
They already wanted to dramatically reduce the supply.
That was their goal.
We were supposed to be using way less fossil fuel by now.
They just slowed the growth, and that was enough to cause a global energy crisis in a world
that needs far more energy.
So that should really wake us up.
What if we actually start on their path of getting rid of fossil fuels and we have 27 years
now, 27 years and less than a month as we record this to achieve net zero?
Which in effect means getting rid of fossil fuels.
We can talk about offsets and stuff.
That doesn't work at any scale, that there's any evidence of.
It's really this homicidal movement in its consequences.
I do think people are waking up and they're particularly waking up to the idea that,
hey, we ignored the benefits of fossil fuels,
or what I call our designated experts did this.
And these people need to be jettisoned.
You cannot listen to anybody about energy and climate
who ignores the benefits of fossil fuels
to billions of people, because if you do,
you get an energy crisis.
And if we keep listening to them,
it's going to get a lot worse.
Well, the other thing that you see being, the drum being beaten on the side of the radical
left, for example, is the anti-colonial, let's say this, continual trumpeting of the
anti-colonial interference message.
And so then I look at that and I think, well, you give the devil's do and the fact that
the world's cultures
have come into contact with one another in a dramatic way in the last 300 years has produced
all sorts of consequences, some positive and some negative. But on the anti-colonial front,
the environmental proposition, and this is mostly coming from the radical left, is that
there's no possible way that the Third World inhabitants can be
allowed much less encouraged to develop a standard of living that in any manner approximates
the profligate West is that we're rich and you know maybe we should suffer from that a
bit and maybe we should pay reparations let's say but all those poor people who are desperately
trying to clamber up the socioeconomic hierarchy so they don't die, let's make that perfectly
clear.
They can't be allowed to do that because their environmental footprint will immediately
become so large that the planet itself will be destroyed.
And so, okay, what's the consequence of that?
Well, the consequences of that is that they should be poor
and stay that way and should shut the hell up about it
and should be happy about it
and perhaps there should be a hell of a lot fewer of them.
And if that doesn't trigger your anti-colonialist morality,
then you've got some serious thinking to do
because I just don't understand at all
how it is that those of us in the wealthy West, and this would certainly include those in the chattering environmental
glitterati elite class, I have no sense whatsoever how they're in a moral position to be lecturing
the developing world about how they should accept limits to growth, which means, for example, that their children won't have access to enough nutrition
to even optimize their brain development as they mature.
It's like, oh, that's the price those people get to pay, hey?
Those people, those poor people in developing countries who don't get to be wealthy,
and by wealthy means have enough to eat and have schools to send their children.
And we in the Western world, we can sit on our high horse and say, well, we used fossil
fuels and oops, sorry about that and all the carbon, but you bastards, you can just accept
your law. And if you stop breeding, so God damn much, that would be a good thing too.
Now how that is, it's colonial to a degree that's overwhelming is beyond me.
Well, it is, and I think it's a very, very
powerful argument, and it's been one of
these things that has been ignored, because
the priorities of the modern environmental
movement are not what they say, and I would
say more broadly the anti-capitalist
movement. They claim to be concerned about
the poor, but if you're concerned about
the poor and you know that fossil-fueled productivity has brought an unprecedented number of people
out of poverty in recent decades, you would think about how do we expand that?
How do we replicate what happened in China, what happened in India?
Some changes to it, obviously, but how do we, you know, they use seven times more fossil
fuels compared to 40 years ago.
Like it's obviously fueled their productivity and their prosperity.
Why don't we do more of that?
And yet, there's been no attention paid in the culture to the energy poor.
There's no attention paid to the fact we have three billion people who use less electricity
than one of our refrigerators uses.
We have a third of the world using wood and animal don't to eat their homes and to cook
their food.
And in terms of you mentioning wealthy people, the three quarters of the world uses an
amount of energy that we would consider totally unacceptable in the US or Canada or anything
resembling that.
So once these facts are pointed out, it is obvious that there is a moral imperative to
do at least nothing to get in the way of people using falsehoods.
At least that, and it's clear that the anti-fausal field movement is absolutely getting in the way. They're trying to destroy all loans to fossil fuels there. They're trying to encourage them to use
things that will not actually work for them. They're trying to, for example,
throughout Africa, limit oil and gas development, even though that's a huge potential source
of prosperity. But they're not winning this argument once sunlight has been exposed.
And I had a personal experience, I don't know if you heard about this, but the Washington
Post tried to basically cancel my book, Fausal Future, back before it came out.
They got a copy of the book.
They didn't read the book, which I thought that was their job, as journalists reported on
a book from a major author.
Instead, what they tried to do is dig up what I had written in college, where I had said,
very specifically, the poor world needs more capitalism and more individualism, which
I stand by.
But they somehow tried to portray that as colonialism.
But here's the key.
Their whole argument was Alex Epstein doesn't really care about the poor.
So you don't have to listen to his arguments about the poor needing fossil fuels.
This is a bizarre ad hominem on its face.
It's completely the opposite of the truth, but it was notable to me how they had no answer
to this argument that poor people need fossil fuels and that the anti-fossil fuel movement
hurts the poor people most.
So I think that really shows the power of this argument.
Let's delve into that issue of caring about the poor,
because I don't think that it is really all that wise
for any of us to jump up and down about
how much we care for the poor.
Because if you cared for the poor,
you'd be out there doing something with your life
to directly benefit the poor.
And that turns out to be extremely-
Well, I have to, I have to.
So I don't mean you, I don't mean you.
Oh, okay.
And speaking more generally, it's not that easy to care about the poor.
And so I think that any of us who trump at the idea that we truly care about the poor
should be very careful about that.
But having said that, I would also say, we could those say, even if we don't care about
the poor any more than the typical somewhat selfish human being,
we could at least get the hell out of their way when they're trying to clamber their way up the socioeconomic hierarchy. And that was the case that you made just a few minutes ago,
is that we could at least in the West not implement policies that actually
interfere in a serious manner with the attempts of the developing world to lift themselves out of absolute
privation. We could at least get the hell out of the road. And we wouldn't have to do that by
hand waving about how moral we are in our care for the poor. We could say, well, we're relatively
disinterested at minimum, but we won't go out of our way to make your lives more miserable than
they have to be while you use your own efforts to acquire for yourself
some of the things that we've managed to acquire.
We can't even do that.
I think it's a great point.
And so for me, yeah, I don't wanna act like
I'm just ministering to every poor person
in the world or this kind of thing.
I mean, look, I live in a free country.
I love doing work that I find really interesting.
And I love that it benefits a lot of people,
including some of the poorest people in the world,
and the particular way in which I identify
with the poorest people in the world
is with the lack of freedom,
because I really think about what would it be like
to not be born in the US?
Whatever advantages I had being born in the US
is by far the greatest.
And I really think about, you know,
how can more people be born into that?
And really the number one thing we need to do is spread good ideas and not spread bad
ideas.
And this is where the antifausal field movement is so destructive.
Particularly, you've probably seen this recent climate reparations thing, which is saying,
hey, we owe the poor world.
And I wrote about this recently, people can see it at
energytalkingpoints.com, which is where I post my new stuff.
But there's the idea that we should feel guilty for ruining the world.
And I believe we've made the world better for everyone, including the poor.
But the other element that is obviously wrong is what is happening is we are paying people
off, usually dictators off, to not use fossil fuels.
So we are paying them to deprive people of the crucial freedom to get prosperity.
And that is just totally shameful and that is absolutely interfering in the lives of
the world's poorest people.
Right, so with our so-called climate reparations that are going to be devoted to the governments
of Third World countries, primarily, we're going to be devoted to the governments of Third World countries,
primarily. We're going to be propping up frequently brutal quasi-dictatorships and
bribing them to keep their populations poor so that we don't save the planet.
That's our plan.
That is a plan. Again, it's not a movement that actually has any kind of goal and strategy long-term.
It's really just hostility toward any impact.
And at the moment, it's CO2 emissions.
So anything that has CO2 emissions, you hate.
But observe, look, there's no enthusiasm for nuclear, right, which you would expect them
to love, because it doesn't have CO2.
There's hatred for nuclear. There's hatred for hydro, and there's hatred for mining, which
is necessary for solar and wind, which require way more mind and materials than anything else.
So it's really an anti-impact movement that's just hostile to any human impact and just
nihilistically and randomly pursues that with no strategy and no thinking about the future.
And this mentality is leading the world.
This is what I call our knowledge system. It is blindly pursuing this destructive anti-human path
with no strategy. Okay, so let's let's delve into that a little bit, that motivation for that.
So I'm going to play devil's advocate here a bit and and and let you respond to it. So
and let you respond to it. So the first thing we might point out
is that the human proclivity
for something approximating unspoiled natural vistas
actually seems to have a moral element
and a biologically rooted moral element.
So for example, our aesthetic preferences
seem to be associated with something like preference
for natural
landscapes that are verdant and green and potentially productive in relationship to agriculture
and the flourishing of, let's say, edible animals with enough water.
We like landscapes that look like that.
We think they're beautiful.
And the idea that we might prefer those if they were unspoiled is also worth delving into to some degree
because we do need to live in balanced harmony
with such environments so that we don't
destroy the very virtue that they implicitly contain.
And so, and our aesthetic preferences
tilt us in that direction.
And so we have a bit of a biological
tilt towards not wanting to gum up and pollute the works. Okay, so, so there's that. And then
we also have this moral sense that we have a moral obligation, right? And so the moral obligation is
obligation is to be grateful, to be cognizant of our unearned privilege. And so for you, that would be the fact that you were born in the United States and that you were a accidental
beneficiary of all the work that had gone into that great society before you made your
appearance on the scene. And that there's a moral obligation on your part in some sense to do something about that.
Right? And so, and that can both of those can be warped. The warping of the first one is to push that moral and aesthetic
sensibility to the point where we claim that any human interaction with that pristine environment whatsoever is tantamount to immorality.
And on the second front, it is that
the way to atone for our privilege
is by being guilty and stopping all activity.
So those things dovetail.
We might say instead that if we wanted to
genuinely contend with the problem of our unearned privilege and the fact that
we walk on blood that is being, we walk on land that is being soaked by the blood of conflict
for generations, right? There's a certain guilt in that, a certain sense you might say even of
original sin is that we do have to atone, but the proper proposition on the sophisticated front would be something like,
well, we should atone by putting into place thoughtful and intelligent and genuinely pro-human
environmental slash economic policies.
And we should atone in our private lives for our unearned privilege by being people whose
moral striving is so admirable that we've justified the existence of our privileges.
And we shouldn't be taking the easy way out and saying, just because we're sentimental
about Gaia, means that we've somehow fulfilled our moral obligation.
We're doing a very bad job of teaching young people this as far as I can tell.
So like the guilt's there, right?
The sense of original sin is there.
The sense that we're responsible for the atrocity of history in some sense is there
that needs to be contended with. But we're constantly looking for easy ways out of the problem
instead of actually trying to address it head on. Well, let's start out with the first part in
terms of this, this like sense of what we like in natural landscapes and we like life.
And so I certainly have a version of this myself. I mean, I'm very obsessed with the ocean and I
spend way more time outdoors than most people. And I just, like, I think people underrate being
outdoors a lot. And, you know, I love seeing different kinds of animals and their natural habitat.
So, like, I definitely experienced this. But when I think of it, then, what I think about is,
in impacting the earth, we want to make sure we impact the earth in a way that allows us
to really enjoy this, and in fact have more of it.
There's a lot of things we can do to make the earth more beautiful and to enhance it with
respect to our aesthetic sensibilities.
And I think the best thing forever in this regard was Frank Lloyd Wright, because if you look at his buildings and how he approached it, he loved nature, but he also thought that
we could improve nature.
And that's really what you're doing as a human being, as you're saying, I can improve
nature.
So you're not hostile to nature, but you view it as what I call wild potential.
It is the potential to be an amazing place for us.
It has all these different building blocks and all these starting things.
And some of them we want to preserve.
Some of them we want to change a lot.
And even the things we want to preserve,
we want to make a lot more accessible
to everyone which requires changing a lot.
So I think of it as we can do an even better job
at making the earth an amazing place to live.
But part of that is recognizing
we've done a really good job in a lot of ways.
The earth is so much
of a better place to live than it was 500 years ago, 200 years ago. The world is naturally dynamic,
it's deficient, and it's dangerous. Those are three attributes. That's why I call it wild potential.
And so human beings have had to contend with that. And to bring up fossil fuels, our basic way of contending with that is to try to produce a lot of value that nature doesn't produce for us.
Nature produces not very much value that we can use, and it produces a lot of threats.
So we need productive ability to create resources in nature doesn't, including to create resources that neutralize the different threats, like creating irrigation to neutralize drought.
And what we do that with our productive ability, but we're naturally very physically weak
beings.
And so the key step is using machines to produce far more value than our meager physical
bodies can.
And that's what we've done with fossil fuels.
We've had cost-effective energy that has allowed, say, the average American to have 75
machine servants producing value so that we can do far more
than we ever could and we can do types of things that we never could.
Like no number of human beings can fly.
No number of human beings can be an incubator, which you know save millions, incubator
save millions of lives.
So we've made the earth so much of a better place and I think we can make it even more beautiful
and I think a lot of the specific things we create are ugly.
And that's a shame.
But I think of it as we've done a good job and we can do even better.
Not that we're these sinners who have ruined everything by touching it.
That is a hostile view and it's an unjustified view.
So I think we can be more like Frank Lloyd Wright.
But we should be proud of what we've done so far in terms of obligation.
I mean, I feel gratitude for it.
I don't feel like anyone has really sinned or I've sinned or
but I feel like the obligation is to keep going, is to keep trying
to make it better and better. And I think just by being a
productive person, that's really what you're doing.
But because I think about global issues, I try to advise people
globally.
So let me ask you about this psychologically.
So obviously people, there are a lot of people,
particularly young people perhaps,
who are bearing a heavy load of existential guilt
for the fact of their very existence.
And so you just made something approximating a pro-human case.
And so I would ask you a psychological question, how do you think you've conducted
yourself in your own life effectively so that that sense of existential guilt, that potential
hostility towards human endeavor itself or even human existence, has been emeliorated?
Like, what have you done that you believe is sufficiently valuable to justify the cost
of your own existence?
But I guess, I don't understand why I would feel it in the first place because the people
who feel it have a very warped, at least the environmental version.
We can talk about other versions, but the environmental slash climate version is this very warped,
delicate, nurture review of the earth, that the Earth is stable, sufficient, and safe,
and our impact ruins it.
And if you believe that, and you hear all this propaganda,
then you think, yeah, we're all ruining the delicate nurture.
But if you have that view, it's a very damaging view,
but I don't have the view.
So I don't understand why it would feel so bad.
Yeah, but that's the thing, isn't it?
And I think we need to contend with this, right?
Because people do have that view and lots of people have it.
And it's easy, let's say, for educators who are pushing
this ideological agenda to capitalize
on the prevalence of that view.
That's why I'm pointing to something
like an intrinsic sense of original sin
is that we have this sense as human beings,
or many people do, that in some real sense, we have to atone for the crime of our existence.
And I think there's something to that.
I think that we have to bear a moral burden that justifies the crime of our existence,
so to speak.
And that would mean that we have to be genuinely, well, in your terminology, we have to be genuinely
productive people, let's say. We have to be genuinely productive people, let's say.
We have to be genuinely productive people that are aiming up, maybe in relationship to such things as
working for the amelioration of absolute poverty. Like, there is a moral calling there. And I think
that part of it- Well, I think of it differently. Okay. I think of it differently. So, I think of
existence as an opportunity. So, I think of it as it's
just this amazingly special thing that, you know, any of us exist in the first place. I mean,
probably, you think about the probabilistic nature of it. And I feel like being on Earth
is just this amazing opportunity. And you can look at how different people have handled
that throughout history and how they handle it today. And I think a lot of people tragically
haven't made the most of it. But I think you can see certain things that people do who have made the most of it and find it fulfilling.
And for me, one of the observations is people who choose a certain kind of creative work.
It makes a huge difference. I'm guessing you've experienced, I've certainly experienced
this in terms of just finding something that creates value in the world that really,
really works with how you like to use your mind, the thought process,
hopefully you get to work with certain kinds of people. I mean, that's just part of it. There are
all kinds of other opportunities of being alive. So I don't think of it at all as, oh, it's,
we're guilty and this is bad. I think the only guilt is wasting the opportunity. That's where my
kind of fear and guilt come in is like, I worry about, oh, did I waste the opportunity of being alive?
And part of that is, of course,
you don't want to live at the expense of others
and ruin the, and that's another way of wasting it.
But so I think of life as opportunity,
not as, not as a tonement.
Well, right, and we should also,
we can address there too, the issue that,
if you conduct yourself successfully.
So let's say that you are as a consequence prosperous,
there is also this underlying presumption that's generally unexamined, that you had to
do that as someone else's expense, right?
It's something like a zero-sum game, and that ties into this whole melathusian view
that we're yeast in a petri dish with finite resources.
And the truth of the matter, I think, is that if you conduct yourself in the highest
manner properly, then you end up being creatively productive in a manner that doesn't just benefit
you selfishly, but simultaneously benefits many other people and also facilitates their ability
to do the same thing. And so that's a vision of a kind of harmony that's a high-order ethical calling,
is you don't have to pursue your creative exploitation of possibility at the cost of the possibility
or at the cost of other people, quite the contrary. You could increase the possibility,
which we could do on the natural front, and you could increase the ability of others to flourish
simultaneously. Yes, and I want to really highlight, because earlier you responded, you said, all these people
have been immersed in this, what I call this dogma, this delicate nurture dogma. And I would
add a piece to this dogma. It's the view that the earth is delicate nurture that's stable,
sufficient, and safe. And then it goes along with what I call the parasite polluter view of human beings,
which you're getting at with the Malthusian view.
So the view that all we do with our impact
is we take from the earth and we destroy it.
We make it ugly, we disrupt it, and this kind of thing.
And in so far as you view the world this way,
you are gonna have a bad life
and you're gonna be really unhappy
because you're gonna feel really guilty
and you're gonna feel really pessimistic. And're going to believe in all of these apocalyptic
scenarios.
So it's why it's a fundamental thing that needs to be done to re-educate people about the
basic nature of Earth and the basic nature of human beings and replace so delicate nurture
with what I call wild potential and this parasite polluter view with what I call the producer-improved review.
We actually produce value, and we can improve the Earth,
and we can do even more.
And in fossil future, I talk about this
as part of the human flourishing framework,
a key part of how we have to think about this issue,
is change our view of human beings in Earth
from an anti-human view to a pro-human view.
And if you, once you change that in people,
it is life-changing,
because it's their whole view of how the world works,
changes from this terribly sad and destructive view
to a very optimistic view.
And that's one of the things I'm grateful for
is early on I learned pro-human environmental philosophy.
And that was a huge gift that I got when I was 18.
How did you learn that?
Why were you fortunate enough to learn that?
Well, maybe we'll leave that.
Look, we have to stop.
We have to stop this part of it.
We'll get into that in the next part of our discussion.
So for everybody who's watching and listening, I do an extra half an hour with my guests on
the Daily Wire Plus platform as part of the arrangement that I've made with them to increase the professional
appearance and quality of my podcasts, for example, which as you are noticing are still available
on YouTube free for wide distribution. I do an extra half an hour with people. I would be
interested and I'm going to continue to talk to Alex on the daily wire plus platform about his philosophical journey because you've definitely
taken an unpopular stance and a minority unpopular stance. And you did that pretty early,
2014 is pretty early given all things considered. And you did it quite successfully. You haven't
been particularly effectively canceled, interestingly enough.
And I'd like to find out what your pathway was to your realizations and how you managed that.
Hello, everyone. I would encourage you to continue listening to my conversation with my guest on dailywireplus.com.
you