The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 410. Discussing Impact Investment and ESG's with a BlackRock Executive | Terrence Keeley
Episode Date: January 1, 2024Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down with investment expert and author Terrence Keeley. They discuss the recent success of the ARC conference, the reality of climate narratives and the ESG mafia, the cost... effective solutions to some of our most pressing problems, and the positive side of societal betterment via impact investing. Terrence Keeley is an American investment expert and author who has worked with and managed some of the largest investment organizations in the world. Besides having been an executive at Blackrock, Terrence also founded and served as the Senior Managing Principal of Sovereign Trends, LLC, an advisory firm for and about sovereign institutions. From 1987-2010 he was a senior managing director at UBS Investment Bank, where he oversaw the firm’s transactional and advisory relations with central banks, sovereign wealth funds, ministries of finance, public pension funds, and multilateral organizations, including the IMF and World Bank. Terrence served as a consultant to Pope Francis’ financial reform commission, overseeing the Vatican bank. He is also a founding director of the Financial Hippocratic Oath movement. From 1982-85 he served as one of the first young trustees on the Notre Dame Board. Today he is also a frequent commentator/author on all issues relating to international finance, cross-border capital movements and global financial governance. He is married to Saskia Bory of Geneva, Switzerland. Their two sons attended the Lycée Français de New York.​ This episode was recorded on October 13th, 2023  - Links - 2024 tour details can be found here - https://jordanbpeterson.com/events For Terrence Keeley:Learn about how to go beyond ESG investing here  https://www.1pointsix.com/ Sustainable (Book)Amazon https://www.amazon.com/Sustainable-Moving-Beyond-Impact-Investing/dp/0231206801Columbia University Press https://cup.columbia.edu/book/sustainable/9780231206808
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Hello, everyone. Today I have the privilege of talking to Mr. Terrence Keely. Terri was
a speaker at the recent art conference in London in the business stream.
He's an expert on so-called ESG investing of which he is quite skeptical, perhaps the world's
most foremost skeptical, things considered.
We talked about the idea of ethical investing, exactly what that means, the perils, pitfalls
and promises of pursuing so-called ethical investing strategies, investment strategies. We talked about the necessity
of formulating a positive vision for the future, financial and otherwise, and delved into the
details of the 2008 financial crisis, and the role played in that by the blindness,
willful and otherwise of people who were responsible for managing the world's money. Welcome to the discussion.
So Terry, let's start this out with, I'd like to ask you some questions about your experience at
ARK. Maybe you could tell everybody watching and listening what you experienced there and what the
consequences for you generally were with regard to the conference as a whole before we turn our
attention to the specific topics that you addressed in the panel
that you participated in in London.
Well, as you remember, Jordan,
we met just this summer at Heather Higgins' home
and we ended up having a very interesting conversation
on the role of business and finance
in fashioning a better world.
And you kindly extended an invitation to me
to be part of an ESG panel.
But what I didn't realize in accepting that invitation,
it was that I was going to be in the company of 1,500 wonderful people
from how many 60 countries?
I can't remember.
72 countries.
72 countries with a very like mind.
And that is how can we tell a better story and get humanity on a better path for
the very severe challenges that lie in the decades ahead. And I have to say, you know,
through you and to all of the other organizers, I just have a profound sense of gratitude.
I felt frankly like I was coming home. I live in a world where I have to be more careful
with you about your pronouns and you have to be
with me about my religious beliefs.
And yet I found in London that I was with many
like-minded people who share a reverence for God
and a reverence for humanity and a great desire
to keep the planet on the right path,
a sustainable path, but a path of growth
and greater inclusivity.
And the way you and Philippa and others brought together the themes of art, music, poetry,
religion, as well as business themes, political themes. It was just a huge privilege for me in many
ways. And I don't know what the status is for many of your listeners,
but it's difficult to be a conservative in America today.
You don't really have a political party.
You don't really have a common home to go to.
And at Ark and London, I felt I was with a global community
of like believers, Jordan.
And I came through very, very hopeful two weeks earlier,
I had been at Mitt Romney's E2 conference.
I don't know if you know, but Mitt Romney sponsors
and annual events in Park City,
E2 stands for enthusiasts and experts.
And I felt similarly there that, you know, again,
men and women of faith who have a very deep concern
for humanity, a very deep concern for the trajectory
that we're on, but have solutions and ideas
for a better way forward, as I wrote in that article
for Real Clear Politics, a better story.
Maybe I can share a very personal story already,
which is that my niece who went to Stanford and graduated the 4.0 is
one of many thousands, if not to say hundreds of thousands, of individuals who are in their mid-20s
who don't want to have children Jordan, don't want to have children because how could you imagine
bringing children into a world when on January 1st, 2050,
the whole world's going to blow up because of climate change.
How could we be so thoughtless?
And so to have a clear narrative, a much better narrative
about how our future is not disastrous,
our future is up to us.
We're going to get the globe that we deserve.
And quite candidly with greater mindfulness,
it's going to be the greatest possible human achievement ever. And so that's how I felt coming
out of London and how I felt with the great program that you and your colleagues put together.
Do you do you think this takes us off our topic a bit, but I'm going to go there anyways.
I mean, you stress two things that struck
you when you were at the art conference and that that was that you were surrounded by people of
faith and you could read that religiously to some degree, but you could also read it as being
surrounded by people who are willing to have the courage to put forward a positive vision of the
future because that's a form of faith too.
And it's very important for people who are watching and listening to understand that
you can't take a step into the future without faith because you can't predict with anything
approximating certainty what's going to happen as you move forward.
And so you have to adopt an attitude a priori that sees you through regardless of what happens. And you can adopt
an attitude of corrosive cynicism and bitterness and pessimism and defend yourself that way. And
there are times when that's appropriate. But as a general stance towards the world, it tends to
be counterproductive. And it's also the case that what a fragmented or misplaced faith, religious faith, even tends to, seems
to have as a consequence the development of something like an anti-human stance, as
things that aren't human, like nature itself, become worshiped instead of what's properly
put first and foremost.
And there is a remarkable concordance, I would say, between the religious belief that each person
is a divine locus of being, let's say, and made in the image of God and a pro-human stance.
And one of the things that's really terrified me about the environmentalist movement,
which purports to be about the sanctity and security of the planet, is easily transformed
into something that is clearly and
demonstrably and human. Like I've watched in absolute open mouthed amazement over the last 10 years
as the greens and the radical leftists when push comes to shove immediately demonstrate their
willingness to sacrifice the poor to their planetary salvation delusions.
And it's so interesting, eh, because in principle, the left is being the party that puts forward
the demand for compassion towards the marginalized and the oppressed economically and otherwise.
But man, when you stack up the oppressed and marginalized against the hypothetical interests of the
planet as such, the lefties will sacrifice the poor in a tenth of a second.
And they do that not least with their insistence that energy costs have to skyrocket.
And consumption come down, which to me is tantamount to saying, when consumption comes down,
the poor starve.
That's a necessary consequence of decreased consumption.
And anyone who thinks otherwise is either willfully blind or ignorant beyond any, what would
you say, any morally acceptable degree.
So all right, so it was very, it was very,
Let me take a moment to respond to that, though, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, world relativism becomes what in fact is what they worshiped. I stood in awe of you speaking
on the stage at a couple of times about Jacob's ladder and the book of Job. And you know,
Jordan, what's fascinating about you and I know this is your podcast, but priests and
I come from a Catholic background. I worked for Pope Francis. I co-chaired in the Vatican
Financial Reform Commission. I have quite a Catholic background, but priests cannot put people in pews, and yet you can fill the O2 Arena
with tens of thousands of young men to talk about the Book of Job and talk about Jacob's
ladder and talk about the uphill struggle as being the moral struggle of our times.
I just congratulate you and your colleagues,
and I know you give a lot of credit to those around you as well.
For just being able, Jordan, to enunciate this message
in a way where it resonates to those who are genuinely
lost, to those who are genuinely looking
for a roadmap of how to have a better and more productive life.
And I want to establish, early on this call,
I'm not a climate denier.
I do believe that there are human influences that
are very much putting our land, our air and our water at risk.
By the way, the planet has never had 8 billion inhabitants
before.
We're about to be 10 billion inhabitants.
We're going to have to find ways to behave much more sustainably.
But I was looking through my book of notes from the art conference and one of the things
that I wrote down is it's not the climate deniers, it's the trade-off deniers.
And even in La Dautosie, in the Papal Encyclical written by Pope Francis on the climate crisis,
he is very clear, Jordan, very clear,
that there are trade-offs,
that we need to have more prosperity.
There are too many people that are left behind.
The vast majority of human beings
still use less electricity than one refrigerator
uses in a year in the West.
We need to find ways to improve access,
improve availability, improve abundance of, and we've just finished this
COP28 conference this morning, as you know, and they've come off and finally been able to
say let's do let's phase out fossil fuels. But they're very quick, right? They're very
quick to add that this must be done in a just way. Well, if it's done in a just way, the
only way we're going to be able to get ourselves off of fossil fuels is by massively increasing nuclear, by massively increasing some other
sources.
And that is not plausible from now to 2050.
We are simply going to be continuing to utilize this mix of fossil fuels that we're dependent
on.
For reasons of justice, for reasons of human need,
for reasons of human necessity,
and as you pointed out in others at the conference,
if you look around the globe, the wealthiest countries
are the ones that actually have the cleanest energy mix.
So we must prioritize continued economic growth.
This is the mantra that I come to in my book repeatedly.
Yes, we need more economic growth, but it the mantra that I come to in my book repeatedly. Yes, we need more
economic growth, but it needs to be more inclusive, and it does need to be more sustainable.
And I am a member of the church that says, let's optimize between these various trade-offs,
growth and clelliness and sustainability. There are trade-offs, and we're going to have to navigate
them. It's multi-variable calculus. It's not as easy as the only thing that matters is net zero by 2050.
It's not the only thing that matters.
Many things matter.
Well, that only thing that matters narrative, I've been thinking that through in some detail.
And so part of what we're facing on the pathological culture war front is over simplification
that occurs for two reasons.
The first reason is purely factual is that there are human effects on the environment,
some of which are deleterious.
I was struck most particularly when investigating such effects on the effects of unrestricted coastal
fishing on fish stocks, because I think that's something we've done particularly disasterously.
There's a variety of problems like that, but the important thing is there's a variety
and that the solutions to those problems are actually, well, they're multi-dimensional
and complex. And you can collapse all that into a single theory,
which is that there's one fundamental environmental emergency
that's climate-related, and that can be attributed more or less
solely to carbon dioxide.
And so the temptation there is to take this overwhelming complexity on the factual side
and reduce it to the kind of simple mantra that anyone can master really in about 15 minutes.
And then you're done with that whole problem. It's like, well, no, the important thing is
climate and the solution is carbon dioxide reductions. Like, no, now the benefit to you is that
you don't have to think anymore.
But there's an additional benefit to the oversimplification, which I think is even more nefarious.
And it's analogous to the oversimplification that's part and parcel of the victim victimizer
narrative.
If you view the world through a lens of power and you assume that every human relationship
can be understood in terms of victim and victimizer, then all you have to do is a moral agent
is claim your ally ship with the victim and you've solved your moral problem.
The same thing applies on the environmental front is once you've established that Carma
Doxide is the villain, then you can make yourself not only a moral agent, but something akin to the
Redeemer himself by merely proclaiming your, what would you say, your moral commitment to
the goal of carbon dioxide reduction.
And so you eliminate having to think in the factual world and you eliminate actually having
to do all the work that accompanies genuine moral effort by swallowing in the environmentalist
narrative. And then there's even a darker part of it as far as I'm concerned. And this is where
things go from merely ignorant and blind to outright malevolent, which is that once you've identified
the problem in the moral solution, you can also take aim at anyone who hypothetically stands in
the way. And you can demonize them.
And as a consequence of your demonization,
you can let the worst elements in your character
have full reign in relationship
to how you treat those people.
And you certainly see that with the victim victimizer narrative
that's being played out with Hamas at the moment.
The Jews are the victimizers.
The Palestinians are the victims. And so that means the Jews are properly subject to whatever
punishment you feel inclined to meet out. It's the same with those who hypothetically are
compromising the environment. And so it's such an ugly mess, say, because it's over simplification
factually. It's ridiculous reductionism on the moral side,
and then it's the provision of a world that allows your desire for vengeful
resentment-driven hypothetical justice to have full reign over those you deem to be enemies of
you in the planet. A very, very toxic combination. And so that's the sort of thing.
It's that combination, I believe, that actually presents the apocalyptic danger and not whatever
other problems, severe as they are that might confront us on the environmental side.
Well, I have to give, again, credit to the arc organizers because I think you had the
most definitive speaker, Stephen Koonen,
talk about the science. And when I'm in, I just spoke at a climate symposium at Harvard
two weeks ago, you know, Jordan. And I always try to present facts calmly. There have been
five mass extinction events on planet Earth in the last 500 million years. Every single one of
them were caused by the planet cooling too quickly.
That's how we lost the dinosaurs as you know.
You can actually give a litany of statistics,
some of which I've gotten from Bjorn Lomborg over the years from the Copenhagen think tank.
The polar bear population is five times what it was 50 years ago.
Total sea rise in the last hundred years has only been
23 centimeters, 23 centimeters. Meaning, meanwhile, a lot of these A-tools and these island nations,
they've grown 123 centimeters. Many of them are actually in better position than they were.
We are having less violent storms, but I think the Stephen Koon-and-oonen argument, which is really an important one, is, yes,
human beings have an impact.
Yes, carbon dioxide matters.
But it matters in such a small level relative to many other factors that are actually impacting
the climate, many of which we don't understand.
So where I take that, and I try to not oversimplify the climate mess, but I always say that
it's a complicated two-part problem.
One is a collective action problem that is to say the greenhouse gases that are admitted
by three countries only, China, India, and Russia.
Right now are two and a half times that, admitted by the entire North American continent and
European Union combined.
So until India, China, and Russia are as serious
about greenhouse gases as the rest of us are supposed to be,
let's not kid ourselves.
We still have a greenhouse gas problem.
And then the other one is the La D'Arto-C Pope Francis.
This is a multi-variable calculus problem.
What we have is people who are denying that there are tradeoffs.
Let's recognize that there are tradeoffs. Let's recognize
that there are tradeoffs. And let's have a con-inclusive fact-based conversation about what's
the best thing to do. I brought a prop today. This is a plastic bottle, right? It has water
in it. Well, so I was telling the crew before we started. This bottle today, Jordan, has won
through the amount of plastic that had in it
three years ago. That's not because of an ESG regulation. That's because it's cheaper to make it
with less plastic and you can do it with less plastic. This is the kind of progress that is being
made because we are more mindful. Consumers are changing their investment decisions. We are seeing
people that want to have greater sustainability.
We can look at Patagonia, this company that now only does close that if you bring them
back, they repair them for you. Patagonia products are flying off the shelves. People want
to have a sustainable future. This is one of the reasons why we can be optimistic about
humanity's future. Jordan and I, I don't downplay human influences. We have to worry about our air, land and water for sure.
10 billion people on the planet. There were 1 billion and 1800, 2 billion and 1900, 4 billion and 1985,
8 billion in 2022 and will peak out at 10 billion by 2073 according to the Lancet.
How are we all going to stay here on this planet together,
allowing everyone to achieve their full potential?
We're going to have to live differently.
We're also going to have to live in an era of aging.
In 2035, there will be more people over the age of 65
than under the age of 18.
We've never had that circumstance before, Jordan.
We're going to have to find ways to live differently,
more inclusively and more sustainably,
while we continue to grow.
And all of that is possible.
I wrote a book on it,
and I'm just so incredibly optimistic
about humanity's future,
and the art conference really helped,
for me, underscore a lot of those themes.
Well, and so one of the things
that we could derive from, let's
say, your discussion of Patagonia is that these new ways that we're going to be required
to find to live need to be offered to people as an invitation and not forced on them. And
so here's one of the things that happened in the aftermath of the art conference that
I found extremely interesting. And so we had quite a range of speakers and the and a quite a range of approach from speakers
and political attitude. And what happened was that the speakers who were the most political
and who were the most tendentious and accusatory, let's say in their approach, produced the
speeches that
are you thinking of?
Is that John Howard?
Who are you thinking of?
McCurley.
McCurley.
Okay.
Yeah.
Particularly.
And this isn't an insult.
He's a politician.
But what happens, it's so interesting to see is because the talks that really offered a invitational metaphysical vision, got exponentially more
views in the aftermath of the art conference, that's yeah, yeah.
And so, but I think this is very much well worth noting is that as you point out, people
do understand quite broadly that we have to live in something approximating harmony with
the broad natural environment. And people
are interested in finding ways to do that. But if they're forced or manipulated into doing that,
which I think tends to be the approach of organizations like the WEF and the UN and even the European
Union to a large degree, if they're forced to do that or connived into it or even nudged into it, which is a very
manipulative way of going about things, they're going to resist, they're going to fight back,
and we're not going to get anywhere, whereas if people are invited and offered an alternative
that they can undertake voluntarily, the probability that they're going to first attend and then
comply is extraordinarily high, not
comply. That's not the right word, but, but participate. You know, you see this in psychotherapy,
it's a psychotherapeutic truism is that if you are setting up a situation where someone
is pursuing positive behavioral change, they have to determine the direction of that change and come to develop
and accept the strategies voluntarily or all they do is kick back in all sorts of ways that are
counterproductive and produce resistance. But it was so interesting to see that unfold at the
art conference because the speakers who were visionary and invitational had by far the biggest
effect. And they really set the tone for the conference too.
And so we really tried to learn that lesson, right?
This has to be an invitation.
That could bring us to our discussion of ESGs.
Do you want to, let me, let me, let me,
let me, let me, I just love to give an exclamation point.
Yes.
Some of the points you're making, though, Jordan,
because you worry about a top-down solution.
And there's every reason for you to
worry about top-down solutions.
We see it right now.
I don't know if you know, but clean energy stocks this year are down 25 percent, while the
stock market is up 25 percent.
We've been forcing so much money into some clean energy solution, windmills off the coast
of Maine and others that are simply not working out similarly. All these incentives
to go by electric vehicles are not working. So there's General Motors Ford's
Talentists. Yes, they're worried about a UAW strike, but they're even more worried about the
fact that California is mandating them to create electric vehicles that people are not buying
Jordan. People are not buying those cars. So what are we gonna do?
Have a bunch of EVs out in parking lots
that nobody's willing to buy
and think that we're solving our global climate crisis?
We're not.
So there is this danger, as you say,
as you enunciate of top-down solutions
that are not being met by bottom-up.
And this is the beauty of the market.
Friedrich Hayek has a lot to say to
us still. You know, I was thinking as I was preparing for this show this morning that God
himself could not create a better system than the free markets. And the reason is that
the free markets consists of billions, unbillions of decisions that are being made by consumers
out of their own free will that are ultimately going to drive where we're going to end up.
And it's so important to remember that consumers attitudes change.
Consumers are going to want to have, for example,
Louis Vuitton is right now designing all of these new luxury leather goods
that are made out of mushrooms so that they can say this most,
this next very luxurious bag is carbon negative.
And I promised you,
they're gonna sell a lot of those bags
to people out there who really wants to be able to say,
look, I have a carbon negative bag.
The beauty of the free markets governed by men and women
of conscience who are mindful with their consumption patterns
and investment patterns. And that's why I say mindfulness. We're going to get the world we deserve
either in this world or the next. Greater mindfulness will lead to greater outcomes.
But we should let the markets, let the markets work because they are better
at delivering the future than anybody who's guessing what the future will be.
We're going to have way too many EVs.
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Let's delve into that a little bit. So the technical reason for that,
so that everybody watching and listening
understands when people promote the free market,
that can be an ideological promotion,
or it can be an observation of sheer computational power.
So imagine that you're, you're trying to make pricing decisions and purchasing decisions, which you
have to do all the time in this world when you're trading one thing off against another.
You could imagine, either, that you set up a system, just think about it computationally.
You could set up a situation where there are literally millions or even billions of local computers gathering data about local circumstances, making trade-offs
with regard to everything that's available to them in terms of data
in that local environment, and then communicating in a network fashion
to indicate trends and future probabilities.
So what needs to be produced, for example,
or you could replace that by a single computer or 10 of them that are trying to gather all of that information with no
eyes on the ground, relying on their hypothetical ideological expertise. And that's the central
planning model. It's like, why the hell would you exchange billions of distributed computers
with sensory apparatus on the ground for a handful
of centralized computers that can't even in principle have access to the proper data.
It's a preposterous claim.
It's an absurd claim.
And it's not like there's something magic about the free market, except for the fact
that it's an optimized system of distributed computation.
And there is no replacing that with centralized view.
And you do get this problem that you just described.
I mean, I think with regards to EVs,
I've wondered this for a long time, electric vehicles,
is like, we know perfectly well, not least,
because of what happened to California,
when they announced that everybody couldn't plug
in their electric cars at the same time,
because the grid didn't have the capacity.
It's like, I've been wondering, why are we being enjoined to buy electric cars at the same time because the grid didn't have the capacity. It's like, I've been wondering, well, why are we being enjoined to buy electric cars when
they, when we don't have the grid power to recharge them?
Then I thought, oh, well, if the plan is actually like the C40 plan, which is the plan put
forward by a consortium of large cities, If the plan is to reduce autumn and be a ownership
by 95% anyways, it doesn't matter if you force people
to buy electric cars that no one wants
and that we won't be able to recharge
because the bloody plan is for people not to have cars at all.
Anyway.
And that's, that's, well, right.
And that's such a terrible plan because cars,
there's very little difference between a car
and freedom and wealth.
It gives you such an unbelievable range of options at any given time, ridiculously efficient
use of private time.
And anybody who objects to that, I think, is immediately to be viewed with extreme
suspicion, especially if they're trying to implement top down compulsory controls.
You know, one of our principles at ARC is no policy that requires compulsion is optimized.
There's a mistake in it somewhere.
You know, that gets tricky when you're dealing with criminals, you know, because sometimes
people are in situations where they won't behave socially or in a psychologically, in a
manner that reflects psychological integrity without compulsion.
But most of the time the rule of thumb has to be, if I have to force you to do something,
I'm putting forward the proposition improperly at minimum improperly.
Well, as you're speaking, I'll talk about a couple of different books today if I'm allowed
to, but one that really did reach me, it was written by Rog Rajan, who's a professor of finance at the University
of Chicago, and it's called the Third Pillar.
And what the thesis that Rog Rajan has, he's also the former chief economist of the IMF
and former governor of the Reserve Bank of India.
But Jordan, what his thesis is, is that society's thrive when they have the three primary pillars of
societal good in balance.
One is the markets.
If you don't have markets, you're not driving prosperity.
The second is the state.
You need good government.
I don't know about you, but I like getting my driver's license on time.
I like it when the stop lights actually work.
We need good government.
The government that governs the least is not necessarily the one that governs best.
And I think Canada is an example of that.
But the third one is actually community or civic society.
And what the thesis that that that raw garage and puts out, I think, very effectively, is
that if you have societies that have either one of those out of kilter,
where markets are too strong, then we run into environmental problems,
or we run into issues of distribution.
We do have externalities, negative externalities in markets that need to be corrected by proper current.
But the role of community and the role of NGOs and the role of the volunteer sector,
the role of faith in a community,
the role is equally important.
If societies have any one of those missing,
they are not in optimal balance.
They tend towards crony capitalism,
which is this topic that Paul Marshall spoke about.
As you know at ARC or they tend towards inefficiencies,
you have to have all three.
We need markets,
we need an optimal state, and we need a community thriving NGO sector, thrive at non-for-profits,
which we do have in the United States. In the United States, we could use slightly better
governments. This is where we're falling down quite candidly. I bring up Poemarshall.
I wrote two articles after the art conference
and one was inspired by poem, Marshall,
but not in the way that he thinks.
He actually spoke from the stage
about the negative impact of Uber
as if it had demolished the lives of many delivery drivers,
which it has.
It has interrupted the lives of many delivery drivers.
But Jordan, it has vastly expanded the market
for livery driving around the world.
There have been 4.2 billion Uber rides
since it was first and the number of markets,
there are 5.5 million Uber drivers
that turn on and off when they want to go to work.
This was a wonderful market innovation,
but it's what you have Schumacher calls,
creative destruction. Markets need
to be destructive, just as they need to be creative in order to maintain that efficiency.
There's going to be disruptions that take place. Uber is a good disruption. I was talking
to Philippa about this afterwards. He said, well, it helps if you're Paul Marshall, because
you always have a driver waiting for you. Those schmucks like me that come to Phoenix and need to find a way to get in from the airport.
I'd rather just do it on my Uber app.
But while the advantage to the market too is that it allows those disruptive forces to operate
in a comparatively, at a comparatively micro level. I mean, there's still radical transformations
in market economies, but the problem with
the centralized economy is that they're so stodgy and blind that adaptation only occurs
in catastrophic fits.
Whereas in a dynamic market, there can be local, small revolutions that are continuous. And like, the way of conceptualizing it technically is that the environment transforms at a rate
that slightly exceeds our adaptation. So there's always unexpected things happening as a consequence
of the action of reality itself. And then we have to fight to keep up. And we're always a little slow on the uptake. And so the adaptation process can be disruptive.
But the wider the distribution of responsibility for adaptation, the larger variety of revolutionary
adaptations that can be on offer and the smaller and more matched they are to the environmental
transformation they can be. And so, you know, it is frightening when you see a novel technological move forward like Uber,
which does disrupt industries and cause a certain number of people grief, but that's much better than
refusing to adapt to the necessity for change and then having to uninvoluntarily undergo a
cataclysmic form of re-adaptation. I mean, that's really what happened when the Soviet Union
collapsed. It was that so many things had gone wrong, that the only solution was that the whole
system had to die. Well, that's an obvious evidence of market failure. When huge things die, small things didn't die fast enough.
That's really the rule of thumb.
So I think there's so many interesting lessons too right now, Jordan,
from AI and from the effective altruism movement.
Many things that we can learn about the governance issues that just came out of open AI.
I don't want to go down that rabbit hole.
But a lot of them again, I think our highlight, the principal points we've been making,
markets are important. Let capital move freely. Let there be innovation, as you know, the whole idea
between OpenAI was to have an open source platform that everyone was contributing to make it all
trueistic so that it could be done in a good way.
And then they found about we still need billions of dollars.
How are we going to raise the billions of dollars to create the computational capacity that AI and chat GBT really requires?
And they knew they had to have that in a for-profit arm. If they did not have that in a for-profit arm, they would not have found the capital.
So important lessons, I think, yes, of course, we need to be mindful,
but there's no way to build the world that we want to build,
where the needs and aspirations of the trillions of people
yet to come, because by the way, if you actually look at where
Homo sapiens sapiens are in the normal course,
there are trillions of human beings yet to be born.
This is the William McAllister arguments are in the normal course, there are trillions of human beings yet to be born.
This is the William McAllister arguments that you probably what we owe the future.
A famous philosopher from Oxford University that you need to have on your show, if you haven't had them on yet.
And so, and this is something that the Pope speaks about very, very eloquently also in La Dato Sea, which is that we do have, in many
ways, Jordan, we do have responsibilities to future generations. And we need to think
how often do you think about your grandchildren? How often do you think about your grandchildren's
grandchildren? Do you care about them? Do you love them? Is the life of your great, great, great,
great grandchild any less important than your life. No, it's not.
So let's go about this process of thinking how it is that we're going to create this sustainable
planet.
And I spent a little bit of time talking about the broad philosophy of Raghrajan, but where
I have spent a great deal of my life and work in Catholic social teaching.
And I'd love to come to Catholic social teaching
at some point on this podcast because, as I say,
it happens to be extraordinarily resonant
and pertinent for the times we live in.
Not because it's Catholic, it just happens to be Catholic.
It's actually about 150 years old.
And I think the broad principles of human dignity,
subsidiary, which you spoke about very eloquently
from the stage, responsibility, personal responsibility. And I think the broad principles of human dignity, subsidiaryity, which you spoke about very eloquently
from the stage, responsibility, personal responsibility.
And then solidarity, the third principle
of Catholic social teaching, which
is that we are our brothers and sisters keepers.
There are too many people, Jordan,
that cannot take care of themselves.
And it is the responsibility of the strong to help the weak.
It is the responsibility for those of us who have more capacities and more
capabilities to give that hand up to those who do not have it. That is Catholic social teaching of what's interesting is that
subsidiary the argument, you know, turns out the declaration of independence is right. All men and women are created equal.
They're obviously in the image of God and they are entitled to a life of liberty and the pursuit of happiness,
their own fulfillment. But the simple fact of matter is that that cannot be achieved without
people taking personal responsibility and families taking responsibilities for their own families
and then communities beyond that. That is how the systems can work. Subsidiarity and solidarity
that are going to live in constant tension were never going to have them resolved.
There's always going to be somebody else who needs to be helped.
There's always going to be somebody else who needs to have more responsibility.
And that is that struggle uphill that you spoke so eloquently about
time and again at ARC.
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So the idea of responsibility for future generations, Let's wander into the Catholic social teaching
domain for a moment. So I spent a lot of time recently writing this book, We Who Ressel
With God, and one of the chapters in that book deals with the story of Abraham. So Abraham
is portrayed as the father of nations. And so my sense is that the story of Abraham contains it within it, the seeds
of what would you say. It contains within it a representation of what it means to live
in the light of eternity. So imagine that you could adopt an ethos that set you up in the best possible manner to increase the probability that your children
would survive and thrive.
But then let's extend that.
Because that's not sufficient.
You could even make an evolutionary biology argument in this direction.
You want to develop an ethos that not only increases the probability that you will have
children and that your children will thrive and survive, but that establishes a pattern
that they imitate, that increases the probability that their children and their children will
thrive and survive.
So, it's an ethos that has to have a multi-generational implication.
So, that's exactly what Abraham does.
Now, and that's the manner in which that's to be done
is actually laid out in the narrative.
So the first thing that happens,
that's very, very interesting,
because it has to do with material satiation.
At the beginning of the story,
Abraham is already, he's already in the arms
of the infantile utopia, right?
Because Abraham has rich parents and he's privileged and he has everything material that anyone
could ever want.
And yet this voice comes to him.
It's the voice of his ancestors and God.
And it says, go out away from what is secure and have the adventure of your life.
And there's a call, that's the calling.
And Abraham attends to that calling and moves out into the world to cataclysmic end, right?
Because he encounters famine and slavery and the connivance of the aristocrats to steal
his wife and battles with his in-laws and like the whole terrible array of potential
catastrophes in life present themselves to Abraham.
But he maintains a sacrificial attitude, right?
That's emphasized throughout the text because every time Abraham embarks on a new adventure
starts something new, he rekindles his affiliation with what is highest and moves forward in faith.
And that's presented as part of a multi-generational vision.
And so one of the things that I find very exciting about the potential union of something
like evolutionary biology and deep theology is the idea that if we oriented ourselves properly
to the highest good, which is by the way the message that's
in the sermon on the mount, we would see in that good the manifestation of the pathway
that would enable us to live in a way that would ensure that respect for multi-generational
continuity that you just spoke about as the soul of sustainability.
And so what that means is that it's the adoption of individual ethical responsibility in the
highest manner that constitutes the proper pathway to sustainability and not top down manipulation
of the political, economic, and social systems to bring about some form of what plans stability,
which we can't do, right?
We can't do that.
No, well, you mean you said, the mere fact that you said earlier,
it's like if you look at China and Russian India,
first of all, we have absolutely no right to tell them
that they can't take the same pathway to wealth that we took.
And that was going to involve the use of coal,
and it's gonna involve the use of fossil fuels.
And we might as well bloody well, just get used to that
because that's going to happen.
And then maybe in the Western countries,
we could be laying the groundwork for a nuclear revolution
and show the pathway forward for these countries
that will have to transition through fossil fuel.
But there's no bloody way we're going to be able to do that
by imposing our idiot utopian views on China and Russia.
And India, they're just going to tell us to go to hell, which is what they should do. imposing our idiot utopian views on China and Russia and India.
They're just going to tell us to go to hell, which is what they should do.
Well, surely I'm thinking of your Abraham story, you know, Jordan, and just the importance
of it and focus on future generations.
And one of the lines that you used repeatedly in London, which has been inscribed into my
brain, is about tilting
the world towards heaven and not towards hell. How do we tilt? There's a lot that we can't do,
but how do we, if the arc of humanity bends towards justice to what degree can we help get that
justice arc going in the right direction? And another book that I wanted to give a shout out to
that I know you have read, and so many people is pure and momboards most recent book best things first. And you know,
let's just be very clear in this book, pure and momboard points out 12 different policies,
five of which are related to health, two of which are related to nutrition, one of education,
and four of which are economic. That would cost $36 billion a year
in a global economy that has $120 trillion
in 120 depending on P.P. purchasing power parity.
But less than one third of one percent
would actually save 4.2 million lives
and would generate a higher GDP of $1.1 trillion, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa
where this growth is most needed.
And these are simple tuberculosis, malaria, ending neglected tropical diseases, agricultural
abundance.
You just look through, you know, I would, I don't know, one thing I'd love to do is give
a copy of that book to literally every single policymaker,
that is to say every single Abraham on Earth saying, look, here are things that we can do
right now.
They're very practical, ending the galactic tropical diseases, doing e-procurement so that
there's a much greater transparency, free trade, we're all against it right now, everyone's
clamping down on free trade.
No, free trade benefits We're all against it right now. Everyone's clamping down on free trade. No, free trade benefits humanity overall.
We've got to continue to find ways where we can trade in accordance with comparative advantage.
This will in fact lift these billions of people who are not yet within the cycle of abundance, not yet in
in in free of energy insecurity. I said another topic that we touched upon in London,
but that we need to return to.
There are three billion human beings on Earth
that live in energy poverty.
They can't turn on the lights.
What they want more than anything,
there's not air conditioning.
They actually would like to have a lamp
to read their books at night.
They can't even read their books.
So these types of Bjorn Longberg policies,
these types of, I have many of them in my book as well
as a concept I call exemplars of hope,
very huge returns on investment.
Some of those investments have to be done human to human.
And I always say, Jordan, there is no marginal tax rate
that gets you to heaven.
If you are earnings or taxed at 100%, there's no moral, paying them, yes, it's legal,
but that doesn't get you to heaven. To get to heaven, it will be by your works alone.
What you do and how you care for those who are most in need and how you can do that at
a societal level, which I believe you do with your podcasts, which I believe you do with your teaching. I was listening to one of
your Joe Rogan conversations recently, and you were talking with joy, absolute joy, about
how people come to you and talk about how their lives have been transformed because of the
type of self-help advice that you've given to them. I look at these things much more
from a, what is an economic solution?
As you know, I've written this book on ESG.
I'm sure we'll get into ESG a little bit.
I'm probably the number one critic
on the face of the Earth of ESG,
not because of what it's trying to do.
I believe that ESG was born of something very good
that I think there's a lot of great intentions out there.
I really don't want to discourage or disdain the intentions.
Even people who are out there protesting for zero carbon emissions, their intentions are
good, Jordan.
We need to work with those intentions.
But what will actually work?
What practically will create a globe
of greater economic growth that is simultaneously more
inclusive, welcoming in those who have not yet had
the great benefits that they need and should have
and have every God given right to have,
just like you and I do, to have the types of material abundance
where they can pursue all their other dreams,
as well as sustainability.
Sustainability is not going away.
We're going to, you talk about the fisheries,
and how much God is off the shore.
If we're not going to be mindful about these things,
we're screwed.
We're going to be screwed.
So I make that case,
but I can talk about homelessness,
I can talk about solutions for recidivism, I can talk about solutions for infant and mother nutrition.
There are solutions out there that just like Bjorn Lomborg points out in his book are
not that expensive relative to the huge benefits that we can get from them.
And this is something I would like to do.
Let's do two things.
Let's wander through the ESG territory. So maybe you can
illuminate my guests as to exactly what ESG means and why it came about and then why you're
leery about it. And then let's turn to a discussion of solutions. So let you go ahead with the ESG to
begin with, to educate people to begin with, because it's not easy for people to understand even what ESG is.
I appreciate that.
So the truth of the matter is that the environmental, social, and governance movement,
the ESG movement, which is all the rage, could not be understood without the context that's
provided by the United Nations and everything that has happened since the Second World War.
So it's a story I need to tell.
So as you probably remember at the end of the Second World War,
Eleanor Roosevelt brought together 42, 43 nations,
and they devised the universal declaration of human rights.
And this was a very utopic document, Jordan,
that said that every human being is entitled to,
to, to, to, to, to, to freedom.
There's a whole range of, of, of, of, inalienable rights are talked about,
but then there are inalienable rights. They're entitled to food, they're entitled to shelter,
they're entitled to education, they're entitled to education. So this was quite something ambitious
to do at the end of the Second World War because the world was devastated.
Well, we didn't know how we were going to rebuild the European continent. Japan was a complete mess.
And yet here was this utopian statement of how humanity should ultimately be striving
for.
Fast forward 50 years from the signing of the United Nations and you have the United
Nations then espousing millennial development goals, the United Nations sustainable development
goals of which there are now 17.
And what happened over the course of that 50 years is something that is insufficiently
celebrated.
Since the end of the Second World War, it's about 2000, the economic transformation of the
globe was beyond anything anyone had possibly imagined possible. The actual material abundance that's actually emerged
since the Second World War is simply unfathomable
to your grandparents or your great grandparents.
They would have no idea.
So per capita income since 1980 alone
went from $2,500 to $12,000.
What comes with all of the growth,
here's a statistic that I love, Jordan,
from 1990 until COVID, 128,000 human souls
escaped abject poverty every day.
Every day, the number of human beings on the planet
that were living on a dollar 91 a day,
which is how the World Bank defines abject poverty.
In 1980, was one out of every two. One out of
every two human beings on the planet struggled to find a meal, struggled to find where they're
going to live, were they have any heat overnight. That statistic today is one out of ten. And of course
that's transpired at a time when when population growth was massive. Along with all of this material and economic abundance
has come what always happens,
greater social, educational, and health advancements.
So we've had a circumstance where life expectancy
has expanded by 22% over that same period.
Infant mortality dropped from 81 out of every 100,000 births
to 25.
So infant mortality has fell of 70 100,000 births to 25. So infant mortality is felt 70%.
Literacy rates, massively improved.
What happens when prosperity grows is other aspects of human existence improve as well.
So what happened then, and I'm coming to ESG, I'm sorry for the prelude, but it's necessary
to have, there is no ESG without this material abundance.
In 1999 and 2000, the United Nations convened the greatest collection of political leaders
in history.
And that collection included kings and prime ministers.
And they designed the millennial development goals.
Do you remember the millennial development goals?
At 2000. And the millennial development goals was, let's get rid of poverty completely.
Let's have a K-12 universal education around the globe.
Things that were unfathomable 50 years earlier.
And let's find a way to make sure that there is greater political freedoms, broadly speaking.
What ended up happening, though, is continued progress was being made on those, Jordan, and
tell about 2005 when Kofi Anon, who is the Secretary General of the United Nations, convened
a group of financiers.
And he said, listen, I want there to be a group of financiers
that come up with investment principles
that would help promote these United Nations
sustainable development goals and millennial development goals.
Why don't you very smart people, 70 of me,
he picked going to room and come back
and tell me what those principles for responsible investing are.
This is where ESG came from.
ESG emerged in 2005 with
Kofi Anon ringing the bell at this New York Stock Exchange announcing these
investment principles. What were these investment principles? There were
series of principles relating to environmental, social, and governance
factors that this group of financiers had assessed could present
material risks.
Material risks, if we don't handle these things well enough, they will lead to financial
failure.
Stocks will go down.
There was, so ESG actually came out of the United Nations Declaration for Human Rights,
the millennial, the millennial sustainable and the millennial
development goals and the sustainable development goals, and the United Nations principles for
responsible investing that first went public in 2005. Today, there are more than 6,000
signatories to the United Nations principles for responsible investment, Jordan. Those institutions
collectively manage $120 trillion
in assets.
That is to say, they manage one half of all the institutional
assets that are available for investment in the world.
What are these people doing?
Well, they've come up with a series of products and ideas
and corporate resolutions and any number of things
that are intended to highlight various elements of these
environmental, social, and governance issues of pertinence to them.
So we tell the Bud Light story, right?
Someone decided that it was very important for Bud Light to expand its market share.
They need to be expanding in a DEI-sensitive way.
What do they do?
They have a commercial that was misconceived.
It pissed off two-thirds of the people
who were actually drinking their beer
and didn't result in any...
So the ESG rules, as they have actually been applied,
have had a very, very, a very serious
of unintended consequences
that haven't always been, well, that happened eleterious.
My principal criticism, though, of ESG as a financier, and the work that I write about
in the book, and the reason why I believe ESG has neither done well nor much good is what
I say. That was a Wall Street Journal op-ed that I wrote that was read 4.2 million times.
It hasn't done well because in actual practice, Jordan,
what people have done is, here's these ESG rules.
In the S&P 500, which of course is comprised of the,
ostensibly the 500 best companies in the United States,
typically what the ESG enthusiasts do is they take out
400 of those and only invest in 100 of the remaining stops. the key thing that I'm going to do is to get a new job.
And so,
the key thing that I'm going to do is
get a new job.
And so,
the
key thing that I'm going to do is
get a new job.
And so,
the key thing that I'm going to
do is to get a new job.
And so,
the key thing that I'm going to
do is to get a new job.
And so,
the key thing that I'm going to get a new job. And so not owning Exxon mobile is going to somehow change the temperature of the earth is just the silliest thing, imagine. In fact,
it has the entire thesis on its head. There's been this concept of socially responsible investing
that has been around for centuries, have been for centuries. Many people avoided investing
in the slave trade, right? Many people, religious groups, sounded absolutely abhorrent.
But the slave trade continued, didn't it?
Why?
It continued because one quarter of humanity was still willing to invest in it
and turned out as abhorrent as it was, it was incredibly lucrative.
The same thing is true in modern society.
There have been a number of investors, likely, most likely religiously based,
that have avoided what are called syn-stocks.
The syn-stocks are in four areas,
gambling, alcohol, tobacco, and firearms.
So many religiously organized religious organizations
have not invested in these sorts,
but has that stock smoking, has that stopped people drinking,
has that stopped people from buying a firearm,
has that stopped people from gambling?
Of course it hasn't.
So the ESG movement, investment movement,
is based on the same principle of,
if I don't invest an ex-on-mobile,
somehow the temperature of the earth
is going to improve, it's pure silliness, Jordan.
It's pure silliness.
So I gave quite a, quite an exposition there,
where I wanted to come out is that my criticism
of the ESG as an investment movement
is not that it shouldn't be trying to solve the problems
of our times, but that it hasn't.
It's done exactly the opposite of what
it needs to be done.
And I'm a big proponent of impact investing.
And I can give you literally 100 examples
of affordable housing, DEI opportunities
for female minority entrepreneurs that genuinely address some
of these issues of inclusivity and sustainability.
There are ways to invest that genuinely takes carbon out of the air.
You can do that with a green bond fund, but you cannot do it with these ESG equity funds.
So, let me ask you what might be a more fundamental question. I mean, it seems to me
that Anand's recommendations were ill-founded a priority. And let me walk through this and tell
me what you think about it. So because he's making the assumption that there is already irresponsible investing that can be
rectified by conscious attention to a set of ethical principles.
And see, this strikes me as ill as an ill pose problem because if you have any sense
and you're investing, you invest as wisely as you possibly can.
And the reason you all things considered, and the reason you do that is because, well,
you don't want to lose your money, your hard-earned money, and so you're already very much motivated
to invest wisely. Now, you could say, well, that would open the door to people making a short-term
killing at other people's expense, and maybe that's what the door to people making a short term killing at other
people's expense. And maybe that's what happens with so-called sin investing. But my sense is that
while you can get away with making a short term investment at other people's expense once or twice,
but you're going to get hammered for it sooner or later. And so a non-notion was predicated on
the idea that there was a way of imposing an apriori ethical
framework on the problem of investment that would produce investments that would somehow
do better, which strikes me as highly improbable, and that would actually increase what would
you say ethical behavior as such.
I would say that people are ready as motivated to invest wisely as they possibly can be if they're investing
their own money or money they take stewardship up.
And the imposition of some top down ideological framework is only going to compromise the
investment strategy and not only the investment strategy, but also the market strategy of
companies.
I mean, look, we've seen, well, Budweiser is a great example of an absolute bloody catastrophe.
Target put their neck in the same news.
I think Disney's stock is down something like 50% because they fired everybody who could
actually tell a story and brought in people who did nothing but, you know, produce second
rate ideologically oriented narratives of the sort that flew in the face of what their
customers demanded and undermined their entire brand.
And so how deep do you think the conflict between the ESG attitude and the fundamental free market
principles of responsible investing actually runs? Because I think, like it looks to me, that a non-took
what was essentially a socialist or even a communist view, which is that, well, the market itself can't be trusted,
and it's necessary to generate these a priori ideological frameworks, because that would direct
everything much more effectively than it would be otherwise in a, you know, honest free market economy.
The whole thing to me just strikes, first of all, there's no bloody way you're going to beat the
market with a strategy like that. Nobody can beat the market, not continuously, because they just have all the
money. So there is this problem that it doesn't work in practice, but I also think there's
a problem that it doesn't work in principle, that it's the wrong way to go about it.
It is certainly the wrong way to go about it, so much so that I have this article that I
just shared with you.
It's coming out next week with AI that I co-authored with Senator Phil Graham, where we call
for the end of ESG.
It's an irredeemable project at this stage, Jordan, because it is, as you say, falsely
premised.
And if something is falsely premised from the beginning, there's no way to adjust
it to make it work.
And you've said something that's very, very wise
and Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger recently passed away.
They've lived their lives at a court
into this maximum.
It is extremely difficult to beat the S&P 500.
You can own it for one basis point.
That's what most people should do.
But I'm someone, you know,
and my career has been about advising people
what to do with their assets, their investments.
And I'm somebody who deeply believes Jordan that if you're willing to make an investment
that's going to have a lower return, but it's going to result in, I don't, you know,
affordable housing or it's going to bring clean water to a village in Rwando or it's
going to, and you're willing to take a lower return, my God, go at it.
And a $51 trillion in wealth is about to be passed from the current generation of billionaires
to their, let's say, less hardworking children.
And that particular group of individuals are very mindful for double bottom lines.
That is to say, they do want their money to do well and to do good.
And an important part of my new business and all the work that I'm doing is to provide
investors who have this double bottom line mindset that want to do well and do good. That
is somehow willing to take a lower return as long as they somehow benefit some corner of society.
Well, there's going to be a lot of capital that's looking to do that.
And that's going to be an important part of what creates
this inclusive, sustainable growth world that we're going to need.
That's going to be this important part of that community,
that community, you know, we said it's the market,
it's the state and community that have to work together,
and we're going to need that community to be part of the solution.
So let me ask you a question about that.
I mean, I certainly understand the direction
that you're trying to aim
a certain percentage of investors in,
and I can imagine that that would all be-
That's a small percentage.
A very small percentage.
Right, well, and man, maybe a percentage
of someone's portfolio, but I'm also wondering,
you know, like one of the principles that I've
Abided by when attempting to produce even
products that are
of
Particular benefit to people psychologically like I have a suite of
Psychological interventions online that I've been marketing to people for about two and a half decades
I mean one of the principles that we established my business partners and I before we created
these interventions was that not only did they have to be useful, so to do good, not only
did they have to have that they had to be of demonstrable good, but they also had to
do competitively well. So if I said, well, maybe
so, so is it too much to ask for people, for example, who are providing affordable housing,
let's say, that they do it in such a candy manner that they also equal or beat what you
might expect for standard market returns. And couldn't you use that as an indication of
the quality of their offering? Or do you feel that there are situations where placing both constraints
on people, you know, you have to do good and you have to do well, makes movement forward
too difficult?
Well, let me give some numbers to frame the challenge and then answer your question directly.
So as you probably remember, the name of my company is 1.6.
1.6% of institutional assets is $3.5 trillion.
So this is a little bit like the Beyond Learn Board number.
If we actually, if institutional investors
and ultra-high net worth individuals
were to allocate 1.6% of their assets per year
to these types of investments that we're talking about,
true double bottom line investments, affordable housing, I can come up the number of health,
financial inclusion, education, there are any number of book notes, the number of online
learning tools that are, we could actually achieve the United Nations sustainable development
goals by 2030. So that is the amount of private capital that is needed to fill the gap.
So just put that number out there so they frame that.
But let me respond more specifically to your,
I think the one area of investment
that I've spent most of my time on in the United States,
Jordan is affordable housing.
We are basically shy.
I mean, we have a homelessness problem,
we have a affordable housing problem.
There are only three ways really genuinely to build wealth in a lifetime.
One is to start a business or be an amazing professor like yourself.
Two is to own the S&P 500 for 30 years, but the third one is to own your own home rather
than rent.
So we need to have, find a way for there to continue to be greater access to home ownership.
From those who right now come out of college with these student loans and can't make a down
payment, we're going to have to find a turns out that the equity returns on some of these
affordable housing programs in Nashville and Austin across the country, the equity returns
to the investors are between 16 and 18 percent a year.
Well, I'm sorry, dear friend. That is still 12% ahead of, you know, 14% ahead of the inflation rate,
and well in line with the actuarial needs of a number of the retirees,
if you can actually have a 15% return you double your money every five years,
who doesn't want to do that.
So an important part of what we're doing at my company is highlighting
where these opportunities for double bottom lines truly exist is something that I would
love a future arc forum and we're talking about arc in the United States having, it's
one thing that I would like there to be a thread on in arc in the United States because I think
the United States has a far greater likelihood of leading in philanthropy and leading in these creative solutions than Europe where they expect governments
to do everything.
Europe, you know, there's hardly any philanthropic giving in Europe because everyone, well,
it's the state, you know, there's zero philanthropic giving in Russia and China because the state
is the only thing.
Imagine trying to be a nonprofit in China or Russia solving problems, you get
outlawed.
So the very interesting thing though, is a lot of creativity is coming from these various
organizations.
And I always give a shout out to my dear friend, Jim Sorensen, and the Sorensen Impact
team, which is in Salt Lake City, you should also have Jim Sorensen on at some point.
So he pivoted 100% of his portfolio
three years ago, Jordan, to impact.
The only types of investments he makes now
have to have verifiable impact.
And he's outperforming the market.
He's outperforming the market by 100.
Now to me, this is the sweet spot.
If you're outperforming the market
and you're solving some major social
and environmental problem of the day, I'm all in. I'm all in. Right, right. So you are making the case that,
like with sufficient judgment, you can have your cake and eat it too. Well, that was my sense with regards to
yeah,
emphasis on this, emphasis on the sufficient judgment. It's hard. You have to be mindful.
And there's a lot of ho come out there. There's a lot of, there's a lot of pretenders
and false gods
and cryptocurrency traders that have these,
you know, solutions,
you really must do your homework
to make sure that there is verifiable additionality
that is to say a dollar that is put into the strategy
is gonna create a solution
that absent that dollar does not happen.
There needs to be real impact.
And that's something that you can say
in affordable housing. That's something you can say in affordable housing.
That's something you can say in some of these educational initiatives, financial inclusion
initiatives, improving people's FICO scores, for example, gives them direct access to
borrowing and directives.
And there's a whole business operation hope in Atlanta, a great NGO, one of the organizations
I call an exemplar of hope that has a proven pedagogy,
Jordan, a proven pedagogy that improves inclusivity and sustainability without compromising economic
growth. There are literally dozens of these organizations throughout the United States.
And a lot of what they're doing can be replicated around the world. So I've kind of got the,
you know, Bjorn Lomborg has done a really good job on these top 12.
I got the next ones down on homelessness,
recidivism, job opportunities.
Here's a great one from Catholic Charities Fort Worth and Dallas.
So it turns out, as I'm sure you know,
95% of the community college courses that people
take in the United States of America,
which are free, basically, do not lead to a certification.
It turns out a lot of people taking
those community college courses.
90%.
It's a crazy waste of money.
What did they learn at Catholic Charities Fort Worth?
They learned that if they actually give a case worker
to everyone who's trying to get a community college degree,
which is an expense.
It's like a Bjorn Lornborg cost-benefit expense.
But if you get that, the completion rates multiply fivefold.
And then what happens?
Those mothers, then they're usually single mothers, you know, in their teens or early
20s, they go from welfare dependency to work in independence.
And this is where we got to do this is what the call for greater personal responsibility
tells us.
This is what the call for for Jacob's ladder tells us. This is what the call for greater
inclusivity tells us. This is what Abraham would do if he were alive today.
Right. Okay. So that that program that you just described that something akin to a mentorship
program is so that people are going to college, but they don't have guidance. They don't
have any way of abouncing their plan of someone. And everyone needs that.
And for me, you know, if you have mom, take care of little jujube on Tuesday afternoons,
you can make this course. You're able to make it if you just adjust your schedule and drop off
and here's another daycare program that you could use that you haven't heard of.
That's right for the additional assistance. Let me give you one, though, that I love even more,
which is teenage recidivism. So's right for the additional assistance. Let me give you one though that I love even more,
which is teenage recidivism.
So it turns out the laboratory for economic opportunity
at the University of Notre Dame,
which is an anti-poverty lab studied
what was going on with teenage truance
in the state of Indiana.
And you know what they found out, Jordan?
They found out that if they teach a course
of Aristotelian ethics to these 13, 14, 15, 16-year-old kids,
all of them are brighter than we give them credit for.
Yeah.
While they are going through these truancy programs, recidivism declines 70%.
These poor children, God bless them, have never had anybody to tell them, this is good,
this is evil.
Right. This is what an examined life consists of. This is what an
unexamined life results in. And they're reading the original texts or reading Aristotle. They're
reading Plato. I was very moved by Oz Guinness, for example, at Ark. It's the kind of thing that
Oz Guinness would have designed himself.
So when you think of these individual programs that I'm describing, another one that I love
in here in New York City is Ready Willing and Abel.
We're in a New York studio here.
And I'm sure that folks here have seen there are these guys that are pushing buckets on
the street corners around New York City and their job is to sweep up the streets.
All of those guys are homeless or former incarceration.
And they're given a six month opportunity to decide if they stay clean, they stay off
of drugs, they sleep in the home that are provided in there if there's a communal living
circumstance.
And they clean the streets for which they are paid by New York City.
They can then choose from more than a dozen accreditation programs ranging from
becoming a
plumber to becoming a massage therapist to any other, and again, Jordan, they are moved from
dependency to independence from a life of despair to a life of meaning, fulfillment,
and purpose. And these are oftentimes funded by the social bonds that are based on outcomes.
The things that are going on in this sort of social engineering space, social entrepreneurial space,
it's very exciting. It's very exciting. And something that I hope future
arc forms will be able to, you know, really put in bright lives, solutions, things that are working,
ways that we are changing individuals' lives in the moment that is verifiably not only fulfilling
them, but lowering the burden on society. Taking people. Renown of Ada has halved homelessness in the last six months. Do you know how
Renown of Ada halved the homeless rate? No, they built, they built
enough affordable housing, and then they made it a law you cannot sleep on the streets.
You are arrested if you stay on the streets. So everybody had a place to go.
They had to go to these places. Guess what happened when they went to these and forward with?
They were then given career counseling.
Those who had drug problems were given drug attention.
Those who are mentally ill and a good part of our homeless
problem in this country is mentally ill people.
We let them ride the subways here.
It's crazy.
No, they have to be put into programs, Jordan,
that actually matches them with the needs
that they might need to tell you this.
And there's a so renown Nevada has done something that San Francisco and LA need to figure out.
We have more than enough space in the city of New York to put homeless people. In fact, there's always enough beds in the city of New York for homeless people. But then combining that with the proper level
of of of trading counseling to get to independence is what's necessary.
Okay, so so I would like to hear some more of these solutions, but maybe right now you could also
I'm curious too. How are people how could people who are watching and listening participate in programs like
this and where could they turn to for the kind of investment advice into these programs that
you would regard as credible and reliable?
Yeah, so I've got to be careful here because this has become very self-promotional.
Well, that's okay.
We can let people sort through that themselves.
Okay, well, my website, www.1.6.com
highlights a whole range of these investment possibilities.
And I have a, what I call a curated town square,
which is called the solutions forum.
And on the solutions forum, where I post, for example,
my video from ARC, but any others is an open source,
anyone who wants to put out their ideas for what they're doing on homelessness,
what they're doing on these various social issues are able to do so.
So that would be one area that I would suggest.
An exemplar of hope, which is something that I've trademarked,
is, and it's global.
They have a bunch of these, there's a wonderful one in the UK called Make It Click,
which goes home to home and teaches people
how to use internet services
and how to actually gain access to the information
that's already in their homes
that they didn't know that was available to them.
Make it click program.
These various exemplars have many opportunities
for volunteerism, for other forms of time, or talent and treasure. That's
what the philanthropic world needs, time, talent and treasure. All three are needed.
But in terms of scaling some of the very, very best ideas, I mean, anybody out there wants to
volunteer to teach Aristotelian ethics and their local
delinquency center.
There's ways to learn how to do that.
And I will promise to you, Jordan, the people that choose to do this, what you do for a living,
by the way.
But the people who do that will find those days to be the most fulfilling of their lives.
Right.
Definitely.
The days that they're going to come home and just say, I did something today.
You said something that I wrote down
at the Art Conference of London,
which is that there is no difference
between thinking about ourselves and being miserable.
To the extent that we're focused on ourselves
and our own needs and our wants,
literally that is the recipe for human misery.
You want to actually be non-missable,
then operate with the third pillar
of Catholic social teaching, which is solidarity.
We are our brothers and sisters, keepers.
By the way, I put in that same category, civility.
I think it's very, very, very possible for all of us to contribute to a greater culture of civility.
By the way, that means being better listeners as a start.
And trying to respond to, I've had my niece, the one that I worry about,
not wanting to have children, I think she's changing her mind,
come to my lectures and read my, and just say,
please, you know, Claire, criticize me. What did I get wrong?
Tell me what just, did you have a chance to read this? Did you see this?
And I can't give up, you know, I can't give up Jordan.
It would be wrong for me to give up.
And it's wrong for any of us to give up.
Abraham didn't give up, did he?
So this 1.6.com, is that written out?
1.0 and 1.1 is numeric.
0.6 is alphabetic.
I also have my own book, Sustainable, which was endorsed by Pope Francis and Larry
Fink wrote the foreword that talks about these dozens of these exemplars of hope, just as examples,
and also provides this criticism of the ESG, which I'm not going to leave. I believe that we
would be better off just abandoning the whole project, moving on. acronym based investing, remember the bricks,
we were supposed to only invest in the bricks
for a while, Brazil, Russia, India, China,
well, that's not the right investment strategy.
Then there was the Fang, a Facebook,
Alphabet, Netflix, Google,
that made no sense anymore.
So we need to move on from ESG, understand
that it was well-intended, but that there's better
solutions.
There's better ways for us to achieve greater inclusivity.
There's better ways for us to achieve greater sustainability.
And I put another fine point on this.
I think B corporations, you probably know B corporations are these corporations that promise
to operate in accordance with very strict ethical rules, very strict environmental rules.
I say great, working for a B corporation is wonderful,
it leads to a great conscience.
Just don't have any of those in your 401K
because you can't be able to retire.
Yeah, well, that shows is that what happens
is that the appearance of moral effort
is substituted for actual moral effort.
And that's why those companies underperform.
Like one of the things we should point out to people who are watching and listening in
keeping with what you just said is that there is no magic bullet to investing.
It is no simpler to invest your money than it is to earn it.
Those are equivalent problems.
And you have to be one wise and awake person to figure out
where to put your money so that it will generate a return. And that's probably the first thing you
should be looking for. Because if the people who are who have your money can't do that, they probably
can't do anything else. And then the second thing you should consider is, well, is this the sort
of enterprise that you believe in your soul is worth supporting. Because you're actually morally
obligated to do wise things with your money as well. Not least to demonstrate to yourself that you believe in your soul is worth supporting because you're actually morally obligated to do wise things with your money as well.
Not least to demonstrate to yourself
that you have some respect for the time and effort
you invested into generating the money to begin with.
And I suppose not least because poorly invested money
can do an awful lot of damage.
Right, the last thing you wanna do
is give dangerous idiots money.
I need to give you an A-man, a AA-manman, a triple A-man, and all of that, and just
maybe add for listeners that we think a lot about our physical health.
We think a lot about our emotional health.
We think a lot about our mental health.
We go to the gym.
We're careful of what we eat.
We need to be equally mindful about our financial health, particularly in this age of aging.
Almost everyone listening to this podcast is going to
end up outliving their parents and they're going to be there in their 80s. And if all they have
is social security, they do not have a meaningful life. You're going to have to have some type of
nest egg. We are living longer and I'm saying this to everybody in the room as well. What you have to do with your 401k is put it in the stock market when you're young and forget about it.
Don't even look at it until you turn 65.
You turn 65, you're going to open and say,
well, I've got $2 million in savings. How did I do that?
You did it by not bothering with it. You just let it go.
Be mindful about your savings patterns.
Be mindful about your investment patterns. Be mindful about your investment patterns.
If you are so wealthy and you have so much time
and you want to go for double bottom line investing
or you have a desire to have your money do well and do good,
well that's fine too, but it's still gonna require
mindfulness, it's still gonna require deep care,
it's still gonna require discernment
because there's no easy way to just like you have to be careful
about your physical health, you have to be careful about your physical health,
you have to be careful about your financial health.
Yeah, well, I studied for a while the phenomenon of money managers because I was interested in
investigating the possibility that there were statistical ways of predicting market behavior,
and I basically concluded not that this was unique to me, but at least to my own satisfaction that that was actually a technically impossible outcome to perform,
except in very rare cases. And so that your best bet, and this is the advice that you
gave earlier, is if you're, especially if you're the average investor, is to buy something
like an index fund with a low manager fee and just leave it the hell alone, because you're
not going to beat, you're not going to beat that.
Now let me give you a statistic for that.
Only one out of five managers beats the S&P 500 over a five-year period, only one out of
10 over a 10-year period, and they aren't the same manager.
Right.
They aren't the same manager.
So the idea that somehow you're smart enough, well, I'm going to buy Netflix and Google and
hang on to it and see what I can, it's nuts.
You cannot be smarter than the market.
Something so easy.
You can buy it for one basis point, at Vanguard, Fidelity, any number of places, and just
put it in place and forget it.
The older you get, start buying some bonds and having an income stream, and then more importantly, volunteer your time, look after your community, be involved with
those in need around you, be there for your brothers and sisters, your grandkids, and
others.
That's where you're going to want to spend your time.
Right.
Right.
Right.
Now, you said that Larry Fink wrote the intro to your book.
And that's interesting because Larry Fink is probably the world's most famous proponent
of the ESG strategy. And so how did that come about? And, well, I presume you obviously must know
Larry. And what does he think of your ideas? And why did he write the forward to your book?
Well, this is how many people are listening to this podcast, Jordan, because this is quite a personal story.
Oh, someone more than a 250,000 and a million.
But, you know, obviously, I'm going to tell the story.
I'm going to tell the story.
I'm going to tell the story.
The story we're telling and it reflects very well on Larry think and my colleagues at
BlackRock.
So, I was a very senior executive BlackRock.
I went to the group executive board.
I said, I wanted to write this book on ESG.
I didn't know where it was going to take me, Jordan.
ESG was a relatively new thing.
I wanted to spend time.
I didn't have my ideas so far.
As I went into the book,
and as I started studying all these ESG ratings
and the fact that they're completely uncorrelated
and frankly, they're a bunch of nonsense.
They made no sense.
I ended up becoming more critical of what was coming out
on ESG.
And I'm still submitting all of these chapters
to my colleagues in Columbia University Press,
Columbia's the my publisher.
And I'm thinking that I'm a hunky-ki Dorian my way. Well, it turns out when
the book finished, my senior executive of BlackRock said, you can't publish this book.
This book is a little too racy. I said, well, I'm sorry. I think that we agreed that we would.
Well, go speak to the boss. So I went to speak to Larry and said, Larry, Larry was, and he said, this is very simple. I have a simple solution. I'll write the forward to the boss. So I went to speak to Larry and I said Larry Larry was and he said this is very simple
I have a simple solution. I'll write the forward to the book and what does Larry write in the forward to the book?
I I commended to you. He's very complimentary of me. He's very
complimentary of the work that you the book, but says I don't agree with everything Terry says
So very simple very very simple, you know get out of Joe and Larry his great credit, and I have nothing but great things to say about Larry
think he is a close friend, always welcomes him the debate.
Today, Larry think does not use the term ESG.
He has stricken it from his vocabulary because he has decided it is overly politicized and
it means the wrong thing.
So I would say I probably get some credit for that.
Larry thinks not using ESG, one down, four billion to go.
Let's focus on impact investing.
Let's focus on true double bottom line.
And let's focus on making sure that asset owners,
those who investors, get what they really want.
I mean, I advise the Pope on finances. I've advised the world's
largest sub-and-run funds. I always only asked one question, Jordan. What are you trying to do?
If I were your financial advisor, I would do the same thing. What are you, Jordan Peterson,
trying to do? What are your goals? Lay it out. Give me your plan. What are you trying to do?
And then it is my fiduciary duty
to make sure that I devise
the most cost effective, efficient,
and highest probability portfolio solution
that will actually achieve what your goals are.
That's what being a fiduciary means.
And I can say with my hand on my heart
that in the 13 years that I was at BlackRock,
I never did anything but that.
I never sold a single ESG fund when I was at BlackRock,
and I did more than $130 trillion worth of transactions,
which is a lot of transactions,
and never once sold in ESG fund,
because they were never the right solution.
They were never the right solution.
You said that you had worked with Pope Francis and I've been struck and I would say
Primarily negatively by what I've seen as his emphasis on
Climate responsibility, let's say my sancy is that the proper responsibility of the church is the salvation of individual souls. And that sort of thing is contentious and political enough
so that it's actually not the proper business of the church.
Now, I don't know much about Pope Francis.
And apart from that particular criticism,
I would say, and the small knowledge
that was required to generate it, I'm quite ignorant.
Would you tell me in your view and our viewers
what your experience was in working with Pope Francis
on such ideas?
And I will do so with joy.
I always say, Jordan, that my Catholic church
has the heart of Pope Francis, the brains
of Benedict XVI and the fortitude of John Paul II.
And it turns out those three individuals didn't agree on a lot.
And Pope Francis is someone who has definitely veered into a number of economic and social
topics that I do not personally agree with.
But having been a Catholic all 64 years of my life,
I note that the church's teachings evolve.
Let me tell you though a personal story about Pope Francis.
So during the time that I was working on
the Hispanic and financial reform commission,
I lived in the exact same residence where he lived,
which is Santa Marta within at the Vatican City State.
And every morning I was allowed to go to mass.
And one morning I was at mass and there was just a horrible smell.
And I couldn't figure out what this horrible smell was.
This is a fairly curated audience.
And I look over my right shoulder and I see there's a homeless guy
with two dogs right behind me.
And I'm thinking to myself, well, security
was a little
accident, not sure how this happened. So we go out to breakfast and breakfast
at Santa Marta, it served a cafeteria style. So the pope is helping himself to
eggs just as you're leaning over for a piece of bacon and you're smiling with one
another and it's a very cordial affair. But I sit down, I said, you know,
there was some people in the back of the chapel this morning,
does anybody know what's going on?
Oh, yeah, you don't know.
No, I don't know.
I said, well, yes, every night,
Pope Francis sends one of his emissaries
out to the bridges in Rome and finds homeless people
and invites them to come to mass the next morning.
They usually do that at between 11 and 1 o'clock in the morning, 11 p.m.
1 o'clock in the morning.
And this particular individual said, well, I'd like to come, but I can't because I have two dogs.
And they said, you're allowed to bring the dogs.
So this person was the personal invite of Pope Francis to come and hear the word of the Lord.
By the way, he was also given a shower,
a shampoo, and a shave at the end of it.
Pope Francis instituted in the Vatican City State
a free barbershop for anybody in Rome
who wants to come in and get cleaned up.
That's paid for by the Vatican.
So I think this is a story that I hope
reveals the heart of Pope Francis,
who is a good man. I don't know heart of Pope Francis,
who is a good man.
I don't know about you, Jordan,
but being in charge of 1.2 billion souls on the planet,
that's one hell of a burden.
Being in charge of an organization that is as political
as the church is with,
as wide views politically as you can possibly imagine,
from liberation theologists who are full blown Marxists,
to some of the most conservative people on planet,
all of those people are Catholics under one roof,
to actually try to beat the shepherd for that flock
is not a task that I envy.
And I'll also just point out that there are only three
monarchies left on the planet.
Pope Francis is one of them.
Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman of Saudi Arabia is another and the Sultan of Brunei.
What these three guys say goes in their country, whatever they do, that's the law.
And so the heavy is the head that bears the crown.
Heavy is the head that bears the pontiff hats and my my my respect for Pope Francis and what
he's trying to do is eternal. I respectfully disagree with him on things, but the Catholic church,
like every church, like any any listener believer, it's it's the community of believers that ultimately
make that community. There is such a thing as the congregation of the laity.
The laity within the Catholic Church has a lot to say.
And those of us who have disagreements with Church,
I'm writing this article with Erica Castelow right now
on the issue of children.
Erica, by the way, another wonderful speaker
at the art conference in London, somebody I had dinner with
two nights ago with her husband.
And we believe that we can push the church a little bit further.
We should not have unwanted children, Jordan.
We should not bring people into this world
that we cannot properly take care of.
If that involves some form of birth control,
we'll so be it.
And so we're going to have to have more of a grown-up conversation
inspired by the teachings of Jesus,
inspired by the teachings of Jesus, inspired by the teachings of the church
that takes into account that we live in this new world of 10 billion people, 10 billion people,
trying to make this little ball of mud and water and a little, little, little sliver of air on top of it,
work for centuries and centuries to come. Because like Abraham, we have to care about our great, great, great, great, great grandchildren.
Well, you know, that's a pretty good place to end, and it's perfectly time, so I think we'll take that opportunity to do exactly that.
I'm going to reiterate for the viewers and listeners the websites that you described.
The first one was www.1.6.com with one numeric and six written out. I've
got that right. I hope. One point is also written out. One is numeric. Point is written
out. P-L-I-N-T-S-I-X. Okay. And you talk about the solutions for them there. You also mentioned
a site in the UK. Make it click.com, if I got that right.
We'll put all this in the description of the video.
Yeah, but that's so annoying.
Speaker notes.
Yes, absolutely.
Absolutely.
Well, thank you very much for the discussion today.
It cleared up a lot of things for me.
I was very particularly curious about your comments, about Larry Fink.
I'm very glad to hear that he had the largeness of mind, of spirit, let's say, to enthusiastically
promote your book, despite the fact that you had substantive disagreements with him.
I thought you did a remarkable job of being even handed in your discussion of the ESG movement,
pointing out that it's a mistake to assume that the motivations that gave rise to the
movement were all to be treated with cynicism, exactly. Yeah, well, and I think the same thing is
true of the UN Millennium goals. I mean, we need ambitions and we need to figure out how to
implement them without undue top-down control. And that's actually a very difficult problem, right?
Something we're wrestling with at ARC is like, well, how can we provide leadership without
what, transforming across even a few short years into just another organization that issues top
down in a moral pronouncements? It's a very difficult thing to get right for any length of time. So,
I appreciate all that.
I want to thank everybody who's watching and listening for your time in the tension.
I repeat that after every episode, but it's always true.
I'm very thrilled to have the privilege to talk to as many people as I do get to talk
to.
And I'm also heartened by the fact that these podcasts, which are very technically complex
and that I
What put forward at the highest level of my intellectual ability that they meet with such a receptive audience and that all these people like you sir Who can bring their wisdom out into the world are being welcomed in their attempts to do so?
I think that's absolutely remarkable and and another reason for hope in a in a
Future that's going to be very challenging,
but that is right with an unbelievable amount of opportunities,
which is also something that you made clear today.
And thank you again to the Daily Wire Plus people
for making these conversations possible
and the film crew here on Vancouver Island,
where I am with my family.
I'm going to continue my discussion with Terry
on the Daily Wire Plus platform. I'd like to delve a discussion with Terry on the daily wear plus platform.
I'd like to delve a little bit into his personal background.
Find out I want to find out where he came from and why and what motivates him.
And so if you want to join us on the daily wear plus side, that also offers you an opportunity
to throw some support the daily wear away.
And I think that's a useful thing to do given what they're attempting to accomplish in
the world. There's an organization that's trying to do good and do well at the same time and my experience
with them really indicates that that is what they're attempting to do and quite successfully. So
hopefully we'll join some of you there. Thanks again, Mr. Kayley, much, much appreciated.
It's an honor, Jordan, genuine in honor. Thank you so much for having me.