The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast - 433. Streaming, Politics, & Philosophy | Destiny (Steven Bonnell II)

Episode Date: March 21, 2024

Dr. Jordan B. Peterson sits down in-person with Steven Bonnell II, also known as Destiny. They discuss the differences between the left and the right, force versus invitation, the feasibility and pitf...alls of command economies, the dangers of ideology, and government response to worldwide crises. Destiny, also known as Steven Bonnell II, is a prominent political commentator and content creator known for his debate skills and provocative takes on various issues. With a passion for gaming, politics, and philosophy, Destiny engages in lively discussions that often challenge the status quo.  - Links - 2024 tour details can be found here https://jordanbpeterson.com/events   Peterson Academy https://petersonacademy.com/    For Steven Bonnell II: Destiny’s YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/@destiny On Instagram https://www.instagram.com/Destiny/ On X https://twitter.com/TheOmniLiberal?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor 

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Hello, everyone. I'm here today talking to Stephen Bonnell, known professionally and online as Destiny. He's an American streamer, debater, and political commentator. He really came to my attention, I would say, as a consequence of the discussion he had with Ben Shapiro and Lex Friedman. And I decided to talk to him, not least because it's not that easy to bring people who are identified, at least to some degree, with the political beliefs on the left into a studio where I can actually have a conversation with them. I've tried that more often than you might think. and it happens now and then, but not very often. So today we talk a lot about, well, the differences between the left and the right, and the dangers of political ideology per se, and the use of power as opposed
Starting point is 00:00:55 to invitation, and all sorts of other heated, often heated and contentious issues. And so heated, often heated and contentious issues. And so you're welcome to join us. And I was happy to have the opportunity to do this. So I guess we might as well start by letting the people who don't know who you are get to know who you are with a little bit more precision. So why have you become known and how has that developed? It's a pretty broad question.
Starting point is 00:01:26 I think I started streaming around 15 years ago when it wasn't really a thing yet. There were a few people that did it. I started early on. Well, I guess back then you weren't a professional gamer yet because the game had just started to come out. But there was a game called StarCraft II and I streamed myself playing that game. I was a pretty good player. was pretty entertaining to watch, and then I kind of grew over, I guess, maybe the next seven years, just streaming that people would watch. Streaming on YouTube?
Starting point is 00:01:53 Well, back then, I started on a website called Livestream, then I switched to Ustream, then I switched to a site called JustinTV, and then that turned into Twitch.tv. So after streaming there for like seven or eight years, I was a semi-professional StarCraft II gamer. That game kind of came and went, but I had a lot of other interests. Around 2016, I started to get more involved into the world of politics.
Starting point is 00:02:14 It's kind of a left-leaning figure. Because of my background in like e-sports and internet gaming and internet trash talk, I got... I had more of a kind of like a combative attitude. And that was kind of rare for left-leaning people at the time. So it's basically where my early political popularity came from. I think from like 2016 to 2018 was debating right-wing people. So was there a game-like element to the debating, do you think? And is that part of, is that part of why that morphing made sense? No, I wouldn't say so. I mean, if you get really reductionist, everything in life is kind of a game, but it's not very satisfying. I think I grew up very argumentative. My mom
Starting point is 00:02:51 is from Cuba, so my family was very conservative. And then I grew up listening to the news all day, listening to my mom's political opinions all day. And then I argued with kids in high school and everything. And I've always been kind of an argumentative type A aggressive personality. So I think that probably lent itself well to the political stuff in 2016. Yeah, was that useful in gaming? That personality in some ways. Yeah in some ways. No, I don't know directly for the games itself I don't know how much it necessarily mattered But for all the peripheral stuff in some ways it was really beneficial I could kind of like cut out my own path and I could be very unique and I could kind of be on my own.
Starting point is 00:03:26 In some ways it was very detrimental. I'm very, I can be very difficult to get along with and I'm very much kind of like I want to do this thing and if you try to tell me what to do, I don't want to have like a sponsor or a team or anybody kind of with a leash on me. So, yeah, I guess it worked out. It's interesting because that, the temperamental proclivity that you're describing, that's associated with low agreeableness. And generally, well, and that's more combative, it's more stubborn, it's more implacable, it's more competitive.
Starting point is 00:03:54 The downside is that it's more skeptical, it can be more cynical, it can be less cooperative. But generally, a temperament like that is associated with, is not associated with political belief on the left, because the leftists tend to be characterized by higher levels of compassion, and that's low agreeableness. So, you know, that element of your temperament at least is quite masculine, and a lot of the ideology that characterizes the modern left has a much more temperamentally feminine nature.
Starting point is 00:04:27 So, all right, so why do you think the shift from your popularity to political commentary worked? And you said that started about 2016, and why do you think that shift happened for you, like in terms of your interest? I think I've always been interested in a lot of things. Like I grew up with a very strong political bend. It was conservative until I got into my streaming years,
Starting point is 00:04:50 probably five or six years into streaming. I slowly kind of started to shift to the left. I would say that, I guess in around, around 2016, when I saw all of the conversations going on with the election and when all the issues being talked about, I just, I felt like conversations were very low quality. And in my naivety, I thought that maybe I could come in and boost the quality, at least in like my little corner
Starting point is 00:05:11 of the internet, to have better conversations about what was going on. And so that was my, basically my injection point into all of that was, yeah, fighting about those political issues and then arguing with people about them, doing research and reading and all of that. And so did you do that by video to begin with as well? Yeah, it was all streaming, yeah. It was all streaming. And so you, I presume you built an audience among the people who were following you as a gamer first and then that started to expand? Is that correct? Basically, yeah. Without getting too much into like the business or streaming side of things, basically.
Starting point is 00:05:42 Actually, this probably carries over to, basically to all media I would imagine, is you've got people that will watch you for special events. So maybe you're like a commentator of the Super Bowl, or maybe you're hosting like a really huge event. Then you've got people who will watch you every time you're participating in your area of expertise. So for me, that's like a particular game I might be playing.
Starting point is 00:06:02 It might be when you're on like a particular show or something that people watch you for. And then the fundamental fan, the best fan that you're converting to the lowest and most loyal viewer, I guess, is somebody that's watching you basically no matter what you're doing.
Starting point is 00:06:14 And these are the people that'll follow you from area to area. And I think because of the way I did gaming and I talked about a lot of other stuff, whether it was politics, science, current events, whatever, I had a lot of loyal fans that kind of followed me wherever I went, so quite a few of them stuck loyal fans that kind of followed me wherever I went. So quite a few of them stuck with Star Trek.
Starting point is 00:06:27 So you've established a reputation. So how would you characterize your reach now? How would you quantify it? I think my... Can you be more precise? How many people are watching a typical video that you might produce? And what are you doing for subscribers, say, on YouTube? Any idea about total reach?
Starting point is 00:06:45 Yeah, well, I mean, I guess my subscribers on YouTube, I have around, I think, I think that's around 770,000 on my main channel. I think I probably do between all three channels, I think around 15 to 20 million views a month. And then I live stream to anywhere from 5 to 15,000 concurrent viewers a day for hopefully around eight hours a day. Yeah. Okay, okay. So you have quite a substantial reach.
Starting point is 00:07:09 And so you said that initially you were more conservative leaning, but that changed. Okay. What did it mean that you were more conservative leaning and how did that, how and why did that change? When I said I was conservative leaning, I mean, I was writing articles for my school newspaper defending George Bush and the Iraq War. I was like very much like, I think it's like an insult now when people say like neocon, but I was like very much like a conservative, a Bush-era conservative.
Starting point is 00:07:36 So supported big business, supported traditional all of the conservative, I guess, like foreign policy, you know, hawkish foreign policy for whatever whatever that meant as like a 14, 15 year old. Right, right. There was the whole Elian Gonzalez incident that was very big for Cuban Americans, where there was a Cuban boy that tried to come to the United States with several other people and his mother and they're wrapped, I guess, crashed or something happened. I think his mom died and some other people died and there was a huge debate on whether or not to send him back to Cuba and Clinton ended up sending him back to Cuba and I know
Starting point is 00:08:06 that my mom was super irritated and all that to say the least. And then once I hit college, I think I supported Ron Paul in 2008. So I was a big Ron Paul libertarian guy in high school when I went from, I went to a Catholic Jesuit high school and I kind of became atheist in that process, I started reading Ayn Rand. So I was very, very, very, very, very conservative. On the libertarian end? Yeah, I would say so. Yeah. Initially on the like...
Starting point is 00:08:36 That makes more sense in relationship to your temperament. Sure, maybe. Yeah. Yeah, yeah. Initially it was like Christian conservative and then it became like libertarian conservative. Yeah, yeah. Yeah. And then, she was like Christian conservative, and then it became like libertarian conservative. My life kind of took like a wacky path, and then as I started working, I kind of had to drop out of school.
Starting point is 00:08:52 I was working, and then I got into streaming. And once I started streaming, I had a son, basically around the first year I started streaming. As I started to go through life, and I went from kind of being in this like working poor position to making a lot of money, especially through the lens of my child, I saw how different life was when I had more money versus less.
Starting point is 00:09:12 And I guess the differences between what was available to me and then my child as I made more money while I was really wealthy versus not as wealthy, it kind of started to change the way that I... So you got more attuned to the consequences of inequality? Basically, I would say, yeah. Okay, and so that, okay, how did that lead you to develop more sympathy for left-leaning ideas, particularly?
Starting point is 00:09:39 I guess my core beliefs have never really changed, but I think the way that those become applied kind of change. So much the same way that you might think that everybody deserves a shot to go to school and have an education. That might be like a core belief where as a libertarian or conservative, I might think that as long as a school is available, everybody's got the opportunity to go and study. But maybe now as like a liberal or progressive or whatever you'd call me, I might say, okay, well, we need to make sure that there is enough, you
Starting point is 00:10:07 know, maybe like food in the household or household or some kind of funding program to make sure the kid can actually go to school and study, basically. So like the core drive is the same, but I think the applied principle ends up changing a bit based on what you think these individuals are. Right. So is your concern essentially something like the observation that if people are breft enough of substance, let's say, that it's difficult for them to take advantage of equal opportunities even if they are presented to them, let's say?
Starting point is 00:10:38 Yeah, essentially, yeah. And you have some belief, and correct me if I'm wrong, you have some belief that there is room for state intervention at the level of basic provision to make those opportunities more manifest. Yeah, to varying degrees, yeah. Okay, okay. Okay, so let's start talking more broadly
Starting point is 00:11:01 than on the political side. So how would you characterize the difference in your opinion between the left and the conservative political viewpoints? On a very, very, very broad level, if there's some, I would say if there's some like good world that we're all aiming for, I think people on the left seem to think that a collection of taxes from a large population that goes into a government that's able to precisely kind of dole out where that tax
Starting point is 00:11:38 money goes, you're basically able to take the problems of society, you're able to scrape off hopefully a not super significant amount of money from people that can afford to give a lot of money. And then through government programs and redistribution, you target those taxes essentially to people that kind of need whatever bare minimum to take advantage of opportunities in society. And then on the conservative end, I guess a conservative would generally think that why would the government take my money? I think from a community point of view, through churches, through community action,
Starting point is 00:12:08 through families, we can better allocate our own dollars to our own friends and family to help them and give them the things that they need so that they can better participate in a thriving society, basically. Okay, so one of the things that I've always found a mystery, I mean, I think there's an equal of mystery on the left and on the right in this regard, is that the more conservative types tend to be very skeptical of big government,
Starting point is 00:12:30 and the leftist types tend to be more skeptical of big corporations. Right? Well, you, okay, so following through the logic that you just laid out, you made the suggestion that one of the things that characterizes people on the left is the suggestion that one of the things that characterizes people on the left is the belief that government can act as an agent of distribution, can and should act as an agent of distribution. Okay, a potential problem for that is the gigantism of the government that does that. Now the conservatives are skeptical of that gigantism and likewise the liberals, the progressives in particular, we'll call them progressives, are skeptical of the reach of gigantic corporations. And I've always seen a commonality in those two in that both of them are skeptical of
Starting point is 00:13:15 gigantism. And so one of the things that I'm concerned about, generally speaking, with regard to the potential for the rise of tyranny, is the emergence of giants. And one potential problem with the view that the government can and should act as an agent of redistribution is that there is an incentive put in place, two kinds of incentives. Number one, a major league incentive towards gigantism and tyranny. And number two, an incentive for psychopaths who use compassion to justify their grip on power to take money and to claim that they're doing good.
Starting point is 00:13:54 And I see that happening everywhere now, particularly in the name of compassion. And it's one of the things that's made me very skeptical in particular about the left, and at least about the progressive edge of the left. So I'm curious about what you think about those two. First of all, it's a paradox to me that the conservatives and the leftists face off each other with regard to their concern about different forms of gigantism and don't seem to notice that the thing that unites them is some antipathy,
Starting point is 00:14:25 this is especially true for the libertarians, some antipathy towards gigantic structures per se. And so then I would say with regards to your antithesis between liberalism and conservatives, the conservatives are pointing to the fact that there are intermediary forms of distribution that can be utilized to solve the social problems that you're describing that don't bring with them the associated problem of gigantism. And like this is a, it's been shocking to me to watch the left, especially in the last six years, ally itself, for example, with pharmaceutical companies, which was something I'd never saw, never thought I would see in my lifetime. I mean, for decades, the only gigantic corporations the left was more skeptical of than the fossil
Starting point is 00:15:13 fuel companies were the pharmaceutical companies. And that all seemed to vanish overnight around the COVID time. So I know the story. That's a lot of things to throw at you. But it sort of outlines the territory that we could probably investigate productively. Yeah, so a couple things. I would say that the current political landscape we have, I think, is less. I understand the concept of conservatives supporting corporations and liberals supporting large government. I think today the divide we're starting to see more and more is more of like a populist, anti-populist rise, or even like an institutional or anti-institutional rise.
Starting point is 00:15:50 So for instance, I think conservatives today in the United States are largely characterized with, I would say with populism, in that they're supporting like certain figures, namely right now Donald Trump, who they think alone can kind of like lead them against the corrupt institutions, be them corporate or government.
Starting point is 00:16:05 I feel like most conservatives today are not as trustful of big corporations as they were back in like the Bush era where we would, you know, conservatives would champion, you know, big corporations. Yeah, I think that's right. Yeah. I don't think there's... That's a strange thing because it makes the modern conservatives a lot more like the 60s leftists.
Starting point is 00:16:22 Potentially, yeah. I mean, that brings us into the issue too, of whether the left-right divide is actually a reasonable way of construing the current political landscape at all. And I'm not sure it is, but... Right now it kind of is, but only because so many conservatives are following Trump. So like your populist, anti-populist thing kind of maps on
Starting point is 00:16:41 kind of cleanly to the left and right. It doesn't work with progressives though, or the far left, because they're also anti-large everything. So in a surprising way, on very, very far left people, you might find them having a bit more in common with kind of like a mega Trump supporter than like a center left liberal. So for instance, like both of these groups of people
Starting point is 00:16:59 on the very far left will be very dovish on foreign policy, probably a little bit more isolationist. They're not a big fan of like a ton of immigration or a ton of trade with other countries. They might think that there's a lot of institutional capture of both government and corporations. So both all of the mega supporters and the far, far left might think that corporations
Starting point is 00:17:17 don't have our best interest at heart and the government is corrupt and caputry lobbyists. Yeah, you'll see a lot of overlap there. Right. I think that sometimes there's a couple things. One, this is something I feel like I've discovered, people have no principles. I think that people are largely guided by whatever is kind of satisfying them or making them feel good at the time. I think it's a really important thing to understand because people's beliefs will seem to
Starting point is 00:17:39 change at random. If you're trying to imagine that a belief is coming from some underlying principle or is governed by some internal, you know, like moral or reasonable code or whatever. I think generally there are large social groups and people kind of follow them along from thing to thing, which is why you end up in strange worlds sometimes where, you know, like the position on vaccines and being an anti-vaxxer might have been seen as something, you know, 10 years ago, it's kind of like a hipp hippie leftist and now maybe it's more like a conservative or it's associated more with like mega Trump supporters or whatever. I think as a result of how the social groups move around.
Starting point is 00:18:13 When it comes to the, you mentioned this like gigantism thing. That's another thing where I'm not sure if people actually care about gigantism or if they're using it as a proxy for other things that they don't like. Like I could totally imagine a lie care about it Sure. Yeah, you might. Yeah, sorry. I just mean in general. Yeah Because like I could imagine somebody saying that like they don't trust like a large government They think there's too much, you know prone to tyranny or something like that But also be supportive of an institution like the Catholic Church, which is literally, you know one guy who is a direct line to get tax
Starting point is 00:18:42 Well, I mean they don't have a military. And they can't conscript you. True. And they can't throw you in jail. That is true, yeah. Well, those are major and significant. I mean, I get the overlap. Don't get me wrong.
Starting point is 00:18:56 Sure. But I'm saying, even if you had a local government, like if you had a state government or a tribe, usually they've got some form of enacting punishment. It'll be sometimes more brutal, but they can throw you in jail. Conscription hasn't existed in the US since the Vietnam War. Yet. I mean, yeah, true, yeah. Yeah, true. So yeah, I think that, I guess when I look at-
Starting point is 00:19:15 So this is, so let's go back. Well, let's go back to the redistribution issue. I mean, we pay 65% of our income at say upper middle class, middle class to upper middle class level in Canada. It isn't obvious to me at all that that money is well used. In fact, quite the contrary. In my country now, our citizens make 60% of, they produce 60% of what you produce in the US. That's plummeted over the last 20 years as state intervention has increased. I'm not convinced that the claim that the interests of people who lack opportunity are best served by state intervention.
Starting point is 00:20:02 And there's a couple of reasons for that. I mean, first of all, I'm aware of the relationship between inequality and social problem. There's a very well-developed literature on that, and it essentially shows that the more arbitrary, the broader the reach of inequality in in a political institution of any given size, the more social unrest. So where all people are poor, there isn't much social unrest. And where all people are rich, there isn't much social unrest.
Starting point is 00:20:31 But when there's a big gap between the two, there's plenty and that's mostly driven by disaffected young men who aren't very happy that they can't climb the hierarchy, there are barriers in their way. And so there is reason to ameliorate relative poverty. The problem with that to some degree is that most attempts to ameliorate relative poverty
Starting point is 00:20:51 tend to increase absolute poverty, and they do it dramatically. And the only solution that we've ever been able to develop to that is something approximating a free market system. I wouldn't call it a capitalist system because I think that's capture of the terminology by the radical leftists.
Starting point is 00:21:06 It's a free exchange system. And the price you pay for a free exchange system is you still have inequality, but the advantage you gain is that the absolute levels of privation plummet. And I think the data on that are, I think they're absolutely conclusive, especially, and that's been especially demonstrated in the radical decrease in rates of poverty since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1989, because we'd lifted more people out of poverty in the last four decades than we had in the entire course of human history up to that date.
Starting point is 00:21:36 And that's not least because the statist interventionist types who argued for a radical state-sponsored redistribution lost the Cold War, right? And that freed up Africa to some degree, and certainly the Southeast Asian countries, to pursue something like a free trade economy. And that instantly even, that instantly made them rich, even China. So well, so that's an argument, let's say, on the side of free exchange, but it's also an argument, a two-fold argument, pointing out how we ameliorate absolute poverty, which should be a concern for leftists, but doesn't seem to be anymore, by the way, and also an argument for the maintenance of a necessary inequality.
Starting point is 00:22:20 Like, I'm not sure that inequality can be decreased beyond a certain degree without that decrease causing other serious problems. And we can talk about that, but it's a complicated problem. Yeah, but for one point of clarification, when you say leftist, what do you mean by that? Well, I was going with your definition, like essentially, the core idea being something like the core idea being something like the central problem being one of relative inequality and distribution of resources and the central solution to that being something like state sponsored economic intervention.
Starting point is 00:22:55 I mean, there's other ways we could define left and right and we could do that, but I'll stick with the one that you brought forward to begin with. Gotcha, gotcha, okay. I only want to be clear on that because people get mad if I call myself a leftist. Oftentimes online or in, especially in Europe or worldwide, leftists will refer exclusively
Starting point is 00:23:14 to like socialists or communists and anybody to the right of that would be considered like a liberal if you wanted to be a part of it. No, usually a fascist. Well, depending on who you're talking to. Very rapidly. Yeah, yeah. I just wanted to be clear on that. No, usually a fascist. Well, depending on who you're talking to. Very rapidly. Yeah, yeah. I just wanted to be clear on that.
Starting point is 00:23:26 So I'm absolutely a pro-capitalist, pro-free market guy. I'm never going to... Okay, okay, okay. Yeah, yeah. Okay, okay. Well, that's good to get that clear. Why? Yeah, because I would argue that when you look at the fall of the Soviet Union or you
Starting point is 00:23:40 look at the failure of socialist or communist regimes, I don't know if the issue there was so much redistribution. I think the problem- That was one of many issues. I don't think it was an issue at all, actually, I would say. I think the issue was command of commons. Wait a minute, wait a minute. Yeah, go ahead.
Starting point is 00:23:55 Wait a minute, what do you mean redistribution wasn't an issue? What the hell do you think they did to the Kulaks? That was forced redistribution. It resulted in the death of six million people. So maybe I'm not understanding what you mean, but that was redistribution at its pinnacle and forced redistribution. It was brutal.
Starting point is 00:24:12 When I think of the strengths of capitalism, the ability for markets to dynamically respond to shifting consumer demand is like the reason why capitalism and free market economies dominate the world. When you've got socialist or communist systems, command economies where a government is trying to say, this is how much this is going to cost, this is how much you're going to produce and make, this is a failed way of managing a state economy. Even in places where they still do it, there are always shadow economies and stuff that were in the Soviet Union that prop up where people try to basically ameliorate the conditions that are resulting from
Starting point is 00:24:45 said horrible command economy practices. So I guess in a way you could argue a command economy is kind of like redistribution. It's a form of it, but no, it's a worst problem. If you're pointing to the fact that that's a worst problem, I'm, I would say that's definitely the reason why these places failed because they just weren't able to respond to changing conditions. Okay, so what's the difference between a state that attempts to redistribute to foster equality of opportunity and a command economy? Is it a difference of a degree? Are you looking at models, let's say, like the Scandinavian countries? I wouldn't use Canada, by the way, because Canada is now, what would you
Starting point is 00:25:25 call, predicted by economic analysis analysts to have the worst performing economy for the next four decades of all the developed world. So maybe we'll just leave the example of Canada off the table. Scandinavian countries are often the polities that are pointed to by, I would say, by people who at least in part, are putting forward a view of redistribution for purposes of equality of opportunity like you are. But they're a strange analogy because they're very small countries and up till now they were very ethnically homogenous. Exactly. And that makes a big difference when you're trying to
Starting point is 00:26:01 flatten out the redistribution. Plus they are also incredibly wealthy, which makes redistribution, let's say, a lot easier. Why doesn't the government that's bent on redistribution fall prey to the pitfalls of command economy and forced redistribution for that matter? How do you protect against that? I think what you have to do is very, very, very difficult, is people get very ideologically captured by both ends,
Starting point is 00:26:29 and they feel very, I guess, committed, or they feel very allegiance to pushing certain forms of economic organization. And I think sometimes it blinds them to some of the benefits of what exists when you incorporate multiple models, or you'd call them mixed economies, which is really what every capitalist economy today is. Some form of free market capitalism combined with some form of like government intervention to
Starting point is 00:26:50 control for negative externalities. These are the ways that all economies even in Scandinavia and the world work and I think that recognizing the benefits of both systems are the best way to make things work. Fair enough and the Scandinavian countries seem to have done a pretty good job of that. But like I said, they have a simpler problem to solve, let's say, than the Americans have. Negative externalities. That's an interesting rabbit hole to wander down because the problem I have with negative externalities,
Starting point is 00:27:16 you made a case already that, and again, correct me if I've got this wrong, but I think that I understood what you said. A free market, free exchange economy is a gigantic distributed computational device. Basically, yeah. Right, exactly. Which funnily enough, one of the big problems for a command economy is called the computation problem because no central body can actually compute the ins and outs of...
Starting point is 00:27:41 Right, exactly. Right. That's a fatal problem, right? Because it doesn't have the computational power. It certainly doesn't have the speed of data recognition. It doesn't have the on-the-ground agents if all of the perception and decision-making is centralized, right?
Starting point is 00:27:57 It's way too low resolution. It's going to crash. OK, so and I think that that's comprehensible technically as well as ideologically. All right, so, but having said that, with regards to externalities, all the externalities that a market economy can't compute are so complex that they can't be determined centrally by the same argument. And so- There are ways to account for them though. Really?
Starting point is 00:28:27 That work with- Tell me how. Yeah. So- Because I can't see that. Because I can't see how that they can be accounted for without the same computational problem immediately arising. Yeah, and I understand that.
Starting point is 00:28:39 And I think that's a problem sometimes of people very far on the left when they wanna deal with certain problems. I think that they wanna bring like heavy-handed, you know, like things like price controls in to say, of problems sometimes of people very far on the left when they want to deal with certain problems. I think that they want to bring like heavy handed, you know, like things like price controls and to say, well, we need less of this. So let's just make this cost this particular thing, which ironically enough, introduces a whole other set of externalities that will happen when you get a lot of friction between
Starting point is 00:28:57 where your price floor or ceiling is set compared to what a market was set it at. But ideally, if you're a reasonable person and you view economies as mixed economies, what you try to do is you try to take these externalities, meaning things that aren't accounted for with your primary system. So in a capitalist system, an externality might be something that caused a negative effect, but it doesn't cost you any money. Pollution would be a good example of that. And rather than saying like, well, no company can pollute this much, or, you know, if you're a company, you have to use these things because the other things are making too much pollution. All you do is you say, okay, well, if we've determined that say carbon is bad for the
Starting point is 00:29:27 atmosphere, we're just going to attach a little price to that. The government is going to say that, yeah, if you pollute this much, here's the price, and then if you want to pay for it, you can, but that type of intervention in the economy basically allows the free market to hopefully do its job because the government has tacked on a little bit of a price limit that tries to account for the cost of that externality. Yeah. Great. That's a great example. We can go right down that rabbit hole, carbon.
Starting point is 00:29:48 Okay, so first of all, one of the things I've seen, you tell me what you think about this, something that I've seen that actually shocks me that I was interested in watching over the last five or six years. I wondered what would happen when the left, the progressives ran into a conundrum. And the conundrum is quite straightforward. If you pursue carbon pricing and you make
Starting point is 00:30:11 energy more expensive, then you hurt the poor. And I don't think you just hurt them. In fact, I know you just don't hurt them. I heard a man two days ago who's fed 350 million people in the course of his life, heading the UN's largest relief agency, make the claim quite straightforwardly that misappropriation on the part of interventionist governments increased the rate of absolute privation dramatically in the world
Starting point is 00:30:40 over the last four or five years. And that has happened not least because of carbon pricing, not just carbon pricing, but the insistence that carbon per se is an externality that we should control. Now Germany's paid a radical price for that, for example. So their power is now about five times as expensive as it could be.
Starting point is 00:30:58 And they pollute more per unit of power than they did 10 years ago before they introduced these policies that were hypothetically there to account for externality. And the externality was carbon dioxide. I don't think that's a computable externality. And I don't think there's any evidence whatsoever that it's actually an externality that we should be warping the economic system to ameliorate if the cost of that, and it will be, will
Starting point is 00:31:23 be an increase in absolute privation among the world's poor. So and here's a here's an additional argument on that front with regards to externalities. You get that wrong and here's something you could get right instead. If you ameliorate absolute poverty among the world's one billion billion poorest, they take a longer view of the future and that means they become environmentally aware. And so the fastest route to a sustainable planet could well be the remediation of absolute poverty. And the best route to that is cheap energy.
Starting point is 00:31:54 And we're interfering with the development of cheap energy by meddling with the hypothetically detrimental externality of carbon dioxide. And so I's, I think this is a complete bloody travesty by the way. We are putting the lives of hundreds of millions of people directly at risk right now to hypothetically save people in the future, depending on the accuracy of our projections. A hundred years out, these interventionists, these people
Starting point is 00:32:25 who are remediating externalities, they actually believe that they can calculate an economic projection one century out. That's utterly delusional. So, okay, so just as a, to be clear, the first thing, I was just giving an example of how you can use like a government intervention to make a free market track something,
Starting point is 00:32:43 which is what cap and trade or like carbon taxes would do. I wasn't necessarily speaking to the strength of that individual thing, but getting into that- Yeah, but that's a good thing to focus on, because that's a major externality. Sure, yeah, we can focus on that as well. We can focus on that as well. So the first thing, this is going to sound mean, but I'm very realistic, there needs to be a better argument than just, it disproportionately impacts the poor.
Starting point is 00:33:04 That's not always- That's a classic leftist argument. It might be about that. But it's the same argument you made to justify your swing to the left at the beginning of our discussion. You said that you were looking at economic inequalities that disproportionately affected the poor. So I can't see why, and I'm not trying to be mean about this either, I can't see why you could base your argument that it was moral, it was morally appropriate
Starting point is 00:33:27 for you to swing to the left from your previous position because you saw disproportionate effects on the poor. And I can't use that argument in the situation that I'm presenting it right now. Well, because it depends on if we think it's a condition that ought to be remedied or not. For instance, if I walk around and I see homeless people and I'm like, man, this is really sad. We ought to spend more money on homeless people because it seems like they're disproportionately affected by their living conditions. And then somebody says, oh, well, do you think we should still lock up rapists and murderers?
Starting point is 00:33:52 Aren't they disproportionately poor? I'd probably say, well, yeah, we probably should. I go, well, isn't that hypocritical? Well, no. I think that rapists and murderers should probably be in jail, but we can also help the homeless at the same time. I think that just helping the poor isn't an argument, like a blank check to do every possible thing
Starting point is 00:34:08 to satisfy poorer people. And it's gonna depend on a from issue to issue. That's fine. So like for instance, I think- Because the poor, everyone who's poor is not a victim. Some people who are poor are psychopathic perpetrators. And it's very useful to distinguish them. But I was making a much more specific argument.
Starting point is 00:34:25 My argument was that the fastest way out of absolute privation for the world's bottom billion people is through cheap energy. Yeah, I understand what you're saying there. So I just work my way towards that. Yeah, I just want to say that just because something targets the poor is not necessarily an argument against it. It depends on how hard it targets them and it depends on whether mass starvation is the outcome.
Starting point is 00:34:44 The outcome is important. That I agree with. So for instance, like a sin tax. The outcome will be mass starvation. Yeah, I'm getting to it. Okay. Sin taxes on like cigarettes and alcohol are always going to disproportionately impact the poor or even sugar, we might say, right? But just because that disproportionately impacts the poor, is that a good thing or a bad thing? These are probably the people that suffer the most from those particular afflictions. Right, right. So that it's a tax that targets- And that is an immediate versus delayed issue too, right?
Starting point is 00:35:08 Because the reason- Well, is it immediate? I mean, obesity isn't immediate. I don't think alcohol is- I mean, the reason for the tax is to stop people from pursuing a certain form of short-term gratification at the cost of their longer-term well-being. Correct. And that exact same idea, if you believe climate models
Starting point is 00:35:26 or if you believe that we're heading in a certain direction in terms of climate, the overall warming of the planet, would be the same argument you would make for climate change. Only if you believe that you could model economic development a hundred years into the future. Well, we're not trying to model, we're more concerned with modeling climate development, economic development.
Starting point is 00:35:41 No, no, no, we are equally, no, well, okay, tell me how I'm wrong. I don't believe that because what I see happening is two things. We have climate models that purport to explain what's going to happen over a century on the climate side, but we have economic models layered right on top of those that claim that there's going to be various forms of disaster for human beings economically as a consequence of that climate change. And so that's like two towers of babbles stacked
Starting point is 00:36:07 on top of one another. And so, because if people were just saying, oh, the climate's going to change, there'd be no moral impetus in that. It's the climate's going to change and that's going to be disastrous for the biosphere and for humanity. But that's an economic argument
Starting point is 00:36:21 as well as a climate-based argument. It's both, but the worst projections of what would happen if the climate took a disastrous turn are worse than the worst projections of what is our planet going to look like economically if we hardcore police fossil fuels. Right. Why would you? Okay, but I don't understand the distinction between the models. Well the argument would be that whatever pain and suffering poor people might endure right
Starting point is 00:36:44 now because of a move towards green energy, that pain and suffering is going to be short-term and far less than the long-term pain and suffering that comes along with it. Right, but that's dependent on the integrity of the economic models and the act and the climate models as well, right? Exactly, but in exactly the stacked manner that I described. Like, there's nobody in 1890 who could have predicted what was going to happen in 1990 economically. Not a bit. Not a bit. And if we think we can predict, like, 50 years out now with the current rate of technology
Starting point is 00:37:13 and calculate the potential impact of climate change on economic flourishing for human beings, we're diluted. No one can do that. And then, and so, and it's worse, so imagine that as you do that and you project outward your margin of error increases. That's absolutely, definitely the case. And at some point you're, certainly on the climate side, the margin of error gets rapidly to the point where it subsumes any estimate of the degree to which the climate is going to transform. And that happens even more rapidly on the economic side. Potentially. Right now, I think right now this is a disagreement on the fact of the matter, though, not the philosophy of what we're talking about,
Starting point is 00:37:48 which is controlling externalities. So I'm curious. Let's say that we think we can accurately predict the climate and the economic impact. And we think that the climate impact would be far worse if we don't account for that, both in terms of human conditions and- I don't believe any of those presumptions.
Starting point is 00:38:02 I think they're both faulting. Sure, but then if you don't, but I mean, like, obviously, if I agreed with that factual analysis, I would probably agree with you on the prescription here too, right? And I thought that, like, none of the climate models were accurate or could accurately predict anything. They're not sufficiently accurate. That's the first thing. And second, because they have a margin of error and it's a large margin of error, they
Starting point is 00:38:21 don't even model cloud coverage well. That's a big problem. They don't have the resolution, they don't have nearly the resolution to produce the accuracy that's claimed by the climate apocalypse mongers. People keep saying that, but we just got another one of the hottest years on record. How many times are we going to have another hottest year on record? How many times are we going to have an increase of carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere before we're finally like, okay.
Starting point is 00:38:44 I don't know. And the reason I don't know is because it depends, the scientific answer to that question depends precisely on the timeframe over which you evaluate the climate fluctuation. And that's actually an intractable scientific problem. So you might say, well, if you take the last hundred years, this variation looks pretty dismal. And I'd say, well, what if you took the last 150,000 years or the last 10,000 or the last 10 million?
Starting point is 00:39:10 You can't specify the damn time frame of analysis. The time frame is incredibly important. That'd be like saying, look at, you know, let's say somebody developed cancer and they didn't realize it and the person has lost, you know, 40 or 50 pounds in the past six months and I'm just like, you look very sickly. And they're like, OK, well, look at my weight fluctuation over the past 10 years. He's like, well, that doesn't really matter.
Starting point is 00:39:29 What matters is the fact that in the past six months. I'm not saying the time frame isn't important. I'm saying that it is important. I'm just saying I don't know how to specify it. Well, you would probably specify it with the beginning of the Industrial Age, right? Why? Because that's when carbon dioxide, which is a gas
Starting point is 00:39:40 that's seen as trapping more heat on the planet, begins to. Why is that relevant to the time over which you compute the variability? Because it seems like as carbon dioxide is increased in the atmosphere, the surface temperatures have risen at a rate that is a departure from what we'd expect over 150,000 year cycles of temperature variations on the planet. No, not with that timeframe. That's just not the case.
Starting point is 00:39:58 Absolutely. It's absolutely the case. No, what do you mean? You just flipped to 150,000 year time span. What I'm saying is that if we expect to see a temperature do this in a hundred fifty thousand year time span in a hundred Years time span singing to this that's very worrying Now it might be the man's hockey stick the one that's under attack right now in court by a major Statistician who claimed that he falsified his data. I mean that spike the I'm talking about the
Starting point is 00:40:23 Record temperatures that are declared that have been declared for like the the record temperatures that have been declared for the past five years that have also increased with the concentration of parts per million of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. I mean, I'm not going to tell you that every model is perfect. They're not perfect. Sure, but right now we're standing in traffic with our eyes closed saying the car hasn't hit me yet so I don't think there's any coming. I think it's pretty undeniable at this point that there is an impact on climate across the planet. I just don't know.
Starting point is 00:40:47 I think that's highly deniable. We have no idea what the impact is from. We don't know where the carbon dioxide is from. We can't measure the warming of the oceans. We have terrible temperature records going back 100 years. Almost all the terrestrial temperature detection sites were first put outside urban areas and then as you're fighting and then you have to correct then you have to correct for the for the movement of the urban areas and then you introduce an error parameter that's larger than the purported increase in temperature that you're planning to measure. This isn't data. This is guess and there's something weird underneath it. There's something weird that isn't oriented well towards human beings underneath it.
Starting point is 00:41:28 It has this guise of compassion. Oh, we're going to save the poor in the future. It's like that's what the bloody communists said. And they killed a lot of people doing it. And we're walking down that same road now with this insistence that, you know, we're so compassionate that we care about the poor a hundred years from now. And if we have to wipe out several hundred million of them now, well, that's a small price to pay for the future utopia.
Starting point is 00:41:51 And we've heard that sort of thing before. And the alternative to that is to stop having global level elites plot out a utopian future or even an anti-dystopian future. And that's exactly what's happening now with organizations like the WEF. And if this wasn't immediately impacting the poor in a devastating manner, I wouldn't care about it that much, but it is. You know, I watched over the course of the last five years the estimates of the
Starting point is 00:42:20 number of people who were in serious danger of food privation rise from about 100 million to about 350 million. That's a major price to pay for a little bit of what would you say for progress on the climate front that's so narrow it can't even be measured. I don't think the increase in hungry people on the planet is because of climate policies. Why not? Because I don't think that countries in Africa are being pushed away from fossil fuels. I mean, most developing nations are. Of course they are. They can't even get loans from the World Bank to pursue fossil fuel
Starting point is 00:42:52 development. And there's plenty of African leaders who are screeching at the top of their lungs about that because the elites in the West have decided that, well, it was okay for us to use fossil fuel so that we wouldn't have to starve to death and our children had some opportunities. But maybe the starving masses that are too large a load for the world anyways shouldn't have that opportunity. And that's direct policy from the UN fostered by organizations like the WEF. They're going to have to turn to renewables. Yeah, well, good luck with that because renewables have no energy density. Besides that, they're not renewable and they're not
Starting point is 00:43:27 environmentally friendly. And then one more thing, just one more weird thing underneath all of this. Okay. Well, let's say if carbon dioxide was actually your bugbear and it was genuine. Well, then why wouldn't the Greens, for example, in Africa, the progressives, be agitating to expand the use of nuclear the progressives, be agitating to expand the use of nuclear energy, especially because Germany has to import it anyways, especially because France has demonstrated that it's possible. We could drive down the cost of energy with low-cost nuclear, and there'd be no carbon production, and then the poor people would have something to eat
Starting point is 00:43:58 because they'd have enough energy, and that isn't what's happening. And that's one of the things that makes me extremely skeptical of the entire narrative. It's like two things. The left will sacrifice the poor to save the planet. And the left will de-industrialize even at the nuclear level despite the fact that it devastates the poor. And that's even worse because if you devastate the poor and you force them into a short-term orientation in any given country where starvation beckons, for example, they will cut down all the trees and they will kill down all the animals and they will destroy the ecosphere. And so even by the standards of the people who are pushing the carbon dioxide externality
Starting point is 00:44:39 control, all the consequences of that doctrine appear to me to be devastating even by their own measurement principles. We're trying to fix the environment. Well, boys and girls, doesn't look like it's working. All you've managed to do is make energy five times as expensive and more polluting. You were wrong. That didn't work. And so, and I can't understand. You can help me. That's why you're here today talking to me. I can't understand. You can help me. That's why you're here today talking to me. I can't understand how the left can support this. One quick thing. Let's say that everything you've said is true.
Starting point is 00:45:11 What do you think is the plan then? What is the goal? What is the drive? Like why push, why push obviously horrible ideas for the planet and the poor? That's a good question. That's a good question. Well, cause you're positive, right?
Starting point is 00:45:23 So what do you think is the driver goal? Well, I listen to what people say. Here's the most terrible thing they say. There are too many people on the planet. Okay, so who says that? I've heard people say that for 30 years. Perfectly ordinary, compassionate people. Well, there's too many people on the planet.
Starting point is 00:45:43 And I think, well, for me, that's like hearing Satan himself take possession of their spine and move their mouth. It's like, okay, who are these excess people that you're so concerned about? And exactly who has to go? And when? And why? And how? And who's going to make that decision? And even if you don't, even if you're not consciously aiming at that, you are the one who uttered the words, you're the ones who muttered the phrase, what makes you think that the thing that possessed you to make you utter that word isn't aiming at exactly what you just declared? And so that's a terrible vision. But when you look at what happens in genocidal societies, and they emerge with fair regularity,
Starting point is 00:46:26 and usually with a utopian vision at hand, the consequence is the mass destruction of millions of people. So why should I assume that something horrible isn't lurking like that right now? Especially given that we have pushed a few hundred million of people back into absolute poverty when we were doing a pretty damn good job of getting rid of that. I just don't understand what's happening in Germany or in the UK.
Starting point is 00:46:51 Like, it's insane. Like, look, man, if they would have gotten rid of the nuclear plants and made energy five times as expensive, and the consequence would have been they weren't burning lignite coal as a backup and their unit Production of energy of pollution per unit of energy had plummeted you could say well look, you know We heard a lot of poor people but at least the air is cleaner. It's like no airs worse and everyone's poor so like the Explain to me how the hell the left could be anti-nuclear. I don't understand it at all.
Starting point is 00:47:25 Gotcha. All right. This is something that I brought up earlier that is concerning to me. I feel like when people get political beliefs, I feel like what happens is what we think happens, what we'd hope happen is you have some moral or philosophical underpinning. And then from there, you combine this
Starting point is 00:47:43 with some epistemic understanding of the world and then you combine these two things you engage in some form of analysis and you're more with you. Yeah you start to apply like prescriptions so maybe I'm religious maybe I analyze society and I see that particular TV shows lead to premarital sex so my societal prescriptions we should ban these TV shows right ideally this is how you would imagine this process works. What I find happens, unfortunately, all too often is what people do is they join social groups and then with those social groups they inherit something that I call like a constellation of beliefs.
Starting point is 00:48:15 And this constellation of beliefs, instead of rationally building on each of these, you basically get this like Jenga tower that is like floating over a table and every block is like supporting itself and no real part of the tower can be addressed because you pull out one piece it all falls apart right people become like very stuck in all of this combined constellation stuff and none of it is really given like any analysis and you can't really push anybody from from one way or another in terms of like reevaluating any of the beliefs that are part of this constellation. I wish I would have.
Starting point is 00:48:48 I thought we were gonna count. Well, yeah. That's fine. That's right. I thought we were gonna count. Well, yeah. That's fine. That's right. Well, you know, there are models now of cognitive processing, belief system processing that make the technical claim
Starting point is 00:49:08 belief system processing that make the technical claim that what a belief system does is constrain entropy. Sure. That's not surprising at all. Okay, so now the signal for released entropy, which would be a consequence of, say, violated fundamental beliefs, is a radical increase in anxiety, right? And a decrease in the possibility of positive emotion. And so people will struggle very hard against that, which is exactly the phenomena that you're describing.
Starting point is 00:49:30 Yeah. Okay, I agree with what you said, although- So here's my- Yeah, so I'm not sure what is relevant to the issue I was pursuing. I'm getting it, I'm getting it. Okay, fine, yeah. Here's my issue, okay?
Starting point is 00:49:40 So when I'm trying to evaluate a situation, I like to think that I have some, I've got some insulation from the effects of what liberals think or what conservatives think, is because on my platform, I don't necessarily have an allegiance to a particular political ideology. Like right now I'm like center left to progressive, but I break really hard from progressive certain issues. I think Kyle Rittenhouse is on the right. I think basically everything you guys are doing with indigenous people is insane, including the complete mass grave hoax. I think that I'm a big supporter of the Second Amendment.
Starting point is 00:50:09 I have beliefs where I can break from my side, you know, pretty hardcore because I am not like a legion to certain political ideology. One thing that worries me with this constellation beliefs thing is that sometimes when it comes to evaluating a particular policy or a particular problem, I feel like it's part of the constellation and sometimes it inhibits people from like taking a step back and reasonably thinking about the issue. So when we're talking about climate change, you mentioned the WEF sacrificing tons of people, the UN, global elites, five times energy costs in Germany, genocidal people.
Starting point is 00:50:40 I feel like this is part of a whole thing where it's like, okay, well, let's take a quick step back and let's just think rationally about this particular issue for one moment. Well, you asked me what the motivation for anti-poor policies might be, so that's why I was trying to refresh that out. Well, I did, but I got all of those things before I even asked that question,
Starting point is 00:50:56 because I think it's totally possible that somebody might say, okay, well, when you put carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, it seems to cause an increase in surface temperatures. This has been happening from about the 1800s, and as we've started to track surface temperatures, whether the thermometer is on top of the Empire State Building or in the middle of the field,
Starting point is 00:51:12 it seems like there's an average rise in temperatures. And people all around the world are observing this. In some places more than others. If you live in Seattle, and 20 years ago, your apartment building wasn't built with air conditioner units, you feel that now. If you live in place in London, and you've never had an air conditioner before, now that's not acceptable. I think that people on the ground can see that there are changes. And I think that now. If you live in place in London and you've never had an air conditioner before,
Starting point is 00:51:25 now that's not acceptable. I think that people on the ground can see that there are changes. And I think that scientists, when they look in labs can see changes. It might be that some models aren't precise enough. And it might be that for reasons we don't even understand. Well, the economic models certainly aren't precise enough.
Starting point is 00:51:37 Sure, maybe, maybe that might be true. They can't even use them to predict the price of a single stock for six months. The economic models are not sufficiently accurate to calculate out the consequences of climate change over a century. Not in the least. And when you, I like the comparison because economic models can't predict individual stocks, but they do predict the rough rise of the market.
Starting point is 00:51:56 If you invest in the S&P 500, you get about- Except for the on-cataclysmic collapse. Nope. Even with the cataclysmic collapse accounted for, you're going to see about 7% returns on average with inflation over long periods of time. I wouldn't call an average a very sophisticated model analogous to a climate change. That's fine, but that's the difference between climate and weather though, right? Is that climate isn't going to tell you what the temperature is on a given day, but it might tell you the average surface temperature over a period of one year or 10 years.
Starting point is 00:52:20 And then that's the difference between climate and weather. Well, that's the difference between climate and weather. That's interesting like the market and stuff. It is a hypothetical, but again we're seeing more and more and more data every single year that things are getting hotter and hotter. Let's jump out of our cloud of presuppositions for a minute. Sure. Now one of the things that... Oh no wait, before we do that, actually, because I don't want to say. There are some things that we've gotten as a result of investing in green energy that have been good. So for instance, the power of solar energy has dropped dramatically in the United States, faster than anybody thought possible, such that solar energy is like competitive or beating fossil fuels in certain areas. If you, as long as you can set the solar panels
Starting point is 00:52:57 up, you're literally beating fossil fuels. Yeah. And as long as the sun is shining. Well, it's, I mean, it still is, but we're not in nuclear winter yet. No, no, but it isn't when it's cloudy and it isn't in the winter. That's why I said depending on where you live. There are places, equatorial places, if you're trying to set up a solar panel in Seattle, you know, you might not have as much luck or New York City might not have as much. Or Germany.
Starting point is 00:53:15 Or in Germany, true. Or Europe, or Canada. There are also other issues that are coming up that I think are obfuscating our ability to evaluate what's being caused by green energy versus not. When we look at energy increases in Germany, I think there's a similar constellation on nuclear energy, for instance. People don't want nuclear energy
Starting point is 00:53:31 because they think of nukes and they think of nuclear meltdowns and they think of Chernobyl and they think of Fukushima and they think of atomic bombs and that's it. And that's stupid. And I agree with you, but nuclear energy is a totally viable alternative
Starting point is 00:53:42 to other forms of possible- Then why does the radical left oppose it? You think it's just this map? See you... For the same reason the right opposes vaccines because it sounds scary and it's a big thing and they don't trust it. It comes from a big promise. Well, the right has a reason to distrust vaccines in the aftermath of the COVID debacle. Well, I think... Because they were imposed by force and that was a very bad idea. You get to choose if you have a nuclear power plant. That's imposed by force too, no?
Starting point is 00:54:04 You don't get to choose where your energy comes from if you live in a country. You turn the light switch and hopefully you don't have a Chernobyl that melts down in your particular town, right? Well, you get to choose it because you can buy it or not. That's the choice. Nobody had a choice with the vaccines. Nobody had a choice whether or not they lived near Chernobyl or not. Nobody has a choice.
Starting point is 00:54:23 They could move away. Well, how realistic is it to move like 500 miles? That's like telling conservatives when Biden tried to do the OSHA mandate for vaccines, like, well, you can just get a different job, right? I don't want to debate about whether or not large nuclear power plants are frightening. They are.
Starting point is 00:54:36 And there are technologies now where that's not a problem. So, and I think that's a counterproductive place for our discussion to go, because I also understand why people are afraid of it. But what I don't understand, for example, is why the Germans shut down their nuclear power plants and the Californians are thinking and have doing the same thing when they have to import power from France anyways.
Starting point is 00:54:59 Like it's completely... Or burn coal, which is a million times worse. Not just coal, lignite. Right, and then with regards to these renewable power sources, they have a number of problems. One is they're not energy dense. They require tremendous infrastructure to produce. They might be renewable at the energy level, but they're not renewable at the raw materials level, so that's a complete bloody lie.
Starting point is 00:55:23 They're insanely variable in their power production. And because of that, you have to have a backup system and the backup system has to be reliable without variability. And that means if you have a renewable grid, you have to have a parallel fossil fuel or coal grid to back it up when the sun doesn't shine and the wind doesn't blow, which is unfortunately very, very frequently.
Starting point is 00:55:43 And so again, and so I'm not going to say there's no place for renewable energy like solar and wind because maybe there are specific niche locales where those are useful, but the logical, what would you say, antidote to the problem of reliability, if we're concerned about carbon, but we're really not, would be to use nuclear. And the Greens haven't been flying their bloody flags for 30 years saying, well, we could use fossil fuels for fertilizer and feed people, and we could use nuclear power to drive energy costs
Starting point is 00:56:16 down in a carbon dioxide-free manner. That seems pretty bloody self-evident to me. And so then it brings up this other mystery that we were talking about earlier. What's the impetus behind all this? Because the cover story is, oh we care about carbon dioxide, which I don't think they do, especially given the willingness to sacrifice the poor. It makes no sense to me. And I think it's relevant to the issue you brought up, which is that people have these constellations of ideas and there's a driving force in the midst of them, so to speak.
Starting point is 00:56:48 They're not necessarily aware of what that driving force is. Don't we? Isn't it more likely that people are either misinformed or misguided than people are legitimately trying to depopulate the planet? Look, misinformed and ignorant, that's plenty relevant and worth considering. And stupidity is always a better explanation than malevolence. But malevolence is also an explanation.
Starting point is 00:57:10 And no, I don't think it's a better explanation because- Why would we waste so much money sending food aid, having Bush do programs through Africa for AIDS, having other billionaires like Bill Gates invest so much money in anti-malarial stuff? Why would all the global elites be so invested in helping and killing the people here at the same time? Well, some of it's confusion.
Starting point is 00:57:31 Okay. And some of it's the fact that many things can be happening simultaneously with a fair bit of internal paradox because people just don't know which way is up often. But the problem with the argument, okay, so you tell me what you think about this. So you know, Hitler's cover story was that he wanted to make the glorious Third Reich
Starting point is 00:57:51 and elevate the Germans to the highest possible status for the longest possible period of time. Okay, but that wasn't the outcome. The outcome was that Hitler shot himself through the head after he married his wife who died from poison the same day in a bunker underneath Berlin while Europe was in flames. Well, he was insisting that the Germans deserved exactly what they got because they weren't the noble people he thought they were.
Starting point is 00:58:15 And then you might say, well, Hitler's plans collapsed in flames and wasn't that a catastrophe? Or you could say that was exactly what he was aiming for from the beginning because he was brutally resent he was aiming for from the beginning, because he was brutally resentful and miserable right from the time he was, you know, a rejected artist at the age of 16. And so he was working or something was working within him and something that might well be
Starting point is 00:58:36 regarded as demonic, whose end goal was precisely what it attained, which was the devastation of hundreds of millions of people. And Europe left in a smoking ruin. And the cover story was the devastation of hundreds of millions of people, and Europe left in a smoking ruin. And the cover story was the Grand Third Reich. And so there's no reason at all to assume that we're not in exactly the same situation right now. I think there's a great reason to assume. I think that Hitler's motives and everything that he was trying to do wasn't a secret.
Starting point is 00:58:58 I don't think that anybody had to guess that he was incredibly anti-Semitic, that his airing supremacy was going to lead to the destruction and the murder of so many different people in concentration camps. Like none of this was a secret. It's not like he was hiding it. He didn't want to. I mean like he tried to hide the death camps but nobody in Germany was wondering like wow crazy the programs are happening as Jewish people that's so crazy or wow they're all being shipped to just mainly the Jews to camps to work like that's kind of interesting or wow he talks about this a lot in Mein Kampf but maybe it's just a coincidence. I don't think you could compare like Hitler to people that are worried about climate change. The worry that I have here is because if we're applying this-
Starting point is 00:59:30 People in Germany thought Hitler was perfectly motivated by the highest of benevolent- If I were to take this standard of evidence and apply this lens of analysis, couldn't I say the exact same thing about the conservative constellation of belief? They don't want to intervene anywhere in the world because they don't care about the problems there. They're anti-immigration because they hate brown people. Trump wanted to ban Muslims from coming to the United States because he's xenophobic. Conservatives don't want to have taxes to help the poor because they're homeless people to starve and die in the winter. But like, I feel like if I-
Starting point is 00:59:57 Some of that's true. And yes, you can adopt that criticism. I think the difference with regards especially to the libertarian side of the conservative enterprise, but also to some degree to the conservative enterprise, is they're not building a central gigantic organization to put forward this particular utopian claim. And so even if the conservatives are as morally addled as the leftists, and to some degree that might be true, they're not organized with the same gigantism in mind. And so they're not as dangerous at the moment. Now they could well be, and they have been in the past, but at the moment they're not.
Starting point is 01:00:30 And so of course you can be skeptical about people's motivations when they're brandishing the moral flag. How would we say that they're not as concerned about the gigantism? I feel like everybody is when it's a particular thing that they care about. You mean if, whether they would be inclined in that direction?
Starting point is 01:00:47 For sure. The conservatives wield the power of the government whenever they feel they need to adjust as liberals to, right? Conservatives were very happy to see, for instance, abortion was brought back as a state regulated thing. Look, that's a good objection. I think that you're correct in your assumption that once people identify a core area of concern, they're going to be motivated to seek power to implement that concern.
Starting point is 01:01:10 I think cancel culture is a good idea too. I think conservatives prior to the 2000s, if they could censor everything related to either LGBT stuff or weird musical stuff or so that they didn't want the kids to watch, conservatives would do it. But now that you see that liberals and progressives are kind of wielding that corporate hammer, now conservatives are very much, well, hold on, we need freedom of speech, we need to platform everybody. And now progressives are like, well, hold on,
Starting point is 01:01:29 maybe we shouldn't platform people. I got no disagreement with those things that you said, and I have no disagreement about your proposition that people will seek power to impose their central doctrine. Okay, so then you might say, so we can have a very serious conversation about that, what do we have that ameliorates that tendency? In the United States, we've got a D,
Starting point is 01:01:52 hopefully a form of decentralized government. I can't speak to Canada's much, but. Yes, well, yes, that's true. So that's one of the institutional protections against that because what that does is put various forms of power striving in conflict with one another, right? And so that's a very intelligent solution. But then there are psychological and philosophical solutions as well. And one of them might be that you abjure the use of power, right? As a principle.
Starting point is 01:02:19 And so, and this is one of the things that was done very badly during the COVID era, let's say, because the rule should be something like you don't get to impose your solution on people using compulsion and force. There's a doctrine there, which is any policy that requires compulsion and force is to be looked upon with extreme skepticism. Now it's tricky because now and then you have to deal with psychopaths and they tend not to respond to anything but force. And so there's an exception there that always has to be made and it's a very tricky exception. But look, let me tell you a story and you tell me what you think about this.
Starting point is 01:02:58 Because I think it's very relevant to the concern that you just expressed. And I don't believe that the conservatives are necessarily any less tempted by the calling of power than the leftists. That's going to vary from situation to situation. Though I would say probably overall in the 20th century, the leftists have the worst record in terms of sheer numbers of people killed. So- I mean, it depends on how we're quantifying that.
Starting point is 01:03:26 Not really. Okay, we'll just quantify Mao. How's that? Direct death of a hundred million people. So, you know, that's a pretty stark fact. And if we're going to argue about that, well then we're really not going to get anywhere. I'm not disagreeing that the Holodomor happened as well. The Soviet Union and China were horribly... 20 to 50 million people in the Soviet Union. Yeah, okay.
Starting point is 01:03:46 That was a horrible thing. Yeah, of course. And so war of, I'm just saying, for World War II, it depends on how much you attribute the war to, Nazi Germany, et cetera, et cetera. But sure, like, largely speaking, I don't think that the left beat the right
Starting point is 01:03:57 because the right wasn't trying. I don't think it's because Hitler's lack of trying led him to kill less people than who ended up dying during the Great Leap Forward or during the industrialization of the Soviet Union. Yes, well, I also think it's an open question still, to what degree Hitler's policies were right-wing versus left-wing.
Starting point is 01:04:09 And no one's done the analysis properly yet to determine that. Well, what do we consider? Because he was a national socialist movement for a reason. And the socialist part of it wasn't accidental. Well, but the, I mean, there was no, you know, cooperatively formed businesses that were owned by all of the people for the people
Starting point is 01:04:23 and distributed to the people. And I don't think redistribution was high on Hitler's list of things to do for, yeah. That's true, that's true. It was a strange mix of totalitarian pobs. I don't think it was a strange mix. I think it was a bid to appeal to mid-left and center-left, the KPD and the German Socialist Party
Starting point is 01:04:37 by calling themselves National Socialists. I think it was very much like an authoritarian, ultra-Nationalist regime that pretty squarely fits with, people get mad if you call something far right or far left because they have an attachment to the terms. Well, you know, one of the things I would have done if I would have been able to hang on to my professorship at the University of Toronto would have been to extract out
Starting point is 01:04:54 a random sample of Nazi policies and strip them of markers of their origin and present them to a set of people with conservative or leftist beliefs and see who agreed with them more. And that analysis has never been done, as far as I know, so we actually don't know. And we could know if the social scientists would do their bloody job,
Starting point is 01:05:13 which they don't, generally speaking. That's something we could know. We could probably use the AI systems we have now, the large language models, to determine to what degree left and right beliefs intermingled in the rise of National Socialism. So that's all technically possible. And it hasn't been done, so it's a matter of opinion. Sure.
Starting point is 01:05:32 I don't necessarily disagree. That's something you could do. Okay, so I was going to tell you this story. Okay, well, this has to do with the use of power. So, I spent a time with a group of scholars putting and analyzing the Exodus story and Exodus seminar recently. So, the Exodus story is a very interesting story because it's, what would you say, it's an analysis of the central tendency of movement away from tyranny and slavery. That's a good way of thinking about it. So the possibility of tyranny and the possibility of slavery are possibilities that present
Starting point is 01:06:15 themselves to everyone within the confines of their life, psychologically and socially. You can be your own tyrant with regards to the imposition of a set of radical doctrines that you have to abide by and punish yourself brutally whenever you deviate from them. We all contend with the issue of tyranny and slavery. And there's an alternative path, and that's what the Exodus story lays out. And Moses is the exemplar of that alternative path, although he has his flaws. And one of his flaws is that he turns too often to the use of force. So he kills an Egyptian, for example, an Egyptian noble who has slayed a Hebrew, one of
Starting point is 01:06:53 Moses' Hebrew slave brothers, and he has to leave. There's a variety of indications in the text that he uses his staff, he uses his rod, and he uses power when he's supposed to use persuasion and legal or verbal invitation and argumentation. And this happens most particularly, most spectacularly, right at the end of the sojourn. So Moses has spent 40 years leading the Israelites through the desert. And he's right on the border of the promised land. And really what that means at a more fundamental basis is that he's at the threshold of attaining what he's been aiming at, what he's devoted his whole life to. And he's been a servant of that purpose in the highest order. And that Israelites are still in the desert,
Starting point is 01:07:47 which means they're lost and confused. They don't know which way is up. They're still slaves and now they're dying of thirst, which is what you die of, spiritual thirst if you're sufficiently lost. And they go to Moses and ask him to intercede with God. And God tells Moses to speak to the rocks so that they'll reveal the water within. And Moses strikes the rocks with his rod twice instead, right? He uses force. And so God says to him, You'll now die before you enter the promised land.
Starting point is 01:08:18 It's Joshua who enters and not Moses. Okay, and you might wonder why I'm telling you that story. I'm telling you that story. I'm telling you that story because those concepts at the center of that cloud of concepts that you described are stories, right? They're stories, and if they're well formulated, they're archetypal stories. And this is an archetypal story that's illustrating the danger of the use of compulsion and force. Now, and so one of the problems you're obviously obsessed by and that I'm trying to solve is what do we do
Starting point is 01:08:48 as an alternative to tyranny, whether it's for a utopian purpose in the future or maybe for the purpose of like conservative, censoring music lyrics they don't approve of. And one answer is we don't use force. We do the sort of thing that you and I are trying to do right now, which is to have a conversation that's aimed at clarifying things.
Starting point is 01:09:09 And so that's a principle that that's something like the consent of the governed, right? It's something like, but it's also something like you have the right to go to hell in a handbasket if that's what you choose. And I'm, as long as you don't, you know, in doing so, you're not in everyone's way too much. You have the right to your own destiny, right? And so, and you don't get to use power to impose that. That's the other thing that worries me
Starting point is 01:09:37 about what's going on on the utopian front. Because the problem is, you know, once you conjure up a climate apocalypse and you make the case that there's an impending disaster that's delayed, and you might say, well, delayed how long? And the response would be, well, we're not sure, but it's likely to occur in the next hundred or so years, which is pretty inaccurate. You now have a universal get out of jail card that can be utilized extremely well by power mad psychopaths. And they will absolutely do that because power mad psychopaths use whatever they can to further their cause. So here's my, this is my issue, I think this is my issue with a lot of people when it comes
Starting point is 01:10:16 to political conversations. I think that everything you've said is true. And I think that all of it is, it's good analysis, but I feel like it just gets wielded sometimes in one direction, and then people kind of miss that it completely and fully describes their entire side as well. And the thing that I feel like the only solution for this
Starting point is 01:10:36 is you hinted at it. It's more than just conversation, although that's a good start. We have to go back to inhabiting similar areas. We have to go back to inhabiting similar media landscapes. I think that the issue that we're running into right now more than anything else is people live in completely separate realities at the moment, such that if we were even to describe basic reality, how many illegal immigrants came into the United States last year? That should be a factual number that we can know. How many do you think?
Starting point is 01:11:04 The actual number, probably in the hundreds of thousands, I think some conservatives think it's three million per year over the past three years because they look at like border contacts or they look at asylum seekers and they're not looking at the crossings of laws. Yeah, I think it's 3.6 million.
Starting point is 01:11:16 Came into the US and stayed? Yes, through the southern border. Okay, so. You know the historical, you know the historical average is about a million. I understand the sharp. Well, historically there's like 13 to 15 million people pull stop in the United States illegally. That's like the history of illegal immigration in the United States. But some, but hey, maybe I'm wrong there, right? So we can say that that's an example
Starting point is 01:11:36 of us living in a fundamentally different reality. Well, the Pew Research Group has established quite conclusively that the variability over the last 20 years for illegal migration in the South border is between 300,000 and 1.2 million. Well, the Pew research can only establish, I think, the number of people attempting to cross. I don't know if they can know. I don't know if Pew does like census analysis. I'd have to see. Well, I don't know. That's a different issue, right? Because I don't know how you measure how many illegal immigrants there are actually in the country. I understand. I just want to point out, I agree with you. I listened to a lot of Rush
Starting point is 01:12:07 Limbaugh growing up. I understand the fear of having a government agency say climate change, therefore we have a blank check to do whatever we want. That's a scary- Yes, which is what they are doing. The conservatives do the same thing though. I'm not claiming otherwise. Yeah, but the problem is I think people don't talk about it. So for instance, I heard, so we can pretend now that the conservative argument was just compulsory vaccines are bad because they infringed on my freedom.
Starting point is 01:12:30 That wasn't the conservative argument. The conservative argument was that mass deaths were going to happen, mass side effects were going to happen. There was going to be all this corruption and stuff related to vaccine distribution, to the crazier theories or microchips and blah, blah, blah. None of that came true. Absolutely none of the conservative fear mongering related to the mRNA vaccines came to fruition.
Starting point is 01:12:48 But now that's all forgotten. And that was used as an excuse to- What do you mean none of it? What do you make of the excess deaths? Forgotten. And that was used as an excuse to- What do you mean none of it? What do you make of the excess deaths?
Starting point is 01:12:58 For related to vaccines, there are almost none. This, the mRNA vaccines have been administered to- Excess deaths in Europe. For related to vaccines, absolutely. We don't know, no, no. We don't know. We absolutely know. We been administered to excess related to vaccines. I don't know. No, no, no, we don't know. We absolutely know. We absolutely like settled science. What do we know in terms of vaccine related? No, no, no, no, no, no, that's not my question. Excess deaths in Europe are up about 20% and they have been since the end of the COVID pair. Sounds really high to me. 20%? Go look! I'll check afterwards, but is this
Starting point is 01:13:26 including like the Ukrainian war with Russia? No, no, it's not including the Ukrainian war. Okay. No. Are you implying that you think it's because of vaccines? I'm not implying anything. I'm saying what the excess deaths are. But what is your take on what's causing it? You said that in a counter to me describing mRNA vaccines, you said, well, the excess deaths are 20%. That makes sense that the implication is that the vaccines are causing it? Okay vaccines, you said, well, the excess deaths are 20%. That makes sense that the implication is that the vaccines are causing it or the need to it? Okay, first of all, something is causing it.
Starting point is 01:13:50 Well, at that, obviously, yeah. Something is causing it or some combination of factors. Sure. Now one possibility is that the healthcare systems were so disrupted by our insane focus on the COVID epidemic that we're still mopping up as a consequence of that. Wait, are these excess deaths tracing back through COVID as well? Post-COVID. Just post-COVID?
Starting point is 01:14:09 Post-COVID. Okay. Right. They're terrifying. Right. They're terrifying. And they're not well publicized. And I think excess deaths are the fact that you're speaking to them right now seems like. Yeah, but I fair it down a lot of rabbit holes. It's not like it's front bloody page news on the New York Times. Sure, but I think access deaths, that's a metric that you can Google and I'm pretty sure there are like three different huge organizations that track access deaths around the world.
Starting point is 01:14:34 There are many more than three, yes, in every single European country. Right. Okay. Well, so one relatively straightforward hypothesis is that it's a consequence of the disruption of the healthcare system, the staving off of cancer treatment, etc. The increase in depression, anxiety, suicidality, and alcoholism that was a consequence of the lockdowns, the economic disruption. And there's plenty of reason to believe that some of that is the case.
Starting point is 01:15:03 But the other obviously glaring possibility is that injecting billions of people with a vaccine that was not tested by any stretch of the imagination with the thoroughness that it should have before it was forced upon people also might be a contributing factor. Partly because we know that it led to a rise in myocarditis among young men. And we also know that there was absolutely no reason whatsoever to ever recommend that that vaccine was delivered to young children whose risk of death at COVID was so close to zero that it might as well have been zero. When you're talking about a disease, the risk of death isn't the only thing that you worry
Starting point is 01:15:41 about for the disease. So you're going to talk about transmission? Because that was another thing that the COVID vaccine pushed. Yeah, but it didn't do anything to transmission. Absolutely did because it decreased the chance of getting affected. It didn't destroy, it didn't get rid of transmission, but it reduced transmission. But it was claimed that it would get rid of transmission. Only if you take one reading of one single quote, I think that Biden said one time where he said,
Starting point is 01:16:01 no, come on, I've heard so many times because everybody says, oh, you can't take anything Trump says seriously. Biden one time on the news says, if you get the vaccine, you, come on. I've heard so many times because I'm gonna say, oh, you can't take anything Trump says seriously. Biden one time on the news says, if you get the vaccine, you won't transfer the vaccine. Which was it, no. Do you know that our prime minister in Canada deprived Canadians of the right to travel for six months because the unvaccinated were going to transmit COVID
Starting point is 01:16:17 with more likelihood than the vaccinated. So this wasn't one bloody statement. This was like thorough government policy in my country. What I'm saying is there wasn't a statement given that if you get vaccinated, there is a 0% chance of transmitting the disease. The idea is that vaccines were supposed to help because it reduces your hospitalization, reduces death, and it reduces transmission, hopefully by making it so that people don't get sick or don't get sick for as long. All three of
Starting point is 01:16:42 those things the vaccines did exceedingly well. They continue to do that to this day, but especially for the first variant and then the Delta variant, the vaccines helped immensely here. They were tested. The myocarditis rates are like seven out of a hundred thousand injections and the myocarditis is generally acute.
Starting point is 01:16:57 And it's generally not as bad as even getting the coronavirus itself, which will lead you also to have the myocarditis. It's a much worse side effect than side effects that have caused other vaccines to be taken off the market before. That seven out of 100,000 rate of acute myocarditis or pericarditis is not a worst side effect
Starting point is 01:17:13 that any other vaccine. I think that is a completely acceptable, given that the disease itself is more likely to cause myocarditis or pericarditis. Yes, I don't think the data suggests support that presupposition anymore. The latest peer reviewed studies show that that's simply not true, especially among young
Starting point is 01:17:27 men. So there is an age bracket of young men where the elevated rate of myocarditis, acute myocarditis from the vaccine, might have been higher. But we're talking about like three or four cases per 100,000 people. And again, myocarditis and myocarditis are generally acute conditions. They don't last for very long. I told you at the beginning of this conversation that the progressive leftists were on the side of the pharmaceutical companies.
Starting point is 01:17:48 It's not about being on the side of the pharmaceutical companies. It's about... Really? Really, yeah. Yeah, well I see. So what I see as the unholy part of that alliance with the pharmaceutical companies is that it dovetails with the radical utopians' willingness to use power to impose their utopian vision. Well then what do you make of the fact that-
Starting point is 01:18:05 Because otherwise how would you explain it? Because the leftists should have been the ones that were most skeptical about the bloody pharmaceutical companies. And they jumped on the vaccine bandwagon in exactly the same way that you're doing right now. Pharmaceutical companies have helped us tremendously throughout the- Yeah, right, there we go, fine. No, I don't think so. You think modern medicine hasn't? No, I don't think so. Then you're just wrong.
Starting point is 01:18:23 I think they're utterly- You're just wrong. I think they're utterly icy. So you don't think that the pharmaceutical companies who dominate the advertising landscape with 75% of the funding are corrupt. I don't, corrupt is a very broad. Corrupt, no, no, no, no, it's targeted. Do you think that pharmaceutical, do you think that-
Starting point is 01:18:39 Corrupt with a tinge of malevolence. You think that- Willing to extract money out of people by putting their health on the line. You don't believe that. Do you think that we get effective drugs from pharmaceutical companies? Not particularly. Okay. Do you think that any vaccines work?
Starting point is 01:18:56 Yes. Do you think that any... I don't think 80 of them work. At once, for babies. I think that's a little risky. But yet we've been on this vaccine schedule for how many decades? Like this. Like this. Not like this. Not carefully. I had a ton of vaccines when I was a child. I'm pretty sure that was the norm for people. There were a ton of vaccines. There's way more now. Okay. And you think that-
Starting point is 01:19:22 Well, you can understand why. I mean, look, part of it, no doubt, no doubt, part of it is a consequence of the genuine, genuine willingness to protect children. But the moral hazard is quite clear. And people on the left used to be aware of this. What do you think the mRNA vaccine, the speeding up of it came from? How do you make for the fact that it was Donald Trump that did work speed? Terror. Terror. Foolish panicking, just like we're doing with the climate issue. Foolish panicking.
Starting point is 01:19:48 So you think Trump was, was he in bed with the pharmaceuticals? Was he working with the left or was it just a dumb, that was the only panicky thing he made? He didn't try to push for the mass lockdowns like other far left people would have wanted him to do. That was just the one mistake he made was the pushing for the vaccine? No, I think Trump undoubtedly made all sorts of mistakes and lots, and it wasn't, it certainly wasn't only the left that stampeded toward the forced COVID vaccine debacle.
Starting point is 01:20:15 But it was most surprising to me that it emerged on the left because the left at least had been protected against the depredations of gigantic predatory corporations by their skepticism of the gigantic enterprises that can engage in regulatory capture. And that just vanished. Is it not possible that maybe people looked and they said, hey, if all the governments, all the institutions, all the schools, all the private companies across all the countries around the world are saying the same thing. Yeah. Maybe it is the case that this vaccine just helps.
Starting point is 01:20:47 Is that not possible? Oh, sure. They probably, that's sure. Of course it's possible, but that didn't mean it was right. They used force. They used force. We use force for all sorts of things in terms of public health. We don't generally use force to invade people's bodies.
Starting point is 01:21:01 How long have vaccine mandates been a thing in Canada, the United States, and the entire world? I don't think they should have been a thing. That's great. I think they should have been. But when you say we don't generally use force, we absolutely use force. We use, we've been forced vaccines for a long time. It's an important part of public health. Fair enough. We did it on a scale and at a rate during the COVID pandemic, so-called pandemic that was unparalleled. And the consequence of that was that we injected billions of people with an experimental, it wasn't a bloody vaccine. Just no, it wasn't.
Starting point is 01:21:34 No, it isn't. Yes, it is. It's not. Well, because it didn't have a 100% success rate, you think it's a definition of vaccine? Well, the point of the vaccine is to give your body a protein to train also. It's not the same technology.
Starting point is 01:21:44 Who cares if it's not the same? There's plenty of different types of... They used the word vaccine so that they didn't have to contend with the fact that it wasn't the same technology. There are different types of vaccines that are different technologies. Fine. The mRNA vaccine is a type of vaccine technology. This used to be vaccines. Now this is vaccines. No, it was like this and now it's like this. No, no, no. It was like this and now it's like this. The mRNA technology was a radical, qualitative leap forward in technology. You can call it a vaccine if you want to,
Starting point is 01:22:14 but it bears very little resemblance to any vaccine that went before that. And the reason it was called a vaccine was because vaccine was a brand name that had a track record of safety and shoehorning it in that was one of the ways to make sure that people weren't terrified of the technology. And you know, I can understand- I think the reason it's called a vaccine is because they're injecting you with something
Starting point is 01:22:33 that's inoculating you against something in the future because it has proteins that resemble a virus that infects you- There are overlaps between the MRNA technologies and vaccines, to be sure. But they wouldn't have been put forward with the rate that they were put forward if they weren't a radical new technology.
Starting point is 01:22:48 And it's bad in principle to inject billions of people with an untested new technology. Isn't it also bad in principle for billions of people to get infected with a worldwide pandemic that initially was causing a decent number of deaths, a ton of complications, shutting down world economies? Maybe, maybe it was, maybe it was. So should we be able to engage in that analysis
Starting point is 01:23:08 and figure out like if we look at the- We're not engaging in the analysis. No, because now we're talking about whether or not vaccines or even vaccines are not instead. No, no, no, no, no, no, don't play that game. That is not what I was doing. I was making a very specific and careful case. The mRNA technology by wide recognition
Starting point is 01:23:23 is an extraordinarily novel technology. And you can call it- That doesn't make it not a vaccine though. Well, okay. It's a radically transformed form of vaccine. I don't give a damn. We make updates. That still makes it something so new that the potential danger of its mass administration
Starting point is 01:23:39 was highly probable to be at least or more dangerous than the thing that it was supposed to protect against. And we are seeing that in the excess deaths. Absolutely not. So are you implying now that the excess deaths were caused by the vaccines or? I don't bloody well know what they're caused by. That's what you're implying now.
Starting point is 01:23:59 Look, if you're gonna use Occam's razor, you're kind of stuck in an awkward place here. I absolutely not. This is the most administered vaccine to the hit or inoculation or whatever you're going to use Occam's razor, you're kind of stuck in an awkward place here. Because it's literally not stuck in a... This is the most administered vaccine to the hit, or inoculation, or whatever you want to call it, in the history of all of mankind, every single organization around the world is motivated to call this out if it was a bad thing. You don't think Russia or China would be screaming if Donald Trump or the United States warped spread through a vaccine that was having deleterious effects on populations all around the world?
Starting point is 01:24:23 You don't think there wouldn't be some academic institution. You didn't think there'd be more than a handful of doctors and Joe Rogan and some conservatives saying this vaccine might've been bad. If it was the case that American companies working with companies in Europe and Germany, especially, because that's where Biotech is from, in order to create a manufacturer vaccine
Starting point is 01:24:38 that was causing excess deaths all around the world. There are so many different people that we motivated to call this out. How do you explain the fact that no- You are calling it out. No, it's a handful of people. Where are the governments calling it? Where are the academic institutions calling it?
Starting point is 01:24:47 Where are the other private companies calling it out? Wouldn't you stand to make a killing if you were a private company in Europe and you could say, look, the mRNA vaccines for sure are causing all of these issues. Why wouldn't Putin? Why wouldn't Xi Jinping? Why wouldn't anybody else in the world call this out? It was as horrible as it was. There are plenty of people attempting to call out the-
Starting point is 01:25:02 Nobody credible and no huge institution. What do you make of the excess deaths? You haven't come up with a bloody hypothesis. I don't even know if there are 20% excess deaths in Europe right now. If I had to guess off the top of my head, it's going to be, like you said, one might be lingering effects of an overworld healthcare system, another one might be deaths related to the war in Ukraine, another one might be rising energy costs that have occurred for a couple of reasons... But it's absolutely impossible that any of it could be unintended consequences of a novel technology injected into billions of people. I think that if excess... First of all, there aren't billions of people in Europe.
Starting point is 01:25:33 I didn't say there were! So if there were excess deaths, I don't understand, but you're talking about excess deaths in Europe. I'm not aware of excess deaths that exist in other places that are completely and totally unaccounted for where the only explanation could be the vaccine. I think if there were, I think more people would be talking about it. Well, we have, well, first of all, the number of people talking about something is not an indication of the scientific validity of a claim. Quite the contrary. I agree with that, but for a vaccine that was-
Starting point is 01:25:51 Well, then why are you using mass consensus as the determinant of what constitutes truth? Because I think for something- That's never been the case. Because I think for something that was given to billions and billions of people, if this was something that was having a measurable effect on people,
Starting point is 01:26:04 it would be impossible to cover it up or ignore it. We wouldn't have to look at the one case brought up on a documentary. We wouldn't have to look at the one thing being talked about. And what do you make of the VAERS data? There's more negative side effects reported from the mRNA vaccines than there were reported for every single vaccine ever created since the
Starting point is 01:26:25 dawn of time, and not by a small margin. So it's not just the excess deaths. I agree. It's the various data. What is various data? It's the data base that until the COVID-19 pandemic emerged, and we had the unfortunate consequence that there were so many side effects being reported. It was the gold standard for determining whether or not vaccines were safe. And now as soon as it started to misbehave on the mRNA vaccine front, we decided that we were going to doubt the validity of the VAERS reporting system.
Starting point is 01:26:56 The VAERS reporting system has never been the gold standard for anything. VAERS reporting is just if you want to report that there is some issue that you have after getting a vaccine. That's it. I think it's vaccine adverse- What the hell do you think it was set up for? To report adverse events that happen after a vaccine. Why? To track and see if something was related to the vaccine. Right. So why? Most people, most people didn't even know VARs existed until after the COVID vaccine. Once people know that it exists, of course more people are going to engage with it. But what happens when you submit a report? So it's all noise? No, well it could be or couldn't be. So what do you do when a bunch of stuff. First of all, you might begin by suggesting
Starting point is 01:27:29 that maybe it's not all noise. Correct. So when all of these things are admitted to theirs, what they do is from there, they investigate. All you can do, all of their, all theirs is, is I might go and get a vaccine and maybe in three days ago, hmm, I've got a headache. I'm gonna go ahead and like call my doctor and make this report.
Starting point is 01:27:46 And they'll say, OK, well, it's an adverse event after vaccine. Doesn't mean the vaccine caused the headache. And now that more people know about this. I'm saying that there is not the gold standard of determining if a vaccine is working or not. Compared to actual longitudinal perspective, randomized control trial studies. You mean like the ones they should have done to the goddamn vaccines? Like the ones that they did do for the vaccines
Starting point is 01:28:05 and they continued it to this day. Yes, that is correct. Yes, correct. You really think that you're in a position to evaluate the scientific credibility of the trials for the vaccines, do you? No, I don't. So I have to trust-
Starting point is 01:28:15 Then what are you doing? What I have to do? I don't trust them. I look at the bloody data. First of all, you have to trust third parties to some extent. When you go outside- I don't have to trust third parties.
Starting point is 01:28:24 Of course you do. You do every day. When you turn the keys on your car, you hope your engine doesn't extent. When you go outside- I don't have to trust third parties. Of course you do. You do every day. When you turn the keys in your car, you hope your engine doesn't explode. When you're drinking water, you hope that the public water or whatever tap or bottle water you got out of isn't contaminated or poisoned with cholera. I don't do that as a consequence of consensus.
Starting point is 01:28:36 No, of course you do. No, I don't. I do that as a consequence of observing multiple times that when I put the goddamn key in the ignition, the truck started. Why do you know what's gonna start the 50th or the 100th time? Why do you... How many times do you wear the... Don't play Hume with me. You know perfectly well why.
Starting point is 01:28:47 I'm not playing Hume. You don't know if the denim in those jeans isn't leaking into your bloodstream. To some extent, we trust, we have to trust third-party institutions to make determinations. Except when they use force. How about that? Especially when they use force. We trust the police officers. We trust the judicial system. We do. We on the left trust the police, do we? To some extent, do we? If somebody's breaking into your house, who do you call? That's why we defund them. I'm not a defunder, but if somebody's breaking into your house, you can be the most defund person in the world. Who are you going to
Starting point is 01:29:12 call? Are you going to call your neighbor? Are you going to call Joe Biden? Are you going to call Obama? Are you going to call the Black Panthers? Are you going to call the cops? So tell me this. Tell me this then, because the core issue here is use of force, as far as I'm concerned. We examined some of the weeds around that. Politicians throughout the world, and this would be true on the conservative side now, in the aftermath of the COVID, um, tyranny, because it was more a tyranny than a pandemic, were, are now saying that we actually didn't force anybody to take the vaccine. So what do you think of that claim? Like, so let's define force. I think it's technically true, but I think it's silly.
Starting point is 01:29:49 What do you mean it's technically true? Define force then. Technically true, and that in the United States at least, I think the idea, what they tried to do, they weren't able to do it because the Supreme Court shot it down, was Biden tried to make it so that OSHA, who's the body that regulates job safety, could make it so that employees had to get vaccinated. Now eventually- Or what? Or what? Or they'd lose their job.
Starting point is 01:30:07 Okay, does that qualify as force? That's why I said technically, but not- Yeah, I know, but it's a serious question. I mean, because we need to define what constitutes force before we can, it seems to me- I could argue it's a type of force, sure. I mean, I think it'd be silly to say it's nothing. It is a type of force.
Starting point is 01:30:22 It's the same as a cop telling you, you have to do this, you're gonna be killed. No, but it's on the spectrum. Sure, of course, yeah. It's as much force as the mRNA vaccines are vaccines. Sure. It is a type of force, and the mRNA vaccines are a type of vaccine, so sure.
Starting point is 01:30:36 So, look, I really think the problem was with the COVID response, I really think the problem was the use of force. I mean, I can understand to some degree, although I'm very skeptical of the pharmaceutical companies and far more skeptical than your insistence upon the utility of consensus might lead me to believe you're skeptical of them, which is surprising, I would say, given that you're a pharmacist. I'm very skeptical of them. That's why I'm glad there's multiple companies, multiple countries, multiple academic institutions that do research, and the FDA. Yeah, I'm very skeptical.
Starting point is 01:31:04 You should be in any private system. You should be skeptical to every private company, of course, whether we're talking media, pharmaceuticals, or automobile manufacturers, yeah. But skepticism doesn't mean a blind adherence to the complete total opposite of whatever it is they're saying, right? They're undoubtedly, like,
Starting point is 01:31:19 if you look at Alzheimer's research, there's been groundbreaking improvement on drugs to treat Alzheimer's research over the past three years that five years ago, none of these drugs even existed. And yeah, so I mean- How about if you're skeptical of anyone who's willing to use force to put their doctrine forward?
Starting point is 01:31:33 How's that a role of thumb? Then you're skeptical of literally every single person, political ideology, to ever have existed in all of humankind. Some degree of force, you would undoubtedly believe this, right, some degree of force is probably necessary for any kind of cohesiveankind, some degree of force, you would undoubtedly believe this, right? Some degree of force is probably necessary for any kind of cohesive society, right?
Starting point is 01:31:49 No, I don't believe that. Of course there is. No, I don't believe that. Even if you had a tribe of 100, 120 people, if somebody was stealing something, right? You have to punish that person. I said earlier that that becomes complicated when you're dealing with the psychopathic types.
Starting point is 01:32:11 Right, so that's a complication. But I would say, generally speaking, that the necessity to use force is a sign of bad policy. And no, I don't think, see, I'm not particularly a Hobbesian. I don't think that the only reason people comport themselves with a certain degree of civility in civilized societies is because they're terrified by the fact that the government has a monopoly on force that can be brought against them at any moment. I think that keeps the psychopaths in line to some degree, but I think that most people are enticed into a cooperative relationship and that formulating the structures that make those relationships possible is a sign of good policy. I've got to, I have to ask because I I have watched a lot of yourself in the past. I remember you speaking very distinctly on this, that for instance, when two men
Starting point is 01:32:48 are communicating with each other, there is an underlying threat of force that kind of puts on the guardrails those particular social interactions. For instance, I couldn't go to a random- Yeah, the threat of force is don't be psychopathic. What is it, how broader is psychopathic here? Are we defining?
Starting point is 01:33:04 Well, I can define it. I mean, yeah, go for it. Well, a psychopath will gain short-term advantage at the cost of long-term relationship. Okay. That's really the core issue. Well, you know, you made a reference to something like that earlier in your discussion when you pointed out that people claim to be motivated, let's say by principle, but will default to short-term gratification, more or less, at the drop of a hat. Or social groups, yeah.
Starting point is 01:33:27 Yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly. Well, the exaggerated proclivity to do that is at the essence of psychopathy. So it's a very immature- Do you think, I'm curious, with this definition of psychopathy, does that mean- It's that definition of psychopathy. It's not an ad, it's not mine. That's the core of psychopathy. Okay.
Starting point is 01:33:44 In the United States, I think we call it all ASPD now. No, it's separate from, that's antisocial personality disorder. I thought that subsumed psychopathy and sociopathy. No, psychopathy is more like some, it's more the pathological core of antisocial personality disorder. Okay, maybe that might be true, okay.
Starting point is 01:34:01 That's a better way of thinking. Like the worst, a small number of criminals are responsible for the vast majority of crimes. It's 1% commit 65%, something like that. Do you think is psychopathy something that can be environmentally induced? Or do you think this is core to a person? It's both. So for example, if you're disagreeable, like you are, by the way, one of the your proclivity, if you went wrong, would be to go wrong in an antisocial and psychopathic direction. And that's more true of men, for example, than it is for women.
Starting point is 01:34:31 That's why men are more likely to be in prison by a lot. I think it's 10 to one, 20 to one, generally, depends on the particular crime, with it being higher proportion of men as the violence of the crime mounts. So you can imagine on the genetic versus environment side. So imagine that when you're delivered your temperamental hand of cards, you're going to have a certain set of advantages that go along with them that
Starting point is 01:34:54 are part and parcel of that genetic determination. And there's going to be a certain set of temptations as well. So for example, if you're high in trait neuroticism, you're going to be quite sensitive to the suffering of others and be able to detect that. That's useful for infant care. But the cost you'll pay is that you'll be more likely to develop depression and anxiety. And if you're disagreeable, if you're disagreeable, extroverted, and unconscious, then the place you'll go if you go badly is in the psychopathic or antisocial direction. And there are environmental determinants of that to some degree.
Starting point is 01:35:28 Sure. Genes express themselves in an environment. I agree. I'm just curious for the definition of psychopathic for short-term gain at the expense of long-term relationship. Really? That's probably the best bit. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:35:39 When you look at stuff like people that are self-destructive, say people that engage in behavior at least like obesity, is that like a type of psychopathy to you or is that like something different or how do you define these types of things I guess or how do you view that type of thing? Well, no, there is an overlap in that addictive processes, one of which might lead to obesity, do have this problem of prioritization of the short term, but the distinct, so that overlaps with the short term orientation of the psychopath. But a psychopath is, see, an obese person isn't gaining anything from your demise at, to facilitate their obesity. Right? So there's a predatory and parasitical element to psychopathy that's not there in other addictive short term processes.
Starting point is 01:36:24 Do you think, is it possible that there are things, because then to circle back to the tribal example I gave, isn't it possible that people can commit harms against other people, where they're not necessarily gaining from their demise, but it's just some other sort of gain that doesn't matter? So for instance, like say I'm talking to some friends and I'm just gossiping or shit talking to another person,
Starting point is 01:36:41 I'm not necessarily feeling good that I'm trashing them per se, I'm feeling good because this group of friends might be more favorably because I have like a gossip or something to share with them. Well, but that's the gain right there. And you are contributing to the demise of the people you're gossiping about.
Starting point is 01:36:55 But I think there's like, I feel like there's fundamentally different type of thought process between like, I want to tell you something juicy about this guy because it'll make you like me, versus I want to tell you something juicy about this guy because I hate this guy and I want him to like have a worse reputation among people.
Starting point is 01:37:06 I feel like there's different drivers for that. I would say, that's an interesting distinction. I would say probably that the hatred induced malevolence is a worse form of malevolence than the popularity inducing malevolence. Yeah, the only reason- It's a tough one, but- Yeah, the only reason I bring that up
Starting point is 01:37:23 is because I feel like a lot of malevolence that we have social guardrails for is that type of like selfish malevolence, where you're not... I would argue even the majority of malevolence in the world is usually people acting selfishly or being inconsiderate, not necessarily like, I hate this place. Yeah, I think that's right. I think that, well, that's why Dante outlined levels of hell.
Starting point is 01:37:43 Yeah. Right? Yeah, well, exactly that. And I mean, that's why Dante outlined levels of hell, right? Yeah, well exactly that. And I mean, that book was an investigation into the structure of malevolence, right? He put betrayal at the bottom, which I think is right. I think that's right, because people who develop post-traumatic stress disorder, for example, which almost only accompanies an encounter with malevolence
Starting point is 01:38:02 rather than tragic circumstances, they are often betrayed. Sometimes by other people, but often by themselves. And yes, there are levels of hell, you know, and you outlined a couple there. So I guess then my question is just that if you have people, so the kid that steals an orange from a stand, not because he hates the shop owner, but because he wants the orange or he's hungry, without some type of societal, it doesn't have to be the government, it could be family, religious, without some type of use of force.
Starting point is 01:38:27 Do you think that society ever exists without- Use force on your wife? Well, what are we considering force? Is withholding sex, for instance, is that considered force? Or is, you know, saying we're gonna cancel the vacation- Deprivation of an expected reward is a punishment. So you could, well, no, but I mean,
Starting point is 01:38:44 this is a serious question. I mean, well, no, but I mean, this is a serious question. I mean, look, look, if we're thinking about the optimization of social structures, we might as well start from the base level of social structure and scaffold up. Sure. So like if a wife is upset at a husband, for instance, would that be considered a use of force?
Starting point is 01:38:59 I think a negative punishment. You're removing a stimulus to punish a person. Yeah, would you consider that like a use of force or? I would say it would depend to some degree on the intent. The intent is to punish a behavior, right? Well, if the intent is to punish, then it's starting to move into the domain of force. I mean, look, while we've been talking, there have been bursts of emotion, right? And that's because we're freeing entropy and trying to enclose it again.
Starting point is 01:39:23 And so that's going to produce, it produces negative emotion fundamentally, most fundamentally anxiety and pain and secondarily something like anger, because those emotions are quite tightly linked. And so within the confines of a marriage, because we might as well make it concrete, there are going to be times when disagreements result in bursts of emotion. And those bursts of emotion don't necessarily have to have an instrumental quality. It's when the emotion is used manipulatively to gain an advantage that's short-term for the person, and then maybe that's at the expense of the other person or even at the expense of the person who benefits future self,
Starting point is 01:40:00 then it starts to tilt into the manipulative... There's a tetrad of traits. So narcissism, Machiavellianism, that's manipulativeness. Narcissism is the desire for unearned social status. That's what you'd gain, for example, if you were gossiping and elevating your social status. Machiavellianism, narcissism, psychopathy, that's predatory parasitism, and those culminate in sadism, and that cloud of negative emotion that's released in the aftermath of disagreement can be tilted in the direction of those traits, and that's when it becomes malevolent, and
Starting point is 01:40:38 that's when the problem of force starts to become paramount, because I think that your fundamental presupposition was both Hobbesian and ill-formed. I do not believe that the basis for the civilized polity is force. Now you're saying that you can't abjure the use of force entirely and I would say unfortunately that's true. I agree with you. But if the policy isn't invitational, if I can't make a case that's powerful enough for you to go there voluntarily, then the policy is flawed.
Starting point is 01:41:10 Now it may be that we have some cases where we can't do better than a flawed policy because we're not smart enough. Maybe the incarceration of criminals with a long-term history of violent offences is a good example of that. We don't know how to invite those people to play. They have a history, generally from the time they're very young children, from the age of two, of not being able to play well with others. And it's a very, very intractable problem. There's no evidence in the social science literature at all that hyper-aggressive boys, by the age of four, can ever be socialized in the course of their life. The penological evidence
Starting point is 01:41:50 suggests that if you have multiple offenders, your best bet is to keep them in prison till they're 30. And the reason for that is it might be delayed maturation, you know, biologically speaking, but most criminals start to burn out around 27. So it spikes, it's a big spike when puberty hits, and then stability among the hyper aggressive types. So actually what happens is the aggressives at four tend to be aggressive their whole life and then they decline after 27.
Starting point is 01:42:20 The normal boys are not aggressive, they spike at puberty and go back down the baseline. Right? And so you don't really rehabilitate people in prison for obvious reasons. I mean, look at the bloody places. There are great schools for crime in large. But if you keep them there until they're old enough, they tend to mature out of that. Except the worst of them tend to mature out of that predatory short-term oriented lifestyle. So, yeah, and they, short-term oriented lifestyle. So, and that's the force issue. Which I- Yeah, I agree, I agree.
Starting point is 01:42:49 So fundamentally, to clear my, I guess my stance up, I agree that fundamentally you're not building society on force. If for no other reason, because there'd be so much friction, it would fly apart at the seams, right? You can't force- You'd get resistance if you use force. Yeah, fundamentally we're building off of cooperation.
Starting point is 01:43:07 You wanna invite people to participate in society. I agree with that. I just, I feel like once you start to hit certain thresholds or certain points and you've got so many different types of people involved, at some point we're gonna have to have force around the edges on the guard rails just to make sure that we don't allow,
Starting point is 01:43:20 are you familiar with like tit for tat systems? Very. Yeah, tit for tat is probably a really important part of our evolutionary biological history and an important part of the animal kingdom. And I think to some degree, that tit for tat punishment is important to- Is that force or justice? You can call it what it is, but- No, no, no, I'm curious what you think.
Starting point is 01:43:37 There's a very serious question. Because the tit for tat, the tit for tat is very bounded, right? It's like, you cheat, I whack you, and then I cooperate. And I do think that there's a model there for what we actually conceptualize as justice. It's like, you don't get to get away with it, but the goal is the reestablishment of the cooperative endeavor as fast as possible.
Starting point is 01:43:59 Of course, I agree. But in a reductionist way, we're kind of just using justice here as a stand in for force, right? Well, I don't- Because a tit for tat system- That's a good- A tit for a tit, so using justice here as a stand in for force, right? Well, I don't... A tit for tat system... That's a good... A tit for a tit...
Starting point is 01:44:08 So there are different types of tit for tat systems, right? You've got tit for tat, you've got tit for tat tat, you've got... There's all sorts of types of systems where maybe you'll let somebody make a mistake one or two times, but you can't have a tit, tit, tit, tit, tit system because then somebody can come in and take advantage of it. Yes, which is the problem with the compassionate left, by the way. Exactly. To some extent, sure, it can be.
Starting point is 01:44:24 Or a problem with the right that's far too forgiving of Donald Trump. But I would say that that tat part, you can call it justice. I think justice is a perspective of force, right? Where some people might consider a force to be just, the cop that arrests the murderer, and other people might consider that force,
Starting point is 01:44:39 that tat to actually be injustice because the murderer was responding to environmental conditions, blah, blah, blah, or was penancelled, whatever. That's a stupid theory, was responding to environmental conditions, blah, blah, blah, or was penancelled, whatever. You know, that's a stupid theory, that responding to environmental conditions theory. Because here's why it's not. Well, I mean, because essentially that's written houses. Self-defense is responding with violence.
Starting point is 01:44:55 So if you assume that there's a causal pathway from early childhood abuse to criminality, let's say, which is the test case for environmental determination of the proclivity for the exploitation of others, then it spreads near exponentially in populations. That isn't what happens. So here's the data. Most people who abused their children were abused as children, but most people who were abused as children do not abuse their children. And the reason for that is because if you were abused, there's two lessons you can learn
Starting point is 01:45:30 from that. One is identify with the abuser. The other is don't identify. Never gonna. Right, exactly. And what happens, and if this didn't happen, every single family would be abusive to the core very rapidly. What happens is the proclivity for violence itself, it dampens itself out as a consequence of intergenerational transmission. So the notion that privation is a pathway to criminality,
Starting point is 01:45:54 that's not a well-founded formulation. And there are an infinite number of counter examples and they're crucial. Some of the best people I know, and I mean that literally, are people who had childhood so absolutely abysmal that virtually anything they would have done in consequence could have been justified. You know, and they chose not to turn into the predators of others. And that was a choice and often one that caused them to reevaluate themselves right down to the bottom of others. And that was a choice, and often one that caused them to
Starting point is 01:46:25 re-evaluate themselves right down to the bottom of their soul. And so that casual association of relative poverty even with criminality, we know also, we know this too. You take a neighborhood where there's relative poverty, the young men get violent. They don't get violent because they're all hurt and they're victims. They get violent because they use all hurt and they're victims. They get violent because they use violence to seek social status. And so even in that situation, it's not, oh, the poor, poor. It's no wonder they're criminal because they need bread. It's like, sorry, buddy. That's not how it works. The hungry women feeding their children
Starting point is 01:46:59 don't become criminals. The extraordinarily ambitious young men who feel it's unfair that their pathway to success become violent. And that's, that's 100% well documented, and generally by radically left leaning scholars. Sure, I don't disagree with any of that wealth inequality in areas is much better predictor of crime than, than poverty, than absolutely. Right, but it's very specific form of crime. It's status seeking crime by young men, right? Well, but that shows you what the underlying motive is. It's not even redress of the economic inequality It's actually the men striving to become sexually attractive by gaining position in the dominance hierarchy Well, I think you have to be really careful with that assessment though, because you can say that it's not economically
Starting point is 01:47:44 It's not seeking economic- Why do you have to be careful? The biggest predictor of a male- Because we're assuming that people that commit crime in these types of circumstances are status seeking and not trying to seek economic remedy, but it might be- That's exactly what we're assuming. But it might be the case, for instance, that in economically prosperous areas, that the men there aren't actually seeking economic prosperity. They're also just trying to elevate status, but they do it through economic prosperity.
Starting point is 01:48:07 It's potential, right? They do it with a longer term vision in mind. Sure. Sure, they're trying to elevate. I wouldn't disagree with that in the least, but they do it with a much longer time horizon in mind. And we know this partly because there have been detailed studies of gang members, for example, in Chicago, who are trying to
Starting point is 01:48:25 ratchet themselves up the economic ladder, but they do it with a short-term orientation. Most of them think they're going to be dead by their early 20s. So they're trying to maximize short-term gain. So it has nothing to do with the redress of economic inequality, except in the most fundamental sense. And it is status-driven because they're looking for comparative status. I don't think any human being has baked in a desire to seek economic prosperity.
Starting point is 01:48:48 I think that that's like a third order thing that we look for and fundamentally it's probably more like safety, security for ourselves and then status seeking for other things. I think that changes when you have children. Well, I mean the safety and security of your children. Because your status is irrelevant or starts to become irrelevant at that point.
Starting point is 01:49:03 I mean, depending on how you view your status, right? You can't do that every time we have a discussion. I'm just saying, for instance, one of the important things for my child is to be able to send my child to a good school, I need to have an elevated status, right? I need to be able to buy a house in the right school district or I need to be able to pay the education. Right, but you're not telling me, I hope, that the driving factor behind your desire to care for your children is an elevation in your status.
Starting point is 01:49:28 No, but I'm saying that the elevation of status might be what allows you to take care of yourself. So for instance, one of the biggest predictors of getting married is already achieving it. Is it status or position? Well, that's what I'm saying. I'm saying there's like a, there's a- I know, you're confounding. All of these things kind of play into, yeah. Okay, look, we're running out of time.
Starting point is 01:49:44 Yeah, you're good. You're smart. You're smart, you're sharp. I wanna say that tit for tat thing. I was just saying that the tat thing, there is some underlying, built into probably our genes, right? Because we see it all throughout the animal kingdom that there's some level of punishment
Starting point is 01:49:56 or some level of force. We can call it justice. No, but I think it's the right, I really think- It's justice when you're the tatter, not when you're the titter though, right? No, no, no. When you're the titter, it's just retribution. No, no, I don't think that's true either. Look, if you read the tatter, not when you're the titter though, right? No, no, no. When you're the titter, it's just retribution.
Starting point is 01:50:05 No, no, I don't think that's true either. Look, if you read Crime and Punishment, for example, one of the things you see that emerges when Raskolnikov gets away with murder, and it's a brutal murder, and he gets away with it, it's completely clear, and he has a justification for it. And what happens as a consequence is that that disturbs his own relationship with himself so profoundly that he can't stand it, such that when a just punishment is finally meted out to him, it's a relief.
Starting point is 01:50:31 And that's not rare. And that is, like, there isn't anything more terrifying, this is why Crime and Punishment is such a great novel, there isn't anything more terrifying than breaking a moral rule that you thought you had the ability to break and finding out that you're somewhere now that you really don't wanna be. And then that, you know, there's nothing worse in your own life than waiting for the other shoe to drop. If you've transgressed against the moral rule and now you're an outsider because of that,
Starting point is 01:50:57 you live in no man's land, the fact that you have just retribution coming to you, that can be a precondition for your atonement and your integration back into society. But it's probably important to note that depending on the system you exist in, those moral transgressions just aren't, right? So to take it back to, I'll use your leftist example,
Starting point is 01:51:15 you might consider a threat of force for somebody to get a vaccine to be a highly immoral thing. That might be a transgression against some fundamental moral thing, but a person on the left might think that they're actually satisfying their moral requirement to society by doing so, much the same as a child soldier, or not, I won't use child soldier, but maybe an older person that's committing intifada
Starting point is 01:51:33 or some kind of Islamic terrorist thinks that they're fulfilling some moral calling as well. No doubt, no doubt that that's the case. That's why I was focusing in on the use of force, is that I think it's a good rule of thumb policy that if you have to implement your goddamn scheme with force then there's something wrong with the way it's formulated. There's no reason we could have used a pure invitational strategy to distribute
Starting point is 01:51:56 the vaccine. It would have been much more effective and it was bad policy rushed. We're in an emergency we have to use force. It's like no, no you weren't. It wasn't the kind of emergency that justified force, not least because behavioral psychologists have known for decades that force is actually not a very effective motivator. It produces a vicious kickback. So, you know, one of the things, this is going to happen for sure, you know, is that the net deaths from people stopping using valid vaccines as a consequence of general skepticism about vaccination is going to cause, in my estimation, over any reasonable amount of time, far more deaths than COVID itself caused. You violate people's trust in the public health system at your great peril, and you do that by using force, and we did that. And so you can see already that there's hoards of people
Starting point is 01:52:45 who are vaccine skeptic, very, this generalized skepticism that to some degree you were rightly decrying. It spreads like wildfire and no wonder, because if you make me do something, I'm gonna be a little skeptical of you for a long time. You know, this conversation, we're here voluntarily. Like we're trying to hash things out and in good faith, you know, but neither of us compelled the other to come here
Starting point is 01:53:08 and neither of us are compelled to continue. And so that makes it a fair game. And a fair game is something that everyone can be invited to. And I suppose that's something that's neither right nor left, you know, hopefully, right? Something we could conceivably agree on. And I also think that I don't have any illusions about the fact that there are people on
Starting point is 01:53:26 the right who would use power to impose what they believe to be their core, their core what, their core, the core, what would you say, their core idol. Of course, the temptation to use force is rightly pointed to by the leftists who insist that power is the basis for everything. It isn't the basis for everything. That's wrong. It's really wrong. But it's a severe enough impediment to progress forward
Starting point is 01:53:55 that we have to be very careful about it. So look, we have to stop. Sure, sure. I wanna know if there's anything else you'd like to say before we stop, because unfortunately, we have to stop rather abruptly and so I think I yeah, I thought we got we got pretty far into this What are you trying to accomplish let's start with stop with that we found a little bit about we found out a little bit about Who you are? I mean you formulated your
Starting point is 01:54:23 your I mean, you formulated your proclivity in terms of, to some degree, in terms of delight in argumentation or facility at it, which you certainly have. The danger in that, of course, is that you can be oriented to win arguments rather than to pursue the truth, and that's the danger of having that facility for argumentation. But what are you hoping to accomplish by engaging in conversations like this in the public sphere? Elevation of status, you know? That's one possibility. No, I feel like, I think debate or argumentation is good
Starting point is 01:54:55 because it forces two sides to make their ideas somewhat commensurate to the other. If two people are having a conversation, they have to be able to communicate said ideas to the other person, otherwise it's just a screaming match. And I think there is a good, for the sake of like, just being bipartisan or having a collection of people in a certain area and having different people together,
Starting point is 01:55:14 just that in and of itself without anything else happening, I think produces a good, at least for a democratic society. For instance, like I would agree that school, maybe not faculty, but administrators are very, very, very, very, very far left today. Dangerously so, I don't have that school, maybe not faculty, but administrators are very, very, very, very, very far left today. Dangerously so, I don't have to talk to you about this, obviously, but I think part of the responsibility to that, I think, rests at the feet of conservatives
Starting point is 01:55:34 who instead of maintaining participation in the system, decide that they're gonna throw their hands up and disengage. When I go and I see- Or be forced out. Or be forced out, sure. That's in my case, for example. That's fine, yeah, sometimes it can happen, but I think that- Often forced out. Or be forced out, sure. That's in my case, for example. That's fine, yeah, sometimes it can happen. But I think that- Often.
Starting point is 01:55:45 Rather than accepting being forced out, or rather than encouraging other people to disengage, the engagement has to happen. It can't be a, I'm losing faith in the system, so all of us are gonna go in there and do our thing. It has to be like, no, we're gonna be here in these conversations, whether you like it or not, because in a democracy,
Starting point is 01:56:03 sometimes the guy you don't like wins. Sometimes the policy that you don't like is enforced Sometimes the policy that you don't like is enforced. Sometimes a guy you don't like is somebody you have to share an office or a classroom with. And we need to be okay with that. And I'm worried that like the internet is driving people into these like very homogenous, but very polarized rice grubs. The data on that, by the way, aren't clear. Like whatever's driving polarization doesn't seem to be as tightly related to the creation of those internal bubbles as you might think.
Starting point is 01:56:28 Like I've looked at a number of studies that have investigated to see whether people are being driven into homogenized information bubbles and it isn't obvious that that's the case directly, although the polarization that you're pointing to that you're concerned about that seems to be clearly happening So and why that is well, that's a matter of you know, intense speculation feel like the homogeneity I feel like it's not so much that this is not research-based at all Just a total feeling. Yeah, so I admit that but the feelings that I have is it's not necessarily that homogeneity has increased It's that homogeneity has increased as a byproduct of the bubbles becoming larger.
Starting point is 01:57:05 So for instance, it might be that I'm from Omaha, Nebraska, so a town or a city really, in Nebraska, right? It might have been that 50 years ago, there are bubbles in living in Omaha, and there are different bubbles for living in Lincoln, and there might be bubbles in Toronto or neighborhoods in Toronto, or there might be bubbles in Vancouver, but now as the internet exists and things become more Internationalized these bubbles are it's not just a bubble that exists in these cities now the bubbles have come together and as a result of them coming together That's another gigantism problem. Sure. Yeah, or a globalization problem or a communication problem But you're right on this issue where somebody might be in a particular city or state and have a really strong opinion about what AOC says but they don't know anything about their local political scene.
Starting point is 01:57:45 And I think that that's an issue because the bubbles have gotten so large and they're encompassing so many people now, and you're expected to have like a similar set of beliefs between all of these different people now that might live in totally different places. That's, I think, a big issue we're running into. Yeah, well, that could be, we'll close with this, I think.
Starting point is 01:58:01 That might be one of the unintended consequences of hyperconnectivity, right? Is that we're driving levels of connectivity that get rigid and that we also can't tolerate. All right, well, that's a good place to stop. Well, thank you very much for coming in today. That's much appreciated. And you're a sharp debater and good on your feet.
Starting point is 01:58:22 So that's fun to see. And I do think that your closing remarks were correct, is that the alternative to talking is fighting. Uh-huh. Right. So when we stop talking, it's not like the disagreements are going to go away. Yeah. We will start fighting. Yeah. Right.
Starting point is 01:58:40 Probably separate marriages too, even. Talking, right, absolutely. And talking can be very painful because a conversation can kill one of your cherished beliefs and you will suffer for that, although maybe it'll also help you. But the alternative to that death by offense is death. Right. Yeah. Right. So better to substitute the abstract argumentation for the actual physical combat.
Starting point is 01:59:03 For sure. Right. Sometimes like the worst relationships are the ones where couples fight a lot. Yeah, that's true. And some really bad ones are where they don't fight ever. And then all of a sudden there's a, yeah. The couples who fight and reconcile. Exactly, yeah.
Starting point is 01:59:14 Yes, exactly. All right, all right, well that was good. Thank you very much. And for everyone watching and listening on the YouTube platform, thank you very much for your time and attention. And we're gonna spend another half an hour or so on the daily wire side, so if you're inclined, tune into that and we'll find out a little bit more about the background of our current interviewee,
Starting point is 01:59:36 Destiny. See you later, guys.

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